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$BTC $ETH Market Update | Tug of War in Capital Flows, Bulls Stirring Near Support Levels
Let's start with the market.
$BTC hit a low of 80,427 yesterday, which scared many. But now, the price has bounced back near 82,000. The 81,000 level has withstood more than one wave of selling pressure and serves as the short-term bottom line for bulls. Looking lower, 80,000-81,500 is a secondary support zone, and the daily EMA is converging between 82,100-84,400. Holding this range means the long-term trend remains intact. On the upside, 83,600-84,500 is the first major hurdle; only by holding above this can the trend be considered truly bullish. I only have long positions in $BTC because the risk-reward ratio here is favorable—if it breaks down, I admit the mistake and exit; if it holds, it could trigger a rebound.
$ETH is adjusting alongside $BTC, hovering around 2500, down 2% in the last 24 hours. Short-term support is at 2400-2430, with a lower daily support zone at 2350-2360. On the upside, 2560 is short-term resistance; breaking through this could open the way to 2700. $ETH’s volatility is always greater than $BTC’s, meaning it rallies sharply but also falls quickly. When capital flows back, ETH usually benefits more, but at this stage, avoid chasing highs; wait for a pullback to support before considering entry.
Now, about capital flows—there’s a contradiction that needs clarification.
On October 7, the US spot $BTC ETF saw a single-day net outflow of $484.9 million, the largest since June 25, with BlackRock IBIT alone withdrawing $207.7 million. $ETH fared worse, with net outflows for eight consecutive trading days, totaling over $640 million. These numbers alone are indeed alarming.
But from another perspective, JPMorgan’s latest report estimates about $50 billion has flowed into crypto assets since 2026, with crypto ETF inflows rising steadily since August and turning net positive for the year. Institutional holdings in CME Bitcoin and Ethereum futures have also increased over the past two months, with Bitcoin holdings even surpassing previous peaks.
Short-term outflows and long-term capital trends are two different matters. The ETF net outflows on those days were more about Wall Street’s proactive defense and profit-taking amid macro uncertainty—after a big run-up, locking in gains is normal. JPMorgan’s data shows that larger-scale incremental funds have been slowly entering. Short-term pain does not mean a reversal of the long-term trend; this logic must be clear.
Finally, on the news front, there’s a misconception to correct.
Some in the market are spreading that "US inflation data missed expectations, and rate cut expectations are rising," but after careful checking, the mainstream expectation is still for rate hikes, not cuts.
The September FOMC minutes show most officials believe further rate hikes this year may be appropriate, with internal concerns about "insufficient tightening" outweighing worries about "over-tightening." CME FedWatch data shows a 64.1% chance of a 25 basis point hike in December. The median Fed official rate forecast for 2026 was sharply raised from 3.4% in March to 3.8%, which the market interprets as "basically ruling out rate cuts this year."
However, there is a short-term buffer—September nonfarm payrolls increased by only 29,000, well below expectations, and the market’s pricing for an October hike has dropped to about 22%. Most institutions expect no hike in October, pushing rate increases to December. So the current macro environment is: short-term pressure easing, but mid-term rate hike clouds remain. For crypto, as long as there’s no hike in October, it’s a breathing window.
Another long-term positive to watch—on October 1, the SEC proposed new crypto asset custody regulations, providing compliant custody paths for registered investment advisors and regulated funds, allowing self-custody under certain conditions, and permitting state-chartered trust companies to act as custodians. If finalized, this would be very significant for institutional capital inflows, effectively filling previous compliance gaps.
My simple judgment:
$BTC near 81,000 is the current battleground; holding it means a structure of oscillating upward movement, breaking below points to support at 80,000. $ETH needs to hold 2400-2430; if it does, it will follow BTC in a sideways uptrend; if not, wait for a lower level. Capital flows are in a short-term tug of war but long-term inflows; macro is easing short-term but uncertain mid-term. The worst now is frequent position switching and chasing highs or panic selling. Buy in batches near support, don’t be greedy near resistance, and wait for confirmation signals before acting. Patience is more important than prediction.
This is my personal review and does not constitute investment advice; manage your own positions. $BTC $ETH
#9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息 #BTC现货ETF创近三个半月最大单日净流出 #跟着OKX打卡2049 Play this coin less, it's too exaggerated, closing a position with a floating profit of 500 still leaves 170.... liquidity is too low,$BTC perpetual 100x short position, opened at 85998, now at 82500.9, floating profit +406.64%.
After hitting resistance above 86,000, it directly plunged in a deep waterfall dump. I followed the trend to short, with a stop loss set above 88,000. With 100x leverage and a very small position, the movement was much weaker than expected, free-falling directly to around 82,500, and the return rate surged to over 4 times!
Moved the stop loss up to 85998, now watching if the 80,000 whole number support can hold.
$ETH $OKB #BTC现货ETF创近三个半月最大单日净流出 • Core event: ESMA consultation on tokenized collateral
• Evaluation target: Whether EU CCPs can use it and under what conditions
• Coverage models: digital twins, on-chain native assets, hybrid models
• Risks of concern: liquidation after default, client asset segregation, settlement finality
• Timeline: Deadline January 15, 2027, evaluation feedback in Q1 2027$BTC +$ETH Options Trend: Holding Base Positions, Prioritizing Defense 🧭
· BTC Options
Positions remain bullish: 59.79% call options, approximately 278,100 BTC, with most chips concentrated above late October levels, indicating mid-term bullish momentum still alive 🔥. However, short-term sentiment turns cautious: 24-hour put protection trades account for 56.99%, showing clear warming of downside hedging. Interpretation: Not turning bearish, but continuing to hold base positions, adding a layer of soft armor 🛡️ to the portfolio, so when the wind blows, they won’t be exposed.
· ETH Options
More synchronized: 60.12% call positions, daily call trades at 59.3%, both sides leaning bullish 🌤️. Funds expect the long-term outlook to be above the December range, and short-term are also willing to chase upward levels. Interpretation: Compared to BTC’s "waiting while defending," ETH looks more like an early bet on mid-term recovery, willing to trade higher flexibility for space 🚀.
In short: BTC is holding longs and buying insurance; ETH is holding longs and adding chips. Overall, it’s not fanaticism but a quietly cautious bullish bias ⚖️.How much does the rebound need to rise to not be in vain?
$ENA dropped about 12.6% in a week; to return to the level from a week ago, it needs to rise about 14.4% from here. The principal used for the drop and the rise is different, so the numbers cannot be directly offset.
Therefore, even if it rebounds a few points later, don’t rush to say the decline has been fully recovered.
I will first see if it can stop the continuous lowering of the lows, then observe whether the pullback after the rebound is converging.
At present, my judgment remains cautious. A single rise can change the atmosphere of the day, but to change the holding expectations, it still needs to go through several steps. There’s no need to forget all the previous weakness just because it turned green.
$AVAX is near 10.2, not far from the integer level of 10, down about 9% in 24 hours.
This position will attract attention, but the integer itself won’t support the price.
What really matters is how it moves after reaching nearby: a quick recovery and holding on the pullback can increase attention; repeatedly breaking below means don’t keep adding positions just because the number looks good. The price level is just an observation entry; the reaction is the basis.
$OKB is still up about 2.7% for the week, although it also dropped about 5.6% in 24 hours; its weekly performance remains temporarily in positive territory.
It’s worth keeping on the watchlist, not because it’s expected to rise immediately, but because of its existing performance.
If it can stabilize first and then gradually recover from this pullback, I will raise my expectations. For now, recognize relative strength and control position size.
#跟着OKX打卡2049
#OKX以250亿美元估值完成战略融资 $CT 永续20倍空单，0.3818开，现0.3016，浮盈+420.11%。
逻辑很简单：0.38整数关口多次冲高不破，量能递减，顶部特征明显。终于等到下跌大阴线，跟空。20倍杠杆，止损0.4。走势非常丝滑，没给反弹机会，直接砸到0.3016。
移动止损推至0.3818锁利。下方0.28如果放量破，还能再拿一拿看0.25。
$ETH $BTC #9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息 Brothers, the whole network is shouting to short $ZEC, but I’m going long instead! When others are fearful, I’m greedy. When retail investors crowd to short, it’s often a sign of an impending reversal!
I entered a long position at 1,211.31, current price is 1,223.54, floating profit 3.01%, the direction is steady. The long-short ratio is 65% bulls to 35% bears, bulls are starting to dominate. Buy orders are stacked below the market from 1,223.44 to 1,223.49, with the largest single order at 17.11, holding the support firmly.
Why dare to go against the trend? ZEC has fallen nearly 30% from the high of 1,698, and around 1,200 is the key support for this round. NU7 upgrade is scheduled for November 5, block time will be cut from 75 seconds to 25 seconds, 98.9% of token holders voted to keep the halving mechanism, the fundamentals are genuinely improving. On-chain whales are still accumulating, withdrawing 8,600 ZEC from exchanges.
Technically, ZEC is repeatedly bottoming around 1,200, MACD is converging below the zero line, bearish momentum is clearly weakening. When the whole network is shouting to short, it’s often a sign of a reversal. At this level, it’s impossible to break through in one go; repeated pullbacks are normal.
I’m holding my long position entered at 1,211.31, with a stop loss at 1,180 and a target initially at 1,300.
$BTC $ETH #9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息 Let's directly look at the 1-hour chart of $ETH. To put it simply: the current market is a rebound recovery after a big drop, and it’s not yet a reversal into a strong bull run!
Look at the moving averages: the price is currently 2501, firmly above the short-term EMA7 and EMA21, so short-term sentiment is stable; but don’t get too excited yet! The EMA30 and EMA55 above are still pressing down hard on the market, roughly at 2507 and 2540 respectively, which are the biggest resistance levels ahead.
Key support below is at 2479, and major resistance above is at 2622.
Looking at indicators: on the MACD, DIF and DEA have turned up from the bottom, and the red bars are expanding, indicating that the momentum of this rebound is still intact for now.
But be careful! RSI6 has reached 66.56, almost touching the 70 overbought line. This signal is important; on the 1-hour timeframe, the bulls are a bit tired and there’s a high chance of a pullback for a washout. It won’t just surge straight up.
Also, open interest (OI) dropped sharply during the previous crash, meaning a large number of long positions were liquidated; after bottoming out, OI has slowly risen again, showing that longs and shorts are back fighting. Expect continued choppy, back-and-forth volatility ahead. $BTC #BTC现货ETF创近三个半月最大单日净流出 📉 Friday's health check report for five major mainstream coins
$BTC 82000, arrhythmia. Most officials in the September FOMC minutes lean towards one more rate hike this year, with an 80% probability of no change in October, and the December cut looming. ETF net outflow on Wednesday was 487 million, with BlackRock pulling out over 200 million. 82000 is the life-or-death line this week: hold it to catch a breath over the weekend, fail and it heads straight to 79000.
$ETH 2500.23, temperature still dropping. Big brother's liquidation line at 2473, only about twenty dollars left. 2500 is not a technical level, but the last string of bullish sentiment—breaking it triggers a chain liquidation. ETF has had net outflows for seven consecutive days, BlackRock's ETHA withdrew 116 million in one day. Today it’s more critical than BTC, watch closely.
$SOL 112.27, blood pressure high but no rescue. ETF net outflow of 4.8 million, whales moving money from SOL to BTC—not panic, but strategic retreat. If 115 breaks, look at 110; break that and back to 105. Don't touch it.
$OKB 124.59, oxygen level low. The excitement from ICE's stake pushing it to 128 is over, all good news priced in. Break 125 to look at 124, if that fails then 120.
$RE 0.45733, heart rate normal but no one cares. 24h volume 7.6 million, market cap 68 million, pitifully thin. 0.45 is the last wall. Not touching it isn’t bearish, just unnecessary.
In a word: today is a critical defense battle, watch the market, don’t make rash moves. After the $ZEC roller coaster ride, has it stabilized?
Focusing on this deep V: the 1112.06 level was a typical sharp drop, with leveraged longs basically wiped out; but after the drop, it didn't continue breaking down, instead it stepped up gradually, directly reaching 1234.98, indicating that there is capital below buying at their own pace, not abandoned after the crash.
After the high point, several consecutive bearish candles show that high-level profit-taking is clearly loosening, and the possibility that whales are selling off in batches during the rebound cannot be ruled out. Around 1220 is a position where bulls and bears are probing each other.
The deep V indicates the structure is repairing, but the main upward trend has not yet begun.
#9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息 Is there still a chance to break even?
$TRUMP opened at 2.70, current price 1.84, unrealized loss 860U. Full position 20X leverage, total account funds sufficient, even if the coin price drops to zero, no liquidation will occur, just play dead and wait for a miracle.
$LTC opened at 64.41, current price 63.71, short position unrealized profit 70U, ROI 21.86%. Today's pillar, steadily falling, let the profits keep running.
$ETH opened at 2495, current price 2489, slight unrealized loss 29U. Margin ratio 1063%, no pressure at all, holding to watch for a rebound.
Summary: Shorts make money, longs take hits. Full position mode with ample funds, mindset steady as an old dog. Trading doesn't need to be complicated, set good stop losses, leave the rest to time. That's it for today. #9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息 #BTC现货ETF创近三个半月最大单日净流出 #跟着OKX打卡2049 $ZEC perpetual 50x short position, opened at 1364.05, now at 1224.65, floating profit +510.97%.
After hitting resistance above 1360, it directly plunged in a deep waterfall drop. I followed the short trend with a stop loss set above 1400. With 50x leverage on a very small position, the movement was much weaker than expected, free-falling straight down to around 1224, yielding a 5.1x return!
Moved the stop loss up to 1364.05, now watching if the 1200 whole number support can hold.
$ETH $SOL #BTC现货ETF创近三个半月最大单日净流出 先说结论：今天 BTC 收 82,504，涨 1%，但别被这个"+1%"骗了——全天的戏早上就演完，下午基本横着。 今早我说看 8 万支撑。最低打到 80,329，整数关保住了，脸没丢。但反弹呢？下午摸到 82,673 就上不去了，82,500 这道坎压得死死的——周线级别的关键位，这周收不上去，它下周就从支撑变压力。 ETH 更惨一点，全天在 2,400–2,500 之间磨洋工。为啥？爆仓数据说话：ETH 今天爆了 3.45 亿美元，BTC 才 2.62 亿。按市值折一下，ETH 的爆仓强度是 BTC 的 7 倍——杠杆全堆在 ETH 上，不爆它爆谁。 全网 24 小时爆仓 10.9 亿，96% 是多单，18.1 万人。跟中午的 11.2 亿比，数字在往下走——周四晚那波高潮过去了，没有第二波踩踏，别自己吓自己。 为啥反弹？两件事。 一是特朗普周四晚上在 Truth Social 上说中期选举前不打伊朗，地缘这颗雷暂时拆了，恐慌盘回流。 二是虚惊一场。周四美国政府把 12,267 枚 BTC（之前 Bitfinex 黑客案查扣的，值 10 个亿）转到了一个新地址，当时一堆人喊"政府要$PEOPLE appears strong but is actually showing a bearish divergence, with 20x short positions floating at 100% profit.
The break below 0.008248 is confirmed, marking 0.007834, precisely capturing the downward wave.
Technical resistance at previous highs combined with fading sentiment means no attachment to a single return.
0.0078 is a key level, with a rebound to 0.008 facing heavy resistance, favoring bearish oscillation; respect leverage risk control. $BTC $ETH $DOGE perpetual 50x short position, opened at 0.09518, now at 0.0843, floating profit +571.54%.
Honestly, this trade was opened very comfortably. It was clear that above 0.095 the price couldn't rise anymore, a double top pullback scenario. When the bearish candle dropped, I shorted immediately, with a stop loss at 0.1. Running a very small position with 50x leverage, the price never looked back and directly crashed down to 0.0843.
+571.54%, trailing stop at 0.09518. In this market, shorts are the way to go, steadily taking big profits.
$ETH $ZEC #跟着OKX打卡2049 $XAUT $NVDA $UNITREE
Week 6 Summary
Total Return: +12%
It's not about rushing the turnover, but about keeping it continuous
Finally stabilized a 10% return for a month, tried many new positions, allocated 10k capital with 40k leverage
Yesterday saw a certain A market pushing that Nvidia lost a trillion in market cap overnight, why no push when hitting new highs, but such a fuss over a 2% drop. Good companies can't be shorted, only bought on dips, at least that's what I always believe. Reaching $300 is just a matter of time
Opened a gold long at a good position, although I think it hasn't bottomed yet, it's a safe-haven asset, nothing to fear, holding for now, will sell when I find new targets to open
Unitree still empty empty empty~ Referencing a certain A's oil trend, no fundamental support, just talk, robots might be the future, but definitely not now, first target $45
I'm opening a Pons position again, last time I lost 10% return on the top. I'm reborn, this time I want to get back everything I lost, first target $0.25
Just personal operation sharing, recording to improve my execution
Welcome everyone to communicate and discuss, share experiences$BTC $BTC 12-hour liquidation data is a bit brutal: long positions liquidated $220 million, short positions only $27.486 million.💥
Last night BTC showed no mercy, crashing all the way down to 80351, with leveraged longs falling in waves. The downtrend only hit the brakes this morning, rebounding to 81769.6.📈
I bought near 82000, briefly thought I bottomed out successfully when it pulled up to 82600, but the market turned and continued to dive, breaking below 80400 directly.😵💫
This wave was clearly targeting longs, liquidations coming one after another, if you can't hold, you get out. The crypto market's shakeouts are never gentle; rebounds are hope, but the sell-offs are the truth.🩸
$ETH $ZEC #9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息 #ETF仍在流入，BTC为何下跌？ #跟着OKX打卡2049 $AKE mark price 0.02753. Short position 20x floating profit 203.29%. Watched the afternoon session, holding from 0.03064 to now, the rebound to 0.029 was indeed tense — floating profit dropped from 200% to about 120%, mouse hovering over the close position button.
But seeing the volume didn't keep up, judged it as a normal pullback, no action taken. Now approaching 0.027 support, the market structure has changed: 4-hour MACD green bars start to shorten, RSI enters oversold zone, short-term rebound demand exists. 0.0285 is the previous breakout rebound high, also the previous low turned resistance. Operation-wise, no longer holding hard: close 80% to lock in profit, keep the rest with 0.0285 stop loss.
If it breaks 0.027 and 4-hour close confirms, base position targets 0.025; if it stands back above 0.0285, clear all. No chasing shorts under shrinking volume background, mainly taking profits. Orders placed, closed extra windows, leaving only one conditional order for monitoring. $BTC $ETH #9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息 $XRP perpetual 100x short position, opened at 1.5085, currently at 1.386, floating profit +812.06%.
The logic is very simple: the 1.5 whole number resistance was tested multiple times without breaking, volume decreased, showing clear top characteristics. Finally waited for a big bearish candle to short. 100x leverage, stop loss at 1.55. The movement was very smooth, no chance for a rebound, directly smashed down to 1.386.
Moved stop loss up to 1.5085 to lock in profits. If the volume breaks below 1.3, can hold a bit longer to see 1.2.
$BTC $SOL #9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息 $ETH perpetual 100x short position, opened at 2716, now at 2491, floating profit +828.98%.
2700 resistance is firm; every time it approaches this area, it feels like there's selling pressure holding it down. I believe the top has been confirmed, will short directly on a bearish candle. 100x leverage, very small position, stop loss at 2800.
Currently +828.98%, moving stop loss to 2716. Taking substantial profits, staying calm, watching the remaining position.
$BTC $DOGE #BTC现货ETF创近三个半月最大单日净流出 $LAB perpetual 10x long position, opened at 0.05042, now at 0.05429, floating profit +76.35%.
I've actually been watching this trade for quite a while. The 0.05 level was repeatedly tested but never broken; there's strong support around this area every time. After confirming the bottom is valid, I decisively went long on a big bullish candle. Using 10x leverage, position size was controlled prudently.
Currently floating profit is +76.35%, and the trailing stop has been moved up to 0.05042. Not greedy, locking in profits first, then letting the rest run. $ZEC $ETH #跟着OKX打卡2049 $BCH perpetual 50x short position, opened at 294.4, now at 275.6, floating profit +319.29%.
The logic is simple: the proportion of contract long positions keeps rising, funding rates have reached a high-risk zone, and long crowding is maxed out. With 50x leverage, stop loss is set above the key resistance. After the heat subsides, the risk of concentrated long liquidation continues to increase.
Long profit-taking pressure keeps emerging, the market lacks support, and the downtrend unfolds accordingly.
Move stop loss up simultaneously to lock in profits. Increase volume to break key support and add shorts; rebound lacks volume and faces pressure, patiently hold shorts waiting for further decline. $ZEC $SOL #SpaceX拟购频谱拓展移动通信 #Securitize推出12只链上美股 I'll be straightforward: the tension is escalating, but the safety buffer hasn't broken yet.💥
Risk side: Iran's Revolutionary Guard has issued a harsh warning to oil tankers—"No turning back, or we'll open fire," having already forced at least one to retreat. In early October near the Strait of Hormuz, at least four ships were hit by unidentified projectiles, with one experiencing an engine room fire.🔥
Buffer side: JPMorgan says Middle East crude exports have returned to 98% of pre-conflict levels. Even better is the "maritime relay": tankers escorted by the US military exit the strait, then transfer cargo ship-to-ship in the safe waters of the Gulf of Oman, bypassing Iranian checkpoints. Kpler data shows that by the end of September, Middle East exports once reached 19.5 to 22.5 million barrels per day, even exceeding pre-conflict levels.🛢️
Translation: Iran is waging guerrilla tactics, targeting isolated ships; Saudi Arabia and the UAE still have "secret routes" for shipments. So oil prices bounce around 100 instead of shooting straight up.📈
Regarding the big picture: oil prices wobble at high levels, inflation expectations remain hard to lower, and US Treasury yields still cap gains; but supply hasn't been cut off, inflation is unlikely to spiral out of control, and the Federal Reserve is unlikely to tighten immediately.⚖️
In a nutshell: the risk is emotional, the buffer is reality. $BTC $ETH $ZEC #霍尔木兹风险升级，短期能源供应仍有缓冲 $CT sudden plunge! A large bearish candlestick directly breaks through 0.31, shorts' profits rapidly expand!
The mark price has dropped to 0.307, with 20x leverage short positions floating profit reaching 588.31%. Although it seems the market is accelerating downward, the more sudden the drop, the more you must not be blinded by the immediate profits.
A sharp drop does not mean it will keep falling!
The rapid price decline means some profit-taking funds may exit at any time. The 0.300 level below is a key support near the previous low; once bottom-fishing funds enter, a short-term rebound could be very strong.
Currently, focus on these price zones:
0.280: An important psychological support below, also a level to watch if the price falls further.
0.300: Previous low support area; if broken effectively with volume, shorts may continue to dominate.
0.325: Key level for short-term rebound; if price climbs back above, be cautious of short-sellers pulling back.
0.4348: Original cost reference point; if price rebounds sharply to this level, the existing trading logic needs reassessment.
Given the current trend, I prefer to protect the profits already made rather than risk chasing the last leg of the decline. Consider taking profits in batches, reducing position size, and setting clear risk control parameters.
Remember: after a sharp drop, rebound risks are equally important. 20x leverage amplifies not only gains but also losses. ETH连续收阴，多头被打懵了！今晚我也被市场上了一课 今晚ETH连续下跌，看到大阴线，我第一反应就是：跌这么多，该反弹了吧？于是我选择做多，结果行情继续走弱，这笔交易亏掉了约61%的保证金。 这次我才真正明白：跌得多，不代表跌到底；看起来便宜，也不代表值得买入。 📉 ETH为什么持续承压？ 1. 多头清算，加剧下跌 10月9日市场数据显示，过去24小时ETH相关清算约3.56亿美元，高于BTC的约2.98亿美元。杠杆多头被强制平仓，可能进一步放大卖压。 2. 关键价位失守，恐慌扩散 2500美元附近的关键位置受到考验。当价格持续走弱，止损、强平和恐慌卖出可能形成连锁反应。 3. 市场情绪转弱，抄底资金不敢进场 连续阴线容易让人产生两种极端判断：有人急着抄底，有人认定还会暴跌。但真正影响走势的，是买卖力量和价格结构，而不是主观感觉。 🔍 接下来ETH怎么走？ 重点观察三个信号：2500美元附近能否重新站稳、下跌动能是否减弱、BTC能否企稳并带动ETH修复。这些只是观察条件，不是确定的涨跌预测。 **今晚最大的教训：**100倍杠杆下，一次看似普通的价格波动，就可能吞掉大部分保证金。以On October 7th, I seized the opportunity to open two short positions
BTC 10x, SOL 20x
My account funds almost doubled
Today the market collectively warmed up
The market trend has clearly changed
I don't want to keep gambling hard
I cashed out everything directly and left the market
In a market with big ups and downs
The profits you take home are the real ones
Previous gains were bonuses given by the market
Not a stable norm
Now the market has shifted from falling to rebounding
The trend has already switched
Continuing to open positions carries high uncertainty
I plan to slow down the pace next
Watch more, act less
Wait until the market logic is clear
Then use small positions to test and learn
$BTC $ETH $ZEC
#9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息
#BTC现货ETF创近三个半月最大单日净流出
#霍尔木兹通航降至两月低位，油价跳涨4% $STRK perpetual 50x long position, opened at 0.0538, now at 0.07401, floating profit +1878.25%.
After bottoming and stabilizing around 0.054, it directly surged strongly with the trend. I followed the trend to go long, setting a stop loss below 0.05. With 50x leverage and a very small position, the movement was much stronger than expected, directly rising to around 0.074, with the return nearly 19 times!
Moved the stop loss up to 0.0538, now watching if it can break the 0.08 whole number level. $BTC $ETH #跟着OKX打卡2049 $SOL perpetual 100x short position, opened at 120.35, now at 109.99, floating profit +860.82%.
After hitting resistance above 120, it directly plunged in a deep waterfall dump. I followed the short trend, placing a stop loss above 125. With 100x leverage and a very small position, the movement was much weaker than expected, free-falling directly to around 110, with a return rate hitting 8.6x!
Moved the stop loss up to 120.35, now watching if the 100 whole number level can be broken.
$ETH $ZEC #9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息 $DOGE perpetual 50x short position, opened at 0.08721, currently at 0.08436, floating profit +163.39%.
The logic is simple: after a surge, the bullish momentum quickly fades, the rise relies entirely on sentiment hype without substantial buying support. With 50x leverage, stop loss is set above the key resistance.
DOGE lacks continuous new capital inflow; after market sentiment cools, the speculative dividend is basically exhausted, and selling pressure above gradually appears.
No more chasing funds entering, profit-taking is gradually realized, and the price weakens step by step.
Trailing stop loss is moved up to lock in profits. Short more on volume break below key support; rebound is weak without volume, patiently hold short waiting for further decline. $BTC $ETH #台积电Q3营收创新高，10月15日财报还有哪些看点？ #OpenAI营收口径引争议，AI投资回报受关注 Brothers, something's off with the ETF funds:
On Thursday, October 8, the US spot BTC ETF saw a net outflow of $244.1 million, and the ETH ETF had a net outflow of $72.5 million.
ETH is worse off, with net outflows for 8 consecutive trading days. From September 29 until now, the cumulative outflow is about $641.3 million.
Since October:
· BTC ETF cumulative outflow: $407.4 million
· ETH ETF cumulative outflow: $578.9 million
· Combined outflow: $986.3 million
Basically, all the money that came in during October has been given back.
In short: institutional buying is shrinking, don’t force short-term entries, manage your positions well, and wait for funds to flow back before making moves. This is not a bearish call, just a risk reminder.
$BTC $ETH $SAND perpetual 50x short position, opened at 0.07066, currently at 0.06742, floating profit +229.26%.
Entry: At the upper edge of the short-term dense trading zone around 0.07066, tested but failed to break through effectively, showing stagnation in rise, followed by a short position with 50x leverage, stop loss set above 0.072. Subsequent stepwise decline, rebound highs are lower, bearish structure temporarily maintained. Management: Move stop loss up to the 0.069-0.070 range to lock in profits; 0.066 is a key support, if broken with volume, the trend continues and positions can be held targeting 0.064; if volume shrinks and stabilizes, reduce positions to prevent rebound. $BTC $ETH
#9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息 Think ETH is about to start a V-shaped reversal? Don't rush to conclusions!
It bounced from 2405 to 2486, which looks like the bulls are regaining strength, but to me, this seems more like a technical rebound during a downtrend.
So, I chose to enter a short position on ETH around 2488.
Position size: 2 ETH
Leverage: 100X
Currently, the price is at 2484, with an unrealized profit of about 12%, and a paper profit of 6U.
The liquidation price is at 2551, so there is still some room.
In a downtrend, a rebound does not mean a reversal!
The higher the price pulls up, the better the opportunity the shorts might be waiting for. Of course, the market won't follow anyone's script; the key is whether the subsequent trend can confirm the judgment.
The principal is only 150U, so the risk must be calculated carefully. With high leverage, a quick surge can cause huge losses, so never focus only on potential profits.
Next, I will continue to watch ETH's performance around 2480, waiting for new directional signals.
If the shorts regain control, a strong bearish candle might change the short-term rhythm. Crypto market sentiment is cautious, with BTC pullbacks dragging down the overall market, but some individual coins still show independent performance.😐
$BTC: ETF funds are retreating, facing short-term pressure. Currently around $81,839, down about 2.7% in 24 hours, giving back nearly half of September's gains. Spot ETF net outflow in a single day reached $484.9 million, the largest since June. EMA7 has crossed below EMA25, indicating a weak trend. $79,800 is a key support level; breaking below may lead to further declines; $82,600 is the rebound threshold.📉
$ETH: Battling around the $2,500 mark. Currently at $2,479, ETFs have seen net outflows for five consecutive days, totaling over $200 million. Leverage ratio has dropped to a nearly seven-month low, easing liquidation risks. Short-term range is $2,400–$2,550; only with capital inflows can it hope to push up to $2,600.⚔️
$ZEC: Showing signs of independent movement? Relatively active when the overall market weakens, but sustainability depends on volume and sector correlation; in a weak market, blindly chasing highs is not advisable.🌱
Overall, the FOMC minutes are hawkish, and ETF withdrawals suppress risk appetite. Until BTC stabilizes, the market is likely to remain cautious and rotate. Wait for signals; do not chase the rally.⏳
#9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息 #ETF仍在流入，BTC为何下跌？ #跟着OKX打卡2049 $ZEC perpetual 50x long position, opened at 1201.05, now at 1226.39, floating profit +105.15%.
1200 support is solid; every time it approaches this area, it feels like there's support holding it up. Confident in a successful bottom test, will go long on a bullish candle. 50x leverage, very small position, stop loss at 1180.
Currently +105.15%, moving stop loss to 1201.05. Profit secured, calm mindset, watching the remaining position play out. $BTC $ETH #BTC现货ETF创近三个半月最大单日净流出 How are the retail investors still shouting about the bull market? Especially those bulls chasing highs above 2680, are you still calling for the bull market to return?
I already said last month that $ETH's rally wouldn't surpass 2850, hovering around the 2700 range for two weeks, unable to hold above 2700, yet you retail investors kept going long.
Is the top clear now? In two days, there were 13 swings, with 2700 plunging all the way down to 2405, just barely missing breaking through 2400. The liquidation pressure between 2400-2380 below is very strong.
The market now looks like an old lady climbing stairs, unable to hold 2500, you all know what to do, right? $BTC
Currently, $ZEC has the largest floating profits, with 10x leverage. A couple of days ago, I reduced half my position between 1330-1300, pocketing over 150,000 USD, and now still holding 200,000 USD in floating profits. Continuing to hold.$SOL perpetual 100x short position, opened at 113.29, now at 109.93, floating profit +296.58%.
The logic is simple: after a surge, the bullish momentum quickly fades, the rise relies entirely on sentiment hype, with no substantial buying support. 100x leverage, stop loss set just above key resistance.
Recently, SOL lacks continuous new capital inflow, market sentiment has cooled, the speculative dividend is basically exhausted, and selling pressure above gradually appears.
No more chasing funds entering, profit-taking is ongoing, price gradually weakens.
Trailing stop loss is moved up to lock in profits. Short more on volume break below key support; rebound is weak on low volume, patiently hold short waiting for further decline. $ZEC $BTC #跟着OKX打卡2049 #霍尔木兹通航降至两月低位，油价跳涨4% $ETH perpetual 100x long position, opened at 2480.28, now at 2492.15, floating profit +47.41%.
The logic is very simple: the 2480 whole number support was tested multiple times without breaking, volume decreased, showing clear bottom characteristics. Finally waited for a big bullish candle to go long. 100x leverage, stop loss at 2450. The movement is very smooth, no chance for a pullback, directly pulled up to 2492.15.
Moved stop loss up to 2480.28 to lock in profits. If the volume breaks above 2500, can hold a bit longer to see 2550. $ZEC $SOL #9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息 $SOL perpetual 100x short position, opened at 112.35, now at 109.93, floating profit +215.39%.
This SOL position has more than doubled in floating profit, but at 100x leverage it really feels like walking on thin ice. The downward pressure is coordinated, but a single pulse rebound in SOL can instantly wipe out the floating profit. Discipline first: move the stop loss to 111.5 to secure profits; then watch 109.0—if it breaks, hold; if not, exit, no fighting the market. $DOGE $ETH
#9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息 $SOL broke below 110, is it a golden pit or a mass trap?
Brothers, SOL slipped again, directly smashing through 110, making those with long positions feel a sudden jolt, like stepping on a missing stair.
Why did it drop this time? Long leverage positions exploded in a chain reaction. Over $50 million long positions were liquidated in 24 hours, pushing the price down, forcing more leveraged positions to be liquidated, which further pushed the price down, causing a stampede. Plus, spot ETFs have seen outflows of 17.7 million over three consecutive days, institutions are withdrawing, buying power can't keep up, so a drop is inevitable.
Now the price has fallen below the short-term moving average, signaling short-term weakness. Fortunately, the mid-to-long-term moving averages are still supporting from below, so the long-term trend hasn't completely collapsed. 107 is the first line of defense now; if it holds, there's still some breath left; if it breaks, look at 105.61, and further down at 102.30.
Above 111-119 is all trapped positions; a rebound there would be a chance for people to get out, and selling pressure could push the price down again.
Dan's strategy: short-term bearish bias, short on rebounds between 111-119 with resistance, stop loss above 120, target first at 107, if broken then 105.61 or even 102.30. Don't bottom-fish or catch falling knives, wait for it to fully drop first.
For those wanting to follow, rebounds are shorting opportunities, don't chase shorts, wait for a bounce before entering. This bearish wave isn't over yet, keep up with the rhythm, don't wait until it crashes to ask if you can chase. Manage your position size and stop loss well, those who follow will profit. #9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息 Bitcoin and Ethereum staged a "deep V" rebound today, but don't rush to call it a bull comeback.
BTC briefly dipped to $80,500 in early trading, then recovered to around $82,500, narrowing the 24-hour decline to 0.49%. ETH's rebound was even stronger, breaking above $2,500 with an intraday gain of up to 2.6%. But note—ETH had previously dropped more than 3.5% in 24 hours, so this move looks more like a technical bounce after overselling.
The reason for the drop is straightforward: triple pressure.
US Treasury yields surged (30-year at 5.71%, 10-year at 5.32%), oil prices spiked then retreated but inflation concerns remain, combined with tense US-Iran relations, risk assets came under collective pressure. Leverage acts as an amplifier: nearly $1.1 billion liquidated across the network in 24 hours, with longs dominating; ETH liquidation intensity by market cap is even six times that of BTC.
ETH also has its own "thunder": the US spot ETH ETF has seen net outflows for seven consecutive trading days, with a single-day outflow of $160.9 million, showing a clear retreat of institutional buying.
In summary: a rebound is a rebound, a reversal is a reversal. Macro pressure hasn't eased, ETF funds haven't returned, and leverage has just been cleared once. Don't mistake a dead cat bounce for a bull turnaround. $XAU
Gold has rebounded multiple times but failed to sustain new highs, with weak momentum. Shorted at 4200, stopped at 79, 21 points, Luodai! #9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息 After the market correction last night, Billion Brother posted three consecutive updates clearly expressing his view: the short-term adjustment might be a good opportunity to position in $BTC and $ETH.
His judgment is that although the current market faces multiple macroeconomic headwinds, the magnitude of this pullback is not as large as expected, indicating the market still has some resilience and the overall trend has not yet shown a clear reversal signal.
Last night, I closed all my short positions in BTC and ETH and am now preparing to try to capture this potential rebound.
Currently, I have established a long position in BTC at around $81,900. As for ETH, I am still waiting for a more suitable entry point, preparing to look for an opportunity to position.
Of course, the upcoming trend remains uncertain. If the market continues to drop sharply from the current area, the so-called bull market rally might be more of a phase rebound rather than a true sustained upward trend.
#SeptemberFOMCMinutesReleaseHawkishSignal Most officials lean toward another rate hike
#BTCSpotETFOneDayNetOutflowHitsNearlyThreeAndAHalfMonthHigh
#CheckInWithOKXAt2049$BTC perpetual 100x long position, opened at 81984.4, now at 82536.1, floating profit +67.07%.
Honestly, this trade was opened extremely comfortably. Above 82,000 it clearly couldn't fall further, a double bottom rebound scenario. When the bullish candle pulled up, I went long immediately, with a stop loss at 81,000. Running a very small position with 100x leverage, it never looked back and directly surged to 82536.1.
+67.07%, moving stop loss to 81984.4. In this market, bulls are the way to go, steadily taking big profits. $ETH $ZEC #BTC现货ETF创近三个半月最大单日净流出 $TIA
TIA rises over 5% against the market trend, has modular demand already entered a value closed loop?
This morning's 24-hour spot observation window: range 0.4446—0.5298 USDT, change +5.68%, trading volume about 9.91 million USDT.
Quotes are at a higher range, providing evidence of price leadership, but data availability usage, fee income, and token holding rights need to be verified separately. Industry heat may drive expectations but cannot alone prove value realization.
If actual paid demand does not follow and the price retraces, first reduce business interpretation; if real usage strengthens along with higher and lower points, then raise the judgment.$CORE
Let's talk about core. Although it was repaired after a day, it failed to return to the price level before the decline, only showing a weak rebound. So this is a typical "small pullback after overselling, not a reversal trend."
Current summary:
1. Nature of the rebound: It is a technical repair after a sharp drop, not an active capital inflow to push the price up; during the rebound, trading volume did not significantly increase, and bullish funds are not decisive. As soon as the price approaches the previous decline starting point, selling pressure immediately appears (previous trapped positions and short-term profit-taking flee together).
2. Track comparison: In the BTCFi track, STX continues to strengthen while CORE remains weak. Capital preference has clearly diverged. Within the track, funds prioritize targets with stronger fundamentals and ecological narratives. CORE's narrative lacks appeal, coupled with underlying protocol bugs. Overseas narratives, including Satpay, are greatly affected, making it difficult to attract incremental funds.
3. Fundamental suppression: The large unlock on October 15 is a bearish factor hanging over the market. Funds have risk-averse sentiment, and main funds are unwilling to actively release trapped chips above before the unlock. This is one of the key reasons for the weak rebound.
Therefore, today's slight rise is only a weak repair, not a reversal, and is a consolidation during the decline. Before the two conditions of unlock landing and incremental funds entering are met, it is difficult to directly recover the previous decline, so it will still mainly fluctuate in a low-level range. If the overall market undergoes a systemic correction, core will enter an ultra-low price level!#9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息
Currently, Bitcoin is declining due to a double negative: hawkish statements combined with a surge in oil prices.
These two negative factors together form the core pressure on the current market. The September minutes show that most officials support continued rate hikes, directly shattering market hopes for rate cuts. Tightening liquidity expectations have pushed up U.S. Treasury yields and strengthened the dollar, causing valuations to remain suppressed.
Additionally, the decline in traffic through the Strait of Hormuz and a 4% surge in oil prices have raised energy costs, which will increase inflation expectations. This conveniently provides the Federal Reserve with justification to continue raising rates, effectively solidifying hawkish expectations. The two negative factors reinforce each other.
#BTC现货ETF创近三个半月最大单日净流出 #跟着OKX打卡2049 $BTC $ETH $ZEC The funding rate has never even turned negative, the bulls' psychological defense hasn't collapsed—so where is the bottom?
As long as the bulls don't give up and surrender, the market manipulators' scythe won't stop. Don't rush to catch the falling knife to bottom-fish; go short with the trend and patiently wait for the bloodbath when the bulls finally can't hold and get liquidated!$TRUMP perpetual 50x short position, opened at 1.885, now at 1.839, floating profit +122.01%.
Honestly, this trade was opened extremely comfortably. It was clear that above 1.885 the price couldn't rise, a double top followed by a pullback. When the bearish candle dropped, I shorted immediately, with a stop loss at 1.95. Running a very small position with 50x leverage, the price never looked back and directly crashed down to 1.839.
+122.01%, moving stop loss to 1.885. In this market, shorts are the way to go, steadily taking big profits.
$ETH $ZEC #BTC现货ETF创近三个半月最大单日净流出 dealer's cost line are now fully pressed above!
The first line is the bulls' average cost at 0.0694. The price has already fallen below this line, so the bulls are overall trapped. At every rebound, a large group is waiting to break even and run.
The second line is the bears' average cost at 0.0723, which is the dealer's short position defense line, even higher than the bulls'.