美國中期選舉：兩院控制權｜進行中
進行中
最後更新於 --
總交易量$446.90萬
選項5
交易截止11月4日 12:00
概率走勢
美國中期選舉：兩院控制權賠率
這個數字代表市場對該結果的隱含概率，完全由所有交易者的買賣行為決定，OKX 不參與定價。82 意味著買一份「是」只需 82¢；結算時猜對可獲 1xp，猜錯則獲得 0xp。
美國中期選舉：兩院控制權 結果總覽
市場熱門
民主黨橫掃兩院82% 勝率
距開賽
10 天2026年11月4日
總交易量
$446.9萬今日 ↑ 45.34萬xp
規則說明
This market resolves Yes if the Republican Party controls the Senate and the Democratic Party controls the House following the 2026 U.S. midterm election, and No otherwise.
Senate control is determined by a majority of voting seats. If no party has a majority, control belongs to the party holding half of the voting seats and the Vice Presidency; if still ambiguous, it belongs to the party of the first selected President Pro Tempore of the incoming Congress.
House control is determined by a majority of voting seats. If no party has a majority, control belongs to the party of the first elected Speaker of the incoming Congress.
For the Senate, the count includes all regular and special elections determining representation in the incoming 120th Congress that, as of October 31, 2026, are scheduled for November 2026. A Senate vacancy with no November election scheduled as of that date is attributed to the most recent holder's party. For the House, the count includes all 2026 midterm elections electing voting members of the incoming 120th Congress.
A contested seat is attributed to the party under which the winning member was elected; a later party change or vacancy before Congress is organized does not change that attribution. A Senate seat not contested in this election is attributed to the party holding it on election day; a later party change or vacancy does not change that attribution.
An independent member counts for a party only after formally caucusing with it or publicly announcing an intention to do so. If the decision is unknown on election day, settlement may remain pending until the member's announcement. Without an announcement by that deadline, the member counts toward no party.
The Other outcome applies only if the final combined result is none of Democratic Senate/Democratic House, Democratic Senate/Republican House, Republican Senate/Democratic House, or Republican Senate/Republican House.
Resolution is based on official information from the relevant state election authorities and the United States Congress, together with a consensus of credible reporting where necessary.
The five outcomes in this Event are mutually exclusive, and exactly one resolves Yes.
相關賽事
常見問題
點擊任意結果行，交易面板將自動同步。選擇"是" (預測會發生) 或"否" (預測不會發生)，輸入金額，點擊"下單"。需要一個免費的 OKX 賬號。結算時，每份正確的"是"份額可獲得 82¢。持倉在市場收盤前持續有效。
可以。在 2026年11月4日 交易截止前，您隨時可以在二級市場賣出份額，平倉價格以當時市場為準，可能高於或低於買入價。交易截止後只能等待結算。
免責聲明
無需購買或付款。本活動為免費積分活動，並不涉及任何資金風險。本活動不構成買入、賣出或持有數字資產的要約或招攬，數字資產價格可能受劇烈波動影響。並非所有產品均於所有地區提供。相關條款及細則適用。
無需購買或付款。本活動為免費積分活動，並不涉及任何資金風險。本活動不構成買入、賣出或持有數字資產的要約或招攬，數字資產價格可能受劇烈波動影響。並非所有產品均於所有地區提供。相關條款及細則適用。
無需購買或付款。本活動為免費積分活動，並不涉及任何資金風險。本活動不構成買入、賣出或持有數字資產的要約或招攬，數字資產價格可能受劇烈波動影響。並非所有產品均於所有地區提供。相關條款及細則適用。