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$BTC During this down trend, price has retested or even retaken a lot of local levels. Many of those were rejected quickly, just like we saw at the end of 2025. The May move stalled for some days only to reject after. Currently, price is still holding firm above the May highs at $83K but is yet to put in continuation of that move. This is why $83K remains a critical area to hold for the bulls. One difference is that breaking the May highs did also mark a weekly higher high, unlike the other fail"The surge is just a bull trap, don't hesitate to cover shorts"
$BTC surged to 87239 then pulled back, current price 85573, the bull trap is basically over. The 30-minute chart RSI6 dropped to 24.1, bullish momentum is rapidly fading, the candlestick broke below the short-term EMA, selling pressure is releasing.
First target is 83000, a valid break below will open downside space, heading straight to 80500. Shorts trapped around 80000, hold patiently, this drop is the window to cover. Don't be shaken by small rebounds, the rebound is an opportunity to add shorts, strictly control position size, and set stop losses.
⚠️For reference only, investment carries risks
#BTC #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 #霍尔木兹仍未开放，OPEC+维持11月产量不变 #BTC现货ETF重回流入，ETH资金持续流出 $BTC This is actually insane. The current liquidation map shows one of the most significant imbalances between long and short liquidations we’ve seen in a while. There are roughly $13B in long liquidations sitting below price, compared to only around $4B in short liquidations above. That creates an imbalance of more than 3:1. From a liquidity perspective, another move lower would therefore make a lot of sense. That way, BTC could clear out a massive amount of downside liquidity while allowing sh$BTC NY session gave us clear message. After the 09:30 open we pumped upwards and swept some highs, to then distribute to the downside. This means the 87.2K PWH is being rejected, which could lead to further downside the rest of the week. I wanted to take the PWH first, but with this new data I might try a scalp-short to at least taking weekend liquidity. With the PWH rejecting, the 82.5K PWL becomes an easier target, so leaving a runner open until that point. 82.5K is my final DOL for shorts be"The more altcoins hype, the more you shouldn't lose your core chips"
Five rare key targets: $BTC, $ETH, $SOL, $ZEC, $UNI.
When the bull market starts, altcoins fly wildly, making people itchy to sell their base positions and chase hot spots. But as the cycle progresses, you must hold tightly to core coins.
1. Rotation has an order. Small caps rely on sentiment and scatter once funds withdraw; foundational assets like BTC and ETH only get truly revalued when institutional inflows arrive. Altcoins are the appetizer; the main rise is at the main table.
2. Chips are hard to replicate. BTC is the value anchor, ETH is the contract layer, SOL is a high-performance public chain, ZEC is the privacy narrative, UNI is the DEX leader. Consensus, ecosystem, and revenue can't be quickly built by new projects. Losing them means higher costs to buy back later.
3. Different resistance to decline. Altcoins have small market caps and concentrated chips, prone to flash crashes on pullbacks; core coins have good depth and many participants, better withstanding volatility. Trading certainty for sentiment gains is not worthwhile.
4. Frequent switching is most harmful. Selling what hasn't risen and chasing what has; altcoins peak while cores start, ending up empty-handed on both sides. Holding your base position ensures you won't miss the whole cycle.
Strategy: Hold core positions long-term, play altcoins with small positions. Don't touch your base positions, don't put the cart before the horse.
⚠️The above is for reference only; investing involves risks.Bought at the peak chasing the high, I ate this bowl of noodles
Watched BNB for several days without daring to move, today saw the market surge sharply, got impulsive and chased long at 808, just executed and then plunged sharply, perfectly bought the top, I'm impressed.
$BTC current price 86,041, up 0.97%. Last night it surged to 86,963, just a breath away from 87,000. Hesitated at 85,000 and didn't get in, now can't even see the taillights. Fear of chasing means burying losses, not chasing means missing out on 90,000, missing out feels worse than losing money.
$ETH current price 2,713, up 0.60%. ETH softened at 2,739, longs feel like being in prison. No presence when it rises, first to fall, hoping for strength every day, but every day the jerk comes back.
$BNB current price 790.9, slightly up 0.52%. Highest was 810, chased long at 808, now down over 2U. It keeps rising when I don't buy, dies as soon as I buy. Is the big player watching my less than 100U? Begging for a rebound to recover and run, won't chase highs anymore.
⚠️The above is for reference only, investment involves risks
#本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要
#BTC现货ETF重回流入，ETH资金持续流出 Key macro event this week: The Federal Reserve's September FOMC meeting minutes are about to be released.
⚠️Note: The minutes record the discussions of officials during the September meeting and will not include the latest nonfarm payroll data; the market will price in both pieces of information together.
The market is focusing on three directions:
▪️ The degree of internal disagreement among officials on inflation and employment;
▪️ Discussions on the pace of future rate cuts, judging whether the tone is hawkish or dovish;
▪️ Whether any members discussed adjusting the balance sheet reduction plan.
Scenario analysis:
👉 Hawkish minutes: Market expectations for rate cuts cool down, U.S. Treasury yields rise, the crypto market comes under pressure, and profit-taking is likely triggered.
👉 Dovish minutes: Reinforces easing expectations, improves the risk asset environment, benefiting BTC and altcoins.
The current market is undergoing structural rotation: BTC ETF funds are flowing back to support the market, but funds will not rise broadly.
Assets like FIL, which have just broken through resistance levels, become more sensitive to macro news, and volatility will increase during the minutes release.
Macro is just the environment; the market trend is ultimately still dominated by chip distribution and contract long-short structure. #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 $BTC
On the 180D liquidation map, a ±10K move from current price would trigger:
• $11.00B in long liquidations
• $3.80B in short liquidations
With nearly 3x more long liquidity stacked below, price will likely at least sweep the larger clusters around 82K and possibly 79K before continuing higher toward 95K+.
Leaving the 87.5K liquidity untouched for now would favour a larger move to the upside after the liquidity hunt.Order Book Strength Ranking
5-minute median slippage, estimated based on order book, excluding fees
$AEON buy slippage increases significantly with order size: slippage for buy orders equivalent to 10,000 and 100,000 USDT is 0.14% and 0.92%, respectively. Large order slippage is about 0.78 percentage points higher.
$CT sell slippage increases significantly with order size: slippage for sell orders equivalent to 10,000 and 100,000 USDT is 0.11% and 0.41%, respectively. Large order slippage is about 0.29 percentage points higher.
$NIGHT sell slippage increases significantly with order size: slippage for sell orders equivalent to 10,000 and 100,000 USDT is 0.07% and 0.29%, respectively. Large order slippage is about 0.22 percentage points higher.The overall market is still in a fluctuating upward trend, not deviating from the expected path. Bitcoin is approaching 93,000, and Ethereum is also pushing towards 3,300. Strategically, I have kept a light position without changes; tactically, I made a slightly heavier ambush trade last night, gaining 18%. This morning, I reduced the position to lock in the floating profit, pushing the total return to around 260%.
The US stock market is also strong, not losing points. Such results would be unimaginable in the Chinese A-shares market.Holding this position makes me feel calm, today is the 5th day
Total position 1120u
Cost 300u
Currently profit 820u
6 positions are still open
History of 15 positions, 3 losses
Total realized profit 205u from closed positions,
Unrealized profit 623u.
Currently, the position take-profit is set at the cost line to let the profit run
I am holding SAND, PUMP, and CT altcoins for now, I believe there will be a significant drop.
For ETH and BTC, I expect a rally, with take-profits set at 2799 $STRK STRK is currently in a strong rebound phase overall, with a clear short-term bullish trend. However, after the recent continuous rise, it is no longer suitable to blindly chase the highs.
The current price is about $0.052, with the previous high of $0.060–$0.061 being the first key resistance.
If there is a volume breakout and a stable hold above $0.061, it indicates further strengthening of market sentiment. The upside targets to watch are $0.068, $0.075, and even $0.08; but if the attempt to break $0.06 fails, profit-taking is likely to occur.
In terms of operation, I prefer to wait for a pullback to go long rather than directly loading up at the current position.
The $0.047–$0.050 range is a relatively ideal first low-entry zone. If the overall market does not show obvious weakness, consider building positions gradually; if it pulls back to around $0.042–$0.044 and stabilizes, that would be an even better risk-reward entry point.
Stop-loss should be closely monitored around $0.040–$0.042. Once this level is effectively broken down, the short-term upward structure may be damaged.
Additionally, it is important to note that STRK has upcoming token unlock expectations, which may cause phased selling pressure.
STRK itself is quite volatile, so if trading contracts, high leverage and heavy positions are not recommended.
Overall, I am bullish on STRK in the short term: the trend is biased to the upside, but the current position’s cost-effectiveness is average.
The best strategy is to buy the dip or wait for a volume breakout confirmation above $0.061 before following up. I am the mid-term intelligence guy.
Lookonchain detected that address 0x914b first shorted 14,976 $ETH, about 40.97 million USD, and after losing 471,000 USD, reversed to open a 25x long position of 23,734 ETH, about 64.3 million USD, with a liquidation price of 2650.
This is a typical d-pupil style switch, refusing to admit a wrong short, directly increasing leverage to fight.
My view: Don't learn this approach for mid-term. SanDisk has a higher participation of quantitative funds, and the market is dominated by algorithms.
The characteristic of quantitative trading is: instant bulk order dumping and instant order pulling, resulting in a straightforward and aggressive trend. The order book refreshes in a second with no slow transition phase.
Therefore, sharp straight-line dumps or pulls often occur, with orders quickly disappearing, leaving manual traders very little reaction time. Once hesitated, slippage can be significant, making it difficult to close positions.
Although Hynix also has quantitative trading, its capital structure is more diverse, including institutional large funds besides algorithms. The trend is not completely controlled by quantitative orders alone. During declines, there is buffering support, and the order book won't be instantly emptied, giving you a window to execute defensive or reversal operations, better fitting your trading system.
Core conclusion:
Targets with heavy quantitative influence tend to deviate from cyclical logic. Many fluctuations are caused by algorithmic automatic order sweeping, not natural bullish-bearish divergence at the freezing point. The same reversal strategy in a quantitatively dominated asset will have significantly higher uncertainty.
Going forward, focus mainly on Hynix, observe SanDisk only, and avoid heavy positions. #OKXNOW直播：即将开启！ $ZEC spot ETF has seen net capital outflow for three consecutive days, with the major NU7 network upgrade approaching.
Key highlights of the NU7 upgrade:
▪️ Block time compressed from 75 seconds to 25 seconds, enhancing network performance
▪️ Launch of ZSA privacy assets, supporting issuance of privacy tokens and private RWA assets
▪️ Fee burn mechanism to optimize the long-term token supply model
▪️ Phasing out the old Sprout transactions, requiring early migration of old assets
An interesting divergence: as the upgrade benefits draw nearer, institutional ETF funds continue to redeem and exit.
This is a typical "buy the rumor, sell the news" scenario: funds that entered earlier speculating on the upgrade now choose to cash out as it approaches.
Retail investors are betting on the upgrade's positive market impact, while institutional funds take profits first.
In the context of the overall market: BTC ETF inflows stabilize the market, ETH funds continue to flow out, and ZEC benefits approaching yet facing ETF redemptions.
This logic closely resembles the expected market reaction to FIL's October 15th release termination—positive news priced in early, so don't simply expect a direct surge based on good news alone. #ZEC现货ETF连续3日流出，NU7升级临近 The sell wall built at the end of September is almost consumed. The weekly K-line signal is quite clear, having broken through the neckline area at the bottom, with a chance to reach the initial consolidation platform's starting stacking point around 90-91k.
Moreover, 90-94k is the largest supply zone, naturally attracting the price, and the market needs to test this area. After reaching this stage, defense should be the priority, as a significant pullback may occur;
Currently, the smaller timeframes are very tangled but still maintain an upward bottoming momentum. The intermediate process doesn't need too much attention, as long as the overall direction is not mistaken.
A while ago, breaking through 83k suggested adding some spot positions, including some low-level base holdings that will continue to be held. The current pattern looks more like a "breakout confirmation + upper liquidity grab" scenario. Let's see if we can catch a small wave. In any case, let's first look towards the 90k level!"In this market, the bears can only watch helplessly"
$BTC is approaching 86,300, ETH has touched 2,723, and as a bear, I’m completely lost.
I thought there would be a pullback, but BTC just won’t drop; whenever it dips slightly, someone immediately buys. ETH is even stronger, 2,700 was a resistance but it held firmly, making me suspect 2,800 is not far off.
Looking back at history, BTC has reached over 120,000, ETH has been above 4,000, even close to 5,000, and not just once. The more I look, the more I feel ETH is a slow-burning demon coin—usually sluggish, but once it enters a cycle, its rise is irrational.
Where this ETH wave will go, I really can’t see clearly; for BTC, I guess this round will at least push above 100,000.
But the problem is—I don’t want to go long, I’m a bear. I dare not chase longs, and I’m afraid shorts will be squeezed, so I can only watch it go up.
There’s no universal tool in investing; it all depends on capital planning. Heavy positions mean big pressure on pullbacks; light positions don’t guarantee no losses. If the market doesn’t give opportunities, just endure it. I’d rather miss a rally than force entry just to prove I was right.
Opportunities always exist; there’s no need to prove yourself in this wave. Whether $BTC can reach 100,000, or ETH can hit 2,800 or even higher, let the market decide.
As a bear, I’ll just endure for now. #OKXNOW直播：就在明天，速来预约！ #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 $BTC SHORT TERM
Short term, will be watching these zones for trade triggers.
Above.
1. 86.350$ - 86.450$
- ndPOC + 4H + Grey Pocket
2. 87.350$ - 87.600$
- SellTails + SP + 2026 YearlyOpen
—————————————————
Below.
1. 84.400$ - 84.500$
- Daily + WeeklyVwap BTC closed the day pressing $86.5K again, the same ceiling that slapped down the Oct 2 spike. 4H RSI near 69 feels familiar, so I'm not chasing this time. 👀 XRP and DOGE still look heavy, and oil's Iran swings keep risk jumpy. Tomorrow I'm watching for a clean hold above $86.5K. Another rejection likely means a trip back toward $84.5K.
#CryptoShort $BTC here 🐻
📍 Right at the 0.618 of Friday's drop (85.9k) and back inside the supply zone
📉 5 daily highs up here in a row, every one closed lower
🔍 This push is all perps. Spot barely moved and Coinbase is still trading at a discount
❌ Wrong above 86.5k
🎯 CME gap at 84.8k$SOL ecosystem RWA reaches a milestone: On-chain tokenized stock trading volume in September exceeded $4.4 billion, setting a new record.
Raydium, Orca, and other DEXs are the main trading forces.
Tokenized stocks bring traditional US stock assets onto the chain, enabling 7×24-hour trading, fractional small holdings, and DeFi composability.
No need for traditional brokers; cross-border users can also participate in US stock assets.
⚠️ But be clear: tokens only track stock prices, most do not directly hold shareholder rights, underlying stocks rely on issuer custody, and regulatory and custody risks cannot be ignored.
From the perspective of the entire RWA cycle:
Solana is responsible for issuing and trading RWA tokens;
while the Filecoin+IPFS+Avalanche architecture solves the notarization and tamper-proof verification of original documents such as property rights files and valuation reports behind RWAs.
One manages asset trading, the other manages the authenticity of underlying evidence—these are two complementary main lines in the RWA track. #Solana代币化股票9月交易量突破44亿美元 On the eve of the minutes, crypto short-term pressure
$BTC has fallen back to around 85200, $ETH has lost 2700 again, and the two major mainstream coins weakened simultaneously tonight, with short-term bulls clearly under pressure. Market attention turns to October 7 — the Federal Reserve's September meeting minutes are about to be released, and investors hope to find clues about the future interest rate path.
After the latest cooling non-farm payroll data, market bets on further tightening have quickly declined. If the minutes are hawkish, BTC and ETH may continue to face pressure; if dovish signals are released, risk assets may see a rebound.
On the chart, BTC first looks at support near 85000, and ETH focuses on 2690. Before the minutes are released, chasing orders in the middle of the range is not cost-effective; it is safer to wait and see. #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 #霍尔木兹仍未开放，OPEC+维持11月产量不变 #BTC现货ETF重回流入，ETH资金持续流出 The strength of $FIL is undeniable, but mistaking overheating for safety is often when emotions are most expensive.
I break it down into two scenarios: A, breaking through 1.2046, confirming the short-term structure; B, falling below 1.044, invalidating the original judgment, with the next observation point turning to 0.98.
Current price 1.1839, 24h +12.37%; 1-hour slightly strong, 4-hour slightly strong, volume about 1.50 times the average of the last 20 bars.
No preset answers, just watching which condition happens first. Do you think scenario A or scenario B is more likely to occur first?
The above is market observation and does not constitute investment advice. This is from Crypto Bull.$BTC Technical analysis with extremes! - Will be watching all these closely for traedes whenever we reach. 🔴 Potential Short Zones 👇 ———————————— 🔴 2026 Yearly Open + SellTails + SP ≈ 87,350 – 87,650 → Heavy HTF confluence resistance → Major reaction area → Look for sweep + rejection / failed acceptance → Potential short if bearish PA confirms ⸻ 🔴 Daily + nMPOC + NVWAP ≈ 89,250 – 89,550 → Major HTF resistance → Multiple references clustered together → Look for rejection / distribution → StroIt's already Tuesday! The market is so quiet it's scary! 😱
But it seems like all the funds are waiting for macro and ETF to give a direction first. Plus, the dollar is relatively strong, interest rate expectations are swinging back and forth, and risk assets just lack a reason to break out of the consolidation range all at once. 🤔️
$BTC is still around 85,700–86,500, almost flat for the day. Although there are inflows into spot ETFs, the scale is much smaller than in previous weeks, making it hard to serve as a breakout driver!
$ETH is also between 2710–2730 USD, almost moving in sync with BTC. Ethereum spot ETFs have recently seen net outflows, so the capital situation is weaker than Bitcoin’s. So just following the rise is already good; there's no chance to lead the rally 😂!
$SOL is stuck around 120–121, with 120 likely being the short-term key level between bulls and bears. It feels like only by holding above and moving past 125 can it push upward! Could it be that funds are all waiting for BTC to pick a direction first?! 🤷
Right now, it feels more like the calm before the storm; something big might not be far off.
#本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要
#霍尔木兹仍未开放，OPEC+维持11月产量不变
#Solana代币化股票9月交易量突破44亿美元 Brothers, I really can't hold on anymore, I don't have a single U left in hand, and I can't gather any bullets to open a new position, so I can only watch the dog whales perform helplessly.
First, let's talk about Bitcoin, grinding back and forth between 84,000 and 86,000. The floating profit of this position in the screenshot is nearly 1200U, but the pressure at 88,000 above is huge, and 84,000 below is the last defensive bottom line. The funding rate is slightly positive, the long-short raOKX NOW Global Product and Ecosystem Conference: How closely related is it to CORE?
Here's the most straightforward conclusion first: There is an indirect strong connection, but it is not the official main guest, there was no prior official announcement of an "exclusive major launch event," and it belongs to the "key beneficiaries offsite but not the main character of the conference."
Let's break it down in two layers:
- First layer: Whose home turf is the conference?
This is the platform's own product launch event, focusing on its new trading system, Web3 wallet, X-Layer, payment infrastructure, and hackathon finals; the official agenda does not reserve a separate keynote for CORE, nor was there an early announcement of the project team taking the stage, nor a dedicated exclusive announcement.
This is not a conference held specifically for it, and this must be clearly distinguished.
- Second layer: Why does the community keep linking the two together?
① OKX is one of the earliest leading platforms to deeply support CORE, maintaining a long-term ecological connection from launch, staking, Web3 wallet integration, to past NFT collaborations; this global-level exposure event increases opportunities for offline closed-door meetings, institutional interactions, and developer resource connections;
② CORE's own track is BTCFi, and this conference's key focus happens to be the Bitcoin ecosystem, on-chain payments, and institutional-grade infrastructure; the big directions are aligned;
③ Market expectations: If during the conference the platform releases news about ecological support, new integrations, or on-chain tool interoperability, CORE is a target that can directly benefit from these dividends; but this is an expectation, not a fact that has already been realized.
$BTC has now tried to break the $87,000 resistance about 7 times throughout this range, each rejection is followed by a sharp dump.
i personally do not think $BTC will break through this level until slightly later, a pullback to $79,000 is more likely. $LINK Sector Comparison｜Oracles: Same Track, Different Performance
LINK in the past 24 hours -2.27%, API3 in the same period +7.16%.
Between these two coins, API3 is currently stronger. I will first see if it can maintain its advantage, rather than betting on LINK to definitely catch up just because they are in the "same track."表面在晒空单，底下其实是跨市场在悄悄换气 你看到的到底是信念，还是不肯认错？ 我盯着这段自述看了很久。一个做空BTC十天的人，账面浮亏到200%，止损线挂在90300，每次价格摸到87000就开始紧张。嘴上说没慌，但每一个数字都在替他说实话。这种状态我太熟了，不是坚定，是把自己和仓位绑在了一起，然后等市场给一个判决。 有意思的是，他反复强调"不涨了"。可市场真正交易的，从来不是某个人的成本线，而是跨市场的风险偏好有没有变。最近原油那边因为霍尔木兹和OPEC+的消息一直有扰动，能源价格没松，通胀预期就压不下去，美债收益率和美元就容易偏强。这一层传导到加密，最直接的结果是：BTC的反弹会更依赖存量资金，而不是增量新钱。 所以这就变成一个很微妙的跨市场联动局。表面看，BTC在87000到90000附近反复磨，像在给空头机会。但底层结构是，只要宏观那头没有明显转松，多头也不敢全力推。两边都在等，等一个能打破平衡的催化剂。 偏多的路径其实不复杂。如果能源扰动缓和，美元回落，风险偏好回暖，BTC站稳90000上方，那空头的止损和追空盘会一起被挤，ETH和主流山寨往往跟得更快，因为它们的弹性更大，情Lookonchain detected that address 0x914b first shorted 14,976 $ETH, about 40.97 million USD, and after losing 471,000 USD, reversed to open a 25x long position of 23,734 ETH, about 64.3 million USD, with a liquidation price of 2650.
This is a typical d-pupil style switch, refusing to admit a wrong short, directly increasing leverage to fight.
My view: Don't learn this approach for mid-term.CORE October 6 official X latest update: No earth-shattering good news, but a long-term mainline is hidden
Today's Core DAO tweet did not release explosive announcements, more like a low-key phase synchronization, focusing on three things: decentralized handover, BTCFi ecosystem landing, and North American developer ecosystem promotion.
- Technical team: Node validator migration continues to advance according to schedule, with the official reminding again that in the coming months, block production rights will be gradually handed over more to independent node operators; this is not a short-term stimulus but the completion of the long-term DAO roadmap announced early on; meanwhile, backend continues to optimize on-chain fees and confirmation speed after Hermes upgrade, paving the way for more BTCFi applications to connect.
- Business & ecosystem team: Released a set of overseas offline closed-door meeting snapshots, integrating with multiple BTC track wallets and staking service providers; highlighted that SatPay payment scenarios are expanding testing scope, aiming to enable more physical entities and DApps to support CORE-BTC dual payment channels; no announcement of immediate launch, clearly in the joint debugging phase.
- Developer incentives: Reiterated that the Core Commit program is still accepting applications, with a focus on privacy, RWA, and BTC yield-related applications; the official stance is steady: not rushing to hype a surge narrative, but continuously filling real on-chain use cases. $BTC $ETH $SOL
#OKXNOW live broadcast: Just tomorrow, hurry to make an appointment! #This week the Fed will release the September meeting minutes #Hormuz still closed, OPEC+ maintains November production unchanged
BTC 84600, ETH 2678, the two numbers seem nailed to the screen. The 15-minute chart shrinks into a slit, the red and green bars pitifully short, the order book like a convenience store at dawn—occasionally a trade comes in, just enough to poke the price sharply.
It's not about choosing direction, it's that no one is playing.
BTC inflow data looks like it hasn't been charged for two consecutive days, ETH is even stranger, price creeping up but funds not following, as if someone is suspending it with a rope. SOL remains the same, if the big brother moves it moves, if the big brother doesn't, it pretends to sleep. Today it even skipped pretending to sleep, trading volume faded away.
At times like this, trading becomes a psychological battle.
Some hold on stubbornly, some get scraped back and forth, some simply close the software. I'm increasingly feeling that being out of position is not admitting defeat, but giving yourself some breathing room. Not fighting dead water, only then does the principal have the right to wait for the next wave.
But outside it's not quiet.
The Fed and ECB minutes are about to come out, the tension between the US and Iran hasn't dissipated, and the G7 might still release hundreds of millions of barrels from reserves. Once the news hits, this stagnant water could explode at any moment.
Sideways trading will end, but which way, no one knows.
I don't guess, nor do I hold on. I withdrew my orders and wait for the wind. May we all not hold positions stubbornly, not force it, and not repeatedly dive into dead water.This round of ZEC.
Shorts are squeezed like morning rush hour.
Longs are counting money on the penthouse.
The super whale is back.
Continuing to short ZEC.
Position about 19,838,500 USD.
About 15,000 coins.
Entry price 1340.9.
Unrealized profit about 50,000.
Small gain.
But securing the spot first.
Top five holdings:
Four shorts.
One long.
All four short positions are in profit.
But total P&L?
Longs profit about 70 million.
Shorts loss about 6 million.
Translation:
Shorts win small money.
Longs win big money.
Like shorts grabbing red envelopes.
Longs collecting rent.
The whale shorts more and more.
Short squeeze above.
ZEC's second spring?
Can it stand above 1700?
First ask if shorts can hold.
Then ask if longs will pull.
Only when shorts explode is it a real market.
If shorts don't explode, it's just tough talk.
Just venting.
Don't get carried away.
$ZEC $BTC $ETH
#OKXNOW直播：就在明天，速来预约！
#本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要
#霍尔木兹仍未开放，OPEC+维持11月产量不变 While everyone expects Bitcoin to go up, I am looking at the liquidity below. I think we are approaching the final stage before a correction. The price has been forming a healthy range for about a week. While higher lows are maintained, open liquidity continues to accumulate on the downside. My expected scenario: First, a deviation to the 88,800–88,500 region. Then, if it returns below 87,300, I will consider this structure for a short. 🎯 82,500 🎯 80,100 A short aiming to clear the liquidity in these two regions Personal Review
First, you need to be clear about the cycle you are trading and your entry point, as well as the overall current market sentiment.
For example, if the 15-minute BTC chart is trending upward, and you are trading altcoins on the 15-minute chart, then trading at this time is favorable if the resonance indicates a high probability and there is capital willing to support the move. Conversely, if BTC is declining at this time, even if the consolidation looks good or it is at the bottom, the level of capital acceptance and participation is not favorable for an upward move. Knowing something and actually doing it are two different things; only by aligning knowledge and action can you execute trades well 🔄 $BTC holding steady near 86000 after a slight dip—structure still leans cautious, no clear breakout yet - my bias is neutral-bearish here on the 1h: structure is still set to bearish with the last confirmed lower high at 86683.9 and the latest low at 84910.0, while price trades at 85915.4 — right between these pivots, inside the prior swing range 👀 - the higher timeframe (daily/weekly) structure remains bullish, so any short setup on this 1h is a counter-trend play against the macro directioHere's some news worth watching for tomorrow, brothers: On October 6th, both $ETH and $ZEC will have upgrade test nodes.
First, about $ETH.
Glamsterdam will activate on the Sepolia testnet, focusing on ePBS, BAL, and a series of Gas mechanism adjustments. Simply put, it's about continuing to "speed up" Ethereum.
But don't get too excited just because you see the word "upgrade."
This is a testnet, not a mainnet launch.
So what’s really worth watching tomorrow isn’t whether $ETH will pump because of the news, but whether the test runs smoothly and if the clients and validators are compatible.
Now, about $ZEC.
NU7 will also enter a critical testing phase, with the most eye-catching point being the block time planned to be compressed from 75 seconds to 25 seconds.
If the test goes well, there will be expectations for a mainnet upgrade later, naturally creating room for market speculation.
So I think these two coins should be viewed separately tomorrow:
$ETH for technical implementation, $ZEC for speculative expectations.
Don’t take "testnet upgrade" as a direct signal that "the coin price will definitely rise."
Especially for $ZEC, the real big test is still the upcoming mainnet.
News can spark interest, but whether it catches fire ultimately depends on the fundamentals.Crypto Events – Oct 5, 2026
Bitcoin $BTC briefly neared $87K then pulled back after softer US jobs data.
OKX-ICE filed with SEC for tokenized US stock platform.
CFTC advances crypto rules after CLARITY stalls.
FinCEN drops wallet & mixer reporting proposals.
Saylor hints at more BTC buys (Strategy holds 847K $BTC ).
Zcash $ZEC NU7 live on testnet.
ETH Glamsterdam upgrade set for Oct 6.
Market cap ~$3T | Sentiment: GreedSPACEX blasted straight from 158 to 170, I dare not open short positions casually anymore
Yesterday, I shorted once near 158 at the market open, thinking it had risen so much, it should pull back a bit, to make some profit.
But unexpectedly, it blasted right back up.
I shorted again near 163, but was forced to stop loss hard
(Thankfully I didn’t hold on, thanks to Elon Musk’s mercy
Only after shorting did I start to feel scared—I seemed to have forgotten that SPACEX has had so many recent positives. (Suffered from bad memory
① Starship testing continues to advance
Every key test could become a new catalyst.
② Starlink keeps expanding
This is no longer just a rocket story; future cash flow expectations keep increasing.
③ AI computing power starts to factor into valuation
The market is assigning more and more value to SPACEX.
④ The most significant is the valuation
Morgan Stanley’s Adam Jonas directly gave a $300 target price, saying that by traditional metrics it’s indeed expensive, but by future growth it’s actually cheap now. (This is the key point
(I really thought these positives weren’t that big at the time)
The market gave me a lesson.
From 149 all the way to 171, this time I admit defeat
$SPCX $xSPCX $SPCH Long and Short Crowding List｜Last 15 Minutes
$MUBARAK Long positions have a relatively high unit holding cost over time: current 4-hour rate +0.0175%, price -0.74%, open interest -0.3%. The decline is accompanied by a contraction in total positions, with longs exceeding settlements while facing adverse price movements and funding fee expenses.$BCH Didn't do anything, just went to the restroom, and when I came back, the K-line had already done the work for me. I originally thought I'd have to wait until the evening, but it moved on its own.
Before the market fully started, I already felt something was off. Every time BCH pushed up, the support underneath couldn't keep up, volume was sparse, clearly no one was willing to hold the position. This kind of bull trap is the most frustrating but also the best to short.
Shorted in at 315.7, at the time some people said I was wrong about the direction. Now, at 315.6, +3.16% is right here, the wait wasn't in vain, feeling good. Not many dared to short back then.
Take profits on 80% first, keep 20% with a stop at the cost price, so if it rebounds, you don't give back the profits. Take profits when you should, don't be greedy.
Have a strategy before the market, discipline during, and reflection after. Better to miss a limit-up than to catch a falling knife and end up bleeding.
Now is not the time to rush; chasing highs easily leaves you stuck at the peak. Missing out isn't a loss, wait for the new structure to form, there will be more opportunities ahead. The market isn't short of opportunities, it's patience that's lacking.
$ZEC $SNDK Last night, my hand trembled slightly when setting the stop loss; this morning I realized it was an unnecessary act of filial piety. While everyone else was still watching, $NMR was consolidating at the bottom, with buyers below. I suggested a light long position, waiting for confirmation before adding more; if not confirmed, don't act. Better to earn less than to rush recklessly. Sometimes it's not about how skilled we are, but about being in a comfortable position.
The market cures all kinds of arrogance, especially from those who think they are the smartest.
Checking again at midday, 11.617 has become history; the current price is 12.092, with an unrealized profit of +82.12%. Those on board should be waking up smiling—this endurance was not in vain, this wave is truly satisfying.
Take profit on 70% first, keep the remaining 30% at cost price for protection. Don't let profits become uncomfortable; don't panic if it pulls back. Take profits when it's time.
The money earned is the realization of your understanding; the money lost is a reflection of your cognitive shortcomings.
Now is not the time to rush; there will be more opportunities later. When the next more comfortable position appears, I will notify immediately. Await good news quietly.
$SOL $BNB The positive impact of the non-farm payroll was hijacked by oil prices
On the non-farm payroll night, $BTC was reported at 86602.8; three days later, it dropped to 86038.7, down 0.65%. Gold was even more awkward: after surging to 4226.51, it closed at 4139.24, down 3.4% for the week. Employment weakened, but safe-haven assets did not benefit.
The answer lies in the bond market. The 10-year US Treasury yield rose 3.2 basis points to 5.283%, marking five consecutive weeks of increase; the 2-year yield rose to 4.835%. Despite weak data, yields rose, indicating the bond market does not believe "tightening is ending."
Over the weekend, oil prices took another hit. Houthi forces claimed an attack on Saudi Aramco facilities, Brent crude rose 0.79% in early trading to $103.06, about 40% higher than before the conflict. OPEC+ maintained November production unchanged, and the G7's release of 100 million barrels of reserves failed to suppress prices. When the Fed raised rates in September, it cited geopolitical energy inflation as a reason; now that oil prices have returned to 103, the reason is effectively reinstated.
So the combination is: weak employment, sticky inflation, and real interest rates still above 5%—stagflation.
Going forward, only two lines matter: whether the 10-year yield can fall from 5.283%, and whether Brent can drop back below 100 from 103. If these two numbers don't move, the next non-farm payroll is unlikely to change the situation. The language about energy in this week's Fed and ECB minutes is more worth watching than the October rate hike bets. #OKXNOW直播：就在明天，速来预约！ $ZEC Direction: Short
· Entry: Around 1,350 - 1,370
· Stop Loss: 1,390
· Take Profit: 1,310 / 1,280
· Position: Light position, strictly with stop lossI prefer to give extra credit to strong performances. Coins that have risen less are not necessarily safer, meow 🙀🙀
$HYPE deserves to be ranked near the front this time. It stayed around 93 after 11 PM, having risen about 8% in the past week, and is not far from the previous high near 98. My judgment is somewhat optimistic. The closer it gets to the previous high, the more likely some will assume it will fall just because "it has risen too much," but the rise itself doesn't explain when selling pressure will appear. What really matters next is whether it can continue to push forward when approaching the previous high. If the price shows strength, respect it; if there is a clear retreat, then adjust the judgment. There's no need to prematurely decide the market top.
$ONDO crossed 0.50 in the evening but has now returned to around 0.490; the recent improvement did not hold. At this point, continuing to talk about RWA prospects doesn't answer the immediate question: why can't the higher price hold for now? The long-term logic can be retained, but the reasons for short-term accumulation should be re-examined. I will withdraw my expectations for this upward move; we can't interpret every pullback as preparation for the next rise.
$ARB reached an intraday high of 0.2087 and is now at 0.2025, back to the lower part of the 24-hour range. It was able to push up today but left little gains behind, which is a short-term deduction point. I won't prioritize participating in it for now. Let the buyers prove they can keep the price higher; a lower buy-in price doesn't necessarily guarantee a better holding experience.Big Brother Maji is really ruthless! A massive 152 million full-position long order is laid out on the table, betting not on a single rebound, but on the entire cycle
Many people glance and only see floating profits, failing to understand how aggressive this set of positions is at its core:
Total position value is 152 million U, three orders in BTC, ETH, and HYPE, all in full-position mode.
- BTC｜40X full-position long 467 coins, opened at 84883.40 U, floating profit +828,300 U
40x full-position is quite extreme; the liquidation price of 66952 is still some distance from the current price, but full-position has no isolation protection, so a deep spike would directly test the entire lifeline.
- ETH｜25X full-position long 34,000 coins, opened at 2688.95 U, floating profit +1,493,800 U
This is the real heavyweight main battlefield, with position value close to 93.33 million U, accounting for more than half of the entire position; he has placed the largest stake on ETH's recovery market, willing to use 25x leverage to amplify cycle returns.
- HYPE｜10X full-position long 175,000 coins, opened at 89.74 U, floating profit +145,000 U
Relatively the lowest leverage, but the coin is more volatile, used as a flexible position to capture additional market dividends.
There is also the most "ruthless" detail that people tend to overlook:
All three orders are bearing huge negative funding fees while holding on.
BTC -43,200, ETH -1,252,000, HYPE -72,000, burning real money every day.. $BTC Crypto Market Today (October 6, 2026)
Tuesday Crypto Circle: BTC holds steady at 85k, ETH weak, ADA sneaks up, ZEC pulls back. Uptober Week 2, first rotate positions then choose direction.
Today's Summary:
BTC consolidates at 85k, ETH doesn't follow the rise, ADA rises alone, ZEC/NEAR pull back → “BTC supports the bottom, altcoins rotate positions.”
Macro: US 10Y still above 5.3%, US employment weak → October rate hike expectations decline, Nasdaq strong, crypto follows risk assets but dares not surge independently.
Hidden lines:
BTC 7-day range 83.1k–87.2k, 87.2k is previous high resistance, 85k is the midpoint
ETH ETF recently weak, BTC ETF small inflows → institutions only recognize BTC
Network-wide 24h liquidations ~37 million (mostly BTC), not a long squeeze but volume churning
Catalysts: 10/9 BTC+ETH options expiration, upcoming US inflation/PCE data, ETH Glamsterdam testnet progress
Trading rules:
Can't break 85k → don't chase, can reduce
Volume breakout above 86.9k → target 87.2k
Pullback to 84k / ETH 2.645k supported → hold
Break below 83.1k / ETH 2.63k → turn weak, reduce leverage
$BTC $ETH Rotation is more important than a single bullish candle
$BTC has reclaimed 86000 with volume expanding in sync, and the market heat has suddenly risen. $ETH and $ZEC follow closely behind, and previously quiet sectors are now taking turns to emerge. Funds are no longer just revolving around the leader but are seeking the next breakthrough in mainstream, AI, DeFi, privacy, and other directions.
This structure is more interesting than a simple rally. It means sentiment is recovering, capital is dispersing, and the market is willing to give more sectors opportunities. Bearish pressure also increases accordingly—after 86000 was lost and regained, if volume continues to rise and push upward, short holders will inevitably need to reassess their positions.
But a single bullish candle can only change sentiment, not necessarily the trend. The real focus should be on two points: whether trading volume can be sustained and whether the hotspots can spread from BTC to more sectors. If volume and price rise together and rotation takes over, the market may still have a second half; if BTC dances alone, more caution will be needed going forward.
The market is here; don’t just look at gains, also watch where the funds are going.
Personal observation, not investment advice.
#BTC现货ETF重回流入，ETH资金持续流出 #霍尔木兹仍未开放，OPEC+维持11月产量不变 $ETH
ETH surged 70% in three months
But liquidity dropped
This rally is a bit strange
Brothers
Ethereum was really strong in Q3
It surged about 70% in one go
Directly leaving Bitcoin's Q3 gain of about 42% behind
But there's a detail
I think it's more worth noticing than the 70% rise
The higher ETH goes
The thinner the order book gets
According to CoinGecko data
During Q3, ETH's median market depth was only 35%–45% of BTC's
Last year at the same time it was at least 60%
The shrinkage is very obvious
What does it mean?
Simply put
Previously, a 100-dollar buy or sell order could withstand a wave
Now maybe 50 dollars can push the price forward a bit
It did go up
But the order book's supporting funds have decreased
This looks good in a bull market
When the buy orders rush in
ETH can be quickly pushed up
But the opposite is also true
If someone really dumps
The drop could be even faster
And this doesn't mean ETH has no liquidity now
Within a 0.15% price range up or down
There is still about 13 to 14 million USD market depth
ETH's 70% surge this time
Did not bring a thicker order book simultaneously
This is quite strange
It's like a car running very fast
The engine is powerful
But the tires are thinner
If funds continue to pour in Q4
ETH can certainly keep charging
But once funds start to withdraw
The volatility amplified by thinner liquidity
Might be more exciting than the rise itself
No wonder Ethereum has been so crazy recently
Turns out there's a reason
So brothers
Don't be reckless with your hands