2026 Midterms: Balance of Power｜Langsung
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Terakhir diperbarui pada --.
Total Volume$3,85 jt
Pasar5
Trading berakhir4 Nov, 12.00
Probabilitas dari waktu ke waktu
Peluang 2026 Midterms: Balance of Power
Persentase menunjukkan perkiraan peluang market untuk hasil tersebut — sepenuhnya ditentukan oleh trading secara langsung, bukan ditentukan oleh OKX. Tulisan 75 berarti pihak Ya berbagi biaya 75¢. Ya yang benar membagikan imbal hasil 1 xp pada saat penyelesaian; yang salah membagikan imbal hasil 0 xp.
Ikhtisar Prediksi 2026 Midterms: Balance of Power
Favorit Pasar
Democrats Sweep74% untuk menang
Hari untuk Memulai
11 Hari4 Nov 2026
Total Volume
$3,85 jt↑ 747,79 rbxp hari ini
Aturan pasar
This market resolves Yes if the Democratic Party controls the Senate and the Republican Party controls the House following the 2026 U.S. midterm election, and No otherwise.
Senate control is determined by a majority of voting seats. If no party has a majority, control belongs to the party holding half of the voting seats and the Vice Presidency; if still ambiguous, it belongs to the party of the first selected President Pro Tempore of the incoming Congress.
House control is determined by a majority of voting seats. If no party has a majority, control belongs to the party of the first elected Speaker of the incoming Congress.
For the Senate, the count includes all regular and special elections determining representation in the incoming 120th Congress that, as of October 31, 2026, are scheduled for November 2026. A Senate vacancy with no November election scheduled as of that date is attributed to the most recent holder's party. For the House, the count includes all 2026 midterm elections electing voting members of the incoming 120th Congress.
A contested seat is attributed to the party under which the winning member was elected; a later party change or vacancy before Congress is organized does not change that attribution. A Senate seat not contested in this election is attributed to the party holding it on election day; a later party change or vacancy does not change that attribution.
An independent member counts for a party only after formally caucusing with it or publicly announcing an intention to do so. If the decision is unknown on election day, settlement may remain pending until the member's announcement or January 4, 2027 at 11:59 PM ET. Without an announcement by that deadline, the member counts toward no party.
The Other outcome applies only if the final combined result is none of Democratic Senate/Democratic House, Democratic Senate/Republican House, Republican Senate/Democratic House, or Republican Senate/Republican House.
Resolution is based on official information from the relevant state election authorities and the United States Congress, together with a consensus of credible reporting where necessary.
The five outcomes in this Event are mutually exclusive, and exactly one resolves Yes.
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Pertanyaan yang Sering Diajukan (FAQ)
Klik baris hasil mana saja dan panel trading akan tersinkronisasi secara otomatis. Pilih Ya (menurut Anda akan terjadi) atau Tidak (menurut Anda tidak akan terjadi), masukkan jumlah Anda, dan ketuk buat order. Anda akan memerlukan akun OKX gratis. Setiap bagian Ya yang benar membayar 75¢ saat penyelesaian. Posisi terbuka tetap aktif sampai pasar ditutup.
Ya — Anda dapat menjual saham Anda kapan saja sebelum trading ditutup pada 4 Nov 2026. Harga jual mencerminkan pasar pada saat itu dan mungkin lebih tinggi atau lebih rendah dari yang Anda bayarkan. Setelah trading ditutup, posisi diselesaikan saat resolusi.
Disclaimer
Tidak perlu membeli atau membayar. Campaign ini adalah aktivitas poin gratis tanpa risiko dana. Bukan merupakan penawaran/permintaan untuk membeli, menjual, atau memegang aset digital, yang tunduk pada volatilitas. Tidak semua produk ditawarkan di semua wilayah. S&K berlaku.