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墙外两分钟,说散就散 A 股还在假期里睡大觉,节前收官上证 3,842 微红 0.31%,9 月整月跌了 4.1%,睡就睡吧。港股周五复牌直接挨了一闷棍:恒指 -2.60% 收 23,972,3 月以来最大单日跌幅,恒生科技盘中 4,111 创一年新低、一年跌掉快四成,美债破 5%、北水断档,惨字写满屏。美股那边继续开派对:周五道指 +0.49% 收 51,177,纳指 +1.19% 收 27,190,盘中新高、周线三连涨。真正给币圈递刀的是非农:9 月只增 2.9 万,预期 9 万,爆冷到美联储副主席都改口「要仔细审视数据趋势与前景,可能需要时间」,10 月加息预期当场躺平,美元从 17 个月高位回落,G7 还放话释放油储把布油摁到 100 下方。股市分化、加息预期降温、机构照买 $BTC ,这个组合历来是加密市场最舒服的顺风局。
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Main focus $BTC | Strategy: Long position, submit work first, then deal cards Review of yesterday's trade: Buy on the pullback at 84,300-84,600. On 10/03, the intraday low was 84,409, perfectly entering the position within the range. On 10/04, a big bullish candle hit T1 at 86,000 and T2 at 86,400 consecutively, with a high of 86,770. Brothers who took profits, just keep enough for milk tea. Continuing long today. Buy on pullback at 85,500-85,900, stop loss at 84,550 (below 10/04 bullish start point 84,677), target 86,664 (marked on chart rebound line) and previous high 87,250. If it breaks and holds above, then watch 88,500. Leverage capped at 3-5x. Reason in one sentence: Six consecutive trading days of stepping up without breaking, OI net accumulation of 680 million USD over six days, spot ETF still refilling in October, fuel is not cut off, why get off? Current price 86,079 is face-to-face with the resistance at 87,250, ambiguity is the most delicious, but if it drags on, there are only two outcomes: break through or go separate ways. Let's wait for one of the two according to the script.

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