#AugPayrollsBeat

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About AugPayrollsBeat

US Aug nonfarm payrolls rose 162K, far above expectations of under 60K, with unemployment steady at 4.1%. Forecasts had ranged from a 25K drop to a 121K gain, so the print cleared the top of the range. Swaps now price a September Fed hike above 60%, versus roughly 50% on CME futures beforehand. CPI lands Sep 11 and the FOMC meets Sep 15 to 16. BofA calls payrolls the appetizer and CPI the main course and still expects a hike; Morgan Stanley sees a hold, with August core CPI at 0.23% MoM.

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