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All supports today are invalid for hype
Orders placed according to the rules on ondo all got stopped out.
Therefore, we still need to look at the overall market trend from the 4-hour chart perspective of the main market BTC and ETH, as this directly relates to how the altcoin whales are thinking.
No main force pulling near can fail to follow the trend and pull up when the main market is moving up simultaneously...
So, stop here and build a position in BTC to replace all altcoins.
If stuck, just wait to be unstuck. Time will prove me right.OKX has so many principal-protected financial activities, either flash profits or lite.
This operational approach is correct; attracting users' funds can bring possible trading fees.
Tomorrow I plan to transfer Ethereum from Binance to OKX. This time the prize pool is 400,000 USDT. OKX is generous, offering a discount equivalent to 2.8 million RMB, like a house.
It's not easy for me either, fussing back and forth for a little financial interest. I'll keep going since the earnings are in dollars, which is quite worthwhile.$CORE $CORE
Watching CORE's weak rise yesterday, it is expected to decline gradually in the coming days. Decisively shorting it, this is just worthless mud, completely hopeless, especially since it is already full of holes! Every day it just uses narratives to scare those trapped at high positions so they dare not sell, while quietly selling off itself. The 150 million tokens burned have no substantial evidence to back them up, ending simply with "no need to trust"! Not to mention the 69 million ghost tokens in circulation, most of the community believes the project team is deceiving themselves because two new nodes were just added recently, followed by an issuance of nearly 300 million tokens. How coincidental is that? Poor loyal fans who rushed in to buy have once again been trapped at the peak! I've said it before, CORE has no bottom, only a peak or mid-mountain!ALGO surged into trending searches, with OI increasing 36.11% compared to the previous record
$ALGO is currently at 0.128, up 8.1% in 24h, and has entered CoinGecko's trending searches — I'm directly bullish, with pullbacks as buying opportunities.
First, the capital. 24h trading volume is 10,116,788 USDT, volume ratio 3.123, showing strong volume; OI is 101,077,716.50, 36.11% higher than the September 13 record, funding rate 0.0001, longs are not crowded.
Second, the structure. Daily RSI at 69.5 is relatively strong, MACD golden cross above zero line with 8 days of expanding red bars, MA7 above MA30 in a bullish alignment, current price above the upper Bollinger Band.
Third, don’t get carried away. Only 16 out of 75 coins in the entire market are rising, median change is -5.136%, BTC at 82,809.36 is below MA7, indicating a high-level divergence pullback phase, ALGO is a strong coin moving against the trend, not a general market rally.
Resistance above: 0.1293 (24h high)
Support below: 0.1213 (4h SAR)
Bullish stance unchanged, enter near 0.128, stop loss if it breaks below 0.1213; if it holds, first target 0.1293, add positions on a volume breakout. Fear and greed index at 74, 30-day range at 0.961, position is not cheap, manage your position size accordingly.
Like and follow, I’ll alert you first on the next trending coin.
$ALGO $BTCSigh, almost couldn't hold on. Luckily, I got out with a 2u profit when it briefly turned green halfway through, then re-entered at a lower position. Otherwise, I would have already been liquidated. Entered at 9.85 to add to the position, kept adding until the average price was 9.374. This is just ridiculous. It was clearly a big drop, but the fee rate was still positive, shouldn't it be negative? It's really bullying the long positions. Now it turned green again, I'll take a 10-dollar profit and exit. Later on c2c, I don't even know how the US stock market opening will crash. It might just trigger liquidation. To all the long position friends, just in case, don't add more now. Wait until the US stock market opens and stabilizes before adding again. Who knows, if BTC breaks 80,000 later, other coins will collectively crash. The real signal of Bitcoin: it's not the price, but the flow of funds
Price fluctuations are just the surface.
What really matters is the direction of capital flow.
A recent clear signal: the US Bitcoin spot ETF has seen net inflows for 7 consecutive trading days, totaling nearly $3 billion, setting a new single-week high this year.
This is not short-term speculation driven by retail sentiment, but institutional funds continuously and orderly building positions.
A more critical change is on-chain:
Bitcoin is moving from exchange hot wallets to fund custody accounts.
Chips are shifting—from short-term traders to long-term holders.
Institutions buying Bitcoin are not betting on tomorrow’s price ups and downs.
They treat it as an alternative asset, making allocations, not speculations.
So when the price falls back, the downside is not a vacuum; funds are absorbing it.
But be clear:
Institutional entry ≠ immediate start of a bull market.
They are not short-term players and won’t rush in just because of a single bullish candle.
Plus, US Treasury yields remain attractive, and cash yields returns even when idle, so funds won’t all flood into the crypto market.
Bitcoin remains the anchor of the entire market.
Watching it means not only looking at price changes but also at who is accumulating the chips.
Prices will fluctuate, but don’t let volatility make your decisions for you.
$BTC $ETH $SOL
#本周迎非农与PCE关键数据 #财报观察员：美光财报临近，AI存储需求成焦点 #美伊继续磋商霍尔木兹开放条件 ETH Evening Core Logic · Qualitative: Stronger than BTC, but don't get overconfident; whether it can truly hold depends on if it can stand back up. · Key Support: Temporarily held at 2635 on the hourly level. To rebound, it must first return to the descending trendline, then stand above 2703; if it can't surpass 2703, don't expect resistance above. Staying sideways between these two without falling is already good. · Breakdown Path: If 2635 breaks, first watch around 2567; don't rush to buy the dip, first see if 2567 is a false breakdown and recovers, wait for signals. · Long Conditions: ① Stand above 2703, then enter again if it retests without breaking 2703; ② Bottom signals near 2635 to enter again. Don't randomly go long or short now, both sides are tough. · Short-term Right Side: Break above 2655 with volume to chase longs, break below 2641 with volume to chase shorts. If volume is off, don't move, set stop losses properly. · Hourly steady above 2655, target 2703-2744; 4-hour break below 2641, target 2610-2586. · 4-hour Warning: Has dropped below 2670. If it can't recover 2670, the M-top pattern likely forms, target near 2520, with a quick spike down. Only a return above 2670 can trigger a rebound; failure means a slow decline. BTC Evening Core Logic · Qualitative: The downtrend is not over yet, hold off on bottom fishing, don't get excited and buy at the peak. · Structure: Highs and lows continue to be pushed down, lows haven't risen, no stabilization pattern yet. The 87299-83229 range has been broken, 83229 has turned from floor to resistance. Only recovering above 83229 can temporarily stop the bleeding; to have a decent rebound, it needs to take... In March 2026, a trader identified a standard "head and shoulders bottom" pattern on Bitcoin's 4-hour chart. After breaking through the neckline, he decisively entered the market to go long, setting the stop loss below the right shoulder. Three hours later, Bitcoin precisely broke below the right shoulder low, triggering a stop loss, then reversed and rose 8%. His stop-loss was exactly at the needle tip of that long lower shadow. This is no coincidence. This is part of a market maker's daily routine. Why Technical Indicators Fail The premise of technical analysis is: history repeats itself, price action reflects all information, and market participants are rational and dispersed. None of these three assumptions hold true in today's crypto market. The first issue: market participants are no longer dispersed. In 2026, institutions will account for 72% of spot trading volume on crypto OTC platforms, and IBIT alone will account for 52% of Bitcoin options market volume. When a few market makers simultaneously control liquidity, option positions, and order book depth, the "market" is no longer a collection of decentralized decisions, but an environment that a few participants can actively shape. The second issue: price action no longer reflects "all information." ETF channel buying can enter the market with minimal on-chain data, CME futures price dominance is found to be much stronger than offshore spot, and option Gamma exposure sets short-term volatility boundaries. The prices retail investors see on charts are already the result of market maker hedging, basis trading, and option positions working together. The third issue: history does repeat, but the way it repeats is how market makers want it to repeat. When there is enough🚀 We are launching Flash Earn Lite with USDT (Tether) | Sep 29 - Oct 4, 2026
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*The estimated APR is for reference only and may fluctuate.黑U为何屡禁不止？平民百姓如何避免收到黑U 在币圈，USDT是最常用的稳定币，但“黑U”这个词也让很多人头疼。所谓黑U，就是资金来源涉及诈骗、黑客攻击、洗钱等非法活动的USDT。一旦不小心收到，轻则账户被冻结，重则资金归零，甚至惹上法律麻烦。 黑U为什么一直在流通 第一，洗钱网络已经产业化。以Telegram等平台为据点，形成了成熟的“担保交易”生态，有专门的中介、跑分网络和场外柜台。Chainalysis报告显示，2025年华语洗钱网络处理了约160亿美元非法加密资产，其中“黑U”服务公开以市价七到八折出售污染资产。 第二，执法存在跨境难题。各国法律不一，信息共享不畅，加上链上追踪能力有限，为犯罪分子创造了低风险环境。即使某些平台被打击，供应商也能迅速转移到其他渠道，影响微乎其微。 第三，利用了人性的弱点。黑U通常以低于市场价百分之十到二十为诱饵，吸引贪图便宜的买家。许多人明知有风险，仍抱着侥幸心理接手，使其有了流通的出口。 平民百姓如何避免收到黑U 第一，优先选择合规大所的C2C渠道。在币安、OKX等头部交易所的官方C2C区交易，是风险最可控的方式。交易所会托管卖家的U，并对卖家进$BTC plunged 2%, institutions are aggressively buying but creating a trap? Traders bluntly say: Don't panic, this is a fake drop!
Brothers, eyes were red watching the market this morning. BTC is currently around $82,800, down over 2% in 24 hours, the intraday high near $85,000 was directly smashed through, and the low hit around $82,700. Trading volume is still holding strong above 30B.
#本周迎非农与PCE关键数据
Last week, spot ETF net inflows were $2.39 billion, the strongest week of 2026 so far. Institutions are clearly accumulating aggressively, but the price dropped first as a sign of respect. US Treasury yields soared to highs, macro pressure is real, but the key technical support at 82k remains intact, and the trendline is unbroken. @OKX中文 @OKX星球 兄弟们，刚睡醒，脑子还有点懵。 昨晚一直盯着这笔 $BTC 空单，几乎熬了一整夜。一直撑到中午实在顶不住了，倒头就睡。 醒来的第一件事就是摸手机看行情—— BTC最低已经打到 82,606 美元附近，目前仍在 82,700 美元一带，24小时跌幅超过2%。 看到这个价格，我直接长舒一口气： 空单没被扫掉！ 不仅扛过了半夜的剧烈波动，而且随着价格跌破 83,000 → 82,800，目前已经开始出现一些浮盈。 这觉睡得，感觉像是躲过了一劫。 但冷静下来想想，后背还是有点发凉…… 如果昨晚不是继续下探，而是突然来一根向上的大插针呢？ 如果我睡着的那几个小时里，主力突然反手拉盘，专门来一波 逼空，那醒来看到的可能就不是浮盈，而是爆仓提醒了。 现在短周期盘面依旧偏弱，1分钟级别均线继续向下，空头暂时占据主动。 不过问题也来了： KDJ已经进入低位钝化区域，短线超跌反弹的风险正在增加。 所以我反而不敢盲目追空。 82,600附近已经成为一个重要观察区，如果这里迟迟不能有效跌破，市场可能会反复测试，甚至先来一次快速反抽，再决定下一步方向。 另外，今天的宏观环境也不太友好。 最新消息显示，美伊围绕霍On the eve of CPI, ETH is waiting for a liquidation
$ETH is tugging back and forth around 2650, with both bulls and bears waiting for Wednesday's CPI. Positive factors are abundant: spot ETFs saw a net inflow of $690 million last week, Vitalik updated the long-term roadmap, ARK is moving asset tokenization onto Ethereum, and community sentiment is bullish. But risks are real: a three-year-old whale transferred $300 million ETH to exchanges, on-chain activity is sluggish, options volatility is rising, and the funding model is biased toward outflows.
The liquidation map is more direct. Below, 2503 holds a large number of long positions, closer to the current price; above, 2918 has dense short positions but is farther away. If CPI misses expectations, ETH will dip, and the 2503 area is prone to triggering a chain of long liquidations, first pressuring longs. If CPI exceeds expectations and breaks through 2918, then shorts will be squeezed.
My view: pressing longs first is more likely, not because the direction is bearish, but because the liquidation zone below is closer and the cost of a spike is lower. However, 2630–2560 could be a meat grinder zone; after longs are liquidated, liquidity will sharply drop, making a sudden rally easier. CPI is just the fuse; the real outcome depends on the price reaction after liquidation. Killing longs first doesn’t necessarily mean the bulls lose; squeezing shorts first doesn’t necessarily mean the bears die. We’ll see the verdict on Wednesday.
#本周迎非农与PCE关键数据 #财报观察员：美光财报临近，AI存储需求成焦点 The most dangerous signal has appeared on the chessboard: when the pawn chain on the king's wing freezes in place, the real killing move is never on the main battlefield.
Bitcoin and Ethereum are like two heavy pieces locked in a stalemate, moving sideways, gathering strength, and restraining each other, while ZEC, a forgotten light piece for many years, suddenly completed a textbook promotion on the flank. $1,697 — this is not a random fluctuation, but the realization of a long dormant piece — all the players who treated ZEC as a dead piece and abandoned it over the past four years are now gritting their teeth during review.
Having played chess for thirty years, I know one thing clearly: the market always rewards those who are willing to keep an active bishop in the endgame. While mainstream funds repeatedly make meaningless pawn pushes in the closed positions of BTC/ETH, ZEC has carved out a completely independent path. This divergence is not noise; it is structural — like a tactical combination in the middlegame suddenly tearing apart what seemed like a solid pawn structure.
Now look at its support system. 21Shares has made a move in Europe, Grayscale’s ZCSH high-yield ETF has been submitted to regulators, though not yet approved, this is called a “positional threat” — the game is not over, but the opponent must already split forces to defend. True grandmasters don’t look at what piece was captured in this move; they watch how the opponent is forced to respond in the next five moves. The NU7 testnet on October 6 and mainnet launch on November 5 are key squares on the timeline; any delay will be seen by bears as a window for counterattack.
But I want to point out a tactical detail everyone overlooks: this round of ZEC’s rally happened against the backdrop of overall market sentiment contraction. This is called a “lone soldier breakthrough in a closed position” — it can promote because all other lines are frozen. Once BTC restarts and liquidity returns, this lone soldier will face the risk of being surrounded and captured. Before promotion is opportunity; after promotion is responsibility.
As for the linkage with US stock targets, that is a reflection of another chessboard. When traditional capital begins to seek “low-priced active pieces” in the crypto sector, targets like XASTS become the channel. This is not simple correlation; it is capital performing a cross-board castling, moving risk from one square to another.
In my career, I have won many games, never by chasing rises and falls, but by seeing this endgame shape before the twentieth move. The position ZEC is in now is a good move, but between a good move and a winning move lies the patience of an entire middlegame.
The lone soldier has already reached the seventh rank. The next step, promotion or capture, depends on the hand playing black. #ZECNears1700NewHigh Today's comment Q: When choosing long-term targets, do you value income, business model, or valuation the most?
Valuation.
I know many people say the business model is the root, and income is the real thing. But look back at $BTC, what business model does it have? None. What income does it have? None either. It only has a fixed total supply and a group of people who believe in it. According to the business model logic, you simply can't explain why $BTC has made it this far.
So for me, valuation is the most important thing for long-term targets. No matter how good a project is, if you buy it at a high price, you'll be stuck for years; even an ordinary asset can make you a fortune if you buy it cheap enough.
The same thing, entering at a high point or a low point, the outcomes are worlds apart. The business model can tell you if something can survive, income can tell you how well it’s doing, but valuation decides whether you can make money after buying. Buy cheap, even trash can make money; buy expensive, even treasures can lose money.
Of course, I’m not saying business models and income are useless; they determine whether I dare to hold heavily or hold long-term. But when it really comes to making the move, valuation is the decisive number.
Do you look at valuation for the long term? Let's chat in the comments.👇
#交易之声：你的经验值得被听到 Term Structure Radar
$BTC annualized basis at three expiration points is relatively flat: the near-term, mid-term, and long-term annualized basis are +5.19%/+5.52%/+5.45% respectively; the raw spread of the near-term contract relative to the index is +$374.9. The annualized pricing differences across the three terms are small, and the term premium does not show a clear widening.
$ETH annualized basis decreases with expiration term: the near-term, mid-term, and long-term annualized basis are +5.07%/+4.60%/+4.41% respectively; the raw spread of the near-term contract relative to the index is +$11.74.
$SOL annualized basis decreases with expiration term: the near-term, mid-term, and long-term annualized basis are +2.72%/+2.27%/+1.28% respectively; the raw spread of the near-term contract relative to the index is +$0.28.
BTC, ETH, SOL: all three expiration points are in contango.
ETH, SOL: near-term annualized basis is higher than long-term, with higher annualized pricing concentrated in the near-term. #交易之声: Your experience deserves to be heard. If I had to choose between these three, as a trader who has weathered countless storms in the crypto world, I would choose the business model. This is not a denial of income and valuation, but a survival decision made based on the unique survival rules of the crypto world under the extreme assumption of only one choice. 1. Why give up income? Because crypto income is full of deception. Many people think the underlying logic of doing real business is income king, and that making money means a good project. But in crypto, focusing solely on income is extremely dangerous. Crypto income is often highly inflated and cyclical. In a bull market, a worthless meme project can generate astonishing income through high fees or funding rates as long as it raises token prices; Some DeFi protocols use over-issued tokens for liquidity mining, with their TVL and protocol revenue on paper being ridiculously high. But what is this called? It's called the false prosperity created by token inflation subsidies. Once a bear market hits or subsidies stop, this income instantly drops to zero, and the project dies as a result. If I only focus on income, it's easy to be deceived by those tens of thousands of percent annual returns at the peak of a bull market to buy in. Revenue is dynamic and changeable; it only proves the project is doing well now, but cannot prove it will survive in the future. Income without business model support is like a castle on the beach—once the tide recedesOKB is a coin without value; its utility depends solely on the platform. Capital will speculate on it, but not now. It is likely to fall below 50. The current rebound is just to absorb chips for creating a new drop, and also to lure buyers.No matter how beautifully the blueprints are drawn, if the load-bearing walls are mixed with sand, a gust of wind will cause a continuous structural collapse. In my eyes, the Global Product and Ecosystem Conference on October 6 was not a launch event, but an on-site inspection—turning those past concepts that remained at the rendering stage into tangible entities that can be delivered and inhabited today. Anyone can draw conceptual renderings; the real skill lies in the construction milestones that can be realized.
Let's start with the foundation. The underlying architecture of the entire ecosystem determines how high the upper layers can be built. If the foundation is a modular raft slab with reserved expansion joints, subsequent additions, renovations, and integration of new business models will not tear apart the main structure; if the foundation is temporary rammed earth, the first wave of users will cause uneven settlement. True bearing capacity is not written in brochures; it is hidden in the rhythm of development iterations—each version update is a record of concrete pouring and curing. Skipping steps, rushing work, or inadequate curing will result in a smooth surface but a honeycombed interior.
Next, consider this token linked to the US stock market, which to me is like a post-tensioned prestressed beam. The anchoring end's linkage relationship is the tension control stress: when upstream assets move, the stress distribution here immediately redistributes. Excessive premium equals over-tensioning, causing the beam to arch and crack; too deep a discount equals stress loss, causing the entire beam to sag and lack stiffness. What truly deserves attention is not the net inflow number on a certain day, but the seismic-resistant structure of this connection node—when the US stock market's night session shakes violently, does it flexibly dissipate energy and unload stress layer by layer, or is it a rigid connection that cracks all the way through? Most so-called mapping structures fail at the node welds, not the main materials.
The efficiency, community, and returns mentioned in the theme are essentially the facade curtain wall system. The curtain wall can be made flashy with glass, metal panels, and lighting, but what determines the building's lifespan is always the supporting keel and sealing joints behind it. If the keel spacing exceeds limits or the sealant joints age, the first heavy rain will cause water leakage and dampness. Creator earnings and token incentives are all curtain wall materials; distribution mechanisms, unlocking curves, and real demand are the keel and structural sealant. No one would accept an entire building just based on a facade rendering, yet the market does this every day.
Wind load calculation is the most easily overlooked yet most fatal link. The volatility of crypto assets is the crosswind and vortex vibration that supertall buildings must face. Wind resistance design is not about making the building thicker, but about allowing the structure to dissipate energy itself under a reasonable damping and stiffness ratio. If a project frequently changes governance rules and temporarily adjusts release rhythms during volatile markets, it is equivalent to repeatedly modifying the structural system mid-construction—each change weakens the reliability of existing components, and eventually no one dares to build according to the original plan.
I have reviewed drawings for forty years and have seen too many landmarks fall at the final acceptance step. It's not that the design is bad, but that the construction joints were handled carelessly. With the underlying architecture, development capability, and long-term scalability all in place, the building can stand; missing any one of these, no matter how tall the tower, it is just an animation in a bidding demo video.
When you tap with a hollow hammer and hear a dull sound, that is its permanent crack. #okxnow：seewhat'snextThe latest data from Bitfinex shows that ETH short positions surged from 771 ETH to over 100,000 ETH in just about two weeks, an increase of nearly 130 times. Recently, the short position size once surpassed 101,000 ETH, becoming an unusual figure that has drawn market attention. This extreme concentration of bears can indeed become the "fuel" for the market: 🔹 if ETH rebounds upward, shorts will widen 🔹 their floating losses. Some bears will be forced to stop losses or cover 🔹 further and buying will further push prices 🔹 higher. Once continuous liquidations form, a rapid Short Squeeze may occur. Currently, ETH is still repeatedly battling near $2,600–$2,700, with recent highs reaching around $2,807, while the $2,760–$2,800 area remains a resistance zone to watch above. More notably, liquidity has not completely weakened. On September 25, the US spot ETH ETF recorded a net inflow of about $87M; Last week, ETH spot ETFs saw a cumulative net inflow of about $689.88M, indicating that institutional funds continue to flow in. ⚠️ But with a surge in bears≠ ETH is bound to rise. If ETH breaks below key support first, bears may continue to profit, turning the market from "short squeeze fuel" to "downward momentum." Therefore, what truly matters is not just the number of bears, but 📌 whether ETH can regain the $2,700/$2,760 📌 level below $2,609月28日—10月4日全球宏观指引：能源价格为轴心，二次加息审判为主叙事！ 外交叙事退潮→能源风险反扑→就业与通胀决定美债下一轮方向，中国假期让市场失去部分流动性支撑！ 本周宏观逻辑链： #本周迎非农与PCE关键数据 中美峰会落地 ：市场对贸易与科技风险溢价是否重新定价？ 美伊继续谈判：能否继续谈判乐观预期，Brent价格波动，决定全球能源通胀预期 美债收益率高位：美国内生通胀多严重？ PCE + ISM + 非农 ：数据组合验证美国增长与通胀情况，10月加息重新定价，债市方向选择以及对全球流动性影响如何？ 一，第一主线，中美峰会结束后，双方对本次峰会成果的验证！ 上周中美峰会后虽然结构性矛盾并未解除，但是在科技与贸易上出现进展 贸易上，双方贸易休战延长两个月，中美宣布300亿商品削减关税。AI上，双方展开对话，随后有部分媒体报道中方企业考虑采购最新美国芯片。 所以本周需要注意的是，中美峰会前市场给资产带来多少乐观定价，本次峰会结束是否满足市场预期，市场风险偏好如何调整，是超预期上涨，还是低于预期回落，尤其是关乎科技与贸易两个关键板块 截止目前，媒体报道显示对于AI与贸易上都有所推进Brothers, what do you think?
$BTC This chart increasingly looks like the end of a rebound. Another bearish candle on the daily chart, MACD double lines death cross combined with a bearish divergence, sentiment is very likely to break down. 80,000 is a psychological barrier and a key battleground between bulls and bears. A true test may not break it directly, but a false break to shake out is quite possible. On the macro side, non-farm payrolls and PCE will determine rate cut expectations. If Micron's earnings confirm high AI storage demand, tech stocks and the crypto space might leverage that for recovery; the Hormuz negotiations focus on oil prices and safe havens. $ETH and $ZEC have high volatility, don't blindly catch falling knives. Brothers, do you think it will break 80K first or rebound first? See you in the comments 🤨
#本周迎非农与PCE关键数据 #财报观察员：美光财报临近，AI存储需求成焦点。
#本周迎非农与PCE关键数据
#美伊继续磋商霍尔木兹开放条件
#交易之声：你的经验值得被听到
$ETH $ZEC "After the rise, first look at support"
$SOL pulled back after hitting 124.8, now fluctuating around $120. This level acts like a short-term dividing line: if it holds, sentiment may recover and there’s a chance to retest $125; if it breaks, profit-taking could push it down to $116–118. A consolidation after continuous gains is not surprising; the key is whether $120 can hold.
$SPCX slid from $154.8 into a sideways range, currently around $148.85. There is support near $148, but $150–154 remains a resistance zone. Without a volume breakout, it looks more like buying time to create space.
$NVDA closed at $225 last week, up about 19% year-to-date. AI demand remains the fundamental support, but the stock price has entered a high-level consolidation zone. Strong fundamentals don’t mean there’s no short-term pullback pressure.
Commonality among the three: after prior gains, all have reached resistance zones. At this point, rather than chasing the rally, it’s better to observe the effectiveness of support—if support holds, the trend can continue; if support breaks, prepare for a pullback. The market has entered a "verification period," where patience is more valuable than impulsiveness.
#本周迎非农与PCE关键数据
#BTC现货ETF周流入创近一年新高
#财报观察员：美光财报临近，AI存储需求成焦点 I continue holding a short position on ZEC, bearish in the long term
My current thinking hasn't changed. ZEC is a veteran privacy coin, and with increasing regulatory pressure, its survival space and narrative capability are being squeezed.
From my average entry price to the current price around 1556, the account has some unrealized losses, but still within a tolerable range. The position is 2x low leverage, with a liquidation price at 3230BTC
The cycle view remains the same~ As long as it doesn't fall back below 8.2, it's not a big problem. Still treat it as a simple bullish one-way market~
Known support at 8.2 (weekly and daily). The minor level 832 is the bottoming point.
In terms of operation, combined with liquidity, either wait for the 8.2 area to be reclaimed before entering, with stop loss set at the reclaimed low point.
Or enter with the first position at the current price, add to the position after reclaiming 832, and defend the intraday low.
No matter where you enter here, the maximum stop loss should not exceed 8.18~ $BTC #本周迎非农与PCE关键数据 A long rise must fall, that's the damn truth.
$BTC dropped below 84000, $ETH crashed to 2668, and $XAU also plunged from 4319 to 4219. Waterfalls everywhere, the screen full of red. I opened a $SOL short early, the direction was right, but a rebound spike hit my stop loss. By the time I came to my senses, the waterfall was already over. I still had ammo in hand but didn’t dare to chase. Watching others profit from shorts hurts more than losing money. Like a fortune teller predicting rain but ending up drenched.
I don’t care about the software, staring at the big bearish candle, remember: it’s not enough to be right, you have to hold on.
Wishing the bears wealth.
$BTC $ETH $XAU
#交易之声：你的经验值得被听到 ZEC Bulls and Bears in Fierce Battle: Retail Investors Panic Sell, Whales Accumulate Against the Trend
ZEC is undergoing a classic "deleveraging shakeout." The 24-hour contract trading volume reached $6.334 billion, with a net capital inflow of $652 million, yet the price dropped 4.41%—a volume-driven decline that superficially signals capital flight.
Retail investors are panicking, whales are greedy.
Binance retail long-short ratio is only 0.5396, and OKX is even lower at 0.5, indicating retail sentiment has hit rock bottom, with many shorting or exiting to watch. However, whale data reveals a completely different signal: the number of whales with short positions is indeed the majority at a 0.5122 long-short ratio; yet the whales' position long-short ratio is as high as 1.0861—real money is dominantly betting on the long side. Simply put, whales verbally say no, but their actions are honest. This divergence of "more shorts in number, more longs in position size" often signals a trend reversal.
Key levels:
· Support below: $1500-$1550
· Resistance above: $1650
A volume-driven decline does mean short-term downward momentum may continue, but whales holding long positions against the trend shows smart money does not believe the trend is over. In practice, do not rush to bottom-fish; wait for a pullback to stabilize in the $1520-$1550 range before lightly going long, and decisively exit if support breaks.
The essence of a shakeout is to wash out weak hands. When retail sentiment is extremely bearish, the bottom is often near.
$BTC $ETH
#ZEC再创本轮新高，逼近1700美元 Opponents question Celo, but why isn't the community afraid? —A debate on "real gold fears no fire" In September 2026, $CELO's price hovered around $0.09 for a long time, down more than 99% from its 2021 peak. Meanwhile, daily active addresses on Celo remained above 400,000, and USDT transfer volume ranked among the top on the chain. The severe divergence between price and fundamentals sparked intense debate inside and outside the community. Opponents said Celo had no value, while the community said real gold feared no fire. Which side is more reasonable? Let's lay out the viewpoints of both sides. Opposing camp: What are the contrarians saying? First, token value capture has completely failed. Security rating agency Hindenrank gave CELO a D+ rating, meaning it is below average in value capture, clearly stating that most protocol revenue has not yet flowed to token holders, and its fee capture score is only 5/25, classifying it as the Dead Money quadrant, meaning low risk but lacking a value capture mechanism. Community member whitehat.wsd posted on the governance forum questioning the team: The Celo network performed excellently, with 470,000 to 500,000 daily active addresses, over 1.1 million daily transaction volumes, and over 14 million MiniPay wallets. USDT usage ranks among the top L2s, yet its market cap is stuck at around $36 million. This can no longer be explained by the market's lack of understanding. He bluntly stated that if this situation continues long-term, it will cause core contributors to leave, liquidity shortages leading to increased volatility and difficulties#交易之声：你的经验值得被听到
After reading today's popular trader Q&A, as an early veteran, I deeply resonate. Having witnessed too many ups and downs, I want to share some hard-earned lessons paid for with real losses from liquidations.
🎯Today's Q: What matters more, income, business model, or valuation?
My answer: Business model > Income > Valuation. Valuation is often an emotional bubble, income can be faked by volume manipulation, only a truly proven business model can survive a deep bear market.
🚫Never blindly trust grand narratives of altcoins! Claims like "disrupting ecosystems" or "100x myths" are just project teams pumping and brainwashing.
🔪Don't talk about vision with altcoins, decisively cut and leave! Altcoins are for speculation, not heirlooms. Once the trend turns bad, you must decisively liquidate and exit. The more you talk about vision, the faster your principal dies.
⚖️Asset allocation must be reasonable, always leave yourself a way out. Use large positions in mainstream coins as ballast, and only small positions in altcoins for speculation. Never go full position; keep U for extreme market conditions.
🛑Strict trading discipline, you must control your hands! No matter how much you understand, if you can't control your hands, it's useless. Frequent trading and FOMO lose more than just wrong direction calls.
🤖Recently, I've been testing bot-assisted trading. Human nature has weaknesses, so entrust discipline to machines to strictly execute take-profit and stop-loss. Still in testing phase, will report data later.
Only after experiencing bull and bear markets do you understand: don't blindly join every frenzy, protect your principal, survive first, then you have the right to talk about the future.
How do you control your hands normally? Anyone using bots? Let's chat in the comments👇340,000 USD stolen, stuck for 27 minutes after the 24-hour transfer limit was lifted
At 4:12 AM on September 27, an account started transferring money out.
Within 13 minutes, 322,110 USDT and 9,133,999 ONE were transferred out.
Where did the money come from:
Security settings were reset by someone, so the account belonged to the other party.
The 24-hour transfer limit was just lifted 27 minutes ago, and the money was gone.
How this amount was calculated:
The two transfers combined are about 340,000 USD, which was calculated.
The attacker also left an API that was not revoked.
The platform said the preliminary investigation is complete and will communicate one-on-one via email.
The user has already submitted a claim and the ticket number has been recorded.
Resetting security settings and revoking API are two different things; the former locks the door, the latter takes away the key.
The door is locked, but the key is still in the other party's hands.
#特朗普政府拟推海外稳定币计划
#Aave支持代币化美股抵押借USDC #CME拟推BCH与UNI期货 $USDT $ONE Sentiment TOP signal?
1. #BTC spot ETF 7-day inflow ~$3B - everyone is euphoric
2. $XRP hacked >$80M stolen - black swan ignored
3. Sentiment too good for many days - when market rises, bad news hidden
Whale playbook: Use hack as excuse to dump while retail is greedy
4. $HYPE large unlock tomorrow - many tokens still locked, supply heavy, 90 can't hold
Peak for now IMO. Risk off.#PCEAndPayrollsWeek #BTCETFInflowsHit1YHigh #ZECNears1700NewHigh
$BTC $XRP $HYPE #BTC现货ETF周流入创近一年新高
$BTC BTC: Bullish in the long term, bearish in the short term.
The Federal Reserve is still in a tightening/interest rate hike cycle, liquidity is tight, and the probability of risk assets going straight up is low. After BTC fell back from above 84,000, short-term momentum weakened. The market needs a pullback to clear leverage, digest profits, and consolidate the bottom chip structure.
Short-term outlook: First watch for a pullback near $81,000; if it breaks down effectively, further downside to the $79,000 area is expected. This is a psychological threshold and a dense chip support zone. Stop loss is set at $84,000; if it stabilizes above this again, it means the short-term bearish logic is falsified and the direction needs to be reassessed.
Long-term outlook is not pessimistic: Institutions have not significantly reduced allocations during the pullback, the halving cycle and the US dollar credit cracks remain, and the long-term bull market logic is intact. This currently looks more like a correction within a bull market rather than a trend reversal. After liquidity pressure eases and bottom turnover is sufficient, the rise will be more solid.
Strategy: Do not chase highs in the short term, wait for a pullback; observe support at 81,000/79,000, stop loss at 84,000. Personal opinion, not investment advice. $BTC $SOL is rebounding short today
✌️Range between 145 and 155, if the rally weakens tonight, it will need to test lower...@OKX Planet
$SOL under pressure! Price rebounds but on-chain activity shrinks, no increase in ETF funds, Gas only 0.01 Gwei. Volatility is greater than ETH, with sharper spikes.
Key levels:
160 resistance: if it breaks below 148, the target is 135
#本周迎非农与PCE关键数据 #财报观察员：美光财报临近，AI存储需求成焦点 #美伊继续磋商霍尔木兹开放条件 $ZEC $XAU
Under the pressure of high interest rates, why does gold still attract funds?
Real interest rates create valuation pressure, but geopolitical uncertainty, inflation risks, and reserve demand provide hedging value. If yields are high and gold prices refuse to fall, it indicates strong safe-haven buying.
If the dollar and real interest rates continue to rise and risk premiums fade, I would be cautious.When the market is cold, no one talks about $ORDI
When the market heats up, everyone starts asking:
"Why didn't I buy it back then?"
The market is just that interesting.ETH is approaching $2700, but I'm more concerned about who is willing to stay
Around 11:00 on September 27, the OKEx page showed $ETH at about $2698. $2700 is within sight, but being just two dollars away and truly holding above it are two different things. The price can be pushed past by a single active buy order, but a new cost zone requires subsequent trades to gradually form. Seeing this position today, I'm not in a hurry to translate the round number as a trend confirmation.
If the price quickly retreats after crossing $2700 and the volume mainly concentrates in those few minutes of the spike, it looks more like a brief probe. Conversely, even if the first attempt doesn't break through, as long as selling pressure gradually weakens on the pullback and the trading focus moves upward, buyers may be accumulating initiative. Looking only at the latest price, it's easy to mistake the process for the result.
I am bullish on Ethereum in the long term, but in the short term, I am willing to give the market time to prove itself. A price worth staying at requires spot support, not everyone simultaneously shouting target levels. When observing later, the focus is whether the volume position after the pullback holds and whether the upward push depends on increasingly aggressive leverage.
$2700 is not a threshold I set for the market, nor is it a reason to buy just because it is reached. It is simply a coordinate convenient for observation today. If the price repeatedly crosses it without forming a stable trading zone, continue to interpret it as consolidation; if new buyers are willing to keep turnover at higher levels, then there is more evidence for trend discussion. Being bullish can be clear, but execution need not be rushed.ETH is approaching $2700, but I'm more concerned about who is willing to stay
Around 11:00 on September 27, the OKEx page showed $ETH at about $2698. $2700 is within sight, but being just two dollars away and truly holding above it are two different things. The price can be pushed past by a single active buy order, but a new cost zone requires subsequent trades to gradually form. Seeing this position today, I'm not in a hurry to translate the round number as a trend confirmation.
If the price quickly retreats after crossing $2700 and the volume mainly concentrates in those few minutes of the spike, it looks more like a brief probe. Conversely, even if the first attempt doesn't break through, as long as selling pressure gradually weakens on the pullback and the trading focus moves upward, buyers may be accumulating initiative. Looking only at the latest price, it's easy to mistake the process for the result.
I am bullish on Ethereum in the long term, but in the short term, I am willing to give the market time to prove itself. A price worth staying at requires spot support, not everyone simultaneously shouting target levels. When observing later, the focus is whether the volume position after the pullback holds and whether the upward push depends on increasingly aggressive leverage.
$2700 is not a threshold I set for the market, nor is it a reason to buy just because it is reached. It is simply a coordinate convenient for observation today. If the price repeatedly crosses it without forming a stable trading zone, continue to interpret it as consolidation; if new buyers are willing to keep turnover at higher levels, then there is more evidence for trend discussion. Being bullish can be clear, but execution need not be rushed.[Old Chive Observation] About the third of six coins worth watching after US stocks access DeFi
$ONDO
This is currently the one you cannot ignore. Ondo itself is tokenizing US stocks and ETFs, and Ondo's SPYon and QQQon have already entered Morpho, where they can be collateralized to borrow USDC. It's no longer just about "buying an on-chain US stock." It is moving towards: tokenized stocks → DeFi collateral → borrowing stablecoins.
Ondo's SPYon, QQQon, TSLAon, and other assets have already entered the DeFi lending market.
So if in the future the market hype is not about "a certain RWA project," but about: after US stocks are fully on-chain, whether these stocks can enter DeFi? Then ONDO and LINK are very direct related targets.
After stocks become on-chain assets, whether they can continue to be used for borrowing money is the key step for RWA to transform from trading assets into financial assets.
Entry: $0.45–$0.55
Take profit: $0.62 / $0.68 / $0.75 / $0.85
Stop loss: $0.4
The biggest highlight of ONDO now is that tokenized stocks are starting to develop from "can be bought" to "can be used to borrow money."📉 The entire market is retreating simultaneously, with 24-hour liquidation amounts nearing $300 million, making bulls the main victims.
This decline is not just an issue within the crypto market itself. U.S. stocks, gold, crypto assets, and even some stock tokens have weakened, with the real pressure coming more from the macroeconomic level.
The core variable remains U.S. Treasury yields. Recently, the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield surged to around 5.1%, hitting a new high since 2007; meanwhile, the market is re-pricing the expectation that the Federal Reserve may continue raising rates, with the probability of a rate hike in October rising to about 56%.
As the risk-free rate continues to rise, risk appetite naturally gets suppressed. BTC previously rallied from around $75,000 to above $87,000, a short-term gain exceeding 16%, with profit-taking concentrated. After the macro sentiment weakened, stop-losses and forced liquidations among bulls compounded, further amplifying the market's decline.
However, from the current structure, I tend to interpret this move as a deep correction after a rise, rather than a complete trend reversal.
📌 Key BTC focus is on the $81,000–$82,000 range.
If this area can effectively absorb selling pressure, the market still has a chance to re-enter a consolidation and accumulation phase; if support is broken with high volume, a reassessment of the subsequent structure will be necessary.
Therefore, the most important thing now is not to panic sell or rush to bottom-fish at every dip. Macro interest rates, dollar liquidity, and U.S. stock risk appetite still deserve close attention. ETF weekly inflows have retreated from the peak, BTC retests $82,600.
Current market conditions show BTC at $82,761, down 2.55% in 24 hours, with an intraday high touching $85,200 before falling back, and a low pressured to $82,606.
Last week, the total net inflow of US spot BTC ETFs was about $2.39 billion, the strongest week in nearly a year.
But the daily rhythm was $999 million → $135 million, showing a clear cooling in buying.
Among them, IBIT absorbed about $1.2 billion in a week, with high concentration, but it couldn't stop the spot market from giving back gains.
In the same period, ETH fell about 2.5%, SUI currently at $1.168, down 6.81%.
The AI sector dropped about 8.8%, GameFi about 5.6%, Meme about 5%, with altcoins retreating in sync.
The market may expect that institutional weekly inflows can support above $83,000.
But the reality is different: the spot market first gives back the highs, funding rates are near neutral, more like turnover after a pulse.
1. Spot can be supported between $82,600-$83,000; reduce positions if broken.
2. For contracts, do not chase longs before $85,000 is reclaimed.
What to watch is whether daily inflows after Friday can pick up again, not just last week's total volume itself. Gold and Bitcoin are often lumped together in the same inflation-hedging narrative, but the trust foundations supporting them are based on two completely different logics. Gold relies on physical scarcity, combined with a consensus built over thousands of years; even if the internet or power goes down, it still lies there. The cost is that authentication is troublesome, division is difficult, and cross-border transport is expensive. Bitcoin, on the other hand, is built on code rules and globally distributed nodes, with a fixed total supply, on-chain transparency, and transfers that settle in minutes, but it also cannot avoid electricity consumption, regulatory uncertainty, and the risk of losing private keys. Gold is more like a stable anchor of the old financial system, while Bitcoin is like the capital entry point of the new market. As asset allocation becomes increasingly digital, BTC may not necessarily replace gold bars, but it will first capture part of gold's incremental buying demand. $BTC #本周迎非农与PCE关键数据 #财报观察员：美光财报临近，AI存储需求成焦点 #美伊继续磋商霍尔木兹开放条件 【$LINK 观点】谨慎偏空（短线 12-24 小时） 【依据】①2 小时 MA20（14.05）压在上方，中期结构转弱；②15 分钟近 6 根里 3 根阳线，短线动能中性；③价格处在 24 小时区间 21.1% 位置，接近下沿，向下空间有限 【触发】站上 13.76 并守住两根 15 分钟 K 线 → 观点转多；跌破 13.52 → 观点转强或作废 【失效】若 15 分钟出现放量长阳收回关键位，说明是插针洗盘，本文观点作废。 $LINK 眼下站在两小时均线（14.05）下方 2.47%，短线成本区就在这附近。 15 分钟线上，最后六根 K 线里有 3 根阳线——多空拉锯。 先说短线结构。 15 分钟级别，$LINK 在 MA20（13.72）与 MA50（13.88）下方，两条均线已经分开，短线方向感明确。 2 小时级别区间 12.04 ~ 14.49，现价处在 67.6% 的位置；2 小时 MA20 是 14.05，价格在它下方 2.47%（2 小时口径）。 日线是完整的多头结构：$LINK 的 MA20 在 12.35，价格高出 10.97%；日线区间 7.06 ~ 14.49，$HBAR brothers, this explosive surge in HBAR, don't rush to jump in yet, let me dig into its on-chain data.
First, why the surge? Hedera mainnet accounts have surpassed 10 million, with official announcements of two new council partners joining, bringing digital identity and energy blockchain businesses respectively. Plus, Bitcoin breaking through $85,000, short liquidations worth hundreds of millions, and overall market sentiment spilling over, HBAR took off along with it.
But the real truth lies in the on-chain chip structure. The wrapped version of HBAR on Ethereum has its top 5 addresses controlling 100% of the supply, with only 4 holding addresses in total. At the mainnet level, the top 5 addresses also hold highly concentrated positions. This chip distribution is even more extreme than LAB, with a very small circulating supply available for retail trading, and the price is completely controlled by a few large holders.
The technical side has already issued warnings. The price is repeatedly rejected below resistance levels, the MACD histogram has returned to zero, and bullish momentum is exhausted. RSI is around 65, a clear overbought signal. The smart money long-short ratio is as high as 1.97, with whales holding nearly twice as many long positions, but the active buy-sell ratio is only 0.75, with selling pressure continuously suppressing buying. This means the whales' long positions are being passively absorbed by selling pressure, and if they need to close positions, it will fuel a rapid drop.
So, in the short term, it's okay to take a small position following the trend, but you must enter and exit quickly. Whether the enterprise-level narrative can continue to translate into real on-chain trading volume is the core. Until the high concentration structure changes, don't treat it as a long-term value investment. Set your stop loss and take profits when you can. #波动雷达：币种异动观察 @OKX星球 MEXC users accuse that after their accounts were recovered by re-binding, the attacker’s created API was not fully revoked — once the withdrawal restriction was lifted, about 322,000 USDT plus over 9 million ONE were withdrawn in roughly 27 minutes, totaling around 340,000 dollars. Feeling sorry for those hit by this. The platform responded that a preliminary investigation is complete, there is a corresponding plan, and a special team has been formed to follow up. If the timeline matches, it means the email was restored, but the withdrawal key was still left in the door — this whole operation is really sinister. So the problem lies in: when assisting in account recovery, was the attacker’s API forcibly revoked or not? And will others fall into the same trap later on?"PONS Low-Level Grinding: Bears Not Resting, Support Faces Another Test"
PONS remains weak currently, with clear pressure on the 4-hour chart. The short-term strong resistance is at 0.6390 above, and the last buffer support is at 0.5730 below. After the previous sharp drop, the price has not made a decent rebound, only grinding back and forth at low levels, indicating that bears have not given up and bulls lack coordinated strength.
This grinding is not a bottom formation but more like waiting for direction. If 0.5730 is broken down with volume, the downside space will open accordingly, and the next support needs to be found; if it holds and volume recovers above 0.6390, there is a chance to shift into a consolidation recovery.
In terms of trading, watch for resistance near the rebound and do not chase longs; do not rush to bottom-fish if support breaks. In weakness, patience is more valuable than courage.
Key levels:
Resistance 0.6390
Support 0.5730
$PONS $ZEC $SOL
#BTC现货ETF连续6日吸金超28亿美元
#美债长端利率持续攀升，融资压力升温
#财报观察员：美光财报临近，AI存储需求成焦点 #ThisWeekWelcomesNonFarmAndPCEKeyData This week the market will face two major macro indicators: core PCE inflation data and the nonfarm payroll report. These are the Federal Reserve's core references for judging interest rate policy and are the biggest short-term variables for crypto and US stock markets.
Core PCE is the Fed's preferred inflation gauge. If inflation exceeds expectations, the market will strengthen rate hike expectations, causing US Treasury yields and the dollar to rise, putting pressure on risk assets; if inflation eases, tightening expectations will cool down, benefiting BTC, the Nasdaq, and other assets. The nonfarm report focuses on new employment and wage data; overheated employment means inflation stickiness, while the opposite signals improved liquidity expectations.
Currently, the market itself is weak and volatile, compounded by Middle East geopolitical disturbances. Volatility is likely to increase around the data release, with frequent spike moves. If the data is mixed, the market will likely remain range-bound, with funds continuing to play ETF flows and geopolitical news.
It is not recommended to heavily bet on direction in advance. Try to wait for the data to land, observe the linkage signals between the US dollar index and US Treasuries before deciding. Be sure to operate with light positions and set stop losses. $BTC $ETH $ZEC 【$LINK 观点】谨慎偏空（短线 12-24 小时） 【依据】①2 小时 MA20（14.05）压在上方，中期结构转弱；②15 分钟近 6 根里 3 根阳线，短线动能中性；③价格处在 24 小时区间 21.1% 位置，接近下沿，向下空间有限 【触发】站上 13.76 并守住两根 15 分钟 K 线 → 观点转多；跌破 13.52 → 观点转强或作废 【失效】若 15 分钟出现放量长阳收回关键位，说明是插针洗盘，本文观点作废。 $LINK 眼下站在两小时均线（14.05）下方 2.47%，短线成本区就在这附近。 15 分钟线上，最后六根 K 线里有 3 根阳线——多空拉锯。 先说短线结构。 15 分钟级别，$LINK 在 MA20（13.72）与 MA50（13.88）下方，两条均线已经分开，短线方向感明确。 2 小时级别区间 12.04 ~ 14.49，现价处在 67.6% 的位置；2 小时 MA20 是 14.05，价格在它下方 2.47%（2 小时口径）。 日线是完整的多头结构：$LINK 的 MA20 在 12.35，价格高出 10.97%；日线区间 7.06 ~ 14.49，$BTC has been oscillating around 83k; the real big move depends on PCE + Nonfarm.
#ThisWeekWelcomesNonfarmAndPCEKeyData
Currently, the big coin is just one word: grinding! BTC is stuck in the 83400-83500 range. After surging to 85000 yesterday, it was pushed back again, with heavy selling pressure above. Don't rush to go all in this week; the PCE at 20:30 on September 30 and the Nonfarm at 20:30 on October 2 are the real directional switches for the market.
Key levels to note:
85500-86000 | Core resistance zone
If it can't hold above, consolidation continues; if it breaks out with volume, the next target is 87000.
83000-83200 | First support zone
If it pulls back and stabilizes here, you can lightly try going long, with a stop loss below 82500 and a target initially at 85500.
⚠️82000 | Critical life-or-death defense level
If it breaks down effectively, don't rush to bottom-fish; look down to 80500-81000.
Short position idea: If a rebound to the 85500-86000 area shows clear stagnation, you can lightly try shorting, with a stop loss above 86500, targeting 83200 first, and if broken, then 82000.
Right now, the market isn't short of opportunities; the biggest risk is heavy positions placed prematurely.
85.5K to watch for a breakout, 83K for support, 82K as the critical line.
Wait for PCE and Nonfarm to land; only then will the market truly pick a side.
Don't try to predict where the candlestick will go; hold your price levels, and follow the strategy wherever the price goes. #ThisWeekWelcomesNonfarmAndPCEKeyData Not to mention anything else, I'm also good at running away
Reason for choosing near
Bitcoin is expected to turn upward, find the near with the highest increase, and enter the market.
If it doesn't rise for a long time, close part of the position.
Bitcoin and Ethereum are performing particularly poorly, expected to drag near down, close all positions. It indeed dragged down later. #BTC finally stabilized above 83,000 on the weekly chart last week, and the significance of this weekly breakout is quite substantial.
Currently, there are several key points to clarify the logic:
✅ The signal of switching from a bearish structure to a bullish structure is further confirmed
✅ Around 57,700 can temporarily be regarded as an important low point reference for this cycle
Of course, this does not mean there won't be any pullbacks later. On the contrary, during an upward trend, pullbacks are opportunities to reassess positions, and there is no need to easily change the mid-term judgment due to short-term declines.
What really needs attention next is whether the key structure can be held after the pullback, and whether volume and price continue to cooperate.
If looking for potential support areas based on chip concentration zones (OB), focus on:
📍 81,500—76,700
📍 73,200—71,500
📍 70,200—67,900
📍 66,000—62,500
Another approach is to observe the profit and loss status of short-term holders (STH): if the price falls causing short-term holders to re-enter unrealized loss territory, combined with market volume, capital flow, and structure confirmation, look for opportunities to build positions in batches.
It is recommended to split positions into two parts rather than going all in at once.
The first part observes support after the pullback, and the second part is decided after further structural confirmation.
The most important thing in the market now is not to chase every bullish candle, but to plan key areas and risk boundaries in advance.
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