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Today, focus on just one thing ENA Not because it surged But because the investor vesting line was cut off early today The original plan was to release about 78 million tokens monthly, gradually until March 2028 At the end of August, the rules changed, and the remaining batches for about 17 months were released all at once today Counting backward, that's about 1.41 billion tokens, around 14% of the circulating supply The foundation hasn't officially stamped and confirmed this number Another calendar circulating in the market only shows the regular monthly 170 million tokens But the market traded today based on the previous expectation. // There is a second layer on the same day StablecoinX holds about 3.03 billion tokens, accounting for 20% of total supply, and the contract lockup was also lifted today But this is not a supply that can be casually dumped Sales and transfers require written consent from the foundation, operational needs must be notified five working days in advance, and the foundation has the right of first refusal The ones who can really enter the market immediately are mainly the investor batch whose vesting ended early, plus the team's regular monthly releases. —— The idea is simple They want to release all at once to eliminate the supply shadow hanging over every month for more than a year But the shadow hasn't disappeared It just changed from a trickle to a concentrated landing today Unlocking doesn't equal dumping What I watch is whether wallets move to exchanges and whether actual trades happen The team's and foundation's monthly releases will continue until 2028 Today is the end of the investor vesting line, not the end of supply. $ENA Currently, I personally think that Bitcoin $BTC and Ethereum $ETH should be shorted, with their peaks at 87,000 and 2,800 respectively! Why am I so firm and certain about this right now?! First, look at the most important and significant factor: the US Treasury yields remain very high! Even positive news is instantly suppressed! And oil prices are still high! So we need to understand that the real risk now is not the negative news of any single coin but the US Treasury yields breaking upward again. Additionally, ETF funds have clearly cooled down, which is the second risk in the crypto market right now. No one is willing to buy at high prices currently. Also, Ethereum is no longer as strong as Bitcoin. Now I will observe whether Bitcoin can hold above 85,000 and whether Ethereum can hold above 2,700! But the current situation calls for a bearish outlook! The crypto market is still trading at elevated levels, but the next clear direction hasn’t been confirmed yet. $BTC is hovering around $84K. The $87K area remains a key resistance zone, and a breakout likely needs strong volume to confirm it. For now, $84K is the key short-term support. $ETH is consolidating around $2,665–$2,685 as selling pressure starts to ease. A reclaim of $2,700 could open the way toward $2,750, while losing $2,650 would put $2,600 back in focus. 🔥500 Yuan Challenge to 100 Million｜Day 11 Live Trading Record Initial Capital: 500 Yuan Current Account: 2568 Yuan Full performance publicly available on homepage, continuing live trading records! Both short positions are currently at unrealized losses, but the mindset remains steady. 🔴 PONS｜3.2x Short Entry Price: 0.3915 Current Price: 0.3952 Unrealized Loss: 3.08% During this slight rally, I proactively reduced leverage instead of pushing to 20x. The liquidation price is 0.527, so there is enough safety margin. Still watching the resistance above, no rush to cut losses for now. 🟠 BTC｜5x Short Entry Price: 84938.5 Current Price: 86650.6 Unrealized Loss: 10.07% This move looks more like a violent short squeeze. The short-term bulls are indeed strong, but I don’t yet believe the trend has fully reversed. The liquidation price is above 190,000, so there is room for error in the position. I’m not chasing longs nor emotionally stop-lossing because of a single bullish candle. The 500 to 100 million challenge is destined not to be profitable every day. What really matters is: No emotional scaling in, no getting caught up in volatility rhythms, no changing plans recklessly due to unrealized losses. The market can deceive emotions, but positions cannot gamble your entire capital. Now is the time to endure mentally and wait for answers. Is this a true breakout or a bull trap followed by a pullback? The market will soon provide the result. In the battle to reach 100 million, stability is more important than speed! 🚀 #500YuanChallengeTo100Million #BTC #LiveTradingRecord #FuturesTrading #TradeReview*SAND/USDT - Short Call* SAND at $SAND 0.07316, down 3.91%. Trend is bullish but in pullback after pump from $0.03251 to $0.08416. Price is above MA5 $0.06773, MA10 $0.05601, and MA20 $0.04822. Support at $0.07050, then $0.06773. Resistance at $0.08083, then $0.08416. Break above targets $0.09000. 24h high $0.08083, low $0.07050. Volume 72.21M SAND. 7D up 68.88%. Hold above $0.06773 keeps bullish momentum alive for next bounce. _Not financial advice._$XRP I had just finished complaining to a friend about this week's market, but I have to take back my words now, a bit awkward. Luckily, I didn't mess with the short positions and waited for it to give the answer itself. In the early hours yesterday, XRP faced obvious resistance above; every rally fell just short, and volume didn't keep up. I saw persistent pressure at the highs, signaling that the rebound was just an opportunity to short, so I opened a short position. From 1.5141 down to 1.5027, the short position gained +75.29%. The earlier hesitation was real, but the outcome is very satisfying. I closed 80% of the position first, keeping 20% at cost price as protection, letting the remaining run to maximize profit, and hoping the rebound doesn't give back the gains. Don't lose patience in the choppy market and then try to regain dignity in a trending move. Panic comes from lack of planning; losses come from overthinking. For friends who haven't entered yet, listen to me: now is not the time to rush. Wait for a more comfortable position in the next round and a new structure to emerge before deciding. $DOGE $BNB Reviewing my recent $BTC trade: I opened a long position near 86500, but it dropped to 85675, resulting in a floating loss of over 800 points. Resistance is at 86000, support at 85000. I cut half my losses at 85800 and set a stop loss for the remainder at 84900. What I did wrong: entered too high, opening long near resistance; I should have waited for a pullback to support before entering. What I did right: set stop losses early, didn’t hold onto losing positions, accepted the loss. Lost 200,000 U but recovering. Every loss is tuition. Next time, remember not to chase longs at resistance; wait for a pullback to support before entering. Opened position with 5000 U, no holding losing positions, always with stop loss. $BTC #BTC现货ETF重回流入，ETH资金持续流出 截至北京时间10月5日午后，XRP大致在1.51–1.53美元，近24小时上涨约1%–2%，正在试探1.52–1.55美元阻力。结构偏多，但还没突破。 今日盘面 今日大致从1.50美元附近反抽，最低约1.50美元，最高约1.53美元，盘中多在1.51–1.53美元。近一周基本在1.45–1.55美元内震荡。市值大约950亿美元，排名约第5。 最近几天结构： 9月25日高点约1.62美元后回落 10月2日再冲约1.55美元，最低约1.45美元 10月3–4日在1.48–1.50美元稳住 10月5日重新站上1.51美元，试探1.53美元 短线是守住支撑后的反抽，4小时仍有高点下移的压力。 关键价位 近端阻力1.52–1.55下降趋势线与多次被拒区，先要日线收在这里上方 强阻力1.60–1.659月下旬供给区，站稳才看1.80美元 延伸目标1.80–2.00突破1.65后的波段目标 日内支撑1.49–1.50今日开盘与低点 关键支撑1.45–1.46这轮整理的防守位，也接近基准线 更深支撑1.37–1.4050日均线与200日均线一带 需求区1.20–1.30跌破1.37后的日线需求 价格仍How to trade the main coins ETH and BTC contracts, follow the scoreboard Plan A (Conservative): Go long on $BTC, place orders at 85,200-85,500 waiting for a deep pullback, stop loss at 84,550 (below the big bullish start point on 10/04 at 84,677), target 86,664 / 87,250, risk-reward ratio about 1:1.6 to 1:2.4, 2-3x leverage. Befriend the top of the profit leaderboard, if the pullback comes it's a free gain, if not, no loss. Plan B (Recommended): Buy $BTC on pullback at 85,500-85,900, stop loss 84,550 (same structural level as above), target 87,250 / 88,500, risk-reward ratio about 1:1.3 to 1:2.4, 3-5x leverage. Compete with the winner in good form, stand with the winner, stop loss buried in the structure, no fighting if broken. Plan C (Aggressive): Dual coin breakout package. $BTC chase long after holding above 87,300, stop loss 86,300, target 88,800 / 89,500, risk-reward ratio about 1:1.5 to 1:2.2; $ETH chase long after volume breakout above 2,780, stop loss 2,720, target 2,850 / 2,920, risk-reward ratio about 1:1.2 to 1:2.3. Each with 5-8x leverage, halve the position size, take whichever moves first, accept loss if both miss.On October 5th, ETH was priced at $2,695, fluctuating $20 within 24 hours. Binance spot trading volume reached 188 million, with both bulls and bears waiting for a direction. But the undercurrent is restless. Oil prices have returned to $102, the US military's third aircraft carrier is on the way, and Trump said a "possible" increase in strikes. The probability of a rate hike in December still hangs at 68.7%, and three Federal Reserve officials called out "inflation is too high" on the same day. ETFs withdrew 138 million last week, with Fidelity alone pulling out 74 million. Importantly, 73.6% of retail investors are going long, with $1 of active buying met by $1.44 of active selling on the other side. Institutions under Yilihua have transferred 72,000 ETH to Binance in October, worth $319 million, and are accelerating. 2,710 is the ceiling, 2,669 is the floor. If the upstairs can't break through, and the downstairs leaks, it's free fall. Don't be friends with the crowded bulls; historically, they are the ones who get harvested.$DOGE may finally be moving beyond the meme narrative. DogeOS’s EVM-compatible testnet opens the door to DeFi, gaming, and payments on Dogecoin. It’s still early—security, performance, and ecosystem adoption need to be proven. But if developers and users follow, DOGE could evolve from a meme coin into a real application-focused chain.#HormuzStillClosed #OKXNOW：SeeWhat'sNext #StrategyBuys1665BTC Conclusion first: $ADA rose nearly 10% in 24 hours, with a trading volume of $119 million — this is a volume breakout after consolidating at 0.244 for three days, driven by spot buying, not leverage. Data speaks. On October 4th, the 4H candle (Beijing time early morning) saw volume jump from 150,000 contracts to 630,000 contracts, a 4x increase, closing above 0.252. The next 4H candle volume surged to 1.47 million contracts, closing at 0.260. At 8 AM today, the volume remained around 1.4 million contracts, reaching a high of 0.2724. Three consecutive 4H candles with increasing volume pushed the price from 0.247 to 0.272, a 10% gain. Funding rate is 0.01%, open interest at $41.7 million — leverage is not overheated, this is spot buying. Today FET +16%, STRK +9.8%, the entire altcoin sector is rotating, and ADA, as a top ten market cap alt, is following this capital flow. The key is whether 0.25 can hold. If it breaks, it's a false breakout; if it holds, then watch 0.28. How far do you think ADA can go this round? Risk account: Sharpe ratio difference is nearly double, volatility is basically a tie Annualized volatility $BTC 20.3% vs $ETH 19.2%, a bit over one point difference, basically a tie, neither is a pushover, no one can dodge the spikes. Sharpe ratio 8.76 vs 4.73, nearly double difference: bearing the same unit of risk, $BTC earns nearly twice as much as $ETH. No need to dispute this account, $BTC's volatility brings money, $ETH's volatility brings heartbeats. Last period $ETH won the PK with a Sharpe of 3.10, this period $BTC takes back the stage with 8.76, the crypto circle's steady persona has a three-day shelf life.BTC has repeatedly tested the 87300 level, attempting several times but failing to break through effectively. Moreover, previous attempts were followed by positive news that caused a spike before reversing and falling back, which is a signal to be cautious. The 83300 level is a key support in the upward trend and has not been broken yet, so the current situation is a high-level consolidation between 83300 and 87300. The market is oscillating back and forth now; positive news tends to cause spikes that then fall back, so avoid blindly chasing highs. The strategy is to hold the 83300 level, maintaining the consolidation pattern; if 83300 is effectively broken downward, the bullish pattern needs to be reassessed, and after an upward spike followed by sustained decline, a bearish bias can be considered. Regarding ETH, based on historical trends, before a bull market starts, there is usually a deep correction first. This round is likely the same because only after a deep retracement that clears the heavy leveraged positions in the 2500–2700 range will the subsequent bull market rally be smoother. Focus on the 2150–2250 range; this extreme zone is suitable for heavy bottom-fishing. The current market is also watching the 2250 USD support and the main demand zone between 2150–2200 USD. The rebound in the middle is just a consolidation rebound, not the main upward wave, so do not heavily chase the rebound; patiently wait for the retracement to be in place. This is my personal view, not investment advice. $ETH $ZEC $BTC $BTC 10.5 Big Cake Entry: Pullback near 846-850 Bamboo shoot below 840 Target 865-870 Rebound stabilizes near 865 The overall market is in an upward trend initiated from the late September low, with lows gradually rising, Bollinger Bands trending upward, and the mid-term bullish pattern remaining intact. However, the price has left long upper shadows three times when testing the previous high around 870, indicating heavy selling pressure in that range. There is a short-term need for a pullback to consolidate and digest trapped positions. It is expected that intraday will mainly be a consolidation with oscillation. As long as the major trend is not broken, priority is given to buying on pullbacks. #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 #霍尔木兹仍未开放，OPEC+维持11月产量不变 Drawdown explained more plainly: $BTC's maximum drawdown throughout was only 0.5% (based on closing price), $ETH's was 1.4%. On 10/02, $ETH even suffered an intraday spike from 2,779 down to 2,648, a nearly 5% cut in one stroke. Holding contracts the same way, $BTC took the elevator up, while $ETH climbed the stairs and even took a tumble. On the normalized curve chart, before 10/02 they walked shoulder to shoulder; after 10/04, one looked up while the other lay flat— the outcome was decided that day. Capital scene: Smart money is all ordering at the $BTC table Net inflow of open interest is the most honest: $BTC net piled up $684 million over six trading days, with single-day inflows starting at $240 million on both 10/01 and 10/02, and another $133 million added on the recent pullback; $ETH only had $176 million in the same period, nearly four times less. On the fee side, $BTC's average is 0.0046%, $ETH's is 0.0055%, meaning $ETH bulls are paying more expensive rent but have far fewer dishes on the table. The spot ETF added another cut: IBIT had a net inflow of $103 million on the first day of October. The Bitcoin spot ETF keeps refilling the cup, with institutions using real money to show you which table to sit at. ETF funds are quietly "taking sides": BTC just recovered, ETH is still bleeding. The US Bitcoin spot ETF recorded a net inflow of about $103 million on October 1 after ending a continuous 9 trading days net inflow of approximately $3.1 billion, and another inflow of about $31.7 million on October 2, restoring inflows for two consecutive days. In contrast, the Ethereum spot ETF has experienced net outflows for several consecutive days since September 29, with recent cumulative net outflows of about $117 million to $135 million. There is logic behind this divergence: ETH rose about 57%–60% in Q3, so portfolio adjustments at the end of the quarter naturally prioritized cutting it; on the BTC side, BlackRock's IBIT attracted about $196 million in a single day, forcefully pulling the total fund back into positive territory. For holders, the signal is not complicated: institutions remain interested in BTC, while short-term enthusiasm for ETH is waning. The key next is to see whether ETH outflows are just a quarter-end effect or a sustained bleed—if outflows continue next week, the ETH ETF narrative will need to be reconsidered. High leverage traders fear this "funds run first, price follow with a drop" phase the most; don't stubbornly hold through divergence zones. Which do you favor more now, BTC or ETH? Let's discuss in the comments. Market review, not investment advice. #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 #霍尔木兹仍未开放，OPEC+维持11月产量不变 #OKXNOW：未来已至，重磅内容正在揭晓 The market is a bit fragmented right now. $BTC moves three steps forward and two steps back before continuing upward, $ETH has started not to follow the rise, altcoins that surged too much early on have pulled back to support levels and are stabilizing again, and some low-quality coins in the observation zone are surging sharply. It feels like a correction is expected but it can't really take off. What does everyone think?#HormuzStillClosed, OPEC+ Maintains November Production Unchanged Hormuz Negotiation Deadlock vs G7 Reserve Release: Energy Premium Persists, but Supply Side Begins to Buffer Iran clearly states that the Strait of Hormuz will not reopen until seven conditions are met, with Iran and the US still deadlocked on the sequence of execution. Meanwhile, OPEC+ has decided to keep production unchanged in November, pausing output increases for the second consecutive month. The only supply-side buffer comes from the G7: coordinated by the IEA, up to 100 million barrels of reserves will be released over the next four months, with diesel prioritized in the first 20 days. Oil prices are currently under pressure and falling, with Brent fluctuating between $101-$103 and WTI dropping below $90. However, until navigation through the strait resumes, the geopolitical premium will not dissipate, and supply-side buffers can only delay, not eliminate, price pressure. Transmission logic to crypto: High oil prices push up inflation expectations → compress the Fed's rate cut space → liquidity tightening suppresses BTC and ETH. If the G7 reserve release effectively caps oil prices, risk assets get short-term relief; if the strait situation escalates again, energy-driven inflation shocks will reprice the interest rate path. Trading strategy: Focus on the linkage between Brent's $100 level and BTC. If oil prices stay below $100 and BTC breaks resistance with volume, it can be seen as a signal of risk appetite recovery; if oil prices surge again while BTC rebounds on low volume, prioritize reducing positions rather than chasing gains. Geopolitical events drive volatile swings, control leverage, and set good stop losses. $BTC DIZI’s short-term supports are 1695–1700, 1675–1680, and 1640–1650. Price is still drifting lower in a narrowing range. The short-term risk/reward isn’t attractive here, so I’d wait for a better entry and focus on building a mid-term position. What would you like to refine? #OKXNOW：SeeWhat'sNext #ZECETF3DayOutflows BTC ETF funds have just recovered, while ETH continues to bleed, yet both coins have surged almost equally — this kind of "fund divergence, price convergence" combination usually doesn't last long. The US Bitcoin spot ETF recorded about $103 million net inflow on October 1 and about $31.7 million on October 2, resuming inflows for two consecutive days after ending 9 trading days of approximately $3.1 billion net inflow. In contrast, the Ethereum spot ETF has seen net outflows for several consecutive trading days since September 29, with about $17.3 million net outflow on October 2 and a recent cumulative net outflow of about $135 million. However, prices have not diverged accordingly: BTC pulled back from 83,884 to 86,309.9, up 1.77%; ETH rebounded from 2,651 to 2,727.56, up 1.47%. More importantly, the RSI6 has reached extreme levels, with BTC at 93.41 and ETH at 84.82, clearly indicating short-term overbought conditions. The contradiction lies here: ETH's rebound is more driven by BTC sentiment linkage, lacking real ETF fund support. Once BTC corrects due to overbought conditions, ETH is very likely to fall faster. This phase of fund and price divergence is not a window to chase gains but a time to discern whether the rally is solid. Avoid high leverage in the overbought zone; wait for fund flows and prices to realign before reconsidering. BTC vs ETH Money-Making Ability Comparison, 2026-10-04 | Issue 24, PK Day | Verdict $BTC Scoreboard first This round $BTC wins, no suspense: 7-day window return +2.93% vs $ETH's +1.47%, max drawdown 0.5% vs 1.4%, Sharpe 8.76 vs 4.73, contract OI net inflow 684 million vs 176 million, all four cards stacked in favor. Last issue the scoreboard just voted for $ETH, praising its stability and capital attraction, three days later $BTC's big bullish candle on 10/04 directly overturned the table, what does it mean? It means the tide has turned, the steady image can't be relied on, it still depends on whose wallet is moving. This round $ETH longs are more expensive, the average fee rate 0.0055% is higher than $BTC's 0.0046%, and the key is it hasn't achieved a painless effect: paid more rent but didn't get the meat. Return situation: one big bullish candle decides Over 7 trading days, $BTC rose from 83,624 to 86,079, a +2.93% return, with the big bullish candle on 10/04 contributing more than half; $ETH during the same period moved from 2,677 to 2,716, +1.47%, all accumulated by small steps.For this market wave, I have only one judgment: suppress before rising. Medium-term outlook is bullish, short-term also leans bullish, but now is definitely not the time to chase highs. The rally has already lifted sentiment; the key now is not to guess how much more it can rise, but to see if the bulls can hold after a pullback. BTC pulled from 83884 to 86794, now around 86400. 86000 is my bull-bear dividing line: hold above it to stay bullish and buy on dips; break below it to turn short-term bearish, first targeting 85400–85600, then 85000. On the upside, 86800 is the breakout level; if volume surges and it holds above, then look to 87000. ETH pulled from 2677 to 2740, now around 2720. Short-term still leans bullish, focus on 2710–2715; hold above to target 2740, breakout continues bullish. Break below 2708 and switch directly to bearish, first target 2690. My strategy is simple: BTC hold 86000 to go long, break 86000 to go short; ETH hold 2710 to go long, break 2708 to go short. High leverage is most dangerous when chasing orders at emotional highs; a single spike can wipe you out. If it holds, follow the bullish trend; if it breaks, follow the bearish trend. Are you leaning more bullish or bearish now? Let's discuss in the comments. Market review, not investment advice. #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 #霍尔木兹仍未开放，OPEC+维持11月产量不变 $CT CT leads in trading volume but hasn't followed with a price increase; can popularity explain strength or weakness? The 24-hour range observed this morning was 0.47473–0.50922, with a window change of about -0.77% and a trading volume of approximately 64.38 million USDT. Large trades coexist with negative returns, indicating that active trading does not necessarily mean buyers dominate. Trades may come from stop-losses, position reductions, and short-term turnover, so it cannot be directly called net capital inflow. If the price subsequently breaks above 0.50922, holds on a pullback, and trading volume supports it, I will raise my confidence in continuation; the downside risk is a failed breakout and insufficient buying pressure. If it falls below 0.47473 and a rebound fails to recover, I will lower my confidence. The range is based on this observation; subsequent market changes require re-verification.#本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 This week's macro dual nodes: PMI surprise and FOMC minutes, BTC faces a test at high levels Two key macro nodes have already occurred this week. The September ISM Services PMI actually recorded 50.0, far below the expected 51.7 and the previous 52.0, with significant contraction in business activity and new orders indices, and service sector expansion nearly stalled. The subsequently released September FOMC minutes showed that officials generally expect further rate cuts due to rising downside risks to employment, with the vast majority anticipating at least two more cuts before year-end, though internal differences remain on the inflation path. These two events, combined with the prior nonfarm payroll increase of only 29,000, have clearly heated market expectations for continued rate cuts in October. But note the other side: PMI approaching the expansion-contraction line means economic slowdown is spreading from employment to services. If subsequent data continue to weaken, trading logic may shift from "rate cut benefits" to "recession pricing." After the FOMC minutes release, Bitcoin slightly retreated, reflecting this contradiction. Trading idea: BTC is currently near historical highs, with volume-price coordination being key. If PMI weakens and price rises on shrinking volume, prioritize phased profit-taking rather than chasing more; if it pulls back to stabilize near short-term holder cost lines and ETFs maintain inflows, this is a window to observe medium-term bulls. Volatility rises during intensive macro data periods, so control leverage and set good stop losses. $BTC Maji really went all out this time: PUMP was completely cut, marginal positions cleaned out, and the total account size compressed back to about $146 million. Now only three main lines remain: BTC, ETH, and HYPE. BTC 378 coins, average price 84,700, unrealized profit 152,900, liquidation price pushed down to 65,200; ETH 36,000 coins, average price 2,688, unrealized profit 610,000, but burning 1.23 million in funding fees daily. This kind of high-leverage perpetual long is most afraid of sideways movement without rise, as funding fees will continuously eat into profits. BTC is tugging between 84,000 and 87,000, Friday's surge to 87,000 mainly relied on the non-farm payroll data surprise; but ETF continuous net inflows stopped on September 30, with a single-day net outflow of about $148.7 million, indicating a change in institutional buying rhythm. This time he’s not randomly adjusting positions, but concentrating bullets back into mainstream coins, pushing liquidation prices low enough to withstand greater volatility. But don’t take “clearing small positions” as a signal of a full reversal. Do you think Maji is waiting for ETH to break through, or preparing to press $BTC again? Discuss in the comments. Market review, not investment advice. #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 #霍尔木兹仍未开放，OPEC+维持11月产量不变 #OKXNOW：未来已至，重磅内容正在揭晓 Funding fees consume principal, not unrealized losses The funding rate for $SAND has always been positive. Long position holders have to pay short position holders periodically. This figure is negative 180%, not a price drop. It means the accumulated fees have already eaten up more than the principal. Returns are negative, yet the price is rising. Why is the funding rate so high: Because there is a huge imbalance in the number of longs and shorts. One side is crowded with long holders. The platform charges per person, forcing the longs to pay the shorts. The slower the price rises, the longer the fees are deducted. Stop loss is set at 0.09, which is a price line and does not affect the funding rate. Even if the price doesn't hit it, money still flows out daily. The margin is actually depleted first, not the price. #Solana代币化股票9月交易量突破44亿美元 $SAND Many people panic when they see $BTC drop from 86900 to 85675, thinking the trend has changed. Actually, this is just a normal pullback; the support at 85000 hasn't broken yet, so the trend is still upward. I lost 200,000 U because I used to sell immediately after a drop and chase after a rise, only to get slapped in the face repeatedly. Now I've learned my lesson: when it pulls back to the support level, I enter in batches; when it breaks through the resistance, I hold; I set stop losses properly and then ignore it. Currently at 85675, support at 85000, resistance at 86000, I placed a long order of 5000 U at 85200 with a stop loss at 84800. Never hold a position without a stop loss. Remember: pullbacks within a trend are opportunities, not reasons to panic. $BTC #OKXNOW：未来已至，重磅内容正在揭晓 $SOON unlocks every day, the hype has passed, and holdings have dropped by two-thirds, steadily declining.After the $ETH Dencun upgrade in March 2024 #ETH has overall shifted to inflation L2 transaction costs have dropped significantly, data submission is also cheaper, and mainnet fees and burning have started to decrease At the same time, more ETH is being staked, and staking issuance continues. Net issuance in the last 30 days is 86,000 #ETH, annualized about 0.86%. Current supply is 122 million Since the switch to POS, supply has increased by 1.5 million $ETH📉Altcoin Review｜DOGE hits resistance at 0.10 level, UNI weakens on weekly chart $DOGE 4H Dogecoin current price 0.0956, up 3.1% in 24h, almost flat over 7 days. Third attempt to test 0.10 level, previous two attempts failed. This time it rebounds with the market but volume is insufficient, with a large amount of trapped positions piled above 0.10. Key support below is 0.092; breaking it will retest 0.088. Intraday range: 0.094-0.097, stop loss at 0.0935. Strategy: Reduce positions first when rebounding to 0.098~0.10; only a volume-backed hold above 0.10 can signal strength, otherwise it will continue to consolidate between 0.09-0.10. $UNI 4H UNI current price 9.06, flat in 24h, down 7.65% over 7 days, making it one of the weaker performers this week. Retraced nearly 20% from the 10.9 high, currently holding the 9.03-9.33 support zone, but rebound lacks strength; DeFi sector is in a consolidation phase this round. UNIfication burn is a long-term logic, lacking short-term positive catalysts. Breaking 9.33 targets 8.5 below; resistance zone at 9.9-10.5 due to trapped positions. Intraday range: 8.95-9.35, stop loss at 8.9. Strategy: Weak consolidation, prioritize observation, wait for direction choice at 9.33 level. $ETH The noise next door $BTC's big bullish candle also dragged $ETH along, current price 2,716, 24h +0.84%, firmly holding 2,647 for three days. But the resistance wall above is a bit harsh: on 10/02 touched 2,779 and got pushed back, on 10/04 surged to 2,738.7 then pulled back, on 10/05 touched 2,737.6 and pulled back again, three attempts under the wall but no breakthrough, what does it mean? Today's fee rate is 0.0098%, a weekly high, bulls are even more eager than on the $BTC side, but not much more money has flowed in. Bias: The 2,700-2,740 compressed triangle is reaching its end, a breakout with volume above 2,779 would confirm a bullish trend, before that trade within the range, buy near 2,650, sell high under the wall. SOL is following the tech narrative rally this round, short-term bias is bullish, but the selling pressure above hasn't been fully cleared yet. Current price is around $121, with a 24-hour increase of less than 2%, and volume is moderate, indicating it's not a strong volume breakout. The bid-ask ratio at the top ten levels is 0.76, with heavier sell orders; funding rate is 0.01%, longs are not crowded, with 3.089 million coin-margined positions, shorts still have room to cover. The 4-hour rebound from the low is about 14.45%, and the rebound structure has not been broken for now. Short-term strategy: place longs near 119.85, stop loss at 118.65, target first at 122.35. After holding above, reduce positions in batches, controlling single trade risk within 2% of principal. The key resistance zone is between 122.3 and 125; only a volume-supported break above this range counts as a true breakout. If it falls below 118.6, the rebound structure will weaken. Are you currently shorting or holding SOL? Let's discuss in the comments. Market review, not investment advice. #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 #霍尔木兹仍未开放，OPEC+维持11月产量不变 #OKXNOW：未来已至，重磅内容正在揭晓 Long and Short Crowding List｜Last 15 minutes $QUANT short positions have a relatively high unit holding cost over time: current 4-hour rate -0.1348%, price -0.65%, open interest +7.44%. Decline and increased positions occur simultaneously; holding shorts past settlement at the current rate will cause funding fees to lower the breakeven price.$BTC operation, three-table Mahjong, sit according to your risk appetite Plan A (Conservative): Place deep sell orders at 85,200-85,500, exactly below the 10/04 big bullish candle 61.8% retracement level at 85,556, stop loss at 84,550 (below the big bullish candle start point 84,677; breaking this means the bullish candle was invalid), target 86,664 / 87,250, risk-reward ratio about 1:1.6 to 1:2.4, 2-3x leverage. Commentary: Place orders and wait for others to send chips, relaxed and sleep well, just afraid it won't turn back. Plan B (Recommended): Buy on pullback at 85,500-85,900, stop loss 84,550 (same structural level as above), target one 87,250 reduce half position, target two 88,500 (breakout measured target), risk-reward ratio about 1:1.3 to 1:2.4, 3-5x leverage. Commentary: Be friends with the trend, stop loss buried in structure, exit without regret if broken, aiming for the seventh step of this wave. Plan C (Aggressive): Chase breakout above 87,300, act only after 4-hour candle closes above 87,250, stop loss 86,300 (exit if breakout day low is broken), target 88,800 / 89,500, risk-reward ratio about 1:1.5 to 1:2.2, 5-8x leverage, position must be halved. Commentary: Bet on breaking through the window paper without turning back, fast hands win, false breakout stop loss is right at your feet, run fast to minimize losses.Short-term review of three targets: SOL box consolidation, HYPE unlocking tomorrow is key $SOL｜Current price 121, sideways between 119-124 for 5 days, upgrade benefits realized, following the trend of Bitcoin. MACD shows a slight golden cross with moderate strength. Intraday range 119-123, stop loss at 118. Holding above 124 opens up space; breaking 119 targets 116, consolidation is slightly bullish without independent momentum. $OKB｜Current price 121.7, holding above the 120 level. ICE narrative + quarterly burn provide support; 122-126.4 is long-term double top resistance, must break out with volume. Intraday range 120-123, stop loss at 119. Watch and wait above 120 for a breakthrough; if it fails, continue to consolidate. $HYPE｜Current price 90.4, oscillating between 89-93. Tomorrow's unlocking volume is lower than market rumors; the team’s large-scale unlocking is not sold externally, easing selling pressure expectations. Funds are cautious before unlocking. Intraday range 89-92, stop loss at 88; if 88 holds, there is a chance for a rebound to 95 after the negative pressure is absorbed. This morning in the Asian session, crude oil, gold, and Bitcoin did not move in a single direction; instead, a "oil down, gold up, BTC up" crossover signal appeared. $CL pulled back in the short term, mainly because the supply risk premium was suppressed: first, expectations for Middle East transport recovery strengthened, with partial flow returning to the Strait of Hormuz, causing the war premium to retreat; second, the G7 coordinated release of about 100 million barrels of strategic oil reserves, focusing on diesel in the first 20 days, temporarily easing fuel shortage concerns; third, OPEC+ maintained production unchanged, giving no new supply tightening stimulus. With oil pressured down, inflation expectations cooled, supporting gold and BTC. BTC has already risen above $86,000, with an intraday gain close to 2%. However, don’t rush to assume "oil down = crypto up" will continue. The Middle East situation is still volatile, the G7 release is only a short-term buffer, and diesel shortages and shipping risks are not fully resolved. The US Treasury market hasn’t opened yet; if yields continue to fall, it will be more favorable for BTC and gold; if they rebound, a short-term pullback may occur. For those trading with high leverage, this kind of crossover market is most vulnerable to a sudden stop-loss triggered by a sharp move, so don’t chase directions at the moment news breaks. Do you think BTC will leverage this momentum to break through, or wait until after the US Treasury market opens to choose a direction? Let’s discuss in the comments. This market review does not constitute investment advice. #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 #霍尔木兹仍未开放，OPEC+维持11月产量不变 #OKXNOW：未来已至，重磅内容正在揭晓 I am mid-term intelligence guy! Just noticed some on-chain activity: address withdrew 1,420 $ETH from OKX in past 3 hours worth about $3,823,000 with withdrawal price around $2,692.47. Here’s key point: after withdrawing didn’t run away but directly deposited into Lido for staking. This move doesn’t look like short-term dump more like "exiting and locking up / staking for yield." Combined with earlier surge in validator exit queues some leaving some taking over ETH liquidity restructuring. From $ETH is stuck in a frustrating range, struggling to break 2,777 after only reaching 2,739. Despite positive BTC news, ETH barely moved. I’m leaning toward a pullback to 2,650, but the current zone is too risky to chase either side. If 2,777 can’t break, 2,800 looks unlikely for now. Patience over forced trades. $ETH #HormuzStillClosed #OKXNOW：SeeWhat'sNext #AnthropicEyesNovIPO $ETH daily Bollinger Bands continue to run upward, with the price oscillating near the upper band at a high level. Short-term bullish strength still dominates. Currently, the price is around 2700, with the previous high at 2806 serving as a significant resistance level. Every rally sees selling pressure gradually accumulating. I am holding onto my short positions and not rushing to act. The current market is in the final sprint phase of the bulls, with upward momentum gradually slowing and indicators showing signs of bearish divergence. Focus on the 2806 area; if multiple attempts fail to break through, a deep correction is likely to follow, which would be an opportunity for short positions. $ETH Two minutes outside the wall, and it just breaks up A-shares are still sleeping through the holiday, with the pre-holiday close of the Shanghai Composite at 3,842, slightly up 0.31%. It fell 4.1% for the whole of September, so let it sleep. Hong Kong stocks resumed trading on Friday and immediately took a hit: the Hang Seng Index dropped 2.60% to close at 23,972, the largest single-day drop since March. The Hang Seng Tech Index hit a one-year low at 4,111 during the session, down nearly 40% for the year. US Treasury yields broke 5%, northbound capital flows halted, the screen was full of the word "disastrous." Meanwhile, the US stock market kept partying: on Friday, the Dow Jones rose 0.49% to 51,177, the Nasdaq gained 1.19% to 27,190, hitting intraday highs and marking a third consecutive weekly gain. What really stabbed the crypto market was the nonfarm payrolls: only 29,000 jobs added in September versus an expected 90,000, a shock so big that even the Fed Vice Chair changed tune to "carefully examine data trends and outlook, may need time." The October rate hike expectations immediately flattened, the dollar retreated from a 17-month high, and the G7 also announced releasing oil reserves to push Brent crude below 100. Market divergence, cooling rate hike expectations, institutions still buying $BTC — this combination has always been the most comfortable tailwind for the crypto market. 截至北京时间10月5日午后，Harmony（ONE）大致在0.00202–0.00205美元，日内基本持平，成交很淡。这里指的是Harmony的ONE，不是报价在0.14美元附近的另一个同名代币。 今日盘面 今日大致开盘约0.002026美元，最低约0.002000美元，最高约0.002065美元，盘中多在0.00202–0.00205美元。近24小时接近持平到小跌，近一周从9月底高点明显回落。流动性偏薄，单日振幅经常很大。 最近几天结构： 9月26日从约0.00189美元拉到0.00287美元 9月28日高点约0.00290美元 9月29日后连续回落，10月3日最低约0.00185美元 10月4日反抽到0.00226美元后回落 10月5日缩在0.00200–0.00206美元 短线是冲高后的缩量整理，不是重新转强。 关键价位 近端阻力0.00222–0.0022610月3–4日高点，先要收回 强阻力0.00270–0.002909月底高点，站稳才算修复 日内支撑0.00200今日低点，整数关口 短线支撑0.0019910月4日低点 关键支撑0.0018510月3日低点，失守则回调加深Check the wallet first, the mouth can lie but money won't Look at the funding rate first: $BTC funding rate jumped directly from 0.0020% on 10/04 to 0.0075% today, nearly tripling in one day, a new weekly high, bulls have started paying rent to the bears again. It's a bit expensive, but it's worth it without regret; the money bulls pay now buys a ticket on the trend train. The positions are even more interesting: OI net inflow today is 133 million USD, the pot increased from 7.74 billion to 8.43 billion, a net increase of 680 million over six trading days. The price pulled back from 86,976 to 86,079 but positions actually rose at this point, this is not a stampede to flee, it's a dip where someone bends down to pick up coins. The spot side hasn't been idle either: IBIT net inflow on the first trading day of October is 103 million USD, spot ETFs keep refilling, the 85,000 level firmly absorbs selling pressure, the institution-led market is a completely different species from the retail leverage avalanche last October. $ETH next door is much more sluggish, OI only returned 12 million today, still watching.On October 4th, Ansem posted that the market has not yet priced Pump.fun as the underlying infrastructure for other launch platforms. His basis is that the creator fees and platform revenue are close to a 1:1 ratio, with about $500 million in revenue corresponding to about $500 million in creator fees. The platform can take commissions on both the launchpad and the token layers, which is stronger than a typical L1. Half of the total fees go to the creators, and the share left for the protocol and token holders has not increased. For commissions on both layers, a third-party launchpad must be willing to onboard, but the scale of onboarding has not been publicly disclosed. Revenue follows meme trading volume; when volume shrinks, fees on both layers drop together. $PUMP is currently about $0.00636, down 0.53% in 24 hours. Before the onboarding data is released, I expect this narrative will not drive a repricing. The above is a personal opinion record and does not constitute any investment advice.$BTC is hovering back and forth along the red resistance line; the chart is more honest than words. Main chart three key points: On 10/02, the upper shadow line peaked at 87,250 but was pressed back to close at 84,482, which looks scary; on 10/03, a narrow small bullish candle ground all day; on 10/04, a big bullish candle with a 2.1% gain wiped out the previous two days' frustrations; today it surged to 86,976, pulled back to 85,965, and closed at 86,079. The red descending resistance line slopes down from 87,250, and the current price is exactly riding on the line. Grinding along the line is nothing to be ashamed of; those gathering strength do it this way. The steps are clearer: 82,724, 82,901, 83,136, 83,841, 84,409, 84,677 up to today's 85,965 — seven lows each higher than the last, the bulls' floor keeps rising. The drawn prediction is: first rebound to touch 86,664 (the midpoint between current price and previous high), then retreat halfway to 86,377 (the dense area just below the previous high) to rest and gather strength, then launch the main attack on 87,250; the MA3 below is around 85,750, MA5 around 85,300, all looking upward. An alternative scenario is also drawn: the gray line points straight to 81,070, which is the scenario after breaking the iron bottom at 82,724. Our stop loss at 84,550 is much higher than that, so no need to consider it.Watching the market until 3 a.m., the scariest thing isn’t a drop, but the illusion of "seeming stable" 🌙 Is this rally a real breakout, or just another trap? After so many days of adjustment, BTC and ETH finally seem to be holding their ground. Yesterday it was still at 84,000, today it touched 85,000, steadily moving step by step. I originally thought the sharp rise a few days ago was a false breakout, but looking back, maybe this time it’s the real deal. The next target is 86,000; if it can break through today, 90,000 isn’t impossible. But what I want to talk about isn’t price prediction, it’s risk management. There’s a subtle point in the derivatives market now: prices are slowly rising, but open interest is quietly accumulating. In this structure, if it can’t break through around 86,000, it’s easy to trigger a short squeeze. If funding rates rise accordingly, leveraged longs become the most vulnerable link. The bullish logic is actually clear: spot ETF inflows are returning, indicating real buying support. If BTC can really lead a breakout, expectations for altcoin season will be reignited. Although ETH is still seeing outflows, as long as BTC holds, the window for ETH to catch up will open. But the risk is that the market is now trading not on "whether it will rise," but on "whether it will rise fast enough." If Trump stirs up trouble again recently, or macro data exceeds expectations, the fragile balance just established could easily be broken. My own rhythm is: don’t chase highs, wait for a pullback confirmation. If 85,000 can hold for three days, then consider adding positions. AltGood morning, creators. $BTC and $ETH are taking a breather after their recent moves. ➤ BTC is holding around $83.5K, with $82K–$83K as key support. Reclaiming $85K could bring $87K back into focus. ➤ ETH is around $2.67K, defending $2.64K–$2.65K. A move above $2.74K could target $2.79K–$2.80K. For now, both are holding important levels. The next breakout should give us a clearer direction.Unrealized profits were wiped out instantly, and my mindset shattered in a flash! Damn it! I'm still holding a live position, long on $ETH, originally up a few points, thinking BTC is still holding strong, and ETH should at least bounce back a bit, so I decided to hold with confidence. Just looked away for a moment, and suddenly the price kept dropping, wiping out all the profits, now it's in unrealized losses. BTC is oscillating at a high level, but ETH can't keep up; all the funds are flocking to Bitcoin, while the second largest mainstream coin is being neglected. The 15-minute chart shows continuous big bearish candles, RSI has plunged into the oversold zone, and short-term selling pressure is intense. It's really frustrating now—if I cut losses, I'm afraid of a quick rebound; if I hold on, I don't know how much further it will drop. It's always like this: holding for the big picture eats into profits, but decisively taking profits risks missing out on rallies. The market divergence is clear; institutional funds favor BTC, and ETH lacks incremental capital. Even if the overall market doesn't crash, ETH will weaken. Next, the key is to watch if the support around 2690 can hold; if not, it will continue to test lower levels. #MarketFundsConcentrateOnBTC #ETHShortTermSellingPressureRelease #ShortTermMarketStruggle $ETH $BTC$147 million high-stakes bet: Maji's contract positions have no way out Maji's perpetual contract positions have long exceeded the scope of "just playing contracts." Core risks Total position: $147.1 million Overall leverage: 15.03x Available margin: Directly zero, no buffer left 1. ETH (absolute main force) · Position: $98.47 million · Quantity: 36,600 coins · Opening price: $2,688.92 · Floating profit: only $123,000 · Funding fees paid: $1.2265 million · Risk: The largest directional risk in the entire account, time cost is continuously eating into profits 2. BTC (second largest position) · Position: $29.24 million · Quantity: 345 coins · Opening price: $84,727.7 · Profit and loss: small loss of $13,300 · Mode: 40x full position · Liquidation price: $65,731 · Risk: Safety cushion is not solid 3. HYPE · Position: $15.68 million · Profit and loss: small loss of $20,400 4. PUMP · Position: only $3.765 million · Floating profit: $260,600 · Return rate: 69.23% · Performance: the strongest one The overall structure is quite subtle: PUMP is making money; BTC and HYPE are slightly under pressure; The real heavy hitter is on ETH📈 Nonfarm payrolls landed! BTC oscillates with a bullish bias, ETH awaits directional choice $BTC Daily Nonfarm data reduced the October rate hike expectation from 60% to just over 20%, bad news fully priced in. BTC stabilized and rebounded from 84700 over the weekend, OKX current price 85450. 24h range 84663-85520, volatility is small but the baseline is rising 85000-85300 has shifted from resistance to support, a pullback to 84700 did not break below, the first resistance above is 85500-86000, 87000 remains a strong previous ceiling Key events this week: Tonight ISM Non-Manufacturing, early Thursday the Fed September meeting minutes, 10.14 CPI minutes—if hawkish, this rebound could be interrupted anytime Intraday range: 84700-85800, stop loss 84300, oscillating with a bullish bias; if it holds above 85800, look for 86500; break below 84300 returns to oscillation $ETH Daily ETH current price 2700 has repeatedly tested this level for a week, three attempts failed, but support at 2630-2650 is solid. ETH/BTC rate 0.0318 remains low, relative strength is weak Focus on two things: October 6 Glamsterdam upgrade testnet launch, BlackRock ETH ETF 1:3 reverse stock split. The split does not change asset value but is expected to bring heat and liquidity Daily MACD is converging above zero line, about to choose direction Intraday range: 2650-2730, stop loss 2600; if it holds above 2730, target 2800, otherwise continue range consolidation
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