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峰哥的交易日记
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今天9月22日，特朗普将在联合国大会期间与海湾六国——沙特、阿联酋、卡塔尔、巴林、科威特、阿曼的领导人或外长讨论伊朗战争下一阶段及美国战后战略。
现在最大的问题是：
军事升级没有排除，谈判也没有排除。
特朗普此前表示自己面临有关伊朗的“重大决定”，同时又表示对与伊朗总统佩泽希齐扬会面持开放态度。伊朗方面也通过中间渠道传递了停战条件。
所以今天市场其实面对两个完全不同的剧本。
如果释放出缓和信号：
油价压力可能缓解。
风险偏好可能回升。
BTC可能获得一轮：
“地缘风险下降 → 风险资产反弹”
的交易。
如果出现升级信号：
油价可能再次上冲。
避险情绪升温。
美债收益率、美元、风险资产都会重新定价。
BTC刚好又卡在8.6万。
所以：
今天不是普通的一天，8.6万的突破可能会被宏观消息直接放大。
$BTC $ETH $SOL #加密总市值重返2.8万亿美元
峰哥的交易日记
Many people see BTC rising and only focus on:
"Next stop 90,000."
But those who really trade focus on:
"How much sell pressure is there above 86,000?"
Right now, this level coincides exactly with a dense supply zone.
Those previously trapped:
Finally break even.
Those who chased the high:
Finally get out of the trap.
Those who bought low earlier:
With such a rise, want to take profits.
So the most typical scenario here is:
BTC surges to 86,000.
Everyone shouts:
"It’s a breakout!"
Then the sell orders come out all at once.
Price instantly crashes back to 84,000.
Those chasing the breakout start to panic.
83,000.
Stop losses begin to trigger.
82,000.
The bulls start doubting everything.
This is why:
A real breakout isn’t just touching 86,000, but holding above 86,000 after the breakout.
$BTC $ETH $DOGE #加密总市值重返2.8万亿美元
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