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$BTC, $ETH, $SOL, and $XRP represent four different cash flow categories. $BTC is the market confidence gauge; $ETH reflects ecosystem participation; $SOL is often sensitive to risk appetite; $XRP is strongly influenced by cash flow and its own narrative. When $BTC moves sideways, altcoins don't necessarily rise. Look for coins with improving volume, strong support, and clear breakouts. Buy orders should have predefined stop-loss points. Price increases without volume: prioritize partial profit-taking. Manage capital, wait for confirmation, and avoid FOMO when momentum is weak.This is so bizarre! It's the 13th day of shorting, and instead of a crash, this market is slowly grinding away half my life.
It's late at night, looking at these three grid orders, I sighed.
The original plan was to hold for half a month to a month, and now it's day 13. BTC is still hovering around 84000, ETH at 2680, and my short positions are stuck in this limbo.
It's really tough. Every day I watch the grid bot diligently arbitraging with red profits, but when I check the total returns: BTC is still down 5.49%, and ETH has just barely broken even with a 1% gain.
This market has been so strange lately. Despite the high US Treasury yields and so many bearish factors, once the PCE data came out, it pulled the market up. BTC and ETH have failed several times to break resistance levels, but they just won't crash as expected. It feels like all the bearish news was priced in early, even turning into bullish factors.
Tomorrow is the non-farm payrolls. Honestly, I feel very uncertain. I'm afraid the data will be a cold surprise and wipe me out, but also afraid of another short squeeze if "all bad news is good news" happens again.
No more adding to positions, no stop loss. Just holding on hard, waiting to get through tomorrow. Anyone else holding short positions and enduring this? Tonight is destined to be a sleepless night.
$BTC $ETH $SOL CT has only been listed for one day, and the market has already started a "roller coaster".
Yesterday, just entering the trading market, the price once surged above $0.48, then quickly fell back. Now CT is around $0.44, with a 24-hour trading volume exceeding $300 million.
What's more interesting is that CT is not lacking in trading.
On the contrary, trading is very active.
But the price falling from the high point indicates that early funds are undergoing intense turnover.
At this time, when looking at CT, you can't just focus on the price increase.
First, see if volume can pick up again near $0.48.
This is the previous high and currently the most direct price resistance.
Second, watch the support around $0.40.
If the volume significantly increases when pulling back here, it means the battle between bulls and bears is still ongoing.
Third, look at the contract funds.
Currently, CT perpetual contracts have an open interest of about $3.6 million, with an average funding rate negative, indicating that short-term short positions have a notable presence.
So the truly interesting part about CT now is:
The price has already experienced a round of intense volatility, but the market's price discovery is just beginning.
Look up to $0.48, down to $0.40.
The most exciting thing about new coins is often not the first big green candle.
But where the market ultimately leaves the price after the first wave of heat fades.
#加息预期推迟，9月非农成下一关键 #比特币ETF连续9日流入，ETH转流出 #美债收益率频创新高，长期利率压力未缓解 $CT $ETH is not suitable for playing big Bitcoin or Ethereum this week, especially if you want to catch a breakout early, wake up soon.
Don't wear down your principal by going up and down within this 3% fluctuation all week.
58000-78000-87000, the market has gone through two upward phases, and altcoins have been speculated from MEME to various DAT treasury-bought altcoins. The next phase doesn't show any new stories yet, so you can start to take a laid-back approach to the crypto market again. Volatility will gradually decrease, and altcoins won't be very smooth either.
If you're not an all-rounder in the whole market and can't trade US stocks, gold, or crude oil, then you should reduce leverage and withdraw some margin for defense.
In a bull market, cashing out more is better; don't complain about small profits, what you hold in hand is real.$ETH Stop pretending, Ethereum, is it fun to keep baiting longs?
Hurry up and crash, it's been oscillating all along, it can't even break 2730 this time, the highs keep going down.
The strange thing is the lows are also rising, staying around 2680, now it's compressing the oscillation range, at this time a big move is very likely.
If at this time it breaks below 2650, then the real show begins, most likely directly back to 2500, delicious.
$ZEC The once hot coin is no longer performing, known as the little Ethereum of the three coins, a star mining project, now also shaky.
In the past two days, the highest rebound was near 1490, it can't even reach 1500, very likely the small bull run is over.
Currently, short-term support is at 1350, this level is still consolidating, probably to unload without letting the price drop sharply.
This kind of miner coin won't drop all at once, be cautious, take profits and run, miners want to sell, mining machines need to be sold, this kind of continuous income.
Before the bull-bear reversal, the trend won't change. I believe this bull-bear reversal will happen when Ethereum breaks below the key 2100 level, breaking this support will shake bulls' confidence and continue the bear trend Tomorrow's nonfarm payrolls and unemployment rate, I'm still bearish here. From the small nonfarm payrolls, PCE earlier this week to today's ISM and S&P data, there's no need to elaborate much; let's look at it from another angle. On the spending and output side, it's clearly supply not meeting demand. With the same demand, input costs are real, but output hasn't kept up, so prices are naturally pushed a bit higher, which is another side of inflation.
Regarding the unemployment rate, the US economy is still expanding while the global economy is slowing down. US manufacturing is recovering, employment numbers won't be low, and imported employment is also increasing, so the unemployment rate won't deviate much; nonfarm payrolls will most likely increase. Trump is now unreliably shouting about expanding economic employment and super intelligence; as long as manufacturing recovers, supply-demand imbalance will ease slightly, inflation might drop a bit, but short-term pain remains and prices are still high. So I still see a 70% probability of a rate hike in October. If there's no rate hike, inflation will be like a short position check hanging over Powell's head, with no value realized. $BTC $ETH #加息预期推迟，9月非农成下一关键 #比特币ETF连续9日流入，ETH转流出 #美债收益率频创新高，长期利率压力未缓解 Today, Liuda E saw two completely opposite pieces of news. First: Citigroup has sharply raised its 12-month BTC price target from $82,000 to $113,000. ETH price target has been raised from $2,240 to $3,028. The reasons are increased on-chain activity, an improved macro environment, and ETF funds flowing back. Second: This afternoon, oil prices suddenly surged, Brent crude returned to $100, and both US oil and Brent oil rose more than 2%. Gold and silver plunged, while BTC's gains narrowed to $83,300. In the past 24 hours, over 80,000 people were liquidated across the market. One called for a rise to $113,000, the other said inflation is coming back. Who should you trust? Let's first look at Citigroup's logic. Citi analysts say that considering three dimensions: on-chain activity, macro environment, and ETF capital flows. In Q3, BTC rose 43%, surpassing the Nasdaq and S&P 500 and leading gold by a wide margin. ETF funds are flowing back, and advisors and brokers are increasing their BTC allocations. These are all facts. But Citigroup's target price is 12 months, not tomorrow. Now let's look at oil prices. What does Brent at $100 mean? It means that input inflationary pressure is returning. The Fed just raised prices by 25 basis points in September, and the dot plot says there will be another increase by year-end. If oil prices keep rising and inflation doesn't come down, the probability of another increase in October or December will increase. In trading psychology, there's a concept called "expectation gap." Institutional target prices are based on current information, but market prices are determined by current sentiment and capital. Citi said $113,000, but not at allPause in rate hikes ≠ liquidity easing
As long as US Treasury yields remain high
Money is still expensive, and risk assets are under pressure
What really matters for BTC is not what the Fed says
But when US Treasury yields truly start to decline$CAP I basically sold this coin too early 😭
The price just surged to around 0.084, having climbed steadily from about 0.064 earlier today, with a significant increase. Chasing it now is most likely to result in the right direction but getting stopped out by a pullback first.
① Why I think CAP still has potential
It’s not just a Meme driven purely by sentiment.
CAP focuses on on-chain credit, stablecoins, and yield. The protocol itself has real TVL and active funds running through it. This sector also taps into narratives like stablecoins, RWA, and on-chain lending.
So as long as the protocol’s funds keep growing, CAP at least has fundamental support; it’s not just a pump-and-dump.
② The current price structure isn’t bad either
There was resistance around 0.078 before, which has now been broken.
After such a breakout, what I want to see most is whether 0.078–0.08 can flip from resistance to support.
If the price pulls back to this range and buyers step in quickly to hold it, that means the breakout is valid, and I’ll remain bullish.
③ Why I’m not buying directly right now
Because it’s already risen about 30% today.
Chasing at this level means heavy short-term profit-taking pressure. Even if CAP can still rise later, it’s very likely to first drop to shake out those chasing the highs.
Also, this rally is more about capital rotation; there’s no particularly strong new positive news, and the price has run ahead of the protocol’s data in the short term.
④ If I were to open a position now, I’d wait for two scenarios
If the pullback to 0.078–0.08 holds steady, I’d consider being bullish.
Or if it breaks and holds above 0.085 with volume, then I’d follow the breakout.
If it falls back below 0.075 and can’t recover, I’d avoid buying for now, as that would be a false breakout.
So I’m not ignoring CAP.
This coin has fundamentals, a narrative, and a small market cap, so it’s very responsive when funds flow in.
But the most important thing now isn’t "whether to buy," but to avoid buying right after a 30% intraday surge where you’re most likely to get shaken out.$ZEC
Lately, looking at ZEC again, it really feels like its character has changed.
Before, this guy often didn’t follow the overall market pattern; $BTC and $ETH’s ups and downs didn’t affect it much, it ran its own course. But recently, it’s clearly started to sync with the market trend. Wherever the market moves, $ZEC follows, its independence is weakening.
This change is worth being cautious about. If you continue trading $ZEC, you can’t just watch its own trend; you also have to keep an eye on the rhythm of $BTC and $ETH.
Actually, there’s another interesting phenomenon recently. I wonder if anyone else has noticed that some Hong Kong celebrities have suddenly started hustling for money more frequently? Names like Joey Wong, Daniel Wu, and Edison Chen—don’t they seem to be appearing more and more often lately?
A while ago, I found it strange that even in my small hometown county, you could see Hong Kong stars promoting things. Looking back now, it doesn’t seem so hard to understand.
The market always has its own cycles. For ordinary people, the most important thing isn’t to chase opportunities everywhere but to first protect their own wallets.
Whether $ZEC will regain an independent trend now still needs further observation. Don’t rush to guess; first see if its correlation with the overall market can continue.
#加息预期推迟，9月非农成下一关键 It might be "alarmist," or perhaps a bit of "unnecessary worry."
$ETH $BTC prices are fluctuating between 2600-2700 and 82000-85000.
The AI "bubble" seems like a dark cloud hovering over the market. When it will "pour rain" is worth watching. It can be expected that when it arrives, the overall crypto market as well as assets like $QQQ and SPY may experience panic-driven declines.
It’s necessary to mention the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision: on one hand, long-term rates have risen to 5.6%, but the rate level remains between 3.75%-4%. Another period to mention is the internet bubble era around 2000-2002, when the Fed’s interest rate peaked at 6.5%, bursting the internet bubble.
Nasdaq then plunged 74% over a period. During the market downturn, most people thought it was just a correction. The investment habits cultivated on Wall Street made people believe it was only a "temporary pullback." Besides the harmed mortgage investors and leveraged investors, many internet companies collapsed. These companies were abandoned by the market due to lack of profits, triggering panic selling.
So how far are we from the AI bubble? Will it lead crypto into a deep bear market? At present, some call this the "early" stage, like the internet era in 1998, and AI today is not as hot as during the internet bubble period.
@OKX星球 @可乐Cola_OKX Tron Inc. buys TRX for 252 consecutive days, holding 716.8M tokens
Justin Sun's Nasdaq-listed treasury company keeps buying TRX daily under an $18 million dollar-cost averaging plan
Most New Year’s resolutions are dead by February. Tron Inc.’s is still going strong in October.
The Nasdaq-listed company, which trades under the ticker TRON, has bought TRX every day for 252 consecutive days as of October 1, 2026. That streak has pushed its treasury to more than 716.8 million tokens.
$TRX CRYPTO MARKET UPDATE
BTC is around $84K after briefly touching $85K.
But macro is pushing back:
ETF demand remains strong
Treasury yields are rising
Oil > $100
Dollar is strengthening
Key levels:
→ $85K resistance
→ $82K support
The bigger question:
Can crypto demand overpower tighter macro conditions?
Watching BTC, ETF flows, ETH/SOL strength, yields & the dollar.
$BTC $ETH $SOL
#RateHikeDelayedJobsNext 🟡 THE MAIN BATTLE: $84.9K–$85.6K
This is the area I’m watching most closely.
BTC has already tested the mid-$85K region recently, but the important question now isn't whether Bitcoin can wick above $85K. It is whether price can close above it and turn that resistance into support.
The current technical map puts the first resistance near $84.9K, followed by $86.3K–$86.8K. Above that, the next major technical area is around $87.4K–$87.9K.
#RateHikeDelayedJobsNext #BTCInflowETHOutflow In my opinion, $BTC is more profitable than forming LPs. A simpler method is
Gold between 4000 and 4100
Bitcoin below 75,000
Open a 3x leverage, hold for at least a year
If your principal is at least two to three hundred thousand,
it's very rewarding
Some group members asked me if ordinary people should pursue a high win rate
Since they are ordinary people, why should they have a high win rate?
The secret for ordinary people to make big money
Heavy positions, low leverage, long holding, good targets This is really dangerous now,
not only ETH, but all 12 BTC ETF products have also started net outflows.
Yesterday, it was said that on the 29th, ETH ETF ended a seven-day net inflow streak and began net outflows.
Looking at today's data, none of the 12 BTC ETF products had net inflows yesterday, ending a nine-day net inflow streak;
This is actually a very dangerous signal,
because a large part of this rally was supported by institutional funds,
now institutions are starting to withdraw and defend, combined with high U.S. Treasury yields, a relatively strong dollar, and the retreat of external buying in risk assets, which may cause this rally to collapse directly.
However, fortunately, last week's large inflows have not been fully withdrawn yet, and BTC ETF still had net inflows in the past five days,
so it cannot yet be called a crash signal, only that high-level funds are shifting from offense to defense.
In terms of operations, it is recommended to reduce leverage first and not chase breakouts.
$BTC: Resistance above $85,000, reduce positions again if $82,500 is lost, do not add leverage on rebounds.
$ETH: Consider weak if it cannot hold $2,600, reduce positions on rebounds, do not catch the first drop.
As for altcoins, when ETFs and major coins turn out together, altcoins usually fall later and deeper, leaving only the mainstream with volume; cut illiquid small coins, and reduce contract leverage to a level that can be held overnight.
One day of outflow does not determine the top, but the first bearish candle after continuous inflows ends is worth shifting positions from offense to defense. #比特币ETF连续9日流入，ETH转流出 #加息预期推迟，9月非农成下一关键 10u position Week 2
First NEAR short position (in progress)
Still following the four principles for opening a position
1. Do not open a position if it is not a key support or resistance level
Observing Chart 1, the 1h chart of NEAR shows a strong resistance level around 5.4, so when it reaches 5.4 again, observe the formation of a small double top and a pullback to EMA20, meeting the conditions for opening a short position
2. Do not open a position without a signal
After the small double top appears, a short signal candle emerges and follows well
3. Do not open a position if a stop loss cannot be found
The stop loss is near the double top at 5.4
4. Do not open a position if the stop loss is too large or the risk-reward ratio is too small
The take profit is near the start of the uptrend at 4.5, with a risk-reward ratio of 6:1 📰 【Live Update: Bitcoin hovers around $84,000 ahead of Friday's US jobs report】
BTC is stuck at this level waiting for macro data, and the market sentiment is a bit conflicted. Those chasing small gains keep interacting, while the Meme crowd tends to pump and dump quickly. Don't get too hyped before the data drops; save your position size and Gas fees. Are you grinding through tasks this week, or waiting to see the data first? 👇👇👇
$BTC $ETH $LINK woc turned negative again
$BTC don't treat me like this
I believe you will drop back down
-11.04U
BTC rebounded from 82918 to 84444
Up more than 1500 points
Short-term trend turned bullish
That recent surge
Was indeed a bit fierce
Short positions got passive
Either hold or leave.
If holding
Set stop loss at 85400
Don't hold stubbornly
If leaving
This rebound of BTC
Volume is not large
Resistance above 84000 still exists
If it can't break through 85000
Most likely it will come down again
Turned negative again
Uncomfortable
But stop loss not hit
Hold a bit longer
If it breaks 85000
Stop loss and leave
Don't fight it hard
BTC
You better drop back down for me
#比特币ETF连续9日流入，ETH转流出
#交易之声：你的经验值得被听到 $BTC, $BNB, and $AVAX can represent three different perspectives: BTC looks at whether the overall market can hold support, BNB looks at the existing funds within the market, and AVAX looks at the multi-chain DeFi ecosystem funds. Observing these three coins together, rather than just focusing on the rise and fall of a single coin, helps distinguish whether it is a broad market rally or an independent single-chain rally.
#加息预期推迟，9月非农成下一关键
#比特币ETF连续9日流入，ETH转流出
#美债收益率频创新高，长期利率压力未缓解 Single Coin Contract Fluctuation｜Last 15 Minutes
$SOON is rising, with active buying and selling close, and positions shrinking simultaneously: fifteen-minute price +0.12%, active buying 45.9%, position volume -2.03%. Short-term price is relatively strong, but the signal for increased positions following the rise has not yet formed.Post-quantum cryptography upgrades are a long-term must for Ethereum. Once quantum computers mature, the existing signature systems will become invalid. The community is already proactively researching corresponding EIP proposals. $ETH $ZEC slid from 1697 down to 1409, still dreaming of going back to 2000? First, let's look at the current reality.
On-chain signals are very clear: whales are accelerating their exit. On September 28, a large holder directly placed a limit sell order for 15,000 ZEC, dumping about 23 million USD; on September 29, another address liquidated 25,001 coins, bought at 425 USD, pocketing about 27 million USD in profit.
The ETF side is also retreating. Grayscale ZCSH saw a net outflow of 30.24 million yesterday, marking the largest single-day outflow in history, basically returning all previous inflows.
The macro environment is also unfavorable. The October 2 non-farm payroll expectation is only 84,000, far below the previous 162,000, compounded by PCE data. Once economic data weakens, risk assets usually bear the pressure first.
In terms of operation: around the current price of 1409, you can lightly try shorting, with a stop loss at 1460. The first target is 1355; if it breaks below, continue to watch 1300. Keep position size within 20%, leverage no more than 10x. #比特币ETF连续9日流入，ETH转流出 【ETH Market Snapshot】Current price 2677, basis -1.47%, long-short ratio 1.48, funding rate 0.008%. Futures discount combined with still crowded longs, derivatives structure biased bearish. Price broke below SMA7 (2691), currently stuck above EMA12 (2658), short-term entering a critical watershed. Active buy-sell ratio is weak, ETF inflows slow down, spot incremental volume insufficient; but open interest contracts dropped to low levels, leverage clearing is relatively thorough, limiting the depth of a sharp decline. Today's focus: breaking below 2658 likely tests 2629, extreme case 2597; if volume recovers above 2691, then there is a chance to challenge 2747-2780. Strategy: do not chase longs, wait for support confirmation or breakout signals. Under low OI, the market may drift down with oscillation rather than a waterfall drop. Risk warning: control position size, avoid high leverage. For reference only, not investment advice.Dormant coins suddenly move, first distinguish between transfer and sale
When long-dormant $ETH is transferred, the market often immediately associates it with early holders preparing to cash out. However, on-chain data can only confirm that the asset changed addresses; it cannot determine the final intent based on a single transfer. Self-custody upgrades, inheritance arrangements, custody migrations, and staking operations can all reactivate old coins.
What truly requires caution is when dormant coins continuously enter known exchanges and are followed by spot selling pressure. If it’s just internal address transfers, the price reaction is usually short-lived. When observing such signals, the destination, splitting method, and subsequent holding time are more important than how many years the original address was dormant.
The cost basis of old addresses cannot be simply calculated by the earliest acquisition price. During this period, off-chain transfers, changes in custody relationships, or ownership replacements may have occurred. The on-chain address not changing does not guarantee the holder hasn’t changed. Age data can describe the coins but cannot answer the holder’s motivation.
If the coins continue to stay long-term after transfer, the market’s initial panic is often just pricing unknown motives and does not correspond to real selling pressure.
Old coins waking up is worth watching, but before heading to exchanges, they have not yet cast their vote.Account drawdown is brutal lately. I keep overtrading—shorted $ZEC right at the top. At this point, let the alts go to zero. 💀#IranUSDealStandoff #BTCInflowETHOutflow #RateHikeDelayedJobsNext Bitcoin's leverage has just dropped to its lowest level since 2026
Bitcoin's price is still around $84,000, but Bitcoin futures open interest has fallen to this year's lowest level
Over the past month, the market surged, but traders have not significantly increased leverage again
This is very different from the previous rapid rise scenarios
Usually, price increases + rapid growth in open interest mean more leveraged positions joining
But this time, a large amount of excess leverage was cleared, and Bitcoin still retained most of its gains
Meanwhile, the 30-day implied volatility for Bitcoin and Ethereum remains near the 2026 low, indicating options traders are not pricing in particularly drastic volatility
This "price rise without added leverage + low volatility" situation is better than the previous "immediate leverage buildup after a rise" market structure, making sudden chain liquidations and crashes less likely
This also indirectly shows the market is currently calmer with low leverage, possibly more stable in the short term, but it also means the upward momentum might not be as strong as we imagine
#星球日报 Finally, let's wrap up with the news and what needs to be observed next. Tonight's US data is out, so here's a summary of the results. All times are Taiwan time. 1. At 8:30 PM, initial jobless claims were 197,000, below the expected 200,000, and the previous value was revised to 198,000; Continued claims were 1.701 million, also below the expected 1.725 million. The job market remains relatively stable. 2. At 10 PM, the ISM manufacturing index was 54.5, slightly lower than the expected 55.0 and the previous value of 54.6. However, the price breakdown jumped to 77.9, compared to the previous 71.1. The market originally expected only 72 to 73, close to March's 78.3. Additionally, employment was 52.7 and new orders were 55.3, both better than last month; Construction spending rose 0.9% month-over-month, also above expectations. Overall, the economy has not worsened, but price pressures have become more pronounced. At 9:45 p.m., another manufacturing PMI also showed a surge in new orders and rising prices, reaching their highest level since May 2022. 3. U.S. Treasuries and U.S. Stocks. Around 11:30 p.m., the yield on 2-year U.S. Treasuries fell about 7 basis points to 4.814%, and the 10-year yield at about 5.272%, with yields temporarily retreating. U.S. stocks opened slightly higher, with the Nasdaq up about 0.46%, software stocks hitting a 10-month high, while financial stocks weakened. 4. Oil prices and Iran. Brent crude oil climbed back above 100 per barrel in the afternoonLet's summarize what you can do in terms of trading. Tonight, initial unemployment claims and ISM manufacturing have both been announced. Bitcoin only fluctuated between 83,400 and 84,300 all night, and other coins didn't see much volatility. My view is similar to before: everyone should enter the market according to price levels, take profits, or stop losses. Below are the price levels of five coins, all daily charts. [Bitcoin] direction: Go long, go long between 83,000 and 83,500. At the current price, put a small portion first. Take profit at 86,000, add on pullbacks, 81,000, defend against 78,000. The daily moving average is still near the CHoCH line from the May high. Today's range is 83,136.6 to 84,379.8, with a longer lower shadow. [Ethereum] direction: In the middle, wait for 2,780 on both sides to look for short positions (no separate short stop loss, risk control yourself). Small volume test at 2,650, add at 2,600, long position stop loss if it falls below 2,400. On the daily chart, 2,780 is a weak high, and below 2,360 to 2,510 is blue support. The current price at 2,675 is just in the middle. [Solana] direction: Short positions near 120, waiting for a rebound to add positions at 125, exiting at 125. At the 140-day line, 125 is weak high; Today's high is 119.58, not yet at the short position level. The funding rate is still negative; watch for a short squeeze rebound, which is exactly where we are waiting. [Dog📊 $ZEC Valuation — Hype vs. Fundamentals
The leading privacy coin, $XMR, is trading around $540, while $ZEC has surged to roughly $1,400.
So what’s driving ZEC this high?
A big part of the move appears to be ETF expectations and strong market sentiment. But sentiment can fade, and once the initial benefits are priced in, the market may start looking more closely at fundamentals.
#DailyOrbit Let's take a look at Ripple. My view on Ripple remains unchanged—bullish, based on the price level. Tonight, a piece of news directly related to Ripple has been confirmed, which I'll add below. Ripple price range: ★ Long position: around ★ 1.5. First target: 1.57, second target 1.63. ★ Increase position: 1.45, or a bit lower at 1.4. ★ Stop loss: 1.3. If you can't hold it, exit. Let's talk about the news first. Earlier, we mentioned the acquisition of Evernorth. At around 10 p.m., crypto media The Block confirmed that Armada II shareholders had already voted to approve the merger. After the transaction, Evernorth expects to receive about $300 million in cash and holds approximately 473 million XRP, expected to be completed on October 7, after which it will be listed on Nasdaq under the ticker symbol XRPN. The previous article marked this as pending confirmation, but now there is an official report. The significance of this news is: with an additional listed company treating XRP as its main asset, it will be a long-term boost to demand. However, in the short term, after the news came out, the price did not react significantly. Don't chase at the current price just because of good news; it's better to return to the price level. Regarding the price position, Ripple is currently around 1.48. In the past 24 hours, OKX has been trading between 1.4729 and 1.5136, meaning it has been moving around our 1.5 long position level. It has already entered near 1.5Let's take a look at the Dogecoin section. The outlook for Dogecoin is similar, leaning bearish; no rush until the price reaches the target. Tonight's data and chip information will be added below. Dogecoin price levels: ・Short entry: 0.1. ・Add to short: 0.11. ・Stop loss exit: 0.12. Dogecoin is currently around 0.094, about 6% away from the 0.1 short entry price. In the past 24 hours, OKX's high was 0.09608 and low was 0.09341, with a daily amplitude of less than 3%. Two US data releases tonight also did not push it out of this small range. This kind of low volume, directionless market is the easiest to make people itchy-handed, but it's still far from our price levels, so the best action is to do nothing. Some may ask, since the price is close to the 0.09309 line, if it breaks below, should we directly chase shorts? My view is no. After breaking below, the nearest blue zone below is around 0.08, which seems to have space, but chasing in from 0.093 with a stop loss still at 0.12 means the risk and reward are completely disproportionate. Our short positions are designed at rebound points: enter at 0.1, add at 0.11, with stop loss above the strong high point; only then does it make sense. No rebound, no position—this is also a form of discipline. Technical aspect, daily chart. This chart is drawn over a longer period; the highest point at the beginning of the year was near 0.15, hitting the red selling pressure zone between 0.145 and 0.150, then falling all the way back. The current strong high point above (Strong Hig$SNDK rose from 1710.3 to 1797 in 3 minutes, then pulled back all the way after the surge, currently priced at 1734.5. A sharp short-term rally pushed the price up, but the bulls couldn't hold it, turning into a high-level oscillation pullback, currently holding the base position.
Now watching whether the low-level support can hold after the high point of 1797. The price is holding above 1721.1, not completely breaking the low of this rebound, but the pressure around 1766.7 above has been repeatedly tested without breaking through, with selling pressure persisting above.
The position is very clear. The short-term resistance zone is between 1766.7 and 1797 above the head; only by stabilizing here again can the rebound have room to continue upward. The first support below is at 1721.1; if broken, the current rebound structure weakens, further testing the lower 1698.1.
Regarding positions, do not add long positions just because of a low-level rebound, nor add short positions directly due to the pullback after the surge. Whether this rebound can strengthen again depends on whether it can break through 1766.7 or if the 1721.1 support will be broken.Let's take a look at Solana. The view on this coin remains unchanged—still bearish, waiting for a rebound based on the price level. After tonight's data is released, here are the latest chips and news. Solana price level: ■ Short position: Around 120, wait for it to rebound before entering. ■ Add position: 125. ■ Stop loss: 140. First, let's talk about the most noteworthy aspect tonight: the chips. At 11:40 PM on OKX, the coin's funding rate was about -0.0041%, slightly lower than in the evening, indicating that in perpetual contracts, short sellers paid to bulls, making short positions crowded; However, the ratio of long-short positions was as high as 1.94, meaning there were more long accounts. With a relatively short position and a large number of accounts, it's more like big players shorting while retail investors are buying. Open interest is about 2.95 million tokens, roughly 1% less than in the evening. This combination has two sides. One side is crowded short positions, making it easy for prices to rebound from a short squeeze; The other is that retail investors are buying more, and after the rebound, they are often sold off. For us, it's just right: don't chase short positions at 117, wait for it to bounce to 120 or even 125 before re-entering, and use others' rebounds to exchange for better short positions. But what if it doesn't rebound and just goes down? Then let it go. If the price hasn't reached that level, it's not really our trade, so there's no need to chase short positions at low levels just because we missed out. The current price at 117 is still some distance from the support between 96 and 102, but only about three units away from 120. If you chase here, stop loss at 140$WLD has fallen to the point where the most common misconception is: the more it falls, the cheaper it must be.
Both the 1-hour and 4-hour charts are weak, with RSI values of 18 and 45 respectively. Oversold conditions can explain the demand for a rebound but cannot alone prove a trend reversal; price first stopping at a new low is more convincing than any statement like "it can't fall further."
The current price is 0.4841, about 0.70% above the 1-hour support at 0.4807, and about 13.22% below the resistance at 0.5481. The space is not determined by sentiment; ultimately, it depends on which of these two boundaries is effectively broken first.
My observation is clear: only by reclaiming and holding above 0.5481 can the short-term initiative be considered regained; if it breaks below 0.4807, then attention should shift to the 4-hour support at 0.4663. If pressure continues above, the 4-hour resistance at 0.5712 is only a distant reference for now, not a preset target.
Will you treat oversold as a signal to rebound, or wait to acknowledge a turning point after the structure stops falling?
The market is volatile; the above is only a market observation and does not constitute investment advice. This is from Coin Circle NiuNiu.Micron delivers a high score, so why isn't the market buying it?
$MU Micron's performance and guidance both exceeded expectations. The recently announced Q4 FY2026 revenue was $54.229 billion, a year-over-year increase of about 379%; adjusted EPS was $33.42, higher than the market expectation of $31.61. The revenue forecast was about $51.07 billion, and the actual performance also clearly surpassed it. The strength of AI storage demand has already translated into profits.
The next quarter guidance is even more optimistic: revenue guidance of $60 billion to $63 billion, with a midpoint of $61.5 billion, above the market expectation of $57.02 billion; adjusted EPS guidance midpoint of $38.15 also exceeds the expected $35.40. Management also stated that most of the high-bandwidth memory output for 2027 is already covered by agreements. For the storage industry chain, this guidance provides new grounds for continued demand.
But you can't just look at the biggest numbers in the earnings report. The adjusted gross margin for the next quarter is expected to be 86.25%, slightly lower than this quarter's 87%; the company is also preparing to increase capital expenditures for FY2027. Expanding production helps secure orders but also increases capital investment, so future free cash flow, capacity ramp-up, and depreciation pressure all need to be considered together. Continued revenue growth does not mean every profitability metric will improve.
My interpretation is somewhat positive, but I won't directly translate the earnings beat into a guaranteed stock price rise. Hynix $SKHYNIX and SanDisk $SNDK are still flat and not moving much 😂😂 Looks like we need to be patient for a while longer; time will prove the storage sector's strength 😁Let's take a look at the Ethereum section. My view on Ethereum is similar to before, still in the middle of the range, so it's not very suitable to open positions here. After tonight's data is released, everyone should follow the price levels below to enter, take profits, or cut losses. Ethereum price levels: ↑ around 2,780: If it rebounds here, you can look for shorts. There is no separate stop loss for short positions here; please handle according to your own risk management. ↓ 2,650 area: If it pulls back, you can try going long on small volumes. ↓ 2,600: Add to your long position. ✖ If it falls below 2,400: stop loss on long positions. The biggest Ethereum news tonight is that Citibank raised its target price for Ethereum over the next 12 months from $2,240 to $3,028, citing market activity recovery and renewed ETF inflows. This is the institutional view of the next year, not tomorrow's price. The plan we have is based on the current range over the past few days; the two things do not conflict. Long-term optimism is advisable; short-term trading should focus on the 2,780 and 2,650 price ranges. Why is it said to be in the middle right now? Ethereum's current price is around 2,675, about 100 points above 2,780, and only about twenty points below 2,650. Over the past 24 hours, OKX's range was 2,666 to 2,721, meaning it fluctuated between these two prices all day. Chasing long positions at this level has limited room upside; Chasing short positions means the price just above the test long price level means the cost-effectiveness for entering the market is poor. A better approach is to think through both orders first,$ETH whale Maji just cut 231 $BTC.
Still holding ~35K $ETH at a ~$2,673 entry, worth ~$94.8M. $BTC is down from ~500 to ~269 coins.
$HYPE holdings unchanged—looks like he’s in it for the long haul. 📈#RateHikeDelayedJobsNext #BTCInflowETHOutflow #USTreasuryYieldsClimb $OKB now ~$121 after ICE (NYSE parent) took a strategic stake in OKX at a $25B valuation.
Total supply locked at 21M after a 65.2M burn no more minting. Whale wallets quietly accumulated 128K OKB (~$8.5M) ahead of the news.
Resistance $125, support $108. Break above $125 opens $130+. Your read?
$OKB $HYPE hasn't broken the trend; it's just catching its breath below the previous high.
Current price is $88–89, about 10% below the September 23 high of $98. It dropped about 4% in 7 days, but still up about 7% in 30 days, roughly 3.5 times higher year-to-date. This is the first decent pullback in a strong trend, not a reversal.
The order book isn't overwhelmed either. Perpetual positions are about $1.9 billion, funding rate roughly +11% annualized, longs are paying, but it's far from extreme. ETFs were still buying last week, but started selling this week; those chasing highs are pulling out first.
Upside targets are $92, then $98. If it can't hold $92, expect a range between $87–92. Breaking below $84 ends the consolidation, next support is at $80.
If tomorrow's non-farm payrolls bring back the October rate hike expectations, high-beta HYPE will get hit first. Holding $84 keeps the narrative alive; breaking it pauses this year's legend. Which side are you on? 【On-Chain Trading Update｜BTC】
Monitored address 0x24fb opened a long position:
▪ Execution price: 83,921 USD
▪ Transaction amount this time: 839,210 USD
▪ Leverage: 16x
Note: This address has earned over 253,000 USD in profit in the past 30 days, with a return rate of +10.18% Let's take a look at Bitcoin. The current view is similar: everyone should enter according to price levels, take profits, or stop losses. Both US data points have been released tonight, so this article will add the latest information and then discuss how to view Bitcoin going forward. To start with the conclusion: after the data came out, Bitcoin's reaction was actually quite subdued and did not change our plan. Bitcoin price level: ▶ Open long: between 83,000 and 83,500, main positions here. ▶ Current price: You can try a light position first. ▶ Target: 86,000. ▶ Increase position: 81,000. ▶ Defense: 78,000. Looking at tonight's trend, all are Taiwan time, OKX 15-minute K-line. At 8:30, initial jobless claims were announced, and that candlestick barely moved, closing at 83,856; Between 9:00 and 9:30, it was sold to 83,413, which was tonight's low; At 9:30, after the US market opened, it pulled back to around 83,900; At 10:30, the ISM chart fluctuated over 200 points up and down, closing at 83,765; Then it gradually rose, reaching 84,298 at 10:30, and at 11:00 it hovered around 84,000. The entire night's range was below 900 points. What does flatness mean? It means the market wasn't too surprised by these two data, with bulls and bears waiting for Friday's nonfarm payroll release. At times like this, the price slowly scrapes near the upper edge of the open area, which actually benefits us: if it really returns to 83,000 to 83,500, just follow the plan; If it hasn't come back$BTC 📊
BTC sets the liquidity direction. ETH shows whether the move has follow-through, while PAXG can signal a shift toward defensive positioning.
The key metrics to watch remain price, volume, and open interest (OI).
🟢 BTC holds + ETH confirms → 🚀 Broader market strength could develop.
🟡 BTC holds + ETH diverges → Selective strength, with capital remaining concentrated in certain assets.
#DailyOrbit The tower crane arm is already stuck at the top level of the 90,000 mark, and all the contractors standing on this cantilever beam are reluctant to come down.
When they first entered the site wearing safety helmets, they agreed to just do a short job, plaster one layer of cement, and then leave. But it ended up with a 20% floating loss turning into mid-line main construction, a 50% floating loss turning into a long-term topping-off celebration. Now standing in the strong wind at over 80,000, I have become a firm "century project quality guardian." It's not that I don't want to jump down from the scaffolding, but if I jump down, I won't even have enough money to buy a safety net.
Look at the concrete grade in front of us, $BTC is muddling around near 83926.2. The upper Bollinger Band at 84263 is like the load-bearing beam of the top slab, pressing down hard; the middle band at 83794 is barely acting as a cushion layer, and the lower band at 83325 is the final settlement joint.
RSI is oscillating at 51.8, the mortar mix is neither thick nor thin, neither collapsing nor solidifying. Those boasting about high-tech blueprints might as well check how many piles have been driven into the foundation below. Since I'm deeply stuck on the top floor in the wind, I might as well consider myself working on a long-term municipal project. Although the foundation is shoddy, as long as the beam hasn't completely broken, I can stubbornly say this is maintenance work.
- Target: $BTC 🔴
- Entry: 83900 - 84300
- TP1: 83325
- TP2: 82500
- SL: 84600
The cement on this floor slab hasn't even solidified yet; stepping on it produces hollow echoes. 🏗️
#CoinMoveAlertThe Bitcoin pump-and-dump manipulators have been tugging at me nonstop; this roller coaster ride is making me nauseous!😵💫
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【A glance at today's account is basically an ECG】
Today's profit curve really has me ground down repeatedly:
Within a single day, huge ups and downs, pulling back and forth. The manipulators do it on purpose—first giving you hope, then despair, and finally a little light to make you reluctant to leave.
【Current position】
Still holding onto my BTC long position stubbornly; that recent sharp drop almost forced me out. Luckily, I didn’t cut losses, and now the price has bounced back—not only breaking even but making a small profit.
But I’m not happy at all.
This "pump half, dump half" market is clearly the manipulators testing retail traders’ psychological limits. If you hold on, they give you some profit; if you can’t, you obediently hand over your chips.
I’m numb to it now.
My account dropped from 17,000 in the morning to 14,000, then back up to 17,000. The manipulators are playing with me like teasing a monkey.
I have only one thought now: keep pumping; once it hits 85,000, I’ll take profit immediately and walk away, no greed.
This time, I won’t fight it to the death. I’ll take this profit and run.
$BTC
#交易之声：你的经验值得被听到 Rate-hike expectations have eased, so September NFP is now the next key catalyst.
$BTC keeps chopping between 82.8K–84.5K, while $ETH ranges around 2.66K–2.72K. No clear breakout yet—just bulls and bears battling for control.
In this market, patience beats chasing. 📊
#BTC #ETH #比特币ETF连续9日流入
#RateHikeDelayedJobsNext #BTCInflowETHOutflow #USTreasuryYieldsClimb $ZEC just reminded me of one of the hardest trading lessons: a lot of small wins can disappear from one bad trade. 😭
I shorted around $600, but instead of dropping, ZEC pushed toward $800. It was a clear reminder of why stop-losses and disciplined position sizing matter so much.
Fortunately, I kept the position small, which helped limit the damage.
No adding capital. No revenge trading. No trying to win it back immediately.
#DailyOrbit $BTC I’m taking a light short here. 🩳
Funding is positive, OI is elevated, and everyone seems bullish—too crowded for me. This isn’t a long-term bearish call, just fading the current sentiment.
Stop above the previous high. If it breaks, I’m out. No fixed target—let the market decide. 📉#USTreasuryYieldsClimb #BTCInflowETHOutflow #RateHikeDelayedJobsNext $CT caught my attention, so I took a small short at a decent entry. Not going heavy with the funding still high.
$SOON didn’t give the setup today, while $XDP keeps grinding lower, making me hesitant to chase shorts.
That’s enough screen time for now—food first. 😄 Happy National Day!
#RateHikeDelayedJobsNext #BTCInflowETHOutflow #USTreasuryYieldsClimb $BTC BTC Technical Market 1. Candlestick structure: The daily chart maintains a medium-term upward channel, with medium- to long-term moving averages in a bullish alignment, and prices stably above MA50 and MA200; At the 4-hour level, the market has entered a high-level box consolidation, forming a continuation shakeout pattern with no reversal candlestick for increased volume. 2. Volume: Volume increases during the rally, while volume contracts significantly during the pullback phase, indicating a healthy adjustment; Spot ETF funds maintain net inflows, with institutional spot buying supporting the bottom; Contract trading volume is relatively high, and leveraged capital is actively competing, typical characteristics of the mid-bull market. 3. Indicators: The daily RSI is in a neutral range, with no extreme overbought status; The MACD is running above the zero axis, with red bars narrowing slightly, indicating slowing short-term upward momentum rather than a bearish trend. 4. Key Price Levels • Short-term strong support: 82,500, a tightly controlled support zone, holding this area with strong bullish structure. • Deep support: 77,000, the mid-term trend lifeline. If volume increases and this level is broken, the market will enter a deep correction. • First resistance: 86,500, trapped at previous highs; After breakout, the upper target is 96,700. 5. Futures market: Total network positions are at a moderate level, with relatively balanced long-short ratios, funding rates slightly positive, and no extreme one-way long positions; There is long leverage at high levels; if it falls below 82,500, it will trigger a chain of liquidations, driving a rapid market pullback. Market rotation prediction (BTC-driven logic) 1. Scenario A: BTC holds above 82,500, volume surges above 86,500, and the market will open a limit