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My updated trading rules: ₿ BTC & ETH: My primary focus for long and short setups. 🟣 SOL & ZEC: Still on my watchlist, but only with proper risk management. ⚠️ ONE and other extreme-funding tokens: Staying away when funding becomes unreasonable. A friend of mine lost money three separate times just from funding fees. That’s when I realized something important: Some traders aren't just trading price movements — they're hunting funding payments. 📊 My latest market watch: • BTC: $85.5K–$87K range🚨 比特币在冲击 $87,000 上方后快速回落，盘中一度从约 $87,280 下探至 $83,600附近，短线波动明显放大。最新市场数据显示，BTC跌破 $84,000 后，杠杆多单清算迅速增加，数小时内多头爆仓规模达到数亿美元。 这轮下跌更像是高杠杆仓位被连续触发止损与强平后形成的“连环去杠杆”。数据显示，单小时加密市场清算额一度达到约 $230M，其中绝大多数来自多头仓位。 但市场也存在另一面：此前美国现货 BTC ETF 单日净流入接近 $999M，创下2025年10月以来的强劲水平，说明机构资金需求仍值得关注。 📉 现在的关键不只是“跌了多少”，而是 $83K–$84K 区域能否守住。 如果支撑有效，清算潮可能逐渐降温；如果继续失守，市场可能迎来新一轮去杠杆。 #BTC #Bitcoin #Crypto #BTC87K #CryptoMarket #LiquidationBelow is a revised version that reads more like a crypto news/market update in Chinese, with added perspectives on funding rates and risk management:
Writing
📌 Revisited the trading rules: what really needs control is not just direction, but also funding rates.
My current approach is simple:
🔸 BTC / ETH: primary long-short trading targets
🔸 SOL / ZEC: worth monitoring, but position size and leverage must be more cautious
🔸 Small coins with high funding rates: avoid as much as possible, especially markets like ONE with abnormal funding rates
The reason is practical.
Some price moves look like chasing price, but in reality, they are being drained continuously by funding rates. A friend once suffered losses three times in a row due to funding rates; price direction wasn’t even the biggest issue.
There is also a type of trader in the market who specifically arbitrages funding rates.
When you enter their strongest battlefield, the competition isn’t necessarily about who judges better, but who can bear higher holding costs.
So trading is not just about:
Price → Trend → Breakout
But also about:
Funding Rate → Open Interest → Liquidity → Liquidation Risk
🚨 Don’t turn yourself into a funding rate “ATM” chasing a market move.
Controlling leverage, managing position size, and avoiding extreme funding rates can sometimes be more important than predicting the next candlestick.
$BTC $ETH $SOL $ZEC
#CryptoTrading #BTC87KCryptoCap3T
If📰 【Bitcoin Breaks $80,000 Supported by Institutional Funds, Analysts Divided on Sustainability of Rally】
According to BlockBeats, on September 24, Bitcoin recently broke through $80,000 and even touched $87,300. Analysts believe this rally is supported by strong inflows from institutional funds and spot ETFs, but indicators such as trading volume, market breadth, and derivatives positions show differing views on whether the uptrend can continue. K33 stated that Bitcoin's recent pullback magnitude and duration are significantly smaller than the major bear markets in 2013, 2017, and 2021, suggesting the current cycle's low point may have been established. K33 also pointed out that Bitcoin still has room to catch up compared to gold and U.S. stocks. 21Shares believes that the U.S. SEC's introduction of "innovation exemptions" and the CFTC's advancement of related rules...
Institutions are slowly accumulating, while retail sentiment hasn't kept pace; the activity in the group chat is noticeably less lively than the previous cycle. This pattern doesn't look like a broad-based rally but more like big money quietly building positions, and short-term traders chasing highs risk being swept by fees back and forth. Anyone on the same path, are you adding to your positions now or waiting? 👇👇👇
$BTC $ETH $SOL 🔥 这轮行情正在悄悄改变市场结构。 $BTC 重新站上 $86K 附近，$ETH 维持在 $2.75K 左右，$SOL 也在 $118 附近震荡偏强。9月23日数据显示，BTC、ETH、SOL整体仍处于相对强势区域。 更值得关注的是衍生品市场： 💥 BTC此前一小时曾出现约 $262M 空头强平 📈 美股现货BTC ETF单日净流入接近 $999M ⚡ SOL近期上涨也伴随明显的空头清算压力。 现在的问题已经不只是“还能涨多少”，而是： 这究竟是一轮杠杆清算带来的短期逼空，还是资金重新定价后形成的新趋势？ 👀 接下来最值得观察的是回调后的承接力度。 如果价格回落但多头仍能守住关键区域，市场结构会更值得关注；反之，如果反弹快速衰竭，可能说明这轮上涨仍有较强的清算驱动成分。 📊 下一步重点：价格 + 成交量 + 未平仓量 + 清算数据，一起看比单看K线更有意义。 #BTC #ETH #SOL #CryptoTrading #Bitcoin #CryptoMarketJust took a glance at BTC, and I almost slammed my phone on the table.
At 87K, I was like:
"It's steady, waiting for a breakout."
At 84K, I was like:
"It's okay, just a normal pullback."
Then I checked my account again...
Yeah, it's healthier to check the account less often. 😂
The most interesting thing now isn't the price going up or down,
but that the group chat has split into two camps:
One camp:
"Bottom fishing! The opportunity is here!"
The other camp:
"Don't rush, it still has to drop."
And the toughest camp:
"I have no position, do whatever you want."
Right now, I'm watching BTC at 84K, 85K, and 87K.
If it comes back, I'll keep watching,
if not, I'll keep waiting.
The biggest progress in trading crypto isn't being able to predict,
it's finally learning—if you're wrong, run. 😂As soon as BTC drops, the whole network suddenly wakes up.
87K:
"The bull market has just begun."
86K:
"It's only a matter of time before a breakout."
85K:
"A normal pullback."
84K:
"I never said it would definitely rise."
😂
The funniest thing is,
when the candlestick drops 3%,
people's memory drops 3% too.
Yesterday we were still discussing when it would hit 100K,
today we've already started researching:
"Is 84K the historical bottom?"
Don't rush.
The thing BTC does best is—
just when you think it's done falling, it falls a bit more;
just when you think it's about to take off, it moves sideways on you.
So now I just watch the key levels,
not falling in love with the candlesticks.
Only get bullish if it holds steady; if it breaks down, recalculate.
After all,
the secret to surviving long in crypto isn't about predicting correctly,
but about not losing yourself to your predictions. 😂BTC only made a slight adjustment today. Is it a bull trap or a bear trap?
The market hasn't been that complicated these past two days. On the 21st, BTC quickly surged from around 81,000, reaching the 87,300–87,400 range, but it failed to break through this resistance level effectively for two consecutive days. Today, it mainly fluctuated between 85,600 and 87,300, closing slightly lower than yesterday, with intraday volatility only about 0.3%–0.5%.
So rushing to label a small bearish candle as a “bull trap” or “bear trap” might be premature.
Looking at the structure over the past 6 days: on the 18th, BTC rose from about 76,000 to 81,000; on the 21st, it again climbed from around 81,000 to about 86,600, even surpassing 87,300. Although on the 22nd and 23rd it didn’t hold above the previous highs, it also didn’t break below the short-term low near 85,100.
Looking at the weekly chart, the overall upward structure hasn’t been broken yet. The September open was around 78,000, and it’s still near 86,000, with a monthly gain of about 10%.
So currently, it looks more like a high-level rotation and consolidation after a rapid rise, rather than a confirmed top.
The focus now is on two key levels:
Whether volume can push through 87,300–87,400 on the upside;
Whether the support near 85,100 can hold on the downside.
Until confirmed, there’s no rush to label the market. 📊
$BTC $ETH #BTC #Crypto #OKX The most magical thing about the crypto world:
When prices rise, everyone is Warren Buffett.
When prices fall, everyone is a value investor.
When prices move sideways,
"The main force is shaking out weak hands."
When prices crash,
"This is the last drop."
When prices rebound,
"I knew it would go up."
😂
BTC went from 87K to 84K,
I don’t know how much was lost in accounts,
but suddenly there are a lot more analysts in my friend circle.
I’ve learned my lesson now:
Don’t guess the next candlestick of BTC,
just watch where it goes next.
If 84K holds, watch the strength of the rebound;
If 85K is reclaimed, see if volume can continue to expand;
Only if 87K breaks again, then talk about higher levels.
After all, in the crypto world,
being wrong in prediction isn’t scary, being stubborn is the real loss. 😂#BTC surged to $87000, total crypto market cap returns to 3 trillion #Did the 3-hour US-Iran talks send positive signals?
$BTC surged to $87000, total crypto market cap returns to 3 trillion
BTC has been consolidating around 86,000 for most of the day.
The bullish candle from the day before yesterday was sharp, but there was no obvious profit-taking on the chart. The price hangs high, yet selling pressure is surprisingly light, as if no one is willing to give up their chips at this level. Current prices: BTC 86434, ETH 2773, SOL 119.
The signals from capital flows are more worth watching than the price. $BTC spot ETF saw a net inflow of $433 million yesterday, with ETH following at $144 million. $SOL's moves are even more eye-catching—this week, ETFs have accumulated inflows of $60.7 million, with $47.6 million just yesterday. The pace is clearly accelerating in the latter part. Meanwhile, yesterday's surge liquidated about $470 million in short positions. Money is coming in, shorts are retreating, yet the price remains suppressed—this combination can't last sideways for long.
How to watch tonight:
$BTC anchored at 87000. If it holds around 86000, consider light long positions; if 86000 breaks, exit without hesitation. After breaking above 87000, focus on how the 86000–87000 range evolves.
$ETH trend is relatively stable. The 2700–2800 range is where I'm willing to place staggered orders; if it breaks below 2600, cut losses and admit the mistake. After holding 2700, watch 2800, then 2900 above that. 表面都在修复，最脆弱的那一环其实藏在SOL身上。 如果领头羊换成它，这轮反弹还站得住吗？ 这几天看盘有种很微妙的感觉，BTC在85K附近横着，ETH守在2.9K，SOL贴着130磨。三个都在说"我在修复"，但修复的质地完全不一样。BTC是那种慢慢把地板垫高的稳，ETH是温吞跟涨、缺一口气，SOL则是弹性最大、也最容易先变脸的那个。 所以真正该盯的不是涨没涨，而是强弱次序。 - BTC撑住，是风险偏好没崩的底线信号。 - ETH跟得上，说明主流资金还愿意留在场内。 - SOL如果先冲，才是山寨情绪真正被点燃的那一下。 这三者缺一块，画面就不完整。现在更像是BTC在托底、ETH在过渡、SOL在等发令枪。市场交易的其实不是"反弹"两个字，而是对下一次风险偏好抬升的提前下注。85K、2.9K、130这三个位置，本质是在给情绪划区间：守得住，故事继续；守不住，热闹就会迅速退潮。 偏多的路径很清楚：BTC不破支撑，ETH稳住节奏，SOL带头放量，山寨季的想象就会被重新打开，资金愿意从防守切向进攻。反过来，如果SOL冲不上去、ETH又一直软，表面平静就会变成承接不足，BTC再稳也容易变成孤岛，最后补$ONE Youkai Coin has finally crashed!
A zombie chain has been hopping around for so long, luckily it waterfall-ed today. I don't know how many brothers have been deceived!
The attitude remains the same as a few days ago: don't touch it! Touching it means becoming a bag holder, for the following reasons:
1. The mainnet is shut down, so the fundamentals are gone.
Moreover, this chain was hacked by North Korean hackers for 100 million in 2022, and in August this year, 23 million was sold due to a contract vulnerability. There is no sign of it coming back to life.
2. There are no whales taking over on-chain: no accumulation, only fleeing. The turnover rate in the last 24 hours reached 350%, purely speculative short-term funds.
The 4-hour RSI broke through 90, seriously overbought, with volume increasing on the rise and decreasing on the fall, which is typical of a pump and dump.
3. The price around 0.0015 has been repeatedly smashed, indicating dense high-level trapped positions, meaning early holders are distributing, not smart money entering.
I suggest brothers keep watching the show and don't reach out! The project is about to shut down, and with no final block for migration, no ERC-20 contract, no 1:1 exchange commitment, rushing in now is just providing exit liquidity for those distributing.
To put it bluntly, this shutdown is not much different from a scam run.🧠 Rethinking Funding Rates: Don't Let Fees Eat Your Profits
The recent market rally reminded me again:
Trading is not just about predicting direction; controlling trading costs and leverage risk is even more important.
My current approach is simpler:
🔹 BTC / ETH: Primary long-short trading targets
🔹 SOL / ZEC: Worth monitoring but strictly control position size
🔹 Small coins with high funding rates: Avoid as much as possible, especially in markets with low liquidity and crowded leverage
BTC recently broke above $87,000, hitting an approximately 8-month high on September 21; meanwhile, the US spot Bitcoin ETF saw nearly $1 billion in net inflows on September 21 alone, with market leverage and derivatives activity clearly heating up.
What really needs caution is:
Price may be just the surface; funding rates and position structures are the hidden costs.
Some profit from price volatility,
Some focus on funding rates,
And in a high-leverage environment, the latter can cause you to continuously pay costs even if your directional call is correct.
So now I value this saying more:
If you’re unfamiliar with the funding rate, don’t touch it; if you don’t understand the leverage structure, don’t bet on it.
#CryptoTrading #BTC87K #CryptoCap3T #BTC #ETH #SOL #ZEC📌 A reminder to myself:
Whether going long or short, try to focus on $BTC and $ETH.
Maybe also pay attention to $SOL and $ZEC.
⚠️ Avoid tokens with excessively high funding rates, such as $ONE.
A friend lost 3 times just because of the funding rate when shorting, even before the price changed significantly, already paying a huge cost.
There are some traders in the market who make a living solely from earning funding rates.
I don’t understand their trading logic and have no interest in studying this strategy.
💡 Choose markets with more liquidity and more transparent funding rates.
Don’t blindly chase high returns; manage risk first.
#BTC #ETH #SOL #ZEC #TradingTips #CryptoTrading #OKX #BTC87KCryptoCap3T#BTC surges to $87000, total crypto market cap returns to 3 trillion
$BTC $ETH
Wait for a pullback to buy again.
Many people watch BTC keep rising and want to enter when it drops.
When the market pulls back slightly, they wonder: will it keep falling? Let's wait a bit more.
When the market rallies again and breaks the previous high, their mindset completely collapses.
Finally, unable to bear the pain of missing out, they chase at the top, only to hit this pullback.
This is the cycle for the vast majority:
Afraid to buy on the rise, afraid to catch the bottom on the dip, unable to resist chasing new highs, and every chase meets a pullback.
The market won't wait for anyone.
True opportunities won't stop just because you're not ready.
It's not about waiting for the price to fall to your ideal level, but about only taking trades that fit your own rules.
Missing out means less profit; chasing at the top and being wrong means real losses.
Sharing market thoughts, not investment advice.A day in the crypto world revolves around one core thing: talking tough.
BTC 87K:
"Breakthrough is imminent, the pattern is opening up."
BTC 84K:
"Healthy correction, washing out the weak hands."
BTC 82K:
"I told you it would drop, I saw it coming early."
BTC 80K:
"Brothers, do you still have bullets?"
The most ridiculous part is—
everyone thinks their prediction was right,
just their position size didn’t keep up. 😂
So now I don’t guess the top or the bottom.
I just watch three numbers:
Can 84K hold?
Can 85K be reclaimed?
Will 87K dare to surge again?
The most stable thing in crypto isn’t BTC, it’s people’s mouths. 😂A trading discipline I relearned:
Not every rising token is worth leveraging.
Currently, my approach leans towards concentrating contract trading on $BTC and $ETH, while $SOL and $ZEC are only considered when liquidity and funding rates are reasonable.
What really needs caution are those small coins with abnormal funding rates and crowded leverage. Because even if you correctly predict the price direction, your profits can be gradually eroded by continuous Funding Fees.
As of September 23, BTC remains around $86K, ETH about $2.75K, and the market overall maintains a strong risk appetite; meanwhile, some data shows ETH's long funding rate is significantly higher than BTC's, indicating leverage demand is concentrating.
So now, what's more important is not "where the price rises fastest," but:
Whether price, liquidity, and funding rate are all healthy simultaneously.
Some traders profit not from the trend, but from waiting for others to pay Funding.
My rule is simple:
Avoid crowded leverage positions, protect principal first, then look for opportunities.
#CryptoTrading #BTC #ETH #SOL #ZEC #BTC87KCryptoCap3T
If needed, I can as well. SNDK officially became part of the S&P 100 index adjustment on September 21.
On the day the rule took effect, passive funds tracking the index mechanically bought according to weight, pushing the stock price rapidly from around 1700 to the 1908 level.
But it must be clear that this surge was entirely driven by the index rebalancing, not by active funds entering based on positive fundamentals.
Passive funds only complete the allocation action and have no long-term holding logic; after building positions, buying will quickly diminish.
The key question is: after the passive buying tide recedes, who will take over the high-level chips? If no new active funds follow up, the price is very likely to face downward pressure.
This type of event-driven rally often comes fast and goes fast; chasing highs requires extra caution, and one must not mistake index inclusion as a signal of fundamental reversal.
$ETH $BTC #BTC冲高$87000，加密总市值重返3万亿 #Strategy再度增持，财库同步加仓 #财报观察员：好市多Q4财报即将公布 $ONE finally dumped 😂 It was absurd watching it pump alone while majors were pulling back. Now it just dropped 17% intraday in one candle. Finally acting like a normal altcoin. Market check: $BTC: Still around $86k. Tried $87k, rejected, now digesting. Resistance is real. $ETH: 2800 → 2740. Same story, high-level consolidation. $ZEC: Still +5%. Money still chasing strength. $ONE gave the lesson today: What goes vertical without pause, comes down violent. I was wondering if it could hold foreverBitcoin is acting up again.
At 87K:
"This time it’s really going to break through."
At 84K:
"A normal pullback, no big deal."
If it drops a bit more:
"I’m a long-term believer anyway."
😂
Now don’t rush to guess the bottom, first watch these three levels:
84K: Can it hold?
85K: Can it reclaim this level?
87K: Can it break out with volume?
What’s really interesting is that when BTC pulls back, which holds up better, ETH or XRP, is often more useful than just staring at the candlesticks shouting "bull market is here."
The market won’t lie to you, emotions will.Wow, privacy coins have collectively surged and then collectively taken a hit these past couple of days.
$ZEC shot up from 1425 to 1680, $ZEN climbed from 7 to 8.39, rising and falling in sync. This wave clearly shows the sector's funds moving in and out together. The needle in the early morning was brutal, $ZEC directly smashed through 1550, and $ZEN even more ridiculously dropped below 7.2, starting with a -6% decline.
Honestly, I didn’t catch this wave of privacy coins. Watching $ZEC nearly double in three days by almost 20% made me itchy to jump in, but I didn’t dare chase the high. Looking back now, I actually dodged a bullet, though it still feels bittersweet because seeing it rise was really tempting.
For those still holding some $ZEN, they’re probably struggling with whether to cut losses. Dropping from 8.3, this hit is definitely heavy. From my observation these past two days, privacy coin sector moves fast—quick in and quick out, funds rush in and then retreat together. If you react even half a beat late, you’re basically stuck holding the bag.
Who knows, these midnight spikes are the worst. You wake up and your position looks completely different. Both coins are still hovering near their moving averages now. Whether this is just a shakeout or a real pullback, I can’t say for sure. Anyway, I’m not planning to chase these days. I’ll wait to see if they can stabilize first.The MEME market is still attracting speculative capital, but strong momentum doesn't guarantee a one-way rally. After the aggressive run-up in $TRUMP and $PONKE, profit-taking has started to expose just how vulnerable heavily leveraged positions can be. Whales who chased the rally are now facing a difficult combination of falling prices, unrealized losses, and liquidation risk. 📉 Whale Exposure Breakdown 🔴 $TRUMP Perpetual | 10x Long — Partially Closed • Peak position: 1.5M tokens • Average en$BTC THE $87K RESISTANCE IS HOLDING
Bitcoin faced strong rejection around the $87K zone
That reaction isn't surprising - major yearly resistance rarely gets flipped on first attempt
For bullish continuation and a potential confirmation that the bottom is in, $BTC needs to hold above $83K or successfully reclaim and retest the $82K level
If those levels fail, Bitcoin could rotate back into the broader $60K-$80K range.$ETH
For now, my view remains unchanged: the bottom is not confirmed yet.The biggest danger for Bitcoin right now is not a drop, but a false rebound.
After surging to 87K and then falling back to 84K, if suddenly a strong bullish candle appears, it’s easy for the market to chase longs again.
But in live trading, I will wait for confirmation.
Step one: 84K no longer makes new lows
If multiple tests can hold and close back above, it means selling pressure is starting to weaken.
Step two: 85K stabilizes again
And if the price retests 85K without breaking it, that’s when the short-term structure truly improves.
Step three: 86K with volume
If the surge up doesn’t come with volume, treat it as just a rebound for now.
Finally, watch 87K.
Breaking above 87K again isn’t hard; the challenge is whether it can hold above after the breakout.
ETH and XRP also give me an important observation:
If BTC rebounds and these two coins simultaneously show volume increase, it indicates market risk appetite is recovering.
If only BTC rallies and other major coins don’t respond, the quality of the rebound is questionable.
So tonight, I won’t chase the first bullish candle.
What I want to see is whether after the second retest, the price can still be bought back.Don't be the last bag holder in the storage chip frenzy
I'll be straightforward: rushing into storage chips now is most likely to be taking the bag.
Today $SNDK went crazy again, surging over 100 points at the open, reaching a high of 1909, and still closing up 7 points. $MU and $SKHYNIX followed closely behind, and the entire storage sector seemed supercharged. Social media and chat groups started flooding again with "super cycle is here," "AI storage demand explosion," "if you don't get on board now, it's too late."
But think calmly: SanDisk has doubled in three months, Micron nearly doubled as well. How long can such a slope last historically? Profit-taking piles up like a mountain, and any slight disturbance could trigger a stampede. Don't forget in June, Micron dropped 13% in one day, Hynix 12%. Have those who chased the highs broken even now?
AI storage demand is real, but the stock prices have long overdrawn expectations for the next few years. At this point, the risk-reward ratio is terrible: maybe 10% upside, but possibly a 30% abyss downside. Chasing now is just carrying the coffin for those who bought at lower prices earlier.
My short position is stuck, but I still have to say: don't mistake emotion for logic, don't take gains as justification. The market never lacks opportunities, it lacks patience. Of course, if you firmly believe it can still rise, then chase it—after all, it's not my money at risk.
#BTC冲高$87000，加密总市值重返3万亿 #闪迪收涨逾8%，长期协议受关注 Bitcoin dropped from 87K to 84K, but the most exciting part isn't the decline itself, it's who will make the first move next.
The market has now entered a real trading battle phase.
I'm not focusing on "up or down," but on these actions:
84K: Is there sustained support?
Pulling back immediately after breaking below is completely different from a heavy volume breakdown.
85K: Can it hold back above?
If it recovers and the retest doesn't break, short-term sentiment will clearly improve.
86K: Is there breakthrough momentum?
If it surges without volume, don't chase yet; only a volume-backed breakout is worth further observation.
87K: Previous high resistance
When it approaches here again, pay close attention to whether selling pressure noticeably increases.
Now let's look at ETH and XRP together:
BTC stops falling, ETH/XRP lead with volume increase — funds may be flowing back into major coins.
BTC rebounds, ETH/XRP remain weak — indicating the market is still cautious.
So I’m not guessing the bottom now.
I’m just waiting for the most direct signal:
Someone supports 84K, and 85K holds.
Only when these two conditions appear simultaneously does the market become truly interesting. Just dropped from 87K, now BTC is back at the position most prone to a trend reversal.
Many people's first reaction seeing 84K is "bottom fishing or running away."
But what really matters in live trading is whether the rebound can reclaim key levels one by one.
Stopping the decline near 84K → First signal
Regaining 85K → Short-term recovery
Volume breakout at 86K → Bulls start to take control
Retesting 87K → The previous high truly faces the test
If the rebound to 85K happens on low volume, it means funds are still cautious.
If after reclaiming 85K the price holds on the pullback and then breaks out with volume to 86K, the market will be noticeably stronger.
Also watch ETH and XRP together:
BTC rebound + ETH/XRP volume increase = Risk appetite recovery
BTC rebound + ETH/XRP remain weak = Funds still cautious
So tonight, I’m not guessing the bottom nor calling the top.
The next volume surge in BTC is the signal worth watching the most. After Bitcoin dropped from 87K this round, I’m now actually waiting for a signal.
Not a bottom-fishing signal, but the strength of the rebound.
Looking at the live market:
Stabilize near 84K → First checkpoint
Regain 85K → Second checkpoint
Break through 86K with volume increase → Third checkpoint
Retest 87K → The real stress test
If every 1K rise is accompanied by a clear volume increase, it means buying is coming back.
But if the rebound shrinks in volume at 85K and gets crushed at 86K, it means there are still trapped and profit-taking positions above.
ETH and XRP are also crucial:
BTC rebounds, but ETH/XRP lag behind = cautious capital.
BTC rebounds, ETH/XRP rise in volume simultaneously = risk appetite is recovering.
So this time I won’t guess the extent of the rise in advance.
First, see if BTC can reclaim 85K.
If it can’t, just keep waiting.
If it does, then watch the next move.This round ended with a tenfold increase, going from 100u to 1000u
This is the third time a tenfold increase has happened
The first tenfold was last June at night, shorting mask and hitting 20x, gaining 50 points from the lowest 1700 to 2.2
The second time was during winter break, going from 300 to 3000
Looking back at the first two times, the first was a frenzy from a gambler
The second was a semi-gambling success
And this time, completely abandoning any illusions, 3-5x for altcoins
At most 10x for mainstream and SanDisk
Although mistakes happen occasionally, all the major pullbacks in this round’s two or three waves came from SanDisk.
Discipline is indeed the way an excellent trader stands out in profit-making compared to others, but following discipline usually goes against human nature. So as humans, we must accept our nature, only seeking more gains than losses rather than no losses at all, and therefore we must also accept our drawdowns
Still one tenfold away from breaking even, next time starting from 5000, let's see if the next tenfold can be achieved
I believe the most important thing for a trader is never taking profit or stop loss, but resting; the market is always there, and being empty-handed after big gains or big losses can free one from the devil of desire.
I hope we are always on the road 9/24 Market Notes (BTC/ETH)
The 87385 area has become a strong resistance above. BTC surged but failed to hold, then was pushed back by selling pressure, with short-term initiative returning to the bears. High-level profit-taking is gradually retreating, and each rebound is weaker than the last, with MACD weakening in sync. After the rate cut was implemented, the market temporarily lacks a new driving story. The bearish framework is already established in the pattern, with short- and mid-term preference for selling on rebounds; as long as the recovery lacks strength, attempts to sell can be made. $BTC $ETH $ZEC
BTC: Short sell in the 84800-85500 range, target 83500-83000, if broken below then look at 80000.
ETH: Short sell in the 2695-2725 range, target 2640-2620, if broken below then look at 2570. BTC's current trend easily shakes people off the ride back and forth.
87K surged → 84K fell back → now starting to oscillate.
At times like this, I won't change my judgment based on a single candlestick.
In live trading, I continue to watch three signals:
First: Whether 84K is truly broken.
A false break followed by a quick recovery is completely different from a volume-driven break below.
Second: Whether 85K can hold steady.
If it recovers above 85K and the pullback doesn't break it, the short-term structure will clearly improve.
Third: Whether the rebound has volume.
A rebound without volume can only be considered a repair; a volume breakout is worth watching further.
Also observe ETH and XRP:
If BTC is stagnant and ETH/XRP start to increase volume, funds may be shifting direction.
If BTC falls but ETH/XRP show clear resistance, the market is not in full panic.
If all three show volume in a sharp drop, risk appetite is clearly cooling off.
So the most important thing now is not to guess the next candlestick.
But to wait for the market to tell you:
Is 84K truly support, or just a temporary stopping point. What’s most worth watching in live trading right now isn’t whether BTC will rise, but whether the 84K level can hold.
It just quickly dropped from 87K, and the market has entered a critical position for battle.
I’m currently focusing on four actions:
Around 84K
Repeated probes downward but quickly recovered = there is support.
Around 85K
Volume surge and reclaiming the level = short-term repair begins.
Around 86K
After breaking through, still holding = the rebound isn’t just a simple pullback.
Around 87K
If volume and price cooperate during retest, then a breakthrough of the previous high is worth watching.
Conversely, if 84K breaks down with volume and the rebound is consistently suppressed below 85K, then short-term focus remains on 82K-83K.
Also keep an eye on ETH and XRP:
BTC stops falling, ETH/XRP lead strength = risk appetite is recovering.
BTC rebounds, ETH/XRP remain weak = funds haven’t truly returned yet.
So I’m not guessing the bottom now.
Waiting for 84K to give the answer.
In live trading, the most valuable thing isn’t "accurate prediction," but knowing what you’re watching when key levels arrive.🧠 A reminder to myself:
Whether going long or short, prioritize focusing on deeper liquidity in $BTC and $ETH.
If you want to broaden your scope, you can also pay attention to $SOL and $ZEC, but don’t chase volatile tokens with high funding rates that you don’t understand.
⚠️ Sometimes funding rates can "slowly eat away" your position more than price volatility.
There are indeed traders and strategies in the market specifically targeting Funding. I’m not familiar with this game, nor do I need to force myself to participate.
Currently, the funding situation is still worth watching: 📊 On September 22, US spot BTC ETFs saw inflows of about $714.8M
♦️ ETH ETFs about $162.3M
🟣 SOL ETFs about $28.9M
🟢 ZEC ETFs about $32.8M
Total daily inflows for major crypto ETFs are about $963.5M.
BTC recently briefly broke $87K, ETH oscillated around $2.75K, and the total market cap is approaching $3T again.
So my trading principles are simple:
💧 Liquidity first
📉 Funding controllable
📊 Price + volume + structural confirmation
🚫 No chasing high volatility
🚫 No taking on risks I don’t understand just to earn Funding
Opportunities will always come.
If you don’t understand the situation, don’t enter the market.
#BTC #ETH #SOL #ZEC #TradinThe stable weather of the past fourteen days was overturned overnight by a warm and moist airflow from corporate treasuries—Strategy replenished nine hundred and fifty bitcoins in one go after a two-week halt, raising the cumulative moisture content to 846,000 coins. This is not an isolated localized precipitation; radar echoes simultaneously showed three convective cells: Strive added one thousand three hundred and fifty-five coins, bringing total inventory to 26,355 coins; BitMine absorbed 27,562 Ethereum, with total holdings approaching 5,980,000 coins, of which about 5,070,000 have been staked and locked.
According to sounding data, staking is like lifting near-surface moisture to condense and lock it into high-altitude clouds; it remains on the ledger but no longer participates in surface circulation exchanges. What truly determines the perceived conditions is the relative humidity in the tradable supply layer. Continuous buying by corporate treasuries, combined with low-altitude jet streams of indexed passive funds, is slowly draining the thin layer of floating chips near the surface. A single station’s rainfall cannot determine the weather process, but if moisture flux is positive for three consecutive time periods, the entire humidity profile will be rewritten.
The key is whether the buying flux maintains after the price rise. This is like whether convection in the warm zone can continue to trigger—higher temperatures make lifting conditions easier, but once triggered, the descending airflow from profit-taking will quickly collapse the cell. The current numbers only raise the starting dew point of this process; they are not a definitive signal in any direction.
As for the US stock token $xDELL, it is in the same circulation as this rain band 核心事实 截至 2026年9月23日，美国现货比特币ETF在最近三个交易日累计净流入约 15.9亿美元，其中单日最高接近 9.99亿美元，创近11个月最大单日流入纪录。同期BTC维持在 8.6万美元附近，过去一周涨幅接近14%。 以太坊ETF也出现明显回流，9月21日单日净流入约 2.7亿美元，但ETH仍在 2750—2800美元附近面对阻力。 为什么今天值得关注 今天最值得写的，不是“BTC上涨”，而是： ETF资金是否已经从短线回补，升级为持续性的机构配置？ 前几天市场还可以解释为BTC单独强势、资金迁徙或空头回补；但现在连续三日出现大额ETF流入，说明市场开始出现更明确的外部承接。 不过仍要区分两件事： * ETF连续流入 = New Money证据增强 * 价格上涨速度过快 = 仍可能夹杂空头回补和杠杆放大 因此，当前更接近“资金重新回到BTC”，还不能直接等同于全市场牛市确认。 GFMS判断 产业：🟢 BTC仍是机构最容易配置、流动性最深的加密资产。ETH ETF也恢复流入，说明机构配置范围开始扩大，但ETH价格尚未有效突破阻力区。 资本：🟢 这是近期最强的New MonTrading rule I re-learned:
Long / Short only BTC & ETH.
SOL, ZEC is okay.
Never touch tokens like ONE with insane funding.
My friend lost 3 times on funding fees alone.
Some people hunt funding, not price.
Avoid their playground.
#CryptoTrading#BTC87KCryptoCap3T $BTC $ETH $ZEC 🔥 BTC breaks through 87K, the key is not how much it has risen, but who is buying!
$BTC surged to $87.3K this Monday, with the US spot BTC ETF seeing a single-day net inflow of about $998.95M, hitting an 11-month high; meanwhile, a large number of shorts were liquidated, with short liquidations accounting for nearly 80% during some periods.
The structure of this rally is worth noting:
🏦 Spot ETF funds returning → real buying power strengthens again
⚡ Concentrated short covering → passive buying further pushes up the price
🌐 Crypto total market cap returns to about $3T → market risk appetite clearly warms up
But now we can’t just look at the breakout.
On September 25, about $16B in BTC options will expire, with call option funds mainly concentrated near $90K and $100K, short-term volatility may further increase.
👀 What to really watch next:
Whether $BTC can hold above $85K–$86K
Whether ETF funds can continue to maintain positive inflows
After the short squeeze ends, whether spot buying can continue to take over
If ETF funds keep flowing in, $90K will become a key focus area; if funds cool down significantly, beware of a pullback after the breakout.
Breaking through is just the first step; sustained capital flow determines how far the market can go.
#BTC87KCryptoCap3T #Bitcoin #BTC #Crypto #BitcoinETF #CryptoMarket 7U Challenge 10 Million U｜Day 33
Principal: 7U
Goal: 10 million U
Current: 3650U
Survival Cost: 1950U
Available Funds: 1700U+
The challenge has been going on for more than a month.
These past two days, I originally wanted the available funds to break through 10,000U, but not only did it not break through, there was a fairly obvious pullback, which was indeed a bit upsetting.
The main problem still lies with Meme coins.
After adding positions before, the holdings once exceeded 30U, and the unrealized profit once exceeded 1000U, but I did not take profits in time. After the market fell back, I got anxious and continued to add positions, and in the end, not only did I not keep the profits, but I also incurred losses.
This round was a lesson for myself.
Currently, the overall operation direction has not changed:
Content creation + Contracts + Meme coins.
The strategy still uses a barbell approach, doing mainstream top assets on one side, participating in high volatility opportunities on the other, while controlling position size and risk.
The 7U challenge continues.
Day 33, first survive, then talk about bigger goals.📈
#Crypto #OKX #Trading #Meme #BTC #ETHChecked the market late at night, ETH current price 2659, just got slammed down directly from the high of 2806, 24-hour low touched 2633. This market movement is really tough on the nerves.
It surged so fast recently, the whole screen was shouting bull market, now one big bearish candle just teaches a lesson. My personal view: the big trend isn’t actually broken (looking at the 90-day gain, still up 68%), this move feels more like the car is too heavy, the main players are violently washing out leverage. Short term probably still need to oscillate above 2600 to digest.
In terms of operation, spot traders don’t need to panic too much, don’t rush to cut losses at every dip; but for contract traders, definitely set stop losses, don’t stubbornly try to catch falling knives blindly. First keep an eye on whether the 2600 support level can hold.
Investing is a marathon, don’t ruin your health over a few candlesticks
$ETH $BTC $ZEC 🔷 $HBAR: enterprise DLT with a council
• Around $0.0955, session 09/22: +9.2%; target $0.11
• Hashgraph aBFT, OFAC-compliant network
• Council holds nodes and HBAR treasury
• Chainlink and FedEx on the council, new partners in June
• US spot ETF: Canary +$818K on September 10
🧠 Corporate council instead of anonymous crowd: compliance built into governance. ETF is slow money, but the market remembered the token
⚠️ Decentralization sacrificed for compliance; price lags behind L1 beta
❓ Will HBAR hold $0.11?👇In 2021, I liquidated my position three times. Today, seeing BTC, I smell that scent again. To get straight to the point, if you don't want to read, just swipe away: I won't chase this position, but I absolutely won't short it either. Those who short die faster than those who go long—this is a lesson I learned with real money. Let me tell you about those three times. The first time, I maxed out leverage, thinking this time was different. It was different, but in a downward way. I lost two years' salary overnight. At 7 a.m., I went downstairs to buy a pancake, eating it while crying, afraid my colleagues would see me. The second time, I learned my lesson and stopped using leverage. Then I bought five "safe" coins: four went to zero, one halved. Turns out, even without leverage, coins can go to zero—just slower, too slow for you to escape. The third time was the most ridiculous. I didn't lose money; I made a profit, but I didn't exit. I made 30% gains and held on, thinking 50%, then doubling, but ended up cutting losses at -20%. That loss hurt more than the previous two because it wasn't the market taking it away—it was me giving it back. So now I only believe in three things: 1. Position size determines intelligence. In the same market, a 10% position means you're an analyst; a 90% position means you're a gambler. The person hasn't changed, but the money has. 2. Every "this time is different" is both true and false. The technology is truly different, but human nature has never changed. 3. Every profit you make beyond your understanding, the market will come to collect rent on it. It's just a matter of time, and it never gives advance notice. Back to XXX. I don't predict prices; I only say what I can see: the hype is real, the newcomers are real, but newcomers' money is the hottest money—it comes fast and leaves even faster. Why crypto is pumping?
Hike was already priced in, so sell-off happened ahead of print.
Shorts got squeezed, oil cooled off, and altcoins led move — especially ZEC, HYPE, and DeFi.
This doesn't look like fresh liquidity entering market. Rates actually moved higher, while ETFs still seeing outflows.
$80K BTC remains key level.
For now, this looks more like relief rally than regime change.
#FedOctHikeOddsHit55% #CryptoTaxAndBTCReserve #SECCFTCOnchainRules $BTC $ZEC $HYPEThe early morning bill is always particularly glaring. BTC opened a long position at 86861, stubbornly held until 83664 before exiting, 100x full position, -379% return rate, a loss of over 70 U counted as paying a "tuition fee" to the market. Even more outrageous was ZEC, opening both long and short at 50x leverage, a few seconds of gambling still didn't yield any gains.
Considering the trend from the past few days, after the big surge, regulatory winds have shifted again, making chasing longs at high levels extremely low in cost-effectiveness. I originally planned to ride the wave, but underestimated the selling pressure and shakeout strength from the main force above 86000. With 100x leverage, a few hundred points of pullback is a fatal blow; even if the direction isn't largely wrong, the position can't withstand the volatility.
This lesson is profound: going long at high levels, especially with 100x full position, is like licking a blade. The market never lacks opportunities, but leverage amplifies greed and accelerates destruction. Under normalized regulation, funds become more cautious; at turning points, never go all-in.
Brothers, staying alive is more important than making money. When chasing longs with high leverage, stop-loss must be set in advance; don't let temporary fluctuations turn into permanent losses. Stay steady, wait for the pullback to stabilize before positioning, preserving capital means you won't run out of fuel. $BTC #The most interesting thing about Bitcoin right now: around 84K, neither bulls nor bears are willing to retreat first.
After the surge to 87K and subsequent pullback, the price hasn't been smashed straight through but has been tugged back and forth around 84K.
In this kind of market, what I focus on most isn't the indicators, but who is actively making moves.
If the buying side continuously pulls the price from 84K back up to 85K:
→ It indicates increasingly obvious support below
→ Next target is 86K
→ Then watch the previous high near 87K
But if every rebound near 85K is quickly pushed down:
→ The selling pressure above hasn't been digested yet
→ Once 84K breaks down
→ Pay close attention to 82K-83K
Also watch if ETH and XRP are strengthening in sync.
BTC holding steady and major altcoins starting to catch up is the market scenario I want to see more.
No need to guess the top or rush to catch the bottom now.
At this 84K level, bulls and bears will tell us the answer themselves. The trend is still bullish
Most likely, the market will enter a consolidation phase next
This position was taken from 2400.6 to around 2653
70 ETH have already gained a floating profit of 17711U
But I am not prepared to stubbornly hold a one-sided position
In the coming days, I will trade swings around support and resistance
This might be more comfortable than chasing highs and selling lows
—
$ETH daily chart still stands above MA10 and MA20
Only after breaking below MA5 has it entered a short-term cooling off
24-hour trading volume is about 19.1 billion USD
Resistance is mainly between 2780 and 2820 above
Support is first seen at 2600 and 2560 below
Holding 2560 still indicates bullish bias
Breaking through 2820 will open the chance to push towards 3000 to 3050
If 2560 is lost, a retest of 2500 is possible
—
$ZEC is currently oscillating near 1550 at a high level
Seven-day increase exceeds 25%
24-hour trading volume exceeds 2.2 billion USD
Capital heat remains strong
But there is previous high resistance around 1600 to 1660
A pullback to 1435 to 1500 can be observed for support
Only a volume breakout and stabilization above 1660 will allow a chance to target 1800 or even 2000
This position is suitable for waiting for a pullback swing
Not suitable for emotionally chasing highs directly
—
$BEAT rose about 4.16% in 24 hours
Trading volume about 7.37 million USD
Market cap only 30.19 million USD
Short-term support at 0.086
Resistance at 0.096 to 0.10
Although volume is rising
Circulating supply is only about one-third of total supply
Small market cap plus low circulation means volatility will be very high
Better suited for light positions, buying dips and selling highs
Do not chase after volume-driven rallies
—
My view remains that the overall direction is bullish
It may not surge directly next
Most likely it will consolidate and shake out before choosing a direction
The biggest fear with 100x leverage is not being wrong on the trend
But being stopped out prematurely by a sudden spike
#BTC冲高$87000，加密总市值重返3万亿
#美伊3小时会谈释放积极信号？ 这话乍一听像反常识。爆仓不是亏出来的吗，怎么还跟连赢扯上关系了？ 但你仔细想想自己每次大亏，是不是都发生在连赢几天之后？ 刚赢了几把，觉得自己手感无敌，行情都听自己指挥。结果就是：止损不想带了，仓位越加越大，下单频率也从一天两单变成一天十单。赚的时候小赚一点就跑，亏的时候死扛加仓想翻本。一笔大亏，前面白干。 这背后是人性在搞鬼。 连赢之后，人会得一种病，叫“损失厌恶”。 心理学上有个结论：亏钱的痛苦，是赚钱快乐的2.5倍。连赢的时候，你已经习惯了“赢”的感觉，一旦出现浮亏，你根本没办法接受“我可能会输”这个现实。 于是你开始拖止损、改交易计划、重仓加码。爆仓不是因为重仓或不止损，重仓和不止损的导火索，恰恰是连赢之后你没办法接受那一笔亏损。 反过来，连输的时候更危险。亏了就想更冒险，觉得“反正已经亏了，不如赌一把大的”。交易计划改了，止损撤了，违规操作来了。记住一句话：只要每单都带止损，理论上不可能爆仓，除非你连亏几十笔。但大部分人连亏四五笔就爆了，为什么？因为在第四笔或第五笔的时候，他改了规矩。 那为啥感觉市场总能“精准”打掉我的止损？ 不是有人专门盯着你那点钱。做市商是交Bitcoin dropped to 84K, and the most dangerous thing is not the decline itself, but that many people start rushing to buy the dip.
After surging to 87K, it quickly fell back, indicating there is indeed a significant profit-taking pressure above.
So now, in the live market, I only watch for two actions:
Unable to fall further + volume expands to reclaim 85K
This is the first type of recovery signal.
Weak rebound + breaking below 84K again
Then continue to watch 82K-83K.
Don’t assume it’s "cheap" just because it dropped 3K.
Don’t assume the "market is over" just because 87K wasn’t broken.
The real direction of BTC depends on whether the next volume surge happens near 84K or above 85K.
If ETH and XRP simultaneously start to surge with volume, market sentiment will be more interesting.
The best strategy now is not to guess.
Wait for the market to give a signal, then follow.A long-dormant whale suddenly woke up, transferring 17,283 bitcoins within 24 hours, worth about $1.88 billion. More troublingly, an address holding over 150,000 coins dumped 24,000 of them, with $1.3 billion converted into Ethereum. Although large holders have net increased their holdings by 43,000 coins over the past 60 days, seemingly providing support, in recent days many whale addresses have moved coins into exchanges, and short-term selling pressure has already outweighed accumulation.
Just finished delivering a rundown old apartment on the sixth floor, sweat dripping down my neck, with constant follow-up calls, yet my eyes remain fixed on ONE. The market shows no surprises: MACD death cross, RSI oscillating at low levels, and weak rebounds. The liquidation chart shows a large number of long stop-losses piled up around 0.0028, and the current price of 0.0028317 is precariously above it. In the past 24 hours, short liquidations have been significantly stronger, yet the price still can't rise; the buying pressure is clearly weak, and a break below will accelerate the decline.
Bears dominate, do not go long, follow the liquidations. Do not chase shorts at the current price; enter shorts on a rebound to the 0.00288 to 0.00292 range, with a stop loss at 0.00302 and take profit initially at 0.00275; if broken, target 0.00268 directly.
$ONE
#财报观察员：好市多Q4财报即将公布
@OKX星球 Just said during the day: don't chase the rally.
Then at night, a big bearish candlestick smashed down directly.
The market will always tell you why those who chase highs and sell lows are the easiest to get trapped.
When prices rise, they fear missing out and rush in;
when prices fall, they fear missing the bottom and hastily buy.
In the end, they often get hit from both sides.
Now with this big bearish candlestick down, I still won't rush to go long.
A decline doesn't mean an opportunity has already appeared; bottom fishing also requires confirmation.
Let the market move first, let emotions release first.
Wait for support, wait for stabilization, wait for signals.
Trading isn't about who acts fastest,
but about who can wait better.🟠 $BTC + 🔵 $ETH + 🟢 $ZEC | 1H
BTC controls the framework. ETH reveals participation, while ZEC measures higher-beta interest.
Price movement without supporting activity deserves caution.
BTC holds + ETH/ZEC expand → 🚀 Momentum
BTC holds + ETH/ZEC fade → ⚠️ Narrow Breadth
Let participation validate the move. 🔥