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$BTC is currently moving sideways at a high level without much decline. Before the National Day and during the holiday, there was no significant capital outflow. This sideways movement instead of a drop indicates light selling pressure. After the holiday, with capital flowing back, it is highly likely to break through the current range and continue upward.
For going long: wait for a complete breakout to a new high on the right side before chasing, or buy on the left side around the 84700 pullback. The key support is at 83300; if it breaks below this level with a real close and fails to recover, it indicates the rebound is over and a major correction may occur, at which point consider going short.Current price 1294. My cost is 1133. Numerically close, emotionally far.
On the one-hour chart, 1695.50 looks like an old wound. Afterwards, the price moves along a descending channel, moving averages all pointing down, and rebounds are always pushed back. RSI6 reads 22.15, truly cold enough to tremble in the short term, possibly a slight corrective pullback; but MACD still hides below the zero line, momentum is weak, this kind of pullback looks more like a breather during a downtrend.I was just about to go to the forum to rant, but then I checked my balance and decided against it. The market is always right. When the price dived during the session, I saw $BTC struggling to rebound, with clear resistance above. Every bounce felt like handing food to the shorts. I signaled a bearish outlook and entered short positions at the highs; the lack of support was the best proof.
Don't get greedy with profits, don't despair over pullbacks.
From 86,068.8 to 85,188.2, the short position gained +102.16%. Feeling good, brothers, this profit feels solid. I closed 80% of the position, keeping 20% at cost as protection. If the price continues to drop, let the profits run; don't let gains become uncomfortable.
Don't be greedy for the last bite.
For those who haven't entered yet, listen to me: now is not the time to rush in. Chasing shorts risks getting taught a lesson by a rebound. Wait for a more comfortable position in the next round; I'll signal it immediately. The market isn't short of opportunities, it's short of patience.
$DOGE $ETH $BTC Currently retreated to around $85,680, with multiple recent attempts to break $87K–$87.5K but failed to hold steady, still in the short-term breakout confirmation stage. 📈 Bullish scenario: If BTC breaks through with increased volume and holds above $87.5K, the next step is to focus on $88.8K → $90K; a strong breakout could open up greater upside potential. 📉 Bearish scenario: If again suppressed by the 87K area and falls below $84.2K, short-term resistance may hit $82.8K → $81.5K. Also watch ETF cash flows, US dollar index, US Treasury yields, and market leverage. If capital flows continue to improve, it benefits risk assets; However, high yields may still limit BTC's upward momentum. 👀 Now is not the time to guess direction; the key is to wait for confirmation after a breakout or breakdown. Do you think the next step is an upward breakout or a continued pullback? 👇 $ETH #BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin #DailyOrbit NFA — DYOR, control positions, pay attention to risk.$HYPE
HYPE rises while the overall market weakens; how far can this independent trend go?
This morning's 24-hour spot observation window: range 90.012—95.269 USDT, change +5.21%, trading volume approximately 35.84 million USDT.
The window's increase exceeds 5%, with the observed price close to the upper boundary, showing divergence from BTC. Independent strength indicates the market is willing to assign a different price, but without fee and user data, we cannot infer that protocol revenue is increasing simultaneously.
I am watching whether it continues to lead during market recovery; if the rise is fully retraced, the independence is a temporary phenomenon, but if the pullback to lows gradually lifts, then it remains under observation. $BTC dominance still holds at 58.7%, but the entire market fell 2.43% in 24 hours, with no money flowing into altcoins. The top gainers are almost the same type: tokenized ETFs and ETPs each rose 6.3%, and the leading crypto asset-backed tokens surged 19.6%. The narrative is singular: wrapping existing asset packages onto the blockchain. USDT market cap basically remained unchanged throughout the day, indicating no new money entering, and dominance did not drop either. This is a reshuffling of existing funds within the market, moving from declining altcoins to varieties anchored by fund net asset value and physical assets for shelter. Fear & Greed index is 73, the same as a week ago; despite the market drop, sentiment hasn't cooled. My judgment is that this round is only circulating within the tokenization sector, unable to drive mainstream altcoins. End signal: if the tokenized ETF sector's 24-hour gains turn negative while the whole market is still falling, it means the money that sought shelter has also withdrawn. Only if USDT switches to issuance increase and dominance simultaneously declines can it be considered new money entering.Single Coin Spot Fluctuation｜Last 15 Minutes
$BTC showed selling bias in the first two segments, with buying and selling nearly balanced in the last segment: overall active buying was 35.6%, rising to 58.1% in the last segment, with a 15-minute price change of -0.11%. The seller's advantage did not persist until the end of the window, and the most recent segment showed no clear one-sided transaction dominance.目前 $DOT 约在 $1.22 附近，过去30天上涨约 33%，短线动能明显回暖。 价格正在反复测试 $1.25 一线，这也是前期震荡区间的重要压力位。 更值得关注的是，随着成交活跃度提升，DOT 正逐渐站回主要均线之上，市场情绪正在从低迷转向修复。 同时，Polkadot 最近开放了 Devnet 公测，为开发者测试和部署应用提供了新的实验环境；生态层面也持续推进 JAM、稳定币及 DeFi 相关建设。 📌 关键观察： 突破并站稳 $1.25 → 有机会打开新的震荡区间 重新跌回 $1.15–1.18 → 需警惕这轮反弹失去动能 现在的问题不是 DOT 能不能涨，而是： $1.25 能否从“压力位”真正变成新的支撑？ 👀 NFA / DYOR，控制风险。Conclusion first: $NIGHT 4H formed an ascending structure—highs progressively rising 0.0487→0.0497→0.0526, lows moving up synchronously 0.0474→0.0482→0.0481, volume expanding from 1.5M to 2.14M. In 24 hours +9.7%, with the overall market 157 down 82 up, BTC -0.95% background, this is not random.
Looking at the 4H structure:
- First candle: low 0.0474 / high 0.0487, volume 1.5M, stopped falling
- Second candle: low 0.0482 / high 0.0497, volume 2.14M, volume and price rising together
- Third candle: low 0.0481 / high 0.0526, explosive volume hitting daily high, closed at 0.0520
- Fourth candle (current): low 0.0495 / high 0.0508, volume contraction pullback, healthy consolidation
24-hour turnover about $38M, this scale of capital choosing to go long NIGHT in an overall shrinking volume market indicates active buying absorption.
Compared to SAND -12% and AXS topping in the same period today, NIGHT’s independent rise is cleaner—no news-driven, purely structural movement.
Do you think in a weak market such independently rising coins really have main forces accumulating, or is it just small market cap causing large fluctuations? $NIGHT Damn, $ZEC is bouncing again—but the rebound is already hitting resistance.
MA7 around 1349 rejected the move, while MA14 near 1437 remains a bigger ceiling with heavy trapped sellers above.
OI has shrunk and the spot rebound looks healthier, but there’s still no fresh catalyst. With NU7 mainnet voting still ahead, $ZEC has limited downside pressure but also lacks new upside momentum.
So for now: treat this as a rebound, not a trend reversal. Reduce exposure near resistance and don’t chase. #$ENA official announcement shows that starting from October 5, the remaining tokens of the original investors will be released all at once. Third-party calendars estimate about 1.4 billion tokens, close to 14% of the current circulating supply, but the exact amount has not been confirmed by the official source.
The project buyback will not start immediately; it will only begin after the USDe supply reaches 7.5 billion USD.
Although the price hasn't dropped in the short term, the main reason is that too many people are shorting, all waiting for the unlock to cause a drop. Let's see in a few days if we can pick up some cheap chips.Just finished listening to the keynote speech by Star at OKXNOW — and perhaps the main takeaway is that OKX has long been looking far beyond a typical crypto exchange.
1️⃣ AI is becoming the foundation of OKX
Star unexpectedly revealed the company's scale of spending on artificial intelligence — up to tens of millions of dollars per month.
AI is gradually penetrating research, development, operational processes, products, and user experience.
2️⃣ The exchange is just the beginning
In 13 years, OKX has evolved from spot trading to derivatives, Web3, self-custody, payments, and global financial infrastructure.
The exchange was the starting point but was never the end goal.
3️⃣ Crypto is transforming from an experiment into infrastructure
The industry began with geeks, cryptography, and the idea of an alternative financial system. Then came exchanges, ICOs, DeFi, stablecoins, compliance, institutional products, and asset tokenization.
Today, crypto is gradually becoming part of the global financial system.
4️⃣ Institutional capital is more than just money
When banks, funds, and the largest financial companies enter crypto, the amount of capital is not the only important factor.
It signifies the gradual recognition of the technology by traditional finance and its transition into the mainstream.
5️⃣ Internet + Crypto + AI
The Internet made instant information transfer possible.
Crypto made global value transfer possible — programmable and borderless.
AI scales intelligence and personalizes services.
Their combination can change the very principle of how the financial system operates.
6️⃣ An AI banker for everyone
In the future, personal AI will be able to understand a person's income, risk profile, and life goals, helping to manage capital.
What is today mostly available to wealthy clients through private banking, AI potentially can make accessible to the masses.
7️⃣ But innovation is impossible without trust
Star emphasized:
“Trust matters.”
The faster technology develops, the more important compliance, audit, risk management, and institutional infrastructure become. If you only focus on price in this cycle, you'll miss the real step when capital preferences shift. Have you ever thought that BTC, ETH, and SOL are actually not on the same exam at all? I recently flipped through my position records and found an honest mistake: recently, I treated these three as the same type of risk exposure to add or decrease positions, and my rhythm was completely chaotic. Later, I realized their pricing anchors are fundamentally different. BTC looks at scarcity, depth, and whether it can continue to hold its position as a crypto reserve asset; institutional inflows and outflows are the key variables. ETH depends on real on-chain activity: stablecoin scale, DeFi activity, fees, and how much capital accumulates in the ecosystem. SOL is following a growth script: users, trading volume, applications, and ecosystem funds must keep expanding to support its high valuation. Same market, three different scoring criteria. Price is just the result; capital preference and real usage are what need to be verified. So now, what matters more isn't who rises fast, but what kind of narrative money prefers to stay. If institutional allocation rebounds, BTC usually benefits first, with a steady rhythm and relatively favorable pullbacks. If on-chain activity heats up again, ETH's resilience will gradually emerge, but it needs data confirmation, not sentiment. If risk appetite continues to expand, high-beta stocks like SOL will move faster, but once funds tighten, their drawdown will be more direct. The bullish path is: reserve narrative stabilizes BTC, ecosystem data follows ET$CT short immediately! Out of 124 longs, only 7 are actually making money!
Look at the miserable situation of the longs: the average cost is 0.4686, the current price has already dropped to 0.378, each coin is stuck with nearly a 0.1 loss, with an overall unrealized loss of 78,000. Among 124 people, 117 are firmly trapped.
Those trapped have only two options: either cut losses or wait for a rebound to break even. But no matter which path they take, it will eventually turn into sell orders, pushing the price down. When the price goes up, some hold on until they break even and quickly sell. The market is weighed down by these sell orders that could be dumped at any time.
There is a queue of selling pressure above waiting to break even. Downward is the path of least resistance and the smoothest direction. The logic is clear, just follow and short!Brothers, I'm still holding these two short positions on $ETH and $ZEC. Any objections? I'm shorting.
The average entry price for the ETH short is 2,713.73, current price 2,700.86, floating profit 1.42%. Although the mark price for ZEC is at 1,343, this rebound is just an opportunity to add to shorts.
ETH's current trend is very weak, with selling pressure increasing in both spot and derivatives markets. The 2,700 level is being tested. The supply zone from 2,770 to 2,800 is dense; it has been tested three times without breaking through. On-chain data is even more interesting: an ancient giant whale with a cost basis of only $0.31 just sold 13,330 ETH. Meanwhile, the Ethereum ETF saw a net outflow of $138 million last week, after a net inflow of $690 million the previous week. Funds are fleeing faster than anyone else. The whale address's short position size is about $1.05 billion, with a long-short ratio of only 0.65. Smart money has long bet on a decline.
ZEC has retraced 22% from the 1,698 high and has been consolidating between 1,271 and 1,369 for 5 days. Although the NU7 upgrade testnet went live, reducing block time from 75 seconds to 25 seconds, indicating fundamental progress, the Grayscale ZEC spot ETF had a net redemption of $93.56 million last week, with incremental funds retreating. Contract open interest barely increased in a day, yet the price was forcibly pulled back from 1,271 to 1,325. This is a rebound, not a trend $BTC #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 Last month, 0x13da closed out a long SOL position near 120, making about $4.4 million in profit, and today it has jumped back in at roughly the same price.
Lookonchain detected that this address has again gone long on 164,642 SOL with 5x leverage, a position valued at about $19.78 million, with a liquidation price around $99.68. Back-calculating from the position value, the entry price is roughly around 120. Previously, it had a win rate of about 78% on SOL trades, accumulating profits of approximately $4.74 million.
Looking back at its previous trade: at the end of September, it closed about 282,700 SOL longs, with an average entry price of about 104.79 and an average exit price of about 120.39. This time, the position is over 40% smaller, but the entry price exactly matches the previous exit point.
At the time of writing, SOL on OKX is around 119.3, fluctuating narrowly between 118.95 and 122.07 in the past 24 hours, leaving about 16% room before liquidation. Using 5x leverage is not considered aggressive.
A reminder: a high win rate does not guarantee a win this time. On-chain positions can be increased, decreased, or closed at any time, and the address owner is unknown.
This is not investment advice.
A veteran with a 78% win rate is getting in again at 120. Will you follow to go long, or bet that it’s wrong this time?
$SOL Ondo is not playing with U.S. Treasuries this time; instead, it’s selling "pre-IPO equity."
Simply put, if you want to invest in giants like SpaceX or OpenAI that haven’t gone public yet, which was previously inaccessible, now they give you an on-chain note. When these companies eventually IPO or get acquired, you get paid according to the corresponding stock price.
Sounds pretty attractive.
But don’t get too excited just yet.
This is essentially a "yield-linked" product, not actual equity. Before the company goes public, what you hold is just a string of numbers—you can’t vote or receive dividends. Real monetization depends on the "exit event"—which could be in one year or five years.
My stance is somewhat skeptical: the direction is right, RWA is indeed moving into deeper waters, but these types of assets have poor liquidity and long cycles; the "freely transferable" aspect on-chain doesn’t solve the fundamental problem.
The most common mistake retail investors make is treating this as a short-term hot opportunity.
The question is, how long are you willing to lock up your funds?
#美债长端收益率再创新高，30年期逼近5.7%
#Solana代币化股票9月交易量突破44亿美元 #OKXICE向SEC申请推出代币化股票交易平台 $BTC U.S. stocks hit new highs, but BTC failed three times to break through $87,000: What exactly is being traded in this market cycle? As of October 6, a notable divergence has appeared in global risk assets. U.S. stocks remain strong. On Monday, the S&P 500 rose about 0.66%, the Nasdaq increased about 1.05%, with the Nasdaq hitting another all-time closing high; Nvidia also set a new record closing price, with tech giants still at the core of capital pursuit. (AP News) However, the crypto market has not fully kept pace. BTC is currently fluctuating around $85,000, having recently failed for the third time to break through the $87,000 level. From a technical structure perspective, BTC is forming a triangle consolidation pattern characterized by "higher lows and fixed upper resistance," indicating the market is awaiting a directional choice. (CoinDesk) ETH is around $2,700, with overall performance noticeably weaker than BTC. Meanwhile, one of the biggest recent variables in the crypto market remains capital flows and institutional allocation, rather than purely retail sentiment. What is truly worth cautioning about is the macro environment. U.S. nonfarm payrolls increased by only 29,000 in September, significantly below market expectations, and the unemployment rate rose to 4.2%. This reinforces market expectations that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in October. Theoretically, this should be positive for BTC, tech stocks, and other risk assets. (Reuters) But the problem is—the long-term U.S. Treasury yields have not cooperated. The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury has risen to about 5.32%, the highest since 2002,$BTC bull market is still ongoing, but spot trading volume has significantly dropped. I have also noticed the issues pointed out by analysts. Just by looking at the trend above the yearly moving average, we can confirm that from September this year to the first half of next year is the $BTC uptrend cycle. However, spot trading volume is indeed a variable. Although sluggish volume during an uptrend can be understood as fewer sell orders and holders reluctant to sell, resulting in less resistance, it also means the market's capacity to absorb chips is weak. In the short term, the price can still be supported, but if spot volume remains insufficient in the long term, a breakthrough is hard to achieve. Therefore, throughout the entire bull market uptrend channel, special attention must be paid to spot trading volume. If volume declines significantly for several consecutive days, be wary of a major correction and proactively manage position risk!No rush to pop the champagne yet. 🥂
$BTC closed the week at 86,532, but 87,570 remains a major hurdle. Support is 82,500, resistance 86,700, and the middle is still a chop zone.
$ETH looks weaker. Price is around 2,700, with 2,770–2,800 resistance and 2,640 support. More importantly, ETH ETFs are seeing outflows while BTC ETFs continue attracting money.
Simple takeaway: institutions are still favoring $BTC over $ETH. I’d rather wait for confirmation than chase. #BTC #ETH
#CFTCCryptoRulemak#中东能源航运风险升温，两大关键海峡受扰
The boss has something to say
Two energy routes in the Middle East are having problems simultaneously. The Strait of Hormuz is blocked, and the Strait of Mandeb is in conflict again. The Yemeni government forces, supported by Saudi Arabia, launched a new offensive against the Houthi militants, who say the fighting continues.
With both straits blocked, the uncertainty in transporting Middle Eastern crude oil and refined products is at its peak.
The G7 has emptied its reserves by releasing 100 million barrels of strategic stockpiles. Sounds like a lot. Doing the math, 100 million barrels divided by the global daily consumption of 31 million barrels only lasts 3.2 days. OPEC+ is maintaining production unchanged. This 100 million barrels is just a painkiller, not a cure.
Oil prices haven't surged much now, but the risk premium remains high. As long as the straits are not reopened, energy prices won't come down. Inflation expectations can't be suppressed. The Fed's rate cut expectations are being dragged down. Long-term US Treasury yields are above 5.6%, and the valuation ceiling for risk assets remains.
BTC is unlikely to strengthen independently in the short term.
My 86500 short position is still open. The logic hasn't changed: positive news has been priced in, resistance above is dense, and funds are withdrawing. Stop loss at 87500, target between 84500 and 85000. Time to reduce positions, leaving the rest at breakeven.
Manage position size well, avoid heavy exposure. The Middle East situation is volatile, and oil prices could jump again at any time. Keep stop losses on short positions, don't hold through the risk. $BTC $ETH $ZEC
The above analysis is time-sensitive; always set stop losses on your trades. Good luck.🐋 Big Brother Machi adjusts positions again
After another position adjustment, Machi's total exposure remains around $151 million.
🟠 BTC: 409 → 456 BTC, increased by 47 BTC below $85K.
🔵 ETH: increased to 34,100 coins, still his largest holding.
🟣 HYPE: reduced to 174,500 coins.
🟢 PUMP: increased by 425 million coins, valued at about $2.72 million.
With the Fed meeting minutes about to be released, he currently maintains a bullish position allocation on BTC and ETH.👀📈
#BTC #ETH #PUMP
#FedSeptemberMinutes #OKXNOW:24x7MarketEra $BTC $ETH $HYPE Crude Oil 4H: $88 tested four times without breaking, direction choice of descending triangle
WTI 89.6, end of descending triangle: upper edge shifted down from 106.8→93.7, lower edge $88 tested four times without breaking.
Macro tug-of-war: OPEC+ no production increase in November, Gulf exports support 60-80%; G7 releases 100 million barrels + high interest rate pressure.
MA20 90.3 flat. Break above 93.7 targets 96.5-100; break below 88 targets 85-80.The viewpoint in this passage is very clear: the author believes BTC is not at a peak currently, but is undergoing a liquidity washout before a breakout. After a true breakout above $87.2K–$87.3K, it may enter an acceleration phase.
🟢 How to understand this logic?
1. $87.2K is a key gate
BTC was quickly pushed down the first time it touched this level, indicating obvious selling pressure/liquidity here.
So it’s not surprising it couldn’t break through on the first attempt.
What the author really focuses on is:
Whether sellers have been exhausted during the second and third tests of $87.2K–$87.3K.
If resistance noticeably thins on retests, the significance of the breakout will be greater.
2. The drop near $85K is seen by the author as a “shakeout”
This is the core point of the entire article.
BTC retraced to:
70% Fibonacci zone
POC
12-hour Bullish Order Block
The author believes these levels form strong internal liquidity support.
So he interprets the drop below $85K as:
Not a trend reversal to bearish → but a search downward for liquidity → clearing leverage/stop losses → obtaining better chips → then moving upward again.
This is expressed in the article as:
“Breaking is for establishing; falling is for rising.”
Simply put: the drop is to reestablish the upward structure.
🚀 3. The real confirmation point: $87OKX teams up with ICE, the parent company of the NYSE, to submit an application to the SEC to enable 24/7 trading of 63 tokenized US stocks. $OKB surged nearly 6% to break $129; at the Singapore OKX NOW conference, Star declared: 95% of the code is written by AI, with last month's AI bill reaching $10 million. Exchanges are all putting themselves on the blockchain, and you're still just holding spot and zoning out?$RENDER is lively but the price hasn't broken out yet
The price is lukewarm, but the trading volume has heated up first. The last 15 minutes of trading are noticeably more active than the previous few hours. This makes me a bit eager to act, but looking at the position again, I feel it's not yet time to make a move.
The just-closed 5-minute candlestick is at 2.045 USDT, still within the price range of the past few hours. The past day has seen a net rise, but the current price is stuck in the middle of the range, making both upward and downward moves plausible. If you want to chase, you might want to do it early; if you want to wait, you might fear it suddenly won't turn back.
I'll hold back on this thought for now. Despite the liveliness, the price hasn't left the current area, and acting solely on active trading volume is still a weak reason.
Next, I'll focus on one thing: whether it can carry this wave of activity and truly break away from the middle of the range. Until then, I'd rather do less.$CT 20x perpetual short position, opened at 0.4109, mark price 0.379, earned 155.04%.
Honestly, the logic behind this trade is very clear: repeated failed attempts to rally near 0.41 with increasing volume clearly indicate a big player unloading at the top. Once the trend breaks, the bulls are completely done.
The most critical level now is 0.375, where a lot of buy orders have accumulated. If it breaks, expect new lows; if it rebounds, the 0.40 area will face selling pressure test again.
With 20x leverage, don’t get shaken out by the swings. Keep a close eye on open interest and funding rate ratio, and watch the candlesticks for a reliable read. $BTC $ETH
#OKXNOW：开启全天候市场新时代 Bitcoin is still hovering between $85,500 and $86,100, failing three times to break $87,000, and is almost flat for the day.
Ethereum is close to $2,700, Solana is stuck near $120, and its momentum hasn't caught up yet. Altcoins don't have a full season, only rotation: ADA is catching up, ZEC has retraced from its September high, and HYPE is supported by fee buybacks.
Holding above $85,000 means a second wave in October; if it falls back to $84,000, expect consolidation first. SUI I continue to hold, no action for now.
Because the position is relatively small, I can add more at a lower level anytime.
Currently, the market situation: ETH hit a low of 2676 last night. If it can stabilize and rebound around 2655 today, altcoins could profit. BTC surged rapidly to around $87,300 yesterday, but the bulls failed to hold and then took profits, now falling back to around $85,900, with a 24-hour drop of about 0.8%. This round of gains was mainly driven by weak US employment data. The cooling job market has reinforced expectations that the Fed will pause further tightening, providing support for risk assets. However, today US Treasury yields rose again, and the market has refocused on the risk of "high interest rates staying longer," and BTC's upward momentum has noticeably slowed. The price has twice attempted to break through $87,000 but failed to hold firmly, indicating that selling pressure in this area remains relatively concentrated. 🔎 BTC short-term highlights: • Support: $85,000–$85,300 • Strong support: near $84,200 • First resistance: $86,800–$87,000 • Strong resistance: $87,300–$87,500 • If volume breaks above $87,500, there is a better chance to continue challenging $89,000–$90,000 At present, a slight pullback after a rally does not necessarily mean a trend reversal; it seems more like short-term funds cashing in profits. What really needs to be watched is whether the 85,000 level can hold, and whether trading volume will support it when it breaks above 87,000. --- 📊 $ETH Ethereum | After breaking above 2,700, momentum is weak; BTC remains stronger. ETH is currently priced around 2,70510 月 6 日，OKX NOW 全球产品与生态大会在新加坡举行。OKX 创始人兼 CEO Star 在开场演讲中表示，OKX 正从加密货币交易所向全球金融科技平台发展，围绕资金持有、支付、投资与财富管理构建服务，并将 AI 用于研发、客服、反欺诈和合规等环节。 Star 在演讲中透露，OKX 约 95% 的工程代码合并请求，其主要开发工作已通过 AI 工作流完成，上个月支付给大模型公司的 AI 账单达到 1,000 万美元。他同时表示，互联网、加密技术与 AI 的融合，将推动金融服务向全球化、实时化和个性化发展。 以下为演讲全文，经整理。文中涉及公司业务、监管资质、股权投资及 AI 应用情况的表述，均来自 Star 的演讲。 大家早上好，欢迎来到新加坡。 今天，我想谈谈 OKX NOW，即我们今天走到了哪里？更重要的是，我们认为金融服务将走向何方？ 13 年前，OKX 从一家加密货币交易所起步。但今天，我们的愿景已经更加广阔。 互联网改变了信息流动的方式，加密技术正在改变价值流动的方式，而 AI 正在让智能能够规模化应用。我们相信，这三种技术正在汇聚，为下一代重塑金融服务。 我们生活Just after cutting open the sternum, someone asked, "Are you panicking now?"—I never answer such questions; I only see the myocardium ischemia. Newcomers to the crypto market are like interns entering the operating room for the first time; the deadliest thing is not trembling hands but not knowing which anatomical layer they are in. Those "mistakes I've made" shares are essentially postoperative complication discussions: not a shame exhibition, but the only way to reduce mortality through review. There are no stupid questions, only lesions not yet revealed by imaging.
The market linkage of the tokenized US stock XMSTR is like the left and right ventricles needing to contract synchronously. When US stock risk appetite changes, the tokenization channel pushes the pressure back, like mitral valve regurgitation; on the surface, it looks like a price crash, but in reality, it is a cross-market coupling causing cardiac output collapse. Beginners staring at K-lines are like opening the chest just by feeling the pulse; what really needs checking are liquidity perfusion, funding rates, correlations, and the fear and greed index. The fear and greed index is the market's heart rate variability; too high or too low indicates autonomic nervous system disorder, not just emotional illness.
When you ask "Why is it falling?" it's like family members asking "Did the surgery succeed?"—success is just the process; the first 24 hours post-op are critical. Market linkage is not a unilateral lesion; it is a circulatory pathway: US stock risk appetite, tokenization premium, funding rates, liquidation engines—any narrow segment can cause distal infarction. When someone in the community shares a liquidation, it's not gossip, it's an autopsy report. The more reports you read, the more you know which vessels not to touch. But reading reports doesn't mean going on stage. The monitor won't change its waveform just because you read the guidelines.
The official community beginner's guide is like surgical protocol; top traders are like lead surgeons; weekly best post awards are like excellent case awards. But no matter how good the awards are, they can't replace preoperative assessment. Lessons shared by others are necrotic myocardium already removed; if you just sew it up directly, immune rejection is not ruled out. The real danger is treating leverage as a cardiotonic injection—too much worsens myocardial failure; treating volatility as the cause—only defibrillating without addressing coronary spasm—makes the next ventricular fibrillation closer.
The official beginner's guide is updated regularly, like intraoperative transesophageal ultrasound that shows real-time structure but can't replace the surgeon's tactile sense. Top traders' answers are like multidisciplinary consultations that help you differentiate diagnoses, but ultimately which layer to cut depends on your own risk tolerance and hemostasis ability. Best posts have rewards, like excellent case awards, rewarding depth of review, not betting on direction. Treating rewards as the goal is like doing a heart transplant just to get a medal; donor rejection is only a matter of time.
At this moment on the monitor, the ST segment is still elevated, and extracorporeal circulation hasn't been withdrawn. #newherestarthereAfter watching $ETH for two days, I’m leaning bearish.
I opened a heavy short this morning and expect the downside to accelerate. My target is $2,150 within five days if the trend continues.
Those repeated sudden drops may be warning signs rather than random noise. I’m trading the short because I trust my thesis, but I’ll stay alert if the market proves me wrong.
#CFTCCryptoRulemaking #StrategyBuysMoreBTC I'm not excited about doing AI trading at all; what excites me is that now people even dare to open 10x positions below 85,000. I just saw a screenshot of a giant whale's position, with a long BTC position worth tens of millions of dollars, and the liquidation price is only about two thousand points away from the current price. They call this bottom fishing. I'm really amazed—at the 85,321 price level, it's still red within 24 hours, but he treats it like a discount. Such a position shaking by 1% would evaporate my entire monthly salary. So now I just watch whales as entertainment and never put myself in their shoes; their bullets are unlimited, but I only have one pair of underwear. $BTC 【Old Leek Observation】 $DOGE
🐶 This time DOGE is not just relying on Musk. DogeOS has opened its public testnet, starting to bring applications like trading, lending, stablecoins, and gaming into the Dogecoin ecosystem.
Moreover, the testnet fees are directly paid in DOGE.
The issue is: after such a big narrative, DOGE is still only around $0.0947, still some distance from $0.10.
Entry: $0.0930–$0.0950
Take profit: $0.098 / $0.102 / $0.108 / $0.115 / $0.125
Stop loss: $0.0890
First, see if $0.098 can break through and truly volume up above $0.10; only then will the space ahead easily open up.
If it falls below $0.089, do not hold hard.Even in a bull market, I won't chase the rally just because the market is surging.
I trade solely based on the market structure language.
If the market structure tells me to go long, I go long; if it tells me to avoid, I wait; if there is a clear bearish signal, even in a strong uptrend environment, I only follow the direction given by the current structure.
I don't predict; I only follow.
Trend is important, but it is not a reason to open a position.
What truly determines whether I enter the market is always the current structure, position, and market structure language.
I follow the market wherever it goes.This content talks about a very interesting NFT design direction: "Private / Encrypted NFT."
The core is not the NFT image, but that the NFT's attributes remain encrypted from the moment of minting.
🔐 What does Fungō Labs want to do?
The traditional NFT process is basically:
Mint → Reveal → Everyone sees rarity/attributes → Listing → Trading
But the idea here is:
Mint → Attributes encrypted → NFT can still operate on-chain → The holder decides whether to Reveal when needed
In other words, even if the NFT has rarity, traits, attributes, etc., the smart contract can compute on these encrypted data without knowing the specific content.
This uses FHE (Fully Homomorphic Encryption).
🧠 Why is this important?
One of the biggest features of traditional blockchains is:
Transparency, but that also means public.
NFT attributes are usually readable on-chain by the team, traders, bots, and even other smart contracts once minted.
FHE tries to change this default model:
Data can be used by programs, but the programs do not necessarily need to know the data itself.
For example, a hidden attribute of an NFT might determine whether it meets a certain on-chain condition.
Traditional method:
Contract$SPCX has bottomed and is rebounding, with consecutive daily gains—time to buy the dip???
SPCX rocket is bouncing back. It had been falling recently to around $104.3, where many short sellers piled in. After the US stock market opened last night, it started to rally, causing $9.27 million worth of short positions to liquidate within 24 hours.
Looking at its movement, the Bollinger Bands are opening upward, the MACD red bars are strengthening, and a mid-term bullish trend is forming. However, the short-term rise has been too fast, so blindly chasing the rally now risks getting trapped. A short-term correction is definitely expected.
This rally essentially reflects institutional optimism, positive developments in aerospace launches and Starlink business, combined with a new AI computing power narrative, and a rate cut environment that favors growth stocks.
It is not recommended to chase the price at current levels intraday. More prudent to wait for a pullback near 160-162 before considering going long, with a stop loss below 148, targeting 178-182, and possibly 200 on a strong rally.
However, in the face of the trend, Dream姐 remains bullish, just advises against blindly chasing at high levels!
$HYPE $XRP #OKXNOW：开启全天候市场新时代
#BTC巨鲸抛压减弱，ETF资金连续三周净流入 BTC liquidity above just got MUCH bigger.
Previously, the $82K sweep looked like the obvious play.
But now the liquidity is much more balanced, with a massive cluster sitting around $87K.
That makes an $87K retest much more logical from here.
$87K liquidity → sweep → then we see what BTC does next.
The setup changed. Don't trade the old one.$BTC This assessment of ZEC is clearly more bullish than the previous one, but it should be noted: "No new lows in three days" alone is not enough to confirm a reversal.
🟢 Why does the author think ZEC might be bottoming?
Several signals combined:
The key low at $1,270 has not been effectively broken
Yesterday's low reached $1,276.61 but quickly recovered, indicating support below
Price has returned to around $1,339
MA5 / MA10 / MA20 are starting to converge and flatten
About three days of sideways trading, indicating the bears' ability to push the price lower is weakening
NU7 upgrade is approaching, and the market is starting to trade potential fundamental catalysts in advance
So the author's logic is:
Can't fall further → sideways absorption of selling pressure → moving averages converge → waiting for catalyst → attempt to break upward.
🎯 Key price levels
$1,270: Lifeline
Breaking below here clearly invalidates the current "bottoming" judgment.
$1,365: First target/short-term resistance
If volume breaks through here, it indicates the rebound is confirmed.
$1,400: Second target
Only meaningful after breaking $1,365.
Therefore, the structure can be simply viewed as:
$1,270 ↓ support
⬆️
$1,339 current area
⬆️
$1,365 first resistance
⬆️
$1,400 second target
⚠️ But one point needs special caution
Sideways trading is not necessarily bottoming; it could also be a downtrend continuation.
What truly validates this bullish logic is not "no new lows in three days" $BTC
During this period, I only made one short trade at 86300, with a floating profit of 2000 points midway, but in the end, I greedily held on and exited at break-even stop loss.
Currently, Bitcoin is stuck around 85500, which is a solid dividing line between bulls and bears. The high has been consolidating sideways for a long time. The longer the stalemate lasts, the greater the subsequent market movement will be. Regardless of whether it ultimately goes up or down, once the direction is clear, it will easily result in a large swing of three to four thousand points. This is the key turning point worth betting on recently.
My mindset is not to stay stuck in the previous bearish market. Although I habitually look bearish at highs, a careful look at the market shows that multiple pullbacks recently have failed to push the price down. The support below is very solid, and all repeated bearish efforts have failed. The prolonged high-level consolidation without a drop is itself a strong short-term bullish signal.
A large number of hidden short positions have accumulated at the high, so the possibility of a short squeeze upwards is very high.
The long period of sideways movement is essentially a buildup and shakeout. Now 85500 is at the end of this buildup and can break upwards at any time.
For this short-term trade, I am currently bullish following the trend. After firmly holding above the 86500 resistance level, the direct target is around 89000. This is a strong resistance zone at the previous high and the core target of this rebound.
The premise is to hold the 84000 support.
This level still offers a good risk-reward ratio between bulls and bears. By the way, it means a profit of several thousand points, and if wrong, a small stop loss exit.The new week starts off a bit warm, but don't rush to get overly excited.
Pace, demand, and follow-through are more important than a temporary surge.
1) Market Sentiment
Risk appetite has slightly warmed this week.
For $BTC, I prefer to see a slow, steady upward oscillation rather than a sharp spike followed by a quick pullback.Why do you always get liquidated? Because you simply don't understand position management. The core of position management boils down to two rules: single trade risk not exceeding 2%, and a maximum drawdown warning line at 15%. I lost 200,000U because I used to hold heavy positions and suffered a 50% loss in one trade, leading directly to liquidation. Currently, $BTC is at 85289, resistance at 86000, support at 85000. My strategy is: buy on a pullback to 85000-85200, stop loss at 84700, target 86000, open position with 5000U, 10x leverage, full position mode, single trade risk controlled within 2%. If the account drawdown reaches 15%, immediately stop trading and reflect; never hold a position without a stop loss. Remember: position management is the lifeline of trading; staying alive is more important than making money. $BTC #OKXNOW：开启全天候市场新时代 $ETH
Brothers, let me share my thoughts first,
At the current 2694 level, I won't chase longs.
It's not that I'm bearish, but this level feels awkward.
There's not much room to go up, and there's still some way down. If I really want to go long,
I'd rather wait patiently around 2678.
If it can hold steady between 2678 and 2685, I'll consider adding a position,
with a stop loss at 2670, first targeting 2700, then 2710 to 2715.
But if it can't hold 2678, then don't be stubborn,
close long positions immediately; I see support around 2650 below.
If it reverses and firmly holds 2710 again,
then I'll reconsider chasing a move up, targeting 2725 to 2740.
To be clear, it's not that you can't trade now, but there's no need to force it at 2694.
I'll wait for the right level to go long; if the level isn't there, I'll wait.$ETH hit the stop loss, feeling exhausted 😭
At first, I thought it could break through 2800, but looking back, I realized I was buying at the peak 🥺
Why does it always drop when I go long? Is the market maker targeting me?
I think it's very hard for Ethereum to go up now; there's too much trapped capital above, heavy selling pressure around 2800. If it was going to surge, it would have done so already, it wouldn't just be sideways here.
I'll wait for Ethereum to pull back before going long again. I won't do breakout trades anymore; buying the dip is the right approach 🌙 Woke up, checked the chart… and $BTC had already made another move 😂
Before sleep: ~$84.9K
Now: ~$86.2K 🚀
The bulls are still defending the short-term structure.
₿ BTC: $85.4K–$85.6K support
🔥 $86.5K breakout + volume → $87.5K–$88.5K becomes the next zone
⚠️ If $85K breaks, volatility could quickly increase.
Early-session liquidity can be thin, so one aggressive red candle can still shake out overleveraged longThis round of $BNB short positions is held quite steadily.
Recently, the market has been volatile, and BNB is clearly under pressure around 790. I followed the trend and opened a short at 790.4 with 50x leverage. Now the mark price is at 778.4, with an unrealized profit of over 75%. The logic is not to chase longs at the top but to follow the trend and profit from the pullback.
However, 50x leverage is no joke; even slight fluctuations make the heart race. Currently holding the position, planning to take profits in batches to secure gains. $BTC $ZEC Originally, I had already complained to my friends about this week's market, but I have to take back my words, a bit embarrassing. During the repeated oscillations in the session, $ENA almost reached the top every time it surged, showing strong signs of a bull trap, insufficient support, and volume didn't keep up. I indicated a bearish outlook with high-level pressure, advising not to chase the rally.
Opened a short at 0.27992, closed at 0.24066, with a floating profit of +701.98%. This gain feels good; those on board should be waking up smiling.
Don't lose patience in the oscillation and then try to regain dignity in a one-sided move. Don't let profits inflate, and don't despair over pullbacks.
Take profits on 80% first, move the stop loss on the remaining 20% to the cost price for protection. Let the profit run if it continues to drop, don't give back gains on a rebound.
Now is not the time to rush; if you haven't entered, don't be anxious. Wait for a new structure to emerge before deciding. Opportunities remain, so don't hurry.
$SNDK $BNB There’s a rebound, but I’m not rushing to buy. A few green candles don’t mean it’s time to chase.
$FIL is recovering, but needs to prove it can hold gains. $APT looks cheap, but cheap doesn’t mean undervalued. $OP is still indecisive, so I’d rather wait for confirmation than flip with every move.
No rush—let the market prove the trend.
#CFTCCryptoRulemaking #USCryptoTaxFilingOct15 The G7 just announced releasing 100 million barrels of oil reserves to suppress oil prices.
Yet Brent crude remains above $102.
And OPEC+? They just held a meeting and decided to keep production unchanged in November.
What does this mean?
It means the G7 is shooting itself in the foot while OPEC+ watches the show.
On the G7 side: On October 2, they decided to release up to 100 million barrels of crude and refined products over the next four months, prioritizing diesel in the first 20 days. They also promised no restrictions on energy exports.
The IEA is even more aggressive: Of the 400 million barrels promised in March, about 325 million barrels have been released by October 3, accounting for over 80%.
On the OPEC+ side: In ten words—no action, no change in November. Next meeting? November 1. The one after? November 2026.
One side is desperately firefighting, the other is sitting still watching.
Who do you think is smarter?
3/ Let's break down OPEC+'s calculations.
Why aren't they moving? They are waiting for an answer: Will the G7's 100 million barrels dumped into the market actually cause prices to fall?
If prices fall—it means releasing reserves works, and OPEC+ will consider cutting production to support prices.
If prices don't fall—it means the market doesn't buy it, and OPEC+'s spare capacity becomes absolute pricing power.
Reuters put it bluntly: The market generally expects OPEC+ will not further adjust production before the end of 2026.
Translation: They are in no hurry.
You might ask: If OPEC+ doesn't increase production, aren't they worried about losing market share?
Good question. Look at some data:
According to the IEA's August report, OPEC+'s total effective spare capacity is only 1.09 million barrels per day—production that can be brought online within 90 days and sustained.
Of that 1.09 million barrels, the eight OPEC countries with quota obligations account for only 70,000 barrels per day.
What does this mean?
The world consumes about 100 million barrels of oil daily. OPEC+'s "wild card" is only 0.1%.
It's not that they don't want to increase production; they simply can't.
Iran's Foreign Minister Alaghezi said: Conditions met, the Strait can reopen within seven days.
Trump? He outright rejected it.
Saudi Foreign Minister Faisal called at the UN: The Strait must be restored to the state before February 28, with no fees charged.
But so far, the Strait's flow remains far below pre-war levels.
About one-fifth of global oil transport is stuck in this 33-kilometer-wide waterway.
Iran is waiting for US conditions; the US is waiting for Iran to concede. Both sides are waiting for the other to blink first.
This is OPEC+'s confidence— as long as the Strait is closed, the supply gap cannot be filled.
The US Strategic Petroleum Reserve has dropped to 298.7 million barrels—the lowest since 1983, only 42% of authorized capacity.
Global oil inventories are down 507 million barrels compared to before the conflict.
IEA data shows that from February to August, global inventories have been declining at a rate of 2.8 million barrels per day.
Saudi Aramco CEO Nasser said a blunt truth: "Rebuilding these inventories will take up to two years."
The G7 is using two years' worth of reserves to fill a hole of several million barrels per day.
Can this hole be filled?
What exactly is OPEC+ waiting for?
They are waiting for the G7's bullets to run out.
Releasing reserves is temporary; production capacity is structural. Once the G7 releases this 100 million barrels, inventories will be at historic lows.
As long as OPEC+ keeps production steady, oil prices will always have a "supply gap" floor supporting them.
When the G7 runs out of ammunition, OPEC+ will decide whether to release oil—at that point, pricing power is 100% in their hands.
Whoever acts first reveals their hand.
Interestingly, oil prices actually fell a bit today.
Brent dropped from 102.53 to 100.22, down 2.25%. WTI fell below $90.
Why? Because the G7's release gave the market some breathing room.
But analysts are clear: The G7 release only "reduces short-term supply panic," the fundamental situation hasn't changed.
Around $100 is a fragile balance.
Downward requires the Strait to really reopen. Upward only needs negotiations to collapse again.
Both possibilities are real.
Binance's report analyzed: If oil prices stay above $110, CPI rises to 3%, real interest rates exceed 2.5%, tech stock sell-offs will break Bitcoin's correlation with US stocks—triggering a "digital gold" narrative shift.
Brent is now $102. Just $8 away from $110.
And as traditional stores of value are eroded by persistent inflation, BTC with absolutely limited supply will gain new allocation demand.
The energy price baseline is moving up, a mid-to-long-term trend.
OPEC+ is not inactive.
They are waiting for the best moment to act.
The G7 is buying time with inventories. OPEC+ is exchanging time for pricing power.
On the negotiation table between Iran and the US is not peace, but the switch controlling one-fifth of global oil.
November 1, OPEC+'s next meeting.
Before then, the effect of the G7's release will become clearer. If oil prices are not suppressed—the cards in OPEC+'s hands become a royal flush.
What you need to do now is not guess who will win.
It's to see clearly the bottom cards of this game and decide which side you stand on.
The G7 has released 325 million barrels. Oil prices remain around $100. Inventories are the lowest since 1983. OPEC+'s spare capacity is only 1.09 million barrels per day.
This is not a supply crisis. This is a carefully designed standoff.
OPEC+ is watching how long the G7 can hold out. $BTC $CL $BZ #中东能源航运风险升温，两大关键海峡受扰