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【On-Chain Trading Update｜xyz:MRVL】 Monitored address 0xaa53 opened a long position: ▪ Execution price: 270.11 USD ▪ Transaction amount this time: 135,055 USD ▪ Leverage: 10x Note: This address has earned over 346,000 USD in the past 30 days, with a return rate of +18.46% Only left a small light on, checked US debt and the dollar together. October interest rate expectations are soft, the dollar retreated, giving $BTC, a highly elastic asset, some breathing room, but oil prices quietly pushed inflation expectations back up. My long position at 85084.8 is based on the macro window period, marked at 85952.8. This trade doesn't bet on a long bull run, only that the window hasn't closed. If 84,000 is broken, the window is suspected to be closed; only a volume breakout above 87,000 counts as a renewal. Stay quiet and hold in between, don't get itchy. $ETH $ZEC #霍尔木兹仍未开放，OPEC+维持11月产量不变 $SPCX perpetual 75x long position, opened at 159.01, now at 164.25, floating profit +247.15%. After stabilizing near 159, a big bullish candle directly pushed through resistance, so I followed the trend to go long, setting stop loss below 158. The 75x leverage position is very small, and the price action was much stronger than expected, surging violently and more than doubling the percentage! Moved the stop loss up to 163, now watching if 165 can be broken. $BTC $ZEC #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 $DOGE This ID's viewpoint DOGE 30-minute level, after rising from the low point of 0.06760, oscillates back and forth within the purple box of the rising consolidation zone. Entry: Wait for a secondary-level pullback to the lower edge of the consolidation zone, then enter again when a bottom fractal signal appears. Stop loss: low point at 0.06760. PS: The risk-reward ratio here is already insufficient, so the market is currently in a consolidation and entanglement phase. Chan Theory Structure On the 30-minute chart, 0.06760 is the low point of this rally. After an upward wave, a purple rising intermediate consolidation zone is formed. There are two possible market paths: a volume breakout above the upper edge of the consolidation zone to continue expanding upward; or if the downside cannot effectively break below 0.06760, once breached, this 30-minute rising structure will be invalidated. Wyckoff Volume-Price Observation The initial rally from the bottom had sufficient volume and strong demand. After entering the consolidation zone, rebound volume gradually weakens, pullbacks shrink in volume, and bearish selling pressure is slowly converging, but no new volume surge attack signals have appeared yet. Key Observation Points Focus on a volume breakout above the upper edge of the consolidation zone. Do not chase highs before it stabilizes. Patiently wait for a pullback and stabilization opportunity.Floating losses have expanded to around 170%, and if you ask whether I’m tired or nervous, I’d say I’m still holding my ground—but pretending there’s no anxiety would be a lie. The level I’m watching most closely is $88,000. If BTC can break and hold above that zone with strong volume, my short thesis becomes much more dangerous. My liquidation level around $91,500 is definitely not somewhere I want to see tested. That said, I’m still looking at the bigger picture. After such a strong rebound, I🚨 $OKB/USDT — BREAKOUT SETUP $OKB is pushing into the key $127.20–$128.50 resistance zone after a strong 4H move. Price remains above the MA5/10/20, with Supertrend still bullish. ⚠️ RSI near 90 shows the market is overheated, so chasing the move isn’t ideal. The better approach is to wait for a confirmed breakout and retest. 🎯 ENTRY: $128.60–$129.20 → 4H close above resistance + successful retest 🛑 SL: $123.10 🎯 TP1: $135.00 🎯 TP2: $142.00. #DailyOrbit #HormuzStillClosed Funding rates are idling near zero, but positions are quietly moving up; this kind of afterimage is easiest to be covered by shadow lines. The bulls of $OPN haven't withdrawn; they just moved their positions to thinner order layers to rest. The background is that market makers are thinning orders in the night session, drawing the largest wick at the lowest cost. Next, watch if positions and rates rise synchronously; if not, it's still a false rebound, and breaking previous resistance will provide a new observation point. $ZEC $SOL #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 #霍尔木兹仍未开放，OPEC+维持11月产量不变 There has been a rebound, but the breakout hasn't come yet. Are you also waiting for a pullback? I glanced at the market this morning, and that feeling of "seems like it's about to move, but actually hasn't" was very obvious. The green is green, but the more you look, the more it seems like an emotional repair within a range rather than a trend start. It's lively, but there aren't actually that many people willing to chase at high positions. Let's clarify the facts first: BTC is around 86.56K, as long as the 85.8K to 85K area holds, the upward structure remains; ETH is at 2.72K, with 2.66K as a must-hold defense line; ZEC has bounced to 1,345, but 1.3K is still the watershed. Note, these three levels are "defense positions," not "offensive positions," and this distinction is very important. What I really want to discuss is: what this rebound is trading. On the surface, it looks like a price recovery, but in reality, it feels more like the market is doing a small repair of the pessimistic sentiment from the past few days. Strategy has bought 1,665 BTC, and such news can indeed support confidence, but it is a slow variable and won't instantly change the supply and demand on the chart. It affects the mid-term narrative, not today's candlesticks. The problem lies here. The news gives confidence, but the price hasn't confirmed it. Altcoins are rebounding faster, indicating a return of risk appetite, but the support is thin and the pullbacks are quick, which is a typical structural divergence: the index looks good, but depth is insufficient. The defense positions of BTC and ETH still hold, indicating that big money isn't rushing out; but as soon as prices spike, they get pushed back, showing that new buying hasn't truly entered the market yet. The more bullish path is $UNI previously rebounded sharply, but the bullish volume on the chart gradually weakened. A bearish divergence structure formed on the 4-hour chart, with RSI turning down after entering overbought territory, indicating insufficient upward momentum. $LAB The DEX sector's heat has cooled down, with profit-taking continuing at high levels, causing price pressure and a pullback. Holding a 50x short position with an unrealized profit of +98.14%. Going forward, focus on observing the support below; if broken, the downtrend will continue; if the support holds, consider taking profits in batches. The volatility of mainstream coins should not be underestimated either, and high-leverage operations must be managed with strict risk control. $SAND Going long, everyone is going long, all are bullish, go ahead, you all go long. If nothing unexpected happens, a storm is about to come in the next few days. You can take a look, by then, the market will probably be full of wails, don’t be fooled by $ETH firmly holding at 2700 now. But the daily candles have been small-bodied for several consecutive days, price stuck around 2700, neither going up nor down. The high point at 2807 was attempted several times but never reached, and volume has been shrinking day by day. This kind of low-volume sideways movement basically means the bulls are out of strength; if it were strong, it should have broken out with volume long ago. Although the moving averages still show a bullish alignment, EMA5 has started to flatten, and the MACD red bars are shortening. Like a fully drawn bow, the string is too tight and will break sooner or later. More importantly, market sentiment has completely tilted toward the bulls; in groups and on Twitter, all voices are bullish. When everyone feels safe, that is often the most dangerous time. My short position was entered at 2713. I’m not in a hurry because the calm before the storm is the most deceptive. Stop loss is set above the previous high, first target is 2600. Don’t be fooled by the current stability; the real risk is often hidden when everyone feels safe. $BTC $ZEC #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 Sisters, today the market maker gave me a harsh slap, my face is swollen! But I’m not convinced, today I’ll dig deep with you to see if $MUBARAK can still rally this wave and if it can reach 0.8. First, looking at the market, it indeed still has momentum, but the structure is very special. MUBARAK is currently around 0.0744, up more than 14% in 24 hours, with an intraday high of 0.0749 and a market cap of about 140 million USD. But what’s most unusual? The trading volume is only 11.5M USDT, while ZEC in the same sector has a volume of 108.9M, and ENA has 22.7M. Using the smallest volume to create the largest amplitude, 30 candlesticks show an 18.66% amplitude, which is 3.9 times that of ZEC. This indicates extremely low cost to push up and highly concentrated chips, a typical low-liquidity short squeeze structure, not a follow-up rally in a broad uptrend. The advantage of this structure is a quick rise, but the downside is it can fall even faster. Once the bulls can’t keep up, the drop will be very sharp. Next, look at the long-short ratio and funding rate, these are the real signals. In the screenshot, shorts account for 78%, longs only 22%, retail investors are desperately shorting. Meanwhile, the overall network long-short ratio is about 0.89, with shorts slightly dominant. The funding rate is +0.0063%, positive, indicating bullish sentiment is somewhat heated, and the fear and greed index is at 70, in the greed zone. The more retail shorts, the more fuel the market maker has for a short squeeze. As long as the price keeps rising, these 78% shorts act as rocket boosters; but if it can’t rise, these shorts will flip and help push the price down. The technical side provides clear resistance levels and stop-loss logic. The Bollinger Bands range is 0.0632 to 0.0790, current price is above the middle band and below the upper band, indicating strong consolidation. MA5 is at 0.0755, MA20 at 0.0711, with bullish moving average alignment intact, mid-term structure is bullish. The key resistance is at 0.0790-0.0800, which is the upper Bollinger band combined with the previous high just below 0.8, the first hard ceiling. If volume breaks above 0.0800, the next target is 0.0830-0.0865, an extension target after breakout. Can it reach 0.8? From 0.074 to 0.8, there is a 10x space. In a low liquidity structure, theoretically a short squeeze rocket launch is possible but very unlikely. A more realistic path is: first break above 0.0800, then gradually target 0.0830 and 0.0865, each breakout requiring volume support. The short-term trading idea is clear: a pullback to stabilize around 0.0710-0.0725 is a long opportunity, with stop loss below 0.0685. When it meets resistance near 0.0790-0.0800, go short targeting a drop back to 0.0720. Regardless of long or short, take a quick profit and run, never hold heavy positions stubbornly. $BTC $ETH #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 How are the brothers holding long positions in SanDisk doing? For SanDisk $SNDK, I think there's no need to be too pessimistic just because of a pullback. My own cost price is around 1740, currently still at an unrealized loss, but structurally it hasn't completely deteriorated. SanDisk's current 1715-1720 is a relatively critical short-term support. If the price can stabilize here, and then return to 1750, the short-term will clearly strengthen. The first resistance above is around 1790, and 1800-1820 is a more important resistance zone. If it breaks through and holds, then those holding long positions will be very comfortable. However, if it falls below 1700, then be cautious of the support near 1630. There is no significant news; the market demand for storage chips supply still exists, which is its core logic. But the biggest problem now is not the fundamentals, but that the stock price has risen a lot and many profit-taking positions want to cash out, so short-term volatility will be relatively large. I've held my long position at 1740 for several days. If it doesn't fall below 1700, I will keep holding this long. If it holds above 1750, then I'll look at around 1790. When it pushes to the previous high, I will take some profits. Still, be cautious when opening positions. #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 #贝森特：美债收益率上升符合全球趋势 Conclusion first: $ADA rose nearly 10% in 24 hours, with a trading volume of $119 million — this is a volume breakout after consolidating at 0.244 for three days, driven by spot buying, not leverage. Data speaks. On October 4th, the 4H candle (Beijing time early morning) saw volume jump from 150,000 contracts to 630,000 contracts, a 4x increase, closing above 0.252. The next 4H candle volume surged to 1.47 million contracts, closing at 0.260. At 8 AM today, the volume remained around $ENA perpetual 50x long position, opened at 0.23547, now at 0.25181, floating profit +346.96%. The logic is very simple: the 0.235 whole number support was tested three times without breaking, volume is increasing, clear bottom characteristics. Finally waited for a bullish breakout candle, going long. 50x leverage, stop loss at 0.23. The movement is very smooth, no chance for a pullback. Trailing stop moved up to 0.25 to lock in profits. If volume breaks above 0.26, can hold a bit longer. $BTC $ETH #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 On the fifth night of the holiday, Bitcoin made another attempt to break through. This morning in the Asian session, it pulled up to 86,950, just 500 dollars short of the eight-month high, then was pushed back down, currently oscillating around 86,000. ETH is at 2,720, SOL at 1,210. This is the fourth time, same position, same script, even the peak numbers are almost identical. But this time there is a difference from the previous attempts: Bitcoin closed above 86,000 for the first time. In the previous three attempts, it dropped back to 85,000 or even 84,000 right after the surge. This time, the pullback is noticeably shallower, indicating that there are buyers absorbing below 86,000. Selling pressure remains, but buying is starting to firm up. After four failed attempts, bears might think this level is a strong resistance, but the difference between a strong resistance and a ceiling is very thin. The longer it consolidates, the more energy accumulates. Once volume truly breaks through 87,000, there is almost no trapped supply above, and it will head straight to 90,000. The US stock market has already opened tonight; focus on two things: whether 86,000 holds, and whether there is a second surge at midnight. For a real breakout, don’t guess the top; for a fake breakout, don’t chase the high. Operationally, still no action; keep placing spot orders and wait, the market is more impatient than we are. In past years, Bitcoin has had a higher probability of rising in October. According to the analogy of "carving a mark on a boat to find a sword," this year’s October also has a somewhat higher chance of an increase. Currently, it is indeed rising, but if October closes with a bullish candle, Bitcoin’s monthly chart will have four consecutive bullish months. In 2025, Trump launched the Liberation Day tariff war, causing Bitcoin and Ethereum to plummet. Because of exchange margin lending, I almost lost everything. At that time, I carefully counted Bitcoin’s monthly candles; generally, after four or five consecutive bullish months, there will be a somewhat larger correction. Sometimes it’s not just a correction but the end of a bull market. If October closes bullish, those with leverage can actually take some profits. But I am among the 80% who miss out; I won’t take profits. If it falls, I will buy. I don’t really like to do high sell and low buy, even if I know a correction is likely to come. Because it’s only a probability, not a certainty. If it keeps flying up and I miss out completely, I will be anxious.Finally got some meat!!! The executives ran away and I got the soup!! Made 8 points!!! $SNDK short position directly turned green with an 8.83% gain! I'm usually a chump getting cut every day, but I actually managed to squeeze money out of the dog trader? I opened the short at 1779, now the price has dropped to 1726. With triple leverage, the floating profit is over 8 points. The 24-hour high only reached 1739, the low was 1717, it just oscillated back and forth within this 20-point rang$LIT perpetual 50x long position, opened at 3.5221, now at 3.8561, floating profit +474.14%. I've actually been watching this position for quite a while. The 3.52 level was repeatedly tested but never broken; every time it approached this area, there was buying support. After confirming the bottom was valid, I decisively went long on the bullish candle. Using 50x leverage, the position size was pushed to the extreme. Currently floating profit is +474.14%, and the trailing stop loss has been moved up to 3.8. Not greedy, locking in profits first. $BTC $SOL #OKXNOW直播：就在明天，速来预约！ $PEPE is worth some attention; there is an ETF expectation coming up. The latest amendment on PEPE regarding ETC 10.2 has been updated. If the ETF really gets approved later, I think there is at least a 100% upside expectation. Recently, the market has been focused on crypto stocks and privacy coins, which has caused some aesthetic fatigue. On the other hand, the Meme sector hasn't seen any major new catalysts for a long time. The last MEME coin ETF was DOGE, but that was during a bear market, so the market didn't respond well. If an ETF channel is really opened for PEPE, its scarcity will immediately become apparent, and funds are likely to refocus on the leading Meme coins. So if $PEPE experiences a comfortable pullback later, I would consider buying some. 【On-Chain Trading Update｜ZEC】 Monitored address 0xaa53 opened a long position: ▪ Execution price: 1,342.57 USD ▪ Transaction amount this time: 134,257.22 USD ▪ Leverage: 10x Note: This address has earned over 346,000 USD in the past 30 days, with a return rate of +18.46% Cup wall water stains slide down along the three o'clock night. Around October 5th, $LIT repeatedly rubbed in the key range, long positions opened at 3.7446, marked at 3.8542, taking the confirmation after the price pullback. The background is that the sector funds rotation rhythm is slow, the narrative is waiting for a catalyst, and LIT maintains structural oscillation before the market turns bad. In the short term, watch if it can hold above 3.85; with volume increase, it can continue; with volume decrease and resistance, it will retest inside the range. $BTC $SOL #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 #霍尔木兹仍未开放，OPEC+维持11月产量不变 The pullback finally showed up. 📉 $BTC gave back $1K+, while $ETH dipped below $2,700. I took the opportunity to open a long around $2,701, and now I’m simply watching how the next candles develop. $ZEC is also showing signs that selling pressure is easing, with a small rebound starting to form. After yesterday’s slow price action, volatility is finally picking up again. For now, I’m staying patient and letting the market reveal its next. #DailyOrbit #FedSeptemberMinutes #HormuzStillClosed After BTC regained strength, it actually made a batch of "stuck" coins stand out even more: OKB is still hovering around 120, XRP is stuck at 1.49, and DOGE is even lying around 0.093. The market has already set the environment; those who still can't reclaim key levels must reassess whether they are truly strong or just waiting for BTC to carry them. #MarketStrengthensSmallCoinsStillDiverge #FundsContinueEliminatingWeakness $OKB is currently around 120.2, basically sideways in the past week, with 119–120 as the first support level; looking upward, 121–122 is the initial target, and only after firmly standing above 123 will there be a chance to retest 125–126. The biggest problem for OKB now is not weakness, but the lack of a true volume breakout that breaks through the range. $XRP is currently around 1.49, with 1.46–1.48 as the first defense, and 1.50–1.52 forming resistance above; only after firmly standing above 1.52 can we look toward around 1.56. Before reclaiming 1.52, it should be viewed as a consolidation repair. $DOGE is currently around 0.0927, with 0.09–0.091 still the most important defense line, and 0.095–0.096 as the first breakout target above; only after firmly standing above 0.10 will Meme funds be considered to have re-entered active offense. This lineup: OKB waits for 123, XRP waits for 1.52, DOGE waits for 0.10. When the market is strong but these don’t move, it’s more worrisome than a slight drop when the market is weak.$ADA perpetual 50x long position, opened at 0.2451, now at 0.2737, floating profit +583.43%. After stabilizing near 0.245, a big bullish candle directly pushed up breaking resistance, I followed the momentum to go long, setting stop loss below 0.24. The 50x leverage position was very small, the movement was much stronger than expected, a violent surge, the percentage multiplied more than five times! Moved the stop loss up to 0.27, the rest is watching if 0.28 can be broken. $ETH $ZEC #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 Conclusion first: $ADA rose nearly 10% in 24 hours, with a trading volume of $119 million — this is a volume breakout after consolidating at 0.244 for three days, driven by spot buying, not leverage. Data speaks. On October 4th, the 4H candle (Beijing time early morning) saw volume jump from 150,000 contracts to 630,000 contracts, a 4x increase, closing above 0.252. The next 4H candle volume surged to 1.47 million contracts, closing at 0.260. At 8 AM today, the volume remained around Sometimes you really can't blame the whales for dumping; if I were them, I'd run even faster. 😂 An ancient whale from an ETH ICO, after being silent for 6 months, transferred 13,330 ETH, worth about $36.37 million, to Coinbase. He bought 170,000 ETH back then at $0.31 each, costing just over $50,000. How much is it worth now? $460 million. 😂 I'm not afraid whether this whale sells or not; what I really want to see is: Can ETH hold up against such a huge profit-taking pressure?After work today, I was walking on the overpass. The wind was pretty strong. I leaned on the railing and scrolled through my phone, and I came across something that even someone like me, who doesn't understand technology, found interesting. Right now, all the main moving averages for Dogecoin — 7-day, 20-day, 50-day, and 200-day — are all squeezed around the 0.09 mark. The Bollinger Bands have narrowed to just a 0.02 range, from 0.08 to 0.10. In plain terms: buyers and sellers are holding their ground, and the price is trapped in a very tight gap. It's like a spring compressed to the limit; you don't know which way it will bounce, but it definitely won't stay compressed forever. Derivatives data shows that 76.8% of large accounts are long, and 71.3% of retail investors are also long. Both sides are aligned in the same direction. In such cases, shorts usually feel the pressure. But I’m not pretending to know. I’m also afraid it might bounce downwards. The wind on the overpass made me almost want to put my phone away and stop looking. But then I thought of something. Coins that are truly being distributed usually see their prices slowly drifting down. But DOGE isn’t doing that. It’s just sitting there, neither falling nor rising. Squatting. Things that squat usually are gathering strength. After finishing the walk on the overpass, I put my phone back in my pocket. No more looking. Do whatever needs to be done. Long-termism means you don’t need to watch every day; you just need to be there.$BTC This week, the Federal Reserve will release the minutes of the September meeting The minutes of the Federal Reserve's September meeting are about to be released this week. The market's main focus is to deeply explore the internal divisions among officials behind this rate hike. The minutes will restore the discussions at the time about the persistence of inflation, employment resilience, and how many officials supported further rate hikes, which is an important reference for judging the subsequent policy bottom line. However, it should be noted that the minutes only reflect the perceptions on the day of the September meeting; the significantly weak non-farm payroll data was released after the meeting, so there is a clear time lag. Previously, non-farm payrolls increased by only 29,000, and the unemployment rate rose to 4.2%, leading the market to lower the probability of a continued rate hike in October. Even if the wording of the minutes is hawkish, it is difficult to directly reverse the current market pricing; it is more used to confirm the Fed's reserved option to raise rates again by the end of the year. Funds are focusing on officials' statements regarding long-term interest rates and inflation stickiness. If internal concerns about recession risks increase, hawkish expectations will further cool down. U.S. Treasuries, the U.S. dollar, and assets such as BTC and gold are likely to experience short-term sentiment fluctuations. If the minutes highlight strong internal voices, U.S. Treasury yields will rebound, suppressing risk assets; if the minutes show many officials are worried about economic slowdown, market easing expectations will continue to ferment, benefiting asset rebounds. However, the minutes are lagging information and can only affect the short-term market; the ultimate direction of Fed policy still depends on subsequent inflation data such as CPI and PCE. #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 $ARB perpetual 50x long position, opened at 0.20067, currently at 0.20684, floating profit +153.73%. Didn't overthink it: the consolidation period was long enough, the 0.20 level was repeatedly confirmed as valid, and the bottom pattern was very clear. Entered as soon as a volume-increasing bullish candle appeared, following the trend, not emotions. 50x leverage, stop loss at 0.195. The rise was fast and steady, giving no chance for a second entry. Locked in a safety buffer at 0.205 first. My personal judgment is that there will be selling pressure around 0.215; at that time, I'll decide whether to exit or hold based on volume, without guessing the top in advance. $CT $DOGE #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 #Bitcoin Will it peak in early 2029?👀 Look at the white dashed line in the picture below, which marks the historical BTC halving times. An interesting time pattern: about 300 days after each halving The first green arrow marks the 2021 BTC secondary peak The second green arrow marks the 2025 BTC secondary peak. So here’s the question: The next halving is in April 2028. If the historical rhythm continues, the third green arrow time is roughly early 2029, could that be the secondary peak? History doesn’t simply repeat, but this time cycle is definitely worth watching.⏳ #BTCMany brothers ask me, since you already know it will rise, why not close your short positions first and then short again after it rises to a certain level? I just want to say, trading requires fewer operations. Currently, looking at the trend of $ZEC, it dropped from 1697 to 1270, now it has rebounded to 1368. The daily EMA20 is pressing around 1372, the MACD green bars have shrunk but are still below zero. In the short term, there are indeed signs of stabilization, and it might even bounce a bit more, but I still do not plan to close my short positions. Has the long-term bearish logic changed? No. Macro pressure remains, insider selling continues, and the expectation of oversupply persists. None of these can be resolved by a single bullish rebound candle. So I don’t move, not because I’m stubborn, but because I know which part of the profit I’m aiming for. The current trading suggestion is: when ZEC rebounds to around 1380 to 1400, you can try shorting. Or try going long near 1330, with a target around 1380. Short term looks like a pullback, long term still bearish. Patience is more important than action; the market never disappoints those who can hold on. $BTC $ETH #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 #BTC现货ETF重回流入，ETH资金持续流出 Bitcoin has completed a standard territory recovery over the past three trading days: after bottoming at 83888 on Friday, it continuously rallied over the weekend, surging from around 84720 on Sunday to 86800 in a single day. Today, it reached a high of 86999, almost completely swallowing back the body of Friday's long upper shadow. The concern about a breakdown has been disproven; the gap formed over the weekend between 85100 and 85400 has become the nearest support now. Only if it breaks below this should the validity of the 86000 whole number level be reconsidered. On the upside, 87000 is the first resistance; breaking through it will directly face the previous high at 87220. Surpassing 87220 means the early October high has been refreshed, opening the space upward to 88000–89000. It is worth noting that the funding rate is only 0.00462%, so the cost of chasing longs remains mild. This indicates that leverage is not overheated and the quality of the rise is relatively high, but it also means that if the price quickly rallies, the catch-up in funding rate will in turn amplify short-term volatility. The announced increase in holdings from Strategy is worth continuing to watch next week, as marginal changes in institutional chips often lead price movements.After an initial surge, $WLD's bullish momentum has continuously lagged, showing a bearish divergence on the 4-hour chart. The RSI has gradually fallen from the overbought zone, indicating a clear exhaustion of upward momentum. $SAND sector benefits have been realized, with high-level holdings starting to loosen and selling pressure continuing to release. There is a 50x short position with an unrealized profit of +289.14%. Going forward, closely monitor the key support below; a break of support will likely continue the downtrend. If it stabilizes and rebounds, consider taking profits in batches. This coin is highly volatile, so strict risk management on position size is essential when trading with high leverage. $AKE #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 #霍尔木兹仍未开放，OPEC+维持11月产量不变 $AR No vision, can't hold on, the profit from this short position is as thin as paper, but I love it to death, at least it didn't give me a midnight heart palpitations. While everyone was still watching, AR's rebound was quite lively, but the volume didn't keep up, no one caught it on the way up, heavy false bullish signals. I signaled to open a short near 4.679, with obvious resistance above, don't rush to expect a reversal. Now it has dropped to 4.433, the short position +105.15% profit is already in hand. Hitting the rhythm just right feels good, earlier I thought it was slow, now I think it’s not falling hard enough. For uncertain trades, a glance brings clarity, opening a position is confusion. Even if you only make one point, as long as you can take it away, it’s yours; any floating profit beyond that belongs to the market. I first close 80% to pocket the profit, move the stop loss of the remaining 20% to the cost price for protection. If it continues to drop, let the profit run; if it rebounds, don’t make the profit uncomfortable. Friends who haven’t gotten on board yet, listen to me, now is not the time to rush, chasing shorts easily gets stopped out at the peak on a rebound. Wait for a more comfortable position in the next round, I will signal immediately. $DOGE $ETH $SPCX perpetual 75x long position, opened at 159.02, now at 162.46, floating profit +162.24%. The idea is very simple: the bottom consolidates with extremely low volume, volatility is crushed to the floor, indicating that the chips have settled. A single volume-increasing bullish candle directly pulls the price up from 159, a typical start signal, go long, not short. 75x leverage, stop loss at 155. The trend is continuously upward, giving no comfortable entry point. At this position, I plan to first reduce half the position to take profits, and move the stop loss of the remaining half up to 162 to let profits run. If 168 can break through with volume, continue holding; if it can't break through, close all positions. $ZEC $SOL #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 BofA upgraded DraftKings to buy, with intraday gains of about 4.9%. Closed at 18.59 on Friday, around 19.50 this morning, target price 27, implying about 45% upside from Friday. Analysts predict the market will generate about 400 million in fees by 2027, plus 200 to 400 million in market-making revenue. Simply put: The core sports betting business is still struggling, but Wall Street is repricing the "new business." The stock price has dropped about 46% over the past year, hitting a three-year low of 18.52 on Friday. BofA itself cut 2026 EBITDA from 625 million to 500 million, so the upgrade doesn’t mean fundamentals have turned around. My view: This is an emotional recovery; don’t treat the target price as a level that will be reached next week. My approach: Watch without chasing; wait for volume to hold above about 19.7 (Friday’s high) before considering; avoid if it falls below about 18.52 (three-year low). Do you think this is an oversold rebound, or is the market about to hype the forecast story again? $DKNG #ThisWeekTheFedWillReleaseSeptemberMeetingMinutes #霍尔木兹仍未开放，OPEC+维持11月产量不变 Today $BTC has already climbed back near 86,000. I could understand the previous failed rallies as resistance, but this continuous upward movement combined with blindly shorting just won't work anymore. So I declare: The bears temporarily admit defeat. Starting today, the mindset officially switches— Bullish on BTC. Whether it can keep rising, I can't guarantee. But at least now, if I were to open a short again, I'd honestly be a bit scared. After all, the market's favorite thing to do is: The more you think it can't go up, the more it pushes higher on you. This time, I'm siding with the bulls. Bear brothers, don't rush to scold me. I'm just a gambler repeatedly schooled by the market #BTC现货ETF重回流入，ETH资金持续流出 #Strategy再购BTC，多家财库同步增持 The recent trends of the two leading coins have clearly started to diverge. A few days ago, both $BTC and $ETH ETFs saw outflows; in the past two days, $BTC has turned back to inflows, but $ETH continues to experience outflows. With capital flows inconsistent, price performance naturally shows differences. $ETH previously surged near 2800, then fell back to around 2600, and is now consolidating. In contrast, $BTC is clearly stronger, and market attention is focusing more on Bitcoin. However, a reminder to ourselves: No matter how good the investment logic, there will be times when it temporarily fails. When the environment changes, strategies that worked before may no longer be effective. Now that BTC and ETH have shown capital divergence, we cannot simply apply past experiences. No need to panic with spot holdings for now; the long-term logic for $ETH still holds, so patience is key. But if trading contracts, caution is needed in the short term. With continuous inflows into BTC ETFs, capital is more likely to prioritize BTC, while ETH may continue to consolidate or even temporarily underperform BTC. Long term, I remain bullish on ETH, but if forced to choose between the two, I currently favor the certainty of BTC. It's not that ETH has no chance, but the rhythms of the two leaders have already diverged. For spot, look long term; for contracts, focus on the short term; BTC is stronger, ETH should wait for its rhythm. If you don’t understand, don’t force trades; the market never lacks opportunities, so there’s no need to participate in every phase. 😂 #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 #OKXNOW直播：就在明天，速来预约！ Wake up, the retreat plan for $CORE has long been fully arranged. It won't be a sudden pull-the-plug exit, but a long, silent soft withdrawal. The main entity is registered in the Cayman Islands, the core team remains anonymous, and US users are blocked; a full legal firewall has been pre-built. The project team has already converted profits into BTC to transfer assets, ready to exit at any time. All recent operations are just narrative packaging to stabilize the community. The handover of nodes is beautified as a decentralization upgrade, and the small amount of B14G burn is hyped as a deflationary benefit. This burn volume is negligible compared to the continuous token unlocking and selling pressure. The previous emergency hard fork to fix the validator reward loophole directly exposed fundamental flaws in the token's underlying mechanism. The project team will only gradually reduce development investment, allowing the ecosystem to stagnate and liquidity to continuously dry up. Staking users: Unlocking cycles proceed as usual, nodes keep disappearing, and staking rewards keep shrinking. By the time tokens are unlocked, market depth will be exhausted, making it hard to find buyers. Spot holders: Long-term gradual decline with weaker and weaker rebounds. The project team only maintains the minimum operation of the chain and no longer invests resources to launch products. There is no dramatic crash, only day-by-day attrition. Constantly refreshing narratives to retain holders, chips keep releasing, and all risks and losses ultimately fall on ordinary holders. Risk reminder: The above is only personal opinion sharing and does not constitute any investment advice. $SAND, 50x short position, entered at 0.07844, now at 0.07165, profit 432.81%. The sell orders completely dominate, buy orders below have been wiped out, liquidity currently experiencing a brief vacuum. The drop without support is accompanied by huge hidden risks, even a slight buy order triggers a sharp rebound. Sentiment is at freezing point, risk greatly increased. Profit is amazing, fully closed to lock in gains. Those who haven't entered, hold your hands, wait for a deep V rebound to stabilize before acting, don't blindly bottom fish. $BTC $ETH $QUANT perpetual 50x short position, opened at 262.8, currently at 255.5, floating profit +138.88%. Just betting on a top reversal: 262 tested three times without breaking, volume decreasing stepwise, very typical top characteristics. Enter the position the moment the bearish candle crashes down, never guess the top prematurely. 50x leverage, stop loss at 268. This move has been very clean, almost no rebound. For now, hold and let the bullets fly a bit. Keep 260 as the defense line to protect the principal, wait for a clear signal around 250 before deciding to add or reduce, no rush. $BTC $ETH #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 $167 million more to sweep 1.9 million HYPE, is someone taking the unlocked tokens? Hyperliquid Strategies has acted again, buying about 1.9 million HYPE for $167.2 million, bringing their total holdings to 37 million tokens. Real money speaks louder than any slogan, igniting market sentiment. But a single large purchase can’t be directly translated as "institutional bullishness." Increasing holdings could be a long-term allocation or involve financing arrangements and position management; their holding period is on a different level than retail investors. An even more interesting contrast is right in front of us: on one side, massive continuous buying; on the other, nearly 3.75 million tokens unlocking on October 6. Both are true—one proves big money is willing to take tokens, the other reminds you that circulating supply is increasing. If accumulation continues and unlocked tokens don’t obviously flood exchanges, the market’s absorption capacity will have passed the test. Conversely, just looking at who’s buying isn’t enough; you also have to see who’s ready to sell. For $HYPE right now, both bulls and bears have evidence in hand.🚨 Sell 10,000 and buy 11,000? Japanese whale "flexes muscles," BTC liquidity gets top-level validation! Japanese listed company Metaplanet pulls off a masterstroke! In Q3, it sold 10,000 bitcoins and repurchased 11,000, net increasing its holdings to 44,000. The CEO bluntly stated this move is to prove to rating agencies: BTC can be liquidated at any time! This kind of "self-clearing" increase not only dispels institutional concerns about liquidity but also sends a very strong confidence signal to the market — big money is treating BTC as a core reserve asset. Key technical points: ● Upper resistance: 88,500 - 90,000. A dense area of previous highs; if volume breaks through, it will confirm a new upward trend. ● Lower support: 84,200 - 85,000. The key defense line for short-term pullbacks; holding this level keeps the bullish structure intact; if broken, watch out for a retest of $82,000. Institutions not only dare to buy but also prove they can "sell off," which is the real bullish news! Do you think this move can drive BTC to break through 90,000? Share your thoughts in the comments! #Bitcoin #Metaplanet #BTC #Cryptocurrency #OKX【On-Chain Trading Update｜BTC】 Monitored address 0xaa53 opened a long position: ▪ Execution price: $85,951 ▪ Transaction amount this time: $859,510 ▪ Leverage: 20x Note: This address has earned over $346,000 in profit in the past 30 days, with a return rate of +18.46% 10/5｜Small Capital Trading Log Today's Account: 9.74U Over the weekend, I opened a long position near ETH 2693, originally planning to reduce 2/3 of the position around 2740 and let the remaining run. The biggest takeaway today wasn’t how much I earned, but experiencing a full cycle: unrealized profit → rapid pullback → almost back to cost → rebound again. At noon, ETH dropped from around 2730 straight down to 2693, basically hitting my cost line at the lowest point. I was indeed a bit anxious then and started to realize a problem: after profits, I became more afraid of giving back gains, which easily led to tightening stop losses closer and closer. Fortunately, I didn’t add to the position nor reverse due to the sudden drop. Finally, support held near 2693, and the market rebounded. Final account today: 9.74U. Remember this today: Unrealized profit is not money already earned, and unrealized loss is not a reason to change the plan. First look at the structure, then manage the position. Continuing to practice discipline with small capital, not chasing how much to double in a day. #ETH #TradingReview #CLARITY法案剩72小时，动议仍未提交 $FIL Numb When the market rises, it moves like a snail; when the market falls, it always leads the way. The current price of FIL is about $0.92, down more than 99% from its all-time high, indeed in a long-term slump. But several key changes are happening: Core positive factor: On October 15, supply will drop sharply by 75%. The token unlocking plans of Protocol Labs and the Filecoin Foundation will end on October 15, 2026. Previously, they released about 66.7 million FIL annually, which will stop then. Together with block rewards, the total annual issuance will drop from about 88 million FIL to about 22 million, a decrease of about 75%. This is the largest supply-side change since FIL mainnet launch. Narrative shift: From "selling storage" to "on-chain cloud + AI data." Filecoin Onchain Cloud has launched on mainnet, positioned as a verifiable storage layer for AI agents and autonomous systems, with 49 TiB of data connected in the early stage. At the same time, the S3-compatible product Fil One was launched, priced at $4.99/TB/month, aiming to enter the enterprise storage market. #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 #霍尔木兹仍未开放，OPEC+维持11月产量不变 #OKXNOW直播：就在明天，速来预约！ #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 Current price is about 86400‑86800 USD, with a slight increase in 24 hours, retreating after hitting resistance near 87000 USD during the session. The second attempt this week to test this resistance level failed to break through effectively. Overall, it is a high-level oscillation after a rebound, with average trading volume; insufficient volume limits upward potential. Key technical levels Strong resistance: 87000‑87400 USD, the most important short-term threshold. A daily volume surge and stable close above this level are needed to open the way toward 90000. First support: 84400‑84800 USD, the short-term moving average zone. If it falls below this range, the rebound strength weakens. Second support: 82600‑83000 USD, an important trend support; a valid break below this would damage the current rebound structure and lead to further decline. Current market drivers Bullish factors US employment data missed expectations, raising market expectations for Fed rate cuts, benefiting risk assets. ETF funds maintain slight net inflows; institutional holdings have not seen large-scale exits. Short positions continue to be liquidated, somewhat supporting the short-term rebound. Bearish risks Heavy selling pressure near 87000, with two failed breakouts and obvious resistance from trapped positions above. The US dollar and US Treasury yields remain high; macro conditions have not fully turned accommodative. $CORE If you are still deeply involved, it is easy to be misled by the appearance that "the project team is still continuously building." But stepping outside the project narrative, from a business logic perspective, the problem is actually very clear: a truly valuable blockchain project should not rely long-term on airdrops, narratives, and community sentiment to sustain itself. What is even more worrisome is that CORE has previously experienced risk signals such as cross-chain bridge shutdowns, BTC withdrawal failures, and subsequent legal disputes. Looking back now, this is not to prove who was smarter at the time, but to remind ourselves: the project team "still doing things" ≠ the project necessarily has value. The market ultimately must return to the most fundamental elements: real products, sustainable revenue, ecosystem activity, and verifiable business models. Technology can tell stories, but long-term value must be supported by real demand. Whether $CORE can regain market trust going forward depends not on telling another new story, but on delivering truly sustainable results.$CL perpetual 50x short position, opened at 91.21, currently 89.71, floating profit +82.22%. The logic is simple: repeatedly failing to break higher near 91, every rebound is quickly crushed, the upper shadow line gets longer and longer, and buying power is clearly exhausted. Wait for a volume breakout below 90, confirm on the right side, then enter short. 50x leverage, stop loss at 93. The decline is very smooth, no chance for a rebound. Now move the stop loss to 90 to lock in profits. If it breaks below 88 with volume, can hold a bit longer. $BTC $ETH #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 Brothers, I really can't hold on anymore, I don't have a single U left in hand, and I can't gather any bullets to open a new position, so I can only watch the dog whales perform helplessly. First, let's talk about Bitcoin, grinding back and forth between 84,000 and 86,000. The floating profit of this position in the screenshot is nearly 1200U, but the pressure at 88,000 above is huge, and 84,000 below is the last defensive bottom line. The funding rate is slightly positive, the long-short ratio is 51:49, a typical gate-drawing market. The US Treasury yield is still suppressing it, and the ETF is also stingy. I judge that the longer the sideways consolidation, the stronger the breakout will be, most likely first a spike up to trigger shorts, then a pullback to shake out longs. SOL is even more torturous, stuck at 120 no matter what. Although the current floating profit of 51% looks good, all funds are locked in isolated margin and can't come out. 117 is the intraday support, and if 112 breaks, the trend is over. The whole market now is propped up by sentiment, watching other altcoins take off while I can only stare blankly. NEAR, that mad dog, I dare not touch it anymore. It has been hammered from deep waters down to around 4.8, and the previous doubling rally exhausted the bulls' momentum. Retail investors going in are just fuel for the whales. I have been taught a lesson by this coin. Now I barely escaped with a 48% profit, all thanks to luck, but would I chase it now? All three coins are grinding now, I have no capital to add, so I can only defend my current positions and wait for a clear direction. $BTC $SOL $NEAR #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 #霍尔木兹仍未开放，OPEC+维持11月产量不变 #BTC现货ETF重回流入，ETH资金持续流出
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