美國中期選舉：哪個黨將控制參議院？｜進行中
進行中
最後更新於 --
總交易量$18.91萬
選項2
交易截止11月4日 12:59
概率走勢
美國中期選舉：哪個黨將控制參議院？賠率
這個數字代表市場對該結果的隱含概率，完全由所有交易者的買賣行為決定，OKX 不參與定價。97 意味著買一份「是」只需 97¢；結算時猜對可獲 1xp，猜錯則獲得 0xp。
美國中期選舉：哪個黨將控制參議院？ 結果總覽
市場熱門
民主黨控制參議院？99% 勝率
距開賽
11 天2026年11月4日
總交易量
$18.91萬今日 ↑ 5,458.67xp
規則說明
This binary market asks whether the Republican Party will control the U.S. Senate following the 2026 midterm election. It resolves Yes only if the Republican Party is determined to control the chamber under the settlement rules; otherwise it resolves No. A voting-seat majority controls the Senate; if no party has a majority, the Vice Presidency and, if still necessary, the first selected President Pro Tempore determine control.
This event predicts which party will control the United States Senate following the 2026 U.S. midterm election. The determination includes qualifying regular elections, special elections, and subsequent runoffs affecting representation in the incoming 120th Congress. The active outcomes are the Democratic Party and the Republican Party.
Exactly one of the two active party markets resolves Yes.
A party controls the Senate if it wins a majority of the chamber's voting seats. If no party wins a majority, control belongs to the party that holds half of the voting seats and the Vice Presidency. If control remains ambiguous, it is assigned to the party of the first selected President Pro Tempore of the incoming Congress.
The count includes all regular and special Senate elections that determine representation in the incoming 120th Congress and that, as of October 31, 2026, are scheduled for November 2026. A runoff arising from a qualifying election determines the relevant seat even if the runoff occurs after November 2026.
A vacant seat for which no election or special election is scheduled for November 2026 as of October 31, 2026 is attributed to the party of the most recent member to hold that seat.
A contested seat is attributed to the party under which the winning member was elected. A member-elect changing party or vacating the seat before Congress is formally organized does not change that attribution. A seat not contested in the specified election is attributed to the party holding it on election day, and a later party change or vacancy does not change that attribution.
A senator elected as an independent is included in a party's count only if the senator formally caucuses with that party or, for a newly elected senator, publicly announces an intention to do so. If the caucus decision is unknown on election day, settlement may remain pending until the earlier of the senator's announcement or January 4, 2027 at 11:59 PM ET. If no announcement is made by that deadline, the senator is not counted toward any party.
Resolution is based on official information from the relevant state election authorities and the United States Congress, together with a consensus of credible reporting where necessary.
相關賽事
常見問題
點擊任意結果行，交易面板將自動同步。選擇"是" (預測會發生) 或"否" (預測不會發生)，輸入金額，點擊"下單"。需要一個免費的 OKX 賬號。結算時，每份正確的"是"份額可獲得 97¢。持倉在市場收盤前持續有效。
可以。在 2026年11月4日 交易截止前，您隨時可以在二級市場賣出份額，平倉價格以當時市場為準，可能高於或低於買入價。交易截止後只能等待結算。
免責聲明
無需購買或付款。本活動為免費積分活動，並不涉及任何資金風險。本活動不構成買入、賣出或持有數字資產的要約或招攬，數字資產價格可能受劇烈波動影響。並非所有產品均於所有地區提供。相關條款及細則適用。
無需購買或付款。本活動為免費積分活動，並不涉及任何資金風險。本活動不構成買入、賣出或持有數字資產的要約或招攬，數字資產價格可能受劇烈波動影響。並非所有產品均於所有地區提供。相關條款及細則適用。
無需購買或付款。本活動為免費積分活動，並不涉及任何資金風險。本活動不構成買入、賣出或持有數字資產的要約或招攬，數字資產價格可能受劇烈波動影響。並非所有產品均於所有地區提供。相關條款及細則適用。