鹰击长空2026
鹰击长空2026
长风破浪会有时，直挂云帆济沧海。
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Let me share my judgment with you brothers: I am still bearish for now, don't rush to chase the rebound.
Although there is some capital inflow in the short term for $BTC and $ETH, the 24-hour contract funds have net outflows of 247 million and 403 million USD respectively. Over 30 days, $BTC has a net outflow of 5.793 billion USD, and $ETH even reaches 6.629 billion USD.
$SOL and $ZEC aren't doing much better, with continuous medium- to long-term capital outflows and no clear reversal signals overall.
My trading rhythm is very simple:
$BTC: Look for short positions again if the rebound is resisted, don't chase highs.
$ETH: Prioritize shorts, watch for shorting opportunities if the rebound is weak.
$SOL and $ZEC: Temporarily bearish, wait for capital flow improvement before considering longs.
I won't easily turn bullish just because of a few hours of capital inflow, nor will I blindly chase shorts after a sharp drop.
At this stage, shorts are prioritized, look for shorts on rebounds, and consider switching to longs only when capital continues to flow back. Brothers, control your hands first, strike when the opportunity comes, don't mistake a rebound for a reversal.
The liquidation map is signaling! $ETH has traps both above and below, so don't rush to bet on a direction in the short term.
The biggest pain points in 24-hour liquidation data show:
$BTC: Current price 81445, upper at 82395, lower at 80768. Both liquidation zones are close; first watch which side breaks through.
$ETH: Current price 2402, about $24.79 million liquidation near 2453 above, about $16.89 million near 2365 below. The upper space is farther, but whether the rebound can sustain is key.
$SOL: Current price 103.27, upper at 104.16, lower at 102.03, short-term volatility space is relatively concentrated.
$ZEC: Current price 1120.65, upper at 1168, lower at 1101, focus on whether the lower support can hold.
My judgment: For $BTC, first watch the 80768–82395 range; for $ETH, focus on 2365 and 2453. The dense liquidation zones may attract price proximity but are not guaranteed targets.
Don't chase longs just because there are short liquidations above, nor chase shorts just because there are long liquidations below. Wait for price to break through and confirm with a retest before deciding direction. First see how the market moves, then decide what to do yourself.
Creator earnings challenge hits 10,000U, Phase 3 Day 4! Continuing live trading today, first showing the real profit and loss.
No exaggerating profits, no avoiding losses. The challenge has just begun; whether it goes far depends not on how much is earned at once, but on risk control and consistent execution.
📊 Current live positions
$STRK: 50x leverage, holding 5000 tokens, unrealized loss 0.99U, return rate -15.22%.
$LAB: 10x leverage, holding 3000 tokens, unrealized profit 0.67U, return rate +5.00%.
$ETH: 100x leverage, holding 0.2 ETH, unrealized loss 2.47U, return rate -51.68%.
📈 Account status
Asset equity: 58.40U.
Current floating profit and loss: -2.78U.
Margin used: 24.76U.
Three positions: two with unrealized losses, one with profit; overall the account is under pressure for now. Especially with $ETH at 100x leverage, the risk is significant; slight directional changes can quickly amplify profit and loss.
My stance is clear: aiming for 10,000U does not mean gambling with principal. Profits are recorded truthfully, losses are openly disclosed. The goal remains unchanged, but first control drawdown, then talk about profits.
Phase 3 Day 4, continuing live trading. The road is long, survival comes first!
-2.38 USDT
-50.00%Snapshot at Oct 18, 2026, 08:23
Storage stocks have plummeted, but $XRP bulls are crowded together. Don't rush to bottom-fish today!
Conclusion first: I'm more bearish in the short term, prioritizing watching for shorting opportunities on rebounds of $XRP and $ETH, and avoiding storage stock tokens for now.
$SNDK has dropped 22% in the past 6 days, $MU down 27.3%, $SKHYNIX down 30.3%, with daily RSI all below 23. The drop is severe, but extreme oversold doesn't mean an immediate rebound; negative funding rates also mean shorting costs are rising, so be wary of a short squeeze at any time.
Mainstream coins aren't easy either. The long-short account ratio for $XRP reached 3.81, and $ETH and $SOL are both at 2.41, indicating relatively crowded longs, so further short-term downside needs to be guarded against.
My trading plan:
$XRP: Consider shorting again if the rebound is resisted between 1.305–1.312, with targets at 1.269 and 1.246.
$ETH: Consider shorting again if rebound weakens between 2420–2445, with targets at 2355 and 2315.
Storage stocks: Wait for Monday's US stock spot market open to confirm direction; don't bet on weekend rebounds.
Yesterday $EIGEN fell from 0.2658 to 0.2497, the predicted downtrend path was realized. But one correct judgment doesn't guarantee the next one will be right.
Remember, oversold is not a bottom-fishing signal, and crowding doesn't mean an immediate reversal. Wait for price confirmation before taking action.
-1.62 USDT
-34.06%Snapshot at Oct 18, 2026, 08:04
Maji has shrunk again! From a giant whale to a small fish, now it’s almost a tiny shrimp.
Maji Huang Licheng’s cumulative loss has reached $36.8643 million, with another $204,000 lost in the past 24 hours and $1.404 million lost in the last 7 days.
Looking at the current position, he is still holding on hard.
Position: Long $ETH, 1025 ETH.
Position value: $2.4544 million.
Leverage: 25x full position.
Entry price: $2381.25.
Unrealized profit: $13,600.
Liquidation price: $2342.31.
Available margin: $0.
What stands out most is not the temporary unrealized profit on this long position, but that the account’s cumulative loss is close to $37 million while the available margin shows zero.
My view: Even giant whales can crash; no matter how big the position, it can’t withstand long-term misjudgments and the backlash of high leverage. Although this ETH long position currently has unrealized profit, it’s not far from the liquidation price, so caution is needed if the market fluctuates.
From giant whale to small fish, then to tiny shrimp, Maji’s journey really teaches all high-leverage traders a lesson: the market doesn’t recognize reputation, only account balance.
After the sharp drop of $ETH, don't rush to bottom-fish; the rebound is the opportunity to observe the bears!
On the 15-minute chart, ETH has plunged from 2441, with a low wick at 2355, currently rebounding to around 2390. The overall trend is still bearish, but support has appeared at the low level, so chasing shorts directly is likely to be swept by the rebound.
My trading plan: If it rebounds to 2398–2407 and encounters resistance and weakness, consider shorting with a stop loss above 2415, targeting 2380, 2365–2355.
If the price effectively breaks below 2377 and the rebound to 2377–2382 fails to recover, then consider following the short.
The trading idea is very clear: short on resistance during the rebound, confirm the break before following, do not chase the sharp drop, and do not blindly bottom-fish. If it stabilizes above 2407 again and breaks through 2415, the bearish view needs to be reassessed.
-0.28 USDT
-5.94%Snapshot at Oct 18, 2026, 06:40
In this market, don't just look at who is surging; first see who is being abandoned by capital.
On the gainers list, $UVXY rose 15.69%, $TRUTH rose 12.93%, and $KMNO, $SAND, $SQQQ all closed higher across the board. But a single-day surge does not mean a trend reversal; chasing it can easily catch the last leg.
The losers list is even more striking: $CT fell 14.37%, $STRK fell 12.41%, $ZRO fell 12.27%, and $ZIL, $PARTI also dropped more than 11%. Especially $STRK, with a 24-hour trading volume as high as $148 million, the volume-driven decline is worth caution.
My judgment: no rush to bottom-fish in the short term; prioritize avoiding continuously weakening assets. Wait for pullback confirmation on the gainers list, and wait for selling pressure to ease on the losers list. The more chaotic the market, the more selective you must be with coins; don't try to catch every opportunity.
Don't rush to open positions; market makers love to trap those who bet on both sides!
The 24-hour liquidation map has already signaled that there are large liquidation clusters both above and below for $BTC. The biggest short-term risk isn't missing out but getting chopped by chasing highs and selling lows.
$BTC current price is 81612, with about $66.24 million in short liquidations clustered near 82769 above, and about $57.16 million in long liquidations clustered near 80877 below. There's profit to be made on both sides; next, it depends on which side gets swept first.
$ETH current price is 2437, with about $24.78 million in short liquidations near 2454 above, only 0.68% away. Watch out for sudden spikes that could squeeze shorts in the short term.
Keep an eye on $SOL at 107.1 and 101.95, and $ZEC at 1212 and 1126.
My judgment: liquidation dense zones are where hunting is likely to happen, not necessarily price endpoints. Don't rush to bet on direction; wait for the price to approach key areas, then act based on volume and actual reaction. Staying alive at the table is more important than catching every move.
