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$BTC daily. Stuck in a tight range between 85,225 and 81,302.
Resistance: 85,225. Break above → 90,592 → 97,932.
Support: 81,302. Lose it → 76,212.
I'm waiting for the breakout. Who's buying this range, and who's waiting for the flush?
Not a signal. Manage your risk.
#BTC87KCryptoCap3T $LIT
Despite the strong surge in LIT, it is still some distance from the peak; is the profit-taking worth watching?
Today's early spot 24-hour observation window: range 3.63—4.1425 USDT, change +9.72%, trading volume approximately 21.08 million USDT.
The window's increase is close to 10%, but the observed quotes did not stick to the highest price. Early buyers' profits and high-level buyers' pullbacks can coexist; the overall increase cannot replace the experience of all participants.
If the pullback quickly erases the gains, the momentum explanation weakens; if after adjustment it maintains a higher low and retests the upper boundary with reduced selling pressure, I will raise my judgment on continuation.$MMT I was about to go to the forum to rant, but then I checked my balance and decided against it; the market is always right.
During the intraday plunge, when everyone else was running, I placed a short at 0.1891. The reason was simple: insufficient support, weak rebound, every rally lacked strength. With this kind of structure, a drop was just a matter of time.
MMT went from 0.1891 to 0.1782, +116.34% steadily landing in my account. The earlier hesitation was real, but the outcome is truly satisfying.
Don’t lose patience in the volatility and then try to regain dignity in a one-sided market.
Here’s a quick note on the operation: first take profit on 80%, then move the stop loss for the remaining 20% to the break-even point; if it continues to fall, let the profits run. Take profit when you should.
If you missed it, don’t chase; wait for a new structure to emerge. The market isn’t short on opportunities, it’s short on patience.
$ETH $ADA Middle East energy shipping risks are heating up, with two key straits disrupted, risk aversion sentiment spilling over to suppress the crypto market, and MMT following the pullback. I judge the short-term bias as bearish, but the 4-hour level has not yet broken, indicating a high-level shakeout rather than a trend reversal.
From the capital perspective, the current price is 0.1781, down 5.8% in 24 hours, with a trading volume of 742,000 and a funding rate of only 0.0050%, showing a clear cooling of bullish sentiment. The 1-hour chart is declining but only 0.39% above the low, with support at 0.1748; the 4-hour chart is still rising, 13.95% above the low, and the open interest of 8.43 million coin-margined contracts indicates shorts have not significantly increased positions. The order book buy-sell ratio is 1.00, with both sides locked in a stalemate; 0.1835 is short-term resistance.
Strategically, lightly short on a rebound to 0.1823, stop loss at 0.1857, target 0.1746; if it pulls back and stabilizes at 0.1749, consider reversing to a short-term long, stop loss at 0.1723, target 0.1802. Position size controlled within 20%, strictly exit on break.
— This is only a personal opinion and does not constitute investment advice. Wishing you successful trading. —
$MMT#中东能源航运风险升温，两大关键海峡受扰
#中东能源航运风险升温，两大关键海峡受扰 $MMT After the rise, what matters is whether it can hold.
When the market warms up, the biggest fear is mistaking a pulse for a trend. $SUI is around 1.19, with about a 50% increase this month and about 4.5% this week. The numbers look good, but 1.20 is the key observation point: first see if it can reclaim that level, then see if the pullback can hold. Just touching it once doesn't count. If it can't even hold here, the short-term trend should be considered weak; no matter how big the monthly gain is, it can't replace the current buying momentum.
$ENA rebounded over 4% in 24 hours, but the weekly chart still shows a slight drop of about 0.6%, so the recovery is not yet complete. What it lacks is not a reason to rise, but follow-up buying. Sentiment can push the first wave, but sustained buying is needed to push the second wave. If it gives back gains at the slightest pullback, the quality of this rebound will be discounted.
$DOGE returned to around 0.0947, about 5% away from 0.10. Round number levels always excite people prematurely, but the market has no obligation to hit them exactly. First, see if the upward momentum can continue; don't mistake a pleasing number for a guaranteed target.
The excitement belongs to intraday trading; holding the level belongs to after-hours. The rebound can be watched, but more attention should be paid to who is buying on the pullback.
#OKXNOW：开启全天候市场新时代
#本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 Middle East energy shipping risks are heating up, with two key straits disrupted, risk-off sentiment suppressing risk assets, $SNDK weakening along with the broader market. I judge the short-term bias as bearish but approaching oversold territory. The price has fallen back from the 1743.4 high, with 1-hour and 4-hour moving averages both trending down; it has dropped 10.46% from the 4-hour high. The 1682.5 low is the last line of defense, with rebound resistance at 1721.6. The buy-sell ratio is 0.98, slightly favoring sellers; the funding rate of 0.0141% remains positive, indicating bulls have not significantly withdrawn. Open interest at 51,000 shows limited divergence. Operationally, one can lightly short at 1697.3 with a stop loss at 1712.8 and a target of 1671.4; if it pulls back to 1668.3 and stabilizes, one can reverse to a short-term long with a stop loss at 1655.9 and a target of 1704.6, with single position size not exceeding 5%.
——This is only a personal opinion and does not constitute investment advice. Wishing you smooth trading.——
$SNDK#中东能源航运风险升温，两大关键海峡受扰
#中东能源航运风险升温，两大关键海峡受扰 $SNDK $XRP's current market rally is a typical pulse surge driven by positive expectations. The market continuously speculates on related compliance and ETF rumors, spreading a large amount of bullish sentiment. Short-term funds have concentrated entry, pushing the price steadily upward. According to market data, this rally is mainly driven by short-term speculative funds rather than long-term capital deployment, and the momentum weakens after incremental funds take over.
The overall trend can be divided into three phases: expectation-driven surge, high-level oscillation with stagnation, and cooling off with a decline in expectations. The characteristic of this news-driven market is strong upward explosive power but weak sustainability. Market turning points often occur when bullish sentiment is at its peak. The essence of news-driven market moves is capital speculation; once expectations are fully priced in, the market tends to reverse with large volatility. 【Old Leek Observation】 $SUI
🔥 SUI has a major catalyst tomorrow: an on-site attempt to break the 6 million+ TPS record. The Sui Basecamp kicks off tomorrow in Singapore.
The most worth-watching event isn't the regular conference, but Mysten Labs' live challenge to Sui's TPS record. The current record is 6,086,766 TPS, and they plan to break it again tomorrow.
At the same time, the main themes of this conference are clear:
AI Agent + Automated Payments + Stablecoins + RWA
Also, on October 1st, Sui joined the Linux Foundation Decentralized Trust to participate in setting open standards for tokenized assets.
SUI is still around $1.20, without any exaggerated pre-pump.
Entry: $1.18–$1.22
Take Profit: $1.27 / $1.34 / $1.42 / $1.52 / $1.65
Stop Loss: $1.12
If the TPS test and conference content exceed expectations tomorrow, $1.27 will be the first resistance level. If it spikes directly, do not chase; wait for a pullback to buy again.#ZEC现货ETF首次周度净流出，NU7升级推进 This type of privacy sector news is difficult to directly transmit to KAITO in the short term, and macro funds remain cautious. I judge that KAITO will experience weak intraday oscillation with limited rebound strength.
Current price is 0.339, down 3.8% in 24 hours, with a high of 0.3524 and a low of 0.334. The trading volume is only 13.954 million, showing insufficient volume support. The 4-hour trend is downward, and the funding rate of -0.0029% indicates bearish sentiment dominance. Open interest is 12.132 million coins, and the order book buy-sell ratio is 1.01, with buy orders slightly dominant but weak absorption power.
Strategy-wise, lightly short near 0.3468 on rebound, stop loss at 0.3529, target 0.3296; if volume increases and stabilizes above 0.3421, reverse to short-term long, stop loss at 0.3352, target 0.3515. Position size should not exceed 20%, with strict stop loss on breakouts.
— This is only a personal opinion and does not constitute investment advice. Wish you smooth trading. —
$KAITO #BTC whale selling pressure weakens, ETF funds have net inflows for three consecutive weeks
#ZEC现货ETF首次周度净流出，NU7升级推进 $KAITO #ZEC spot ETF experiences first weekly net outflow, NU7 upgrade progresses, privacy sector funding divergence increases, SOL as a high-beta public chain cannot remain unaffected, short-term I lean more towards range-bound oscillation rather than a direct breakout. Current quote is 120.25, down slightly 1.1% in 24 hours, price is squeezed repeatedly between 122.02 and 118.82, trading volume only 5.776 million, volume insufficient to support a one-sided market. Funding rate 0.0001% nearly zero, open interest 2.967 million, neither longs nor shorts willing to add positions, and the top 10 order book buy-sell ratio is 0.96, sellers slightly dominant, breakout requires volume confirmation. Strategy: lightly try long on a pullback to 119.35, stop loss at 118.45, target 122.85; if volume surges and holds above 123.15, then chase long, stop loss at 121.95. Position control within 20%, exit immediately if broken, do not hold the position.
——This is only a personal opinion, not investment advice, wish you smooth trading.——
$SOL#BTC whale selling pressure weakens, ETF funds have net inflows for three consecutive weeks
#ZEC spot ETF experiences first weekly net outflow, NU7 upgrade progresses $SOL #BTC whale sell pressure weakens, ETF funds have net inflows for three consecutive weeks, risk appetite is warming and spilling over to high-beta small-cap coins like SLX, but whether the rebound can continue still depends on whether leveraged funds follow. My judgment: short-term bullish bias, but discipline is a must.
SLX current price 0.06177, up only 0.2% in 24 hours, trading volume 3.376 million, yet it has consecutively broken below the 1-hour and 4-hour moving averages, falling 17.65% from the 4-hour high, indicating the rebound is weaker than the broader market. Funding rate 0.0050%, open interest 30.972 million coins, long crowding is not high; order book top 10 levels show 17,000 bids vs. 14,000 asks, bid-ask ratio 1.20, there is support at the low level, but 0.06216 above is a strong resistance.
Strategy: lightly buy on a pullback to 0.06025, stop loss at 0.05895, target 0.06385; if volume increases and it stabilizes above 0.06216, then chase, stop loss 0.06080, target 0.06520. Single position should not exceed 3% of total funds, do not hold through a break.
— This is only a personal opinion and does not constitute investment advice. Wish you successful trading. —
$SLX#BTC whale sell pressure weakens, ETF funds have net inflows for three consecutive weeks
#BTC whale sell pressure weakens, ETF funds have net inflows for three consecutive weeks $SLX The US CFTC has initiated the first round of crypto market rulemaking, raising expectations for the implementation of a regulatory framework. This is a medium- to long-term positive for mainstream assets like ETH, but short-term prices are still awaiting directional confirmation. My judgment is a bullish consolidation, with pullbacks presenting buying opportunities.
Overnight prices fluctuated between 2678.12 and 2733.96, currently quoted at 2708.69, slightly down 0.5%, with a turnover of 15.533 million and relatively light volume. The top ten buy orders stand at 6916 versus 414 sell orders, a ratio of 16.69, indicating very strong buying support; the funding rate is a mild positive 0.0035%, open interest is 608,000 coin-margined contracts, and bullish sentiment is not overheated. Both the 1-hour and 4-hour trends are upward, with about 5.18% room above the 4-hour low, limiting the depth of any pullback.
In terms of operations, one can place long orders at 2703.5 with a stop loss below 2677.3, targeting 2729.8, with a risk-reward ratio of about 3:1. If there is a rapid breakout above 2734.5, add to the long position and move the stop loss up to 2708.2; keep position size within 20% and leverage no more than 5x, being cautious of news-driven volatility.
— This is only a personal opinion and does not constitute investment advice. Wishing you successful trading. —
$ETH#美CFTC启动首轮加密市场规则制定
#美CFTC启动首轮加密市场规则制定 $ETH Today is the 45th day of shorting ZEC, and the three-month target is already halfway through. If you can't hold it, then go to the factory!!!
ZEC current price is 1330, 24h -0.50%. After previously surging to a high of 1695.50, it has started a pullback adjustment.
Technical indicators
- RSI6=38.48, already in the weak zone, not yet deeply oversold, still room for a pullback.
- MACD: DIF46.46, DEA91.41, MACD -89.89, green bars continue to expand, daily level bearish momentum releasing.
- KDJ: K17.34, D20.76, J10.50, all declining, in a weak area.
Key price levels
Resistance: 1351-1422 (moving average resistance zone)
Support: 1276, if broken, look toward around 1100.
Market analysis: This round of explosive rally starting from a low point has ended, with a large amount of profit-taking at high levels. The pullback amplitude is much greater than BTC and ETH, showing high coin elasticity. Without ETF funds to support, it is entirely driven by market sentiment.
Summary: The daily trend is weakening, do not blindly bottom-fish. Wait for indicators to stabilize and recover before considering participation, control position size to avoid high volatility risk.
Technical review only, not investment advice. #OKXNOW：开启全天候市场新时代 #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 #BTC巨鲸抛压减弱，ETF资金连续三周净流入 $BTC $ETH $ZEC Institutions are all seeing 300, $SPCX remains bullish in the long term, but short positions near 180 are possible in the short term!
171 dollars seems more like an observation point after emotional repair, rather than confirmation of a new major upward wave.
Yesterday, $SPCX closed at 171.09 dollars, up 7.63% in a single day,
marking the highest close since June, a truly impressive performance.
The main reasons behind this are:
1️⃣ Morgan Stanley's Adam Jonas reiterated an overweight rating with a target price of 300 dollars,
2️⃣ Elon Musk confirmed talks with TSMC on chip cooperation,
3️⃣ Starship Flight 14 entered orbit and deployed Starlink V3, with funds buying back the narrative that "the rocket is already priced in, and AI is almost free."
The reason I continue to be bullish is mainly because:
▶️ The stock price is still about 24% below the post-IPO high of 225 dollars, and only about 27% above the IPO price of 135 dollars;
▶️ The consensus target price is around 226–229 dollars, with Jonas's 300 dollars being more aggressive.
▶️ Spot buying and trading volume are keeping up, indicating it is not just short covering.
However, in the short term, $SPCX is more likely to first digest between 171–180 dollars, so short positions are not a big issue;
stand firm and then look at 190 dollars; if it falls back to 158–160 dollars, this round of recovery has failed.
The real pressure lies in the quarterly report and lock-up expiration; the growth story must be realized for 300 dollars to be more than just a paper target. #SpaceX股价反弹，创7月以来新高 $ETH one-hour chart is fluctuating back and forth, with bulls and bears tugging at each other. Currently, there are three possible scenarios.
First, if it holds above 2727 with increased volume breaking through resistance, the mid-to-long-term bullish opportunity is confirmed, aiming to test around 2810. This is the ideal scenario for the bulls.
Second, if it remains stuck in the 2680-2727 range with prolonged consolidation, existing funds are battling back and forth, neither rising nor falling significantly. Both bulls and bears find it hard to gain large profits. This is suitable for observation without rushing into heavy positions.
Third, if it effectively breaks below the key support at 2678, the mid-to-long-term bearish logic holds, and it will further probe the dense chip area around 2590. A large number of low-position long orders will be shaken out.
Currently, RSI is stuck near 50 with no clear direction. BTC has not made a big move, so ETH is unlikely to have an independent trend. Mid-to-long-term investors should not rush to bet on one side; wait until the price reaches key levels before taking action.
Personally, I lean more towards the second consolidation scenario, but plans for the first and third should also be prepared.
Follow your uncle here, don’t get fooled or suffer losses.
#ETH mid-to-long-term key range battle #BTC consolidation drags down Ethereum $ETH $BTCSpaceX stock price rebound hits a new high since July, and the warming risk appetite has boosted short-term sentiment for BTC, but I judge this wave of linkage to be weak. BTC overall is still in a consolidation pattern within a rebound, so chasing highs is not advisable. At the 85558.7 level, there is a clear divergence between bulls and bears; it dropped 0.8% in 24h, with a low probe to 84937.5 before recovering. Both the 1-hour and 4-hour trends are upward, but the pullback from the high is only about 1.4%. The order book's top 10 levels show a buy-sell ratio of 29.48, with buyers placing 2265 orders against 77 sell orders, indicating strong short-term support willingness. The funding rate is only 0.0043%, with open interest at 29,000, indicating bulls are not overheated and sentiment is cautious. Strategically, a light long position can be tried on a pullback to 85230, with a stop loss at 84560 and a target of 86480; if it directly surges to around 86620 and stalls, reduce positions and exit. Single position size should not exceed 5% of total funds, and stop loss must be respected without holding losing positions.
— This is only a personal opinion and does not constitute investment advice. Wish you successful trading. —
$BTC#SpaceX股价反弹，创7月以来新高
#SpaceX股价反弹，创7月以来新高 $BTC The coins I watch the most every day are Bitcoin, Ethereum, and ZEC.
Bitcoin $BTC: Currently at $85,500, with a high of $86,600 and a low around $84,940 in the past 24 hours, showing a slight pullback. The daily K-line still indicates a bullish structure, RSI around 65, meaning bulls still have the advantage. However, the $86,500-$87,000 range is a key resistance zone. If it can break through with volume and hold above, it will open a new height above. If it rallies and then falls back again, look for support at $84,800, then $84,000.
Ethereum $ETH: Ethereum is currently around $2,700-$2,710, fluctuating between $2,680 and $2,730. In the short term, it will be interesting to see if it can follow BTC to push higher and challenge $2,800. If it fully retraces, watch if the $2,650 support can hold. The Glamsterdam upgrade is a test phase for the upcoming mainnet upgrade, which is basically positive for ETH's fundamentals.
Looking at ZEC $ZEC: ZEC is now around $1,320, with higher volatility than Bitcoin and Ethereum. Short-term support is at $1,280, with important support around $1,250. The $1,360-$1,400 range is a short-term minor resistance; breaking through it would open an upward space. Recently, ZEC's ETF saw an outflow of $93.5 million, indicating significant profit-taking at high levels in the short term. #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 #BTC巨鲸抛压减弱，ETF资金连续三周净流入 Around 1700, can SanDisk go long? Look at the turnover rate
SanDisk is fluctuating around the $1700 range. As a high turnover sentiment stock, short-term funds repeatedly flow in and out, lacking long-term locked-in chips. The current high turnover at a high level indicates that the bulls and bears still have significant disagreements.
High turnover has two sides: it represents that the sector's heat still exists, but chips are being exchanged in large quantities here. If the stock price surges but the turnover rate shrinks, incremental funds are insufficient, and the rebound is easily ended; once a large-volume long bearish candle appears, high turnover directly evolves into capital flight, and the correction will be much stronger than Hynix and Micron.
It neither has Hynix's trend resilience nor Micron's institutional swing trading characteristics, so heavy long positions on the trend are strictly prohibited, and passive holding is advised against.
If participating, it is limited to small position short-term speculation:
✅ Entry conditions: storage sector sentiment warms up, stock price stabilizes on the platform, turnover remains healthy
⚠️ Risk control discipline: set stop loss, do not be stubborn in battle, decisively exit on volume breakCountdown to the minutes, the market is waiting for a punctuation mark
The Fed minutes haven't been released yet, but funds have already pulled back in advance. BTC touched a high of 82800 then slipped back to 82100, seemingly stable but actually shaky. Heavy selling pressure above 83500, several attempts to break through failed. Moving averages tangled, MACD formed a golden cross below zero, red bars shrinking, looks hesitant rather than aggressive. 82100 is short-term support, 83500 is the real test: a breakout with volume could target 84000/84500; if it loses 81800, 81400 won't hold either.
ETH is relatively resilient, moving averages near 2730 are flat, MA20 at 2705 provides support. Resistance at 2738, 2755, 2770, hard to break without volume. SOL continues to play dead, fluctuating within 2 dollars around 141.5, MA5/MA10 are converging, resistance at 143.2, support at 139.5, no volume means no chance.
Minutes looming overhead, no one wants to bet first. Low volume limits the rebound; only strong wording combined with volume and price action is a real signal. Before the wind blows, waiting for a ratio move is more valuable.
$BTC $ETH $SOL
#本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要
#BTC现货ETF重回流入，ETH资金持续流出 #OKXNOW：开启全天候市场新时代 "Hundredfold Rolling, Fierce on the Edge"
In this short-term round, Sister Bao is like dancing on the tip of a needle. $BTC is rolled back and forth with 100x leverage: long at 85088, exit at 85839; re-enter at 85288, exit again at 85577.6. Neither segment lingers in battle, profiting from intraday narrow fluctuations rather than a big trend feast. On the other side, $PENGU is only given 10x leverage and a small position, leaving some altcoin flexibility to bet on sentiment spillover.
The real harshness of this strategy is not the "hundredfold" leverage, but the discipline: no action without a clear range, pocket profits once made, cut immediately if the direction is wrong; main position on BTC, small position testing altcoins, never putting all chips into high-volatility coins. Dare to open, dare to run.
But the risk is also clear: 100x leaves almost no room for error. If BTC reverses by dozens of points, there might not even be time to react, leading directly to liquidation. Hitting the mark continuously today only shows the current oscillation rhythm is in sync, not that the method can dominate long-term. $ETH and BTC are still tugging within ranges, no single-sided trend from bulls or bears. Ultra-high leverage profits fast, but a single candlestick can cause a crash. Watching the spectacle is fine, but don’t mistake survivor bias for a cash machine. #OKXNOW：开启全天候市场新时代 #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 #BTC巨鲸抛压减弱，ETF资金连续三周净流入 The US 2025 tax filing extension deadline is approaching on October 15. For those involved in crypto transactions, it's best not to treat the received 1099-DA as a finalized profit statement.
The IRS requires brokers to report transaction proceeds starting from 2025 trades, while cost basis reporting for certain transactions begins only in 2026. This means the 2025 form you receive may only show the sale amount, and you will need to supplement the cost portion with your own records.
For example: if you bought crypto for $9,000 and later sold it for $10,000, the sale proceeds are $10,000, and the difference is $1,000. The actual taxable result depends on applicable rules and related fees. Filling the cost basis as zero directly may lead to completely incorrect tax calculations.
Cross-platform transfers are especially tricky. The selling platform knows how much you sold but may not know the original purchase price. Transfers between wallets and exchange trade records need to be matched to the same batch of assets; you cannot just look at the last withdrawal.
Also, ordinary extensions mainly extend the filing deadline but do not automatically extend the tax payment deadline; special cases like disasters and overseas situations require separate verification. This reminder is for those with US filing obligations, not all crypto holders. I think spending time organizing records now is much better than submitting an incomplete form at the deadline and regretting it.
#美2025年度延期报税10月15日截止，涉及加密申报 Protocol-level privacy pools can merge liquidity but also push governance issues to the mainnet
Currently, privacy transfers mostly exist in dedicated applications, wallets, or layer-2 solutions, with different schemes maintaining separate liquidity pools, causing anonymous sets to be fragmented. The proposed protocol-level shielded pools aim to enable $ETH and ERC-20 tokens to complete hidden transfers on shared infrastructure, lowering the barrier for users to find specific applications. The larger the anonymous set, the harder it is to guess a single deposit or withdrawal from a small number of participants.
Shared infrastructure also means governance pressure is more concentrated. Which assets are supported, how proof systems upgrade, how to handle malicious funds, and how wallets display by default will all escalate from individual application issues to ecosystem-wide concerns. Privacy pools sever the direct link between deposits and withdrawals but do not automatically hide network entry points, usage timing, or all amount characteristics, nor do they mean compliance boundaries can be ignored.
EIP-8182 is currently a proposal under consideration by Hegotá, and there is still a significant gap from "native privacy transfers on the mainnet." I support Ethereum advancing privacy from an add-on product to a fundamental capability, but I will not treat the research roadmap as a delivery ahead of time. For the long-term value of $ETH, the key is not having one more narrative label, but whether it can protect ordinary users' transaction relationships while retaining verifiable rules and enabling implementation without relying on a single operator.Watched the top gainers list all afternoon, the hourly candle at 3 PM for $API3 is a bit crazy.
Last night it was just above 0.29, then at midnight it surged to 0.333, and the whole morning it hovered between 0.30 and 0.32 with low volume. The second phase started at 1 PM, it jumped to 0.344 in one hour, touched 0.357 at 2 PM, and the 3 PM candle directly shot up to 0.406. Spot trading volume was nearly 600,000 USDT in one hour, up more than 30% in 24 hours.
The most interesting part is the futures side: funding rate is -0.88%, shorts are paying longs, and open interest is only a bit over 2 million USD. The price is surging up, shorts are still holding on hard; this kind of setup can easily lead to a short squeeze, but on the flip side, it also shows many believe this rally is fake.
I’m not chasing it myself: 0.40 is a psychological level, wait for a volume-backed close above it; if it falls back to 0.345, which is the starting point of the rally at 1 PM, this wave is basically done. The major market $BTC at 85400 and $ETH at 2700 are both slightly down, these small coins’ independent moves come fast and go fast.
$BTC $ETH $API3 #API3 #Oracle #Altcoin #ShortSqueeze
#OKXNOW: Ushering in a new era of 24/7 markets #ThisWeekFedWillReleaseSeptemberMinutes #BTCWhaleSellingPressureEases, ETF funds net inflow for three consecutive weeks
#RiskWarning
This is not investment advice; coins with negative funding rates can be volatile both ways, don’t go all in.ETF has had net inflows for three consecutive weeks, but BTC has been stuck around 85k for three days — money is coming in, so where's the price?
#BTC whale selling pressure weakens, ETF funds have net inflows for three consecutive weeks #This week the Fed will release the September meeting minutes
The high for three days was 86994, the low was 84550, and today it has been fluctuating between 85141 and 86142 all day, currently at 85.6k. The funding fee is only +0.0045%, leverage hasn't caught up at all. Simply put, spot is slowly absorbing while futures are just watching.
My understanding: whales have stopped dumping, but that doesn't mean anyone is willing to chase. Before the minutes come out at 2 AM Thursday, it's very likely to stay in this range.
$BTC $ETH
Which do you trust more with three weeks of inflows?
A Accumulating, will surge to 87k after the minutes
B Just holding the bottom, still needs to return to 84.5k
Drop a letter in the comments, I'll check the answers ThursdayOKX这次的AI布局，开始有点不一样了。
10月6日新加坡OKX NOW峰会上，OKX集中展示Agent Trade Kit、OnchainOS、Agentic Wallet、OKX AI和AI Builder Program等产品，并演示了即将上线的AI Bot。最关键的一点是：AI不再只是帮你分析行情，而是开始走向“分析→制定策略→执行交易→资产管理”的完整闭环。
简单理解，未来用户甚至不需要盯着K线下单，只要用自然语言告诉AI自己的交易逻辑，就能创建个性化策略，再在授权范围内完成链上交易和资产管理。
我认为这里真正有想象力的是Agent经济。OKX正在把交易所、钱包、链上基础设施和AI Agent服务市场连接起来，用户可以使用专业Agent，开发者也可以把自己的策略、知识和交易能力变成可订阅、可变现的服务。
这意味着AI+Crypto的竞争可能会从“谁的模型更聪明”，逐渐转向“谁能真正完成交易闭环”。
对OKB、OKX生态以及整个链上AI赛道来说，这属于中长期偏利好的基础设施升级。
但短线别把产品发布直接等同于币价上涨，真正需要观察的是AI Bot上线后的用户量、交易规模、AgeThree prices, three temperatures
$BTC is around $86K, like the water level of the main channel. It doesn't guarantee the safety of all ships, but it indicates whether big money is still willing to set high prices for crypto assets. If it holds steady, broad strength remains; if it falls, the market focus will be repriced.
ETH is about $2.7K, the second line of verification. If BTC is strong but ETH is stagnant, risks may still be concentrated in a few assets; if ETH keeps up, it means the overall market risk is starting to expand, and funds no longer only hold the thickest legs.
$SOL is about $122, more sensitive. It doesn't define the market bottom line but exposes traders' courage. If SOL strengthens, the risk curve shifts right, and people are willing to pay for higher volatility; if SOL weakens, even if BTC hasn't fallen, risk appetite should be warned as contracting.
All three belong to the same market but act like three instruments: BTC looks at strength, ETH looks at diffusion, SOL looks at courage. Looking at only one can easily mistake a part for the whole; looking at all simultaneously can piece together a more complete cycle position amid the noise. #OKXNOW：开启全天候市场新时代 #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 Approval implementation ≠ entry signal: Understanding the “single-day game” of 3x BTC/ETH products
$SECZ has approved six 3x leveraged products, including 3x BTC and 3x ETH, immediately heating up market sentiment. But don’t rush to enter yet; the rules hide two key words: single-day, reset.
These products only aim to deliver three times the daily price movement of the underlying asset, rebalancing after market close. For example, if BTC rises 10% in a day, the product gains about 30%; if BTC falls 10%, the product loses about 30%. It seems symmetrical but is not a long-term 3x. If the market fluctuates repeatedly, daily rebalancing causes drag, and the longer you hold, the more the actual returns may diverge from the 3x target. This erosion is especially painful in a choppy market.
More importantly, approval and launch are not the same. The registration process is not yet complete, and ordinary accounts may still be unable to buy. Equating “approval effective” directly with “already listed” can lead to misjudging the timing.
Therefore, this is positive news but does not mean you can get in right now. If you really want to participate, at least wait until the product is tradable and liquidity is proven before assessing position size and risk. It is more suitable as a short-term tactical tool rather than a long-term core holding. Don’t let leverage amplify profit fantasies or magnify drawdowns. Investing involves risk; decisions must be independent.Embarrassing to admit: ZEC hovered around 1300 for three days, and I was so itchy watching the market that I almost caught the spike at 1278 in the early morning—but I held back, now it's at 1331.
#ZEC spot ETF outflows for 3 consecutive days, NU7 upgrade approaching
My problem is whenever I see the words "upgrade approaching," I want to rush in. But the topic clearly states that the spot ETF has been flowing out for three days straight, the funding rate has also reached +0.01%, and quite a few are chasing longs. The three-day high is 1368, the low is 1278, basically oscillating within this box; whoever panics first pays the tuition.
The rule I set for myself now: don’t panic unless it breaks 1278, don’t chase unless it firmly holds above 1368, treat everything in between as noise.
$ZEC $BTC
Have you ever experienced this? Clearly set rules, but when you see a bullish headline, your hands don’t listen. Did you hold back or rush in? Share in the comments, I’ll reply to each.🔥 OKB’s Burning Mechanism Has Fundamentally Reshaped Its Tokenomics The burning of $OKB marks a major transformation in OKX’s token economic model. The biggest change is clear: in August 2025, OKB completed a one-time large-scale burn, permanently reducing its total supply to 21 million tokens. This effectively shifted OKB from a traditional deflationary model to one based on absolute scarcity. 📜 🔥 Historical Burn Review: 2019–2025 Before the final burn, OKB operated under a quarterly buybackRecently, there's an interesting phenomenon: everyone is focused on who is leading the rhythm between BTC and SOL, but no one mentions ETH, the silent central force. The mainstream view thinks it rises slowly and lacks explosive power, but in fact, the Glamsterdam upgrade was activated today on the Sepolia testnet. The EIP-7732 protocol introduces proposer-builder separation and block-level access lists, taking L1 throughput to the next level. On-chain real Gas consumption has never stopped; that smart contract base layer is seriously underestimated. Funds are not focusing on it for now, but once sector rotation ignites, the low-volatility base layer will be more resilient. The asset that doesn't fall easily is the one to really watch. Use your own judgment, think it through yourself, don't get carried away by emotions. This round, ETH stands at 2697, with more catch-up potential than expected. $ETH #OKXNOW：开启全天候市场新时代 #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 #BTC巨鲸抛压减弱，ETF资金连续三周净流入 #BTC whale sell pressure weakens, ETF funds have net inflows for three consecutive weeks Recently, a set of signals worth noting has appeared in the BTC market: whale addresses show significantly reduced sell pressure, while spot ETF funds have maintained net inflows for three consecutive weeks, indicating changes in supply and demand dynamics. From on-chain data, the whale group that had been continuously selling has recently sharply reduced transfer sell-offs, with many holding addresses no longer making large transfers out, indicating a decline in high-level selling momentum. As key chip suppliers in the market, the slowdown in whale sell pressure means short-term selling strength has decreased, releasing chip selling pressure. On the other hand, BTC spot ETF funds continue to flow in, maintaining net inflows for three consecutive weeks. Institutional funds keep entering, representing increased institutional recognition of the current price level, with a continuous influx of incremental funds taking over market chips. On one side, whale selling decreases; on the other, ETF incremental funds keep buying, forming a "weakened sell pressure + buy-side support" pattern. However, this structure should be viewed objectively and does not mean a unilateral large rally will start immediately. Bullish logic: whale sell pressure falls + ETF continuous net inflows, chip supply decreases, incremental funds keep taking over, bottom support strengthens, and once market sentiment warms, it can easily trigger a rebound. Bearish risk points: macro news, Federal Reserve policies, and sudden regulatory news can still cause severe volatility; whales may restart selling at any time, and ETF funds may switch from inflows to outflows, causing the market to reverse at any time. Going forward, focus on two core indicators: 1. BTC whale address holdings change When selecting coins, I care more about what will continue to drive the price up. A drop can be justified by a cheaper price, or it might just mean the original expectations were too high.
For $RE, this time I want to first calculate the valuation.
The circulating market cap is about $80 million, but based on the total token supply, the valuation is about $500 million, and the current circulation only accounts for about 16% of the total.
So you can't just look at $80 million and think the upside is huge. If the circulating supply increases later, more demand will be needed to maintain the same price.
Of course, no circulation doesn't mean immediate selling, so it shouldn't be directly treated as immediate selling pressure.
My stance is that short-term rebounds can be observed, but for the long term, future supply must be factored in; you can't just pick the smallest market cap to tell a story.
$ETH has risen about 9% in the past month, but only about 1.2% this week, with no obvious acceleration for now.
I think there's no need to rush to discuss how far it can rise; first, see if it can resume active upward movement.
If the market warms up later and it still only follows slightly, then short-term expectations should be more conservative. It has long-term utility, but it also needs buyers willing to keep buying now.
$WLD fell about 3.4% in 24 hours but still rose nearly 14% over the week. This drop hasn't erased the previous gains.
Therefore, I don't currently interpret a one-day drop as the end of the trend, nor will I immediately assume the correction is complete.
How much the rebound recovers the decline will help judge whether buying interest remains. For now, treat it as a pullback after a rise and wait for confirmation.Good morning, genius traders. BTC retraced to 85,334 USD last night, dropping over 1% back to the 85K midline, with an intraday range of 84,700 to 86,600. On Monday, BTC ETF saw a net outflow of 89.8M; after two days of inflows, it turned to net redemptions, but last week still had a net inflow of 241M, so institutional base holdings remain intact. Citi raised BTC's 12-month target from 82,000 to 113,000, confident due to continued ETF accumulation. Key technical levels to watch—resistance above at 87,570 (start of 2026 level), then 90,000; support below at 83,600, with a break below 80,500 being truly dangerous. RSI at 62 remains in the bullish zone, with fear and greed at 67, indicating greed is not low. Today, the key is whether 85K can hold steady; if not, expect a retest around 83.6K. $BTC #星球日报 #OKXNOW：开启全天候市场新时代 #BTC巨鲸抛压减弱，ETF资金连续三周净流入 "Between Hot and Cold"
The Nasdaq and U.S. Treasury bonds keep hitting new highs, but the crypto market seems oblivious. With pressure above and support below, the market moves cautiously and tensely.
$OKB is today's focus. Two pieces of news add fuel: OKX ICE has applied to the SEC to launch a tokenized stock trading platform; the OKX NOW new product launch event is coming on October 6. The market oscillated upward from the 121 support level, hitting resistance at 128, slowing the rally. If 127 holds, there might be room for a short-term continued rise.
AAVE is giving the bears a hard time. My short position is floating at about a 7% loss. The 177 low once seemed like a chance to break even, but when OKB surged, it followed suit, shooting from 177 to 185. The bulls are aligned neatly; it's hard to guess when the rally will end.
$ETH is still moving sideways within a range. The 2740 resistance repeatedly suppresses it; several attempts to break higher were pushed back near 2700. The bulls lack strength; any rise seems to give bears an opportunity. I dare not chase longs.
Market sentiment is fragmented, with rapid shifts between strength and weakness. The above are just my personal market insights and do not constitute any trading advice. #OKXNOW：开启全天候市场新时代 #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 $OP I originally wanted to cut losses as a sacrifice, but the sacrifice didn't happen, and the meat cooked itself, smelling so good it feels unreal 😎
This wave of OP slowly climbed from 0.13119, the bottom consolidation lasted so long I almost forgot I had a position. Just after lunch, I glanced at the price at 0.13502, +148.25%, and sold it right there. It really feels great, I can treat myself to a good meal.
When I entered, there wasn’t much strategy, just no breaking below support, bottoming but not breaking. I reminded to take a light position and one lot, leaving the rest to time. It was really slow at first, but the outcome is really sweet.
The premise of compounding is staying alive; the shortcut to getting rich often leads to zero.
For my position, I took profit on 70% first, moved the remaining 30% to cost price for protection, pocketing the main part first. For friends who haven’t gotten in yet, listen to me: now is not the time to rush. Better to miss one limit-up than to catch a falling knife and get bloodied. Wait for a more comfortable position in the next round, I will notify immediately.
$DOGE $ETH $HYPE large long position unlock today has already gained over 2000u~🔥
Hype sees a large unlock today, releasing 3.75 million HYPE tokens worth $340 million. Dream Sister's long position entered at 85.34 and reached around 92.9, already gaining 2019u.
The reasons to be bullish are simple:
1. On October 3rd, Hyperliquid received its first AQAv2 reserve income of about $14.58 million, which will go into the Assistance Fund to buy back HYPE and permanently burn it.
2. Along with today's large token unlock, market funds will enter to speculate.
Those wanting to enter long positions can watch around 95 as a strong resistance level above; selling pressure is relatively high there. Dream Sister has already exited her long position.
$BTC $ETH #OKXNOW：开启全天候市场新时代
#美债长端收益率再创新高，30年期逼近5.7% $ZEC long! Strong rebound!
The bulls of ZEC have been flushed out, but the bears think they have won.
The largest short position closed 38,000 coins, whales withdrew 24,700 coins from Binance and Gate, and a new wallet withdrew 7,166 coins.
You see, the more the bears struggle, the more they are shrinking liquidity on-chain. Enter on breakout confirmation, exit immediately if invalid."Sideways movement doesn't mean no direction; it means the direction is holding its breath."
Sideways trading is the most exhausting; you know you have to pick a direction, but you don't know which way. BTC and ETH grind back and forth, sell orders don't push deep, buy orders don't lift the price, bulls and bears wait for the other side to move first. It's not about judgment, it's about patience.
$BTC: Current price around 85500, hugging the 1-hour EMA55. One candlestick can determine the direction. Above, 85400–85600 is a dense zone of trapped positions; it ground for four hours last night without breaking through; further resistance at 87000–89000 is even stronger. But the giant whales have stopped depositing, the dumping trend is over, supply tightens. Daily chart still bullish, MACD dead cross, momentum weakening. Only a volume breakout above 85600 has a chance; otherwise, it will continue grinding.
$ETH: Hovering near 2700, 2800 is a strong ceiling, 2600 can be lost anytime. ETH/BTC ratio is recovering, relatively improving. But Binance ETH sell orders suppress buy orders, Hyperliquid has 3.3 billion open interest exceeding BTC, 67% long positions; breaking 2700 could trigger a chain reaction. Holding 2700 targets 2750–2800; failing that, look to 2600.
Macro: Gold grinds at 4130, Fed to raise rates by 25 basis points in September, major banks downgrade gold prices. OPEC+ maintains output, Hormuz Strait remains closed, oil prices have a floor, inflation won't fall, rate hike logic hard to break. Don't expect the macro environment to drive the market.
#OKXNOW: Opening a new era of 24/7 markets
#本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要
#美伊继续磋商霍尔木兹开放条件 $SKHYNIX's trend really flips on a dime! It was repeatedly consolidating around 1370 earlier, then suddenly a few big bearish candles smashed it down to around 1320. Those who chased at the high probably barely had time to react.
I opened a short position near 1374.2, currently the mark price is 1327.4, with an unrealized profit of 1.70x. This round of decline is very clear from the hourly to the 4-hour chart; the previous surge near 1386 failed to continue, then it consecutively broke below 1360 and 1340, with short-term bears dominating.
Volume noticeably increased during the decline, and after the 4-hour MACD death cross, the green bars have been expanding, indicating the downward momentum hasn't clearly weakened yet. However, KDJ has entered the oversold zone, so continuing to chase shorts risks a sudden rebound.
Currently, there's a brief halt near 1320; if it breaks below again, the next level to watch is around 1310. If it rebounds and closes above 1340, short-term bears need to watch out for a corrective rally. Even if the direction is right, don't be careless—protecting profits is just as important. $BTC $SOL #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 75 seconds → 25 seconds. Today is the rehearsal.
Zcash’s NU7 reaches public testnet on Oct. 6, targeting 3× faster block cadence plus a new sustainability mechanism. $ZEC is trading around $1,338 on OKX, after touching $1,355 today, while yesterday’s rebound triggered ~$120K in short liquidations.
The upgrade is technical. The market experiment starts now: can usage follow speed?
#OKXNOW:24x7MarketEra #FedSeptemberMinutes #BTCWhalePressureEases $ETH is fiercely holding at 2700, Vitalik calls out to AI, how to respond?
Looking at the chart: ETH current price is 2706, up 57% in 90 days, but has been stuck around 2700 in the past week. On the news front, Vitalik said AI will become the new user interface, a grand long-term narrative, but the short-term market clearly isn't buying it yet, still digesting profits from previous highs.
Trading idea: 2806 above is strong resistance, 2586 below is the critical lifeline for this trend. This is typical dead time, bulls and bears are both waiting for a breakout. If you're not in a position, don't bet on direction; patiently wait for a pullback near 2586 to buy spot, or a volume breakout above 2806 to ride the trend; if you have positions, definitely reduce and take profits around 2800.
Remember, sideways markets are most prone to both long and short blowouts, control your trades, set stop losses well, survival is the most important.$CHIP — Current price: 0.0526, up 7.4%. After falling from 0.14 to a low of 0.021, $CHIP spent more than half a month consolidating and is finally starting to show signs of a breakout. EMA7 and EMA30 have just formed a golden cross, while RSI at 61 still has room to strengthen. A light entry around 0.047 could be considered, with 0.044 as the key invalidation level. A clean break above 0.053 could signal the start of the next upward move. Keep an eye on it! 👀 $API3 — Current price: 0.317, up 7.#BTC whale selling pressure weakens, ETF funds see net inflows for three consecutive weeks Whale selling pressure eases + continuous ETF net inflows, signaling a warming BTC funding environment
Recently, there have been two marginal changes in BTC funding. Glassnode data shows that the trend of whales net inflowing to exchanges for over 3 months has ended, indicating a slowdown in large holders transferring to exchanges and a potential easing of selling pressure. SoSoValue data shows that the US Bitcoin spot ETF has had net weekly inflows for three consecutive weeks as of October 2, with about $241 million in the most recent week.
Logical interpretation: Whale transfers to exchanges are usually seen as a preparation to sell, so the end of this trend is a positive sign of weakening selling pressure; continuous ETF net inflows represent ongoing incremental capital entering the market. Combined, these factors suggest a short-term warming in funding, supporting BTC. However, note that the end of whale net inflows does not mean net outflows; it may just be a slowdown. The weekly ETF inflow scale is relatively small compared to BTC's total market cap, so sustainability is key. If ETFs start net outflows or whales accelerate transfers again, the logic will quickly reverse.
Trading approach: Watch if BTC can break and hold key resistance with volume. If it pulls back without breaking support and ETFs maintain net inflows, consider light long positions following the trend; if it rallies on low volume or ETFs turn to outflows, beware of false breakouts and prioritize reducing positions rather than chasing longs. Whale data is lagging and should not be used alone as an entry signal. Core principle: a warming funding environment is a positive factor, not a starting gun. Manage position size and set stop losses well. $BTC $OKB seems to be relying heavily on gambling-related events to keep its momentum going. The real question is: how much longer can this narrative sustain the price? 🤔Walking the dog at night, the dog was sniffing the utility pole ahead, and I was standing beside it scrolling on my phone when I saw a piece of data.
On the Pluang platform, the average holding time for Dogecoin users is 110 days. 110 days, a little over three months.
I just stood under the streetlight, stunned for a moment. Over three months. These people don’t just buy and sell immediately. Seventy-six percent of the orders are buys; fewer people are selling.
I glanced down at my dog, who was intently sniffing a pole, having been at it for almost a minute, very patient.
I was thinking, 110 days is actually quite a long time in the crypto market. Most people in this field buy today and sell tomorrow, checking the candlestick charts eight times a minute if they could. But with Dogecoin, many people hold for triple-digit days. What do you call that? Faith, holding on, or just being too lazy to manage it.
Anyway, the result is the same—the chips aren’t changing hands frequently; they’re settling.
The dog finally finished sniffing and tugged me forward. As we walked, I wondered, what was Dogecoin’s price 110 days ago? I can’t remember. But 110 days later? It might still be 0.09, or maybe not.
No matter what happens to $DOGE, I’ll probably still be here.Withdrew 3500R and 452u today.
Currently, the account has 920u,
BTC and ETH have pending orders for 5 days, profits have not been high, and volatility is low.
Made a wrong click on CT yesterday, closed the wrong order, but it’s still okay, with more than 8 times profit.
SAND’s profit is nearly tenfold now, planning to sell at 0.4.
PUMP currently has less than double profit, shorting leads to a red ocean, waiting to profit from it.
Yesterday early morning opened two ZEC orders, earned 132u, now have one pending at 1322, take profit at 1339.5. Also have a short order at 1340 without take profit set, I think it will drop, have been bearish for a week, but catching some volatility is still good. If not, it’s fine. Each order’s stop loss starts with a 30u position, if profit drops to -300, do a T, max stop loss 150u, take profit depends on trend, can hold long if possible. Who would have thought that $API3, which was lingering around 0.29 earlier, suddenly surged above 0.38! This kind of sudden acceleration in the market is the easiest to catch people halfway up the mountain; by the time they react, the price has already pulled far ahead.
Opened a long position on API3 around 0.317, currently marked at 0.3834, with unrealized profit reaching 2.09 times. The hourly chart shows a gradual rise from the low of 0.2871, breaking through the consolidation zone near 0.32, followed by consecutive large bullish candles, reaching a high of 0.3897.
This round of rally also shows a notable change: trading volume rapidly expands with the price breakout, MACD red bars grow in sync, indicating strong short-term bullish momentum. However, KDJ has entered a high-level zone, and after continuous sharp rises, a significant pullback could occur at any time.
Now it’s very close to the 0.39 psychological level; if it can hold above, there is room for further extension; if it falls back near 0.363, the short-term acceleration rhythm may be interrupted. The more the screen is filled with large bullish candles, the more important it is to distinguish between opportunity and risk. $BTC $SOL #OKXNOW：开启全天候市场新时代 "OKB Leads, BTC and ETH Still Struggling at the Threshold"
$BTC surged to 87000 but failed, retreating to below 86000 with repeated tug-of-war. The first short-term support is at 85000: if held, there is still potential to revisit previous highs; if lost, 83500–84000 will become the next test zone.
$ETH swings with the broader market, currently stable above 2700, but the upward momentum is weak. 2700 is the current bull-bear line: holding above it could target 2750, and only a continued breakout would open more space; if lost, 2650 should be watched closely.
$OKB is the strongest among the three, rising over 5% in a single day. Yesterday it broke through 128 with volume, and today it briefly touched 128.44, showing a clear acceleration in pace. 128 has now turned from resistance into support: holding above it could test 130 and higher; if it quickly falls below 125, beware of a pullback after the rally.
Overall, BTC and ETH are still in a high-level tug-of-war, while OKB outperforms the market. Going forward, watch two points: whether BTC can reclaim 87000, and whether OKB can hold after the breakout. On the macro front, the Fed will release the September meeting minutes this week; the Strait of Hormuz remains closed, and OPEC+ maintains November production unchanged. #OKXNOW：开启全天候市场新时代 The Fed minutes haven't been released yet.
The crypto community is collectively playing dead first.
It's not calm.
It's fear of getting hit as soon as someone speaks.
$BTC retreated to 81850 in the night session.
Pulled back to 82500.
Looks stable.
But actually weak.
Selling pressure above 83200 is like a wall.
Try once, bounce back.
Try twice, bounce back.
Like trying to get back with an ex.
No chance.
#OKXNOW:24x7MarketEra #FedSeptemberMinutes #BTCWhalePressureEases $BTC took only four months last year to rise from 48,000 to near the 110,000 peak, with a gain of over 100%, then it corrected down to 75,000 before shooting up to the highest point of 120,000.
Now, from the low of 57,000 to around 85,000, it has taken nearly four months, with a gain not even reaching 50%. Without a long period of sideways consolidation plus shakeout, in today's market environment, can this round starting at 57,000 really push up to 120,000 to break new highs?
In a bull market, the average is only one day of upward movement per week—is that right? The shakeout range is also not large. Will there really be philanthropists who never push the price down, taking as much as possible?
I am still bullish on Bitcoin, but not opening positions at this level. Personally, if this month it cannot effectively break through 87,000 and stand above 90,000, then I will start looking below 50,000. At the current level, dropping to 50,000 is more profitable and easier than rising to 120,000.
Same price, same time, different positions. ETF inflows have reached this level and now only support the price without pushing it up. The longer the high-level sideways consolidation with little shakeout, the faster the upward breakout when it happens. Of course, the higher the leverage piled up downward, the faster the breakdown.
Forget "be greedy when others are fearful"—above 87,000 there is huge selling pressure, below 84,000 there are massive unrealized profit positions. The long positions at 90,000 from last year are still waiting for institutions to come and take over.