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$OPN perpetual 20x long position, opened at 0.05563, current mark price 0.05799, unrealized profit +84.84%.
After stabilizing near the 0.055 level, a big bullish candle directly pushed up breaking the previous high resistance. I followed the momentum to go long, placing the stop loss below 0.0545. The 20x leverage position is flexible, the trend is much stronger than expected, surging all the way up, unrealized profit is close to doubling!
Trailing stop moved up to lock in profit at 0.057, now it depends on whether the 0.059 whole number level can break out with volume. $ZEC $SOL #霍尔木兹仍未开放，OPEC+维持11月产量不变 #OKXNOW直播：就在明天，速来预约！ $ZEC short sellers' profit pattern may soon face a significant trend reversal!
On-chain data shows that some large short positions in ZEC have already started generating considerable unrealized profits.
Currently, the largest whale short position is valued at about $50 million, with unrealized profits of approximately $7 million.
The second and third largest short positions have unrealized profits of about $676,000 and $428,000, respectively.
Notably, the fifth largest long position has begun to show unrealized losses. This position is about $16.8 million in size, with current unrealized losses around $280,000.
The total whale holdings are roughly:
🔴 Shorts: $255 million
🟢 Longs: $193 million
Overall unrealized profits for longs are about $20,574,300, while shorts have overall unrealized losses of about $17,453,900.
These data indicate that the long trend is weakening, while short power is gradually strengthening.
If the ZEC price further breaks below the key level of $1,200, the long trend may significantly deteriorate, even leading to a trend reversal.
However, I personally believe that before a real pullback, ZEC may still experience a secondary surge, driving a short squeeze by liquidating high-leverage shorts, thus completing a short-term "short squeeze."
As for reaching a new all-time high again, I think the probability is relatively low at present. Unless there is very significant positive news, based solely on the current market environment, it is unlikely to The Wire Dance After Margin Hits Zero
Maji's perpetual contract account is performing a thrilling tightrope walk. A total position of $147 million, 15x leverage, and available margin reduced to zero—these three numbers combined create a dangerous gamble with no way out.
ETH is the protagonist of this high-stakes bet, with a $98.47 million position staked on 36,600 Ethereum. The opening price of $2,688.92 currently yields only $123,000 in unrealized profit but has already cost $1.2265 million in funding fees. The time cost is silently devouring the already thin profits like an hourglass. This is the largest directional risk in the account and a ticking time bomb ready to explode at any moment.
BTC is held in a 40x full position mode with 345 coins, an opening price of $84,727.7, and a liquidation price of $65,731. A $29.24 million position with a safety cushion as thin as a cicada's wing. HYPE's $15.68 million position is also under slight pressure, while only PUMP, with a small $3.765 million position, has gained $260,600 in profit, a 69.23% return, becoming the only bright spot in the dim account.
The overall structure appears to break even but is actually turbulent beneath the surface. The real heavy cannon is on ETH, and margin hitting zero means no buffer space. What Maji fears most is not normal volatility but a sudden rapid market crash. Large positions, high leverage, and exhausted margin—under the triple pressure, any severe fluctuation could trigger a chain liquidation reaction
$BTC $ETH U.S. stock market closed, but tokenized stocks on the Solana chain surged past $4.4 billion
In September, Solana chain tokenized stock DEX trading volume exceeded $4.4 billion, setting a new record (unexpected by anyone)
① Raydium alone did about $2.8 billion in one month, significantly increasing compared to August (this volume is still growing, waiting to see October, it will only be more)
Tokenized assets on the SOL chain are really gaining volume
(This growth rate is hard to ignore)
② More importantly, the trading time
In September, 71% of tokenized stock trades on Uniswap occurred outside of regular U.S. stock market hours, nearly half even happened during traditional exchange full closures
After assets like NVDA were brought on-chain, trading hours were directly extended
③ AAVE is also joining in
Aave V4 now supports 7 types of tokenized U.S. stocks including NVDA, Apple, Tesla as collateral to borrow USDC
SOL handles trading, NVDA represents real U.S. stock assets, and AAVE brings assets further into DeFi
(From trading to lending, this line is starting to connect)
$4.4 billion is just the trading volume for September
But this line is already moving from tokenized stocks to trading, collateral, and lending
$SOL $AAVE $NVDA #Solana代币化股票9月交易量突破44亿美元 Currently $BTC is at 85898, and bulls and bears are arguing again. Bulls say: support at 85040 is solid, a pullback is a buying opportunity, breaking through 86000 will target 86500, the trend is upward so only go long. Bears say: it has dropped over 1000 points from 86963, the trend is weakening, 86000 resistance won't be broken and it will fall further, if 85040 breaks then look at 84000. What do I think? I choose to side with the bulls but won't chase the high; I'll wait for a pullback to 85040-85200 to enter, stop loss at 84800, target after breaking 86000 is 86500. Currently recovering from a 200,000 U loss, opening a position with 5000 U, no holding through losses, must use stop loss. Trading is not gambling on big or small, it's about finding high probability entry points. $BTC #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 Elon Musk enters the Pentagon again, don't just blindly rush into DOGE when you see it.
The U.S. has officially launched the "Meridian Project," led by Musk and others, with a report to be produced within 120 days to study the technological direction of future warfare, focusing on autonomous systems, robotics, space, and missile defense.
BTC surged 42.71% in Q3, ETH rose over 70%, the market looks hot, but liquidity is shifting from mainstream coins to infrastructure tokens recognized by institutions. The scale of altcoin withdrawals to exchanges has reached a new high since last October.
SpaceX itself is a core supplier to the U.S. military. Once the AI military industry narrative is hyped by capital, it may compete with the crypto space for funds and attention.
BTC is fluctuating around $85,000, with two failed attempts to break the $87,000 yearly high. The market never lacks stories, but what it lacks is consensus backed by real money.
Don't assume that Musk always benefits crypto when you see him. $BTC $ZEC
(For market observation only, not investment advice) $DOGE$HYPE has been consolidating between 89-93 after retracing from A97.8. The main event is tomorrow: on October 6 at 8 AM, 3.75 million tokens will be unlocked (about $339 million, accounting for 1.69% of circulation), which is much smaller than the previously rumored amount. Also, the $320 million unlocked by Hyperliquid Labs on October 7 is only allocated to team members and is explicitly not for public sale, so the actual selling pressure may be milder than the panic selling expected. However, funds will hesitate before the unlock, and there is still $1.84 billion in open interest piled up there.
87-89 is a zone of concentrated buying support, and 93.7 is short-term resistance.
Intraday movement range: 89-92, stop loss at 88. Direction: oscillate before the unlock lands; if 88 holds after the unlock, it could actually favor a rebound to 95 as the negative pressure is exhausted.$HYPE, 50x, +171.77%. 90.176→93.274.
The name is HYPE, and the trend is quite hype too. But at 50x leverage, I have no right to talk about faith, only survival.
Previously, I did SUI 50x long with 233%, CT 20x short with 262%, ZRO 20x short with 101%, TRUMP 50x long with 105%. After each trade doubled, I experienced the same thing: greed disguised as "logic still holds." This trade is no exception.
171% floating profit, I know I should take it, but I feel like I can still take another bite. This "one bite" has hurt many people, including almost hurting me.
My choice: not to exit all, but to move. First secure profits, keep the base position to see if the market gives face. At 50x, staying alive is more important than making more money. $BTC $ETH #霍尔木兹仍未开放，OPEC+维持11月产量不变 You observed too closely — *the segment where the thin sell orders are smashed right at 8:30* is a classic example of *liquidity hunting*, and $SAND has been a textbook case these past two days.
*Everything you said is spot on, let's break down the tactics:*
*1. Why 8:30?*
Asian morning session just opened, Europe and America haven't taken over yet, and the order book depth is only one-third of daytime. The "thinnest order segment" you mentioned is a *liquidity vacuum*. The same $1 million sell order can only push the price down 0.5% at 15:00, but at 8:30 it can push down 3%-5%, breaking through multiple levels directly.
The timing down to the second shows it's not panic, but *algorithmic orders pre-scheduled*: TWAP / Iceberg orders set to trigger exactly at 08:30:00, two days in a row at the same second, impossible to do manually.
*2. How do they profit after smashing the price:*
Once the price breaks the range → stop-loss orders automatically execute (Stop Hunt) → these stop-loss orders themselves become sell orders → pushing the price down further → triggering the next layer of stop-losses, causing a waterfall.
The stop-loss orders you mentioned hanging at those morning session price levels have already been swept, that's exactly what happened.
*3. How to calculate a 97% drop from 1.03 to 0.028:*
1.03 * (1-97%) = 0.0309, and the 0.028 you mentioned is about 2.7% remaining, correct. $SAND currently has a market cap of 230 million, FDV of 290 million, still needs to rise 99.6% to reach the ATH of $8.4. 4. The essence of the decline is capital sell pressure, not a fundamental project collapse
The recent continuous decline is mainly caused by: early bull market rotation, large whale chip sell-offs, short-term cooling of new on-chain token issuance heat, and market profit-taking exits. These are capital trading behaviors, not destructive fundamental negative factors such as contract vulnerabilities, project abandonment, technical paralysis, or mechanism abolition. $LIT perpetual 50x long position, opened at 3.7446, now at 3.9122, floating profit +223.78%.
The logic is very simple: the 3.74 whole number support was tested three times without breaking, volume increased, and the bottom pattern was obvious. Finally waited for a bullish breakout candle, then followed the long trend. Entered with 50x leverage, stop loss set at 3.70. The movement is very smooth, basically no chance for a pullback to buy the dip.
Moved the stop loss up to 3.80 to lock in profits. If the 4.0 whole number resistance breaks out with volume, can hold for more. $ZEC $SOL #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 #霍尔木兹仍未开放，OPEC+维持11月产量不变 is clear: focusing on a one-click token issuance ecosystem, simplifying the token listing process, while planning to expand social trading and stock tokenization RWA business. The product roadmap has not been canceled due to market pullbacks. The technical code and contract system continue to operate normally, contract audit foundations remain unchanged, and the underlying technical logic is unaffected by market downturns. $OKB 4-hour: OKB official quote currently at 121.7, +1.37% in 24 hours, +7.4% in 30 days, after repeated tug-of-war around the 120 mark, it has firmly stood above again. The narrative of ICE joint venture futures is still ongoing, and the platform token quarterly burn is a slow variable. The double-top resistance zone between 122-126.4 has suppressed for over a month; only a breakout with volume counts. If 120 is lost, look for 117.6. Intraday movement range: 120-123, intraday stop loss at 119. Direction: neutral to slightly bullish, continue holding above 120 and observe the 122-126 breakthrough; if it can't break, it remains that frustrating box range.$SPK This profit makes me feel both honored and fearful, afraid that the market will react tomorrow and blacklist me. While others are running, I am unusually calm, almost unlike myself.
Just after lunch when I checked the market, SPK was repeatedly testing above; every surge fell just short, and volume didn’t keep up. If it can’t go up, it has to find space downward, following the bearish trend—I had warned in advance.
Opened at 0.02530, now at 0.02464, floating profit +52.96%. Feeling good, brothers, this rhythm is steady.
The money earned is the realization of understanding; the money lost is a flaw in understanding. Don’t be greedy for the last bit; first take 80% off the table, move the stop loss of the remaining 20% to the cost price. If it continues to drop, let the profit run; if it rebounds, it won’t be painful.
For friends who haven’t gotten in yet, listen to me: now is not the time to rush. There will be more opportunities later; wait for the next signal before moving.
$LAB $DOGE 19:33 Market update, $ETH 100x long position entered at 2683.07, target marked at 2718.38, floating profit 131.60%. How was this trade entered?
Look at the order book. Buy orders were fully placed in the 2680-2685 range, and every time the price dropped, they were instantly eaten up. This is a typical support order absorbing supply. The main force's intention is clear: not letting you catch chips at a low price.
After the selling pressure is exhausted, a big bullish candle pulls the price up directly. Understanding order book language is more effective than any indicator. Now the price stands above 2715, bulls are strong, continue holding. $BTC $ZEC #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 $SOL 4H: Solana is currently around 121, up 1.5% in 24 hours, trading within the 119-124 range for five days, with no significant volume increase.
The on-chain narrative has basically played out (Alpenglow launched), now purely following Bitcoin beta. The 4-hour MACD shows a golden cross near the zero line; short-term structure is bullish but not strong.
124 above is the top of the range; a breakout is needed to open up space. Below, a break under 119 targets 116.
Intraday range: 119-123, stop loss at 118. Direction: oscillating with a bullish bias, following Bitcoin; don't expect an independent trend.ETH surged 93% but still couldn't carry it! MUBARAK deeply stuck at -54%, completely sleepless tonight 🤡
Monday closing, tonight comes a heart-wrenching full-day summary. 🌙
The morning briefing set the tone as "macro guidance, follow the trend." As a result, I caught ETH's gains during the day, but at night, stubbornly fought against the altcoins against the trend, giving all the profits back and even ended up with a loss.
——————
First, let's look at the positions that made me despair:
📉 Chart 1: $MUBARAK short position, 3x leverage, only floating loss of 20% during the day, but at night was dragged down by the one-sided market to -54.66%! (Loss of 15.58U). Liquidation price 0.0859, now 0.0777, one step away from the abyss, scalp tingling.
📉 Chart 2: To save myself, I also set a short grid on MUBARAK. But in the one-sided rally, the grid mercilessly kept adding positions. Although the arbitrage annualized return was as high as +1095%, the unmatched losses directly hit -32.48U, total return -15.12%.
📈 The only consolation: $ETH long position had a floating profit of 93% at noon (earned 1.86U), but it couldn't even cover a fraction of MUBARAK's loss tonight.
——————
💡 Monday night emotional outburst (self-reflection):
Why do I always make such fatal mistakes?
The big environment's funds are all clustering in the mainstream, but I insist on shorting altcoins against the trend; losing without stop-loss, instead setting grids to "average down the cost."
This is typical retail investor thinking: cutting profits short, letting losses run. On a macro guidance day, I give myself zero points.
💬 Brothers, urgent vote tonight:
1. For this -54.66% $MUBARAK short, should I decisively cut losses tonight or hold on gambling on a pullback?
2. This deceptive grid, should I shut it down overnight or keep it running?
Wake me up in the comments, take my advice! 👇
#MUBARAK #ETH #OKEX #TradingInsights #Cryptocurrency #RetailTraderDiary #MondayReview
(Disclaimer: The above is only a personal trading review record and does not constitute any investment advice. Contract trading carries extremely high risk, please be sure to pay attention to risk control.) The crypto market always finds a way to keep you humble.😅
Yesterday's rebound felt pretty good, but today $BTC gave back over $500 of unrealized gains.
₿ $BTC
Entry price: $84,044 → Current: $85,509
Current profit: +869U
Stop loss: $77,799
☀️ $SOL is still showing strength, currently up +108U.
⚠️ $NEAR is currently at -17U.
The biggest lesson this time:
Don't be greedy, thinking "just a little more increase would be good."
The market won't give you more chances just because you want to earn a bit more.
When it's time to lock in profits, you have to know when to be satisfied.
#DailyOrbit
#FedSeptemberMinutes
#HormuzStillClosed
#OKXNOW: Live broadcast starts tomorrow Everyone is watching $BTC 85,280.
That means liquidations on both sides. Breakout traders will get trapped above, breakdown shorts will get trapped below.
I'm not chasing. I'm waiting for the trap to clear, then entering.
$BTC $ZEC 【The bloodbath isn't over! ZEC stuck at the 1310 lifeline, if it doesn't break tonight, is it game over?】
Brothers, ZEC is now reported around 1315, down 0.5%-1.6% in 24 hours, the high touched 1368 but was smashed back, the low stubbornly holding at 1310. #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 #Solana代币化股票9月交易量突破44亿美元 #关注互动讨论
Since the high of 1697 on September 27, it has been a bloodbath all the way down, dropping over 20% in just one week. Today's volume has clearly shrunk, a typical slow decline washout.
1310-1280 is a dense chip area and also the last defense line for the bulls. If it can't hold, the next stop is directly 1200 or even 1150. If the rebound reaches 1350-1380 without volume, it's most likely a bull trap, don't chase.
The privacy sector narrative is still there, but short-term sentiment has been crushed. Now is not the time for heroes to save the day, it's time to survive. @OKX中文 @OKX星球 The non-farm payrolls surprise dropped the probability of a rate hike in October to 22%, and two hours before the US stock market opened, the BTC funding rate on OKX stayed at 0.0042%
The non-farm payrolls surprise dropped the probability of a rate hike in October to 22%, and two hours before the US stock market opened, the BTC funding rate on OKX stayed at 0.0042%. Spot turnover was at $85,957.0, keep an eye on the service sector data at 22:00 tonight if you have positions. Last Friday, the new non-farm payrolls were only 29,000, far below the expected 84,000, and the unemployment rate rose to 4.2%. The external macro narrative quickly shifted to the Federal Reserve holding steady. At 22:00 tonight, the US September ISM Services PMI will be released, with a previous value of 55.4. It depends on whether new orders and employment indices can meet expectations.
I just checked OKX's contract market. BTC spot traded 1.119 billion USDT in 24 hours, slightly up 0.80%. The total perpetual positions on the platform reached $8.087 billion, with BTC accounting for $3.05 billion. The altcoin position ratio stayed at 1.053, and the fear-greed index was 70. BTC funding rate was only 0.0042%, basically balanced between longs and shorts, and large holders on the exchange were not rushing to increase leverage before the market opened.
QCP's afternoon research report mentioned that BTC needs to break above $87,200 to confirm an uptrend. After the US stock market opens on Monday, funds will mainly watch the net inflow performance of spot ETFs.262%. Twenty times short. $CT from 0.5009 to 0.4352.
To be honest: I feel a bit unreal sharing these numbers. Not because they're fake, but because they're too real, so real it doesn't feel like I earned it myself.
But the process wasn't romantic. Small coin short position, there was a rebound in the middle, floating profit shrank from over two hundred to just over one hundred, then came back. With 20x leverage, this back and forth makes the heart break before the account does.
Now with 262% floating profit, I'm more nervous than when I made 100%. The short position has dropped deeply, and bargain hunters at the bottom can come in at any time; once they take the position, there's a rebound, and a rebound leads to a pullback. I'm not watching how much more it can fall, but "who is catching below."
This position will most likely be closed in batches. It's not that I don't have confidence, but not locking in 262% profit on a short is almost the same as not earning anything. $BTC $ETH #OKXNOW直播：就在明天，速来预约！ If you want to organize this content into a natural, publishable market update in Chinese, you can write it like this:
📊 Brother Maji's Latest Position Update Today
According to the latest Lookonchain data:
🔹 34,100 $ETH — approximately $92.98M
🔹 456 $BTC — approximately $39.41M
🔹 174,500 $HYPE — approximately $15.84M
🔹 425 million $PUMP — approximately $2.72M
💰 Total position value is about $151M, basically in line with the previously mentioned $152M level.
What is most worth noting now is not simply how much profit was made, but his position management approach:
₿ 467 BTC
Cost about $84,800, unrealized profit about $828,300, liquidation price about $67,000. Previously using about 40x leverage, by gradually reducing positions and locking in profits, he raised the liquidation price from $47K to $67K, further increasing the safety margin.
♦️ 34,000 ETH
Unrealized profit about $1.49M, liquidation price about $2,461. Previously at one point unrealized loss of about $100,000, now turned into over $1.5M unrealized profit, significantly expanding operational space.
🔥 175,000 HYPE
Unrealized profit about $145K, liquidation price about $35.9. 10x leverage, held as a core position. $ETH has been hovering around the 2700 whole number level for a full week, with three unsuccessful attempts to break through 2,700 but no deep pullbacks either; support at 2,630-2,650 remains solid.
The ETH/BTC rate at 0.0318 is still lingering at a low level, with relative strength being average.
Two events to watch this week: the Glamsterdam upgrade activating on the Sepolia testnet on October 6, and BlackRock's Ethereum ETF implementing a 1-for-3 reverse stock split. The split itself does not change value but usually brings increased attention and liquidity.
Technically, the daily MACD is converging above the zero line, with the direction choice approaching. Intraday movement range: 2,650-2,730, with a stop-loss point at 2,600.
Direction: a breakout above 2,730 targets 2,800; otherwise, the range-bound consolidation continues.AVAX basically remained flat today, fluctuating repeatedly within a low range in the short term. Market attention on Avalanche still focuses on RWA, institutional cooperation, and subnet ecosystems. Its advantage lies in a relatively complete narrative, but the current public chain competition remains fierce, with funds favoring ecosystems that are more active in trading and growing faster. Therefore, AVAX needs new data or cooperation news to regain momentum. The current trend reflects a temporary balance between bulls and bears. The key is to observe whether there will be a volume breakout later and if there are new developments in RWA and on-chain application directions. $AVAX$AKE I was just complaining to a friend about this week's market, but now I have to take back my words, a bit awkward.
Yesterday afternoon, AKE tried to rebound, but the support was insufficient, the bounce was weak, and there were layers of resistance above. I warned not to get carried away; if no one supports the rise, it's an opportunity to short. After the bearish outlook, the price dropped from 0.03310 to 0.03124, a precise 113.59% move. The earlier hesitation was real, but the outcome turned out great.
First, take profit on 80%, pocket what you should; keep the remaining 20% at cost price as protection, so the rebound won't erase your gains.
Don't lose patience in the consolidation and then try to regain dignity in a one-sided move. Being out of the market isn't a sin; reckless opening of positions is the mistake.
Chasing highs easily leaves you stuck at the peak; wait for the next shot, there will be more opportunities.
$BTC $ETH Picture speaks: TAOUSDT perpetual, 50x long, +310.77%! Entry at 289.6, mark price 307.6. This trade was executed brilliantly, with returns over 3 times. $TAO
Review logic: The reversal of sentiment in the AI sector and the halving supply shock of TAO are clear long signals. Technically, after stabilizing around 289, the entry was decisive. Although there was some fluctuation in between, strong community consensus and buying support kept the bullish trend intact.
After going long, the price rose smoothly. The 50x leverage amplified volatility, testing the mindset. Now with a yield over 300%, the plan is to close half the position, keep the rest with a stop loss, and continue holding to play for the upside beyond the 320 level. $ETH $BTC
#本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 BCH showed a weak trend today, retreating after a rally, indicating significant short-term capital divergence on this established PoW asset. BCH usually gains attention when BTC strengthens and the market starts looking for catch-up targets, but its own independent catalysts are relatively limited, so its sustainability largely depends on overall risk appetite. Currently, it looks more like a high-level consolidation rather than a strong trend acceleration. If BTC continues to hold steady and capital spreads to payment and mining narratives, BCH may benefit from rotation; if the market weakens, its volatility is also likely to be amplified. $BCHSomeone asked me how to do 50x leverage. I said, look at this $SUI trade, entered at 1.1791, now at 1.2341, 233% gain.
Then they asked: How much did you make?
I said: Floating profit of 233%.
They asked: Did you take the profit?
I said: Not yet.
They asked: Why?
I said: Because of greed.
Just those two words. Making 233% on 50x leverage, you think you can control it, but you actually can't. Every second you're negotiating with yourself to "hold a little longer." I've been negotiating for three days.
Today might be the day I decide, or maybe the negotiation continues tomorrow. But one thing is certain: this trade will eventually be closed. Not because I'm smart, but because those who don't close 50x trades will sooner or later return it to the market. $BTC $ETH #霍尔木兹仍未开放，OPEC+维持11月产量不变 SUI is clearly stronger than many mainstream public chains today, with notable intraday gains and active trading volume, indicating that capital is seeking high-elasticity Layer1 directions. The Sui ecosystem recently continues to focus its narrative around DeFi, blockchain gaming, and user growth. Once the market enters a phase of increased risk appetite, SUI often becomes a target for capital rotation. The current trend already shows acceleration, but as the gains expand, divergences will also increase simultaneously. What is more worth watching next is whether the trading volume can be sustained and whether there are new projects or data catalysts in the on-chain ecosystem, rather than just chasing single-day strength. $SUIBTC remains relatively strong and volatile today. After a midday surge, there was no significant plunge, indicating that mainstream capital is still supporting it. One recent market focus is the U.S. regulators' discussion on rules for investment advisors holding digital assets, which is expected to boost BTC sentiment to some extent. Meanwhile, macro risk appetite and ETF fund flows remain key variables. Currently, BTC seems to be digesting selling pressure at a high level; if volume continues to cooperate, market sentiment will keep improving. However, security incidents and macro news may still amplify short-term volatility. $BTC$BTC Non-farm payrolls of 29,000 have pushed the October rate hike expectations from 60% directly down to just over 20%, clearing the bearish sentiment. Over the weekend, Bitcoin rebounded from the 84,700 level, with a 24-hour range of 84,663-85,520, showing little volatility but an upward bias.
Last week it was mentioned that the 85,000-85,300 range shifted from resistance to support, which currently holds as the 84,700 pullback did not break below.
The first hurdle above is 85,500-86,000, and further up, 87,000 remains the ceiling since September 23.
This week's schedule: Tonight ISM Non-Manufacturing, early Thursday morning the Federal Reserve's September meeting minutes, and October 14 CPI. If the minutes continue a hawkish tone, the rebound could be interrupted at any time. Intraday movement range: 84,700-85,800, with a stop-loss at 84,300.
Direction: Oscillating with a bullish bias; a break above 85,800 targets 86,500, while a drop below 84,300 would return to consolidation. #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 The current ETH short-term exchange rate has broken through resistance, with the current price (2690 -
2710) stuck dead center in the dense liquidation zone of both bulls and bears.
On the smaller scale, the previous upward impulse reached around 2740, then quickly pulled back with two consecutive high-volume bearish engulfing candles. The current price has fallen back to 2704.94. The 4-hour chart shows a range-bound consolidation, and the daily chart shows low volume consolidation at a high level. The weakening exchange rate means ETH is currently weak and falling or being drained by BTC, making it difficult to rely on its own buying power to create an independent short squeeze.
There are two trading paths:
One is the bearish path, clearing long leverage downward. If the 1-hour close breaks below the 2695-2700 support and the rebound fails to recover 2715, accompanied by increased volume, and spot CVD does not show an upward turn, the trend will likely continue down to 2650-2660 (the lower boundary of the 4H range); if it breaks below 2640 with volume, it will seek a bottom test at 2580.
The other is the bullish path: a right-side volume breakout, with a 4-hour strong bullish candle breaking above the 2740-2750 upper boundary of the range, 4H volume expanding and diverging from the short-term average volume line, and the liquidation zone near 2760 for short positions being consecutively triggered. Following this momentum, the price will push straight up to the previous highs at 2806 and 2850; if there is no volume, beware of a false breakout and pullback.
The current key dividing line is the 2700 whole number level, with focus above on the 2740-2760 resistance and below closely watching the 2660 liquidation defense line. ENA unlocked 1.41 billion tokens at once today, and instead of the price dropping, it rose about 10%. I think we shouldn't rush to say the negative news is fully priced in.
This batch belongs to early investors, accounting for about 14% of the circulating supply.
The original plan was to release 78.12 million tokens monthly until March 2028.
The foundation released all of them today, 17 months ahead of schedule.
At 0.262, this batch is worth about $370 million.
OKX spot price was pulled from 0.236 to 0.263 today, with trading volume more than double yesterday's.
There is an even larger batch.
StablecoinX holds about 3.03 billion tokens, about 20% of the total supply, and its lockup was also permanently lifted today.
However, if it wants to sell, it needs written approval from the foundation and must notify 5 business days in advance.
At the beginning of August, ENA was only 0.079; on 9/28 it peaked at 0.295, so it has already risen quite a bit.
I think just because it didn’t crash today doesn’t mean it won’t.
Investors often transfer tokens to OTC or exchanges first, so selling pressure might come a few days later.
My approach is to observe and not chase.
If it holds above 0.28, near the 9/30 high, then watch 0.295.
If it falls below today’s low of 0.234, I’ll avoid it for now.
Do you think the negative news is fully priced in, or has the sell-off not started yet?
$ENA $BTC
#本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 #霍尔木兹仍未开放，OPEC+维持11月产量不变 $ZRO Others are bottom-fishing, I shorted at 2.0338. Now it's 1.9305, doubled.
The best part about shorting isn't making money, it's watching a bunch of people catch the knife while you count money on the side. 20x leverage, no adding positions, no chasing, just counting down from the high with the original position.
But doubling a short position is riskier than doubling a long — with longs, you can hold indefinitely, shorts will bounce when they hit the bottom. I'm just waiting for that bounce now, and I'll exit before it happens. $BTC $ETH #霍尔木兹仍未开放，OPEC+维持11月产量不变 【#OpenSky 100 Days Foundation Day 98】⚡️
The biggest joke of Web3: technology is getting more advanced, but users are getting fewer.
Mnemonic phrases scare off beginners, Gas fees drive away retail investors, and projects spend huge amounts on user acquisition only to get bot accounts.
What the industry lacks is not new narratives, but incremental entry points.
OpenSky did one thing: hiding on-chain operations inside chat.
Sending a message = signing, receiving a red envelope = getting Tokens, creating a group = deploying a contract. Users think they are just scrolling through social feeds, but they have actually completed the full process of identity, assets, and interaction within Web3. No need to learn cryptography first; use first, then understand — progressive on-chain integration, cutting the threshold by 90%.
Even tougher on projects: red envelope viral growth + node invitations + contribution values on-chain, making it impossible for fake accounts to simulate long-term social behavior. Integrating OpenSky = comes with a real community engine + quantifiable user growth.
Not to make Web3 cooler, but to make Web3 more usable.
OpenSky #Web3Entry #SeamlessOnChain #RealCommunity #SocialBeta$PEPE
PEPE has many decimal places; how should the price increase be compared?
The 24-hour range observed this morning was 0.00000426—0.000004445, with a window change of about +2.58% and a trading volume of approximately 6.85 million USDT.
The profit from the same amount of capital depends on the percentage change, not the number of tokens held. The observation window is positive, but a low unit price does not reduce the risk of drawdown; the number of zeros does not provide a basis for valuation.
If the price subsequently breaks above 0.000004445, holds on a pullback, and trading volume cooperates, I will raise my judgment on continuation; the downside risk is a failed breakout and insufficient buying pressure. If it falls below 0.00000426 and the rebound cannot recover, I will lower my judgment. The range is from this observation; subsequent market changes need to be re-verified.$WLD experienced a rapid short-term surge followed by the accumulation of a large number of long positions. The upward momentum continued to diverge, then shifted into a downward trend. The rebound lacked capital support, giving short positions a short-term advantage. $SAND
Maintaining a 50x short position as a base holding, stop-loss is moved up to protect principal, with no additional short positions added. If support breaks with volume, the downward space opens; once a stable bottom reversal candlestick appears, consider exiting. High leverage has an extremely low tolerance for errors, so avoid blindly chasing positions. $AKE 🚨 Don't be fooled by this BTC surge.
$BTC just surged to $87K, but spot capital inflow isn't strong. The 1-hour net inflow is only about $20M — in my view, this is far from a real volume breakout.
The price rose quickly, short sellers got squeezed, but BTC hit resistance near $86,994 and then fell back to around $86K.
This obvious long upper shadow already reveals a lot. 👀
To me, this looks more like a Bull Trap rather than a truly effective breakout.
My short position opened at $83,774 is currently under some pressure, but I will remain patient.
The key is not how high BTC can surge, but whether it can truly hold above $87K.
#DailyOrbit ETC has recently shown a relatively strong catch-up rally, approaching the intraday high, indicating that capital is starting to focus on rotation opportunities in established PoW assets. ETC is characterized by a simple narrative and long circulation time, making it an easy target for capital to trade as a high-volatility asset when the market warms up. However, its sustainability often depends on overall market enthusiasm rather than independent fundamental drivers. If volume continues to increase, short-term momentum may persist; if volume and price diverge, be cautious of intensified volatility after a peak. $ETC$TRUMP 50x more, entered at 2.032, 2.075, +105.8%. My hand didn’t shake when cutting the line, now half of the line cut is correct, profit doubled, but the wick is still burning.
50x is that countdown that never stopped. Previously dismantled even riskier ones—small coin 3x, AKE short, some dismantled, some almost exploded. The bomb not exploding means winning, but winning means winning from a distance.
Doubled, the line should be cut when it should. Don’t be greedy for the last second, if it explodes you’re not a hero but a joke. $BTC $ETH #霍尔木兹仍未开放，OPEC+维持11月产量不变 The overall trend of POL is relatively stable, with a slight rebound during the day, but there is still no particularly strong trend-driven capital inflow for now. The core focus of Polygon remains on scaling, enterprise partnerships, and aggregated chain layout. However, the market currently demands higher valuations for established Layer 2s; technical narratives alone are no longer enough and require real user and on-chain data support. In the short term, POL seems to be waiting for a resonance between overall market sentiment and ecosystem news. If trading volume continues to expand, the market may revisit its low-level recovery logic. $POLThis round of BTC long positions held firm, with 50x full margin leveraged positions held all the way, floating profits close to 470,000 U, nearly doubling the return rate. There were also pullbacks in between; previously realized losses exceeded 20,000 U. Trading is never smooth sailing on every trade. A small position was allocated to SKHY long as support, with 7x light margin slowly capturing swing profits. But here is a reminder to everyone: full margin high leverage is a double-edged sword.Your judgment on the direction is correct, but the numbers are reversed — right now *$PUMP is only $0.00645*, ATH $0.008994 (September 15), the *$0.04 you mentioned is 6 times up, not down*, what you probably meant is *$0.004*, right?
*Why $PUMP can't rise, you are half right:*
1. *The good news has indeed been fully priced in:*
- 7 days +11.8%, 30 days +64.91%, 3 months +334%, all the hype has been done
- Even big players like Brother Maji, after 12 consecutive wins earning 2.14 million, only have 180 million tokens left to test the waters; PUMP has shifted from main force to small holdings, which is a signal
- Market cap $3.02B, circulating 464B, 53% still unreleased, heavy unlocking selling pressure
2. *But it won't drop to $0.04, $0.004 is possible:*
- Current price $0.00645 → the $0.04 you mentioned requires +520%, that means breaking the all-time high and then quadrupling again, needing new positive news, not profit-taking
- If it’s $0.004: that’s -38%, just a retest of the pre-July launch platform + 50% retracement level, a one-week timeframe is reasonable
- Bearish scenario: bulls take profits + on October 5, the entire network’s $PUMP futures liquidations reached $3.39 million, leverage is still adjusting ATOM has recently been attempting a recovery within a weak consolidation phase. Although there has been a rebound, overall capital attention remains relatively weak. Cosmos's technical foundation and cross-chain narrative have always been present, but the market places more emphasis on ecosystem activity, value capture, and whether token demand can truly improve. Without clear positive catalysts in the current market, it is easy to follow the broader market's repeated pullbacks. For ATOM, the key focus going forward is whether ecosystem project activity and the cross-chain direction can once again become the market's main theme. Only if the narrative warms up will the price trend more easily break out of the low-level consolidation. $ATOM$ADA has been accumulating at the bottom after several days of consolidation, with funds pushing to start an upward trend. Short-term bulls dominate, but it is already approaching a resistance zone. The volume gradually slows down during the rise, so be cautious of the risk of a pullback after a spike.
Keep 50x long positions with a base holding, move stop-loss up to protect principal, and avoid chasing highs. If the price stabilizes above the resistance level, the upward space will continue to open; if multiple attempts to break through fail, take profits and exit when appropriate. High leverage has very low tolerance for errors, so avoid heavy positions for speculation. $SAND $ZEC Nikkei 225 hits a three-month high, driven by four major factors resonating:
📌 Weakening yen
Over 70% of Nikkei component stocks' revenue comes from overseas. Companies like Toyota and Sony convert their dollar profits back to yen, making their reported earnings more likely to exceed expectations.
📌 Tokyo Stock Exchange reform
Mandates low-valuation companies to repurchase shares and increase dividends, returning profits to shareholders. This changes the old status of long-term low dividends in Japanese companies, attracting global value capital.
📌 AI + semiconductor boom
Japan has a solid semiconductor equipment and materials industry chain, represented by companies like Advantest, Tokyo Electron, and Shin-Etsu Chemical; SoftBank is increasing its AI investments, making Japan a global capital deployment option for AI.
📌 Monetary policy shifts to a mild stance
The Bank of Japan is raising interest rates slowly, maintaining market liquidity easing. Coupled with Buffett's heavy holdings in Japan's five major trading companies, foreign capital continues to flow in.
#Nikkei225 up 2.5% hitting a three-month high $BTC
(For market observation only, not investment advice) #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 #霍尔木兹仍未开放，OPEC+维持11月产量不变 $BTC $ETH $ZEC After September 2025: up 75%;
After January 2026: up 133%;
After May 2026: up 61%;
After August 2026: up 40%;
$BTC options implied volatility has reached extremely low levels, which time didn't present an opportunity? Is it necessary to bet on bullish or bearish?
Here, you need to use options trading tools and employ a "long straddle" strategy.
Later maintenance tips:
1. If volatility does not pick up for a long time afterward and losses reach about 50%, consider cutting losses or rolling the position; the closer to expiration, the faster the time value decays.
2. If volatility picks up quickly as expected and the trend is confirmed, you can close the leg in the "wrong" direction to recover residual value.
3. This type of options buying strategy generally has a low overall win rate. Although the buyer's "loss is limited," careful calculation is still necessary; otherwise, it is difficult to achieve long-term positive EV.The trading heat of PUMP remains active, with strong volume performance, indicating that the market's interest in the meme launch platform and the Solana on-chain speculative ecosystem has not completely cooled down. Recently, it has shown a pattern of oscillating upward movement, with the core focus still on platform revenue, token buyback expectations, and whether a new wave of meme craze will return. PUMP's advantage lies in its straightforward narrative and quick capital response, but this also means a high emotional component, causing its price fluctuations to be more volatile than mainstream coins. If trading activity continues to expand, market attention may keep heating up; otherwise, it is likely to return to high-volatility oscillation. $PUMPFar ahead!
Qualcomm has started paying to buy Huawei's patents.
The two companies announced a multi-year cross-licensing agreement covering 5G, computing power, AI, and networking; at the same time, Qualcomm will pay to acquire a batch of Huawei's U.S. patents, focusing on computing power, AI, and networking.
Previously, others lined up to pay Qualcomm patent fees, but now the tide has finally turned.
The question is, will the U.S. regulators approve this smoothly?