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PUMP rose about 16%, but the funding rate turned negative, and the price is still less than 3% away from the 24-hour high.
As of 16:36 Beijing time, OKEx spot is about $0.006394, with a 24-hour high of $0.006589 and a low of $0.005422, a volatility of about 21.5%; trading volume is about $13.1 million.
OKEx data shows the nominal value of perpetual open interest is about $46.16 million, the current funding rate is about -0.0024%, and the perpetual price is basically in line with the spot price. When the price strengthens, contract longs do not show obvious payment heating, indicating that contrarian positions are still present.
My judgment is that this round of rise still has conditions for position squeeze, but the negative funding rate cannot be directly taken as a guarantee for continued rise. The easiest misjudgment is chasing the price when it approaches the high; if the breakout fails, high-leverage positions will also amplify the pullback.
Next, pay attention to $0.006589 and $0.005777. If the previous high is broken through, the funding rate remains negative, and positions are maintained, the squeeze risk may continue to rise; if it falls below the latter and positions remain high, the risk will shift to concentrated liquidation.
$PUMP There's not much to say about this market. $ETH broke through 2700 from 2530, and the 2700-2800 range was basically all short squeeze stop-loss buy-ins to close shorts, further pushing the price up to 2800.
The day before yesterday's non-farm data showed only a 1.11 amplitude, with a high of 2777.83 and a low of 2648; 2700 still couldn't hold. $BTC is recommended to short on rallies, and try to avoid bottom-fishing longs.I am the Midline Intelligence Brother.
Today's position daily report shows $BTC, with 57% of the market bullish, sentiment leaning positive.
Core Signal One: BlackRock IBIT bought $1.57 billion worth of BTC in one month, with total holdings exceeding 800,000 coins. The US spot ETF had a net inflow of about $82.9 million this week, clearly indicating capital replenishment.
Core Signal Two: Whales accumulated 75,000 BTC over 30 days, with over 40,000 coins transferred out from exchanges, continuously tightening the supply. Bitwise reports sovereign funds selling gold to buy BTC, accelerating institutional adoption.
Core Signal Three: Citi raised its 12-month target from 82,000 to 113,000.
I believe the BTC supply-demand structure is tight, and the pullback is a window to add positions. #DailyOrbit $PROS This daily chart of PROS is giving me goosebumps
From 0.36 straight up to 0.83, without any decent pullback, this isn’t a candlestick chart, it’s a deadly hook drawn by a manipulator
Also, the amplitude up and down is terrifying, which is normal for a new coin with a small market cap and only about 5 million in trading volume; the manipulator can easily trigger a long-short squeeze with just one spike.
Looking at the indicators, RSI6 has already soared to 82.98, seriously overbought
Although CVD shows capital inflow, this is most likely a trap to blow out shorts while attracting retail investors to catch the falling knife
At this position now, rushing in is just suicide $PUMP is trading around $0.0066, up roughly 18% in 24H and nearly 40% over the past week. The 4H momentum is extremely stretched, with RSI deep in the overbought zone. On the surface, a short looks tempting. But I’m staying patient. 👇 1️⃣ Spot demand is still backing the move Recent spot activity continues to show stronger buying interest than selling. Pump.fun also directs a portion of protocol revenue toward token buybacks and burns, creating genuine demand instead of relying purely on hype. Non-farm employment data cooled off, only 29,000, below expectations.
After the non-farm employment data was released, $BTC $ETH $ZEC, gold, and silver all rose, but then retreated over the weekend.
Currently, the market is fluctuating widely; direction will only be clear after the CPI data on the 14th.
Buy in batches on dips and control your position size.
Optimistic about Bitcoin and Ethereum, as well as the gold and silver markets, over the next six months.Early Wednesday next week, the Federal Reserve will release the minutes of the September rate hike meeting. The problem is, the non-farm payrolls have already rewritten the script.
In September, the rate was raised by 25 basis points unanimously, and the dot plot hinted at another hike within the year. However, non-farm payrolls only increased by 29,000, and the probability of a rate hike in October dropped from about 70% to just over 20%. The minutes recorded the hawks at the time, but the market is trading on the current doves.
$BTC is now around 85,000. Holding 84,000, with daily closing above 86,500 to 88,000, the next target is 90,000. If it stays stuck between 84,000 and 86,500, it will just surge once and then be pushed back. If the daily falls below 82,000, it will revisit 80,000, and deeper down is 78,000.
$ETH is now around 2,700. Holding 2,650, with daily closing above 2,800, there is potential to reach 3,000. If it can't break 2,750, it remains in a range. If it falls below 2,600, the next target is 2,500. #美联储与欧洲央行将公布9月会议纪要 Good morning! Just finished reviewing the weekend data, let's take a look at the crypto market trends over the past couple of days.
First, about $BTC: in the past 24 hours, there was a net inflow of 2,563 coins, a surge of 190% compared to before. This number is quite telling—it indicates that big money is quietly entering the market, not just retail investors messing around.
But despite the inflow, the bulls and bears are still quietly battling it out, and no one dares to make the first move.
BTC is currently priced at $84,700, very close to the long liquidation line at $83,200 below. A slight drop could easily trigger a chain of liquidations.
On the $ETH side, currently at $2,685, the situation is reversed. There’s a heavy short position resistance around $2,799 above, so if it pushes up, the shorts will suffer.
Interestingly, although tensions are high on both sides,
the actual liquidation amount for BTC in the past 24 hours was only $3.67 million, involving just over 500 accounts, with liquidation data plummeting 98% compared to before.
What does this mean?
It means everyone has gotten smarter, leverage has been reduced significantly, and no one is willing to gamble their life at this level.
This kind of low-volume tug-of-war often signals that the market is brewing the next directional move. #DailyOrbit A big rise doesn't mean someone is buying
$WLD rose nearly 8% in one day, $SUI rose 60% in one month.
It looks lively, but not a single resistance level has been passed.
The ones rising fiercely have the emptiest foundations:
$HYPE is stuck below 94, which was the starting point of the last drop.
If it can't break through, it will always be a ceiling.
If it can't hold, it will have to go back:
$SUI needs to first stand above 1.20, $WLD needs to treat 0.51 as the floor.
Now all three are below resistance levels, this is called a rebound.
The difference between a rebound and a reversal is just a dollar or two.
$BTC $ETH spot funds are flowing out.
Altcoins want to break out of the trend themselves, but the probability is low.
Wait until one of these three truly breaks through, then talk about other things.
#BTC现货ETF重回流入，ETH资金持续流出
#VanEck：比特币或继续扩大市场份额 $WLD $SUI influencer coins, AI concepts—they rise fast and fade even faster. How many can last thirteen years? Longevity is the greatest fundamental.
Being 11th in market cap is not because of a wave of retail investors pushing it up; it's passed down from generation to generation. With a market cap of $14.7 billion, behind it are countless people who recognize it, use it, and hold it. This kind of consensus can't be created by hype. The Clarity Act legislation failed, and the CFTC and SEC are still competing for jurisdiction, so regulation won't be clear in the short term. But Q3 on-chain total fees surged to $3.3 billion, with applications generating $1.44 billion in revenue in September alone, driven by Solana and Robinhood, reviving the fee-sharing model. Bitcoin touched back to 87,000 on expectations of weak nonfarm payrolls and relaxed custody rules, then retreated; the greed index is 65, sentiment is overheated but capital is starting to be selective.
Just replaced a voice-controlled light in corridor 3, stood on a stool and twisted it overhead for a long time.
GLMR current price is 0.01216, just above the 0.618 Fibonacci support at 0.01168, retesting it. Bullish momentum is clearly weakening, with active sell orders pressing buy orders. The liquidation map shows a thick pile of short positions above and thin long liquidity below, indicating the main force intends to induce shorts downward to sweep liquidity. Technically, it's in a corrective consolidation phase, with a defense level at 0.0116; breaking this will accelerate the decline. This is a high-risk profit-taking phase, so don't chase longs.
Operationally, buy on dips without blindly chasing. Enter between 0.0117 and 0.0119 in batches, with the first take-profit target at 0.0132 and the second at 0.0145. Defense point at 0.0116; stop loss immediately if broken, no holding through losses. Control position size well and wait for a liquidity sweep to enter more safely.
$GLMR
#贝森特：美债收益率上升符合全球趋势
@OKX星球 $PUMP $BTC $ETH
PUMP surged with a wick and then pulled back, short positions floating profit reached 48%
On the 15-minute chart, PUMP surged to a high of 0.006601, after which the bullish momentum quickly faded and the price fell back. The current price is 0.006394, having broken below the MA5, MA10, and MA20 moving averages. MACD has turned green, KDJ is at a low level, and the short-term bullish momentum has paused.
Position: Short PUMP, opening average price 0.006453, current floating profit 48.03%. The resistance above at 0.006601 is a strong short-term level; if this high is broken again, the bearish outlook will be invalidated. Support below is at 0.005993; if broken, the correction space will further open.
#美联储与欧洲央行将公布9月会议纪要 #BTC现货ETF重回流入，ETH资金持续流出 #贝森特：美债收益率上升符合全球趋势 现在这个阶段更像洗筹，不是追涨。 你有没有发现，热闹和真正承接之间，差得有点远？ 我这两天翻板块强弱，感觉特别明显。表面上看，BTC、ETH、SOL、ZEC、UNI 这些名字还在被反复提起，讨论热度没散，但盘面给人的体感是另一回事。涨的时候不连贯，跌的时候倒是很干脆，说明短线资金还在，但愿意往上接的人变谨慎了。非农只增2.9万、失业率到4.2%，这种数据本来会让人去猜宽松，可BTC和ETH现货ETF同步转流出，热度反而降了一截。这个组合挺微妙的，不是没钱，是钱不肯在同一个位置停留太久。 我自己的理解是，市场现在交易的不是方向，而是节奏。板块强弱开始拉开：BTC和ETH更像压舱石，跌下去有人慢慢捡，但弹起来也不急；SOL、UNI这种偏生态和叙事的，情绪一冷就容易先被放掉；ZEC偶尔独立走强，更像局部资金找避风港，不代表整体风险偏好回来了。山寨的难处在于，大家愿意看，但不愿意重仓拿。 偏多的路径也有。只要BTC稳住关键区间，ETH不继续拖后腿，等ETF流出放缓，资金会先回到确定性最高的地方，然后才慢慢往板块里渗。这个过程不会很快，但一旦开始，强弱会重新排序。风险在于，如果流出延续，非农带来The largest group of people in this market cycle is called "waiting for a pullback."
$SOL has been rising all the way, and this group's slogan has never stopped—shouting when it goes up, shouting when it moves sideways, as if a pullback is a debt the market owes and must be repaid sooner or later. But when one day the market suddenly drops and the bearish candle appears, those who shouted the loudest before are all silent. #VanEck: Bitcoin May Continue to Expand Market Share
VanEck: Bitcoin may continue to expand market share, quantum risk is not a concern
Matthew Sigel, Head of Digital Asset Research at VanEck, recently stated that Bitcoin is still in the early stages of a bull market and may continue to increase its market share in investment portfolios. He views Bitcoin reaching half the market size of gold (about $500,000) as a medium-term target, and if it takes a significant share in global energy trade in the long term, the price could reach $3 million by 2050.
There are two supporting logics. First, the AI industry boom gives new value to long-term power contracts held by Bitcoin miners—some miners have signed 10 to 20-year power agreements with investment-grade counterparties, and this "option" value is independent of BTC price. Second, institutional funds continue to flow in through spot ETFs; IBIT attracted about $2.7 billion in net inflows in recent weeks, while gold ETF GLD saw about $1.4 billion inflows in the same period.
Regarding quantum computing risk, Sigel clearly stated that it is a long-term issue to watch but currently not a reason to sell BTC.
BTC current price is about 85,000, resistance above at 87,000, support below at 84,000. Stop loss positions below 83,500; wait for a pullback to 84,000-84,500 to stabilize before entering, do not chase highs. $BTC $ETH $ZEC Although $STRK experienced an impressive breakout to a peak of $0.0556, buying volume on the 15m chart is visibly tapering off.
Rather than stepping in front of the train to short, the safer strategy remains Trend Following via Longs once price completes a proper pullback into solid support.
– Entry: $0.0485 - $0.0495
– Stop Loss: $0.0470
– Targets: $0.0525 | $0.0556 | $0.0600+
💡 De-risk by taking partial profits at TP1 and moving SL to breakeven to aim for higher targets.Yesterday on $SAND, I originally wanted to play a high-leverage short-term trade. At first, I maxed out 75x leverage with a position capped at $5,000. Later, it was adjusted down to 50x, then 40x, then 30x. I was busy for over 20 hours without sleep. Before going to bed, I forgot to close the position. The settlement fee is charged hourly there. When I woke up, I saw an unrealized loss of over $8,000 and paid about $1,000–$2,000 in fees.$NEAR
After the rebound, why is the next low point more critical?
The 24-hour range observed today is 4.607–4.905, with a window change of about +1.95% and a trading volume of approximately 15.75 million USDT.
The window yield is positive but has not broken through the upper boundary; the first rebound only proves the presence of buyers. Whether the next pullback can hold a higher low will better test the continuity of demand.
If the price subsequently surpasses 4.905, holds on the pullback with volume support, I will raise my judgment on continuation; if it breaks below 4.607 and the rebound fails to recover, I will lower my judgment. The above boundaries come from this observation window and need to be rechecked after market changes.💰 Stablecoins: The Next Real Crypto Infrastructure?
Stablecoins are evolving from "trading tools" into payment and settlement infrastructure.
The hot narratives of 2026 are no longer just MEME and AI; practical application tracks like Stablecoins, RWA, Perp DEX, and others continue to attract attention.
The truly valuable question in the future might not be: "Which coin will rise the fastest?"
But rather: Who can make on-chain capital flow faster, cheaper, and more compliant?
#Stablecoin #RWA #Crypto On the evening of October 1st, both US stocks and gold fell, while Binance spot saw consecutive market buy orders of about 400 BTC, keeping the price above 84,000; in the early hours of the 3rd, about 1,400 BTC sell pressure came again, creating a long lower shadow but still holding. The dense on-chain chip area is also here, able to absorb it.
Even with 1,400 BTC dumped, it couldn't break through; analysts who keep shouting about seeing 70,000 every day might need to change their tune. Chips don't lie, mouths do.😇
$BTC $ETHYesterday on $SAND, I originally wanted to play a high-leverage short-term trade. At first, I maxed out 75x leverage with a position capped at $5,000. Later, it was adjusted down to 50x, then 40x, then 30x. I was busy for over 20 hours without sleep. Before going to bed, I forgot to close the position. The settlement fee is charged hourly there. When I woke up, I saw an unrealized loss of over $8,000 and paid about $1,000–$2,000 in fees.🔥 BTC, ETH, and SOL are all in the crypto race, but their valuation logics are worlds apart!
🟠 $BTC is the ballast stone. The core focus is on consensus depth and institutional capital. ETF inflows, whale holdings, and halving cycles determine the long-term trend. Without capital relay, even the best narratives are hard to sustain.
🔵 $ETH can't be judged by candlesticks alone. On-chain real usage is key: Gas consumption, staking ratio, L2 activity, stablecoin scale. Only with ecosystem expansion does value have a foundation.
🟣 $SOL is a growth stock. User count, transaction volume, DApp ecosystem, TVL must keep growing to support a high valuation. Once growth stalls and sentiment recedes, the price will revert.
🟢 The same market, three frameworks: BTC looks at capital and consensus, ETH looks at ecosystem and usage, SOL looks at growth and activity.
🟡 Price is just the result; capital flow and real activity are the causes. Understanding the drivers is more important than just watching the market.
#BTC现货ETF重回流入，ETH资金持续流出 #美国9月非农仅增2.9万，失业率升至4.2% #非农降温难压美债收益率，长期利率压力仍在 "The Storage Trio: Strong Performance, Stock Prices Start to Pick and Choose"
The storage sector's rise is baffling, but it has shifted from broad gains to differentiation. AI is the main driver, with HBM and server DRAM prioritized for capacity, while NAND's growth is relatively unstable. Three companies, three different logics.
Micron: The earnings report is nearly flawless, revenue at 54.2 billion, next quarter guidance at 61.5 billion, gross margin 86%. However, the stock price reaction is muted, as the good news is already priced in. 1050–1070 is the short-term defense line; holding it could test 1100–1110, a breakout would open up space; breaking below looks toward 1020, 1000.
SanDisk: NAND and enterprise SSD have the greatest elasticity, data center up 103% quarter-on-quarter, but consumer side down 32%. 1700 is key; holding it targets 1800, breakout looks at 1880–1910; losing it targets 1650. Highly volatile and cycle-sensitive.
SK Hynix: HBM leader, HBM4 is already in mass production, AI demand is more certain. 1.8 million KRW is the first support, 1.75 million is defense; breaking 1.9 million continues the trend.
Summary: The industry uptrend is not over, but the blind buying phase is past. Next, watch who continues profit growth while stock prices can break previous highs. Good performance is just the first step; whether the price is willing to pay is the real answer. #美联储与欧洲央行将公布9月会议纪要 #BTC现货ETF重回流入，ETH资金持续流出 #贝森特：美债收益率上升符合全球趋势 Woke up and made some money again, today’s not bad, earned a few buns.
Getting ready to apply to join the Air Force.
Last night I saw something on the gainers list that instantly rose 30%, it was $RESOLV. I went long, but when things didn’t look right later, I switched to short,
though it was a small position, just a 4U position. Didn’t expect it to go from up 30% to down 8%, rising from 0.019 then crashing back to 0.019.
Luckily, I hit my take profit, made 15U, which just covered the losses The vote is over. Now the receipts begin.
228M $CRO has actually been burned — taking community-program burns to 428M.
But the bigger change starts after the burn: 100% of Ult + Cronos Launch revenue is now committed to buying CRO on the open market and burning it monthly, with every transaction hash published.
One-off supply cut → recurring market buyer"Unlock Schedule for Next Week: Mostly Routine, One Negative Fully Priced In"
There are quite a few unlocks next week, but most are routine actions; only one is truly worth watching.
$HYPE: 9.92 million tokens unlock on the 6th, accounting for 4.46% of circulation, about $929 million. The volume is not small, but HYPE’s claim rate has always been low, so actual selling pressure is limited and not a big issue.
RAIN: 37.2 billion tokens unlock on the 10th, accounting for 5.2% of circulation, about $445 million. This is a monthly continuous release, a routine matter, and the market has already anticipated it.
$APT: About 2% unlock on the 12th, $48 million. This is a regular monthly release by the foundation and team, with low impact, so no need to overreact.
$ENA: The last batch of 14% VC unlocks lands on the 5th. This is actually a “good unlock” — investor selling pressure bottoms out, negative factors are fully priced in, and things will be easier afterward.
Summary: HYPE, RAIN, and APT are all routine; don’t scare yourself. The real highlight is ENA; after the last batch of VC releases, selling pressure clears, which could be a turning signal. Watch for volatility before and after the unlocks; avoid chasing highs or panicking sell.
For information purposes only, not investment advice. #美联储与欧洲央行将公布9月会议纪要 #BTC现货ETF重回流入，ETH资金持续流出 $BTC Big coin at 84564, same as before, MACD death cross with very small green bars, KDJ J value at 27.6, RSI 50, still hovering above 84000.
$QUANT at 268.9, up more than 8 points, pulled from 223 to 269, MACD golden cross with widening gap, KDJ J value 103 overbought, RSI 81, short-term a bit crazy. This kind of new coin pumps fast, chasing highs is a gamble, just watch.
$SAND at 0.07599, up 22%, pulled from 0.044 to 0.0829, now retracing to 0.076. MACD death cross but bars are small, KDJ J value 40, RSI 37, short-term oversold with rebound demand. SAND is also a new coin speculation wave, high volatility, don’t chase.
Overall, big coin is sideways, QUANT and SAND two new coins are partying hard. This kind of market means the big market is neither dead nor alive, speculators run to pump small coins, chasing highs is easy to get trapped. I’ll keep lying low, holding my positions steady.😴#美伊局势持续紧张，G7将释放最多1亿桶储备 $BTC $ETH — Bitcoin exchange balances have fallen to their lowest level since 2023, but capital flows have sharply reversed.
According to CryptoQuant, the amount of Bitcoin held by monitored exchanges has decreased to about 2.68 million coins, the lowest level since 2023. This indicates that long-term holders continue to withdraw from exchanges. Meanwhile, Bitcoin ETFs abruptly ended a 9-day streak of net inflows totaling $3.1 billion, turning to a net outflow of $9 million.
Supply is tightening, but short-term funds are fleeing — two conflicting signals appearing simultaneously.
#FedECBMeetingMinutes
#BTCETHETFFlowsDiverge
#BessentTreasuryYields $ATH$ATH
$ATH
/USDT This move is purely based on chart observation. I made a small position around 0.0075. Without fundamental support, it feels more like a manipulative player repeatedly shaking the price at a low level. After the candlesticks show reduced volume, some capital is starting to test the waters. The smart money's traces are more concrete than the sentiment. The risk is straightforward: if it breaks below the previous low, admit the mistake and don't hold the position. On the Yesterday, after I said I opened a short position on $ZEC, several fans asked why:
In short, it boils down to one sentence: success and failure both come from regulation. I think $ZEC is facing a double blow from regulation and valuation.
Regulation is because of the BG hack where 3.9 million ZEC dirty funds entered the privacy pool, but no one can be directly traced on-chain.
Previously, everyone said ZEC found a balance between regulation and privacy, being both private and compliant with regulatory requirements. Now it's getting serious. If it fails this big test, the previously hyped compliance will just be empty promises.
As for valuation, the data speaks for itself: in recent days, $ZEC has seen $60 million outflow from ZCSH, and AUM dropped from a peak of $1 billion to $818 million. This shows institutions are using real money to hedge risks.
Regarding technical analysis, under the big picture of fundamentals, it becomes relatively less important.Putting the ETF data of the three coins together this week is more interesting than looking at the candlestick charts.
Bitcoin, the spot ETF has returned to inflows. The arbitrage funds left a few days ago; one day of leaving is just leaving, but three consecutive days is a retreat. However, it came back in one day, and the spread business continues. Institutions' attitude towards Bitcoin is very clear: this is business, not faith.
Ethereum is still seeing outflows, not stopping for a day. The same batch of money does business with Bitcoin and comes back, but with Ethereum, they don't even want to do business. The biggest bearish factor for Ethereum now is not the price, but that no one is willing to tell its story anymore.
The most unclear is ZEC. The ETF has had outflows for three consecutive days, and the price has dropped from 1695 to 1301. Short-term hot money is indeed withdrawing. But the day after tomorrow, October 6, the NU7 testnet launches, and on November 5, the mainnet upgrade. Money is flowing out, but the story is not finished yet; the two sides are fighting.
I've been following the ZEC line for more than a month, and today is the first time I can't clearly take a side. If I say I'm worried, the upgrade dates are set in black and white. If I say I'm not worried, the three consecutive days of outflows are real money.
Three kinds of money, three attitudes. Bitcoin's money is doing business, Ethereum's money is leaving, and ZEC's money is hesitating. You say the market is weak, but Bitcoin is attracting capital. You say the market is strong, but the other two are being sold off.
So don't look at the price on this market, look at where the money flows. Prices can lie, money cannot.
#DailyOrbit 600u challenge to 1 million U!
Day 201
Starting principal 600U, target 1 million U
Currently: 1800u
Living cost: 1600u
Available funds: 200u+
Today is the 201st day of the challenge, and the available funds have not yet broken through 10,000 USD. I think it will be close to 10,000 U by the end of the year!
The overall strategy remains unchanged: earn more principal through content creation and contracts. The strategy uses a barbell approach, investing in mainstream top assets on one side, and pure silver and $BTC $ETH $ZEC on the other.
Currently holding silver spot, not too worried; contract long positions in Bitcoin and $ETH, recently protocol income has dropped sharply, continuing to observe. Need to control position size well and keep enough ammo for bottom fishing.$BTC $ETH $ZEC Gold and silver are under pressure and falling, with wide fluctuations in the market. The main reason is still the high US Treasury yields; the 10-year US Treasury yield once broke through 5.3%, and the 30-year US Treasury yield broke through 5.6%.
With US Treasury yields so high, funds are rushing to buy bonds for risk-free investment. Who would still be in the high-risk stock market and gold and silver markets?
But the US has $40 trillion in debt outstanding, and high interest expenses are there. The high yields on US Treasuries cannot be sustained and will eventually pull back. That will be the time for gold and silver to reverse. This weekend, I only made one trade. Last week's non-farm payroll market, Bitcoin still hasn't broken the high point, so it's still a difficult mode market.
Meanwhile, ETF funds are still overall in a net inflow state, so I no longer dare to short Bitcoin.
Therefore, I shorted other targets whose patterns better fit a bearish structure, one is SHIB, and the others are ASTER and DOGE.
The main reasons for not shorting Bitcoin are as follows: 1. Bitcoin's ETF funds show net inflow, and last week there was only one day of net outflow. No news is more important than funds. News only affects temporarily; funds affect the underlying logic. 2. Shorting the above two altcoins mainly because recently altcoins have been performing poorly, while Bitcoin is relatively strong. If Bitcoin really breaks through later, it will most likely be a bloodsucking market for Bitcoin, and altcoins will still find it hard to rise. 3. Technically, Bitcoin is still in a strong bullish structure. Unless there is a big bearish candle that changes the current 4-hour bullish structure. #DailyOrbit Besent, that old fox, really knows how to flatter himself. He even says, "The rise in U.S. Treasury yields aligns with global trends, no need to worry excessively."
Translated, this means: The U.S. is now crushed under a mountain of debt, inflation stubbornly refuses to go down, and high interest rates can only be endured.
The 10-year yield broke 5.34%, the 30-year is at a twenty-plus-year high, and even the latest cooling in non-farm payrolls can't bring it down. This is not a global trend; the U.S. is playing with fire.
All I can say is, "It's a cycle; when the economy is strong, a recession follows," which hits the nail on the head.
The current macro situation is a typical late-cycle: high interest rates are draining the real economy, and recession is inevitable.
Once recession is confirmed, the Fed has no choice but to restart the money printing machine. This is the fundamental confidence behind my steadfast holding of BTC and ETH spot.
But in the short term, the elevated U.S. Treasury yields are like a knife hanging over the crypto space, continuously draining liquidity. So the market can only grind repeatedly between 85000 and around 2700.
#贝森特：美债收益率上升符合全球趋势 BTC climbed to 85,100 on low volume over the weekend; the worst is the slow grind, better to have a sharp move!
$BTC has been consolidating for two days, reaching 85,000. There are several data points that both bulls and bears need to watch!
First, this rally is not driven by leverage.
The total liquidations across the network in 24 hours were only $50.65 million, with long liquidations at $23.53 million and short liquidations at $27.11 million — this is a very low liquidation volume recently. The funding rate remains at a neutral to slightly negative -0.0013%, with shorts still paying to maintain positions, but leveraged longs are not aggressively accumulating. The price is slowly rising, supported by natural spot buying.
Second, BTC is still flowing out of exchanges.
In the past 7 days, there was a net outflow of 6,762 BTC from exchanges. Coinbase Pro decreased by 2,823 BTC, Binance by 1,922 BTC.
Third, the liquidation pool levels above have shifted.
Now, breaking above $88,458 triggers short liquidation intensity of $1.003 billion; breaking below $80,715 triggers long liquidation intensity of $1.045 billion. Both liquidation pools are at the billion-dollar level, but the price is stuck in the middle. Such low volatility compression historically does not last long.
My view: low-volume consolidation is not directionless; it is waiting for a catalyst. Next week’s FOMC minutes (Wednesday) and CPI (Thursday) are the real moments for directional choice. The SEC just approved the first batch of 3x leveraged crypto ETPs on Friday, slowly opening regulatory channels.
Bears are uncomfortable now, but the real test is yet to come.
$ETH $PUMP 📉 After all green: Which of the four coins holds up best, and which is getting hammered
#美联储与欧洲央行将公布9月会议纪要
$ZEC 1294, down 5.61%, dropped directly from 1390 to 1294. The 3.6% gain from the day before yesterday was fully given back and then some; privacy coins are not leading the market trend, and they fall fastest when the market dips. 1300 almost broke; if it breaks, look down to 1250. Don't bottom-fish at this level, wait for stabilization.
$BTC 84814, fell back from 86868 to 84800, the one-day gain from the non-farm payrolls was fully given back. ETF has been continuously flowing out; 85000 has turned from support back into resistance. This week watch if 84000 can hold; if it holds, it can push to 87000, if it breaks, back to 82000.
$OKB 120.04, retraced with the market but the drop is not large. High locked staking and continuous buybacks, overseas stablecoin plans are underway, 120 has held for a long time. Still some distance from the previous high of 142; platform coins are more resistant to drops than altcoins.
$RE 0.49315, fell from 0.506 to 0.493. 0.5 held for a month but almost broke today; DeFi insurance and small RWA logic remain unchanged but small coins are all being drained. 0.48 is the bottom line; if it breaks, it means funds are fleeing.
#BTC现货ETF重回流入，ETH资金持续流出 $FIL's surge over the weekend feels off. Around 1.08 looks like a makeshift platform; the more crowded it gets, the easier it is to collapse. I don't believe it can hold steady, so I tried shorting near 1.077 during the rebound, and the market indeed softened afterward. Now the key isn't whether it can reach higher, but how much confidence the bulls still have.
With halving just about ten days away, the story has been told to death and sentiment is already overdrawn. When it actually lands, it's often not fireworks but a payout. Miner sell pressure, profit-taking, and high-entry stop losses—any one of these alone is enough to cause a big shake.
The short-term lifeline below is 0.95. Once it breaks through with a wick, a slow decline mode will likely open up, and most rebounds will be desperate escape waves, not reversals. At that point, shorting with the trend is much easier than chasing shorts now.
My approach is simple: don't be greedy for the lowest point, wait for a rebound to short; follow the breakout with position sizing and stop-losses. This time with $FIL, don't be fooled by the halving filter; the market only recognizes chips and sentiment. When it really falls, those who run slow become the fuel. #美联储与欧洲央行将公布9月会议纪要 #BTC现货ETF重回流入，ETH资金持续流出 On-chain treasury makes exit rights independent of service providers
The most common risk of prepaid services is not a one-time quote, but the balance being trapped in the operator company's database. When the service stops, the account is frozen, or customer service is unreachable, the "quota" in the user's hands may become just a number that cannot be redeemed. zkAPI puts the balance into an Ethereum contract treasury, designed so that even if all service nodes disappear, users can still close the balance and retrieve assets according to contract terms.
Exit rights are the most significant part of this model. It changes "the platform promises a refund" into "the user holds an executable exit path," reducing ongoing credit dependence on a single company. $ETH here is not just a decorative payment icon but the public layer that carries asset ownership, rule enforcement, and final settlement. As long as the contract and chain remain available, the service frontend does not have the final decision authority.
However, the on-chain treasury also brings new responsibilities: contract vulnerabilities, key loss, upgrade permissions, and emergency pause mechanisms can all affect exit. Users cannot ignore management rights just because assets are recorded on-chain. When evaluating such applications, one should first ask who can modify the contract, who can pause in abnormal situations, how to recover after a pause, and then check if the interface is user-friendly. True self-custody is not a slogan but having a verifiable path even in the worst-case scenario. Don't rush to say "Bitcoin is virtual, just a string of numbers." First, take a look at your own life.
Central bank credit, Sesame Credit Score, WeChat Pay Score? Institutions that haven't signed contracts give you scores.
Mobile banking balance? A string of numbers on someone else's server.
Housing fund, pension? Account records in the system; when and how to withdraw is decided by others.
Mortgage? The legal ledger behind the house.
Airline miles, credit card points? The platform can shrink them by changing the rules.
QR code scanning, face recognition, salary arrival—aren't all of these numbers?
So the key isn't "whether it's numbers or not," but who controls the ledger.
Most ledgers can be frozen, altered, or reset by others.
Bitcoin is different: you hold the private key yourself, and the ledger doesn't belong to any platform.
But in China, it must be made clear: virtual currency is not legal tender, trading and speculation are not protected by law, don't be fooled by get-rich-quick schemes.
It's okay to understand it, but don't go all in.
$BTC To be honest, I myself thought it was risky for this trade to survive until now; luck played a big part. But the short position on $ZEC gave the answer. Yesterday at dawn, the price was suppressed at a high level, every attempt to surge was just short of breath, volume didn't keep up. I shorted around 1,466.86, only indicating obvious resistance above, advising not to rush to buy.
Now at 1,330.80, floating profit +463.6%. This gain feels good.
First close 80%, keep the remaining 20% at cost price for protection, so the rebound doesn't give back the profit. Panic comes from lack of planning, losses come from overthinking. The market is to be waited out, profits are to be held onto.
For friends who haven't entered yet, listen to me: now is not the time to rush, wait for a more comfortable position in the next round. Move when the next signal comes.
$LAB $SOL During Singapore token2049
Currently, OKX and Binance have the most hype around their side events. In the past, going to the venue meant food and drinks.
Other exchanges that usually claim to be top three or top five are silent at this time.
It's like being very vocal when it's time to eat and drink, but getting drunk and falling asleep when it's time to pay the bill.
They scream when choked.
Once they let go, they are far ahead.$ZEC rises more aggressively than $BTC, not because the market cap is smaller.
A single bullish candle pulls it up, and short positions get liquidated again. Long-term holders might ask: what does this have to do with me?
What does this price level mean: when $BTC rises 5%, $ZEC can rise 20%. The multiple isn’t arbitrary; it’s built from short stop-losses. Every time the price moves up a notch, a batch of shorts is bought back by the system.
What will happen next: the bought-back orders push the price up another notch. The next batch of stop-losses is waiting there. The rapid rise happens because sellers get wiped out by their own stop-loss orders.
Long-term holders who don’t use leverage won’t get liquidated this round. Those getting liquidated are the ones who borrowed money and bet in the wrong direction. #DailyOrbit #BTC现货ETF重回流入，ETH资金持续流出
This set of data is very interesting now because it is not "money rushing back into Crypto across the board," but funds are clearly picking what to buy — preferring to buy BTC first and unwilling to chase ETH. As of the latest completed trading day on October 2, the US spot BTC ETF has disclosed a net inflow of about $31.7 million, with a tentative net inflow of about $82.9 million over the past 5 trading days; however, it must be specially noted that BlackRock IBIT's Friday data is still pending, so the $82.9 million is currently a provisional figure and cannot be considered the final complete weekly data. Meanwhile, the US spot ETH ETF has had a net outflow of about $118 million in the past week, completely opposite to BTC. Currently, the real-time price of BTC is about $85,000, having once surged to $87,100 on October 2 before falling back, indicating that although the ETF has money flowing in again, it is not yet strong enough to directly absorb the sell orders above. Therefore, what is most worth watching next is not simply "whether the ETF has inflows," but after the ETF reopens on Monday, whether the money coming into BTC will actually push the price up: if the ETF continues to buy and BTC rises back above $86,000–$87,500, that would be a true support; if the ETF continues to buy but BTC still cannot rise, it instead indicates that someone is using institutional buying to continuously sell, which calls for caution.Woke up,
but the expected scene didn't happen.
However, $PONS has once again hit a new low, dropping to around 0.41.
This level isn't really surprising; I was just hoping it would break below 0.40.
If 0.40 can't be broken, it actually indicates that the support and holding strength at this level is relatively strong.
No worries, just keep grinding slowly.
I want to see how long it can hold at this level and when this strength will be completely worn down.
My current view remains unchanged: $PONS is still bearish.
As for how low it will eventually go, I can't say for sure now. I'll hold my position and patiently wait for the market to give the answer.
Don't exit early for a small profit; real trends often require patience.
Currently, the unrealized profit on $PONS has reached 27,000U.
$ETH $ZEC $PONS
#US September nonfarm payrolls increased by only 29,000, unemployment rate rose to 4.2%
#BTC and ETH spot ETFs see simultaneous outflows, market funds cooling down
#US-Iran tensions continue, G7 to release up to 100 million barrels from strategic reserves$ETH &. $ETH
$ETH Faces Pressure as ETF Outflows Continue
ETH’s bearish setup is still in play as spot Ethereum ETFs have recorded four straight days of net outflows, totaling around $118M for the week. FETH has also seen daily selling
$2,650 remains the key support. If outflows slow or stop, ETH could hold this level. But continued redemptions could push ETH below support and trigger further downside
For now, rebounds before $2,650 look weak—patience may be key
#NvidiaRecordHigh This set of data is really interesting, BTC and ETH's capital flows have completely diverged
But I still stick to my previous prediction: 88000 and 3000, no problem.
Looking closely at this news, BTC ended its continuous outflow, with net inflows resuming for two consecutive days on October 1st and 2nd
This indicates that institutions, after a pause, have come back to support the bottom
The support below BTC is extremely solid, the current price 85092 is steadily pushing upward, with ETFs buying, 88000 is just a matter of time.
But ETH is a bit rough, with a net outflow of 135 million over 4 consecutive days
If it were before, I would have panicked, but today I actually feel quite happy watching the market
Why? Because although ETH ETFs are bleeding, the price hasn't collapsed, instead it slightly rose 0.75% to stand above 2700! What does this mean? It means all the selling pressure has been absorbed by off-exchange funds and spot retail investors, this is a typical chip rotation
Big money dumping to shake out chips, as long as it can be held, after the shakeout the rally will be even stronger, the 3000 milestone is definitely not a dream.
So the current strategy is very simple, don't get misled by these news of capital outflows
One, ignore short-term data interference, firmly hold the spot base position
Two, never heavily position contracts, don't chase highs, wait for a pullback to the 2650 to 2700 range to continue buying more
Three, weld the defense line tight, consider stop loss only if BTC falls below 83500 or ETH falls below 2600.
#BTC现货ETF重回流入，ETH资金持续流出 Why was BTC's recent pullback "gentle"?
In the past, Bitcoin was more like a sandcastle built by retail investors, miners, and crypto funds. When the tide rose, everyone made money; when it receded, everyone rushed to exit: profit-taking surged, new funds failed to catch up, and prices easily collapsed in a chain reaction, often dropping more than 70%.
After the 2024 launch of spot ETFs, the coastline changed. ETFs, asset management institutions, corporate treasuries, and mature market makers became new dikes. They no longer treat Bitcoin as just a short-term chip but include it in long-term allocations; funds enter through ETFs and custody, no longer trapped on exchanges; during pullbacks, they tend to rebalance in batches rather than liquidate emotionally; futures, options, and basis tools also shift risk away from the spot market.
Thus, sellers have not disappeared, but the layers and depth of buyers have increased. Selling pressure no longer easily turns into a one-sided stampede, and the downward slope has flattened. This round saw a deep pullback of 40%–60% first, rather than a waterfall crash of over 70%.
In short, it's not that there is no bear market, but the market now has several buffers.
$BTC $ETH
#BTC现货ETF重回流入，ETH资金持续流出 🟠 Bitcoin's BIP-110 signaling sits at ~2.64% as block 961,632 approaches on or around August 9.
Support has climbed from below 1% but major pools like Foundry, Antpool and ViaBTC have not moved.
🗞️ Bitcoin.com News🔥Breaking｜U.S. stock market switches to 23-hour trading in December, aiming to match crypto's around-the-clock trading!
$BTC $ETH $SOL
In the past, people said the crypto world was a fringe, unconventional path.
Now Wall Street proactively changes trading hours to align with the crypto model.
After more than a decade of failing to break into Wall Street, the other side finally adjusts the rules on their own.
U.S. stock and crypto trading hours now highly overlap, fully connecting cross-market capital.
Benefits: easier capital inflow and outflow.
Drawbacks: fewer independent crypto market moves, U.S. stock volatility transmits instantly, no place to hedge.
Being copied by Wall Street itself is a form of recognition.
⚠️ Industry news sharing, not investment advice.
👉 After U.S. stocks open for 23 hours, do you think Bitcoin will follow the stock market more closely?
#美联储与欧洲央行将公布9月会议纪要
#BTC现货ETF重回流入，ETH资金持续流出
#VanEck：比特币或继续扩大市场份额