比特帝老默pro
比特帝老默pro
我是一名拥有7年金融经验的交易员 自17年开始从事交易 主要关注以太大饼主流币种！一起加油！
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The promised 1500 followers' short positions have been distributed. Continuing to the next round. 2000 followers will continue to arrange short positions. Comments will be drawn from the comment section! Thank you all for your continuous support! Wishing everyone daily profits in U, long for rise, short for fall, and no action means sideways! $BTC $ETH $SOL #交易之声：你的经验值得被听到
#纳指100周跌5.5%，芯片股八连跌
Brothers, the US stock market was bitten back by AI faith this week. The Nasdaq 100 fell 5.5% in a single week, marking its worst performance since April 2025; the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index declined for eight consecutive trading days, with a cumulative drop of over 13% in eight days, erasing about $2 trillion in market value, setting the longest losing streak since the 2008 financial crisis.
The core contradiction is that the AI investment returns no longer add up. UBS estimates that AI capital expenditures increasingly rely on high-yield debt, and after the 10-year US Treasury yield broke above 5%, both financing costs and valuation discount rates have risen. Micron fell 14.6% in a week, and the storage chip index dropped 17.6% cumulatively; CoreWeave bond yields soared above 15%, entering distress territory.
BTC is currently priced around 81,500. This week, dragged down by tech stocks, it once fell below 80,000, but every time it was hammered down, it was quickly bought back, showing resilience at the 80,000 level. Resistance is at 83,000, support at 80,000. Those with positions should set stop-losses below 79,500; those without positions should wait for a pullback near 80,500 with reduced volume to stabilize before entering. The risk clearing in US tech stocks is not over; don’t chase highs during the rebound.
What do you think about this AI trading pullback? Let’s chat in the comments. $BTC $ETH $ZEC
#SpaceX上市后首份完整季度财报将揭晓
SpaceX will release its second post-IPO earnings report after market close on October 20, which will also be the first complete "AI-driven" quarterly report.
Market expectations have completely reversed. FactSet forecasts revenue of $12.89 billion, a 65% quarter-over-quarter surge from Q2's $7.814 billion; EPS is expected between $0.14 and $0.23, marking the first positive earnings since listing. UBS is more optimistic, projecting revenue of $13.8 billion and adjusted EBITDA of $7.5 billion, with AI business alone accounting for $7.6 billion, mainly driven by large computing power contracts from Anthropic and Google. FactSet's consensus on AI revenue is $6.47 billion, with Starlink connectivity business expected at $4.84 billion.
But the core contradiction remains: the more money earned, the more fiercely it is burned. UBS estimates Q3 capital expenditures at about $19.3 billion, with free cash flow net outflow of $13.2 billion. Goldman Sachs has raised its 2026 AI revenue forecast to $27.3 billion, with a target price of $230, but emphasizes that the market no longer cares about "how much computing power can be built," but rather "how much can be monetized." Evercore ISI is more direct, raising the target price to $275, believing the real catalysts are the reusability of Starship and the feasibility validation of Starmind orbital computing satellites.
In short: breaking $10 billion in revenue is the obvious card, but AI monetization efficiency is the hidden card.
What do you think about SpaceX's earnings report? Let's discuss in the comments. $BTC $ETH $ZEC
#Institutional funds continue to flow out, can BTC stabilize?
BTC is currently trading around $81,500, fluctuating repeatedly between the $80,000-$84,000 range. The capital flow is bearish; on October 16, the US Bitcoin ETF saw a net outflow of over $80 million, Ethereum ETF outflowed nearly $70 million, and institutions are generally reducing exposure.
However, the $80,000 support level is very strong. Glassnode data shows that ETF holders' average cost is about $81,500. Once the price falls below this, all spot ETFs will collectively be at a floating loss, which can easily trigger redemption negative feedback. This is the core logic for bulls to defend the $80,000 level. Technically, the area around $81,000 has also been tested and reclaimed multiple times.
The operation boils down to two points: If you have a position, set a stop loss below $79,500; if you are empty-handed, wait for a pullback to $80,800-$81,000 with reduced volume and stabilization before entering. Do not blindly chase highs before ETF capital flow turns positive and volume breaks above $83,000. Keep a close eye on IBIT daily subscriptions and redemptions; it's more effective than watching candlesticks. $BTC $ETH $ZEC
