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Circle's Noble chain USDC introduction page still states "Redeem 1:1 anytime," but the announcement on September 10 has already scheduled an exit timeline.
Starting October 13, Circle Mint will stop minting new coins on Noble; existing USDC will not be frozen for transfers on the same day. The USDC contract on Noble is planned to be suspended on January 12, 2027, after which manual redemption will be required, subject to eligibility conditions.
The coin is still the same USDC, but the service is being phased out. I think the introduction page should also place the deadline next to "anytime" so users don't have to piece it together from the announcement themselves.#OKXNOW: Opening a new era of 24/7 markets, round-the-clock trading amplifies the overnight risk exposure of highly volatile assets like SNDK. My overall judgment is currently bearish—prioritize survival before profit. SNDK current price is 1637.2, down 3.6% in 24 hours. The high of 1719.8 failed to hold, with a 13.67% retracement from the high over four hours, and the one-hour chart also running near the lows. Trading volume is only 309,000, and the funding rate of 0.0088% indicates longs are still paying to hold positions. Open interest is 56,000 coin-margined contracts, accumulating squeezed risk. The top 10 bid-ask ratio is 0.81, with 142 sell orders versus 115 buy orders, showing clear selling pressure. Strategy-wise, lightly short on a rebound to 1658.7, stop loss at 1689.4, target 1583.5; if a sharp drop to 1608.6 occurs, consider a short-term long, stop loss 1594.2, target 1642.8. Single position size should not exceed 5%, and never add to losing positions after stop loss triggers.
—This is only a personal opinion and does not constitute investment advice. Wishing you successful trading.—
$SNDK#OKXNOW: Opening a new era of 24/7 markets
#OKXNOW: Opening a new era of 24/7 markets $SNDK #OKXNOW: Opening a New Era of 24/7 Markets This 24/7 mechanism allows MMT's volatility to be continuously priced. My overall judgment is: short-term weakness, mid-term still in consolidation and accumulation, with a turning point window approaching.
Down 2.9% in 24 hours, the price fell from 0.1807 to 0.1635 and then slightly recovered. The trading volume was 1.07 million, indicating lukewarm capital willingness. Hourly level shows weakness, having retraced 11.01% from the high, but the four-hour chart still holds a 5.36% low-level buffer, showing clear divergence between bulls and bears. The funding rate is only 0.0050%, with open interest at 8.671 million, indicating a neutral leverage sentiment; the top 10 bid-ask strength ratio is 1.06, with buyers slightly dominant, suggesting short-term support but lacking explosive momentum.
Operationally, one can wait for a pullback near 0.1668 to lightly go long, with a stop loss at 0.1627 and a target at 0.1813; if volume increases and price stabilizes above 0.1813, then add positions following the trend aiming for 0.1889. Conversely, breaking below 0.1627 turns bearish, with a target of 0.1541. Position size should be controlled within 20%, and heavy positions are not recommended before a confirmed breakout.
— This is only a personal opinion and does not constitute investment advice. Wishing you successful trading. —
$MMT#OKXNOW: Opening a New Era of 24/7 Markets
#OKXNOW: Opening a New Era of 24/7 Markets $MMT 🚨 That drop came FAST… and longs paid the price.
Just now, the market made a sharp move lower, triggering around $410M in long liquidations, while shorts saw only about $14M liquidated.
The shorts basically harvested the whole move. 🩸
But things have started slowing down over the last hour. Some traders who chased the short side have already been stopped out, and that aggressive selling momentum is losing steam.
Now the key thing I’m watching is volume.
#DailyOrbit 【Binance Hot Post】Over 400 million in long positions liquidated within an hour
Last night's sudden raid was quite interesting; there were no bearish warnings on the market, but it was smashed down directly. Over $400 million in long positions were liquidated within an hour. $BTC dropped from 85500 to 83500, and $ETH dipped from 2700 to 2587.
The drop wasn't actually that exaggerated, but the speed was ridiculously fast—a typical violent spike to shake out positions. After the dump, funds immediately entered to catch the dip and pulled back some, so it wasn't a crash-style decline.
This kind of market is most vulnerable to getting hit from both sides; shorting carries high risk, and the rebound after a sharp drop is equally rapid. If you want to bet on a rebound, it's better to wait for the market to stabilize before considering buying the dip. $BTC $ETHJust experienced a sharp drop; the market is not yet at the point to "blindly catch the bottom." The direction may not have changed, but the short-term rhythm is more critical: first clear leverage, then talk about a rebound. In the past hour, the entire market liquidated about $400 million, with long positions accounting for nearly $400 million, indicating that crowded longs are being concentratedly cleaned out. The Fed minutes landing tonight may be the final push.
$BTC is around 83,800, with 85,000 already lost. Below, first watch 83,500; holding it offers a chance for a rebound; if broken, 82,000 is the next stop. ETH is more fragile, currently at 2,609, having been near 2,700 last night. Between 2,614—2,632, there is a large accumulation of whale long positions; if the minutes are hawkish, losing 2,550 could trigger a chain liquidation of tens of millions, pushing down to 2,500. In the past hour, ETH liquidations reached $158 million, with leverage still being cleared. Before standing back above 2,630, it is not advisable to rush to add longs.
$SNDK support is at 1,740, strong support at 1,680, resistance at 1,815. AI server NAND demand remains a long-term logic, but tonight it is better to wait for a pullback; chasing highs is not as good as waiting.
Strategy: wait for the minutes and liquidation to end before considering entering. Rushing in now will most likely just add fuel to the leveraged positions #9月FOMC会议纪要公布在即，是否继续加息？ #BTC巨鲸抛压减弱，ETF资金连续三周净流入 The Ethereum Glamsterdam upgrade landing on the Sepolia testnet has boosted Layer 2 ecosystem expectations, but funds have not yet spilled over to SOL. I judge it to be at the end of a sideways consolidation awaiting a breakout. It dropped 1.4% in 24 hours, with high and low points of 121.95 and 116.91 forming a converging range. The trading volume is only 8.306 million, open interest is 3.067 million, and the funding rate of -0.0055% indicates a slight cost paid by shorts. The top 10 bid-ask ratio is 0.60, showing seller pressure. The 1-hour chart shows a 0.41% drop from the low, while the 4-hour chart shows a 6.63% rise from the low, so the direction is undecided. Strategically, lightly buy on a pullback to 117.35 with a stop loss at 115.85 and a target of 121.45; if volume increases and it stabilizes above 120.65, add to the position with a stop loss at 119.15 and a target of 123.85. Do not exceed 10% position size per trade.
— This is only a personal opinion and does not constitute investment advice. Wishing you successful trading. —
$SOL#以太坊Glamsterdam升级登陆Sepolia测试网
#以太坊Glamsterdam升级登陆Sepolia测试网 $SOL The Hormuz oil tankers have been attacked consecutively, and the US-Iran negotiations are still ongoing, fueling risk aversion and suppressing high-risk assets. KAITO is hard to remain unaffected. I lean towards a short-term bearish stance, but an oversold rebound could trigger at any time.
Current price is 0.3244, down 4.3% in 24 hours, with a trading volume of 15.775 million, funding rate only 0.0050%, and open interest at 11.858 million. Bulls have not shown panic. Both 1-hour and 4-hour charts are in a downtrend, about 12% off the high and only 1.38% to 2.59% above the low. 0.3122 is the last line of defense, with resistance at 0.3409 above. The order book's top 10 levels show a buy/sell ratio of 1.16, indicating support at low levels.
Strategy-wise, lightly short at a rebound to 0.3315, stop loss at 0.3389, target 0.3138; if it stabilizes near 0.3141, consider a short-term long, stop loss at 0.3087, target 0.3276. Keep position size under 10%. Given the repeated geopolitical news, always use stop losses.
— This is only a personal opinion and does not constitute investment advice. Wishing you smooth trading. —
$KAITO#霍尔木兹油轮接连遇袭，美伊谈判仍在继续
#霍尔木兹油轮接连遇袭，美伊谈判仍在继续 $KAITO #以太坊Glamsterdam升级登陆Sepolia测试网
Ethereum is making big moves again, this time with an upgrade called Glamsterdam, which just went live on the Sepolia testnet.
Simply put, this upgrade targets L1 scaling. They introduced ePBS, separating proposers and block builders, and also brought in BALs to support parallel processing. The most intense part is that the testnet's Gas Limit was raised directly from 60 million to 200 million, all to test extreme large blocks. But brothers, be clear, this is just the testnet; there's no set date for the mainnet launch yet, so don't get overly excited.
So what impact does this have on our crypto circle? I'll tell you two points.
First, the short-term price won't respond at all. Why? Because in the current market, funds are waiting on macro data; no matter how strong your tech is, it can't beat the sentiment of everyone fearing the Fed turning hawkish.
Second, the long-term fundamentals are indeed being reinforced. Scaling improves the underlying processing efficiency, lowers Gas fees, and only then can the ecosystem support larger applications. This is groundwork work, not a catalyst to pump prices tomorrow.
Here's my take. The technology is good, but don't expect it to push prices up right now. In today's market, sentiment and liquidity call the shots; the technical side comes second.
What do you think?
$ETH SOL今天大跌，但9月代币化股票交易量突破44亿美元，这两个信号放在一起看，反而更有意思。
Solana的RWA交易规模正在增长，代币化股票9月交易量突破44亿美元，说明链上真实资产交易的活跃度确实在提升。
但问题是，RWA业务增长并不等于SOL价格马上上涨。
传导路径需要拆开看：
代币化股票交易增长 → Solana链上交易需求增加 → 网络活跃度提升 → SOL获得生态价值支撑。
但短线还有另一条更直接的路径：
宏观风险偏好下降 → BTC回落 → 加密市场整体去杠杆 → SOL等高Beta资产跌幅放大。
所以今天SOL的大跌，更可能是市场风险偏好和资金面的压制，而不是RWA基本面突然恶化。
甚至可以说，今天出现了一个明显的反差：链上RWA业务在增长，但二级市场价格却在下跌。
这说明目前市场给SOL定价的核心变量，依然是BTC方向、流动性和风险偏好，RWA叙事更多属于中长期估值支撑。
我的判断是，短线不要因为RWA交易量创新高就盲目抄底SOL。真正值得观察的是，SOL大跌之后，链上RWA交易量能不能继续增长，同时BTC和大盘能否企稳。
如果基本面继续增长、价格却逐渐止跌，反而可能形The US CFTC is advancing crypto market regulations, and the SEC plans to adjust the custody framework. Regulatory easing should be positive for ETH, but the market's weakness indicates that compliance expectations have not yet translated into buying pressure. Overall assessment: short-term remains weak consolidation, a rebound requires new catalysts.
Current price 2614.27, down 3.5% in 24 hours, retreating from a high of 2724.41 to near a low of 2587.61, with a trading volume of only 22.89 million, declining on low volume. Funding rate 0.0008% is slightly neutral, coin-margined positions at 653,000 have not significantly decreased, and the top 10 bid-ask ratio of 2.58 shows increased low-level support. The 1-hour and 4-hour moving averages are still downward, only 0.19% above the low, indicating a test of the 2587.61 support line; if broken, it opens the door to a deeper correction.
Trading strategy: light short positions near 2679.5, stop loss at 2712.3, target 2593.8; if 2587.61 holds with volume, consider reversing to long, entry at 2591.4, stop loss 2568.7, target 2654.2. Single position size should not exceed 20%, strictly enforce stop loss.
— This is only a personal opinion and does not constitute investment advice. Wishing you successful trading. —
$ETH #OKXNOW: Ushering in a new era of 24/7 markets
#美CFTC推进加密市场规则，SEC拟调整托管框架 $ETH Sorry, another public chain L2 has failed,
this time it's Abstract from the Penguin family.
Luca, CEO of Igloo, the parent company of Pudgy Penguins, officially announced the shutdown of Abstract, saying he personally funded it for a year and a half, losing tens of millions of dollars over two years;
The most admirable part is, he said they could have issued tokens or done an ICO to recoup funds,
but issuing tokens without confidence would just be a trap for the community, so they simply chose not to issue any,
now all efforts are back on Pudgy and $PENGU.
If you still have assets on the chain, remember to withdraw them before December 15, or they will be wiped out.
Losing tens of millions without exploiting the community, could this be the most conscientious project team this year?🤣$UNI
UNI is the absolute leader in the DEX sector. After the fee switch is implemented, trading fees can be used to buy back and burn tokens. The V4 version optimizes the liquidity mechanism, and RWA tokenized asset trading continues to be introduced. Whenever the market recovers, token trading demand will directly explode, liquidity will be sufficient, chip turnover will be smooth, and the certainty of price increases during market rebounds will be stronger. However, the DEX sector is highly competitive, with new protocols like Aerodrome continuously vying for liquidity. Fee extraction may also cause LP loss, and the long-term growth ceiling will be suppressed by competition. AAVE is the leader in DeFi lending, known as the on-chain central bank. Lending is the foundational infrastructure of DeFi; leverage and RWA institutional business both rely on lending. Coupled with the expansion of the GHO stablecoin, V4 multi-chain unified liquidity, and Horizon institutional RWA lending narrative, its market cap base is lower than UNI's, and it has stronger elasticity for bull market capital boosts. However, lending protocols inherently carry liquidation and bad debt risks. There have been historical bad debt runs, and governance disagreements exist. Once large bad debts occur, severe drawdowns will result. In summary, for short-term market speculation, UNI is more stable with good liquidity, suitable for swing trading; in the mid-to-long term, AAVE has greater potential. The institutional capital inflow driven by RWA implementation will drive larger gains, making it a high-elasticity DeFi dark horse. But both are DeFi blue chips and cannot escape systemic downturns in the broader market. Regulatory policies and contract vulnerabilities also pose significant risks. Do not heavily bet on a single coin.Today, the worst liquidated isn't BTC, it's ETH.
The number of liquidations in that hour: ETH long positions liquidated $155 million, BTC only $116 million. ETH's volume is only about one-fifth of BTC's, yet it liquidated more, indicating all the leverage is piled here. At 10 o'clock, the price dropped from 2657 to 2590, with over $100 million U traded on OKX, the largest drop in three days, and it hasn't even touched 2650 since, resting at 2616.
Plus, ETH spot ETFs have seen outflows for five consecutive trading days, 30-year US Treasury yields are approaching 5.7%, Brent crude oil broke $100, and when money tightens, the most leveraged gets hit first.
My stance is straightforward: I won't open any ETH long positions this week; if I were to enter, I'd start with BTC.
$ETH
Brothers still holding ETH longs, give me a reason. Convince me, and I'll take back this statement in front of everyone. 10.7 Spot Gold (XAU/USD) Midday Outlook
Updating the latest gold analysis. Gold's current low-level halt in decline is just a brief pause in the downtrend, not a bottom reversal.
Even if the price rebounds, it is a correction within the bearish trend; a rebound to the upper supply zone is a priority opportunity to test short positions.
Only if the price stabilizes above 4170 and a CHoCH reversal appears on the 1-hour chart should the bearish view be abandoned.
If the support at 4110-4120 breaks with a solid close, the bears will continue to push down with increased volume. Currently, the priority is to follow the bearish trend and not to bottom-fish ahead of a reversal.
Recommendation: Short around 4145-4155, targets at 4110 and 4070. $API3 24h -20.8%, but OI +29.24%: The decline isn't over yet
$API3 down 20.8% in one day, dropping from 0.408 to 0.319 in 24h, I am directly bearish—high-level divergence pullback, multi-timeframe downtrend.
First, the market. Intraday range 0.319–0.408, rebound failed to hold above 0.3319; daily RSI 78.5 stuck in overbought zone, yesterday closed breaking above upper band, then pulled back from highs.
Second, positions. OI 18,245,067.10, up 29.24% from record, price down but positions increased, shorts adding; 24h volume 17,862,947 USDT, volume ratio 9.719, volume surge on decline indicates exit.
Third, the broader market. Market phase shows high-level divergence pullback, only 24 of 69 coins up, BTC down 3 consecutive days; fear & greed index at 71 stuck in greed zone.
Resistance above: 0.3319, only a reclaim above 0.3334 counts as recovery
Support below: 0.3031, break targets 0.2916
The script is straightforward—current price 0.321, enter short near 0.3319 on rebound, stop loss at 0.3334, first target 0.3031, if broken then 0.2916.
Watching the market, follow me for the next signal.
$API3 $BTCBTC is still hovering above 80,000, and listed companies have already started scrambling to stock up. 😂
Last Monday, Strive bought 2,000 BTC in one go, spending $169 million, and now holds 29,462 BTC.
What's even more interesting is that they themselves said:
As long as BTC stays below $100,000, they want to keep increasing their BTC exposure.
On the other side, Strategy is still buying and has now accumulated 848,000 BTC.
So now I increasingly feel:
Whether above 80,000 is expensive or not, retail investors are still arguing.
Some companies have already started treating "anything below 100,000 is inventory" for their balance sheets. 😂
This is what I find the most interesting about BTC going forward. $BTC Although the on-chain meme market isn't very active right now, Robinhood still has better liquidity for hot topics!
The hottest recently should be Knight Cat $BUN. I often see this little cat; it's been on the mainstream market for a month but only exists on the RH chain. Its market cap rose from a few million to 100 million, currently pulling back to around 50 million.
Looking at BSC's low-tier tokens, aside from some old projects reviving, new hot topics can't get going. Yesterday, the topic of a top female influencer's pregnancy was all about pump-and-dump schemes, with hundreds of thousands quickly crashing. No matter how strong the hype, it's all PVP, indicating there's really no liquidity.
In the future, watch mainstream hot topics on Robinhood; BSC can only play with old projects!#霍尔木兹油轮接连遇袭，美伊谈判仍在继续 Geopolitical tensions should have boosted safe-haven demand, but Bitcoin fell instead of rising, indicating that the current dominant logic is still risk asset selling pressure. I judge the short-term trend to be weak and oscillating.
Strangely, both the 1-hour and 4-hour trends show an upward movement, yet the price has fallen 2.99% from the 4-hour high, showing a clear conflict between short and long cycles. The current price is 84067.2, down 1.8% in 24 hours, with a low of 83500. The trading volume is only 7.704 million, indicating thin liquidity. The order book's top 10 buy/sell ratio is 0.90, with sell orders at 889 outweighing buy orders at 798, favoring sellers; the funding rate is 0.0024%, positive but very low. Open interest is 31,000 coin-based contracts, and longs have not panicked out, suggesting high-level divergence rather than a trend reversal.
Strategically, if it rebounds near 84865, one can lightly short with a stop loss at 85720 and a target of 83240; if it pulls back and stabilizes at 83180, then reverse to go long with a stop loss at 82460 and a target of 84630. Position size should be controlled within 5% of total capital. Geopolitical news can easily cause gaps, so always use stop losses.
— This is only a personal opinion and does not constitute investment advice. Wishing you successful trading. —
$BTC#霍尔木兹油轮接连遇袭，美伊谈判仍在继续
#霍尔木兹油轮接连遇袭，美伊谈判仍在继续 $BTC Just posted at 10 AM saying "If 84.98k can't hold, I won't buy the dip," and before the post even warmed up, BTC dropped from 84.4k to 83577 in one hour. Over 400 million dollars were wiped out across the network in that hour, 97% of which were long positions.
#9月FOMC会议纪要公布在即，是否继续加息？
Answer: I didn't catch it, I just watched that move empty-handed. It would be false not to feel relieved, but what concerns me more is another number — on Monday, exchanges saw a net outflow of 24,073 BTC, the highest single-day amount since March. On one side, leveraged longs were wiped out in waves; on the other, someone was moving coins into their own wallets.
After 11 AM, it hovered between 84.0–84.3k for almost 5 hours, like holding back for the minutes. My plan: don't treat 84k as a bottom yet; the 82–83k range is where I'm willing to act; first get back above 85k, then call it a cleanup.
$BTC
The minutes come out tonight at 02:00. Are you A) staying up late to watch, or B) placing your orders and going straight to sleep? Comment below, I'll reply one by one.$ETH #9月FOMC会议纪要公布在即，是否继续加息？ Brothers, do you think ETH has bottomed out now and are ready to buy the dip? Hold on, listen to what Qiang says first. First, the exit queue. The MetaMask security incident caused over 520,000 ETH to line up to exit the validator queue. Although there is an outflow limit, releasing only a portion daily to spread out selling pressure over time, emotionally this is like a hanging sword. When the market sees "hundreds of thousands of ETH to be unlocked," the first reaction is fear of a dump, so who dares to push the price up? Second, capital outflow. ETH spot ETFs have continuous net outflows, institutions are withdrawing. Without real money supporting the bottom, any rebound is hollow. Moreover, funds are clearly moving to BTC and AI computing power chains, leaving ETH neglected, making a strong independent rally unlikely. These two signals combined indicate ETH is currently under emotional pressure and bleeding capital. What you think is a rebound might just be an oversold correction, so don't rush to go long. A slow decline is the most exhausting; when you think it has bottomed, it can still drop another level. Entering now is not buying the dip, it's catching a flying knife. If you really want to act, wait for signals: ETF turning to net inflow, exit queue starting to decline, price volume breaking back above key levels. See at least two of these conditions before considering. As always: don't bet on the bottom during a downtrend. You only have one principal, save it for a certain opportunity. Crypto’s next candle may be hiding in the oil market.
Brent has climbed above $101 as Middle East tensions intensify, while U.S. 10Y yields remain near multi-decade highs. Yet the probability of an October Fed hike collapsed to ~20.5% from ~51% a week ago.
That leaves crypto between two opposing forces: an energy-driven inflation shock and rapidly fading near-term Fed tightening bets.
Tonight’s Fed minutes matter.
#Crypto #Fed #Oil #MacroStrategy bought another 334 BTC, but in this disclosure, what is more easily misread is that huge profit.
The document dated October 5 shows the company expects digital asset income of about $20.91 billion in Q3. This number is shocking, but it cannot be directly taken as a new coin purchase budget. Measured at fair value, the BTC price increase can allow the financial statements to record gains; the coins were not sold, so this part of the valuation change has not automatically turned into dollars in the bank account.
The same document clearly reminds that BTC price changes may generate unrealized gains or losses. In other words, the income statement looks good when the market rises, but it may reverse when it falls later. Comparing such quarterly earnings simply with the profits of a company that obtains cash by selling products can easily make the treasury model seem too easy.
Multiple companies increasing holdings simultaneously can form a buying force, and public disclosure carries more weight than slogans. However, when evaluating these companies, it is still necessary to ask where the money comes from and how expenses are paid. Whether the rising numbers on the income statement can cover interest and preferred stock dividends with cash must be calculated separately.
I agree with looking at coin purchase announcements and cash arrangements together. Otherwise, cheering for book profits on one side while ignoring the next cash outflow can easily misjudge how long it can keep buying.
#Strategy再购BTC，多家财库同步增持 🔷 $XRP : target $10, but OI is half the peak
• Analyst Moustache: expanding wedge (2 years)
• Price: $1.52, target $10 (+560%)
• Peter Brandt: "cup and handle," probability 65-70%
• OI: $516.6M (recovered from $350-400M)
• But OI is significantly below the October 2025 peak: $1.3B
• Price recovered faster than OI
• Traders are less confident than last year
🧠 Technical analysis is optimistic: wedge + cup = target $10. But OI $516M vs peak $1.3B = half as much.
❓ Will it reach $10?👇October 7 · $SOL: Busy on-chain, money is idle
OKEx SOL is currently around $119, ranging between 117.00–121.08 today, down 1.55%. MA5 is at 119.88, MA20 at 116.29 — the moving averages are still in a bullish alignment, but MACD has turned green (-0.803), indicating short-term momentum has indeed paused.
It’s actually quite promising: up 102% from the yearly low, staking rate approaching 70%, stablecoin market cap at 16.7 billion, the golden cross of the 50-day moving average crossing above the 200-day moving average still intact, and institutional targets see 150.
The problem is the money. Solana ETF weekly inflows once plummeted 97%, CME shorts sharply reduced positions not because of bullish sentiment — but because no one is playing. Today is a typical "US stocks hit new highs, gold stands above 4169, but the crypto space is left out," with all AI dividends eaten up by US stocks, and SOL didn’t even get a sip.
Remember three numbers: 122 above is today’s hurdle; breaking it points to 128–130; 118 below is the lifeline, losing it means a retest of 116 (MA20).
The Fed minutes are looming tonight, don’t add positions before the direction is clear. It has doubled; what it needs is rest, not your urging.
$BTC $ETH #9月FOMC会议纪要公布在即，是否继续加息？ #BTC巨鲸抛压减弱，ETF资金连续三周净流入 #US30YYieldTops5.7% 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.706% on October 5 — highest since 2002. That's 24 years of repricing in one move 🔥
10-year at 5.489%, also a 24-year high. The entire US yield curve is now at levels not seen since the early 2000s. This isn't a temporary spike — it's a structural reset 📈
And it's not capital fleeing to safety. The ISM Services PMI eased to 54.9, which should have sent capital into bonds. Instead, the prices index rose to 74.0 — highest since January 2022. Inflation expectations are sticky, not fading 🫠
Treasury Secretary Bessent said rising yields broadly track global bond markets, with no clear shift into German or Japanese bonds. The whole world is pricing in persistent inflation and higher rates. This is synchronous, not a US-specific story 👀
30-year at 5.7%, 10-year at 5.49%, prices index at 74 — mortgage rates are touching 7%+ and the Fed is still being asked whether to hike or cut. The rate structure is breaking the old frameworks 🤔
At 5.7% on 30-year debt, does the US fiscal situation start pricing in something structural — or is this just the market's inflation expectations finally catching up? 👇Woke up this morning to see that Abs is shutting down
I quickly withdrew the remaining U from a few accounts
Last year I had 32 accounts, played for 14 weeks, lost over 500 U, and got tired
But luckily it stopped after just over 3 months of playing $BTC $SAND is interesting this round: the price is rising, but the contract funding rate is -0.12%, with shorts still losing money to hold on.
Volume started picking up from 8 AM, pushing from 0.066 all the way to 0.0756 by 2 PM, now back around 0.0727, up more than 10% in 24 hours. Daytime hourly trading volume is more than ten times that of nighttime, so this isn't an unmonitored rise.
But don't forget, on October 3rd it surged to 0.084, then retraced all the way back to 0.065 over the next three days. Whether this is a rebound or a new leg up, I'm not sure.
I'm watching if 0.0710 holds; if it breaks, it will likely drop back to 0.068; if it recovers above 0.0756, then we can talk. Contract open interest is around $9.8 million, with such a negative funding rate, a short squeeze is normal, but chasing highs is risky. $BTC at 84,300, $ETH at 2620, the market isn't stable yet.
$BTC $ETH $SAND #SAND #Metaverse #TopGainers
#September FOMC minutes are about to be released, will rate hikes continue? #BTC whale selling pressure weakens, ETF funds have net inflows for three consecutive weeks #OKXNOW: ushering in a new era of 24/7 markets
#RiskWarning
This is not investment advice; small coins are volatile, manage your position size yourself. $FIL
FIL's decline is limited but close to the low point; can usage demand explain the price?
This morning's 24-hour spot observation window: range 1.1442—1.2108 USDT, change -0.85%, trading volume about 13.07 million USDT.
The window shows a slight drop, but the quote is near the lower end of the range, indicating that the high-level pullback has not been fully recovered. Token trading data is not paid storage, renewal, or revenue data; directly interpreting the market as demand realization skips the transmission link.
If there is no evidence of business improvement and the price continues to be suppressed, maintain caution; only when actual paid demand appears together with a higher low point can the fundamental explanation be strengthened.$BTC plunged nearly $2,000 in 20 minutes,
followed by $384 million long positions liquidated within an hour.
This scenario is familiar to veteran players in the crypto market,
but it’s still brutal every time it happens.
The core transmission chain of the event can be summarized in one sentence:
Bitcoin broke a key on-chain support level amid accumulating macro pressure,
triggering forced liquidations of highly leveraged long positions,
which in turn forced sell-offs that pushed the price down further, triggering the next wave of liquidations,
completing a nearly $2,000 plunge within 20 minutes.
Technical breakdown is the switch; liquidation cascade is the engine.
The direct starting point of this crash is very clear.
— Bitcoin broke below the key on-chain support level where buyers had previously concentrated their defense.
The so-called on-chain support level,
simply put, is a price range where a large number of buy orders accumulate.
When the price previously dropped to this level, buyers would step in to absorb the sell-off,
forming a "floor."
Once the floor is broken, the buy orders vanish,
and the price loses its buffer,
making downward resistance instantly weaker.
In the short term, what needs to be watched is whether Bitcoin can reclaim the lost support level
— if these former "floors" turn into new "ceilings,"
becoming resistance levels for price increases,
the market may need more time to digest the wounds from this liquidation. #美债长端收益率再创新高，30年期逼近5.7%
The 30-year U.S. Treasury yield is approaching 5.7%, which is the key macro signal to watch for BTC today.
The sustained rise in long-term yields means the market is raising the cost of long-term capital again. For high-volatility, high-risk assets like BTC, the real pressure is not just whether the Fed raises rates, but that the "risk-free rate" itself is increasing.
The transmission path is clear:
30-year U.S. Treasury yield rises → global capital costs increase → risk asset valuations come under pressure → USD strengthens → high Beta assets like BTC and ETH face pressure.
More importantly, if tonight's FOMC minutes are hawkish, further boosting rate hike expectations, yields and the dollar may resonate, increasing short-term pressure on BTC.
But if the minutes are not more hawkish than expected, yields may fall from highs, potentially giving BTC a chance for a quick recovery.
My judgment is that in the short term, don’t just focus on the federal funds rate; the 30-year U.S. Treasury yield is the real indicator to watch now.
If it breaks above around 5.7%, BTC’s rebound potential will be suppressed; if yields peak and fall while the DXY weakens, risk assets may instead see a recovery.
So the key focus going forward is: 30-year U.S. Treasury yield → DXY → whether BTC can retake key resistance levels. BTC现在大部分筹码已经重新进入盈利区间，但这并不意味着行情已经过热。
10月7日，CryptoQuant分析师Darkfost表示，自8月以来，剔除超过10年未移动的BTC后，目前处于盈利状态的BTC供应比例一直维持在约60%。
这个数据很有意思。
因为超过10年没动的BTC本身流动性极低，其中一部分甚至可能已经永久丢失。如果把这些“沉睡筹码”剔除，60%左右的盈利供应率更能反映当前真实市场状态。
换句话说，现在市场确实有不少盈利盘，但还没有达到全民高盈利、疯狂兑现的阶段。
传导逻辑：
盈利筹码增加 → 持币者面临继续持有/获利退出/小亏离场 → 卖压与新增买盘博弈 → BTC进入震荡消化 → 最终等待供需一方打破平衡。
我认为这也能解释为什么BTC最近跌不深、涨也不顺。
长期资金没有明显恐慌出逃，但短线资金又不愿意在高位持续追价，于是价格被夹在区间里反复震荡。
更重要的是，Darkfost认为从中长期来看，市场距离真正过热还有一定距离。
我的判断是，当前更像“盈利筹码消化期”，而不是牛市顶部确认。
如果后续ETF继续流入、巨鲸抛压维持低位，同时盈利供应率继续抬升，说明新增买盘正在逐$SOL sharply dropped for a shakeout, bulls are preparing to counterattack🔥
Brothers, I still choose to take a long position on SOL this round, the reason is simple: that recent plunge was really fierce, directly smashing down from a high level to around 117.02, but the price didn’t continue to waterfall down; instead, it quickly pulled back, indicating that support around 117 is quite strong.
I prefer to interpret this movement as a sharp shakeout rather than a complete trend breakdown. After the panic sellers were shaken out, the price climbed back above 118, showing clear signs of short-term recovery, so I entered a long position near 118.77, aiming to catch this rebound.
My plan is clear: first target the area around 119.0-119.3 above; if volume continues and it holds steady, then look towards the 120 range. As for defense, the low point at 117.02 from this dip must not be effectively broken; if it fails, I will exit immediately and won’t stubbornly fight the market.
In short: while others panic and run, I’m picking up some bloodied chips.$BTC
BTC just dropped below 84,000, the short-term is indeed scary.
After the sharp drop, BTC is consolidating with decreasing volume, and MACD shows signs of bullish divergence, indicating that the bearish selling momentum is weakening and there is a short-term demand for a rebound. However, there is heavy moving average resistance around 84,300 above, and without a volume breakout, it remains a weak recovery.
The good news is that institutions haven't fled; Strive just spent 169 million to bottom-fish 2,000 coins, and the SEC has approved a 3x ETF, with long-term funds supporting the bottom. Now it's a game of short-term panic vs. long-term optimism. It is recommended to wait until it stabilizes above 84,300 to confirm the trend. After the sharp drop, will $BTC hold at 84000?
This morning's plunge was surprisingly fast in pace, but expected since it had been consolidating at a high level for too long without breaking. With insufficient volume and thin liquidity, selling pressure easily triggers a deep wick. I haven't chased longs before because I was waiting for this kind of shakeout.
My personal plan remains unchanged: gradually buy the dip around BTC 84000, avoid heavy positions, and keep some flexibility. A sharp drop is both a risk and a re-pricing opportunity.
$ETH is even more brutal, breaking below 2600 directly, and high-level longs got stopped out again. The FOMC minutes at 2 AM are approaching, and the market is trading ahead of expectations. Whether there will be a rate hike is again the focus. If hawkish, short-term volatility will continue; if dovish, an oversold rebound may follow. The key is not to guess the direction but to wait for position and volume confirmation.
Buying the dip does not mean bottom fishing; position sizing and stop-loss remain the bottom line.
#BTC #ETH #FOMC #9月FOMC会议纪要公布在即，是否继续加息？ #BTC巨鲸抛压减弱，ETF资金连续三周净流入 #OKXNOW：开启全天候市场新时代
For record-keeping only, not investment advice.🔥 Two pumps. Two completely different Smart Money stories.
$SAND is up 11.1%, with shorts holding $5.32M vs $3.34M longs. Shorts are already underwater while longs sit at +$468K.
$PONS is up 6.2%, but Smart Money is heavily short: $12.61M vs $7.32M longs. Shorts are sitting on +$4.4M, while longs are down -$2.07M.
👀 Both are green. But only one has shorts starting to feel the pain.Brothers, today $ETH Ethereum is really giving an opportunity!
A few days ago, it was still grinding back and forth between 2680 and 2730, unable to rise, and it couldn't fall either. I thought ETH was going to continue torturing people sideways.
But today it directly changed the trend!
The lowest it dropped straight to 2587, breaking through 2600 directly, and now it has rebounded to around 2606.
Brothers who shorted, you should have made some profit from this wave, right?
My idea is simple: take some profits first, and hold the remaining position.
If it continues downward, I will focus on 2500, and further down near 2300. At that point, I plan to close all remaining short positions.
After a week of back-and-forth between bulls and bears, the bears finally broke the balance first.
Now the most critical question is:
How far can ETH fall this time? Will it reach 2300?
Brothers, do you currently hold short or long positions?
#9月FOMC会议纪要公布在即，是否进一步加息？ #BTC巨鲸抛压减弱，ETF资金连续三周净流入 #标普500首次站上7800点，纳指再创新高 "On the liquidation leaderboard, shorts are almost absent"
The 24-hour liquidation data acts like a mirror, reflecting the same group of people: leveraged longs chasing highs.
$BTC liquidations totaled $140 million, with longs at $130 million and shorts only $13.7225 million. After the surge, instead of continuing upward, the price oscillated, washing out positions that only entered after seeing a breakout layer by layer. It’s not that shorts won, but that the momentum chasers became the fuel.
$ETH fared worse. Total liquidations reached $180 million, with longs at $170 million and shorts just over $10 million; within only 4 hours, $160 million in long positions were wiped out. Those who entered heavy positions driven by faith during the rally were taken out by a single retracement wick. The direction may not be wrong on the larger timeframe, but the mistake was entering heavy positions at the top when sentiment was hottest.
HYPE shows extremity on its face: total liquidations of $5.1364 million, with longs at $5.0334 million and shorts only $103,000. At the peak of enthusiasm, everyone was calling for acceleration, but looking back, almost all liquidations were longs.
These three data sets are highly consistent: the proportion of short liquidations is extremely low, indicating that few dared to short against the trend; the main force concentrated firepower on harvesting the chasing-high sentiment. The market isn’t incapable of rising, but first it needs to use volatility to clear out the lagging leveraged positions.
The hottest spots are often not opportunities, but places where the liquidation engine kicks in. Surviving is more important than catching every bullish candle. #9月FOMC会议纪要公布在即，是否继续加息？ #BTC巨鲸抛压减弱，ETF资金连续三周净流入 ⚠️Risk Warning: Perpetual contract leverage trading carries extremely high risk and may result in total loss of principal. The following is only an objective technical interpretation of the chart and does not constitute any investment advice.
CORE/USDT Perpetual Contract Daily Analysis
Current Price: 0.02005, 24h Decline: 8.24%
1. Moving Average System (MA)
MA5: 0.02164
MA10: 0.02206
MA30: 0.02137
The current price has fallen below all three moving averages.
- Short-term moving averages MA5 and MA10 are pressing downward, forming bearish pressure;
- MA30 was originally support but has now been broken, turning from support into resistance.
Technical implication: Both short-term and mid-term trends have weakened.
2. Trading Volume VOL
Current volume compared to previous rise shows increased volume; this bearish candlestick is accompanied by volume, indicating real selling pressure, not small-scale dumping.
3. Funding Rate: -0.0145%
Negative funding rate: Short position holders pay interest to long position holders daily.
Market sentiment interpretation: More market participants are shorting, with bears dominating, causing the negative rate.
4. Liquidation Data
Long liquidations: 64,200; Short liquidations: 36,200
During this decline, the number of liquidated longs far exceeds shorts, with price drops triggering many long stop-loss liquidations, further accelerating the downtrend.
5. Coin Aggregate Long-Short Ratio (Active Buy-Sell Ratio): 0.791
Ratio < 1: Market active sell volume > active buy volume, capital favors selling, bears are stronger.
6. Open Interest
Open interest is declining, indicating some capital is exiting; during the downtrend, longs are stopping out and leaving the market.
7. Candlestick Structure, Support and Resistance
- Resistance Levels:
First resistance: MA30=0.02137; Second resistance: MA10=0.02206, rebounds to these levels will face selling pressure.
- Support Levels:
First support: Recent low 0.01851; Strong support: Historical low 0.0147. Once 0.01851 is broken, downside space opens to test 0.0147.
Overall Market Summary
Daily level: Volume break below moving averages, negative funding rate, bearish long-short ratio, large long liquidations, overall bearish dominance.
Two scenarios:
1. Short-term rebound: Price stops falling near 0.01851 and rebounds, with rebound target near 0.02137, likely a corrective rebound, difficult to reverse upward directly;
2. Continued decline: If volume break below 0.01851 occurs, price will continue down to test the historical low of 0.0147.
Key Reminder: Perpetual contracts with leverage involve extreme volatility in crypto markets; flash liquidations are common. Avoid heavy positions. Big Brother Maji's latest snapshot of 130 million exposure｜Heavy BTC+ETH positions in hand, after surviving a major purge, what is he betting on now?
The just-updated full position is very clear: facing the mass long liquidations of BTC and ETH in the past two days, he did not panic to cut positions but chose to hold firm on the spot. The whole strategy of "heavy mainstream core holdings with small positions for hype" remains unchanged.
Total nominal exposure of 130 million USD
‑ Long BTC｜40X full position, 125 coins
Opened at 84888.5, currently floating loss of -97,300;
40x full leverage is still very aggressive, fortunately the liquidation price at 57478 is still safely distant from the current price; the real hidden pressure is the daily funding fee deduction—if BTC stays stuck in a range with repeated pulls for a long time, this holding cost will continuously accumulate and consume.
‑ Long ETH｜25X full position, 38,300 coins
This is the most pressured part of the entire position and also the most heavily wounded in this round of correction; opened at 2682.99, floating loss has already reached -2,897,000.
Compared to BTC, ETH has greater volatility and stronger retracement impact; he has not admitted defeat or exited, effectively betting that after the market digests the high-level chasing positions, ETH will be the first to regain upward explosive power.
‑ Long HYPE｜10X full position, 155,000 coins
Currently the only position with a slight floating profit, +45,100; using relatively moderate leverage to capture sector residual heat, but still has to continuously bear funding fee losses, considered a supplementary exploratory position.$DOGE's move this time was extremely thrilling!
From the chart, you can see a sudden straight surge at dawn, with the price once breaking through 0.08. The bullish sentiment was just getting started, but unexpectedly, a waterfall-like drop followed immediately. This rapid rise and fall trapped those who chased the long side, and those who shorted were also easily swept back and forth. Basically, it was a double kill for both bulls and bears.
Afterwards, the market entered intense volatility, with the price repeatedly pulled up and down, but overall it remained weak. Each rebound was weaker than the last. Combined with continuous capital outflows on-chain, this is just a brief rebound; the market will continue to decline.
Lei Ge's trading idea: Enter short at the current price of 0.062, target 0.056. #The September FOMC meeting minutes are about to be released, will the rate hike continue? Dear teachers, today's market shows clear divergence. Below is a breakdown of each cryptocurrency.
$UNI, the view is bearish. The daily chart shows a large bearish candle breaking below the short-term moving averages, with a 24-hour decline exceeding 5%. From the whale holdings perspective, the average cost for long whales is 7.13, with a large amount of profit-taking accumulated above the current price. Short whales have an average cost of 8.44, and the price has already fallen below their entry point, continuously releasing long stop-loss pressure. The attack level is 8.35, and the defense level is 8.80.
$ARB, the view is bearish. The daily chart is continuously declining, with MA5 and MA10 both pressing downward. The whale long-short ratio is 103.14%, and most whales on both sides are currently at a loss. The average long entry is 0.210, and the current price continues to fall, with trapped positions likely to escape on rebounds. The attack level is 0.195, and the defense level is 0.212.
$PUMP, the view is bullish. The daily chart maintains an upward channel, with moving averages in a bullish alignment and a 24-hour gain. The whale long-short ratio is as high as 339.63%, with 81.35% of long whales in profit. The main funds' positions are stable, and there is short-term room for further gains. The attack level is 0.0063, and the defense level is 0.0057. #9月FOMC会议纪要公布在即，是否继续加息？
Brothers, hasn't the market been making people sleepy lately?
$BTC keeps bouncing back and forth between 93,000 and 97,500, while $ETH hovers around 3,080 to 3,360. You say it's weak, but there's always someone buying near 93,000; you say it's strong, but people sell once it hits above 97,500. The worst part of this market isn't the lack of opportunities, it's not knowing which side to take next.
But honestly, this range is exactly where short-term gains are richest—provided you don't chase in the middle.
The 10-year US Treasury yield has returned to around 4.65%, with the real yield above 2.1%. Holding short-term bonds and cash yields interest, naturally suppressing risk asset valuations. On top of that, the US dollar index hovers around 104, non-USD currencies remain weak, and global dollar liquidity is still tight. More troubling is the Bank of Japan signaling normalization; as the yen carry trade unwinds, risk assets get drained.
So every time $BTC touches above 97,000, you can feel the selling pressure—not from a single whale, but macro pricing.
More importantly, the on-chain data tells another story. Addresses holding 100 to 1,000 $BTC have added 28,000 coins in the past two weeks, exchange balances continue to decline; stablecoin market cap has increased by $4 billion in just over a week. Meanwhile, small addresses barely moved; retail investors under $1,000 are watching and waiting. Bad luck! Solana was packed with people at the conference, but got dragged down by the market flash crash. The crypto market's mysterious pattern of falling during events is really undeniable 😂 #Solana代币化股票9月交易量突破44亿美元
Fortunately, $SOL's fundamentals have been steadily growing, with the latest TVL reaching 6.76 billion, and Solana's on-chain tokenized stock trading volume in September surpassing 4.4 billion dollars. Previously, Robinhood chain hype was so intense, but in the end, Solana took the big cake. Running fast isn't important; running far is the real strength.
The Solana Foundation also released an open-source DvP atomic settlement standard, with input from JPMorgan and having passed external audits. For the chain to connect with traditional clearing systems is a more fundamental institutional narrative than ETF inflows.
From a technical perspective, there's no need to panic: the MA30 at 112.2 is far below, the trend structure is still a slow bull slope; RSI is still far from the overbought line. Using creator earnings as principal → Challenge to reach 10,000U｜Day 6 of Phase 1 failed
Start time: October 2, 2026, 16:47
End time: October 7, 2026, 09:58:09
There is only one source of principal: planet creator earnings.
Initial principal 10U, no top-ups, no extra principal, and no adding funds after losses.
The rules have not changed since day one:
No top-ups, no rescue.
If lost all, challenge ends.
If reaching 10,000U, challenge succeeds.
Final forced liquidation position:
$ETH Perpetual｜100x
· Opening average price: 2686.21U
· Closing average price: 2668.01U
· Realized profit/loss: -2.59U
· Realized profit/loss rate: -117.45%
Phase 1: failed.
10U principal did not turn into 10,000U.
This time no excuses, no sugarcoating the result.
High leverage, low principal, low tolerance for error, ultimately the account was wiped out.
But this 10U originally came from creator earnings, so I will still keep this complete record.
Not to prove that 10U can get rich quickly.
But to see whether an ordinary creator can, with money earned by themselves, possibly roll it up bit by bit to 10,000U through trading.
Phase 1 ends.
If lost all, admit it.
Next phase, try again. Seven days off, 800 CNY turned into 14,000… and now I’m ready to sleep on the couch 😂
Yesterday I held back all day, while some friends apparently followed my call and shorted ZEC near the daily high.
I’m still holding the short. My view hasn’t changed: I’m watching for ZEC to break below 1,300 today, with 1,100 as a longer-term target.
At this point, I’m either making the call or falling asleep on the couch waiting for it. 😂📉
$ZEC
Huma
#DailyOrbit $PUMP wild bull, absolutely do not catch the falling knife
Current price 0.006586, surged 5.03% against the trend today! This token is definitely a recent money printer, soaring 340% in 90 days, and 2.5 times in 180 days. It climbed from the bottom 0.0011 all the way to 0.0068, which is simply outrageous.
The daily yellow line support is at 0.004705. But brothers, open your eyes wide, the current price is miles away from the support line, with a huge divergence rate! The profit-taking pressure is as abundant as a mountain. Those holding spot should take profits in batches on rallies; those who haven't entered, absolutely do not chase the high. At this position, once it pulls back, the spike can liquidate you completely.
$TRUMP weak bottom test, don't blindly catch the bottom
Current price 1.898, plunged 5.94%! This token rebounded from 1.366 to 3.679, but now has fallen back below 1.9. Look at the chart! The daily yellow line (resistance line) is pressing at 2.400, and the price is stuck firmly below it. Down 9% in 7 days, 15% in 30 days, 34% in 180 days.
The big trend is definitely a bearish arrangement, with trapped positions at 2.0 and 2.4 above. The current rebound is just a dying struggle after overselling. Don't catch the bottom just because it has fallen a lot; that's catching a falling knife. Wait until volume increases and it stabilizes above 2.4 before we take a serious look.
$LTC old mainstream correction, testing support
Current price 67.79, corrected down 3.11%. This token previously climbed from 39 to 75, now pulling back from a high. Up 22% in 30 days, 54% in 90 days, the trend is solid.
The daily yellow line support is at 59.84, still some distance from the current price, indicating the bullish pattern is intact, currently a "healthy shakeout." Hold spot firmly and play dead; those who haven't entered should wait for a pullback near 65 to buy in batches. Cut positions decisively if it breaks below 60.
The market is diverging rapidly now: PUMP is partying at the peak, TRUMP is stuck at the bottom, LTC is shaking out halfway up the mountain. "ETH is about to break down, BTC bull-bear line at 88000"
ETH bulls have no safety left; once 2680 breaks, 2650 will be directly exposed. Yesterday already indicated market weakness, divergence appeared at 2715-20, the decline is as expected. The hourly chart shows a fluctuating downward trend, support levels keep moving lower, and bulls are losing patience. If 2650 fails to hold, 2580-2600 will be the next target.
BTC continues to fluctuate; after probing 86600 in the evening, it quickly fell back, confirming selling pressure around 86500. Bulls are still firmly defending 85000 below, but without major news driving it, a strong rally is unlikely. 88000 is the bull-bear dividing line; breaking through means bulls, failure means bears continue.
In terms of operations, ETH can be lightly shorted when it rebounds to the resistance zone; be cautious when shorting on a breakdown. For BTC, watch the 85000 defense; if it fails, sentiment weakens. The market lacks new inflows, is oscillating with a bearish bias, control positions, and set stop losses.
$ETH $BTC #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 #BTC巨鲸抛压减弱，ETF资金连续三周净流入 从技术面来讲下方支撑：2587美元是今天的低点，而2564美元是更关键的防线。一旦跌破2583美元，主流CEX累计多单清算强度将高达9.83亿美元，可能引发连环下跌。 上方2644美元已从支撑转为阻力。 现价（2618）直接入场做中长线并非最优选择。原因在于：上方2644-2697阻力密集，下方2583-2564清算密集，价格夹在中间，短期方向不明，且下方清算风险远大于上方。"Capital Shift"
After $SOL lost value for three consecutive days, it saw a net inflow of 48 million on October 5 and an additional 22 million on the 6th, indicating a clear resurgence of short-term buying. On the other hand, BTC has experienced net outflows for four consecutive days since October 2, totaling 260 million, showing that funds are withdrawing.
One inflow and one outflow is not just rotation; it looks more like the market is reallocating attention. SOL benefits from ecosystem catalysts and high-beta catch-up expectations, strengthening its support; meanwhile, $BTC's short-term momentum is weaker than before. If this bias continues, SOL's rebound resilience will be more advantageous.
I still hold over 87,000 contracts, as the long-term logic remains intact: allocation demand persists, and the supply contraction post-halving has not changed. However, the continuous capital inflow into the SOL ETF serves as a reminder—if funds continue to favor altcoins, the bullish expectations for BTC need to be adjusted downward.
Strategy remains unchanged: stop loss at 84,500, target 90,500–91,500; reduce positions upon reaching the target, and move the remaining positions to breakeven. A light position allows for a composed rhythm. ETF flows are a short-term sentiment thermometer, so keep a close watch. #9月FOMC会议纪要公布在即，是否继续加息？ #BTC巨鲸抛压减弱，ETF资金连续三周净流入 #OKXNOW：开启全天候市场新时代