Orbit Post Sitemap
Brothers, damn, seeing this position I was stunned. This guy really can hold on. 😀😀😀😀😀
BTC short opened at 76152, now 82500, floating loss of 18.55 million dollars. ETH short opened at 2322, now 2490, floating loss of 19.19 million dollars. SOL short opened at 94, now 110, floating loss of 11.52 million dollars. Just these three coins, floating loss is nearly 50 million USD.
I think this is not trading at all, this is faith-based shorting. Shorted from 76k to 82k, holding more as it rises, lost 50 million and still holding on. The liquidation price is far away, BTC won't liquidate until 137k, ETH until 3875, which means the margin is thick enough.
But I think this is a negative example. The trend is clearly upward, yet he insists on shorting against the trend, losing 50 million and still not leaving. No matter how thick the funds are, they can't withstand holding on like this.
We ordinary retail investors should not learn this. If the direction is wrong, cut losses in time, don't hold on stubbornly. 😂😂😂😂
#9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息 #BTC现货ETF创近三个半月最大单日净流出 #跟着OKX打卡2049 $BTC $ETH $ZEC 💥From making a huge profit of 500,000 to nearly zero on the 18th day.
30 days to multiply 30 times and wildly earn 500,000, only to be brutally knocked back to reality by ZEC in just a few days!
A rude awakening, painfully heartbreaking!
After reviewing the recap, it’s all blood and tears: 30x leverage isolated margin, going long all the way, betting on rebounds all the way, getting buried all the way. Single losses were all above several thousand U, and within just over ten hours on October 2nd alone, three orders lost more than 14,000 U in smoke.
Always thought I could bottom-fish, but the market bottom-fished me instead. Always respect the market; don’t let money earned by luck be lost by skill. The trend of ZEC in the past half month has taught me a thorough lesson: misreading the direction can really be fatal. When the direction is wrong, the harder you try, the more desperate you become.
Writing this down as a warning and encouragement to you: go with the trend, control leverage, staying alive is more important than anything.
Spent nearly a week calming down, working hard to control my hands, protecting the only profits I have, waiting for the opportunity to strike again! $ZEC The support level is higher than the resistance level, so this trade can't be analyzed.
Someone marked two positions for $ETH.
Support at 2,480, resistance at 2,430.
How this number is calculated:
Resistance should be above the price, support below.
Now it's reversed, indicating one number was copied incorrectly.
Common misreading:
It's the same for $BTC, with 81,000 as support and 85,000 as resistance.
There is a $4,000 gap between the two numbers.
Within this range, price moving up or down doesn't count as a breakout.
Those calling long or short are actually waiting for the same thing.
Verify the numbers first, then discuss direction.
Otherwise, if stop-loss is set incorrectly, you won't even realize it yourself.
#BTC现货ETF创近三个半月最大单日净流出 $ETH $BTC $ZEC advises brothers who short meme coins to definitely set stop losses, otherwise you'll end up like me, holding losses dozens of times over and stuck for two months. Fortunately, ZEC doesn't charge funding fees like those meme coins used to, or I would have been liquidated long ago. Recently, many altcoins have been pumping hard; it's been a few months since rave and lab, those hundred-bagger coins, so another one might appear soon. Brothers who want to short, remember to set stop losses and don't stubbornly hold $MAGIC $ETH $AAVE
AAVE's recovery is stronger than ETH's; has the lending business independently strengthened?
Today's early morning spot 24-hour observation window: range 164.49—172.29 USDT, change +2.04%, trading volume approximately 4.59 million USDT.
Within the same window, the price recovery is greater, providing relative performance evidence but not directly proving an increase in lending utilization or revenue. Business demand, collateral quality, and risk costs determine profits and cannot be replaced by token price gains.
If risk indicators worsen or gains are quickly reversed, first reduce the business-driven explanation; if utilization and revenue improvements can be verified and 172.29 is reclaimed and held, then increase the weight of independent recovery.$NEAR 💲
All market is red and NEAR is back at the top of its box. fourth try at 5.50. my buy at 4.80 missed by a hair this morning, not chasing it up here.
#SepFOMCMinutesHikeWatch #BTCETFBiggestOutflow #OKXToken2049CheckIn Two days before last year's crash, I was very anxious and kept asking myself whether to liquidate my positions. At that time, I had quite a bit of BNB, hesitated for a while, but eventually sold it all. Not long after, the market crashed.
Today, talking about this crash again, I suddenly remembered those few days before I liquidated. Did you reduce your positions back then?Conclusion first: CAP is up 25% today, not driven by leverage squeeze, but by spot buying.
Yesterday, the 4H chart hovered around 0.073 all day. Starting early this morning, volume picked up: at 04:00, the 4H candle jumped 11% to 0.087; at 08:00, volume surged 10 times, pushing the price to 0.0998, nearly touching 0.10. Afterwards, it retraced twice to around 0.080 but did not break below the breakout starting point.
Three numbers show where the money came from: ① 24h trading volume is 96 million USD, more than 10 times the daily average of recent days; ② funding rate is 0.00005, almost at the baseline, meaning leverage is negligible—buying is mainly spot; ③ open interest is only 5 million USD, volume is 19 times OI, indicating chips have completely changed hands.
Cap is a covered credit protocol (digital USD + credit + collateral market) with a market cap of 140 million USD. No official announcements were found today; this is a catalyst-free structural move—such moves give you no reason and no prior warning.
Two key levels: 0.10 is today's high and a psychological level; 0.080 is the retracement low. Holding 0.080 means the step is valid.
Do you think 0.10 can be surpassed today? $CAP$BTC
This sharp drop has left a clean imbalance zone — and such zones usually don't stay empty for long. Aggressive moves like this sweep away liquidity during the decline, and prices often come back to fill the gap left behind.
Liquidity has gradually accumulated near that area, making it a magnet for short-term retracements.
If the price re-enters the imbalance zone, I expect at least a slight resistance. That price level was a pivot point in the previous range and also coincides with the golden pocket area of this sell-off move. There are double reasons to pay attention.
The plan is simple: wait for the price to fill the gap, then observe its reaction at that level. If it holds, that's your signal. If it clearly breaks down, reassess. But first, be patient and wait for it to come to you. $BTC $ETH $SOL Another hot topic in the XRP community last night: treasury company Evernorth completed its SPAC merger, effectively gaining a public market financing channel through a reverse merger.
This opens up an additional compliant entry point for XRP—institutions don’t need to hold the coins directly but can indirectly allocate XRP assets through a listed company, with a playstyle almost identical to previous Bitcoin treasury companies.
Some in the community see this as a second leg beyond an XRP spot ETF. The short-term price hasn’t moved much, but the narrative has definitely turned a new page.
A good story alone doesn’t count; in the end, it depends on how much real money flows in. $XRP$DOGE 50x short, entered at 0.08701, currently at 0.08576, floating profit 71.83%.
Hey brother, you know how Dogecoin is—big name, ruthless whales, and the fastest spikes. A 50x short position can grab 70% floating profit; caught the previous dip, but now it's flat and grinding, showing signs of a rebound. The cost line at 0.08701 above isn't far, and DOGE can wipe out profits with a single spike. $BTC $ETH
I advise you not to be greedy, take out most of the profit first, then set stop loss just above 0.08701 to break even, and watch the base position at 0.084. Dogecoin has no shortage of volatility, but 50x leverage leaves very little room for error. It's safer to pocket profits than to wait for a pullback and regret it. #9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息 If $BTC wants to replicate the "UPTober" rally, it needs to replay the cycle patterns of 2023 and 2024.
That is, first a pullback of about 8%, followed by a parabolic rise.Big Brother Maji went all in this time, and the giant whale's heavy short positions were directly exposed.
BTC, ETH, and SOL are all shorted, with unrealized losses close to 50 million U.
The latest on-chain position screenshots have leaked. This time, unlike the previous long-short hedging, it's a pure short setup, holding large short positions simultaneously in the three major mainstream assets. This is one of the most closely watched giant whale positions recently.
Breaking down the three positions:
BTC short, 5x full position. Holding -2853.38 BTC, position value 240 million U. Opening average price 76152.4, unrealized loss -19.1163 million U, funding income +2.34 million U. Margin 47.2816 million U, liquidation price 136650.4.
ETH short, 5x full position. Holding -111,800 ETH, position value 280 million U. Opening average price 2322.63, unrealized loss -19.4834 million U, funding income +3.5235 million U. Margin 55.8315 million U, liquidation price 3858.86.
SOL short, 10x full position. Holding -741,900 SOL, position value 81.5013 million U. Opening average price 94.3122, unrealized loss -11.528 million U, funding income +3.6148 million U. Margin 8.1501 million U, liquidation price 311.83.
Combined, the three positions have unrealized losses close to 50 million U. But funding fees are also being earned, totaling nearly 10 million U.
This position will either become legendary or be completely wiped out. BTC现报82778美元！日线空头没走，4小时多头却开始反击！今天这盘面很有意思：大趋势承压，短线买盘回暖。谁还在无脑追空，谁就可能被反弹教育！ 【昨日复盘：观点偏空，行情尚未验证交易结果】 昨天明确日线偏空、短线警惕逼空，计划83500—83900承压做空，止损84480，止盈82700、81700、80700。今天24小时最高83289，最低82235，均未覆盖昨日入场区间。因此在已提供的24小时行情范围内，昨日计划没有触发，不能宣称止盈！短线反弹的警告得到一定验证，但偏空交易尚无实际结果。没有成交就没有收益，绝不马后炮！ 【技术面：4小时转强，日线仍弱】 4小时收盘82839，重新站上MA5、MA10、MA20！MACD DIF为-485，DEA为-597，柱值转正至+224，说明短线空头动能明显衰减，多头开始夺回主动权！ 但日线仍是另一番景象。收盘82834，低于MA5的83629、MA10的84171及MA20的84092。日线MACD柱值-1088，较昨日-1028继续走弱！短线反弹不等于趋势反转，84090附近仍是多空必须争夺的关键区域。 【市场情绪：买盘反击，多头账户仍This $ATH is currently at a stage that feels exactly like a pot of broth that has just had its scum skimmed off—calm on the surface, while the gelatinous base is quietly thickening.
It only moved 0.44% in 24 hours, cooking on a heat even gentler than a simmer. Outsiders yawn at this, but seasoned chefs understand: a true broth is never made by boiling hard; it’s about time coaxing the flavor out of the bones bit by bit. The RSI short-term cycle has already dropped to 31.1, while the long-term cycle is still at 48.2, a lukewarm state—not half-cooked, but the main ingredient hasn’t released its flavor yet, and the fishy smell is starting to rise.
Looking at the Bollinger Bands at the bottom of the pot: the short-term price is sitting at -6%, just 0.1% away from the lower band, almost scraping the bottom and burning. The mid-term is even more intriguing, with the price at the lower 25% range, still 2.4% room above the lower band. In kitchen terms—this fish just went into the pan, the skin isn’t crispy yet, and flipping it too soon will just turn it into mush.
What’s my trading style? Wait. Wait for the price to pull back another 3.5%, reaching my preset cut-off point, which is the signal around 38. Only then will this $ATH be like a properly acid-relaxed, temperature-stabilized filet—cutting it won’t cause bleeding, and it will have a chewy texture.
📈 Long:
Entry: Limit order at current price minus 3.5%
Take Profit 1: +5.4%
Take Profit 2: +7.3%
Stop Loss: -13.2%
Look closely, the risk-to-reward ratio of this dish is about 1 to 2.5, but that 13.2% stop loss is the super spicy chili in the pot—adding a spoonful enhances the flavor, but half a jar will burn your guts. The kind of traders I hate most are those who shout "buy the dip" while recklessly sprinkling leverage like Sichuan peppercorns. They’re not cooking; they’re demolishing the kitchen, and in the end, they can’t even save the stove.
As for position sizing: $ATH, a small to mid-cap, is at most a "pinch of freshly ground black pepper" in my pot—there to season, not the main dish. The mainstream coins are the old hen that holds down the pot, altcoins add aroma, and leveraged contracts only flicker on the tip of the tongue. Those who treat altcoins as the main course and contracts as the staple will end up serving a plate of charred ashes.
I’ve already checked the pot’s temperature, oil level, and ingredient freshness. The knife is sharpened, just waiting for that 3.5% pullback to bring this ingredient onto my cutting board.
If the heat isn’t right, I won’t flip the pan; if the chili isn’t fragrant, I won’t get in the pot. #跟着OKX打卡2049 The November Tokyo Summit hasn't started yet, but the South China Sea—East China Sea—Tokyo Bay have already formed a line: Japan is reaching out to Vietnam, not to reminisce, but as a "anti-fragile puzzle"
Japan plans to hold a summit with Vietnam in Tokyo in November, with just two agenda items: energy and security. To translate—Tokyo fears a Trump-style "US withdrawal" too harsh, Hanoi fears the neighbor filling islands in the South China Sea is too close, so the two sides quickly agree: you provide me with supply chains and a South China Sea foothold, I give you electricity, ships, loans, and a script for "building factories without relying on China."
These three layers are the most practical:
Energy: Vietnam lacks base-load power, fears power outages in the dry season, wants to develop LNG + offshore wind power + grid interconnection; Japanese trading companies (JERA, Mitsubishi, Mitsui) bring ODA and steam turbines, conveniently pushing back some shares from "PowerChina/Shanghai Electric";
Security: Japan provides coast guard ships, radar, satellite data, and cyber defense training; Vietnam turns Cam Ranh Bay, Da Nang, and Nansha fisheries administration information into "shared sensors"—not allied, but stickier than an alliance;
Supply chain: semiconductor packaging, electronics factories, textile fabrics "China+1" continues moving south; Japan supplies equipment/materials, Vietnam provides labor and bonded zones; the US nods, China frowns. Conclusion first: CAP is up 25% today, not driven by leverage squeeze, but by spot buying.
Yesterday, the 4H chart hovered around 0.073 all day. Starting early this morning, volume picked up: at 04:00, the 4H candle jumped 11% to 0.087; at 08:00, volume surged 10 times, pushing the price to 0.0998, nearly touching 0.10. Afterwards, it retraced twice to around 0.080 but did not break below the breakout starting point.
Three numbers show where the money came from: ① 24h trading volume is 96 million USD, more than 10 times the daily average of recent days; ② funding rate is 0.00005, almost at the baseline, meaning leverage is negligible—buying is mainly spot; ③ open interest is only 5 million USD, volume is 19 times OI, indicating chips have completely changed hands.
Cap is a covered credit protocol (digital USD + credit + collateral market) with a market cap of 140 million USD. No official announcements were found today; this is a catalyst-free structural move—such moves give you no reason and no prior warning.
Two key levels: 0.10 is today's high and a psychological level; 0.080 is the retracement low. Holding 0.080 means the step is valid.
Do you think 0.10 can be surpassed today? $CAPDon't be fooled by the +2.12% sinus rhythm; this $ACH coronary artery is already showing intermittent dissection. The 1-hour RSI at 65.1 is not recovery but the last compensation before a sympathetic storm.
The 24-hour +2.12% can only be considered as blood pressure barely maintained by antihypertensive drugs; the real lesion lies in the separation between short-term overbought and long-term hypoperfusion: the short RSI at 65.1 has crossed the warning line of 64, while the long RSI at 41.7 remains in the inferior ischemic zone, and the ECG remodeling is not complete.
Bollinger Bands short-term cycle shows price at 114%, just -0.3% from the upper band and +2.7% from the lower band, indicating excessive ventricular wall tension, prone to rupture at any time; the mid-term cycle is at 72%, +1.3% from the upper band and +3.5% from the lower band, with compressed upper space, and the perfusion gradient does not support further elevation.
The sell signal is not emotion but the monitor alarm: RSI1H > 64, short-term overbought, while the long-term does not follow. Chasing more at this point is like performing CPR on a heart at the edge of rupture—the more you press, the more it leaks.
Plan: wait for a pullback to the rebound zone at current price +1.8% to short, similar to first blocking the backflow then cutting open; stop loss set at current price +11.2%, which is the threshold for fatal cardiac tamponade—stop operations if crossed.
📉 Short:
Entry: current price +1.8% (approx. $0.00)
Take Profit 1: current price -4.7% (approx. $0.00)
Take Profit 2: current price -3.4% (approx. $0.00)
Stop Loss: current price +11.2% (approx. $0.00)
If the price cannot hold the upper band, all the +2.12% rise is just postoperative chills, not cardiac output recovery. #coinmovealert$BTC
This sharp drop has left a clean imbalance zone — and such zones usually don't stay empty for long. Aggressive moves like this sweep away liquidity during the decline, and prices often come back to fill the gap left behind.
Liquidity has gradually accumulated near that area, making it a magnet for short-term retracements.
If the price re-enters the imbalance zone, I expect at least a slight resistance. That price level was a pivot point in the previous range and also coincides with the golden pocket area of this sell-off move. There are double reasons to pay attention.
The plan is simple: wait for the price to fill the gap, then observe its reaction at that level. If it holds, that's your signal. If it clearly breaks down, reassess. But first, be patient and wait for it to come to you. $BTC $ETH $SOL Robinhood and T. Rowe Price, which manages about $1.9 trillion in assets, are exploring bringing actively managed ETFs onto the chain through Robinhood Chain.
What truly deserves attention is not just the tokenization of ETFs, but that "active management" is also beginning to attempt entering the chain.
In the past, it was easier for passive products to go on-chain because index rules are relatively clear.
Active management requires fund managers to continuously make judgments and adjust portfolios. Moving a basket of stocks onto the chain is not difficult; the challenge is how to credibly execute, verify, and settle human investment decisions.
Who has the authority to adjust the portfolio? How is the adjustment executed? How do users verify? How are assets settled?
This is no longer just asset tokenization; it is an attempt to transform the execution layer of asset management.
More importantly, the participants: when traditional asset management institutions start seriously studying on-chain products, it indicates that on-chain finance is evolving from a Crypto experimental field into an infrastructure worthy of study by traditional finance.
What truly deserves attention is not who is shouting about going on-chain, but who is seriously researching how to go on-chain. NEAR at $5.35, are you going to chase it?
Bitwise's spot ETF just launched yesterday, and NEAR has surged from 1.6 to 5.35 in three months, up 235%. But the 5.40-5.60 range has been a bottleneck three times already. Is this rally the start of the “ETF bull run,” or the last hurrah after all the good news?
Have you been watching NEAR rise from 1.6 to 5.35 but hesitated to get in? Now that the ETF is live, you’re even more anxious—chase it and fear catching the bag; don’t chase it and fear it shooting straight to 10.
Here’s a harsh truth: at this level, chasing the high is for the brave, waiting for a pullback is for the smart.
First glance: up 235%, but stuck at 5.4.
NEAR started at $1.6 in August, rose over 140% in 30 days, market cap hit $7.2 billion, breaking into the top 20, surpassing Stellar. Q3 saw a 198% increase, compared to Bitcoin’s 43% and Ethereum’s 71% in the same period. The candlesticks show a solid daily bullish trend, but short-term it’s repeatedly testing resistance between 5.40-5.60, with 5.35 stuck in the middle—uncomfortable territory.
First point: ETF launched, but the good news might already be priced in.
Bitwise’s spot NEAR ETF (ticker NRR) debuted on the NYSE on October 9, the first of its kind. Sounds explosive? But look at the market—on launch day, the price didn’t break 5.6, instead hovered around 5.3.
Why? Because people buy the expectation and sell the reality. This rise from 1.6 to 5.35 was driven by ETF anticipation. Once the ETF is actually live, early investors are ready to sell to you.
The ETF isn’t a starting gun; it’s an invitation from institutions—but when the invitation arrives, half the feast is already eaten.
Not saying ETFs are useless; in the long term, institutional access is opening. But in the short term, don’t rush in on the day the good news is realized to be just part of the hype.
Second point: up 140%, can the fundamentals support it?
NEAR’s fundamentals are solid among public chains:
Intents cumulative transaction volume exceeds $30 billion, annual fees about $45 million
Some revenue flows back for buybacks
Hits several hot spots: AI agents, chain abstraction, privacy transactions
The “default confidential” perpetual contract in cooperation with Hyperliquid surged 27% on September 17 alone
But here’s the problem: a $7.2 billion market cap corresponds to $45 million in annual fees—is it expensive?
Yes. Very expensive. This valuation prices in “future growth,” and any signal of growth falling short will trigger sell-offs.
More painfully—no single announcement fully explains this rally. Meaning, a lot of it is driven by sentiment and capital flows. Sentiment comes fast and goes fast.
Third point: technicals say chasing the high now has very low cost-effectiveness.
NEAR’s recent rise is a “stepwise climb,” with pullbacks confirming each breakout. But recent days’ rallies were accompanied by short squeeze liquidations—on October 5 and 6 there were short squeezes. What does this mean? Part of the rise was pushed by shorts stopping out, not pure buying pressure.
Key levels:
Strong resistance: 5.47-5.60 (October 1 high + psychological barrier)
Upside targets: 6.0 → 6.5-7.0
Near-term support: 5.00-5.10 (bull-bear dividing line)
Mid-term support: 4.70-4.84 (buying zone)
Strong support: 4.24-4.43 (launch platform, break weakens trend)
Currently at 5.35, just 0.25 below resistance at 5.60, but 0.35 above support at 5.0. Upside room is small, downside room is larger. You do the math.
Bull vs. bear, you decide:
On the bull side:
First spot ETF launched, institutional access opened
Q3 up 198%, market cap top 20, strong capital narrative
Intents real revenue, AI + privacy + chain abstraction narrative combined
Daily bullish trend intact
On the bear side:
ETF good news priced in, risk of buying expectation and selling reality
30-day 140% rise, large sentiment and capital-driven component
Valuation $7.2 billion vs. $45 million fees, expensive
Failed three times at 5.40-5.60, heavy resistance
Short squeeze-driven rallies, chasing high risks bag holding
October 14 CPI, October 28 Fed meetings, macro bombs ahead
Trading strategies
Plan A: Buy on pullback (preferred)
Entry: staggered 4.95-5.10
Stop loss: close below 4.65
Targets: 5.60 → 6.0 → 6.5
Plan B: Follow breakout
Condition: 4-hour or daily close above 5.60 with volume
Entry: pullback 5.45-5.55 holds
Stop loss: below 5.20
Targets: 6.0-6.4
Plan C: Light short against trend (experienced only)
Condition: 5.45-5.60 spike with long upper wick or volume stall, ETF inflows below expectations
Stop loss: above 5.75
Targets: 5.0 → 4.85, quick in and out
Current 5.35 status: not recommended to chase long. If holding longs, reduce positions gradually at 5.50-5.60, move stop loss to above 5.00.
Risk control iron rules (must memorize)
Leverage no more than 3x, single loss controlled within 1-2% of total capital
Watch funding rates and open interest, crowded longs = pullback risk
Reduce positions around October 14 CPI, avoid heavy positions before data release
140% rise in one month, any one-sided conclusion needs caution, 20-30% pullbacks are normal
NEAR rose 235%, you didn’t dare buy; when it falls back to 4, you still won’t buy. Are you here in crypto just to watch?
But remember—don’t be a hero at 5.6, be a hunter at 5.0.
$BTC $ETH $NEAR If CORE's surprise attack succeeds, how to view the upper space?
Core summary in one sentence: A volume surge to firmly hold 0.02011 is only the first step of initiation, not the end. Subsequent resistance levels should be watched step by step. A rise without volume is just a pulse.
✅ Current market fundamentals
Current price 0.01994, 15-minute VWMA moving averages tightly converged, Supertrend support at 0.01973, short-term bullish structure temporarily holding.
The core contradiction now is very clear: the technical pattern is fully charged, but overall volume is weak.
Whether it can develop into a sustained trend depends first on breaking the 24-hour high at 0.02011.
Stepwise resistance levels
First hurdle: 0.02011 (initiation confirmation level)
This is the immediate watershed.
✅ Valid breakout criteria: the candlestick body closes above this level with volume expanding simultaneously, not a quick spike followed by a rapid fall.
Only a solid close above this level officially opens the upward space; otherwise, it is all considered a bull trap spike.
Second hurdle: 0.0208–0.0212 (first resistance zone)
After breaking 0.02011, the first wave of selling pressure will appear in this range.
This is a previous short-term dense chip area, where a batch of trapped positions may choose to exit, also a key test of bullish strength.
- If volume surges and this zone is directly consumed, it means bullish momentum is sufficient, and the trend has a foundation to continue upward
- If it quickly falls back upon reaching this zone, it indicates just a short-term pulse, unlikely to go far Every time I see this kind of real trading, I can't help but sigh.
Why must you go all-in with high leverage, leaving no room for backup? When the margin is gone, you directly push yourself into a dead end.
I've been gambling for five or six years, liquidated about ten times, and have paid a lot in tuition fees. The final takeaway is just one sentence: you must control your position size.
On October 11 last year, I was fully invested and didn't get liquidated. As long as you're still at the table, there's a chance to earn it back.
My $BTC long position at 110,000 can hold until 20,000. My $ETH long position at over 4,800 can hold until 800. My $OKB long position at 200 can hold until zero.
This is not boasting; it's the confidence that position sizing gives.After 12 years as a "tip", DOGE is switching careers to become fuel
After twelve years, DOGE is gaining a new identity: fuel.
DogeOS public testnet is live. An application layer compatible with mainstream virtual machines, it can support transactions, lending, and games on top, with the key point being that transaction fees are paid in DOGE. Previously, this coin had only two uses: tipping and transfers. Once applications take off, it will be the fuel, burning the coin.
I have seen DOGE's earliest "application." In 2014, there was a tipping bot where people tossed coins in the comment section, starting from a thousand coins, filling the screen. Back then, no one talked about ecosystems, it was just for fun. Who would have thought that twelve years later, someone would seriously build an application layer on this chain.
I'll also play the skeptic: the mainnet launch date is not set, and even if the testnet becomes usable, there are many hurdles in between. It's too early to draw conclusions if this cake doesn't get baked.
But I hear the encouraging voices. Some are writing contracts for it, some are building virtual machines for it, and transaction fees are still recognized in $DOGE. The coin has a new destination, not just lying in wallets as a souvenir.
The chain is growing, and I can wait.$WAL 10x short position! Floating profit 53.01%! Entered at 0.03867, price retraced to 0.03662, heavy selling pressure above, bulls' counterattack is weak!
10x leverage yields steady profits but can't be careless; a sharp rally can wipe out gains. Now that the profit is in hand, most positions are locked in, stop loss at 0.0378 to protect the base position, small positions continue to look for a decline.
What you hold in hand is the real profit, don't hold losing positions or be greedy. First, pocket the gains, base positions play it by ear, sleep well tonight! #9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息 $ETH $MAGIC Altcoin hotspots are focused on event-driven and sector rotation. The most eye-catching today is Kaia (KAIA), with a 24-hour increase of 50%-60% or more (some data reaching 55%-64%), with the price rising from around $0.037 to the $0.055-$0.060 range. The core catalyst is South Korea's largest exchange Upbit announcing the launch of KAIA trading pairs in KRW, BTC, and USDT, significantly boosting retail liquidity and trading volume in Asia (some platforms saw trading volume surge by dozens of times), accompanied by a sharp rise in perpetual contract open interest. This is a typical "exchange listing-driven" market, with strong short-term sentiment but requiring attention to profit-taking pressure. $STRK finally broke through this time! The 50x long position entered at the 0.07099 bottom, now the mark price has risen to 0.07565, with an unrealized profit of +328.21%. This coin had a pretty brutal drop earlier, the chips were cleaned out early, and recently small-cap rotation funds have been flowing into the low levels. It took off accordingly, squeezing shorts without giving a decent pullback like $SOL.
No hype on the operation, holding firmly on the bottom logic feels comfortable. Now lock in most of the profits, move the stop loss to the cost line for the remaining position, and hold the base position to aim for previous highs. Don’t be greedy with 50x at this level; if you haven’t gotten on board, don’t chase out of envy, wait for a pullback confirmation before entering again. $ZEC #OpenAI营收口径引争议，AI投资回报受关注 "The 1st Anniversary of the '1011 Crash': BTC Dropped 33%, Are Leverage Traders Still Repeating the Same Mistakes?
Brothers, tomorrow marks the unforgettable moment of the brutal '1011 Crash' in the crypto world. BTC plummeted from around 122,000 USD to 105,000 USD, with over 19 billion USD liquidated within 24 hours. A year has passed, BTC has dropped a total of 33%, now hovering around 82,000 USD, increasingly distant from its previous highs.
The biggest takeaway from this market move for me is one sentence: the market doesn't necessarily lose to bad news, but it easily dies from leverage.
At that time, open contracts at high levels were near historical peaks, many firmly believed in the 'four-year cycle must rise' and went all-in on direction. When the market reversed, long positions were liquidated in a chain reaction. The problem wasn't necessarily that the long-term logic was wrong, but that the leverage was too high to withstand short-term volatility.
What’s even more alarming is that a year later, perpetual contracts remain the mainstream play, and similar risks have not disappeared. Now, just watching BTC’s price movements is not enough; open interest, funding rates, and market sentiment are equally worth attention. Overconcentrated positions mean even a slight disturbance can trigger a stampede.
Currently, BTC price is fluctuating slightly around 82,700 USD, consolidating within a range on the 4-hour chart, with average volume. If the extreme one-sided positions from a year ago reappear, similar level volatility could happen at any time. The crypto world has never been a place where 'surviving once means safety'; managing position size is always more important than predicting the next market move.
Don’t blindly trust the four-year cycle, and don’t blindly believe bottom-fishing guarantees profit. You can be wrong about the market, but your position size must never be out of control. Always keep some cards to play!"$MAGIC Twenty times short! Floating profit 112.75%! Opened position at 0.11192, dipped to 0.10561, multiple rebounds weak, bears are strong online!
20x leverage is a double-edged sword, the biggest fear is a sudden rebound triggering stop loss. Now locking in profits at a large scale, stop loss set at 0.109 to support the base position, small position to bet on further decline.
Take profits while you can, don't hold leveraged positions too long. First harvest most of the profits, watch the base position, finish steadily! #9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息 $ZEC $DOGE $BTC has shrunk to the extreme, this market is getting more and more interesting!
Watching the market at 10 PM, Bitcoin is currently at 82,789, down slightly by 0.09% in 24 hours.
Don’t be fooled by the small price fluctuations; if you look closely at the data, the changes are significant.
The most obvious signal is the volume contraction. The 24-hour trading volume has dropped sharply from 283 million USDT in the afternoon to 193 million USDT now.
The moving averages on the 1-hour chart (MA5 to MA30) are almost all converged tightly between 82,700 and 82,800, and the MACD is flat—this is a classic sign of a "pre-breakout night."
The 83,000 level above is a short-term strong resistance, while 82,200 below is the recent solid support.
But one detail worth noting: news shows that in the past 72 hours, whales have increased their holdings by about 15,000 BTC and over 166,000 ETH. Large funds are quietly accumulating during this sideways market, which contrasts sharply with the stagnant price action.
The current market situation is: retail investors are asleep, while big players are secretly buying.
After such an extreme volume contraction, it’s often followed by a large volume breakout candle.
The key levels to watch remain 83,000 and 82,200; whichever breaks first will reveal the direction.Buying Bitcoin with 20 dollars eventually built a crypto empire.
Xu Mingxing first noticed Bitcoin, reportedly just because he watched the American TV series "The Good Wife."
Others saw just a line of dialogue,
but he saw a whole new world.
Then, he began studying Bitcoin's mechanism and bought his first batch of BTC when the price was still under 20 dollars.
What truly changed his life was not just "buying early."
In 2013, the Bitcoin market exploded, but the trading platforms at the time had very poor user experience.
Customer service was hard to find, systems lagged, and trading was not smooth...
His choice was simple:
If others couldn't do it well, then he would do it himself.
Thus, OKCoin was born.
From studying physics and working in technology, to entering Bitcoin, and then founding a crypto trading platform, Xu Mingxing's journey reminds me of a saying:
What truly creates the gap between people is often not the opportunity itself, but whether you seriously study it when it appears.
In 2011, many thought BTC was a scam;
In 2013, many thought exchanges were just niche businesses;
Looking back more than a decade later, everything seems "obvious."
But the question is—
When the next opportunity like Bitcoin appears, will we really recognize it?
Sometimes, the starting point that changes destiny might really just be a 20-dollar try.
$BTC $OKB 🔐 $93M reportedly stolen from 315 wallets!
🚨
The Ledger-related incident involving distributor CryptoBilis remains under investigation. Reports cite six affected blockchains, suspicious TRON authorizations, 203.8 $BTC stolen, and $10M USDT frozen by Tether.
The cause remains unconfirmed, and claims of malicious chips are unverified.
⚠️ If affected, follow official security guidance, use a trusted device with a new recovery phrase, and never share your seed phrase. $BAT 20x short position secured! Floating profit 120.65%! Opened short at 0.14007, price dropped to 0.13162, rebound under pressure, bears dominate!
Anyone trading 20x leverage knows that a sudden sharp spike can wipe out profits quickly. Now prioritizing locking in most of the gains, stop loss set at 0.136 to protect the base position, remaining position still looking for downside.
Holding onto profits makes a winner, no greed with high leverage trades. Take profits first, base position as it comes, steady finish! #美俄达成柴油供应安排，霍尔木兹风险仍未解 $ETH $ZEC In the past 24 hours, SOL reached a high of $121.42 and dropped to a low of $115.58, with a daily decline of about 3.4%. The current market cap is $68.35 billion, and the 24-hour spot trading volume is $3.112 billion.
Compared to BTC and ETH, SOL's pullback is larger, mainly because the SOL ecosystem is tied to a large number of Meme coins, which have higher risk attributes. When the market weakens, funds prioritize withdrawing from high-volatility sectors.
Data from the futures side shows a significant increase in the liquidation amount of long positions related to SOL in the past 24 hours, with many short-term leveraged positions being liquidated. Although the ecosystem's popularity remains, short-term risk aversion among funds is rising.
Is this round of SOL's pullback a passive sell-off following the broader market, or are funds actively withdrawing from the Solana ecosystem?
#SOL #Solana $STRK more than fifty times! Floating profit 397%!! From 0.07032 to 0.07591, the intraday pullback stabilized the support!
Everyone understands the weight of 50x leverage; a sudden move can easily trigger a stop. Now that the big profit is in hand, lock in profits on most of the position directly, set a stop loss at 0.073 to protect the base position, and watch the upper targets.
Not giving back profits is a victory, hold steady! Don’t be greedy or stubborn with 50x leverage, take the gains first, and let the base position play along casually. Rest easy tonight! #9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息 $BTC $MAGIC $BTC Overall big picture: A few days ago, there was continuous ETF capital outflow, with a sharp drop during the week testing the bottom near 80400. Today is a breather and recovery after the big drop, the rebound is weak, no strong incremental funds entering, narrow consolidation, a "want to push up but dare not, if it drops there are bottom-fishing orders" oscillation pattern. The market fear and greed index has fallen to a neutral range, both bulls and bears are hesitant.
✅ Short-term support: 82200, 80400 (strong support at this week's low)
✅ Short-term resistance: 83400–83800, strong resistance above 85000
Today it held around 82200 with back-and-forth grinding. The hourly chart shows some minor recovery, but the daily chart is still weak. The biggest problem is the rebound volume can't keep up; ETF only slightly returned, no large buy orders to support the bottom.
Only by stabilizing above 83800 is there a chance to test 85000.
If it breaks below 82200 again, it is easy to retest the 80400 low. Once 80400 is effectively broken, the next support is 77000.
$ETH
✅ Short-term support: 2405, 2390
✅ Short-term resistance: 2550, then 2670 (20-day moving average, very heavy resistance)
ETH is a bit weaker than BTC, price is still below multiple short-term moving averages, RSI is low, bears still have momentum.
2550 is the first hurdle; if it can't break through, weak oscillation will continue.
Holding 2405 can maintain range oscillation; effectively breaking 2390 will open a deeper correction space.I couldn't resist today and continued to add to my $PONS position!
Even though I know the price might still dip further, my idea is to gradually adjust my holding cost now to bring the average price closer to the current price. That way, if the market really takes off later, I won't have to rush to buy at a high price during the rally.
Currently, my holding cost has been pushed below 0.4.
If it continues to drift down slowly, I'll consider adjusting in batches based on the market situation and my own funds. Honestly, rather than grinding down a little bit every day, I actually hope it can drop about 10% in one go like a few days ago, to release the short-term selling pressure all at once and at least make the market move more decisively.
Of course, a quick drop doesn't mean it's done falling; no one can predict what will happen next.
Let me also explain why I’m still paying attention to $PONS.
What I value most is its buyback mechanism. In my view, this is a feature that makes the project worth watching, but what really determines its long-term value are actual revenues, buyback execution, and future business development.
A current real issue in the market is that after the Robinhood-related ecosystem and $ARB hype have gradually normalized, related revenue performance has cooled off, and market attention has declined accordingly. This might be one of the key factors affecting $PONS’s recent price, but whether there are other reasons still needs to be observed.
The hardest part of investing is never just believing in a project, but staying rational during market downturns.
Patience is important, but patience does not mean unconditional holding to death Core-BTCFi (Bitcoin Finance) BTCFi is the entire Core narrative: releasing dormant BTC liquidity, creating Bitcoin-native DeFi, relying on Satoshi-Plus hybrid consensus, inheriting Bitcoin's computing security while also possessing EVM smart contract capabilities. The system mainly consists of several parts: BTC non-custodial staking, liquid staking LstBTC, colending lending, SatPay payments, and BTC native DEX/derivatives. ✅BTCFi Highlights (Bullish Logic) 1. Non-custodial BTC staking is the biggest selling point. By leveraging Bitcoin's CLTV time lock, users do not need to transfer their BTC to third-party custody; their BTC remains locked on the Bitcoin chain and can participate in Core network staking to earn CORE rewards, differing from WBTC/cBTC custodial encapsulated BTC. Launched LstBTC liquid staking certificates, where staking BTC yields on-chain certificates and allows users to continue lending and trading in DeFi, solving the pain point of losing liquidity through staking lock. 2. Security narrative: Leverages massive Bitcoin computing power for network consensus, focusing on "Bitcoin-level secure DeFi," EVM compatible, allowing ordinary EVM developers to migrate to BTCFi applications. 3. Complete product blueprint: Staking - lending - trading - real-world payment (SatPay debit card), aiming to form a closed loop; The official team hopes to use fees and lending interest income to repurchase CORE and build a token flywheel. 4. Strong track trendThe real advanced way to use hardware wallets is not to buy a more expensive one, but to eliminate "single point of trust" entirely.
Prepare three hardware wallets from different brands: Ledger, OneKey, and Trezor, all purchased from official channels, and generate independent mnemonic phrases for each.
Then use Safe to create a multisig wallet, setting the three devices as owners with a threshold of 2.
This way, even if a single device experiences failure, vulnerability, or private key risk, it cannot alone transfer all assets.
Why different brands?
Because if multiple devices share the same design flaws, software vulnerabilities, or supply chain risks, replacing three devices of the same brand might just replicate the same risk three times.
Different brands truly diversify the "source of failure."
Finally, test deposits, withdrawals, and multisig processes with small amounts first. After confirming everything works properly, consider storing large amounts of assets.
Multisig doesn't eliminate attacks but makes single-point risks non-fatal.Simply unbelievable.
$BTC plunged sharply from $83,500 to $80,300 yesterday, triggering about $1 billion in long liquidations.
Then today,
$BTC rebounded and broke through $83,400, once again triggering about $220 million in short liquidations.
Currently, there is considerable liquidity in the $78,000 - $80,000 range below $BTC, which may become the target for the next sweep.
Meanwhile, the liquidation cluster accumulated in the $83,500 - $88,000 range above $BTC is nearly three times the size of that below.
Market makers are cleansing market participants in both directions.I started playing with $MAGIC very early on.
At that time, there was a very popular blockchain game called "Lighthouse" which was quite fun.
You fight for equipment in the game, and the equipment can be exchanged for coins.
Many people played it back then, so the coin's price increased significantly, and then I stopped paying attention.
Now with this wave of price increase, could blockchain games be making a comeback?
Compared to the amount back then, the current amount is basically a bargain.
Yesterday's increase was about 50%, and today another 10+ percent, which is rare.
Keep in mind that $BTC is still falling, and $ETH is also dropping.
The mainstream is declining, but this one actually manages to reverse the trend, which is quite something.
#9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息 There is a saying in the crypto community that keeps getting proven true: the richer your wallet, the more you should learn to keep quiet.
True veterans, with millions of USDT lying in their accounts, never show their faces when traveling abroad, and always blur their photos; on the contrary, those who constantly show off their lifestyle, watches, and travel itineraries have long moved their families and assets to Malaysia.
In today's environment, a single location tag or a group photo screenshot can easily be reported by someone, and having a lot of money becomes a vulnerability. Flaunting wealth doesn't earn respect; it only hands over risks.
Keeping quiet is the only way to protect your positions and your whereabouts. $BTCThe recent Ledger supply chain security incident has sparked a lot of discussion.
Hardware wallets may seem like they just isolate private keys, but true security actually begins the moment you purchase the device.
Buy from the official website, avoid middlemen; don’t rush to store large assets after receiving the device; update the firmware promptly; keep your mnemonic phrase safe and confirm that your backup can indeed restore your wallet.
The advice to "let it sit for a while after purchase" may seem counterintuitive, but the logic isn’t that waiting alone prevents attacks—it’s to allow a window to observe any existing but not yet public supply chain issues.
The significance of buying directly from the official website is clear: it reduces the extra layer of trust involved with distributors.
However, the security of a hardware wallet has never depended solely on the purchase channel.
Device integrity, firmware, private key generation, mnemonic backup, daily authorizations—each link can be a potential risk point.
Buying a hardware wallet doesn’t mean security is achieved; it’s just the beginning of designing your own security strategy.Just about to go to the forum to rant, but then I checked the balance and decided against it. The market daddy is always right. When the market dived intraday, I saw $AAVE's rebound was weak, with obvious resistance above. Every rebound felt like handing food to the shorts. I signaled bearish, entered short positions at the high level, and insufficient support was the best evidence.
Don't get greedy with profits, don't despair over pullbacks.
From 174.09 to 172.56, the short position gained +43.94%. Feeling good, brothers, this profit feels solid. Closed 80% first, kept 20% at cost price as protection. If it continues to drop, let the profits run; don't let gains become uncomfortable.
Don't be greedy for the last bite.
For friends who haven't entered yet, listen to me: now is not the time to rush in. Chasing shorts easily leads to being taught a lesson by rebounds. I'll signal the next more comfortable position as soon as possible. The market isn't short of opportunities, it's short of patience.
$LAB $BNB The number of people putting money on SOL has increased from 4 million to 14 million
During the weekend cleanup, I was crouching on the floor wiping it when my phone rang once. After reading the message, I even forgot to wring out my rag.
Data released on October 8: As of October 7, the number of unique addresses holding stablecoins on Solana has surpassed 14 million. At the beginning of the year, this number was less than 4 million. In just over nine months, it has tripled.
What does this mean? 14 million accounts have real money parked on this chain. Addresses don’t lie; if they come, they come; if they leave, they leave. This is more concrete than any slogan.
My cousin is one of them. She works in Southeast Asia and sends money home every month. She used to use remittance companies, which deducted dozens of dollars. Now, transferring on-chain takes a few seconds with fees of just a few cents. She doesn’t understand what a public chain is, but she knows the money saved is enough to buy two cans of milk powder for her child.
I also wondered: with so many $SOL addresses, could they be fake? Later I realized, faking addresses costs nothing, but putting real money in does. The 14 million addresses hold real money.
My approach remains unchanged: hold, dollar-cost average, and continue being my stubborn bull.$HYPE fifty times short, floating profit 85.89%. Entry at 85.805, now 84.331, fluctuating downward.
Honestly, holding onto nearly doubled floating profits depends on mindset, but a target with HYPE in its name plus 50x leverage is most likely to teach you a lesson when you're proud. Now is the time to be sober—selling is much harder than buying, and when profits are rich, you need a bottom line.
$ETH $BTC
Take profits in batches, push stop loss to cost line as a floor, hold the base position watching 82 according to the trend. Walk away at the best, no regrets if you can't, money in your pocket is truly yours. Don't be greedy with fifty times leverage, skill is shown in knowing when to hold and when to release. #9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息 BTC has been fluctuating above $80,000 these past few days, while altcoins have been rising one day and falling the next.
Besides the macro environment, I think one data point is worth looking at:
ETF money has indeed been flowing out recently.
In the past week, the major US crypto ETFs have had a combined net outflow of about $1.29 billion.
Among them:
BTC ETFs had a net outflow of about $679 million
ETH ETFs had a net outflow of about $542 million
SOL ETFs also saw an outflow of about $25 million
Especially ETH, which had net outflows for five consecutive trading days.
This data at least explains part of the issue:
Why every market rebound recently feels like there is heavy selling pressure above.
When ETFs were continuously flowing in before, it was like new funds were coming in daily to buy.
Now that funds are flowing out, the market naturally needs more other buyers to absorb it.
But it's not all bad news.
On Friday, BTC ETFs saw a net inflow of about $21.1 million again. Although the amount is not large, it at least ended the obvious outflows of the previous two days.
So what I’m more focused on now is not:
Whether BTC will rise or fall tomorrow.
But whether ETF funds can continuously flow back in.
If we see again:
Continuous net inflows into ETFs + BTC holding key levels + altcoins starting to spread
Then the market will feel much more comfortable.
Conversely, if ETFs continue to flow out billions or tens of billions of dollars weekly,
Then it will definitely be harder to have a smooth, strong market rally in the short term. $BTC dominance remains at 59.1%, the entire market at $2.81 trillion dropped 2.74% in 24 hours, yet some sectors surged 39.2% in a single day. Leading the gains are Trading Bots and decentralized social sectors, which are very small in scale and can be driven by just a few transactions. The more substantial ones are the following: DID up 11.3%, Optimism superchain ecosystem up 10.5%, data availability up 9.8%. They all point to the same trend—modular infrastructure plus on-chain identity. Money is just moving from one place to another. USDT market cap has not increased in 24 hours, no new funds off-exchange, the market is falling, and dominance hasn't loosened. Fear & Greed index is 64, down from 67 a week ago, indicating cooling sentiment. My judgment is that this round won't go far; small-scale sectors will retrace first. The end signal would be data availability and superchain ecosystem dropping out of the gainers list, or $BTC dominance continuing to rise. Conversely, if USDT starts increasing issuance and dominance falls below 59.1%, that would indicate new money entering the market, and this judgment would need to be revised. The market hype during the National Day holiday about the Federal Reserve pausing interest rate hikes is essentially an expected harvest of the dollar tide. The Fed is only stopping rate hikes; the high interest rate environment has not ended. Once inflation rebounds, it can return to a hawkish stance at any time, continuously suppressing risk assets. Coupled with the escalation of Russia-Ukraine geopolitical risks, with Russian forces targeting Ukraine's energy facilities in winter, it is very likely to push up European energy prices and restart inflation, leaving little room for global liquidity easing.
In this environment, cryptocurrencies are high-risk assets, with their trends closely following U.S. stocks and U.S. Treasury yields. Short-term positive expectations will drive a rebound in coin prices, but this is only a phase pulse, not a trend reversal. Once U.S. Treasury yields rebound and the dollar strengthens, cryptocurrencies will experience greater volatility and more severe pullbacks than the stock market.
Domestically, the A-share market will face three rounds of pressure in the fourth quarter: on October 23, the third-quarter earnings reports will cause a sell-off, with thematic stocks undergoing concentrated corrections; on November 23, fourfold capital selling pressure will resonate from bank account settlements, public fund rankings, foreign capital Christmas reductions, and wealth management redemptions; in December, domestic and international negative factors will be released intensively, leading the market into systemic adjustment.
Operational strategy: The post-holiday rebound is an opportunity to reduce positions. Gradually lower stock holdings and avoid purely thematic high-level stocks; avoid chasing highs in cryptocurrencies, as the high interest rate environment is not suitable for heavy speculative positions, and rebounds should be used mainly to exit for risk avoidance. In the fourth quarter, priority should be given to preserving principal and holding coins while waiting for opportunities in next spring.Bitcoin has slightly bounced back these past two days.
Someone asked me: Is it time to enter?
I said, don’t rush.
You need to understand one thing first——
A rise means someone is buying, but it doesn’t necessarily mean there are buyers.
Let me give an example of selling watermelons.
Yesterday it was 8 yuan, today 9 yuan. On the surface, it looks like a price increase.
But there are two possibilities.
One is that more people came to buy today, so the watermelon really became more valuable.
The other is that someone had hoarded a bunch of watermelons before, now afraid of a drop, they’re rushing to cut losses and get back their money.
On the surface, both are "price increases."
But in the first case, there are still people buying afterward.
In the second case, once sold, it’s over, and the price collapses when you look back.
The crypto world works the same way.
The current situation is: a few days ago, big money was withdrawing, $730 million left, and the price bounced back.
But whether this bounce is because real money came in to buy, or sellers got scared and rushed back—no one knows now.
So I only look at one number:
When the price rises, are the orders stacked above increasing or decreasing?
If increasing, it means someone really put money in to catch the falling knife and can hold on.
If decreasing, it means sellers are just running away, and once they’re done, it’s over.
They look exactly the same, but the outcome is completely different.
As for the 80400 line, honestly, it’s not that important.
It’s just a reference point, not a critical threshold that if crossed means disaster.
Beijing time is October 11, 16:00.
That batch of bet contracts will expire then, and who was right or wrong will be clear.