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At this moment, Bitcoin shows a MACD bearish divergence on the daily chart
which means the upward momentum is weakening and there is a need to watch for the risk of a trend reversal
In the previous bull market
every time a daily-level bearish divergence appeared
it eventually led to a correction of over 10%
and in many cases even more than 20%
(If we currently correct down to 75000 from here, it would be about 14%)
$BTC $0G surged from 0.307 to 0.3199, with a 20x long position floating profit of 84.03%. The key was catching the oversold rebound sentiment. OG had been steadily declining, with bearish pressure fully released. I saw volume contraction and a stop in the decline at 0.307, combined with the market warming up, so I decisively went long to bet on the rebound. Now the price has stabilized above the moving average, bulls are starting to counterattack, and the floating profit quickly exceeded 80%, perfectly timed.
In terms of trading logic, the oversold rebound emphasizes "quick entry and quick exit." Enter long at 0.307 without greed, take profits when favorable. For subsequent moves, first move the stop loss up to 0.313 to break even; 0.32 is the first target, at which point reduce half the position; if volume breaks through 0.325, keep a base position to watch for 0.33. If volume drops back below 0.31, it means the rebound is over, so exit decisively. 20x leverage can't withstand pullbacks; securing profits is what matters. $CT $SNDK #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 Nightclub Lady's Crypto Trading Diary
Big Brother Maji Huang Licheng chose to actively reduce his positions, closing about 1,000 ETH long positions and also reducing 100 BTC.
The total account size fell from nearly 165 million to 155 million. Breaking down the unrealized profits, BTC is about $605,100, ETH $869,000, and HYPE $463,400. But this profit is not impressive compared to such a large position; just the funding fees cost about $1.45 million.
Overall, the account still has a loss hole of about $25 million. According to calculations, ETH needs to rise about 15% to break even on all losses. He has not completely exited and is still waiting for a market breakout opportunity.
Many in the circle treat Big Brother Maji as a contrarian indicator, joking that riding with him often means a high chance of losing money 😂. However, there is solid buying support below the market, and based on this, I personally lean towards going long.
Of course, the big players' position adjustments can only be taken as a reference signal; high leverage positions still carry huge risks and should not be blindly followed.$AVAX Brothers, damn it! This AVAX shakeout has made my scalp tingle.
The manipulators are really ruthless, stabbing back and forth around 11.4, clearly trying to shake off retail investors. From a pure technical perspective, the daily support at 11.2 hasn't broken, volume has shrunk as cleanly as if a dog licked it, and the signs of the main force dumping money to push the price down are too obvious.
This round is stable. I'll enter a small position first at 11.459, add another at 11.1 below, and set a stop loss at 10.8. The target is first 12.5, and if it breaks that, it will accelerate directly to 13.
Don't panic, it's not a big problem. This kind of shakeout is just handing chips to those who are prepared. If you want to follow, place your orders on the lower side of the market card, don't regret it when it rallies later.
What do you think? 👇👇👇Nightclub girl's diary of trading crypto after getting off work
$FIL Today's short position went smoothly, opened short at 1.1942, current mark price 1.1578, floating profit surged directly to 152%. The storage sector itself has a fundamental narrative, but short-term funds are obviously cautious, volume can't keep up during the rally, heavy selling pressure accumulated around 1.19, only entered after the market weakened.
The logic is actually a few layers: price can't surpass previous highs, hourly highs keep moving down, short-term moving averages suppress downward, wait for a break below minor support to confirm before acting. Used 50x leverage, risk control set in advance, if wrong, decisively take the loss, if right, move stop to protect principal.
Now focusing on the support strength near 1.157, if the rebound is weak, the bearish pattern will continue, no need to panic even if there is a wick.Is “Pons” a market maker?
It is indeed a part of the trading and market-making ecosystem, but its positioning is quite special: it is itself a token issuance platform (Launchpad), rather than a professional trading protocol or market maker. Its association with trading and market making mainly manifests in the following aspects.
🎯 Core positioning of Pons: Launchpad
Pons is a non-custodial token issuance and trading platform built on Robinhood Chain. Its core function is to allow users to create tokens with a fixed supply at a very low threshold (0.0005 ETH) and trade them directly on-chain. Its role is closer to Pump.fun, serving as the starting point for asset creation rather than the endpoint for asset trading.
💱 Trading attribute: it integrates trading functionality
Pons integrates trading functionality directly into the issuance process. When a token is created, a Uniswap V3 pool is automatically deployed, and users can thereafter trade the token directly within the same pool without waiting for “graduation” or liquidity migration. The platform charges a 1% pool fee, of which 70% is allocated to the token creator and 30% belongs to the protocol.
Therefore, it has the attributes of a trading platform, but the trading targets are mainly newly issued tokens on the platform, rather than offering a wide range of asset trading pairs like Uniswap or Hyperliquid.
🏦 Market-making attribute: passively associated, not actively market making Hot Coin Data Ranking｜Last 15 Minutes
$TRB's final segment of active transactions shifted from nearly balanced buying and selling to leaning towards selling: the entire segment had 61.3% active buying, the last five minutes had 35.1%, and the price increased by 0.31% during this segment. The final selling bias has not yet corresponded with a price drop in the same direction; the transaction shift has not been accompanied by price movement.我看$AEON 日线下降通道非常标准，0.06842开空浮盈112%，吃的是趋势加速段。当前大盘震荡，资金从山寨支付板块撤离，AEON作为前期炒作标的首当其冲。我在双顶破颈线时进场，MACD死叉确认，不赌反弹只跟资金走。标记价0.06457，空头控盘明显，每次反抽都无量，说明没有新买盘接货。
做单逻辑很朴素：趋势确认才进，亏损空间提前算好。20倍杠杆配极小仓位，就算被打掉也就亏一点。现在浮盈丰厚，我把止损挪到0.066保本，这笔交易已经立于不败之地。技术面布林开口向下，均线空头排列，没有任何反转信号出现。
后续计划分批止盈，0.063走一半，跌破0.062留底仓看0.06。若放量站回0.067说明空头失效，立刻全走。高杠杆不恋战，情绪钱赚中段就够，不追求从头吃到尾。$ETH $SOL #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 Withdrew 3500R and 452u today.
Currently, the account has 920u,
BTC and ETH have pending orders for 5 days, profits have not been high, and volatility is low.
Made a wrong click on CT yesterday, closed the wrong order, but it’s still okay, with more than 8 times profit.
SAND’s profit is nearly tenfold now, planning to sell at 0.4.
PUMP currently has less than double profit, shorting leads to a red ocean, waiting to profit from it.
Yesterday early morning opened two ZEC orders"BTC: Trend Uninterrupted, Options Turning Bullish"
RSI at 64.7 and ADX at 43.4 indicate that Bitcoin remains in a strong trend, but momentum has not yet reached an overbought extreme. On the daily chart, around 86,700 forms short-term resistance; if this is effectively broken, the upside could open up to 93,700. Conversely, if the 82,500 support fails, the price may retreat to the 60,000–80,000 range to consolidate again.
Options show a rare bullish tilt not seen in a year: mid-September call open interest accounts for about 61.4%, puts about 38.6%; one-week 25-delta call demand surpasses puts, indicating traders are betting on an upward move. Among contracts expiring on October 30, the 95,000 strike price has a concentration of call open interest.
Derivatives sentiment is moderately bullish: Binance, OKX, and Hyperliquid perpetual funding rates are 0.0072%, 0.0034%, and 0.0013% respectively, all positive but not overheated, indicating longs are not significantly crowded. Coupled with weakening whale selling pressure and three consecutive weeks of ETF net inflows, BTC shows short-term resilience, but excessive chasing before key price levels are broken is not advisable. $BTC $ETH $ZEC The current "$CAP" "decentralized credit" narrative has been repriced by the market, on-chain activity is rebounding, and large holders continue to transfer in.
I entered with 10x leverage at 0.07588 when a double bottom formed and the MACD golden cross appeared, with a floating profit of 167%. The fundamentals improved and the technical breakout doubled the effect, the trend is very smooth.
0.09 is the first target; once reached, withdraw half; breaking through 0.095, keep a base position and watch 0.10. If volume drops back below 0.08, it indicates a reversal, and I will exit immediately. I don't bet on direction, only follow the trend; staying alive is more important than making more profit. $AKE #BTC巨鲸抛压减弱，ETF资金连续三周净流入 $DOGE #OKXNOW: Opening a New Era of 24/7 Markets “Iran's Drone Capability Will Soon Be Zero”? Don't Believe It Too Soon: What Was Bombed Was the Factory, Not the Underground Workshops
US and Israeli politicians claim "Iran's drone manufacturing capability will soon cease to exist," sounding like an endgame scenario—but intelligence circles have already contradicted this: CNN cites US sources saying Iran restarted partial drone production in early April and could restore attack drone capacity within six months at the earliest. Trump's claim that "82% of drone factories were weakened" is true, but "weakened" ≠ "zeroed out."
Iranian drones were never Boeing-scale factories:
Shahed-136 = fiberglass shell + motorcycle engine + commercial GPS + simple guidance, unit price $20,000–$50,000;
Final assembly is done in underground facilities, dispersed around Qom/Isfahan/Shiraz, even quick boat repair sheds can assemble them;
Civilian-grade chips, motors, carbon fiber are declared as "industrial materials" for customs, sanctions can't keep up.
Therefore, airstrikes can only destroy exposed assembly lines, inventories, and launch sites; they cannot destroy blueprints + technicians + smuggling networks + underground workshops. The Houthis can still build drones under bombing, Iran will only be better at hiding. Difference Between Trading and Market Making
Trading and market making are two distinct market roles: trading involves actively buying and selling assets, betting on price direction; market making involves simultaneously providing buy and sell quotes, supplying liquidity to the market, earning from spreads and fees, usually without betting on direction.
Core Differences
Dimension Trading Market Making
Role Taker Maker
Purpose Earn from price fluctuations, trends, arbitrage Earn from bid-ask spreads, fees, rebates, incentives
Behavior Unilateral buying or selling, timing entry Bilateral order placement, continuous quoting
Risk Directional risk: loss if price falls after buying or rises after selling Inventory risk, adverse selection, volatility risk
Liquidity Consumes liquidity Provides liquidity
Time Active, can be short or long term Continuous, passive, high frequency
Typical Retail traders, hedge funds, arbitrageurs Wintermute, GSR, AMM liquidity pools
A Simple Example
A token has a bid price of 100 and an ask price of 101:
· Trader: If bullish, buys directly at 101, betting it will rise to 110; if bearish, sells or shorts.
· Market Maker: Simultaneously places buy order at 100 and sell order at 101, earning a 1 unit spread. They do not bet on price direction but need to manage inventory—if the price crashes, the tokens bought will incur losses.
Thus, traders earn money from directional bets, while market makers earn money from providing liquidity. I am the mid-term intelligence guy.
Here are two pieces of on-chain intelligence for everyone.
1. On October 5, the total net inflow of spot Ethereum ETFs was $110.84 million, with BlackRock's ETHA surprisingly being the only fund with a net inflow; during the same period, spot ETFs for Bitcoin and Solana saw net outflows, with funds clearly concentrating on the leading ETH product.
2. BitMine increased its holdings by 15,112 $ETH, raising its position to 6,016,414 $ETH, accounting for about 4.9% of the total ETH supply; over 5 million $ETH have been staked, with expected annual staking income of $363 million.
Institutions and miners are simultaneously increasing their positions, signaling a bullish mid-term outlook—don't overlook this.
#本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要
#美债长端收益率再创新高，30年期逼近5.7% 🔷 One year since BTC's ATH
• October 6 — exactly one year since ATH >$126K
• Currently ~$86K (-32% from the record)
• October 11, 2025: $19B liquidation cascade, drop to $102K
• July 1, 2026: low of $58K (-54% from ATH)
• Recovery from the low: +49%
• Funding rate: 5.4% (leverage normalized)
• Treasuries: 10-year 5.3%, 30-year 5.7% (24-year highs)
• Probability of Fed rate hike: 21.6%
🧠 Market is healthier, but institutional demand has cooled, treasuries are pressuring
❓ How do you assess BTC's year?👇Although the price of Bitcoin continues to stay high
there is no obvious demand shown for Bitcoin spot ETFs
Currently, the data hardly supports a significant healthy rise
On the contrary, I would pay more attention to the risks at high levels
$BTC 去中心化永续平台Hyperliquid的24/7合约实时数据已接入彭博终端，机构可监测加密、原油、黄金、标普500等合约（暂不支持直接交易）。 同时AQAv2框架下收到首笔1458万美元USDC支付（覆盖30天），约90%储备收益进入Assistance Fund用于回购HYPE。 消息后HYPE一度超95美元，接近98美元历史高点附近。 👉🏻短期影响 双重利好直接点燃情绪。 回购资金落地等于实打实买盘，彭博曝光又提升机构关注度。 价格快速冲高、持仓钱包数创新高，短线热度明显，但冲高后容易出现获利了结，波动会加大。 👉🏻长期影响 AQAv2把USDC储备收益（年化或达1.9-2亿美元）稳定注入回购，资金来源不再只靠交易费，抗跌性和通缩逻辑更强。 彭博接入则打开了机构视野，有助于交易量和开放兴趣长期增长，强化HYPE作为平台价值捕获代币的属性。 👉🏻综合判断 明确利多。 短期情绪驱动，中长期基本面加持（回购+机构曝光），只要大盘不崩，上行空间大于下行风险。 👉🏻新手提示 别只看消息冲，先搞清楚回购节奏和整体仓位。 消息市情绪来得快去得也快，控制仓位、设好止损比追高更重要。"Sideways movement is the market's deep breath"
$BTC paused above 85000, like taking a nap at a high level. The greed sentiment remains, indicating the chips are not panicking, but the hands chasing the price have withdrawn. It's not weak, just temporarily unwilling to lead the rally.
$ETH is hovering around 2700. The staking exit queue is lengthening, short-term sentiment got a slight poke, but the price hasn't broken down, and the fundamentals are still supporting the bottom. The current tension is a tug-of-war between noise and confidence.
$SOL is grinding near 120, neither rising nor falling, quiet and calm. No crash, no ignition, as if waiting for a clearer direction before returning the volatility.
This kind of market looks like three cars in neutral gear, engines running. Whoever steps on the gas first might create a false move. Sideways movement is not a safe zone; it just accumulates volatility into the next big candlestick. Leverage will be swept back and forth first; chasing highs and selling lows is the easiest way to lose chips. Light positions, stop losses, and waiting for confirmation are more important than guessing the direction.
Don't fear boredom; boredom often precedes a market change. The big brother stays steady, the second brother hesitates, the little brother observes; the real signal hasn't come yet. Survive first, then wait for that unexpected candlestick. #OKXNOW：开启全天候市场新时代 #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 #BTC巨鲸抛压减弱，ETF资金连续三周净流入 #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 If Parliament can't be moved, then "skip Parliament": The French Finance Minister upgrades the 49.3-style script to "My signature is final"
The French Finance Minister speaks with a tone full of tension: If budget negotiations stall again, the government is prepared to bypass the National Assembly and directly implement the spending cuts plan. To translate — it's not about forcing approval through "Article 49.3" again, but treating "parliamentary dysfunction" as a premise, using the executive branch's fiscal discretion to enforce austerity first.
Why dare to be so tough:
Before the 2027 election, Parliament is divided into three parts (left-wing + far-right + Macron's centrists), so any tax increase or welfare cut proposal cannot pass;
The France-Germany spread just narrowed from 159bp to 138bp, and the market wants a signal that "the deficit will go down from 5.4%" and cannot wait for parliamentary bickering;
The Finance Minister's logic is very cold: "If democracy cannot vote through austerity, then the executive power will repay the national debt."
But the cost is also harsh:
The far-right and left immediately accuse it of "fiscal dictatorship," fueling street mobilization;
The Constitutional Council may not fully approve, leading to executive overreach → judicial pushback → a chain of government crises;
The market breathes a short-term sigh of relief, but in the long term, it discounts "France's rule of law predictability," and the euro will have to pay more spread again. PUMP practical lesson
This move achieved an unrealized gain of 173.82%, and the essence is to reveal the core of the short-term hype. Previously, the market topic was hot and fermenting quickly, prices kept rising, and market optimism was high. But I noticed that the rise relied entirely on short-term capital speculation, lacking sustainable support, with increasing high-price cash withdrawal orders, so I established short positions at the 0.006357 level.
Many people are easily attracted to rapid rises, blindly following the crowd and ignoring the risks behind the market.BTC at the 85,000 level is meaningless; apart from scraping some fees back and forth, it simply can't break out into a decent big move. The funds have already shifted venues. Lately, I've been watching those few leading projects on the SOL chain. When the overall market is red, they dare to consolidate sideways; once stabilized, they start accumulating aggressively. That's where funds go to hedge risk while still trying to speculate. Don't keep focusing on the small fluctuations of the big market. The current opportunities are all in the rotation among public chains. Without accurately reading fund preferences, just holding positions is a waste of energy.
$BTC $ETH Some thoughts on whether the current $HYPE price is overvalued
Previously, some institutions made probability-weighted valuations for HYPE, and based on the fully diluted market cap, the fair value was around $106. At that time, the price was only about $56.
One thing I agree with in this valuation model is that it does not completely ignore the benefits that will open up in the team's future.
For every one dollar of transaction fees earned by Hyperliquid, about 83 cents are used for buybacks, which is indeed a buyback The view remains unchanged, watching the right side at 87300, short if it breaks down. The daily MACD shows a sustained divergence. At the same time, multiple upper shadows appear on the one-hour level, indicating a large amount of liquidity. There is a very high probability of a spike up to 87500, followed by a decline.Day 14 of OKB grid trading,
Trading has increased again in the past two days,
Grid arbitrage has reached 95%,
An average of 15 arbitrage trades per day.
Turnover rate has increased,
I know,
This is a bit inflated.
But the breakout is real,
It should have already stabilized. 🔴 المشهد العام: بينما تُواصل العملات الرقمية صمودها، وصلت عوائد سندات الخزانة الأمريكية لأجل 10 و30 عاماً إلى أعلى مستوياتها خلال 24 عاماً. مخاوف التضخم المتزايد والعجز المالي الضخم باتت تُلقي بظلالها الثقيلة على البيئة الاقتصادية الكلية. 🟡 تناقض التقلبات (المخاطرة الصامتة): مؤشر MOVE — الذي يقيس تقلبات سوق السندات الأمريكية — اشتعل بارتفاع قدره 46% منذ يونيو ليصل إلى قرابة 116 (وهو مستوى قريب جداً من قمة مارس). في المقابل، يُسجّل كلٌّ من مؤشر VIX (لتقلبات الأسهم) والتقلب الضمني للبيتكوين لـ 3$ETH Market Daily Report
Ethereum has attempted to break 2800 four times without success. Currently, many short positions are lurking around 2780, with liquidity accumulating above. The main force may first push up to sweep out shorts before falling back. A major correction is coming, dare to imagine? 🤓
Currently, $ETH is priced around 2700, with slight fluctuations in 24 hours and high-level consolidation unchanged. The daily Bollinger Bands are narrowing, MACD red bars are shortening, bullish momentum is weakening, and the battle between bulls and bears is intensifying.
News: Non-farm payrolls are weak, and rate hike expectations have been lowered, providing macro support. However, heavy selling pressure above and multiple failed attempts to hold above 2800 have increased cautious sentiment among investors.
Key levels:
First resistance: 2750
Second resistance: 2800
Short-term support: 2680
Strong support: 2635
Intraday strategy: Consolidation and adjustment; chasing positions is not recommended. Light long positions can be tried if support holds on a pullback; only a volume breakout above resistance opens upward space. Once strong support is broken, the correction space expands. Range trading approach, strictly control position size, and set stop losses.
⚠️For reference only, investment carries risks
#本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 • Glassnode maps the largest short liquidation cluster at $90,000 a break above $87K could trigger a squeeze into that zone
The sequence:
$87K is the gate. A clean break → $90K squeeze → liquidity floods into alts. If the Russell 2000 leads the rotation as Tom Lee expects, the lag between TradFi highs and crypto catch-up is the window worth watching.
#FedSeptemberMinutes
#BTCWhalePressureEases
#SolanaStocksTop4.4B The data backs the setup. Russell 2000 short positions are at the 99.8th percentile an extreme bearish bet that could trigger a violent squeeze if sentiment shifts. JPMorgan data confirms the crowding.
The crypto side of the rotation:
• $BTC ETFs took in $241.1M last week their third straight week of net inflows
• The Altcoin Season Index sits at 61-64, up from 48 a week ago but still below the 75 threshold for full altseason
#BTCWhalePressureEases "The market is strong, so the bears shouldn't stubbornly resist"
$BTC is around 86,300, ETH about 2,723. We have to admit, this market is quite strong. Bitcoin can't go down, 90,000 is getting closer; Ethereum is slowly grinding, 2,800 doesn't seem far.
$ETH is truly a wild card, historically it has touched over 4,000, even approaching 5,000. It's hard to guess where this cycle will top, but for BTC I currently see at least 100,000.
But I am bearish. Not wanting to go long doesn't mean ignoring the trend's strength. If there's no comfortable position, don't stubbornly hold a bearish view just to prove a point; waiting for the right opportunity is more important.
Capital is also diverging: BTC ETFs are seeing inflows, ETH ETFs still outflows. The higher it goes, the less you should FOMO, and don't rush to jump in just because others are profiting.
Investment starts with cash flow. Don't use money needed in the short term for medium or long-term investments, or you might be forced to sell at a low. Others' profit displays are only for reference; they reflect specific times, positions, and risk tolerance, so copying them may not work.
The Fed minutes, Hormuz Strait, and OPEC+ are still causing disturbances; the higher it rises, the calmer you need to be.
$XAU, gold, remains steady, no altcoin craziness, no BTC stimulus, like national credit in a bank.
No rush, no FOMO, no stubborn bearishness. If you don't understand, just wait; move when the opportunity comes.
$BTC $ETH $XAU
⚠️For reference only, investment involves risks
#本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 Bitcoin is oscillating around 86000, with three failed attempts to break 87000, and volume shrinking, confirming short-term resistance. OKX is valued at 25 billion with financing, and institutions are still entering. XRP pilot loans, closing above 1.53 is needed to have a chance.
Just replaced a broken streetlight at the east gate of the community, the ladder hasn't been put away yet.
Focus on NMR. Current price is 15.67, MACD high-level death cross has already appeared, the short-term overbought pullback structure is very clear, and bullish momentum is obviously weakening. On the liquidation map, there is a cluster of short order liquidity below 15.50, and long stop-loss orders are concentrated around 15.00; these two levels are the core of the upcoming battle.
Do not chase highs in operations. Entering at 15.67 is like catching a falling knife; wait for a pullback. The hard support below is at 15.03, and if there is a dip and accumulation action around 15.00, that will be the second entry opportunity. Take profit is first targeted at the 15.50 to 15.60 range, with defense at 14.85; if broken, admit the mistake and exit. Upward momentum is insufficient, and a short-term further test downward is highly likely.
Don't rush, wait for it to fall into place.
$NMR
#OKXICE向SEC申请推出代币化股票交易平台
@OKX星球 The most frustrating part of sideways trading is that you clearly know it's building up for a move, but you don't know which direction it will take. $BTC and $ETH are grinding back and forth here; sell orders are placed but don't push the price down deeply, and buyers are reluctant to lift the price. Both bulls and bears are waiting for the other side to make the first move. This kind of market tests not your judgment, but your patience.
$BTC: Clinging to EMA55, just one breath away
Bitcoin is currently around 85,500, with the 1-hour EMA55 at 85,565.84, and the price is sticking to this line within less than 0.02%. What does this mean? It means that a single normal candlestick's fluctuation can decide the direction; the market is already stretched to its limit.
Looking up, the range from 85,400 to 85,600 is where long-term holders have the thickest chip accumulation. The trapped positions from the last bull market are also piled here. Last night, it ground for four hours without breaking through. Above that, from 87,000 to 89,000, there is an even thicker resistance wall. But the story downward is even more noteworthy—whales have stopped depositing to exchanges, officially ending the three-plus-month sell-off trend, and supply is tightening. Meanwhile, the U.S. Treasury has withdrawn the regulatory proposal on non-custodial wallets, sharply reducing regulatory pressure.
So why are sell orders placed but the price doesn't drop deeply? Because there are real buyers underneath, and they are substantial.
The daily chart has not yet given a clear top signal; the moving average system still maintains a bullish alignment. If the trend is not over, a strong bullish candle pushing up to around 89,000 is not impossible. But the MACD has already formed a death cross, and momentum decay is an objective reality. The volume remains low for a long time, so be cautious of sudden changes during prolonged consolidation.October 7 · $BTC is the only one falling behind
OKX BTC is currently around $85,700, with an intraday high of $86,698 and low of $85,136, slightly down 0.15%. On the same day: U.S. stocks hit new intraday highs, gold strengthened, and oil prices dropped over 2%—everyone else is celebrating, but Bitcoin is lagging.
This is its second failed attempt within a week to break $87,000, just $500 short of the late September high of $87,400, being firmly pushed back. The MACD has turned green (-194), indicating short-term momentum is indeed weak.
But don’t just focus on the drop. Santiment data shows that since October 1, whales have increased holdings by over 14,335 BTC, about $1.22 billion. BlackRock’s IBIT attracted $69.9 million against the trend, being the only fund with net inflows that day. Some are selling, some are buying.
Tonight the Fed’s September minutes will be released, with the market betting on one more rate hike by year-end—that’s the noose hanging overhead.
Resistance at $87,000 is a real barrier, while $85,000 / $83,000 are repeatedly confirmed floors. Moving averages remain bullish (MA20 at 83,869), the structure is intact.
Holding these levels means a shakeout; failing to hold is a ticket for the patient. $ETH $ZEC #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 #BTC巨鲸抛压减弱，ETF资金连续三周净流入 $14.5 billion is just the beginning; Nvidia's business has already extended here.
According to The Wall Street Journal, insiders revealed (yes, insiders again) that Lambda, an AI cloud computing company supported by Nvidia, is seeking up to $4 billion in financing, with a pre-money valuation of $14.5 billion, and plans to pursue an IPO next year.
Looking at the numbers together, it's indeed impressive.
① Lambda's order backlog was still $15 billion in June this year, but by September it had surged to $50 billion
(just 3 months, orders more than tripled)
② Anthropic's $35 billion compute order has become a major driver of this company's order surge
(AI companies really are short on compute power now)
③ Lambda basically only uses Nvidia's chips and servers, with Nvidia holding about 10%
(after selling the chips, the money starts to cycle back)
④ What's more troublesome is that this kind of company is not just one
Nvidia keeps appearing on the financing lists for AI cloud, compute infrastructure, and data centers
(this line keeps getting longer)
Looking at NVDA now, it's no longer just a simple GPU sales issue.
Selling GPUs is only the first payment; the subsequent servers, cloud compute, data centers, and even AI company expansions may continue to go through Nvidia's ecosystem.
If this line continues to extend downward, NVDA's business boundaries may be much broader than the market previously thought.
$NVDA $xNVDA $NVDL #波动雷达：币种异动观察 In this round of ZEC, bears are squeezed like a crowded subway, while bulls collect rent
The ZEC market looks like a standoff between bulls and bears. The bear seats are as crowded as the morning rush hour, but the bulls are leisurely counting money from above.
The whale has acted again, continuing to short ZEC with a position of about 15,000 coins, valued at nearly $19.84 million, opening price 1340.9, with an unrealized profit of about 50,000. A small gain, but securing a seat first.
Top five holdings: four shorts and one long, all short positions are in profit. But overall, bulls have gained about 70 million, bears have lost about 6 million. Bears are grabbing red envelopes, bulls are collecting rent.
The whale shorts more and more, the bears above pile up thicker. Does ZEC want to see a second spring? First, see if it can hold above 1700. No breakout from bears, no market rally; when bears break, then it’s a market.
Macro is also uneasy: This week’s Federal Reserve meeting minutes are pending release, the Strait of Hormuz remains closed, OPEC+ maintains November production unchanged. Many variables, don’t rush to get excited.
OKXNOW live broadcast is tomorrow, hurry to reserve.
$BTC $ETH $ZEC
#本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要
#OKXNOW：开启全天候市场新时代
#BTC巨鲸抛压减弱，ETF资金连续三周净流入 $LIT leads the gains, $NEAR follows closely, $BTC remains stuck in a range
The crypto market is diverging. BTC oscillates around 86,000 USD, currently about 85,500, down slightly 0.7% in 24 hours. Short-term pressure: price is below the 1-hour EMA20 (85,713), RSI around 45, positions down 1.4% from 23 hours ago. Two attempts to surge to 87,000 both retreated, rebound lacks leverage follow-through, spot buying is weak.
LIT is the strongest performer, up 9.5% to about 3.994, positions increased 14.4%, price and leverage both expanded; but selling pressure appears near 4.14, chasing longs under positive funding rate risks profit-taking. NEAR rose 8.4% to about 5.249, positions increased only 1.6%, more spot-driven; NEAR Intents' September fee income hit a yearly high, confirmation of trades above 5.37 is still pending.
OKX smart money BTC long exposure is 55.5%, total position increased by about 1.05 million USD, average long cost 86,012, current price still below cost, advantage not realized.
Strategy: If the 1-hour candle closes above 86,050 and the pullback does not break below, consider light long positions with stop loss at 85,620, target 86,800, about 1.7R; if it breaks below 84,900 first, abandon longs and wait for support to rebuild. #OKXNOW: ushering in the new era of 24/7 markets #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 #BTC巨鲸抛压减弱，ETF资金连续三周净流入 ZEC 这波暴力拉升，最难受的其实是空头和追高的人。 一分钟拉20个点，你让830上车的人怎么活？ 昨晚好不容易砸到1280附近，我还在想总算能喘口气，结果价格又被硬生生拽回去。这种走法最脆弱的一环根本不是K线，是仓位结构。拉盘的人赌的就是低位空单止损和踏空资金FOMO，一旦触发，买盘会像被吸进去一样。 我看到的信号很直接：ZEC这种老币，平时安静得像被遗忘，突然出现分钟级急拉，通常不是散户干的。要么是消息面有人提前知道什么，要么是主力在测试上方抛压。1280这个位置被反复争夺，说明多空分歧极大，但价格能快速收回，代表短期主动权还在买方手里。 偏多的逻辑在于，如果ZEC能站稳1280上方，并且成交量不萎缩，那这波就不是单纯插针，而是有资金愿意在低位持续接。隐私叙事今年一直有零星热度，ZEC作为老牌隐私币，一旦被重新定价，弹性会比很多山寨大。而且这种急拉会吸引注意力，注意力在加密市场就是资金偏好的前兆。BTC和ETH如果同时稳住，山寨的风险偏好会外溢，ZEC这种高波动标的容易成为短线情绪的出口。 但风险也很清楚。一分钟20点，意味着流动性薄，滑点大，主力进出都容易制造假突破。如果BTC突In the consolidation phase, direction is the prize, and the defense line is the ticket. The current market looks more like capital rotation rather than a trend starting gun.
$BTC is hugging 86670, with the 4-hour Bollinger upper band within reach, J value at 99.5, RSI approaching overbought, and the previous high at 87238 pressing down above. 84.3K is the short-term gate: a volume-supported hold above it opens the possibility for 89K; if broken, the risk of a pullback after a rally increases, making chasing longs unfavorable.
$ETH is bottoming around 2695, fluctuating between 2600–2700, with capital still withdrawing. 2800 is the strength/weakness switch—only above it can recovery be discussed; 2450–2500 is the bottom line, losing which makes 3000 just a fantasy.
$SOL is at 121; despite showing resilience, the 122–124 range has not broken out with volume and remains in a range-bound consolidation. Resilience does not equal a main uptrend. ZEC has returned to 1330, with support at 1270–1300, but after the fading of news-driven benefits, elasticity has decreased. Avoid catching sharp drops; wait for stabilization before reconsidering.
ETFs and macro minutes still dominate risk appetite: BTC spot ETFs see inflows, ETH continues outflows, and capital is choosing sides. Watch BTC at 84.3K, ETH at 2800, SOL at 122–124, and ZEC at 1270. Until resonance occurs, do not chase highs or panic; let volume and price speak first. #OKXNOW：开启全天候市场新时代 #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 #BTC巨鲸抛压减弱，ETF资金连续三周净流入 A detail only short sellers would pay attention to: sentiment and funding rates.
Right now, the Fear and Greed Index is at 73, solidly in the greed zone, and everyone thinks it can still go higher. But if you look at the funding rates, they are all just mildly positive, with no asset hitting an extreme; the past day has mostly seen shorts being squeezed out. What does this mean? The sentiment is hot, but leverage hasn’t gone crazy to the point of overcrowding.
For short sellers, this is an awkward but comfortable position. Awkward because the market hasn’t given you an extreme signal—you can’t call a top; comfortable because I’m in no rush to chase. Without extreme overcrowding, there won’t be a panic short squeeze to blow me up.
So my stance on shorting $ETH is to wait, not to rush. The time to add more is when sentiment truly peaks and funding rates hit extreme levels. Until then, hold steady and don’t get itchy.Today $BTC Sentiment: 61% bullish, 26% neutral, 13% bearish, bulls dominate but divergence slightly increases.
The SEC approved Cboe BZX to list Volatility Shares' six 3x leveraged funds, including a 3x Bitcoin ETF, tracking daily futures performance, breaking the previous 2x limit, a first for crypto funds.
Regarding BTC, the cycle advances after the fourth halving, ETFs continue to attract capital; as of October 2, BTC ETFs have net inflows of +580,000 BTC, up 45% in Q3, outperforming gold.
The CFTC proposed the first round of crypto regulatory plans, including CTX/CAM rules, aiming to include $BTC and ETH under its federally led framework.
Mid-term focus on halving and compliance implementation.
$ETH #OKXNOW: ushering in a new era of 24/7 markets
#ThisWeekTheFedWillReleaseSeptemberMeetingMinutes
#BTCSpotETFReturnsToInflow,ETHFundsContinueOutflow In a volatile market, don't rush to pick a direction; first, lay out your defensive lines.
BTC: Near 86670, hugging the 4-hour Bollinger upper band, J value at 99.5, RSI approaching overbought, with the previous high at 87238 acting like a cap. 84.3K is the short-term critical point: if volume supports a steady hold, 89K still has potential; if it breaks down, the probability of a pullback after a rally rises, making chasing longs unwise.
ETH: Grinding bottom around 2695, fluctuating between 2600-2700, with funds still flowing out. 2800 is the dividing line between strength and weakness; only a recovery above it signals strength; 2450-2500 must hold, or a 3000 recovery remains just a fantasy.
SOL: 121 looks firm, but no volume breakthrough between 122-124, still in a box range. Resistance to decline does not equal a main upward trend.
ZEC: Back to 1330, with 1270-1300 as support. After the cooling of news-driven benefits, elasticity worsens; avoid catching a sharp drop, wait for stabilization.
Overall, signs of main force portfolio adjustment increase; in a differentiated market, price points matter more than speculation. Watch BTC at 84.3K, ETH at 2800, SOL at 122-124, ZEC at 1270. Do not chase highs without volume-price resonance, nor be scared off by bearish candles; combine ETF funds and macro summaries, patiently wait for confirmation.
#BTC现货ETF重回流入，ETH资金持续流出
#OKXNOW：开启全天候市场新时代 What we really need to be cautious about is not $BTC consolidating, but $ETH falling behind
BTC is still tugging around 85,500, with the 15-minute moving averages converging and no effective breakout above 86,000 yet. In the short term, 85,000 remains the dividing line between bulls and bears: if it holds, both sides continue to exhaust each other; if it breaks, 84,937 may be retested again.
But today, ETH is more troublesome. It is struggling repeatedly around 2,700, with MA5, MA10, and MA20 arranged bearish, and persistent resistance around 2,716. 2,678 is the last short-term defense line for the day; once broken, bears may accelerate accordingly.
So, those holding 20x long positions need to stay alert: a liquidation price far away does not mean the position is safe. If ETH plunges quickly, the risk distance will instantly shrink. Reduce positions on rebounds first, and execute your plan if key levels break—don’t add positions just to recover losses.
Will ETH be able to stand back above 2,716 this afternoon, or will it break 2,678 first? This choice may determine which way short-term sentiment swings. #OKXNOW：开启全天候市场新时代 #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 #BTC巨鲸抛压减弱，ETF资金连续三周净流入 Tonight, instead of focusing on the market, take a look at the global refineries. Venezuela's Cardon refinery caught fire and stopped production, Russian refineries have been bombed repeatedly by Ukraine, and a few days ago, California was also struggling with capacity. Even Trump has made it clear that the factor driving up oil prices now is not the Strait of Hormuz, but the refineries.
Putting these together, the supply side is being hit repeatedly, and refined oil products are becoming increasingly tight. This is bad news for risk assets, not good news. Oil prices sticking means inflation won't go away, and the Federal Reserve will keep pushing the interest rate hikes.
So every time there's smoke in the Middle East or energy sector, the comment section shouts "war" and urges to buy $BTC for hedging, but I can only shake my head. This round of war and energy issues, the market is pricing in rate hikes, not hedging. I've explained this chain many times, don't get it backwards again.Tonight's news that might easily be overlooked by the crypto community: The Reserve Bank of Australia publicly warned that if AI concept stocks pull back, it could impact ordinary households' consumer spending.
The central bank is starting to worry whether a stock market bubble burst might hit the livelihoods of regular people. This signal carries significant weight. Usually, they only focus on interest rates and employment; when they specifically call out a particular sector, it often means that sector has grown large enough to threaten the real economy. On the other hand, the Nikkei reports that TSMC and a number of Taiwanese manufacturers are still increasing their AI investments in the US and Southeast Asia, with money still pouring in.
On one side, they are desperately leveraging to build capacity, while on the other, regulators are beginning to guard against the transmission of a pullback. Those dealing with risk assets shouldn't just focus on the $BTC candlestick; this kind of macro-level attitude shift is what truly determines the direction of the overall market tide.The facade of this building is still climbing upward, but the main structural verification report has already been stamped with a red seal—short-term RSI surged to 70.3, and the price was pushed beyond the upper Bollinger Band; a 120% deviation is not a design elevation, it's an illegal extension.
$APT rose 4.41% in 24 hours, looking like a beautiful construction progress bar. But anyone who works in structural engineering knows: what truly determines whether this building is livable is never how fast the exterior walls are installed, but the foundation, core tube, and load path. The white paper is just a blueprint; no matter how beautiful the drawings are, if the construction quality can't hold up, the curtain walls will fall off in sheets at the slightest wind.
The current problem lies in the load-bearing system. Short-term RSI at 70.3 clearly enters the overbought zone; long-term RSI is only 54.1, still neutral. These two curves are out of sync, indicating a sudden change in stiffness between upper and lower structures—a typical weak layer that will crack first when an earthquake hits. Moreover, the price is only -0.6% away from the upper band, meaning it’s already stuck beyond the eaves edge; just one step higher and it’s an unsupported cantilever. It’s also only +0.2% above the middle Bollinger Band upper edge, leaving almost no buffer zone. Below? There’s a +3.7% to +5.2% gap to the lower band, providing ample space to fall if instability occurs.
Back to the foundation layer: the ecological rebar ratio, developer entry speed, and modular expansion interface reserves determine whether it can grow from eight floors to thirty. The short-term momentum is rushing too fast, while the long-term indicator remains neutral at 54.1. This divergence shows that right now it’s the finishing crew rushing the schedule, not the main structure topping out.
So this is not a position to add; it’s the last support before formwork removal. I’m short—first unload the load, then talk about rebuilding.
📉 Short:
Entry: 0.64 (current price +2.0%)
Take Profit 1: 0.59 (-6.1%)
Take Profit 2: 0.60 (-4.9%)
Stop Loss: 0.70 (+12.1%)
The entry point is set 2.0% above the current price, leaving the last segment of scaffolding for a rebound—let the sentiment reach its limit, then enter to catch the net. The stop loss is at +12.1%, which is the limit displacement of the load-bearing wall; breaking it means the entire floor structure must be redone, no hesitation. The two take profits correspond to -6.1% and -4.9% sinking zones, which are the floor layers that must be penetrated when the building falls back to normal elevation.
Structures don’t lie, only schedules do.BTC surges to 86.7K: Overbought is just a warning, 84.3K is the real line between win and loss
Bitcoin is approaching $86,700, with the 4-hour chart hugging the upper band around 86.6K, RSI high, and the stochastic J line nearing 100. Short-term momentum is hot, but overbought does not automatically mean a reversal. In a strong trend, indicators can remain dulled for a long time; the real direction is determined by price structure and volume.
The first resistance above is 87.2K–87.5K; if effectively broken, 89K could become the next momentum target. Below, 84.3K is the key short-term support: if held, bulls still control the initiative; if broken, the risk of a sharp pullback rises.
The bigger picture still has support: ETF demand has not waned, institutions continue accumulating, but the Federal Reserve meeting minutes may bring volatility to risk assets. Therefore, don’t just focus on the overbought readings. If 84.3K holds, the trend is bullish; once lost, first guard against risk, then talk about opportunities.Maji Maji, I am your number one fan.
Big Brother Maji, the true "stalwart" in the $ETH bull circle.
Eight liquidations, all eight fell on ETH long positions, and the price always hovers around 1820. Others learn their lesson after one burial, but he stubbornly keeps going, dusts himself off, and charges on.
He still holds ETH long positions worth over $97 million. This obsession, who wouldn't be dazzled by it? 😂
Even more impressive, his account has slowly grown to about $11 million. Initially, it might have been just two or three million principal, gradually extracted through swing trading. As the money thickened, the leverage actually decreased; currently, the entire position is about 15x, which surprisingly sounds quite stable.
You can laugh at his stubbornness, but you can't say he lacks faith. After being repeatedly schooled by ETH, he still dares to bet heavily. Maybe in his eyes, ETH is not just a position, it's an obsession. 🥹
If this wave really surges, Big Brother Maji might turn from the "liquidation veteran" back into the "bull leader." What ETH owes him, it will repay sooner or later.
#本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要
#OKXNOW：开启全天候市场新时代
#BTC巨鲸抛压减弱，ETF资金连续三周净流入 Many people see the three major U.S. stock indices hitting new closing highs tonight and assume risk appetite is blazing hot, chasing prices upward. Those using leverage need to learn to look beneath the surface.
At the same close, the storage chip sector is collapsing: Seagate down 9%, Western Digital down 7%, SK Hynix down over 6%. The indices are rising, but the hardware stocks most dependent on AI capital expenditure are being sold off. This is internal divergence—surface heat, but cracks underneath.
This is also one reason I still hold my two short positions on $BTC and $ETH. If risk appetite truly surges broadly, it won’t be with indices hitting new highs while leading chains weaken collectively. I’m not betting prices will crash tomorrow; I’m betting this superficial harmony won’t last long. What you see is red and green; what I see is who’s quietly exiting.This $BTC trade is bearish, entering near 86188, with floating profits exceeding 70% around 85583. The takeaway is: don't let short-term spikes disrupt your rhythm; focus on resistance above and whether the rebound fails to surpass the previous high and then continues downward. In a 100x leverage environment, once you open a position and move away from the cost zone, lock in some profits in batches. Use the previous high/short structure to protect the base position, and exit when it returns to key levels. Don't chase, don't add, don't get attached to the fight; confirming a pullback is more important than how the chart looks. $BTC 🌧️ It rained early Wednesday morning: three small coins are getting drenched
#本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要
$ENA 0.24079, the wettest of the three. It rose 6.9% yesterday but gave back gains today, dropping from 0.252 back to 0.240. The yield protocol logic hasn't changed but funds are taking profits; if it holds 0.24, look for 0.25, if not, it will fall back to 0.23. Don't bottom-fish in the early morning.
$RE 0.49266, also getting drenched. It held 0.5 for a month but broke it again today. The DeFi insurance plus RWA story has been told for a long time but no one is listening. All small coins are being drained, it can't escape either. 0.48 is the last wall; if broken, the story needs to be retold.
$BEAT 0.08611, used to getting drenched. A micro-cap meme coin with a market cap of over 20 million. When the big market rises, it doesn't rise and even falls; funds inside are running. One day up, three days down is normal. 0.085 is support; if broken, look down to 0.08. Don't catch a falling knife.
#OKXNOW: ushering in a new era of 24/7 markets. The three drenched at dawn: don't bottom-fish ENA, wait for RE at 0.48, don't touch BEAT. Don't get emotional before the minutes, no trading in the early morning.Sui is pressing into resistance right ahead of its Basecamp conference, Oct 7-8.
Currently about 77% below its all-time high — the steepest drawdown on this list.
Conferences rarely move price directly.
But they're exactly when teams save their biggest announcements for.