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$WLD 50x short position, entered at 0.6035, marked at 0.5657, floating profit 313.17%. The essence of following this trade: Worldcoin's token economic model is terrible.
Although the unlock halved in July, there is still nearly 3 million tokens sold daily, plus institutional discounted OTC sales. More critically, the Bavarian data authority has forced the deletion of iris data, and Brazil is also filing lawsuits.
0.6035 is a technical resistance level plus a dense chip area, with fundamentals and technicals resonating to short. Defense set at 0.59, target support at 0.53. $ETH $BTC #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 "Don't rush, the bulls' graves are already three meters high"
The non-farm payroll of 29,000 has completely cooled off, the 4.2% unemployment rate hides a deadly trap, and funds have collectively "played dead" in the macro fog. BTC exchange inventories have smashed through the four-month bottom line, long-term chips are held tightly without letting go, whales are stirring but only thunder is heard without rain. In September, ETFs wildly absorbed 2.6 billion, but prices feel like lead, with the upper trapped positions as solid as an iron bucket; bulls and bears are competing to see who can endure longer, whoever moves first becomes the "bag holder".
ETH is playing out a chip massacre. Ancient whales dumped 356 million, new elites bought 60,000 coins, old money exits while new money takes over. Although Q3 ETF net inflows of 3.1 billion are impressive, single-day outflows reveal the bottom line: the trend shift is pure illusion, and short covering is only occasional "zombie resurrection".
SOL is stretched like a full bow. The active buy-sell ratio is 0.65, selling pressure is three times the buying volume, yet retail and top accounts both overwhelmingly hold 65%+ bullish sentiment. Positions are crowded like sardines, real buying is bloated, the biggest fear is a liquidity "vacuum sweep." ETFs have absorbed for 11 consecutive weeks but can't hide the overfull bulls; all that's missing is a "washout sickle."
BTC and ETH spot ETF enthusiasm is waning, the Federal Reserve minutes await release, and the Hormuz Strait shadow lingers. This is by no means an open game, but a patience meat grinder: the first to act is the first martyr, wait for positions to cool down before talking about the wind.October 5｜BTC retakes 86,000, is $BTC Uptober really coming?
After the weekend, BTC returned to around $86,000, but $87,000 remains a key resistance. $ETH
Last week's nonfarm payrolls were a clear surprise, lowering market expectations for an October rate hike, theoretically providing a better macro environment for BTC.
More importantly, from September 28 to October 2, the US spot BTC ETF saw a net inflow of about $241 million, so funds have not completely exited.
But we can't be blindly optimistic now.
US Treasury yields remain high, and US spot BTC demand is also diverging. If the price rise mainly relies on leverage rather than continuous spot capital support, a quick pullback after the rally is still possible.
So this week I’m watching three levels:
86,000: Only a break and hold here gives a chance to target 90,000;
85,000: Important short-term boundary between bulls and bears;
80,000: Once broken, market sentiment may weaken significantly.
October has just begun.
Some say this is Uptober, others think it’s just a rebound.
What I care about more is one question:
After BTC breaks 87,000, who will take over?
If ETFs continue to flow in and the dollar and Treasury yields fall, 90,000 is not out of reach.
Do you think BTC can break 87,000 this week?
Type in the comments: Break / No Break
#本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要  【Today's Overview】 On Monday morning, the crypto market showed overall narrow-range oscillation with a bullish bias. The Fed's October rate hike expectations cooled significantly due to weak non-farm payroll data, restoring risk asset sentiment. BTC held above 85,200, ETH maintained 2,700, XRP touched the 1.50 mark, and SOL led the top five coins to 121.4. 【Key Events】 1. Evernorth will list on Nasdaq as "XRPN" on October 8 — the world's largest single XRP-listed treasury company, holding about 473 million XRP, with total financing exceeding $1 billion, institutional lineup includes Ripple, Pantera, SBI, Kraken. 2. Ripple+CSD BR Brazil project aims for 15 billion assets on-chain in the first phase — BTG Pactual fund tokenization, with the first batch of issuance possibly completed by year-end, XRPL becoming the sole underlying chain. 3. XRPL 3.3.0 upgrade activates the authorization delegation feature today, batch transactions go live on October 9, continuously improving institutional-grade infrastructure. 【Top Five Coins Snapshot】 Coin Price 24H Key Levels BTC 85,252 +0.45% Support 84,500, Resistance 87,000 ETH 2,701 +0.69% Q3 up 71%, still 45% below ATH XRP 1.50 +1.0% Key resistance 1.70, support 1.37 SOL 121.4 +1.72% ETF cumulative inflowOthers see a rocket and think it's going long to take off, but I'm shorting $XRP perpetuals at 100x leverage, opening at 1.5199 targeting 1.508, currently holding with a floating profit of 77.63%. The green is a bit painful but satisfying. The more the chart looks like this, the less you should get cocky; 100x leverage doesn't just amplify profits, it amplifies your heartbeat. A single opposite spike can turn laughter into silence.
Logically, XRP was pumped a few days ago by positive expectations, ETF-related rumors, and a general altcoin rebound, filling sentiment to the brim. After the surge, volume couldn't keep up and there was obvious stagnation at the high level; I opened a short near 1.5199 expecting resistance, capitalizing on the retreat of chasing buyers and profit-taking by bulls causing a quick pullback.
Now using the 77% floating profit as a cushion, I first move the stop loss to protect the cost, and avoid falling in love with the market. XRP news tends to be erratic, with sudden spikes and funding fees that are troublesome, especially at 100x leverage; take profits in batches and let the remaining position run, don't let the sweet gains turn into shocks.
$ETH $BTC $XRP $SAND shorted 50x, floating profit +200.08%.
Opened position at 0.07447, current price 0.07149.
Don't get carried away when you see others showing profits. This drop in $SAND is due to capital flight combined with stop-loss breakouts, not just mindless shorting to make money. With 50x leverage shorting, a single rebound can liquidate your position. There is already substantial profit now; those holding positions should quickly set stop-losses to protect their principal. If you don't have a position, definitely don't chase shorts at this level. #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 $BTC $AAVE 50x leverage, floating profit 88.30%, opened at 177.8, holding at 180.93. The numbers look good, but with 50x leverage I know: it doesn't count until it's cashed out.
After nearly 90% floating profit, every candlestick tests me. I choose to negotiate with greed: take most profits, keep a base position. It's not that I don't see potential, but with 50x leverage, if you don't take profits, sooner or later it will go back.
Defend above cost, move profits into the pocket. This is the most expensive lesson those previous trades taught me. $BTC $ETH #霍尔木兹仍未开放，OPEC+维持11月产量不变 Since overnight until now, the readings in my system have changed.
Temperature Autumn → Spring.
Market breadth 0.77 → 1.44, +87%.
I won't guess the reason — I don't have faster access to information than others.
I only report what I see on my side.
Currently, 15 are actionable, the top 3 are:
ETHFI｜Probability 76.2｜🚀Chase on the spot｜Entry 0.7542｜+8.8% from 26-week high
ENS｜Probability 73.9｜🚀Chase on the spot｜Entry 6.873｜+18.2% from 26-week high
AR｜Probability 72.5｜🚀Chase on the spot｜Entry 4.52｜+17.0% from 26-week high
Entry points are provided by the system and verified one by one afterward. Stop-loss points are a matter of position management — will explain separately next time.
(Readings come from the system's daily scan, excluding market forecasts, not investment advice.)1. Testnet launch on October 4: a neutral event. If successful, the certainty of the mainnet in early November will increase, and a "buy the expectation" rally may start in mid to late October (October 20 decision day is the watershed).
2. If issues arise on the testnet causing delays, it will be a clear negative, potentially triggering a 10-15% level pullback.
3. This reinforces the previous judgment: the range-bound fluctuation will dominate at the end of the month, but there is a possibility of re-challenging the $1,550-1,684 range in the second half of the month due to warming mainnet expectations.
Operational perspective: Before October 20 (the date when the mainnet activation height is confirmed), ZEC will most likely maintain a range of $1,250-1,500; after the 20th, market attention will shift to the mainnet on November 5, when volatility will expand again. $OKB 20x long position, opened at 120.8, target at 127.4, floating profit 109.27%.
Logic: During the National Day holiday, NYSE parent company ICE made a strategic investment in OKX, coupled with OKX's recent reserve proof assets exceeding 27.4 billion, the fundamentals continue to be favorable.
Today, OKB broke through the 120 bottom consolidation zone with increased volume along with the broader market, decisively entering at 120.8. The platform coin's value is returning, maintaining good defense to let profits run. $ETH $BTC #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 $DOT Last night my hand trembled slightly when setting the stop loss, and this morning I realized that was an unnecessary act of filial piety 😮💨 Holding a short position, I slept more soundly than anyone.
Before going to bed last night, I watched DOT for a few minutes. DOT made a small upward move, but the volume didn’t follow at all; every surge was just short of breath. I casually said: no one is catching it on the way up, a pullback is inevitable. Opened a short at 1.2245 directly.
The market is to be waited for, profits are to be held onto.
At the opening of the morning session, 1.2038 gave a steady answer. From 1.2245 to 1.2038, +33.97% floating profit lying quietly, this gain feels comfortable, the brothers in the car must have woken up laughing 🔥
First, close 80%, pocket the big part first. Move the stop loss of the remaining 20% to the cost price, let the profit run if it continues down, and don’t spit out what’s already in your mouth if it rebounds.
For the brothers who haven’t gotten on board, listen to me: now is really not the time to rush, chasing shorts easily gets you stuck halfway up the mountain. Wait for the next signal to move, there are still opportunities, no rush.
$ADA $XRP $STRK 50x leverage, entered at 0.05305 and exited at 0.05514, with an unrealized profit of 196.98%. Held a short position at the low point, with 50x leverage the unrealized profit in the middle shrank by more than half, but I didn’t move. As long as the logic isn’t broken, I hold firm and nearly doubled my position.
Holding through it wasn’t because I was right, but because I had a light position plus luck. Holding through once at 50x leverage isn’t something to brag about, it’s a warning — next time I might not be so lucky.
Next, I’ll exit in batches, locking in most of the gains first and defending the top above cost. Doubling is just on paper; real profit is only when realized. Don’t mistake luck for skill, don’t treat unrealized profits as savings. $BTC $ETH #霍尔木兹仍未开放，OPEC+维持11月产量不变 In the noisy rally, the most easily overlooked exhaustion signals are hidden.
After $SAND surged, its popularity exploded, with bulls continuously pouring in, but the upward momentum has long failed to keep up with the price. Short opened at 0.07589, 50x leverage, betting on a high-level pullback.
Current position floating profit is 295.16%, mark price 0.07141.
The profit is already very substantial; moments like this call for no greed. With 50x leverage, rebounds can quickly give back gains, so prioritize securing the profits. $BTC $ZEC #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 20:39, $AXS 20x short position, entered at 1.378, target at 1.2976, floating profit 116.69%. Entry basis: funding rate surged to an extremely high level, long leverage is too heavy.
The main force precisely harvested, large sell orders smashed through the long defense line. I decisively shorted at 1.378.
Price has moved far away from the moving average. Trading is a counterintuitive game; avoid crowded places, move the defensive stop down to 1.32. $ETH $BTC #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 Stay true to your original intention, don’t get dazzled by +78.44%, $AVNT perpetual long 20x, entry at 0.13079, mark at 0.1359, this is just catching a low-level rebound, it doesn’t mean I’m omnipotent. Small coins rise like rockets and fall like returning flights; the flashier the chart, the more you need to stay grounded.
In recent days, AVNT mainly benefited from altcoin recovery, sector linkage, and small-cap fund rotation. After consolidation, a breakout easily triggers concentrated short covering; the trade logic is to go long after support holds, volume expands, and price stands back above short-term moving averages, controlling position size and leverage, not stubbornly guessing the top.
While holding positions, do two things well: raise your stop loss near cost, and take profits in batches; don’t be trapped by the phrase “while holding positions.” 20x leverage has some buffer but not much, thin order books causing spikes are normal. This trade is a market gift, don’t turn it into a gamble for your life, pocketing profits is the real comfort.
$AVNT $BTC $ETH Look at the red arrow above pointing here; could this form an hourly double top pattern? Before breaking the previous high of 87300, there is a possibility of forming an hourly double top pattern. Currently, Bitcoin is consolidating and oscillating between 86780 and 85443. For the hourly double top to form, the consolidation box between 86780 and 85443 must first be broken downward; only then can the hourly double top be considered valid. Otherwise, it is just a potential double top, not a valid one. Although Bitcoin is rising, looking at the position indicated by the white arrow above, no higher highs have appeared; instead, there is a trend of lower highs. This is why I am not chasing longs. The appearance of lower highs indicates a need for a pullback at the current level. Unless it breaks the previous high of 87300 and forms a higher high, the risk of forming an hourly double top remains. Either it breaks the previous high and forms a higher high without pulling back to a lower low, in which case I will go long, or if it pulls back to the lower boundary of the box or near 84300, I will look for opportunities to go long. Otherwise, I will not go long. Don’t blindly rush in just because of a rise; it’s easy to get stuck halfway up. If Bitcoin’s pullback does not break below 85443-85200, it will continue to consolidate around the 85443-86780 box. Once it breaks below the consolidation box, it will return to the price channel for consolidation. The price channel corresponds to the Fibonacci 61.8 and 78.6 levels. Bitcoin returning to the price channel and showing bottom signals is the ideal position to go long; I don’t know if it will reach that. Also, the Fibonacci 78.6 level is stillEach issuer operates as an independent system. Will 1000 types of RWA become 1000 isolated islands? 1/ In the previous issue, we discussed liquidity fragmentation at the cross-chain level. This time, let's climb one level higher: even if all chains are interconnected, why should different issuers trust each other's compliance systems? The answer might be more pessimistic than expected—even if everyone uses the same token standard, the island problem still exists. 2/ Industry status: every platform is building its own complete system. The mainstream view clearly acknowledges this: the RWA market is still in its early stages and highly fragmented—almost every platform uses its own tech stack, making interoperability and scaling difficult. Even the creator of the ERC-3643 standard admits that the next step is to solve the "cross-chain and cross-virtual machine" fragmentation problem. 3/ A more counterintuitive truth: unifying token standards does not equal unifying trust. The currently industry-recognized compliant token standard is ERC-3643 (T-REX), which embeds identity verification and compliance rules directly into the token contract. But the key issue is: its compliance logic is "issuer-specific," not a shared open standard—there is no portable identity authentication between different issuers. In other words, if you complete KYC verification on Ondo's platform, this identity is not recognized on Securitize or Franklin Templeton's platforms; you have to go through the process again. The standard unifies the shell, but identity and compliance logic still$DOGE 50x long position, entered at 0.09314, target at 0.09574, floating profit 139.57%. Fully executed according to system signals.
My strategy only trades stocks with volume contraction and pullbacks that don't break support. Today DOGE fully meets the criteria: 0.093 support tested three times without breaking, volume contraction, large orders accumulating. Followed the signal decisively after it triggered.
Trading doesn't require daily operations; capturing two or three high-probability opportunities a week is enough. This trade was strong from the system, executed well. Continuing as planned. $ETH $BTC #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 $BTC is almost at 86300, $ETH has also surged to around 2723, this market really has me, a bear, completely confused 😂
I originally thought there would be a pullback here, but BTC just won't drop; whenever it dips a bit, someone immediately buys. ETH is even more extreme, it just goes up above 2700 as if on command, making me even suspect that 2800 is not far off.
Looking back at history, BTC peaked above 120,000, ETH once surged past 4000, even close to 5000, and it touched around 4000 more than once.
So I'm increasingly convinced that ETH might be the slow-burning monster coin in the crypto world. It usually drags along slowly, but once it enters a cycle, its rise is completely irrational.
I really don't understand how far this ETH wave can go, but for BTC, I think this round at least has a chance to break above 100,000.
But here's the problem:
I really don't want to go long!
I'm a bear!
I don't dare chase longs, and I'm afraid of being squeezed on shorts, so I can only watch it keep going up.
There is no universal tool in investing; the key is whether it fits your own capital plan. Especially position size—too heavy and drawdown pressure will be significantly amplified; controlling position size can ease psychological stress, but light positions don't mean no losses.
If the market gives no chance to bears, then just endure it for now. I'd rather miss a rally than force myself in just to prove I was right.
Opportunities always exist; there's no need to prove yourself in this wave.
Whether BTC can reach 100,000, or ETH can hit 2800 or even higher, let the market give the answer.
As for me, the bear, I'll just endure it for now 😂 $ETH slightly surged, and it's easy to get emotionally misled by short-term trends when watching the market. Seeing the price gradually rise, the mindset of holding positions is a tougher test than technical judgment.
I continue to hold my short positions, not frequently changing plans due to short-term floating losses. Trend reversals never happen instantly; high-level oscillations are the grinding phase.
Before the key resistance level at 2806 is firmly held, I do not believe the bulls will continue a major rally. Stick to your trading plan and wait for the market to give a clear signal of stagnation. $ETH #BTC现货ETF重回流入，ETH资金持续流出 $MON 50x short position, entered at 0.03419, target at 0.03169, floating profit 365.60%. This trade was made on a key support breakdown. A few days ago, the price formed a double top at 0.034, with the neckline at 0.0335.
This afternoon, volume increased and broke below the neckline. I waited for a pullback to confirm it wouldn't break 0.03419 before decisively entering the short.
Now the price has dropped to 0.03169, but the double top target hasn't been reached yet. This pattern has a very high success rate; understanding the structure allows you to capture large swings. No greed, no fear, follow the plan. $ETH $BTC #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 In the absence of liquidity, ETH will drop more sharply than BTC. With liquidity, ETH will rise more sharply than BTC.65.25 million $OKB tokens have been burned, and I am heavily long
Heavily long on OKB, tonight $127.6 hits a six-month high, I say this only once.
Having been a trader for so long, the biggest fear is not loss, but when the logic is right and everything aligns, being afraid to go heavy.
Technical aspect: OKB has broken out from months of consolidation, the 118 supply zone is being absorbed by buyers, momentum remains bullish, after confirmation of the breakout, 125 opens directly. The 108 level below is the key defense line of this structure; only if it breaks do we need to reassess.
Data aspect: This is not retail investors pumping. After OKX launched Exchange OS, new capital inflow is about 43.4 million, far exceeding the spot $20.34 million. Leveraged longs are adding positions, not just talk.
Underlying logic: OKX burned 65.25 million OKB at once, permanently locking total supply at 21 million. OKB is also the native Gas token of X Layer, whose DeFi TVL has reached $232 million and continues to grow. Scarcity plus real on-chain consumption, a dual engine.
My operation: I have built a position in the 115 range, stop loss at 125, after volume stabilizes above, target $135. No chasing highs, dips are opportunities.
Logic is right, position size is enough, stop loss is clear, the rest is up to the market.
#OKXNOW直播：就在明天，速来预约！ $MINA is consolidating rather than immediately giving back its move from $0.1556.
The tight candles near $0.169 suggest a decision point. Buyers need to hold $0.16754 and reclaim $0.16924 before the $0.17123 high becomes reachable again.
Entry: $0.1676–$0.1685
SL: $0.1662
TP1: $0.16924
TP2: $0.17123
TP3: $0.17350
A break below $0.1662 would turn the consolidation into a deeper pullback.
Educational only not financial advice.
#FedSeptemberMinutes #HormuzStillClosed #HormuzStillClosed
The Strait of Hormuz, this vital choke point, has been welded shut, just like the only material transport path on our construction site being completely blocked by dump trucks!
No raw materials can get in, the mixing station is down, and the entire building's construction schedule is doomed to be abandoned. Now all the main contractors are still arguing; Iran is adamant about its conditions, OPEC suppliers are standing still in November, not willing to deliver even a cubic meter more of concrete. The main load-bearing walls of the entire macro construction site are already crumbling, facing the risk of settlement at any time.
As for the Western Group of Seven saying they will sell 100 million barrels of reserves over four months, and rushing to release diesel in the first twenty days like a mad dash, to me, an old worker who deals with mortar and plaster every day, it’s purely like using a few buckets of quick-drying cement to patch the cracking foundation beams.
On the surface, it looks smooth and polished, fooling those owners who don’t know the trade, but the steel reinforcement inside has long been hollow. This emergency reserve at best counts as a few buckets of overnight mortar temporarily dug out on the site, unable to fill the big hole caused by the main supply line break. Without a continuous flow of crude oil to pour into the foundation every day, the load-bearing structure becomes more fragile by the day.
Many people are still hoping the crypto market will immediately set up tower cranes and build new floors, which is simply reckless and against regulations.
The global macro economy is like the bottom backfill soil and foundation piles; now that this transport artery is halted, soaring energy costs are the foundation seriously sinking. With an unstable base, no matter how fancy the scaffolding above is, it’s just a castle in the air. Tightening liquidity is like all the fasteners on the scaffolding loosening, even the base slab hasn’t been poured properly—who dares to go up to support formwork and pour the top slab?
I’ve worked on construction sites for twenty years and have seen too many tragic collapses of entire load-bearing walls due to cutting corners. Looking at the current market situation, the capital is as unstable as poor-quality sand-lime bricks mixed with excessive sand, unable to bear heavy pressure.
Before the main artery at Hormuz reopens and real raw materials flow in, any soaring bullish candle is just a tofu-dreg prefabricated slab without reinforcement.
The load-bearing scaffolding is still shaking violently; forcibly topping off will only end in collapse on the spot, burying the workers who chased the highs underneath the rubble.🏗️$AKE 20x short position held. Opened at 0.03434, stop at 0.03133, floating profit 175.30%.
Entry basis: 4-hour moving averages in bearish alignment, price rebounded to 20-day moving average resistance, MACD dead cross below zero line. Triple signal resonance for shorting.
Price has moved far from moving averages, deviation expanded. Trading seeks high probability patterns, trailing stop moved down to 0.032. $ETH $BTC #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 $CARDS is trying to turn its recovery into a breakout.
Price has moved above the 5/10/20 MAs, but $0.2579 is still blocking continuation. Holding $0.2549 during a retest would show that buyers are accepting the higher range.
Entry: $0.2545–$0.2560
SL: $0.2505
TP1: $0.2579
TP2: $0.2646
TP3: $0.2700
A close beneath $0.2505 would return CARDS to its previous consolidation.
Educational only not financial advice.
#FedSeptemberMinutes #HormuzStillClosed $MUBARAK 20x leverage, opened at 0.066247, currently at 0.077357, floating profit +335.35%. After tripling, actually watch less—not because of indifference, but knowing that watching small coins more closely causes more anxiety. Set the defense line and wait for signals.
Waiting for what? Waiting for the market around 0.077 to give direction. If none is given, don't move, but small coins change quickly and high levels have no shortage of selling pressure.
This trade is confirmed: floating profit on small coins exceeds 3 times, so the frequency of watching the market should decrease, and the defense level should increase. Be cautious, defend tightly, and exit decisively. Although 20x is milder than 50x, the nature of small coins hasn't changed. $BTC $ETH #霍尔木兹仍未开放，OPEC+维持11月产量不变 $MON 50x short position, entered at 0.03419, target at 0.03169, floating profit 365.60%.
The logic is simple: the price surged near 0.034 for three consecutive days, but the trading volume decreased day by day, a typical volume-price divergence.
This afternoon, volume expanded and broke below 0.033, confirming the top formation. I decisively placed a short at 0.03419.
The bearish trend remains intact now; a low-volume rebound is a shorting opportunity. Maintain good defense, don't try to guess the bottom, let profits run. $BTC $ETH #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 $FLUID 24% move came through one explosive hourly candle, so volatility is now the main risk.
Price is far above every moving average and has already wicked from $2.2571. I would only consider a deeper retest near the $2.0523 breakout area.
Entry: $2.05–$2.12
SL: $1.98
TP1: $2.257
TP2: $2.35
TP3: $2.45
Use reduced size here. A drop below $1.98 would suggest the expansion is being unwound.
Educational only not financial advice.
#FedSeptemberMinutes #HormuzStillClosed Here's some news worth watching for tomorrow brothers: On October 6th both ETH and ZEC will have upgrade test nodes.
First about $ETH
Glamsterdam will activate on the Sepolia testnet focusing on ePBS, BAL and a series of Gas mechanism adjustments. Simply put it's about continuing to "speed up" Ethereum.
But don't get too excited just because you see the word "upgrade."
This is a testnet not a mainnet launch.
So what’s really worth watching tomorrow isn’t whether $ETH will pump because of newsLong $HYPE at 90.176, 50x leverage, 92.992, +156.52%. The toughest test was the floating profit retracement, shrinking from a high to just over 100. It was tempting to act, but I didn’t; the logic still held.
Held through and returned to 156%, but with more clarity—surviving once at 50x leverage doesn’t mean you can every time. Floating profit retracement is luck, not a safety net.
This trade taught me: high-leverage "holding" has limits; once used up, it’s time to exit. This time I locked in some profits and pushed the stop loss to break even. Don’t mistake luck for skill, don’t treat 1.5x floating profit as a deposit. $BTC $ETH #霍尔木兹仍未开放，OPEC+维持11月产量不变 $SUI 50x leverage, opened at 1.1791, currently at 1.226, floating profit +199.30%. When it just doubled, I was still watching the market closely, but now I'm not as tense. It's not that I don't care, but I know that watching the market under 50x leverage won't solve the problem, so I set up defenses and wait for signals.
Waiting for what? Waiting for the market around 1.226 to give a direction. If it doesn't, I won't move, but "not giving" doesn't mean "won't give"; round numbers often trigger market changes.
This trade is confirmed: high leverage floating profit nearly doubled, so the frequency of watching the market should decrease, and the defense level should increase. Watch less, guard tighter, and be decisive when exiting. $BTC $ETH #霍尔木兹仍未开放，OPEC+维持11月产量不变 Just went through a life-or-death speed run, $VVV long position up 109.23%! Opened at 27.903 risking everything, 20x leverage almost got liquidated, only recovered after the rocket took off.
Currently holding with a mark price of 29.427, urgently preparing to take profit, no more playing with heartbeats. If your heart isn't strong, don't play in this market; one slip and you're wiped out. Survival is key, take profits when you can.
Behind the high-leverage frenzy are countless nights of liquidation. Don't come, or come less often; top FARTCOINs are all traps. $BTC $ETH $NEAR 50x leverage, entered at 4.767, now at 4.995, floating profit of 239.14%. When I entered, I saw it couldn't fall further, so I took a position, didn't expect it to directly pull up to the 5 mark.
Haven't moved since holding, there was a pullback where floating profit shrank to just over a hundred, but I didn't panic. Such volatility is normal under 50x leverage, as long as the logic doesn't change, I won't exit. But now it's approaching the 5.0 whole number, this position is prone to selling pressure, I can't pretend not to see it.
This trade shows: when a high-leverage position's floating profit exceeds double, the whole number threshold is not for breaking through, but to remind you to take profits. I plan to exit in batches, locking in most first, and keep the remaining base position to see if it can really hold above 5. $BTC $ETH #霍尔木兹仍未开放，OPEC+维持11月产量不变 To be honest, I myself thought it was risky for this trade to last this long; luck played a big part. Yesterday at dawn, the market rebounded, $ONE faced obvious resistance above, and volume didn't keep up. I judged that no one would catch it on the way up, so I signaled a short position at 0.0021116.
Later, it really gave the answer, dropping all the way from 0.0021116 to 0.0020251, with a return of +40.86%. That profit felt good.
The market waits for the right moment, and profits come from holding. Don't get greedy with gains, don't despair over pullbacks.
I first closed 80%, keeping the remaining 20% at cost as protection. If it continues to drop, let the profits run; if it rebounds, don't give the profits back. For friends who haven't entered yet, listen to me: now is not the time to rush in. Wait for the next signal before making a move.
$SOL $ADA Sold 10,000, bought 11,000, net increase of 1,000! Metaplanet's Bitcoin holdings surged to 44,000 in Q3
In the third quarter of 2026, Japanese listed company Metaplanet completed a notable Bitcoin transaction: selling 10,000 BTC (average price about $78,925, total value about $790 million), then buying 11,000 BTC at an average price of about $86,246 (total value about $950 million), resulting in a net increase of 1,000 BTC and total holdings rising to 44,000 BTC, valued at approximately $3.8 billion. This operation is particularly special against the backdrop of a rising Bitcoin price—the selling average price was lower than the buying average price, objectively increasing costs by about $160 million.
Metaplanet officially defined this move as a liquidity verification test: the cash obtained from selling 10,000 BTC exceeded the company's total outstanding principal of all bonds, loans, and interest-bearing liabilities, proving its ability to convert Bitcoin reserves into cash when necessary. The company also pointed out that this transaction created a capital loss carryforward for U.S. tax purposes, with a preliminary estimate of about $97 million in deferred tax assets.
Metaplanet is currently the world's second-largest publicly listed Bitcoin treasury company, second only to Strategy. From holding only about 1,018 BTC in October 2024 to now 44,000 BTC, its strategic path is evolving from simple accumulation to Bitcoin financial operation.If I got hacked for 1000U, and after half a year finally saw "open compensation."
Clicked in to see:
Can claim 10U.
I might really just be silent 😭
Previously, the Drift attack resulted in about $295 million stolen, and now the project has officially opened user claims.
The mechanism is quite special.
For every 1 USDT you lost at the time, you can get 1 $DFX token. DFX can be burned directly to redeem USDT, or you can hold on to it and wait for more compensation funds to come in later.
The problem is that the compensation pool currently only has about 3.11 million USDT.
So right now, 1 DFX can only be exchanged for about 0.01 $USDT.
Simply put:
If you lost 1000U back then, redeeming now would get you about 10U back.
And once you burn DFX to claim, it means giving up any potential additional compensation later.
This makes the choice very difficult.
If you claim now, at least the money really goes into your wallet.
If you hold on, you’re gambling on whether the promised funds will actually come in later.
Because there are still two major sources not fully entered into the compensation pool: Tether previously promised to provide up to $127.5 million, and other strategic partners up to $20 million. Meanwhile, about $9.2 million of stolen assets have been frozen, but to truly return them requires going through law enforcement procedures.
The project also plans to continue putting 60% to 90% of the protocol’s net income into the compensation pool.
So DFX is actually quite like an "IOU."
You can sell it to the project today at 10%... oh no, one cent.
Or you can keep holding it, waiting for it to be repaid slowly later 😭
If I were in this situation, I guess the first thing I’d do every day wouldn’t be checking the coin price.
I’d first see how many cents this IOU is worth today.
For personal organization only, not investment advice, DYOR.$BTC has climbed back above $86,000, putting pressure on my short position. A lot of traders see price moving against their position and immediately think they should panic and close. But for me, that’s not how I judge whether a trade is still valid. I don’t focus on whether today’s unrealized P&L has flipped from profit to loss. The real question is: has the original trading thesis actually been invalidated? This weekend’s move higher looks more like a combination of improving risk appetite andBitcoin has attempted to surge to 87,000 three times in two weeks without success, indicating that someone is continuously selling. This suggests the adjustment period might be longer, so currently it's more suitable to do T, exchanging intermediate profits for more chips. Strong support at 83,000, you can set up some ambushes.ENA is quite exciting in this round today.
On one hand, they just said they will use protocol revenue to buy back ENA in the future.
On the other hand:
1.578 billion ENA tokens are unlocking today 😭
At the current price, that's about 370 million USD, accounting for nearly 15.6% of the circulating supply.
My first reaction when I saw this number was:
Bro, you better speed up the buyback.
But this unlock is different from the usual projects that release tokens slowly every month.
Ethena Foundation has already bought most of the tokens that early big holders hadn’t unlocked yet, and the remaining investors’ shares are being released all at once today.
In other words, after this big unlock today, the monthly unlocks that had been putting pressure on ENA from investors will basically end.
What’s even more interesting is the other side.
ENA’s fee switch has already been approved.
Once the 14-day average supply of USDe surpasses 7.5 billion USD, the first tier of buyback will start, using about 5% of the protocol’s total revenue to buy ENA on the market; as USDe’s scale grows, the buyback ratio will increase.
So $ENA today is actually like a gear shift:
Before, the market worried every day about "how much will unlock next month."
From today on, the question will gradually become:
How much can Ethena actually earn, and how much are they willing to use to buy back ENA?
Of course, 15.6% of the circulating supply is no joke. $PONS
PONS fell below yesterday's observed low point; how should the bottom judgment be adjusted?
The 24-hour range observed this morning was 0.3759—0.4294, with a window change of about -3.37% and a trading volume of approximately 6.5 million USDT.
Today's range low has dropped below yesterday's 0.4 boundary, so the old low can no longer be considered a bottom guarantee. Observing the price rebound back near 0.4 does not mean the previous breakdown has been fully absorbed.
If it subsequently surpasses 0.4294, holds on a pullback, and trading volume supports it, I will raise my judgment on continuation; the opposite risk is a failed breakout and insufficient buying pressure. If it falls below 0.3759 and the rebound cannot recover, I will lower my judgment. The range is based on this observation; subsequent market changes need to be re-verified.Unrealized profit 130%, 50x long position, $DOGE, opened at 0.09336, current price 0.09581, position held.
No wild joy at the moment of doubling, only tighter nerves. DOGE is strongly sentiment-driven, with extremely fierce retracements under 50x leverage, and paper profits can shrink at any time.
No attachment to fighting, partially locking in profits in batches, treating the cost line as a strict bottom line. Keeping the base position to watch for continuation, never letting unrealized profits turn into losses. $BTC $ETH #霍尔木兹仍未开放，OPEC+维持11月产量不变 Sat on the balcony for ten minutes, thinking through the trump card behind this round of $WLD's rise. This wave rose from 0.49 to 0.60, driven by the news of World ID integrating with peaqOS and the implementation of AI agent identity verification, plus Kalshi launching perpetual contracts, with leveraged funds rushing in to push up volatility. I shorted at 0.609, betting that after the news is realized, there will be a lack of follow-up funds; the mark price at 0.5716 confirmed this judgment. But I must be clear: this is an AI narrative from the Sam Altman camp, and the sentiment premium can push another wave at any time. The real daily breakout level is at 0.72 above. So I set a hard stop loss above 0.60 and will only consider adding positions if it falls below 0.56. Discipline is more important than direction. $SOL $ETH #BTC现货ETF重回流入，ETH资金持续流出 Supply Surge and Compliance Battle: The Two Real Underlying Themes in Crypto Tonight Tonight (October 5), the market is focused on the 22:00 ISM Services PMI release, but the real points of interest are two undercurrents overlooked by mainstream narratives: the supply shock from token unlocks and the compliance breakthrough from OKX and ICE's joint application for a tokenized US stock platform. 1. ISM Services PMI: Everyone is watching, but the focus isn't on the headline number At 22:00 Beijing time, the US will release the September ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI, with the market generally expecting a slowdown from August's 55.4 to around 55.0. However, the real focus is not the overall figure but the prices paid index. In August, this sub-index rose to 72.6, the highest since August 2022. If it remains elevated in September, it implies that cost pressures in the service sector have not eased, potentially shaking expectations that the Fed will hold steady in October. If the prices paid index falls, it strongly supports the narrative of a "moderate economic slowdown" after the nonfarm payrolls surprise, which would bolster risk assets. 2. Token Unlocks: HYPE's $339 million supply shock The most certain event tonight is the large unlocks of HYPE and ENA. Hyperliquid (HYPE) will unlock about 3.75 million tokens at 8:00 AM Beijing time on October 6, valued at approximately $339 million, accounting for 1.69% of circulating supply. Ethena (ENA) unlocked about 172 million tokens today at 3:00 PM, valued at about $41 million, accounting for 1.88% of circulating supply. The scale of HYPE's unlock is especially noteworthy 100x leverage is the most tempting yet most deadly aspect of this $BTC long position. Entered at 85155.6, now at 85976.2, floating profit +96.34%, position still open.
Maxed out leverage means fast gains but even faster losses. BTC trend is strong, but with 100x leverage, the margin for error is extremely low; nearly doubling is just a temporary figure.
Lock in some profits to build confidence, defend above cost at all costs, keep the base position aligned with the trend. Don’t gamble with the market sentiment, don’t give back what you’ve earned. $ETH $ZEC #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 For NVDA this week, I am more inclined to see it continue to rise. The closing price in the latter half of last week was elevated, OpenAI is continuing to optimize Blackwell, and customers have one more reason to keep using NVIDIA. NVIDIA said in a blog on October 1 that GPT-6 Astra Ultrafast runs on Blackwell, and OpenAI is still using model optimization to improve GPU inference software. Machines already deployed can continue to improve response speed, and the same set of equipment can be reused between training and inference. Customers who have spent money on machines can continue to benefit from software optimizations, and when switching suppliers, the software and migration costs must be taken into account. Even if competitors' chips are somewhat cheaper, customers may not be willing to immediately replace software that already works smoothly. But OpenAI has not chosen only NVIDIA. AMD disclosed in July that OpenAI expects to launch Helios in the fourth quarter of this year. This is still a cooperation plan and cannot be considered fully deployed yet. Blackwell continues to get faster, but that hasn't stopped AMD from competing for customers. Regarding the stock price, last Friday it closed at $233.95, about 3.9% higher than the previous Friday. However, intraday on Friday it reached $237.88, but the close fell back near the day's low. The pre-market quote at 20:09 Beijing time today is $235.13, which has not yet surpassed Friday's high. This slight pre-market rise cannot be considered a breakout, and Friday's pullback also indicates selling pressure at the highs. Next, if it can surpass around $237.88 25x $ETH long liquidation price at $2,650, right at the lower edge of the consolidation range.
Current market shows ETH at $2,716, up 0.5% in 24 hours.
At the same time, BTC is up 0.9%, ETH is still lagging behind.
From September 24 until now, ETH's high hasn't surpassed $2,779, and the low has repeatedly been supported around $2,628-$2,651.
On-chain address 0x914b first shorted 14,976 ETH, after losing about $470,000 reversed to long.
Now holding a 25x leveraged long position of 23,734 ETH, valued at about $64.3 million, liquidation price $2,650.
This price is almost exactly the low on October 3 at $2,651.
Another Hyperliquid address increased its ETH long from about 1,637 to about 3,719 this afternoon, average price $2,689.
Bulls are adding leverage in the middle of the range, but price has yet to give a direction.
The US Dollar Index reached 102.53 intraday today, the highest since April 2025, which is not favorable for risk assets.
If ETH first retests around $2,650, passive liquidation of 25x longs will amplify the downside.
Looking at the upper edge at $2,780; only a 4-hour close above this level would mean these longs have bet on the right direction.Ethereum upgrade has been promised for years to "solve congestion." The result is that Layer 2 solutions keep being built one after another, which is like the main road being too congested, so they keep building more side roads. The mainnet stays stagnant while the side roads keep increasing.$TRUMP is all about power distance. It's currently at $2.04, down 97% from the January 2025 high of $73.43, but it has rebounded 43% in the last sixty days. The recent catalyst is California's AB 2409 memecoin bill, which was clearly aimed at Trump tokens, but the clause specifies it only applies to new coins issued after January 2027, exempting the existing TRUMP (issued in 2025). The market interpreted this as the worst being over, and on October 1st it jumped 8.48%.
The bigger drama is the dinner. On September 30th, the official team launched a token holding leaderboard competition. The top 185 wallets can attend a private dinner in Washington on November 22nd; the top 29 get VIP status, and the top 4 receive an 18K gold watch. The rules calculate holdings weighted by time, effectively encouraging you to buy and hold without selling. Historically, the first two dinners saw a pump before the snapshot and a dump afterward. The VIP wallets have cashed out on exchanges twice already.
The team still holds 718 million tokens (71.8%), and in the past eight months, they transferred 81.87 million tokens (about $249 million) to Binance and OKX. The unlocked supply is like a time bomb. The largest single address holds $104 million.
Support is between $1.95 and $2.00; if it holds, expect $2.25 or even $3.00; if it breaks $1.95, a retest of $1.50 is likely. This coin has high liquidity and wild volatility, suitable for event-driven quick in-and-out trades. Don't go all in betting on access rights before the dinner; historically, the bag holders have been retail investors. The narrative is wild, the token distribution is dirty, so don't hold it on faith for the short term.