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Whales pull back, ETF buys for three consecutive weeks: Has the BTC supply-demand inflection point arrived?
The selling pressure from BTC whales weakens while ETFs see continuous net inflows, indicating a shift in the supply-demand structure. On-chain data shows the trend of whales net depositing BTC to exchanges has ended after lasting more than three months since summer, concluding in late August, with subsequent capital flows remaining negative; transfers of addresses holding over 1 BT🔥 $SPCX shorts are getting annihilated
Shorts actually hold more exposure: $99.78M vs $90.95M in longs. But the PnL difference is brutal.
📈 Longs: +$6.78M, with an insane 96.2% profitable.
📉 Shorts: -$15.13M, with just 1.75% profitable.
Fresh 30m flow remains slightly bullish: $13.29M buying vs $12.58M selling.
With $SPCX already +6.5%, nearly every short is underwater. Another push could make this squeeze ugly.[Old Chive Observation] #FinCEN
There is another significant change in US crypto regulation.
FinCEN under the US Treasury Department today withdrew the 2023 proposed international crypto mixer regulation plan.
The original plan considered listing international mixing activities as a "primary money laundering concern" and required relevant financial institutions to report mixing transactions, including wallet addresses, transaction hashes, and even IP addresses.
But the reason for this withdrawal is straightforward:
Regulators worry that too broad a definition would affect legitimate activities and impose a heavy compliance burden on financial institutions.
This does not mean the US is abandoning regulation.
But it at least indicates one thing:
The US is now beginning to distinguish between "combating illegal funds" and "not stifling normal crypto activities."
For the entire crypto industry, this is a somewhat positive regulatory signal. $BTC $ETH $BTC Spot ETFs are back in inflows, ETH funds keep flowing out. The stronger it seems, the more it looks like a final celebration. 86,000 and 87,000 keep failing to rise, short sellers are cleared round after round, but the price still hasn't really opened up. Many people are now calling for 90,000 or 100,000. But I insist on seeing 50,000. Not 80,000, not 70,000, not even 60,000—I'm extremely bearish, directly seeing 50,000. Why? Because the most dangerous thing in the market now isn't a drop, but everyone thinks "if it drops, it will rise again." Once this consensus expectation is broken, trampling down gives you no chance to move slowly. If 86,000 becomes the top of this rebound, the first stage is 80,000, the second stage 70,000, and once sentiment starts to collapse, 60,000 or even 50,000 is not out of reach. At that point, don't tell me "BTC's long-term value," nor that "every historical crash will always bring it back." When the market is down, faith cannot be used as a stop-loss method.$NMR $NMR just launched on Upbit, and the price surged
Before the news of the Upbit listing was confirmed, the price increase had already been realized. The KRW trading pair can indeed bring incremental volume, but that's only at the moment of listing. The current issue is that early holders are waiting for the moment with the best liquidity to sell.
At this point, the logic for chasing the price up is "the listing benefit hasn't fully played out yet." But since no clear direction has been given on fees, the market has already pulled up quite a bit. The game after the benefit is realized has never been a comfortable zone for retail investors.
Simply put, the benefit hasn't fully played out yet, so shorting can wait a bit. However, if the benefit is fully realized, it could lead to a sharp drop. Short sellers, please pay attention to fee management! Manage your positions and be ready for a waterfall drop. Dinari is bringing 700+ tokenized U.S. stocks to $SEI including the entire S&P 500.
dShares are tokenized U.S. stocks, backed 1:1 by securities held by a registered US broker-dealer, available for eligible US investors.$FIL 50x short position, opening average price 1.1924, mark price 1.1472, floating profit +189.53%.
$ARB short position, entered at 0.20742, exited at 0.20124, 50x leverage achieved 148.97% floating profit. The market shows a standard bearish moving average arrangement, with the price continuously suppressed by the 5-day moving average. Each rebound touches the moving average and then falls back again, making the bearish rhythm relatively smooth.
Current profits are already considerable; prioritize reducing positions near support levels. Set stop-loss to break even for the remaining base positions, and exit all once the price breaks above key resistance. Do not be greedy for profits at the end of the trend; securing the gains already made is the primary goal.
For those not yet entered, wait for the price to rebound and retest the moving average before further observation. The new trading window will be shared later, and market rhythm updates will continue. $ZEC $SOL #OKXNOW：开启全天候市场新时代 #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 Closing the position. $SNDK perpetual short precisely hit from 1728.6 to 1679.2, 75x leverage earning 214.33% profit.
Channel resistance is obvious, rebound is weak. Took half profit, holding the base position with zero risk, letting the profit run.
New opportunity coordinates are set, short when hitting the resistance of the channel, do not chase the mid price. Brothers, place orders according to the chart. $BTC $ETH #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 $ZEC has gained another traditional capital entry today.
Swedish asset management company Virtune has just officially listed the Zcash ETP on Nasdaq Stockholm, ticker VIRZEC, with October 6 as the first trading day.
I think this news is worth noting, not just because "there's another ETP."
This product is 100% physically backed by ZEC, tracking ZEC 1:1, with the underlying assets held in Coinbase cold storage. This means Nordic investors no longer need to open exchange accounts or manage private keys themselves; they can directly buy ZEC exposure through ordinary securities accounts like Avanza and Nordnet.
Moreover, this is not the first time ZEC has entered traditional financial markets.
In September, Europe already had 21Shares’ ZEC ETP, the US has Grayscale’s product, and now Virtune continues to expand access to Nasdaq Stockholm. A few months ago, people were discussing whether privacy coins would become harder to buy, but what we see now is a completely opposite trend: ZEC is increasingly entering regulated securities accounts.
Of course, listing ≠ guaranteed capital inflow.
Virtune’s page currently shows the product’s AUM is only about $97,000, which at this stage can only be seen as initial scale. What’s really worth watching is whether VIRZEC’s AUM and trading volume can continue to grow in the coming days.
But I think the direction is quite interesting:
On one side, Zcash continues to enhance privacy, NU7, and performance upgrades on-chain; on the other side, off-chain efforts are continuously building entry points for traditional investors.
An asset focused on privacy might ultimately become increasingly easy to buy within the traditional financial system.
This is what I find most interesting about ZEC recently.
For personal organization only, not investment advice, DYOR.This is the part of the AI + crypto thesis that matters.
AI agents need fast, programmable payments.
Stablecoins can handle the transactions, while Bitcoin can serve as a long-term store of value.
If agents start becoming economic actors, crypto infrastructure becomes even more important. 👀🟠 Profit taking stays light despite $BTC sharp rally, according to Glassnode data.
Weekly Net Realized P/L runs well below 2024/2025 tops, pace similar to late 2023. 💸 Long-term holders nearly doubled realized profit, their share rose from 34% to 55%.
#OKXNOW:24x7MarketEra #FedSeptemberMinutes #BTCWhalePressureEases $BTC is clearly healthier at its current position compared to a few days ago. The whale selling pressure has weakened, and with spot ETFs maintaining net inflows for three consecutive weeks, it indicates that off-exchange funds have not significantly withdrawn.
From the chart perspective, BTC is currently oscillating around 86,100, with the 1-hour moving averages turning bullish again, but resistance remains evident around 86,600–87,000. Only a breakout with volume can provide a chance to push further towards 88,000 or even 90,000.
$ZEC is obviously stronger, currently priced around 1,369, having just surged to about 1,384 on the 1-hour chart, with moving averages in a bullish alignment. However, the short-term gains are already considerable, so the risk of chasing higher is increasing.
My approach is simple: as long as BTC doesn’t break below 85,800, maintain a bullish bias; for ZEC, consider long positions if it stabilizes near 1,360 on a pullback, but if it falls below 1,350, don’t rush to chase.
Right now, it feels more like a "BTC holds steady, strong altcoins run first" market, with the key still being whether BTC can truly break through 87,000.
#BTC巨鲸抛压减弱，ETF资金连续三周净流入 A couple of days ago, when $CAP dropped back to around 0.06, I thought this wave was about to fizzle out.
But today it bounced back on me 😂
$CAP surged back to around 0.08, at one point rising over 20% in 24 hours. Even more ridiculous is that the volume picked up too. According to DefiLlama, the 24h trading volume has already exceeded $120 million, with the majority still in contracts.
So for now, I don’t want to interpret this wave as just an ordinary small coin rebound.
CAP just touched a new high of 0.0885 on October 1, then pulled back continuously, dropping as low as around 0.063. Normally, with this kind of movement, if it was just emotional speculation before, the volume would easily dry up after the drop.
But CAP’s performance in the past two days is exactly the opposite.
On October 5, it first rose about 13%, and today it continued pushing towards 0.08, with volume expanding again, indicating there are still people repeatedly battling below the previous high.
Right now, the one level I’m most focused on is:
0.0885.
This is the previous high and the level CAP hasn’t surpassed since listing.
If it only pushes to around 0.08 and then drops with shrinking volume, this wave at most counts as a rebound; but if it can break through 0.0885 with volume later, the trend will be completely different, entering a new high zone with little historical trapped positions for the market to reference.
Of course, there is one thing I dare not ignore now. $BTC Bitcoin shouldn't have much trouble rising, but after climbing from 85000, now looks quite weak. 86500 level should be hard to break through; at 86300 now, think it's already good point to short. Sharp rise and slow fall clearly indicate someone selling. Looking below, watch 84000-83000 range. If breaks through effectively, then very optimistic, and could see 80000-78000 range. $ETH Ethereum quite weak now; around 2720, divergence formed, making it good short entry point. Key level to watch📊 ETH vs BTC — Momentum Structure
Using the same moving-average framework, ETH and BTC are showing slightly different positioning.
▪️ ETH: ~$2,720 — 8.8% above the 50D MA at $2,501 and 28.3% above the 200D MA at $2,120.
▪️ BTC: 10.5% above its 50D MA and 20.4% above its 200D MA.
The short-term cycle gap is only 1.7 points, while the long-term gap widens to 8 points, suggesting ETH has stronger long-term extension relative to its trend averages.
#DailyOrbit #FedSeptemberMinutes $BTC this trade, long at 1317.91 with 50x leverage. The 1318 whole number support was tested three times without breaking, volume increased, clear bottom formation, entered after confirmation with a bullish candlestick.
Currently at 1339.81, floating profit 83.08%. The trend is smooth with no pullbacks, original stop loss at 1300, now moved up to 1325 to lock in profits. The key resistance is at 1350; if broken with volume, hold the position, otherwise beware of high-level consolidation. Take as much as the market offers, exit when the signal changes. $ETH $SNDK #OKXNOW：开启全天候市场新时代 The most frustrating part of this kind of market is that after a sharp rise, it doesn't continue to surge, yet it doesn't really fall either. $NIGHT was opened long around 0.046912, and now near 0.0501, the floating profit has already exceeded 1.3 times. It previously peaked at 0.052606, then spent most of the time moving sideways around 0.05. The profit remains, but the pace has clearly slowed down.
The 15-minute volume has shrunk quite a bit compared to the initial phase, yet the price has held around 0.0499; looking at the 1-hour chart, 0.0497 is also short-term support. It now looks more like a consolidation after a rally, without entering a new acceleration phase.
If volume picks up and it reclaims 0.0515, there will be a chance to challenge 0.0526 again; conversely, if it breaks below 0.0497, this sideways movement could easily turn into a pullback. Having already gained more than 1x profit, I see no need to keep trading back and forth around 0.05 for now—let the market choose its direction itself. $BTC $ETH #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 One wave of selling hasn’t completely settled, and pressure is still visible across parts of the Core ecosystem. The bigger question now isn't simply whether $CORE can bounce—it’s whether the network can maintain healthy liquidity, validator participation and confidence while the market remains under pressure. 🟠 Validator picture deserves attention Current Core network data shows 20 of 32 validator positions active, rather than the previously reported 18/32. Core is also moving toward a model w$ARX 20x long position, opening average price 0.2836, mark price 0.293, floating profit +66.29%.
Holding the long position through a prolonged consolidation, finally today the market warmed up, securing real profits. During the holding period, no frequent position adjustments were made; abandoning frequent operations, patiently waiting for the market to signal a start.
Currently, the paper profit is quite substantial, so I will reduce most of the position to firmly lock in the gains. The remaining small portion is set with a breakeven defense, leaving the market to play out and let the profits continue to run.
For friends who haven't entered the market yet, don't get overheated and blindly chase highs or join the hype. I will observe the quality of the subsequent pullback support and synchronize opportunities after confirming a new entry window. $ZEC $SOL #BTC巨鲸抛压减弱，ETF资金连续三周净流入 #美债长端收益率再创新高，30年期逼近5.7% Prediction does not equal realization, but the upper limit of a range marks the ceiling that technical analysis is willing to acknowledge. Changelly analysts forecast DOGE's volatility range in October to be from $0.0963 to $0.204, with the upper limit leaving nearly double the space compared to the current price. This figure is worth breaking down.
This prediction is based on historical price patterns and technical indicator extrapolations. From the perspective of analyst consensus, the lower limit of 0.0963 corresponds to the support in the previous dense trading zone, while the upper limit of 0.204 falls near the resistance level where the last rebound failed to hold. The range spans more than double, indicating that the model prices DOGE's volatility relatively high—it does not follow the rhythm of major market coins.
There are several logics supporting the upper limit: DOGE's community activity and payment scenario discussions are still ongoing, and topics related to Musk may reignite attention; the fourth quarter has historically been a window for $DOGE sentiment to warm up, and its elasticity ranks among the top during capital rotation. After Bitcoin stabilizes its center of gravity, the imagination space for such high-beta assets will be tested by capital first.
The cautionary note is here as well. The predicted range is the model's output, not a market promise. The 0.204 is only a theoretical space, with macro liquidity, market sentiment, and countless candlesticks in between. Betting on the upper limit as a target price is as risky as treating the lower limit as a stop-loss line. Watch the range, observe volume, and let the trend speak for itself.Ondo isn't stopping at tokenized U.S. Treasuries or public stocks anymore. The latest move is private-company exposure. Ondo has officially introduced Ondo Private Markets, starting with tokenized notes linked to the economic performance of a pre-IPO AI company. The first market is expected to begin secondary trading this week, with robotics, cybersecurity, biotech and infrastructure companies planned for future expansion. So what does this actually mean? Instead of buying shares in a company liThe OKX Singapore conference has become a major short-term catalyst for $OKB, with attention focused on three key themes: on-chain assets, AI-powered trading automation, and the expansion of global digital finance. Ahead of the event, OKB experienced a strong pre-market move of roughly 6%, and during the live coverage the token briefly pushed toward the $136 area before sellers stepped in. 📉 Why did OKB pull back after the event? A classic “buy the rumor, sell the news” reaction appears to be pBrothers, checked my account today and honestly, the feeling was pretty calm with a little surprise. BTC and DOGE kept fighting back and forth, but somehow all my short positions managed to stay in the green. I didn’t catch the major move, but taking steady profits is still a win. 📌 $DOGE : The strongest performer today. 20X leverage, entry 0.09540, current price 0.09420, unrealized profit +25U, ROI +19%. Despite the violent swings, DOGE has continued grinding lower. The short is holding well, ADA has surged 10% to 0.27, driven by expectations of RealFi and network upgrades. On the POL side, 100 million tokens were burned, accounting for 1% of the total supply, bringing the deflation narrative back. OKX and ICE are launching tokenized US stocks, with Nvidia and Tesla trading around the clock; traditional capital inflows are expanding, which is a real positive.
I was stationed at the checkpoint watching vehicle traffic and casually pulled up the chart for ETH.
ETH is currently priced at 2712, right at the Fibonacci 0.5 retracement level of 2714. There is a large cluster of short liquidations stacked between 2730 and 2760 above, creating strong resistance. The bottom at 2680 is holding, MACD volume has contracted, indicating a narrow range consolidation and buildup.
The strategy is clear: first sweep stops upward, touch the liquidation zone, then pull back. Do not chase the highs.
For trading, try shorting near 2750 with a stop loss at 2770, take profit targets at 2690 and 2660. If 2680 breaks, wait for a rebound above 2700 before adding shorts. Avoid longs for now; wait for a pullback to 2680 and a stable hold before reconsidering.
That's the market update; I’m off to register an outsider.
$ETH
#OKXICE向SEC申请推出代币化股票交易平台
@OKX星球 CORE short-term recovery
$CORE's bottom structure is quietly strengthening.
After bottoming at 0.02142, the 15-minute level lows have gradually risen, and it has retaken the Supertrend at 0.02181, reaching a high of 0.02228, currently oscillating around 0.022.
There is no sharp rally or major positive news; it looks more like a mild recovery after digesting selling pressure. Narratives like BTCFi and staking ecosystems still provide some support.
But don’t rush to see this as a reversal: the overhead trapped positions remain heavy, and short-term is more likely to maintain oscillating upward movement. Whether it can continue to strengthen depends mainly on holding 0.0218 and effectively breaking through 0.0223.
#CORE #BTCFi
Strengthen short-term trading conditions
Condense into more impactful moves
Add clear risk warnings $CAP 10x long position, opening average price 0.07712, mark price 0.0869, floating profit +126.81%.
Don't be fooled by the surface surge in the market. Take $ZEC for example, if it were truly strong, it would have volume to firmly hold above 1400 to show the market.
The attack seems fierce, but looking at the trading volume reveals the flaw: volume has not expanded correspondingly.
The moving averages still maintain a bearish alignment, MA20 suppresses MA10, MA10 suppresses MA5, every bullish candle is a rebound passively squeezed out.
There is a large accumulation of historical trapped positions above 1400; rashly pushing upward is equivalent to helping previously trapped funds to get out, and the main force will not easily do such a favor.
I placed a short at 1405.55, currently floating profit over 28%.
No rush to exit for now; this volume-less rise is precisely an opportunity to continue building shorts.
If the subsequent rebound touches the 1380-1390 range, I will continue to add shorts, with stop loss set above 1450, and the first target at 1200.
Volume never lies; an increase without volume support is ultimately a paper tiger. Price is like a big tree, it cannot rise indefinitely. $BTC $ETH #OKXNOW：开启全天候市场新时代 #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 $AAOI moved faster than I expected. After opening a long position around 119.12, it stalled for a while, then accelerated directly. The price has now reached around 128, with unrealized gains exceeding 1.6 times. The intraday high once touched 130.50, significantly expanding the profit margin.
This time, I’m not focusing too much on small timeframe indicators; just looking at price action is very clear: after pulling back from around 111 on the 4-hour chart, both highs and lows have been steadily rising. After breaking through around 119, it hasn’t fallen back into the previous consolidation zone. Although the recent surge to 130.50 left a noticeable pullback, there was a quick rebound near 128, so the strong momentum is still intact for now.
In the short term, watch if 127.4 can hold. If it holds, there’s a chance to test 130.5 again; if it falls below 126, it indicates the acceleration is cooling down. With 1.6 times profit already in hand, I prefer to protect gains while moving rather than risking giving back previous profits for a little more. $BTC $ETH #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 Cleared for takeoff, the whales have stopped dumping
There’s a change on-chain this week: the whale selling pressure on Bitcoin has clearly weakened, and the ETF side is even more direct, with net inflows for three consecutive weeks. The two most feared types of sell-offs in crypto are whale sell-offs and ETF redemptions, and both have stopped this month. Three weeks, not just a day or two of sentiment.
What was the situation in the past two months?
Every time the price bounced back to 86,000 or 87,000, someone would dump on top and then run. Now the dumpers have stopped, and the buyers are still lining up. Bitcoin is at 86,400 today, and since breaking above 85,000 it hasn’t gone down — this is no coincidence.
There’s also supporting evidence: VanEck just released a report saying Bitcoin will continue to expand its market share. Institutions are buying while saying they want to buy more. Words alone are worthless, but combined with three consecutive weeks of net inflows, it’s valuable.
Ethereum doesn’t have this privilege; it’s still seeing outflows.
Same market, two different treatments.
Money votes with its feet and only buys the simplest stories. Bitcoin’s story can be summed up in four words: digital gold. Ethereum’s story is something institutions don’t understand.
Of course, reduced selling pressure doesn’t mean an immediate takeoff. The 5.3% interest rate is still weighing down, the ceiling hasn’t been broken, but it’s not pushing down either. The floor is rising, that’s a fact. The 85,000 level was tested four times this week and didn’t break.
What do you think, after the whales stopped selling, who will be the next to step in?
#BTC巨鲸抛压减弱，ETF资金连续三周净流入 $BTC $ETH $ZEC $OKB OKB surged 7%, is jumping in now a gain or a loss?
Look at the chart: OKB current price is 136.71, up 7.77% today, just a bit short of the previous high at 143.57, but after the surge, there is an upper shadow, indicating heavy selling pressure above. It has skyrocketed 76% in 90 days, profits are already very substantial.
Trading idea: In this accelerated rally phase, the biggest taboo is FOMO chasing the high! The main players love to use good news to pump and dump. If you hold coins, be sure to take profits in batches near 143 to lock in gains; if you are empty-handed, don’t get greedy to catch the top, patiently wait for a pullback to around 126 or 118 to confirm support before buying.
Remember, the crypto world never lacks opportunities, it lacks capital.Big Brother Maji latest positions out. Total position slightly increased to 155M, with clear rebalancing action within portfolio: BTC continues to be reduced, ETH increased against trend, and part of HYPE at high levels taken profit. Due to market fluctuations, overall unrealized gains retreated, but risk control of core positions remains intact. Specific position changes: BTC reduced by 18 coins again, currently holding 449 coins, with average cost price slightly rising to 84900. Unrealized gaiI used to criticize SOL, specifically for issuing too many new coins. Now I admit I was wrong.
In August, the community voted to pass proposal SGP-0002: the rate of decrease in new coin issuance was doubled, raised from 15% per year to 30%, and this began preliminary implementation this month. The final inflation rate, originally scheduled to drop to 1.5% in early 2032, will now reach that level by early 2029.
To put it plainly: from now on, the amount of new $SOL minted each year will be less than originally planned. The supply is tightening faster, while demand remains unchanged, so the consequences are obvious.
Many people only look at total supply when checking the market, ignoring the issuance rate. The issuance rate is the real hand that determines how scarce the tokens are, and that hand is now tightening.
When I criticized it last year, I felt the dilution was endless and it made me increasingly frustrated. Looking back, they didn’t refuse to change; they followed the governance process and voted to make changes, and they did it faster than I expected.
A project daring to adjust its own supply is effectively slowing down the printing press. Such cases are rare in the crypto market.
I was wrong to criticize, I admit it. Once this path is set, the tokens will become more valuable year by year.$BTC one week! Brothers! One week has passed, and Bitcoin's pullback lows are getting higher each time, which is really tough for the bears!
Bitcoin's National Day market has been quite volatile, with multiple failed attempts to break higher followed by pullbacks, but each pullback low is rising.
No matter how fast the pullback is, the braking is also very quick, basically stopping above the previous low!
This way, it oscillates upward, and the bulls' strength has never faded.
There is a further upward trend, currently around 86300, only about 1% away from the previous high.
Although I am bullish, I think even if it breaks through, there won't be a big surprise, so I have no plans to add positions.
Because recently the investment circle has been strange! Something just feels off.
The US stock index is hitting new highs despite rate hike pressures, US Treasury yields are also at new highs, gold is down! Oil is down! $ETH $ZEC #BTC巨鲸抛压减弱，ETF资金连续三周净流入 #BTC whale selling pressure weakens, ETF funds have net inflows for three consecutive weeks
Is a major correction coming? Do you feel it? Although the lows keep rising now, the price can't break through above, causing a pile-up of liquidity at the top. My personal view is that the 'dog whale' will push up to trigger a short squeeze forming an M-top, then a direct major correction will follow. Currently, $ETH is priced around $2706, with slight fluctuations and a small pullback in the last 24 hours, overall maintaining a range-bound consolidation. The daily Bollinger Bands are narrowing, compressing market volatility. The MACD red bars are gradually shortening, indicating balanced bullish and bearish momentum. The market lacks a clear direction, trading volume remains relatively low, and capital sentiment is cautious. On the news front, macro-wise, US Treasury yields remain high, somewhat suppressing $ETH's upward potential. Bitcoin is oscillating at a high level, driving sentiment in the crypto market, with ETH following along but lacking independent upward momentum. The market is waiting for subsequent macro data to break the current narrow oscillation pattern.
Key levels
First resistance: 2730
Second resistance: 2760
Short-term support: 2680
Strong support: 2655
Intraday strategy: Currently in a consolidation phase, avoid aggressive chasing of highs or panic selling. Lightly buy on dips if support holds; only a volume breakout above resistance can open upward space. If strong support is broken, short-term correction space will expand. Good evening $BTC, just had dinner and went for a walk, came back and saw the market, BTC has quietly climbed back above 86,000.
Current price 86,230, up 1.12% in 24 hours, intraday high reached 86,720, low 84,979. It has been oscillating between 84,000 and 86,000 these past two days, and today it finally stepped up, the trend feels much better than the previous days.
Looking at the 1-hour chart, the short-term structure is quite solid. MA5 (86,233), MA10 (85,959), and MA20 (85,851) moving averages form a standard stair-step divergence upwards, price firmly above all moving averages, currently challenging the upper band at 86,416. This recovery from the low of 84,549 is very coherent, lows are gradually rising, and buying support is strong. On-chain signals are positive as well, the net inflow trend to exchanges has ended, and selling pressure is clearly easing.
Below, 85,800 is a dense moving average support zone; if broken, look to 84,979. Above, 86,720 is short-term resistance; breaking through it can retest the previous high of 86,994. The 90-day gain is still 39%, and the long-term structure is very healthy.
Only two days left of the holiday, it’s already good that the market can hold steady at this level.
$BTC $ETH $ZEC
#OKXNOW：开启全天候市场新时代 #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 #BTC巨鲸抛压减弱，ETF资金连续三周净流入 【On-Chain Trading Update｜ZEC】
Monitored address 0x9d95 opened a long position:
▪ Execution price: 1,379 USD
▪ Transaction amount this time: 75,252.03 USD
▪ Leverage: 10x$BTC this position, long at 85928.7 with 100x leverage locked in. The market oscillates repeatedly, but support remains; currently at 86174, floating profit nearly 30%.
$BTC $ETH
The bullish momentum hasn't broken yet, be cautious with repeated highs. No preset targets, take as much as the market offers, exit if signals change, stay if they don't. #OKXNOW：开启全天候市场新时代 $AKE perpetual contract short record: 20x leverage, entry at 0.03406, now 0.02997, +240.16%.
Under pressure, falling and breaking the position, follow once momentum is confirmed.
Close 50% to lock in profit, move stop loss of remaining position up to 0.031. Only keep position if volume breaks 0.028, otherwise exit with one click. High leverage trades only on confirmed segments. $BTC $ETH #OKXNOW：开启全天候市场新时代 Brothers, I just spotted a large transfer and had to share it with you. Amber Group is up to something again; this time they received 4,669,000 $ENA tokens from Ethena, worth about 1.14 million USD.
Honestly, as a seasoned trader, whenever I see "Amber Group received tokens," it gives me a bit of a chill. Those who know, know—when a market maker gets tokens, it often signals liquidity changes. 1.14 million USD isn’t a huge sum in crypto, but the signal is quite interesting.
Let’s quickly analyze the logic behind this. Usually, when Amber gets a transfer like this, there are two scenarios: either the market maker is preparing liquidity (basically getting ready to sell or provide order book depth), or the project team is doing some off-exchange settlement or market support operations. Everyone has seen ENA’s recent price action; at this critical moment, is this transfer a prelude to dumping, or is the project team setting up a big move?
If that 1.14 million worth of tokens really gets dumped, it would just cause a splash, not hurt the main artery. But the worry is that this might be just the opening move, with more to come.The night before last, just after 11 PM, someone in the group shared a trade, saying they made enough for a meal trading gold contracts on Hyperliquid. I replied with a "?", thinking I must have misread it.
Gold? Isn't that platform for crypto contracts?
Following this clue, I dug into the data and couldn’t sleep afterward. In July this year, for two consecutive weeks, real-world asset contracts accounted for more than half of the weekly trading volume on the platform—stocks, gold, bulk commodities, those traditional things.
Back in January, non-crypto perpetuals already made up a quarter of total trading volume. There’s also a mechanism called HIP-3, where anyone can open new markets. In August, the open interest in this segment broke $4 billion. A licensed exchange in Africa even built all its 200+ markets entirely on $HYPE.
To put it plainly: this place has long ceased to be just a "crypto trading" platform; it’s a market where anything can be traded, and people worldwide are moving in.
I turned off my phone and lay in bed thinking, over a decade ago people said every business deserved to be redone online. Now that phrase applies to the blockchain era, and the moving company’s name is Hyperliquid. In the end, what you rely on is not information, but perseverance.
When prices rise, the logic seems to automatically hold; when they fall, even the whitepaper appears suspicious.
Now, I’m not in a hurry to draw conclusions. I only occasionally check development progress, on-chain transfers, and ecosystem partnerships, like observing a tree without judging the seasons based on a single day’s weather.
If it gains momentum in the future, my early tracking will be meaningful; if not, it’s still a tuition fee paid for gaining knowledge.
Investing is never about always being right; admitting you might be wrong is what allows you to hold on when you might be right. $CORE #OKXNOW: Opening a New Era of 24/7 Markets
$BTC is stuck at 86000, repeatedly testing,
87000 above is a tough barrier,
$ETH is consolidating with low volume around 2700,
waiting for a direction.
$ZEC is undergoing a high-level shakeout,
as long as it doesn't break the bottom line, there's still a story.
In a bull market, you earn money from faith,
in a range-bound market, you earn money from discipline.
Getting the direction right is skill,
holding the right position size is survival. Using the same set of moving averages, the volume of the two assets shows two different positions.
▪️ ETH is about 2,720, 8.8% above the 50-day moving average of 2,501, and 28.3% above the 200-day moving average of 2,120; BTC is 10.5% and 20.4%. The short-term cycle difference between the two is only 1.7 points, while the long-term cycle difference is 8 points.
▪️ The daily MACD has just formed a death cross for both; ETH is at 64.06/75.37, BTC at 2,133/2,162.BTC: $97,000 could become a bull trap
The Bitcoin/USDT chart shows an important structural change: the price has broken through the long-term descending trendline and moved into an upward trend.
The nearest resistance is $90,000.
Above that are $93,000 and the main target of the local impulse — $97,000.
The $93–97K area looks like a zone where buyers may face large-scale profit-taking.
The Volume Profile also supports this scenario. Historically, large volumes have accumulated in the $88–92K range, so passing through this area could trigger a sharp upward move due to supply shortage.
But after reaching $93–97K, the situation may change: sellers will have the opportunity to use liquidity above local highs for a reversal.
The chart models exactly this trajectory: BTC moves upward with local pullbacks, tests $90K, then $93K, and makes a final push to $97K.
The first important correction zone is $76–74K. Strong support levels pass through here, which could be the site of the first buyer reaction.
If they fail to hold the price, the next target becomes the $71,000 area.
The macro environment adds risk to the bearish scenario. High inflation, expensive energy, U.S. bond yields, and tight financial conditions may limit liquidity inflows into risk assets. Any escalation of geopolitical tensions can quickly shift the market into Risk-Off mode.
Therefore, the main chart scenario looks like this:
$86K → $90K → $93K → $97K → reversal → $76–74K → $71K.
The key risk for buyers is to interpret a possible push to $97K as confirmation of a new bull run. In reality, this could be the final liquidity grab before a much deeper correction.
If BTC holds this area, the correction may only be a retest of the broken structure before the next growth wave. It is especially important to watch the reaction after testing $93–97K.
If BTC forms a sharp rebound and falls back below $90K, it will signal that the upper zone was used for distribution.
Then sellers may gain control over the short-term structure.The strong resistance zone for $ZEC is located at 1400‑1420, which is the high point formed by a long period of consolidation, where a deep trapped position lies. To successfully break through this range, it not only requires increased volume and upward momentum from itself but also depends on sustained strength from Bitcoin to drive the market. Without sufficient buying support, it is difficult to break through in one go; once blocked, a significant pullback is likely.
The short-term support is at 1310‑1320, which is the starting point of this rally. If the price pulls back later, as long as it holds this area, the short-term rebound structure remains intact, and there is still a chance for the market to continue testing resistance upwards.
The most important defensive support is at 1280. This level is the lifeline of this rebound; if it is effectively broken, this afternoon's rally will be declared invalid, and the market will return to the previous wide-range consolidation, opening up downside space. Volatile altcoins fluctuate sharply; do not blindly chase gains in a choppy market. Manage your positions well and strictly control risks $BTC $ETH #OKXNOW：开启全天候市场新时代 #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 #BTC巨鲸抛压减弱，ETF资金连续三周净流入 Today $EWZ rose 11.65%. At first, I thought it was some crypto news, but it wasn’t—it was the Brazilian election.
The first round of voting is on October 4th. Right-wing Flávio Bolsonaro got 47%, Lula 45%, neither passed the majority, so there will be a runoff on October 25th. The key point is, pre-election polls had Lula leading.
In the market reaction,$EWZ $NMR long position, 20x leverage, entered at 15.8, floating profit 92%. This trade is a standard swing operation. NMR oscillated between 15.5-16 for two days, and tonight it broke through 16 with volume, so I decisively followed up with a long position.
Why use 20x? Because altcoins are highly volatile, 20x leverage helps prevent stop hunting and still captures the breakout.
The mark price is now 16.533, close to the first target. I plan to reduce my position by half and move the stop loss of the remaining position up to the cost. For swing trading, you need to know how to take profits and also how to hold positions. The target is 17.5; if it breaks through, I will exit. No greed, no fear. $ETH $BTC #OKXNOW：开启全天候市场新时代 $ZEC firmly short! The market hasn't moved much all day, and long positions have already withdrawn over 18 million in advance!
Yesterday, smart money had 282 million in long positions, but today it's down to 264 million. The number of long holders also dropped from 899 to 856, and the average long cost decreased from 1014 to 994, which means those who left were precisely the ones with the highest cost.
The price hasn't fallen, but longs are actively reducing their positions. This shows that these people weren't forced out by the market but felt the current level wasn't worth holding anymore. If they truly believed the market would rise, who would voluntarily pull out over 18 million of real money during a sideways market?
Long holders are quietly exiting themselves, so stop foolishly rushing in to be the bag holder. Short positions should be arranged quickly—short downwards!【Crypto Scene Script】
#SpaceX stock rebounds, hitting the highest since July
I'm Script Bro, and this wave of SpaceX has once again put Musk trending.
The stock price surged over 7% in a single day, reaching the highest point since July, and Musk's net worth has climbed back above one trillion dollars.
Many people wonder if this guy's money has just turned into numbers in a game?
But what I think is really worth discussing isn't how many billions Musk has made again, but why the market is still willing to give SpaceX such high expectations. Of course, the answer is simple: what it sells is no longer just rockets.
Rockets are responsible for sending things into space, Starlink keeps collecting money up there continuously, and in the future, there are stories about satellite communications, government contracts, and space transportation.
It's like how people used to think SpaceX was just a "rocket manufacturer," but now the capital market is gradually treating it as a "space infrastructure company," and that's the terrifying part about Elon Musk. $BTC $ETH $ZEC $DOGE long at 0.09296, 50x leverage, currently 0.09599, floating profit 162.97%.
The middle wick was a bit weak, but the rebound shows the bulls didn't back down. In this kind of oscillating upward trend, the biggest risk is running early due to impatience.
$BTC
Holding over 1x floating profit, not guessing the top, as long as the trend holds, hold tight; only act when the candlestick pattern changes. $ZEC #OKXNOW：开启全天候市场新时代 $ONE
Harmony’s original proposition centered on scalable blockchain infrastructure and fast, low-cost transactions. Today, the more difficult question is ecosystem relevance: can an established network rebuild meaningful developer and user activity in a market filled with newer chains? For ONE, renewed adoption would need to show up through applications, liquidity, transactions, and sustained community activity rather than narrative momentum alone.