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Rinse and repeat throughout this entire range.
Pump NY open, then reverse the entire move. Their intentions are pretty obvious.
Make $BTC shorts comfortable enough to keep pressing entries, then wick price back up and blow them out in one candle, just like every previous range.#BTC whale sell pressure weakens, ETF funds see net inflow for three consecutive weeks
BTC whale sell pressure weakens, ETF funds see net inflow for three consecutive weeks
Brothers, both on-chain data and capital flow have improved simultaneously.
Latest data from Glassnode shows that the trend of BTC whales net depositing to exchanges has officially stopped. This deposit wave, lasting over three months, continued from summer until late August, twice the duration of similar trends in 2023. Since then, capital flow has remained negative. The pressure of chip inflow to exchanges is fading.
ETF capital flow is warming up simultaneously. During the week from September 28 to October 2, Bitcoin spot ETFs saw a net inflow of $241 million, marking three consecutive weeks of net inflow. BlackRock's IBIT led with a single-week inflow of $450 million, with total net asset value rebounding to $108.89 billion.
BTC current price is about 85,700-86,000, up slightly 0.63% in 24 hours. Technically, it is consolidating in a narrow range; the 1-hour moving average is bullish but ADX is only 13.7, indicating very weak trend momentum. The market is waiting for the Fed minutes to break the deadlock.
Key levels: Resistance above at 86,700-87,000, support below at 85,000. Stop loss for positions below 84,500; for empty positions, wait for a pullback to 85,000-85,500 to stabilize before entering. Whales are no longer dumping, ETFs are buying, but don’t chase highs before macro data is released.
What do you think about this on-chain signal? Let's discuss in the comments. $BTC $ETH $ZEC SOL vs ZEC ETFs: 2025 vs 2026. SOL raised $765M in 2025 (launch year) and added ~$173M YTD in 2026 despite a 57% price drop — cumulative now ~$1.45B. ZEC's ETF launched Aug 25, 2026, hit $1B AUM in under a month, but just bled $93.56M in a week, cutting AUM to ~$751M. Cumulative net inflows remain ~$212M. Two very different launch stories.
$ZEC $SOL $SUI is at 1.21 today, down 1% in 24 hours, but up 3.3% over 7 days. It’s relatively stable during this adjustment period, not crashing alongside ARB’s sudden drop.
The catalyst is solid. The Hashi protocol just launched, allowing Bitcoin to be used as collateral on the Sui network, effectively bringing BTC liquidity into the Sui ecosystem for settlement. This kind of cross-chain collateral narrative is especially popular this year. Sui itself is a high-performance Layer 1, with TVL and developer activity steadily increasing. After climbing out of the pit, its structure remains intact.
However, SUI hasn’t had an independent major rally this time; it’s mostly moving with the sector. Currently, crypto-native funds are speculating on protocols with real revenue and buybacks—Pump.fun is up 26% in a week, LayerZero +19.8%. SUI isn’t in this pure cash flow category, so its volatility is naturally limited. Without its own catalyst, it rises slower than others.
Holding between 1.15 and 1.18, the target is 1.30; if it breaks 1.10, a deeper pullback is expected. October sees fast altcoin rotations, and coins lacking independent narratives are the easiest to be left behind.
SUI has cards but not enough to explode; it lacks something to ignite itself. OKB Rollercoaster again: Which price level are you waiting for now?
Around 135.83 USDT, there is a clear divergence in the OKB spot order book. The 24-hour range has expanded to 125.33 USDT to 143.32 USDT, with the price oscillating in the middle of the range, indicating concentrated liquidity settled at both the upper high and lower low, causing an imbalance between buy and sell orders, making the two ends of the range liquidity magnets.
From the most recent 1-hour closing K-line at 135.72 USDT10.6$ZEC Intraday Review
Intraday ZEC long position Silk Road realized
Point error: failed to pull back below 1300
Mistakes must be admitted, and punishment must be accepted
Although it was not the entry position, the long direction was correct
Entered at the lowest pullback point 1314 👉 exited at 1384, 70 points profit
Keep it up
#OKXNOW：开启全天候市场新时代
Get on the 🚗, 1000 YU short-term start
#本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要
#BTC巨鲸抛压减弱，ETF资金连续三周净流入 To be honest, the biggest surprise for me tonight wasn’t those small altcoins, but $OKB.
At 8 PM, the hourly candle shot straight from 130.5 to 143.3, with over 18 million dollars traded in one hour, whereas normally it only trades between a few hundred thousand to one million per hour. After the surge, it couldn’t hold and fell back to around 135, now about 136.4. Still, it’s up just over 8% in 24 hours, with 52 million dollars traded, making it the largest volume gainer near the top of the leaderboard.
The futures side is quite calm: funding rate is 0.005%, basically neutral, with about 41 million dollars in open interest, no signs of leverage aggressively piling up. Frankly, this move looks more like spot buying pushing it up, not a futures-driven pump.
My own view: 135 has been a repeatedly tested support level over the past three hours; if it holds, there’s still a chance. To retest 143, it needs to first break and hold above the 138 area with volume. $BTC at 85,600, $ETH at 2696 are both grinding downwards, the overall market isn’t helping, so OKB running an independent rally is impressive.
$BTC $ETH $OKB #OKB #PlatformCoin #TopGainers
#OKXNOW: Ushering in a new era of 24/7 markets #ThisWeekTheFedWillReleaseSeptemberMeetingMinutes #BTCWhaleSellingPressureEases, ETFFundsNetInflowForThreeConsecutiveWeeks
#RiskWarning
This is not investment advice; don’t rush to chase the spike and drop, manage your position size yourself. $APT daily. Consolidating above 0.6518 after a strong bounce.
Resistance: 0.8393. Break above → 1.1607 → 1.2525.
Support: 0.6518. Lose it → 0.6217.
I'm watching for a breakout above 0.8393. Who's buying this consolidation, and who's waiting for a retest?
Not a signal. Manage your risk.过去两天，BTC最高一度冲到 87,520美元附近，但几次尝试站稳87,000上方都没有形成有效延续，随后价格回落至 85,800美元一带。从盘面来看，87,000上方明显存在较强的获利了结压力。 所以现阶段，我个人并不急着追多。 真正强势的突破，不应该只是冲过压力位后马上回落，而是突破之后能够持续站稳，并把原来的阻力转换成新的支撑。如果BTC始终无法稳住87,000，那么这轮上涨更像是在测试前高附近的卖盘，而不是已经完成趋势突破。 接下来几个位置可以重点观察： 🔹 87,000—87,500美元：当前最核心的压力区。如果放量突破并连续站稳，才更有机会打开新的上涨空间。 🔹 85,500美元附近：短线第一支撑。如果这里持续失守，说明上方抛压正在增强。 🔹 83,000—83,500美元：前期反复震荡区域，也是判断这轮反弹强弱的重要位置。 另外，近期市场虽然风险偏好有所回升，但BTC上涨过程中并没有完全摆脱宏观环境的影响。美债长期收益率、美元走势以及资金流向依然可能对风险资产形成压制。因此，单纯看到价格接近前高就追进去，并不是一个很舒服的位置。 交易时间越久越会发现，真正容易亏钱的【1000 RMB Challenge Day 16｜Review and Update】
Initial: 1000 RMB (approx. 138 U)
Current: approx. 1978 RMB (estimated approx. 273 U, assets fluctuate due to positions)
Daily P&L: -12.82 U (position fluctuation)｜Cumulative: +about 97%｜Still about 505 times short of 1 million
1. Market Background Today
None
2. Today's Operations (Position Summary)
Couldn't control myself today, opened 3 perpetual contract positions, currently all in the red, took a small loss:
1) BWETUSDT Perpetual: Short, 10x isolated margin. Entry 913.36, mark 928.56. Floating loss -9.27 U (-16.64%). BWET is an oil tanker freight ETF derivative, shorted against the trend and took a loss.
2) BTCUSDT Perpetual: Long, 50x cross margin. Entry 85750, mark 85672.4. Floating loss -1.07 U (-4.52%). Leveraged up to 50x cross margin, extremely risky.
3) PUMPUSDT Perpetual: Long, 20x isolated margin. Floating loss -2.48 U (-6.78%). PUMP is a highly speculative meme platform token with extreme volatility.
Total floating loss: -12.82 U.
3. Execution Review
As planned: No; Emotion score 8/10 (impatient); Any chasing, holding, or adding positions against rules: Yes, violations.
Did right: None.
Did wrong: Seriously violated risk control! ⚠️Risk Warning: $ETH virtual currency trading is not legally protected domestically, with extreme volatility. Leveraged trading carries the risk of liquidation and total loss of principal. The following is only a simulation log and does not constitute any investment advice.
Day 15 of automated investment, principal 1017U!
Current ETH price: 2696.91
Tomorrow's operation plan:
✅ Long position strategy
Opening reference: around 2696
Support level: 2696.23; Resistance level: 2713.23
Take profit: 2712
Stop loss: 2682
Replenishment position: 2688
✅ Short position strategy
Opening reference: around 2712
Take profit: 2697
Stop loss: 2726
Replenishment position: 2720
Risk control rules: Single loss must not exceed 3% of total funds. Exit decisively upon stop loss, no stubborn holding. Brothers, I think I finally did it right this time.
I've held onto the short position on SanDisk all this time without closing it.
When the price dropped from 1743 to 1682, the unrealized profit in my account shrank a lot, honestly, I was a bit nervous.
But I gritted my teeth and didn't move, because I just couldn't understand one thing: the people in the company who know best how much it's worth are all running away.
The legal officer just sold 600 shares on October 1st, cashing out 1.04 million.
Counting back half a month, the CEO reduced holdings twice, totaling over 100 million.
But on the other hand, Citibank analysts are shouting "buy," with a target price of 2100; Mizuho also raised the target price to 2050.
Executives are running, analysts are hyping. This picture is too contradictory.
I don't have much skill, just one stubborn belief: when the captain and first mate are both running to the lifeboats,
you, a passenger, have no reason to think this ship can still make it to the other shore.
So I just held the short position and didn't move.
Today I checked my account, and the unrealized profit is already 114%. I'm not particularly excited, just feel that this victory was hard-earned.
$BTC $ETH $SNDK
#BTC巨鲸抛压减弱，ETF资金连续三周净流入 $DASH looks weak here. I’m leaning short.
Price is sitting below both the 7-day and 25-day moving averages, while $59–60 is still acting like resistance.
I’d rather see a rejection around $58–60 before entering than chase the move at $56.
SHORT IDEA 📉
Entry: $56–58
TP1: $53
TP2: $49
TP3: $44
SL: $61.5
If DASH gets a strong daily close above $60–61 with volume, I’d cancel the short idea.
Watching this one closely. 👀
Not financial advice. DYOR.On-chain data shows that a "whale" is heavily betting on a crash of the entire crypto market
This "whale" holds a massive short position worth approximately $93 million to $126 million
Mainly shorting coins like ETH, SOL, HYPE, DOGE, XRP, SUI, and others
Additionally, there is an even bigger "whale" shorting the crypto market
The combined short positions on ETH + BTC alone exceed $400 million
But please note, these large short positions are not necessarily "purely bearish"
They could be market makers hedging (holding spot assets and opening shorts to hedge risk)
#星球日报
Note:
Pairs starting with xyz refer to synthetic/commodity trading pairs, such as crude oil, natural gas, etc.$ARB rises 2.5%, looking calm on the surface, but the Security Council has just pressed the pause button on the Stylus contract.
The Arbitrum Security Council paused the activation of the new Stylus contract due to DoS risks; existing contracts continue as usual, no funds were stolen, but chain activity is under pressure.
Pause does not mean zero; it means no new contracts can be launched, effectively a high-speed temporary closure of the entrance, discounting throughput stories. Narrative credibility: the "L2 leader" narrative is interrupted by its own governance team, with 40% truth and 60% relying on overall market sentiment.
Governance risk remains, risk level C, position not exceeding 20%. Hold at 0.20 and push to 0.21, reduce position if it breaks 0.195. Key phrase: ARB's cheapness is bought by "pausing itself," with governance debt lying in the floor price.This load-bearing wall has completely shattered, who gave you the nerve to say this is a golden cross?
Sorry to all the workers on the construction site, I didn’t listen to your advice. Watching $ADA hovering around 0.2721, I thought I was bottom-fishing to lay the foundation, stubbornly holding onto a high-leverage long position without letting go. Just now, the lower Bollinger Band was violently broken through, a ruthless rebar pierced right through my safety helmet, and my entire position collapsed with a roar, principal and interest instantly wiped out.
Having worked on construction sites for twenty years, I often tell my apprentices that if the foundation isn’t solid, building bricks on top will eventually bury you alive. Today, I made the deadliest engineering mistake myself. When RSI was oscillating at 53, I thought the load-bearing capacity was still there, but it was nothing but a shoddy job. The resistance at the top 0.2795 is like an insurmountable skyscraper, brutally smashing into my stop-loss.
Now my account is like the ruins after a demolition blast, dust settled, leaving only a pile of broken bricks and rubble, even my underwear is lost in the losses. My hands tremble so much I can’t even hold the trowel steady, utterly despondent, not even having the strength to go to the construction shed for a boxed meal.
- Target: $ADA 🔴
- Entry: 0.2720 - 0.2735
- TP1: 0.2648
- TP2: 0.2580
- SL: 0.2795
The building has already tilted and collapsed, no safety harness can save a gambler who jumps off. 🏗️
#CoinMoveAlertTerm Structure Radar
$SOL annualized near-term is relatively high, with a negative buy near sell far gross spread: near/far annualized basis +3.08%/+1.28%, buy near sell far quoted gross spread -0.82% (excluding costs). The near-far premium on the mark price has been offset by the actual quotes, and the annualized difference has not translated into a positive price spread for this set of quotes.Lang Lang's October 5 summary: today's profit 0 ～🌊 Account broke a new high of 85,000!
Today's market was like being drunk on fake liquor, neither going up nor down, just grinding back and forth. In this kind of market, Lang Lang chooses to lie flat and watch the show, not making a single trade!
It's not that I don't dare, it's just not worth it. Making trades in a choppy market is like paddling hard in shallow water—exhausting and easy to get stuck. Today's only goal: control my hands, save my bullets, and let the account sleep peacefully.
But! Guess what—the ledger quietly broke a new high today, 85,000! 💰
$OKB is still awesome, took off today and hasn't finished yet. Bought 8 more spot to hold and see, now a total of 274 spot ➕110 contracts 😊 Break 300 and let me take off!
Today's biggest victory: no loss + new high = perfect close. Continuing tomorrow, waiting for the wave, not chasing it. 🌊
$BTC $ETH
#OKXNOW：开启全天候市场新时代
#本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要
#BTC巨鲸抛压减弱，ETF资金连续三周净流入 Almost forgot that I am a master's student in Applied Economics from a 985 university. Let's seriously analyze the market since the market's bet on interest rate hikes has decreased. Logically, this should be bullish for $BTC and $ETH, but both have clearly shown a downward trend, or rather, a consolidation! In any case, the upward momentum is insufficient.
There are a few possible reasons for this. One is simply that the price has risen too much, and profit-taking is needed. It's not that long positions expect $BTC and Ethereum to surge all at once; bullish positions also think a reasonable correction is necessary.
Secondly, it's the so-called "buy the rumor, sell the fact" phenomenon. When the actual positive news lands, it turns into a negative!
Also, the treasury yield is still breaking new highs, which is quite extreme. Think about it: a stable asset offering nearly 6% yield—how would big money think? They would definitely exit this high-risk crypto market and move to the bond market!
This is the nature of capital, coexisting with both profit-seeking and risk aversion!
These are roughly the situations. I estimate that after a couple of days of consolidation, there will be a downward move. The upside space feels limited!"Low volume sideways trading, what is the capital waiting for?"
The market is quiet, but trading volume continues to shrink. It's not that capital is leaving, but most people choose to wait and see, with position structures quietly adjusting.
$BTC is testing around 86000 back and forth, with weakened willingness to push higher. The ETF channel still sees slow institutional buying, but retail inflows are delayed, splitting buying and waiting orders. Funding rates are low, leverage is not overheated, indicating limited room for a deep drop, but also lacking an upward ignition.
$ETH is narrowing around 2700, with short- and mid-term moving averages converging and holding costs concentrated, often signaling an upcoming directional choice. The problem is that spot ETF funds have recently seen net outflows, new buying is hesitant, and its own narrative is not strong enough, so short-term it still tends to follow BTC's rhythm. Without sufficient turnover, rebounds are unlikely to go far.
$DOGE shows a different vibe. The launch of DogeOS and DogecoinVM means it no longer relies solely on the Meme label; the DeFi development framework provides an entry for on-chain applications, with scenario expectations becoming support amid the fluctuations.
Currently, the three lines each have their own waiting: BTC watches the macro environment, ETH waits for a breakout trigger, DOGE relies on ecosystem accumulation. Before signals become clear, reducing trading frequency is more important than guessing direction.
#BTC现货ETF重回流入，ETH资金持续流出 Should I exit? I feel like I can't push it down anymore, and I'm starting to get conflicted again!
The short position at 86700 is now floating with a +25.29% profit. I should be happy, but watching the market, I start to feel uneasy again.
BTC is oscillating around 85,653, trying to break down several times but failing. It seems the bearish momentum is indeed weakening, and a rebound could happen at any time.
The price is currently stuck near MA5 (85,690), with the moving averages starting to flatten and converge. The short-term resistance is at 86,000 above, and strong support is at 85,090 below. The market is consolidating sideways with no clear direction.
If I exit now, I can safely lock in a +25% profit without further worry. But if I hold on, in case of a rebound, not only will profits retract, but I might also get stopped out. Yet if it continues to drop, leaving now would make me regret it.
A compromise: don't bet on a single direction!
Set half to break-even stop loss, then exit with a smile, since I've already made half the profit.
No more tricks from the manipulators; this time I'm controlling the pace myself!
$BTC
#交易之声：你的经验值得被听到 #BTC财库优先股融资升温 10月7日链上数据曝光麻吉大哥完整持仓，总敞口达1.52亿U。市场只盯着百万级浮盈，但其真正的博弈逻辑，藏在全仓、高杠杆、负费率硬扛的操作细节里。 ETH以25倍全仓持有3.4万枚，开仓均价2688.95，单仓市值近9333万U，是组合绝对核心，押注行情下半场ETH的修复弹性；BTC40倍全仓467枚，开仓均价84883，高杠杆博弈趋势突破，全仓无风险缓冲，不接受深度洗盘，是纯趋势持仓；HYPE10倍全仓17.5万枚，低杠杆、高波动，作为新叙事弹性仓，补强组合超额收益。 三笔仓位均持续承担负资金费，ETH日耗125.2万U、BTC日耗4.32万U、HYPE日耗7.2万U。每天被动烧钱却不减仓、不避险、不锁利润，说明这绝非短线反弹套利，而是押注整段趋势的主升延续。 近期小幅减仓只是利润落袋，底仓结构纹丝不动。巨鲸这种极致重仓姿态，要么出现在阶段底部博弈反转，要么是主升中段吃满趋势。本周美联储纪要落地、宏观即将定调，这份全仓多单，就是主力最真实的前瞻判断。 #BTC冲高$87000，加密总市值重返3万亿 Brothers, today when I opened my account, I finally felt a bit relaxed. BTC and BNB are steadily gaining upfront, only a small new position just entered is taking hits, overall the account is glowing red. This short position really hit the right rhythm this time.
Position update:
$BTC: The steady vanguard! Full position 20X, entry price 86070.5, current price 85681.7, unrealized profit +72U, ROI +9.11%. BTC is really showing respect today, slowly grinding downwards. Although the drop isn't fast, it's steady. As the anchor of the account, I’ll keep holding and watch for 85,000, then decide whether to take profits.
$BNB: Today's biggest contributor, the true pillar! Full position 20X, entry price 790.24, current price 783.740, unrealized profit +116U, ROI +16.51%. This short on BNB is very comfortable, steadily falling, directly supporting half of today's profit, performing very impressively. Continuing to hold and watch 780.
$LAB: The rookie just boarded. Isolated 10X, entry price 0.04938, current price 0.0500085, unrealized loss -9.84U, ROI -13.60%. The newly opened small short position got hit right after entering, currently taking hits.
#本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要
#OKXNOW：开启全天候市场新时代
#美债长端收益率再创新高，30年期逼近5.7% $ZRO has suddenly gotten quite strong these days.
It rose about 40% in a week, and today it surged nearly 10% again, reclaiming above 2 dollars.
My first reaction was also: altcoin rotation, it's its turn again.
But after scrolling down, I found this rally isn't entirely random.
LayerZero recently bought about 162,000 ZRO from the market, spending around 347,000 dollars. The total public buyback has reached about 2.538 million ZRO, which at the current price is over 5 million dollars.
Looking at this amount alone, it's not particularly exaggerated.
What really caught my attention is ATLAS.
According to the currently announced mechanism, after ATLAS launches, 75% of the fees generated from transactions, after deducting necessary costs, will be used to buy ZRO and burn it.
This is quite interesting.
Previously, a lot of tokens had the awkward problem that no matter how active the project was, the protocol's earnings had little to do with the token.
ZRO is now at least trying to connect these two things:
People use LayerZero → the ecosystem generates revenue → part of the revenue goes back to ZRO's buy orders and burning.
Of course, you can't just blindly chase it now.
ZRO rose 40% in a week, the contract open interest has reached nearly 280 million dollars, and there is about 5.92% Token Unlock on October 20. Brother Feng shares some swing trading insights, comparing US stocks and crypto trading.
Because crypto carries higher risk, Brother Feng often does swing trades. He generally looks at RSI overbought signals, combined with high market sentiment, wick patterns on candlesticks, volume-price divergence, and news events. Brother Feng will sell part of his altcoin holdings and then place buy orders lower, which are very likely to be filled. This is how Brother Feng accumulates altcoins; all profits from selling are counted to offset the cost basis.
Brother Feng also uses EXCEL for accounting. For example, $DBR shown in the chart is Brother Feng’s trades over more than a year, and it’s already at a negative cost basis. This is the only altcoin Brother Feng holds in this bear market cycle besides the main platform coins, because he’s already at a negative cost basis.
Brother Feng uses the same method for US stocks but found a problem. After selling US stocks, buy orders rarely get filled.
🤣
Fortunately, Brother Feng never fully clears his positions, only swings part of his holdings, so he missed out on half of $SKHY and $GOOGLB. So for US stocks, it’s actually fine to hold them without moving. The worst case is like the 2000 internet bubble, which took years but eventually surged. If you really want to swing trade, don’t place buy orders too low to get filled.
Basically, regarding crypto and the current market, some say it’s the start of a bull, some say it’s the end of a bear, and some say it’s sideways (Brother Feng). But most likely it’s a transition from bear to bull, so moderately swing trading to increase quality altcoin holdings might be a good choice.$RAY Pros and Cons Right Away
Pros
1 LaunchLab + StonkFun collaboration
→ Graduation → Liquidity settles into Raydium pool → Continuous generation of fees: issuance fees + long-term trading revenue share
2 About 69.4% of tokenized stock on-chain trading volume runs on
Raydium CLMM
3 Low supply (annual issuance about 1.9 million tokens, approximately $5.1 million)
Cons
1 Revenue highly tied to meme trading popularity; no popularity means failure
2 Low technical barrier; too easy to be copied, losing advantage Brothers, I'm really fed up. I've been holding this $ETH short position for half a month!
Opened at 2784.35, now the latest transaction price is 2701.61, and the account shows +297%.
It looks like I'm making money, but I can't feel happy at all.
Why?
Because $ETH has been stuck around 2700 for a whole week, just pulling up a bit, dropping a bit, then returning to the same place every day. A week has passed, and the price has barely moved.
I have only one request now: stop dragging it out!
If it's going to drop, drop hard, drop straight down to 1000; if it’s not going to drop, then just rise directly to 3000, hurry up and pick a direction!
The most tormenting thing about this market isn't losing money, it's that you clearly have profits on your short position but don't know when it will actually start trending.
Brothers, do you think ETH will break above 3000 next, or continue to crash down? Can I keep holding this short position?
#OKXNOW：开启全天候市场新时代 #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 #BTC巨鲸抛压减弱，ETF资金连续三周净流入 $ARB really took a hit this week.
On October 3rd, the Security Council issued an emergency suspension, halting the activation of the new Stylus contract, causing the price to drop 12% straight away. It’s now stuck between 0.20 and 0.23, down -0.85% over 7 days.
To clarify the situation: the committee fears AI-assisted attacks manipulating code, so they paused new deployments and upgrades pending activation. Existing contracts continue running as usual. The foundation says there are no vulnerabilities that could steal users’ funds, but the on-chain uptime is at risk. Developers face maximum short-term uncertainty, and the DAO is still discussing when to reopen the framework.
Don’t just focus on the negative. ARB was a strong performer in September, up 50% for the whole month, bouncing back from a 0.07 bottom with the RWA narrative still intact. Arbitrum has become the first chain with 7,000 RWAs. It’s just temporarily held down by the security incident, with volume shrinking 41%.
On October 16th (about 10 days away), there’s a big unlock of 92.65M ARB tokens, worth about $21.17 million, including 36.5M for investors and 56.1M for the team. When supply hits the market, the buy side will have to hold firm.
If it holds the 0.191 to 0.200 support zone (Fibonacci), we can look for a rebound to the previous high of 0.255; if it breaks 0.140 (around the 200-day moving average), don’t get attached. Key takeaway: the ARB narrative isn’t dead, but security issues and token unlocks are two knives at its throat. PONS is really testing my patience.
It previously peaked close to 1 dollar, but now it's down to about 0.39, dropping nearly half in a month. Looking at the candlestick chart alone, my first reaction is: the hype is over, funds have withdrawn.
But today I reviewed Pons' data again and found it's not that simple.
The token price is indeed poor, but the Pons Launchpad itself is still active.
DefiLlama currently records a cumulative DEX trading volume of about 2.8 billion dollars, and PONS itself still has nearly 30 million dollars in daily trading volume. More importantly, Pons doesn't rely solely on "token issuance narratives" to support its valuation; its V1/V2 trades generate protocol fees.
So the most interesting contradiction with PONS right now is:
The price has been cut drastically from its peak, but the platform hasn't simultaneously dropped to zero.
Of course, I don't want to call it a bottom just based on these few data points.
Pons' biggest recent problem is also very real. On-chain investigations pointed out that a batch of Pons V2 projects used anti-sniping exemptions, allowing related wallets to grab large amounts of tokens at the opening moment; in some cases verified by The Block, a single project's related wallets received up to 86% of the supply right after launch.
That's why when I look at $PONS now, I don't just focus on how much it has dropped. "5U Challenge 67000U · Day 12 Report" #OKXNOW：开启全天候市场新时代
Current assets: 130
Starting capital: 5U + recharge 100U = 124U
Activity gains: +19U
Cumulative profit and loss: -950U
Still far from the 67000U target
Today's operation:
Day 12, made a decision — recharged 100U.
Not impulsive, just thought it through.
Previously, 5U rolled for 11 days, reaching tens of U at the highest, but the capital was too small, holding positions was frustrating, and the mindset got distorted. Wanted to double, but capital was insufficient; wanted to hold positions, but lacked confidence.
So today recharged 100U. Together with before, the position finally looks decent.
Then — after holding positions for half a month, finally broke even today.
At the moment of closing the position, stared at the screen for a few seconds.
Half a month, from 5U to 4.6U, then holding positions, activities, losses, recharging... it’s been a tough journey. Today, finally back above the starting point.
Next step is profit.
Today's review:
• Recharged 100U, capital thickened, mindset stabilized
• Held positions for half a month, closed at break-even
• From negative to positive, pressure much reduced
• Next goal: not doubling, but first making a profit
Conclusion: Breaking even is not the end, it’s a new beginning.
Every trade from now on must be steadier than before. Sometimes I feel like the most tormenting part of trading isn’t misreading the market, but these boring moments when the whole market is stagnant, like dead water. The chart just hovers around that support level, neither rising nor falling. Seeing the indicators full of oversold signals, the urge to buy is like a cat’s scratch. Reason tells me that entering now is a typical gambler’s mindset—buying loneliness and emptying my own wallet. But the inner demon keeps whispering, what if it bounces and I miss out? Just after closing the trading app, I can’t help but open it again to take a look, repeatedly tugged back and forth. Those who truly hold onto their money don’t have any extraordinary skills; they just stubbornly endure and eliminate this unnecessary greed. Actually, in this wave of decline, both $BTC and $ETH have reached my target profit-taking levels in my mind.
Unfortunately, I don't want to hold more short positions on $BTC.
The opening price for the ETH short position hasn't reached my target price in my mind.#EarningsObserver: Micron raises guidance, storage demand continues to strengthen, directly benefiting flash memory leader $SNDK in this boom. However, after the positive news was priced in, the price has not stabilized; I judge that the short term will enter a consolidation phase. By the way, this coin mints 5 billion more tokens every year; if you do nothing, your share is diluted by 3.2%. It’s not you holding the coin, the coin is holding you.
Summary:
Big coin $BTC teaches me patience, second coin $ETH teaches me that strength doesn’t always pay off, dog $DOGE teaches me—don’t fall in love with memes.
Going to sleep now, will check tomorrow morning if 87,000 is broken.
If it breaks, I’ll buy pancakes to celebrate; if not... pancakes anyway, just without eggs📰 Biggest current catalyst
The NU7 upgrade is now live on Zcash’s public testnet. It targets 25-second blocks instead of 75 seconds, making the network potentially much faster. Developers are expected to review the test results before a mainnet decision around October 20, with November 5 currently targeted for mainnet activation.
However, there is also a warning sign: the Grayscale Zcash ETF reportedly recorded its first weekly outflow, around $93.56M, after previously seeing strong inflows. BTC whale sell pressure weakens, while spot ETF funds have net inflows for three consecutive weeks.
Looking at these two signals together is more meaningful than just looking at the price:
On one side, large sell pressure is weakening; on the other, institutional funds continue to flow in.
This indicates that BTC's current capital structure remains relatively healthy.
If ETF funds continue to flow in, the institutional allocation logic for BTC may continue to strengthen, while ETH and altcoins will need to wait for further capital diffusion.
#BTC巨鲸抛压减弱，ETF资金连续三周净流入 #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 #OKXNOW：开启全天候市场新时代 $BTC $ETH $ZEC Yesterday I got hit hard by a rocket
I only analyzed after being trapped
With so many positive news, I must be crazy to stubbornly short $SPCX
Elon Musk's double-standard SPCX+TSLA rose sharply in sync for two consecutive days, multiple positive factors resonating:
✅Tesla: Delivered 486,500 vehicles in Q3, exceeding market expectations, ending previous concerns about declining sales; combined with FSD autonomous driving and humanoid robot Optimus expectations, capital is repricing Tesla's AI value.
✅SpaceX (SPCX): Morgan Stanley's heavy bullish research report sets a $300 target price, optimistic about Starship test flights, Starlink + space computing power (launching Google's AI chips), and defense orders as three main growth drivers; recent manned space missions landed, marking a fundamental milestone.
✅Macro: US nonfarm payroll data cools down, market expects lower probability of Fed rate hikes, US Treasury yields fall, benefiting growth tech stocks.
✅Sentiment linkage: Both companies belong to Elon Musk's assets, capital sentiment drives each other, funds simultaneously go long, call option inflows create positive feedback.
#OKXNOW: ushering in a new era of all-weather markets #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 #BTC巨鲸抛压减弱，ETF资金连续三周净流入 $ETH $BTC Doesn’t it remind you of that colleague who works overtime till dawn, wrote an 80-page PPT, but didn’t make the promotion list?
$DOGE: Stuck at $0.095, Bollinger Bands so tight I thought the candlestick software froze.
Every day I open Twitter and first search "Elon Musk latest updates," no news—close it; news—still no mention of Doge.
It doesn’t rely on cash flow or financial reports, just on a man’s mood to post a 🐕. The stronger the surge a few days ago, the more miserable the drop now.
Short, the one being shorted is you, shorting $CT, in one word:爽!
$BTC is consolidating today, many coins are catching up, but you have to pick the right coins to catch up. When BTC consolidates, the strength and weakness become clearer; some coins can hold the funds, while others rebound briefly and then continue downward. Just because a coin surged a few days ago doesn't mean someone is willing to catch it today.
Finally got a chicken leg meal today, thanks CT, even a trading loser like me can make money relying on you.
Also, I took a small short position on $XDP because the trading competition rewards were just issued today, so definitely a bunch of people will be selling to lock in profits.
This CT trade is a pullback after a spike; looking at the candlesticks, I really think it's a pitiful sight. If the subsequent rebound never recovers the previous losses, I will continue shorting. If it recovers with volume, then I need to reassess; I can't assume I'm right just because I've already made money. Big Brother Maji's full position long order of 152 million, what's fierce is not the floating profit, but the trump card.
Total position 152 million U, full positions in BTC, ETH, and HYPE, none with isolation.
· $BTC: 40X full position long 467 coins, entry price 84883, floating profit +828,300. Liquidation price 66952, looks far, but full position without protection, a deep spike can shake the entire line.
· $ETH: 25X full position long 34,000 coins, entry price 2688.95, floating profit +1,493,800. Value nearly 93.33 million, accounts for the majority, he places the heaviest chips on ETH recovery.
· $HYPE: 10X full position long 175,000 coins, entry price 89.74, floating profit +145,000. Lowest leverage, highest volatility, purely elastic position.
The fiercest detail: all three bear negative funding fees. BTC -43,200, ETH -1,252,000, HYPE -72,000, burning money every day upon waking.
This is not a bet on a rebound, but a bet on the entire cycle. Full position, high leverage, negative fee rate held firmly, a ruthless player. #OKXNOW：开启全天候市场新时代 #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 $BTC liquidity above just got MUCH bigger.
Previously, the $82K sweep looked like the obvious play.
But now the liquidity is much more balanced, with a massive cluster sitting around $87K.
That makes an $87K retest much more logical from here.
$87K liquidity → sweep → then we see what BTC does next.
The setup changed. Don't trade the old one.$BTC 【Is BTC finally about to reclaim the 2026 opening price?】
$BTC has been hovering around $87,000 these past few days, but the real focus isn’t just an ordinary resistance level—it’s the 2026 opening price at $87,570. The highest weekly close in the past week has already reached $86,532, just a bit short.
Why is this level important? BTC has been below the opening price all year, meaning the yearly candle is still red. If it truly breaks above $87,570, the market action won’t just be a “rebound,” but the year will finally turn green. After that, the next target is $93,700, opening up much more room.
But money hasn’t been cooperating lately. On September 21, ETFs saw an inflow of $1.284 billion in a single day, but on October 5, about $89.8 million flowed out again. The price is still trying to push up, but ETFs are starting to falter—this is the key point to watch now.
So I’m not rushing to call “Uptober is here.” $87,570 is the real threshold. If it can hold with volume and ETFs resume steady inflows, this rally will have pushed the bear market rebound one step closer to a trend reversal; if it gets pushed down at this level again, the previous rallies were basically just liquidity handed to the shorts."The 87,000 Wall, Don't Rush to Break It"
The most eye-catching thing about BTC these past two days isn't the price fluctuation, but the selling pressure around 87,000. After reaching a high of 87,374, several attempts to push higher failed to hold, and now it has returned to around 85,900, indicating significant profit-taking above.
A truly strong breakout isn't just a brief touch followed by a drop; it's when the price breaks through and consolidates above, turning the previous high into support. Since this hasn't happened yet, don't rush to call it a valid breakout. The first support to watch below is 85,000, and 83,000 is the area that has been repeatedly tested before. If 85,000 doesn't hold, this recent rally needs to be reassessed.
The biggest losses in trading often don't come from clear drops, but from overextended rallies where traders think "it's about to break down" and can't resist chasing. The key for BTC now isn't whether it can still rise, but whether there is enough buying at 87,000 to truly absorb the selling pressure above. $ETH is simultaneously watching the 2,700 support; weakness would mean following the decline.
⚠️ The above is for reference only; investing carries risks
#OKXNOW：开启全天候市场新时代
#BTC巨鲸抛压减弱，ETF资金连续三周净流入 In the past, whenever I saw the word "regulation," my first reaction was: Is the exchange going to have trouble? Will leverage be restricted? Is the capital going to run again? But now the trend is clearly different. The U.S. has started exploring how to formally incorporate leverage and margin trading of crypto assets into a unified regulatory framework. Even perpetual contracts, which used to be almost exclusively "offshore exchange" territory, are beginning to find compliant pathways. The significance behind this is actually much more important than a single big bullish candle. Previously, crypto contracts were more like a huge underground casino. 100x leverage, funding rates, price spikes, liquidations, waterfall clearings—at 3 a.m., a spike could wipe out tens of billions in positions within minutes. But in the future, it might gradually become a different kind of game: The casino won't disappear, but it will start building highways, installing traffic lights, and connecting to Wall Street. This is obviously more important in the long term for assets like $BTC and $ETH, which are the easiest for large funds to enter and exit. If regulation continues in this direction, after institutional funds enter the derivatives market, highly liquid coins like $SOL, $XRP, $BNB, $DOGE, $ADA, $LINK, $AVAX, and $SUI will also be continuously repriced. But one thing many contract traders often misunderstand: clearer regulation does not mean it will be easier to make money in the future. It might actually be the opposite. When quant funds, market makers, and traditional financial institutions all enter the market, market efficiency will increase. Previously, you were competing against retail investors. In the future, you might be competing against algorithms. Before, you could still profit from news, sentiment, and boldness. Now reallyFolks, let's break down $ZEC a bit.
It first dropped to 1,276 in the early morning, then pulled back to 1,384—a classic scare first, then soothe move. The current price is 1,358, with only +0.20% in the last 24 hours, which looks calm, but it's actually still down 5.78% over 7 days. Don't get dizzy from this long lower shadow.
For this kind of V-shaped recovery that then gives back gains, the current price is best for watching the show. 1,384 is the recent hat rim left behind; if it doesn't hold above that, the rebound is just a correction. The first minor support is at 1,351; if it holds, expect consolidation between 1,351 and 1,384; if it breaks, look at 1,333. Further down, 1,276 is the bottom of this dip; if the 4-hour candle doesn't close below it, don't rush to call it dead.
I personally won't chase. Either wait for a rebound near 1,377–1,384 that fails to hold to consider shorting; or wait for a stable pullback near 1,333 to try a small long position. In between, if you're itchy, go get a glass of water.
It's still up nearly twofold over 90 days, so those playing the big cycle shouldn't be swayed by the 1-hour rhythm. Short-term traders shouldn't mistake the rebound for a new main uptrend.
$BTC $ETH
#OKXNOW: ushering in a new era of 24/7 markets
#ThisWeekTheFedWillReleaseSeptemberMeetingMinutes
#BTCWhaleSellingPressureWeakensETFFundsNetInflowForThreeConsecutiveWeeks I am the mid-term intelligence guy
Currently focusing on $ETH for the mid-term, several signals to keep in mind.
On the positive side, the spot ETF had a single-day inflow of 111 million, with BlackRock's ETHA holding strong;
BitMine absorbed 15,112 coins this week, holding over 6.01 million coins accounting for 4.9% of supply, but with a cost around $3300,floating loss of 3.6 billion.
Glamsterdam testnet has been activated,Gas limit raised to 200 million. SEC approved 3x leveraged BTC/ETH $NEAR surged 8% in one day to hit $5, not due to technical factors but because institutions started buying in with real money.
Bitwise's spot NEAR ETF (NRR) launched, directly holding and staking the tokens. NEAR Intents suffered a $3.8 million exploit on October 4, funds have been recovered, and cross-chain operations were paused for 12 hours. The community plans to cut the annual issuance from 2.5% to 1.6%. It has risen 126% in 20 days, with RSI near 69.
NRR is a "hold + stake" type ETF; buy orders lock tokens directly, reducing circulation, making it more solid than pure speculative leverage; however, the 126% gain in 20 days is already overextended. Secondary effects: issuance reduction + ETF staking = a double hit on supply side, about 70% likely true; the exploit recovery turned the "new risk" into "team capability," boosting sentiment.
Strong narrative with high volatility, risk level B, position not exceeding 30%. Hold 5.04 to push to 5.47, reduce position if it breaks 4.82. Key takeaway: This move in NEAR is not a rebound, but the ETF has taken chips from gamblers and put them into institutional safekeeping.$ZEC
This is the only consolation tonight. It rose against the trend in 24 hours, once surging near $1,250 intraday, with futures trading volume around $7.7 billion. Although it has pulled back significantly from the high of 1,699, the NU7 upgrade vote received overwhelming support, about 99.9% in favor. On the daily chart, the 50-day EMA remains firmly above the 200-day EMA, so the mid-term trend is intact. I didn’t buy at the lowest point, but the small base position I hold is at least in theFunds have taken sides, the candlestick chart is just the result
BTC is stuck at 86670, Bollinger upper band at 86589, J value 99.5, RSI near overbought, 87238 tested three times without breaking. 84.3K is the bottom of the range; only if it holds can we talk about 89K, chasing highs is no longer worthwhile.
Funds first vote: US spot BTC ETF had a net inflow of $241 million last week, three consecutive weeks; ETH ETF had a net outflow of $138 million, Fidelity's FETH withdrew $74 million. Institutions are buying BTC and selling ETH, their stance is clear.
Wednesday's FOMC minutes are a variable. The probability of a rate hike in October dropped from 66% to 22%, nonfarm payrolls at 29,000, unemployment rate 4.2%, neutral probability is high, but hawkish wording will reprice rates, directly testing 84.3K. Heavy overnight positions are a gamble.
ETH is bottoming around 2695, repeatedly testing 2600-2700, narrow oscillation between 2696-2740. ETF outflows, staking can't hold, only above 2800 will it turn strong; breaking 2640-2650 targets 2610 liquidation. SOL resists at 121, capped at 122-124, open interest down 7.29%, losing 120 falls back to 115. ZEC dropped from 1697 to 1330, NU7 positive news triggered a rebound, 1270-1300 is support, closing below means deep adjustment, don't catch a falling knife.
Main line: BTC eyes 84.3K, ETH waits for 2800, SOL watches 122-124, ZEC holds 1270. $CORE 1. Market Structure (Most Core) At 0:00 Beijing time, major European and American traders rest, and the order book depth significantly thins out (liquidity vacuum). With the same amount of capital, prices are almost unmovable during the day; a small number of buy orders at midnight can pull out a long upper shadow pulse. CORE itself has relatively weak liquidity and a thin spot market, which further amplifies this effect. 2. Contract Level: Precise Hunting of Stop-Loss Orders 1. During the daytime consolidation range, many retail traders place stop-loss and take-profit orders at key price levels, forming clusters of stop-loss orders. 2. At the 0:00 liquidity trough, large players use small funds to spike upwards, triggering a chain liquidation of short positions; the forced buy orders from liquidations further push the price up, forming a short-term sharp rally (short squeeze). 3. Most pulses are short-term spikes: after the rise, there is no sustained buying, and prices gradually fall back from early morning to dawn, leaving long upper shadow candlesticks, meaning "pump and dump." 3. Unique Factors of the Project Itself 1. Community Time Habits Domestic communities focus on evening reviews, and midnight is the emotional peak of the community. The main players choose this time for abnormal moves, which more easily triggers community spread and activates narratives like "returning to the origin," attracting retail followers. 2. The Game Around the Large Unlock on October 15 The market is awaiting the unlocking of 400 million tokens on October 15, intensifying the long-short game. Bulls often create pulses at night, trying to repair market pessimism; bears also open shorts at the pulse highs. 3. Aftereffects of Staking Node Failures Previously, the staking page was abnormal, some users were cautious, spot selling pressure was heavier during the day; selling pressure at night decreased