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You caught the exact paradox everyone is seeing right now. That data you saw is real — last week of September, Dogecoin had about *35,495 average daily active addresses, down ∼40% YoY, with total transactions down 39%*. Other trackers for September 26 show *29k-35k active addresses* in 24h. So yes, it's the lowest activity zone since 2017, price holding up on sentiment more than on-chain usage. ae61267b But your second observation is the key that most panic posts miss: *1. Fewer users ≠ weaker nGTC is currently hovering around 0.2099, with the short-term moving averages just crossing upwards, the MACD golden cross still intact, but volume has slowed down, and RSI is relatively high, indicating that chasing longs here directly is prone to being pulled back and stopped out. The liquidation map shows a large amount of long liquidations clustered around 0.2072, and the bears' momentum to push down has clearly weakened, so this level can be considered support.
Just completed a trade and returned to the electric bike, taking a quick look at the market before deciding. Plan to buy on a pullback between 0.2075 and 0.2085, with a stop loss set below 0.2040—don’t hold through losses. On the upside, first target is 0.2180; after breaking through, reduce position and hold to around 0.2320, where liquidation pressure near 0.24 exists, so taking some profits there is safer.
If volume breaks below 0.2068, this bullish structure will be broken; don’t hesitate to reverse position, targeting 0.1980. Keep position size light—don’t risk all your electric bike’s charging fees for tomorrow.
$GTC
#VanEck：比特币或继续扩大市场份额
@OKX星球 $LIT rose nearly 9% with increased positions, while $BTC and $ETH are still waiting for breakout confirmation.
According to the current market conditions, $BTC is around $86,288, $LIT about $3.843, and $ETH approximately $2,718. LIT is the strongest, BTC holds the rebound structure, and ETH is still capped at $2,725.
BTC stands above the 1-hour EMA20 at $85,988, with positions up 3.0%, price and positions rising together. After closing above $86,690, watch for $87,000; falling back to $85,750 would indicate weakness.
LIT increased 8.8%, positions up 7.8%, with a negative funding rate.
Shorts are still paying; if $3.95 is broken on a 1-hour close, a short squeeze may continue; chasing longs below resistance is not advisable.
ETH only rose 0.8%, positions decreased 1.8%, lacking new leverage support on the upside. Whales bought and staked 2,656 ETH at an average price of $2,703; Bitmine also increased holdings by 15,112 last week, but the $2,725-$2,740 range still requires a candlestick breakout.
OKX smart money is 53.8% net long on BTC but 55.2% net short on ETH.
BTC eyes $86,690, ETH eyes $2,740; whoever stabilizes first will lead the next move. Rushing onto the subway in the morning, one hand holding the handrail, the other scrolling on my phone, I saw a piece of data that instantly woke me up——
Dogecoin's average daily active addresses in 2026 are about 46,700, down 41% from last year, the lowest since 2017.
My first reaction was panic. Really panicked. 2017, huh, how much was Dogecoin worth back then?
But I looked again and realized something was off. The same report said Dogecoin's mining difficulty in 2026 is about seven times higher than at the start of 2022. Fewer users, but more people protecting the network.
Even more absurd, of the $DOGE transferred on-chain in 2026, 87.5% is actually "change," meaning the system automatically returns leftover funds to yourself during transfers. This thing is called UTXO, which I don't fully understand, but basically, many so-called "active" transactions are just machines shuffling funds in the background.
Fewer addresses actually using it doesn't mean no one believes in it. Maybe people are just lazy to move. Like me, bought it and left it alone, working when I should, walking the dog when I should.
The subway arrived at my stop, and I almost didn't get off. But when I put my phone away, I actually felt reassured. Seems like I'm not the only one holding on tight.$AVAX
Avalanche has a different advantage from many general-purpose blockchains: its architecture allows customized networks to be built for specific applications and institutions. That flexibility could become increasingly relevant as blockchain adoption moves beyond one-size-fits-all environments. Still, customization creates its own challenge. The ecosystem needs enough meaningful activity across these networks to justify the complexity and maintain long-term demand for AVAX.Yesterday, a large holder who newly opened a position in $ETH added another $3.36 million worth of tokens.
An hour ago, they withdrew 1,236 ETH from #OKX again. The amount of ETH accumulated since yesterday has increased to 2,656 ETH (about $7.18 million), with an average withdrawal price of $2703.3, currently floating a profit of $19,500.
Their operation has always been: withdraw tokens > stake on Lido, which doesn't seem like a short-term play.$ZEC from 1368 → 1305 → straight through. 😭
Held too long, watched the loss turn ugly, and finally cut at 1311. Even got hit with a 5U fee.
Lesson learned: when the setup breaks, don’t turn “hope” into a strategy.
Next time, I’m closing the chart before emotions take over. 🫠
#HormuzStillClosed #SolanaStocksTop4.4B #NvidiaRecordHigh $PONS pons @ponsdotfamily The latest buyback burn mechanism, here is a simple explanation of my understanding.
Currently, the pons buyback allocator holds $1.52M (about 563 ETH), but the actual burn efficiency is very low, 0.33 ETH/15 minutes, approximately 31.68 ETH/day burn rate. At this burn rate, it would take nearly 18 days to consume all 563 ETH in the buyback allocator.
According to Ozzy's latest statement, the pons buyback burn mechanism is: every 5 days claim the funds from the custody account and transfer them to the buyback allocator, using a 5-day cycle to consume all the transferred buyback funds within the cycle, repeating this process. Based on the 563 ETH buyback funds in the allocator, the burn efficiency should be 563/5 = 112.6 ETH/day.
So, where is the problem?
The problem lies in the genesis cycle start time being before the most recent claim. That is, the buyback fund budget for this cycle is the leftover portion before receiving the claim funds, and this leftover amount is not much (the genesis cycle time should be 10.04-10.09);
The second cycle (10.09-10.14) buyback fund budget is the $1M+ funds claimed after the genesis cycle and transferred to the buyback allocator; this creates a certain degree of misalignment between the buyback funds and the buyback cycle. Telling you, $BTC is now at 86084, just above the support at 86000, with resistance at 86963 above. I opened a long position near 86000, with 5000U as the opening amount, stop loss at 85700, target first at 86500, and if it breaks, then look at 86963. Currently recovering from a 200,000U loss, this position is neither up nor down, so just try a light position to test the waters, no holding without stop loss. Do you think it can break through 86963 tonight? $BTC #OKXNOW直播：就在明天，速来预约！ $BTC Even though I know Bitcoin is forming an ascending triangle this time, I still haven't closed my short positions and am preparing for a mid-to-long-term hold. Because I took a loss in the last round, I was actually bearish on Bitcoin as early as April. At that time, I thought the dense chip area should be between 85,000 and 88,000, expecting it to at least reach there, so I kept waiting. But it dropped before even hitting 83,000. Now the structure signals bullish, but this is a dense chip distribution area. Who knows if it will rally to 88,000 or even 90,000? Anyone with some technical knowledge knows there's a large amount of trapped positions here. Would the market makers not know? Could it be that it only rallies to just above 87,000 and then immediately turns down? Also, the weekly KDJ is already at 90. This is no different from the recent ZEC near 1650. Many were looking at 1800, but what happened?$CORE The market surged to 86000, but CORE fell back to 0.021! Workers are feeling defeated
Watching BTC surge past 86000 again, then glancing at the CORE in hand, dropping from 0.022 to 0.02188. This kind of "big cake eats the meat, I can't even drink the soup" gap really breaks one's spirit.
Looking at the chart, CORE rebounded to 0.02555 after hitting a low of 0.01732, then steadily declined. Now even the 0.022 level is precarious. The 1-day moving averages are all trending down, KDJ (28/32) is dulled at a low level, volume has shrunk drastically, and the market is full of signs of B-point buyers stuck with losses, completely in a state of being "bled" by the broader market.
Why so weak? Because all the funds in the market are clustering around core assets. Tokens like CORE, which lack short-term hotspots and incremental funds, can only be marginalized and continue to decline steadily.
For us workers earning sweat money, it's not easy. Facing coins that "follow the drop but not the rise," never get carried away to open leveraged positions to top up! Keep some base holdings in spot and play dead waiting for the wind to change. As long as you don't touch leverage, you will never get liquidated. Protect your principal, work hard, staying alive is the most important thing $BTC $CORE #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 $BTC defended 85.1K and is creeping back above 86K. 👀
Short-term momentum is stabilizing, but volume is still weak.
Watch: 🔹 86.3–86.5K → breakout zone
🔹 85.7K → first support
🔹 85.2K → key support
Until volume confirms the move, I’m not chasing. Let the structure speak first. 📊
#SolanaStocksTop4.4B #OKXNOW:LiveTomorrow #MicronAIMemoryOutlook $ADA I originally just wanted to grab a quick breakfast, but the market ended up taking half a year's worth of my dumplings.
I was watching that surge yesterday afternoon very clearly; the volume was like no meal at all, the higher ADA went, the fewer buyers there were, and the resistance line above was pressing down tightly. At that moment, I just said: something's off, no one is buying on the way up. Opened a short.
And it really gave the answer. Entered short at 0.2745, it steadily declined all the way, now at 0.2715, +56.46% profit securely pocketed. The earlier part was really slow, but the outcome is really sweet.
The market is to be waited for, profits are to be held for.
First close 80%, pocket the main part, move the stop loss of the remaining 20% to the cost price, if it continues to drop let the profit run, if it rebounds don't give back what you've gained.
For friends who haven't gotten on board yet, listen to me, now is not the time to rush, chasing shorts easily gets slapped by a rebound. Wait for a more comfortable position in the next round, I will notify immediately.
$LAB $ETH $TRUMP
TRUMP is approaching the upper boundary, why is the net increase not equal to the future potential?
The 24-hour range observed this morning is 2.016—2.071, with a window change of about +1.27% and a trading volume of approximately 5.55 million USDT.
Observing that the price is very close to the highest price indicates that buyers have retained the gains within the window. Being close to the upper boundary also means there is limited remaining space within the range, so past gains cannot be taken as future targets.
If it subsequently breaks above 2.071, holds on a pullback, and trading volume supports it, I will raise my judgment on continuation; the downside risk is a failed breakout and insufficient buying pressure. If it falls below 2.016 and the rebound cannot recover, I will lower my judgment. The range is based on this observation, and subsequent market changes need to be re-verified.Breaking above approximately 90,492 triggers $1.613 billion in short liquidations, breaking below approximately 82,029 triggers $1.518 billion in long liquidations.
CoinGlass (ChainCatcher): If BTC breaks above about $90,492, the cumulative short liquidation intensity on major CEXs will reach about $1.613 billion; conversely, if it falls below about $82,029, the cumulative long liquidation intensity will be about $1.518 billion. Both sides have liquidation zones around $1.5 billion.
At the time of writing, BTC on OKX is about $86,348, approximately 4,144 away from the upper boundary and 4,319 from the lower boundary, basically stuck in the middle. Moving about 5% in either direction will hit a wall.
My view: Both sides have about $1.5 billion in leverage and similar distances, indicating that both bulls and bears are heavily leveraged waiting for a breakout. In this structure, whoever breaks first will force the other side to liquidate, amplifying volatility and likely causing short-term spikes.
Reminder: Liquidation intensity is an estimate and does not mean this amount will actually be liquidated; prices will move with market orders. This is not investment advice.
90,492 or 82,029, which side do you think will be touched first?
$BTC Moreover, I found that whenever I have something bothering me, my mind gets chaotic, and I can't interpret the market situation. The previously set trading strategies all clash—ICT, PA, moving averages, MACD all mixed together. Sometimes I feel I can go long, sometimes I think the price has peaked and I should short, and sometimes I believe it's just consolidation or a false breakout... This leads to an inability to establish a clear process and entering trades arbitrarily.
When I make a profit, I feel like I'm great; when I lose, I incorporate that loss into the win rate percentage, which is the scariest part.
Including emotional trades and gambling trades as part of the strategy causes bias because the entries are clearly not based on a self-made plan. Every time I review my trades, I feel my system is wrong and needs adjustment. I keep changing it for a long time—half a day, half a month, half a year—and even after dozens of blowouts, I still can't find the real problem. Only in hindsight do I realize this, resulting not only in wasted time but also wasted money.Right now, the position is sitting at roughly a 160% floating loss. If you ask whether I’m tired, honestly, not really. But if you ask whether I’m nervous, I’d be lying if I said no. The level that makes me most uncomfortable is around $88,000. If BTC decisively breaks and holds above that area, the short thesis becomes much more dangerous. My liquidation level is near $91,500, so there isn’t unlimited room for mistakes. Still, looking at the current structure, I don’t think BTC has a huge amounToday, there is a hidden flow of funds in the BTC sector. With $BTC macro slightly easing, the main force is converging back to the mainline coins, and sentiment has shifted from watching to actively accumulating. The leading attribute remains strong.
The 100x long position at 84606 is still held, marked at 86260.1, with an unrealized profit of +195.50%. Another short position at 84605.9 is slightly losing 0.33, overall the long positions are making big gains. Technically, the price is climbing along a micro ascending channel, with pullbacks not breaking support, volume is moderately accumulating, and the structure is bullish. 100x leverage positions must strictly control drawdowns, move stop losses closer to cost to protect principal and big profits, and let the rest extend with the structure.
Finished my coffee, screen locked. The current mindset is "lock in profits first," and use the market's money to watch the show. The previous high is just ahead. For the next candlestick, do you think it will break through first, or sweep my defense to make me pretend to be calm? 🙏$ETH $ZEC
#OKXNOW直播：就在明天，速来预约！ 霍尔木兹“未开放”的真相：市场没告诉你的三个矛盾 10月4日，伊朗议长卡利巴夫明确表态：在满足基于伊斯兰堡谅解备忘录的七项条件之前，霍尔木兹海峡“绝不会开放”。同日，七个OPEC+主要产油国决定11月继续维持当前产量不变。 主流叙事将这两件事解读为“供应危机持续”。但深入数据后发现，真相远比表面复杂——三个被忽略的矛盾，才是真正决定油价走向的变量。 一、谈判桌上的僵局 vs 海面上的实质通航 伊朗的七项条件包括：停止战斗、解除封锁、确保霍尔木兹航行安全、石油豁免、解冻资金等。从外交层面看，这确实是“未开放”。 但航运数据给出了截然不同的画面。Kpler数据显示，截至9月28日，通过霍尔木兹海峡的原油7日平均运输量达到每日1350万桶，基本追平战前水平。中东原油出口总量较危机前上升了36%，达到每日2250万桶，甚至超过了战前平均每日1800万桶的水平。 这意味着，海峡在“法律和政治层面”是关闭的，在“物理层面”却处于半开放状态。伊朗通过“选择性放行”维持着石油出口命脉——允许部分船只通行，同时攻击被指控“未经授权”通行的目标。这不是全面封锁，而是一种精准的通行控制。 二、OPEC+“维$BTC $ETH $BTC climbed to around $86,900, once again testing the important $87K resistance area. As long as BTC stays above $86K, buyers still appear to have the upper hand. Meanwhile, $ETH broke through the $2,700–$2,720 zone with stronger volume and reached roughly $2,745, signaling that the long period of sideways movement may finally be coming to an end. This move looks broader than a simple news-driven pump. Regulatory developments, liquidity, macro expectations, and aggressive short coveri🔥 Don't rush to chase before Monday's open! The clearest signal in the current crypto market is neither a surge nor a crash, but rather—high-level oscillation and repeated shakeouts.
📊 $BTC current price is 86118, after reaching 86963 it started to pull back and oscillate. The 15-minute RSI6 is at 53.90, back to a neutral zone, indicating that short-term bulls are not pushing upward for now. 86963 is the immediate resistance, 85040 is the key support, especially watch the round number 85000.
🧭 From a larger timeframe perspective, the bullish structure is not broken yet, so this looks more like digestion after a rise rather than a trend reversal. If short-term continues sideways, it actually helps clear floating positions.
⚠️ $ETH at 2714 is clearly weaker than BTC, RSI6 only 45.36, MACD slightly downward. 2739 is resistance, 2690 is support; if BTC weakens, ETH's pullback could be more pronounced.
🔥 $ZEC at 1330 still shows strong resilience, but RSI6 has reached 65.55, with 1368 resistance and 1300 support, so be cautious chasing highs.
💬 Do you think it will break through tonight or continue sideways shakeout? #OKXNOW直播：就在明天，速来预约！ #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 #霍尔木兹仍未开放，OPEC+维持11月产量不变 How quiet is the options market right now? Implied volatility is about to hit its lowest in years.
To put it simply, no one is willing to pay upfront for "big swings."
I was a bit stunned when I first saw this data.
The market is clearly warming up, but volatility is flat; logically, these two should move together.
Then I realized, it’s not that the market lacks emotion, it’s that no one really believes a big move will happen.
I’ve fallen into this trap before—when I saw low volatility, I thought a big move was brewing, but the market just stayed sideways for two months.
Actually, low volatility itself doesn’t predict direction; it only means one thing: options are cheap right now.
Greeks.live says buyer strategies will become more competitive, and I half agree with that.
Cheap is cheap, but no one knows when it will get expensive.
If you really want to watch, watch whether new funds come in after the Deribit and Coinbase merger.
If money doesn’t flow in, even the lowest volatility will just stay flat.
I’m watching first, not rushing to bet—after all, I’ve stocked up on these "cheap goods" before, only to find there’s a reason they’re cheap.
#BTC现货ETF重回流入，ETH资金持续流出
#VanEck：比特币或继续扩大市场份额 #Strategy再购BTC，多家财库同步增持 $ETH 【On-Chain Trading Dynamics｜ZEC】
Monitored address 0xc30c shorted:
▪ Execution price: 1,354.3 USD
▪ Transaction amount this time: 304,675.95 USD
▪ Leverage: 10xBTC's ETF funds are recovering, while $ETH's are flowing out, yet both coins are rising almost equally sharply—this kind of "fund divergence, price convergence" combination usually doesn't last long.
After the US BTC spot ETF ended 9 trading days with a cumulative net inflow of about $3.1 billion, it recorded a net inflow of about $103 million on October 1 and another $31.7 million on October 2, restoring inflows for two consecutive days. Conversely, the ETH spot ETF has seen net outflows for 4 Super whale continues to short $ZEC Position value about 198.385 million USD, approximately 15,000 tokens Currently, among top 5 ZEC holders, 4 accounts hold short positions and only one holds long position; all 4 short accounts currently in floating profit However, looking at total profit and loss, longs surprisingly have profits as high as about 70 million USD Shorts still losing about 6 million USD This newly entered short whale opened position at 1340.9 USD Position value about 20 million UActually, tonight's start was pretty annoying. That $BTC trade was purely me itching to watch the market; when I went all in with 100x leverage, I even cursed myself. Entered at 85533, my eyes were glued to the funding rate and depth, just afraid some big order would spike and wipe me out. At 85690, I didn't hesitate to close the position, making 69u, which is laughably small, but that feeling of "I didn't get greedy, I didn't stubbornly hold on" was genuinely relieving. High-leverage trades don't earn money; they earn the relief fee of not getting slapped by the market.
What really made me sit up straight was $CT. In the afternoon, seeing that 4h upper shadow made me suspicious. When I shorted at 0.4921, I didn't dare go big, just 20x leverage, thinking "If it doesn't drop deep, consider it tuition; if it really crashes, I'll add more." But this thing didn't give any rebound at all. I manually closed at 0.4488, making 643u, +174%. Honestly, it wasn't some god-level prediction, just that I've seen too many altcoins in their final phase where they should crash but don't, and once they crash, they don't look back. This time I just happened not to be fooled off by that fake bullish candle halfway.
Together, the two trades made over 700u, not much, but OE didn't mess with my closing price or freeze the button tonight, which alone is way better than last week's experience. Before shutting down the computer, I glanced at the empty position list, which looks better than the account number.
Trading sometimes isn't about who makes more money, but about who doesn't curse themselves when they turn off the computer tonight. [Old Leek Observation] $AKT$AKE
AKT suddenly surged in volume today. The price once shot up to around $0.80, with a 24-hour increase close to 20%.
But what really caught my attention is not the price increase, but the trading volume. In the past day, AKT's trading volume surged to over $33M, about 6 times that of the previous day. So far, there is no solid official news explaining this rise.
So don't rush to label this as an "AI positive". It seems more like funds suddenly started concentrating in decentralized computing power.
Entry: $0.74–$0.78
Take profit: $0.84 / $0.90 / $0.98 / $1.08 / $1.20
Stop loss: $0.69
The price has already surged around $0.80 once, so no chasing.
If it pulls back to $0.74–$0.78 and holds steady, and the trading volume does not significantly shrink, then this move has value to continue. Without strong news driving it, it's more important to see if the funds remain the next day.Out of roughly 900 long positions, more than 500 are currently under pressure. The headline profit figure may look impressive, but the distribution matters—much of that profit appears concentrated among traders who entered at significantly lower levels. For traders who bought higher up, the situation is completely different. Many are now waiting for price to recover toward their entry, while floating losses continue to accumulate. This is where market psychology becomes important. When traders g$DOGE long position, entered at 0.09349, currently at 0.09598, floating profit 133.16%. This trade has been going quite smoothly since entry, there was a shakeout in the middle but holding through it was fine. Now the profit buffer is thick enough, mindset is very stable. Today's market shows no volume increase on the bulls, indicating it's not yet in the acceleration phase.
I plan to take out one-third first, set a breakeven stop loss on the rest and let it run. Not guessing the top, letting the profit run on its own; holding this rhythm is better than flipping back and forth.
For those not in yet, wait for a pullback to confirm support before considering entry, don't chase in a bullish candle. I'll announce the next window when it comes, no rush for now. $BTC $ETH 如果一觉醒来发现满屏都在喊瀑布，那么真正该看的，可能不是跌不跌，而是谁在硬撑。 你猜，84000这里到底是铁底，还是空头最后的体面？ 昨晚睡前刷到那张熟悉的"天塌了"截图，BTC又卡在84000附近不肯下去。明明四周声音都在指向下行，可它偏不碰82000，现在连84000都像踩了钉子。我盯着盘口看了会儿，前晚挂单还卡得发麻，没多久就能成交了，今天再试，又堵。那种感觉，像市场在悄悄换手，而不是单纯在跌。 先把事实摆清：$BTC 在84000一带反复承接，上方87000重新被提起；$ETH 跟着这条情绪线走，没有独立崩。这不是某个利好砸出来的拉升，更像是空头挤压和情绪修复叠在一起。大家原本计价的是"破位加速"，结果价格没配合，预期先松了。市场此刻交易的，其实是"跌不动"这件事本身。 偏多的路径很清楚：只要84000继续被守住，空头回补会先推一段，87000从口号变成磁吸位，风险偏好会从BTC外溢到ETH，再慢慢传到高beta山寨。情绪一旦从恐慌切到怀疑，反弹往往比想象中快。 但风险也摆在那：这更像情绪修复，不是趋势反转。如果84000失守，前晚那种"能成交"的顺畅会变成踩踏，82000就不$DOGE The timing of this rally was spot on. At 16:34 market record, perpetual 50x long position, opening average price 0.09273, current mark price 0.09681, floating profit locked at 219.99%. Review: A few days ago, price oscillated repeatedly around 0.092 with extremely shrinking volume, typical bottom accumulation signal. On 1-hour chart, bullish divergence appeared, MACD green bars shortened then formed golden cross, so I decisively placed long at this key support level of 0.09273. After main Last Friday, #Bitcoin ETF net inflows increased again, completing 4 net inflow days last week. Looking back at Wednesday's net outflow, it was a short-term chip turnover.
The #BTC ETF data released last Friday showed a single-day net inflow of 189.9 million, approaching the 200 million mark and entering the 100-300 million range, which counts as a relatively strong net inflow.
Among them, IBIT had a net inflow of 158.2 million, accounting for a very high proportion, meaning that although there was a net inflow of funds, the scope was too narrow, and the net inflow sentiment did not spread widely.
Reviewing last week's data, from Monday to Friday, except for Wednesday's net outflow, there were 4 days of net inflows overall, which is good data. Wednesday's net inflow was basically confirmed as an institutional user turnover.
Comparing the crypto market data to last Friday, overall funds were net inflows, increasing by 200 million, but the increase did not come from mainstream funds USDT and USDC. USDC even showed a slight net outflow, but currently this is not significant.
Combining ETF and crypto market data, last week's situation still looks somewhat optimistic, especially Wednesday's ETF fund turnover coinciding with the price breaking through around 84,000 with turnover. When the key resistance at that time showed obvious turnover, especially after the ETF turnover, the price successfully broke through, so this point will become effective support.
At least in terms of chip structure, ETF turnover means institutional users rebalancing their positions. After the turnover, the price can still break through, which confirms a more optimistic trend and is a good thing! #BTC现货ETF重回流入，ETH资金持续流出 Peaked at 2354 in June, dropped to 998 by the end of July, with a maximum drawdown of 57%. But the structure changed after August: 998→1167→1417→1504→1659, with the lows steadily rising, a classic 4H ascending channel.
Currently at 1718, stuck in the 1660-1910 consolidation range. MA20 is pressing around 1760, and the ascending trendline is supporting at 1688 — the structure is intact, but the direction is yet to be decided.
Volume: Panic volume surge at the end of July marked the bottom, September shows volume contraction and consolidation, divergence is converging, a breakout is approaching.
Three long-term scenarios: break and hold above 1910 to target 2100/2354; break below 1660 to retest the trendline at 1500-1600; break the trendline to retest 1000-1200 for bottom formation.Big coin $BTC short position open for ten days and held for eight days, currently floating loss of 200%, if someone asks me if I'm tired or panicked, I would say not tired, but saying not panicked would definitely be lie. I honestly admit I get most nervous every time it hits 87000, because once it successfully breaks through, my short position becomes very dangerous. After all, forced liquidation price at 90300 is not safe. But I always believe, from current position in all aspects, upward spacBitcoin leads the charge, with $58.88 million settled in 24 hours, of which $54.16 million were shorts liquidated. This surge is driven by forced liquidations pushing the price up, not pure buying pressure. The total market cap is $2.93 trillion, up 1.03%, and the recovery momentum in October continues. The focus this week is on US inflation and employment data, with the Federal Reserve's rhetoric deciding the short-term direction. The SEC chair has even shifted to calling it a trillion-dollar asset class, signaling a warming long-term sentiment.
I just opened the security booth window for some fresh air; someone is backing into a parking spot outside. I glanced down at the screen and continued watching the market.
GTC current price is 0.21304. The area from 0.216 to 0.224 is a dense short liquidation zone; breaking through it could trigger a chain reaction of liquidations. The support zone for long liquidations is between 0.195 and 0.205. The MACD green bars are shrinking, and RSI has already touched the overbought area, indicating a short-term need for a pullback and consolidation. However, the support below is strong; a pullback that doesn't break support is a buying opportunity.
In terms of strategy, buy in batches on dips between 0.205 and 0.208, with a stop loss below 0.195. The first target is 0.216, and the second target is the liquidation zone at 0.224. If volume surges and breaks through 0.224, you can add to your position and chase the rally. Avoid short positions for now, as going against the trend risks liquidation.
$GTC
#OKXICE向SEC申请推出代币化股票交易平台
@OKX星球 Finally got a reaction from BTC, this trade feels pretty comfortable. $BTC long position, opened at 85174.5, now at 86351.2, up 138.85%. Waited a few days and it was worth it, the market finally moved. I don't plan to add more at this position.
The profit is already considerable, going higher could face selling pressure anytime. I'll raise the cost line first and leave the rest to the market; mindset is more important than anything.
For friends who missed out, don't worry, there will be pullback opportunities later, just be patient. Good markets don't lack entry points, they lack patience. $ETH $ZEC 🔥 Don't start shouting "It's over" just because BTC is pulling back, and don't go crazy chasing longs every time it rises. Truly mature trading isn't about participating in every fluctuation, but knowing when to hold and when to admit a mistake.
📈 After BTC surged to $87,000 in the early morning, it has pulled back and is currently fluctuating around $86,000. The 24-hour liquidation amount is close to $300 million, with over 100,000 people wiped out by this intense volatility. Essentially, this market is testing the patience of holders.
🧱 Structurally, there is no sign yet that the trend has been completely broken. The selling pressure around $85,000 has been largely absorbed by buyers, and reduced liquidity above means that if volume picks up again for an upward push, the resistance the price faces may be smaller than before.
💵 There are also no obvious signs of a capital outflow. September's nonfarm payrolls increased by only 29,000, far below the expected 84,000; the probability of a rate hike in October has dropped from over 70% to 22%. BlackRock's IBIT saw a single-day net inflow of $195.6 million, with institutional funds continuing to buy at high levels.
🧠 So don't always try to guess the exact tops and bottoms. Most of the money people truly make comes from patience in the right direction, not from dozens of trades a day. As long as your position size is reasonable and stop losses are clear, a pullback isn't necessarily the enemy. Do you think $85,000 will become the springboard for the next takeoff? #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 #OKXNOW直播：就在明天，速来预约！ 【On-Chain Trading Update｜HYPE】
Monitored address 0x9c06 opened a short position:
▪ Execution price: 93.4 USD
▪ Transaction amount this time: 249,983.86 USD
▪ Leverage: 10x📉 $ETH is still in an uptrend, but the upward momentum is weakening.
Currently, spot buying has clearly cooled down, and ETF capital flows have turned to net outflows, which is limiting ETH's upside potential.
ETH is struggling to hold steady above $2,700, and every time it approaches $2,800, there is significant selling pressure.
Without new spot capital continuously entering, this rebound may be more about providing liquidity to sellers rather than the start of a new upward trend.
👀 This is the key trading logic at present:
The trend hasn't fully weakened yet,
but the "fuel" needed for the rise is diminishing.
Next focus:
Whether spot buying returns and if ETH can truly hold above $2,800.
#FedECBMeetingMinutes
#BTCETHETFFlowsDiverge
$ETH $BTC$HYPE, long position, entered at 90.189, now at 93.127, floating profit 162.88%. The rhythm from opening the position until now has been very good, with no continuous pullbacks, and the bulls clearly controlling the market.
The current price is not cheap anymore, so I won't add more to the position. I'll take out some first and trail the rest with a moving stop loss.
Don't be greedy for the last part; the profit in hand is what truly belongs to you. Those not in the trade can wait for the next window, no rush this time. $BTC $ETH 78K $ETH short, avg $2,340, liquidation at $4,291. The whale can probably sit through the pain—but the real danger is the crowd following the short.
$ETH at $2,815 is the key trigger. Break it, and roughly $497M in CEX shorts could face liquidation.
$BTC also keeps failing near 87K, with 90K as the bigger liquidation zone.
Don’t watch the whale’s PnL. Watch the liquidation fuse. ⚡
$BTC $ETH $ZEC
#HormuzStillClosed #NvidiaRecordHigh #AnthropicEyesNovIPO Today, because my hair was cut like a dog’s, I came back with a belly full of anger and nowhere to vent, so I made an emotional trade... I clearly know the consequences of bringing negative emotions into trading, but this kind of thought and regret usually only hits after a losing trade, and then the lesson is forgotten the next day. This personality needs to change...
But this time I set a stop loss, so looking at it from another angle, that’s a good thing...🔥The most brutal aspect of this BTC wave is not how much it dropped, but that it specifically strikes when people's mentality is most fragile. It surged to 87,000 to excite the bulls, then suddenly crashed back to 86,000, scaring out those who just chased in—this is a classic shakeout in a volatile market.
⚡ In the past 24 hours, nearly $300 million worth of liquidations occurred across the network, with over 100,000 people thrown off by the intense volatility. Some got trapped chasing the rally, others shorted early only to be squeezed, resulting in both sides being repeatedly schooled by the market.
🔍 But when analyzing the chart, don’t just focus on the candle colors. Glassnode data shows that the sell wall around $85,000 has been gradually eaten up by buyers, and the liquidity of sell orders above has clearly decreased. If this area can continue to hold, then resistance might actually lighten as the price seeks new upward space.
🏦 Macro and capital flows are also worth attention: September’s nonfarm payrolls added only 29,000 jobs, far below the expected 84,000, causing market expectations for an October rate hike to drop from over 70% to 22%. Meanwhile, IBIT saw a single-day net inflow of $195.6 million, indicating institutional funds are still active.
🎯 So the most important thing now is not to predict the next candle, but to avoid being forced by short-term volatility into repeatedly changing your plan. Until the trend confirms a reversal, pullbacks themselves aren’t necessarily bad. Will you choose to hold on or wait for a breakout before getting back in? #OKXNOW直播：就在明天，速来预约！ #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 #霍尔木兹仍未开放，OPEC+维持11月产量不变 These two positions in my hands are really a typical case of "a fierce operation but a loss of 250".
👉 The short position on $CRWD
Entry point at 268, thinking it wouldn't rise anymore so I shorted to catch a pullback. But it directly surged to 271, now floating loss is nearly 200 U. Although the return rate looks only -9%, it's like cutting flesh with a dull knife, the most painful.
👉 The long position on $LITE (the disaster zone!)
This one really hurts. Entered chasing high at 1112, now dropped to 1084.
Look at that return rate -25.07%, directly lost 733 U!
At the time of opening, I thought 10x leverage was super safe, full position mode as a backstop. Now, even a slight pullback shrinks the principal by a quarter.
The current state is:
Relying entirely on full position mode to keep breathing.
Look at the maintenance margin rate, both are above 1280%.
In short: as long as there is money in my account, the exchange can't liquidate me. But who understands this feeling? The first thing I do every morning is to see if there's a rebound, afraid that a sudden spike will pierce the margin.DOGE short positions wildly earned 550U, ETH also in the green, BTC slightly down, overall net profit of 698U from three trades
Just opened the account and took a look, DOGE and ETH short positions continue to gain momentum, BTC long position slightly retraced dragging behind, overall net profit of 698U from three trades.
Position update:
$DOGE: Entry at 0.09984, current price 0.095655, full 20X short position, unrealized profit 550U, ROI 88%. If it breaks below 0.096, continue to target 0.09.
$ETH: Entry at 2739.79, current price 2686.94, full 20X short position, unrealized profit 180U, ROI 39%. If it breaks below 2700, continue to target 2650.
$BTC: Entry at 84407.31, current price 84231.83, full 20X long position, unrealized loss 32U, ROI -4.6%. Slight loss, holding on waiting for rebound.
A few words: Today, the whole situation was supported by the two short positions in DOGE and ETH, BTC dragged a bit but no big deal. Overall a big gain, continuing to hold steady.
Let's chat in the comments, how much did you earn today?
#美联储与欧洲央行将公布9月会议纪要 #VanEck：比特币或继续扩大市场份额 #美伊局势持续紧张，G7将释放最多1亿桶储备 Selling Tutankhamun's golden coffin as scrap metal is the dumbest archaeological excavation I've ever done in my life.
I dug up bullish inscriptions as early as when $ADA just surfaced from the shallow strata at 0.258. At that time, I was smug, thinking I had found a Western Han dynasty tile, and hastily sold everything at the 0.266 Bollinger middle band to close my position. What happened next? It broke through the geological fault and surged straight to the 0.281 upper band. The 1-hour RSI was even pushed by greedy tomb raiders to a scorching carbonized state of 71.1! If I had held onto my shovel and not taken profits early, this vertical rally could have given me nearly ten times the profit! For that tiny fragment of pottery-like small gain, I personally buried a grand Han dynasty noble tomb. This pain is even worse than smashing the Sword of Goujian with my own hands.
Looking through the rise and fall of all ancient civilizations, whether it's the Tulip Mania or the South Sea Bubble, human weakness in the face of relics always repeats itself. The current price of 0.2738 is already approaching the load-bearing limit of the upper loose soil. The Bollinger upper band at 0.2811 is the last rammed earth wall of the ancient city wall. The overbought indicator is sending a warning of the crypt collapsing to every greedy explorer. The regret of missing the main upward wave is still tearing at the nerves, but countless historical records prove that over-oxidized relics must eventually be backfilled.
- Target: $ADA 🔴
- Entry: 0.2730 - 0.2760
- TP1: 0.2667
- TP2: 0.2523
- SL: 0.2825
The weathering layer has been completely stripped away, and the cracking sounds deep in the crypt are clearly audible. 🏛️🔍
#CoinMoveAlert📊 Significant changes in the ETH staking queue
As of October 5, about 1.5 million ETH are waiting to enter the Ethereum staking queue, with a total value of approximately $4 billion, and an estimated wait time of about 25 days.
Meanwhile, about 786,000 ETH are still in the exit queue, with an estimated wait time close to 14 days.
Notably, on September 29, only about 166,000 ETH were in the exit queue, but by October 2, this number had rapidly increased to about 851,000 ETH.
The current sharp increase in the exit queue is mainly related to MetaMask proactively initiating exits for some validators as a security precaution.
👀 What to watch next:
The inflow of ETH staking continues to rise, while the exit queue remains high, which may affect ETH liquidity and market supply structure in the near future.
Don’t just watch the price; changes in ETH’s on-chain supply are equally worth attention.
$ETH #Ethereum #ETHStaking #Crypto #OKX#OKXNOW直播：就在明天，速来预约！
Teachers, something's off, the market momentum is still strengthening! $ZEC last time we said to watch 1350, this time it held, so it might still go to 1430-1460. The main bearish trend might still need to wait, the bulls haven't finished yet. That's how the market is, constantly reminding retail traders that he is the boss! Don't talk back, or you'll get hit!
Market makers always have endless tricks to make the market bleed🔥The most ironic scene in the market has appeared: some dare to go all in with 100x leverage but can't withstand a normal correction; some shout bullish every day but cut losses immediately when the price drops. The real challenge with BTC has never been the direction, but holding onto your position.
📊 $BTC touched $87,000 in the early morning before pulling back, currently fluctuating around $86,000. In just 24 hours, nearly $300 million in liquidations occurred across the network, with over 100,000 people violently forced out of the market by volatility. Those chasing the rally got crushed, and shorts were squeezed—both bulls and bears took a heavy hit.
🧩 But if you filter out the noise, the market structure hasn't been obviously damaged. The selling pressure near $85,000 has been largely absorbed by strong buying, and fewer sell orders above mean that when the price continues upward, the selling pressure faced may not be as heavy as before.
💰 What's more noteworthy is the capital flow. September's nonfarm payrolls were far below market expectations, and the probability of a rate hike in October has clearly dropped; meanwhile, BlackRock IBIT saw a single-day net inflow of $195.6 million. The data doesn't necessarily mean the price will surge immediately, but at least it shows institutional funds haven't fully withdrawn due to the volatility.
🧠 So don't keep trying to time the exact bottom or top. The truly stable approach is to see the trend clearly, control your position size, and leave room for trading. Corrections aren't scary; reckless operations are. Are you seeing a shakeout now, or a weakening trend? Leave a comment to discuss. #OKXNOW直播：就在明天，速来预约！ #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 #霍尔木兹仍未开放，OPEC+维持11月产量不变 Only 5 people sold in 6 days, $4Stock token price breaks through insider cost, will the token price continue to decline? Brothers, what do you think?
Data changes of top 40 $4Stock holders on 2026.10.5
Alpha: Outflow of 3.5 million tokens
gate1: Inflow of 9.5 million tokens
kucoin2: Inflow of 3.9 million tokens
Burn address: Burned 1 million tokens
New entries in top 40: 4 people total, 2 increased positions, 2 transferred in
Dropped out of top 40: 4 people total, 3 fully sold, 1 reduced position
Top 40 increased positions: 6 people total, 2 increased then reduced positions
Top 40 reduced positions: 2 people total
$4Stock Daily Key Summary:
There are 4 new addresses entering the top 40, no one opened new positions, 2 increased positions to enter; among those who dropped out of the top 40, 3 fully sold and 1 significantly reduced positions. The number of people increasing and reducing positions in the top 40 is moderate, with more tokens increased and fewer reduced. On the exchange side, gate and kucoin started inflows, alpha had a slight outflow. However, the token price has dropped 20% since the last statistics, breaking through the previous insider cost price. They may have completed selling. On-chain selling and trading reflect that the number of people reducing positions at the front is decreasing, as only 5 people sold in 6 days, with more increasing positions. Exchange data is not visible, so no comment is made. Because the data interval is long, it cannot directly reflect the market situation. Another data update is needed to determine the specific market condition.