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Many people rush in when they see the top gainer in the 24-hour increase list, which is a typical misconception—coins that surge dramatically in a single day are often bought at the emotional peak. What you should really look at is the relative strength within the same sector: who is increasing volume, who has crossed above the moving averages, and who still has room for a catch-up rally.
$BROCCOLI714 current price 0.02542, 24h +24.67%, trading volume 14.4M USDT, MA5=0.025402 has crossed above MA20=0.0244395, RSI=61.9 not yet overbought, 30 candlesticks amplitude 29.78%. Compared horizontally with the concurrently active $ETH (24h -0.64%, amplitude only 3.32%) and $ARB (24h -2.59%, amplitude 12.14%), BROCCOLI714 clearly has superior volatility and capital attention, making it relatively strong within the sector. But note that the MACD histogram is -7.804e-05, still in a bearish state, indicating that this rally has not yet been fully confirmed by momentum indicators, so chasing the high carries significant risk.
The strategy leans toward buying on a pullback rather than chasing at the current price. Entry reference is 0.0244–0.0250, the support zone between MA20 and MA5, because this area is also close to the dense trading zone above the lower Bollinger Band at 0.0214583, and RSI 61.9 still has room to rise after a pullback.伊朗通过霍尔木兹海峡"新法"——过境船只罚20%+扣押，特朗普却说"势头很大" 今天最矛盾的一组信号：伊朗在立法收紧海峡管控，特朗普却说"达成协议势头很大"。 第一，伊朗议会通过了霍尔木兹海峡新法律条款。 华尔街见闻今早报道：伊朗议会国家安全委员会已批准有关霍尔木兹海峡的新法律条款，核心内容包括：（1）违反海峡通行规定的船只，除需缴纳相当于货物价值20%的罚款外，还将被暂时扣押直至罚款缴清；（2）伊朗将设立专门的司法部门分支确保规定执行；（3）伊朗武装部队将每三个月报告执行情况。这不是口头威胁，而是立法行为——意味着伊朗正在把对霍尔木兹海峡的管控从"军事手段"升级为"法律制度"。 第二，但特朗普在凌晨的表态却是"乐观到离谱"。 金投网的快讯捕捉到了特朗普凌晨3:35-3:43的一系列表态："伊朗达成协议的势头很大"、"我们认为与伊朗的战争可能在中期选举后结束，也可能在此之前结束"、"我认为伊朗会做一些好的事情"、"促进霍尔木兹海峡的石油运输恢复顺畅通行"。这些表态与伊朗通过海峡新法的现实形成了荒诞的反差——一边在立法收"过路费"，一边在说"快要达成协议了"。 第三，油价在这种矛盾信号中Is the current macro setup actually supportive of the speculative rotation into $XRP and $DOGE, or are traders misreading a temporary liquidity flush for a structural trend? The honest answer is that both narratives have merit right now, and the distinction hinges on stablecoin flows rather than headline sentiment. When on-chain stablecoin minting tracks with spot exchange inflows, it creates a thin but genuine supply of dry powder that fuels retail-driven speculative assets. When that minting dToday's most contradictory set of signals: Iran is legislating to tighten control over the strait, while Trump says "there is strong momentum toward reaching an agreement." First, the Iranian parliament has passed new legal provisions for the Strait of Hormuz. Wallstreetcn reported this morning: Iran's parliament's National Security Committee has approved new legal provisions regarding the Strait of Hormuz, with core provisions including: (1) Vessels violating strait passage regulations will not only be fined 20% of the value of the goods but will also be temporarily detained until the fines are paid; (2) Iran will establish a dedicated branch of the judiciary to ensure compliance; (3) The Iranian armed forces will report on enforcement every three months. This is not a verbal threat, but a legislative act—meaning Iran is upgrading its control over the Strait of Hormuz from "military means" to a "legal system." Second, Trump's early morning statements were "outrageously optimistic." Jintou.com's news captured a series of statements from 3:35 to 3:43 a.m.: "Iran is gaining momentum to reach an agreement," "We believe the war with Iran may end after the midterm elections, or possibly before then," "I think Iran will do some good things," and "Facilitating the smooth resumption of oil transport through the Strait of Hormuz." These statements stand in stark contrast to the reality of Iran passing a new law on the strait—legislating a "toll" while saying "an agreement is almost reached." Third, oil prices continued to decline amid these contradictory signals. WTI fell intraday to 89.16 (-2.01%), and Brent dropped to 93.6Two US stock earnings reports are currently testing the strength of this BTC rebound.
BTC surged to $87,000, and what might next impact the crypto space may not be which blockchain upgrades again, but the earnings reports of Costco and Micron.
Costco will announce its results in the early hours of September 25 Beijing time. The market is not only watching how much it sold but is more focused on membership renewal rates and profit margins. If consumers continue to spend, it indicates resilience in the US economy. If membership growth slows, caution is needed as high interest rates may already be suppressing consumption.
Micron will report on October 1 early morning. The market expects its quarterly revenue to exceed $50 billion, but what truly determines the trend is whether AI server demand for memory can continue and how long high gross margins can be maintained.
One report looks at whether ordinary people dare to spend money; the other looks at whether tech companies still dare to invest heavily in AI.
If both consumption and AI demand are strong simultaneously, US stock risk appetite may continue to support BTC$BTC. If both cool down together, this crypto rebound will lose external support.
Of course, these two earnings reports cannot directly decide BTC’s rise or fall, but they reveal whether the market is still willing to pay for high-risk assets.
Costco sells memberships, Micron sells memory, I buy BTC.
If the first two companies perform poorly, expectations can be lowered.
If my returns are poor and I can’t make money, I can only lower my living standards.
#财报观察员：好市多Q4财报即将公布 From early morning to early today, three Federal Reserve officials took turns on stage, but what the market heard was a cluster of "contradictory signals." First, Barkin (Chairman of the Richmond Fed): the most intriguing "fence-sitting faction." Early this morning, Cailian Press reported that Barkin made three key statements in his speech in Baltimore: (1) "Inflation will not cool overnight; supply-side shocks have evolved from 'temporary' to persistent pressures"; (2) "It is currently unclear whether further rate hikes are needed"; (3) "The labor market is not overheated, and not particularly tight." The meaning of these three statements combined is: the economy is still good, inflation remains, but whether it will increase is unknown. This is a typical "data dependent" model—Barkin has no voting rights at the FOMC this year, but his wording reflects the Fed's internal "centrist" stance. Second, Collins (Boston Fed Chair): Clear hawkish. Wallstreetcn reported this morning that Collins said, "Inflation is more likely to stay above 2%, and rate hikes will help bring inflation back to target." This stands in stark contrast to Barkin's "wall-sitting" approach. Meanwhile, New York Fed President Williams' speech focused on technical issues related to concentrated U.S. debt settlement, without commenting on monetary policy—this itself signals that the Fed's "third leader" chose not to release any directional signals at this sensitive time. Third, the implications for BTC: The "division" within the Fed is itself a positive sign. If the Fed cannot reach a consensus on the direction of rate hikes, the probability of another rate hike in October will persist表面都在涨，真正的问题其实藏在联动里。 BTC、ETH、SOL一起走强，就代表行情稳了吗？ 我一开始也差点被这种"全面开花"的画面骗到。$BTC 站上85K，支撑82K到84K，阻力87K到90K；$ETH 回到2.7K上方，支撑2.65K到2.7K，阻力2.775K到2.825K；$SOL 守住115，支撑110到113，阻力119到122。看起来是三个一起转强，但细看节奏，BTC更像锚，ETH和SOL是跟着情绪往上顶，并不是各自走出独立叙事。 这里容易误判的点是：把联动当成确认。跨市场一起抬头，很多时候只是风险偏好短暂回暖，美元、科技股、宏观预期稍微松一点，加密就同步反弹。问题是，这种联动上涨最怕的不是跌，而是"只有价格在动，承接没跟上"。BTC在87K到90K这一段如果反复冲不上去，ETH靠近2.8K、SOL靠近120时的卖压就会显出来，山寨的追高情绪也会先退。 偏多的路径也很清楚：BTC稳住84K上方，ETH不丢2.7K，SOL守在113以上，那$90K、$3K、$120就会变成市场共同盯着的确认位。一旦BTC先破90K，ETH和SOL的补涨会更顺，风险偏好会从主流币往高bet145 billion in massive volume dumped, why did Bitcoin soften instead?
($BTC shorts liquidated over 1 billion, bulls lining up to push above 86,000 ② The night Bitcoin surged to an eight-month high, I only focused on three numbers)
Overnight $BTC touched $87,381 during the US trading session, an eight-month high. Today in the Asian session, it retreated to around 85,100–86,500.
The strange thing is the volume: 24-hour trading volume broke $145 billion, a record high (Matrixport), nearly 50% higher than the peak in March this year.
Massive volume + stagnation, these three sets of position data explain it 👇
1｜The fuel for this rally is almost burned out
Coinglass: Over the past 24 hours, the entire market liquidated more than $1 billion, with shorts accounting for about $840 million. Glassnode puts it more bluntly—this round mainly came from short liquidations rather than new long positions. Shorts between 82,000–86,000 have been cleared out; mechanical buying is one-off.
2｜But leverage hasn’t retreated; instead, it shifted direction and accumulated
Alphractal: Among open interest contracts, longs account for 71%, shorts only 29%, the biggest imbalance since the peak in October last year. Perpetual open interest surged to nearly $160 billion, the highest since late October last year.
BTC Markets sums it up: Short squeezes usually blow up open interest, but this time they didn’t—positions were immediately replaced, traders are chasing the rally, not deleveraging.
3｜Three walls above, $7.7 billion bet there
Deribit: Open interest at 90K is about $2.7 billion, 95K about $2.7 billion, 100K about $2.3 billion, totaling $7.7 billion. Less than 5% away from 90K.
A closer wall is the 83,000–86,000 supply zone, with about 1.07 million BTC cost-basis pressure here (Glassnode).
The only judge line I watch: 84,000. It’s the breakout level this round; holding it = a regime shift, breaking below = this was just a short squeeze.
Finally, here’s a contradictory data point for you to debate: ETF net inflow on September 21 was $999 million (largest in 11 months), but cumulative inflow by September 18 was only $313 million, less than a tenth of August; Coinbase premium is still −0.028. Is this money allocation or arbitrage?
Do you think 84,000 will hold? Share your position strategy in the comments.
#Bitcoin #BTC #MarketAnalysis #OnChainData #LongShortBattle
Data sources: Coinglass, Glassnode, Deribit, Alphractal, Matrixport, Farside. As of Asian session September 23, for personal review only, not investment advice.🟠 $BTC + 🔵 $ETH H + 🟢 $ZEC | 1H
BTC provides direction. ETH measures market breadth, while ZEC reflects higher-beta participation.
The key relationship remains price + volume + OI.
BTC confirms + ETH/ZEC confirm → 🚀 Momentum
BTC confirms + ETH/ZEC diverge → ⚠️ Narrow Strength
Watch participation behind the move. 🔥
#DailyOrbit SHORTS WERE THE FUEL. NOW COMES THE TEST.
$BTC ripped above $85K on Sept. 21 as more than $648M in shorts were liquidated across crypto.
That forced buying accelerated the move.
But forced buying is not fresh demand.
The real question starts now:
Can spot volume take over?
Can new capital follow?
Can $BTC hold the breakout?
If yes, the squeeze becomes structure.
If not, it was simply leverage being cleared. CAPITAL ISN’T LEAVING CRYPTO. IT’S EXPANDING.
On Sept. 21, ETF flows reversed sharply:
$BTC: +$937M–$999M
$ETH: +$270M
$SOL: +$26M
BTC posted its strongest daily inflow in nearly a year, while ETH recorded its largest daily inflow since October 2025.
This is no longer just a BTC price story.
$BTC → Liquidity
$ETH → Confirmation
$SOL → Beta
I’m still waiting for flow + volume + OI to confirm the move.
Will the next capital rotation favor $ETH or $SOL? Bitcoin is still hovering around 86,000, fluctuating less than one percent from early morning until now. ETH is at 2,700, SOL at 118, and the whole market is waiting for a direction. This kind of sideways movement is the most frustrating and the biggest test—some get itchy and start chasing altcoins, some leverage up to bet on a breakout, and others cut losses early fearing a pullback. My approach is simple: hold spot positions steady without moving, keep three limit orders at 82,500, 80,000, and 78,000 waiting, keep contract positions empty, and only act when the price pulls back near 80,000 and stabilizes. Sideways movement is not a risk; random moves are the risk. The market’s signal is actually very clear: the trend is bullish, but short-term gains are stalled, so just let it choose its own direction. If it breaks upward, I have positions to benefit; if it pulls back, I have orders to catch it; in between, do nothing. The most costly action in trading is frequent operations; the most profitable skill is holding on and waiting. Don’t stare anxiously at the five-minute chart; put down the screen and do what you need to do.In a bull market, having 2-3 good conviction trades is enough.
All other trades are trial and error and practice.
But remember, when a conviction trade appears, you must dare to bet.A holder who accumulated $DOGE at 0.07 and now targets 0.4 is not making a price call so much as a statement about positioning. The disclosed entry sits roughly five times below the stated objective, and the intervening stretch is the part that matters: repeated trial and error, then the harder job of simply not being shaken out. That sequence describes a market where the marginal seller has already been exhausted and the remaining supply is held by participants who have survived a full drawdownASTER current price is 0.729, exactly stuck at the moving average resistance level. MACD lines are converging, the red bars are lengthening, indicating bearish momentum dominance. The liquidation map is straightforward, with a high density of long positions piled between 0.710 and 0.718; the liquidity below is the prey. This afternoon, I just flipped the security booth's logbook to a new page, and before I could put down my pen, the market gave me a signal.
The on-chain whale transfer leans towards strategic accumulation, but the short-term structure is not yet complete. The 6.9 billion trading volume dropped 34% compared to the previous day; among the 249 million liquidations, shorts account for 59%, indicating longs are also being repeatedly squeezed. There is an expectation of short squeeze above 0.75, but that's for later; for now, focus on the downside.
In terms of operation, do not chase shorts or bottom-fish at 0.729. Wait for a rebound to the 0.735 to 0.74 range to lightly short, with the first take-profit target at 0.712 and the second at 0.70. Set stop loss at 0.748; if broken, accept the loss. Avoid catching falling knives on the left side unless necessary; wait for a wick near 0.71 and then confirm signals before deciding to go long or not. Support is fragile; first take liquidity, then decide.
$ASTER
#ZEC巨鲸3.8万枚空单平仓，亏损超3500万美元
@OKX星球 Floating loss again, and also getting cut by $ONE's high funding rate, settled every hour. Bro, isn't this really unfair?
ONE｜1x full position short
Opening average price 0.003396｜Mark price 0.0056642
Position 57.4 million tokens, floating loss 130,193U, return rate -66%.
The real killer is the funding rate—shorts pay longs, settled every hour, 24 times a day, each time cutting into the shorts' flesh. The position cost keeps snowballing upward, this is the most painful part of the slow knife cutting flesh, retail investors would have long been unable to hold on.
But luckily made good profits on Bitcoin and Ethereum!
Bitcoin $BTC｜50x full position long
Opening average price 85442.7｜Mark price 86439.6
Position 115.625 BTC, floating profit 115,270U, return rate 58%.
The profit from this single position almost covers half of ONE's floating loss.
Ethereum $ETH｜30x full position long
Opening average price 2733.01｜Mark price 2746.69
Position 3423.312 ETH, floating profit 46,841U, return rate 15%.
Ethereum steadily rises, another nearly 47,000U income.
The money earned from BTC and ETH longs is enough to cover ONE's losses and funding costs. This is the fault tolerance brought by big capital.5x space?
$ZEC breaks through $1600
But in this bull market, I’m looking at $8000–$10000!
$ZEC has risen from the $1130–$1150 range I advised to position in, all the way up to breaking $1600. Every time it hits a new high, some say it’s risen too much; but after a pullback, it stands back up again.
My judgment on ZEC has never been just short-term trading. It has a supply cap of 21 million coins, and privacy transactions are its clear product direction. As of September 20, about 4.91 million ZEC are in the privacy pool, accounting for nearly 29% of the supply. Whether privacy demand can continue to grow is why I’m willing to track it long-term.
In this bull market, my target range for ZEC is $8000–$10000. This target is very aggressive: based on the current circulating supply of about 16.88 million coins, the corresponding market cap would be approximately $135 billion–$169 billion, requiring ongoing capital inflows and real demand to support it. SHORTS WERE THE FUEL. NOW COMES THE TEST.
$BTC ripped above $85K on Sept. 21 as more than $648M in shorts were liquidated across crypto.
That forced buying accelerated the move.
But forced buying is not fresh demand.
The real question starts now:
Can spot volume take over?
Can new capital follow?
Can $BTC hold the breakout?
If yes, the squeeze becomes structure.
If not, it was simply leverage being cleared. CAPITAL ISN’T LEAVING CRYPTO. IT’S EXPANDING.
On Sept. 21, ETF flows reversed sharply:
$BTC: +$937M–$999M
$ETH: +$270M
$SOL: +$26M
BTC posted its strongest daily inflow in nearly a year, while ETH recorded its largest daily inflow since October 2025.
This is no longer just a BTC price story.
$BTC → Liquidity
$ETH → Confirmation
$SOL → Beta
I’m still waiting for flow + volume + OI to confirm the move.
Will the next capital rotation favor $ETH or $SOL? $UNI's surge to $10 was driven by two intertwined factors, but their quality differs—one is the real fee income from Robinhood Chain feeding buyback and burn, the other is purely the expectation of "SEC allowing tokenized stocks into AMM," which still lacks finalized rules.
The former is a premium created by real money burning, while the latter is a premium given because the market has already embraced the story of "AMM becoming a capital market gateway"—if the upcoming rules turn out to be stricter than expected and the actual trading volume of tokenized stocks can't keep up with the narrative, this expected premium will most likely be given back first.
If the exemption rules disappoint, which part do you think will fall first: the price supported by buyback and burn, or the part propped up by the exemption narrative?
#SEC代币化股票创新豁免落地，UNI盘中涨超21% The opponent pushed the queen to square 65 but forgot their own baseline was leaking — $ETC in this game is a classic fake offensive.
It rose 5.92% in 24 hours, seemingly a breakthrough in the middle, but if you look closely at the board: the short-term RSI is already 65.6, entering a mild overbought zone, and the real-time signal clearly indicates RSI1H>64 triggers a sell. The long-term RSI is only 51.1, still near the midline. What does this mean? It means this advance is a light piece pushing forward without heavy firepower support; the follow-up strength is weak.
Look at the Bollinger Bands. The price is stuck at 80% of the short-term upper band, with a 6.0% buffer to the lower band and only 1.4% left to the upper band — in other words, one more push up and it will hit the ceiling. The mid-term is even more extreme, positioned at 86%, with only 1.2% space above and 7.4% below. This is not a volume-driven midgame attack; it’s the last arrow of a strong crossbow, a sacrificial piece the opponent deliberately lets you take.
I’ve seen too many such situations on the board: the opponent keeps sacrificing pieces, seemingly retreating step by step, but in fact, every move is leading you into a trap. The current price is 6.96, while the real short entry point is at 7.38 — 6.0% higher than the current price. In other words, I won’t rush to fight here; I’ll wait for it to climb one more step, reach that position, let it think it’s winning, then counterattack with a check.
This is a standard "lure and isolate" tactic. The target zones are set in two tiers: the first tier at 6.48, with 6.9% space below; the second tier digs deeper to 6.27, a full 10.0% drop from the current price. The stop loss is set at 8.10, 16.3% above — this is not a random line, it’s the only comeback channel I leave for the opponent. If it really breaks through this position, it means my entire board assessment is wrong, then I’ll admit defeat and exit without lingering.
Position management in the endgame tests you more than the midgame. Many die from the greed of "waiting one more move," while the difference with grandmasters is: before placing a piece, they have already calculated twenty moves ahead.
📉 Short:
Entry: 7.38 (current price +6.0%)
Take Profit 1: 6.48 (-6.9%)
Take Profit 2: 6.27 (-10.0%)
Stop Loss: 8.10 (-16.3%)
The winning move in this game is not about impact but about who runs out of patience first. #coinmovealert🔥 Momentum Fuel: The recent rise of $BTC and its surpassing of the $85,000 level on September 21 was not just ordinary buying demand; it was the result of a violent short squeeze exceeding $648 million across the entire cryptocurrency market. ⚡ Movement Reality: This type of forced buying gives the market accelerated and momentary momentum, but ultimately it is not new organic demand reflecting institutional or new investor confidence. 🔍 Thesis: Will the temporary pressure turn into a sustainable upward structure? This is not the first time that the...$ZEC has already surpassed $1600
$ZEN is still around $8!
$ZEN is one of my largest holdings this round, and I started accumulating around $6.8–7.
It’s not the same project as ZEC, but both focus on privacy-related infrastructure. Horizen has migrated to Base, becoming an EVM-compatible L3, aiming to enable developers to build privacy applications within the familiar Ethereum tool environment.
This means the future performance of ZEN depends not only on the popularity of privacy concepts but also on whether on-chain applications truly take off.
Currently, ZEN is publicly quoted at about $8.1, and my previous target for October was $9.7. As long as the pullback doesn’t break the previous uptrend, I won’t sell my position just because it’s temporarily lagging behind ZEC.Many people think trading is about predicting rises and falls, but it's not. BTC is currently at 86180, with resistance at 87000 and support at 85070. No one knows if the next move will be up or down. But you know to set a stop loss at 85070, take profit at 87000, and position size at 5000U—that's enough. Losing 200,000U and recovering, trading is not prediction, it's response. $BTC #Most people look at a whitepaper like a rendering, but the first thing I do when entering a construction site is to tap the foundation.
The short-term structure of $ENA is signaling a "stress release." It dropped 1.37% in 24 hours, a seemingly minor settlement, but on the short-term Bollinger Bands, the price has slid to the bottom edge at 3%—just 0.1% above the lower band, which is the most stressed position of the load-bearing wall. The short-term RSI reads 30.1, close to the oversold boundary, while the long-term RSI remains steady at the neutral axis of 51.6.
Translated into blueprint language: the short-term frame is settling sharply, but the main structural beam has not broken.
The key signal is that the short-term RSI has fallen below the 38 warning line, triggering a buy window. The current price is $0.08, with 2.8% more room to settle before my entry point. This is not hesitation; it is waiting for the concrete to complete its final curing—entering too early would cause the floor slab to crack.
Looking at the mid-term Bollinger Bands, the price is at the 14% position, with a 1.4% buffer above the lower band. This structure tells me: the foundation has not been breached, and the main stress points remain intact. The real risk is not at $0.07, but the liquidity vacuum with no support after confidence collapses.
The trading plan follows construction milestones:
📈 Long:
Entry: 0.08 (enter after a 2.8% drop from the current price)
Take Profit 1: 0.09 (+5.1%, first layer capped)
Take Profit 2: 0.09 (+8.3%, structural capping completed)
Stop Loss: 0.07 (-13.1%, foundation failure confirmed, exit immediately)
There is a 21.4% gap between Take Profit 2 and Stop Loss, typical of high-rise wind load zones—tolerance must be sufficient, or a lateral shear force could overturn the entire position.
The difference between Target 1 and Target 2 is only 3.2%, indicating lighter resistance in the second rally; once the first beam is broken through, the upper structure will be quickly poured. But the stop loss is set at -13.1%, larger than the space to Take Profit 1—this is not cowardice but an acknowledgment that the foundation has a maximum load capacity; once crossed, decisive demolition like removing a dangerous building is necessary.
The underlying structure of $ENA currently shows no structural cracks, but short-term stress concentration is real. I will not enter just because the rendering looks good; I wait for the rebar binding to be completed on the construction drawings.
Currently standing under the load-bearing wall, waiting for the final settlement to be in place. $SUI is near $1, are you still waiting for it to rise before researching it?
Earlier, when SUI returned near $1, I already included it in the list of promising public chains for this round.
I look at $SUI not because the market needs another "next SOL." Its object model allows partially non-conflicting transactions to execute in parallel; zkLogin lets users create and use on-chain accounts with familiar login methods, and sponsored transactions reduce the barrier of gas fees for new users.
Sui is also advancing real-time data subscriptions and confidential finance-related infrastructure. Whether these features can bring sustained application usage is more worth tracking than daily price spikes.
Target: $4#Strategy再度增持，财库同步加仓
Strategy paused and then bought again, BitMine keeps buying nonstop—both are increasing holdings, but one is testing the waters while the other is firmly executing. The differing pace of treasury company increases is more worth watching than the increases themselves. Purchased 950 BTC at an average price of 79,670 USD, spending 75.7 million USD, funded from own USD Cash reserves, without selling any shares through ATM. Total holdings rose to 846,000 BTC, with an average cost of 75,416 USD. Meanwhile, BitMine increased holdings by 27,562 ETH at an average price of 2,688 USD, spending about 75.02 million USD. Total holdings are 5,983,940 ETH, accounting for 4.9% of Ethereum's circulating supply, just about 16,000 ETH short of the 6 million target.
Strategy waited two weeks before acting again, having paused purchases for several consecutive weeks earlier. BitMine has increased holdings continuously for 68 weeks straight, buying every week since June 2025. One is cautiously testing, the other is steadily accumulating.
BitMine has staked 85% of its ETH holdings through its self-operated validator network MAVAN, generating an annualized staking income of about 357 million USD. Staking contributed 45.7 million USD to its 46.5 million USD revenue last quarter; validator rewards are the main business, not a sideline. Strategy's BTC holdings generate no cash flow; increases rely on financing and cash reserve consumption. No one was paying attention to $ROBO at $0.0083
Now the robot concept is just starting to get noticed!
Earlier, I positioned $ROBO around $0.0083, not because the name includes "robot," but because after robots perform tasks, identity verification, payment, and settlement could create new on-chain demands.
This type of project is different from large AI companies with established revenues; ROBO still needs to prove its product can be genuinely adopted. Precisely because it is in the early stage, I won’t evaluate it using the valuation logic of mature projects.
When the price previously reached around $0.01, I didn’t change my original positioning strategy just because of a short-term rise.
The target is to see $0.03 $ADA Damn it! ADA's shakeout this round really got me convinced, 0.2553 got taken back again, is the pump-and-dump crew just playing back-and-forth here?😤
Looking at the chart, volume has shrunk like crazy, selling pressure is basically exhausted, it's purely a capital game. No news, no positive catalysts, just the pump-and-dump crew calling each other idiots. At times like this, retail investors cut losses and run, but the veterans should keep a close eye.
I'm planning to buy in batches around 0.2553, with a stop loss at 0.245; if it breaks, I'll accept it. On the upside, first target is 0.27, only consider if it holds with volume. Don't FOMO, slowly set up positions, this round won't lose.
What do you guys think?
👇👇👇Brothers, ETH has risen to around 2750, but I actually liquidated my position.
Let me say this first: don’t start saying I "missed out" just because I sold. If ETH keeps surging, I’ll admit it; but if it’s still at this level and people blindly chase, I actually think that’s more dangerous.
The scariest thing in trading isn’t missing out, but feeling invincible after making some profit. When holding at a low price, everyone says they have vision, but when it really hits a high and the account’s unrealized gains start shrinking, that’s when you understand what a mindset collapse means.
Now ETH is fluctuating repeatedly around 2750, I choose to take profits first. That doesn’t mean I’m bearish, nor that I think the rally is over. I just feel that the upcoming market isn’t about "daring to buy" but about "which levels are worth taking risk again."
Some like to stay fully invested waiting for 3000, some prefer to run after a small rise. No one is necessarily right.
For me, I’m stepping off this round first, letting the market play out on its own.
If ETH continues to surge, I’ll miss out; if it really pulls back, at least I still have ammo.
What really bothers me is never missing out, but making profits and then giving them back to the market because I can’t bear to exit. #BTC冲高$87000，加密总市值重返3万亿
So this time, I’m out first.
Don’t rush, let’s see how the trend unfolds!Whale Stumbles: Three Short Positions Lose $70 Million
The market never lacks legends, nor tragedies. A well-known short whale has recently come under the spotlight—it placed a $137 million short at $BTC 73,362, now showing an unrealized loss of $20 million; opened a $212 million short at $ETH 2,337, with an unrealized loss of $31 million; and bet $66 million short at $HYPE 66.77, losing $18.5 million unrealized. Combined, the three positions are nearing a $70 million loss. Including other positions, the total unrealized loss is close to $85 million.
This is not a misjudgment but a direct confrontation with the trend. As the market keeps rising, the whale’s positions have only sunk deeper. To save itself, it started high-frequency trading (T), trying to use short-term operations to lower costs and recover losses. However, in a one-sided market, T trading often only delays liquidation pain rather than curing it.
This gamble teaches all traders a lesson: the bigger the position, the smaller the margin for error; if the direction is wrong, no amount of capital is anything but fuel. The whale’s struggle continues, but the market won’t show mercy just because someone loses more. Respecting the trend is always the first survival rule in the futures market.Today, no talk about the Federal Reserve, nor about whale liquidations. Let's discuss two corners currently being repriced by capital, and one old narrative quietly abandoned by the market.
HYPE surged to $97.
Hyperliquid's fully diluted valuation surged to $91.1 billion, surpassing the market caps of Nasdaq ($54.2 billion) and the London Stock Exchange Group ($58.1 billion). A decentralized derivatives platform founded less than three years ago, its valuation has outpaced two century-old exchanges.
What is the market trading? Not candlesticks, but rules. Within 48 hours after the CLARITY Act was rejected, the SEC launched a five-year "innovation exemption," carving out a compliant on-chain trading channel for tokenized U.S. stocks. HYPE's perpetual contract open interest surged to $8.3 billion, and Kraken's parent company plans to integrate Hyperliquid's infrastructure. Institutions are voting with real money for on-chain infrastructure.
But while capital is concentrating, the elimination round has already begun.
ZEC surged to $1,635, up from a few hundred dollars a year ago, with a market cap of $25.6 billion, ranking 9th globally. Behind this is the NU7 upgrade—mainnet activation on November 5, reducing block intervals from 75 seconds to 25 seconds, with 98.9% of holders voting to retain the halving mechanism. This is a definite technical improvement.
At the same time, ZAMA plunged 13% today. Both are privacy concepts; ZEC is absorbing capital, ZAMA is bleeding out. 21Shares reported that the privacy sector's market cap has nearly quintupled in a year, but looking closer, ZEC alone accounts for $20 billion, while the rest are being eliminated.
This is not a full altcoin season, but a coin selection elimination round. Capital is concentrating, not dispersing.
Strategy is straightforward:
For HYPE, the SEC exemption is a structural positive, but it has already surged to $97. Watch the $90 to $92 pullback zone; holding this means institutional buying remains, so you can wait for confirmation and then scale in; if it fails, it’s short-term profit-taking—don’t catch a falling knife.
For ZEC, the NU7 upgrade activation on November 5 is a definite catalyst, but chasing highs short-term is not a good choice. Watch the $1,480 to $1,500 support zone; holding this means the independent rally isn’t over; breaking below $1,450 means capital is using the good news to sell off.
For ZAMA, don’t rush to bottom-fish. It’s a knife in the same sector’s differentiation; catching it wrong can lead to losses. Wait for it to stabilize continuously before considering.
The worst is never missing out on profits, but chasing highs during infrastructure upheaval, buying wrong in the privacy sector, then watching smart money leave you behind, realizing too late.
$HYPE $ZEC $ZAMA
#ZEC巨鲸3.8万枚空单平仓，亏损超3500万美元 這一小時 SOL 又把二位從 ETH 手裡搶回來了，順序回到 BTC、SOL、ETH。 這一小時 BTC、SOL、ETH 提及量是 101、41、28；同窗口 BTC 偏多約 53%、偏空約 3%，SOL 偏多約 49%、偏空約 5%，ETH 偏多約 46%、偏空約 4%。旁支裡 HYPE 17 次偏多約 35%，HOOD 15 次偏多約 40%，META／NEAR／ZEC 各 14 次——上一窗還挺亮的美股／AI 旁支這一窗聲量更散，語氣也偏中性。 上一窗是 BTC 97、ETH 53、SOL 34。這一窗 BTC 續抬一截，但 ETH 從 53 掉到 28、SOL 從 34 回到 41，剛好把上一窗的「ETH 擠上二位」翻回去。聲量≠成交，也可能只是樣本在主流幣之間來回輪動，不一定代表資金重新押 SOL、撤 ETH。 SOL 坐二是否站得住、ETH 縮量是冷卻還是暫時讓位，暫時還說不準。先記「順序回到 BTC／SOL／ETH、旁支更散」，有新快照再對。High-level oscillation is not a reversal: BTC 85300—85800 and ETH 2720—2740 trend tracking framework
After BTC recently broke through 85,000, it entered a high-level oscillation correction, with ETH simultaneously consolidating above 2,700. Structurally, this is closer to a normal pause after a weekly volume surge rather than a trend reversal; as long as the highs are not effectively broken down and the lows continue to rise, the bullish framework remains valid. BTC can focus on continuation opportunities after a pullback to 85,300—85,800, targeting 88,500; ETH can focus on the 2,720—2,740 support zone, targeting 2,820. Currently, it is more suitable to follow conservatively rather than chase highs or prematurely turn bearish.
A true trend reversal usually does not start from "sideways movement" but from "breaking the structure." In other words, it depends on whether the price is still running above the highs and whether the rhythm of gradually raising the lows can be maintained. As long as these two conditions are not broken, sideways movement is more likely a consolidation after an uptrend rather than the start of a downtrend.
After a weekly-level volume breakout, prices often do not continue to rise in a straight line. After the space expands, bulls need to digest profit-taking, indicators need to be repaired, and new buying needs to reassess the risk-reward ratio. A few days of oscillation during this phase is a normal correction in a strong market. #BTC冲高$87000，加密总市值重返3万亿 #Strategy再度增持，财库同步加仓 $BTC $ETH $BTC #BTC surges to $87,000, total crypto market cap returns to 3 trillion
Bitcoin surged sharply to $87,400, then slightly pulled back. ETH, SOL, XRP, and other coins followed the rally, pushing the total market cap back above 3 trillion.
US Bitcoin ETF funds also flowed back in, after just two days out, $592 million poured back in. This rally severely squeezed the shorts. After BTC broke through $82,000, the market added another $2 billion in leveraged positions. Shorts were just cleared out, and new players are leveraging up to bet on further gains.
Whether it can continue upward depends on whether ETF funds keep flowing in and if leverage continues to build. The whole community is buzzing with bull market talk; those who missed out are anxious, afraid of missing the chance to get rich quickly.
But with so much leverage piled up, it's like planting a bunch of landmines. Once funding dries up and the market turns slightly, it could trigger a chain of liquidations. Watching the current lively scene, those rushing to chase highs might easily become stuck holding positions at the top.
Continue to the next one?The SEC's innovative exemption directly ignited risk appetite, with Bitcoin surpassing 85,000, and shorts were liquidated for 919 million dollars in the past day.
In this market-wide short squeeze atmosphere, MUBARAK surprisingly sold more at high levels than bought, showing a clear weakening of bullish momentum.
A large number of long positions are stacked for liquidation between 0.075 and 0.077, and the main force has the motive to induce shorts by pushing down before pulling up again.
Just turned the car into a back street to avoid the sun, eyes never left the screen.
Current price is 0.07797, no chasing the high, will gradually buy on dips between 0.0750 and 0.0762.
Set stop loss at 0.0697; if it breaks below 0.070, it means it's not a fakeout but a breakdown.
Take profit target is first at 0.0820, and if it breaks above that, then look towards 0.0880.
Keep some bullets; if it dips to around 0.071, can add once more.
$MUBARAK
#财报观察员：好市多Q4财报即将公布
@OKX星球 Institutions are frantically increasing their positions, but I got swept out of a short $SOL position in the middle of the night! It's so tough being a retail trader 🤡
Good morning, brothers! On my commute, let's first review the painful experience from last night. 🌞
Just saw the trending topic #Strategy再度增持，财库同步加仓
Institutions and big funds are aggressively accumulating coins, and the bulls in the market are getting more confident.
——————
And me? Last night at 22:33, my hands got itchy again. Seeing SOL seemed to be weakening, I opened a light short position at 116.33.
But when I woke up, SOL was forcibly pulled up, and at 07:10 this morning it hit my stop-loss line, cutting losses and closing the position with a -24.69% loss! 📉
Fortunately, I held onto big coins $BTC and $ETH without moving.
Institutions are increasing their holdings, but I naively tried to short at the top. This counterattack really wasn’t undeserved.
——————
💡 Trading insights (a painful lesson):
1. Shorting against the trend is truly the fastest way for retail traders to lose money.
2. In a market where big money keeps buying, don’t easily try to short strong assets.
3. Frequent trading really makes people poorer. If I hadn’t been itchy last night, I would have lost much less today.
💬 Brothers, Strategy is continuously increasing positions this round. What do you think?
With my “get blown up every time I short” condition, how should I overcome it?
Today, should I admit my mistake and rest, or look for another chance to fight?
Wake me up in the comments, I’m listening! 👇
#SOL #OKX #TradingInsights #Cryptocurrency
#Strategy再度增持，财库同步加仓 This is the key distinction with $CORE:
It can look strong while $BTC is weak, but that strength needs to prove itself.
BTC leads → CORE amplifies.
BTC breaks down → CORE gets tested.
Watch the parent before trading the beta. $BTC → $CORE. 📊$ZEC breaks through $1600
The consolidation at $1500 was not in vain!
Previously, after $ZEC surged to $1595 and then pulled back, many rushed to call a top. But the price never strayed far from $1500, and now it has broken through $1600 again, surpassing the previous high.
I reminded to buy the dip around $1130–$1150. At $1600, the increase is nearly 40%. During this period, ZEC did not rise straight every day; each breakout was followed by a pullback before attempting a higher price.
As of September 20, about 4.91 million ZEC are in the privacy pool, accounting for about 29% of the supply. Privacy demand is one of the reasons I am bullish on it long-term, but whether it can continue to rise in the short term depends on the trading volume and pullback performance above $1600.
I will not rush to sell just because it has broken through $1600. The next target is $1700, and during pullbacks, the key is to see if $1600 can turn from resistance into support. If BTC stabilizes this time, the first likely destination for capital overflow will still be the old memes.
Deep liquidity, more listings on exchanges, and the lowest recognition threshold for retail investors. Every cycle first moves in the direction of least resistance.
Currently focusing mainly on these: $DOGE has a US ETF channel, making it almost frictionless for traditional funds to enter.
$PEPE is the leading meme on Ethereum. If ETH continues to gain momentum, PEPE has the greatest elasticity.
$XLM has already broken out of the consolidation range, showing a standard upward trend structure. The positive catalysts are not fully released yet; if it moves, it could multiply several times within a week.
$TAO is the most stable in the AI sector. Grayscale is backing it, calling it the "Bitcoin of AI." Whether that's an exaggeration or not, the capital support is solid.
Also glanced at other sectors: besides $TAO in AI, $RENDER and $FET are worth watching, supported by computing power narratives and actual revenue, not just pure concepts.
The meme leaders SOL and BASE haven't emerged yet, so waiting and watching.
In RWA, $ONDO has the highest profile, but its valuation is already expensive; will wait for a pullback.
DeFi blue chips AAVE, AAVE, and UNI move with ETH, but no active catalysts for a rally have appeared yet.
Will act on other sectors when signals become clearer. No rush; shooting bullets too early is more painful than not shooting at all.$UNI has finally broken through $10, and this rise is not just a rotation of the DeFi concept!
In recent years, Uniswap has consistently had real trading volume, but what $UNI holders can gain from the protocol's business has been a topic of repeated market discussion.
Now the situation is different. Uniswap's protocol fee mechanism is in operation, with a portion of the fees being used for UNI token burns through on-chain processes; recent governance discussions are also advancing fee coverage for more networks.
So when I look at UNI, I’m not just watching whether it can rise from $9 to $10, but whether token burns can keep pace sustainably as trading volume grows.
After breaking through $10, the $11 target I previously set is now within reach. If it can hold above $10 on a pullback, I will continue to hold and observe trading performance around $11.UNI Breaking 10 and Racing to 100: Comprehensive Analysis of Technical Value Support + Revenue Burn Guarantee
I. Underlying Technical Value Support, Unlocking the Valuation Ceiling
1. Uniswap v4 Hooks Modular Architecture (Core Technical Foundation)
The biggest innovation in v4 is the Hooks system, which allows embedding custom logic into trading and liquidity addition nodes, breaking through the fixed rules of traditional AMMs.
Among them, Permissioned Pools are a revolutionary implementation: integrating KYC and whitelist compliance checks into smart contracts, enabling compliant trading of tokenized stocks, bonds, and other real-world assets (RWA) within decentralized pools. This bridges the traditional trillion-dollar securities market with on-chain liquidity, no longer limited to crypto-only trading, upgrading Uniswap from a crypto-native DEX to an on-chain infrastructure for traditional financial asset circulation.
Multi-chain global deployment has been realized on Ethereum, Arbitrum, Base, Robinhood Chain, and other public chains. Robinhood Chain brings massive new users and trading volume, diversifying single-chain risk and continuously expanding trading scale.
2. Industry Leader’s Network Moat
Uniswap is the world’s largest decentralized spot exchange by trading volume, with leading liquidity depth, developer ecosystem, and brand consensus. Aggregator routing prioritizes UNI pools, creating a positive feedback loop: users → liquidity → more trading volume → attracting more LPs, making its leading position difficult to be overturned by competitors in the short term.
II. Protocol Revenue + Burn Mechanism, Hard Guarantee for Value Realization
1. Protocol Fee Switch (UNIfication Proposal) Activated, Truly Capturing Value
For many years, UNI was only a governance token, with all trading fees going to liquidity providers (LPs), and UNI itself unable to capture profits.
Proposal 100 officially activated the protocol fee switch: about 1/6 of trading fees go into protocol revenue, funds enter the TokenJar contract, automatically buy UNI on the secondary market, and send it to the Firepit for permanent burn.
- One-time retrospective burn of 100 million UNI;
- After multi-chain v4 protocol fee activation, daily protocol revenue surged from $114,000 to $325,000, with a 165% increase in protocol revenue over the past 30 days. Robinhood Chain contributes nearly 60% of the revenue.
Core logic: the higher the trading volume, the more protocol revenue, the stronger the secondary market buyback, and the permanent reduction of circulating UNI.
Continuous deflation constantly increases the platform revenue share per remaining UNI, reshaping the token valuation model from a pure governance token to an asset supported by real cash flow.
III. Conditions to Break 10U and Race to 100U
✅ Breaking 10U (Mid-term Goal) Core Conditions
1. Bull market continues to improve, RWA tokenized stock business steadily implemented, institutional funds maintain attention;
2. Multi-chain trading volume remains high, protocol revenue maintains current growth rate, buyback and burn remain stable;
3. Regulatory side: permissioned pools and tokenized securities business face no major restrictions;
Meeting these conditions, the market will reprice UNI’s cash flow + deflation attributes, making 10U achievable.
✅ Racing to 100U (Long-term Extremely Optimistic Scenario) Hard Preconditions
1. Large-scale explosion of tokenized securities market, massive traditional stocks and bonds traded in UNI permissioned pools, protocol revenue achieves leap in scale;
2. Stable buyback and burn over many years, significant shrinkage of circulating UNI total supply, greatly increasing platform revenue multiple per token;
3. Clear global crypto asset regulatory framework, large-scale institutional entry, overall valuation uplift in the DEX sector;
Objective Reality: 100U is a very high expectation requiring multiple super positive catalysts to resonate simultaneously, making it extremely difficult.$PENGU returns to $0.01, don't just treat it as an ordinary animal Meme!
Unlike most Memes that rely solely on social media hype, Pudgy Penguins has a continuously managed IP, physical toys, and brand collaborations. The price of $PENGU certainly won't automatically rise just because a few toys are sold, but whether the brand can keep attracting users outside the community is why I'm willing to observe it long-term.
$0.01 is a very intuitive price threshold. After breaking through, if trading volume continues to increase and the price doesn't quickly fall back after a pullback, there is a short-term chance to approach $0.011.
I previously included PENGU in my list of promising altcoins, and now that the price has returned to $0.01, I am not in a hurry to sell my existing position.Strategy increased its holdings again, and the treasury simultaneously added positions.
Institutions have made a move again. Strategy did not issue new shares this week but directly used cash on hand to buy 950 BTC at an average price of about $79,700, raising total holdings to 846,000 BTC. Over the weekend, Celsius hinted with "A little more orange," effectively signaling that cash will be converted into Bitcoin again.
The logic is straightforward: fiat currency is being printed more and more, but the total supply of BTC is only 21 million, with about 450 new coins added daily after halving. When the US spot ETF enters the market, the coins mined that day are often insufficient to distribute. Institutions' cost is about $81,000; now that BTC has returned above $86,000, ETF buyers have broken even for the first time this year, and long-term holders are reluctant to sell, making circulating supply increasingly tight.
More than one institution is following suit. Strive bought 1,355 BTC at about $79,500, bringing total holdings to 26,355 BTC; BitMine increased its ETH holdings by over 27,000 in a week, nearing 6 million ETH; Boya Interactive replenished 152 BTC at $75,900. These companies actually buy more aggressively during price rallies.
BTC surged to $87,000, and the total crypto market cap returned to $3 trillion. With continuous capital inflow, the market naturally has stronger support, but chasing highs still requires caution against volatility. Position sizing and timing are more important than sentiment.$DASH breaks through $65
Privacy concepts are not limited to $ZEC!
After ZEC's continuous rise, the market has started to pay renewed attention to those established coins with a history of privacy payments but different previous gains. $DASH is one of them.
However, the two cannot be simply equated: ZEC centers on zero-knowledge proof privacy transactions, while DASH started with a payment network and optional privacy features; their product paths are different.
DASH has now reached $65. What I am watching is whether this rally can turn from a single-day surge into a continuous trend. If $65 can hold steady, the short-term target is $70; if it breaks through but quickly falls back, then you can't just chase the price based on the phrase "privacy concept catch-up rally." #BTC surged to $87000, total crypto market cap returns to 3 trillion
#Strategy increased holdings again, treasury simultaneously added positions
BTC: On Monday, spot ETF net inflows reached nearly $1 billion in a single day, marking the highest recent inflow record. Institutions continue to accumulate, which is the core confidence behind BTC's steady strength.
ETH: Tom Lee's Bitmine increased ETH holdings by $75.29 million this week. Total holdings reached $16.4 billion, about 6 million ETH. Of these, 85% are staked and locked, accounting for 4.9% of Ethereum's total supply, just shy of 5%. Circulating ETH will only decrease.
UNI: On-chain monitoring detected 3 newly created wallets that bought 782,100 UNI at once, valued at nearly $6.97 million. Many tokens were withdrawn from major exchanges. Withdrawals from exchanges usually indicate long-term holding rather than short-term trading.
Conclusion: Institutions are snapping up BTC, whales are locking ETH, and funds are positioning in UNI. Capital is being deployed in batches across the entire sector, not just speculating on a single coin. Bitcoin has firmly held above 86,000 today, currently at 86,400, with a slight 0.48% increase in 24 hours, eagerly testing the 90K mark.
This week, Bitcoin has surged from 75,000 to 87,400, rising nearly 15%. Spot ETFs have seen a net inflow of $3.8 billion over three weeks, marking the strongest three-week performance this year. BlackRock's IBIT attracted $117 million in one day, accounting for 67% of that day's total inflow. Institutions are buying, and they are only buying top-tier products. Nearly 13%.
Don't chase the highs! Cryptocurrency will always give you another chance. Chasing the price up because you feel late is often more dangerous than simply waiting.
A true new trend is not established by a single big bullish candle, but by the price holding above the breakout level after the breakout.$ZEC bros, ZEC has hit a new high again. Looking at this big bullish candle, I have mixed feelings. Unfortunately, my long position was stopped out a couple of days ago due to the volatility.😣
I was stunned when I opened the market early this morning. A rapid surge pushed it straight to 1646, now it has pulled back to around 1635, with a nearly 6% increase in 15 minutes. I had held a long position on ZEC before, but in the choppy market, it kept hitting stop losses repeatedly, and in the end, I was forced out with a loss. Who would have known that after two days of grinding, the market would suddenly explode, breaking through all previous resistance levels with a big bullish candle, making a beautiful rally.
😮💨 It’s really frustrating. This kind of market is the hardest to deal with—when holding a position, the constant volatility messes with your mindset, you can’t hold on and get stopped out, and then the market immediately takes off. Now watching the steadily rising candlesticks, I can’t help but think, if only I had held on back then. But on the other hand, trading discipline can’t be abandoned; following the stop loss plan at the time wasn’t wrong.
Now I’m really conflicted. This sudden surge—no idea if it’s just a short-term spike or if the uptrend is just getting started.🧐
$BTC $ETH #ZEC巨鲸3.8万枚空单平仓，亏损超3500万美元 2. Chip Structure: Whales Continue to Accumulate, Exchange Inventory Continues to Flow Out, Floating Chips Are Compressed
Before this round of launch, on-chain data had already signaled: a large number of whale addresses have been continuously accumulating in batches within the consolidation range, a large amount of PEPE has been withdrawn from exchanges to self-custody wallets, and exchange inventory has been steadily declining.
Here, it is important to distinguish PEPE's unique token structure:
At launch in 2023, 93.1% of tokens were directly injected into the liquidity pool, with liquidity keys permanently destroyed; only 6.9% were deposited into a multisig wallet for exchange listings. The team has gradually reduced holdings since then, and the biggest risk of selling pressure from the project side has basically been cleared. There is no ongoing large-scale unlocking to dump tokens, which is the foundation for PEPE's ability to maintain consensus long-term.
However, the chips are not completely decentralized. The top 100 non-exchange wallets hold a high proportion, so chip concentration is not low. $ETH $BTC $PEPE #BTC冲高$87000，加密总市值重返3万亿 #Strategy再度增持，财库同步加仓 #财报观察员：好市多Q4财报即将公布 $SNDK From the trend perspective, SNDK is currently in a strong bullish pattern, with the price returning above $1880, reaching a new high since early July, with a 7-day increase of about 11.75%.
Driving factors include: AI inference demand continuously boosting NAND flash demand, with a 20-30% quarter-on-quarter price increase in Q3; 8 major customers have signed long-term NBM agreements, locking in about two-thirds of supply for fiscal year 2028; Rosenblatt initiated coverage with a buy rating and a $2400 target price; Q4 net profit surged 30113% year-on-year, with free cash flow reaching $7.083 billion.
However, risks are also significant: the trailing twelve months (TTM) price-to-earnings ratio is 25.58 times, with valuation betting on continued prosperity; new industry capacity will be concentrated in production in 2028, creating supply pressure; recent insider selling has appeared; historical trends show daily volatility can exceed 20%, with a high risk of "bull trap flash crashes."
Support below is focused on $1750-1760; if broken, it may retest the 30-day moving average at $1537.