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Bitcoin drops below 80,000! STRK surges 217% to recover losses, Black Friday survival is key 🤡
Let's do a brutal weekly summary as usual. 🌞
First, look at the market (Chart 4): $BTC has been steadily declining, hitting a low of 80,351, now barely rebounding to around 81,785. The 30-minute MACD shows a low-level golden cross, RSI back to 56, but this is just an oversold rebound; the overall trend remains extremely weak. Weekend liquidity worsens, likely more shakeouts ahead.
——————
📉 This week's profit and loss breakdown:
Highlight moment (Chart 1): The long position on $STRK opened last night unexpectedly exploded! Took profit at 00:03 at 0.0598, pocketing +217.20% (earned 98.12U)! This move directly pulled the week back from the edge of loss.
Regrettable mistake (Chart 2): $SOL long position, caught a falling knife the day before yesterday, reluctantly stopped loss at 20:50 last night, losing -33.52% (lost 25.29U). The loss on the long was just covered by STRK's profit.
Lingering issue (Chart 3): $CL crude oil short grid is still quietly running in the background, currently floating at -5.03% loss (unpaired loss dragging down), must find an opportunity to close it today, Friday.
——————
⚠️ Friday and weekend risk warning (survival rules):
After this week's epic crash and deep V, I've clearly realized: weekend markets are the deadliest.
My core strategy today is summed up in three words: stay safe.
1. Absolutely no heavy positions over the weekend; find a chance today to manually stop the crude oil grid.
2. Absolutely no late-night monitoring; Bitcoin is repeatedly testing the 80,000 level, watch more, act less.
3. Protect the profits earned from STRK; better to be out and miss opportunities than to hold positions and get buried.
💬 Brothers, we finally made it through this week!
Did you overall make money or lose this week?
With BTC at the 80,000 mark, will you clear positions to avoid risk over the weekend or hold to play?
Share your weekly report in the comments and hear everyone's advice! 👇
#BTC #STRK #SOL #CrudeOilCL #OKX #TradingInsights #RetailTraderDiary #BlackFriday
(Disclaimer: The above is only a personal trading review record and does not constitute any investment advice. Contract trading is highly risky; please pay close attention to risk control.) Opportunities come every day, but the principal doesn't, right? Lower the leverage, only by surviving do you have a chance to get rich quick with $ETH Coinbase has delisted BAL and TNSR.
At 3 AM on November 10, spot, exchange, and Prime trading all stopped; now only limit orders remain in the order book, but the coins can still be withdrawn.
My first reaction wasn’t that these two coins were doomed.
It was that I had fallen into exactly the same trap before.
That year, a certain coin was delisted by a certain exchange’s announcement, and I happened to hold it. When I saw the news, my first thought was “the bad news is all out,” so I even bought a bit more.
What happened? The volume just vanished, the order book was as thin as a sheet of paper, and I couldn’t even sell properly. In the end, I cut my losses at the bottom.
The lesson is simple: for coins that exchanges don’t want, no matter how good their fundamentals are, you’ll see liquidity die first.
This time for BAL and TNSR, Coinbase’s reason was a “regular review,” which basically means they just don’t like them anymore.
Is the impact big? It basically doesn’t affect the overall market; these two were never major coins.
But for those holding these two, it’s a real issue.
So I want to ask, do you have any coins that “exchanges haven’t delisted yet, but no one is trading anymore”?
#美CFTC推进加密市场规则，SEC拟调整托管框架
#ETF仍在流入，BTC为何下跌？ #Strategy再购BTC，多家财库同步增持 $TNSR $BTC $BTC data for the past 12 hours is here, with long liquidations across the network reaching as high as $220 million, while short liquidations are only $27.486 million.
BTC's movement last night was really irrational, with a crazy sell-off that hit a low of 80351 directly. Fortunately, the downtrend stopped this morning, followed by a strong rebound, with the price returning to 81769.6.
After buying in at 82000 last night, BTC briefly rebounded to 82600. At that time, I thought I had successfully bottomed out and that a rally was about to take off. Unexpectedly, the market continued to dip, making new lows and directly breaking below 80400.
This round of long liquidation was extremely intense, with a large number of long positions being swept out, and many people simply couldn't hold on and got liquidated. The crypto market's shakeout is this brutal—just when you think it's going to rebound, it turns around and continues to drop. $ETH $ZEC #9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息 #ETF仍在流入，BTC为何下跌？ #跟着OKX打卡2049 $DOGE Folks, DOGE's order book here is making me laugh. Damn it! Around 0.0846 there's a bunch of fake orders, they cancel and place again, place and cancel again, is the dog whale playing mind games here?📉
The 4-hour volume is shrinking like crazy, but the funding rate has started to turn negative, shorts are quietly adding positions. I know this pattern well, last time at 0.082 the shakeout was played exactly like this, first wearing people down then stabbing the price.
Take my advice, lightly short at 0.0846, set stop loss at 0.0872, first target is 0.0805. Don't go heavy, this thing goes crazier than any meme coin when it goes wild.
If you want to follow, check the real-time order book on the market card below, don't wait until it pumps and then ask me what to do.🧘♂️
The above is just my personal opinion, not investment advice. Contract leverage carries very high risk, please control your position size yourself, profits and losses are your own responsibility.
👇👇👇$ZEC ZEC 1-hour K, current price 1193.59, strong rebound from the low of 1111, up 7%.
Price stands above the short-term moving average, MACD red bars expanding, but the J value is close to 100, short-term overbought, a pullback is needed.
Short-term resistance at 1216.05, strong resistance at 1240; support at 1165, bottom at 1111.30.
This is a rebound repair after a big drop, not a reversal.
Hold long: can reduce position at 1216, stop loss at 1165;
If no position, do not chase long at the current price, wait for stagnation at resistance to look for short opportunities.
Unfortunately, I have already chased...😑If I have to choose a direction to lose money, I'd rather go long!
This morning when I woke up,
I first saw the market rebound a bit,
still looked weak,
so I followed the trend and shorted some stocks.
But when I woke up later,
I closed all my short positions and switched to long. The reasons are as follows:
1. The conference is over, and everyone has time to provide liquidity to the market.
2. I saw several big influencers calling for longs.
3. The technicals have dropped too much; although the bearish trend is obvious, the rebound can't be this small.
4. There might be shorting opportunities in the afternoon, but if I have to choose a direction to lose money now, I choose to go long. $CORE
The project team stole more than 20 million from the community airdrop leftover addresses again, sneaking it away in the early morning. So far, the entire 350 million has been stolen by the project team. In a few days, there will be nowhere left to steal from. They will probably mess with the underlying protocol again and issue a few hundred million more to play around!
@OKX中文 @Star_OKX Can you accept the core project team playing like this?Order Book Strength Ranking
5-minute median slippage, estimated by order book
After amplifying orders for MINA and STRK, both buy and sell slippage increased significantly, with MINA showing the highest simulated slippage for 100,000 scale trades.
$MINIMAX cost differences mainly appear in large buy orders. Simulated slippage for 10,000 scale buy/sell is 0.09%/0.06%, and for 100,000 scale is 1.08%/0.66%.
$MINA simulated slippage for 10,000 scale buy/sell is 0.10%/0.10%, and for 100,000 scale is 0.51%/0.53%.
$STRK simulated slippage for 10,000 scale buy/sell is 0.07%/0.08%, and for 100,000 scale is 0.47%/0.40%.As of 2026-10-09, BTC is fluctuating around 83,000–85,000 USD (closing at about 83,275 USD on 10/7). October overall is not a "one-sided surge" but more like a high-volatility oscillation with resistance above and support below. The macro environment and ETF funds determine the direction. 1. Why the market leans toward "Uptober" but is unstable - History: From 2011 to 2025, October closed higher 10 times, with a median gain of about 11.2%. - But October 2025 was a decline, indicating seasonality is just a probability, not a guarantee. - Current support: ETF inflows returned in late September, long-term holders accumulating, and the Fed's rate hike expectations before the 10/28 meeting are declining. - Current risks: marginal weakening of spot/futures demand, US 10Y Treasury yield approaching 5%, and about 4.35 billion USD long positions clustered for liquidation (around 74,000 USD). 2. Key price levels - Resistance: 87,000 / 87,400 → 90,000 → 95,000 - Pivot: 82,000–87,000 - Support: 82,000 → 80,000 → 78,000 (50-week moving average zone) → 74,500–75,000 - If it truly breaks below 80,000 and ETFs turn to outflows / US Treasury yields continue to rise → look toward 74,000–78,000 - Weekly chart stands above 87,400Don't rush to bottom-fish!
Bitcoin dropped 5000 points, but that doesn't mean it will rebound immediately. Buying on dips and shorting on rallies—how many times has this habitual thinking caused you to be harvested by the market?
This round of decline is mainly pressured by concerns over asset transfers related to the U.S. government triggering sell-offs, as well as continuous outflows from ETFs. Yesterday, BTC spot ETFs saw a net outflow of $484.9 million, and ETH spot ETFs had a net outflow of $160.9 million.
Even if assets haven't actually been sold yet, the market reacts in advance: retail investors rush to stop losses, institutions proactively reduce positions, and contract longs concentrate on liquidation, ultimately forming a chain reaction of selling pressure.
The market trades not only actual sell orders but also expectations of future selling pressure.
Currently, short positions near $86,000 retain 70% of their base positions, with targets still set at $79,500–$79,000, and stop-losses moved up to $85,500 to prioritize protecting existing profits.
In the short term, don't rush to catch a falling knife; cautiously participate in left-side bottom-fishing above $80,000. First, observe whether the selling pressure is released, then wait for clear stabilization signals from the market.
Remember: it's better to miss a rebound than to turn bottom-fishing into catching the bag.📌 Fed Minutes: Tough Talk, But Actions May Lag
All 19 members agreed on a 25bp rate hike in September, pushing rates to 3.75%–4.00%; a "majority" are still considering another hike before year-end, with some officials even feeling previous tightening was insufficient and somewhat loose. However, the hawkish confidence is diluted by a cautious pace: decisions are made meeting by meeting, with no preset path. As employment weakens, officials urge "don’t rush," and the October hike odds dropped from around 70% to under 20%, with the market now betting on December; the October 14 CPI is the next big event.💣
The bond market responded first: the 2-year yield fell over 12bp in a week to 4.78%, easing short-term pressure; but the 10- and 30-year yields remain above 5%, showing the long end is not convinced and still pricing in "prolonged tightening."📉
For $BTC: these minutes are not more hawkish than expected, and 83,500 is likely to hold in the short term; however, "more hikes within the year" act like a ceiling, rebounds depend on volume, space is limited, and the break warning remains. The same applies to $ETH and $SOL—don’t mistake a bounce for a reversal.🐂➡️🐻? #9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息 #ETF仍在流入，BTC为何下跌？ #跟着OKX打卡2049 700 million liquidations, 90% are long positions
Over the past day, the entire network saw more than $700 million in liquidations.
Ninety percent are long positions, meaning those who borrowed money to go long.
How this number is calculated:
Leveraged long positions hit the liquidation line, and the system automatically sells for you.
Sell orders push the price down, causing the next batch to be sold as well.
The key points here:
The interest rate hike expectation has shifted from being delayed to inevitable.
US Treasury yields hit a 20-year high, money is being pulled out.
$BTC dropped below 83,000, RSI at 21.5.
$ETH dropped below 2,600, RSI at 17.95, ETF outflows for 7 consecutive days.
Stop-loss orders above 83,000 are already gone.
Those remaining are all waiting at 82,200.
#ETF仍在流入，BTC为何下跌？
#黄金ETF创纪录吸金，高利率仍压制金价 #9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息 $BTC $ETH ETF funds are flowing in, yet prices are moving downward, a divergence that confuses many. Actually, the logic is simple—the spot buying is being consumed by deleveraging in the derivatives market.
$BTC: Long liquidations account for over 80%, indicating extreme crowding of leveraged longs previously. The rise in US Treasury yields and oil prices is just the trigger; the real driver is market maker suppression before options expiry. The incremental funds from ETFs have become the liquidity source for the derivatives market to harvest longs.
$ETH: Passively consolidating with the broader market in a weak range, lacking an independent breakout narrative, completely dragged down by BTC's derivatives deleveraging. In the options gravity field, its high Beta attribute amplifies volatility pressure.
$SOL: Relatively resilient. DeFi infrastructure within its ecosystem is still iterating, with related data surging sharply in a single day. During the sideways movement of major coins, SOL's ecosystem can still attract real capital lock-up. But under the torrent of deleveraging in the broader market, it is also hard to remain unaffected.
Funds have not exited; they are just being consumed in the brutal cleansing of the derivatives market. Before options expiry settlement, any rebound may be countered. Only after liquidation is fully complete will the market return to normal logic priced by spot.
#ETF仍在流入，BTC为何下跌？ Morning real-time analysis:
BTC 81,844, down 2.04% in 24 hours, lowest touched 80,716. ETH 2,478, down 4.17% in 24 hours, has fallen below the 2,500 mark.
The core reason for this drop remains unchanged: the Fed's September minutes were hawkish, US Treasury yields remain high, and oil prices are being pushed by the Middle East situation. Risk assets are generally under pressure.
ETH is the hardest hit. ETH/BTC continues to weaken, funds are moving to BTC. BitMine chairman Tom Lee said "stop buying after 5%", the largest ETH buyer is pulling back, the signal is more critical than the price.
In the past 24 hours, the entire network liquidated $919 million, with longs accounting for 91.25%, ETH single-coin liquidations led with $327 million. Long positions are still being liquidated.
Key levels:
BTC: 81,000 is the last line of defense now; breaking below points to liquidation clusters near 75,000.
ETH: 2,430 has broken previous lows, next support at 2,380-2,400, then further down at 2,360 daily support.
In short: ETH is hit hard by ETF outflows and BitMine stopping buying, BTC is struggling around 81,000. Don't rush to buy; wait for US Treasury yields to peak and BTC to hold above 81,500 before considering.$CT's popularity remains strong, buying a little is also an option
4-hour chart: After the coin was listed, it surged to 0.63868, then continued to decline steadily. The price has been running below the moving averages, with MA5, MA10, and MA20 forming bearish pressure. RSI is at a low level, and the overall downtrend has not changed. The key support below is at 0.31132; if this support breaks, the price will continue to drop. The resistance above is in the 0.336-0.355 range.
15-minute short term: After a rapid drop to test the bottom at 0.31132, a rebound recovery occurred. RSI has reached around 76, entering the short-term overbought zone, and the rebound momentum shows signs of exhaustion. This wave is a short-term rebound repair after a big drop, not a trend reversal. The rebound is easily pressured and likely to fall again.
Overall judgment: The long-term bearish trend is clear. The short-term rebound after overselling is approaching the resistance zone, so it is not suitable to chase longs. Focus on whether the 0.31132 bottom can hold; once broken, the downtrend will continue. Be cautious of pressure in the 0.336~0.355 resistance zone during the rebound. New coins are highly volatile and carry high risk, so strictly control your position size.
Information is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. Cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile; be sure to strictly control your position size.7:30 in the morning, woke up before the alarm went off, habitually reached for my phone to check the market. Last night was a total mess from the crash, and after seeing this morning's market, I don't even have the strength to get out of bed.
$BTC
Current price 81,840, up 1.04%. Last night it dropped straight down to 80,351, almost breaking the 80,000 mark, now barely climbing back to 81,800. This big influencer's dragon move is like cutting into my flesh with a knife. The long position I placed at 84,000 is now deeply stuck, not even close to breaking even, no decent profit at all. Is the main force just targeting my small holdings? Sneaking attacks every midnight, dull knives cutting flesh, it's numbing.
$ETH
Current price 2,478, up 1.80%. Ethereum is really hopeless! Last night it broke through 2,500, hitting a low of 2,405, the 2,500 level is as fragile as paper, now barely climbing back to 2,478. Holding long positions on it feels like serving a sentence; every slight drop sends it straight to the ICU. Every time I hope it will hold strong, it precisely mocks me. Tasteless and regrettable, pure torture.
$SOL
Current price 110.43, up 1.71%. SOL is such a jerk, I cut losses and ran from 116 before, last night it crashed down to 105.7, I was glad I escaped quickly. But this morning it followed the market's big V rebound back to 110. Watching this trend, I really feel uneasy, like I ran away wrong and stayed wrong too. But thinking about how recklessly it falls, I still won't chase it, better to play dead honestly.The September FOMC meeting minutes from the Federal Reserve show that the decision to raise interest rates by 25 basis points was unanimously supported by 19 officials, raising the federal funds rate target range to 3.75%—4.00%. Regarding the subsequent path, most officials believe inflation remains above target, and another rate hike before the end of the year may be appropriate; some officials are concerned that supply shocks such as energy are causing sustained price pressures, while others believe the current rates are not restrictive enough. However, there is still disagreement on the timing of the next action, with some officials advocating continued observation of employment and inflation data. Market pricing for a 25 basis point hike in October has dropped from about 70% after the September meeting to about 20%. The current focus has shifted from "whether to hike again this year" to "when to act," with the October 14 CPI report becoming an important validation before the October 27–28 FOMC meeting. $ZEC $ETH $BTC 跌到82000时最危险的错觉，是把"跌得快"当成"跌到位"🪄 可这次真正该盯的，真的是那个最低点吗？ 我复盘这波下杀时，第一反应不是抄底，而是去看风险管理这根弦有没有被拉断。BTC直接砸到82000附近，情绪明显转弱，但它不是单一利空砸出来的，更像三条线同时收紧。 先是现货ETF出现明显赎回，机构买盘退潮，市场少了持续增量。再是美债收益率上行、美元走强，高波动资产天然先被减仓。最后是关键支撑失守，杠杆多头被迫平仓，下跌触发清算，清算又加速下跌。 这里有个容易误判的点：很多人看到山寨跌得更凶，就以为只是BTC拖累全场。其实顺序常常相反，风险偏好收缩时，资金先撤出边缘资产，再回头压缩BTC和ETH的波动区间。所以山寨的弱势，有时是预警，不是补跌。 用轮动视角看会更清楚： - BTC：机构资金退潮后，最先反映宏观压力，但抗跌性仍相对最好。 - ETH：跟跌但弹性偏弱，缺少独立叙事时更容易被当成提款机。 - 山寨：风险预算被砍时最先被卖，反弹也最依赖情绪回暖。 我现在只盯两个区域。82000到83000是第一道防守，若守住并重新站回83000上方，才有机会修复到85000至86000。若跌穿Three Future Scenarios for ETH Ethereum Trend Projection
⚠️ Scenario projection only, not a prediction, does not constitute investment advice. You are fully invested in deep trapped long positions, risk is extremely high, ETH volatility will be greater than BTC.
Key event: October 14 US CPI inflation data, this is the biggest short-term market switch.
Current price about 2440.
Scenario 1: Neutral baseline scenario (higher probability)
Range-bound consolidation, between 2320‑2540
• Condition: CPI data meets market expectations, Federal Reserve remains slightly hawkish, neither worse nor better than expected; BTC holds support at 81000 without a crash.
• Trend: ETH repeatedly tests 2400 support, if support holds then rebounds, but the rebound to 2530‑2540 resistance will be pushed down, it’s difficult to break through your cost basis at 2595 in one go. It will oscillate back and forth, waiting for macro signals.
• For your position: There will be rebounds to repair floating losses, but it’s hard to break even directly, it will repeatedly torment you back and forth.
Scenario 2: Pessimistic downward scenario (risk to be especially cautious of)
Drops to 2320, extreme test near 2200
• Trigger condition: CPI inflation higher than expected, rate hike expectations heat up again; BTC volume breaks below 81000 and moves downward.
• Trend: Directly breaks below 2400, first target is 2320 wave support; if BTC continues to crash, it will further drop to around 2200.
• ⚠️ Fatal risk to your account: You are in a full position with ETH+DOGE long dual mode, no need to fall to the page’s estimated strongCombining the discussion on "ETF inflows and price divergence," the hawkish minutes provide a new macro commentary: the renewed strengthening of rate hike expectations is compressing the valuation space for risk assets.
🦅 Core signals from the minutes
· Majority of officials lean towards more rate hikes: Most participants believe "it may be appropriate to raise rates further before the end of this year," with 16 out of 18 officials expecting at least one more rate hike within the year.
· Inflation risks skewed upward: Officials generally consider inflation to remain high, with risks tilted to the upside. Geopolitical tensions pushing up energy prices and the AI investment boom are also seen as new sources of inflationary pressure.
· Policy rates are "not restrictive enough": Some officials explicitly stated that current rates are "not restrictive" or only "mildly restrictive," implying there is still room for tightening.
In short, ETFs represent the "slow variable" of long-term allocation, while rate hike expectations dominate the "fast variable" of short-term funding costs. When the fast variable tightens abruptly, the cushioning effect of the slow variable is often overwhelmed. #SeptemberFOMCMinutes released, majority of officials lean towards more rate hikes Looking back at last night's turmoil
#4-hour bloody purge! BTC‑ETH‑ZEC longs were massively liquidated, the data is chilling
Putting the three charts together, the signals are very consistent:
This round is not a two-way mutual kill, but a concentrated deleveraging mainly slaughtering the bulls, with a very low proportion of short liquidations, and a large number of faith-driven longs were uprooted.
‑ BTC: 120 million total liquidations in 24 hours, of which long liquidations directly consumed 110 million; 12-hour and 4-hour tiers continuously increased volume, indicating a chain stampede caused by continuous probing downward;
‑ ETH: 83.18 million liquidations in 24 hours, longs account for 73.2 million, an absolute majority; also a recent major fund focus, many mid-to-long-term faith positions were shaken out;
‑ ZEC: 22.62 million liquidations in 24 hours, also almost entirely longs, altcoin elasticity is greater, the pain of liquidation is stronger.
A very realistic point:
A large number of longs being liquidated in the short term does not mean an immediate reversal or rebound;
It only means the market has painfully surrendered a batch of high and mid-level leveraged chips;
But the bitter truth is—killing the bulls doesn’t mean immediately rewarding the bulls, it may still grind until the remaining traders’ mentality completely collapses before a real recovery window appears.
Especially for super large ETH long positions like Brother Maji who are still holding hard, the market is continuously testing the endurance of heavy long positions at high levels.
What is most taboo now is to chase hastily right after being liquidated or to recklessly double down and increase leverage after being deeply trapped. I will monitor three scenarios: Recovery scenario: oil cools down, yields drop, and BTC regains the 85–86K range. Continued decline scenario: oil remains high, Nasdaq weakens, and BTC fails to hold the 83K range. Worse scenario: stock sell-off spreads to crypto, leverage liquidation surges, and rebounds get sold off. The above levels are observation zones based on recent data, not confirmed support thresholds today. My conclusion: I lean towards a defensive stance, not rushing to catch the bottom. You once said just wait for the price BTC 81,862｜82K lost, where to look next?
BTC has retraced all the way down from around 87K and has now even broken below 82K, with short-term bears clearly taking control. There was repeated tugging around 83K earlier, but it ultimately couldn't hold. Next, watch if 81K–82K can form a new support; if it stabilizes here and climbs back above 83K, there is a chance for a rebound toward 84K–85K.
In contracts, it is not recommended to blindly short on a breakdown, as sharp drops often lead to a rebound sweep. The key is to observe whether 82K can be reclaimed and if 81K is lost: reclaiming and holding 82K indicates funds are stepping in below; if the rebound is weak and 81K breaks again, then support near 80K should be watched.
The capital flow is also not optimistic for now: on October 7, the US spot BTC ETF saw a net outflow of about $487 million, one of the larger single-day outflows since June; meanwhile, the strengthening of the US dollar and US Treasury yields is also suppressing risk asset performance.
Whether this retracement can stop is not about how much it has fallen, but whether there is real buying support below.
This is only a market view and does not constitute investment advice. $BTC $ETH #ETF仍在流入，BTC为何下跌？ ⚠️ Breaking news today
Trump says no attack on Iran before midterm elections — no military action before November 3, maritime blockade continues, oil prices pull back short-term
Fed's Musalem says interest rates should rise in the next 6-9 months — further monetary tightening needed, December rate hike probability rises to 67.6%
US 30Y Treasury auction steady, yield falls — 30Y yield drops from intraday 5.73% to 5.60%; BTC ETF outflows nearly $935 million for two consecutive days
🔮 Forecast
Fed: 82.3% chance of no change in October, 67.6% chance of 25bp hike in December, rate cuts delayed until 2027
BTC/ETH: short-term bearish, continued ETF outflows + high US Treasury yields pressure, ETH weaker than BTC
Crude oil: lower probability of military action before elections, oscillating between $90-100
💰 Trading decision: remain out of position — only 1 of 5 major market conditions confirmed, seven factors bearish, no major market move
📌 Today's focus
Conflicting September PPI release dates (FRED shows 10/15 vs Eastmoney 10/9 20:30)
Whether US 10Y/30Y Treasury yields hold below key levels
US response to US-Iran "seven-day plan"
BTC $80,000 / ETH $2,400 support level tests
Execution data: 6 rounds of retrieval | 18 keywords | 24 news items included | 15 cross-verifications | 48 websites scanned | full report about 12,000 words | 6 risk ledger items continuously tracked Bitcoin plummets to 80400: $1 billion in leverage "buried alive," $930 million from longs, the harshest in 90 days
In the early hours of October 9, Bitcoin dropped through 83000, 82000, 81000, hitting a low of 80393 USD. Within 24 hours, over $1 billion in liquidations occurred across the network, with $930 million from longs — the largest long liquidation recorded by CoinGlass in 90 days. In just one hour, more than $600 million in positions were forcibly closed, marking the largest single-hour liquidation volume in a month.
If you chased longs around 86000, you lost 6%. If you used 10x leverage, you’re wiped out. If you used 20x leverage, you didn’t even get a chance to watch the candlesticks.
But today, we’re not talking about candlesticks. We’re talking about how this $1 billion was "buried alive," and what lies beneath the 80400 bottom. $BTC $ETH $ZEC #At 3 a.m., the heart on the stage is still in ventricular fibrillation—this is the same pathology as $GALFT's current market condition: not stopped, but erratic.
First, let's look at the vital signs. The 24H systolic pressure dropped by 1.95%, which sounds like an insignificant orthostatic hypotension, but the monitor has more than one lead. Short-term RSI is 32.7, long-term RSI is 45.0—these two curves show the separation I am most wary of before surgery: the acute indicator has already fallen into the hypoperfusion zone, while the chronic indicator still clings to the illusion of "neutral." This is not healthy; this is compensation. The compensation phase is more dangerous than decompensation because the patient still appears awake.
The real imaging evidence is in the Bollinger Bands. The short-term price is at the 5% position of the channel, only 0.1% from the lower band—almost walking along the intima. The mid-term is even worse, -3%, having penetrated the lower band by 0.1%. Pericardial effusion pressing to this extent indicates the selling pressure is not just seepage but substantial overflow. The lower band is not the floor; it is the pericardium, and piercing it requires only the force of a needle prick.
But I will not open the chest amid volatility. What I want is a clear surgical window, not an emotional emergency incision.
📈 Long:
Entry: 0.87 (current price -4.2%)
Take Profit 1: 0.97 (+6.7%)
Take Profit 2: 0.95 (+4.7%)
Stop Loss: 0.78 (-14.1%)
Look closely at these numbers: the entry position is 4.2% below the current price, meaning I do not chase this oversaturated reading of 32.7; I wait for it to truly press the lower band and squeeze out the floating chips. The first target is +6.7%, the second target +4.7%, and the stop loss is set at -14.1%. This risk-reward ratio is insulting to the surgeon—the single return rate is less than half the risk, equivalent to exchanging the cost of a bypass for one angiography. So I will not fully infuse but only use a small dose for exploratory administration, compressing the position to a level that can withstand one ventricular fibrillation defibrillation.
Some may ask, if $GALFT falls like this, should the chest be sewn up? Wrong. Clinically, the worst is to hastily close the chest when circulation is unstable, which leaves a bag of effusion in the mediastinum and kills the entire heart within three hours.
My judgment is simple: the real lesion is not in the price but in liquidity perfusion pressure. The 1.95% in 24H is just a symptom, the short-term RSI 32.7 is ECG noise, and the 0.1% at the lower Bollinger Band is the bleeding point. Before 0.87, this heart is still at the low perfusion threshold—I have not received the scalpel; I stand by the monitor and do not touch a penny. #coinmovealertAI tech stocks collectively plunge: The market begins to reassess the investment returns of artificial intelligence
On October 8, the US tech sector faced a concentrated sell-off, with the Nasdaq index closing down about 1.3%. Nvidia, Oracle, Micron, Broadcom, and the optical communications sector were generally under pressure.
A key catalyst for this decline was a Financial Times report stating that OpenAI's latest annualized revenue is about $50 billion, lower than the previously circulated market figure of $70 billion. However, this discrepancy partly stems from different revenue accounting standards and does not mean actual revenue suddenly dropped by $20 billion.
The real market concern is whether the AI industry's massive capital expenditures can yield sufficient returns. As investments in data centers, computing power, and optical communications continue to expand, investors are placing greater emphasis on commercial revenue and financing sustainability.
Meanwhile, rising international oil prices and a high interest rate environment further suppress growth stock valuations.
From a technical perspective, the synchronized decline in tech stocks reflects an overall decrease in sector risk appetite. Going forward, focus should be on whether the semiconductor index can halt its decline and whether core stocks like Nvidia and Broadcom can reclaim key price areas prior to the plunge.
Overall assessment: The tech sector is under short-term pressure, but a single concentrated sell-off is not enough to prove the end of AI's long-term growth trend. 🚨Breaking:
Approximately $1.19 billion liquidated across the entire network in 24 hours, with longs accounting for $1.05 billion.
ETH liquidations reached $350 million, higher than Bitcoin's $304 million.
This round mainly targeted bullish leverage.
$ETH's decline and liquidation amount both exceed Bitcoin's, indicating that long positions are more crowded and under greater pressure.At this position for OGN, there's no need to look at any external news; the market itself has shown the direction. The moving average system is in a bullish alignment, volume is increasing in sync, and the proportion of active buying continues to suppress, which is characteristic of an acceleration phase.
However, the liquidation chart shows a very ominous point: a large amount of long leverage is accumulated below 0.046. This kind of chip structure makes it easy for the main force to first push down with a spike before pulling up. I just pulled over to the roadside to make a follow-up call, and when I looked back at the market, there was no sign of capital retreat.
The current price at 0.04775 has an average cost-performance for chasing longs. I prefer to place orders in the 0.0467 to 0.0471 pullback range to go long, with a stop loss at 0.0456. If it directly breaks out with volume and holds above 0.0483, then only a small position should chase, with a stop loss at 0.0472.
The first take-profit target above is 0.0495, and after breaking through, look to 0.0518. The core logic of this trade is to capitalize on the secondary rally after the main force's spike, not to push hard without a pullback.
$OGN
#黄金ETF创纪录吸金，高利率仍压制金价
@OKX星球 In the market over the past two days, one detail has become increasingly clear:
Prices are still falling, but the feeling of a sell-off is no longer as strong.
$BTC has dropped from above 87K to around 81.7K, with long lower shadows appearing continuously on the 4-hour chart, indicating some support at the lows.
In the short term, watch the 80.8K–81.5K range; if it holds, look for 84K–85.5K; if it breaks, watch out for 79K.
$ETH is clearly weaker in this wave; if key support continues to fail, the rebound strength may be limited. First, see if it can stabilize around 2500 and reclaim 2600 to consider the structure somewhat repaired.
$SOL acts more like a thermometer of risk appetite. Before the overall market stabilizes, high-beta assets like SOL are unlikely to strengthen independently. In the short term, observe support in the 115–117 area.
So the current logic is simple:
BTC looks at support, ETH looks at strength, SOL looks at sentiment.
Don’t rush to bottom-fish just because prices have fallen a lot; wait for real market support before considering the next step.
The above is just my personal market notes and does not constitute trading advice. DYOR!
$BTC $ETH $SOL
#9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息 #ETF仍在流入，BTC为何下跌？ #跟着OKX打卡2049 📉 PONS Market Overview
Current price 0.3885, the downtrend hasn't stopped yet, bears remain strong.
Resistance zone above is at 0.3953—0.4007; if the rebound fails to break through, it is most likely just a pullback, not a reversal.
Key support below is at 0.3640, the previous low defense point. If it holds, there will be consolidation and breathing room; if broken, the downside may open further.
Fundamentals show declining revenue, overall trend is bearish. Don't be tempted by small rebounds now, and avoid bottom fishing easily, as it’s easy to get hit by a sudden drop.
Watch more, act less, wait for stabilization signals—this is more important than guessing the bottom. $PONS $ZEC $SOL
⚠️ Market observation only, not investment advice. #9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息 #ETF仍在流入，BTC为何下跌？ Account Position Divergence Radar｜Last 15 Minutes
$STRK top accounts are more bearish, but positions remain predominantly long. The proportion of short accounts increased by 1.44 percentage points, and the proportion of short positions rose by 0.26 percentage points, still at 48.2%.10.09 Morning Market Quick Report
BTC $81752｜ETH $2463｜SOL $109.10
BTC: Continuing weak downward trend, current price $81752, 24-hour decline of 1.86%, hovering near a three-week low. US long-term Treasury yields remain high, with the 10-year hitting 5.36% and the 30-year surging to 5.73%, combined with Middle East tensions pushing up oil prices, overall market risk sentiment continues to cool. The previous $82500 support has turned into strong resistance, with key focus below on the psychological $80000 level. Strategy: Stay out of positions and observe, avoid blindly bottom-fishing, wait for signs of stabilization around $80000 before considering action.
ETH: Lost the $2480 support, current price $2463, 24H down 4.06%, leading the decline among major coins. Spot ETF funds have been flowing out continuously, with a large cumulative outflow, many long positions on the exchange face imminent liquidation, selling pressure not yet fully released. Support range below is $2420–2450. Strategy: Avoid heavy positions below $2480; if volume breaks below $2420, further reduce holdings to hedge risk.
SOL: Weak performance, current price $109.10, 24H down 5.75%, worst among the three. The $120 level has failed to be reclaimed for several days, short-term funds lack strength to support, no signs of stabilization yet. Strategy: Consider shorting near $114 on a rebound, with a downside target of $103.
Liquidation data: Total network liquidations in the past 24 hours amount to $918 millionThe daily MA60 moving average shows support, with the 2400 level forming a strong resistance zone.
Personally, I judge that this round of correction is not yet complete. It is expected to first undergo a period of range-bound consolidation before the second bull market can start.
ETH and BTC show different trends, indicating somewhat independent market behavior.
Operation reference: Gradually build short positions in batches when the price rebounds to the 2550-2580 range. Avoid going all-in.
Below, watch for a second test of the 2400 level. If there is a strong volume real break below (not a wick) and weak follow-through, further downside toward the 2350 level is expected.
Risk reminder: The above is only a personal opinion sharing and does not constitute any investment advice. "Don't take 'less coins' directly as a positive" 🧮
$ZEC's NU7: 60% of fees are first reserved, then gradually distributed to miners according to the rules. So this is not a permanent burn, but more like reserving part of today's income for the future to support network security. How much circulation can be reduced in the short term? It depends on transaction volume and release pace. Focusing only on 'removing from circulation' easily overlooks the subsequent redistribution.
$WLD rose about 7.6% in a week 📈, but holding tokens does not equal owning project profits or distribution rights. After user growth and business expansion, we still need to ask: how do these changes make more people truly need the token? Project popularity is one thing; evidence of sustained buying and holding is another.
$OKB has a fixed total supply of 21 million, yet still rose about 9% in a week 🔒. The supply boundary is clear, making estimation easier, but a fixed total supply doesn't answer how high the price should be. The next round of transactions depends on how much old holders are willing to sell and how much new buyers are willing to pay. Scarcity has value, but there must be ongoing demand.
In short: read the supply story fully and keep an eye on demand evidence. Don't rush to form expectations; first, get the numbers clear ✨
#9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息
#Winklevoss旗下机构申请ZEC现货ETF
#跟着OKX打卡2049 $STRK's direction seems consistent, but the volume contraction shows no clear stance
$STRK is up 14.60% in the last 24 hours, currently priced at 0.05628. Both the 1-hour and 4-hour structures are relatively strong, yet the current trading volume is only 0.07 times the average volume of the previous 20 bars. The direction is aligned, but participation hasn't kept pace, which is exactly the most debatable point right now.
Position is more honest than adjectives. The current price is about 14.77% above the 1-hour support at 0.04797 and about 11.05% below the resistance at 0.0625. Putting these two distances together helps clarify which side requires more evidence. Looking only at the price change can easily mistake the space already traveled as if it hasn't started yet.
The opposing view also has a clear invalidation line. Breaking below the 1-hour support at 0.04797 indicates that short-term buying support has failed the test; if the 4-hour support at 0.04797 is further broken, the previous strong or recovery judgment must be rewritten. You can hold your view, but if the evidence changes, you can't pretend not to see it.
It's easier to understand this market move as an equipment acceptance test: running without load doesn't mean completion; stability under boundary conditions gives weight to the conclusion. Write your view as a condition so you know where you were wrong if it fails. Which signal would you rather wait for to judge: that direction consistency is more important, or that volume contraction will quickly cause this move to lose momentum? The market is volatile; the above is only a market observation and does not constitute investment advice. This is Crypto Bull speaking.#9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息 集体大跌核心原因
$BTC 1. Macro trigger (most core)
The September FOMC meeting minutes released a hawkish signal, causing the market to revise down its rate cut expectations and believe that the high interest rate period will be extended.
The 30-year US Treasury yield surged again, hitting a new phase high.
Logic: Bitcoin, ZEC, gold, and other interest-free risk assets — the higher the US Treasury yield, the more funds prefer to buy US Treasuries for safety, flowing out of the crypto space and suppressing coin prices.
US stocks and gold are also under pressure simultaneously, representing a collective sell-off of global risk assets, not an isolated problem in the crypto space.
2. ETF differentiation
Although BTC spot ETFs still see inflows, ETH and many altcoins continue to experience capital outflows.
ZEC itself faces continuous redemption pressure from ETFs; altcoins generally have smaller market caps, so once funds withdraw, the decline is much greater than BTC.
3. Contract leverage liquidation, amplifying the decline (accelerating the drop)
Many long contracts were accumulated earlier; after key support was broken, a large number of long positions were forcibly liquidated.
Liquidation orders automatically sell, causing a long-liquidation cascade that further pushes prices down. ZEC dropped directly from above 1300 to a low of 1111. Altcoins have higher elasticity, with retracements far exceeding BTC.
4. Technical side has its own correction demand
BTC is approaching the key support level of 82000-83000; previously, it oscillated without breaking through the 87300 resistance, leading to insufficient long confidence. Once bad news emerged, funds immediately fled.
Brothers, how it moves next, let's discuss and learn in the comments…Senator Blumenthal has written to Tether again.
This time the recipient is Brandon Lutnick, CEO of Cantor Fitzgerald.
Who is his father? Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick.
This is interesting.
Cantor manages Tether's reserve assets in the US, and they have other business dealings on both sides.
Now a senator is stepping in to investigate this relationship.
To be clear, the investigation isn't about whether Tether has money, but about who stands behind it.
In the past, stablecoins being scrutinized was seen as a joke.
Now the level of scrutiny is different, involving political family ties.
What do market makers fear most? Not bad news, but unclear explanations.
If things can't be explained clearly, quotes widen and order books thin.
So in the short term, this won't cause $USDT to lose its peg, but it will make market makers more cautious.
What matters next is one thing: whether Cantor responds, and what they say.
This is far more important than the senator's public statements themselves.
#美CFTC推进加密市场规则，SEC拟调整托管框架 $USDT Personal opinion.
Bitcoin has already reached the previously mentioned position, successfully playing the second major wave down, only 600 points away from 80000. Waiting for the small second wave rebound during the second major wave down to short.
Currently, the short-term trend has shifted from bearish to bullish.
Stop loss at 80600, if entering long, first observe the price reaction around 82800 (if a 1H long upper shadow appears, close half the position and keep the rest at breakeven), then decide whether to continue holding long or reverse to short.
If it strongly breaks above 82800, it is undoubtedly a bear trap, and the take profit target will be a new high. It is recommended to add spot positions here without leverage.
Long-term short on the left side at 82800, stop loss at 84000, first take profit at 77600, second at 75000, third at 70000. The bearish structure has already formed, just follow the trend. (Start shorting at the rebound point of the second wave.)
$BTC Three 15x short positions, floating loss close to 20,000 U, my mindset is about to break!
This rebound strength exceeded expectations! Asset A peaked at 72,400, Asset B surged to 2,780, Asset C directly shot up to 132.
Nearly 650,000 U in positions, all three heavy short positions are trapped. It would be false to say I'm not anxious. I really don't want to exit with a stop loss now, but holding on worries me about another surge.
$Asset A: Fell back to around 71,600, key to watch if it breaks below the 70,800–70,200 range.
$Asset B: Pressured near 2,780, only if it falls back to 2,690 is there a chance to continue downward.
$Asset C: Dropped from 132 to around 127, watch the 123–120 support.
The current 4-hour trend is temporarily bullish; short-term pullbacks cannot yet be considered a trend reversal.
Position pressure is huge, dare not add more short positions. Reluctant to stop loss, holding on is torturous. Hope this surge is just a bull trap, not the start of a new upward wave!Good morning, I checked the market after waking up. $BTC is at 81,810, rebounding 1% intraday, but don’t be fooled by this green bar. The 24-hour low has already hit 80,351, the high only 83,488, and it has dropped 4% over 7 days. After hitting 87,239, it has been declining steadily, with all moving averages pressing from above: MA5 at 81,994, MA10 at 82,651, MA20 at 84,006. The price is still below the moving averages, MACD’s DIFF is about -890, the histogram about -623, the bearish momentum is not over. This rebound looks more like a breather after a drop.
The macro environment isn’t favorable either. The Fed just raised rates by 25 basis points in September, bringing rates to 3.75%–4%. The minutes from the 7th show most officials think there might be another hike before year-end. The market bets on a high probability of no change in October, but the pricing for a December hike is still over 60%. The real pressure comes from interest rates: the 10-year US Treasury yield has touched around 5.36%, a high since 2002, and the 30-year yield is around 5.7%. The dollar is strong, oil prices are rising again, Brent crude has climbed back above $100. Risk assets are all taking hits, and billions in crypto long positions have been liquidated.
My view is simple. On the upside, watch 82,000 to 82,700; if it can’t reclaim this range, any rebound is a chance to reduce positions. On the downside, 80,351 is the low made overnight; if broken, look at the 80,000 round number. Inflation data comes on October 14, and the meeting is not until the 27th. Before the data is out, I won’t chase longs below the moving averages. Elon Musk opens a new chapter again: FCC approved 15,000 D2D satellites, Starlink aims to jump from broadband to direct mobile connection; meanwhile, raising $40 billion to buy Nvidia chips. Satellites in the sky, GPUs stockpiled on the ground, burning money on two fronts.
The bond market pours cold water first: 5-year CDS rose to 195bp, the highest since active trading; 2056 bond spread widened to 238bp. Borrowing money is getting more expensive.
Soul-searching question: Is the money earned from new businesses enough to cover capital expenditures and interest? Satellites and AI are heavy assets with slow payback, don’t expect short-term cash flow to be rosy.
Crypto takes an indirect hit. Space and AI compete for risk capital; long-term interest rates are high again, 30-year US Treasury at 5.7%, making it hard for Bitcoin to strengthen independently.
Keep positions controlled, avoid heavy holdings; don’t chase longs if long-term rates don’t drop; set stop losses properly, don’t hold on stubbornly. $BTC perpetual 100x short position, opened at 82625.8, currently 81824.9, floating profit +96.93%.
Short at 82625, 100x leverage, floating profit nearly 97%. The logic is straightforward — weak upward momentum at the high level, volume-price divergence indicating a bearish move. After the drop, it oscillates; the rebound currently lacks strength. No rush to exit all positions, move stop loss up to 82200 to block the first layer, watch for a volume break below 81500 targeting 80000-80500, keep the base position. Discuss again if the rebound holds above 82200. $ETH $ZEC
#9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息 The main force/market makers of platform coins are like ducks sensing the warming of the spring river. $BNB conducted an orderly "triple top divergence" style distribution before the market downturn.First, note the position of $TAO, then discuss the view: current price 270.6, about 5.95% away from the 1-hour support at 254.5, and about 8.76% away from resistance at 294.3.
$TAO price is moving, but volume hasn't confirmed this move, which is more noteworthy than the 24-hour -6.72%. The 1-hour and 4-hour charts are both weak, with RSI at 35 and 30 respectively.
I only keep one confirmation for an upward move — a breakout above 294.3; and only one condition to negate it downward — a drop below 254.5. Other fluctuations are considered noise for now.
If you had to pick one validation point first, would you watch for resistance confirmation or support breakdown?
The above is market observation and does not constitute investment advice. This is from Crypto Bull.$BTC, $ETH, and $SOL can represent three different perspectives: BTC anchors the market cycle, ETH reflects the overall capital flow in the crypto ecosystem, and SOL shows the capital activity intensity of high-performance public chains. Observing these three coins together provides a better judgment of whether the high-performance L1 sector has formed a sustained trend than simply watching the price movements of a single coin.
#ETF仍在流入，BTC为何下跌？
#黄金ETF创纪录吸金，高利率仍压制金价
#Solana代币化股票9月交易量突破44亿美元 $BTC ｜Stop blaming the Federal Reserve! This round of decline hides truths many haven't seen 🤫
After reviewing 72 hours of on-chain data, it turns out that BTC's drop from 87,000 to 81,000, which looks like a macro-driven selloff, is essentially a liquidity hunt.
Everyone is discussing negatives like US debt, ETF outflows, and rising oil prices, but these factors have long existed. The fact they all intensified at the 87,000 peak is actually for a reason.
There are two obvious anomalies on-chain:
Three days before the crash, a large number of retail traders opened long positions between 85,000–87,000, mostly with 3-5x leverage, rapidly accumulating long positions. After the drop, whale wallets aggressively scooped up around 81,000-82,000, with a net inflow of about 12,000 BTC in 48 hours, worth nearly 1 billion USD.
Simply put, after enough longs piled up at the top, the market was dumped to liquidate retail positions, and whales then picked up the bloodied chips.
To judge when the harvest is nearing its end, watch for three signals: a clear drop in contract open interest, funding rates turning from negative to positive, and large stablecoin inflows into exchanges. Currently, open interest has dropped 18%, and negative funding rates are gradually narrowing.
Of course, this is not a call to bottom-fish immediately, just sharing data.
While most are busy looking for reasons for the drop, smart money has been quietly accumulating.
#ETF仍在流入，BTC为何下跌？ $ETH EZC's one month of persistence was ruined by luck. Always thinking the market would recover, unwilling to cut losses, stubbornly holding onto floating losses. In just a few days, liquidation happened, and the principal was wiped out. The market does not sympathize with illusions; holding a position is not patience, it's gambling. This lesson is remembered: the market is unpredictable, risk control comes first, never heavily invest and stubbornly hold. Protect the principal to have a chance to trade. I've held $SOL for almost a month now, breaking even after a 6u loss.
At its worst, it dropped over 70u. Originally, that would have been something to be happy about.
Unfortunately, I bought a large amount of spot at 114 and got stuck.
SOL really is disappointing, it falls but doesn't rise, the trend is extremely weak.
With a project like this, it still wants to dominate other public chains? Competing with Arc?
$SOL has rebounded a bit now. If this trend continues,
and it holds above 114 and keeps going up, then this rebound can be considered truly started.
#ETF仍在流入，BTC为何下跌？