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ETH 2673｜2700 becomes a watershed again
ETH surged past 2740 yesterday but then retreated back near 2670, with resistance above 2700 still quite evident. At this position, judging the rebound strength alone is not very meaningful; the key is whether 2700 can be turned back into support.
For contracts, first watch 2650–2670. If it holds here and climbs back above 2700, there is a chance to test 2740–2750 again; if 2650 breaks, then watch out for a retest around 2600.
ETF funds are still flowing in, but the pace has slowed, so this wave is more suitable for waiting for confirmation after a breakout rather than chasing hard in the middle of the range.
This is only a market opinion and does not constitute investment advice. $ETH [Old Leek Observation]
$UNI
CME plans to launch UNI futures on October 19. Uniswap V4's share in Ethereum DEX trading has reached about 50%, and Uniswap is also continuing to expand to new networks like Arc and Robinhood Chain.
After this UNI pullback from the high, it is actually entering a position worth re-observing.
Entry: $8.35 – $8.85
Take Profit: $9.20 / $9.70 / $10.20 / $10.85 / $11.50
Stop Loss: $7.95PCE Release: The data itself is dovish, but the market reaction is "buy the rumor, sell the fact"
Core PCE for August recorded a month-on-month increase of +0.2%, below the expected +0.3%, and the core year-on-year slowed from 3.4% to 3.0%. After the data release, BTC quickly surged to $85,353, spot gold rose simultaneously, and the US dollar index weakened briefly.
However, the rally did not last. BTC then retraced from $85,353 to $84,550, showing a typical "buy the rumor, sell the fact" pattern — the market had priced in a dovish scenario before the data release, and funds chose to take profits after the data was confirmed.
$BTC $ETH $ZEC #美伊谈判重启，双方让步空间有限 From the perspective of both technical and news cross-verification, there are several suppressive factors currently favoring the bears in the market.
First, ETF capital flows show obvious signs of decline. The daily net inflow of Bitcoin spot ETFs dropped sharply from about $1 billion on September 21 to only $31 million on September 28, a decrease of 97%, indicating a significant cooling in institutional demand. Ethereum ETFs have also ended a continuous 7-day net inflow, with capital momentum weakening.
Second, there is an upside risk in the non-farm payroll data. ADP employment increased by 90,000 in September, far exceeding the expected 70,000. If this week's non-farm payrolls follow ADP's strength, rate hike expectations will reheat, putting pressure on risk assets—this provides potential fundamental support for short positions.
On the technical side, BTC faces short-term key resistance in the 84,000-85,000 range, with multiple rebounds failing to hold effectively. If the price continues to be blocked, focus on the support range of 81,500-80,000 below.
Regarding short strategies: it is currently not advisable to add positions, with emphasis on controlling risk exposure. The BTC short liquidation price at 88,944 is still about 6% away from the current price; if the non-farm data is strong, it may trigger a downward test of 83,000 or even lower; but if the non-farm data falls short of expectations, bulls may squeeze again. It is recommended to moderately reduce positions before the non-farm release, lower leverage to a manageable level, and avoid being swept by two-way losses during the data-driven market. $BTC $ETH $ZEC #10月加息预期回落，今晚PCE成关键 The second airdrop of the week, CONCRETE (CT), starts today at 16:00. The score threshold hasn't been announced yet, but the community generally guesses it will be around 240.
The last XDP airdrop distributed 60,000 shares, with the score requirement dropping from 230 all the way down to 70, making it very accessible. Now, whether it's new or old coins, the airdrop value basically stays around $30, which is roughly the break-even point. Accounts with a thousand U can hardly squeeze out any profit, and occasional setbacks make things even worse.
CT raised $17 million this time and plans to list on multiple exchanges, with Binance also investing, so the fundamentals look decent. If it ends up around the $30 level again, then it’s a different scale.
$CTLast month, I ran into an old classmate at the market.
He was picking vegetables while chatting with me about crypto.
I felt itchy inside listening, so I installed the app when I got home.
My first purchase was $BTC.
That night after buying, I tossed and turned.
Every time my phone rang, I grabbed it to check.
When it went up, I felt pretty good about myself.
When it dropped, I started cursing my own recklessness.
Later, I saw people showing off $ETH.
I followed and bought a bit more.
After deducting fees, I stared at the screen for a long time.
After going back and forth a few times, my money didn’t grow, but I got tired.
The dumbest thing was buying more when it dropped.
Always thinking it would rebound tomorrow.
But the next day it kept going down.
During that time, my wife asked why I was always distracted.
I said I was busy with work, but actually, I was anxious inside.
Later, I uninstalled the app for a few days.
Not looking at it was actually peaceful.
Now I still have a little $SOL left.
Whether it goes up or down, I let it be.
No borrowing money, no all-in bets, no touching what I don’t understand.
I’ve already left groups that shout trading signals.
I just watch those showing off profits as entertainment.
If they were really making that much, who’d have time to post every day?
This circle is hot today, cold tomorrow.
Chasing it wears you out.
Only positions you can sleep soundly with are worth holding.
Profits are luck, losses are tuition.
That’s about it.
All of this was paid for with real money. #财报观察员：美光财报临近，AI存储需求成焦点
#美债30年期收益率突破5.6%，创2002年来新高
#美伊谈判重启，双方让步空间有限