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After dinner, I video called an old buddy who also holds $DOGE and entered the market two years before me. I said I was a bit annoyed by the recent drop, and he was silent for a moment before saying, "Take a look at the monthly RSI."
I opened it to take a look. The monthly RSI has now dropped to the lowest level since Dogecoin was born in 2013. The major bottoms in 2015, 2020, and 2022 never fell this low.
My buddy said that since he got in 2017, every time the RSI dropped to this level, it later went up. But before every rise, it was the hardest time—no one spoke in the group, and the forums were full of "Dogecoin is dead."
I scrolled through the group chat. The last message was three days ago, a guy sent a meme, and no one replied.
After the video call ended, I leaned back on the sofa and thought for a while. I don’t believe that silence to this extent is a bad thing.The payment narrative of Dogecoin has never relied on press conferences to create hype. While the market focuses on price and ETFs, the Dogecoin Foundation's GigaWallet continues to iterate line by line in the warehouse—merchant APIs are in beta, with version numbers progressing from 1.0 to 1.0.8, fixing issues like Postgres compatibility, fee calculation, and multi-address payments that only enterprises truly integrating would encounter. Without token incentives or promotional campaigns, this is a typical silent advancement.
To understand the significance of this, one must first grasp GigaWallet's positioning: it is not a user-facing wallet but an enterprise-level backend service. Online stores, exchanges, and platforms can collect and pay DOGE through a set of REST APIs, with the complexity of private key management and transaction verification encapsulated behind firewalls. The barrier to payment is not whether users are willing to spend, but whether merchants dare to accept it—once integrated, can they reconcile accounts, issue refunds, and prevent errors? GigaWallet addresses precisely this layer of engineering friction.
The maturity of infrastructure always precedes adoption. It took twenty years of credit card networks before e-commerce exploded; crypto payments similarly require someone to first lay the pipelines. The roadmap also includes the DogeConnect protocol and Libdogecoin upgrades to support it, aiming for a complete chain of "user-held keys, merchant seamless receiving."
This kind of progress won't appear in market software but determines how far $DOGE moves from being a topic to becoming a tool.After the FOMC's hawkish stance came out, market sentiment clearly tightened.
$BTC quickly retraced to around 83,000 at one point, and $ETH also dropped to about 2555 USD. Now, the short-term focus is on two levels:
BTC: whether it can hold around 82,700
ETH: whether there is support around 2535
This drop currently looks more like a rapid release caused by news stimulus combined with long liquidation, so we can't conclude the market has fully turned bearish based on this alone.
Especially since $ETH has already entered a clearly oversold area, continuing to short has less cost-effectiveness.
What’s more important now is to control position size, reduce frequent trading, and wait for the market to digest sentiment before making decisions.
If you are bullish in the long term, dollar-cost averaging in batches is still more comfortable than chasing highs and selling lows.
#SepFOMCMinutesHikeWatch #BTCETFFlowParadox #OKXToken2049CheckIn CRV rose over 10%, with trading volume expanding to about 2.6 times the median of the past 8 days, and contract open interest increasing by approximately 9.8% over 24 hours, but it retreated about 0.7% in the last hour.
As of 19:35 Beijing time, OKEx spot price is around $0.3854, with a 24-hour high of $0.3995 and low of $0.3459, daily volatility about 15.5%, trading volume approximately $4.34 million, and the current price about 3.5% below the high.
The current nominal value of open interest is about $9.03 million, with a funding rate of 0.01%. The price remains near the highs, but open interest has pulled back in the short term. My judgment is that the speed of new leverage chasing the rally has already outpaced the cooling of the price, but this does not yet confirm a weakening trend.
The most common misjudgment is to interpret the pullback in open interest directly as a bearish signal. If open interest continues to decline when breaking through $0.3995, it indicates that leverage is being absorbed by spot turnover; if it falls below the range midpoint of about $0.3727 while open interest rises again, new leverage may amplify the retracement.
$CRV The BTC 4H chart confirms a successful retest of the confluent support shelf near $81,248–$82,405, merging prior breakout resistance with the rising dynamic MA100. Responsive lower-wick absorption alongside depleted sell volume confirms that institutional demand has thoroughly absorbed localized supply. The preferred strategy is to enter a Long position around $82,200–$82,400 with a stop-loss parameter below $81,248.44, targeting the macro $99,971.55 $BTC
#BTCETFFlowParadox Looking at the $BTC BTC 1-hour chart, the current price is 82354, entering a low-level consolidation after a sharp drop.
RSI is near oversold, MACD green bars are narrowing, the decline has temporarily stopped, but the Supertrend resistance at 83574 above is very strong.
Support is at 82163 below. Without breaking the resistance, it’s not a reversal, just a grinding market.
Only by holding above 83574 will there be a decent rebound; if it breaks below 82163, bears will continue to exert pressure.
The current position is not suitable for chasing longs or shorts; wait for the direction to be clear before taking action. The monitor is screaming, but the patient is still lying on the table — this is the most dangerous surgical window.
$STRK current price $0.03, 24-hour volatility 5.27%. Don’t be fooled by this bullish candle; what I see is not recovery but compensatory tachycardia. The short-term RSI has surged to 71.0, a typical overbought zone and a precursor to ventricular fibrillation; the long-term RSI is only 57.0, indicating that the underlying cardiac function has not kept up. The short-term Bollinger Band position is at 94%, with 3.9% room to fall to the lower band, while the upper band has only 0.2% margin left — the vessel walls are stretched to the limit and could dissect at any moment. More critically, the mid-term Bollinger Band position is 104%, with the price completely overflowing the upper band by 0.3%, a sign of valve prolapse and hemodynamic instability.
Diagnosis: This is a bull trap type arrhythmia, not a trend recovery. The heartbeat is faster, but the output per beat is failing.
Surgical plan as follows, no emotional treatment, only precise excision:
📉 Short:
Entry: $0.03 (current price +2.4%)
Take Profit 1: $0.03 (-5.9%)
Take Profit 2: $0.03 (-8.4%)
Stop Loss: $0.04 (-14.0%)
Take Profit 1 corresponds to a 5.9% retracement, just touching near the short-term lower band, which is the first bleeding control point; Take Profit 2 dips 8.4%, corresponding to the physiological need for mid-term mean reversion. Stop loss is set at +14.0% because once this level is breached, it confirms sinus rhythm recovery, overturning my short diagnosis, and the chest must be closed immediately.
The risk-reward ratio is about 1:1.8, suitable for the table. But remember: at Take Profit 1, half the position must be reduced, and the remaining position should observe whether a high-volume bearish candle appears at the lower band — that is the real bleeding point.
Extracorporeal circulation has been established; now we wait for the moment of myocardial ischemia reperfusion.The weak oscillation pattern of gold on the 1H timeframe remains unchanged, with rebound highs continuously pressured, and bulls have not yet formed an effective structural breakout. Short-term rebounds do not indicate a strengthening trend, and dips should not be blindly shorted. Trading continues to revolve around key areas, waiting for patterns to return to these zones; look for shorts when resistance is encountered above, and longs when a bottom is found below. Only take positions with confirmation, avoiding participation in ineffective fluctuations in between.Brothers, the rhythm of this round of decline is very clear:
$BTC broke down first, $ETH followed with a supplementary drop, and finally altcoins collectively took the final hit.
First, they crush the most steadfast beliefs, then harvest the trend-following positions, and in the end, even those trying to bottom buy get trapped. 🤣
But it's still too early to shout "the bear market is here."
Last night, the Fed minutes were hawkish; after the rate hike in September, most officials still believe further hikes may occur this year. The 10-year US Treasury yield surged to 5.36%, a new high since 2002.
Under this macro pressure, $BTC fell 3%, $ETH dropped 5%, and $XRP declined 6%, which looks more like the entire risk market cooling off together, rather than a problem with any single coin.
To be honest, many friends come in just to see if I have opened any positions, and some refer to my thinking.
When I have trades, I actually say less; when I don’t, I talk more. Of course, my judgments can be wrong, but the overall rhythm this week basically stayed on track, especially the index and gap positions, the points I warned about in advance mostly matched expectations.
So you can use it as a reference, but don’t copy blindly.
My position size and risk tolerance differ from yours, so ultimately you need to combine it with your own situation.
Don’t rush to guess whether it’s a bear or bull market now; first see if BTC can regain and hold key levels.
Don’t panic sell because of a big bearish candle, and don’t rush to bottom buy just because of a drop.
Confirm first, then act. You can miss the market, but don’t mess with your principal.
#9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息 #ETF仍在流入，BTC为何下跌？ #跟着OKX打卡2049 I analyze this trade as a "sentiment recovery long on a veteran metaverse coin": $SAND entry at 0.06975, hold at 0.07284, 50x unrealized profit +221.50%.
Real background: Recently, market risk aversion has eased, with capital flowing back into the NFT and metaverse sectors, and SAND showing consecutive bullish candles at the bottom. Technical double bottom support confirmed at 0.06975 retest, so I went long accordingly.
The biggest risk with 50x leverage is a sudden spike; heavy profit-taking above 0.0728. I set stop loss to breakeven, reduced position to lock in profits, and moved stop loss lightly. $ZEC $ETH #9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息 This round of pullback can be seen as a phased shakeout before the midterm elections. Looking back at history, in previous instances when Ethereum touched around 2600 or 2800, the pullback range mostly fell between 2100 and 2200. However, historical patterns cannot be directly applied here, as the overall price level at the start of previous rallies was lower, while this round started at a higher point. The price center of Bitcoin has also risen significantly, and the market environment is different now.
This consolidation cycle is longer, and the pullback low has also been raised. From the chart perspective, Ethereum's extreme downside range is most likely between 2250 and 2450, and it may not even drop to that level. The main force's current shakeout strategy is very clear: they want to force holders to exit but do not want to give those who missed the initial entry a chance to buy in at low prices. The price will not be deeply smashed but will fluctuate back and forth at low levels, repeatedly wearing down patience.
Altcoins face relatively less pressure; most have already completed their declines in advance, leaving limited room for further sharp drops. For friends holding long Ethereum positions, if the forced liquidation level is close, it is advisable to reduce positions appropriately to control risk. Capturing about a 5% wave in the future could provide an opportunity to break even. Contract market conditions change quickly, so positions need to be adjusted dynamically. Avoid going all in or making extreme trades. #ETF仍在流入，BTC为何下跌？ $ETH Liquidation is not bad luck; it's because the capital is too small to withstand volatility.
A newcomer said they entered the crypto space in high school and got liquidated out.
Now holding living expenses and part-time job money, preparing to try again.
What does this number mean: the principal is living expenses and part-time income.
This money has a fixed purpose and is not spare cash that can be lost.
After losing it, there is no second injection.
The moment it triggers: once the position opens, volatility first eats away the principal.
Without extra funds to top up margin, the system can only liquidate for you.
The root cause of liquidation is not choosing the wrong direction, but the principal being too thin.
So thin that a normal pullback knocks you out.
The market fluctuates every day; this has nothing to do with accuracy.
#ETF仍在流入，BTC为何下跌？
#Strategy再购BTC，多家财库同步增持 #美CFTC推进加密市场规则，SEC拟调整托管框架 $HYPE Previously, I thought the bottom was around 2530. After reanalyzing, the current price is 2530, and there are still many geniuses around 2730. It seems more appropriate to consider this part as those who shorted at this position and haven't taken profits or exited yet. Around 2450 is a previous sideways range, where there is another group of geniuses. This is the real sideways range for this market phase #ETH$JUP $JUP Market Analysis: Volume Surge with a Long Bullish Candle Breakout, Bullish Trend, Short-term Nearing Resistance
1. Trend Structure: Medium to Long-term Bullish Trend Intact
Since the low of 0.2072, the price has steadily oscillated upward, with EMA5/10/20 all aligned upwards, and the price firmly above all short-term moving averages. Today's large bullish candle with volume surge is driven by news (lending business breakthrough) bringing capital inflow, representing a fundamentally supported trend rather than pure sentiment speculation.
2. Short-term Status: Approaching Previous High Resistance
The short-term high at 0.3880 is a key resistance, current price is 0.3690, very close to resistance. The KD indicator is at 60.8, not yet in extreme overbought territory, but after consecutive large gains, short-term profit-taking increases, likely causing a pullback near 0.388.
The upper Bollinger Band is at 0.3776, and the current price is already near the upper band, indicating a short-term need for a pullback.
3. Trading Strategy
Short-term: 0.388 is the first hurdle; a volume-backed close above it is needed to continue bullish outlook; if it fails to break through, a pullback to around 0.33 moving average support is likely.
Medium to Long-term: As a leading DeFi project in the Solana ecosystem, with ongoing business iteration, real business and on-chain revenue support, its sector logic is stronger than Meme coins. However, be cautious of selling pressure risk from token unlocks.
#跟着OKX打卡2049 Stop staring at those few minute candlesticks to draw effect charts—$SSV's problem lies in the load-bearing structure, not the exterior paint.
I've done structural reviews for twenty years, and the thing I fear most is this kind of pattern: a 5.09% rise over 24 hours looks like a top and a good sign, but in reality, it’s putting all the load on the weakest floor slab. The RSI short-term cycle has already hit 68.1, the long-term 61.8, with both curves clinging to the upper edge of the neutral zone—this is not a "strong consolidation," it’s obvious over-reinforcement and insufficient concrete grade at a glance during inspection. The Bollinger Bands position further confirms the issue: the short-term price is hanging at 95% bandwidth, only 0.4% clearance from the upper band; the mid-term cycle has directly hit 116%, with the price breaking above the upper band by 1.1%. What does this mean? It’s like building the parapet wall beyond the planning red line—one gust of wind and the whole structure could topple.
I don’t look at the effect charts in whitepapers; I only look at foundation bearing capacity and long-term scalability. The distributed validator architecture of $SSV itself has no design logic issues, but the current price surge has already prepaid the expectations for the next three layers all at once. There’s still 7.2% downward space to the lower band in the short-term cycle, and 9.3% in the mid-term—this is the real structural retracement level, the settlement joint position this building should have.
My construction plan is clear: don’t pour concrete chasing highs at the top; wait for it to fall back to a reasonable level before entering.
📉 Short:
Entry: 2.26 (current price +3.4%)
Take Profit 1: 1.98 (-9.5%)
Take Profit 2: 2.00 (-8.5%)
Stop Loss: 2.51 (+14.6%)
Shorting at 2.26 is because it’s right stuck outside the short-term Bollinger upper band—any upward breakout must first fill this 0.4% to 1.1% gap, and RSI can’t provide more momentum. Stop loss is set at 2.51, 14.6% above the current price; this is my seismic redundancy. If it really breaks through, it means I misjudged the foundation type, and I’ll exit immediately without fighting the structure.
True value isn’t about how fancy the drawings look, but whether this building will still stand ten years from now. $SSV right now is scaffolding, not the main structure.🔥$BTC's strangest point right now isn't the drop, but that "negative news can't move it"!
💥 It was hammered down from 86500 all the way below 83000, with high interest rates, a strong dollar, and hawkish expectations all weighing in, yet around 82500 there's a clear tug-of-war.
🧠 If this were a true trend collapse, it usually wouldn't allow such a long time to repeatedly recover lost ground. This "breakdown—pullback—retest" rhythm feels more like it's repeatedly testing market patience.
📊 I'm watching two key levels: 82000 and 82500.
If this area holds, shorts are likely to be forced to cover first, and once BTC retakes 83000, the upside space could reopen.
🏦 As for the Fed, the minutes are indeed hawkish, with most officials thinking another hike before year-end is reasonable, but there's currently no signal that a rate hike in October is a must; the market is more inclined to wait and see the data first.
👀 Do you think the next big green candle might come sooner than expected? #9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息 #ETF仍在流入，BTC为何下跌？ #跟着OKX打卡2049 #IMF says the tokenization market is still small and fragmented
The IMF just poured cold water, but $ONDO is accelerating. The IMF just said the tokenization market is only about $65 billion and highly fragmented.
But just two days ago, Ondo took another step forward.
This time it's not US debt, but private companies.
Ondo launched Private Markets, turning eligible private company economic exposures into on-chain notes, and plans to enable 24/7 trading on the secondary market.
Even more interesting, Ondo now allows eligible institutions to directly convert their stocks into corresponding tokenized stocks.
So now the real competition in RWA might no longer be "whether there is demand."
Instead, it's: who can bring more traditional assets on-chain while building liquidity. The IMF sees the market as still small now.
Ondo is betting that this market will grow bigger and bigger in the future. 🔥$BTC This drop below 83000 actually makes me feel more and more that something's off!
📉 High interest rates, strong dollar, hawkish minutes—three bearish factors hitting at once, BTC dropped from around 86500 down below 83000. Logically, the bears should be celebrating wildly.
🧐 But now? After breaking the previous low at 82500, the price didn’t continue to waterfall; instead, it keeps tugging back and reclaiming lost ground repeatedly.
🐋 The scariest thing about this trend isn’t the drop, but the inability to drop further. Bearish chips are continuously consumed, yet bulls keep stepping in. Once a real buying surge ignites, the rebound could far exceed expectations.
📌 Today, I’m focusing more on the 82000–82500 range. Holding this could become the starting point for the next counterattack; if it breaks, look for lower support.
⚠️ But don’t forget stop-losses. Whether it’s a shakeout or a trend reversal, you only know once it plays out.
Do you think this is a buildup, or is the drop not over yet? #9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息 #ETF仍在流入，BTC为何下跌？ #跟着OKX打卡2049 The tough player continues to lock in positions and hold firm! Big Brother Maji now only has ETH as his all-in heavy bet.
It's very clear: he has already cleared out BTC and HYPE, putting all $77,039,700 on ETH, holding 25X full position with a death grip:
‑ 30,400 ETH, opened at 2645.22, currently floating at a loss of $3,375,100;
‑ Margin of $3,081,600, liquidation reference price at 2489.68;
‑ The accumulated funding fees alone have reached $1,343,500, continuously bleeding every day.
Previously, the strategy was a combination of BTC as a bottom support and HYPE for volatility play. Now, he has actively unloaded all diversified positions, concentrating all firepower to bet on ETH's rebound potential.
With no other hedging assets, the entire account's fate is completely tied to this single asset: as long as ETH makes a decent recovery, most losses can be quickly recouped; but if it continues to test lower deeply, the pressure will directly concentrate and explode.$AERO dropped 3.03% today to 0.7753, and I am bullish. During the decline, chips are being accumulated by large funds while retail investors are exiting; this kind of turnover is rare. The pullback from the 90-day high is 17%, which is a normal correction range within an uptrend. The coins sold by retail are being picked up, and the selling pressure is almost fully absorbed. The decline over the next 24 hours will stabilize, and after the stop of the fall, it will recover upwards.Brothers, I directly shorted $ETH at 2,536.3 this round. The current mark price is 2,537.46, right at the cost line, the direction is already chosen!
Look at the market in this screenshot, the current price is 2,536.79, down 1.28% in 24 hours. What's the key? The long-short ratio has reached 29% longs versus 71% shorts, retail traders are all crazily shorting, the shorts are as crowded as morning rush hour.
But here’s the problem—71% of people are shorting, do you think the big players will kindly let you comfortably take profits? Most likely, they will first push up a bullish candle to squeeze out the shorts, then smash it down. But it’s okay, my position is pitifully small, the main force doesn’t even care about my tiny bit of money.
From the trend, ETH’s short-term resistance is between 2,570 and 2,600. If it can’t break through, it’s a short-dominated market. The key support is at 2,500; if it breaks below, the next target is 2,450. Technically, the MACD death cross continues, volume is shrinking, and bullish momentum is clearly insufficient. This drop is the result of multiple factors: institutions withdrawing, continuous ETF net outflows, and loosening of old on-chain coins.
I’m holding the short position entered at 2,536.3, with a stop loss above 2,580, and watching if 2,500 can hold below. At this level, shorting means waiting to take profits.
$BTC $ETH #9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息 Don't rush to bottom-fish or blindly short during this BTC pullback.
Many people have lost their rhythm due to this round of decline, either heavily shorting as the price drops or hastily bottom-fishing to catch a rebound, ending up getting hit from both sides.
From the 15-minute chart, BTC's intraday low is 82163, currently oscillating around 82350, consolidating at the bottom. Short-term resistance is at 83036; a rebound to this level will likely face pressure, so don't rush to go long at the current position.
The long-term strategy is clear, with two layers of positioning:
First layer long test zone: 81800-82000; if a stop-falling candlestick appears on a pullback to this zone, try a small long position;
A better long-term dip-buy zone: 81200-81500; a deep pullback and stabilization here is the most cost-effective entry point.
Set the defensive bottom line below 80800; if this level is effectively broken, the current bullish structure is destroyed, and the long bias should be abandoned immediately.
Trading is not about frequent entries but patiently waiting for high risk-reward opportunities.
This is a consolidation repair after the decline; don't let short-term fluctuations shake your mindset. Control your actions and wait for the right levels.
Do you think BTC will pull back near 81800 tonight to offer long opportunities? Or will it rebound directly without giving a dip-buy chance? Share your judgment in the comments. #ETF仍在流入，BTC为何下跌？ $BTC #9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息 $BTC This market is getting weaker and weaker, the 82000 level is very likely not to hold, the highs keep dropping, and the lows keep dropping as well.
Currently, the focus is on the key support at 82000; if it holds, then try going long to test the waters, if it doesn't hold, then look at the next support at 80000.
Today's approach is very simple:
Watch the resistance above at 83500 and 84200; whether it can rebound immediately depends on the strength near the support.
#9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息
#ETF仍在流入，BTC为何下跌？ $ETH 🔥$BTC The most critical point right now might not be the M top at all!
📌 The M top does look ugly, but I believe what’s really worth watching is the trading volume and support around 83000.
If there’s a large sell-off once it drops here and buyers keep retreating, then the M top will naturally continue to play out; but if the price keeps testing lower levels and is repeatedly supported by capital, then this pattern could turn into a "bear trap".
🐳 Jiang Zhuoer has publicly stated that he repurchased 75% of his BTC position around $82789. Note, he’s not chasing the rally but reclaiming chips in the pullback zone.
⚠️ Of course, don’t treat one person’s actions as the market’s answer. Especially since the latest BTC ETF funds have not continued to flow in, with a clear net outflow on October 7, so now is more suitable for observation rather than blindly calling a reversal.
💥 The only real signal is whether the buying around 83000 can hold.
Do you think it will break down this time, or will there be a rebound first? #9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息 #ETF仍在流入，BTC为何下跌？ #跟着OKX打卡2049 No vision, can't hold on, this wave of profit is as thin as paper, but I love it to death. When the screen is full of green light, $SOL faces obvious resistance above, every surge falls just short, volume doesn't keep up, I judge the rebound to be weak, directly signaling bearish, short positions can be watched. At that time, everyone was still watching, I directly signaled short positions.
From 119.35 to 112.89, +541.26%, the wait was not in vain. This profit was comfortable to take, those on board should have woken up smiling. Time to have a good meal, the answer is given.
First, close 80% of the position, don't let profits become uncomfortable. Keep the remaining 20% at cost price protection; if it continues to drop, let the profit run, if it rebounds, don't give it back. Take profits when you should, brothers, pay attention to profits.
Now is not the time to rush, if missed, don't chase. Wait for a new structure to appear, there will be more opportunities later. The market is not short of opportunities, it lacks patience. Wait for the next shot.
Risk control done in advance is called rational; cutting losses after losing is called decisive. Wait for the next round of signals.
$ETH $ZEC Why is it that after learning so many crypto trading strategies, your account still doesn't improve?
Your favorites are filled with trading tutorials, your follow list packed with KOLs, your hard drive stuffed with PDFs, and you've joined dozens of Telegram and Discord groups. Today you study this indicator, tomorrow you test that strategy, the day after you chase new narratives, and the next day you go for airdrops, new listings, or meme coins. It seems like you understand a bit of everything, but after years, your account curve hasn't risen, and no strategy has truly delivered results.
Many attribute this to bad luck, insufficient capital, or lack of insider information. In fact, the root problem is quite the opposite: falling into a trap that most people don't realize—constantly searching for new methods, new strategies, new narratives, but never applying any one method deeply enough, making it a habit, or ingraining it to the core.
Why are the new methods you keep searching for always so tempting? Because they are full of hope and self-deception. When you first encounter a strategy, you only see its best side: others show profit charts, KOLs shout buy signals, backtest curves look beautiful, the logic seems complete, steps are clear, and you feel hope has arrived.
But when you put real money on the line, the setbacks come: you hit stop losses as soon as you open a position, you blow up when heavily leveraged, you get deeply stuck holding a losing position, or you cut losses just as it takes off.
When failure occurs, you start doubting whether the method works. You switch to another, and the new method brings hope again, and the cycle begins anew.
Randomness is even stronger in crypto. Using a new strategy for three days without account movement or even with drawdown doesn’t prove it’s useless. Obviously not. Futures, spot, airdrops, new listings, on-chain, Meme coins—all the same; a few wins or losses might just be coincidence. In a bull market, you can make money by buying anything; in a bear market, even the best strategies can suffer consecutive stop losses.
Judging a strategy requires enough time and sufficient samples. Backtesting, small live trades, trading logs—repeated verification follows this principle: one profitable trade only tells you what happened, not why; one loss is the same.
What’s the cost of constantly switching strategies?
It traps you forever in the beginner stage. When you just learn a strategy, you only remember the rules; after using it for a while, you grasp the details; after longer, you know when it works and when it doesn’t, how to handle extreme market conditions, spikes, liquidity droughts. Real trading skill is honed layer by layer like this.
Switching at every difficulty is like repeating "entry level" over and over, rarely reaching "mastery." Worse, you lose the most valuable thing: feedback.
Effective trading is a closed loop—open a position, get results, review, adjust, and execute again. Those who switch methods take a different path: loss, quit, switch to new. You never understand why you lost, so experience never accumulates.
Iteration and avoidance are two different things.
Strategies aren’t unchangeable. True iteration is proactively adjusting after enough feedback; many "strategy changes" are just an inability to endure short-term drawdowns.
So next time you want to switch, ask yourself three questions first:
Have I really found a fundamental flaw, or have I just lost a few trades or had some drawdowns recently?
Do I have enough samples and truly understand it? How much backtesting, live trading, and validation across different market conditions have I done?
Is the new strategy better, or just a new strategy or KOL signal that hasn’t disappointed me yet?
Think through these three questions, and many impulses to switch will fade away.
A trader’s growth rarely comes from knowing more methods; more often, it comes from doing one thing deeply enough. Digging ten wells two meters deep looks like many flowers blooming everywhere but might yield no water; one well dug a hundred meters deep is slow but can truly reach the water layer.
Crypto is the same: chasing ten hot topics is not as good as mastering one cycle; switching a hundred strategies is not as good as executing one positive expectancy system to the core.In the previous round, we also saw it drop from around 2800 back to 2100 in a few days. Now institutions are trying hard to show inflows, but after some fluctuation, the price started to decline. So the possibility of seeing 2100 still exists. Li Chaoren is increasing his positions in petroleum and petrochemicals again; futures for fuel oil and crude oil are all rising sharply, and after a short break, the market reopened and is expected to hit the limit up again. This indicates a firm belief in future high inflation. Can cryptocurrencies withstand inflation? Stablecoins are roughly equivalent to buying U.S. Treasury bonds. Although prices in the secondary market keep hitting new highs, more and more people are choosing not to sell U.S. bonds to buy U.S. stocks. Could it be said that if the U.S. dollar continues to be strong in the future, all these other risk-hedging assets will be sidelined? 😞😞😞$FIL ProbeLab (PL official performance team) has launched the FOC Dashboard!
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Objective market situation. The lower edge of the consolidation zone at 83 has been broken. However, the major key support at 8.2 has not yet been reached. The price is hovering near the previous plunder point at 8.26.
On a smaller scale, only a close back above 8.35 can be considered a return to the consolidation zone.
But if you try to close back above 8.35 for a right-side trade here, the risk-reward ratio is not good. Also, it would still be a short position after going up. Therefore, to go long, only a small position near the current price of 8.25 with a stop loss at 8.2 is a gamble. The resistance above is at 8.35/8.42/8.51.
For short positions, the 8.51 level given yesterday is still valid and optimal. You can also gradually enter in batches according to the three resistance levels. The hard stop loss is either a close back above the trendline or directly placing a stop at 8.58.
#ETF仍在流入，BTC为何下跌？ $BTC Almost the entire market is falling — and meanwhile $STRK 📈
There were no particularly important news except for the team's statement:
"We are seriously considering becoming an L1. This will allow $STRK to become the first fully quantum-resistant network. Our goal is 2027."
Everything is cool, if not for the small screenshot on the larger timeframe 🥲.Why is Bitcoin dropping, and how far will this wave fall?
It previously surged to 85,000, which looked impressive, but the tank was actually empty.
The volume never picked up, and hardly any new money came in. Most of this rise was old money within the market pushing prices up among themselves. So on the day it just hit 85,000, the new buyers were already rushing to move coins to exchanges to cash out, and funds in the US have been selling continuously.
Spot is this cold, but options keep getting bought with more bullish bets, and all the leverage is stacked below. The 81,000 to 83,000 range is a buried landmine; once stepped on, long positions will be liquidated in a chain reaction. If it first clears the bottom before turning down, the large number of short positions around 92,000 could fuel a rally.
I'm personally guarding the downside first; 78,000-80,000 is the last line of defense. If it really crashes down to 71,000/75,000, that would actually be a chance to accumulate chips during a bull market. SOL has already broken its neckline earlier, and this altcoin wave will probably hurt more than Bitcoin.🔥 Seeing $BTC form an M top, does that mean you must short it?
🧠 I actually don't see it that way.
Technical patterns can only tell you "there is resistance here," but they can't directly tell you where the next candlestick will go. There are too many so-called classic patterns in the market that end up being pierced by a single large-volume bullish or bearish candlestick.
🐋 What really deserves attention is the capital game around 83000: if the price keeps being pushed down but large funds keep absorbing, then the more the bears sell off, the easier it becomes to create opportunities for low-position capital.
💰 Even more noteworthy is that Jiang Zhuoer has already repurchased 75% of his BTC position around $82789. This doesn't mean he's necessarily right, but at least it shows someone is willing to bet real money at this level.
📊 So I’m not in a hurry to label BTC as "reversing" now; I want to see if buying can continue to appear around 83000.
If you were at this level, would you dare to catch it? #9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息 #ETF仍在流入，BTC为何下跌？ #跟着OKX打卡2049 Brothers, let me break down Big Bro Maji's portfolio adjustment this time.
The market has been dragging down slowly, and Big Bro couldn't sit still, so he directly cut all HYPE and PUMP. The profit from HYPE was basically wiped out, and PUMP even lost money. Holding them meant burning fees every day and spreading attention thin, so it was better to clear them out.
After recovering funds, he redistributed. The total position is 111 million: BTC increased by 13 coins to 188 coins, with the liquidation price raised to 72,600, temporarily easing risk; ETH reduced by 1,000 coins, leaving 37,000 coins, with an unrealized loss of 3.59 million, liquidation price at 2,502, and daily funding fees still eating interest.
I think Big Bro's move is rational: cutting weak altcoins first and concentrating bullets on BTC and ETH. But the problem is the pressure on ETH hasn't eased, funding fees burn daily, the forced liquidation price is just a few dozen dollars away from the current price, and if the market drops again, it will be risky.
In the short term, it's just a choppy search for the bottom. Don't shout reversal just because you see a big bullish candle. Don't rush to bottom-fish before BTC stabilizes. $BTC #ETF仍在流入，BTC为何下跌？ Some family members asked me to talk more about $UNITREE
This one has fundamentally weaker basics compared to $MINIMAX and $ZHIPU. Basically, shorting it is like giving away money, unless future performance can multiply tenfold after tenfold, otherwise, I really can't see how the stock price will rise $BTC $ On the 6th, I briefly drew a 1-hour contract trend line. At that time, the trend was still oscillating. Around 10 PM on the 6th, it broke through the upper resistance level, but after a few bullish candles, it suddenly dropped and broke through the lower support level, continuing downward.
Today, I briefly drew the $BTC spot 4-hour chart. The resistance zone is between 82000 and 80100. The current price is still above 82000. If it breaks below 82000, the next support level is at 80100. Then, the 82000–80100 range will be an oscillation zone and a price divergence point. Possible upcoming scenarios:
1. After stabilizing above 82000, the market moves upward;
2. Breaks below 82000 and oscillates repeatedly in the 80100 range before a new trend emerges;
3. Breaks below 80100 and continues downward to the next support level.
This is just my personal opinion From the capital flow chart, $ZEC shows very intense long-short divergence. Short-term funds are frantically bottom-fishing: 15-minute contracts have a net inflow of $519,200, 30-minute contracts reach $3,678,900, and 1-hour spot also has a net inflow of $1,478,500, indicating that some funds are seizing the dip to catch a rebound.
However, medium- to long-term large funds are continuously withdrawing: 12-hour contracts have a net outflow of $171 million, and spot has also seen an outflow of $3,634,300. Considering the market, ZEC has fallen from the high of $1,698 at the end of September to around $1,200, with a 24-hour drop of 8%. More troublingly, the Grayscale ZEC spot ETF had a single-day net outflow of $8,487,900 yesterday, with a total outflow of $12,050,000 this week, showing a clear cooling in institutional demand.
But there is an important variable: the NU7 network upgrade has been activated on the testnet, with the mainnet planned to launch on November 5, reducing the block interval from 75 seconds to 25 seconds. If developers confirm the mainnet activation on October 20, it could become a catalyst for a rebound.
In the short term, watch the $1,188 support; if broken, it may test $1,050.
#9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息 Every time I try to make a big move, I end up with huge losses, and then I have to slowly earn it back bit by bit like an ant moving its home.Market plunges, $MET surges 60% against the trend! Opportunity or trap?
On October 8, Bitcoin led a general decline in the crypto market, while some altcoins exploded against the trend: MET surged 60% in 24 hours, currently priced at $0.5; ALGO rose 16.6%, JUP 16%, RAY 13.3%, STRK 12.3%, CRV 10.9%.
Personal view: This looks more like a short squeeze of existing funds rather than the start of a full altcoin season. MET's rise is too steep, with very high short-term risk chasing the rally; if funding rates are deeply negative, rallies driven by short covering tend to come fast and go fast.
Market impact: Altcoins are increasingly diverging; if BTC remains weak, independent rallies are easily dragged down by the overall market; after concentrated rallies, profit-taking sell-offs may affect related sectors.
What should traders do: Don't chase the highs, wait for pullback confirmation; keep positions under 20%; closely monitor BTC key support and funding rate changes, and prioritize assets with genuine narratives.🔥Is $BTC really about to reverse?
📉 The chart has clearly formed an “M top,” and just looking at the pattern, the short-term outlook is indeed bearish. But interestingly, the more this kind of position appears, the more I want to observe whether the buying pressure has actually withdrawn.
🐳 Jiang Zhuoer recently revealed that he repurchased 75% of his BTC position around $82,789, having previously reduced his holdings at a higher level. A long-term spot trader who has clearly not used leverage recently choosing to buy back in at this level at least indicates that this area has started to present odds he recognizes.
💰 What I care about more is never the word “M top” itself, but whether there is support around $83,000. The pattern can be directly broken by a big bullish candle; what truly determines the trend is still the capital.
⚡ However, ETFs are currently not experiencing continuous net inflows; the latest data actually shows significant outflows, so here we should pay more attention to whether capital is flowing back in.
Do you think below $83,000 is an opportunity or a continuation of the downtrend? #9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息 #ETF仍在流入，BTC为何下跌？ ZEC at 1210 USD, are you looking to buy the dip?
Yesterday it was still at 1310, today it dropped straight to 1210, down 8% in 24 hours, the 1270 lifeline was pierced in one shot—but no on-chain explosion, NU7 is still running, the ETF channel is still open. So is this wave "main players using macro to shake out" or is the privacy narrative cooling off early?
First, look at the surface: it’s dropped harder than BTC, but no one can say why.
ZEC has retraced 29% from 1697, today’s low was 1199, high 1342, closing at 1210. Market cap is 20.5 billion, ranked tenth, down 14% in 7 days, still down 5% in 30 days. The candlestick tells you: daily chart went straight from overbought to breakdown, today’s candle is a high-volume sell-off, not a lower shadow rebound. All technical indicators shout one thing: 1270 broken, don’t catch a falling knife at the breakdown.
First thing: it’s not a ZEC explosion, it’s macro piercing all risk assets in one shot.
The White House asked the Pentagon for strike options against Iran, Brent crude hit 102 USD, 10-year US Treasury surged to 5.31%, Fed minutes show "possibly one more hike before year-end." BTC broke 83000 directly, once hitting 82800.
ZEC is more elastic than BTC; BTC falls 1%, it falls 5%. Dropping from 1340 to 1200 isn’t privacy narrative collapse, it’s the whole market being pressed underwater by macro.
In plain English:
Oil price rises, inflation expectations return
Inflation returns, rate cuts are off the table
No rate cuts, all risk assets must kneel
ZEC just kneels faster than others
This isn’t ZEC’s problem, you chose a high-beta asset, so you must accept it falls faster than anyone else.
Second thing: NU7 is not delayed, but the market won’t wait for you.
NU7 testnet is still running, mainnet signing date is October 20, target activation November 5. Testnet early is a mid-term plus, but before the breakdown, all positives must yield to technicals.
On the ETF side, ZCSH split landed, small net outflow on Monday. Channel is there, no new inflows. Institutions haven’t fled, but haven’t added either.
The harshest truth: ETF only custody transparent addresses, the shielded pool’s privacy narrative is inaccessible to institutions. You’re buying the expectation of a "privacy coin ETF," not privacy itself.
Before the positive is realized, all "long-term optimism" is just self-comfort for trapped holders.
Third thing: 1210 is stuck at the 1200 psychological level, 1180 is the last dignity.
Key levels, remember:
Above: 1270-1280 (just lost lifeline, now supply zone) → 1310 (yesterday’s price) → 1340 (today’s open)
Below: 1199 (today’s low) → 1180 (first deep correction target) → 1100-1120 (next level)
No volume to reclaim 1270, don’t talk about 1360. Daily close below 1180 means short-term direct drop to 1100.
At 1210, holding 1180 can still be a deep pullback; if not, it’s a continuation of the downtrend.
Bull vs bear, you decide:
On one side:
NU7 testnet running, signing on October 20, activation November 5
ETF channel still open, ZCSH split landed
Total supply 21 million, halving preserved, scarcity logic unchanged
Retraced 29% from 1697, squeezed a lot of bubble from the 800-850 start zone in August
On the other side:
1270 lifeline broken, technicals turned bearish
Oil price + US bonds + Fed minutes, triple kill on risk assets
BTC can’t hold 82600, ZEC next support at 1180 or even 1100
Shielded pool usage not exploded, privacy narrative lacks short-term catalyst
Key level 1210, only 30 USD away from the death line at 1180.
Resistance above: 1270-1280 (lifeline) → 1310 → 1340
Support below: 1199 → 1180 (first target) → 1100-1120
Trading strategy
Aggressive:
Around 1210, very light long positions, stop loss at 1175. First target 1270, second 1310. Reduce half at 1260. Don’t add if oil price keeps jumping.
Conservative:
Wait for 1100-1120, stop loss 1060. Better to wait for reclaiming 1270 before following. If not reached, stay out. Staying out isn’t shameful, getting trapped is.
Breakout:
Only consider chasing if volume supports holding 1310 and pullback doesn’t break 1270, target 1360. Conditions not met now.
Shorts:
Weak rebound at 1260-1280 can be light short, stop loss 1305, targets 1200, 1180. Don’t short blindly near 1180.
Position rules:
Single trade risk no more than 2% of total capital, leverage no more than 3x. It can drop from 1340 to 1200 in a day, and bounce back from 1200 to 1340.
Risk control priority:
Break below 1180 with volume → next support 1120, 1100, reduce positions first
BTC breaks 82600 → ZEC reduces leverage accordingly
If October 20 no-go or mainnet delayed → short-term expectations crushed
ZEC now is like ETH in May 2021—
Elon Musk said a word, BTC halved, all altcoins crashed. Everyone said "bull market is over," but two months later ETH hit new highs.
But one difference: ETH had NFT and DeFi Summer then, ZEC now only has NU7 and ETF expectations.
It’s not that ZEC is bad, you just keep chasing highs at 1340 and cutting losses at 1180—perfectly buying at emotional tops and selling at panic bottoms.
$BTC $ETH $ZEC Conclusion first: The 4H K-line at 16:00 today for $STRK had a trading volume of 540 million shares — 38 times the normal baseline. It rose 18%, but this is not sector rotation, not ETF funds, not DeFi narrative.
Pure K-line language.
Let's look at the details:
At 14:00, the price was still sideways at 0.0485. No one knew it would surge. At 17:00, the high directly touched 0.0615 — a 25% increase in 3 hours from the low point. The current price is 0.0588, +18.4% in 24 hours.
The volume-price structure is interesting: that explosive volume K-line closed at 0.0596, with an upper shadow of only 0.002. This is not a pump-and-dump — dumping requires large sell orders, but this K-line was driven by active buy orders absorbing the supply. The pullback also lacked panic volume, more like controlled testing of the price.
No news: no mainnet launch, no new contracts, no TVL surge. OKX just launched AXS X-Perp, which is not a Starknet positive.
There are two possibilities for this structure: one, the market maker is testing selling pressure above; two, there is undisclosed news and someone is front-running.
$STRK current price is 0.0588. 0.06 is a key integer level; only breaking through it opens space. Holding 0.055 means today's volume was not wasted.
Do you think this explosive volume is a test or a fakeout?ETF inflows continue, so why is BTC falling? This round of capital divergence is also weighing on UNI, and I tend to think the short-term remains weak. Looking at the market, the current price is 7.699, down 3.5% in 24 hours, with the lowest at 7.68 serving as the current defense line. 1-hour distance from the high is -16.12%, 4-hour distance from the high is -28.16%, the mid-term downtrend remains unchanged. Trading volume is 15.119 million, funding rate is 0.01%, bullish sentiment has not faded. The top 10 order book shows 17,000 bids versus 11,000 asks, with bids holding a 1.46 advantage, and support near 7.68. You can lightly try going long at 7.712, stop loss at 7.643, target at 7.958; if 7.68 is broken, then reverse to bearish targeting 7.512, keeping position size within 10%.
——This is only a personal opinion and does not constitute investment advice. Wishing you successful trading.——
$UNI#ETF仍在流入，BTC为何下跌？
#ETF仍在流入，BTC为何下跌？ $UNI Don't get excited just by seeing "productivity"; short-term focus should be on interest rate signals first.
According to Wu's report, the Federal Reserve's September FOMC meeting minutes show: most participants believe another rate hike before year-end might be appropriate; several officials judge current rates are not strongly restrictive; some officials see increased inflation upside risks. The minutes also mention better-than-expected construction, which may boost productivity and potential output.
This is somewhat bearish for risk assets like $BTC and $ETH: the market's real sensitivity point remains the interest rate path. If expectations for further hikes heat up, U.S. dollar interest rates and liquidity pressures will suppress crypto asset valuations. The productivity narrative is more of a medium- to long-term positive, but in the short term, more attention should be paid to whether U.S. Treasury yields, the dollar index, and risk assets pull back in sync.
Observation one: the minutes are hawkish, with rising expectations for another hike before year-end. Observation two: medium- to long-term narratives and short-term pressures may not align. Do you think the short-term market will trade rate hike expectations first, or the productivity narrative first? From the table, the $ETH funding situation looks a bit "schizophrenic": short-term funds from 15 to 30 minutes are quietly bottom-fishing, for example, the highest net inflow of contracts surged to over $37 million, but medium to long-term cycles over 1 hour are all "running away," with a 4-hour contract net outflow exceeding $400 million and 12-hour nearly $450 million. This indicates retail investors are betting on a short-term rebound, while large funds are continuously withdrawing.
Combining with the recent market, the US Ethereum spot ETF has had net outflows for 6 consecutive days, with $202 million redeemed in just one day on Tuesday. More troubling is that the largest institutional buyer Bitmine holds 4.9% of the total supply, just about 100,000 tokens short of the 5% hard cap, meaning it will stop buying within the next 6 to 7 weeks. The market is already pricing in this "disappearance of buying power" expectation.
In the short term, watch the $2537 support; breaking below $2510 may trigger a chain liquidation; resistance is at $2580 above. The bulls and bears are fiercely contesting now; aggressive traders can go long in the $2530-$2545 range, targeting the $2585 area.
#9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息 #ETF仍在流入，BTC为何下跌？ SKHYNIX is being dragged into a critical turning zone by this round of capital divergence. My judgment is: short-term bears still control the market, but it is approaching the crucial low point.
The 24-hour low of 1248.3 has been repeatedly tested. The current price of 1253 is only 0.01% above the low, but has fallen more than 9% from the high; the 1-hour and 4-hour trends are both downward, the top 10 levels of the order book show a buy/sell ratio of 0.78, with sellers clearly dominant. The funding rate is 0.0000%, open interest is 38,000, indicating bulls are not panicking to cut losses, bears are not aggressively adding positions, more like a stalemate before a turning point.
My approach is: lightly short at the rebound to 1295.7, stop loss at 1319.3, target 1211.6; if volume breaks above 1301.5, reverse to long with a target of 1363.4. Position size controlled within 5% of total capital, exit immediately if broken.
— This is only my personal opinion and does not constitute investment advice. Wishing you successful trading. —
$SKHYNIX#ETF仍在流入，BTC为何下跌？
#ETF仍在流入，BTC为何下跌？ $SKHYNIX Support Below
· Immediate Support: $82,150-$82,300 (Today's low area, short-term defense level for bulls)
· Core Support: $79,095-$79,493 (If broken, the cumulative long liquidation intensity on major CEXs will reach $1.37 billion)
· Key Psychological Level: $80,000 (Analyst Kron defines: once $80,000 is broken, the bullish pattern may be broken)
Analyst Murphy points out that there is strong buying support in the $83,000 to $79,000 range. Binance spot order book 5% depth difference once reached $80 million when BTC dropped to $83,000, with relative strength even higher than the sideways consolidation phase at the end of July. $BTC $ETH $ZEC #黄金ETF创纪录吸金，高利率仍压制金价 #Anthropic plans to launch IPO in November, aiming to list before Thanksgiving# This tech financing hotspot is boosting altcoin sentiment. BSB rose today but the market shows hidden divergences. I tend to think there will still be downward pressure after the rebound. The one-hour and four-hour trends are both downward; the former is 4.71 points below the high, the latter 10.75 points below, while the 24-hour is up 6.3 points, showing obvious contradictions. Current price is 0.1017, resistance above at 0.10442, support below at 0.09471, trading volume 1,629,000, buy-sell ratio 0.81 with sellers dominant, funding rate positive at 0.0126, open interest 13,118,000, longs crowded but insufficiently supported. Suggest light short positions near 0.1025 on rebound, stop loss at 0.1055, target 0.0965; if volume breaks and holds above 0.105, can reverse to long, stop loss 0.102, target 0.112. Position control within 20%, false breakout risk high.
— Personal opinion only, not investment advice, wish you successful trading. —
$BSB#Anthropic plans to launch IPO in November, aiming to list before Thanksgiving
#Anthropic plans to launch IPO in November, aiming to list before Thanksgiving $BSB Anthropic plans to launch an IPO in November. If the AI narrative heats up, it could drive sentiment for computing power tokens, but $CL is currently weak in following the rally, and I don't believe it can leverage this momentum to break through. The market shows clear contradictions: a 24h increase of 2.5% reaching 91.98, yet both the 1-hour and 4-hour trends are downward, having fallen 4.60% from the 4h high. The rebound looks more like an oversold correction. The funding rate of -0.0514% indicates shorts are still paying, and the open interest of 411,000 coin-margined contracts has not decreased. The top 10 buy orders total 85,000 versus 66,000 sell orders, a ratio of 1.30, showing short-term buying advantage, but the turnover is only 11.992 million, indicating limited momentum for chasing highs. Strategically, if the price pulls back to 89.65 without breaking, a light long position can be taken with a stop loss at 87.35 and a target of 92.85; if it rises to 92.75 and faces resistance, try shorting with a stop loss at 93.95 and a target of 89.85. Single position size should not exceed 5%.
— This is only a personal opinion and does not constitute investment advice. Wishing you successful trading. —
$CL#Anthropic拟11月启动IPO，目标于感恩节前上市
#Anthropic拟11月启动IPO，目标于感恩节前上市 $CL It’s an institutional packaging strategy — turn $SEI dual return profile (price appreciation + staking yield) into a regulated, easy-to-buy product that traditional capital can access. Success depends on actual inflows after launch and how the market digests SEI’s supply schedule.The Federal Reserve's September meeting minutes came out at 2 a.m. I went through them this morning, and in one sentence: still hawkish.
At the last 25 basis points rate hike, all 19 members supported it, and most still think there will be another hike before the end of the year, citing ongoing inflation pressure and a strong job market. The market now prices about an 80% chance of another rate hike this year. Trump is calling for a rate cut, but just talking doesn't help.
Interestingly, $ETH didn't get smashed through. The lowest point at 2536 was hit an hour before the minutes were released, then it slowly climbed back to around 2570, with funding rates still slightly negative.
My view: interest rates are still going up, so risk-on coins like ETH are unlikely to strengthen alone; expect some consolidation first. No panic if 2536 doesn't break, and don't rush to chase if it can't hold above 2600. $BTC is still hovering around 83,300.
$BTC $ETH #ETH #Ethereum #FederalReserve #FOMC #Macro #RiskWarning
This is not investment advice; keep lighter positions during macro tightening.