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楼下便利店
楼下便利店
$BTC 在84,417.2附近止跌，近1小时清算里空单33笔、多单仅2笔。这是空头被挤出来的反抽，不是新买盘推动的。更关键的是持仓结构：散户多空比从0.9037升到1.1538，大户持仓比却从2.1040降到1.9126。价格跌1.94%的过程里，散户在接多，大户在减多。宏观事件扎堆是方向催化，但资金费率只有0.0013%，DVOL 36.2，杠杆和期权都没为事件预留多少溢价，数据一旦偏鹰，波动容易被放大。我的判断偏空：数据落地后，$BTC 更可能回测83,450.1一线。翻多条件：站回87,247.3之上，且大户持仓比重新回到2.1040以上，说明大户重新加多，偏空判断作废。
Gallery 1
$BTC-3.81%
07:46 · 24/09/26·7.19K views·Posted on OKX Orbit
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