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[Old Chive Observation] Damn, did the billionaire remember the password?
A BTC address that has been dormant for 13.1 years suddenly woke up today. It holds 801 BTC, worth about $68.3 million.
Even more astonishing, the purchase price of this batch of BTC was only about $125-$412 at the time. Currently, the only on-chain activity seen is a small test transfer of about $43, with no evidence that the 801 BTC has started to be dumped.
$BTC $ZEC weekend market was more disgusting than eating fly droppings, this demon coin gave me a harsh lesson: never underestimate an oversold rebound. 50x high position short cost 830, now the price has directly surged to around 1330, two positions floating loss nearly 2000U, return rate negative over three thousand. Originally thought it would continue to fall after sideways consolidation, but the bulls directly reversed the trend and lifted, now cutting losses with huge losses, holding positions fearing further breakthrough of 1346 resistance, now caught in a dilemma. High leverage holding positions is like putting shackles on yourself, proper position management is the only way to make money. This is why I always say: big money follows trends, small money plays games.
A friend just sent me this chart asking if I was worried. Honestly, seeing the NEAR short position with a floating loss of -92%, I feel nothing inside, even a bit amused.
Let's break down the logic of this position:
Base position as the anchor: a 10x leveraged long on BTC, holding 10 coins. Bought at 84,106 and sold at 85,231, floating profit +11,250 U. This is money made from the trend; as long as the major direction doesn't break the strong liquidation price of 75,900, this 10,000 U is a solid profit safety cushion.
High-level top testing: the NEAR short position, 50x leverage shorting 7,000 U worth, with margin only about 600 U. The average short price was 4.791, now at 4.88. Does the -92% return look scary? Actually, the absolute loss is only -620 U.
This is how the pros do the math:
They take the 11,000 U profit earned from BTC and use 600 U to gamble on a high-level pullback of an altcoin.
If they win, it's a pleasant surprise;
If they lose, it's just like paying a fee to the exchange, not hurting the principal at all. $BTC $NEAR The rise in tips reflects competition for block priority
Ethereum transaction fees consist of a base fee and a priority fee. The base fee is adjusted and burned by the protocol based on block usage, while the priority fee is paid to validators to help transactions get included faster. A sudden increase in tips during a certain period usually means many transactions are competing for limited ordering slots, rather than the on-chain computation itself suddenly becoming more expensive by the same multiple.
This competition may come from popular minting, liquidations, arbitrage, or intense market volatility. For ordinary users, blindly increasing tips does not always improve outcomes: if a transaction is set incorrectly, the Nonce is stuck, or the contract will revert, paying more aggressively only results in faster failure. Wallets should distinguish between base fee pressure and priority competition, providing reasonable speed options instead of summarizing all situations with a vague "network congestion."
For $ETH, tips go to validators, while the base fee enters the burn path; the two have different economic implications. When analyzing fees, treating total Gas as burned overestimates supply impact; focusing only on burned fees ignores the security budget validators receive. A fee spike is more like a thermometer of network demand; sustained, distributed, and real business usage better supports long-term value assessment.$BNB
Rises nearly 2%, can the relative strength form continuity?
The 24-hour range observed today is 764.7–792.9, with a window change of about +1.98%, and a trading volume of approximately 6.07 million USDT.
The increase exceeds BTC's change in the same period, indicating relative leadership. However, leadership is not a fixed attribute; if the market stabilizes but BNB loses gains, the strength assessment should be lowered.
If it subsequently breaks above 792.9, holds on a pullback, and trading volume supports it, I will raise my judgment on continuation; if it falls below 764.7 and the rebound fails to recover, I will lower the judgment. The above boundaries come from this observation window and need to be rechecked after market changes.$SNDK started to continuously decline after surging near 1900, and the latest price has dropped to around $1720, with a single-day decline close to 3.8%. From the trend, after continuous pressure around 1900, short-term bulls have clearly begun to cool down.
What needs to be watched most now is actually around 1720. This level has seen multiple supports in the past few days. If it can hold here, the rebound will first target the 1780–1800 range; only by reclaiming 1800 can there be a chance to challenge the previous highs again.
If 1720 is effectively broken down, the short-term structure will weaken further, with support levels below at 1700 and around the previous 1650.
My approach is quite simple: do not chase shorts near 1720, first observe the strength of the support; if the rebound to around 1800 is again met with volume resistance, then it is more suitable to consider selling at high levels. The real buying point waits for support confirmation, and the selling point depends on whether resistance reappears.Opened position at 0.4193, marked at 0.3838, steadily sloping downwards, no sharp pullback or deep V. $PONS perpetual 20x short, +169.32%.
Overall a relatively healthy downtrend, entry cost is above, price running below, short position logic intact. But near 0.3838 enters short-term trading zone, if support is met at low levels, a rebound confirmation is inevitable.
Technical response: watch the 0.38-0.39 range performance, breaking below 0.38 means continuation of the downtrend; if it stands back above 0.40, the structure changes. No prediction, will act after market signals. $BTC $ETH #美联储与欧洲央行将公布9月会议纪要 $BTC $ETH Some comments say that if BTC doesn't fall, ETH won't fall either, or it won't fall much; ETH follows BTC, the big market. Actually, from a short-term market perspective, this statement is correct, but from a long-term perspective, it is wrong.
Why do I short ETH instead of BTC? Can you imagine ETH at 5400? I can't imagine it, but I can really imagine BTC at 160,000. This is the biggest difference between BTC, ETH, and other altcoins.
Simply put, BTC, as the whole crypto market, has never let the bulls down, while any other coin besides it, even ETH, has performed quite weakly in the 2025 bull market.
In the entire 2025 bull market, only BTC hit new highs and doubled in price. Did other coins do that?
This is why I short Ethereum. Go ahead, how far can you push it? 3000? 4000?
ETH's ceiling has long been fixed, and even for BTC, this might be the last bull market. Future fluctuations will tend to stabilize, rather than be as volatile as now. #美联储与欧洲央行将公布9月会议纪要 #BTC现货ETF重回流入，ETH资金持续流出 #贝森特：美债收益率上升符合全球趋势 Why is $CORE $CORECORE said to be a scam?
Many people define CORE as a "sophisticated packaging scam." It is not a direct exit scam or Ponzi scheme, but it has very strong harvesting attributes, which is a consensus within the community. First, its biggest problem is the false Bitcoin hashrate narrative, promoting reliance on BTC hashrate and the strongest decentralized public chain, but in reality, it is purely conceptual packaging with no substantial binding to the Bitcoin security system, making it a typical story-driven coin hype. Second, the token mechanism is extremely draining, with a huge total supply and an 81-year long-term continuous unlocking and issuance, meaning the market always faces a constant stream of selling pressure, and retail investors are trapped long-term.
More critically, the project team's credibility has collapsed. There was a major code vulnerability exposed, hackers minted a massive amount of excess tokens, exchanges collectively suspended transfers and urgently performed a hard fork to save the market, exposing extremely unstable underlying technology. At the same time, the team’s large token holdings are opaque; they once pledged huge amounts of tokens to cash out loans, posing a constant risk of concentrated dumping.
Its ecosystem is extremely hollow, with almost no real-world applications or on-chain revenue; the price is entirely supported by hype and new retail investors buying in. All price increases are driven by capital speculation, and once the market weakens, it continuously declines, trapping countless people.
In summary: CORE is a heavily packaged, weak technology, strong unlocking, pure speculation project with no long-term value, relying solely on hype to harvest retail investors. This is the core reason why the entire network identifies it as leaning towards a scam. 🔥 Two days after the non-farm payrolls, the contract market is getting hit on both sides: on Friday during the rally, shorts were liquidated about $240 million, and during the pullback, longs were liquidated about $320 million
⚡ BTC perpetual contracts hold about $67.9 billion, with leverage still stacked around 87,000; ETH single-day liquidations also exceed $100 million
⏰ Before Monday's ISM, is this leverage a powder keg or just a house of cards?
📊 Contract data snapshot
· Friday rally (24h): liquidations about $333 million, shorts about $244 million
· Saturday pullback (24h): liquidations about $434 million, longs about $322 million, accounting for 74%
· BTC liquidations about $104 million (longs $74.5 million | shorts $29.18 million)
· ETH liquidations about $105 million
· BTC perpetual contracts hold about $67.9 billion
🔍 Analysis
1️⃣ Pump then dump, longs chasing the rally and shorts betting against it are being liquidated in turn
2️⃣ Around 87,000 there are many liquidation levels stacked; if it breaks above, shorts get squeezed again; if it falls below 83,900, it could trigger more cascading liquidations, targeting 80,000
🎯 Key levels: upside 87,000 | downside 83,900
Before Monday's ISM, what's your contract position?
A No position B Light position C Heavy position 👇
$BTC $ETH $SOL #美联储与欧洲央行将公布9月会议纪要 20x long position floating profit 277%, the position direction finally aligns with the market. $MUBARAK perpetual 20x long, +277.71% (0.066247→0.075446).
After opening the position, the price pushed to 0.075446, an approximate 14% increase from 0.066247. With 20x leverage, the account shows nearly triple gains. The current mark price is at the short-term upper edge; volume and price are decent during the push, but near the previous high area, selling pressure is likely.
Currently hovering around 0.0754, neither accelerating nor deeply retracing. Strategy: if volume increases and it holds above 0.0755, look higher; if it pulls back, hold as long as it stays near 0.072; if it breaks below 0.07, tighten the defense line. The 20x leverage has a wider margin for error than 50x but is not invincible. $BTC $ETH #美联储与欧洲央行将公布9月会议纪要 $UNI perpetual 50x short position, opened at 9.268, currently 9.037, floating profit +124.62%.
I've been watching this trade for quite a while. The 9.268 level was repeatedly tested but never broken; every time it neared this area, there was selling pressure. After confirming the top was valid, I decisively shorted on the bearish candle. Using 50x leverage, the position size was pushed to the extreme.
Currently floating profit is +124.62%, and the trailing stop has been moved to 9.1. Not greedy, locking in profits first.
$ETH $ZEC #BTC现货ETF重回流入，ETH资金持续流出 Open your own contract exchange on Hyperliquid, the entry ticket is 500,000 HYPE
This is HIP-3. Since its launch on October 13 last year, anyone who stakes 500,000 HYPE can deploy their own perpetual DEX on HyperCore, choosing their own assets, setting their own leverage, and listing stocks, gold, and crude oil. The first three markets are free, and subsequent slots are auctioned off via Dutch auction, one every 31 hours.
A year has passed, and the report card is out. SEC filings reveal that as of August 23, HIP-3 markets accounted for 48% of the platform's 30-day trading volume, with a cumulative turnover of $514 billion. At the beginning of the year, this proportion was only 2%. The fastest runner, TradeXYZ, is known for its US stock index contracts.
What does this mean for HYPE? Behind each new DEX is 500,000 staked and locked HYPE; for every transaction, fees are shared between the protocol and the deployer. The more exchanges opened, the more HYPE is locked inside, thinning the circulating supply. This story is only halfway told.$ZEC long position from last night took profit today
The price tried multiple times to break through but was suppressed by ema55
Indicating that the mid-term resistance is effective
The bulls cannot advance further for now
Wait for Monday's opening
Then look for the next opportunity $STRK
On-chain signal: A certain crypto KOL address purchased approximately 17.45 million STRK about 13 hours ago, spending $767,000 at an average price of $0.0439. The current unrealized profit has reached $170,000-1.
Short-term momentum: Screenshots show STRK entered the 5-minute gain leaderboard twice consecutively at 22:45 and 22:46 (+0.99%, +1.26%), with a 24-hour increase of 23.93%, currently trading around $0.05338-1.
Reason for attention: Large capital has positioned early and is in profit, short-term momentum appears continuously, indicating sustained capital interest, but caution is needed against selling pressure from KOL profit-taking.Core Long-Short Logic: Rare Consensus Between Smart Money and Retail Bullish
Dimension 📈 Bullish Signals 📉 Bearish Risks
Technical Aspect: All moving averages aligned bullish; RSI at 64.58 ideal level; low-volume consolidation suggests expansion MACD zero line momentum exhausted; clear resistance at 85,217-85,402
Capital Flow: BlackRock iShares monthly inflow $1.57 billion; ETF net inflow for three consecutive weeks ETF weekly inflow sharply down 96.5% from previous week; Binance sell wall at 85,000-85,500
Derivatives: Funding rate -0.0013% (shorts pay); top traders long-short ratio 1.2578 active buy-sell ratio 1.44 shows buyer enthusiasm but needs volume confirmation
Macro: Weak nonfarm payrolls, October rate hike probability down to 15%-17% Iran geopolitical risk persists; Brent crude still near $100
Derivatives market signals are unusually clear: current funding rate is -0.0013%, in a neutral to slightly negative range, meaning shorts pay longs. In a bull market, over-leveraged longs usually push funding rates positive, but the current $85,000 price is not propped up by leveraged longs but naturally formed. Top traders’ long-short ratio is 1.2578 (55.7% long), retail long-short ratio also 1.2297 (55.1% long), both capital directions aligned, completely eliminating traditional contrarian signals. $BTC $ETH $ZEC #VanEck：比特币或继续扩大市场份额 The underlying asset rose 6.5%, the paper profit more than tripled, and the leverage mirror really shines. $SAND perpetual 50x long, +327.30% (0.07302→0.0778).
From 0.07302 to 0.0778 itself, the spot perspective is not exaggerated, but 50x magnifies the volatility to the extreme. Rocket chart paired with long position, the visual and the position are finally in sync.
The essence of high leverage: volatility amplifies your results and also compresses your margin for error. 0.075 is short-term defense; if it breaks down, don't talk about sentiment. If it can hold above 0.078 with volume, the space will truly open up. $BTC $ETH #美联储与欧洲央行将公布9月会议纪要 2025年8月中旬，OKX官方黑底白字的智能合约销毁记录弹出，整个加密二级市场盯住了同一个数字：21,000,000。 在此之前，OKB 的历史总发行量是 3 亿枚。在那场把未发行与回购池彻底抹除的代码重构里，OKX 一次性打入黑洞超 2.79 亿枚代币，拔除了合约的铸造与增发权限，直接把总量卡死在 2100 万枚。那一刻，OKB 在 60 美元附近的筹码结构被彻底改写，通往 120 美元的价格轨道不再是单纯的情绪拉升，而是一场由代币微观结构、交易所清算壁垒与公链底层叙事共同推动的价值重置。 一、分母断崖：2100万总量的物理通缩与流动性真空 传统平台币的模型逻辑跑了整整八年：每季度拿出手续费利润的一定比例去二级市场回购销毁。这套玩法本质上是拉长周期的温和通缩，牛市销毁多，熊市销毁少，但代币总量基数依然庞大，且平台随时保留着对经济参数的自由裁量权。 老周是2019年就建仓OKB的老矿工，手里压着三万多枚现货。他在2025年8月销毁当晚跟我通电话时只说了一句：池子里没鱼了。 他说得非常精确。 在代币流通盘依然按照几亿枚计价时，60 美元的单价对应的是超过 150 亿美元的隐含稀释市值。这$BCH perpetual 50x long position, opened at 311.1, now at 318.2, floating profit +114.11%.
311 support holds, it just won't break down; every time it gets near here, it feels like there's buying support. Believe the bottom has been found, a bullish candle will trigger a direct long. 50x leverage, very small position, stop loss at 305.
Currently +114.11%, moving stop loss to 315. Profit secured, mindset calm.
$ETH $ZEC #美联储与欧洲央行将公布9月会议纪要 "US Treasury Yields Peak, Crypto Circles Go Their Own Ways"
Nonfarm payrolls increased by only 29,000, unemployment rate at 4.2%, rate cut expectations rise again; but the 30-year US Treasury yield broke through 5.6%, hitting a new high since 2002. Macro factors provide no clear direction, crypto must navigate on its own.
Micron's earnings report will be revealed tonight, AI storage faces a major test; US-Iran negotiations restart, price gap too large, don't expect a simple agreement.
$BTC BTC current price 83074. After surging to 86,000 yesterday, it consolidated sideways; 80,000 has turned from resistance to support. 85,000 is the bottom line, 87,000 is the ceiling. Breaking above 87,000 opens imagination space for 88,000–90,000; falling below 85,000, don't rush to buy, 83,000 is the next defense line. Rate cut fluctuations and ETF inflows and outflows guarantee volatility.
$ETH at 2660, relatively resistant to decline, 2700 is the short-term critical point. A 35% staking rate provides a floor, reluctant sellers push prices, but ETFs lack sustained buying, and locked tokens are a double-edged sword.
BTC seeks stability, ETH holds firm, ZEC squeezes shorts. Overall network leverage is high, weekend liquidity is thin, error tolerance is minimal. Keep light positions in spot, always use stop-loss, avoid 50x leverage contracts, no way to hold losing positions. $BTC $ETH $ZEC #美联储与欧洲央行将公布9月会议纪要 #BTC现货ETF重回流入，ETH资金持续流出 #贝森特：美债收益率上升符合全球趋势 Are you still holding UNI at $9?
The treasury burned 100 million tokens in one go, monthly revenue soared from 3 million to 14.7 million, annualized burn exceeds 250 million — yet UNI dropped from 10.9 back to 9, with longs stacked up to 3.8x and still grinding. Is this wave really a “fee switch revaluation” or the “last dance after all the good news has been priced in”?
First, look at the surface: explosive revenue, but price stuck at $9.
Up 46% in the past 30 days, surged to 10.9 then retraced 18% back near $9. Market cap 5.6 billion, circulating supply 625 million, ATH $45, still down 80%. 24-hour range only $0.23, low volume grinding near $9 — this is not choosing a direction, it’s holding back a big move.
First thing: UNI has changed, it’s no longer just a “governance ornament.”
In December 2025, UNIfication passed with 99.9%. When the time lock ended, the treasury directly burned 100 million UNI, worth $596 million at the time.
Sounds like a show? Let me explain the mechanism:
Previously, all Uniswap fees went to liquidity providers, UNI holders got nothing. Now part of the pool fees go into TokenJar, then through Firepit UNI is swapped and permanently burned.
In plain terms: the more active the trading, the more UNI is burned. This is not dividends, it’s buyback and burn.
Holder-related monthly revenue rose from 3-5 million at the start of the year to 9.3 million in August, 14.7 million in September. DefiLlama shows protocol revenue of 15.7 million in the last 30 days, annualized 70 million. Hayden Adams’ annualized burn of 250 million is the full-mechanism estimate — but the direction is right.
Second thing: contract congestion is the biggest short-term risk.
Perpetual positions 258 million, 8-hour funding +0.008%, long-short ratio 3.8.
What does this mean? Longs have piled up like a mountain.
Price is grinding at $9, but longs are aggressively adding positions — meaning those chasing the rally are already on board, what’s missing is new buying power. This structure is most prone to what? A spike to shake out longs.
Look at the chart: 9.10-9.17 is the daily pivot plus today’s high, 9.25-9.48 is thicker resistance. Price has been grinding near $9 all day, no one dares to make the first move.
Third thing: a technical signal that must be taken seriously has appeared.
Daily chart longs still intact — price above all major moving averages, 50-day still above 200-day, RSI 61 in strong zone.
But 1-hour RSI 47, neutral to bearish, today’s range only $0.23. Low volume near support, not high volume choosing direction.
Key levels are clear:
Upside: 9.17 (daily close above to consider 9.27/9.48), above 9.48 then talk 9.66/10.21
Downside: 8.94-8.88, 8.72-8.71 (break below to consider 8.29)
$9 is almost right on the first daily support. Daily close above 9.17 means “platform consolidation”; close below 8.88 means “deeper pullback.”
Long-short showdown, judge for yourself
On one side:
Fee switch implemented, monthly revenue from 3 million to 14.7 million
Treasury burned 100 million tokens, buyback and burn mechanism ongoing
Unichain sorter fees swept into the same mechanism, v4 hooks boosted September burns
Daily long structure intact, up 46% in 30 days
On the other side:
Long-short ratio 3.8, longs extremely crowded, chasing longs easy to get shaken out
24h -1.2%, weaker than BTC, 7d -7%
Protocol only retained 9.5% of fees from Jan to July, still small relative to FDV
If BTC breaks 83,800 effectively, DeFi governance tokens will retrace first
Key level $9, only 28 cents above the death line at 8.72.
Upside resistance: 9.10-9.17 → 9.25-9.27 → 9.48-9.57 → 9.66/10.21 → 10.9
Downside support: 8.94-8.88 → 8.72-8.71 → 8.29 → 7.80
Daily ATR about $0.7-0.8, from 9 to 8.7 or 9.5 can be hit in a day or two.
Trading strategy
Do not chase longs at 9.
This is the upper edge of support, not a breakout. Wait for 4-hour close to hold above 9.17 with volume, then look at 9.27-9.48, stop loss below 8.92. Only above 9.48 talk about 9.66/10.2.
Buy on dips.
Prefer to wait for 8.72-8.88 to show a long lower shadow stop, then scale in, stop loss below 8.55. First target back to 9.17, hold above to look at 9.48. This has a better risk-reward than buying in the middle of $9.
Short only on resistance.
If rebound at 9.25-9.48 shows volume upper wick and 4-hour candle fails to close above, light short, stop loss above 9.60, target 8.94/8.72. Don’t guess the top at $9, daily trend not broken yet.
Invalidation conditions.
Daily close below 8.72, exit longs, next support at 8.29. BTC breaks 83,800 effectively, reduce leverage. Not suitable to hold high leverage overnight before CPI.
Single trade risk control within 1% of account. Long-short ratio already high, chasing longs easy to get shaken out.
UNI fell from 45 to 9, down 80%. Now fee switch implemented, monthly revenue multiplied 5 times, treasury burned 100 million tokens.
You think it’s a “dead DeFi governance token,” but it’s earning 14.7 million every month, then using the money to burn its own tokens.
When it breaks above 9.48, you’ll realize:
It’s not that UNI is bad, it’s that you always sold before the fee switch kicked in.
$BTC $ETH $UNI Cooling employment reduces interest rate hike pressure, but whether BTC, ETH, SOL, and HYPE can continue their momentum still depends on new capital inflows. The US added only 29,000 nonfarm jobs in September, below the expected 90,000, and the unemployment rate rose to 4.2%, easing short-term rate hike pressure from the Federal Reserve and generally favoring risk assets. On the capital side, on October 2, BTC spot ETFs saw net inflows of $29.3 million for FBTC and $2.4 million for MSBT; ETH's FETH had a net outflow of $17.3 million, indicating BTC's capital flow is temporarily stronger. SOL stablecoin market cap is about $16.581 billion, with slight growth on the 7th, but DEX trading volume declined, so on-chain demand still needs observation. Hyperliquid's protocol revenue over the past 30 days is about $54.34 million, with perpetual contract open interest around $8.267 billion, showing strong fundamentals but high leverage also increases volatility risk. Whether the next phase of the market can continue depends on whether ETF buying, stablecoin growth, and on-chain demand can rebound simultaneously. $BTC $ETH $HYPE Account Position Divergence Radar｜Last 15 Minutes
$STRK top accounts lean bearish, position size leans bullish: account long-short ratio 0.82, position ratio 1.08; the difference in proportion between the two types of long positions narrowed by 1.49 percentage points. The divergence is easing, position size still leans bullish; this convergence has not yet caused the two indicators to align in the same direction.On-chain analyst Ai Yi monitored that the whale who seemingly liquidated ETH at an average price of $2709 a week ago is back: this time, they rebuilt their position at an average price of $2695. Four hours ago, they withdrew 3,283.56 ETH from OKX, worth about $8.85 million, which is three times the amount deposited last time. If you ask me, this high sell and low buy play is smoother than anyone else, selling at 2709 and buying at 2695, the profit probably isn't even enough to cover the slippage 🤣. Withdrawing three times the amount in one go, is this a faith-driven buy? 😇
$BTC $ETH$BTC perpetual 100x long position, opened at 84545.9, now at 85136.5, floating profit +69.85%.
The logic is very simple: the 84,500 whole number support was tested three times without breaking, volume is increasing, and the bottom characteristics are obvious. Finally, a bullish candle for the rally appeared, so go long. 100x leverage, stop loss at 84,000. The trend is very smooth, no chance for a pullback.
Trailing stop moved up to 84,800 to lock in profits. If the volume breaks above 86,000, can hold on for more.
$ETH $ZEC #美联储与欧洲央行将公布9月会议纪要 Ryan Cohen spent real money again before the weekend: On 10/2, he bought 700,000 shares of GME at an average price of about 24.41, totaling approximately $17.08 million.
What was seen: Form 4 states the weighted average price that day was about 24.41 (range 24.36–24.44), after which he directly held about 41.65 million shares.
Friday's close was 24.70, up about 2.45%, with a high of 24.70 and a low of about 23.88 that day, and a volume of about 13.52 million shares, almost exactly matching the added position price.
My view: The boss adding to his position is a signal of attitude, but it doesn't mean you can chase over the weekend—the risk of opening price gaps is more real in a news vacuum.
What to do: Observe and don't chase; talk momentum again once it holds around 24.70, and if it breaks below about 23.88, this wave of sentiment fails first.
Do you trust insider buying more, or are you more afraid of a gap down on Monday?
$GME $AMC $HOOD
#美联储与欧洲央行将公布9月会议纪要 #贝森特：美#美联储与欧洲央行将公布9月会议纪要 #贝森特：美债收益率上升符合全球趋势 债收益率上升符合全球趋势$TRUMP perpetual 50x short position, opened at 2.07, now at 2.034, floating profit +86.95%.
Honestly, this trade was opened quite comfortably. It was clear that above 2.07 the price couldn't rise anymore, a double top followed by a pullback. When the bearish candle slammed down, I shorted immediately, with a stop loss at 2.1. Using 50x leverage with a very small position, it never looked back and plunged straight down.
+86.95%, moving stop loss to 2.05. In this market, shorts are the way to go.
$BTC $ZEC #贝森特：美债收益率上升符合全球趋势 BTC is currently in a high-level low-volume consolidation pattern.
The daily bullish structure remains intact, with the price firmly above the short-term moving average, and the overall trend is completely healthy.
However, the biggest issue now is the severe lack of volume, with low volume grinding throughout the day.
The resistance at 85000-85500 is solid and effective; multiple attempts to break through have failed, and each time it approaches this resistance, it faces pressure and falls back.
There is no upward momentum in the short term; the bulls are completely resting now, just a high-level shakeout and turnover.
Short-term support is at 83000, the intraday strength/weakness dividing line, with multiple rebounds supported; holding this means a bias towards consolidation and bullishness.
The key defense is at 82000, the bottom line of this bullish structure; as long as it doesn't break, there is no risk of a downturn, and all pullbacks are healthy corrections.
ETH's performance remains weak as usual, completely passively following BTC's fluctuations without any independent rhythm.
The current price is stuck in a narrow range around 2690, with strong resistance at 2750 firmly holding; without volume, it cannot break through.
Short-term support is at 2640; if this fails, the decline will be much faster than BTC's.
Overall elasticity is very poor; when the market is sideways, it weakly oscillates; when the market adjusts slightly, it falls first. At this stage, it has no active participation value and can only follow.
Practical strategy:
Standard low-volume consolidation market; do not chase highs or guess breakouts.
Only reduce positions near resistance levels, and buy small amounts on dips when support holds.
$BTC $ETH $ZEC
#VanEck：比特币或继续扩大市场份额 #美联储副主席：AI建设正带来新的通胀压力
US stock market no longer shuts down: from "9 to 4" to 23 hours nonstop, retail investors' alarms are broken first
Starting December 6, 2026, Nasdaq, NYSE Arca, and Cboe EDGX will extend US stock trading to 23 hours a day, 5 days a week, leaving only 8–9 PM EST for system maintenance. Crypto taught the world "7×24," and traditional exchanges finally admit: if they keep opening by time zone, young people will all go on-chain to buy fake stocks.
But "overnight" does not mean "double the opportunity":
Overnight trading volume is often less than 1% of total volume; order books during Asian hours are like throwing stones into a black hole;
Bid-ask spreads can widen 5–10 times compared to daytime, and market orders get eaten by dark pools in seconds;
If earnings reports, sanctions, or sudden tweets drop at midnight, your orders might execute at "dream prices."
Why aren't institutions excited? They want liquidity, market-making depth, and post-market hedging, not "trading Nvidia at 2 AM."
Rules like limit orders, 20% price bands, and halts on major news are all safety belts sewn for retail investors.
In plain language:
US stocks are now overnight, but 2 AM is not more wealth, it's more retail investors getting cut.
The real overnight money makers are machines, market makers, and on-chain stablecoins; ordinary people shouldn't mistake insomnia for strategy.
What used to be "wait until tomorrow's open" as a buffer is gone; now the market never sleeps,
The only thing you should learn is to control your hands at night. $MUBARAK For now, do not casually open short positions. Some people are calling me a signal caller, but I haven't suggested going long either. The main approach now is to observe. There is a high probability it will break the previous high, then we will see the strength of the support.$PONS perpetual 20x short position, opened at 0.4305, currently at 0.4048, floating profit +119.39%.
I've been watching this trade for quite a while. The 0.43 level was repeatedly tested but never broken, with selling pressure every time it approached this area. After confirming the top was valid, I decisively shorted on the bearish candle. Using 20x leverage, position size pushed to the extreme.
Currently floating profit is +119.39%, trailing stop moved up to 0.41. Not greedy, locking in profits first.
$BTC $ETH #美联储与欧洲央行将公布9月会议纪要 Always wanting to trade nonstop, how to develop the habit of staying out of the market and waiting for opportunities? If you can't resist trading all the time, chances are you'll get stuck and then liquidated 😇you want to bet on the direction tonight
$BTC would you go short or long?
I would choose to go long with a stop loss
The logic is as follows:
1. Non-farm payrolls and unemployment rate are both positive for BTC
2. US 10-year Treasury yield falls, US stocks rise
3. Technical aspect: BTC broke through 872 and pulled back; as long as it doesn't break 850, the bullish view can be maintained. The 828-850 consolidation range below is considered a broken position chip, just to accumulate enough liquid$SENT I was just about to go to the forum to rant, but then I checked my balance and decided against it. The market is always right. This profit makes me feel both excited and nervous, afraid that the market will realize tomorrow and blacklist me.
During the intraday plunge, while others were running away, I saw buyers stepping in below, and the volume didn't show panic selling. The bottom is being tested but not broken, that's confidence. I said at the time: this is not a position to cut losses, but a position to wait for the wind to come.
SENT went from 0.02209 to 0.02360, a +136.71% gain, really satisfying. The earlier hesitation was real, but the outcome is truly sweet. It was worth the wait; this wave's timing was spot on.
Positioning was also clearly explained: take profit on 75% first, secure the main gains without regret. Move the stop loss on the remaining 25% to the cost price; if it continues to rise, let the profits run, and if it falls back, the principal won't be hurt.
Experts die trying to catch the bottom, newbies perish chasing highs, smart people live in the moment. Better to miss a limit-up than to catch a flying knife and bleed.
For friends who haven't gotten in yet, listen to me: now is not the time to rush. Wait for the new structure to emerge, there are still opportunities, don't be anxious. I'll be watching for the next move.
$BTC $SNDK $XRP perpetual 100x long position, opened at 1.4821, now at 1.5003, floating profit +122.79%.
The logic is very simple: the 1.48 whole number support was tested three times without breaking, volume is increasing, and the bottom pattern is obvious. Finally waited for a bullish candle to rise, going long. 100x leverage, stop loss at 1.46. The movement is very smooth, no chance for a pullback.
Trailing stop moved up to 1.49 to lock in profits. If volume breaks above 1.52, can hold a bit longer.
$BTC $ETH #美联储与欧洲央行将公布9月会议纪要 This rally is nothing but a bull trap. No real volume, no strength — every uptick gets smacked right back down. If this isn’t a bull trap, then what is?People claim big holders are piling in, but that’s pure fabrication. Without hyped-up headlines, how else would retail traders be lured into chasing this move?Take $ZEC : bounced from 1271 to 1344, couldn’t even retest the 1378 high, and immediately got knocked back to 1320. Where’s the conviction? The 24‑hour trading volume is only 44 million,[Old Leek Observation]
$XRP
Yesterday, Ripple officially established XRP Asia in Singapore with a clear goal: to continue expanding the use of XRPL among developers, enterprises, and financial institutions in the Asia-Pacific region.
What’s even more noteworthy is Ripple’s next step revealed at XRP Seoul:
By 2027, increase the volume of payments processed directly by customers through XRPL. They are also advancing XRPL DEX payment testing and connecting payment services with on-chain lending liquidity.
Currently, XRP is about $1.49, with a 24H trading volume exceeding $1 billion, but it remains in a downtrend over the past 7 days.
In other words:
The news of Asian expansion has already come out, but the price has not yet shown a clear breakout.
Additionally, XRPL has a protocol upgrade node scheduled around October 9.$MUBARAK Is anyone still shorting this coin? The bottom has already risen close to 7 times, honestly it's a bit painful, probably still need to cover the previous upper wick!
Want to short but afraid of a short squeeze explosion, I’ve been burned before doing this coin, anyway, whenever the rise is exaggerated, I’ve suffered losses myself, brothers, stop shorting quickly, protect your principal ahhhh
#美联储与欧洲央行将公布9月会议纪要 #BTC现货ETF重回流入，ETH资金持续流出 #贝森特：美债收益率上升符合全球趋势 $ETH
An on-chain whale transferred out 3,283 ETH from the exchange.
This batch is worth 8.85 million USD. A few days ago, it was selling at 2709 and buying back at 2695.
The long-short ratio of the account is 2.68, with the majority being long positions.
Only follow if it holds above 2700, stop if it drops below 2650.
$ETH أين نحن الآن؟ بعد ملامسة قمة 87,000$، اصطدم السعر بضغط بيعي قوي ليدخل مرحلة تذبذب وحسم بين 84,000$ و85,000$. كواليس المشهد: صعود القمة الأخير رافقه "تنظيف" واسع للروافع المالية العالية (Longs)، لكن المحرك الأساسي — صناديق المؤشرات الفورية (Spot ETFs) — لا يزال يُسجل صافي تدفقات إيجابية، مما يعني أن المؤسسات لم تتخلَّ عن مراكزها بعد. المستويات الحاسمة: 🛑 المقاومة الشرسة: 87,000$ (مفتاح الاختراق القادم). 🛡️ الدعم الجوهري: 83,900$ (كسره يفتح الباب لتصحيح أعنف). 🔵 إيثريوم ($ETH) | ضعف هيكلي وضغط Ansem said the bull market has only lasted 4 months.
Is it true? Don't rush to believe it.
His reason is that the last cycle bottomed in January 2022 and rose until October 2025, lasting 33 months. According to his calculation, this cycle won't bottom until July 2026.
In other words, there's still a long way to go.
Second question, is what he said useful?
Yes. What he really wants to say is not a prediction, but to stop staring at the 15-minute candlestick chart every day. Spot, futures, and on-chain high risks should be placed in three separate accounts.
Simply put, don't let itchy hands ruin your positions.
Third question, what about altcoins?
He means that altcoins with real income this cycle will be different, with institutions entering.
I agree half of that. The direction is right, but institutions are entering only a few, not a broad rally.
To be honest, the most expensive thing this cycle isn't the coins, it's your hands that can't stop moving.
#BTC现货ETF重回流入，ETH资金持续流出
#VanEck：比特币或继续扩大市场份额 #SEC加密资产托管新规，拟放宽机构自托管限制 $ETH $SOL perpetual 100x long position, opened at 119.24, now at 121.44, floating profit +184.50%.
I've actually been watching this trade for quite a while. The 119 level was repeatedly tested but never broken; every time it approached this area, there was buying support. After confirming the bottom was solid, I decisively went long on the bullish candle. Using 100x leverage, position size pushed to the extreme.
Currently floating profit is +184.50%, and the trailing stop has been moved up to 120.5. Not greedy, locking in profits first.
$ETH $ZEC #美联储与欧洲央行将公布9月会议纪要 First, let's present the opposing view: Even if the direction of $XRP is correct, the current position may cause those following the trend to incur higher costs.
The current price is 1.5013, about 1.14% away from the 1-hour support at 1.4842, and about 0.25% away from the resistance at 1.505. The space is not determined by sentiment; ultimately, it depends on which of these two boundaries is effectively broken first.
Both bulls and bears can find reasons in $XRP, but looking at the upper and lower boundaries, the comfortable space is actually quite limited.
The 1-hour and 4-hour charts are both slightly strong; the current volume is 0.93 times the average volume of the previous 20 bars, with activity close to normal. Alignment in direction does not mean unlimited space; the closer to key levels, the more important subsequent support becomes.
My observation line is clear: Only by standing back above and holding 1.505 can the short-term initiative be considered regained; if it breaks below 1.4842, attention should shift to the 4-hour support at 1.4458. If pressure continues above, the 4-hour resistance at 1.555 is temporarily just a distant reference, not a preset target.
I don’t only share when my judgments are correct. How the price chooses between 1.505 and 1.4842 next, I will continue to publicly review in the next round.
If the price continues to move, do you think the trend or the current pressure will be validated first?
The market is volatile; the above is only a market observation and does not constitute investment advice. This is Crypto Bull speaking.After $PONS dropped like this, I suddenly didn't want to look at the K-line yesterday.
Watching 0.4, 0.5 back and forth every day torturing myself is meaningless, so I checked whether it really generated any revenue. It turns out this ledger looks much better than the coin price.
According to DefiLlama's current statistics, Pons' DEX trading volume in the past 30 days is about 2.15 billion USD. The protocol's total revenue in Q3 reached about 183 million USD, with the protocol's final retained Earnings around 33.64 million USD, and the net income for token holders about 20.19 million USD. In Pons V1's mechanism, about 80% of the protocol revenue is used to repurchase and burn PONS.
Because many Meme/Launchpad coins, after dropping, are most feared for losing heat, losing trading volume, and revenue going to zero, leaving only the phrase "waiting for the ecosystem." At least PONS is not in that state now. It did manage to build up trading and fees in the previous wave. In Q3 alone, the repurchase and burn corresponding to protocol revenue exceeded 20 million USD.
Of course, we can't just linearly extrapolate from the peak craziness of Q3. Q4 has just started, and the revenue speed is already noticeably lower than the Q3 peak.
So now my view of PONS has shifted from "Can this coin still pump?" to:
You better have some fight in your coin price, don't end up with the project making money while I, a holder, cry every day 😭盘面像被按了暂停键，BTC和ETH一起躺平了。 这种安静，到底是蓄力还是没人想动？ 刚扫了一眼24小时数据，BTC跌0.01%，ETH涨0.46%，两个主流币几乎原地踏步。成交量倒是都不小，BTC有1609亿，ETH有1653亿，量在价不动，说明多空都在换手，但没人愿意先亮底牌。 真正让我在意的是爆仓数据。BTC这边总爆仓276万，多单128万、空单148万，最大单笔40万，448人被扫。ETH总爆仓255万，多单69万、空单186万，最大单笔29万，417人被扫。ETH的空单爆仓明显偏重，说明有资金在赌ETH补涨或突破，结果被反方向收割了一轮。 这就是典型的震荡市风险管理现场。价格没怎么动，但仓位已经被洗了一遍。波动率BTC只有0.62%，ETH 0.94%，这种窄幅对高杠杆来说就是慢性毒药，不会立刻死，但会一点点磨掉保证金。 从板块轮动角度看，ETH今天比BTC强一点点，空单被挤的力度也更大。如果这种强弱差继续扩大，资金可能会从BTC向ETH和部分山寨试探性偏移。但注意，这只是试探，不是确认。BTC量能没缩，说明大资金还在观望，没有真正离场，也没有真正加仓。 偏多的逻辑是：缩量横盘$SAND perpetual 50x long position, opened at 0.07583, now at 0.07851, floating profit +176.71%.
After stabilizing around 0.0758, a big bullish candle directly pulled up breaking resistance, I followed the trend to go long, with stop loss set below 0.074. The 50x leverage position is very small, the movement is much stronger than expected, the percentage has directly multiplied by 1.7 times! Taking off!
Moved the stop loss up to 0.0775, the rest depends on whether 0.08 can be broken.
$BTC $ETH #美联储与欧洲央行将公布9月会议纪要 Your Good Dog is back with another crypto update! 📅 Day 11 of my 25U compounding challenge 💰 Current account value: around 118U Weekend markets are moving slowly, and honestly, ETH feels unusually quiet right now. Trading activity has cooled off sharply, with volume sitting near $1.3B. Compared with the much more aggressive sessions we've seen recently, this kind of low participation definitely stands out. But remember: Low volume doesn't automatically mean bearish. Sometimes the market goes qReviewing my $BTC trades this week: I opened a long position near 84500, and now at 85141 I've gained over 600 points. Resistance at 85394, support at 85000. I took profit on half at 85200 and set a trailing stop loss at 85000 for the rest. What I did well this time: entered at a low position, set stop loss early, took profits in batches without greed. What I did poorly: position size was still a bit large, 5000U opening size ratio was high. Currently recovering from a 200,000U loss. Every review is to do better next time. Never hold a position without stop loss, slow and steady wins. $BTC #美伊局势持续紧张，G7将释放最多1亿桶储备 The most valuable asset of DOGE is the group of people who don't leave
In the crypto market, projects come and go, and most communities are lively for only three months before dispersing. However, the DOGE community has endured multiple cycles, with a core group of long-term holders who have persisted through bull and bear markets. They don't exit during pullbacks; instead, they buy more during dips and keep the momentum alive during quiet times, making DOGE's bottom stronger with each cycle.
The value of the community is directly reflected in the market. In this rally starting from August, the growth in social media discussions and the number of holding addresses led the price increase; during the early October pullback, community sentiment did not turn bearish, and turnover occurred in a mild atmosphere. This kind of "someone buys when it falls, someone cheers when it's quiet" environment cannot be bought by projects driven purely by capital.
Of course, community consensus is not a talisman. It can support the bottom but cannot determine the top. The hottest sentiment and the strongest influx of newcomers often signal a phase high. Using community enthusiasm as a contrarian indicator—buying when it's quiet and selling when it's boiling—is the real lesson this group of loyal holders teaches the market.🚨 WEAK JOBS DATA — BUT DON’T CONFUSE IT WITH INSTANT BULLISHNESS
The U.S. September jobs report delivered a major slowdown:
🇺🇸 Nonfarm payrolls: +29K vs ~90K expected
📉 Unemployment: 4.2%
💵 Wage growth: only +0.1% MoM
The first reaction was bullish for risk assets as traders priced in a much lower probability of an October Fed hike. BTC briefly pushed toward $87K before reversing sharply.
But here’s where traders can get trapped 👇
Weak economic data does not automatically mean crypto goes up.
If growth keeps deteriorating, liquidity can become more defensive. When buyers disappear, even moderate selling can create an outsized move—especially in thinner altcoin markets.
🔻 BTC: ~$87.1K → ~$84.6K
🔻 ZEC: remains highly sensitive to liquidity and ETF flows
⚠️ Around $433M in crypto liquidations followed BTC’s rejection near $87K, with longs taking most of the damage.
ETF flows are another warning sign:
₿ BTC ETFs: returned to positive territory with about $103M of inflows on Oct. 1, but the weekly picture was only modestly positive.
Ξ ETH ETFs: about $118M net outflow for the week.
🟣 ZEC ETF: roughly $50.7M outflow for the week.
That tells us something important:
Price can rally on a macro headline, but sustained upside needs real spot demand.
And leverage makes the downside faster.
A long position doesn't always close because the trader changes their mind. Once liquidation levels are hit, the system automatically sells the position. That selling pushes price lower → triggers more liquidations → creates another wave of forced selling.
That is how a 5% BTC move can become a much larger percentage move in a thin-liquidity altcoin.
🎯 Watch these levels:
$BTC — $84K / $82K support, $87K breakout zone
$ETH — ETF flows remain the key confirmation
$ZEC — watch ETF flows + liquidity before chasing momentum
The market isn't simply saying “bad jobs = buy crypto.”
It is asking a much harder question:
Will weaker economic data bring easier monetary policy — or will deteriorating liquidity overwhelm the bullish Fed narrative?
For now: structure + volume