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Watching the market obsessively gets annoying; turning it off actually makes things clearer, and when your eyes aren't glued to it, your mind stays calm. Last night before bed, $AEON made another sharp move up, but with low trading volume and no one catching it, it felt like a strong bull trap. I judged it wouldn't hold, signaling that the rebound was a shorting opportunity.
Shorted at 0.05898, now at 0.05379, a return of +175.65%. The earlier hesitation turned out to be a sweet move.
Panic comes from lack of planning; losses come from overthinking.
Hold as long as the trend is intact; exit when it breaks. Don't fall in love with stocks.
First close 80%, keep 20% at cost to protect; if it bounces back, don't give the profits back. If you haven't entered yet, don't rush—wait for the next move, there will be more opportunities.
$BTC $LAB 主流链上分析（Santiment）把 ≥1000 BTC 的地址定义为BTC巨鲸（鲸鱼） - 最新统计：2044个地址 ≥1000 BTC，合计持有约717万枚BTC，占流通量接近36% 但是！地址 ≠ 真实独立的人/机构，这个是最容易踩坑的地方： 里面包含：交易所冷钱包、ETF托管地址、平台储备钱包，不是全部个人大户。比如一个交易所可能有好几个这种巨鲸地址，其实属于同一家机构。 更细的分层（另一种细分口径） - 鲨鱼：1000–5000 BTC - 鲸鱼：5000–10000 BTC（狭义whale）≈100多个地址 - 座头鲸（超级巨鲸）：＞10000 BTC，不到100个地址，这里面就是MicroStrategy、美国政府、早期巨富、大托管方这一档 两个关键误区 1. 没法精确知道真实“鲸鱼人数”：一个人可以控制几十个钱包；一个钱包也可能是很多用户的钱（交易所），链上只能数地址，分不清背后实体。 2. 不同平台门槛不一样：有些媒体宽松一点，把≥100 BTC就叫大户，这个口径数量会涨到接近2万个地址，不能混为一谈。 简单一句话总结 按圈内最常用的1Last night I was hoping the market would dip, but instead it went up. No need to rush though, just keep waiting for the right opportunity; there's no need to let short-term fluctuations disrupt your rhythm.
$ZEC: Almost back to 1300U. Already took profits around 1100+, currently holding only a small short position. If it rises near 1300, I'll consider adding to the position; if not, I'll keep waiting.
$HYPE: Still around 86U, the trend remains weak. Three days of gains don't outweigh one day of losses; it's really wearing. Next, we'll see if it can strengthen—short-lived rebounds alone aren't enough.
$LIT: The long-short ratio is only 0.77, and open interest hasn't dropped significantly, so short positions might be concentrated. If the price suddenly surges, a short squeeze can't be ruled out. There's still three months until unlocking; whether it will rise before then is uncertain—don't treat speculation as fact.
Finally, I want to remind everyone: for ordinary people entering the investment market with 100,000 yuan, the risks may be far greater than imagined. Many casually say they have 100,000 yuan online, but in reality, how many families can truly afford to invest 100,000 yuan of spare money?
So be sure to invest only spare money and avoid leverage—that's the bottom line!
Don't risk your living expenses or borrowed money. No matter how many opportunities there are in crypto, you can't catch every wave. Trading requires not only direction but also risk control.
Wait when you should wait, take profits when you should take profits. How much you make in the short term isn't the most important thing; being able to preserve your principal and stay in the market long-term is the real skill. #CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验 狗狗币（DOGE）鲸鱼（巨鲸）划分标准（市场通用口径） - 🐬海豚：100万～1000万 DOGE - 🦈鲨鱼：1000万～1亿 DOGE - 🐳鲸鱼：≥1亿 DOGE（能明显带动行情） - 🦑超级巨鲸：≥10亿 DOGE（机构/交易所级别） 数量与筹码情况 按Santiment统计：持仓≥1亿DOGE的钱包大约 140多个，这批地址合计持有超1080亿DOGE，筹码集中度远高于BTC、ETH。 重点大坑：链上rich list第一名不是某个大佬，是Robinhood的托管冷钱包（约272亿DOGE，接近流通盘17.5%），里面是几十万散户的币，不是一个人的；第二名Upbit、第三名Binance，也都是交易所托管钱包，属于用户资产托管，不是私人巨鲸。 早年那个传说持有接近30%DOGE的超级地址，在2021年底已经拆分，不是单一大户了。 特点（对比BTC/ETH鲸鱼） 1. DOGE是meme币，盘子流动性更薄，真正私人巨鲸一笔大额转出/砸盘，行情波动会比BTC、ETH猛烈得多，很容易带崩情绪、触发连锁爆仓 2. 筹码高度集中：前10大地址合计占流通盘#Institutions Keep Positioning, Why Does BTC Still Face Pressure?
The leader has something to say
Institutions are positioning, yet BTC is still under pressure.
Morgan Stanley's MSBT holds about 10,639 BTC, and Strive also plans to continue expanding treasury allocations through preferred stock financing. Long-term funds are indeed coming in.
But short-term funds are withdrawing. From October 7 to 8, the US BTC spot ETF saw a net outflow of about $731 million. On the 9th, only $21.13 million flowed back in, less than 3% of the outflow in the previous two days. The speed of money coming in can't keep up with the speed of money leaving.
BTC has fallen from 87,000 to around 83,000. US Treasury yields and energy prices remain high, and CPI is about to be released. Institutional allocation is a slow variable; short-term selling pressure is a fast variable. Slow money can't catch fast money, so the price can't hold.
I have already entered a long BTC position at 83,000, with a stop loss at 81,500 and a target of 86,000. The short position at 86,500 is still open, with a stop loss at 87,500 and a target between 84,500 and 85,000. Hedging both sides, no heavy positions.
Before CPI is released, no one-sided bets. Long positions look for rebounds, short positions look for pullbacks. Whichever direction hits the target first, reduce that side first. No chasing highs or killing lows, wait for the data to land. $BTC $ETH $MAGIC
The above analysis is time-sensitive; stop losses must be set on positions. Good luck.83K correction, don't let orders lose money for you
BTC early session corrected from around 82.7K to near 84K. The most tempting thing isn't the direction, but the feeling that "it looks tradable again." But what I care more about is another thing: when the market just regains liquidity, the order book often doesn't recover synchronously.
Within the same candlestick, whether the quote layers are thick, whether the first level can hold, whether the spread suddenly widens, or whether the trigger conditions push you to a worse position—all these can turn an originally decent judgment into a painful trade.
Many people only review whether the direction was right, rarely reviewing if the trade was executed in a worse order environment. Direction is an opinion; execution quality is the cost. Especially in early session corrections like this, what you should really look at first isn't the button, but whether this path will consume your risk buffer.
My habit is: first choose the asset, then compare quote layers, depth, estimated execution deviation, fees, and trigger conditions, and only then decide where to take the trade. The value of execution-focused platforms like PerpEX lies here: they don't judge price moves for you, but remind you not to take execution quality as a given.
#BTC加速拉升，资金还能继续接力吗？ Awesome! $MAGIC long position made a huge 22% profit, this is what real toughness looks like!
Ladies, check out the MAGIC long position in my screenshot, opened at 0.12632, now directly pulled up to 0.13557, a return of +21.94%! While ZEC and BICO are both deep in the red, MAGIC really gave me a breath of fresh air!
Why could I hold this wave? Because the bottom stayed flat for half a month, stubbornly refusing to drop below around 0.12, volume quietly increased, and BingX just launched spot trading, the capital inflow signal was too obvious. I decisively added more longs near 0.126, set stop loss properly, and left the rest to the market makers to push the price up.
Honestly, the ZEC short is still down 42%, BICO long is down 171%, those two drag my account down badly. But this wave with MAGIC at least proved one thing: as long as you catch the right rhythm, don’t chase highs or overleverage, you can still make profits.
My strategy going forward is simple: keep holding MAGIC, first target at 0.1385, if it breaks through then look at 0.152. Set stop loss well, never be greedy. As for ZEC and BICO, I’ll wait for a pullback to find opportunities to deal with them, no reckless averaging down.
$BTC $ETH #CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验 32,000 $BTC transferred into exchanges, my first reaction was that another dump was coming.
But after a closer look, 17,200 of them were moved from the US government wallet to Coinbase Prime. That's the custody channel of the US Marshals Service, which doesn't mean a sale. The real sell pressure to watch is about 14,800.
Honestly, I used to panic when I saw such large on-chain inflows, nervously reducing my position first, then watching it bounce back. I've lost out several times like that.
This time I’ve learned my lesson. The spent coins have an average coin age of 712 days, even older than the 651 days in July. Old coins changing hands isn’t necessarily bad; the worry is if no one is there to take them.
My stance: no short chasing, no rush to bottom-fish. Next, we’ll see if new money enters the market. If it holds, this turnover is just a deleveraging. If not, we’ll talk again.
#机构持续布局，BTC为何仍承压？
#交易之声：你的经验值得被听到 #新手必看：这里有你需要的一切 $BTC U Sister 10.12 Monday $BTC Strategy
Entry conditions for the strategy: Rebound to the 83700-84000 range, 4-hour K-line shows a long upper shadow, upward momentum is insufficient, a stagnation signal appears, after confirming resistance, try a small short position.
Stop loss position: Price effectively stabilizes above 84700, pressure breaks through, abandon the short strategy and exit immediately.
First take profit target: 82800
Second take profit target: 82300
Previously, a downward wave started from the high point 87249, bottoming at 80344.8, completing the bottom test. The current stage is just a technical rebound repair after a big drop; the overall long-term downward structure has not changed. The 83700-84000 range is a chip pressure zone left from the previous decline. This rebound is a pullback during the downtrend, not a bullish trend reversal. If the rebound's upward momentum is weak, selling pressure will be released again. Strictly avoid chasing the rise to go long; wait for stagnation signals at the pressure zone before setting up short positions.🔥 $BTC On-Chain Data: LTH Transferred 32,000 BTC to Exchanges — Is It a Dump or a Rotation?
Brothers, today's on-chain data is worth a close look——
On October 7-8, long-term Bitcoin holders transferred about 32,000 BTC to exchanges, the second largest scale since the big drop in February this year.
At first glance, is this a dump? Don't rush, let's break it down:
Of these, 17,200 BTC were transferred from a U.S. government wallet to Coinbase Prime — this is an official custody channel, not necessarily for selling. The real potential selling pressure to watch is about 14,800 BTC.
This 14,800 BTC mainly comes from two groups: mid-term holders with coin age 6-12 months, and old coins held for 3-5 years.
A more critical figure: the LTH coins spent on October 8 had an average holding period of 712 days. In July, it was 651 days.
What does this mean? Older coins held longer are starting to move.
I agree with analyst Murphy's view: during the bull-bear transition, distribution by long-term holders isn't necessarily bearish. When selling pressure is released and coins are redistributed, if new funds can absorb it, sufficient rotation actually reduces resistance for the subsequent market.
In short: old coins are moving, but don't rush to call a bear market — the key is who is taking the other side.
What do you think? Is this LTH distribution a top signal or a rotation in a bull market continuation?10.12 Sola $SOL
This rebound is also a pulse-style rise, surging from the low of 109.16 to 112.73 before turning downwards. The downward momentum is very weak, and the overall weak pattern remains unchanged.
The rebound touched the 112.0-112.5 range and immediately faced resistance. This range is a dense trading area of previous highs and also the upper Bollinger band pressure zone, with heavy selling pressure, making it impossible to break through. The key support is set above 113.5 for solid defense. The next focus is on 110.0-109.5; if support breaks, it will test previous lows. #机构持续布局，BTC为何仍承压？ ETH current price is $2550.
Bitmine holds 6.016 million coins, accounting for 4.9% of the supply, less than 100,000 coins away from the 5% hard cap.
Tom Lee said: Stop buying when it reaches 5%.
In the same month, he said ETH would break $5000 by the end of the year, and if BTC reaches 100,000, ETH would hit $7500.
A person who has bet his entire fortune on ETH suddenly announces he will stop buying. Think about that.
On October 7th at Token2049, Tom Lee announced on stage: Bitmine will stop buying ETH once its holdings reach 5% of the total supply, which is a hard cap. He also said that after reaching 5%, the company can sell staking rewards to maintain the proportion.
In other words—not only will they stop buying, but they will also sell in the future.
Three days later, in an interview, he said: ETH in this cycle is expected to rise to $25,000 to $50,000, breaking $5000 by the end of the year.
Market data shows traders believe the probability of ETH reaching $5000 by year-end is only 4%.
The first reaction is definitely: If you are so optimistic, why not keep buying?
But the answer might be simple: Bitmine doesn’t want to buy; it can’t buy.
The treasury company’s business model is based on the core logic that "stock price is higher than the value of held coins," then issuing more shares to finance coin purchases. Once the stock price falls below NAV, issuing more shares to buy coins dilutes shareholders.
This year, Bitmine has already repurchased 21 million shares to support the stock price. Lee himself called it "the largest stock buyback in the history of crypto treasury companies" in an announcement. This shows the pressure is real.
The deeper contradiction lies here—
Tom Lee holds about $45 million in unrealized losses on paper.
He simultaneously manages Bitmine’s public forecasts and company strategy. When a person is both a major buyer and a promoter, there is an unavoidable "personal interest" dimension between his optimistic forecasts and company decisions.
This doesn’t mean he is necessarily lying. But investors need to factor this in their judgment.
But we must also acknowledge the other side.
Bitmine’s 5.07 million ETH holdings are already staked, generating about $363 million in annual staking income, fully covering the $30 to $35 million annual dividends on Series A preferred shares.
The company has no reason to be forced to sell core holdings due to funding needs. The hard cap actually eliminates the risk of equity dilution, so shareholders don’t have to worry about unlimited financing to buy coins.
In plain terms: He stopped buying, but it’s not to the extent of crashing the market. It’s just that "the most stable buyer" is leaving.
The question is—who will take over?
In recent weeks, Bitmine has been buying about 15,000 ETH per week, accounting for about 72% of the newly issued supply during the same period. Once it stops, about $7 million of potential daily selling pressure will have no one to absorb it.
ETH spot ETFs have had net outflows for 8 consecutive days, totaling $641 million. The second largest ETH treasury company, SharpLink, only bought 5,000 ETH at the low point in June this year.
No successor buyer has appeared yet.
"Is what Tom Lee said correct? Possibly. But there is a structural conflict of interest between what he says and what he does, and this tension itself deserves to be priced in. When the biggest buyer is also the biggest promoter, you need to listen to what he says and watch what he does."
$ETH $ETH $MAGIC $MAGIC 0.1 has been breached, and the bulls' last bit of hope has shattered!😱
Whole number thresholds are never just about price; they are psychological anchors, stop-loss lines, and triggers for leveraged liquidations.📉 Once the order book breaks, protective orders hanging below turn into chained market sell orders, the more it falls, the more crowded it gets, and the faster it drops.
The smart money panel looks just as grim: the average cost for bulls is about 0.12, with 325 addresses deeply trapped for a total of 570,000, and the profit ratio has dropped to only 24%.😵💫 If it can't even hold 0.1, what is there to talk about a reversal?
After the breakdown, support below is thin, and any rebound looks more like a window to escape.🧨 Don't wait until the liquidation waterfall finishes to chase; the trend has already tilted bearish, and going with the bearish trend is wiser than blindly bottom-fishing.🐻⚠️ Not investment advice.Изучаем новый отчет P73 CryptoMarket Monitor по недельному ТФ. Во-первых, еще 10 активов показали метки потенциального хая. Среди них - #APT, #FIL, #OP, #TIA. И всех их объединяет то, что они входят в наш спотовый копи-портфель от октября 2025. В котором собираемся делать добор на откате рынка в росте августа-октября. Только один из этих активов при этом показал по итогам недели переход в устойчивый аптренд на недельном ТФ - #FIL. Для этого актива, кстати, это первый устойчивый аптренд на недель$SNDK says three things, all of which are my current true thoughts.
The big BTC correction isn't over yet. It's hovering around 83,000, and I'm waiting for it to drop below 80,000—if it really hits that, I'll go all in. The bull market isn't over; this kind of correction is for a better rise later. Around 78,000 is where I plan to finish buying and start reducing positions.
I'm not adding to SPCX for now. Elon Musk recently said SpaceX's valuation could reach 1 trillion, which sounds exciting. But based on valuation, 167 now isn't cheap. Those wanting to add should wait for a pullback; don't touch the chips bought at the bottom, just hold them.
Storage is actually starting to get cheaper. Micron is around 1,030; the latest earnings report shows strong demand for HBM, with next year's supply basically locked in and contract prices even raised. SanDisk is between 1,580 and 1,640; Citibank gave a target price of 2,100, saying NAND shortages could last until 2028.
My approach is clear: for storage positions, I will slowly switch to SanDisk. I'll keep building on dips, not chasing highs.
Are you guys buying storage now, or waiting for a pullback like me?
$BTC $SPCX $SNDK Bitmine is going to stop buying.
ETF outflows have continued for 9 consecutive days.
ETH has dropped to around $2500, and the market is in a state of wailing.
Everyone is asking the same question: who will take over the position?
But this question might have been asked wrong from the very beginning.
Bitmine's holdings have reached 6.016 million ETH, accounting for 4.9% of the total supply, with less than 100,000 ETH left before hitting the 5% hard cap. Tom Lee personally said that they will stop buying once they reach 5%, and will not buy anymore.
The situation with ETFs is even worse. The ETH spot ETF has had net outflows for 9 consecutive trading days, with a cumulative outflow of $635 million since October. BlackRock's ETHA is the hardest hit, with a single-day maximum outflow of $202 million.
What about the price? ETH is now fluctuating around $2500. The RSI is at a weak 44.6, and the trend indeed looks unfavorable.
These are all facts, no denial.
In the past year or so, Bitmine alone has absorbed 70% of the newly issued ETH. About 2,980 new ETH are issued daily, of which approximately 72% are bought by this single company.
What does this mean?
The supply side of ETH has become highly dependent on the presence of one buyer.
And now this buyer is stopping—shifting from absorbing 70% of new weekly supply to possibly becoming a seller releasing a small amount of staking rewards.
Sounds scary, right?
But think about it the other way: if an asset always needs a big buyer to "support" the price, then it is inherently fragile. Bitmine stopping actually forces ETH to prove one thing—it doesn't need to rely on a treasury company to survive.
A more critical detail: structural changes are brewing on the supply side.
The community is indeed discussing EIP-8363—proposing to reduce the annual issuance by about 58.6% under the current staking amount of approximately 42.2 million ETH, lowering the staking annual yield by about 56.4%, with an 18-month transition period. Although this proposal has been withdrawn from the Hegota upgrade, it may be reintroduced through a dedicated consensus process in the future.
But the direction is clear: the Ethereum community is seriously discussing "how to make ETH a deflationary asset again."
Currently, ETH's net daily increase is about 2,980, with an annual inflation rate of about 0.86%. If the issuance reduction proposal is implemented in any form, ETH will shift from "net issuance" back to "quasi-deflationary."
Bitmine's stop in buying happens just on the eve of this turning point.
There is another overlooked signal: restraint itself is value.
Tom Lee chose to stop at 5%, rather than using influence to accumulate indefinitely.
An institution can be the largest participant but should not try to dominate the entire network.
This is not weakness; it is respect for the ecosystem's health. Imagine what would happen if one entity held more than 10% of ETH—that would no longer be Ethereum but the "Bitmine chain."
True long-term investors know where to stop.
The real variable is not "who will take over Bitmine's position."
It is: has Ethereum's narrative changed?
Tom Lee's core logic has never been "treasury companies hoarding coins," but tokenization—BlackRock, JPMorgan, and other traditional institutions will build on Ethereum, with on-chain asset scale penetrating from $3-4 trillion toward the $200 trillion traditional capital pool.
If this trend holds, ETH's demand source will shift from "treasury companies buying up" to "real demand generated by on-chain economic activity."
That is a completely different demand curve—slower but more sustainable.
When expectations are extremely low, the direction is often upward.
Data shows traders believe the probability of ETH reaching $5000 by year-end is only 4%.
4%.
When no one believes, any marginal improvement can become a catalyst. ETF outflows are nearing an end, Bitmine stopping has been fully priced in, issuance reduction discussions are advancing, and tokenization infrastructure is being built.
Pessimism is maxed out. There are only two possibilities next: either more pessimism or a turnaround.
Bitmine stopping buying is a fact. But if you are bearish on the entire asset just because one buyer is exiting, then you are betting that "Ethereum has only one buyer."
That is clearly not true.
ETFs are flowing out, but ETFs have never been the only source of ETH demand. Treasury companies are stopping, but the big trend of tokenization is just beginning.
The market is betting on one buyer leaving, while Ethereum is betting on the arrival of an entire era. $BTC $ETH $STRK October ETFs broadly weakened, with intensified tug-of-war between bulls and bears on the BTC market
Many originally expected a market rebound in October,
but ETF fund data shows reality falling short of expectations.
Spot ETFs for $BTC, $ETH, and $SOL collectively experienced capital outflows in October.
Bitcoin ETFs saw a net outflow of $386.3 million in the first seven trading days of October.
Even a brief inflow on Friday couldn't offset the large-scale exits earlier in the week.
Ethereum ETFs faced even greater pressure, with nine consecutive days of outflows,
accumulating a loss of $635 million in October.
Solana ETFs also saw slight outflows.
Institutional funds are generally retreating, putting significant pressure above the coin prices.
However, on-chain data shows an interesting divergence.
Recently, long-term BTC holders transferred chips to exchanges,
marking the second-largest transfer since the big drop in February this year.
Excluding transfers related to the U.S. government, potentially sellable chips amount to about 14,800 BTC,
many of which are old chips held for six months to several years.
Analysts hold a nuanced view:
Old chip turnover doesn't necessarily mean the market has peaked;
it represents a reshuffling of chips.
If new funds can absorb the sell-off,
ample turnover could actually reduce resistance to subsequent price increases.
Short-term market funds also show reversal signals.
BTC saw a net inflow of 722 BTC in the past 24 hours,
a significant increase compared to the previous day.
The market now is a typical bull-bear game.
Long-term institutions are redeeming ETFs and exiting, old whales are cashing out chips,
while short-term funds are buying the dip.
The tug-of-war between bulls and bears is likely to continue the short-term volatile market. $AEON Originally planned to cut losses as a sacrifice, but the sacrifice didn't happen, and the meat cooked itself. 😂
Last night at dawn, I was watching AEON's rebound; every surge was just short of breath, volume couldn't keep up at all, and the resistance above was tight. Before the market fully started, I already warned that no one was catching on the way up, this was just a false rally, bearish outlook, don't get carried away.
Around 0.06023, I placed a short order on AEON, my hand was actually shaking. The continuous decline gave the answer directly; now at 0.05375, floating profit +214.84%, this cut loss feels good.
First, close 70%, pocket the main profit. Move the stop loss for the remaining 30% to the cost price; if it continues to drop, let the profit run, don't be greedy for the last bit.
The market is to be waited for, profits are to be held for. Panic comes from lack of plan, losses come from overthinking.
For friends who haven't entered yet, listen to me: now is not the time to rush in, chasing shorts easily gets slapped by a rebound. Wait for a more comfortable position in the next round, I will notify immediately.
$LAB $DOGE 🚨 $ETH｜$43.33 million bet on Ethereum, the real risk is not just the direction!
The most noteworthy trades in the market are sometimes not about who made how much, but who took on how much risk.
According to the currently circulating position data, a major ETH long position is about $43.3399 million, holding approximately 17,100 ETH, with an average entry price of $2,543.06, using about 25x leverage.
Several numbers deserve close attention:
📌 Position size: about $43.34 million
📌 Entry price: $2,543.06
📌 Floating loss shown by data: about $146,400
📌 Total account assets: about $2.6897 million
📌 Available margin: shown as $0
📌 Historical cumulative P&L: about a loss of $35.58 million
What needs the most caution is not the short-term ETH price moving a few points up or down, but that when high leverage and limited margin buffer appear simultaneously, the account’s capacity to withstand price fluctuations may be very limited.
However, on-chain position tracking data is only a snapshot at a specific moment; actual risk also depends on account equity, other positions, margin mode, and the exchange’s liquidation rules. The above numbers also need to be verified with the latest data.
My view is: to judge whether a trade is reasonable, you cannot just look at whether the direction is right, but also whether you can bear the loss if the judgment is wrong.
Even if you are optimistic about ETH’s long-term trend, it does not mean high leverage is the best way to express it.
Truly mature trading$FIL I still want to continue holding this FIL 🈳️. Today's high reached 1.2769 but did not hold, showing a clear upper shadow. The 1.3218 resistance level likely won't be surpassed in the short term.
There is heavy selling pressure above; bulls tried to break upward but were pushed down by large sell orders, a common candlestick pattern indicating a short-term top.
Today's rise was driven by halving-related positive news, pushing the price up. The long upper shadow on the close shows significant selling pressure, suggesting profit-taking after the positive news.
Bearish outlook: If it cannot hold above the 1.27 resistance level, a pullback is expected, with the first target at 1.10 support, and further down to 1.05. $BTC｜It's not that I'm bearish on Bitcoin, but the current price is no longer attractive enough.
Many people invest in BTC because they believe it will continue to rise in the future. But I am more concerned about one question: how much profit can be gained from buying now?
Assuming the last BTC peak was about $69,000 and this cycle's peak is about $126,000, the growth rate has clearly narrowed. If the growth rate of each future bull market continues to decline, then even if BTC breaks through $200,000 in the next cycle, investors entering at this stage may not achieve ideal risk-reward.
Of course, this is just a projection based on historical cycles and does not mean BTC cannot break $200,000 in the future.
But one point is worth serious consideration: when an asset's market cap is already large enough, achieving multiple times growth requires an increasingly enormous scale of capital.
Therefore, what I care about now is not how much BTC can still rise, but whether there are more worthwhile opportunities to study.
For example, stocks like $CRCL, if future business growth, valuation expansion, and market sentiment resonate, could theoretically offer higher upside potential. However, high expected returns also mean higher volatility risk, so one should not focus solely on target prices while ignoring fundamentals.
As for $ETH and $ZEC, I prefer to judge them separately based on their respective valuation logic, market cycles, and risk levels, rather than simply assuming other assets are more worth buying just because BTC's expected gains are declining.
My strategy is simple: not driven by fear of missing out Account Position Divergence Radar｜Last 15 Minutes
$GRASS top accounts are more bearish, positions still biased long, price rising. Short accounts' share increased by 1.82 percentage points, short positions' share increased by 0.39 percentage points, still at 48.9%; price +0.85%.To speak from the heart, this time I really hope "Xiao Ma" makes a big profit.
Not because his judgment is so divine, but because this person truly spends money when he wins—he never hesitates to treat his brothers to a meal. People like him are rare in the crypto world, and I’m eager for him to win a few more times.
Look at his latest positions: ETH, entry average price 2,670.25, mark price 2,541.55, 100x leverage (the chart doesn’t show leverage, but with a margin of 289U holding 11.41 ETH, the calculation is about right). Floating loss of 1,468.47U, return rate -481.97%.
BTC, 100x leverage, entry average price 83,936.9, mark price 83,740.1. Floating loss of 49.17U, return rate -23.45%. This position is still small, but 100x means if BTC moves 1% against you, you have to say goodbye to your account.
Then look at SOXL—short position, 10x leverage, entry average price 153.2, mark price 140.59. Floating profit of 340.41U, return rate +82.29%.
This is the real comparative textbook example.
So if he cashes out all this wave, the dinner must be a feast!
#CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验 #机构持续布局，BTC为何仍承压？ #PIMCO警告10年期美债收益率或达6% $BTC $ETH $ZEC $GRASS
Current price 0.8726, 24h increase +16.81%
24h high 0.8872, 24h low 0.6614
Key levels
Resistance: 0.8872 (this round's peak, strong resistance)
Support: 0.6964; SuperTrend trend defense line 0.7457
Market trend analysis
This is a strong rally in the AI sector. Previously, it consolidated for a long time in the 0.6-0.7 range, then surged violently with volume, reaching a high of 0.8872 before a slight pullback. It is currently in a high-level consolidation phase.
1. Strong capital inflow, a large bullish candle broke through the previous consolidation range, triggering bullish sentiment and a short-term trend reversal upward.
2. Trend judgment:
✅ To continue the bull run, it needs to firmly break above the previous high of 0.8872 to open up space above, aiming near 0.9.
❌ If it repeatedly tests 0.8872 but fails to break through, many short-term profit takers will exit, leading to high-level consolidation and shakeout; if it breaks below the 0.7457 trend line, the current upward structure will be broken, and a deep retracement to the 0.6964 support will occur.
Important reminder
After a short-term surge, the coin experiences intense long-short battles with very volatile swings. Chasing at high levels carries huge risks.
0.8872 is the short-term strength dividing line; a breakthrough signals continued bullishness, while resistance and pullback indicate entering consolidation. Strict position control and proper stop-loss are advised.
$BTC $ETH "The Market Reads the Chart Itself"
The real signal from this Fed minutes is not about which way interest rates will go, but that it refuses to provide a roadmap. Although the voting members seem aligned, they leave the next step blank. In the past, traders focused on officials' tone, rushing into risk assets at any dovish hint; now they can only interpret CPI, nonfarm payrolls, and PCE themselves. The era of forward guidance is fading, and data-driven pricing is taking over.
$BTC fears moments like this the most. It relies on easing expectations to survive; once the rate cut story stops, the fuel runs out, and it can only endure within a range, waiting for inflation data to deal the cards. ETH is also in a bind: staking yields can't compete with U.S. Treasuries, the ecosystem lacks new narratives, and when funds calculate cost-effectiveness, they sell fast and buy slow.
$XAUT, on the other hand, remains composed. Gold doesn't rely on Fed liquidity but on the loosening of the dollar's credit margin and continuous central bank purchases. When policy no longer acts as a caretaker, assets must carry their own logic. Only those who can shed the crutch of expectations can stand firm.
When the market no longer waits for the starting gun, only assets that can find their own rhythm will stay in the game. #CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验 #机构持续布局，BTC为何仍承压？ Here are some survival rules for the crypto world, all straight talk:
1. If you want to survive long-term and make money in crypto, focus on the top mainstream coins. Don’t keep chasing quick riches with those messy small coins. Just rotating among BTC, ETH, SOL, and BNB is enough.
2. After choosing your targets, the key is to judge the major cycle. Hold steady during a major upward trend. This process is tough and may last 2-3 years, but the returns won’t disappoint—steady gains of 3-5x are quite achievable.
3. If 3-5x isn’t enough and you want to be more aggressive, learn some technical skills from experienced veterans or study candlestick charts yourself. During this 2-3 year major cycle, you can do some medium to large swing trades. This way, achieving 5-10x returns is entirely possible.
4. Once the big trend confirms a bull market, you can allocate a small portion of your funds to invest in leading potential coins in popular sectors. These coins have the chance to yield 10x or even higher returns.
5. The most challenging step: time your exit at the relative top of the major cycle, decisively take profits, and lock in gains. Don’t be greedy—avoid large profit drawdowns and turn your paper gains into real money in your pocket.
6. Iron rule: never touch leveraged contracts! That’s a one-way street. The end of contracts is only one thing—liquidation. No matter how many times you multiply your gains along the way, it’s just a process. One zeroing event and it’s all gone. $BTC $ETH $ZEC #CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验 Originally listed as "freezable," 1,110,000 USDC has been transferred out. On October 11 at 15:57:59 (Beijing time), 0x816d…cdf8 transferred 1,110,263.815937 USDC to 0xa2ca…9b09, with the on-chain transaction successful. The recipient's identity is unknown.
In Bitquery's update on the 11th, the withdrawal address was added to the tracking list for the CryptoBilis fund loss case. As of about 14:00 Beijing time, statistics showed that five addresses collectively held 5.35 million USDC. This transfer occurred after the snapshot, so the old balance is outdated.
The research describes the related route as ETH passing through a mixing service, then Zcash, and finally converted back to USDC. The privacy transactions in the middle interrupt direct tracking; attribution relies on matching amounts and times, which is a research judgment; the transfer itself can be directly verified on-chain. ETH, ZEC, and USDC correspond to the assets along this route.
"Freezable" is a permission; only "frozen" is the actual state. Subsequent changes in balance and restriction status will be monitored. The cause of the device theft remains subject to investigation.
Source: Bitquery October 11 update, Etherscan transaction 0xbede0c2a…414db3c1; reviewed on October 12. The accompanying image is the original transaction page, with the lower section serving only as related spot market navigation. #Ledger确认一台涉事设备遭硬件植入 $ETH $ZEC $USDⓈ #俄罗斯放宽柴油出口，霍尔木兹风险仍支撑油价 Russia has eased diesel export restrictions early this week. Novak announced an additional supply of 300,000 tons in October, 500,000 tons in November, and a surge to 1 million tons in December, with 500,000 tons entering the market at this stage. I think this can give the global diesel shortage some relief. The US diesel retail price has remained above $6.2 recently. However, I believe the risk in the Hormuz Strait has not disappeared. Over the weekend, oil tankers were attacked again, and Brent crude oil prices remain steady around $105, with risk premiums still supporting the market. It is recommended to closely monitor actual export deliveries and the navigation situation in the strait. Don't expect a significant short-term drop in oil prices. $BTC Yesterday I was greedy with lit. I originally wanted to exit at 60% profit in the evening, but greed still overcame reason, resulting in a stop loss exit in the end.
During this period, I dare not be greedy whether going long or short in the market. It feels like whenever I get greedy, something goes wrong. This kind of market often jumps up and down repeatedly, making it impossible to find an accurate direction, so it's better to stay still and not trade.
This time I learned a lesson, I won't be greedy next time.
#CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验 $LIT Last night I had a 100x ETH short position with a stop loss at 2507.8. I just closed it not long ago, then it directly surged to 2554. If I had been reckless and not closed it, my account would have been wiped out by now. It really gave me a cold sweat.
Overnight BTC hovered around 83000 without breaking out in any direction. ETH surged to 2554 then pulled back, now fluctuating around 2538. Liquidity will return Monday morning, and volatility will be greater than over the weekend.
This morning's order plan: If ETH retraces to 2500-2520 and stabilizes with low volume, I'll place a small long position with a stop loss at 2480. The target is first 2550, then 2580. If it breaks below 2480 directly, I won't enter, indicating this rally was a fakeout. For now, I won't touch BTC; it's stuck without direction, so I'll wait for it to move on its own.
That position last night already scared me enough. Today I will firmly avoid recklessness and stick to the plan.
$ETH #CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验
#ETH触及2500美元后震荡
#PIMCO警告10年期美债收益率或达6%
Personal plan, not investment adviceA few years ago, Ethereum L2 was once one of the hottest sectors in the crypto market. Projects like Arbitrum and Optimism quickly rose to prominence due to their low cost and high performance advantages. However, as the number of L2s continued to increase, issues such as liquidity fragmentation, insufficient revenue, and limited token value capture gradually emerged, causing many L2s to fall out of favor. Recently, changes indicate that L2 has not stagnated but is instead trying to find new directions for development. In March this year, the Ethereum Foundation discussed this shift in an article about the relationship between L1 and L2. The role of L2 should not only be to help Ethereum scale but also to provide differentiated features, customized services, and more flexible application environments. $ETH Optimism is attempting to follow this path. Last week, Uniswap Labs announced that Unichain will upgrade to OP Enterprise, with Optimism responsible for the sequencer, node infrastructure, monitoring, and fault response operations. The mainnet migration is planned to be completed by the end of October. This means Optimism is moving beyond just providing the OP Stack technical framework to offering a full suite of blockchain operation services. Application teams can focus more on products and users without having to independently handle all infrastructure work. If this model can continue to develop, the value of OP Stack will no longer be limited to the OP mainnet but will have the opportunity to come from more dedicated chains adopting its technology and services. Of course, outsourcing operations does not mean riskSolana captured 65% of the on-chain tokenized stock trading volume in a single day, 85% more than the combined total of other chains; at the end of September, Robinhood Chain once overtook with a 39% share.
On-chain US stocks, $SOL takes two-thirds
$SOL really has something going on. On-chain US stock trading volume in a single day is 65% on Solana, 85% more than other chains, with Q2 reaching $5.8 billion, doubling quarter-over-quarter. 63% of trades occur during US stock market off-hours, and 850,000 wallets trade US stocks on-chain. $SOL might be the first to take the plunge. However, at the end of September, Robinhood Chain surpassed once with 39%, so the throne is not yet secure. Net inflow is fake; short-term money is flowing out
$BTC current price is around 83,000, down 34% from the peak.
This level is not just any price.
Where does this money come from:
A net outflow of 3.313 billion in one week, indicating short-term funds are withdrawing.
1.72 billion ran out in 4 hours, 8.07 million in 5 minutes.
How is this number calculated:
Spot ETFs have had a net outflow of 542 million for 9 consecutive days.
BlackRock alone withdrew 477 million.
Working backward, the average ETF cost is around 83,000.
Many people see the 24-hour net inflow is still positive.
They just think money is coming in.
Actually, after large inflows and outflows hedge each other, the remainder is the net amount.
Short-term funds have already left.
83,000 is the average cost line for ETFs.
If it breaks below, the next level to watch is 77,000.
The predicted market probability of breaking below 80,000 in October is 67%.
Stop-loss orders placed between 80,000 and 83,000 have already been swept.
#机构持续布局，BTC为何仍承压？
#黄金ETF创纪录吸金，高利率仍压制金价 #交易之声：你的经验值得被听到 $BTC $USELESS Last night I was still calculating if I had enough instant noodle money for this month, and this morning I was already thinking about whether to add sausage 🍜
Just finished lunch and checked the market, it was still grinding there, making people uneasy. I saw that there were always buyers below, selling pressure was met with buy orders, and the volume was not small, so I knew: it wouldn't drop deeply.
Later, the wait paid off. I bought a lot at 0.17733, now it's 0.20249, floating profit +141.93%. Brothers, this gain feels good, the wait was worth it.
I still follow the old rule for my position: take 70% off the table first, and keep the remaining 30% with a stop at cost price. If it keeps rising, let the profit run; I don't want to be greedy for the last bit, nor do I want to give back what I've already gained.
Even if the profit isn't much, as long as you can take it away, it's yours; any extra floating profit belongs to the market.
Being out of position isn't a sin; opening positions recklessly is the mistake. Wait for the next shot, chasing hard at this level easily leads to losses. Opportunities aren't lacking, patience is.
$BTC $BNB $ETH is really about to crash this time, how did Ethereum surge so much? Should I cut losses or not? It's about to explode now
Can it still drop further, brothers? I can't hold on much longer
I shorted Ethereum from 2492, but it was too aggressive, missed the small gains and lost the big watermelon
Yesterday it stayed steady at 2500, I felt something was off, and last night it suddenly surged
Did Huang Mao release some news again last night?
This wave really lost big because of small gains
$BTC Bitcoin is the same now
It actually broke through 84000
This level is really going back up
There is absolutely no pressure from long positions trying to break even, it's all short positions being cleaned out
Every rally now is very steady
It's completely like climbing stairs
Won't the US market tonight push it to 85000?
It has rebounded all the way from 80351
Without any decent pullback
Such a strong rebound, maybe the bull market is really starting
I haven't bottomed out yet, should I reverse and chase longs?
Feels like it's already too late $ICP ten times shorting, I don't think it makes much sense. Even if the world computer can be implemented, it could never be like it is now, where the entire execution process is run by all nodes.🚨 Liquidation map is here! $BTC, $ETH, $SOL, $ZEC — who will liquidate first?
Here's the key for the bros: in the 24-hour liquidation data, both longs and shorts have significant positions; the key is which side the price hits first!
🔸 $BTC: $83,889
Above $84,705, about $29.23 million in short positions await liquidation; below $82,188, about $40.31 million in long positions await liquidation. The liquidation amount below is larger, so bulls shouldn't celebrate too soon.
🔸 $ETH: $2,544
Above $2,568 and below $2,509, liquidation amounts for both longs and shorts are around $22.79 million, very close to the current price, possibly leading to intense short-term volatility.
🔸 $SOL: $111.54
Above $113.37, $5.22 million in short positions await liquidation; below $108.39, $3.26 million in long positions await liquidation.
🔸 $ZEC: $1,281
Above $1,306, $760,000 in short positions await liquidation; below $1,239, $920,000 in long positions await liquidation, with slightly more pressure below.
**My judgment:** Focus on $BTC at $84,700 and $82,190, and $ETH at $2,568 and $2,509. Liquidation zones may amplify the market moves but don't guarantee the price will reach them.
Don't rush to guess the direction; wait for breakout confirmation before acting. What do you think will liquidate first this round, shorts or longs? See you in the comments!🚨 Went all-in short on $STRK with 280,000 U… Now facing a floating loss of over 93,000 U!
My entry was at 0.07343, but $STRK has surged to around 0.11025, with its peak reaching 0.12399. The unrealized loss has exceeded 93,000 U, equivalent to approximately 650,000 RMB!
Honestly, this rally has completely caught me off guard.
At first, I thought $STRK had already risen enough and was due for a pullback. Instead, the moment I opened my short, the price kept climbing. #DailyOrbit Just woke up, equity is 568U, a bit up from yesterday. Closed 9 positions this morning and made 83U, the quick trades on $ZEC and $W last night went well. But looking at the few I’m still holding, my head starts hurting again.
This short on $STRK is really killing me, I shorted at 0.09188, held it for over a day, now it’s flying at 0.12005, up 17 points in one day. This position lost me 76U, over 1500% of the margin, crazy.
The long on $APR has also been held for over a day, cost 0.07540, now 0.07410, lost less than 2U, dragging on.
The short on $MAGIC was opened seven hours ago at 0.13695, now 0.13890, lost 1.56U. It rose 44 points in one day, too strong, I need to watch closely for an exit opportunity.
Only $ZEC gives some comfort, long opened four hours ago at 1265 with 50x leverage, now 1282, earned 27U. It rose nearly 5 points in one day, I plan to hold a bit longer.
Doing the math, closed positions earned 83, but these three losing positions in hand add up to a loss of 80, so today was basically a wash. I’m still watching $UMA and $TRB, $UMA is steady at 0.417, $TRB is close to 19.45.
Good morning, genius traders.SOL BOUNCE IS NOT CONFIRMATION YET
After the 124.96 peak, $SOL sold off hard and now trades at 111.62, inside a 108.97–112.74 24h range. 7D is -7.59%, yet 90D is +43.34%. I'm reminding myself that recoveries need patience, not excitement.
What does confirmation look like for you?
#SOLRallyGainsSupport Sự kiện: Các ngân hàng tư nhân phục vụ nhóm khách hàng cá nhân có tài sản ròng siêu cao (UHNWIs) tại Zurich và Singapore báo cáo số lượng yêu cầu mở tài khoản lưu ký Bitcoin trực tiếp tăng 25% trong quý vừa qua. Notes Phân tích chi tiết: Dịch chuyển từ ETF sang Spot lưu ký: Nhóm khách hàng giàu có có xu hướng chuyển từ việc nắm giữ chứng chỉ ETF sang sở hữu trực tiếp Bitcoin thông qua dịch vụ lưu ký chuẩn mực của ngân hàng tư nhân để tránh rủi ro trung gian tài chính và phí quản lý hàng năm. PhòDon't get chopped up by this institutional pullback. 🤫
$BTC, $ETH, and $XRP are facing short-term pressure because spot ETF inflows have completely slowed down. Wall Street is sitting on its hands waiting for the US consumer inflation data later this week.
This is a classic pre-macro waiting game. Liquidity is thin, meaning market makers will look to hunt late leverage wicks.
Are you building spot positions here or waiting for the CPI print? 👇
#Bitcoin #MacroEconomics #CPI #OKXOrbit #CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验 #机构持续布局，BTC为何仍承压？ #PIMCO警告10年期美债收益率或达6%
What you see is not dawn, but a bit of light leaking through the clouds. It’s real, but not bright enough.
$BTC still carries an old burden overhead—around 85000, where trapped positions and dense trading zones overlap. The closer the price gets, the more people want to exit. So don’t rush to call a reversal. Only by breaking through with volume and holding above 85000 can the door be considered opened; otherwise, this is just a deep correction, and a retest is bound to come.
$ETH climbed from 2350 to 2470, like sitting up after a fever, but not yet out of bed. None of the previously broken key levels have been reclaimed. 2520 is the point where it can lift its head; if 2430 breaks again, 2350 will be retested.
$SOL fluctuated from 102 to 108, seemingly rising, but the cap above hasn’t been lifted. Chasing it at this stage, even if the direction is right, could lead to being shaken out.
So for now:
BTC—wait to hold above 85000 before talking about offense.
ETH—just watch 2520 and 2430, don’t overthink.
SOL—put it aside for now; not every ride is worth taking.
In the mid to long term, I’m still bullish; this cycle may not be over yet. But being bullish is one thing, chasing every green candle is another kind of problem.
When confused, don’t rush to find direction. First, find your own rules again. Direction comes from waiting, not rushing.ETH staking queue, the entrance is more crowded than the exit
This morning, reading the Validator Queue, about 1,299,000 ETH are waiting to enter staking, and about 876,000 are waiting to exit. Both sides are queuing, but the backlog at the entrance is larger. Focusing only on the exit queue misses the fact that there are still people willing to lock ETH into the validation network.
The ETH entering the queue has already been used by holders to apply for staking, so the entire amount cannot be treated as unexecuted spot buy orders; exiting also requires processing time, and how the coins are used after retrieval is another matter.
I prefer to understand this as an adjustment in holding methods: some people want to restore liquidity, while others accept locking. To determine whether a sustained net inflow has formed, one must look at the actual completed inflow and outflow volumes, rather than simply subtracting the two queues.$XAU Honestly, I myself think it's quite lucky this trade has lasted until now, luck played a big part.
Last night at dawn, I was watching the XAU long position; the support didn't break, the bottom was grinding sideways. I'll just say one thing: there's someone buying below, don't cut recklessly. From 4,134.0 all the way up to 4,209.0, floating profit +181.18%, this gain feels good.
Take profit on 70% first, move the stop to the cost price for the remaining 30%, let the profit run if it keeps going, don't be greedy for the last bit.
The market is waited for, profits are held for. Panic comes from no plan, losses come from overthinking.
For friends who haven't entered, listen to me: now is not the time to rush, wait for a more comfortable position in the next round, watch for a new structure to form.
$LAB $DOGE Russia and Ukraine reach an energy agreement, is the market sentiment changing again?
Woke up to find oil prices falling below $90, gold climbing back above the $4200 mark, and BTC also rising in sync, touching $84,000. Turns out it’s Yellow Hair causing trouble again. According to reports, US President Trump stated on the 11th that the Russia-Ukraine conflict is entering an energy ceasefire immediately.
Logically, this should be a definite positive, but a deeper analysis shows that Trump’s move is an attempt to lower raw material prices before the midterm elections to gain votes. The problem is that Russia’s attacks on Ukraine’s energy infrastructure continue, and it’s still unclear whether the ceasefire will be truly implemented.
During the Asian session, BTC opened high but fell, nothing much to say, keep shorting; if it rebounds, don’t go long—short at the floor? Short BTC near 84,000, target 81,800, stop loss 84,750. Same for ETH, short near 2,550, target around 2,430, stop loss 2,610.
#CPI与PPI公布在即，加息预期迎考验 $BTC $ETH 🔴 Day 182 of live trading｜$ETH rebounds 140 points and people are already calling it a reversal? Don’t be so quick to celebrate!
📉 1. The price has rebounded, but has the trend really reversed?
ETH has posed a tough question to the market again today.
It bounced from around 2406 to 2544, pulling back about 140 points in a short move. Many see the green candlestick and immediately think: Has the bottom been confirmed? Is a reversal imminent?
But I want to say, a rebound does not equal a reversal, and a price recovery doesn’t mean the bears have conceded.
According to this market record, ETH’s weekly performance still warrants caution; don’t rush to change your judgment just because of a short-term rally.
📊 2. Volume is the key!
What’s most important about this rebound isn’t how much it rose, but whether there was enough capital supporting the rise.
The raw data shows that volume during the upward phase was only about half of what it was during the previous downtrend. If this continues to be confirmed, it means the strength of the rebound still needs further validation.
Without sustained buying, once the price encounters heavy selling pressure, it could fall back into consolidation.
⚠️ 3. The 2560–2600 range is the area to watch next!
This range is seen as a key short-term resistance zone, and the 30-day moving average may also exert pressure on the price.
If $ETH can break through with volume and hold above, the bearish thesis needs to be reassessed; if multiple attempts to rally fail, be wary of weakening rebound momentum.
Remember: resistance levels are not guaranteed points of decline, and support levels$TRUMP Why does Trump Coin still carry risks after its rebound?
I believe three key factors need to be focused on.
1. Team wallets transferring tokens to exchanges
According to reports dated October 7, 2026, wallets associated with the Trump Coin team transferred approximately 81.87 million TRUMP tokens to centralized exchanges including Binance and OKX over the past eight months. Based on the transfer prices, this amounts to about $249 million. Analysis also points out that team-related wallets still hold a large amount of tokens.
Why is this important?
Because a large influx of tokens into exchanges could indicate potential selling pressure in the future.
However, two concepts must be distinguished here:
* Transferring tokens to exchanges does not equal selling them.
* If there is a continuous large transfer to exchanges while the price struggles to rise, increased selling pressure should be watched out for.
Therefore, future observations should not only focus on price increases but also monitor transfers from team-related wallets.
2. Holder event on November 22 may trigger speculation
According to recent public reports, the Trump Coin team plans to hold an event for some large holders on November 22, 2026. It is important to note: having an event does not necessarily mean the coin price will rise.
The market may trade on expectations in advance or sell after the news is realized.
3. Trump Coin lacks clear fundamental value support
It should not be regarded as a traditional asset with stable cash flow or clear practical value. Related documents also emphasize the risk that investors may lose their entire investment.$XAU
Morning Gold Analysis by Chuize on 10.12
Last Friday, gold made a deep V-shaped reversal. After dipping to a low of 4063, the price quickly recovered, closing near 4190 at the end of the session. The weekly candle formed a long lower shadow bullish candle, indicating buying interest at low levels and a shift into a wide-range consolidation.
Multi-period moving averages have turned upward forming support, Bollinger Bands are opening upward, and the price is pressing near the upper band. The KDJ indicator has entered a high level, suggesting a short-term need for a pullback to gather momentum.
On the 1-hour chart, consecutive bullish candles have pushed the price firmly above all moving averages, showing clear dominance by the bulls. However, the upward momentum on the 30-minute and 5-minute charts has slowed, indicating a short-term technical retracement is needed. The overall weak head-and-shoulders pattern has not been completely broken.
Gold is expected to short near 4215-4235, targeting 4170-4150. A break below that looks toward 4110! $BTC $ETH $BTC
BTC closed this morning with a bullish candlestick featuring upper and lower shadows, marking three consecutive daily bullish candles; the weekly chart closed with a long lower shadow bearish candlestick.
Over the weekend, BTC traded sideways around 8.28. It was emphasized that as long as it breaks and stabilizes above 8.28, one can follow the trend to go long. Last night confirmed my view, with BTC spiking up to around 8.42. Those holding long positions still have a profit of 1000 points.
BTC is in a consolidating upward structure. The 8.44 level is where the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement and resistance converge. Long holders should consider reducing positions or exiting near this level. There will also be consensus selling pressure forming here to short. For BTC to break through this resistance, it needs to repeatedly test the resistance to absorb orders and capture liquidity above.
BTC is a bullish continuation structure, primarily focusing on buying on dips and not considering shorting at resistance.