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Bull markets never lack sharp corrections, so don't get scared off by a few bearish candles.😎
Looking back at $BTC: In January 2017, it just broke the previous high, and by December it reached nearly $20,000. In those 11 months, there were 8 pullbacks of over 20%. In December 2020, it broke the previous cycle high, and by November 2021 it surged to 69,000. In roughly the same 11 months, there were 4 deep corrections over 20%. From April to July 2021, it was even harsher, cutting in half directly.📉 So, sharp drops are the breathing of a bull market, not its end.
On the $ETH side, the retracement has approached the key Fibonacci zone: between 2805 and 2355, taking 0.618 is about 2526. Currently, only the 4-hour chart shows signs of downward exhaustion, while the daily to 3-day charts are still under bearish pressure, so a false breakdown is possible.🧐
Below, watch 2512, 2496, and 2480, which are close to the 3-day Bollinger middle band. If it pulls back, consider buying in batches at lower levels. The first resistance on the rebound is 2596–2612; breaking through 2626 would turn the short-term trend bullish, then look at 2736–2750. If it stalls, the 10-day moving average is the target, with 2468 as the first support on the 10-day line, so defend around there.📊
Rhythm is more important than direction; don't chase highs or sell lows. This is my personal view and does not constitute investment advice. $BTC $ETH #9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息 #ETF仍在流入，BTC为何下跌？ #跟着OKX打卡2049 PCE Data Repricing
$BTC $XAU — Were We Misled by Last Night’s PCE Data?
The market may have misread yesterday’s PCE report.
According to reports, the U.S. Department of Commerce changed the statistical methodology behind several key PCE indicators, materially affecting the reported figures.
For example, July’s expected reading was around 3.3%, but under the revised methodology, the reported figure came in at 3.0% — a 30bp difference.#DailyOrbit $ZEC short sellers continue to exert pressure
Falling like a free fall～
Opening average price 1635.24
20x full position short
Margin 1723.73U
Current floating profit 15138.74$USDT
Return rate 610.27%
Looking through liquidation data you can see
24-hour long position liquidations 40.916 million
Nearly 190,000 people were liquidated in this market move.
Those chasing longs at the top are still fantasizing about a rebound
The trend has come, and they simply can't hold on.
Plan ahead by identifying resistance levels
Leave the rest to time, patiently waiting for the bloom!
$BTC
#跟着OKX打卡2049
#ETF仍在流入，BTC为何下跌？
#9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息 02:10:26, inside this iron house of OKX, the night was as dark as ink.
Trader "Yunbin" rubbed his sleepy eyes and examined this black card. $OPENAI, 20x short. Open position at 173.72, mark at 163.91.
+112.94% return, glaring green. But flipping the card, the actual profit was only +0.09 USDT. Nine cents. Not even enough to buy half a moldy steamed bun.
Previously it was ZEC, CT, HYPE, 0G, and now it's $OPENAI again. The tricks of altcoins always change like a revolving lantern. 20x leverage, 112% phantom gains, it's probably the dealer holding a lantern to lure people to jump into the abyss. This green light looks lively but is actually very hollow.
"Let's pull out these altcoin weeds," he thought. $BTC $ETH #跟着OKX打卡2049 #全球长期国债收益率升至多年高位 Showing $ACU perpetual 10x short data: entry at 0.13528, mark at 0.10979, profit +188.42%.
High returns are eye-catching, but actual profits depend on principal size. On social platforms, high return screenshots are common, but they come with extremely high risk. The wise choice is to exit high-leverage trades in time and switch to long-term spot holdings.
Long-term holding of BTC and OKB. OKX ecosystem +21 million locked + X Layer deflation, 1.8 billion benchmarked against 80 billion.
Preserve principal, proceed steadily. $ETH $SOL #9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息 When oil prices and interest rates "fire" simultaneously, Bitcoin becomes the most vulnerable "digital gold"
Trump is playing his favorite game again—saying "progress is going well" with his mouth, then turning around to tell the world "the agreement is not what I want." This kind of contradiction would be called schizophrenia in others, but in him, it's called negotiation art. But the market didn't laugh this time.
Brent crude has reached $102, and WTI is approaching 90. The strange thing is, oil exports from the Gulf region have already recovered to 18.5 million barrels per day, close to pre-war levels. Supply has returned, but prices have not. Kpler analysts bluntly say: "Normalization no longer requires waiting for an agreement." The market is never buying today's oil; it's buying the bomb that might drop next week.
The most intriguing logic in this round is Bitcoin. It fell below $83,000 not because the "digital gold" narrative collapsed, but because money has become more expensive—the 10-year US Treasury yield soared to 5.36%, the highest since 2002. Since the Iran conflict, Bitcoin has been the main vehicle for "devaluation trades," rising from $75,600 to $85,500 after the Fed rate hike in September. But this time it's different: interest rates are rising, liquidity is tightening, and the bulls in devaluation trades are being crushed by the bulls in interest rates.
More ironically, Iran is collecting Strait of Hormuz transit fees using cryptocurrency—$1 per barrel, free for empty ships. A fully sanctioned country is pricing the world's most important oil passage with decentralized assets. The crypto ecosystem has reached a scale of $7.8 billion. This is not symbolic; this is real combat.BTC Deleveraging
$BTC is still under pressure, and this move looks more like a leveraged-long squeeze than a full-blown capitulation.
Over the past 24 hours, $50.24M in longs were liquidated versus just $16.59M in shorts. There were 1,600 short liquidations and 856 long liquidations, but the liquidation value tells the real story: larger long positions are being flushed out, while short liquidations are mostly smaller, fragmented orders.
Options are also showing caution. #DailyOrbit $META Yellow-hair bottom-fishing Meta, retail investors don't rush to follow
News says Trump bought up to $25 million worth of Meta stock.
Look at METAUSDT, it spiked to 732 then fell back to 718.
This shows the news has been digested, and some are even using the good news to sell off.
Don't forget, Meta FY2026 Q3 earnings per share (EPS) is expected to be 6.74.
Earnings season is highly volatile, and tokenized perpetual contracts will amplify the risk even more.
The King of Understanding bought spot stocks, you are playing leveraged derivatives.
He can withstand the pullback, but you might get liquidated.
Instead of blindly "lying in wait," better to wait for the earnings report to land.
Understand it before making a move, don't bury yourself.AI hasn't learned to steal wallets yet, but the math community is already nervous
OpenAI has released a batch of mathematical achievements: 722 preprints, 372 sets, about 160 with formal proofs. The signal is simple: the speed at which AI is doing math is starting to make the cryptography community uneasy.
Some people reacted immediately by saying "take cover" — once an address has signed a transaction, the public key is exposed, theoretically making it more vulnerable than a cold address that has never been used. The Ethereum co-founder also added: previously, the question was when quantum computing would arrive; now we have to consider whether AI might find shortcuts in math before quantum computing even comes.
To be clear: AI is still far from deriving private keys. But BTC and ETH rely on old math like ECC at their core, and AI starting to tackle math itself is a signal worth noting. $BTC $ETHIn a while, it will first drop to 79500-79800 to test a bitWriting
$BTC $XAU
Bitcoin still has a long way to go before it can truly rival gold as a store of value.
In this market cycle, gold looks more likely to defend the $4,000 level, while Bitcoin faces a greater risk of losing the $80,000 mark.
Gold remains the stronger defensive asset for now. Bitcoin still needs to prove its strength.
#DailyOrbit $NEAR, short at 5.374, 50x, floating profit 984%, mark price 4.315.
I knew this position wouldn't go far when I opened it.
That spike to 5.62 looks like a "breakout" to anyone, but where's the volume? No volume. It surged high then fell back, with a long upper shadow, and the subsequent rebound couldn't even reach 5.4 — this isn't a shakeout, it's that no one wants it. I shorted at 5.374, not betting on a crash, but betting that "those chasing the highs will realize they're holding the bag."
Now at 4.315, 984% profit, lowest at 4.303. From 5.62 down to 4.3, nearly a 24% drop, with no decent rebound along the way. Why? Because NEAR's problem this round isn't "too much of a drop," it's that no funds are willing to buy at this level. The news keeps pushing AI, Layer, Bitwise, but the market doesn't acknowledge it — good news fed in, price goes down, this is a classic distribution pattern.
All moving averages pressing down: MA5 4.946, MA10 5.064, MA20 5.108, MA30 5.039, MA60 4.981, MA120 4.731. Price at 4.315 is running at the very bottom, short-term moving averages starting to turn down together, this is not a "oversold rebound" pattern, it's bearish83K这个数字，现在成了BTC的多空分水岭。 你有没有发现，这次反弹里最安静的反而是ETH？ 先看几个位置。BTC在83K附近贴着关键支撑走，刚经历完一轮抛售，能守住这里说明短期卖压暂时没继续放大。SOL在115附近，明显是被压着的那一个，但还没破位，像是在等一个信号。ETH在2.57K，比BTC弱，买方需要重新拿回节奏才行。 这三个价格放一起看，其实透露的是资金偏好变了。BTC守得住，说明避险的那部分钱还没走，但也没有急着追高。SOL被压，代表高beta资产现在不是首选。ETH更弱，说明市场对它的叙事暂时提不起兴趣。整体都还在近期高点下方，情绪是偏谨慎的。 我自己的感觉是，现在更像分歧阶段，不是启动，也还没到派发。为什么这么说？因为BTC没有失守关键位，说明多头还有防守意愿；但SOL和ETH没有跟上，说明增量资金没进来，大家只是在场内挪来挪去。这种时候，资金偏好会偏向确定性更高的BTC，而不是去赌弹性更大的品种。 偏多的路径是：BTC重新站回84.3K，带动SOL和ETH补涨，那市场会重新交易复苏预期，风险偏好回暖，山寨才有机会。偏空的风险是：BTC如果丢了83K，SOL的115大概BTC reclaimed 352.3 USDT, still below the previous hour's low
After BTC touched 80400, it closed at 80752.3 USDT, reclaiming 352.3; still 47.6 below the previous hour's low of 80799.9, pending confirmation.
From 01:00 to 02:00 on October 9, 1H volume was 1112.95 BTC, up 19.6% from 930.79 BTC in the previous 00:00 to 01:00 window. The closed candlestick left a lower shadow, with the high dropping from 81450 to 81027.8, indicating the range continues to shift downward; the volume increase cannot be considered net buying.
If the 02:00 to 03:00 period closes above 80799.9, short-term recovery is confirmed; if it closes below 80400, the support judgment fails. The verification window has not closed.
I take the 03:00 close above 80799.9 as the revised judgment line; if it only crosses intraday but closes below, would you acknowledge the recovery as valid?
Source: OKX official BTC-USDT spot v5, confirm=1; as of 02:00 Beijing time, October 9, 2026. Two bars are independent 1H periods, not the same bucket; price in USDT, volume in BTC. Independent community, not official; not investment advice.Aptos raises Gas fees, the era of cheap and easy use is over—Is this good or bad news?
The Aptos Foundation plans to increase Gas fees by 10 times and cut staking rewards from 5.19% to 2.6%.
The "cheap and easy to use" bonus officially ends.
It's really frustrating, I loved using you for my apt withdrawals!
But looking closely at their plan: 210 million tokens will be locked permanently, and the unlocked amount in 2026 will decrease by 60%.
The purpose is clear: forced deflation to make APT scarce.
But sacrificing user experience for token price, will it really work?
Once the public chain is no longer cheap, users will vote with their feet. $ETH liquidation reached $712 million in 24 hours, with longs as the main victims
The derivatives market experienced a severe wave of liquidations. In the past 24 hours, a total of $712 million was liquidated across the network, with long positions losing as much as $651 million, and approximately 123,500 traders forcibly liquidated. The largest single liquidation occurred on Binance's ETHUSDC trading pair, amounting to $26.64 million. DOGE perpetual contract open interest plummeted 13.34% in one day, and XRP funding rates turned negative to -0.0031%, indicating active capital withdrawal. Operational advice: In extreme market conditions, survival is more important than bottom fishing; it is recommended to reduce positions to a level that allows you to sleep peacefully.
$ETH $BTC PCE Data Repricing
$BTC $XAU — Were We Misled by Last Night’s PCE Data?
The market may have misread yesterday’s PCE report.
According to reports, the U.S. Department of Commerce changed the statistical methodology behind several key PCE indicators, materially affecting the reported figures.
For example, July’s expected reading was around 3.3%, but under the revised methodology, the reported figure came in at 3.0% — a 30bp difference.#DailyOrbit $SAND perpetual 50x short position, opened at 0.07066, currently at 0.06529, floating profit +379.98%.
The logic is simple: previously oscillated between 0.070-0.071, with selling pressure on rallies, and a clear short-term weakening. After the rally and pullback pattern, shorted with 50x leverage, initial stop loss at 0.0715. The trend met expectations and accelerated downward, holding the position with discipline, now floating profit 379.98%.
$BTC $ETH
Trailing stop moved to around 0.068 to lock in profits. If the volume breaks below the 0.065-0.064 area, the pattern can continue, but avoid greed. With 50x leverage, profits are substantial but risk of drawdown must be strictly controlled. #9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息 $BTC Core Conclusion: After breaking down, BTC shows weak low-level oscillation, officially testing the 80000 integer support level, with the daily bearish trend continuing; SKDJ remains deeply oversold, short-term downward momentum is temporarily weakening but no rebound signal has appeared, the 80000 level is the current key dividing line between bulls and bears, directly determining the subsequent downside space and the rebound height of altcoins like SOL.
Key Levels
• Short-term resistance: 81500-82000 (recently broken support zone, now converted into the first resistance level for rebound)
• Strong resistance: 83000 integer level (mid-stage consolidation platform in this downtrend, concentration area of trapped positions, holding above this level is necessary to declare a phase bottom)
• Short-term support: 80000-80400 (intraday low + psychological integer support, the current core of bull-bear contention)
• Strong support: 79000-79500 (starting low point of this rally, mid-term trend lifeline)
1. Candlestick Pattern
After a large bearish daily candle break, a small bearish candle closed, with price consolidating narrowly between 80400-81000, lowest probing 80400, just a step away from the 80000 integer level. This is a typical inertia bottom test after a breakdown, bearish trend unchanged, but the decline rate has slowed compared to before, with some phased buying support at lows, though no clear bottom reversal pattern has formed yet.
2. Indicator Signals
SKDJ's K value remains at 23.2, still in the deep oversold range of 20-30, D value simultaneously dropped to 35.1, maintaining a standard bearish alignment. Signals show the short-term cumulative decline is deep, technical rebound demand continues to accumulate, but the indicator has not yet shown a turning point convergence, golden cross, or bullish divergence pattern; oversold does not equal bottom, indicators can remain dulled during a downtrend, and inertia downward momentum still exists.
⚠️Virtual currencies are not legally protected domestically; market information is for informational sharing only and does not constitute investment advice $BTC, short at 82816.7, 100x leverage, currently floating profit 269%, mark price 80581, just glanced at the latest 80579.
Honestly, this night is a bit tough. Not nervous, just watching it grind down from 86656 to 80351, like someone is slowly clearing the table—not smashing the market, just closing up shop. The big bullish candle is gone, the longs chasing are gone, and the news still pops up "Derive V3 migration, trading resumed," but watching it makes me want to turn it off. On-chain activity is lively, but the money in the market isn’t following, it’s all talk.
When I shorted at 82816.7, I wasn’t pretending to be a genius. I just saw that 84 and 83 couldn’t hold, and 82 was still stubborn, but once it broke, it went with the flow. Now all the moving averages are pressing down on the head: 81945, 82762, 84118, 84591, 84406, 84071, and the price 80579 is lying below, like someone who wasn’t invited but is still lingering in the hall.
269% profit makes me happy, but I’m not getting carried away. 80351 is the immediate low; whether it breaks or not, let it go its own way; if it breaks 80k with volume, I’m looking around 78800. If it can’t rebound back to 81900-82800, then the bulls’ "bottom fishing" looks like handing me a knife. If it really stands back at 82816, I’m out, no fighting, no arguing with the chart.To conclude first: $ETH is not a slow bear; it was the 4H volume spike at dawn that woke everyone up.
24h dropped 5.28%, from 2554 to 2417, with a trading volume of 9.8 billion.
The key is the 4H candle at 20:00 on 10-08: O 2536.43, H 2541, H-O almost zero—opened and got smashed immediately, no buying resistance; L 2428, single candle -4.3%; volume 18,917,686 ETH (about $47B nominal value).
Previously, ETH volume in the last 12 4H periods ranged between 1-5M. This one directly hit 18.9M, 8-10 times the baseline, 3.7 times the previous 5.14M candle. Immediately after, at 00:00, volume was already 7.72M ETH, L 2405 broke a new low again.
Typical chain liquidation fingerprint: almost zero upper wick → direct waterfall → high volume bearish close → no decent rebound. Longs caught at the top got liquidated in a chain, passive selling pressure piled up, no real buying support.
Breadth: 274 coins, 241 down, median -5.94%. BTC also down -2.96%. This ETH candle tells you: these days are not a "buy the dip" script, but a "don’t catch a falling knife" script.
Seeing this volume level at 2 AM, what you should do is not place orders watching the chart, but go back to sleep and wait for daylight.
This soul-cutting $ETH candle—do you think 2400 can hold?🔥The biggest mistake people make with BTC right now is thinking "it's time to buy the dip" just because it has dropped several thousand points.
📉 Behind this round of decline, both macro factors and leverage are applying pressure simultaneously: US Treasury yields surged, the dollar strengthened, the Fed remains hawkish, and a large number of long positions were forcibly liquidated.
🧠 So my current strategy is simple: don't guess the bottom, only act on confirmation.
#DailyOrbit If you can't hold your position, go into spot trading; if you can't hold spot, then put it into on-chain DeFi. Remember not to be long one moment and short the next! It took me a year to learn this lesson. Hype lost 20%, Uni lost 100%, ZEC scared me off, Lit was abandoned due to insufficient funds for allocation, Zmam was the same, Aave lost 30%. Looking back at half a year of painful experience, the biggest problem was being indecisive.The regulatory scythe falls, ZEC rises against the trend, and a U.S. court rules that users accessing Tornado Cash from Manhattan can have the developers tried in New York.
The founder of Bitcoin Fog was also upheld in conviction.
The logic is absurd: law enforcement in Washington deposited 250 USD worth of BTC and thus claimed jurisdiction there.
Privacy tools are facing unprecedented long-arm suppression.
At this moment, ZEC rose 1.81% against the trend, quoted at 1135 USD.
Why?
With mixers under siege, funds can only seek refuge in established privacy coins.
ZEC comes with zero-knowledge proofs, becoming an outlet for sentiment.
But don’t get carried away.
The regulatory blade could fall on ZEC at any time.
Privacy is a rigid demand, but compliance is the lifeline.Writing
📊 BTC, STRK & JUP: The Market Is Getting Interesting
$BTC continues to test the lows around $82,093, while $STRK has surged 22% and $JUP is still up around 13.7% despite pulling back from its intraday high.
🔹 $BTC: Below the 1H EMA20 at $82,910, RSI near 28. Positions are rising while price falls, suggesting leverage is building but long pressure has not fully cleared.
🔹 support is around $81,200.
No FOMO. No chasing candles. Let BTC confirm the direction first.#DailyOrbit $PYTH Pyth Network has launched a 100% rule, using all DAO funds to repurchase PYTH tokens as reserves, providing continuous buy-side support for the token.
At the same time, its data business revenue grew rapidly from less than $1 million at the end of 2025 to $11.5 million by September 2026, demonstrating rapid business expansion.
Currently, the reserves hold 42 million PYTH tokens, reflecting the project's confidence in long-term value. Market Notes: Bears Pressing In, Who Can Hold On?
After $BTC lost the 82700 support line, the bears clearly took control of the pace. The low hit 82100, though it was quickly pulled back near 87800, this rebound feels more like a breather: buying power is weak, MACD shows a death cross below the zero line, and the 82000 level looks shaky. If it breaks down again, the downside space could continue to open up.
$ETH is showing strength today. After dipping to 2532, it has been hovering above 2555 with some patching up, not collapsing along with BTC. However, many are bottom-fishing above support, so the chips haven't been fully washed out, which might not be a good sign. Personally, I feel another dip to shake out positions would make the trend healthier.
$MET paints a different picture: bulls pushed from 0.31 all the way to 0.53, a one-sided short squeeze with bears powerless to fight back. Earlier short positions got stopped out at 0.85, narrowly avoiding disaster. If the rally loses steam later, consider shorting again.
Regarding positions, I’m still holding short positions on ETH and the Nasdaq. The Nasdaq almost stopped me out in the morning session, and profits have mostly been given back, but thankfully I didn’t let go.
The above are just my personal market insights and do not constitute any trading advice. #9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息 #ETF仍在流入，BTC为何下跌？ #跟着OKX打卡2049 At 2 a.m., the light from the computer screen hit my face. Just about to close the software and sleep, I glanced at my XRP position: a 100x short opened at 1.5171, now at 1.3265, with an unrealized profit of 1256.34%.
Honestly, my heart skipped a beat when the numbers popped up. But staying up late is risky—100x leverage means a 1% reversal can halve profits. I rubbed my eyes and set conditional orders: first, cut 80% of the position at the current price to lock in profits, then protect the remaining position by moving the stop to 1.40.
1.30 is short-term support; if it breaks, watch 1.20. If it rebounds to 1.40, reduce the position; if it returns to 1.5171, exit fully. I brewed a cup of cold tea and turned off my phone. Paper profits aren’t the balance—getting a good night's sleep is more important than holding on for a few more points. $BTC $ETH #ETF仍在流入，BTC为何下跌？ $ETH, short at 2558.55, 100x leverage, currently floating profit 562%, mark price 2414.52.
The 4-hour chart doesn't look good for any embellishment: dropped from 2724, couldn't hold at 2586, then chopped down in segments, now hovering around 2405. MA5 2503, MA10 2541, MA20 2617, MA30 2647, MA60 2668, MA120 2675, price 2414 all below, moving averages like a lid pressing down.
News also popped up: "Soda Labs $3 million seed round, led by NextBlock," which just makes me laugh. Stories are told, but money doesn't follow. The price slid from 2558 to 2414; there were attempts to rebound in between, but all rebounds were weak, buying pressure felt like passersby, not guests staying.
I shorted in at 2558.55 with one thought: fake strength above, real weakness below. Holding 562% now, not pretending to be calm, nor getting overconfident. 2405 is the immediate low; whether it breaks or not, I'll wait for it to play out; if it breaks with volume, watch 2380, 2350. If rebounds can't reach 2500-2540, the bearish trend remains. If it truly stands back at 2558, I'll exit, no emotional attachment to the chart.UNI secures a 10-year banking contract; price decline cannot overshadow fundamental evolution. Unipol and Bper Banca announce extension of their bancassurance partnership for 10 years.
Traditional financial institutions value technological availability and regulatory stability over short-term token price fluctuations. A 10-year contract signifies that the UNI protocol has passed the most rigorous commercial tests and has been integrated into mainstream financial workflows. However, token holders have not gained direct benefits from this — a common "value capture" dilemma faced by DeFi tokens.
Market impact: fundamentals are improving while prices are falling. This divergence indicates that current selling pressure stems more from market sentiment and liquidity contraction rather than deterioration of project fundamentals. In the long term, whoever solves the value capture issue first will lead the way out of the quagmire.
$BTC: Market suppressed, passively following.
$XRP: No direct correlation, following market fluctuations.
$UNI: Short-term oversold, mid-term logic recognized by institutions.
Institutions look at ten years, retail investors look at three days. UNI's decline may actually be a window for long-term capital to quietly position itself. CRYPTO MARKET TURNS RISK-OFF
Bitcoin is testing $81K as ETF outflows, rising oil prices, and leveraged liquidations pressure risk assets.
→ BTC: ~$81K
→ BTC ETFs: ~$485M outflow
→ ETH ETFs: $161M outflow
→ Oil: Brent ~$103–105
→ Stablecoins: ~$300–305B
The market is deleveraging, not capitulating. ETF flows, oil, and macro sentiment remain key.
$BTC
#BTCETFFlowParadox Finally, it's my turn to take the profit! I want to say thanks to the whale, no need to go to the kitchen to get your dollars today! 😎
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Earlier I was complaining about the whale slowly eating away my profits, but this early morning plunge was a total free fall! From 82,000 straight down through 81,000, hitting a low of 80,351. My take-profit order perfectly triggered at 81,865!
【This short position, from being trapped to taking.
$BTC
#DailyOrbit $BTC $XAU — Were We Misled by Last Night’s PCE Data?
The market may have misread yesterday’s PCE data.
The U.S. Department of Commerce reportedly changed the statistical methodology behind several key PCE indicators, which significantly affected the reported numbers.
For example, July’s expected reading was 3.3%, but under the revised methodology, the reported figure came in at 3.0% — a 30bp difference.
#DailyOrbit When $XRP has a floating profit of 608%, what you should think about is not "how much more can it rise," but "how not to lose it back."
Short at 1.4129, mark price at 1.3269, with 100x leverage, every 1% reverse movement eats about 100% of the floating profit. The current price is only 6.1% away from the entry point, meaning a rebound to 1.38 will bring you back to break-even. XRP's short-term downtrend is clear, but there is dense buying below 1.32, and the funding rate, after an extreme negative value, could reverse at any time, driving a short squeeze.
My trading discipline is: floating profit is not money, closing the position is. I plan to close 75% of the position to lock in profits directly, and set the remaining 25% as a "zero-cost position" — moving the stop loss to 1.338; if it falls below 1.30, I will watch 1.25; if it rebounds above 1.35, I will take full profit and exit, using the smallest exposure to bet on the tail-end move. $ETH $BTC #ETF仍在流入，BTC为何下跌？ Bitcoin is under pressure.
Solana is under pressure too.
But here's what I find interesting:
When the market turns defensive, higher-beta assets usually reveal that risk appetite is disappearing faster.
That's why I watch SOL alongside BTC.
Not because they move the same way.
Because they often reveal different levels of risk appetite.
#DailyOrbit 40u challenge to 15k u
Day 38 After a pullback, the yield hits a new high
Principal 40u, target 15k u
Current profit: 186U Crypto circle today's detailed breakdown: BTC bleeding, ETH critical, ZEC overdosed, SOL lying flat playing dead 😅
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$BTC bleeding #ETF still flowing in, why is BTC falling?
BTC currently around $82,300-83,000, down over 1.5% in 24 hours, having broken below the daily uptrend support at 82,500. The "good news" from the non-farm payrolls lasted less than 24 hours, with October rate hike probability dropping to 17%, but the 10-year US Treasury yield rose instead of falling, jumping from 5.16% to 5.36%, and the 30-year hit 5.73%, both reaching 24-year highs. Short-term expectations are down, long-term yields remain unchanged — this is the real problem.
The ETF side is even more painful. On October 7, a single-day net outflow of $485 million occurred, the largest single-day outflow since June, wiping out all net inflows since October began. On October 6, there was still a $119 million net inflow; IBIT was holding, but flipped the next day. 87,000 is the ceiling; after breaking 82,500, the next defense line is at 80,700-81,000. The IV line is not infusing liquidity but drawing blood back.
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$ETH critical #FollowOKXCheckIn2049
ETH currently around $2,532-2,571, down about 1.3% in 24 hours, having broken the key support at 2,565, which has now turned from support into resistance.
ETF has had net outflows for 7 consecutive trading days, totaling over $408 million, with $161 million running out on October 7 alone; BlackRock's ETHA withdrew $116 million. More dangerously, whale liquidation risk is expanding, with multiple pressures simultaneously applied. The short position liquidation pressure at 2,816 remains, 73% of positions are long with no improvement in crowding, and the price has broken the short-term uptrend structure. Critical as it is, after breaking 2,565, 2,450-2,480 is the next observation point.
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$ZEC overdosed #Global long-term government bond yields rise to multi-year highs
ZEC has retraced 29% from $1,697, touching lows today at $1,199-1,241, currently around $1,210-1,235, down 6%-8% in 24 hours. The effect is not fading, it's overdosed.
Grayscale Zcash ETF (ZCSH) had a weekly outflow of $93.56 million last week, with no net inflows since September 22, and cumulative net inflows shrinking from $233 million to $201 million. After trading sideways between $1,271-1,369 for 5 days, the price finally broke down. The $1,233 lifeline is broken, next is the $1,199 low test. Overdosing leads to this outcome, don't catch a flying knife.
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SOL lying flat playing dead
SOL has been kicked down from $123.8 to $110-112, dropping 10% in two days, currently around $111.92, down 3.77% in 24 hours.
ETF fund flows plunged from a net inflow of $188 million in the last week of September to $2.42 million last week, with net outflows for three consecutive trading days on October 5, 6, and 7 totaling $17.7 million; Bitwise BSOL alone withdrew $7.12 million. Three consecutive days of bleeding. More trouble comes from oil prices — Brent crude returned above $104, 10-year US Treasury yield remains high at 5.34%, multiple macro pressures converge. SOL's 7-day SMA is at 119.57, 20-day SMA at 116.31, and the price has broken both. $110-116 is the current support zone, $104 is the next downside target. Playing dead or not, the rope is already frayed.
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The non-farm payroll good news was strangled by long-term US Treasury yields and oil prices. BTC ETF had a single-day outflow of $485 million, a June record; ETH ETF has bled for 7 consecutive days totaling over $400 million; ZEC ETF has had zero net inflows since September 22; SOL ETF has had net outflows for 3 consecutive days.
The October rate hike probability has indeed dropped to 17%, and the market has basically priced it out. But long-term yields have risen for the fifth consecutive week to 5.36%, Brent crude is back above $104; these two mountains remain unmoved, making all rebounds a gamble. The good news is that BTC ETF cumulative net inflows in September still stand at $2.6 billion, institutional base remains. The bad news is that the first few days of October have given back more than half of September's gains.
Hold your hands. 82,500 is broken, 80,700 is the next defense line. 😅 The recent sharp drop inevitably reminds people of the fear on the night of 10.11 a year ago.
Since the trend reversal this year, we seem to have witnessed many myths, but in fact, only 5 major coins still have positive returns compared to back then:
- $ZEC
- $HYPE
- $NEAR
- $UNI
- $TRX
Even among the survivors, 4 tokens have hit or approached a 50% drop during this period, with only $TRX performing steadily.
Who said you can't participate in Sun Ge's project?
#DailyOrbit 交易的首要任务不是赚多少钱，而是管理自己的行为，让风险始终处于可控范围，并且保持交易逻辑的一致性。 一、交易的第一原则：控制行为，其次才是盈利 市场的走势无法由我们决定，单笔交易的结果也无法完全控制，但我们可以控制自己的行为。 * 能不能等到计划中的位置再进场。 * 能不能按照预先定义的逻辑止损。 * 盈利后能不能遵守原定的退出规则。 * 连续亏损后能不能停止，而不是急于回本。 * 行情没有机会时，能不能忍住不交易。 盈利是交易系统长期运行的结果，而不是每一笔交易必须完成的任务。 如果把盈利放在第一位，就容易为了赚钱而改变规则；如果把风险和行为控制放在第一位，就有机会让自己长期留在市场中。 你无法要求每一笔交易都盈利，但可以要求每一笔交易都符合自己的规则。 二、不同的交易周期，必须有不同的行为标准 1. 短线交易：快进快出 核心是捕捉短时间内的价格变化。进场理由、失效条件和退出方式必须明确，不能因为亏损就临时把短线变成波段。 行为纪律：不拖延、不恋战、不随意扩大止损。 2. 日内交易：当天完成交易计划 主要捕捉日内行情，不把隔夜风险带入账户。如果规则规定不留仓，就必须在规定时间内平仓，⚠️ WHAT'S DRIVING THE TAPE:
1️⃣ Macro Friction: Rumors of potential military strike options push Brent crude over $105/bbl. Hawkish Fed minutes revive rate hike fears, sinking tech & crypto.
2️⃣ Mega RWA Launch: Securitize officially rolls out tokenized Apple, Nvidia, and Microsoft stocks on the Solana blockchain with economic share rights.
3️⃣ Samsung Adoption: Samsung Wallet integrates Solana-powered USDC stablecoin transfers across 82 million U.S. Galaxy devices.
#DailyOrbit Revoking delegation is a stop-loss action, not an asset recovery button.
After detecting an abnormal delegation, pointing EIP-7702 to a null address can restore the account to a state without delegation code. This step is crucial, but it can only terminate subsequent logic; it cannot reverse transfers that have already occurred, nor can it automatically revoke prior authorizations granted to token contracts, lending protocols, or trading applications. Treating "clear delegation" as a "one-click recovery" will cause one to miss the real window for proper handling.
A more complete emergency procedure should revolve around control: first, use a trusted device to check if the root private key is still secure; then remove suspicious delegations, check token authorizations and session keys; finally, migrate high-value $ETH to a new secure account.
If the root key itself has been compromised, repeatedly revoking on the old address alone still allows the attacker to reset delegations with the same key, leading to a race condition between both parties.
Account abstraction equips wallets with more repair tools but does not change the fact that on-chain transactions cannot be arbitrarily rolled back. The value of security design lies in shortening the time between detection and loss prevention, not in promising full recovery after an incident. For holders, rehearsing the recovery process in advance is more useful than studying buttons only after a problem occurs.In the afternoon, BTC dipped with a wick down to 82150 before gradually recovering, rebounding above 83200, and has not refreshed a new low for now.
In contrast, Ethereum's earlier trend was resistant to both rises and falls; after dipping to 2543 in the afternoon, the rebound was weak, followed by a direct drop to a new low of 2525, showing a clearly weaker trend.
The short-term strategy focuses on shorting the rebound:
BTC: open short positions around 83300, add to shorts.
#DailyOrbit $BTC came back late tonight but still streamed for almost 2 hours, so let's summarize today's market views. Following the post this morning reminding everyone not to rush to bottom-fish, the early session close candlestick clearly showed the bears just starting and no bottom yet. Tonight it directly dropped to around 80300. The live room gave a strategy: 80388 for the initial position - 78888 for the add-on position. The initial position has already been filled. The current resistance zone on the rebound is in the 81800-82300 range, which is the previous low and the area where earlier short positions were trapped and then released. The first drop to the 80,000 level should still see some slight rebound. If it can't even rebound here and stops in the 81300-81500 range, then the drop to the 80,000 level will definitely break through. So friends who got filled at 80388 should pay attention to the rebound, either exit on your own or set a stop loss at your cost price.Once the $SOL trend is established, it won't easily reverse. I just hope it doesn't hit my break-even line and force me out, just like in my previous post, where Bitcoin will have another deep drop around 55000, and sol will be near 70.Trump says the US and Iran are having productive talks and will not attack Iran before the midterm elections
US stocks also plunged, and Trump, as usual, came out with positive news, but once the sentiment turns bad, even positive news can't save BTC and ETH.
Let alone SNDK, MU, Micron, and the like?
It's all about shared fortunes.
$BTC
$ETH During the narrative downturn, shorting small-cap coins offers great cost-effectiveness, and $SAND has directly achieved triple returns in this wave.
$SAND is essentially a blockchain game + metaverse concept coin, with its market driven entirely by narrative and hype. After this rebound, no new ecological benefits have materialized, and the old stories can no longer be hyped, so funds naturally begin to withdraw. Coupled with the recent decline in overall market risk appetite, small-cap coins generally fall more than mainstream coins. Technically, the four-hour chart shows multiple failed attempts to break the 0.07 resistance level, with volume continuously shrinking; after confirming a bearish divergence, the price broke down, officially starting a bearish trend.
I entered a short position around 0.06973, currently yielding 307.61%. Operationally, I have already taken partial profits at the first target level, securing most of the position to lock in gains, while keeping the remaining base position with a trailing stop to continue holding, aiming to play for deeper support levels below. $ZEC #9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息 Absolutely — here’s a natural, polished English version for posting:
Why Is BTC Falling Despite ETF Inflows?
#September FOMC Minutes: Most Officials Still Lean Toward Another Rate Hike
I just finished reading the September FOMC minutes, and my first reaction was: the hawkish rhetoric sounds scarier than the actual data.#DailyOrbit $MUBARAK This shot hurts more than the nurse's injection
MUBARAK's price plunged from 0.0797 to 0.074 within 1 hour.
Those who chased the pump just shouted "Go!" and were carried away the next second.
24-hour high was 0.0785, low 0.0702, with volatility exceeding 11%.
Meme coins have thin liquidity and heavy sentiment; when the contract squeezes, it's a cut both ways.
What you see as a breakout, the whales see as your stop loss.
The most frustrating part is, after the plunge, it pulled back to 0.0746, as if nothing happened.
Nurses disinfect when giving injections, but Meme coin plunges only cause liquidations.
This is just a market rant, not investment advice.Big brother Maji really suffered a brutal hit this time. The total position plummeted directly from the previous 111 million to the current 14.73 million USD.
BTC, HYPE, and PUMP are all gone, probably liquidated or cut losses. Now the account only has ETH left as the sole survivor, still holding on desperately.
Look at the ETH data. The quantity sharply dropped from the previous 39,000 coins to the current 6,100 coins. 25x full position, entry price 2624. Currently floating loss is over 1.27 million USD. The most outrageous is the funding fee, which actually cost 1.34 million, the funding fee is even more than the floating loss, this is basically the market mercilessly draining blood on the ground.
The most critical is the liquidation price. 2380. Based on the current value, the current price is about 2415, only about 35 USD away from the liquidation line, less than 1.5% margin. Just a slight drop and this position will be gone.
The previous 111 million big long position has now shrunk to just over 10 million, still hanging on the edge of a cliff. Big brother really got harshly schooled by the market this time. Let's see if these last 6,100 ETH can survive this life-and-death ordeal.
$ETH $HYPE $BTC The current pressure on crypto isn't simply because spot buyers disappeared. The bigger issue is that higher risk-free rates are compressing the valuation ceiling for risk assets. On October 7, long-term yields moved sharply higher across major markets. The US 10Y approached 5.36% and the 30Y around 5.70%, while UK and European long-duration yields also came under pressure. Why? Markets are repricing several risks at once: higher oil prices, sticky inflation, fiscal deficits and bond supply, pluPreviously, the crypto market theme was hotly speculated, and SNDK experienced a strong rally. The community was bullish, and while the price continued to rise, selling pressure above kept accumulating. After the market weakened, a correction began.
$SNDK perpetual contract shorted at 75x leverage, opening average price 1698.9, achieving a 418.06% position profit.
High-level oscillations caused a shakeout; after being trapped by chasing highs, the price continued to decline. Not swayed by bullish sentiment, firmly held the position through this correction.
Held short positions continuously moved down to take profits and lock in gains, with small positions continuing to speculate on deeper downside.
If you haven't entered yet, don't blindly follow the short trend; don't be misled by continuous declines. Patiently wait for a rebound to meet resistance before considering entry timing.
After the concentrated release of bearish power, a quick rebound could come at any time. Prepare in advance to respond. $BTC $ETH #9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息