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When you're getting hit, you're not there; when it's time to eat meat, you can't be there either. Where is the good thing about only eating meat without getting hit? This is a classic saying by Lin Yuan, and today I verified it with real money. Today, Bitcoin once dropped to $80,744 during the session, breaking below the $81,000 mark, down 3% in 24 hours. Over $1 billion in liquidations occurred across the network, with $1 billion in long positions liquidated and 166,000 people forcibly closed out. My long position also hit the stop-loss line; when it's time to cut losses, you cut, no need to say more. But what I want to say is, what's shameful about losing? In this market, everyone shows off profits, no one shows losses, making it seem like experts never make mistakes. That's the real abnormality. Lin Yuan said, "If you want to eat meat, you must first take the hits." Those glamorous big players have all come through countless times of cutting losses and trial and error. Losses are the cost of trading, the ticket to the table. If you only want to win and never want to lose, then this market is not for you. Being ashamed of losses only makes you stubbornly hold losing positions, ending up losing everything down to your underwear. The structure is intact, the trend is unbroken. Bitcoin at 77,000 is supported by the 50-week moving average, and there are huge buy orders supporting the bottom between 81,800 and 82,100. I stopped out, but I didn't leave; I keep my bullets ready to re-enter at a better position. Accepting losses is the only way to wait for the day to eat meat. #ETF仍在流入,BTC为何下跌? #黄金ETF创纪录吸金,高利率仍压制金价 “No competitive devaluation” is not about calming the exchange rate; it’s a guarantee letter to global central banks saying "I won’t snatch your exports." The latest central bank stance is firm: insist on letting the market play a decisive role in exchange rate formation, never engage in competitive currency devaluation. To translate—RMB fluctuations can be influenced by the dollar, interest rate differentials, and trade surpluses, but it will never deliberately crash the exchange rate just to sell more socks and shoes. Why this old saying is valuable now: The Fed’s rate cut expectations are shaky, the dollar index fluctuates, and emerging markets fear "neighbors devaluing first to grab orders"; Europe and the US are using “RMB manipulation” as a tariff excuse, but the central bank nails down the message: floating ≠ manipulation, counter-cyclical tools ≠ administrative pricing; Domestic enterprises’ hedging demand rises, offshore RMB speculative activity stirs, managing expectations upfront is much cheaper than dumping foreign reserves later. What the market should understand: “Market decides” = daytime volatility will continue to widen, 7.1–7.3 is not a red line but a range; “No competitive devaluation” = will not actively break 7.4, 7.5 to hedge tariffs and boost exports; If there is truly abnormal capital outflow, forward contracts, reserve requirements, and midpoint counter-cyclical factors will be used, but the goal is to prevent loss of control, not to maintain a specific number. When $CORE launched back then, Bitcoin $BTC was priced at around ¥190,000 per coin. On the launch day, retail investors pushed the price of this thing up to a peak of ¥49 each, while Bitcoin rose from about ¥190,000 to a high of ¥850,000 per coin. Now the price has fallen back to ¥540,000 per coin. Looking back at this thing's price, it has already dropped to 12 cents each. Yet the project team keeps shouting about Bitcoin this and Bitcoin that every day—Bitcoin hash power, Bitcoin power grid, Bitcoin non-custodial, global payments, buybacks, and so on. After all these years, why have they stopped shouting now? Where are they all at? Looking back now, isn't it just a big joke 😂Sự kiện: Vương quốc Bhutan - quốc gia nổi tiếng với việc bí mật dùng thủy điện để khai thác một lượng lớn Bitcoin - đang có dấu hiệu chuyển dịch chiến lược. Báo cáo mới nhất cho thấy họ đang định hướng hợp tác và nhắm đến việc tích hợp với hệ thống ngân hàng của Abu Dhabi. Notes Phân tích chi tiết: Đa dạng hóa danh mục Sovereign Wealth: Việc Bhutan từng dồn lực khai thác Bitcoin mang lại lợi nhuận lớn, nhưng cũng đẩy ngân sách quốc gia vào rủi ro biến động giá crypto. Động thái hợp tác với các tLast night I saw $BTC drop quite a bit, and I was thinking there should be a small pullback, so I got itchy and entered the market to make a small swing trade. The goal was simple: just make enough to buy a cup of milk tea and then exit. At first, I did make enough for the milk tea. But once greed kicked in, I couldn't bear to leave—thinking since the market was giving me a chance, why not hold a bit longer and try to earn a chicken leg 😂. But when I opened my account this morning: I lost the milk tea money, and the chicken leg was out of the question, almost ended up with nothing 😂. Lesson after lesson, but I just can't remember—basically, it's one word: greed. The hardest part of trading is never opening a position, but sticking to your profit-taking rules. I clearly set the rule myself: take profit and run once I make enough for milk tea. But desire quietly raises your targets; once you have the milk tea, you want the chicken leg; the more you take, the greedier you get, forgetting you only wanted to make a little money in the first place. I hope my lesson serves as a warning to new friends. Have you ever had this experience: starting with a small goal but ending up bitten by greed? I come from spot trading, fully backed by OKB, dabble a little in contracts for fun, profits and losses are my own responsibility. #新手必看:这里有你需要的一切 美国被迫把整套金融市场搬上链。不是因为华盛顿忽然热爱技术,而是旧的美元网络已经盖不住了:储备份额在掉,代理行又慢又容易被绕开,边缘市场的人没有美国银行账户,却有网络。稳定币先把美元送进每一个有网的地方,股票代币化再把美股本身送进去。理论上,互联网上的任何一个个体,都可以成为美元资产的持有人和交易对手。中国在制造、电力和部分供应链上还能讲势均力敌,金融这一层却是空白。汇率、走资和银行资产负债表把稳定币与资产上链焊死了。这一仗现在可以说是一败涂地。国内早有卢麒元等人把货币定义权说透,发声却变成问题,因为反贼和傻子太多,讨论场根本接不住。 PART 01 旧霸权不够用了 美元霸权从来不是军舰单独维持的。它靠三层网络叠在一起:贸易和大宗商品计价、深度国债与回购市场、以及几乎每一笔跨境美元最终都要经过美国管辖的银行。这三层在过去二十年松了。央行外汇储备里的美元份额从世纪初的约七成,降到2025年前后的不足六成。别的国家在扩自己的跨境清算,本币结算在试,欧洲在凑资本市场。美国没有失去主导,外汇交易里美元仍占近九成,但自动扩张的阶段结束了。 旧工具补不上这个缺口。代理行慢、贵,还随时能被制裁清单切断#Solana代币化股票9月交易量突破44亿美元 Solana链上代币化股票9月DEX交易量突破44亿美元,创历史新高。供应达6.84亿美元(三周涨47%左右),持有钱包破百万,Raydium贡献超六成。 👉🏻短期影响 这直接推高了链上活跃度。每笔交易都要烧SOL当Gas,Raydium等DEX成交暴增,意味着手续费收入和网络使用量双双上来。 短期看,资金对Solana生态关注度提升,容易带动$SOL 情绪面偏暖,价格容易跟着波动起来。 不过市场情绪来得快去得也快,单月数据很难单独撑起持续大涨。 👉🏻长期影响 真正值得看的是趋势:代币化股票从“新鲜玩意”变成Solana上实实在在的新资产类别,24小时交易、低手续费、还能跟DeFi打通。持有人破百万、供应快速增长,说明真实用户在进来。 长期来看,这能持续贡献链上活动,增强SOL作为网络燃料的需求,也让Solana在RWA赛道里站稳领先位置。 只要监管环境不突然收紧,这种真实使用场景对$SOL 基本面是实打实的加分项。 👉🏻综合判断 偏利多📈。 短期是情绪和活跃度的利多,长期是生态使用场景落地的利多。不是那种能立刻暴拉的$BCH perpetual contract, short position, currently held. Opening average price 294.4, mark price 275.9, unrealized profit +314.19%. Multiple attempts to test the upper resistance failed to hold, high chasing funds gradually exited, bulls continue to weaken, seized the turning point to open short positions accordingly. Position data shows short-term long orders clustered; once the market dips, it is easy to trigger concentrated stop-loss cascades, accelerating the decline. Market conditions change rapidly; do not be blinded by current unrealized profits, reserve position, and beware of sudden violent capital pull-ups. $ZEC $SOL #9月FOMC纪要公布,多数官员倾向再加息 #ETF仍在流入,BTC为何下跌? Trump's recent move shows that the crypto community really doesn't need to focus only on short-term price fluctuations! On October 7, Trump announced the advancement of the "Trump Account," covering about 70 million eligible children in the U.S. Eligible children born between 2025 and 2028 can also receive a one-time $1000 seed investment from the Treasury. The key is not the $1000 itself, but cultivating a generation's investment habits from a young age. This time, crypto industry companies like Coinbase and Robinhood are involved, which is worth the crypto community's attention. I am optimistic about three directions: First, the investor demographic is getting younger. If children are exposed to investing early, will they be more likely to accept Bitcoin and other digital assets as adults? Second, the integration of traditional finance and the crypto industry. Crypto platforms are competing for a broader financial user base; future competition won't just be about coin prices but also users and capital. Third, long-term capital is the key. Don't shout bull market just because Trump made a move; this policy doesn't directly inject funds into $BTC, and the account's investment scope is limited. My judgment: don't overinterpret in the short term, but it's worth watching long term. Today, investment habits in stocks are being cultivated; will more young people include crypto assets in their portfolios in the future? If the next generation in the U.S. has investment accounts from childhood, when they grow up, will $BTC become their standard allocation? Let's discuss in the comments.DOT Unleashes a Big Move: Native Stablecoin dotUSD Launches, But First Day Sees a Bullish Pump Followed by Sell-Off Polkadot recently launched its native stablecoin dotUSD on the mainnet, with a pretty impressive narrative — no single issuer, co-governed on-chain by DOT holders through OpenGov, marking a top-tier Layer 1 stepping in to claim a piece of the stablecoin market. Currently priced at $1.127, up about 3.4% in 24 hours, but it hit a low of $1.009 earlier today, almost clawing its way out of a dip. Spot trading volume in 24 hours is around $10 million, showing normal liquidity for a major coin, not a thin market pump. Looking into the details, the first phase of dotUSD is actually issued and redeemed 1:1 pegged to USDT. The real mechanism that allows DOT to become collateral, driving locked value and buy pressure, is still to come. Simply put, the storytelling aspect currently outweighs real demand, as evidenced by DOT dropping on launch day, indicating selling pressure. Today's bullish candle is more of an oversold rebound following the broader market rally. Technically, RSI is at 63, not yet overbought, with price pressing against the upper Bollinger Band at 1.131 and resistance at 1.132. Next, it depends on whether volume can push past the previous high near 1.14; if it fails and falls back below the 1.10 support, this move remains a rebound, not a reversal. $DOT #Polkadot #Stablecoin Not investment advice, DYORHolding SOL for so long, how many times have we seen pullbacks? This time it didn’t move either. From $123 down to $105, the unrealized profit in the account shrank a bit, but the position? Not reduced at all. As for the market, every time it rallies, it has to pull back a bit—that’s an old rule, nothing to panic about. Just look at the candlestick chart, it only dropped for two days, volume expanded then shrank back, and the buy orders around $109 held steady. A 7-day pullback of 9% sounds scary, but if you look longer term, it’s up 39% in 90 days and 33% in 180 days. A few bearish candles on a half-year chart are just a small episode. Another thing, Jump Crypto’s Firedancer wallet has staked 450,000 SOL, locking in about $50 million. Institutions are voting with real money, so why should I waver over a few days of pullback? Anyway, my logic hasn’t changed: public chains compete on performance and ecosystem, and $SOL holds both. Let the price fluctuate, just hold your chips steady. Once the pullback is over, the market will naturally give the answer.$BTC's price has plummeted nearly 99%, and now this star L2 is actually considering transforming into an L1? $STRK has dropped about 99% from its all-time high, with the current price around $0.056 and a circulating market cap of approximately $410 million. Currently, Starknet is considering breaking away from the Ethereum L2 architecture to become an independent L1, aiming to become a fully quantum-resistant public chain by 2027. Quantum computing and AI are accelerating cryptographic research, potentially threatening the elliptic curve signatures used by Bitcoin and Ethereum in the future. Starknet itself uses a hash-based ZK-STARK proof system, and wallets can flexibly switch signature schemes, which indeed offers technical advantages. However, the issue is that it still relies on Ethereum for underlying security guarantees, and Ethereum plans to complete its full L1 quantum resistance upgrade by the end of 2029. StarkWare has historically raised about $282.5 million in funding, with a valuation as high as $8 billion during its 2022 equity financing, backed by top institutions like Paradigm, Sequoia, and Coatue. But now, Starknet's DeFi TVL is only about $160 million, and the daily on-chain fees generated recently are just a few thousand dollars. Recently, Blast and Abstract announced shutdowns one after another, and now even Starknet is starting to consider switching tracks.ETH is currently at 2,462, down 4.17% in 24 hours, having broken below 2,500. Three things are happening simultaneously: ETH ETFs have been bleeding for 7 consecutive days, with a single-day outflow of 161 million, totaling 569 million since the end of September, with BlackRock accounting for 72%. The largest treasury buyer BitMine announced it has reached its position limit (5%), Tom Lee confirmed no further purchases, and BMNR dropped 7% that day. In the past 24 hours, the entire network liquidations reached 919 million, with longs accounting for 91.25%, ETH liquidations leading at 327 million. Long positions are still being liquidated. Macro conditions remain tight: US Treasury yields are high, oil prices are rising, and the fear and greed index has dropped to 59. Strategy: Short on rebound at 2,620-2,650, target 2,500→2,450, stop loss at 2,712. If it breaks back above 2,700, reverse and exit. Risk: RSI is oversold, a technical rebound is possible, do not chase shorts. There are risks on both sides, manage your position size carefully.Hot Coin Data Ranking|Last 15 Minutes $STRK surged with increased volume and holdings. Trading volume reached 3,321,000 USDT, 4.0 times the average 15-minute volume converted from the previous hour; price +1.66%, holdings +3.24%.The 500u challenge to reach 10,000u, plus the previously mentioned 360u, has already accumulated 1100u, completing one-tenth of the challenge! Let's first look at the current status of Bitcoin $BTC and Ethereum $ETH, especially the Ethereum bull flag I mentioned before being broken! This doomed a sharp drop, as you can see from my previous posts! Currently, I personally think the main reasons for the decline are definitely the rise in crude oil causing inflation and interest rate hikes! Plus, most believe the Federal Reserve will raise rates once more this year, and there was a massive ETF outflow last night. I personally believe we are currently in a downtrend! Unless the decline stops and key short-term levels are recovered, ETF outflows significantly narrow, and ETH retakes the broken area. Only with these signals combined will a rebound be more credible.$BTC really touched 80,000 last night, this time looking a bit worse than the past two days BTC is now around 81,700, with last night's low having dipped to 80,345. 💸 The ETF is definitely running money this time. On October 7, the US BTC spot ETF had a net outflow of $484.9 million in one day, with BlackRock IBIT itself outflowing $207.7 million; the data disclosed so far on October 8 shows about -$41.5 million. Over $500 million in two days. This is different from the previous days where "money flowed out one day and was bought back the next"; I'll watch for a couple more days. 🏛️ Yesterday, the US government wallet made a big move again. 12,267 BTC related to the Bitfinex hacker case, worth about $1 billion, were transferred out as a whole. But don't rush to call it a dump just because "the US government moved $1 billion BTC"—these coins currently went to untagged wallets, not exchanges, and there is no evidence of sales. 🌍 Things outside aren't calm either. Brent crude closed at $104.28 last night, up about 4% again. The US 10-year yield was still fluctuating at high levels intraday, but the 30-year Treasury auction demand was good, and the 10-year yield later fell back to 5.227%. #9月FOMC纪要公布,多数官员倾向再加息 BTC breaks below 81,000: Old support turns into new resistance, $1 billion liquidation night Summary first: The 82,000–83,000 range has flipped from support to resistance, BTC breaks below 81,000 with an intraday low of 80,900. Current price is 81,765, positioned between the daily MA20 (84,038) and MA50 (80,660), a sandwich position. Directionally, the range is bearish, with the 82,500–83,000 rebound resistance zone as the first hurdle. On October 8, during the New York session on Thursday, BTC broke below the 82,000–83,000 range for the third time, hitting an intraday low of 80,900, down 2.8% in 24 hours, the lowest since September 21. This is the third breakdown since September 23 after being resisted near 87,000: the 82,000–83,000 band was resistance in May and September, flipped to support in early October, and flipped back to resistance on Thursday. Spot ETFs saw a net outflow of $484.9 million on Wednesday (the largest since June 25, with IBIT alone outflowing $207.7 million); the entire market saw $974 million liquidated in 24 hours, of which $896 million were long positions (ETH led with $311 million liquidated, BTC $238 million). Brent crude surged from $101 to $105 (due to escalating tensions in the Strait of Hormuz disrupting tanker traffic); 10-year US Treasury yields at 5.35%, 30-year at 5.73%, both multi-decade highs; the US Dollar Index at 102.293, approaching an 18-month high of 102.535. Oil, bonds, and the dollar are all strengthening simultaneously, leading to a repricing of long-duration assets. October 9 morning (OKX BTC-USDT-SWAP): Daily price at 81,765, MA20 at 84,038.8, MA50 at 80,660.4, price sandwiched between the two moving averages, ATR14 at 1,949; 4-hour MA20 at 83,804.6, MA50 at 84,518.9, price below both moving averages, short-term MA below long-term MA; 1-hour cycle high at 86,963.7 (October 5) to cycle low at 80,351 (October 8), three waves down. Directional range is bearish, participate in rebounds under resistance, do not chase the dip. Trigger: rebound to 82,500–83,000 (lower edge of the flip zone) faces resistance. Stop loss: above 83,500 (breaking above the upper edge of the flip zone signals structural strength). Target: 81,000, break below to watch 80,000 round number, then 79,299. No trading zone: 80,000–80,900 first touch no shorting, round number plus liquidation low overlap, first touch likely to rebound; no counter-trend shorting above 83,000. Risk control: participate with half position; US government shutdown delayed September nonfarm payrolls, data blackout, event risk is high before the October 28–29 FOMC; monitor US Treasury yields and the US Dollar Index, strengthening on either side will transmit to BTC first.There are transactions, but the price hasn't agreed yet $AAVE has a 24-hour trading volume of about $313 million, but the price still slightly declined, falling about 6.2% over the week. Just because there are trades doesn't mean buyers are willing to continuously push the price up. Trading volume counts both buys and sells, so this number alone can't determine whether funds are flowing in or out. I think we need to see what results remain after the transactions. A price rise that can push the price higher and a pullback that can hold the level better indicate buying pressure at work. If trading remains active but the price keeps retreating, the activity can't be taken as a bullish sign. For now, observe the recovery and don't rush to interpret participation as upward momentum. $LINK is around 13, down about 9% over the week, and short-term weakness persists. I won't assume support just because it returned near a round number. This level is easy to remember, but the market may not care. If it can climb back above 13 and hold on pullbacks, then the outlook improves; if it just crosses back and forth, it still shows the direction is unclear. $RE has dropped less than 1%, but declined nearly 10% over the week, so it's still some distance from stabilizing or strengthening again. I want to see if the next rebound continues. Slowing the decline can ease some pressure but doesn't raise profit expectations yet. First end the retreat, then resume the rise, letting the price answer step by step. For now, watch more and act less, wait for confirmation.🐬 $SNDK $: Start hedging at position 1620 78.6% retracement of the old upward segment: 1733.4 − (1733.4 − 1618.1) × 0.786 ≈ 1642.77 38.2% rebound of the new downward segment: 1586.3 + (1733.4 − 1586.3) × 0.382 ≈ 1642.49 Looking higher at 1660–1664: • 50% rebound level of this round's decline: 1659.85 • Daily MA50: about 1659.9 • 1-hour MA50: about 1663.5 • 15-minute MA200: about 1663.9 This is a resistance zone concentrated with moving averages and Fibonacci levels. If it can be reclaimed and held on a pullback, the quality of the rebound will significantly improve, then look for the 61.8% rebound level near 1677. Below, first focus on 1610–1618, then 1600 and 1586.3. Support appears near 1586, but two bottom tests alone are not enough to confirm a double bottom; if it breaks down effectively, the rebound structure will be damaged again. My observation sequence: **First see if 1627 can break through, then if 1643 can hold, and finally if 1660–1664 can be reclaimed.** Changes in judgment must follow the close and pullback, not just rely on a single bullish candlestick. Vitalik warns: AI may accelerate the weakening of cryptographic security. In the past, the main concern was quantum computers, but now Vitalik has added AI to the risk list. This morning he posted that AI's mathematical research capabilities are rapidly improving and may find shortcuts to certain cryptographic algorithms faster. He specifically mentioned lattice cryptography: this technology was originally considered an important solution against quantum computing, but he believes that with AI's mathematical progress in the next two years, the currently assumed security strength of lattice cryptography may be significantly weakened. Even more troubling, the ECDSA signatures widely used in Bitcoin and Ethereum wallets may face pressure earlier than previously expected. However, this does not mean AI can currently crack wallets. Vitalik instead reminds users not to rush to transfer coins or change wallets, as operational mistakes themselves can cause losses. He is more inclined to use simpler hash-based cryptographic schemes in the future.Citibank is bullish on $BTC up to 113,000, so why did 100,000 people get liquidated in 24 hours? Bitcoin plunged nearly $2,000 in 20 minutes, directly breaking below the key $84,000 level. In the past 24 hours, over 100,000 people were liquidated across the market, with total liquidations around $1.02 billion, most of which were longs. Just a week ago, Citibank raised Bitcoin's 12-month target price to $113,000. The same Bitcoin is a meat grinder for long liquidations here, while over there it is the "digital gold" named bullish by investment banks. The players in this game are no longer a simple "retail vs. whales" opposition, but four forces making moves simultaneously at the table: early holders taking profits, derivatives market makers distributing, ETFs and listed companies accumulating, and the macro interest rate environment choking everyone. To understand this game, you first need to see clearly the chips each player holds. #ETF仍在流入,BTC为何下跌? Is something big coming? No. It's the Federal Reserve digging up old issues. On Wednesday afternoon, the September meeting minutes will be released. Not new interest rates. It's the old ledger. They dare not raise rates, but can't avoid it either, so they can only raise next month. The awkwardness is written all over their faces. The dollar is relatively strong. Long-term bond yields are above 5%. Crypto circle: I want to leave on my own. Legs: No, you don't want to. $BTC 82,000. On Monday it surged to 87,000 but was pushed back. The third test since September 23. Like a puppy dog confessing love. Rejected all three times. Can 8.2-8.0 hold? $ETH Follows Bitcoin. Not much change in price. Can't lead the rhythm. Like the quietest colleague at a team-building event. $OKB Singapore meeting. Global Product and Ecosystem Conference. From an exchange to a fintech platform. Challenging the world's largest exchange? First ask if Binance agrees. Opportunities come from waiting, not chasing. Just venting. Not investment advice. #ThisWeekTheFedWillReleaseSeptemberMeetingMinutes #BTCWhaleSellingPressureWeakens,ETFFundsNetInflowForThreeConsecutiveWeeks #USLongTermBondYieldsHitNewHighs,30YearApproaches5.7%The market showed a bottom-finding and V-shaped rebound, hitting a low of 2405.07, then continuously closing higher with a rebound, current price 2476.62. KDJ indicator: K71.19, D55.04, J103.49; the J value has entered the overbought zone, indicating a short-term need for a pullback. Key levels Support below: 2440, strong support at 2405, the low point of this round, Resistance above: 2520, strong resistance at 2568 (previous high) Trend outlook After a large bearish candlestick rapidly hammered the market, buying support was strong, leading to a corrective rebound. But the one-hour KDJ is overbought, so avoid chasing longs. The rebound faces pressure near the 2520 resistance zone; shorting can be attempted with a target to continue down to 2400 $BTC #9月FOMC纪要公布,多数官员倾向再加息 【BTC Intraday Analysis】 If this rebound is not taken, the direction today continues to be bearish. 80345 indeed showed strength, but the price started to stall around 81800, with each 1-hour candle weaker than the last, and the 4-hour chart hasn't recovered the previous large-volume bearish candle. The biggest problem isn't how much it has fallen, but that the bulls have accumulated so many chips and still can't push out a second wave of gains. This looks more like a breather after a short squeeze, not a bottom reversal. The main force lifting the price from the lows is creating a sense of security for bottom-fishers; the real buying hasn't chased the price upward. On October 9 Beijing time, I judge BTC's rebound space to be limited, and after a weak rally, it will look for support downward again. The main intraday trend remains weak and downward. To reverse this short-term trend, at least a strong rally with continuous volume increase must be seen, which is not evident in the current market.🔥 Just two days after breaking below 82,000, the unrealized liquidation on the books nears $100 million ⚡ The market broadly declines, yet contrarian funds quietly increase positions in coins like IP and XMR ⏰ Geek reminder: In a spike market, better to miss out than catch a falling knife 📌 Market data BTC: Broke through 81,839, holding between 81,000-83,000 OI (Open Interest): $27.5 billion, 24h -0.48% 24h total liquidations: $92.4 million Funding rate: +0.0069%, slightly positive but not extreme 📊 Geek logic 1️⃣ OI and price contract simultaneously, indicating this wave is existing long positions stopping loss and exiting, not shorts aggressively entering to grab chips 2️⃣ Funding rate hasn’t turned negative, shorts have not formed a consensus expectation yet, likely still leverage reduction rather than trend reversal 🎯 Key defense and attack levels Below: 80,000 psychological line, losing it opens the way to test lows Above: 85,000-87,000 resistance zone, reclaiming it means stabilization 🎤 Risk control mindset: Set stop losses, enter on the right side, don’t catch falling knives mid-slope. Now for contracts, are you holding your position, adding to cost, or cutting losses and exiting? A Hold and wait for rebound / B Add to average down / C Cut losses and exit 👇 $BTC $SUI $xMRVL #比特币矿企Riot获Anthropic算力大单 #Strategy再度增持,财库同步加仓 Good morning, just a second ago I was fighting for my long position in the ICU, and this morning when I opened my eyes, wow, I directly moved into the short army's KTV! Let's review these three proud "heroes": $ETH: The serfs have turned over and sing! Opened at 2530.57, current price 2473.93, wildly pocketed 249.83U, ROI +44.76%. Two days ago still struggling to survive in the long position, now reversed to short and eating big, forced liquidation at 2645, rock solid like an old dog. $SOL: The most outrageous on the field! Opened at 112.33, dropped to 109.13, angrily earned 238.52U, ROI +56.97%. A couple of days ago the drop made me want to pull the plug, today the drop makes me want to set off firecrackers. This overwhelming wealth, finally it's my turn! $BTC: The big brother focuses on companionship. Opened at 82569.41, current price 81767, steadily took 61.68U (+19.65%). Even mosquito legs are meat, having a sip of soup, feeling great. Overall floating profit 550U! Compared to the blood loss in long positions a couple of days ago, today I managed to fleece the dog dealer with both principal and interest. The fact proves again: stubbornly holding long positions feels good for a moment, but following the trend to short is a crematorium (burning all the dog dealer's money). A new day, put away the fantasy of bottom fishing. No holding positions, no greed, continue to be a decent short soldier with profits. Control positions, control positions, still control positions! #跟着OKX打卡2049 #全球长期国债收益率升至多年高位 #黄金ETF创纪录吸金,高利率仍压制金价 $BTC Excerpted from the original words of the ten big targets of the big whale. This time during the pullback, what I care about most is not how much it fell, but: why it only fell this much. Recently, there have actually been quite a few macro negative factors. The 30-year US Treasury yield is close to 5.7, the 10-year is around 5.3; the expectation of another rate hike within the year has strengthened; oil prices and inflation pressures have re-emerged; the suspected plague incident in Russia has also brought some panic. In the past, many of these news items alone would have been enough to cause BTC to drop. Now, with several negative factors coming out together, BTC only pulled back about 5%. So I have always thought: news is the surface, the price's reaction to the news is the real information. Most people trading are actually driven by emotions. When prices rise, they only see good news; when prices fall, they only see bad news. But only a few can sift through many appearances to find the truly useful information. All appearances are illusory. When negative factors increase but the price becomes increasingly resistant to falling, that itself indicates something. This is somewhat similar to when BTC was at 58,000, but not exactly the same. At 58,000, after extreme pessimism, the market began to show signs of being unable to sell. Now, in a strong trend, macro pressures continue, but the price still hasn't been truly broken. So currently, I don't think it will directly fall to 7.8, much less to 7.4. But trading doesn't require proving you're always right. If it breaks below 7.9, I start reducing positions. If the daily candle closes below 7.8, all remaining long positions exit. If it doesn't break below, continue holding $BTC dropped to $80,300 ETF funds have also started to change BTC hit a low near $80,300 yesterday. A few days ago, there was still talk about breaking through $87,000, but now it has returned to the $80,000 level. Recent changes in ETF funds deserve special attention. On October 6, the US spot BTC ETF had a net inflow of about $119 million, but on October 7, it directly turned into a net outflow of about $485 million. Among them, BlackRock IBIT outflowed $208 million, Fidelity FBTC outflowed $105 million, and ARKB outflowed $102 million. In other words, within just one trading day, ETF funds experienced a significant reversal. However, a single day of ETF outflow does not mean institutions are withdrawing long-term, especially now that US bond yields are rising and expectations of rate hikes have not faded. It is not surprising that some funds temporarily reduce risk asset allocations. I still believe it is necessary to closely watch the area around $80,000. If BTC can reclaim $83,000–$84,000, there is still room for short-term recovery; but if $80,000 cannot hold, altcoins may face a larger round of adjustment. #ETF仍在流入,BTC为何下跌? 2026-10-09 09:00 (Beijing) Based on (impact on BTC from largest to smallest): 1) Funding/ETF: BTC spot ETF net outflow of about 487 million to 500 million USD the previous day, almost every fund experienced outflows (CoinDesk Beijing 10-08 19:15; Altcoin Buzz Beijing 10-08 16:07); however, the market did not follow the decline, current price 81.7K firmly above 80.36K, 24h only -1.89% → bearish impact softened/partially desensitized, not advisable to blindly short based on this. Funding rate -0.000006 (near neutral slight negative), OI ≈ 517 million USD. 2) Market/Trend structure: In the past 4 days 86480→81750 (about -5.5%), current price below MA6(81752)/MA24(82141)/MA72(83788), bearish alignment; but short-term sideways between 81.6~81.9K, 24h range 80358.6~83257, direction not broken. 3) Geopolitical/Macro (last): US-Iran tensions escalate—US military on standby/weighing strike on Iran before midterm elections (Axios Beijing 10-08 15:05), new US sanctions on Iranian shadow fleet, Iran conflict polls remain unpopular combined with about 500 million USD liquidation suppressing risk appetite, but BTC relatively resilientSamsung's Q3 Profit Surpasses 100 Trillion KRW AI Storage Demand Stronger Than Expected Samsung has just announced its preliminary results for the third quarter, with operating profit expected to reach 107.4 trillion KRW, a year-on-year increase of 782.5%. This figure is extremely exaggerated. Last year at the same time, it was only about 12.2 trillion KRW, but this year in one quarter, it earned 107.4 trillion KRW, even exceeding the already quite optimistic market expectations. The main reason behind this is still the demand for storage chips driven by AI. Currently, not only HBM high-bandwidth memory but also traditional DRAM prices are rising. The continuous expansion of AI data centers has caused a significant change in the supply-demand relationship of the entire storage industry. However, Samsung's stock price did not surge because of this performance; the market has already started to consider how long the future storage price increases can last. This is also a point I have been paying special attention to in my recent semiconductor research. AI demand is indeed still growing, but storage chips themselves have strong cyclicality. Samsung's profit has already increased nearly ninefold; whether it can continue to maintain such profitability depends on storage prices and the speed of capacity expansion. Samsung will release a more complete financial report on October 29, which will further confirm the profit contributions of each business unit. #三星Q3初步利润首破100万亿韩元 $BTC $ETH $ZEC Btc Big Cake Analysis 1: The current pullback is a daily top divergence pullback; if it doesn't hold above 82800, it is a weak performance. Short positions can be taken around 82500 with a stop loss at 83500. 2: Generally, stabilization will form a double bottom; it won't reverse with a direct V-shape, so don't rush to enter. 3: Around 80300 is the previous low point of the rise, providing some support; it will consolidate before choosing a direction. 4: Every rebound starts with gold rebounding first, then it turns to the big cake. You can pay attention to gold's changes; if gold starts to rebound, Btc can be bought on dips. #9月FOMC纪要公布,多数官员倾向再加息 #ETF仍在流入,BTC为何下跌? $BTC $ETH #全球长期国债收益率升至多年高位 Global long-term government bond yields are rising in sync to multi-year highs. Since October 1, the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield briefly reached 5.34%, the highest level since 2002; the 30-year yield climbed to around 5.72%, also setting a record since 2002, with this quarter's increase poised to be the largest single-quarter rise of this century. In Europe, the UK 30-year government bond yield broke through 6.03% intraday, a new high since 1998; the French 10-year yield approached 5%, returning to levels last seen in July 2002; the German 30-year yield rose to 3.866%. Japanese sovereign bond yields recorded double-digit gains for the fifth consecutive quarter, with the 30-year yield briefly hitting a historic high of 4.24%. This round of global long bond sell-off results from multiple pressures converging, with the core contradiction being that the market is repricing fiscal risks rather than just monetary policy. First, ongoing tensions in the Middle East have pushed Brent crude oil back above $100 per barrel, with the correlation between oil prices and U.S. Treasury yields reaching the tightest level since 1990. The stickiness of energy-driven inflation expectations forces major central banks to maintain restrictive interest rates longer. Second, the corporate bond supply driven by the AI data center construction boom is competing with government bonds for long-term funds. This year, five major AI companies—Anthropic, Amazon, Meta, Microsoft, and Oracle—issued $220 billion in debt, more than double last year's total, causing investors to demand an additional yield premium of about 0.25 percentage points on large tech bonds. A deeper structural pressure comes from the immediate pricing of fiscal sustainability. U.S. federal debt has surpassed $40 trillion, with a projected federal deficit of $1.9 trillion for fiscal year 2026 and net interest expenses around $1.0 trillion. Long-end rates are rising much faster than short-term policy rates, resulting in a noticeably steepening yield curve. The 2-year U.S. Treasury yield is about 4.81%, and the 30-year is about 5.71%, with a spread close to 90 basis points, indicating the market demands a higher term premium on the long end rather than merely reflecting rate hike expectations. Danske Bank's chief analyst Sorensen noted that as investors require higher term premiums on the long end, the market now sees a risk of the 10-year and 30-year U.S. Treasury yields reaching 6%. Risk transmission has manifested across multiple dimensions. The U.S. 30-year mortgage rate has surpassed 7%, raising financing costs for businesses and households comprehensively, with tightening spontaneously realized through long-end rate increases. IMF Managing Director Georgieva urged governments worldwide to curb spending, stating that excessive fiscal deficits and high debt servicing costs are "major factors" affecting global economic health. Eurozone fragmentation is intensifying, with the French-German 10-year bond yield spread widening to 146.9 basis points, the highest since the Eurozone debt crisis around 2010. UK fiscal watchdog data shows that interest payments as a share of economic output have approached 4%, about twice the average level of the decade before the pandemic. Looking ahead, the structural factors driving the long-end rate baseline upward have not reversed. Geopolitical conflicts and high oil prices continue to push inflation expectations higher and worsen fiscal deficits, while accelerated AI financing and high interest rates trigger a self-reinforcing debt spiral. In the short term, weakening employment and inflation data provide the Federal Reserve room to pause, with the probability of an October rate hike dropping sharply from nearly 70% a week ago to about 22%, though December rate hike expectations remain. The real turning point depends on two conditions: substantive easing of Middle East tensions leading to lower oil prices, and credible progress in fiscal consolidation by countries. Until then, elevated global long-end rates will continue to suppress risk asset valuations and increase financing costs for the real economy. $BTC $QQQ $ETH on-chain data shows that long liquidations reached 1.04 billion in 24 hours, with nearly 200,000 people liquidated. This deleveraging wave somewhat feels like the early sharp drop in a bull market clearing high leverage. But this is not a bull market now, and the downtrend is not over. Longs are still bottom-fishing, and the long-short ratio has not decreased. So I can only say it hasn’t bottomed yet; it still needs to fall further. #ETF仍在流入,BTC为何下跌? #9月FOMC纪要公布,多数官员倾向再加息 #三星Q3初步利润首破100万亿韩元 美联储9月纪要出来了 多数官员认为年内还要再加息一次 10年期美债拍卖利率5.3% 是近26年最高 布伦特原油站上100美元 BTC在81779美元附近 24h跌1.7% ETH 2474美元跌3.7% SOL跌5% (以上为10月9日早间CoinGecko快照 以实时价格为准) 先翻译一下央行语言 对象说"我们再观察一下" 一般意思就是 你还要再被考验一次 加息也是这个味道 说好的温柔降息没来 先来一句"再等等" 你有没有发现 这轮跌法很有性格 大饼跌1.7% 以太跌3.7% SOL跌5% BNB跌4.5% 山寨永远比大饼跌得狠 就像感情里 风一吹 最先慌的从来不是最稳的那个 再看资金面 10月6日比特币ETF净流入1.19亿美元 以太坊ETF净流出2.02亿美元 一边进一边出 聪明钱其实已经投票了 高利率环境里 大家更愿意拿最简单的那个叙事 而不是最复杂的 还有一条线 油价过100 通胀链条就很难让央行放松 油价 美债 加息预期 三个东西手拉手 风险资产夹在中间 这时候讲再好的故事 估值都得先打个折 所以我现在的思路很朴素 10月28号议息前 仓位别太满 睡得着比赚得多重要 手里有📉 This drop is severe, but I don't define it as a crash for now. $BTC fell below 83K, $ETH returned to around 2550, and about $570 million long positions were liquidated in the past 12 hours. This looks more like a concentrated deleveraging round, with the market clearing out previously excessive leverage. What really matters next is whether the support can hold. $BTC: The 82K–80K range is a key area; if it holds, there is still a chance for recovery. $ETH: Around 2500 is the short-term lifeline; if it stabilizes, there is room for a rebound. $ZEC: A highly volatile asset; after this round of sharp decline, pay more attention to the previous lows for support—don’t just catch a falling knife because it dropped a lot. If support for both BTC and ETH appears simultaneously, the market might complete a "deleverage → regroup" cycle. But if support is continuously broken, the logic changes completely. Liquidation is part of the process; support is the answer. Don’t panic now, and don’t rush to bottom-fish; wait for the market to prove itself. The above is just my personal market record and does not constitute trading advice. #9月FOMC纪要公布,多数官员倾向再加息 #跟着OKX打卡2049 #ETF仍在流入,BTC为何下跌? $BTC $ETH $ZEC $BTC 10.9 Bitcoin Trend Analysis The first 5-wave upward movement of Bitcoin has completed, and it is now in the second wave of a major correction. The correction is expected to be within the Fibonacci 0.382-0.618 range, with prices between 74,700 and 67,700. Currently, Bitcoin long positions have been stopped out and exited. Risk Warning: This is only an analysis of the market structure and does not constitute any trading advice Personal opinion. Bitcoin has already reached the previously mentioned position, successfully playing the second major wave down, only 600 points away from 80000. Waiting for the small second wave rebound during the second major wave down to follow the short. The short-term structure has shifted from bearish to bullish rebound, focusing on the reaction at 82800: if a long upper shadow appears on the 1H chart, reduce position by half first, and push the rest to breakeven; if it cannot hold, continue to treat it as a weak rebound. Set stop loss below 80600, and watch the price action at 82800 for long positions first. If it strongly holds above 82800, it indicates the previous move was a bearish trap, and the take profit target is reset to the previous high. Spot positions can be scaled in without leverage. The left-side long-term view still retains the short idea near 82800, with stop loss at 84000, first take profit at 77600, second at 75000, and third at 70000. Currently, this is just a technical correction after a sharp drop. Macroeconomically, US Treasury yields remain high, ETF inflows are being offset by spot selling pressure and liquidation hedges. Until the trend reversal is confirmed, avoid leverage and wait for 1H/4H close confirmation. $BTC $ETH $ZEC 最近的比特币像极了一个表白了三次都没成功的人 每次冲到8.7万门口 都被一句我们还是做朋友吧送了回来 按10月8日的公开数据 BTC在8.29万附近 24小时跌1.8% 全网多头清算超过5亿美元 杠杆这东西就像恋爱里的海誓山盟 说的时候很爽 兑现的时候很疼 这次的压力主要不在币圈内部 而在宏观 美国10年期国债收益率到了2002年以来最高 30年期也是24年新高 布伦特原油在102美元附近 美元也偏强 翻译成人话就是 无风险的那一方条件太好了 躺着就有高收益 风险资产想把资金追回来 就得拿出更多诚意 但也有不一样的信号 据Mudrex的数据 10月1日以来大户增持超过1.4万枚BTC 一边是散户被清算 一边是大户悄悄接盘 这种剧情币圈看过不止一次 我自己的观察是 8.2万到8.3万是很多机构都在盯的支撑区 守住了情绪会慢慢修复 守不住的话8万附近可能会被测试一下 下一个关键时间点是10月14日的美国9月CPI 所以这周我的态度很简单 不追高 不加杠杆 仓位分批 子弹留到数据落地之后再说 市场永远不缺机会 缺的是活到下一次机会的本金 感情里的冷静期不等于分手 行情里的回调也不一定是结束 Data as of: Around 08:36 Beijing time on October 9. 1. The Middle East situation continues to push up global inflation risks. Brent crude briefly broke through $105 last night, ultimately closing near $104, up about 4% for the day. Although Trump stated that there would be no new attacks on Iran before the November 3 midterm elections, the Houthi forces continue to attack Saudi airports, and the U.S. is simultaneously increasing sanctions on Iran's oil transportation network. After oil prices climbed back above $100, the risk of the Federal Reserve continuing to raise rates by the end of the year is hard to completely eliminate, which remains one of the biggest external pressures on BTC currently. 2. The U.S. 30-year Treasury auction results were significantly better than expected. The $22 billion 30-year Treasury had a winning yield of 5.618%, with a bid-to-cover ratio of 2.54, higher than recent averages, and indirect bidders accounted for 72.3%; after the auction, the 10-year Treasury yield fell back to about 5.23%. Long-term bonds finally saw genuine buying interest consecutively, but a risk-free yield above 5% remains very high. As long as the 10Y yield stays below 5.25%, it is relatively friendly to Crypto; if it breaks above 5.30% again, Altcoin positions will continue to be reduced. 3. BTC fell below $81,000 last night, hitting a low of about $80,300, and this morning it returned to around $81,800, still down about 1.7% over 24 hours. This round of decline from $87,000 to $80,000 has already cleared out a large number of leveraged long positions. Binance BTC open interest, which had previously approached 100,000 coins, has now dropped to about 92,000 最脆弱的一环,其实不是价格,是情绪。 ETF 一降温,ETH 和 XRP 就立刻显露出疲态,这算不算一种依赖症? 这两天看盘有种很微妙的感觉,不是恐慌,是犹豫。ETH 在 2.5K 到 2.6K 之间来回磨,像在等一个谁都不肯先开口的答案。它需要重新站回 2.62K 到 2.65K,才能证明买盘真的回来了;可一旦丢掉 2.5K,下探的节奏会被放大。XRP 也一样,1.40 是必须守住的支撑,上方 1.50 到 1.53 是那道还没翻过去的墙。 但我想说的不是这几个数字,是数字背后那群人的心理。 ETF 资金转弱之后,市场少了一根最稳的拐杖。之前大家默认有增量在托,回调也敢接;现在这个默认被打破了,于是每一次反弹都带着试探的味道。短线买入信号确实在大跌后冒出来了,可惜成交量没有跟上,说明接的人不多,更多是空头暂时收手,而不是多头真正回归。 这种时候最容易出现两种人。一种是看到反弹就 FOMO,怕错过下一班车;另一种是盯着盘面反复犹豫,手里有仓位却不敢加,也不甘心减。两种情绪叠在一起,就是典型的叙事疲劳:故事还在,但没人愿意先为它付钱。 偏多的路径也不是没有。如果 ETH 能带着量收回 2"$BTC Bitcoin has a key support level below that can be tested for a long position!" Technical Analysis: 82,000 falls within a multi-support resonance zone 82,000 is close to the previous low of 82,500, and below that is the daily support band from 81,200 to 81,800. This range converges the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level, the 100-day simple moving average, and the 200-week simple moving average. BTC has currently retraced to near the 100-day moving average. Analyst Ali points out that holding the 81,500 to 82,000 area still gives BTC a chance to rebound to $86,000. The stochastic indicator has dropped to deep oversold levels, with %K at 15.2 and %D at 12.8, and the price is close to the lower Bollinger Band. Oversold conditions are usually followed by technical corrections. Trading Strategy Light long positions near 82,000, with stop loss set below 81,200, which is the daily 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level breach point. The first target is between 84,800 and 85,200, a resistance zone where EMA12 and pivot points resonate. After breaking through, the next target is the 100-week moving average area between 86,500 and 87,000. Position size should be controlled between 10% and 15%, with leverage not exceeding 3x. At the 82,000 level, oversold signals, support resonance, and short liquidation potential overlap, making the risk-reward ratio favorable. But avoid heavy positions; wait for a clear stabilization signal at the support level before adding more. $BTC #9月FOMC纪要公布,多数官员倾向再加息 #ETF仍在流入,BTC为何下跌? P73 CryptoMarket Monitor дает медведям новые позитивные сигналы по крипторынку. В отчете к новому началу дня: - 30 активов из ТОП-200, включая #BTC, перешли в устойчивый даунтренд на 12-часовом ТФ (это к тем 34, который были получены за 8 октября, то есть всего уже 64 актива из 200 - в даунтренде). - 21 актив из ТОП-200, включая ETH, SOL, DOGE, перешел в устойчивый даунтренд на дневном ТФ. У BTC самая дальняя базовая цель - 78 323$, у ETH - 2 306$. Показываем скрины по обоим активам на соответстAnt Warehouse activated!!! Shorted $SAND last night One trade had a maximum unrealized profit of 750%! Another trade had a maximum unrealized profit of 300%!! Thought it wouldn't recover after such a big drop! Woke up this morning and the sky fell! Even my stop loss at 0.067 got wiped out! This market maker is ruthless!! Today I shorted the top altcoin again! $TIA, with about 40% unrealized profit! It just waterfall dumped on me!!! #9月FOMC纪要公布,多数官员倾向再加息 #ETF仍在流入,BTC为何下跌? #三星Q3初步利润首破100万亿韩元 $BTC Mr. President, I'm really exhausted. This $SNDK is just like a scam coin, dropping over a hundred points a day. Who can stand this! Last night I was staring at the screen, cold sweat pouring down. This isn't stock or crypto trading; it's like playing with my life. Early this morning, just got to my desk, and I don't even have the mood to start working. $SNDK Current price 1,623.5, down 0.81%. Don't just look at this small percentage drop; last night it peaked at 1,715 and plunged directly to 1,586. One hundred and thirty points just vanished! This roller coaster ride is making my heart stop. Luckily, I sensed the trend was off earlier and grit my teeth to cut losses and run. Watching it jump up and down today, I feel both relieved to have escaped and heartbroken over the principal I cut off. This kind of foreign scam coin really plays with your heartbeat. $BTC Current price 81,845, up 1.05%. Last night really scared me out of a cold sweat. The lowest point plunged directly to 80,351, just barely missing breaking the 80,000 mark! Those rows of “B” in the chart are all from me trying to average down as it fell, but the more I averaged down, the deeper I got. Now barely climbing back to 81,800, I'm still miles away from breaking even. Is the big player just targeting my small stakes? Sneaking attacks in the middle of the night, then pulling back in the morning, cutting losses with a dull knife, the pain is numbing. $ETH Current price 2,479, up 1.84%. Ethereum is really the ultimate hopeless case! Last night when the market crashed, it followed suit and dove straight down to 2,405. The 2,500 level is as fragile as paper. #ETF仍在流入,BTC为何下跌? Samsung’s record Q3 operating-profit forecast shows how strongly AI memory demand is lifting the cycle, but the softer share reaction is the more useful signal. Markets may be looking past the headline toward durability: margins can stay elevated only if demand keeps absorbing new capacity as it arrives. #SamsungQ3ProfitKRW100T Bundler downtime does not mean you lose ownership of your smart account EIP-4337 smart accounts typically collect user operations through a Bundler, which then submits them on-chain. When a Bundler goes down, the first issues to appear are submission delays or operations failing to be packaged, rather than automatic transfer of account ownership. Assets remain controlled by the account contract and authorization rules. The problem is, if a wallet connects to only one Bundler, the user may own the assets but temporarily have no available submission channel. This is different from an exchange outage and also different from the Ethereum mainnet stopping block production. Distinguishing between ownership, submission service, and final settlement layers is necessary to assess how severe the failure really is. If a wallet supports switching Bundlers or directly using alternative entry points, a single point of service failure does not have to escalate into a financial crisis; if the interface completely hides the backend provider, users may not even know where the blockage is. The maturity of account abstraction is judged not only by how smooth it is under normal conditions but also by whether it can exit when dependencies fail. For $ETH holders, recovery paths should be as important as daily access. True self-custody is not about services never going down, but about having alternative routes for the account when services do go down.Teacher A's live trading record | Dollar-cost averaging SOL $SOL Day 278, holding 130 SOL 💰 📅 Check-in day: Day 278 💰 Current holdings: 129.99458892 SOL 📉 Current profit and loss: about 5% drawdown from the previous high (total assets around 95,000, previous high about 106,000) 📊 Current price: ~115 USDT near $SOL The current market is "high-level grinding," surging up then falling back, which is quite frustrating to watch. But looking back at the monthly chart, the overall range is still in recovery. 🏔️ My strategy is simple: 1️⃣ Buy according to plan regardless of rise or fall. 2️⃣ Buy more when it falls, buy less (or hold) when it rises. 3️⃣ Uninstall the app and live well. In this market, surviving longer is more important than making quick profits. Any friends also dollar-cost averaging SOL? Raise your hand in the comments! 🙋 SOL #DollarCostAveragingDiary #OKX #LiveTradingRecord #ETF仍在流入,BTC为何下跌? $BTC The latest $OPENAI perpetual contract short position (20x leverage) has achieved a phased result. The chart shows an opening average price of 173.72, with the mark price dropping to 166.31, locking in a return rate of +85.30%. However, upon verification, the actual realized profit from this trade is only +0.07 USDT. Seven cents, which cannot cover even a basic transaction cost. $BTC $ETH #9月FOMC纪要公布,多数官员倾向再加息 #ETF仍在流入,BTC为何下跌? $BTC ☀️ Morning session: BTC stuck at 83000, ETH eyes 2500, SNDK bucks the trend in the green BTC 83149, dropped 3% overnight from 86201, repeatedly testing 83000 this morning. Today's FOMC minutes are pending release, direction unclear. 83000 is the short-term watershed: holding it could see a rebound to 84500, losing it may lead to a drop to 81000. ETF net inflows over three weeks still struggle against the pressure of the 30-year US Treasury yield nearing 5.7%. No rush to catch the falling knife before the minutes. $ETH 2564, fell 5% from 2713 yesterday, weaker than BTC. Big brother Maji's 39,000 ETH long liquidation line at 2501, only $63 away, another 2.5% drop could trigger $100 million liquidation. 2550 is key; above it, look for 2600, below it, back to 2500. Watch 2500 closely this morning as the sentiment barometer. $SNDK 1696.9, up 1.53%, one of the few green spots in the market. Storage chips follow an independent logic, AI servers continue to chase the HBM narrative; if US tech stocks hold steady, it has confidence. Above 1700, target 1750, temporarily a safe haven. Morning three lines: BTC holds 83000, ETH eyes 2500, SNDK a safe haven. Before the minutes drop, avoid chasing rallies or panic selling. #9月FOMC纪要公布,多数官员倾向再加息 #ETF仍在流入,BTC为何下跌? #跟着OKX打卡2049 When the big coin started to break down on Monday, Lin Fei already said to prepare for a second round of decline. At that time, he mentioned the familiar Monday pattern: if you often reviewed last year, you'd find that after weekend stretching, Monday sees another rise to attract retail investors at the peak, then it starts to fall back and harvest. So after topping and falling back this Monday, what we did was the safest second round of decline. The short position at 86400 was given then; on one hand, a short-term position near 85000 was provided, and on the other hand, everyone was directly informed to try to capture the high point of this rebound. So far, it has already run about 6000 points. If the weekly line can continue to maintain a downward trend in the next two days, October is expected to see a further deep pullback. At that time, friends who haven't gotten on board yet will also have a chance. As of today, we have already entered the consolidation support zone of 82000-80000, so yesterday you would have noticed the slowdown in the decline here, and it also stopped near 80000 in the early morning. Today will most likely focus on correction, and we will temporarily not chase shorts unless there are high-level short positions to continue to try for gains. #9月FOMC纪要公布,多数官员倾向再加息 #ETF仍在流入,BTC为何下跌? #跟着OKX打卡2049