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小鱼吃da鱼
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今日闲聊eth（2）
$ETH 总结是：换手局，假突破多，等“接筹结束”
币价格区间：2,600 – 2,800
1:短线生命线：2,670 – 2,680
- 日线收破 → 换手失败、老钱抛压占上风
- 多头确认：收盘 > 2,750（不是插针，是日线收）
2:再回踩不破 2,700 → 才算假突破结束，目标 2,800 / 2,950
- 上方三道墙：
- 2,750（突破确认）
- 2,800（区间上沿+套牢盘）
- 3,000（情绪位，需 ETF 重新净流入）
3:承接带：2,455 – 2,490
- 巨鲸余货砸盘时看这里接不接得住
- 趋势破坏位：2,430 / 2,260（100-200日线区）
- 收破 2,430 → 短期偏弱，别信“ETH 要领涨”
- 收破 2,260 → 换手彻底失败，回 2.1k
操作建议看引用贴。
小鱼吃da鱼
Chatting about eth today
$ETH feels like a turnover game. The price is stuck in a range, chips are passed back and forth, and short liquidations have become upward fuel. Ancient whales transferred out $356 million worth of ETH, but in the past week whales have reversed and increased holdings by about 60,000 coins. ETF net inflow in Q3 was $3.1 billion, ranking third in history, but recently there was a single-day outflow. Old money is retreating while new money is entering; the trend will wait until the turnover ends.
What to do?
Buy on pullback: 2,560–2,620 small position, stop loss 2,520, target 2,680 / 2,740
Buy on breakout: daily close above 2,755 + next candle not falling below 2,700 → hold to 2,850
Short on rallies: 2,790–2,810 with shrinking volume upper shadow, stop loss 2,840, target 2,670 / 2,560
Risky play: chase longs at 2,700 sideways, panic sell at 2,650, short immediately when seeing whale transfers
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