Orbit Post Sitemap
$25 million worth of Bitcoin only accounts for about 0.025% of Robinhood's roughly $100 billion market cap, but this is the first time it has put BTC on the company's own balance sheet.
Johann Kerbrat, Senior Vice President of Robinhood Crypto, said in an interview with The Block in Singapore today that the company has purchased about $25 million worth of Bitcoin, recorded on its own balance sheet. He also said frankly: this amount of money won't change the company's direction; it's more of a statement to stand with the crypto community.
Let's do the math:
1. At the time of writing, BTC was roughly 83,920 on OKX, so $25 million is about 298 coins.
2. According to Arkham, Robinhood holds about 185,000 BTC, worth about $15.5 billion, on behalf of customers; those are users' coins, about 620 times the size of this purchase.
3. CEO Vlad Tenev had previously said he was considering this; this is the first concrete step.
A reminder: CoinDesk says the company has not yet issued an official announcement; the information comes from executive interviews, and whether the financial report will match remains to be seen. BTC fell about 2.3% in the last 24 hours today, with an intraday low of 83,577.
In the next financial report, will Robinhood's BTC holdings remain at about 298 coins, or will they continue to increase?
$BTC The market collectively plunged, but SAND defied the trend and surged 7.5%. Is it a true bull or just a one-day wonder?
Today the market is all red, but SAND bucked the trend with a gain of over 7%, currently priced around 0.0717. It even touched 0.0756 intraday, looking like a safe haven where funds are gathering.
However, looking at the market depth, I have to pour cold water: the 24-hour spot trading volume is just over $5.38 million, which is not a thick liquidity pool. It's easy to pump up, but if no one follows, it can drop just as fast. Short-term pulses like this are common in a bear market.
Moreover, it has already fallen back from the high to 0.0717, with the price below the MA5 (0.0723), RSI only at 53—not strong—and MACD just formed a death cross. My understanding is that this looks more like rotation of funds within small-cap themes in a down market, rather than a trend reversal.
Next, watch two key levels: whether it can break above 0.0723 with volume and challenge the previous high and the upper Bollinger Band at 0.0756. Holding above that would indicate real strength; on the downside, if it breaks support at 0.0695 and the lower Bollinger Band at 0.0698, this counter-trend move is basically invalidated and a further drop is likely. Without the market stabilizing, don’t chase an isolated rally too aggressively.
$SAND #Metaverse
Not investment advice, DYOR.Brothers, today the account finally feels a bit easier. The short positions on Bitcoin and BNB are steadily profiting, only the small LAB position just entered is temporarily taking a hit, but overall it's still in the green. This round of short positions was timed well.
$BTC｜20X full position short
86070.5 → 85681.7, unrealized profit +72U, ROI +9.11%. Continuing to watch 85000.
$BNB｜20X full position short
790.24 → 783.74, unrealized profit +116U, ROI +16.51%. Today's biggest contributor, continuing to watch 780.
$LAB｜10X isolated short
0.04938 → 0.0500085, unrealized loss -9.84U, ROI -13.60%. Just entered and got reversed, observing for now.
#This week the Fed will release the September meeting minutes
#OKXNOW:24x7MarketEra
#SepFOMCRateHikeOutlook #BTCWhalePressureEases NMR at $16, do you still dare to chase?
Yesterday it shot up from 11.8 to 19.75, a 67% surge, then today it directly dropped back to 16. Upbit just launched the KRW trading pair, with volume exploding to 200 million — but is this real Korean money entering the market, or just the last wave of retail investors being harvested after the exchange pump?
Let's look at the surface: BTC is falling, NMR is rising on its own.
On Wednesday, BTC dropped from 86,600 to 83,560, with oil prices and the dollar putting risk assets under pressure, liquidating longs. But NMR? It bucked the trend with a 67% big green candle. 24-hour volume is 170-220 million, while market cap is only 120 million — volume is 1.4 times market cap. This is not value investing, this is a casino.
The candlestick tells you: at the end of September, it was consolidating around 9-10, on September 28 it spiked to 15.5, then fell back to 11-12 for a few days, October 6 high was 19.75, today you see 16. The second spike within two weeks.
First: Upbit launched the KRW trading pair, but is this bullish or a sell-off?
On October 6, Upbit officially listed NMR/KRW and NMR/USDT. Everyone in crypto knows the buying power of Korean retail — Upbit listings have always been "peak at open."
The pattern? Announcement is strongest, open is second strongest, then digestion starts the next day. What you see at 16 today is the embodiment of "digestion."
BTC and ETH are both down today, NMR is up alone, indicating this is not a market-wide rally but a liquidity-driven event. The Korean funds brought by Upbit follow the exact same pattern as Bithumb listings back in the day — Korean money comes fast and leaves faster.
You chase at 16, Korean market sells above 17, who will catch it?
Second: Numerai's fund narrative is an old story.
Numerai had about $700 million AUM in July this year, completed a $30 million Series C at a $500 million valuation in November 2025. Sounds impressive?
But look closely — the $500 million from JPMorgan is a credit line, not money already injected into the market. What about buybacks? From July 2025 to July 2026, total buybacks are only $3.2 million.
$3.2 million buybacks against a $120 million market cap barely makes a splash. It can't support $16.
NMR is the staking and reward token for the Numerai tournament, usage follows fund size, but token capture relies on small buybacks and staking — not fee sharing. Circulating supply is 7.17 million, nearly maxed out, no unlocking story, no deflation expectation.
$16 is 35% more expensive than yesterday's 11.8. You're not buying a cheap valuation, you're buying "the Korean market is still here."
What if the Korean market leaves?
Third: The candlestick tells you 16 is mid-slope, not the bottom.
Above: 17.3 is today's open, 18 is some exchanges' high, 19.75 is yesterday's spike. Without volume to hold above 18, don't talk to me about 20.
Below: 15.3 is today's low, 14 is a round number and the September 29 pullback zone, 12 is the previous platform before listing, 11.8 is yesterday's start low. Falling back to 12 means the pulse is over.
Daily RSI hit 85 on the first spike, now it's the second overbought pullback. Volume is more than ten times that of previous days — this is not healthy growth, this is emotional venting.
16 is stuck right in the middle between 15.3 and 19.75. Holding 15.3 can still be seen as a pullback; failing to reclaim 17.5 means the rebound is a chance to reduce positions.
Mid-slope is the most dangerous — aiming for 20 is fantasy, falling to 12 is reality.
Bull vs. bear, you decide:
On the bull side:
Upbit KRW channel opened, Korean funds entering
Volume exploded to 200 million, liquidity is temporarily ample
Counter-trend rally, strong short-term sentiment
Numerai fund AUM $700 million, long-term narrative alive
On the bear side:
JPMorgan's $500 million is a credit line, not cash in hand, buybacks only $3.2 million
Circulating supply nearly maxed, no unlocking benefits
Two spikes in two weeks, typical pulse sell-off pattern
$16 is 35% more expensive than 11.8, only 20% retracement from 19.75
If BTC falls below 83,000, this high-turnover small cap will be cut first
Trading strategy (no nonsense):
Aggressive:
Don't open longs at 16. If you must, only very light positions when stabilizing at 15.3-15.6, stop loss at 14.6, target 17.2. Exit at 17, don't be greedy.
Conservative (recommended for most):
Wait for 12.5-13.5 to consider, stop loss 11.5. If not reached, stay out. The pulse money from listing is not yours.
Breakout:
Only consider chasing if volume supports holding above 18 and pullback doesn't break 16.5, target 19.5. Don't target 19.75. Better to miss out than make a mistake.
Bearish:
Light short positions on weak rallies between 17.2-18, stop loss 18.6, targets 15.3 and 14. Don't short heavily near 15.3.
Position rules:
Single trade risk no more than 1% of total capital, leverage no more than 2x. It can go from 12 to 20 in a day, or from 20 back to 15. Can you handle it?
Risk control priorities (must memorize):
If it breaks 15.3 with volume, next supports are 14 and 12, exit first.
If Korean volume drops back to normal but price stays above 16, treat as false breakout.
If BTC breaks 83,000, reduce NMR leverage first.
NMR now is like GALA in 2021 —
Listing pump spike, everyone shouting "to the moon," then a slow decline starting the next day, falling back to the original point in two months.
NMR at $16, you don't dare to chase.
NMR at $12, will you think no one wants it again?
It's not that NMR is bad, it's that you always catch it at the spike.
NMR at 16 is a rest after Upbit's open, not a new fundamental. What you can do is wait to see if 15.3 holds, not all-in at mid-slope aiming for 20.
Watch two things: will 15.3 break, can Korean volume hold.
If broken, expect 12. If held, then reconsider.
$BTC $ETH $NMR This afternoon, an older guy in the group chat came to ask me if LINK was about to be abandoned by the project team, because someone dumped over a hundred thousand tokens.
I told him to take a sip of water first.
The truth is, he saw a message on the blockchain that a certain whale wallet sold 138,000 LINK for 1.9 million dollars, then used that to play leverage on CRCL on Hyperliquid. CRCL is Circle, the company that issues USDC, and it's about to go public on the US stock market. Think about this move: converting coins into stablecoin-related assets, then leveraging to bet on its IPO.
My first reaction wasn’t panic, but respect. This guy’s brain is sharper than mine.
LINK is now a bit over 13 dollars, down 5% this week, with volume only 60% of usual. No one is rushing to buy or sell; it’s just lying flat. Some people think it’s useless and chase other coins, which is normal.
My own LINK is still holding, no plans to move it short-term. For an old coin like this, if you expect it to suddenly skyrocket, you haven’t been worn down by it enough. It’s the kind of holding you can leave alone without worry or regret.
As for whether that whale made or lost money on leverage, I don’t care at all. I just hope they don’t come back to dump the market. $LINK #How to trade range-bound markets? NEAR upper and lower boundary risk analysis
Market bottom-fishing funds are trying to stabilize, while high-level profit-taking funds continue to compete.
This time we focus on liquidity trap risk. After the indicator falls into a narrow range oscillation, capital's wait-and-see sentiment intensifies, the momentum of rises and falls continues to weaken, and the market struggles to break through the range boundaries. Currently, NEAR is in a typical range-bound trend. OKEx spot 24-hour highest price is 5.296 USDT, lowest price is 4.869 USDT, latest transaction price is 5.113 USDT, with overall volatility extremely contracted.
This risk triggers when the market is stuck in the middle of the range for a long time and cannot test the upper and lower boundaries, likely leading to a narrow grinding market before a directional choice. Ordinary traders can focus on whether the 1-hour closing price can hold above 5.151 USDT to judge short-term breakout momentum.
At which key points within the NEAR range have you currently set your pending orders and stop-loss positions?
$NEAR #Horn of Hormuz oil tankers attacked in succession, US-Iran negotiations continue
Horn of Hormuz oil tankers attacked in succession, US-Iran negotiations continue
From October 1 to 5, at least 4 vessels in the Strait of Hormuz were hit by "unidentified projectiles," including oil tankers and liquefied petroleum gas carriers, and another oil tanker was turned back by the Iranian Revolutionary Guard. Shipping rates and war risk costs continue to rise.
But negotiations have not stopped. On the 5th, US Vice President Pence stated that the US side is "open" to reaching an agreement, provided Iran must "substantially" reduce its existing uranium enrichment capacity, rather than just verbally committing to future plans. Iran insists that the US first lift the blockade, cancel sanctions, and unfreeze assets, and both sides remain deadlocked over "who acts first."
The core disagreement is over the agenda order: the US wants the nuclear issue prioritized, while Iran wants the Strait passage prioritized.
Market impact: Brent crude is trading around $101. High oil prices push up inflation expectations, strengthening the Fed's tightening stance, with safe-haven funds flowing into the dollar and crude oil rather than BTC. BTC is currently around 85,500, with resistance at 87,000 and support at 84,000. Positions have stop-loss below 83,500; short positions wait for a pullback to 84,500 to stabilize before entering, do not chase highs.$BTC $ETH $ZEC The expected rebound failed to gain traction as $BTC weakness triggered another move lower. My shorts on $ETH, $LINK, and $ZEC remain in profit while sellers stay active. 🔻 $ETH Short Entry: $2,672.40 | Current: $2,618.70 20X Isolated | PnL: +104.60U | ROI: +39.85% $ETH remains below $2,700. Until buyers reclaim this level with strong volume, I’m staying cautious and watching the downside. 🔻 $LINK Short Entry: $13.62 | Current: $13.38 20X Isolated | PnL: +6.15U | ROI: +2.86% $13.80–$14.00 reBTC amplitude compressed by 82.5%, hourly first breaks out of the range
The 4H downtrend continuation condition from the previous BTC post was not met: the 12—16 hour close was 84148.8 USDT, higher than 83577.1. The high-low difference for this period shrank from the previous window's 2027.2 to 355.7 USDT, a reduction of 82.5%. The observation point shifts to the expansion after compression.
From 16—17 hours, the 1H close was 83955.3, first breaking below the 12—16 hour 4H lower boundary of 84037.1; volume was 206.85 BTC, down 55.0% from the previous hour. The hourly breakout accompanied by volume contraction, with 4H confirmation expected around 20:00, indicates the two periods are not in the same bucket.
The latest closed 4H upper boundary is 84392.8 with a volume of 797.06 BTC. If the 16—20 hour close is below 84037.1 with volume at least 797.06 BTC, a downward expansion is confirmed; if it closes back above 84392.8, the weak hourly breakout signal is invalidated. This 4H period has not yet closed.
If the 20:00 close is below 84037.1 but volume is insufficient at less than 797.06 BTC, I reserve the judgment of "expansion unconfirmed." What evidence from the same period's closed candles would make you relax the volume threshold?
Source: OKX official BTC-USDT spot v5 candlesticks, all confirm=1; 4H as of Beijing time October 7, 2026, 16:00, 1H as of 17:00, not the same bucket. Price and high-low difference units are USDT, volume unit is BTC; volume does not equal net sell. Independent observation, not investment advice.$ZEC has pulled back to around 1370 USD.
But when I checked the on-chain data today, I found something quite strange about this wave.
The price rose nearly 5% in 24 hours, but the number of transactions on the Zcash chain actually dropped by almost half compared to last week, and the proportion of Shielded transactions continued to decline from last week, now at about 39%.
Normally, this doesn’t look like a rally driven by "the whole network suddenly using Zcash."
But another piece of data is completely opposite:
In the past week, about 41,000 ZEC were net added to the Shielded Pool.
There are now about 4.94 million ZEC lying in the privacy pool, accounting for 29.1% of the total supply. At the current price, that’s roughly 6.7 billion USD.
So I think ZEC is showing a very interesting divergence right now.
Fewer people are transacting with Zcash, but the amount of ZEC willing to be put into the privacy pool continues to increase.
These two things are very different.
Transaction count represents "how many people are active," while Shielded Supply is closer to "how much asset chooses to enter privacy mode."
If later we see transaction numbers pick up again while the Shielded Pool continues to grow, that would mean price, usage, and privacy demand are all strengthening together. Where the money flows is more important than how the story is told
$BTC's one-week afternoon gains have nearly returned to zero, with a 24-hour pullback of about 1.8%.
The advantage from the previous rise has diminished, but this alone does not indicate that funds are exiting on a large scale.
I am more concerned about who is willing to buy after the pullback and how long the rebound can last. If the price meets selling pressure as soon as it rises, it means buyers are still unwilling to pay a higher price.
At this time, even if you hear reasons for long-term optimism, there is no need to rush to raise short-term expectations. The viewpoint can be extended.
#BTC巨鲸抛压减弱，ETF资金连续三周净流入
For $ETH, I will pay attention to the destination of funds after staking withdrawals. Withdrawals require queuing, and after retrieving the coins, they may be restaked with a different service provider. The amount requested for withdrawal cannot be directly equated to the amount about to be sold.
What is truly worth tracking is whether the retrieved coins enter exchanges and how much can be supported by restaking. Viewing the full path of funds is more useful than jumping to conclusions just by seeing the word "withdrawal."
#Strategy再购BTC，多家财库同步增持
For $RE's reinsurance business, premiums are collected while corresponding losses must also be borne.
I think the biggest misjudgment to avoid here is interpreting premium growth directly as profit growth.
Claims, expenses, and reserves all need to be accounted for. Even if the business grows large, it is necessary to see whether risks have also become concentrated.
Therefore, I pay more attention to underwriting quality and information disclosure before judging what growth means for governance tokens. Real business is worth studying, but "real" itself does not equal low risk.Polymarket has been so popular recently, I originally thought their main focus next would be to keep adding markets and grabbing users.
But instead, they first dismantled the underlying layer.
On October 6th, Polymarket started pushing Protocol V2, which is currently being tested with real markets, planned to run until October 30th. If the tests go smoothly, the new markets will switch to V2 as early as November 2nd.
This change is actually quite significant.
Previously, different types of prediction markets had relatively scattered underlying processing methods. V2 is preparing to unify binary, negative risk, combo, and other different markets into one trading architecture.
Positions are also unified into a single ERC-1155 contract, and collateral assets are consolidated into pUSD.
One thing I’m particularly concerned about is the OracleAggregator.
The most troublesome step in prediction markets isn’t actually placing bets.
It’s who ultimately tells the chain:
“Did this event actually happen or not?”
Because if the result determination is flawed, no matter how large the previous trading volume was, it’s meaningless.
The new OracleAggregator in V2 can be compatible with different oracle systems, currently including UMA and Chainlink.
This is equivalent to modularizing the layer of “where the results come from.” $ZEC 50x short position, opened at 1348.34, marked at 1319.55, floating profit 106.76%. Brothers, ZEC's drop this round is too fierce, this short must be steady.
Entered at 1348.34 with 50x leverage, 1350 is strong resistance, if it can't break through, it's a solid top. The market is weakening, volume is shrinking, I directly hold the short position.
Now floating profit is over 1x, target first looks at 1300. Stop loss has been pushed above cost, next is either break even exit or ride the full downtrend. Doing contracts, follow the trend, hold if no breakout, don't get shaken out by rebounds. $ETH $BTC #9月FOMC会议纪要公布在即，是否继续加息？ Rain is applying to the U.S. OCC for a national trust bank charter to issue stablecoins and to custody digital assets and reserves under federal regulation.
What’s truly worth noting about this news is not "another institution issuing stablecoins," but that it is applying for a national trust bank charter.
This means the stablecoin business is further entering the traditional banking regulatory system.
In recent years, stablecoin competition has focused more on issuance scale, on-chain liquidity, and user numbers.
But now, the competition is extending to more fundamental infrastructure:
Who is qualified to legally custody customer assets?
Who can manage stablecoin reserves under a regulatory framework?
Who can establish a compliant issuance and redemption system?
On the surface, a stablecoin is just a token, but the reserves, custody, issuance, and redemption behind the token determine whether it can truly enter the mainstream financial system.
So the significance of Rain’s application this time is not just that there is one more stablecoin player.
It indicates that stablecoin competition is evolving from "product competition" to "charter competition."
Technology can be replicated, products can be caught up with, but issuance and custody qualifications under the federal regulatory framework are not something just anyone can obtain.
What’s truly worth watching next is who can get this charter first.I want to focus on talking about the UNI coin
It completely confused me.
Because I got liquidated, sigh.
Conclusion first: It has fully entered a downtrend adjustment phase and is no longer among my long position targets.
Last night it directly broke below the previous range of 8.45---9.3.
Now it is running below 8.45, and it needs to find bottom support and build a new structure before it can rise. To those who still hold positions, I wish you luck and hope for the best.The moment the monitor beeped, what I saw was not the price, but cardiac tamponade.
$4.4 billion flowed into the tokenized stock channel on this chain within a month. Outsiders see a liquidity feast; I see a heart being paced too fast—the ejection fraction is rising, but the myocardial wall is thinning. Volume is the heart rate; a fast heart rate does not mean good heart function. Ventricular tachycardia can also produce a beautiful blood flow curve, then sudden cardiac arrest.
The real lesion is not in the candlestick chart. What lies long on the table is settlement. Traditional delivery is like two people sewing an artery and a vein separately, with two days of extracorporeal circulation in between; any bleeding must be manually monitored. Now they compress assets and payments into the same suture line, terminating in seconds, effectively reducing aortic clamp time to nearly zero. JPMorgan provides institutional settlement input, which is like cross-matching blood before a successful transplant—not giving retail investors a cardiac stimulant, but evaluating donors for a major organ transplant about to take place. External security audits are the signed records of multidisciplinary preoperative consultations.
But I will not open the chest just because the consultation records look good. There are three perfusion defects:
First, the trading depth of these tokenized assets depends on the autonomic tension of market makers. Once external leverage withdraws, vascular tension collapses instantly, preload drops to zero, and no one can replenish this blood. The relationship between US stock tokenized assets and on-chain liquidity is like dual-chamber pacing; if one chamber beats fast and the other cannot keep up, it is atrioventricular conduction block.
Second, second-level termination means no observation window. Intraoperative errors cannot be corrected and can only wait for reperfusion injury to erupt postoperatively—at which point the monitor still looks normal, but cells are already dying.
Third, on-chain clearing shifts credit risk from counterparties to the code itself. The code has no autonomous regulatory ability; it will only tear along the suture line, giving no second chance to stop bleeding.
The market needs precise diagnosis, not emotional treatment. Those who rush in seeing $4.4 billion are like announcing the removal of vasopressors when blood pressure rises—the medication is still dripping, the heart is still trembling, but they no longer watch the monitor.
The same week this chain’s tokenized stocks set a monthly trading record, its settlement infrastructure had just passed external audit. The new heart has just been connected to the vessels, the anticoagulation plan just finalized, and no one has yet seen how it performs under real massive bleeding.
I hold the scalpel, waiting not for good news, but for the coagulation curve at the first major hemorrhage. #solanastockstop4.4b$UP, 10x short, opened at 0.236, currently at 0.2074, floating profit 121.18%. From a technical perspective, the daily chart closed with a large bearish candle, MACD formed a death cross downward, and KDJ dropped sharply after high-level stagnation.
0.236 is exactly the strong resistance level at the upper edge of the previous dense trading zone. I placed a short order at this position with 10x leverage, stop loss set above 0.238.
Now the price has broken below 0.21, with short-term support at 0.19. The strategy is very clear: short at resistance, clear stop loss, excellent risk-reward ratio. Do not bottom-fish, let profits run, and wait for the signal to exit. $ETH $BTC #9月FOMC会议纪要公布在即，是否继续加息？ Are you like this too? When you see BTC surge with a big bullish candle, you get itchy hands, afraid of missing the market, chase in and get trapped, then hold the position until liquidation.
This is called FOMO, fear of missing out. But think about it, BTC rose from 83,500 to 83,865.8, if you chase in at 83,800, where do you set your stop loss? At 83,500? A 300-point stop loss, opening a position with 5,000U losing 150U, that's acceptable. But most people chase in without stop loss, hold until 83,000 before cutting losses, losing 500U each time, after ten times it's gone.
I lost 200,000U, one-third of it was from FOMO chasing the rise. Now I've learned: wait for a pullback to 83,500 support before going long, stop loss at 83,300, target 84,000, risk-reward ratio 2.5:1. Don't chase the rise, don't hold positions blindly, always use stop loss.
Remember: the market never lacks opportunities, it lacks patience. $BTC #9月FOMC会议纪要公布在即，是否继续加息？ $BTC four-hour candle closing below 83800 will lead to testing 82500.
The previous pullback to 82500 support stabilized but the rise failed to break the previous high of 87300, which is a bad signal because from a larger scale perspective, failure to break through indicates a secondary test downtrend. Looking at the daily chart, there are heavy resistance levels above and a lot of liquidity below.
If the 82500 M top in the chart breaks, it will be confirmed, and 80000 below cannot hold. Focus on 82500.Dear teachers, this round shows a clear divergence among small-cap coins. Here's a simple breakdown based on the whale holding structures:
$CAP｜Short-term bearish
After a surge, a pullback occurred. About 56.8% of the long-position whales are in profit, with significant pressure from low-position chip realization. Previous highs act as clear resistance.
Attack level: 0.0895｜Defense level: 0.0932
$SAND｜Short-term bullish
Whales hold larger short positions, but most are at a loss, so stop-loss orders may further push the price upward. The daily moving averages are overall trending up, and the rebound trend still has room to continue.
Attack level: 0.0712｜Defense level: 0.0675
$CT｜Short-term bearish
New coin surged then pulled back, with most long-position whales trapped and dense locked positions above. The rebound is likely to face selling pressure from unlocking positions, limiting upward space.
Attack level: 0.401｜Defense level: 0.424
#9月FOMC会议纪要公布在即，重点关注消息落地后的方向选择。
#BTCWhalePressureEases #SepFOMCRateHikeOutlook Dubai Virtual Assets Regulatory Authority (VARA) issued a reserve asset audit notice with three core requirements.
1. 100% reserve, 1:1 holding of the same type of asset. If customers deposit BTC, the reserve must be BTC; it cannot be substituted with equivalent USDT or USD.
2. Daily reconciliation. Not quarterly, not monthly, but daily.
3. Independent audits must cover hot wallets, warm wallets, cold wallets, third-party wallet infrastructure, custodial assets, and the most critical point: auditors must verify whether these assets have been restaked, lent out, or misappropriated.
VARA said this notice was issued after reviewing all reserve proof reports for 2025. The implication is that issues were found in the 2025 reports.
Why this is worth noting.
One of the core reasons for the FTX collapse was the misappropriation and leveraging of user assets; the coins in reserve and those on the books were completely different. VARA now makes "no misappropriation of customer assets" a mandatory requirement in regulatory documents and demands independent third-party verification.
In comparison: the US SEC and CFTC are still disputing jurisdiction, the EU MiCA is still progressing, while Dubai is ahead, clearly defining the minimum standards for reserve audits.
For exchanges and VASPs licensed in Dubai, this is not optional.
For users, assets held on VARA-regulated platforms at least have explicit protection rules at this level.
$BTC Big Brother Maji (Huang Licheng) went all in on $ETH!
Will today be the 9th time Big Brother Maji gets liquidated?
Not sure if Big Brother Maji is getting overconfident.
ETH has been continuously increasing his position, and the liquidation price is only $90 away from the current price.
Because it's a full margin position, meaning if ETH drops 3%, he will get liquidated.
ETH's current position value is nearly $100 million,
with about 38,000 coins,
opening average price at 2682.61,
liquidation price only 2520.69.
Of course, this liquidation price isn't exact because he also has a BTC long position.
BTC's current position value is $21,401,100,
with about 255 coins,
opening price 84512.9,
liquidation price 70822.71.
$BTC position has clearly been reduced from over 500 coins before.
Looking at this, Big Brother Maji is shifting his position towards the more volatile ETH, but this liquidation price is extremely risky.
And from the current market situation, there is no sign of any rebound; if ETH drops another few tens of dollars, liquidation will happen. This is a real heart-pounding play, and Big Brother Maji sure knows how to play!"The beginner's village is not a lounge, but the annotation page of the opening library—each line is a variation bought with half a life."
I have sat before the chessboard for thirty years. The most valuable lesson was never the game I won, but that afternoon when I was overturned by a sacrifice I overlooked. Now someone lays out those afternoons on the table and says: ask anything, no question is stupid. What is this called in the chess world? It's called a public manuscript of game records. Worth a fortune, but only useful to those willing to study the records.
The problem is, the vast majority of beginners treat studying records as rote memorization. They memorize thirty opening variations but collapse in the middle game—because they remember the moves, not the threats and compensations behind each move. Being able to recite stories of blowouts doesn't mean you won't fall into the same trap again on the same square.
Look again at that linkage line of the US stock token. This overlays two timing rules on the same board: New York's clock runs during the day, the on-chain clock runs at night. The time difference in the middle is the opponent's hidden move. You think you are calculating twenty moves after the market closes, but the opponent's clock never stopped. The truly profitable players don't play move by move—they first play the entire game in their mind, then decide where to place the first move.
What is position management? The structure of the pieces. Lone pieces, stacked pieces, unsupported hanging pieces are your naked positions without support. They occupy squares, but once restrained, the entire line loosens. You think you are attacking, but you are actually giving your opponent a permanent forward outpost.
What is stop loss? Sacrificing pieces. But sacrifices must be calculated for compensation—is it to gain initiative, or just losing material? Many treat cutting losses as a virtue but never ask: does this piece trade open lines or just empty squares?
There is an even more subtle miscalculation: mistaking "I can hold" for "I have calculated." Holding is emotion; calculating is numbers. The most dangerous thing on the board is not being in check, but thinking you are still alive.
Time panic is the cruelest endgame. The few seconds when greed and fear pulse is your chess clock ticking. The difference between a grandmaster and a beginner is not speed of calculation, but that when the clock presses the last minute, the grandmaster still only makes moves he has fully calculated.
Rewards, highlights, weekly rankings—these are applause beside the board. Applause does not change the evaluation of the position. The truly long-term player cares about only one thing: this move, when looking back, is it an annotation in my game record or a blemish?
There are no miracles in the endgame, only the irrefutable equations accumulated from every previous move. #newherestarthereMany people ask me how to play $CAP? This trade opened long at 0.07652 with 10x leverage, currently floating profit is 128%. Actually, altcoins should never be blindly leveraged too high; 10x is relatively stable but the risk is still significant.
The key lies in stop loss and position size. I set the stop loss at 0.076 before opening the position to strictly control risk. Position size is controlled at 10%, so even if the stop loss hits, the loss won't be much.
Now with floating profit, immediately move the stop loss to the cost to lock in profits. Trading is a probability game; this trade's logic is a bottom reversal combined with volume expansion, so the odds are high. Remember: leverage is a tool, risk control is the core, don't let emotions control your position. $ETH $BTC #9月FOMC会议纪要公布在即，是否继续加息？ Saying "locked for twenty years" but actually initiating a transfer
6 hours ago, on-chain records showed activity from a US government-related address: 833.6 BTC and 40,300 BNB were transferred out, totaling about $103 million. Among them, BTC flowed to Coinbase Prime.
The remaining balance is even more striking—still holding about 324,000 BTC, valued at approximately $27.7 billion.
Previously, a Trump executive order stated that confiscated BTC should enter strategic reserves and not be sold for 20 years; Congress is also pushing legislation for a "never sell" policy. But now, a small portion of assets has entered an exchange.
The amount is not large, not even a rounding error, but the action itself is a signal. Exchange inflows usually connect to custody, OTC, and potential sell pressure. Saying it will immediately crash the market is premature; saying it’s just a routine transfer is naive.
This looks more like a test: to see market reaction, legal boundaries, and public opinion temperature.
"Never sell" may just be a slogan for the market, not an ironclad rule. When a certain price level or fiscal need arises, the button might still be pressed.
833 BTC is the test; 324,000 BTC is the real suspense.
On-chain data compilation does not constitute trading advice.
$BTC $ETH $BNB #9月FOMC会议纪要公布在即，是否继续加息？ #BTC巨鲸抛压减弱，ETF资金连续三周净流入 #OKXNOW：开启全天候市场新时代 After the surge, it fell into consolidation; this is the most psychologically challenging phase #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要
Recently, the BTC market has been really exhausting.
After surging to the high of 87399, it has been stuck oscillating at the top, unable to rise further nor drop deeply, making it very frustrating for many holding positions.
If you want to go long, the previous high resistance above is there; every time it tries to push up a bit,A valuation from 1.8 trillion to 2 trillion — this isn’t just piling work, it’s about building a skyscraper out of thin air in Midtown Manhattan, and the client signed the letter of intent before even finishing the geological survey report.
I reviewed Anthropic’s blueprint. The pre-IPO investor day in San Francisco on October 14 was essentially a project presentation — putting up renderings on the wall for investors to see floor area ratio and setbacks. The real construction milestone is squeezed into the week of November 9, aiming to complete the structural topping out and listing before Thanksgiving on November 26. All the construction time is crammed into one month. In my career, such scheduling means one of two things: either all the prefabricated assembly detailed designs are already done, or the contractor is gambling that approvals won’t get stuck.
But what really made me sit up and study the plans were those two numbers. Broadcom’s maximum $42 billion compute infrastructure, SpaceX-related compute commitments at $84.5 billion. This isn’t a renovation budget; this is the steel reinforcement in the foundation. A modeling company scaling the diameter of its load-bearing structure to the hundred-billion-dollar level means its business model is no longer about renting office cubicles and selling subscriptions. It’s pouring its own concrete core — compute power is its shear wall. Whoever controls the compute supply chain decides how many seismic levels this building can withstand. The financing isn’t for buying glass curtain walls; it’s for piling.
As for that valuation range from 1.8 trillion to 2 trillion, in structural mechanics this is called an undefined span. A fluctuation of two to three hundred billion means the main beam’s cross-section hasn’t been finalized, yet the building height is announced externally. This kind of quoting would be rejected in third-party reviews because it doesn’t distinguish between dead loads and live loads — which revenues are from confirmed compute contracts, and which are speculative premiums on future model capabilities. The real question investors should have asked on investor day wasn’t how high the ceiling is, but where the foundation settlement monitoring data is.
The linkage of $xMU and similar tokenized US stock assets essentially slices the property rights of a physical building into tradable small shares. This has value — liquidity indeed improves. But one thing to note: what’s tokenized is the valuation narrative of the building, not its steel and concrete. When price fluctuations come from IPO timetable rumors rather than fulfillment progress of compute contracts, what you’re trading is actually the rendering on the construction fence, not the raft foundation three floors underground.
I’ve been designing for over twenty years and have seen many projects dazzle at the concept stage but suffer uneven settlement at completion due to improper foundation treatment. Anthropic’s building has impeccable design and a bold structural plan, but where its bearing layer truly lies will only be clear when the official roadshow starts the week of November 9 and the contractor lays the geological survey report on the table. Only then can we judge whether this is a tower built to last fifty years or a temporary showroom inspected right after topping out. Right now, everyone is queuing at the elevator discussing which floor has the best view. #anthropiceyesnovipoLet's talk about what an ex-dividend date is.
Simply put, the ex-dividend date is like a snapshot in the crypto world. If you hold the stock before the ex-dividend date, you are entitled to this dividend. If you buy on or after the ex-dividend date, this dividend doesn't apply to you. For example, I added 80 shares of $TLT today, which happens to be the ex-dividend date. The new shares won't get the October dividend, but the previous 130 shares still will.
Unlike a snapshot, on the ex-dividend date, the stock price at market open will be reduced by approximately the dividend amount. So there's no free lunch by buying before the ex-dividend date; essentially, it's just moving money from one pocket to another.
The time it takes for the dividend to arrive after the ex-dividend date varies by company. For monthly ETFs like $TLT, it usually takes 3 to 5 days. For $ORCL, the ex-dividend date was October 9, and the dividend arrived on the 23rd, about two weeks later. The $VST dividend that arrived today was also declared about two weeks ago. You can check the exact dates in your brokerage app or company announcements.$WLD
WLD fell more than 4%, what does the slight rebound after the low point mean?
This morning's 24-hour spot observation window: range 0.5464—0.5777 USDT, change -4.36%, trading volume about 8.16 million USDT.
The observed quote is only slightly above the lowest price, most of the range space has not yet been recovered. Moving away from the lowest point only proves a short-term rebound exists, it does not prove that selling pressure has been fully absorbed, nor does it prove that user demand has increased.
If the low point is broken again and the rebound is blocked, continue to pay attention to supply; if the midpoint can be recovered and stabilized, then upgrade the local rebound to a repair judgment.ZEC short position day 46
📉 ZEC short position day 46｜Funds quickly retreat after positive news is realized
$ZEC currently at 1315, breaking below the Bollinger middle band at 1325, heading straight toward the key support at 1296–1298. RSI6 has fallen back to around 35, MACD shows a death cross, short-term bearish momentum is still being released.
On the upside, first resistance is at 1355; on the downside, focus on 1298. After the news-driven rally fades, ZEC's pullback is significantly stronger than BTC and ETH, so no rush to bottom-fish yet; wait for confirmation of a stop in the decline.
$BTC support at 83600, $ETH remains weak and follows.
⚠️ With long-term US Treasury yields rising combined with macro uncertainty, it is currently more suitable to control position size and wait for confirmation.
#ZEC #BTC #ETH #FOMC
Additional clear invalidation levels for longs and shorts
Complete the key levels for BTC and ETH
Enhance the market impact at the beginning of the short article Looking at the leaderboard for a long time, here’s an easy pitfall to avoid.
There are plenty of people with high returns on the leaderboard, but not many can consistently lead trades for more than half a year — I pulled some data, and an average lead time of 331 days is considered long.
Many people choose leaders by looking at returns at first glance, which is almost the easiest way to fail — high short-term returns often mean high leverage and severe drawdowns. My own criteria are only three:
- The lead time is long enough (at least through one full cycle of ups and downs)
- The maximum drawdown can be withstood
- The number of followers steadily increases, not fluctuates up and down
Returns are the result, not the cause. Those who survive long-term naturally don’t have poor returns.
Which metric do you value most when choosing a leader? Let’s discuss in the comments.
#OKX #Solana代币化股票9月交易量突破44亿美元 $API3, 10x short, opened at 0.3739, currently at 0.3197, floating profit 144.95%. From a technical perspective, the daily chart closed with a large bearish candle, MACD formed a death cross downward, and KDJ dropped sharply after high-level stagnation.
0.3739 is exactly the strong resistance at the upper edge of the previous dense trading zone. I placed a short order at this level with 10x leverage, stop loss set above 0.375.
Now the price has broken below 0.32, with short-term support at 0.3. The strategy is very clear: short at resistance, clear stop loss, excellent risk-reward ratio. Do not bottom-fish, let profits run, and wait for signals to exit. $ETH $BTC #9月FOMC会议纪要公布在即，是否继续加息？ On the radar echo, a supercell with a central valuation estimated between 1.8 trillion and 2 trillion US dollars is rapidly rotating near the San Francisco Bay Area. This is not a typhoon; it is a prospectus entering my forecast view.
From a high-altitude perspective, the San Francisco Investor Day on October 14 is equivalent to a sounding balloon launch—first measuring the temperature and humidity profiles of the stratosphere and mid-levels to see how much convective available potential energy the capital market can accumulate. The official roadshow starting the week of November 9 is the golden window from announcement to listing; the pre-Thanksgiving landing on November 26 indicates this cloud system aims to complete its touchdown before the North American cold front moves south and liquidity tightens. Typhoons wait for no one; once the window closes, vertical wind shear immediately intensifies, and even the strongest convection will be torn apart.
Looking at moisture and energy supply: Broadcom’s maximum $42 billion computing infrastructure is a southwest moisture transport belt extending from the Pacific; the $84.5 billion computing commitment related to SpaceX is the warm, moist jet at the edge of the subtropical high, continuously injecting latent heat into the cloud core. With these two channels, low-level convergence and upper-level divergence create a suction mechanism, giving the supercell the capital to sustain itself. Missing one channel, the cyclone dissipates; with both, rainfall intensity can break historical records.
At the surface observation level, the linkage of tokenized US stocks is like a coastal automatic station network. Once the high-altitude guiding airflow turns into a southwest jet, the surface wind field will complete synchronous deflection within two to three hours—the token price response to the spot wind field lags but the lag is shortening, like nearshore buoys sensing long-period swells in advance. The real signal is not rainfall but the pressure gradient: the steeper the pressure gradient, the stronger the wind, and currently, the gradient is tightening.
What about risks? Numerical forecasts are never deterministic answers. In ensemble forecasts, the path shows obvious divergence: some members have this cloud completing circulation adjustment in early November, others think it will get stuck in a saddle field, delayed by blocking high pressure until December. More troublesome is that the shear line position shifts tens of kilometers daily; a one-grid difference in landing point means an order of magnitude difference in wind and rain impact. Forecasters’ discipline is to monitor real-time conditions, re-run data assimilation each cycle, and not bet on a single path.
As for those members pushing valuation to the 2 trillion level, they represent localized strong convection in the warm sector—energy is sufficient but lifecycle is short, coming and going within half an hour. True weather-scale systems consider the entire atmospheric layer configuration, not the height of a single cumulonimbus cloud.
Currently, the circulation pattern has shifted from stable to frequent strong convection; all observation stations’ wind vanes point toward the same quadrant, the spiral rainband has not yet made landfall, but peripheral gusts have already toppled three coastal buoys. #anthropiceyesnovipoCurrently, the biggest pain point for the 1030 options is Bitcoin at 78000 and Ethereum at 2500. If the price really reaches this in October, it’s definitely doable to buy a 78000 sell put, or Ethereum at 2400. In the long run, there’s a high probability of not losing! $BTCInvestigator on-chain ZachXBT revealed that a China-based money laundering network has laundered more than US$1 billion in crypto originating from several hacks linked to the Laz*rus Group. Zach*BT claimed to have infiltrated the network after the B*bit hack in February last year. He disguised himself as a customer and deposited about US$349,700 in stablecoins to gain the trust of one of the members. According to him, the network mainly operates in Hong Kong and ChiThe "pulse" of altcoins has strengthened
After days of silence, the altcoin market is showing a new signal—not a full-blown rally, but a slow capital flow from mainstream to secondary mainstream.
$BTC remains the anchor. It doesn't need new highs; as long as it doesn't cause panic, risk appetite has room to rise. $ETH is like recovering from illness; a flat moving average is more important than a sharp rally. Its stability is the foundation for altcoins. $SOL is still the core of the offense, $SOL, 100x short, opened at 120.3, currently 118.15, floating profit 178.71%. From a technical perspective, the daily chart closed with a large bearish candle, MACD formed a death cross downward, and KDJ dropped sharply after high-level stagnation.
120.3 is exactly the strong resistance level at the upper edge of the previous dense trading zone. I placed a short order at this position with 100x leverage, stop loss set above 120.5.
Now the price has broken below 118, with short-term support at 115. The strategy is very clear: short at resistance, clear stop loss, excellent risk-reward ratio. Do not bottom-fish, let profits run, and wait for signals to exit. $ETH $BTC #9月FOMC会议纪要公布在即，是否继续加息？ 🔥 $BTC — Key Price Levels Overview
BTC is currently around $84.0K
🎯 $85K → +1.2%
🚀 $87K → +3.6%
🔥 $90K → +7.1%
💥 $95K → +13.1%
⚠️ $83K → -1.2%
📉 $82K → -2.4%
💀 $80K → -4.8%
$87K–$87.5K remains the biggest resistance wall at present.
Holding $83K–$84K → Market structure remains intact.
Breaking below $83K → Downside space may open quickly.
👀 Will it break through $87K, or quickly dip to $82K?
#SepFOMCRateHikeOutlook #BTCWhalePressureEases Defensive stocks really can't hold up anymore
Even $WMT Walmart has dropped 23% from its high, and recently almost no defensive stocks are performing well, $MCD McDonald's included
It doesn't seem to be entirely due to earnings reports; it's more about the high Treasury yields. The 30-year US Treasury yield has reached 5.6%, and with such a high risk-free return, these defensive stocks that rely on stability and dividends are less attractive
Most defensive stocks have dividend yields of only two to three percent, which is no advantage compared to Treasuries. To see them truly stabilize, we might have to wait for yields to turn around first Brothers, did you receive it at 1300?
$ZEC is currently consolidating to digest selling pressure, just go short high and long low!
ZEC has mainly been moving sideways these days,
The high at the end of September was about 1690, the current price is about 1320, a retracement of nearly 20%, with a current market cap of about $22 billion, ranking near the top ten.
The overall market is falling, but ZEC is relatively more resistant to the decline.
In the short term, I think the consolidation is not over; open long positions near 1300, first target around 1400.
Reasons for bullishness:
1️⃣ The ETF has just been filed and pricing is not finalized.
On October 6, Winklevoss submitted a preliminary S-1 for a spot ZEC ETF, proposed Nasdaq ticker WINK, directly holding ZEC, custodied by Gemini, with an annual fee of 0.25%.
2️⃣ The privacy sector is being revalued.
Circulating about 16.9 million, capped at 21 million, if spot products launch, the elasticity is greater than large-cap coins.
This is a turnover after the rise, not a trend reversal.
3️⃣ There is incremental demand on the miner side.
Fortitude intends to purchase up to $100 million of next-generation ZEC mining machines and plans to use $20 million in DCB-related credit. A slow variable, but it shows someone is preparing computing power.
What to watch out for:
Recently, ZEC ETF has had net outflows, and the market is pressured by oil prices and US Treasury yields. If 1300 breaks, first look at 1250–1200. The 1280–1300 range is suitable for short-term low longs, not a position to hold at all costs! #9月FOMC会议纪要公布在即，是否继续加息？ $ZEC Big Brother Maji reportedly took another $3.9M+ hit in 24 hours, bringing his accumulated losses to roughly $24M. But the most interesting part isn’t the loss — it’s how close his ETH position is getting to the liquidation zone. According to the latest position data: 🔸 Leverage: 20X 🔸 Margin utilization: ~96% 🔸 ETH position: 35K+ contracts 🔸 Position value: around $92M 🔸 Average entry: ~$2,675 🔸 Current ETH: ~$2,590 🔸 Estimated liquidation: ~$2,510 That leaves only a relatively small cushThe most vulnerable link cracked first: nearly $410 million liquidated in one hour, 98% of which were long positions. Is this round of decline a trend starting, continuation, divergence, or has it already reached the point of distribution? I stared at that candlestick from the afternoon for a long time. BTC fell below 84,000, ETH slipped to around 2,650, SOL plunged to 117, nearly $410 million in positions were liquidated within an hour, 98% of which were buy orders. This is not an ordinary pullback, but a concentrated harvesting of leveraged bulls. What the market is truly trading is not negative news for a single coin, but simultaneous contraction of cross-market risk appetite. Let's start with BTC. 82,500 is currently the most critical defensive line. If it holds, the price will likely fluctuate between 83,500 and 86,000; If you lose it, 80,000 will be the next psychological barrier. The pressure above comes from macro expectations of about a 19% rate hike, so before the FOMC minutes come out, funds are reluctant to actively increase holdings. But there is also a bullish side: BTC spot ETFs saw a net inflow of $119 million, indicating institutions are still holding, not a full retreat. ETH is more nuanced. The price fell to 2650, and the validator exit queue has noticeably lengthened, indicating potential selling pressure is accumulating. 2591 is an important support; breaking below could lead to a slide toward 2550. But note, ETH's ETF net outflow of $201.9 million contrasts with BTC's net inflow. This is not a simple sector rotation but cross-asset capital picking more stable targets. ETH's narrative is temporarily suppressed by supply pressure and capital outflows. On SOL's side, PUMP has accumulated salesThe most interesting thing about BTC right now is that the price hasn't broken through, but the whales have already made their move.
Since October, whales have increased their holdings by 14,335 BTC, worth about $1.22 billion.
Yet BTC is still stuck around 87,000.
This is quite interesting:
Retail investors are waiting for a breakout, but whales don't seem prepared to wait.
The dense on-chain chip area is between 83,300 and 84,600, and the real target to break above is 86,700 to 87,500$ONE ONE is really frustrating.
I've held the position for so long,
It surged a bit earlier,
Now it's slowly grinding back down.
The most annoying thing isn't the drop,
It's that it moves every now and then,
Just when I think there's hope,
A couple of days later, it's silent again.
The migration has already started landing on exchanges,
MEXC and SuperEx have both completed the swap.
The project is progressing,
But the price has been quiet all along.
I won't fuss anymore,
I'll keep holding the position.
Having held it until now, it's long been more than a day or two.
I've waited as long as I should,
From now on, I'll just keep holding.
#9月FOMC会议纪要公布在即，是否继续加息？ The drama unfolds again, big bro Maji has stirred up a big commotion! He previously made 1.9 million dollars, but in the blink of an eye, not only has he lost all the profits, now he's directly facing an unrealized loss of 2.4 million! This mood must be even worse than hitting a daily limit down.
Let's take a look at Maji's current bloodied chips:
The worst hit is $ETH, leveraged 25 times with 38,100 coins, an average entry price of 2682, just this position alone is down 2.59 million! Then look at Bitcoin, leveraged 40 times long, that’s some boldness, luckily $BTC is still holding up, only losing 100,000.
Although HYPE and PUMP are making profits, they can't withstand the brutal ETH correction! One moment still in the clouds, the next moment the market slams them to the ground. From profit to loss, and even reducing some long positions during the downtrend, it shows big bro is also struggling to bear the pressure.
This is the thrill of high leverage, one wrong move and not only do profits retract, but the principal can be at risk. We small retail investors should just watch, never blindly follow the big players' positions. After all, losing a few million dollars might just be a scratch for them, but losing tens of thousands for us might mean starting over from scratch... $CORE doesn’t move when it rises, but it’s always the first to fall.
A slight increase is harder than climbing to the sky, but dropping by a dozen or dozens of points is effortless. It takes three to five months to rally, but a round of decline can be completed in just a few minutes.
The market characteristics are clear: weak rebounds, no support during declines. No matter how good the narrative is, it can’t withstand such extreme market rhythms.
Plus, with the ultra-long staking lock-up mechanism since 1981, large node holders can un-stake and exit first, while ordinary retail investors’ tokens are locked up, leaving them no chance to exit in time when a decline comes.
Many people justify this by saying: the project’s decline is all because of a large number of user complaints.
But the market isn’t swayed by a few community comments. Continuous on-chain capital outflows, validators constantly withdrawing, and ecosystem tokens being dumped one after another are the real sources of market pressure. Even if no one questions it, if the fundamentals don’t keep up, the decline will still happen.
Tokens locked in staking are easy to get in but hard to get out; this is what people call "Pi Xiu coins"—in the end, they can only be passively held, becoming heirlooms that are difficult to liquidate. The glamorous story of decentralization can’t hide the passive predicament of retail investors.
⚠️ Risk reminder: The above is only a personal opinion sharing. Virtual currencies are not protected by domestic laws, carry extremely high risks, and do not constitute any investment advice. Today marks the 47th day of my ZEC short thesis, with 43 days remaining before the three-month target. The latest downside move was much sharper than expected, especially after positive news failed to attract sustained buyers. $ZEC is now around $1,285. After briefly attempting to stabilize, ZEC slipped beneath the Bollinger midline near $1,305 and is now testing the lower band around $1,270. 📉 Technical picture: • RSI(6) ≈ 31.8 — approaching oversold territory • MACD remains bearish with downsOn October 7, Rohit Sipahimalani, Chief Investment Officer of Singapore's Temasek, stated that by 2027, the global market faces two major risks: first, a reversal in AI trading; second, persistent inflation driving interest rates and bond yields higher, ultimately triggering a stock market repricing. He said, "The reversal of AI trading is the biggest risk," but believes this risk will not occur immediately. As of the end of March 2026, Temasek's net investment portfolio was valued at SGD 518 billion (approximately USD 405 billion), planning to increase AI-related investments from the current approximately 6% to a maximum of 15% by 2031. At the same time, it is increasing the liquidity of AI investments, intending to raise the proportion of publicly traded assets in AI exposure from about 50% to 70%-75%.An hour of liquidation night
On the last day of the National Day holiday, the market gave no respite. In just one hour, $370 million worth of positions across the network were wiped out: ETH accounted for $136 million, BTC for $102 million. On OKX, ETH positions decreased by $72.6 million, a 4.47% drop — this wasn’t a voluntary exit, but leverage being forcefully liquidated.
From 2695 to 2587, it took just over twenty minutes, a 108-point drop. The 5-minute trading volume surged from 40,000 contracts to 3.45 million, like a floodgate suddenly opening. ETH fell 3.64% in 24 hours, BTC dropped 2.21%, ETH/BTC crashed to 0.031, hitting a new low. The consolidation box that had lasted half a month broke instantly. Earlier in the morning, people were guessing how many days 2700 could hold, but it was quickly breached, and even the previously given support levels were broken — fortunately, the break was on the favorable side.
Today, the word "support" feels light. The market doesn’t reason with you; it only listens to chips and liquidations.
$BTC $ETH
#BTC巨鲸抛压减弱，ETF资金连续三周净流入 Many people ask me how to play $BTC? This trade opened a short at 85938.9 with 100x leverage, currently floating profit is 231%. Actually, mainstream coins should avoid blindly using ultra-high leverage; 100x leverage carries extremely high risk. The key lies in stop loss and position sizing.
Before opening the position, I set a stop loss at 86000 to strictly control risk. Position size is controlled at 10%, so even if the stop loss hits, the loss won't be significant. Now with floating profit, I immediately move the stop loss to the cost price to lock in profits.
Trading is a probability game. The logic behind this trade is a top reversal combined with volume exhaustion, giving a high chance of success. Remember: leverage is a tool, risk control is the core, don't let emotions dictate your position. $ETH $CT #9月FOMC会议纪要公布在即，是否继续加息？