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Yes, your inventory is exactly right, this is the latest market situation from Brother Maji today.
*Let's verify the numbers you mentioned:*
Latest on-chain Lookonchain: 34,100 $ETH (92.98 million) + 456 $BTC (39.41 million) + 174,500 $HYPE (15.84 million) + 425 million $PUMP (2.72 million), totaling 151 million, the total position is at the 152 million level you mentioned afbc
All the details you mentioned are correct:
- *467 BTC with a cost of 84,800, floating profit of 828,300, liquidation price 67,000*: He has been reducing the position from 950,000 USD on September 20, using 40x leverage, but pushed the liquidation price from 47,000 to 67,000, increasing the safety margin while collecting profits
- *34,000 BTC with floating profit of 1,493,800, liquidation price 2,461*: 25x leverage, was at a floating loss of 100,000 on September 23, now turned positive 1.5 million, operation space opened
- *175,000 HYPE held, floating profit 145,000, liquidation price 35.9*: 10x leverage, low-risk base position
- *180 million PUMP with a small loss of 5,246*: 12 consecutive wins in the past week, total profit 2.14 million, pure trial, previously fully closed on September 29 with a profit of 827,000
*The most impressive is not how much profit, but the method:*
Others chase highs and sell lows, he *takes profits first, keeps the core position intact, and pushes the liquidation line further away*.I was stunned watching the news about HYPE today.
They released data showing only 25 users paid the priority reading fee, spending a total of 5.3 million USD, with the top two accounts covering 80% of that.
To put it simply: 25 people are supporting the liquidity of the entire chain.
My first thought wasn’t about market cap, but whether these 25 people will double-check their account numbers before shutting down their computers this week — any move from them could easily cause a price crash.
The spot price is over 93, which isn’t cheap, but this kind of structure relying heavily on a few big holders is hardly an advantage. I don’t deny that on-chain activity is genuinely happening, but I wouldn’t dare to hold it as my main position. $HYPE $AKE, shorted at 0.0346 with 20x leverage, currently at 0.03129 floating profit of 191.32%. Shorting small coins at high levels, if the direction is right, you feast.
The short position nearly doubled, honestly it was lucky. But when luck comes, you have to catch it—no adding positions, no chasing, holding the original position, and now even less likely to get carried away. After a big profit on the 20x short, the biggest fear is a rebound shakeout, I'm ready to exit anytime.
The core of this trade: huge short profits are nearing the end, protecting profits is priority, don't consider yourself a prophet. $BTC $ETH #霍尔木兹仍未开放，OPEC+维持11月产量不变 🚨 DON’T GET FOOLED BY THIS BTC PUMP.
$BTC just pushed toward $87K, but the spot flow isn’t convincing. The 1-hour net inflow is only around $20M — hardly what I’d call a real volume breakout.
Price pumped, shorts got squeezed, then BTC got rejected at $86,994 and slipped back toward $86K. That long upper wick says a lot.
To me, this looks more like a bull trap than a clean breakout.
My short from $83,774 is currently under pressure, but I’m staying patient.
#DailyOrbit $FET This one has me a bit confused.
Usually its volume is like that, but today the trading volume doubled, and the price followed upward. This is what real buying looks like. What's abnormal? It's in the top tier of the gainers list, volume has surged, but there are barely any trending posts yet—this means the money is moving fast, coming in fast, and the regulars in the market haven’t noticed yet.
I’m always cautious about things that "no one is talking about but the money arrives first." Russia has officially opened registration applications for crypto exchanges.
The most noteworthy aspect of this news is not just that "Russia has opened up crypto," but that it and the United States are taking two completely different regulatory paths.
The U.S. seems to clarify the rules first before deciding how to allow operations; Russia, on the other hand, appears to establish the legal framework first and then bring the industry under regulatory oversight.
One is slow, the other fast.
But "who runs faster" is actually not the point.
Russia opening the registration gateway is convenient for the industry and also means stronger control for the state.
Exchanges obtaining legal status also means that regulatory boundaries are truly set.
Therefore, regulatory openness is always two sides of the same coin:
Opening up means gaining legal status; regulation means paying the institutional cost.
What is truly worth observing is not how much faster Russia is than the U.S., but where these two approaches will lead the crypto industry in a few years.$OKB This 20x long position is held tight. Entered at 120.16, now at 127.11, floating profit 115.67%. The main force repeatedly tests around 120, with wicks up and down shaking the market, how many chips have been scared out?
I watch the order book and notice that every time it dips below 120, large orders catch it—clearly institutions accumulating. This kind of shakeout tactic is classic, deliberately creating panic to make you give up your chips.
I gritted my teeth and held on, today it directly surged. Trading is a game of human nature; if you can withstand the shakeout, the profit is yours. Keep holding, don’t guess the top, let the profit run. $ETH $BTC #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 PUMP at $0.0064, do you want to bet on it?
Do you think PUMP has dropped 99%? First, check if you missed a zero on your screen. 0.0064 is not 0.064; a decimal point off by one place could mean your position is already liquidated.
Let's look at the surface: from 0.00115 to 0.0068, it rose 5 times but is still 27% below the ATH.
June low was 0.00115, from August to September it rose from 0.002 to 0.006, on September 29 it surged to 0.0060, on October 4 it touched 0.00681, now at 0.0064. Up 30% in 7 days, 50% in 30 days, market cap 3 billion, circulating supply 464 billion tokens, total supply 1 trillion.
Candlesticks tell you: daily chart is flat, 4-hour chart is trading within a 0.0062-0.0068 range. Volume is smaller than the spike on September 28-29, indicating digestion, not a main rally. 0.0064 is stuck in the middle of the range, with resistance above and below.
First thing: buybacks are burning money but not creating a floor.
The platform uses 50% of net income to buy PUMP and permanently burn it, with the contract locked for one year. By the end of September, cumulative buybacks and burns reached $466 million, 168.6 billion tokens, accounting for 17% of total supply. Daily buybacks are $1.1-1.2 million, annualized income scale is 500 million tokens.
Sounds impressive? But before April, $350 million was already spent on buybacks, and the price still fell back near the issue price.
Buybacks are not a floor, just a placebo. Income follows fees; when the meme cools, buying stops. Historically, buybacks never supported lows below 0.004.
Second thing: the 20% rise in September was not due to buybacks.
The 20% rise on September 28-29 led many to shout "buybacks are kicking in." The truth is: the platform's token issuance and derivatives trading volume both expanded simultaneously, with leverage covering pushing the price up. The SEC's September 25 staff guidance on buyback disclosures was misinterpreted by some traders as a positive — it was just sentiment, not an exemption.
More painfully: about one-third of the supply is still locked with internal related parties. Circulation is already large, and unlocking plus market-making selling pressure outweighs the daily $1 million buyback.
If you buy at 0.0064, insiders holding at 0.001 are laughing.
Third thing: fundamentals are real, but income is pro-cyclical.
Pump.fun remains the largest meme launchpad on Solana; bonding curve, PumpSwap, Terminal all take fees, with creator shares totaling over $86 million. Token capture is that 50% net income buyback and burn.
But risks are tougher:
The meme cools, buybacks shrink immediately
Derivatives positions often exceed spot, 0.0064 can be easily leveraged up
Already several times the June low of 0.00115, but only partially recovered from ATH
At 0.0064 you are buying "fees still exist," not "scarcity fully priced."
Bull vs. bear, you decide:
On one side:
Real buybacks with real money, cumulative burn 17%
Largest meme launchpad on Solana, real income
BTC steady above 85,000, risk appetite better than late September
7-day rise of 30%, short-term upward trend
On the other side:
Spent $350 million on buybacks in April but still fell back to issue price
One-third of tokens locked internally, unlocking selling pressure heavier
Income is pro-cyclical, meme cools, buybacks stop
Failed three times at 0.0066-0.0068, ATH 0.0088 is out of reach
Key level 0.0064, breaking 0.0062 means deep retracement.
Resistance above: 0.0066-0.0068 → 0.0070 → 0.0088-0.0090 (ATH)
Support below: 0.0062 → 0.0058-0.0060 → 0.0051-0.0054 → 0.0047
Trading strategy
Aggressive:
Light long positions near 0.0064, stop loss at 0.00615. First target 0.0067, second target 0.0068. Reduce half at 0.0067.
Conservative:
Wait for 0.0058-0.0060, stop loss at 0.00545. Better entry at 0.0051-0.0054. If not reached, take a small position.
Breakout:
Only consider chasing if volume breaks and holds above 0.00685, with pullback not below 0.0066. Targets 0.0072, 0.0078. Abandon false breakouts.
Bearish:
Light short on weak rallies at 0.0067-0.0068, stop loss 0.00695, targets 0.0062, 0.0058. Avoid holding shorts near 0.0062.
Position sizing:
Single trade risk no more than 1.5% of total capital, leverage recommended no more than 3x. This kind of asset can move 10% daily, positions more aggressive than spot.
Risk management priority:
If breaks 0.0062 with volume, next supports at 0.0058, 0.0051, reduce positions first.
If BTC falls below 84,500, reduce PUMP leverage first.
If platform daily income drops and buybacks nearly stop, 0.0064 likely to fail.
The buyback story is fees burning tokens, not scarcity ending. 0.0064 is for range trading, not all-in ATH.
Watch two things: can 0.0062 hold, and is daily buyback still near $1 million.
$BTC $ETH $PUMP $ONDO This trade was opened long at 0.4931 with 50x leverage, now at 0.5054 floating profit is 124.72%. At the time, I felt this price level had support so I went for it. With 50x leverage, the volatility is indeed huge; even a single spike can make your heart race.
Haven't moved since entering, there were definitely pullbacks in between. I didn't panic when floating profits shrank because the entry logic still held. Now it's doubled, but the sense of security with 50x leverage is actually very thin; no matter how big the profit, it can't withstand a single adverse move.
This trade made me realize: making double profit at 50x leverage, the key is not to hold on longer, but to figure out how to turn the profit into reality. The market is still favorable, but I'm already looking for an exit plan. $BTC $ETH #OKXNOW直播：就在明天，速来预约！ $CORE circulation rate did not increase today, circulation volume increased by more than 100,000, trading volume has been a bit low these days, it seems liquidity has met the standard, so it won't hit the delisting risk 😂Brothers, I'm still holding these two short positions on $ZEC and $ETH! ZEC SHORT: Avg 1317.3 | Current 1318.48 | -0.23% slight loss ETH SHORT: Avg 2713.73 | Current 2695.74 | +1.98% floating profit in hand Why I'm firmly shorting? ZEC: Dropped >20% from high 1698, each rebound weaker than last. 1400-1450 range above is all trapped positions; any surge there is just to help people break even. ETH: Even clearer: tried to break 2750 three times but failed each time, volume decreasing each time, MAFocus on making up losses wherever they occur
$ARB long position at 0.2, added more later
Although I recovered the previous long's profit, I just went short again
Who the hell knows it's this strong, originally set at 466, changed to 566, but it damn well ran to 700
Now there's a floating short loss at 0.2057 This $MUBARAK order entered long at 0.066247 with 20x leverage, now at 0.077588, +342.38%. Small coins have this characteristic: usually silent, but once they move, they soar directly.
With 20x leverage amplifying it threefold, honestly, there was some luck. But when luck comes, you have to catch it—I didn’t sell at the doubling point, nor did I add positions during the huge profit, just held the old position.
This stage is the most dangerous because the profit is too tempting and makes you want more. I actually want an exit strategy; I know how small coins usually behave after a surge, so I’m not attached to fighting on. $BTC $ETH #霍尔木兹仍未开放，OPEC+维持11月产量不变 October 5 · $ZEC: When the tide goes out, you see who's swimming naked
OKX ZEC is currently around $1,307, sliding from a high of $1,367 today, down about 1.7%, with 24-hour volume at $78 million — volume remains, but direction is lost.
Looking back at this run: on September 27, it hit an all-time high of $1,697, up over 180% in three months, now pulling back nearly 23%. The sharp drop is due to heavy leverage — open interest contracts cut from $3.4 billion to $2.13 billion, and Grayscale Zcash ETF saw $93 million outflows in a week. It's not a collapse of faith, it's money pulling out.
The support at $1,280–1,300 is critical; holding it means a breather, breaking it points to $1,150. Resistance at $1,400–1,450 is the real threshold to reclaim lost ground. The good news: the NU7 testnet is expected to launch on October 6, a catalyst right on the horizon.
A coin that tripled in value pulling back 20% is normal. Don't sell your cheapest chips at the worst moment. But don't rush to bottom-fish either — waiting for $1,300 to hold is smarter than guessing the bottom.
$BTC $ETH #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 #霍尔木兹仍未开放，OPEC+维持11月产量不变 #OKXNOW直播：就在明天，速来预约！ *Bitcoin $BTC Latest October 5th, 11 PM Chinese Version*
*Price: $84,300, low volume grinding over the weekend*
- Current price $84.2K-$84.5K, after previously surging to the stage high of $86,999 then pulling back, your long position at $85,000-$85,300 with stop loss at $84,700 and target at $85,900 $86,400 is on point
- Volume is only $2.2 billion, US stock market is closed, weekends are just fee-driven trading, real volume to break above $85K will have to wait for Monday when US stocks open
- $82K you mentioned is correct, but not breaking below doesn’t mean holding firm, $84,200 is the weekend bottom, if it breaks below look at $82K, only above $85K will it turn strong
*Funds: ETF divergence, you got it all right*
- *$BTC spot ETF back to inflows:* Net inflow of $2.65 billion in September, biggest week last week +$2.4 billion, 12 consecutive weeks of inflows, pulling this year from negative back to positive +$934 million, VanEck says $BTC dominance will continue to expand
- *$ETH funds continue to outflow:* Last week -$138 million, exchange rate falling, money flowing from $ETH to $BTC $SOL $BNB
- Contract fee rate 0.01% annualized 10.95% is too expensive, $56.2 billion leverage, avoid heavy positions over the weekend, single trade loss control within $50 (your $1000 challenge mode) The euro has fallen against the US dollar again.
EUR/USD dropped to around 1.116, a single-day decline of about 0.8%, accumulating a drop of about 4.5% since August, marking the weakest level in 17 months.
On the surface, it looks like an exchange rate issue, but behind it are France's debt pressure, the widening bond yield spread between France and Germany, and Europe's sluggish growth, all jointly driving a re-pricing of European assets.
This is also why I believe this matter deserves attention from the crypto market.
A stronger US dollar usually means global funds prefer dollar assets and dollar bonds. For BTC, this is not just an exchange rate change; it could also mean a decline in risk appetite and liquidity being drained by the dollar.
So what really matters to watch is not "how much the euro has fallen," but "whether credit divergence within Europe is widening."
If sovereign credit pressure continues to rise, funds tend to first embrace the dollar and then look for alternative assets.
For BTC to be regarded as "digital gold," it may first need to withstand this round of dollar siphoning.$SOON Perpetual 20x short position, opened at 0.3661, now at 0.3364, floating profit +162.25%.
The logic is simple: the 0.366 whole number resistance was tested three times without breaking, volume decreased, clear top pattern. Finally waited for a bearish candle to short. 20x leverage, stop loss at 0.37. The movement is very smooth, no chance for a rebound.
Trailing stop moved to 0.34 to lock in profits. If volume breaks above 0.33, can hold a bit longer.
$ZEC $ETH #霍尔木兹仍未开放，OPEC+维持11月产量不变 This $AEON order, 0.05305 long, 20x leverage, currently at 0.0554, +88.59%. Entered because I felt there was capital at this dip, so I followed.
I didn't watch it too closely during the process; watching too much makes me want to trade. Now that the profit is almost doubled, I should be even calmer—small coins don't have the liquidity of big coins, and when they want to exit, they might not offer a good price.
So for this order, I'm already thinking about an exit strategy, not about how much more I can earn. What you earn is truly yours. $BTC $ETH #OKXNOW直播：就在明天，速来预约！ Gold surged then fell back and oscillated downward in September. Core logic: rising US Treasury yields + Fed hawkish bias, delayed rate cut expectations, and a stronger dollar continuously suppressing gold prices.
There was only a brief technical weak rebound in mid-month, unable to break resistance; late-month saw concentrated short selling causing a breakdown and decline.
Physical buying provided support at low levels, preventing extreme crashes but insufficient to reverse the weak trend.
Technically, the medium-term outlook turned bearish; the rebound is a correction, not a reversal, so avoid blindly bottom-fishing.
Trading approach: prioritize following the trend, strictly control position size and set stop losses. Going forward, focus on US employment, inflation data, and Fed speeches, waiting for directional confirmation.$LIT LIT 3.9018, rebounded over 10% today.
Dropped from 5.57 to 2.8, then pulled back to 3.9, this up and down movement has shaken out both the buyers chasing highs and the sellers cutting losses.
Someone asked me if this wave of shakeout is over and whether it can break through the previous high of 5.57.
Let's look at reality first: from 4.5 to 5.5 above, all are people who previously chased highs and got stuck; to push through, someone has to use real money to absorb all these chips.
Currently BTC is hovering around 85900, ETH is dozing at 2712, the market itself has no direction, so how can altcoins have the confidence to independently take off.
Looking at indicators: MACD is still below the zero line, DIFF and DEA are both negative, the current rebound is an oversold recovery, not a trend reversal.
So, don't rush to think about the previous high; first see if it can hold above 4.0, then talk about 4.5, and finally 5.5.
In terms of operation, those with a base position should hold, and reduce a bit when encountering resistance on the rally On the daily chart, a resistance level at 800 is observed,
so you can try to play a short position here. Attempt to short in this area. Place the stop loss near the previous high.
$BNB The joint venture between OKX and ICE, OKXICE, has officially submitted an application to the SEC, planning to establish a tokenized stock trading platform.
What is most noteworthy about this is not "someone else doing on-chain stocks," but that it is the first case.
This is the first application under the related "tokenization innovation exemption" framework, and also the first business progress announced since the establishment of OKXICE.
When a regulatory framework is introduced, it is initially just a set of rules; only after someone submits the first application does it begin to answer: which businesses can operate, how to apply, and how the regulation will actually review.
Therefore, the significance of the first case is that it is paving the way for those who follow.
This also means that the competition for tokenized securities is shifting from "who shouts first" to "who first completes the compliance process."
Whether it will ultimately be approved is another matter, but at least someone has started to formally answer the long-standing question:
On-chain stocks are not just about whether the technology can be done, but more importantly, how rights and regulation are implemented.$OKB perpetual 20x long position, opened at 120.51, now at 126.86, floating profit +105.38%.
After stabilizing near 120, a big bullish candle directly pushed through resistance, so I followed the trend to go long, setting stop loss below 118. The 20x leverage position is very small, the movement is much stronger than expected, with a violent surge, more than doubling the percentage!
Moved the stop loss up to 125, now watching if 128 can be broken.
$BTC $CT #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 $ETH has closed the highest weekly candle in over 8 months
Now, Ethereum needs to close the weekly candle above $2,800, along with strong spot buying demand, to push the price towards $3,400–$3,500
Please do your research before investing
$ETH The logic of phishing and speculation is the same.
Water has its temperament, fish have their timing; you hold your rod, it keeps its appointment. Whether it comes or not, it's perfect!
The so-called gains and losses are just shackles people impose on themselves. Letting go of that ruler, you realize the wind is cool, the clouds move slowly, and that slight nod floating on the water's surface has already answered everything!
As the saying goes, walk to where the water ends, sit and watch the clouds rise!
The harder you try, the less you see the full picture of the market. Effort can be wrong; technical aspects and systems can be modified, but mentality and character are hard to change. The more you care about small fluctuations, the more likely big problems will arise.
Follow the market at the right points. Before the market hits stop-loss and tells you failure, don't have too much emotional fluctuation. It's better to watch the flow of funds more. The worse the market liquidity, the earlier you can spot the leaders.
Market funds are an objective fact; no need for subjective judgment. All you have to do is follow.
I used to think the more technical tools the better, but now I feel I've returned to the most primitive state. Right or wrong is decided by the market. Do what you should do; no amount of extra effort will help otherwise.
#本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 $BTC opened at 85155 with over 100x leverage, now at 85993, floating profit 98%. After that K-line closed, I felt it wouldn't drop anymore, so I entered.
After entering, I didn't mess around. With 100x leverage, even glancing at it makes you want to trade, but I forced myself to put down the phone. Now it's almost doubled, and my mindset is actually more relaxed than when I first entered.
This trade confirmed one thing for me: the higher the leverage, the less you should watch the market. Watching too much makes your hands itchy, and itchy hands mean disaster. $ETH $ZEC #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 $MUBARAK will only drop after hitting the stop loss at 0.078 just now HYPE 4H: Triple bottom neckline contest underway.
Technical: Triple bottom at 84.5-86.0 at the end of September, neckline at 92.0; ascending trendline (currently about 87.6) supports the bottom, rebound resistance line (91.92→91.55) applies downward pressure. Current price 93.19 just broke above the neckline, with the previous high at 98.0 above. RSI 66.1 in bullish zone, not overbought; MA20 turning upward. Note: breakout volume is moderate, awaiting volume confirmation.
Relative Strength: HYPE/BTC 20-day +7.3%, ratio just crossed above MA20, shifting from weak to strong, capital beginning to flow back.
Fundamentals: Circle repurchasing HYPE with $6.07 billion treasury revenue (about $500K daily, burning +25%), Binance spot liquidity expanding; pressure side: 3.75 million OTC unlocked on October 6, whales transferring to exchanges for profit-taking.
BTC and Macro: BTC 4H ascending channel intact, triple resistance at 87.3K above; macro headwinds (10y 5.24%, ISM price component 77.9), PCE 3.0% low expectations are good news, tonight ISM services, October 14 CPI, end of October FOMC.
Conclusion: Do not chase the breakout, wait for a pullback to 92 for confirmation or volume expansion; 87.6 trendline is the bullish defense line, break below 84.5 means pattern failure. BTC rebounded from a low of about $57,800 on July 1 to about $84,880, an increase of nearly 47%.
Many people instinctively think "the bottom is confirmed" when they see such a rebound.
But historical statistics from Binance Research show that there have been 5 similar cases in the past: after a pullback of 30%–38% from the previous high, a strong rebound of over 40% followed. In 4 of these cases, the price eventually fell below the previous low.
This indicates one thing:
A strong rebound does not equal a cycle reversal.
The more substantial the rebound, the more likely the market is to be fooled into thinking "the worst is over."
To truly confirm the bottom, one needs to observe volume structure, long-term holder behavior, capital flows, and the macro environment, rather than just looking at how much a single candlestick has risen.
This statistic is not predicting that BTC will fall further, but is a reminder:
Don’t mistake "a big rise" for "the bottom has been reached."$BTC $ETH $ZEC
#本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 #霍尔木兹仍未开放，OPEC+维持11月产量不变
Current price 1294. My cost is 1133. Numerically close, emotionally far.
On the one-hour chart, 1695.50 looks like an old wound. Afterwards, the price moves along a descending channel, moving averages all pointing down, and rebounds are always pushed back. RSI6 reads 22.15, truly cold enough to tremble in the short term, possibly a slight corrective pullback; but MACD still hides below the zero line, momentum is weak, this kind of pullback looks more like a breather during a downtrend.
On the upside, first watch 1330–1375; if it can't break through, it remains resistance; on the downside, 1270 is immediate support, if lost, 1220 will come into play.
BTC is no better, oscillating weakly, also oversold in the short term, technical pullbacks may occur, but overall still suppressed. ETH has no independent script, basically follows BTC, how high the rebound can go depends on whether the market gives face.
ZEC is highly volatile, closely linked with BTC. Oversold is not synonymous with bottom; don't mistake "cheap" for "safe." I prefer to wait for the market to first give a stabilization signal before considering the next step. Leverage especially needs to be controlled; risk management is more important than bottom fishing.
Background: US nonfarm payrolls increased by only 29,000 in September, unemployment rate rose to 4.2%; BTC and ETH spot ETFs simultaneously saw outflows, cooling capital enthusiasm; US-Iran tensions continue, G7 will release up to 100 million barrels of reserves.$LIT finally stands tall! This rebound has helped many recover their losses.
I also went long at 3.6608, closely following the market rhythm. The current price is 3.8986, and with 50x leverage, I've gained a floating profit of 324%.
The main driver is the market stabilization boosting altcoin rebounds. LIT had fallen deeply earlier, so now it has the greatest elasticity. But sentiment recovery doesn't mean a direct bull market; selling pressure still exists. #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要
The market will experience increased volatility going forward. It's recommended to gradually take profits to protect principal if you have gains, and if you don't have a position, patiently wait for a pullback opportunity. Don't be driven by emotions. $BTC $ETH $ETH perpetual 100x long position, opened at 2679.01, now at 2712.6, floating profit +125.38%.
I've actually been watching this trade for quite a while. The 2680 level was repeatedly tested but never broken; every time it approached this area, there was buying support. After confirming the bottom was valid, I decisively went long on the bullish candle. Using 100x leverage, position size pushed to the extreme.
Currently floating profit is +125.38%, and the trailing stop loss has been moved up to 2700. Not greedy, locking in profits first.
$ZEC $SOL #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 The dilemma facing Trump
Although the main force in the Department of Defense supports Trump, the military spending budget requires votes from both houses.
The fiscal budget for 2026 is $1.64 trillion, of which the defense budget is $903 billion.
Trump's requested total fiscal budget for 2027 is $1.814 trillion. The defense budget is $1.5 trillion, an increase of about 50% compared to the previous year.
Currently, the 2027 fiscal year has begun, but since the two houses have not passed a major vote, to prevent a government shutdown, a temporary budget based on the 2026 fiscal year budget scale is being implemented until the end of this year.
The logic of the dilemma is:
→ If Trump wants to continue military strikes against Iran in the future, he needs strong support from both houses for the fiscal budget.
→ However, if the Democrats usually win both houses in the midterm elections, Trump's fiscal budget bill may be difficult to pass. (Previously, the Republicans were the majority party in both houses, yet the budget bill still did not pass)
→ Trump wants the Republicans to win both houses, so he needs to achieve some victory on the US-Iran issue before the midterm elections.
→ However, if there is a victory on the US-Iran issue, a large military budget may not be needed afterward.
For Trump, the midterm elections are extremely important, and the possibility of completely resolving the US-Iran issue within one month is very low. What Trump likely wants is a phased result.
Therefore, this month may be a relatively sensitive period.Big Brother Maji's address is still adding long positions, 25x ETH, 40x BTC, with an unrealized profit of $1.894 million. First, a detail that a trader would notice: his opening prices are very close to the current prices.
According to BlockBeats, the average opening price for ETH is $2689.86, and for BTC it's $84,908.7. Compared to Binance's current prices, ETH is at 2718.02, BTC at 85995.15. The price differences are only about 1% and 1.3% respectively, yet the unrealized profit is close to $1.9 million. This unrealized profit is mainly due to leverage amplifying a small price difference by dozens of times, and does not mean he correctly predicted a large market move.
Conversely, if the price retraces just a little, the unrealized profit will disappear at the same speed. Roughly estimating with a 40x linear contract, a 2% pullback in BTC might hit some forced liquidation zones for leveraged positions, but the exact price depends on the exchange's maintenance margin rate and cannot be taken as an exact liquidation point. The HYPE position only shows size and leverage, no average price is visible, so its portion of the total unrealized profit can only be inferred and is not used for judgment here.
Tonight, the focus is on the average opening prices: around BTC 84,900 and ETH 2,689. If these lines are broken downward, unrealized profit will quickly turn into unrealized loss. That's the nature of high leverage, the same on both sides.I dare say this $BTC pullback to around 85040 is a golden opportunity! It's currently at 85898, just over 800 points away from the 85040 support. Once it stabilizes and rebounds, breaking the 86000 resistance will open space for 86500 or even 87000. I've already placed long orders of 5000U each at 85200 and 85040, with a stop loss at 84800. The target is to take half profit at 86000 and aim for 86500 with the rest. Recovering from a 200,000U loss, this time I'm confident, no holding losing positions without stop loss; if wrong, admit it, if right, hold on. Do you think I can catch the bottom this time? $BTC #$BTC perpetual 100x long position, opened at 84545.9, now at 85993.3, floating profit +171.19%.
The logic is very simple: the 84500 whole number support was tested three times without breaking, volume increased, clear bottom characteristics. Finally waited for a bullish candlestick to rise, going long. 100x leverage, stop loss at 84000. The trend is very smooth, no chance for a pullback.
Trailing stop moved up to 85000 to lock in profits. If the volume breaks above 86000, can hold a bit longer.
$ETH $SOL #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 BTC has reclaimed 86,000. The most uncomfortable today isn't those of us who missed out, but the short sellers.
According to the latest liquidation data, in the past 24 hours, BTC liquidations totaled $73.149 million, with short positions accounting for $60.034 million, over 82%. ETH liquidations reached $30.861 million, with shorts at $23.15 million, about 75%.
Just $BTC and $ETH combined saw nearly $104 million liquidated, with shorts contributing over $83 million. $SOL also contributed $5.05 million.
The entire market is even more extreme: 52,211 people liquidated in 24 hours, totaling $174 million.
This also explains why BTC reclaimed 86,000 today, as the upward move continuously triggered short stop-losses and forced liquidations, forcing shorts to cover, which in turn fueled the price further.
Short squeezes can push BTC to 86,000, but to truly break into the 90,000 range, it depends on whether spot funds can take over.
Short sellers have paid their tuition; next, let's see if the bulls really have what it takes.When Bitcoin was at $3900, many people didn't buy it, and they all had very "rational" reasons:
They thought it would drop to 2000; it wouldn't be too late to buy after it rose; they had hundreds of thousands in hand, so buying BTC wouldn't earn much; what if the crypto market goes to zero?
Each reason alone makes sense.
"Waiting for a lower point" is timing the market, "buying after it rises" is right-side trading, "too little capital to earn much" is scale judgment, and "fear of going to zero" is risk control.
But when these four reasons combine, they form a perfect closed loop:
Not daring to buy at the low point, unwilling to chase after it rises, and unwilling to take risks.
So the most costly mistake in the market is sometimes not impulsive buying, but thinking too thoroughly and never taking action.
What’s truly worth remembering is not how much BTC rose later, but whether we will say the same things again the next time a low price appears.
The market doesn’t repeat prices, but human hesitation often does.$DOGE perpetual 50x long position, opened at 0.09275, currently 0.09611, floating profit +181.13%.
After stabilizing near 0.09275, a big bullish candle directly pulled up breaking resistance, I followed the trend to go long, setting stop loss below 0.09. The 50x leverage position is very small, the movement was much stronger than expected, a violent surge, the percentage more than doubled!
Moved the stop loss up to 0.094, the rest is watching if 0.1 can be broken.
$BTC $ETH #霍尔木兹仍未开放，OPEC+维持11月产量不变 $DOGE perpetual long 50x, unrealized profit +112.21%, entry 0.09402, mark 0.09613.
Around October 5, the meme coin sector improved in trading depth along with social media heat and overall risk appetite recovery, DOGE trading depth improved.
I went long near 0.094, based on a small-scale bottom lift and volume recovery, with strict 50x drawdown control.
Short-term resistance is seen at 0.0965–0.098; holding above continues the trend; falling below 0.094 shifts to consolidation. $BTC $ZEC #Solana代币化股票9月交易量突破44亿美元 $BNB Damn it! This BNB trend is making my blood pressure shoot straight to my head. At the 790.2 level, the pump-and-dump manipulators are clearly drawing a trap, each candlestick weaker than the last, and all the volume is fake—purely a capital game. Retail investors going in are just handing over their heads.
Looking at the chart, the resistance between 795 and 800 is tight; every time it tries to rally, it gets slammed back down. If this isn't a shakeout, then what is? It's obvious they're going to sweep liquidity downwards. I've already placed a short near 790.2, with a stop loss at 798, targeting 775 first, and if that breaks, then 760.
Don't rush to bottom-fish. This kind of setup is a waiting game—whoever moves first dies first. If you want to follow, check the token market card below for positions, control your position size, and always use stop losses. Don't come asking me what to do after you get buried.
👇👇👇The screen is full of “crypto circle academicians” and “Liying talks crypto,” which is indeed abstract.
The vocabulary is highly uniform: repeated needling, large and small cycle divergences, pre-turnover warning signals, protecting principal.
Is this prearranged? Most likely yes, the market is sideways with no direction, so they can only invent new terms to create anxiety.
When prices rise, they call it a breakout; when prices fall, they call it a shakeout; when sideways, they call it a turning point. Either way, they are right. Essentially, it’s all fortune-telling.
Current prices—BTC 85928, ETH 2712.
Instead of watching these repeaters guessing directions, it’s better to focus on your own base holdings.
The scripts for BTC and ETH are not figured out by guessing divergences.
Ignore the noise, lock in spot holdings, keep contract positions empty, don’t fuss.
Hold positions, wait and see. Leave the rest to time.
#本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 Many people panic when they see $BTC drop from 86900 to 85898, thinking the trend has changed. Actually, this is just a normal pullback; the support at 85040 hasn't been broken, so the trend is still upward. I lost 200,000U because I used to sell immediately after a drop and chase after every rise, only to get slapped in the face repeatedly. Now I've learned my lesson: when it pulls back to the support level, I enter in batches; when it breaks through the resistance, I hold; I set stop losses and then ignore it. Currently at 85898, support at 85040, resistance at 86000, I placed a 5000U long order at 85200 with a stop loss at 84900. Never hold a position without a stop loss. Remember: pullbacks within a trend are opportunities, not reasons to panic. $BTC #OKXNOW直播：就在明天，速来预约！ $HYPE perpetual 50x long position, opened at 87.893, now at 93.218, floating profit +302.92%.
After stabilizing around 87.8, a big bullish candle directly pushed up breaking resistance, I followed the trend to go long, with stop loss set below 85. The 50x leverage position was very small, the movement was much stronger than expected, a violent surge, the percentage tripled!
Moved the stop loss up to 90, the rest is to see if it can break 95.
$ETH $SOL #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 $PEPE short sellers have become the best fuel this time.
Opened 50x long at 0.000004286, the logic being that the contract funding rate once turned negative, indicating overcrowded shorts.
The background is the rotation back to the Meme sector, along with ongoing expectations for the PEPE spot ETF application.
The price rose against the trend, directly triggering short covering, with a mark price of 0.000004507 and a floating profit of 257.81%.
In this kind of short squeeze market, chasing highs is the biggest risk. The strategy is to reduce positions and lock in profits before 0.000005, leaving a base position to gamble on a breakout. $BTC $ETH
#本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 ETH rising to $2848 would push about $901 million worth of short positions to the liquidation line.
Conversely, if it falls below $2584, roughly $887 million on the long side would also be flipped. Both sides are almost equally heavy, according to CoinGlass's estimate of cumulative liquidation intensity on major CEXs this evening (as relayed by ChainCatcher).
At the time of writing, ETH on OKX is around $2713, about $134 from the upper boundary and $130 from the lower boundary, basically stuck in the middle. Moving about 5% in either direction will hit a wall.
CoinGlass also mentioned that as Bitcoin strengthens again, funding rates on major CEXs and DEXs show a clear weakening of bearish sentiment; OKX's ETH perpetual current funding rate is about 0.006%, slightly below the 0.01% benchmark, indicating shorts are less crowded and longs are not overly enthusiastic.
My view: Both sides have nearly $900 million leveraged positions at similar distances, indicating heavy leverage on both bulls and bears waiting for a breakout. In this structure, whoever breaks first forces the other side to liquidate, amplifying volatility and making short-term spikes likely.
A reminder: Liquidation intensity is an estimate, not a guarantee that this much will actually liquidate. Price levels will shift as the order book moves; for those using leverage, don't place stop losses right at round number levels.
$ETH 392%.
This is the current surge in the Ethereum validator exit queue.
What does it mean? Tens of thousands of nodes are lining up to unlock and reclaim their ETH. This is not a small-scale turnover; this is a mass evacuation queue.
Why the sudden rush to exit? Just do the simplest math to understand.
Currently, the 30-year US Treasury yield is stuck high at 5.6%, offering risk-free, substantial returns. In contrast, Ethereum staking, locked up painstakingly for a year, yields just over 3%. On one side, there is safe high interest; on the other, high volatility and low returns. It's only natural for big money to vote with their feet. Coupled with the recent continuous outflow from ETH ETFs and the market bottoming around 85,000, validators' desire to cash out has skyrocketed.
/// Real impact on the market ///
Don't expect this 392% exit queue surge to immediately crash the market, but it is a Damocles sword hanging over Ethereum. Once the unlock completes, this massive supply could turn into selling pressure in the spot market at any time. This also explains why Bitcoin can stubbornly hold on thanks to ETFs, while Ethereum always feels heavy, "falling with the market but not rising with it" $ETH $CT perpetual 20x short position, opened at 0.5156, now at 0.4361, floating profit +308.37%.
I've actually been watching this trade for quite a while. The 0.515 level was repeatedly tested but never broken; every time it approached this area, there was selling pressure. After confirming the top was valid, I decisively shorted on the bearish candle. Using 20x leverage, position size pushed to the extreme.
Currently floating profit is +308.37%, with the trailing stop moved up to 0.46. Not greedy, locking in profits first.
$BTC $ETH #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 Hot Coin Data Rankings｜Last 15 Minutes
$PUMP's final segment active buying and selling tends to balance: overall active buying 59.5%, final segment 56.4%, 15-minute price +0.76%. The buyer's advantage did not continue to the end of the window; the recent segment shows no clear one-sided transaction dominance.
$CT was biased towards selling in the first two segments, with buying and selling close in the final segment: overall active buying 33.2%, final segment 40.2%, 15-minute price -0.95%. The seller's advantage did not continue to the end of the window; the recent segment shows no clear one-sided transaction dominance.Three points I noticed
1. Ethereum outperformed Bitcoin today
On a 24H scale, ETH is clearly stronger than BTC, and this is even more obvious over a longer period: ETH rose 51.6% in 90 days, while BTC only 36%. This is no coincidence—when market risk appetite rises, funds prefer assets with higher elasticity, and ETH is that "high Beta".
2. Bitcoin is stuck at a key level
BTC started from the low point of about 65,000 USD in mid-August, breaking through 80,000 and 85,000 USD consecutively. But now this position is delicate—85,000 to 86,700 USD is a previous dense trading zone and a resistance level.
My view is simple:
Hold above with volume → opens space toward 90,000
Fall back below 84,000 → most likely a false breakout, be cautious
3. Money is really flowing in
The US spot Bitcoin ETF recorded the highest weekly net inflow of the year in late September, turning the annual cumulative from negative to positive; the Ethereum ETF also simultaneously turned to net inflow. This signal is more important than the candlestick itself—institutions are buying.
But don’t get carried away
Risks that must be mentioned:
- About 4.35 billion USD of long leverage is stacked above; once liquidated, the market will panic sell. The Fed’s September meeting minutes will be released this week; a hawkish tone would be bearish. ETH’s Glamsterdam upgrade testnet fork is on October 6, and the positive effect may be realized in advance. #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要