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$LINK @根🥚 Perpetual futures are biased bearish, from 13.632 down to 12.85, with 50x leverage floating profit over 286%. The approach is straightforward: if the rebound can't hold, key levels are suppressing, and lows keep moving down, the short structure remains weak, so just follow the weak market; don't reverse just because someone is losing, and don't treat "reverse signals" as a source of truth.
Note a few points: don't chase during sharp drops, wait for a rebound confirmation before acting; take profits early, don't get stuck passively; if it holds key zones and rebounds strongly, don't stubbornly hold; don't mechanically do the opposite of social media talk; $BTC $ETH CASE FILE: $770 MILLION.
Galaxy Research traced 9,261 $BTC transferred to institutional custody on October 6–7 from U.S. government-linked wallets.
The twist? 2,456 BTC came from addresses not previously identified as government holdings.
This ranks among the largest U.S. government Bitcoin outflows on record.
No confirmed sale. Just a much bigger government crypto footprint than previously mapped.
#BTC #CryptoWhales #OnChain #DailyOrbit Long-short ratio at 70%, it doesn't mean there are more bulls
$ETH dropped from 2724 to 2567, with a daily bearish candle breaking through three moving averages.
Yet the bulls' share surged to 70.47%, while the bears only hold 29.53%.
How is this number calculated:
The long-short ratio is the long positions divided by the short positions.
2.39 means for every 1 short position, there are 2.39 long positions on the other side.
At the moment it triggers:
Price falls, but bottom-fishing longs are still entering, indicating this group hasn't left.
Pushing further down, if the price drops more, the first to be cleared will be this group.
$BTC and $ZEC are following the same path.
When the price falls and longs increase, it's not a bottom, it means the drop isn't over yet.
#ETF仍在流入，BTC为何下跌？
#Strategy再购BTC，多家财库同步增持 #以太坊Glamsterdam升级登陆Sepolia测试网 $ETH $BTC 2010: $6.
2026: approximately $8.5 MILLION.
A stash of 100.02 $BTC mined in July 2010 moved on October 7 after 16 years of inactivity.
The transaction split the funds into two addresses: roughly 10 BTC and 90 BTC.
No confirmed sale. No identified owner.
And no, “Satoshi-era” doesn't mean Satoshi owned it.
Sixteen years of patience—or sixteen years of forgotten keys?
#BTC #Bitcoin #CryptoWhales #CronosHaltsAfterAttack Identity Units is an NFT series entirely autonomously generated by the IMD (identity.md) AI agent swarm.
A total of 787 unique NFTs (Genesis 87 + subsequent 14 batches × 50 each). No human artists, no human image selection:
One AI agent (IMD seat) generates pixel-style images based on a brief (species, skin, eyes, headwear, clothing, etc.) → another completely different agent reviews and scores → only those passing the review become Identity Units; failed ones are discarded directly, all traceable on-chain. More like a “swarm control room,” where you can watch jobs being created, reviewed, approved/rejected in real time, as well as the status of agents, units, drops, etc.
Deeply integrated with IMD: IMD is a community-owned AI agent network on Ethereum (about 2000 identity.md NFT seats, holders run workers on their own machines, completing tasks with their own Claude/Codex, etc.). The creation of Identity Units itself is completed using IMD’s paid jobs.
Thanks for giving me a white one, which turned out to be a purple rare; current price is 0.02e. Planning to hold it for a while Kazakhstan is taking a step that could change the financial infrastructure of all Central Asia.
Tether has signed a memorandum with the National Bank of Kazakhstan and the administration of the city of Alatau.
The parties will jointly explore the use of stablecoins, tokenization of real assets, and DeFi.
The most interesting part is that this is not just an educational program or a private crypto project.
Kazakhstan is considering the possibility of creating a stablecoin pegged to the national currency — the tenge.
Under the agreement, the parties will study international models of issuance, reserving, and regulation of such assets, after which they may prepare a concept and a pilot project.
The second part of the agreement is even more important. Kazakhstan wants to develop its own model for tokenizing real-world assets — RWA. For this, Hadron, Tether’s platform for issuing and managing tokenized assets, may be used.
The pilot is planned to be launched in Alatau — a city with a special legal regime that Kazakhstan is trying to turn into a technological and financial center of Central Asia.
The tenge stablecoin could potentially be used for digital payments, settlements between companies, trading tokenized assets, and interacting with DeFi protocols.
And tokenization of real estate, securities, debt instruments, and other real assets can create a new layer of the financial market.
At the same time, Kazakhstan clearly does not intend to simply hand over the market to crypto companies. The National Bank emphasizes financial stability, transaction transparency, and investor protection as key priorities.
If Kazakhstan successfully conducts such pilots, it could gain a competitive advantage over other countries in the region.
Kazakhstan gains technological infrastructure and international expertise
And Alatau becomes a platform where traditional finance, stablecoins, RWA, and DeFi can be tested within a regulated environment.
The next crypto revolution may happen not only in the USA, Europe, or Asia, but right in Central Asia.$BZ Honestly speaking: I really hope oil rises to 125, 130, 140. The more oil loses, the happier I get! Because my main positions are short on Bitcoin, Ethereum, and ZEC... As long as oil surges, there's a high chance of an interest rate hike. If rates go up, Bitcoin and Ethereum will plummet sharply. That way, my short positions can break even and get out of the red. I've been stuck since 8/19: 12+30+8=50 days now... #霍尔木兹风险升级，短期能源供应仍有缓冲 $CRCL, is it really going bad?
Watching the market these days is really painful.
Earlier, we were talking about USDC, stablecoins, enterprise payments, and the Arc ecosystem, but the stock price has been declining all the way.
$CRCL closed at $80.84 on October 7, down 3.91% for the day, with a monthly pullback of over 20%.
The most heartbreaking thing is:
Good news keeps coming, but the stock price doesn't cooperate.
But now, I'm not in a hurry to conclude that "CRCL is done."
Because the price drop reflects valuation and market sentiment, Circle's business logic hasn't suddenly disappeared.
What we really need to watch now is:
① Can it hold steady around $80?
② Will stablecoin competition continue to suppress valuation?
③ Can USDC's actual growth be realized?
④ Can new businesses like Arc and enterprise payments contribute incremental growth?
⑤ Will the November 4 earnings report provide new market expectations?
So, CRCL now looks more like a re-pricing after a high valuation, rather than simply "going bad."
Of course, if it breaks key support levels, valuation could continue to be cut.
But if fundamentals continue to be realized in the future, the market may revalue it.
The hardest part now is often not being wrong about the view, but buying into the logic and not being able to endure the volatility.
Is CRCL really "going bad," or is it giving an opportunity?
I will keep observing.👀
#9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息 #Circle稳定币公链Arc上线 #三星钱包将上线USDC跨境转账 $DOGE Damn it! DOGE's trend, even dogs shake their heads 😂 At the 0.0864 level, it's purely a capital game, the DOGE whales are calling each other idiots inside, and retail investors simply can't hold on. The candlestick chart looks like an ECG, jumping up and down just to shake off the undecided.
Don't fomo, I'm taking a short position this round. Enter short at 0.0864, stop loss at 0.0895, take profit first at 0.0820, if it breaks below, look further down. Without fundamental support, any pump is just rogue behavior.
If you want to follow, operate according to the market card below, don't ask me why, just know it's intuition trained by the DOGE whales 🐶
What do you think?
The above is only my personal opinion and does not constitute investment advice. Cryptocurrency is highly volatile, please make decisions cautiously, profits and losses are your own responsibility.
👇👇👇"Big Brother Maji is about to liquidate!"
Big Brother Maji has liquidated all his $BTC long positions, nothing left.
Now he's holding on tightly to the last 36,000 $ETH.
Only $3.39 million left in the account, but he's holding $95 million in long positions. What does that mean? It's equivalent to going all-in with 30x leverage.
Liquidation price: 2508.23.
If ETH drops another 3%, it will explode on the spot.
Is this targeting Big Brother Maji?
From past experience—after Big Brother Maji gets liquidated, a rebound usually follows.ETH's current round of capital outflow is worth examining in detail
As of the U.S. trading day on October 7, Farside's statistics show that U.S. spot Ethereum ETFs have experienced net outflows for seven consecutive trading days. However, breaking down the total amount reveals some changes that are not easily noticed in headlines.
On October 6, the net outflow was $201.9 million, all from ETHA; by the 7th, the total net outflow decreased to $160.9 million, with ETHA accounting for $116.1 million, about 72%. The remaining outflows were spread across six other products.
The single-day outflow amount has shrunk, but the number of products experiencing net outflows has increased. Both changes exist simultaneously. Looking only at the total amount might lead to interpreting it as reduced pressure; focusing only on the consecutive days of outflows might overlook the impact of large products on the overall figures.
There is also a common misinterpretation here: redemptions in a fund under a certain issuer do not directly translate to "this institution is bearish on ETH." It does not tell us who the ultimate investors are, nor does it explain why they adjusted their positions. Treating the issuer's brand as the unified will of investors takes the explanation too far.
What can be confirmed currently is that this capital channel has seen continuous net outflows, with a clear concentration in ETHA over the past two days. To understand subsequent changes, we need to continue monitoring the breakdown: whether outflows from large products change, and whether other products continue to see redemptions.
This set of data is worth attention but covers only U.S. spot ETFs and cannot represent the entire ETH market.ONDO is slightly bullish, based on the rebound accompanied by actual transactions. The latest price is 0.4841, with both high and low points rising synchronously. The previous complete 4-hour cycle volume ratio is 1.36, and OBV is trending upward, supporting the judgment of a continued local rebound.
The price is still below the EMA50 at 0.48856454, and the upper moving average has not yet been reclaimed. The local rebound is not sufficient to confirm a full trend strengthening. The risk of a pullback after the fluctuation still exists.
To further turn bullish, it is necessary to continuously hold above 0.4842, reclaim the EMA50, and confirm with volume expansion in subsequent complete cycles.
If it continues to break below 0.4769, the current local bullish judgment fails, and the rebound structure is damaged, which supports a bearish view. A single intraday touch does not count as a breakout. $ONDO The load-bearing wall hasn't even been poured yet, but they're already rushing to cap the top. Whoever stands on this shoddy construction is doomed.
Just got down from the scaffolding at the construction site, the cement dust on my gloves hasn't even been wiped off yet. Took a glance at $AEVO's chart. The 1-hour Bollinger Bands are tightening, the current price is oscillating at 0.02661, just slightly above the middle Bollinger band at 0.02628. The foundation's base layer is laid, but the rebound strength is like cheap lightweight bricks, crumbling at the slightest touch.
The upper Bollinger band is pressing down at 0.02880, the lower band at 0.02376, the construction space between the upper and lower bands is tightly compressed. The 1-hour RSI is stuck at 51.1, neither high nor low, the concrete in the mixer hasn't fully set yet, bulls and bears are both treading water in this muddy swamp. Although the middle band beam is held steady, to push up to the ceiling, without big capital entering to reinforce with steel bars, there's no way to break through the 0.02880 ceiling.
This market is like the main structure of a building barely standing. As long as the middle band load-bearing beam doesn't collapse, there's still hope to build a layer of scaffolding upwards for a short-term sprint; but if it falls and breaks through the ground beam, the whole building will collapse all the way down to the foundation to be re-piled.
- Target: $AEVO 🟢
- Entry: 0.02630 - 0.02665
- TP1: 0.02780
- TP2: 0.02880
- SL: 0.02560
The middle band at 0.02628 is today's safety warning line. Once the load-bearing structure breaks, not even a hard hat can save your life.🏗️
#CoinMoveAlertA total of 6 full-position long holdings, the account structure is very clear: 5 positions are floating losses and trapped, only NEAR has a large floating profit, multiple positions maintain a very low maintenance margin ratio, and risk is highly concentrated.
1. BTCUSDT｜50x full-position long
Average price 82869.3, current price 82250, floating loss 86714U, return rate -36.98%, maintenance margin ratio only 1%, liquidation price 81251.8, this is currently the riskiest position, just a step away from liquidation.
2. SKHYUSDT｜7x full-position long
Average price 191.44, current price 176.44, floating loss 8916U, return rate -58.81%, deep pullback.
3. SNDKUSDT｜4x full-position long
Average price 1773.08, current price 1651.07, floating loss 3659.7U, return rate -29.51%, maintenance margin ratio 2.5%.
4. HYPEUSDT｜4x full-position long
Average price 94.084, current price 85.298, floating loss 60771.32U, return rate -40.66%, floating loss amount second only to BTC.
5. PEPEUSDT｜20x full-position long
Average price 0.0000040921, current price 0.0000040043, floating loss 8898.69U, return rate -44.13%, maintenance margin ratio 2%, very thin safety cushion.
$BTC $ETH $ZEC
#9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息 TIA is slightly bullish locally: the latest price is 0.4898, with the price above all EMAs, and both highs and lows rising synchronously, maintaining an upward structure advantage.
The price is close to the 0.4899 resistance; a breakout still lacks the support of trading volume. The previous complete 4-hour cycle volume ratio was 0.75, OBV is rising, and the rebound has volume direction support but has not yet expanded; volatility is high, so beware of pullbacks.
Sustained stability above 0.4899, along with subsequent complete cycle volume expansion, is needed to support further bullish outlook.
A sustained break below 0.4887 will invalidate the current slightly bullish judgment; only when the local structure is damaged will a bearish view be supported. Intraday dips do not count as confirmation. $TIA $BTC at 82.3K, this time we need to see which side the close will be on. Andy from Big Shooter treats it as the daily chart box boundary; a bearish bias requires confirmation from a higher timeframe close, not just intraday dips. Kraken's public quote is about 82.02K, already below the observation level; this is the quoted fact and does not mean the daily chart breakdown is complete.
I will first watch the quality of the 82.3K recovery: if the rebound fails to hold above and the daily close ends below, the weak path becomes clearer; if it quickly recovers and holds on a retest, I will delay the bearish breakdown judgment and not extend a single bearish candle into an inevitable continuous decline. Near the boundary, I am not in a hurry to short nor to buy just because it's cheap.
A four-hour close above 83.1K is the condition Andy believes the downtrend will pause; further stabilization above 83.8K would require him to adjust his bearish view. I care more about the follow-through after the trigger rather than distant targets: if it recovers but then falls back below 82.3K, the short-term recovery scenario fails. The core contradiction here is intraday break versus close confirmation; risk budgeting should follow the evidence. Do you first watch the daily boundary or the four-hour resistance recovery? This is just my personal market observation and does not constitute investment advice.The payment narrative of Dogecoin has never relied on press conferences to create hype. While the market focuses on price and ETFs, the Dogecoin Foundation's GigaWallet continues to iterate line by line in the warehouse—merchant APIs are in beta, with version numbers progressing from 1.0 to 1.0.8, fixing issues like Postgres compatibility, fee calculation, and multi-address payments that only enterprises truly integrating would encounter. Without token incentives or promotional campaigns, this is a typical silent advancement.
To understand the significance of this, one must first grasp GigaWallet's positioning: it is not a user-facing wallet but an enterprise-level backend service. Online stores, exchanges, and platforms can collect and pay DOGE through a set of REST APIs, with the complexity of private key management and transaction verification encapsulated behind firewalls. The barrier to payment is not whether users are willing to spend, but whether merchants dare to accept it—once integrated, can they reconcile accounts, issue refunds, and prevent errors? GigaWallet addresses precisely this layer of engineering friction.
The maturity of infrastructure always precedes adoption. It took twenty years of credit card networks before e-commerce exploded; crypto payments similarly require someone to first lay the pipelines. The roadmap also includes the DogeConnect protocol and Libdogecoin upgrades to support it, aiming for a complete chain of "user-held keys, merchant seamless receiving."
This kind of progress won't appear in market software but determines how far $DOGE moves from being a topic to becoming a tool.Account Position Divergence Radar｜Last 15 Minutes
$STRK top accounts are bearish, positions are bullish, divergence narrowing mainly from the account side. Bullish accounts ratio 37.4%→40.4%, bullish positions ratio 50.9%→51.7%; gap narrowed by 2.21 percentage points.
$XRP divergence narrowing mainly due to decline in bullish accounts ratio. Bullish positions ratio only slightly increased to 46.5%; accounts still bullish, positions still bearish.$ETH $BTC Hello brothers and sisters, I am Good Dog.
Big brother Maji's portfolio adjustment this time, today I'll break it down for you.
The market has been sluggish and steadily going down, big brother couldn't sit still either, acted decisively, and completely liquidated HYPE and PUMP. The small profit from HYPE was basically given back, and PUMP even lost money. Holding these two not only burns fees daily but also takes up energy, cutting them off actually feels refreshing.
Once the funds returned, they were immediately reallocated. Total position is 111 million: added 13 BTC, now holding 188 BTC, liquidation price raised to 72,600, taking a breather for now; reduced 1,000 ETH, leaving 37,000 ETH, unrealized loss of 3.59 million, liquidation price at 2,502, daily funding fees still being paid without delay.
Honestly, big brother's move this time is rational. Cut the weak first, concentrate bullets on BTC and ETH.
But the problem remains: ETH's pressure hasn't eased at all. Funding fees burn daily, the forced liquidation price is only a few dozen dollars away from the current price, if the market dips a bit more, it will be dangerous.
My short-term judgment in four words: oscillate and seek bottom. Don't shout reversal just because of one bullish candle, until BTC stabilizes, bottom fishing should be held off for now. I feel like I'm not cut out for playing the 'Run Fast' game
This afternoon I suddenly remembered that I bought a coin some time ago
Just checked and found it has been zeroed out for 3 days
At my peak, I had 20x leverage but didn't exit, and it ended up zero
People always ask me why I keep losing money
Actually, most of the times I make money when I buy in
The losses always come from not exiting
This time it's the same old problem
I saw it rise and immediately took a screenshot to show off but forgot to sell
Next time I must sell first before showing off 🥹🌙 Stayed up late watching the Fed: a pause is not a full stop
What we waited for overnight wasn’t "action in October," but "wait a bit longer." The core of the meeting: October will most likely see no change, but most officials still lean toward another rate hike within the year. The hawk-dove divide is on the table: one side fears energy and tariffs will push inflation back up, the other thinks prices are close to the target. 🦅🕊️
The market understood: it’s not the end, just holding the December card in hand. 🃏
Risk assets fell first out of respect. $BTC failed to break 87,000, sliding from 86,600 down below 84,000, hitting a low of 82,800; $ETH was weaker, losing the 2,600–2,700 range, dipping to 2,560. 🪫
US stocks also under pressure: QQQ hit a new high Tuesday but dropped about 0.7% Wednesday; NVDA fell about 0.9%. The 10-year Treasury yield surged to 5.35%, hitting high-valuation tech first. 📉
The only standout was MU: down about 2% pre-market, it ultimately rose 3.6% to around 1,084, charting its own course. 🚀
Conclusion: this meeting gave no new direction, just put "pause in October, possible hike in December" on the table. Stayed up all night, and what came wasn’t the endgame, but the next card pushed back. 😮💨#9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息 #ETF仍在流入，BTC为何下跌？ #黄金ETF创纪录吸金，高利率仍压制金价
Global gold ETFs bought for a month were wiped out by five weeks of reductions in the futures market.
▪️ Net inflow of $10 billion in September, a record $31 billion in Q3; holdings increased to 4,256 tons
▪️ Assets under management down 7% quarter-on-quarter, gold price fell below 4,100 on 10/7, touching 4,066
▪️ Futures speculative net longs cut from 144,747 contracts on 8/28 down for five consecutive weeks to 120,318 contracts
▪️ Only 11,393 shorts remain on the other side, longs are eleven times the shorts
The disagreement is not about whether ETF money is enough; in this decline, no one ever needed to be bearish.
The 24,429 contracts cut over five weeks equal about 76 tons, more than the 67 tons bought by ETFs in the whole month. ETFs count tons, prices are set by contracts, not on the same ledger.
With no shorts waiting on the other side, longs wanting to exit have only the price itself as the exit.
▪️ All non-interest-bearing are on the same list: silver net longs cut to 7,738 contracts, copper cut to 78,709 contracts
My direction is for the bulls: only above 4,143 counts, falling below 4,066 invalidates it. On the daily chart, BTC has effectively broken below the ascending trendline for the first time since the market rebound.
It always drops during meetings, but a proper dip is actually quite good!
Whether the 82,000-83,000 range can hold is crucial, as it will directly determine if this round of the market is a normal pullback or if it has already entered a phase of ending.
If it stops falling here and quickly recovers to 84,000-85,000, it indicates a technical shakeout after the rise, and there is still a chance to challenge 87,400 again, or even push towards 90,000.
But if the daily closes consecutively below 82,000 and the rebound cannot hold above 83,500, the structure will shift from "high point oscillation" to "rebound topping out," and the next step will likely be a pullback to 80,000 or even test the on-chain cost line near 77,000.
I believe there will be resistance around 82,000-83,000, but the first rebound's height is limited; only by firmly standing above 85,000 can the short-term trend be considered repaired; otherwise, the rebound is still a relief rather than a reversal. $BTC Bitcoin, what's the situation now?
Just looked at the Bitcoin $BTC liquidation map. In this chart, you can clearly see which side, bulls or bears, is stronger:
Red line: cumulative long liquidation intensity. Starting from 82,800, climbing all the way to the left side, it has accumulated over 1.3 billion USD on the far left.
Green line: cumulative short liquidation intensity. Starting from 82,800, climbing upwards to the right side, it has piled up to 2 billion USD.
You can see that both bulls and bears have heavily positioned themselves in the 82,500 to 85,000 range. Currently, the bears have strong momentum, and the key position for the bulls is 82,500. $SOL #ETF仍在流入，BTC为何下跌？ 如果这轮只是小回调，那真正的风险偏好现在藏在哪里？ 狗狗真的还跑得动吗，还是已经进入分歧段了？ 我盯着 DOGE 在 0.16 附近的状态，买家很多，涨得慢，跌得快，这种结构很像派发前期的犹豫。不是没人接，而是接得太散，情绪一冷就容易踩踏。我自己的感觉是，这里不该再贪，等一个像样的反抽就该考虑退出节奏，而不是幻想它立刻再翻一倍。 BTC 这边，我倾向于把它看成一次正常回撤，不是趋势反转。坏消息被消化之后，反而容易变成情绪修复的燃料。原文给到本月 91880 的预期，我不照抄，但会记这个方向：只要 BTC 稳住，风险偏好就不会断。关键是它能不能重新带走节奏，而不是自己涨、山寨不跟。 ETH 的下跌我也不意外，前面涨得急，回吐比例和 BTC 类似，但上升结构还没破。原文看本月 3018，我愿意把它当作一个观察位，而不是保证。真正要盯的是 ETH/BTC 有没有重新走强，那才说明资金愿意往更高 beta 的方向走。 这里我想用跨市场联动来看。DOGE 弱、BTC 稳、ETH 中性偏强，这个组合说明市场在交易"回调后的再定价"，不是全面转熊。美股风险偏好如果还在，加密就更容易走出修复；反过来，#ETF is still flowing in, so why is BTC falling? On one hand, ETFs are bottom-fishing, while on the other, contracts are explosively long—what exactly is going on with BTC now?
BTC repeatedly tried to break through 87,000 but failed, and now it has directly dropped back to around 82,000. The market is quite exhausting.
The data is interesting: in the past 24 hours, BTC contract liquidations exceeded 67 million, with 85.5% being long positions getting liquidated. Leveraged longs are being massively cleaned out.
Here’s the contradiction: on the spot ETF side, there was a net outflow on October 5, but on the 6th it turned back to a net inflow of 119 million USD. Funds have been entering for three consecutive weeks before that.
While ETFs are buying, the market continues to weaken, and many people don’t understand this contrast.
Coming up on October 9, there are 22,000 BTC options expiring, with a notional value of 1.84 billion USD. The market is very likely to be volatile before expiration.
The current question is: is the ETF buying a solid bottom support, or can it only offset part of the selling pressure? External factors like rising US Treasury yields and oil prices are also continuously pressuring the market. $BTC Continuing to update two long positions.
SNDK 4x full position long, average entry price 1773.08, current price 1651.07, unrealized loss 3659.7U, drawdown close to 30%, maintaining margin ratio at 2.5%, position safety buffer is very thin.
HYPE 4x full position long, average price 94.084, current mark price 85.298, unrealized loss 60771.32U, drawdown 40.66%, maintaining margin ratio at 10%, liquidation price 65.714.
Both positions are long orders laid out at low levels, the market continues to weaken, currently both are underwater. The HYPE position is larger in size with the deepest unrealized loss; although there is still some distance before the liquidation line, caution is needed under full position mode.
The core pain point of full position leverage is here: once the market continues to move against you, margin is quickly consumed. There is no rush to cut positions now, nor blindly add capital to hold the position; closely monitor the market and liquidation price.
The essence of trading is always to first protect against risk, then seek opportunities for a rebound.
$BTC $ETH $ZEC
#9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息
#ETF仍在流入，BTC为何下跌？
#跟着OKX打卡2049 $DOGE perpetual, 50x short! Open position at 0.09087, mark at 0.08699.
The return rate is fixed at +213.49%, but the absolute profit is minimal. A 50x leverage means a 2% price fluctuation triggers liquidation price; holding the position now is like licking blood on the edge of a knife. If the market maker executes a reverse spike, it will instantly go to zero with nothing left.
This kind of high-risk gamble is not for humans. Discipline tells me: close the position once the target is hit, never hold overnight. After securing profits, completely clear all contract positions. $ETH $ZEC
#ETF仍在流入，BTC为何下跌？ 三星钱包要上线USDC跨境转账了，这玩意儿到底跟咱们有啥关系？ 法老直接说，三星这步棋，就是把“链上美元”塞进你天天用的手机钱包里，让你不用下新App、不用管私钥，直接就把钱汇到国外。 先看怎么玩。 10月最后一周，美国8200万台Galaxy设备先上。你打开三星钱包，直接买USDC，然后发给兼容的加密钱包或者海外银行账户，秒到，三星不收转账费。最狠的是，收款方在60多个国家可以直接收当地法币，对方根本不需要知道这是加密货币。 谁在背后撑着？ 托管交给Bastion和Coinbase Prime，区块链底层用的是Solana和Sui，Solana做主力，Sui提供零Gas费转账基础设施。 对大饼意味着啥？ 短期是情绪糖，不是发动机。 三星这招是把USDC往主流消费场景里推，跟大饼短期涨跌没直接关系。但长期看，链上美元的基础设施越厚，整个加密生态的底层流动性就越扎实，大饼作为“价值存储层”的叙事反而更稳。 但法老得提醒你，别把这消息当买入信号。 大饼现在还在8.3万附近磨叽，上方8.45万是压力，下方8.2万是短线支撑。三星这事是基建利好，$BTC fell below 83,000, but tonight I'm actually afraid to short it
BTC dropped again.
83,000 didn't hold,
85,000 didn't hold,
now even 83,000 is starting to weaken.
But the strange thing is——
With such a drop, I'm actually afraid to chase shorts.
Because more and more people are already shorting.
What really scares me is not the continued drop,
but a sudden big bullish candle,
taking out all the short-sellers at once.
So tonight I’m only watching one thing:
Whether $BTC can reclaim 83,000.
If it can't, the weakness continues.
If it does, things start to get interesting.
Are you brave enough to short tonight? No operation, no analysis, just relying on luck; I feel embarrassed even to share this short position record. During the repeated oscillations in the session, I saw $ZEC every time it surged but fell short, volume shrinking, strong selling pressure, clearly no one was buying on the way up. At that time, I only took one action: placed the short order, set the stop-loss, and waited for it to move on its own.
Hold as long as the trend is intact, exit once it breaks the level, don’t fall in love with the market.
Later, ZEC dropped from 1,303.34 to 1,212.25, the short position yield was +349.6%, feeling great brothers. This wave was worth the wait, the rhythm was right, those on board should be waking up smiling. High-level bull trap, eventually turned into a big short profit.
Close 80% first, protect the remaining 20% at cost price. If it continues to drop, let the profit run; don’t be greedy for the last bit, and don’t give it back on the rebound.
The money earned is the realization of your understanding; the money lost is the flaw in your understanding.
For friends who haven’t entered yet, listen to me: now is not the time to chase shorts, wait for a more comfortable position in the next round, I will notify you immediately. There will be more opportunities later, don’t rush.
$XRP $BNB $USELESS My long position cost for this coin was only 0.23, which was already very low, but I still didn't escape the fate of losing money and having to exit! At that time, it really seemed like it was going to enter a main upward wave, but after that Bonk Guy started frequently calling trades, it topped out. I seriously suspect he was just tricking retail investors into taking his positions. Now that the price has dropped, this person has completely disappeared 😂
Looking at the chart, $USELESS has already broken the neckline, so the outlook is definitely bearish. Based on past experience, a slow decline is still the most likely scenario, but as always, a big bullish candle at this point could change the pattern. I have no hope for this coin anymore, after all, it was just a tiny position. I only got in because its trend looked good at the time, and I never added more, because essentially it's just a meme coin. There's no point in holding it long-term; just consider it a fun purchase!#Winklevoss's affiliated institution applies for ZEC spot ETF
There's a sequel on the ZEC front, this time the Winklevoss brothers are stepping in.
On October 6th, their affiliated institution submitted an application to the SEC to launch a Winklevoss Zcash ETF, with the ticker planned as WINK, aiming to list on Nasdaq and directly hold ZEC. It's still in the application stage and hasn't been approved yet.
But if you look at another data point, it's a bit disheartening. Didn't Grayscale's Zcash ETF launch on August 25th? Yet, as of the week ending October 5th, it recorded its first weekly net outflow, roughly $93.56 million. ZEC's price dropped 8.4% today.
What impact does this have? Let me tell you two points.
First, don't treat this as a short-term bullish catalyst.
Second, the compliance battle in the privacy sector is still ongoing.
Here's my take. Someone in the screenshot said this surge was a closed-loop capital operation led by DCG, spreading from mining all the way to the ETF side. I think that's quite accurate. It has tripled, and now capital is looking for someone to take over at the top. The ETF is a good story, but stories don't pay the bills. Chasing highs now is very likely to get stuck.
What do you think? $BTC $ETH BTC 82,480，24 小时 -1.10%，全天在 81,939–83,684 之间磨。ETH 2,536（-1.03%），SOL 112.6（-3.16%），三兄弟里 SOL 又被打得最惨。 复盘一句：早上 ETH 费率先转负认怂，这个苗头兑现了。现在新的变化是 ETH 费率又翻回正（+0.006%），但价格没跟。情绪回来了身体没动，这种叫“嘴上说不跑”。 反常的在 SOL：一边挨打一边加钱，费率 +0.0076% 三兄弟里最高。多头硬顶的时候，往往崩得更快。 OI 25.6 亿美元，一整天没动，没人进来接盘。 我的判断放这：BTC 守不住 82,500，今晚到明天，大概率去摸 80,000 整数关。跌破 81,900，这话就站住了。 证伪条件我摆明：今晚 BTC 收回 83,200 上方、且 OI 放大，我这个判断当场作废，我发帖认。错了认，认了改。 你手里的仓位，81,900 丢了会走吗？评论区说说。 #BTC #ETH #SOLHolding two long positions, the current market is very frustrating.
BTC 50x full position long, average price 82869.3, current mark price 82250, unrealized loss 86714U, return rate -36.98%, maintenance margin rate only 1% left, liquidation price 81251.8. This position is already on the edge of liquidation; even a slight drop will trigger liquidation.
SKHY 7x full position long, average price 191.44, current price 176.44, unrealized loss 8916U, drawdown nearly 59%, also deeply trapped.
Both positions are long setups, but the market has not shown the expected rebound. The cost of high leverage full positions is extremely limited error tolerance; the BTC position risk is the most critical. Always respect leverage when trading contracts; the meaning of position management is most felt during unrealized losses. Now, I won't blindly cut losses nor continue to add positions to average down. I will quietly wait for the market to give direction, while closely watching the liquidation line and preparing for the worst. The market won't move as expected just because of anyone's persistence; risk control must always come first.
I'm about to be liquidated
$BTC $ETH $ZEC
#9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息
#ETF仍在流入，BTC为何下跌？
#跟着OKX打卡2049 Conclusion first: $W's 4H volume at 12:00 today was 1.69 billion — 30 times the average volume of the past 7 days — yet it closed with a -7.26% bearish candle, with a high of 0.01849, a low of 0.01585, and a 16.7% amplitude. It surged +9.43% at 8:00 in the morning but gave it all back by noon, a classic "pump and dump" pattern.
Breaking it down: from 00:00 to 04:00, the 4H volume was only 139 million, with the price rising from 0.0143 to 0.0161; at 08:00, volume suddenly expanded to 1.1 billion pushing the price to 0.018; at 12:00, a massive 1.69 billion volume hit a daily high, crashing the price from 0.0176 down to 0.0158. The pump and distribution happened within the same candle's upper and lower shadows.
More suspiciously: the peak from 04:00 to 12:00 took only 8 hours; the 4H volumes at 16:00 and 20:00 were just 330 million and 220 million respectively, with the price hovering between 0.0161–0.0163 — no relief for those buying at the top and no new funds coming in. Meanwhile, $BTC and $ETH only experienced slight declines; $W's isolated 18% volatility is a blatant market manipulation.
W is the fundamental token of the Wormhole cross-chain bridge, with no announcements or unlocks today — purely dealer-driven moves. This kind of "30x volume but price retreats instead of advancing" pattern for $W is textbook distribution; better to miss out than get caught. Did any of you get tricked into buying today?#ETF is still flowing in, why is BTC falling?
$BTC $ETH
Latest analysis and practical thoughts on BTC.
Conclusion first: If BTC falls below 82500 and the daily candle still closes below 82500 at 8 AM tomorrow, I will close all my long positions and fully enter a wait-and-see or slight shorting phase.
Reason: As shown in the chart. Because after breaking below the 4H-level box, I really can't find any reason to go long.
Whether it's the weekly-level support or the 4H-level box operation logic, all have failed, so re-examining the market development, the outcome is inevitable.
Sometimes when we are in the middle, holding long positions makes our judgment biased. Stepping out of this circle allows a clearer awareness of the current situation.
Alright, just wait 12 more hours to know how to proceed. AEVO rose about 12%, but contract open interest doubled, and the funding rate dropped to -0.0564%.
As of 21:24 Beijing time, OKEx spot price is about $0.02734, with a 24-hour high of 0.032 and a low of 0.02427, a volatility of about 31.9%; the current price has retraced about 14.6% from the high. The 24-hour trading volume is about $1.04 million, approximately 23 times the median of the past 9 full trading days.
OKEx hourly statistics show that the nominal value of open interest rose from about $251,000 24 hours ago to about $536,000, an increase of about 113%. The perpetual price is about 0.5% below the spot price. The price is still higher than yesterday, but contract funding clearly leans toward negative rates, indicating that the divergence after the rise is being leveraged.
My judgment is that this looks more like a high-volatility game after volume turnover, not a low-risk trend confirmation. The most common misjudgment is to directly treat the negative funding rate as an inevitable short squeeze; the position size is still not large, and once spot support weakens, the retracement may be amplified first.
Next, watch the 0.032 high and 0.02427 low. If the position size falls back and the funding rate returns to neutral when approaching the high again, it indicates the divergence is being digested; if it breaks below the low while positions remain high, the new leverage is more likely to turn into liquidation pressure. $AEVO $SOL perpetual 100x short position, opened at 121.55, currently at 112.03, floating profit +780.74%.
The logic is very clear: the sector experienced a short-term surge accumulating massive high-level profit-taking positions, and contract longs have entered a high-risk crowded zone. The market is driven by thematic heat, making it difficult to sustain high levels long-term; after the heat subsides, profit-taking concentrates, easily triggering a long squeeze. With 100x leverage and a stop loss at 124.2, the short logic continues to play out.
Hot money is collectively withdrawing, high-level chips are rushing to cash out, continuously dragging the price down.
The trailing stop loss is raised to 114.8 to protect profits. A volume breakout below 110.1 can be used to add more short positions; if a rebound tests the 114.5 resistance and fails to hold effectively, continue holding the short positions to fully capitalize on this sector's retreat and correction. $BTC $ETH #全球长期国债收益率升至多年高位 Young hero, you have great courage to hoard $8.09 million worth of altcoins here🫡
▶︎ $ZRO : 2.55 million tokens, about $5.3 million, asking price $2.08
▶︎ $WLD : 4.41 million tokens, about $2.29 million, asking price $0.5189
▶︎ $CHIP : 10 million tokens, about $492,000, asking price $0.04928
Address 0x129…72EbE has boldly bet on three sectors in the past 4 hours: AI and cross-chain infrastructure. How will the results turn out? Let the bullets fly a little longer.
Wallet address 0x1291d51f3DF319B3Ee6b028b134B7b367BB72EbEBTC current price 82256, 4-hour MACD death cross continues to expand volume, momentum bars shrinking downward, core support broken. On the liquidation map, a large cluster of long position liquidations is piled up between 82000 and 81500, with strong resistance above. The Federal Reserve meeting minutes are hawkish, most members expect more rate hikes before year-end, the service sector price index hits a four-year high, and macro conditions continue to drain liquidity. In the past 24 hours, the entire network has liquidated 400 to 700 million USD, mostly longs. UNI dropped nearly 9 points, DeFi sector hit the hardest.
Just took a flashlight and walked around the perimeter of the community, the corridor light in building 3 is flickering badly, need to report for repair tomorrow.
Bearish momentum dominates, short-term high probability to induce longs to stop loss and push down to 81500. The rebound is an opportunity to short, enter shorts in batches between 82500 and 83000, stop loss above 83800, first target 81500, if broken look at 80500. Don't chase longs, entering longs now is like catching a flying knife. Defense level at 83800, if reached must admit mistake and exit.
$BTC
#ETF仍在流入，BTC为何下跌？
@OKX星球 Brothers, after this recent drop, the question I get asked the most is: Can we go long now?
My answer is straightforward: You can prepare, but don’t rush to go all in.
BTC just dipped near 81800, ETH also tested 2516, then both recovered, indicating buyers at the bottom. But this can only be considered a stop-loss attempt, not a reversal yet.
BTC needs to reclaim 82700–83000, ETH needs to recover 2550–2570 for the rebound to have real strength. Before that, all long positions should be treated as short-term pullbacks.
I’m focusing on two key levels:
If BTC holds 81800 and ETH holds 2500, bulls still have a chance to fight back; once these levels are decisively broken, don’t keep averaging down during the drop—just exit first.
SOL is clearly weaker right now; I won’t prioritize it until it reclaims 113.5–114.
The biggest mistake now is to heavily buy the dip just because prices have fallen a lot. The market just went through a deleveraging round, so another spike down is completely normal.
So my plan is: wait for confirmation, test with light positions, and set stop losses in advance.
The bottom isn’t guessed—it’s made by the market.
#9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息 #ETF仍在流入，BTC为何下跌？ ##跟着OKX打卡2049 The $25 billion valuation remains unchanged; what OKX truly bought in this round of financing is "connectivity"
OKX has just completed a new round of strategic investment, with a pre-investment valuation still at $25 billion. Participants include Circle, Ripple, QRT, and SC Ventures under Standard Chartered. What's more interesting is that this is not simply another batch of financial investors; after ICE's stake acquisition earlier this year, stablecoins, cross-border payments, institutional liquidity, and banking systems have been further connected.
So when I look at this hot topic, the focus is not on whether the $25 billion valuation is expensive or not. The valuation has not been raised due to the new investors joining, indicating that this round is more about exchanging infrastructure and cooperative resources rather than merely pursuing a book valuation. For $OKB, such news does not necessarily mean the token price will rise in the short term; the platform's equity value and token price are inherently two separate pricing systems.
What is truly worth observing is whether these shareholder relationships can be turned into products: if RWA, stablecoin settlements, institutional custody, and traditional asset trading continue to be implemented, the market will re-evaluate OKX's financial platform attributes. Financing is just the starting point; whether cooperation can translate into trading volume and users ultimately determines whether this $25 billion valuation is justified.
#OKX以250亿美元估值完成战略融资 #9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息 #跟着OKX打卡2049 $AAVE
AAVE's decline is smaller than ETH's; can the improvement in lending business be inferred from relative strength?
Today's early morning spot 24-hour observation window: range 169.92—178.75 USDT, change -2.77%, trading volume about 7.15 million USDT.
Within the same window, AAVE's pullback is smaller, providing a relative price advantage, but there is no data on loan size, utilization, or risk. Business improvement and market resilience may occur simultaneously or may be completely unsynchronized.
If risk indicators worsen or the relative advantage disappears, first reduce the business explanation; if actual demand improves and the pullback low shifts upward, then increase the judgment of mutual support.DOGE had a long bearish candle yesterday that dipped to 0.08782, and today it again hit a low of 0.08524.
Yesterday's low was 0.08782, the high touched 0.09567 but didn't break through, closing at 0.08885. Today it opened at 0.08885, with a high of 0.08971 and a low of 0.08524, current price around 0.08693. Volume has shrunk.
The resistance remains between 0.08971 and 0.09567. If it breaks below 0.08524, it’s likely to test around 0.084 first.
In the short term, watch if it can hold above 0.08885. It’s already failing to hold that level, so treat this as a rebound after a sharp drop and don’t chase at this price. For those already holding, watch if 0.08524 can support it; if not, consider reducing your position. $DOGE $OKB Can OKB catch up to BNB within 10 years?
1. Current Gap (as of October 2026)
- OKB: Around $127–138, circulating supply 21 million, capped total supply 21 million, market cap about $2.7–2.9 billion.
- BNB: Around $700–800 range (varies across market pages, some sites show up to 778), circulating supply about 130–140 million, market cap about $90–110 billion.
- Market Cap Ratio: BNB is about 30–40 times that of OKB. OKB's historical high was about $257 (August 2025), BNB's high was about $1370 (October 2025), the gap has always been significant.
Note: If only looking at "price per coin," OKB’s price should be much higher than now if market caps were equal, due to its total supply of only 21 million versus BNB’s 130–140 million; this comparison is meaningless. Comparing platform coins by market cap is more reasonable than by price per coin.
2. What Needs to Happen for "Catching Up in 10 Years"
Based on market cap parity:
- If BNB’s market cap doesn’t grow in 10 years, OKB needs to grow from about $2.8 billion to about $100 billion, roughly 35 times;
- If BNB grows at 10% annualized with the market, in 10 years it will be about $260 billion, OKB needs to grow about 90 times to match;
- If BNB grows at 15%–20% annually, OKB needs to grow 100 to several hundred times.
In other words, OKB catching BNB is not a "catch-up" issue but a question of "OKX ecosystem growth significantly outpacing Binance + BNB Chain over the long term."
3. Advantages of OKB
- Hard supply scarcity: After a one-time large burn in 2025, total supply locked at 21 million, nearly fully circulating, no new issuance; compared to BNB’s continuous burn model, narratively more like "BTC among platform coins."
- X Layer (zkRollup L2) uses OKB for Gas, linked to Web3 wallets, Jumpstart, RWA/AI directions; if on-chain TVL and active addresses grow, demand side will have new stories.
- OKX compliance layout (Singapore, Dubai, Australia, EU MiCA, etc.) and some traditional institutional cooperation narratives differentiate it somewhat from Binance’s US regulatory pressure; however, licenses and restrictions vary by region.
- Smaller market cap, more elasticity: Small market cap platform coins usually have larger percentage gains during bear-to-bull transitions but also suffer sharper pullbacks.
4. Disadvantages (Why It’s Difficult)
- Ecosystem gap: BNB Chain/BSC has mature L1+L2+storage, PancakeSwap and other DeFi, Meme, GameFi, Launchpool, huge TVL; X Layer is still early stage, with far fewer DApps, addresses, and TVL than BSC.
- Trading volume/liquidity: Binance spot + derivatives depth, user base, and listing effects lead comprehensively; OKX is strong but overall market share is much smaller, platform fees provide weaker support for OKB.
- Burn mechanism: BNB has Auto-Burn + on-chain Gas real-time burn dual track, deflation can accelerate automatically with business; OKB relies mainly on X Layer Gas and small buybacks/passive burns after large burn, active deflation catalyst is weaker.
- Centralization risk: Both rely on exchange entity credit. If OKX faces security/compliance/US market access issues, OKB is more sensitive (thin liquidity); if Binance resolves US/EU regulatory uncertainties, BNB becomes more stable.
- Concentration risk: OKB’s top 10 holders have high share, black address functions, low volume/market cap ratio, structural risks that amplify volatility.
5. Scenario Judgments (10 years)
- Optimistic: X Layer becomes mainstream L2, OKX replaces part of Binance’s share in compliant markets, RWA/institutions use OKB for settlement → OKB market cap reaching 1/3 to 1/2 of BNB is feasible, price per coin may show extreme elasticity due to limited supply, but full surpassing BNB is unlikely.
- Neutral: OKX remains solidly second, X Layer lukewarm → OKB market cap stays at 5%–15% of BNB, coin price fluctuates with platform coin beta, no parity in 10 years.
- Pessimistic: Binance compliance turnaround + BNB Chain continues monopoly, OKX restricted in US/EU, X Layer fails → OKB’s ratio to BNB continues to decline.
6. Conclusion
- For "market cap fully catching BNB in 10 years": low probability, requires OKB to become a phenomenal infrastructure and OKX to capture a large share from Binance, near 100x expectation, not a baseline.
- For "market cap reaching 1/10–1/3 of BNB": possible, depends on X Layer TVL, OKX compliance expansion, overall bull market;
- For "price per coin catching BNB": meaningless due to different supply structures; even price parity doesn’t mean ecosystem parity.
If you want to allocate: OKB suits small positions for elasticity bets, BNB suits large positions as platform coin base; over 10 years, don’t judge by "can it double," but watch these four indicators yearly: OKX trading volume share, X Layer active addresses, BNB Auto-Burn amount, Binance compliance fines/license progress.On-chain anomalies are concentrated in top assets, with 1,051 BTC whale transactions in a single day, totaling 20.3 billion. Binance outflowed 8,200 coins, OKX received 502 coins; this structure resembles custodial rotation rather than imminent on-chain sell pressure. ETH whales net bought 4.5 million, small tokens received little; OGN itself lacks independent capital support, relying purely on sentiment.
OGN current price is 0.04018, with a strong supply zone above at 0.0435; rebounds near that area are easily pushed back. CoinGlass shows heavy long liquidations at 0.0393; the price is currently close to this zone, making it most likely to first dip down to sweep out this liquidity before choosing a direction. Upward momentum has weakened, making long positions less cost-effective.
Just circled the business district and couldn’t find a parking spot; the delivery is still in the car. Glanced at the sell orders through the phone screen’s reflection—pressure indeed hasn’t eased.
Operationally, only trade the pullback leg. On a rebound from 0.0418 to 0.0430, open short positions in batches, with add-ons not exceeding 0.0435. First take profit at 0.0393; if broken, target 0.0381. Defense uniformly set above 0.0452, with position size within 30%.
$OGN
#全球长期国债收益率升至多年高位
@OKX星球 U.S. stock market opened for 40 minutes, the S&P only moved 0.18%, ZEC dropped 7.69%.
In the same time frame, two markets are doing two different things.
① U.S. stocks: switching tracks
PLTR +3.81%, GOOGL +2.52%, XOM +2.29% leading gains
Samsung −2.47%, SK Hynix −2.17%, Eli Lilly −2.01% leading losses
SPY −0.18%, QQQ −0.37%, indexes barely moved, money is rotating internally
② Crypto: only one-way exits
24-hour liquidations 413 million, 93,234 people
Long positions ratio 92.5% / 94.3% / 92.1% / 87.4% (1h→24h)
The closer it gets, the more extreme it is, indicating this hour is still pushing down
Largest single Binance $BTC liquidation 11.82 million
③ And it’s a volume-shrinking drop
Trading volume 190.3 billion (−2.68%), open interest 148.7 billion (−2.06%)
Volume and positions shrinking, not panic selling, but forced exits due to leverage
Money hasn’t left risk assets, it just hasn’t come into crypto.
Crypto can’t grab attention because it has no new story this round.
I’m only watching one number: when will the long position ratio drop from 90% to below 70%?
Is your position being reduced by the market or by yourself?
$BTC $ETH $ZEC #macro #USTreasury
The above is personal opinion and does not constitute investment advice.Currently, the short-term price trend of crude oil has a significant impact on the market.
When crude oil surges, the stock market sectors that rise are banks, coal, and oil;
The sectors that fall are mainly tech stocks, gold, and Bitcoin.
This is the main reason why the market is difficult to judge right now; the issue with crude oil is too complex for the average person to understand. #9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息
I just finished reading the September FOMC minutes, and my first reaction: these people talk more than the data shows.
Most officials are still thinking about "raising rates again," but the market simply doesn't believe it—interest rates are anchored in a rate-cutting cycle now, and the minutes seem more like a scare tactic against inflation rather than a real move.
For the crypto world, hawkish language = short-term negative sentiment being digested. $BTC didn't break below 80000, and $ETH didn't fall under 2500 either.
As a mid-term holder, my advice is simple: don't be scared into selling by the words "raise rates again." A real hawkish turn depends on consecutive explosive Nonfarm Payroll and CPI data; right now, it's just a paper tiger.
Wait for the 4-hour chart to close back above EMA10 before adding positions; until then, hold your base positions, trade T if you feel itchy, but don't get carried away.
#ETF仍在流入，BTC为何下跌？