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colword.std
colword.std
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波动白挨,夏普脸绿 $ETH 年化波动 42.2%,比 $BTC 的 28.8% 高出 13 个点,多担的风险换来的却是多亏一倍的收益,纯纯白挨打。夏普比率俩都是负的(-3.61 对 -7.42),说明这周做多谁都不挣钱,但 $ETH 每担一单位风险,亏的钱接近 $BTC 的两倍,属于花钱买罪受的 VIP 套餐。合约盘说句公道话,这周吃到肉的是做空的人,两边做多都该面壁。 桌上筹码与房租 资金面 $BTC 也没让:六天累计净流入 2.07 亿对 1.06 亿美金。注意这两笔钱这周主要不是多头抬进场的,是空头开着仓往里砸的,10/07 那天 $BTC 价跌 2.5% 仓反增近 1 亿。费率的反差更有意思:$BTC 费率滑到 -0.0022% 翻负,空头挤到要付房租;$ETH 还挂着 +0.0039%,多头挨着揍照交房租,头铁程度令人动容。现货端机构的钱一直认 $BTC,IBIT 光 9 月就吸 26.5 亿美金。桌上筹码厚,是 $BTC 这轮最大的底气。
colword.std
colword.std
PK Day | Arbitration $BTC, $BTC Defends, Winning by Taking Hits The scoreboard that resets every three days has flipped to page 25, and this round $BTC still wins, winning in the ugliest way: losing slower than others in a bear market. In the seven-day window, $BTC returns -1.76%, $ETH -5.16%, nearly double the difference; maximum drawdown 3.6% vs. 5.9%; Sharpe ratio -3.61 vs. -7.42; cumulative net inflow $207 million vs. $106 million, $BTC leads in all four metrics. Last round $BTC flipped the table with a big bullish candle, this round no one had a bullish candle, so it’s about who can protect their face while taking hits. $ETH paid a higher rent this week (average fee rate 0.0039% vs. 0.0024%), but still couldn’t protect its face; this defense would even earn respect from the Chinese national football team that lost 0-1 to Tajikistan last night. Who Bleeds Slower The normalized curves clearly show: before 10/04, the two lines were still joking around, $BTC peaked above 102, $ETH just passed 100, then both plunged, $BTC steadily slid to 98.2, $ETH directly smashed to 94.8. The drawdown is even more painful: $BTC’s max drawdown was 3.6%, $ETH’s was a sharp 5.9%, with nearly 5% cut in a single day on 10/07. In the same bear market, $BTC at worst is bleeding slowly, $ETH has opened the floodgates.

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