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峰哥的交易日记
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Clarity法案9月15日以49-50被参议院否决,BTC当天跌到74,910。
两天后,SEC推出代币化股票创新豁免。
立法失败,行政抢跑。这届SEC不等国会了。
五条硬事实,看完你就知道谁在裸泳。
1️⃣ 豁免不等于“任何代币化股票都能交易”
它只覆盖TSV(代币化证券交易场所)。必须美国主体、OFAC合规、许可制准入、不得使用合成产品。
翻译成人话:这是一张VIP入场券,不是全民通行证。
2️⃣ 发行人有30天否决权
特斯拉不想让自己的股票被代币化?30天内说“不”,TSV就不能上。
代币化美股的供给端,传统公司在控盘。你以为是加密革命,其实是上市公司在收租。
3️⃣ UNI涨18%不是纯情绪
Uniswap v4费用开关7月27日接入Robinhood Chain后,已成了该链代币化股票RWA的主力DEX。8月单日相关成交曾达约1.3亿美元,一个月增长近10倍。
有收入支撑的涨幅,和只有叙事的涨幅,是两种资产。
4️⃣ 9月18日盘面在分化
UNI 7.86美元涨18%,ONDO 0.3779美元涨7.39%,BP 0.533美元涨14.48%。Securitize收盘涨14.93%,Robinhood涨5.16%。
涨得少的,可能才是真货。涨得多的,可能只是情绪。
5️⃣ 筛选概念币只看一个指标——协议收入
政策出来前收入为0、出来后收入还是0的,涨的都是叙事。
豁免不是普涨令,是分化开始令。
👉 参议院关门,SEC开窗。但窗口是有门槛的。
你手里的概念币,有协议收入支撑吗?
$UNI $ONDO $HOOD
UNI surged 18%.
The social circle is flooded with "SEC new policy benefits," discussing the "tokenized stock narrative taking off."
Few people noticed what happened on-chain.
On July 27, the Uniswap v4 fee switch was officially activated. In less than two months, the daily average protocol revenue soared from $118,000 to $318,000, a 2.7x increase.
More than half of this comes from the same chain—Robinhood Chain single-chain daily contribution is $168,000.
On August 29, tokenized stock daily trading volume on this chain reached $130 million, nearly a 10x increase in one month.
Uniswap captured 99% of the tokenized stock DEX liquidity on this chain—v4 accounts for 73%, v3 for 26%.
Six weeks after mainnet launch, cumulative tokenized stock trading volume exceeded $1 billion.
All of this was achieved without any participation from U.S. traders.
The burn flywheel has already started spinning.
TokenJar is like a transparent money jar that only accepts deposits; protocol fees continuously accumulate inside. No one can withdraw money directly; the only way to open the jar is to burn an equivalent value of UNI.
Arbitrageurs see that the fee value in the jar exceeds the cost of buying UNI to burn, so they automatically buy and burn UNI to unlock fees and earn the spread. The entire process is executed on-chain automatically without manual intervention.
On September 4, 184,000 UNI were burned in a single day, worth $1.15 million. Robinhood Chain contributed over 80%.
In August, 1.946 million UNI were burned. Founder Hayden announced that the annualized UNI burn rate has exceeded $250 million.
Cumulative burns have surpassed 110 million UNI, accounting for more than 11% of the total 1 billion supply.
While other concept coins are still priced by "narrative," UNI can already be priced by "revenue."
Its share rose from 21% to 31%, an increase of nearly 10 percentage points. Monthly protocol revenue went from zero to a stable $7.2 million.
It is not an inflationary governance token. It is an asset supported by real revenue and driven by a deflationary flywheel.
But there are two things you need to know.
First, U.S. users currently cannot participate in tokenized stock trading on Robinhood Chain. This $130 million daily volume has nothing to do with U.S. retail investors.
Second, a significant portion of the trading volume is driven by Meme coins, so sustainability needs to be observed. Robinhood Chain’s gas-free subsidy policy may end in late September; once transaction costs rise, whether activity cools down is the biggest variable going forward.
👀 Soul-searching question:
When real transaction data on a chain is right there, protocol revenue numbers are right there, and the burn flywheel is running every day—
Are you still watching the candlestick charts, or have you started watching the chain?
$UNI $ONDO $ETH
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