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$XCH Processor Types
Both CPU and GPU support plotting, with GPUs generally being faster.
This BladeBit CUDA plotter requires an NVIDIA GPU with CUDA capability 5.2 or higher and at least 8GB of VRAM. It is limited to Windows and Linux only. MacOS support may be added in the future but is not guaranteed.
The table below lists the general types of plotters for creating k32 plots and their requirements:Eating the cheapest buffet, playing with the most expensive $BTC
Mortgage delayed by 2 days before paying
The last house, lived in by myself and my daughter
The shop was transferred, the house was sold, all contributed to the crypto circle
At this rate, when will I build my own trading system
Longing for altcoins and dreaming of leading the market doesn't seem to work either
It's really tough, brothersHilarious, someone is bragging everywhere about $CORE burn data, claiming the supply is rapidly decreasing. It looks like they're trying to fool children; at least when you fool kids, you give them a candy, but here they only tell a one-sided story.
They show a cumulative burn of 72,700 tokens from Q1 to Q3, plus tokens pending burn, explaining the mechanism of staking → activity → fees → burn very smoothly. But this presentation only picks favorable data and deliberately omits the unlocked tokens released during the same period.
The burn numbers are increasing, but the tokens unlocked and released each quarter far exceed the burn amount. On one hand, chips are continuously unlocked and released; on the other hand, a small amount is burned. The overall circulating supply is still expanding, so there is no accelerated reduction in supply.
Using burn data alone to create an illusion of deflation ignores the real issues of node loss and ecosystem implementation. The localized positive packaging of data cannot hide the selling pressure caused by continuous unlocking.
⚠️ Risk warning: Virtual currency trading and speculation carry significant risks. This content is only a personal opinion and does not constitute any investment advice. "Sunday's Thin Market, Don't Mistake Direction for Actual Trades"
Over the weekend in the crypto market, BTC, ETH, and XRP all pushed up simultaneously with similar postures. But the market depth is too thin, and price movements are more like signposts rather than confirmations from real capital transactions.
$BTC is around 84.7K. If it holds above 85.2K, the next target is the weekly high at 87.4K, and then 90K beyond that. Citi's 113K is a twelve-month target, not a story to be realized on Sunday. If 82.8K breaks, 80K will come into view.
ETH is about 2680. It needs to first reclaim 2.76K and close above 2.77K for 3.00K to become a meaningful discussion point. Citi's 3,028 is the same—without a closing price, it's just an expectation. The downside failure point is at 2.60K.
XRP is about 1.49. The upward path is 1.55, closing at 1.66, then looking at 1.80. The real breakout threshold remains at 1.66, with support at 1.46.
In order, BTC leads. Without BTC closing above 85.2K, there's no need to rush to believe ETH's 2.77K and XRP's 1.66. Sunday's rise is just a guide, not a trade. Don't chase Sunday's path; wait for Monday's close confirmation. #美联储与欧洲央行将公布9月会议纪要 #BTC现货ETF重回流入，ETH资金持续流出 The Sandbox (SAND) surged significantly after breaking through months of resistance zones, supported by increased trading volume and open interest. Market sentiment improved after Upbit and Bithumb removed their trading caution labels, with SAND briefly rising above $0.08; key support and resistance levels were also listed, along with a discussion of the subsequent trend in October. Why do arbitrageurs both fix prices and create competition costs?
When the same asset shows a price difference between two trading pools, arbitrageurs buy where it's cheaper and sell where it's more expensive, pushing the quotes closer together. This process allows DeFi prices to reflect supply and demand more quickly and also helps lending and derivatives obtain more reliable on-chain references. Without arbitrage, incorrect prices would persist longer, making it easier for ordinary users to trade in distorted pools.
The problem is that public opportunities attract many bots competing for the same profit. They increase tips, optimize Gas, and race to execute before others, ultimately transferring most of the profits to block producers. Competition can improve market efficiency but also causes congestion and infrastructure advantages. $ETH gains fee demand from trading activity, but the network cannot build all efficiency on ordinary users paying worse execution prices.
Therefore, evaluating MEV cannot be simply good or bad. Whether arbitrage improves prices depends on whether it consumes excessive block resources, profits by sandwiching users, or pushes validators toward a few specialized services. A healthy direction is to retain the functions of price fixing and liquidation risk mitigation while narrowing predatory ordering space. The goal of protocols and wallets is not to eliminate all profits but to ensure profits come from providing effective services.This weekend, I made one trade. Last week's non-farm payroll market, Bitcoin still hasn't broken through the high point, so it's still a difficult mode market. Meanwhile, ETF funds are still overall in a net inflow state, I no longer dare to short Bitcoin. So I shorted other targets whose patterns better fit a bearish structure, one is SHIB, and the others are ASTER and DOGE. Main reasons for not shorting Bitcoin: 1. Bitcoin's ETF funds show net inflows, and last week there was only one day of n$XCH How to Choose the Best Plotting Computer
Plotting Hardware
New Proof Format
In 2024, we introduced a new proof format. Compared to the original format, this format has slightly different hardware requirements for plotting and farming. For more information about the new format, please refer to the following resources:
Plotting Requirements
Farming Requirements
Timeline
The rest of this page only pertains to the original proof format.Long and Short Crowding List｜Last 15 Minutes
$SAND short side unit time holding cost is relatively high: current 4-hour rate -0.108%, price +0.03%, open interest -0.9%. Total position contraction, limited net price change, short positions across settlements still bear holding costs corresponding to the current rate.
$AXS short side unit time holding cost is relatively high: current 4-hour rate -0.0439%, price +0.51%, open interest -0.9%. Price increase accompanied by total position contraction, short positions across settlements face both adverse price movement and funding fee expenditure.Every day after work is incredibly boring, my heart feels extremely empty, and my body is especially lonely!
At this moment, I am strolling on the park's track, having already walked many laps!
Today, unlike before when I would frequently open the exchange to check or open the planet to see some friends' analysis of the market trend, I don't want to look anymore. Being overly optimistic leads to mistakes and always affects me! If I had held onto several previous positions, I would have already broken even. But because of those casual market comments from others, I doubted myself, took a small profit and ran, resulting in small wins and big losses, never breaking even.
Now my idea is that after opening a position, I won't check it often. Watching too much only adds unnecessary worry, so I'll just set a take-profit.
Yesterday, I opened a short position on two coins of $ETH. I believe my choice is correct; just hold on and no longer be influenced by the outside world. #BTC现货ETF重回流入，ETH资金持续流出 — what do these inflows and outflows have to do with me? I don't understand them either, so let it be! The net inflow of SOL spot ETFs this week is only about $2.4 million, a sharp drop of about 99% compared to about $188 million last week—I choose to observe, not chase.
According to SoSoValue data, as of the week ending October 2nd Eastern Time, the net inflow of SOL spot ETFs was about $2.4 million, compared to about $188 million last week, a week-on-week plunge of about 99%.
The daily path shows inflows in the first half of the week, followed by two consecutive days of net outflows in the latter half, with a slight positive turn of about $1.3 million on October 2nd, mostly supported by Bitwise towards the end.
Total AUM is about $1.905 billion, with cumulative net inflows of about $1.608 billion; shares remain on the books, but there was almost no incremental ammunition this week.
Simply put: the cumulative numbers look good, but weekly increments have already fizzled out.
Binance is currently around 121.59, with a daily high of about 121.61 and a low of about 119.59.
My view: The $188 million inflow last week was unsustainable hype; cutting weekly inflows to $2.4 million indicates institutional channels are catching their breath, so don’t mistake the cumulative $1.608 billion as a moat for the current price.
Let’s wait for next week’s capital flow to speak; the market is thin over the weekend, so treat this as a brake.
My approach: Observe, don’t chase.
If it holds above about 121.61, then watch 123.76; if it breaks below about 119.59, consider this rebound failed.
Are you more focused on whether the ETF will turn positive again next week, or do you think it will consolidate around 121 first?
$SOL $BTC $ETH
#FederalReserve and EuropeanCentralBank to release September meeting minutes #BTC spot ETF returns to inflows, ETH funds continue outflows$ZEC was hammered down 23% by redemptions, yet still managed +1.6% in 24h
$ZEC was hammered down 23%, but I lean bullish: Grayscale's spot ETF saw its first major weekly net redemption, yet the market closed 24h +1.6%.
Currently at 1339.3, after the event it pulled back to 1332.47 then recovered to 1339.49, the dip was filled by buyers.
Funding rate is neutral at 0.0001, open interest at 483,469.05, up 2.26% from the archive, derivatives are taking over positions; daily MA7 is pressing down on MA30, RSI 48.8 neutral, bullish alignment intact; 30-day up 30.95%, 7-day down 15.62%, this is a shakeout, not a collapse.
Market phase is offensive, breadth 50 up 14 down, fear-greed index 65.
Resistance above: 1344, then 1346.3 as a high point wall
Support below: 1337, daily MA30 is here
Watershed: 1337, holding this means shakeout, breaking it signals weakness
Conclusion: Bullish on $ZEC. Enter near 1339.3, stop loss if it breaks below 1337, take profit at 1344 and then 1346.3.
Watching the market, follow me for the next signal.
$ZEC $BTCThe US dollar has strengthened rapidly over the past month, but forex market analysts have not significantly revised their medium- to long-term forecasts as a result. The latest Reuters survey shows that despite the dollar rising more than 3% since early September, nearly 70 surveyed forex strategists generally expect the dollar to give back most of its recent gains over the next year.
However, analysts are noticeably more cautious about the short-term trend. When asked whether the dollar is more likely to be above or below their respective forecasts in the next three months, 80% of respondents believe the dollar is more likely to outperform their predictions. This indicates that after the Federal Reserve resumed rate hikes, US Treasury yields rose to their highest levels in over two decades, and global bond markets experienced severe volatility, the current upward momentum of the dollar has begun to force the market to reassess previously overly bearish views.
As of Friday's US session, the dollar index hovered below 102, having touched its highest level since April 2025 on Thursday. #BTC现货ETF重回流入，ETH资金持续流出 #美伊局势持续紧张，G7将释放最多1亿桶储备 6 million USD, gone just like that.
The treasury on Base was drained, 1783 wstETH stolen. The attacker added a contract to the whitelist themselves and directly borrowed the tokens.
In other words, the door was opened from the inside.
This incident poses no systemic risk to $ETH itself, but there is one point to watch — if the attacker dumps these 1783 wstETH, the peg price of LST will suffer in the short term.
From the counterparty's perspective, the most urgent concern right now isn’t Base, but the holders of wstETH. You don’t know when they will sell, but you know they will.
So don’t rush to bottom-fish LST; wait for them to make the first move.
In this on-chain business, no matter how well the code is written, it can’t prevent someone from opening the door from the inside.
#BTC现货ETF重回流入，ETH资金持续流出
#NEAR生态协议被盗380万美元资金全额追回 $ETH Midday Crypto Market | More than enough recovery, insufficient momentum—but what's brewing beneath the surface?
First, let's talk about something you might have overlooked: risk appetite is quietly warming up.
The market has been very "sticky" these past two days—neither rising nor falling much, which might seem boring if you only watch the candlesticks. But if you look beyond the charts, you'll notice several subtle changes happening.
First, the inflation data provided reassurance. The US March CPI year-over-year was 3.3%, slightly below expectations. Although energy costs are still rising, the driving force behind core inflation is narrowing. Kraken's Chief Economist Thomas Perfumo said this is more a reason for "cautious optimism" than an alarm, noting that "the broader inflation impulse is contracting."
Second, ETF funds are getting serious. The spot Bitcoin ETF saw a single-day net inflow of $358 million, and Ethereum funds also attracted $85 million. This isn't retail investors chasing gains emotionally; institutions are allocating real capital. Meanwhile, the 20-day rolling correlation between Bitcoin and tech stocks has dropped to 0.34, indicating $BTC is gradually breaking free from the tech sector's influence and developing its own narrative.
Third, the whales aren't running. New long positions in perpetual contracts have pushed $BTC and $ETH holdings up by over $2 billion each. Some analysts believe a "structural bottom is forming." Bitmine Chairman Tom Lee also bluntly stated—"More and more signals indicate the market has found its bottom."
Back to the market: sentiment is still hesitant, but the structure isn't bad.
$BTC is slightly positive around 84,800, with 84,000 as a short-term critical level. Holding this level means the recovery pattern remains intact. Honestly, the tug-of-war here is interesting—there's significant resistance above, but solid buying support below, and the pullback has never spiraled out of control.
$ETH is at 2,685, warming up moderately with the broader market, with 2,620 as support below. $ETH still suffers from the old problem—lack of an independent narrative driver. However, Tom Lee's recent remarks are worth noting; he listed Ethereum and related assets as top picks, reasoning that $ETH showed relative strength during geopolitical conflicts and is becoming a "barometer" of market resilience. You can choose to believe this or not, but at least it shows institutional capital is seriously considering $ETH's allocation value.
$ZEC is at 1,318, weak at midday, with a pullback more pronounced than mainstream coins; 1,280 is a key support. Small-cap coins naturally bear pressure in this choppy pattern, so no surprises there.
How do I see this market move?
Frankly, I'm a bit more optimistic than a few days ago—not because the market has risen, but because it hasn't fallen despite negative factors.
After the positive CPI data, $BTC surged to 73,000 but couldn't hold, indicating real selling pressure above. But from another angle, with geopolitical risks ongoing, oil prices high, and market sentiment still in the "extreme fear" zone (Fear & Greed Index at only 14), $BTC holding steady between 71,000 and 73,000 shows there is support below.
On a larger scale, I still view this as a bull market early-stage correction and shakeout. But to say now is the "moment to attack," I disagree. A trend breakout requires volume confirmation, and current volumes don't support that. More likely, the market will continue to consolidate and bottom out, waiting for more catalysts on the macro calendar—such as upcoming inflation data and the Fed's next moves.
What about tonight?
I maintain the range-bound view, but volatility may increase, and the risk of stop-loss hunting spikes. My strategy is to lean slightly long, not chasing rallies or blindly bottom-fishing. Consider buying in batches on pullbacks to support, with strict stop-loss and position management. Specifically:
· $BTC: Light long positions can be tried if it stabilizes near 84,000; stop loss decisively if it breaks below 83,500; watch resistance around 86,000-86,500 above.
· $ETH: Maintain a slightly bullish stance if 2,620 holds; if it breaks 2,600, wait and watch for lower levels.
· $ZEC: If volume and stabilization signals appear near 1,280, small positions can be taken to bet on a rebound, but control small-cap coin exposure carefully.
Finally, a frank word: in this grinding, choppy market, the biggest mistake is frequent trading. Patience can sometimes be more valuable than judgment. Build positions gradually at support levels, don't rush, the market will provide opportunities.
The above are personal views and do not constitute investment advice. Position management is always more important than directional judgment.
#美联储与欧洲央行将公布9月会议纪要 #BTC现货ETF重回流入，ETH资金持续流出 #贝森特：美债收益率上升符合全球趋势 WLD/USDT — BUY ON RETEST
WLD is holding a strong daily recovery structure after rising from $0.3523 to $0.6197. Current price is around $0.59, with daily MACD still positive.
Fundamentally, World is expanding World ID, World Money and World Chain, while the WLD unlock rate was reduced 43% to ~2.9M WLD/day in July.
Entry: $0.55–$0.57
SL: $0.52
TP1: $0.70
TP2: $0.80
Confirmation: Daily close above $0.62
Invalidation: Daily close below $0.52
#BessentTreasuryYields
$WLD Can we stop the volatility, $ETH? It broke through 2530 all the way to 2700, and the 2700-2800 range is full of short liquidations and stop-losses closing shorts and buying, further pushing the price upward without much effort. If this bull market wants to continue, it needs to clear high-leverage longs in the 2450-2300 range. That's where those of you shouting for the bull market to return won't make money.
Right now, my average price is 2685.11, but the non-farm payroll data from the day before yesterday only caused a 1.11 amplitude. Although the lowest point reached 2648, I haven't made a profit. Previously, to manage risk, I closed profitable $BTC positions and other losing positions. I can only start making a profit at the 2550 range. I'll keep holding; I've already paid tens of thousands of dollars in fees. $SOL The upcoming release of the Federal Reserve’s September meeting minutes could arrive at a time when the market has already moved on. The reason is simple: the economic picture has changed significantly in just a few days. 1. The Fed’s September View Has Already Been Challenged At the September meeting, the Fed had just delivered a 25-basis-point rate hike. Much of the discussion was still centered on whether another hike would be necessary later. Then came the latest jobs report. U.S. payrolls iBTC at $85,200, do you dare to chase it?
On October 2, it was just slammed down from 87,240; on October 3, it dropped to 83,880; today it was forcibly pulled back to 85,200 — the upper half of the box, still no breakout. On one side, the probability of a rate hike collapsed from 66% to 22%, on the other, ETFs suddenly had a net outflow of $149 million. Is this wave the end of the shakeout or a rebound trap?
Let's look at the surface first: all data is improving, but the price just won't go up.
September nonfarm payrolls were only 29,000, as soft as it gets. The probability of a rate hike in October dropped directly from 66% two weeks ago to 22%-40%. PCE dropped from 4.1% to 3.4%. Logically, BTC should take off.
But if you look at the order book: 85,200 is stuck in the middle. It can't break above 86,575, nor fall below 83,800.
Lots of bullish factors, but the price doesn't rise — this is the most dangerous and also the most opportunistic position.
First thing: what's suppressing BTC is not the rate hike, but the 5.3% yield.
Many people misunderstand one thing.
The rate hike probability dropped, so why didn't BTC surge?
Because the 10-year US Treasury yield is still around 5.3%.
In plain terms: money placed in government bonds earns a risk-free 5.3%. If BTC doesn't rise, why would I move my money here to gamble?
As long as yields don't drop, there will always be sellers above 85,200. This isn't manipulation by big players; it's the cost of capital.
What's even more painful — on September 30, spot ETFs had a net outflow of $149 million, the first retreat after continuous inflows. Institutions are pulling back, and you're still fantasizing about a big bullish candle changing your view?
Second thing: this rally is not new leverage, it's shorts being forced to cover.
On October 2, it surged to 87,200, shorts were liquidated. Then it dropped to 83,880, bulls caught it. Now back to 85,200 — no obvious expansion in open interest.
What does this mean?
This is not a main upward wave; it's a correction within the box.
A real breakout requires volume increase + open interest growth + consecutive bullish candles. Only one condition is met now. So don't get excited; this is not the start of a bull market, it's bulls and bears fighting within the 83,000-87,200 box.
Historical high of 126,000? That's a mid-term story. That number won't be used this week; anyone using it to boost confidence is just a retail trader.
Third thing: daily bulls haven't broken, but the 4-hour chart is still in the box.
Daily: price is above all major moving averages, 50-day > 200-day, RSI about 65 — strong, not overbought.
4-hour: 87,240 failed → 83,880 stopped falling → 85,200 recovered. Classic box, 83,000-87,200.
Today it stood above the midline 84,600, but hasn't touched 86,575 yet.
Key signal: daily close above 86,575 to look at 87,200/88,500. Close below 84,800 means rebound failed, back to 83,800.
What is 85,200? Above the first daily support 84,800, below the first resistance 86,575. In short, stuck in the middle, the easiest place to be swept back and forth.
Bulls vs bears, you decide:
On one side:
Rate hike probability collapsed, nonfarm 29,000, PCE down, easing expectations rising
Daily bullish structure intact, price above all moving averages
83,880 stopped falling effectively, shorts liquidated once on October 2
Post-halving issuance pace unchanged, no supply shock
Citibank 12-month target 113,000, mid-term anchor still there
On the other side:
10-year US Treasury yield capped at 5.3%, high capital cost
ETF net outflow $149 million, institutions pulling back short-term
87,200 failed three times, huge resistance
CPI/FOMC/PCE triple events from October 14-29
No expansion in open interest, not a main upward structure
Key position 85,200, just one step away from direction choice.
Resistance above: 86,000 → 86,575 → 87,200-88,000 → 88,500 → 90,000
Support below: 84,800 → 83,800-84,000 → 82,900 → 82,000
Trading strategy
Within the box (most likely current scenario):
85,200 has left the lower edge, no chasing longs. If rebound to 86,000-86,575 is resisted and 4-hour candle can't close above, light short positions with stop loss above 87,250, target 84,800/83,800. If it falls back to 83,800-84,000 and shows a long lower shadow stop, buy in batches with stop loss below 83,200, target 85,200/86,000.
Breakout trade:
4-hour close firmly above 87,200 with volume, then look at 88,500-90,000, stop loss below 86,000 close. Daily close below 83,800 and failure to recover, short targets move down to 82,900/82,000.
Pre-event discipline:
Before CPI (October 14), sweeping around 85,200 is normal. If yield breaks above 5.3% again, downgrade breakout trades. Continuous ETF net outflows, reduce chasing above 86,500. Single trade risk control within 1% of account.
If you don't dare to buy at 83,800 nor chase at 87,200, then why are you in the market?
The box edges are for buying dips and taking profits. The middle 85,200 is for those who can't control their hands to pay fees.
BTC now is like a spring compressed to the limit — 83,800 and 87,200, one side will inevitably break.
What you need to do is not guess the direction, but wait for it to choose, then follow.
$BTC $ETH $ZEC 400u challenge 10wu
Day 95
Principal 400u, target 10wu
Currently 7300u, 1300u withdrawn
1. It feels like it's no longer easy to short altcoins now A 0.16% margin rate is like tap dancing on edge of Grim Reaper's blade; if I don't lock in profits soon, tonight will definitely be sleepless night! Listen to advice, close half position, save your life! Brothers, looking at 0.16% in my account, cold sweat just broke out on back. From 0.39% and 0.29% before, dropping all way down to 0.16%, I've really been pushing myself step by step into dead end. Position update: BCH: Eternal charge! Full position 10X leverage, entry at 261.02, mark price 318.$LINK Long & Short areas were mentioned.
Price first touched the LONG area, forms a Bullish candle 🕯️ and is 4% up so far. 🚀
Note:- down wick was a Liquidity sweep, not closed below the zone then came in and forms bullish confirmation.
#FedECBMeetingMinutes #BTCETHETFFlowsDiverge #BessentTreasuryYields "ZEC suddenly rebounds, and the bears are starting to stir again"
$ZEC's move today is quite interesting.
It first rose from around 1283 to 1334, then fell back to about 1316.
On the surface, it's a nice rebound.
But if you look at a longer timeframe, the picture changes:
There is still a good gain over 30 days, but the short-term momentum has clearly cooled off.
This often leads to a situation where—
the major trend isn't completely broken yet, but short-term funds have started to take profits.
What I'm more focused on now isn't whether ZEC went up or down today, but whether it can continue to break past previous highs after each rebound.
Around 1319, it just reached a short-term technical resistance zone; after pushing up, it didn't continue with volume and instead fell back.
This kind of movement is uncomfortable for the bulls.
So near 1316, I got itchy and opened a small short position.
I'm not bearish on ZEC's long-term cycle, just betting that this rebound won't have enough strength.
My thinking is simple:
Around 1334 is the previous high and also the risk boundary for this trade.
If it breaks through and holds, it means the bears were wrong, and I'll accept that directly.
If the rebound fails again, then I'll watch the support near 1280 below.
What really makes me cautious is the change in capital flow.
If the price remains high but funds keep flowing out, and the rebound increasingly depends on short-term sentiment, then the most likely scenario is:
The rise will be quick, and the fall won't give you much time to react. Crypto ETF funds show clear divergence, no longer moving collectively in the same direction.
$BTC spot ETF funds maintain net inflows, with institutional allocation willingness still strong, becoming the main anchor of market funds. ETH funds continue to flee, with insufficient bullish confidence and a lack of funds to support the rebound. $SOL's popularity rapidly declines, with a significant reduction in incremental funds. Other small-cap coin ETFs also face fund cash-outs and exits.
Local bullish candles on the chart easily create a false impression of a broad rally; essentially, it is fund rotation and stock switching within the market, not a full-scale bull market launch. The market is undergoing structural rotation, with funds withdrawing from some coins and concentrating into BTC for risk-averse positioning. Price fluctuations are merely the surface manifestation after fund movements; fund flow is the leading signal of the market.
The current bullish logic still exists but must be validated by fund flows. Going forward, focus on three signals: whether BTC fund inflows can continue, whether ETH redemption momentum can be stopped, and whether funds in the SOL sector can flow back again.
On the macro level, the rise in US Treasury yields continues the global environment trend. The Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank are about to release the September meeting minutes, and policy expectations will continue to disturb market sentiment. Judging price movements solely by candlesticks is prone to misinterpret the nature of the market; fund flow is the core observation line.
#现货ETF资金分化，BTC卖压仍在
#美联储与欧洲央行将公布9月会议纪要 "The scariest thing in the crypto world is not buying at the peak, but continuously finding reasons to justify it after the peak."
Recently, seeing $CORE reminded me of a particularly typical crypto story.
Someone got over ten thousand CORE tokens early on.
At first, the account numbers kept rising, and the group chat was shouting every day:
"Hold on!"
"This is an opportunity!"
"The next round will definitely come back!"
Back then, everyone was discussing how high it could go, but few seriously asked one question:
If the market reverses, when exactly should I exit?
Later, the price started to weaken continuously.
$5, $4, $1...
Every time it dropped, someone told themselves:
"It has already dropped so much, it can't fall further."
But the harshest truth of the market is here:
The price won't stop falling just because you've already lost a lot.
When an asset enters a prolonged downtrend, what truly wears people down is not a sudden crash on a single day, but the repeated "just wait a little longer."
Down 20%, hoping for a rebound.
Down 50%, hoping to break even.
Down 80%, starting to feel selling makes no sense.
Eventually, it changes from "investing in a project" to "holding onto a cost basis."
And the cost basis only matters to yourself.
The market will never give you a chance to break even just because of the price you originally paid.
So now I increasingly feel:
Before buying a coin, besides asking how much it can rise, you should ask yourself: if it falls, what is my reason to hold on "The most expensive tuition in the crypto world is often not buying the wrong coin, but refusing to admit you bought the wrong one."
Recently, I saw someone talking again about old projects like $CORE and $BICO.
Many people have had similar experiences:
When they bought in, the group was full of "the next 100x," "the next round of takeoff," "hold and get rich."
When the price went up, everyone thought they had good insight.
But once the trend reverses, the story changes completely.
$CORE has fallen all the way down from its high, and what really hurts is not a sudden big drop on one day, but a little drop every day.
Today you think it might rebound.
Tomorrow you think it has already dropped a lot, and it’s a pity to sell.
A few days later you tell yourself:
"It’s dropped this much already, just wait a bit longer."
The loss goes from 10% to 30%, then from 30% to 70%.
In the end, you realize you’re no longer investing, but waiting for a miracle.
This is actually a very typical trap in the crypto world:
When profitable, you like to calculate the future; when losing, you just want to wait to break even.
At first, you bought a project,
then you defended your cost price,
and finally, all you hold onto is the phrase:
"I’ll sell as soon as I break even."
But the market doesn’t know where your cost is.
So now, looking at these kinds of long-term declining coins, I think one principle is especially important:
Don’t assume it’s worth holding just because you’ve already lost a lot.
How much you’ve lost is not a reason to keep holding.
What you really should ask"Only after spending a long time in the crypto circle do you realize: what truly determines your profits is never how many coins you catch."
Many people entering the crypto space first look for "the next 100x coin."
But after experiencing several market cycles, a very realistic problem becomes clear:
Making big money doesn't necessarily rely on picking the most speculative coins; holding onto the profits you make is actually harder.
If I were to start over from scratch, I would break crypto investing into several stages.
First layer: survive first.
Most of the time, you don't need to swap coins every day, nor chase every hot trend.
Core assets follow the major cycles to capture the most basic market gains.
Second layer: learn to read the cycles.
The biggest mistake in a bull market is thinking the rise will last forever;
The biggest mistake in a bear market is thinking the world is ending after a small drop.
What really matters is not guessing if prices will go up or down tomorrow, but judging:
Where exactly are we in the major cycle now?
Third layer: to increase returns, consider swing trading.
Once the major cycle is clear, you can use mid-term trends to do some buy low, sell high.
In the same market cycle, some make several times profit holding from start to finish, while others lose profits by over-trading.
So more trades do not mean higher returns.
Fourth layer: after confirming the big direction, allocate a small portion of your position to chase high volatility.
Hot sectors, narrative leaders, new projects—all can be researched.
But the logic for this portion of money should be:
Only risk what you can afford to lose to qualify for high returns.
Never bet your entire principal."The most dangerous signal in the storage sector is not a decline, but the start of picking winners."
Recently, there has been a noticeable change in storage stocks:
Previously, it was "as long as it touched AI, everyone rose together."
Now it's different.
Capital is starting to ask a more realistic question—can your performance really support the current stock price?
AI demand remains, servers and HBM are still the hottest directions, and the storage industry's prosperity has not suddenly ended.
But the problem is:
Industry prosperity ≠ all storage stocks can continue to rise.
Micron belongs to the type of "fundamentals are solid, but the market is already familiar."
The earnings report is good, and guidance is strong, but if the stock price cannot break through previous highs for a long time, it indicates one thing:
There are many positives, but the funds willing to keep pushing the price up are decreasing.
SanDisk is a completely different play.
Enterprise SSD and data center demand are exploding, and growth elasticity is indeed exaggerated, but weak consumer demand also shows that its performance structure is not without concerns.
So around 1700, I actually think it’s more worth observing than chasing the rise.
Holding this level gives a chance to challenge 1800 or even previous highs again;
If 1700 cannot hold, around 1650 may become the next test.
As for Hynix, the logic is different again.
HBM remains one of the most certain core directions in AI storage, and as long as AI computing power demand continues to expand, its industry logic remains.
But the higher the stock price goes, the higher the market’s expectations for "outperformance" will be.
So the current storage sector【On-Chain Trading Activity｜ENA】
Monitored address 0x0c1f opened a long position:
▪ Execution price: $0.2383
▪ Transaction amount this time: $311,078.84
▪ Leverage: 10x
Note: This address has earned over $492,000 in the past 30 days, with a return rate of +129.30% October 4 · $ZEC: The privacy leader waking up from the frenzy
OKEx ZEC contract is currently around $1,302, fluctuating narrowly between $1,284 and $1,334 during the day, down slightly 1.3% in 24 hours, with a trading volume of $41 million — the heat remains, but it’s no longer boiling.
Looking back at this round: on September 27, it surged to an all-time high of $1,674, a 165% increase in three months, now retracing about 23%, down 14% in seven days. It’s not a crash, but profit-taking is happening. The fire of Grayscale Zcash ETF and the privacy narrative hasn’t gone out; it’s just shifted from "accumulation" to "consolidation."
The resistance at $1,334 must be overcome; only after holding above it can we talk about challenging the previous high again; the support at $1,284 is today’s critical point, breaking it could see $1,270.
After such a big rise, volatility will be intense. Don’t catch the last baton at the peak of emotions, and don’t lose your chips at the deepest consolidation.
$BTC $ETH #美联储与欧洲央行将公布9月会议纪要 #BTC现货ETF重回流入，ETH资金持续流出 #贝森特：美债收益率上升符合全球趋势 $ZEC closed above the high point
In the short term, it can be viewed as continuing upward. The high and low points in the previous few hours were 1,338.94 / 1,317.14 USDT, and the just closed 5-minute candlestick was at 1,342.27 USDT. The price is at the upper edge, closing above the previous high, which itself supports a bullish assumption.
However, trading activity only indicates participation, not direction. The last 15 minutes have been noticeably more active than the previous few hours. If subsequent closes continue to hold above the high, this idea remains valid; if it falls back below, then it should be reconsidered first. One of the most common illusions during weekend trading: it looks like nothing is happening, but in reality, liquidity is frighteningly thin.
In such an environment, even a slight withdrawal of funds can cause prices to be continuously trampled down.
The current issue with $SNDK, I think, is no longer just "it has risen too much."
The support brought by the previous wave of passive funds has long been traded through by the market. After the tide of incremental funds recedes, who will take over at such a high level?
More importantly, the external environment is not very friendly right now.
The non-farm payrolls have just been released, there is an interest rate meeting at the end of the month, and the US tech sector has been repeatedly under pressure recently. Once high-level stocks lose the protection of the broader market environment, their pullbacks are often faster than expected.
So when looking at $SNDK now, I am more concerned about whether there is enough capital to buy at the high level.
If there is continued weakness near 1717, it can be considered a resistance level to watch, and you shouldn’t rush to chase the rise.
If it breaks below 1650 later, the market may further open up downside space, with around 1550 becoming the next level worth watching.
Of course, bears are not blindly all-in either; weekend liquidity is too poor, and the biggest fear is sudden spikes up and down.
My approach is very simple:
Don’t chase longs at the high level, watch for resistance on rebounds, and confirm on breakouts.
$SNDK $ZEC
This is only a personal market view and does not constitute investment advice. Profit and loss are your own responsibility. DYOR截至今日16:10，ETH突破2700 USDT，呈现高位震荡、多空分歧加剧的格局。目前的盘面，是非常典型的“主力获利盘”结构。 先看数据：多空比高达252%，多头占据绝对优势。更夸张的是，多头盈利比例逼近81%。这意味着什么？现在车上挤满了赚钱的人，平均开仓价在2558，现价2703，人人手里都攥着近6%的浮盈。这种状态下，主力随时有兑现利润的动机。一旦砸盘，追高的人瞬间就会变成接盘侠。 再看技术面，高位震荡的信号很明显。1小时图上，价格虽然还撑在布林带中轨（2697）上方，但MACD红柱已经开始缩短，多头动能明显衰减。日线级别虽然趋势向上，但上影线很长，说明上方抛压非常重。 综合来看，这就是典型的“诱多出货期”，看着涨势喜人，实际上是主力在缓慢派发。 所以我的策略很明确： 拒绝追高：2700这个位置，就是主力希望你看到并冲进去的价格，别去接盘。 盯紧关键点位：下方2640-2650是布林带中轨和前期平台的重合支撑。只有等价格回踩到这里，并且确认企稳，才是真正安全的上车机会。一旦跌破2600，趋势转弱，谨慎做多。 行情不缺机会，缺的是耐心。别在主力派发的时候，去当那个买单的人。🚨 The BTC bull market flag pattern has formed, but don't rush to go all in
After BTC's recent surge, it is consolidating above $80K–$83K, structurally resembling a classic bull market flag. As long as this support zone is not effectively broken, the bullish structure remains; once volume breaks above $87K, the upside space will reopen, with the first target at $90K.
Key levels to remember:
🔑 Support: $80K–$83K
🚀 Breakout: Confirmed above $87K
🎯 Target: $90K
However, in a high-leverage environment, the flag pattern is most vulnerable to false breakouts. There is still resistance near $87K above, and a significant amount of options and trapped positions have accumulated between $85K–$90K, so the probability of a direct big bullish candle surge is low; a pullback confirmation is more likely before moving up.
So don't chase just because the pattern looks good; focus on two things: $80K–$83K holding as support, and a volume breakout above $87K. If it breaks below $80K, the flag pattern logic should be downgraded.
Like and follow, I will share key levels immediately upon breakout or pullback confirmation.
#美联储与欧洲央行将公布9月会议纪要
#BTC现货ETF重回流入，ETH资金持续流出
#贝森特：美债收益率上升符合全球趋势 After all this time, $SOL still refuses to give the bears the move they’re waiting for. Now I'm starting to wonder: Did I open my short too early? 🤔 Since entering the position, I haven't seen any real profit. At this point, it almost feels like bad luck. 😂 🎯 My current setup: 🔴 Stop Loss: 125 🟢 Take Profit: 110 Honestly, the setup is getting a little uncomfortable. But the trade is already open, the plan is already set... So now it's basically: No panic. No emotional changes. Just follow tDamn, this market really grinds people down. I originally thought ETH would directly surge to the previous high of 2777, but it ended up stuck around 2700, oscillating back and forth.
Holding 0.153 $ETH with 50x leverage long position, opened at 2674.45, currently floating profit is 47.89%. The profit looks good, but the upward momentum is clearly insufficient.
BTC keeps hitting new local highs, but Ethereum is lagging behind, showing a clear divergence in strength. Funds are flocking to BTC, the rotation rhythm among major coins is slowing, and the second largest coin isn’t getting incremental capital support.
Now the whole market is waiting for the CPI data release; both bulls and bears dare not make big moves. The 4-hour indicators are indecisive, showing neither strong breakout signals nor clear bearish reversal signals, just sideways consolidation wasting time.
High leverage positions fear this kind of volatility; if it can’t go up and then falls, floating profits can be wiped out instantly. I didn’t choose to take full profit, but I definitely won’t keep adding positions to chase a rally.
In this situation, the worst thing is to get overheated mentally. Don’t think ETH will take off just because BTC is surging wildly. In rotation markets, not every coin can simultaneously capture full gains.
I can’t blindly chase highs. In leveraged trading, protecting the profits you have is far more important than chasing higher returns.
Follow me to learn more about crypto trends.
$ETH $BTC
#BTC and gold 90-day correlation rises to +0.50
#Fed officials say rate hikes needed, September probability rises to 58.6%
#ZEC rises to 10th in cryptocurrency market capBTC stuck at 84700: Bollinger Bands "holding breath," breakout depends on volume
On the 15-minute chart, BTC hovers repeatedly around 84700, with the Bollinger Bands nearly squeezed into a single line, a typical compression and consolidation. Resistance is at 84812 above, support at 84644 below; after touching 84998 last night, it quickly fell back. Bulls tried several breakouts but failed to hold, while bears couldn't break the support, resulting in a tug-of-war.
More importantly, volume is key. Trading volume continues to shrink, lacking volume confirmation, so breakouts within small ranges easily turn into false moves. The ratio of large holders between bulls and bears shows no clear bias, and market sentiment is not one-sided.
The larger bullish structure remains intact, but smaller-scale momentum is weak. At this point, betting on direction prematurely has low cost-effectiveness: if volume picks up and holds above 84800, there is hope to test new highs again; if it falls below 84600, a retest of lower support is possible. On the macro side, US September nonfarm payrolls increased by only 29,000, unemployment rose to 4.2%, BTC/ETH spot ETFs are seeing outflows simultaneously, cooling capital enthusiasm; the US-Iran situation and G7 reserve releases add further disturbances.
Strategically, low-volume consolidation is most dangerous for frequent contract trading, as stop-losses are likely to be triggered back and forth. Spot base positions can be held steady, waiting for volume to provide answers. I really consider myself the number one market contrarian! I just closed my $ZEC long position, and the market immediately rallied.
Seeing this trend, I was stunned—how can such a coincidence even exist?
This isn’t the first time this has happened. Previously, I held a ZEC short position while the market kept going up; when I finally switched to long, it turned and crashed. I grit my teeth and cut losses to exit, and the price immediately rebounded. The 15-minute candlestick quickly surged to 1336, up 2.42%, with a 24-hour low of 1283. That rebound just now even touched a high of 1346.
Looking at the indicators, the short-term moving averages are turning upward, MACD bearish momentum is narrowing, and this wave of capital inflow is directly driving price recovery.
It’s happened several times like this: as soon as I close a position, the market moves in the direction I originally held. Sometimes I can’t help but suspect the market is specifically targeting my small positions to shake me out.
Clearly, when I closed my position, I was worried about further declines and couldn’t bear the risk, but as soon as I exited, it rebounded. It’s not the market’s fault, just my mindset was a bit tense.
#美联储与欧洲央行将公布9月会议纪要
#BTC现货ETF重回流入，ETH资金持续流出 $BTC $ETH $ETH 2,807.67 IS THE HIGH, YET ETH/USDT SITS AT 2,702.31 AFTER A TIGHT DAILY RANGE.
I count the candles since that peak: small bodies, overlapping closes. The 90D change shows +50.15%, while 7D shows only +0.50%. That contrast tells me momentum slowed sharply.
Is this pause digesting the 90D move, or losing steam?
#ETHTests2500 🚩 Good afternoon, everyone. The old hand is here. 🤝 Let's start with the conclusion: Two words — BIG GAMBLE. Maji's total positions are reportedly around $147M, with zero available margin and the portfolio heavily concentrated in longs. Maximum leverage reportedly reaches 40x, while total unrealized losses are around $26.92M. But there's one interesting detail: Over the past 24 hours, he reportedly recovered around $1.53M. That suggests his positioning caught at least part of the short-term reIs it optimistic if there is no rate hike in October? Don't rush, the rate hike is just postponed to December.
Last Friday's nonfarm payrolls fell far short of expectations: only 29,000 new jobs were added in September, the unemployment rate rose to 4.2%, wages weakened, and previous data were revised downward.
The market is pricing in a high probability of no change in October, with the Nasdaq, gold, and crypto assets rebounding on the opportunity.
But the bond market is not convinced; U.S. Treasury yields quickly rebounded. CME shows the probability of a rate hike in December still exceeds 75%, and liquidity is only slowing down.
The real pressure comes from inflation: core PCE remains high, oil prices are lifted by geopolitical conflicts, and fiscal issues continue to exert pressure.
The pause in rate hikes brings a short-term rebound window, but this does not mean tightening is over; the September CPI is the key test. The end of rate hikes has not arrived, only the pace has slowed.
So, do you think the Federal Reserve will press the rate hike button in December?
(For information sharing only, not investment advice)
#从降息到加息，联储分歧全公开 #非农降温难压美债收益率，长期利率压力仍在 $BTC 🟣 Solana ETFs are gaining ground fast.
SOL ETF products have now surpassed XRP funds, reaching $1.91B in total assets after eight straight days of inflows. Nearly $254M entered Solana ETFs during that streak.
What stands out is that $SOL has a smaller market cap than $XRP, yet its ETF products represent a larger share of the token’s value. Institutional interest in $SOL exposure is clearly picking up, putting Solana in a stronger position among altcoin funds. 👀 周日晚上看盘 BTC 8.52万刀 24小时涨0.77% 日内高点8.53万 低点8.46万 ETH 2702刀 涨0.74% 全天就是小幅横着走 (行情为2026-10-04傍晚数据) 今天没有新剧情 市场在消化上周五的非农 9月新增就业只有2.9万 预期是9万 前面几个月还被往下修正 数据一出来 美元和美债收益率往下 币和股票都先涨了一口 这就像你预期对象会回你9条消息 结果只回了2.9条 你第一反应是失望 第二反应却是"那他应该没精力加息了吧" 你看 交易就是这么自我安慰的 涨跌的原因我看就两层 一是弱就业让加息空间收窄 降息预期重新升温 风险资产吃到一点顺风 二是周末流动性薄 没有新增催化 所以今天只是在8.5万附近磨 空头被挤了一下之后就没有后续力气 但我要泼一小盆冷水 就业差不等于就是好消息 油价供给冲击还在 能源储备这种事一出手就说明通胀的尾巴没断 万一变成滞胀 就是经济差 物价还高 美联储两头都不好救 到时候币到底算风险资产还是对冲 市场自己也没想明白 明日展望 周一美股开盘看市场怎么消化非农 8.5万是这几天的关键位 站稳上看8.7万 跌回8.4万下方要小心再回踩 没Order Book Strength Ranking
5-minute median slippage, estimated based on order book, excluding fees
$COAI buy slippage increases significantly with order size: slippage for buy orders equivalent to 10,000 and 100,000 USDT is 0.23% and 1.59%, respectively. Large order slippage is about 1.36 percentage points higher.
$IOTA buy slippage increases significantly with order size: slippage for buy orders equivalent to 10,000 and 100,000 USDT is 0.17% and 0.71%, respectively. Large order slippage is about 0.55 percentage points higher.
$ZAMA buy slippage increases significantly with order size: slippage for buy orders equivalent to 10,000 and 100,000 USDT is 0.12% and 0.50%, respectively. Large order slippage is about 0.38 percentage points higher. Once the weekend arrives, $BTC and $ETH collectively lie flat with no major moves.
Altcoins take over the entire market; small coins usually ignored can easily ride a hot topic to produce big bullish candles. The group chat is full of screenshots showing doubled profits, as if everyone can get rich over the weekend with altcoins.
But when Monday opens for mainstream coins, most altcoins reveal their true colors, and the gains made can fall back within a few days. Those who chased the highs end up stuck with a screen full of losing positions.
The weekend altcoin scene is essentially a short-term frenzy of funds. Don’t mistake luck for skill; taking profits while ahead is always the best strategy.
$SOL $ZEC $SNDK
#美联储与欧洲央行将公布9月会议纪要 #BTC现货ETF重回流入，ETH资金持续流出 #ZEC现货ETF连续3日流出，NU7升级临近 I’m still holding the shorts. $PUMP: short around $0.005678 Position size: roughly $350K Current price: around $0.00643 24H: +11%+ Previous high: $0.00648 We’re basically right underneath the breakout level. And yes… it looks strong. Strong enough that everyone starts thinking: “This is going higher.” That’s exactly why I’m still watching the short. My unrealized loss is now close to $40K, with the return around -114%. Saying it doesn't hurt would be a lie. 😂 But look at the structure. $PUMP cl🟣 Solana ETFs are gaining ground fast.
SOL ETF products have now surpassed XRP funds, reaching $1.91B in total assets after eight straight days of inflows. Nearly $254M entered Solana ETFs during that streak.
What stands out is that SOL has a smaller market cap than XRP, yet its ETF products represent a larger share of the token’s value. Institutional interest in SOL exposure is clearly picking up, putting Solana in a stronger position among altcoin funds. 👀 $ETH Good afternoon, brothers, I am Good Dog, aspiring to become a genius teenager in the crypto circle!
Day 9 of 20U compound interest, total assets around 93U.
$ETH It's the weekend, no market movement means no market movement, as usual, not much action. I glanced at the trading volume, it has dropped to 1.5 billion. After playing for so long, this is the lowest I've ever seen, what exactly is going on?
Clearly abnormal. There must be a big change coming soon.
I've basically maxed out my position myself, just waiting for the flowers to bloom. Whether it's a mule or a horse, we'll see in the next few days.
Let's go, brothers, good luck!September Minutes Preview: BTC/ETH/ZEC
The Federal Reserve and the ECB will release their September minutes, with crypto liquidity still dominated by the Fed. When dovish, the dollar and U.S. Treasury yields retreat, risk appetite recovers: BTC benefits first, ETH shows stronger resilience, ZEC follows but is restrained by EU privacy coin regulations, resulting in more volatility.
When hawkish, easing expectations are dashed, and funds withdraw from risk assets. BTC comes under pressure, ETH declines more sharply; ZEC suffers a double hit from macro tightening and regulatory concerns, facing the heaviest selling pressure.
Neutral scenario is most likely. Officials are divided, language is vague, and "data dependence" continues, so the market may oscillate within a range: BTC struggles to trend unilaterally, ETH volatility increases, ZEC is prone to sharp spikes, more noticeably affected by sector funds.
The ECB is a secondary factor: dovish moves only indirectly supplement euro liquidity and are weaker than the Fed; hawkish moves combined with privacy coin regulatory discussions hurt ZEC more than BTC and ETH.
Coin differences: BTC is macro beta, the most stable; ETH is high elasticity beta, with more pronounced ups and downs; ZEC is beta plus privacy narrative, high risk and high volatility.
Subjective judgment: weaker nonfarm payrolls and persistent inflation suggest the minutes may be neutral to dovish but unlikely extremely accommodative. BTC is watched for direction, ETH for resilience, ZEC first for regulatory signals.
$BTC $ETH $ZEC
#美联储与欧洲央行将公布9月会议纪要 🚨 Nonfarm payrolls good news but price falls instead of rising? Don't rush to bet on gold's direction in the short term
On October 2, the nonfarm payrolls "surprised," gold price first surged to 4226 USD, then gave back gains and closed lower, a typical shooting star pattern. This already indicates: relying on a single employment data report cannot sustain a continuous rise in gold.
In the short term, gold seems to be oscillating widely between 4110 and 4226 USD. The upper resistance at 4226 has just faced selling pressure, so rebounds are likely to meet resistance; on the downside, central bank gold purchases and dip-buying support mean a direct continuous sharp drop is unlikely.
Next, watch three things:
1. CPI and inflation expectations—if they rebound, US Treasury yields may rise again, putting pressure on gold;
2. Federal Reserve meeting minutes, focusing on officials' wording about high interest rates and inflation;
3. 10-year US Treasury yield—only if it trends downward can gold truly open up upward space.
In high-leverage trading, this kind of oscillation range is easiest to cause stop losses back and forth. Don't chase the pulse; wait for clear signals from CPI and US Treasury yields.
Like and follow, I will analyze key levels as soon as CPI is released.
#美联储与欧洲央行将公布9月会议纪要
#BTC现货ETF重回流入，ETH资金持续流出
#贝森特：美债收益率上升符合全球趋势