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I took a look at last night's overall gains in the US stock market, and they were pretty good. QQQ rose 0.88%, Nvidia up 2.12%, Tesla up 2.20%, and the recent SPCX also surged wildly! A hot stock.
My favorite, Apple, actually dipped slightly by 0.24%. Storage stocks didn't keep up either; Micron fell 1.02%, SanDisk dropped 0.92%, and today South Korea's SK Hynix also fell in response.
There's a detail worth noting that I want to share with everyone:
In last night's ISM report, storage-related products have appeared on the price increase list for nine consecutive months, and memory modules and SSDs are still on the shortage list.
Supply and demand don't suddenly worsen just because the stock price fell for a day, but look at the stock prices—they have dropped quite a bit from their highs! However, price increases in goods don't guarantee that the stock price will rise today; the stock price hasn't moved.
Everyone understands this in theory, but when you actually buy in, you still hope it will rise quickly, rise immediately, and not just talk yourself through all these reasons. You end up reasoning every day, but trading really requires patience!$CL perpetual 50x short position, opened at 91.21, currently 88.45, floating profit +151.29%.
Didn't overthink it: the previous rebound lasted long enough, the 91.5 level was repeatedly confirmed as resistance, the top pattern is very clear. Entered as soon as a high-volume bearish candle appeared, following the trend, not emotions. 50x leverage, stop loss at 93. The drop was fast and steady, giving no chance for a second entry.
Locked in a safety buffer at 90 first. My personal judgment is that there will be a short-term bottom-fishing rebound around 85; then I'll decide whether to exit or hold based on volume, without guessing the bottom in advance. $XRP $HYPE #OKXNOW：开启全天候市场新时代 咦，国庆期间价格连续2次上冲，但均未新高，是不是涨不动了喔？后边到底要怎么看呢？ 个人认为，虽然多头趋势未变，但风险却在持续增加，多头的力量有所衰竭。如果还迟迟无法向上突破，那么迎来的，将会是向下强有力的调整。但要注意，调整并不意味着暴跌，或者连续下跌，重点看价格在下方支撑的表现。 眼下的关键压力位置，就是86000一线。如果价格想向上再次发动进攻，就需要再次突破86000一线，才有可能去完成最后一次向上突破的机会。所以说，如果你是短线空头，你的防守位置，就是86000一线附近。 那如果你是一个坚定的多头，你认为还会涨还会突破，可以，那下方的关键支撑位置，区间【84300-84500】，关注好，看看有没有你多头的机会。但要注意，如果这里失效，而多头的防守位置是83800一线，要是价格再击穿了这里，再伴随着空头持仓量的大幅上升，那短期的多头趋势，可能就要告一段落了。 其实在我看来，昨天的那一波上冲无果，多头力量就有点问题了。虽然跌，也确实没跌多少，但该强不强就是弱，也许调整比突破，要更早来一步也说不定。 总之，留给多头的时间不多矣。如果多头再拿不出个什么态度来，那就先下去了再说吧。 另外🚨 BITCOIN LEVERAGE IS HEAVILY IMBALANCED
A 10% drop from current levels could trigger $13B+ in long liquidations.
On the other side, a 10% rally would liquidate less than $4B in shorts.
That gap highlights just how heavily leveraged the market is toward longs.
The point isn’t to predict the next move — it’s to watch where the leverage is stacked.
杠杆越集中，市场波动往往越容易被放大。
Will BTC flush longs first, or squeeze shorts? 👀
#DailyOrbit #FedSeptemberMinutes #OKXNOW:24x7MarketEra $ZEC firmly short! The market hasn't moved much all day, and long positions have already withdrawn over 18 million in advance!
Yesterday, smart money had 282 million in long positions, but today it's down to 264 million. The number of long holders also dropped from 899 to 856, and the average long cost decreased from 1014 to 994, which means those who left were precisely the ones with the highest cost.
The price hasn't fallen, but longs are actively reducing their positions. This shows that these people weren't forced out by the market but felt the current level wasn't worth holding anymore. If they truly believed the market would rise, who would voluntarily pull out over 18 million of real money during a sideways market?
Long holders are quietly exiting themselves, so stop foolishly rushing in to be the bag holder. Short positions should be arranged quickly—short downwards!$SKHYNIX perpetual 50x short position, opened at 1377.9, currently at 1332.1, floating profit +166.19%.
Just betting on a top reversal: 1380 tested three times without breaking, volume decreasing stepwise, very typical top characteristics. Enter the market the moment the bearish candle crashes down, never guess the top prematurely. 50x leverage, stop loss at 1400. This wave moved very cleanly, almost no rebound.
For now, do nothing, let the bullet fly a while. Keep 1350 as the defense line to protect the principal, wait for a clear signal around 1300 before deciding to add or not, no rush. $BTC $ETH #OKXNOW：开启全天候市场新时代 $AEON is up 9.6% with around $1.8M displayed volume. That’s enough participation to keep it on my watchlist, but I don’t want to buy the current extension. I’m watching 0.0665–0.0680 for a pullback. If buyers defend it and reclaim 0.0695 with volume, I’d consider the long.
Entry: 0.0665–0.0680
Confirm: 0.0695 + volume
SL: 0.0645
TP1: 0.0720 | TP2: 0.0750 | TP3: 0.0790 | TP4: 0.0840
R:R: ~1:3 to TP3
A clean break below 0.0645 invalidates the setup. I’ll wait for confirmation.NEAR has reached 5.28. The first entry near 5 dollars yesterday has entered the second phase.
Yesterday, when NEAR climbed back above 5 dollars, my plan was:
Place the first entry between 5.00 and 5.08, and only consider adding a second entry after firmly holding above 5.15, with the first target at 5.35 to 5.40.
Now the price is around 5.28, and 5.15 has been secured, so I will not chase a large position again but will follow yesterday's plan: continue holding the first entry and only add the second entry as planned.
Today, there is a new development for NEAR: approximately 3.8 million dollars stolen from NEAR Intents has been recovered, which has clearly increased market attention.
However, after this positive news, what I care more about is whether the price can truly maintain its strength.
The next 5.35 to 5.40 remains my first area to reduce positions. When it reaches here, I will take some profits.
If it continues to break through 5.40, I will look at around 5.55 for the remaining positions.
Conversely, if it falls back below 5.15 and fails to recover for a long time, I will not increase my position.
Daring to start the first entry near 5 dollars yesterday and standing above 5.15 today means I will continue to execute according to the original plan.
I will keep following this position.
$NEAR $OKB perpetual 20x long position, opened at 120.24, now at 130.36, floating profit +168.33%.
The idea is very simple: the bottom consolidates with extremely low volume, volatility is crushed to the floor, indicating that the chips have settled. A single volume-increasing bullish candle directly pulls the price up from 120, a typical start signal, go long, not short. 20x leverage, stop loss at 118. The trend goes straight up, giving no comfortable entry point.
At this position, I plan to take profit on half of the position first, moving the stop loss of the remaining half up to 128 to let profits run. If 135 can be broken with volume, continue holding; if not, exit completely. $BTC $ETH #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 The more exaggerated the short-term performance, the more you need to pay attention to risk. These are all opportunistic unpreparedness; when you realize it, it means the main force is baiting and ready to pull the line!
What you should really focus on is steady growth, safely storing idle Q, and using Q to withdraw anytime!
In the past half month, the coin has repeatedly tried to break 8.8 but failed. Some say breaking 9.4 will lead to a major correction before 100k; others say a phase double top has appeared! Regardless of the outcome or who is right or wrong, it doesn't prove anyone is strong or weak!
I only know the coin is on the way to 100k, then 126k, then 150k, then 180k, even 200k, and that's enough.
I only know that the coin/m stocks/gold are the most worthy of spending time to befriend!
Everything else is just branches on this main rod!
When desire is too high, what you harvest is definitely disappointment/loss; when desire lowers, what you harvest may be satisfaction/surprise!
Steep cliffs stand tall, strength comes from desirelessness $BTC $MUBARAK perpetual 20x long position, opened at 0.063765, now at 0.069397, floating profit +176.64%.
The logic is simple: repeatedly bottoming around 0.064, each dip is quickly recovered, the wicks get shorter and shorter, and selling pressure clearly weakens. Once volume pushes above 0.068, confirming on the right side, enter more longs. 20x leverage, stop loss at 0.062. The rally is very smooth, no chance for a pullback.
Now move the stop loss to 0.068 to lock in profits. If volume breaks above 0.072, you can hold for more. $BTC $ETH #OKXNOW：开启全天候市场新时代 $BNB
For now, I’m not going long on BNB; I still treat this as a correction within a downtrend.
It has come down steadily from a high point, and the main trend hasn’t changed.
In the past few days, it’s been grinding back and forth at a low level, which looks like it’s trying to stabilize, but the rebound momentum is clearly weaker than the previous downtrend segment. So this so-called “ascending channel” I’m more inclined to see as a potential bear flag rather than a confirmed trend reversal.
Now the price has returned near the lower boundary of the channel, which is the key area to watch. If it holds and can reclaim a bit above, there’s a chance to push higher, even test the upper boundary of the channel.
What would really make me change my view is the structural resistance above that has been repeatedly tested but not broken. Until that level is reclaimed, I won’t have high expectations for this correction.
In short: watch the lower boundary for short-term strength or weakness, the previous low for the bulls’ survival, and the resistance above to decide if the trend has truly reversed!
#BTC巨鲸抛压减弱，ETF资金连续三周净流入 Technical Signal Interpretation
RSI 64.7, ADX 43.4: RSI is at a relatively high level but has not yet broken the 70 overbought threshold, ADX indicates the current trend remains strong. On the daily chart, Bitcoin is operating between resistance at 86,700, with room to break through 93,700; if $82,500 is lost, it may retest the 60,000 to 80,000 box range.
Options Market Skew Turns Bullish for the First Time in a Year: By mid-September, call options accounted for about 61.4% of total open interest, while put options accounted for 38.6%. One-week 25-delta call option demand has surpassed put options, indicating traders are betting on price increases. Calls expiring on October 30 are concentrated at the 95,000 strike price.
Derivatives Market Moderately Bullish: Binance perpetual contract funding rate is 0.0072%, OKX is 0.0034%, Hyperliquid is 0.0013%, all remain positive but have not risen significantly, showing bullish sentiment persists but long positions are not yet crowded. $BTC $ETH $ZEC #BTC巨鲸抛压减弱，ETF资金连续三周净流入 $HYPE perpetual 50x long position, opened at 89.463, now at 93.107, floating profit +203.65%.
The idea is very simple: the bottom consolidates with extremely low volume, volatility is crushed to the floor, indicating that the chips have settled. A single volume-increasing bullish candle directly pulls the price up from 89.5, a typical start signal, go long, not short. 50x leverage, stop loss at 88. The trend goes straight up, giving no comfortable entry point.
At this position, I plan to take profit on half of the position first, and move the stop loss of the remaining half up to 92 to let the profit run. If 95 can break through with volume, continue holding; if it can't break through, close all positions. $ZEC $SOL #OKXNOW：开启全天候市场新时代 Something big is coming?! 🤔️ On Wednesday afternoon, the Federal Reserve will release the minutes from the September meeting. But this is not a new interest rate decision; it details who advocated for further hikes, who wanted to wait for more data, where the disagreements were, all laid out in full.
The most frustrating thing right now is the relatively strong US dollar, with long-term US Treasury yields still above 5%. This makes it hard for the crypto market to set its own direction!
$BTC currently seems to be waiting for the minutes. Today it’s around 85,500, after a push to 87,000 on Monday was pushed back. This is the third time since September 23rd that it’s tested this level. Below, watch if the 84,000 to 85,000 support holds.
$ETH mostly just follows Bitcoin. The price is around $2,700, with little movement up or down, unable to drive the pace on its own.
$SOL is hovering near $120, slightly weak intraday, but overall up this month, though it hasn’t shown an independent short-term direction either.
$OKB is holding a global product and ecosystem conference in Singapore! They shared OKX’s development direction from a cryptocurrency exchange to a global fintech platform! Are they aiming to challenge the universe’s biggest exchange?! 🤔️
Before the minutes drop, a major breakout on the charts is unlikely, whether up or down. But opportunities come from waiting!
#本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要
#BTC巨鲸抛压减弱，ETF资金连续三周净流入
#美债长端收益率再创新高，30年期逼近5.7% $AKE Perpetual 20x short position, opened at 0.03418, currently at 0.03035, floating profit +224.10%.
The logic is simple: repeatedly hitting resistance near 0.0342, each rebound is quickly pushed back down, with increasingly long upper shadows, clearly showing buying exhaustion. Once volume breaks below 0.031, confirm on the right side, then enter short. 20x leverage, stop loss at 0.035. The decline is very smooth, no chance for a rebound.
Now moving the stop loss to 0.0315 to lock in profits. If volume breaks below 0.028, can hold for a bit longer. $BTC $ETH #OKXNOW：开启全天候市场新时代 ⚡ BTC MARKET RADAR — Overbought Doesn’t Mean Reversal
$BTC pushed toward $86,700, with momentum indicators flashing extreme levels.
On the 4H chart, BTC remains pinned near the upper Bollinger Band around $86.6K. RSI is firmly elevated, while the stochastic J-line is near 100, showing aggressive short-term momentum.
But extreme readings alone don’t guarantee a top.
🎯 Levels I’m Watching
🔴 Resistance: $87.2K–$87.5K
🟢 Key support: $84.3K
🚀 Above resistance: $89K becomes the next momentum target
⚠️ Below $84.3K: risk of a sharp rejection increases
The bigger picture is also worth watching: ETF demand has remained supportive, institutional BTC accumulation continues, and upcoming Fed minutes could add volatility to risk assets.
Overbought can stay overbought during a strong trend. The real signal is price structure + volume, not an indicator reaching the ceiling.
$84.3K holds → bulls stay in control.
$84.3K breaks → caution rises quickly.
#BTC #Bitcoin #Crypto #ETF #Fed #BTCAnalysis$BAND is up 9.2% around 0.2500, but the displayed volume is only about $191K. That makes me cautious about chasing. I’m watching 0.244–0.247 for a pullback. If price holds that area and reclaims 0.251 with stronger volume, I’d consider continuation.
Entry: 0.244–0.247
Confirm: 0.251 + volume
SL: 0.238
TP1: 0.258 | TP2: 0.268 | TP3: 0.280 | TP4: 0.295
R:R: ~1:3 to TP3
If 0.238 breaks, I’m out. The setup needs renewed buying pressure, not just a green percentage.$CT perpetual 20x short position, opened at 0.4828, currently 0.3857, floating profit +402.23%.
Didn't overthink it: the previous rebound lasted long enough, the 0.48 level repeatedly confirmed resistance, the top pattern is very clear. Entered as soon as a high-volume bearish candle appeared, following the trend not the sentiment. 20x leverage, stop loss at 0.50. The drop was fast and steady, leaving no chance for a second entry.
Locked in a safety cushion at 0.40 first. My personal judgment is that there will be a short-term bottom-fishing rebound around 0.35; then I'll decide whether to exit or hold based on volume, without guessing the bottom in advance. $SNDK $HYPE #OKXNOW：开启全天候市场新时代 MUBARAKUSDT｜Current price 0.0693, daily drop -9.11%
Overall assessment: Small-cap Meme coin, capital outflow, sharp single-day plunge, poor liquidity, extremely high risk.
- Resistance: 0.074~0.077
- Support: 0.064, no effective strong support below, a break will lead to further decline
- Short term: Declining phase after heat fades, bottom fishing carries great risk, not recommended to participate.
6. CTUSDT｜Current price 0.3869, daily drop -4.82%
Overall assessment: New coin, capital realized and retreated after listing, selling pressure continues to release, unstable chips.
- Resistance: 0.41~0.43
- Support: 0.36, breaking below opens deeper correction space
- Short term: Intense chip competition for new coin, huge volatility, not suitable for heavy positions, mainly observe.
BTCUSDT｜Current price 85828, daily rise +0.71%
Overall assessment: Large-cap anchor coin, slight moderate upward trend, bullish structure intact, short-term oscillation is strong but resistance above is near, chasing highs has low cost-effectiveness.
- Resistance: 86300~86800 (first strong resistance), extreme resistance 87500
- Support: 85000~85300 (short-term lifeline), strong support 84200
- Short term: Oscillates upward relying on 85000 support, volume moderate; once below 85000, will enter short-term correction and consolidation.
2. ETHUSDT｜Current price 2713.65, daily rise +0.65%
Overall assessment: Follows BTC linkage, weaker trend than large-cap, oscillating and grinding, waiting for large-cap to choose direction.
- Resistance: 2760~2790, strong resistance 2830
- Support: 2660~2680, strong support 2620
- Short term: Range oscillation, no independent trend, if BTC stabilizes, box range maintained, large-cap correction will synchronize decline.
$BTC $ETH $SOL
#OKXNOW：开启全天候市场新时代
#本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要
#BTC巨鲸抛压减弱，ETF资金连续三周净流入 $PARTI is up 8.3% with roughly $591K displayed volume. I’m interested, but I don’t want to enter after the first push. I’m watching 0.0325–0.0329 for a pullback. If buyers defend that zone and reclaim 0.0334 with volume, I’d consider the continuation trade.
Entry: 0.0325–0.0329
Confirm: 0.0334 + volume
SL: 0.0316
TP1: 0.0345 | TP2: 0.0358 | TP3: 0.0375 | TP4: 0.0400
R:R: ~1:3 to TP3
Below 0.0316 invalidates my idea. I want the market to prove strength first.Phenomena and Information
Phenomena:
According to on-chain monitoring, whale funds are massively flowing into exchanges.
On-chain analyst Darkfost's monitoring shows that whale addresses transferring more than $1 million in stablecoins per transaction have increased their cumulative inflow over 30 days from $21.7 billion to $30.5 billion, a rise of over 40%.
CryptoQuant further points out that stablecoin inflows from millionaire-level whales have increased by $8.8 billion in the past month.
Information:
Citibank has significantly raised Bitcoin's 12-month target price from $82,000 to $113,000, and Ethereum's target price from $2,240 to $3,028. Meanwhile, the SEC plans to revise crypto asset custody rules, potentially allowing investment advisors and their regulated funds to directly custody clients' crypto assets. Coinbase states this will expand the entire asset management market's allocation scope for Bitcoin.
The above content is for reading reference only and does not constitute any investment advice. Protect your principal, invest steadily, and not losing money is earning.$SAND perpetual 50x short position, opened at 0.07388, currently 0.06563, floating profit +558.33%.
Just betting on a top reversal: 0.074 tested three times without breaking, volume decreasing stepwise, very typical top characteristics. Enter the position the moment the bearish candle crashes down, never guess the top in advance. 50x leverage, stop loss at 0.076. This wave moved very cleanly, almost no rebound.
For now, hold steady and let the bullets fly a bit. Set 0.068 as the defensive line to protect the principal, wait for a clear signal around 0.06 before deciding to add or not, no rush. $CT $DOGE #OKXNOW：开启全天候市场新时代 $NEAR Agree on 5.58 — that's the key. But RSI6 at 75 isn't just "overheated," it's a warning that a breakout without volume could be a fakeout.
ETF inflows are good, but institutions don't buy at highs. If 5.58 breaks on news but volume doesn't follow, expect a pullback to 5.1.
I'd wait for a retest of 5.58 after the break. Who's already in, and who's waiting for confirmation?Brothers, is this coin $FIL really that strong?
A big bullish candle went up, and after it peaked, I went short.
But I've been waiting for an hour now.
It’s not coming down.
It’s still continuing to rise.
I’ve stopped out twice.
Is it really that strong?
Such a long bullish candle
And rising so sharply.
Shouldn't it have dropped down a bit? 😓
#OKXNOW：开启全天候市场新时代
#本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要
#BTC巨鲸抛压减弱，ETF资金连续三周净流入 $API3's recent surge is incredibly strong! Going long with 10x leverage directly yielded a 145% return—who wouldn't be envious? Entry at 0.3355 to the mark price of 0.3842, the rocket icon is well deserved.
Logically, API3 has recently warmed up its narrative with "oracle + OEV network," rebounding with volume at the bottom. If you entered a long position at 0.3355, the 10x leverage amplified the volatility; the fundamental recovery combined with technical breakout allowed you to hold the main upward wave.
Currently, the increase is significant, with the area above 0.38 approaching a previous dense chip zone. The risk of holding high-leverage positions overnight has sharply increased; it is recommended to take profits in batches on rallies while keeping some base positions for speculation. The entry price of 0.3355 is strong support; if it breaks down, consider reducing positions. Protecting profits is key—be sure to control drawdowns. #OKXNOW：开启全天候市场新时代 #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 $ETH $ZEC $FIL perpetual 50x long position, opened at 1.0623, currently at 1.1943, floating profit +621.41%.
The idea is very simple: the bottom consolidates with extremely low volume, volatility is crushed to the floor, indicating that the chips have settled. A single high-volume bullish candle directly pulls the price up from 1.06, a typical start signal, go long not short. 50x leverage, stop loss at 1.05. The trend goes straight up, giving no comfortable entry points.
At this position, I plan to take profit on half of the position first, moving the stop loss of the remaining half up to 1.18 to let profits run. If it can break above 1.25 with volume, continue holding; if it can't, close all positions. $ZEC $SOL #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 $ETH has been fluctuating during this period, with 922 million short positions liquidated at the upper level of 2832, and 832 million long positions liquidated at the lower level of 2574. Will it drop first then rise? Personally, I think 3000 is the final push; if it holds above 2800, altcoins will fully explode. It can't break through now, so a pullback is an opportunity. You can gradually build positions between 2550-2580.
Why?
ETH rose over 70% in Q3, and funds have returned. ETF had a net inflow of 111 million yesterday, BlackRock ETHA holds 130 million, with a total net inflow of 13.4 billion (ETHA had a 1:3 reverse stock split today, tripling the stock price but keeping market cap unchanged). Glamsterdam will launch the Sepolia testnet tonight, activating at 21:53:36, improving L1 throughput and adjusting Gas, with the mainnet target in Q4. BTC remains strong, and funds are expected to rotate to ETH and mainstream altcoins.
$MORPHO, as a catch-up target in the ETH ecosystem, is worth watching together. MORPHO is currently priced around 2.32, up 8.1% in 24h, showing a strong trend, with a market cap of 1.23 billion.This load-bearing column has already developed micro-cracks, and the top slab could shear off at any moment. Who gave you the guts to go long standing on the cantilever beam?
Just got down from the scaffolding at Site No. 2, brushed the dust off my hard hat, and took a look at the $ZEC chart. The price is hanging at 1344.89, suspended mid-air, just a pickaxe's distance from the Bollinger Band upper track at 1364.96. RSI is stuck at 54.7, lukewarm, like freshly mixed C30 concrete that hasn't fully set yet—looks solid but the internal sand-to-aggregate ratio is far from up to standard.
After spending time on construction sites, you know you can't just judge a building by the shiny facade renderings; the key is how deep the foundation is and whether the reinforcement ratio is sufficient. The main force has built a fake platform here with a few hollow bricks, trying to lure retail investors into a dangerous working zone. The basis difference and volatility space have been compressed to the extreme; the gap between futures and spot is narrowing like an expansion joint.
The 1364 upper track is the cast-in-place reinforced concrete main beam top; without massive grouting, it simply can't be broken through. The supporting base slab at 1302 below is the real load-bearing pile foundation layer. The current hanging basket is swaying and stopped just above the mid-track at 1333—a typical suspended illegal operation. Since the load-bearing is tight, let's follow gravity for a high-level pullback.
- Target: $ZEC 🔴
- Entry: 1345.00 - 1360.00
- TP1: 1333.70
- TP2: 1305.00
- SL: 1375.00
Safety harness is fastened tight; if the top slab cracks, evacuate and dismantle immediately. 🏗️
#CoinMoveAlert$SPCX perpetual 75x long position, opened at 159.02, now at 172.54, floating profit +637.65%.
The logic is very simple: repeatedly bottoming around 159, each dip is quickly recovered, the wicks get shorter and shorter, and selling pressure is clearly exhausted. Once volume surged and it stood above 170, confirmed on the right side, entered more longs. 75x leverage, stop loss at 155. The rally is very smooth, no chance for a pullback.
Now moving the stop loss to 170 to lock in profits. If volume breaks through 180 above, can hold for more. $BTC $ETH #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 Order Book Strength Ranking
5-minute median slippage, estimated based on order book, excluding fees
$CAP buy slippage increases significantly with order size: slippage for buy orders equivalent to 10,000 and 100,000 USDT are 0.12% and 0.88%, respectively. Large orders incur about 0.75 percentage points more slippage.
$MINA sell slippage increases significantly with order size: slippage for sell orders equivalent to 10,000 and 100,000 USDT are 0.14% and 0.74%, respectively. Large orders incur about 0.60 percentage points more slippage.
$API3 buy slippage increases significantly with order size: slippage for buy orders equivalent to 10,000 and 100,000 USDT are 0.12% and 0.66%, respectively. Large orders incur about 0.54 percentage points more slippage. BTC is showing an aggressive rebound this hour with an attempt to absorb all the morning's decline. It's good to analyze the situation on the 5-minute timeframe. There, the price was impulsively pushed to the liquidity zone of $85,899-$85,979, which currently acts as resistance for the pump. At the same time, the asset has two strong signals of a potential high. A good situation for a local "watershed." If the price closes above $85,979 on the 5-minute candle, this rebound can be expected to continue. If not, then this was a short squeeze before$BTC and $ETH at high levels are precarious, so why am I still going long on $PONS?
【Series Introduction】Robinhood Chain Investment Research Trilogy: From Meme Hype to Cash Flow Revaluation
Since the end of September, the Robinhood Chain ecosystem has undergone a complete emotional cycle—from FOMO explosion to panic correction, the timeline shifting from "ALL IN" to "It's over."
But on-chain data doesn't lie: the path from 200 to thousands of stock tokens remains unchanged, the LONG 500 routing fees are still flowing into the treasury, and Pons cumulative burn is approaching 30% of total supply. The retreat exposes not a "narrative failure," but who is swimming naked.
The first wave has ended, the second wave is just beginning.
Stay tuned for my Robinhood Chain trilogy: issuance tax × routing rights × ecosystem stratification.
All content is personal research sharing and does not constitute investment advice. This wave is a bit like the 2023 breakout above the previous bull market's pullback support level.
Constantly drawing the gate, advancing 10 steps and retreating 9, the lows are quietly creeping higher.
The low has quietly risen from 82k to 855k.
Unnoticed by gods or ghosts,
It has set a direction before this Fed meeting.
$BTC
This move is ruthless, like boiling a frog in warm water.Beneath the Still Water: The Anchor of ETH
$ETH stands at $2706.2107, like a weight placed at the center of a balance scale. With a market cap of over 300 billion, the daily chart has only moved +0.20%, calm and steady. A 24-hour volume of 13.39B indicates that funds haven't exited, but are rotating, probing, and waiting. This week, the Federal Reserve will release the minutes of the September meeting; the macro needle might pierce the calm or just create a ripple on the surface.
Retail investors ask, "Did it go up today?" Big players ask, "Is the pool deep enough, is the structure loose?" ETH is the second largest but often acts as the market's anchor. It doesn't prove itself with a single bullish candle but through ecosystem depth, liquidity resilience, and the participants' hidden cards. Risk control isn't about guessing ups and downs but about seeing who truly holds strong cards at the table and who is bluffing.
Those who can survive cycles don't chase every fluctuation; they care more about whether their position allows them to sleep well and if their logic can withstand drawdowns. With a scale of 300 billion, moving even a fraction is hard, and precisely because of this, its "stability" is an attitude in itself.
Next, let's see if it can continue to be the anchor for the entire market: not stealing the spotlight but setting the tone; not soaring wildly but providing a place for funds to settle. Beneath the still water, direction often emerges earlier than noise.
$ETH $BTC
#本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要
#BTC现货ETF重回流入，ETH资金持续流出
#OKXNOW：开启全天候市场新时代 This wave of $MUBARAK's decline finally hit the big profit!
A few days ago, it surged with high volume, but the funds clearly couldn't keep up—a typical case of the main force distributing to lure buyers. I opened a 20x short around 0.0733 following the trend. The logic is simple: once the Meme coin tide recedes, the dump is a bottomless pit.
Currently, the mark price has dropped to 0.0699, with a floating profit of 93.37%. The trend has been steadily declining. The key to high short positions is patience—don't chase highs or fight battles. $BTC $ETH FIL今天回落后又涨回1.20附近，我更倾向接下来几天反弹还没结束。$FIL昨天涨出周末的价格区间，今天没有把这段涨幅吐回去。原定六年的一批早期分配也快解锁完了，今后少一些新币进入流通，对反弹延续有利。 截至北京时间16:05，FIL/USDT现货约1.2008 USDT，滚动24小时涨约12.4%。按UTC日线，昨天最高1.2042，今天早些时候回落到1.1442后又涨了回来。现在又回到昨天高点附近，日线还没收盘，能不能站稳还没定。 Filecoin主网在2020年10月启动，最初分给Protocol Labs的3亿枚和Filecoin基金会的1亿枚，安排在六年里逐步归属。今年2月公布的网络战略也提到，最后一批网络归属会在今年结束。这是原有安排快走完了，不能写成项目刚宣布销毁4亿枚币。 解锁结束后，新增可流通的币少一部分。若买盘没有跟着减少，价格继续往上走会少一点供给压力。但这两天上涨有多少是提前炒这个预期，单靠K线算不出来。 已经解锁的币仍然可以卖，矿工奖励也没有因此停掉。眼前这段反弹仍可能被获利盘打断。若再次跌回周末约1.03至1.08的区间，这轮突破的优势就没了，我会转向看它继$NAVX is up 5.45% around 0.01448, but volume is only about $153K. I’m treating this as a developing momentum setup, not a chase. My area is 0.0141–0.0143. If buyers defend it and reclaim 0.0146 with better volume, I’d consider the long.
Entry: 0.0141–0.0143
Confirm: 0.0146 + volume
SL: 0.0137
TP1: 0.0150 | TP2: 0.0155 | TP3: 0.0161 | TP4: 0.0170
R:R: ~1:3 to TP3
A sustained break below 0.0137 invalidates the setup. Volume needs to improve before I commit.$BASED is up 5.18% around 0.06543 with roughly $402K displayed volume. The move is steady rather than explosive, which makes me more interested in a controlled continuation. I’m watching 0.0640–0.0648 for support. If price reclaims 0.0658 with volume, I’d consider the long.
Entry: 0.0640–0.0648
Confirm: 0.0658 + volume
SL: 0.0625
TP1: 0.0675 | TP2: 0.0700 | TP3: 0.0730 | TP4: 0.0770
R:R: ~1:3 to TP3
Below 0.0625 invalidates my plan. I’m waiting for buyers to confirm.The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) recently proposed rules to regulate the U.S. crypto market for the first time
Rule 1: Stop abusive behavior in the crypto market
Rule 2: Set clear standards for common practices in the crypto industry
Rule 3: Establish a dedicated registration framework specifically for the crypto market
Together, these three rules mean:
They plan to provide retail traders with platforms for leveraged trading, opening a path for a “federally regulated force”
If willing, platforms can register as a “crypto asset market” regulated by the CFTC
All governed under a unified national standard, requiring proof of reserves, anti-fraud, anti-manipulation measures, etc.
However, these rules do not mandate that all crypto trading must comply with the CFTC
Because pure spot trading is currently beyond their jurisdiction
These three rules offer an option for platforms that want to be more formal and credible
For ordinary users, in the future, when choosing a platform, there may be an additional reference point: whether it has CFTC endorsement
For the industry, this is an important step in shifting regulation from “punishing after the fact” to “setting rules beforehand”$MON 50x short position gained 913% (opened at 0.03493, now 0.02855).
The order book's sell side kept increasing layer by layer, and the buy orders above 0.03493 were crushed by large sell orders. The main short holders' control intention is extremely obvious, directly following the crash momentum.
Risk control: take profits when favorable, cut large positions first. The remaining base position has a strict stop loss at 0.03; if 0.028 is smoothly broken, keep one position. If large sell orders suddenly withdraw from the order book, exit immediately. Profits secured, today's trading fees made a killing. $ZEC $ETH #OKXNOW：开启全天候市场新时代 #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 Gold's decline lacks participation from bearish options, and silver's long and short funds have generally shifted upward
$XAU and $BTC represent typical risk assets. Although geopolitical conflicts continue worldwide, the high yields on U.S. Treasury bonds act as a direct hedge, keeping pressure on these assets, but the pressure remains limited.
#BTC巨鲸抛压减弱，ETF资金连续三周净流入 #美债长端收益率再创新高，30年期逼近5.7% #BTC高位回落，黄金联动受考验 85,148 This number caught my eye for several seconds. BTC is stuck here, just over two hundred dollars away from 85,402, like light seeping through a crack in the door; whether it can push through depends entirely on volume. 🪄 Guess what the market fears most right now? Not a drop, but a low-volume rebound. First, let's talk about the derivatives structure I see. BTC's daily moving average system is still bullish, with the 200-day moving average at 71,531, which is a rear fortress, but the real pace setter is not that; it's the position changes on the contract side. The price is running along the Bollinger middle band; if volume surges and it breaks above 85,402, the short-term space could open up about 4,000 dollars, targeting 89,144. But if volume continues to shrink, it means more grinding and draining, with bulls and bears trapped in a narrow range paying their tuition. Here's an easily overlooked point: the market is not really trading "whether October will rise," but "when volume will return." The part of expectations priced in early includes the rate cut narrative and ETF inflows; the unpriced risk is that contract leverage hasn't caught up and spot buying enthusiasm is weak. In other words, a rise is possible, but it's missing a push of fuel. ETH is quoted at 2,695, up slightly 0.52% in 24 hours, retesting above 2,700. Last week, Ethereum ETFs saw a net outflow of about 118 million USD, but the spot market didn't collapse, which is quite interesting divergence. Holding above 2,700, only above 2,800 is the real pressure test zone. My understanding is: ETH is currently playing the role of a follower, not a leaderFortitude secured priority allocation for Bitmain's next-generation Zcash miners, up to $100 million, with delivery scheduled for Q2 2027, currently just a non-binding intention.
The miner manufacturer is dedicating a production line specifically for privacy coins, a signal more valuable than the order itself. In my opinion, the shovel sellers are even more eager to get on board than the miners themselves 🤣
$BTC $ETH $ZEC$AXS 20x short position, opened at 1.3698, now at 1.2898, floating profit +116.80%.
Originally just casually placed a short position to make some tea, came back to find it had already doubled. Encountered resistance and pulled back at 1.3698, 20x leverage smoothly grabbed some profit. Profit 0.16U, consider it a red envelope from the exchange.
Plan: Satisfied with doubling, withdraw half the position. Lower the stop loss on the remaining base position to 1.32 to break even. If it breaks below 1.28, look for 1.25; if it rebounds back to 1.32, say goodbye directly. The doubling trade at 4 PM just covers tonight's delivery fee. $BTC $ZEC #OKXNOW：开启全天候市场新时代 #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 #BTC巨鲸抛压减弱，ETF资金连续三周净流入 Agree on $BTC — if 85k doesn't break in the next few days, we could see 82k. But if it holds above 86k, 89k is realistic.
On $ETH : 2700 is the key. As long as it holds, long makes sense. Break it — I'm looking at 2650.
Not trading gold, but 4130–4200 is a tight range, should move soon.
Are you in a position or just watching?The Fed is turning softer. Markets aren’t.
October hike odds collapsed to <20% after weak U.S. jobs data. Yet Treasury yields remain elevated, the dollar is firm, gold is struggling near $4.13K and BTC is stuck near $85.6K after ~$172M in crypto liquidations.
Translation: lower Fed risk ≠ easy liquidity yet.
Watch yields and DXY. They’re holding the keys.
#Fed #Gold #Bitcoin #Crypto #MarketsAfter Bitget was hacked: The laundering protocol earned $762,000 in fees, some flowed into OKX hot wallet
According to crypto.news at 15:39 Beijing time on October 6, researcher Sergeenkov tracked the funds stolen from Bitget on September 24 (about $387.5 million): as of October 2, the protocol moving the stolen funds collected about $762,000 in fees, with THORChain liquidity providers taking about $573,000. Another approximately $260,000 in referral fees went to 7 addresses associated with laundering wallets, the largest about $177,000; some were converted to USDT and sent to an address labeled "OKX Hot Wallet 5," but account ownership has not been confirmed.
Why it matters: OKX can check deposit records, and whether they cooperate with investigations is a test of industry self-discipline. THORChain says it cannot freeze individual transactions, while NEAR Intents blocked an attempted transfer of over $50 million.
Market: BGB is about $2.01, down about 2% from the evening of September 23 (Bitget); RUNE rose from 0.61 to 0.77 in the same period (Binance), both as of 16:05 Beijing time; BTC is about $85,765 (Coinbase, 16:19 Beijing time).
My view: BGB has basically absorbed the impact of the hack. The rise in RUNE overlaps with the laundering through THORChain, but this may not be causal; regulatory pressure could turn negative, so be cautious chasing highs.
This does not constitute investment advice. The big coin has repeatedly failed to break upward at a key position.
Most people will then assume this is a strong resistance level,
and set their short stop-loss orders just above this resistance.
Short liquidity will continue to accumulate here.
A parallel top has now formed on the chart,
with several high points spaced only about 100 points apart, very close.
The main force can easily take it down with a little effort.
The delay in action is obviously because they are waiting,
waiting for more people to enter short positions here,
waiting for enough stop-loss liquidity to accumulate above.
Most of these close parallel tops will be forcibly broken through by the main force.
Therefore, there will be no direct drop for now,
and the price will continue to oscillate and wear down within the current range,
waiting to directly break the parallel top at 87300,
sweeping all the accumulated short stop-loss orders.
Only after that will the real big drop officially start.$PHA is up 5.14% with around $578K displayed volume. I like the participation, but I'm still waiting for a cleaner risk point instead of buying the current candle. I'm watching 0.0735–0.0742 for a pullback. If buyers defend it and reclaim 0.0750 with volume I'd consider continuation.
Entry: 0.0735–0.0742
Confirm: 0.0750 + volume
SL: 0.0715
TP1: 0.0770 | TP2: 0.0795 | TP3: 0.0825 | TP4: 0.0870
R:R: ~1:3 to TP3
A break below 0.0715 invalidates the setup. I want structure and volume not just momentum.