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$AXS
The long-standing blockchain game project quietly picked up today; the increase isn't explosive but still ranks well.
The price is rising, yet the funding rate is negative, meaning shorts have to pay longs.
Open interest increased by 41.8% in a single day, with long positions accounting for over 60%, indicating strong bullish sentiment.
Current price at 1.36, pulling back to 1.30 with reduced volume—watch closely, avoid chasing the highs.
$AXS The $PUMP spike shown here is a textbook example of accumulation on the 1-hour chart.
$PUMP first consolidates at two red supply levels of 120.5M and 211.9M, with a long lower shadow piercing down to the 10.19M mark—a classic liquidity sweep that wipes out many long stop losses.
The turning point is at the 46.57M green support zone: the price hit there and didn’t go lower, then reversed sharply in a near V-shape, breaking through 74.97M first, then swallowing the entire 211.9M supply block. It now stands back at 0.0062, consolidating near the highs.
The chart and real market data are even more impressive: up 147% in the past month, 52-week high at 0.008967, with a market cap around 2.46 billion. Behind it is the pump.fun protocol, which had weekly revenue exceeding 10 million USD in August and accounts for 98% of Solana’s token issuance—this is not just empty meme hype.
There’s a divergence in the long-short ratio: Aggregated data at 0.9619 slightly favors shorts, OKX accounts at 0.64 clearly favor shorts, but Binance accounts at 1.2523 and large holders at 1.6353 are all long. Retail traders on OKX are short, while big holders on Binance are buying.
Final note: that 10.19M spike was no accident. The price swallowing two supply blocks and rising 147% in a month indicates the tokens have been accumulated, leaving only those who got dumped on.
Don’t chase the highs; wait for a pullback to 74.97M or 211.9M and confirm support before entering. If it breaks below the 46.57M support, the rebound is over.SOL at $121, are you chasing it?
ETF inflows last week were only $800,000, compared to $188 million the week before. From $188 million down to $800,000, inflows have almost dried up. Yet SOL is still holding firm at 121, grinding along the upper edge of the 117-125 range. Is this a buildup for a breakout, or are the main players quietly retreating?
Let's look at the surface first: the daily bullish trend remains, but buying pressure has stopped.
Price is above all major moving averages: 50-day MA at 105, 200-day MA at 86. Up 41% in August, 15% in September, and October has consolidated in the 117-125 range. RSI is in a strong zone but no longer expanding. The 24-hour volatility is only $2, shrinking as it clings to the 121.9-122.7 resistance wall.
The daily chart tells you: bulls haven't broken down. The 4-hour chart tells you: buyers haven't come back. This is the most dangerous state.
First point: ETF inflows have stopped, the most painful signal.
The week before last, spot SOL ETF inflows were $188 million; last week, only $800,000.
From $188 million to $800,000 is not a slowdown, it's a cliff dive.
Cumulative net inflows are still above $1.6 billion, with Bitwise's BSOL still the largest share, but the slope of continuous inflows has broken. What does this mean?
In plain terms: previously, over a hundred million new money came in weekly to prop it up; now the carriers have left, leaving only those inside the sedan chair looking at each other.
Why can't it hold above 124? Because new money isn't coming. Relying only on existing funds can't push it.
You might say, stablecoin supply hit a new high of $17.3 billion, the RWA narrative is still alive, the SEC granted a five-year exemption for tokenized stocks, and Solana is a major recipient. Yes, all true.
But these are mid-to-long-term stories, not spot buying this week.
The fundamental problem is: the network is in use, but the token isn't profitable. Validators take the bulk of fees; token holders get a low share. Staking rate is near 70%, annualized 5%, locked tokens support price but don't mean the token is capturing network value.
This doesn't mean SOL is failing; the pricing logic has changed: from "weekly inflows over a hundred million" back to "can inflows return?"
Second point: macro conditions don't allow for an independent rally.
SOL and BTC share the same pricing logic. October rate hike odds dropped from 66% to 22-40%, sounds bullish? But the 10-year US Treasury yield remains near 5.3%, soft data hasn't pushed the long end down.
BTC is at 85,200, stuck in the upper half of the 83,000-87,200 box. SOL has been almost flat in the past week, +1.4% in 24 hours, moving in sync with BTC, no independent rally.
Three major upcoming events: October 14 CPI, October 28 FOMC, October 29 PCE.
If BTC effectively breaks below 83,800, SOL's 117 level will be hard to hold alone. This is not alarmism; it's the fate of high-beta assets. When the market coughs, altcoins get a fever.
Alpenglow hasn't confirmed its mainnet launch date yet. Fault tolerance threshold raised from 33% to 40%, validator voting moved off-chain—this is a mid-term story, partially priced in. Before all the good news is out, first see if it can pass 124.
Third point: technically, low volume clinging to resistance, the biggest fear is a sudden volume dump.
After failing at 123.8 on October 2, SOL has been consolidating within the range. 121 is pressing against the near-term wall at 121.9-122.7, with only $2 volatility today.
Low volume at resistance is hesitation, not buildup.
Key levels:
Near-term resistance: 121.9-122.7 → 124-125 (late September highs). Only above 125 do we look at 130, channel upper edge 135, narrative target 148 requires passing 125 first.
Near-term support: 119.5 → 117-118 → 116.5. Only below 116.5 do we look at 113-114.
Daily close above 125 and holding upgrades the recovery. Close below 117 breaks the range downward, next support at 116.5/113.
Daily swings of $3-5 are common. Moves from 121 to 117 or 121 to 125 can happen within one or two days.
Bull vs. bear showdown, you decide:
On one side:
Daily bullish structure intact, price above all major MAs
Cumulative ETF net inflows over $1.6 billion, institutional channel open
Stablecoin supply at $17.3 billion high, RWA + tokenized stock narrative real
70% staking rate, locked tokens support price
On the other side:
Weekly ETF inflows crashed from $188 million to $800,000, marginal buying stopped
Token holders' fee share low, staking ≠ profit
Can't hold above 124, low volume at resistance
If BTC breaks 83,800, SOL's 117 won't hold
CPI/FOMC/PCE three major events upcoming
Trading strategy
1. Don't chase longs at 121.
Resistance is at 122.7/125. Wait for 4-hour close above 122.7 with volume, then look at 124-125, stop loss below 120. Only above 125 consider 130. Chasing longs in the middle is giving liquidity to the main players.
2. Buy on dips.
Prefer to wait for a long lower wick at 117-118 as a bottom signal, then scale in with stop loss below 115.5. First target back to 122, hold above that then look at 125.
3. Short only on resistance.
If it rebounds to 124-125 with volume and upper wick, and 4-hour can't reclaim, light short with stop loss above 126.5, target 119.5/117. Don't guess the top at 121; daily MAs are still below.
4. Invalid conditions.
Daily close below 117, exit longs. If ETF inflows continue near zero, breakout above 125 loses weight. If BTC breaks 83,800 effectively, reduce leverage. Not suitable for high leverage overnight before CPI.
You might think 121 is the eve of a breakout, but you haven't seen ETF inflows drop from $188 million to $800,000.
When it breaks below 117, you'll realize:
It's not that SOL is failing, it's that you mistook "no buyers" for "building momentum."
$BTC $ETH $SOL STRK surged onto the trending list, overbought at 74.7, still rising +25.6%
$STRK 0.0554, 24h +25.6%, also trending on CoinGecko — overbought alert sounding, but I'm still bullish.
The chart is speaking — daily MACD golden cross above zero line, MA7 positioned above MA30 in a bullish alignment, Bollinger Bands width at 68.5%, closing above the upper band. The capital flow is even more honest — OI 398,954,570.90, up +35.71% since early morning, volume ratio 3.957. 7d +30.92%, 30d +111.93%, this is not a one-day wonder.
The overall market is cooperating, in an offensive phase, breadth 42/17, BTC 85258.47 standing above ma7 84313.90, fear and greed index 65. The risk is that the mainstream coins' long-short account ratio average is 2.22, exceeding the 2.2 congestion line — pullbacks will be intense, but as long as the trend isn't broken, no top guessing.
Resistance above: 0.05685 (24h high)
Support below: 0.04474 (4h SAR)
Break 0.05685 with volume to chase new highs; if volume shrinks and 0.04474 isn't broken, it's a consolidation. Enter at 0.0554, cut losses if it falls below 0.04474, hold if it doesn't break above 0.05685. Follow me, no confusion in the next wave.
$STRK $BTC#美联储与欧洲央行将公布9月会议纪要
• How many people think this is a one-time rate hike (precautionary) or the start of a tightening cycle?
• The characterization of "inflation picking up again": is it due to temporary factors like energy prices, or sticky inflation in wages and services?
• Has anyone explicitly mentioned that there will be no move on October 28?
The answers to these three questions directly determine how the market prices October 28. Currently, CME FedWatch shows about a 77% chance of no change in October (as of October 4) — the market assumes this is the last hike. If the minutes show a hawkish tilt, this 77% will be quickly repriced.
What to watch on the ECB side: how the council internally explains the unusual phenomenon of "Eurozone inflation being higher than the US," and whether any members have started to worry about price pressures within the Eurozone itself rather than just weak growth.
Two scenarios:
• Hawkish (minutes show most see the rate hike as the start of a new cycle) → USD and US Treasury yields rise, gold and risk assets come under pressure
• Dovish (minutes suggest a "one-time" nature) → reinforces the "end of rate hikes" narrative, risk assets and gold rebound
My baseline judgment: the minutes are likely neutral to slightly hawkish — unanimous approval means members don’t want to appear weak in the minutes. But the real ammunition will only be revealed with the October 14 CPI (consensus 3.7%). This week is about expectation games; next week is the data showdown. $XCH Plotter
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Detailed performance analysis of BladeBit CUDA available at scienceofmining.com SOL just showed a sharp contrast: last week, ETFs aggressively absorbed $188 million, but this week only $2.4 million remained, a direct 99% shrinkage in capital heat.
Institutional buying suddenly quieted down, but on-exchange leverage hasn't left yet.
In the week of October 2, Solana spot ETFs still recorded net inflows, but only about $2.4 million. Just the previous week, this figure was $188 million, with a single-day peak inflow reaching $86.7 million.
What's more interesting is that SOL's price did not weaken in sync.
Currently, SOL is still fluctuating around $121, with a 7-day performance down about 2.4%. Meanwhile, the open interest in the futures market is about $4.1 billion, and funds have not fully withdrawn despite the ETF cooling off.
This creates today's most notable contradiction for SOL:
Spot funds suddenly cooled down, but futures funds are still on the exchange.
Moreover, the current funding rate remains positive, with longs still paying funding fees.
Support is first seen around $118–$120, with resistance near $125.
If ETF funds expand again, spot support will become the focus; if ETFs continue to shrink while futures positions accumulate, the market will need to watch whether leverage moves first.
So the real hype for SOL this time is not about price movement.
#BTC现货ETF重回流入，ETH资金持续流出 $SOL ETH's broad trend preview
ETH bottomed on June 5th with the labor data, and the overall market rally started on July 1st.
So the downtrend during the entire bear market ended on June 30th.
On July 1st, after the Federal Reserve Chair's speech, the market pulled up sharply at 10 PM. The labor data on July 2nd was still good, further fueling the rally.
The CPI on July 14th continued to break through,
and after the FOMC ended on July 28th, the market dropped until the new labor data on August 7th caused a rise, forming a complete box range.
Then from August 7th to August 19th, there was box consolidation and a triangular convergence pattern, especially for ETH's trend, with lows steadily climbing higher over 13 days without breaking previous lows, leading to an extreme convergence.
On August 19th, the crypto roundtable led by the White House and Trump established a clear bill to be voted on the first day the Senate was in session, causing a surge.
Then from August 24th started another 24-day box consolidation, with a range close to 200 points between 2355 and 2550.
In between, there was a sharp drop on September 4th labor data and a false surge after the September CPI data.
When the bill vote and FOMC concluded, and all negative factors were priced in, the box bottom started near 2360,
then from September 17th to September 23rd, a rapid 3 to 5-day rally pushed the price to 2800.
Up to today, another box formed with a smaller range of about 120 points between 2626 and 2740, laying the groundwork for a subsequent explosive rally.Brothers, I really can't take it anymore.
Opened the app and saw that $ETH is still hovering around 2700, the price feels frozen, it can't go up, nor can it go down.
I'm still holding this short position:
Entry price: 2784.35
Current price: 2696.99
Profit: +313.77%
The problem is, for this additional position, I literally worked a week delivering takeout to save up 2000 yuan to recharge.
This 2000 yuan didn't come from thin air, Ethereum, please drop quickly, don't let me waste this whole week!
Now BTC is sideways, ETH is sideways, today ETH only rose 0.46%, with 2.55 million U liquidated in 24 hours, shorts liquidated 1.86 million U, longs liquidated 690,000 U.
Longs and shorts are torturing each other here, neither willing to admit defeat first.
I'm really struggling to keep going, staring at 2700 every day, my eyes are almost blurry.
Brothers, are you still trading ETH contracts recently?
Or have you been tormented by this sideways market to the point you don't want to play anymore? Let's chat in the comments.
#BTC现货ETF重回流入，ETH资金持续流出 #SEC加密资产托管新规，拟放宽机构自托管限制 #美联储与欧洲央行将公布9月会议纪要 $SAND's 2 million holdings have surged to 17 million. Even if you hold more, do you really think you're like uni, pumping like this? Even if you increase volume, the profit-taking is still there; I don't believe that profits will be enough to prevent people from fleeing.Matt Cole, Chairman and CEO of Bitcoin treasury company Strive, recently tweeted "Strive for Amplified Bitcoin," which the market interprets as the company potentially continuing to increase its BTC holdings. 👉🏻Short-term impact Such hints of treasury companies increasing holdings often first stimulate market sentiment. Previously, Strive has repeatedly hinted on Sundays and then announced the actual purchase scale on Mondays, forming a fixed rhythm. In the short term, this will bring some positive buying expectations and sentiment boost to BTC, especially during the current price range consolidation, which easily attracts short-term capital attention. But don't expect a direct big rally, as the purchase volume of a single company is not particularly exaggerated relative to the whole market, more like a "signal effect." 👉🏻Long-term impact The real key is sustained enterprise-level buying. Companies like Strategy and Strive finance coin hoarding through preferred shares and other tools, essentially channeling institutional funds continuously into BTC. In the long run, as long as this "amplification" model works, it will form stable demand support, helping BTC have buying power during pullbacks and strengthening the narrative of "institutional long-term holding." However, this also depends on their financing costs and actual execution ability, so it is not a blindly positive factor. 👉🏻Comprehensive judgment Slightly bullish. Short-term sentiment is boosted, and in the long term, there is one more continuous buyer, overall a positive catalyst for BTC's trend. No need to overinterpret it as a signal for a sharp rise, the market Look! Look! Sisters, am I right?! Earlier it was baiting shorts, now it's already at 0.7, I plan to take profit when it hits 0.9. This altcoin rises fast and crashes fast!
MUBARAK has directly surged to 0.071278, with an intraday increase of 14.38%! I bottom-picked a long position yesterday at 0.06872, and now I'm steadily enjoying +11.07% profit. The money isn't much, but that feeling of "seeing through the market maker's tricks" is really awesome!
The key is to look at this data — buy orders account for as high as 89%, sell orders only 11%! Previously, shorts dominated longs, and retail investors were blindly shorting. I said that was the market maker baiting shorts, forcing retail to hand over chips. Now it's good, shorts have been blown out, and the market maker is starting to work.
But I'm very clear-headed; I know this altcoin's nature too well — it pumps fast and dumps even faster! So this time I won't be greedy. My plan is clear: when it approaches 0.9, no matter if it can rise further or not, I'll take profit in batches and exit immediately! I will never repeat the mistake of holding ZEC to an 800% loss. Take a bite and run, securing profits is real money.
$BTC $ETH #美联储与欧洲央行将公布9月会议纪要 $BTC has surged back to 85000, should you chase at this level? The cost-performance ratio isn't high.
The short-term moving averages show some bullish alignment, and the price has climbed back above all three moving averages. But around 85400 is resistance on the 4-hour chart, very close, so heavy chasing risks buying right at others' profit-taking points.
The approach is simple:
If it pulls back to 84400—83200 without breaking below on the 1-hour chart and volume doesn't spike, try buying in batches;
If it breaks above 85400 with volume and holds above on the 1-hour chart, follow the momentum partially.
The most important thing in contracts isn't guessing the direction correctly, but deciding in advance where to admit a wrong call.
Don't go all in, don't get carried away.
$ETH $SOL
#BTC现货ETF重回流入，ETH资金持续流出 #贝森特：美债收益率上升符合全球趋势 #美联储与欧洲央行将公布9月会议纪要 📌 Title
Evening Report: BTC consolidates firmly above 85,000, SOL leads the rally! OKB longs suffer 18% unrealized loss, urgent risk control needed tonight
📝 Body
Good evening, brothers, the weekend market is generally in a high-level consolidation digestion phase.
After the previous sharp rises and falls, the market has now entered a calm period. BTC hovers above the 85,000 mark, currently around 85,243 (+0.49%). SOL shows relative strength, reclaiming above 121, currently about 121.71 (+1.73%). OKB appears somewhat sluggish, weakly consolidating near 121-122.
📊 Market Snapshot: BTC holds steady, SOL stands out with strength
BTC: Daily MA5 (84,718) support remains solid, SUPERTREND far below at 78,572. Resistance lies between 86,000-87,000. Notably, a dormant address inactive for over 13 years has awakened, holding 801 BTC with unrealized gains exceeding $67 million. The awakening of a major old whale often raises market concerns about potential selling pressure; short-term caution is advised for BTC's fluctuations above 85,000.
SOL: A recently strong performer. Daily MA5 (119.57) > MA10 (119.82) > MA20 (114.62), a clear bullish alignment, SUPERTREND at 106.52. After testing support at 120, SOL quickly rebounded, showing capital recognition of its ecosystem (record trading volume, institutional on-chain integration). As long as 120 holds, there is still momentum to challenge 125 in the short term.
OKB: Clearly weaker trend. Although the 15-minute chart shows signs of stabilization near 121, the daily previous high at 126.56 forms heavy resistance. OKB's current movement passively follows the broader market, lacking independent upward momentum.
🩸 Position Diagnosis and Trading Advice (Must-Read for Survival)
Based on your position screenshot, your current OKB long (isolated 20x) is in an extremely dangerous state:
· Entry Price: 122.27
· Mark Price: 121.20
· Unrealized Loss: -6.67U (-17.55%)
· Margin: 37.65U
· Liquidation Price: 118.65
Please note, the current price is only 2.1% above your liquidation price! With 20x leverage, if OKB falls another 2.1%, your 37.65U margin will be wiped out instantly.
Trading advice (must execute tonight):
1. Set stop loss immediately: Do not gamble on an immediate OKB rebound. Set a forced stop loss between 119.5-120.0 (above liquidation price). If it breaks below 120, it means short-term support has failed; decisively cut losses and exit to preserve about 31U of remaining funds.
2. Reduce position on rebound: If the market drives OKB to rebound near 122-123 (around your cost line) tonight, consider closing half your position to reduce risk exposure.
3. Absolutely no adding to position: OKB is weaker than SOL and BTC; do not add margin to average down costs, as this will only deepen losses in a losing asset.
4. Change trading idea: If you are optimistic about a rebound, why stubbornly hold weak OKB? After safely exiting this position, consider focusing on strong SOL buying opportunities near 120 on pullbacks.
📌 Summary
The market is generally in a high-level consolidation phase. BTC holding 85,000 is the baseline for bulls to maintain strength, and SOL performs impressively above 120. However, your current OKB long is a classic "weak asset + high leverage + near liquidation" deadly combination.
Weekend liquidity is thin, prone to sharp spikes. Do not fantasize about getting rich tonight; your first task is to set stop loss and protect your principal. As long as your principal remains, the market will always offer opportunities.
Brothers, what do you think about this market move? Can OKB hold 120 tonight? Let's discuss in the comments👇#美联储与欧洲央行将公布9月会议纪要 #BTC现货ETF重回流入，ETH资金持续流出 #交易之声：你的经验值得被听到 $BTC $SOL $OKB Five cryptocurrencies were named, with the reason being that they don't fall further
A highly viewed post grouped $BTC $ETH $SOL $ZEC $UNI together.
It said they are the foundation, not the hot spots.
What does this number mean:
Among the five bottom cards, four are public chains, and one is an exchange token.
The so-called foundation means their respective chains are still running things.
Common misinterpretation:
Deep consensus does not equal price not falling.$ZEC #VanEckBitcoinOutlook $ETH 把日线扒拉一下睁大眼睛看看，之前3000是什么时候？那是2月初那波惨无人道的腰斩下跌！从3400直接砸到最低1700，这中间埋了多少套牢盘？多头根本来不及解套！这就是为什么现在死活上不去、一直横盘的根本原因！ 狗庄往上拉一点，散户解套就赶紧清仓，把货全砸给狗庄。狗庄是傻逼吗？去接你散户3000块的带血筹码？所以狗庄现在的策略就是耗着，有高杠杆多头冒头就砸下去，有高杠杆空头嚣张就插上去，反反复复，就是要把你们这些手搓的流动性榨干！ 第二，25年牛市，26年还牛市？合着砸下去不要钱，拉上来也不要钱啊？3000点位的深坑，你指望8个月给你解套？狗庄是专门给散户送钱的慈善家是吧？看看宏观面，#美联储与欧洲央行将公布9月会议纪要 ，全球紧缩的剑还悬在头上；再看资金，#BTC现货ETF重回流入，ETH资金持续流出 ，资金全跑去大饼了，二饼连口汤都没有！外加#贝森特：美债收益率上升符合全球趋势 ，全球流动性都在被抽干，拿什么破3000？ 我目前均价2245，以太继续拉，我就继续补空单！觉得能涨的，你就去做多单去！#美联储与欧洲央行将公布9月会议纪要 #BTC现货ETF重回流入，ETH资金持Picked up 2695, 3283 units.
4 hours ago, this address withdrew $8.85 million worth of $ETH from OKX.
I stared at these numbers for a long time.
Last time he sold, the average price was 2709, selling 1099 units.
This time, the amount bought back is three times the last.
Selling high and buying low, the timing is like having a clairvoyant eye.
Honestly, it’s a bit unsettling.
Not because he made a profit, but because his operation was so smooth.
What are we ordinary people doing?
Sold at 2700 and missed out, didn’t dare to chase at 2800, and feared further drops when it fell back to 2695.
But this guy, at the same price point, reversed with triple the position.
This single trade can’t be taken as a major signal, after all, it’s just one whale.
But the direction is quite clear—someone is willing to put real money down at this price.
I guess this guy will keep pushing upwards later.
#BTC现货ETF重回流入，ETH资金持续流出
#OKXNOW：未来已至，重磅内容正在揭晓 #SEC加密资产托管新规，拟放宽机构自托管限制 $ETH $NEAR is rebounding on network upgrade news and renewed market confidence. I opened long at 0.05418, betting on an event-driven recovery. Short-term momentum is improving, but watch for pullback and consolidation as the upgrade story gets priced in.
#BTCETHETFFlowsDiverge #AnthropicEyesNovIPO Single Coin Contract Fluctuation｜Last 15 Minutes
$STRK declined, active buying and selling are close, and positions contracted simultaneously: fifteen-minute price -0.09%, active buying 54.7%, position volume -2.02%. Short-term price is weak, and a combination of increased positions with a decline has not yet formed.Sunday's Thin Market, Don't Mistake Direction for Actual Trades"
Over the weekend in the crypto market, BTC, ETH, and XRP all pushed up simultaneously with similar postures. But the market depth is too thin, and price movements are more like signposts rather than confirmations from real capital transactions.
$BTC is around 84.7K. If it holds above 85.2K, the next target is the weekly high at 87.4K, and then 90K beyond that. Citi's 113K is a twelve-month targ.$ETH #USCryptoTaxADAPTAct "Macro Distraction, Crypto Circle Self-Rescue"
September nonfarm payrolls added only 29,000 jobs, unemployment rate rose to 4.2%, and rate cut trades were repriced; meanwhile, the 30-year US Treasury yield surpassed 5.6%, reaching the highest level since 2002. Conflicting macro signals cause risk assets to lose a unified anchor, forcing digital currencies to go their separate ways.
Micron's earnings report is approaching, putting AI storage narratives to a stress test; US-Iran negotiations resume, but deep divisions remain, making a deal unlikely soon.
BTC currently at 83,074. After touching 86,000 the day before yesterday, it moved into sideways trading, with 80,000 shifting from resistance to support. The short-term range is clear: 85,000 is the lower boundary, 87,000 the upper. A valid break above 87,000 could open the way to 88,000–90,000; a drop below 85,000 doesn't call for rushing to buy the dip, as 83,000 is the next defense line. Fluctuating rate cut expectations and ETF fund flows mean the market will mainly remain volatile.
ETH at 2,660, showing relative resilience, with 2,700 as a short-term key level. A 35% staking rate provides a buffer, and selling reluctance supports the price; however, the ETF lacks sustained buying, and locked tokens also amplify volatility.
Currently, BTC seeks stability, ETH holds firm, and ZEC is forcing a short squeeze. Overall network leverage is high, weekend liquidity is thin, leaving little room for error. Light spot positions and stop-losses on hand are advised; high-leverage contracts and holding positions should not appear in such a market.
$BTC $ETH $ZEC
#BTC现货ETF重回流入，ETH资金持续流出
#交易之声：你的经验值得被听到 $PONS Watching the market obsessively gets annoying; turning it off actually makes things clearer, and my mind stays calm without staring at the screen.
During the bottoming process, I saw PONS rebound weakly, no one supporting the rise, heavy signs of a bull trap. I signaled a bearish view; the short structure is still intact.
Opened a position at 0.5583, now at 0.4070, short position return +542.36%. It was really slow at first, but the outcome is very rewarding.
Take profits on 80% first, move the stop loss on the remaining 20% to the break-even price. Brothers, watch your profits, don’t be greedy for the last bit.
Chasing highs easily gets you stuck at the peak. Don’t rush to short now; wait for the next move after the rebound.
Key point: Panic comes from lack of a plan, losses come from overthinking. Hold as long as the trend is intact; if it breaks, exit. Don’t fall in love with the market.
$SOL $BNB #美联储与欧洲央行将公布9月会议纪要 Funds are rushing ahead during the vacuum period before the release of the interest rate meeting minutes; don't think the bull market is back just because the market turns green.
Today, BTC retook 85,000, ETH returned above 2,700, and SOL surged nearly 1.5%, with all major coins turning green. Why the rise? Because the nonfarm payroll data was terrible, increasing by less than 30,000, and the market is directly betting that the Federal Reserve won't dare to raise rates in October. Plus, with the Fed and ECB meeting minutes to be released next week, funds are rushing ahead to bet on a macro shift, pushing prices during the news vacuum.
But look at gold XAUT, which barely moved today. This shows that the current logic of funds is not risk aversion but betting on "easing rate hike pressure." If the economy were truly hard-landing, gold would have soared already. Now gold is sideways, and the crypto market is broadly rising, essentially meaning the market believes the Fed will be forced to slow down, allowing risk assets to catch a breather.
Looking at the market structure, the volume of this rebound is actually not large; SOL and ETH's moves lean toward oversold recovery. BTC still faces strong selling pressure around 85,000, with many trapped positions above. This rebound looks more like giving previous high-leverage shorts a chance to exit rather than the start of a new major uptrend.
My stance is straightforward: holding spot positions as a base is fine, but absolutely do not chase the highs in the short term. Before the minutes come out next week, the market will most likely remain volatile. I will wait for macro signals to become completely clear and for sustained net inflows of funds before considering adding positions. @OKX星球 Brothers, if you’re trying to bottom-fish this wave, be very cautious with $ZEC — it’s a classic bull trap! Many retail investors have jumped in to bottom-fish, with the order book showing B 70% vs S 30%. The buy side looks dominant, but the price just can’t push up. This is clearly someone placing support orders to unload their holdings.
Look at the market: ZEC current price is 1329.86, up 2.11% in 24 hours. It dropped from 1660 to 1270, nearly 400 points down. Now with just a 2% rebound, people are already calling it a bottom? This rebound is too weak, it didn’t even reach yesterday’s high — a typical bull trap signal.
Why is this a bull trap?
First, retail bulls are desperately rushing in. B 70% vs S 30%, buy orders dominate absolutely, but the price can’t rise. What does this mean? It means someone is using retail buy orders to sell. The more retail buys, the more the whales sell.
Second, ETF funds are still exiting. Grayscale ZCSH spot ETF had a net outflow of $93.56 million this week, with no net inflow for several days. When it was rising, it was buy pressure; now that it’s falling, it’s the biggest sell pressure.
Third, the technical structure hasn’t changed. 1270-1300 is key support, 1350-1400 is strong resistance. Price rebounding into resistance is a shorting opportunity.
Trading advice: Light short positions on a pullback to 1330-1360, stop loss above 1400, target first at 1270, if broken then 1155. I’m holding my short at 868.79, currently at a floating loss of -159.15%, margin 48.75U, liquidation price 2654, holding strong.
Brothers, for a coin like ZEC, whether going long or short, you must find the right entry and exit points. Quick in and out, don’t get attached to the fight.
$BTC $ETH #美联储与欧洲央行将公布9月会议纪要 $BNB price is moving, but the trading volume hasn't confirmed this move, which is more worth watching than the 24-hour +2.14% change.
Currently, the 1-hour trading volume is only 0.62 times the average volume of the previous 20 bars, with both 1-hour and 4-hour volumes relatively strong. The direction seems consistent, but participation is low; a breakout without volume support usually requires the next candlestick to confirm.
The current price is 789.94, about 2.01% away from the 1-hour support at 774.04, and about 0.66% from the resistance at 795.12. Looking at both distances together is closer to the real risk than just focusing on a single rising or falling candlestick.
My observation line is clear: only by standing back above and holding 795.12 can the short-term initiative be regained; if it breaks below 774.04, attention should shift to the 4-hour support at 760.35. If pressure continues above, the 4-hour resistance at 795.12 is temporarily just a distant reference, not a preset target.
This is not hindsight justification: in the next round, I will continue to verify 795.12 and 774.04, recording when conditions are met and reviewing when invalidated.
Do you trust the current direction more, or do you think the reduced volume will cause this move to be quickly reversed?
The market is volatile; the above is only a market observation and does not constitute investment advice. This is from Crypto Bull.A warning signal has emerged for privacy coin ETFs, as the product recorded its first weekly net outflow since launch, with about $93.6 million withdrawn this week. In contrast, just two weeks ago, this ETF posted a single-week net inflow of $98.2 million, indicating a complete reversal in capital flow.
The market weakened in tandem, with ZEC falling from a previous high of $1690 to around $1300, a drop of nearly 17.5% within a week.
The key issue is not just the simple capital outflow, but that the market just pushed the privacy narrative to a peak, and institutional funds chose to cash out and exit.
Next, focus on key support and resistance levels. $1300 is the first line of defense, while the previous high of $1690 serves as strong trend resistance; only if the price stabilizes above $1500 can the selling pressure caused by the current high-level capital flight be eased.
The short-term market is weak, with the primary observation on whether the $1300 level can hold. If the ETF continues to see outflows for multiple weeks, the strong logic behind this round of privacy coin rally will need to be reassessed. $BTC $ETH $ZEC #ZEC现货ETF连续3日流出，NU7升级临近 #美联储与欧洲央行将公布9月会议纪要
$ZEC What exactly is going on with this asset? Why did it suddenly start to pull back? Could it be about to break a new high again?
Looking at the chart, the highest point reached 1345, the lowest 1283.
MACD formed a death cross above the zero line, the red bars are shortening, DIF is turning down, and volume hasn't kept up.
It looks like it has reached its peak.
But to me, it looks more like a bull trap rather than a breakout to new highs.
Maybe it has dropped too much, so a brief pullback is normal.
Currently, I'm not in a hurry to exit; I still maintain a bearish view because the price is still too high, and there has never been a sideways bottom.
My short position average price was opened at 1330, and now it’s fluctuating around here, looking like it’s about to take off but lacking fuel.
Hold your ground; the turning point for profit is right ahead!
Don’t get scared off by a small rebound; the trend hasn’t changed.
#美联储与欧洲央行将公布9月会议纪要 $CORE Many people don't understand the most ironic truth about CORE: all the implementation plans have been successively shelved and abandoned, except for the grand promises, which have never stopped.
They loudly promote decentralization, yet the tokens are highly concentrated in the hands of the project team, and the promised nodes keep disappearing. Tokens continue to unlock, with selling pressure always following closely, and ecosystem development is almost stagnant.
Whenever the market dips, a new narrative is thrown out to stabilize holders. Anyone who questions the on-chain public data is immediately labeled as spreading misinformation.
Some always compare it to BTC's long-term narrative, but the two are fundamentally different. BTC's tokens gradually decentralize, and its ecosystem keeps growing. CORE only has constantly refreshed stories, with very few tangible achievements.
This long wait cannot be considered value investing; it's just waiting for a promise that's hard to fulfill. No matter how glamorous the narrative, it cannot hide the reality of node reduction and shelved plans.
⚠️Risk reminder: The above is only a personal opinion sharing. Virtual currencies are not protected by domestic laws, carry very high risks, and do not constitute any investment advice. The current crypto market is in a zero-sum game, with $BTC stabilizing the market bottom through ETF fund inflows and outflows, while $ETH is more sensitive, reflecting market speculative sentiment. Besides U.S. Treasury bonds and interest rate expectations, the EU's trade and MiCA regulatory implementation have become new variables. Compliance thresholds for European platforms have risen, forcing some funds to withdraw, continuously suppressing market liquidity. The market seems supported but has very little room for error. Once ETF funds flow out combined with tightened EU regulations, BTC will fall first, and ETH will experience a larger drop. Under the dual pressure of macro expectations and overseas regulations, the potential risk of a crash should not be underestimated; any rebound is just a brief respite, so avoid heavy speculative positions. #美联储与欧洲央行将公布9月会议纪要 #BTC现货ETF重回流入，ETH资金持续流出 $BTC failed twice in a row to break through 88,000. Is it currently gathering strength, or is this rebound nearing its end?
My judgment: There is still room for a short-term rally, but at this stage, it can only be defined as a strong bear market rebound, and a bull market reversal cannot be confirmed prematurely.
Technically, BTC is consolidating at a high range between 83,000 and 87,000, holding above the main moving averages on the daily chart, with an RSI around 63, showing no obvious overheating.
However, MACD momentum is weak, and trading volume continues to decline, indicating that bulls are still controlling the market but lack incremental funds to complete a breakout.
Between 83,000 and 86,000, approximately 1.07 million BTC chips are concentrated; new funds are building positions here, and trapped positions are being released, causing price fluctuations that essentially digest selling pressure.
In the first two trading days before the ETF, there was a net inflow of $134.4 million; institutions are still absorbing, but compared to about $2.4 billion in a single week in late September, the strength has clearly weakened.
Expectations for the Federal Reserve to pause rate hikes in October are rising, and the Nasdaq is also rising; the problem is that the 10-year US Treasury yield remains near 5.28%, so liquidity is not truly easing.
In the first half of October, it is highly likely to continue rotating between 83,000 and 88,000 before choosing a direction. The CPI on the 14th is the first directional catalyst!
If volume expands and it holds above 88,000, the target is 90,000 to 93,000; if it breaks through but then falls back to 85,000, it should still be treated as a range-bound market. If it breaks below 82,000, look down to 79,000 to 80,000; if 76,000 is lost, this mid-term recovery is basically over.Fed turns dovish, rate-hike expectations cool, giving risk assets some breathing room.
But if BTC stays weak and SOL rebounds on low volume, the bounce may be just an exit opportunity.
The biggest warning: good news, but price refuses to rise — that’s when SOL shorts can still have room.
#G7OilReserveRelease #AnthropicEyesNovIPO $BTC has recently tested around 87K multiple times, but each time it failed to hold firmly above, indicating that selling pressure still exists above. Only when it truly breaks out with volume and holds above 88K can it be considered a confirmed breakout.
Currently, the most important short-term support zone is between 84K and 85K. As long as the price can stay stable above this area, do not easily turn bearish. (At present, I am short myself!)
⚠️ Also, pay attention tonight: if $BTC breaks below this level, it may test lower again. The area between 82K and 83K remains an important major support zone.
From a macro perspective, since last Friday's non-farm payroll release, the situation has been somewhat conflicted. The weaker non-farm data has lowered expectations for further rate hikes in October, which is bullish for BTC.
However, the US 10-year Treasury yield remains high around 5.2%, and with the Fed's meeting minutes coming next week, the market still worries about inflation and subsequent rate hikes.
$SOL $ZEC
#美联储与欧洲央行将公布9月会议纪要
#美参议院提出新加密税收法案ADAPT
#交易之声：你的经验值得被听到 $IOTA is up 10%+ and now testing 0.0603 resistance after a sharp run from 0.05246. The 15M chart is touching the upper Bollinger Band, with KD overbought.
Support is near 0.058. Momentum remains strong, but the risk of profit-taking is rising.
Watching 0.0603 for a short.
#VanEckBitcoinOutlook #TeslaQ3Deliveries BCH is priced at $318.30, standing above all major moving averages, with the 200-day SMA providing strong support at $307.74. The RSI at 62.72 still has room to grow, but the MACD histogram is flattening near the zero line, indicating weakening upward momentum. The $323-329 range forms a double resistance wall; only a stable break above $330 can target $350-379. Smart money is 68.9% long, the active buy/sell ratio is 1.1576 favoring buyers, the funding rate is neutral, and there is no liquidation risk. I hold a light position and will reduce if it falls below $311.63. ALGO is at $0.13, with bullish moving averages but approaching strong resistance at the Bollinger upper band of $0.14. The MACD histogram has returned to zero, and the RSI at 67 is relatively high. More concerning is the active buy/sell ratio of only 0.71, with selling pressure 1.4 times the buying pressure, and open interest down 2.89%, indicating distribution to the bulls. $0.12 is key support; if broken, look for $0.11. I’m staying out and will wait for a break above $0.14 before considering. CRV is at $0.37, about 50% above the 200-day moving average, showing a healthy structure. However, $0.38-0.40 is strong resistance, the MACD is completely neutral, and volume is only $2.79 million, thin enough to be moved by small funds. Smart money is 64% long, the long/short ratio is 1.78, but the active buy/sell ratio is 0.83 favoring sellers, and open interest is down 1.99%. This is a compressed setup ready to explode; a volume breakout close above $0.39 can be lightly entered, but exit if it falls below $0.37. Overall strategy: LTC and BCH have bullish structures but lack short-term momentum, waiting for a pullback; ALGO and CRV are compressed awaiting breakout, no early positioning.Holding onto the $BTC short position's floating profit, this time I'm ready to hold a bit longer 👊
$BTC surged to 86,914 yesterday but couldn't hold, dropping back to around 85,300 today. The daily chart looks like it's struggling to push higher. The 15-minute chart shows lower highs, and the rebound volume at 85,428 clearly shrank, with selling pressure persisting.
On the news front, trader Killa mentioned that after the midterm elections, the crypto market might de-risk. This recent rise from 83,000 was never really supported by fundamentals, purely driven by sentiment. Now institutional inflows are slowing down, and there's not enough fuel to keep pushing up.
I opened a short at 86,498 yesterday, currently floating a profit of over 14 points. I originally planned to enter and exit quickly, but this trend looks interesting, so I've decided to move the stop loss to break even and see if it can drop back to 84,000 or even lower.
If this trade loses, I won't post tomorrow. 🙈
#BTC现货ETF重回流入，ETH资金持续流出 #VanEck：比特币或继续扩大市场份额 #交易之声：你的经验值得被听到 Conclusion first: At 16:00, $GRASS saw a 4H candle with 9.8 million volume pushing the price up to 0.7957, but it closed back down at 0.7277 — an upper shadow of 313 points and a lower shadow of only 9 points. This is not a breakout, it's a distribution at a high level.
At 12:00, a volume spike of 4.1 million pushed the price from 0.719 to 0.764 (+6%), I almost chased then. At 16:00, volume surged directly to 9.8 million, opening at 0.7644, touching 0.7957, and closing at 0.7277, with the upper shadow 34 times the lower shadow.
At 20:00, it dropped straight to 0.6968, closing the 24h period down -6.5%.
Funding rate is 0.00005%, basically zero — this is a spot market pump, not driven by futures contracts. They pumped it to hand off to retail holders at the top.
Lesson: When you see a high-volume bearish close plus a very long upper shadow, don't chase; wait for the 4H candle to close before deciding. If you want to chase, wait for 0.6968 to stabilize, and watch for a break at 0.65 (the low on 9/30).
Did you get trapped by the $GRASS spike to 0.79 today?Why is $CORECORE said to be a scam?
Many people define CORE as a "sophisticated packaging scam." It is not a direct exit scam or Ponzi scheme, but it has very strong harvesting attributes, which is a consensus within the community. First, its biggest problem is the false Bitcoin hashrate narrative. It promotes reliance on BTC hashrate and the strongest decentralized public chain, but in reality, it is purely conceptual packaging with no substantial binding to the Bitcoin security system, making it a typical storytelling pump-and-dump.
Secondly, the token mechanism is extremely draining, with a huge total supply and a long 81-year continuous unlocking and issuance cycle, meaning the market always faces a constant stream of selling pressure, and retail investors are trapped long-term.
More critically, the project team's credibility has collapsed. There was a major code vulnerability exposed, hackers minted a massive amount of excess tokens, exchanges collectively suspended transfers and performed emergency hard forks to save the market, exposing extremely unstable underlying technology. At the same time, the team’s large token holdings are opaque; they once pledged huge amounts of tokens to cash out loans, posing a constant risk of concentrated dumping.
Its ecosystem is extremely hollow, with almost no real-world applications or on-chain revenue. The price is entirely supported by hype and new retail investors buying in. All price increases are driven by capital speculation, and once the market weakens, it continuously declines, trapping countless people.
In summary: CORE is a heavily packaged, weak technology, strong unlocking, pure speculation project with no long-term value. It relies solely on hype to harvest retail investors, which is the core reason the entire network recognizes it as leaning towards a scam. 🔥 Two days in the $PUMP short — finally back to breakeven!
Held the short for two days, added gradually instead of rushing in, and finally got the exit I wanted. 😮💨
Sometimes the best trade is simply surviving the chop and getting out clean. 🫡
#DailyOrbit SOL is now around 120. That voice in your head is asking: "Can it break through 125?"
First, answer these four questions:
1. Can 118 hold? 118 is short-term support, and 113.68 is the trend's lifeline. If 113.68 is broken, the trend structure will be questioned.
2. Can the 18.8 million ETF inflow continue? This is the highest single-week inflow in history. If inflows slow next week, who will absorb the short sellers' pressure?
3. Who will eat the sell wall at 125? 125 has been a resistance level for 7 months. Shorts have piled up a grave below 120, but there is an even bigger sell wall above 125. To push upward, real spot buying with actual money is needed.
4. Where do you set your stop loss? From 120 to 113.68 is a 5.3% drop. From 120 to 130 is an 8.3% rise. The odds are close. But ETFs are buying, DApp revenue is rising, 90 banks in North Dakota are running in production, and shorts are continuously being liquidated. The logic for going up is more solid than the logic for going down. $SOL $BTC $ETH #美联储与欧洲央行将公布9月会议纪要 #BTC现货ETF重回流入，ETH资金持续流出 #贝森特：美债收益率上升符合全球趋势 XRP SNAPPED, THEN WENT QUIET.
A sharp red 4h candle wicked to 1.4453. Since then, candles have shrunk, with price at 1.4911 inside a 1.4794–1.4958 24h range. Quiet isn't direction. I'd rather wait for price to show its hand than guess.
Which breaks first: 1.4958 or 1.4794?$ZEC #VanEckBitcoinOutlook Saylor hinted once again that he is going to buy more Bitcoin! Whenever this guy speaks, the market gets excited! This shows how much influence he has on the market!
The more he holds, the greater his impact on the crypto space, and every move he makes can affect Bitcoin's price trend!
And at the current price level, he is still accumulating, which indeed boosts market confidence.
However, I want to remind you not to blindly follow his moves! After all, in the last bull market, he bought from just over 10,000 up to 126,000, but still got stuck, kept averaging down, and was trapped until just these past two months when he started to break even.
So, his accumulation of Bitcoin is completely different from ours; we are not playing the same game at all!
We are chasing volatility arbitrage.
He is focused on asset allocation; as long as the company can keep raising funds, the wheel keeps rolling.
Years from now, if Bitcoin's asset market value surpasses the stock market's, his strategy will have won!
The above is just a personal opinion for reference only!
$BTC BTC funding rates sit at 0.0011% per 8 hours, roughly 80% below the 90-day average of 0.0057%, signaling traders are holding far less leveraged exposure at $85,138.The fifth truth: Is 120 a "springboard" or a "ceiling"?
Now let's talk about the most critical position.
The key judgment given by analysts is very clear: $125 is a short-term resistance level, and after breaking through, $130 is the next target. On the downside, there is solid support around $118, with $116.07 being a more critical support level, and $113.68 as the last bottom line.
Technically, SOL's daily RSI is 64, in a bullish range but not yet overbought. SOL is also above all eight tracked moving averages. However, the MACD is at zero, with bullish and bearish momentum completely balanced—this is a key turning point, and a breakout in either direction could trigger acceleration.
Order flow data reveals the harshest truth: the ratio of active buy orders to sell orders is 1.28, with active buy orders pushing the price up. But the Taker buy/sell ratio is 0.5762—selling volume is 282,000 contracts, while buying volume is only 163,000 contracts. This means that in the short-term order flow, bears dominate the volume absolutely.
To translate: some are actively buying with real money, while others are actively dumping. Both bulls and bears are betting at this position. $SOL $BTC $ETH #美联储与欧洲央行将公布9月会议纪要 #BTC现货ETF重回流入，ETH资金持续流出 #贝森特：美债收益率上升符合全球趋势 WLD is starting to look different here.
After months of basing around $0.25–$0.40, price has built a solid recovery structure and is now sitting near $0.60.
The level I’m watching closely is $0.68–$0.70.
A clean breakout and hold above it could open the way toward $0.75 → $0.87.
And with World’s focus on proof of human / digital identity infrastructure, the narrative still has room to come back hard if momentum returns.
$0.70 is the line in the sand for me.
$ETH #VanEckBitcoinOutlook The Taiwan Strait has surpassed the Malacca Strait to become the most important commercial chokepoint for CHINA, but many people have yet to realize this change.
The latest data from CSIS shows: in 2024, 32.6% of China's imports (about 1.3 trillion USD) and 16.3% of exports will pass through the Taiwan Strait, far exceeding Malacca's 20.7% imports and 14.4% exports. It's not just energy and raw materials, but also a large volume of goods transported between ports in the South and North.At the moment the heart stops and the aorta is clamped, the lead surgeon truly sees the course of the coronary arteries. This market is the same—over the past few years, the blood flow of crypto assets has been forcibly connected to an external custody circuit, passing through someone else's pump to count. Now, some propose to unplug this tube and let the myocardium perfuse itself.
The pathology of this custody framework is not at the superficial symptom of "whether one can hold private keys oneself," but in the reconstruction of the circulation path. If registered investment advisors want to hold client assets themselves, they must pass three gates: meet security conditions, equivalent to preoperative evaluation of vessel diameter and calcification; maintain insurance, like having a defibrillator and backup blood supply ready at the bedside; accept independent auditor verification, akin to sewing a transesophageal ultrasound probe directly into the heart chamber to confirm in real time whether any residual thrombus remains inside. This is not decentralization; it is sewing monitoring wires one by one onto the myocardium. Only heart chambers that can be seen in real time dare to have the chest closed.
Next, the second cut: qualified state-chartered trust companies are allowed to act as custodians. In hemodynamics, this is called establishing multiple bypasses—originally there was only one large vessel monopolizing all perfusion, and embolism meant a large infarction; now it is changed to multiple small-caliber bridge vessels in parallel, so a single point obstruction no longer equals sudden death. But the cost is an increased number of anastomoses, and any suture with excessive tension becomes a new stenosis point.
The third cut falls on the time window. During the public notice period, anyone can question the suture method, and any anticoagulation plan may be publicly rewritten. For the tokenized US stock $xSNDK, it is more like a heterograft valve sewn into the crypto circulation: the compliance environment is its anticoagulant. With sufficient anticoagulation, blood flow returns from the off-exchange veins into the heart chamber, raising stroke volume; with insufficient anticoagulation, the surface is smooth, but the anastomosis quietly grows thrombus, and by the time the ECG shows abnormalities, the myocardium has long been ischemic.
What really should be monitored is never the price ECG waveform—the waveform is just a symptom, which may come from electrolyte imbalance or true coronary artery blockage. What should be watched is the stroke volume, that is, how much real compliant capital is allowed into this circulation; and the central venous pressure, that is, whether insurance and audit costs are so high that the whole surgery cannot close the chest. Those who rely on emotional resuscitation deserve only adrenaline; those who operate based on diagnosis deserve to discuss prognosis.
This time it’s not defibrillation, it’s open chest surgery. #seccryptocustodyrules$AAVE I was just complaining with friends about this week's market, but I have to take back my words now, a bit awkward.
Last night before bed, I checked AAVE, it held steady on the pullback, buying pressure strengthened, I advised not to panic with long positions, it's consolidating but not breaking down. From 160.82 to 179.45, floating profit +579.21%, those on board should be waking up smiling.
Take profits on 70% first, protect the remaining 30% at cost price, pocket the big chunk first, let the profits run if it continues to rise.
Don't get greedy with profits, don't despair on pullbacks. The market punishes all kinds of arrogance, especially those who think they're the smartest.
For friends who haven't gotten in yet, listen to me: chasing highs easily leaves you stuck at the peak. Wait for the next shot, I'll notify immediately. There are still opportunities, don't rush.
$BTC $ADA #美联储与欧洲央行将公布9月会议纪要
$ETH Ethereum is currently fluctuating around $2700, with the 1-hour moving averages starting to turn upward again. The short-term structure is relatively strong, but there is still significant resistance between $2707 and $2720.
What really needs attention is this week's Federal Reserve and European Central Bank September meeting minutes. Both central banks chose to raise rates in September; the market is now more focused not on whether they will raise rates, but on whether they will continue to raise rates afterward.
If the minutes release a stronger hawkish signal, U.S. Treasury yields and the dollar will strengthen, and ETH may retest $2680 or even $2650 in the short term.
Conversely, if the minutes indicate a reduced urgency for rate hikes in October, risk asset sentiment is expected to improve. After ETH breaks through $2707, it could continue to target the $2720–$2750 range.
Currently, my approach is quite simple: do not chase highs above $2700; focus on whether $2707 can be effectively broken; if it falls below $2680, prepare for a possible correction.
Before the minutes are released, it is more suitable to wait for a breakout before trading in the short term; it is not recommended to guess the direction in the middle. 结果市场就是不肯痛快，来回拉扯、反复震荡，K线一会儿红、一会儿绿，我的心情也跟着上下跳，盯盘盯得人都有点麻木了。 目前我的 ETH 100倍全仓空单，平均开仓价在 2701.99美元。 好在价格最近重新回落了一些，浮盈终于又慢慢回来了，至少可以稍微松一口气。 但 AAVE 这边就完全是另一回事。 多头韧性比我想象中强得多，空单目前依然背着不小的浮亏。等了这么久，始终没等到一波像样的回调，每次以为顶部要出现，结果多头又硬生生把价格拉回来。 现在的盘面特别折磨人。 市场不断给多头希望—— 好像马上要突破新高了； 但冲上去之后又突然回落一点。 就这样反复拉扯，既不给空头痛快，也不给多头真正突破。 我甚至不知道这种震荡还要持续多久。 耐心已经快被磨光了。 最近市场还有几个变量值得关注：BTC现货ETF资金重新出现流入，而ETH相关资金仍然承受流出压力；与此同时，美联储和欧洲央行的9月会议纪要即将公布，宏观政策信号可能进一步影响风险资产情绪。 再加上美国国债收益率持续受到关注，市场现在其实就是在等待一个真正能够打破平衡的催化剂。 我现在最想看到的，就是资金突然发力，把这种磨人的横盘直接打破。 如I can't believe this. 🤯
XRP above EMA50 > EMA200 on the daily and 4H timeframe?
Buyers are in control with ADX 30.2?
4/12 signals agree, none contradict.
Bias to buy. Keep trade size small. Move stop loss to entry at TP1.
$XRP $NEAR $SOL