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VanEck: Bitcoin is taking gold's "job," and a 59% market share is just the beginning Matthew Sigel, Head of Digital Asset Research at VanEck, stated that Bitcoin may continue to expand its share of global asset allocation in the future. Quantum computing is a long-term risk but not enough to justify selling. First, let's look at market share. Bitcoin's share of the total cryptocurrency market capitalization has risen from 40.83% in 2022 to about 59%, with a market cap of $1.7 trillion, BTC в сегодняшнем росте смог вернуть устойчивые аптренды на часовом и 1,5-часовом ТФ. И уже не слабо прошел вверх по этим трендам. Таким образом именно по трендам поглощены все достижения медведей с пятничного снижения. Хотя изначально пятничный дамп на -2,4% на фоне положительных данных по рынку труда США и выглядел для снижения перспективно. При этом за воскресенье есть и другой важный сигнал - BTC, ETH и еще 23 актива из ТОП-200 показали три метки потенциального хая на 4-часовом ТФ. Есть две Brothers, let's not criticize the market makers tonight, just talk a bit about the real market logic. $BTC is repeatedly bottoming between 83,000–85,000, the on-chain chip concentration signal is somewhat like the 62,000 segment in early August. Only by breaking above 85,000 will the upward space truly open. $ETH has reached the end of a symmetrical triangle, 2,700 is the last gate, whales are quietly accumulating, but there is heavy selling pressure above 2,722. ZEC pulled up then retraced 21%, ETF outflows are suppressing sentiment, 1,200 is the key support. $DOGE has all moving averages squeezed at 0.09, the active buy-sell ratio is only 0.80, a typical structure of retail holding and smart money distributing. After the non-farm payroll surprise, the probability of a rate hike in October has fallen below 50%, and the macro environment is slowly warming. All four coins are waiting for a breakout; before the direction emerges, move less and watch more. Brothers, which one are you holding now? Let's chat in the comments.👇 $BTC $ETH $ZEC $DOGE #美联储与欧洲央行将公布9月会议纪要 #BTC现货ETF重回流入，ETH资金持续流出 #贝森特：美债收益率上升符合全球趋势 $NEAR Today it rose by 3.56%, gradually moving upward among public chains. Contract holdings increased by 3.6% in 24 hours, with 60.6% of large accounts on the long side, and a fee rate of 0.01%, not overheated. Current price is 4.921; if it holds, there is still room to grow, if it falls, better to wait and watch, don't chase aggressively. $NEAR $NEAR ETF attracted $8.3 million in inflows in one week, $LINK only rose 1.2%: I'm bullish   Wow, this data from 1 hour ago is solid: Chainlink spot ETF net inflow reached $8.3 million in one week, the best since August, yet $LINK price only climbed from 14.154 to 14.213. Institutions are buying ahead, the market hasn't fully woken up — at this level, I'm directly bullish.   The ETF buys spot exposure, so share expansion equals real money locked in. Since the ETF launch, there have only been two days of net outflows; continuous buying structurally reduces circulating supply.   On the chart, daily RSI is 59.3, slightly strong; MACD golden cross above zero line for 12 days; MA7 crossed above MA30 for 13 days, short-term moving averages in bullish alignment; fear and greed index at 65, market in attack phase, with 45 up and 16 down across the market.   In derivatives, funding rate is 2.971e-05 neutral; long-short account ratio 1.7832, no excessive speculation; volume ratio 0.319, low volume slow rise.   Resistance above: 14.219   Support below: 14.142   Breaking below 14.142 would directly falsify the event logic — if it doesn't break, this is my position: enter on a pullback to 14.142 without breaking, stop loss at 13.98, add position on volume breakout above 14.235 to target extension.   I'm watching the chart closely, follow me so you won't miss the next signal.   $LINK $BTCSUSHI Once the DeFi king SUSHI, now only earning tens of thousands a week? A thorough breakdown of income & profit logic! ✅ Is there any income? Yes! SUSHI has verifiable real on-chain protocol income. It is a veteran AMM DEX, with revenue coming from user trading fees. But the scale is very small, completely unable to keep up with the current leading tracks, and cannot enter the top 10 on-chain income list. Active Trading Radar｜Last 15 Minutes $BTC final segment active trades shifted from predominantly buying to predominantly selling: overall active buying was 61.7%, last five minutes was 34.1%, with a price change of -0.04% during this segment. The shift in trades has not yet corresponded to a significant price rise or fall; the recent price net change is limited.10.5 The price is pumping! The price is pumping! Over the weekend, BTC rose from 84000 to 86000. The dog whales always like to pump the price in the Monday morning session, and BTC broke through 86000. Don't rush, pay attention to the resistance at 86800. If it breaks through and holds, it may reopen the bullish trend. If it repeatedly faces pressure at this level, it is most likely just a rebound after a correction. Don't look for opportunities, but wait for opportunities. Risks often come from one's own impatience. Opportunities are born from calm and decisive execution. $BTC $ETH $ZEC #美联储与欧洲央行将公布9月会议纪要 I really can't stop laughing, fam! $SAND, you haven't dropped at all. Why are you still slowly climbing? The funding rate is almost killing me. The returns are still negative 180%. Almost 200%. Why are you so disgusting? If I just closed my position and you drop tomorrow, That would really piss me off. Stop rising. My stop loss is set at 0.09. Drop quickly! #美联储与欧洲央行将公布9月会议纪要 #BTC现货ETF重回流入，ETH资金持续流出 #贝森特：美债收益率上升符合全球趋势 $NIGHT NIGHT The early session rebound clearly lacks momentum, with heavy selling pressure above. I've been watching the market closely, and when I saw the price touch the previous high again but fail to break through, then start to form a long upper shadow, I judged that a top was very likely formed. At 0.050869, I decisively opened a 20x short position, perfectly timing this cliff-like drop. Current price is 0.045159, floating profit +224.49%. This textbook "double top" decline is absolutely not to be missed. $BTC $SNDK #美联储与欧洲央行将公布9月会议纪要 #FedECBMeetingMinutes Minutes matter less as a replay of September than as a test of how durable policymakers' inflation concern was before the latest US jobs data. The Fed's 25 bp move makes language around further hikes especially useful: emphasis on optionality could leave markets viewing the softer employment reading as room to wait, not a decisive turn. 🐋 Big Brother Machi added margin to his 144 million large position: ETH dropped and he increased his position #BTC spot ETF inflows return, ETH funds continue to outflow Latest on-chain data shows Big Brother Machi’s total exposure is about 144 million USD, but on Monday he made a new move—deposited 500,000 USDC into Hyperliquid to top up margin for his ETH long position. $BTC 409 coins · 40X full position, worth about 35.22 million USD. BTC dropped from 86,868 to 84,800, so this part of Big Brother’s unrealized profit is shrinking but still safe. He reduced from 569 to 409 coins, having taken some profits above 85,000. $ETH 33,950 coins · 25X full position, worth about 92.56 million USD. This is his largest position and the reason for topping up margin—ETH dropped from 2,755 to 2,679, close to his cost line. Instead of cutting positions, he added funds to hold, showing confidence at this level. $HYPE 180,000 coins · 10X full position, worth about 16.16 million USD. He aggressively increased from 88,000 to 180,000 coins, betting against the trend that HYPE will continue to rise after 90. Currently slightly down by 88.8, but he hasn’t moved. #美联储与欧洲央行将公布9月会议纪要 Big Brother has won 10 consecutive trades on PUMP in 5 days earning 1.34 million, now topping up margin to hold ETH; this move is worth watching.🚨 BTC IS SHOWING A CLASSIC WYCKOFF PATTERN I’ve been tracking the 4H structure, and the current price action is starting to resemble a Wyckoff Distribution schematic We’ve already seen the Phase A, Phase B, then UT/UTAD sequence, with the move toward $87K fitting the potential UT/UTAD area The rejection that followed is now the important part If this is indeed Phase C, the next step should be a series of SOWs and LPSYs - each rebound failing lower as support gradually gets lost The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission approved the Cboe BZX rule change (SR-CboeBZX-2026-065) on October 2, 2026, allowing six 3x leveraged products under Volatility Shares to be listed, including 3x $BTC, 3x $ETH, as well as gold, silver, crude oil, and natural gas. These products are designed as commodity trusts aiming to achieve three times the daily price movement of the reference asset before fees. PUMP just generated $55.5m in protocol revenue over 30 days. Flipped hyperliquid. Sitting right behind tether and circle. While most of the market was bleeding through late september, pump's 50% programmatic buyback engine kept absorbing float regardless of broader conditions. Whale accumulation on top of constant spot buybacks forced a supply squeeze. +30% on the week before the defillama stats even hit. Now consolidating around $0.0062 after the rejection. Setup from here: $0.0062 holds — favo2.5 million USD is just the smallest positive news for HYPE Today's news about HYPE, just one headline is enough to catch attention: HyperLink completed a 2.5 million USD funding round, and last month the routing transaction volume already reached 254 million USD, with the next phase targeting directly 10% of Hyperliquid's trading volume. But the more critical part is actually on the other side. The first AQAv2 yield of 14.58 million USDC has already arrived, and will subsequently enter the Assistance Fund, used to buy back HYPE. So looking at these two together: On one side, the Hyperliquid ecosystem continues to expand trading volume; on the other, the USDC reserves generate yield that starts converting into HYPE buyback demand. And all this news is within the last 24 hours. So the 2.5 million USD seen today might really be the smallest piece of good news for HYPE. What to watch for HYPE going forward is no longer just the price, but whether trading volume, USDC yield, and buybacks can continue to connect. $HYPE #波动雷达：币种异动观察 CORE has completely decoupled from the broader market; what exactly is causing the decline? Are long-term holders starting to panic and flee? On the market front, CORE spot trading volume is only 2.719 million, with contracts at 6.4349 million. When market sentiment warms, CORE fails to attract overflow capital, and buying demand is completely exhausted. The contract and spot prices are almost at parity (0.02175 vs. 0.02171), ETF flows are getting interesting. Latest reported session: $BTC ETFs → +$102.7M $ETH ETFs → -$55.4M $SOL ETFs → -$5.9M Price can move one way while capital quietly rotates another. Watch both.This trade was taken very calmly. Opened a 20x short position on the $ESP perpetual contract with a floating profit of 73.30%, from 0.10941 down to 0.1054, profiting from the certainty of capital withdrawal. Recently, ESP has been affected by sector rotation, with major funds starting to reduce positions at highs. I did not hesitate during the peak of market sentiment but decisively entered the short position after confirming resistance at the 0.10941 top divergence area. The chart shows that after the price dropped to 0.1054, it triggered passive stop losses from the bulls. Currently, it is in a weak rebound oscillation following an inertial downward probe. Short-term support is around 0.105. As long as the major structure remains under pressure, rebounds are opportunities to add positions. Control your impulses and wait for the next wave of selling pressure to release. $ZEC $LAB #美联储与欧洲央行将公布9月会议纪要 The second HYPE buyback engine has started!!! The first payment of 14.58 million USD has arrived, potentially generating nearly 180 million USD in buy orders over a year! HYPE's previous buyback logic was: user trades → generate fees → Assistance Fund uses the money to buy HYPE. Now there is an entirely different cash flow. As long as you put USDC in Hyperliquid, even if you don't make a single trade, the interest generated by these USDC reserves will provide buyback funds for HYPE. On October 3rd, the first 14,580,777 USDC has already entered Hyperliquid's system interest address. HYPE now has two buyback engines. One depends on trading volume—the more active the market, the higher the fees, the more it buys; The other depends on USDC holdings and interest rates—as long as tens of billions of stablecoins remain on Hyperliquid, it will continuously generate cash flow."ETF Fund Temperature Difference: Who Is Supporting, Who Is Watching, Who Is Running Naked" After the non-farm impact, BTC ETF did not see institutions fleeing. Overall holdings remain stable, with a slight recent inflow, becoming an important base for the rebound. However, the inflow intensity is not as strong as during the market's hot phase; single-day position increases are moderate, indicating funds are recovering rather than becoming excited again. ETH ETF is noticeably colder. Fund inflows and outflows fluctuate, with small outflows alternating with intermittent inflows, and institutions seem to be holding their positions. Without sustained large allocations, ETH's rebound elasticity is naturally weaker than BTC's; without strong catalysts, incremental funds are hard to appear, and prices mostly follow BTC's rhythm. ZEC has no ETF channel, so there is no ETF fund flow data. Its price movements are dominated by retail investors and contract funds in the secondary market: rises depend on narratives and sentiment, while declines lack institutional fund support. Therefore, its volatility is naturally greater than BTC and ETH, with corrections often sharper and more intense. Overall, the current situation is not a frenzy of entry but a restorative inflow. BTC has ETF support, ETH funds are on the sidelines, and ZEC is purely speculative. Structural differentiation remains the main theme. $BTC $ETH $ZEC #BTC现货ETF重回流入，ETH资金持续流出 #美联储与欧洲央行将公布9月会议纪要 Market review, not investment advice.Uptober is a narrative, not a guarantee. Bitcoin has historically finished October higher in 7 of 9 years from 2017–2025. Interesting? Yes. A trading signal? No. Price still has to confirm.Liquidity doesn't move everywhere at once. BTC stabilizes. ETH starts catching up. SOL attracts higher-beta flows. Then traders start looking further down the risk curve. Watch where capital moves next.A green market doesn't mean every entry is good. $BTC can break higher without you. $ETH can rally without you. $SOL can outperform without you. You don't need every move. You need the right setup.I didn't chase that big bullish candle but instead placed a short order at 0.04162. The $SUI perpetual contract short position floating profit stopped at 61.02%; timing is more important than speed. At that time, on-chain data looked good, but whales started reducing positions on rallies. Coupled with the community's heated discussion on overvalued assets, I didn't chase the highs and only entered a short near 0.04162 on the rebound. After the market dropped to 0.04035, it quickly oscillated, mostly liquidity sweeps. Looking at the end of the session, the chips began to loosen. In the short term, it's more likely to consolidate with low volume around 0.04, waiting for the rebound to face resistance before choosing a direction. $ZEC $SNDK #美联储与欧洲央行将公布9月会议纪要 #BTC现货ETF重回流入，ETH资金持续流出 Rare and Hard-to-Find STRK Coin: Prospects of Quantum-Resistant Technology Value STRK is the native token of Starknet, which relies on zk‑STARK and is one of the few Ethereum L2s in the industry with native quantum-resistant features at the underlying proof layer. This is a scarce technical highlight that distinguishes STRK from the vast majority of public chains and Layer 2 networks like BTC, ETH, and zksync. 1. Underlying Principle of zk‑STARK Quantum Resistance Mainstream public chains and most ZK Layer 2s (zk‑SNARK) rely on elliptic curve cryptography. When large-scale quantum computers emerge in the future, private keys can be cracked using Shor's algorithm, leading to theft of on-chain assets. In contrast, the security foundation of zk‑STARK is hash functions, which do not depend on elliptic curves: Quantum computers can only use Grover's algorithm to speed up brute-force attacks on hashes, resulting in only a square root level weakening; by appropriately increasing the hash length, security redundancy can be easily compensated, enabling resistance to quantum attacks from the underlying proof layer. At the same time, zk‑STARK has no trusted setup, so there are no "toxic parameters" backdoors, making it transparent and verifiable. 2. Native Account Abstraction Enables Smooth Post-Quantum Upgrades (Core Scarce Advantage) Most blockchains require a full network hard fork and all users to migrate assets to switch to quantum-resistant signatures, which is costly and risky. All accounts on Starknet are smart contract accounts (native account abstraction), and the protocol layer does not bind to a fixed signature algorithm. Users can individually upgrade their wallet contracts to the NIST-standard Falcon‑512 post-quantum signature without a hard fork, address change, or asset migration. Accounts can be upgraded progressively one by one, which is an architectural advantage difficult for other chains to achieve. Boundary Note: As an Ethereum L2, Starknet's data availability and cross-chain bridge message layers still rely on Ethereum's base layer. Therefore, Starknet's proof and account layers can achieve quantum resistance, but full-stack post-quantum security requires Ethereum to complete its own post-quantum upgrade. 3. Long-Term Value Brought by Quantum-Resistant Technology 1. Rigid Demand for Institutions and Sovereign Assets (RWA Track) In the future, financial institutions and sovereign-related assets going on-chain will definitely include quantum security as a mandatory security standard. The quantum-resistant feature gives Starknet unique competitiveness in the RWA, privacy assets, and large institutional asset custody tracks, opening market space that ordinary L2s cannot enter. 2. Long-Term Scarce Technical Moat Quantum resistance is not a short-term marketing concept but an underlying cryptographic architecture design that is extremely difficult to modify later. Among many homogeneous L2 competitors, the combination of zk‑STARK quantum resistance and native account abstraction forms a long-term technical barrier, representing an underlying infrastructure attribute that is hard to replicate or replace. 3. Driving Long-Term Demand for STRK Token Starknet network gas fees are paid with STRK. As institutions and RWA projects migrate to Starknet due to quantum security needs, on-chain transaction volume will continue to increase, driving STRK consumption; combined with future staking lock-up and fee burn mechanisms, this will amplify the token's value capture ability.$PUMP cost 0.063, cut losses and left, these bulls are too united, even with huge profits, they still don't rush to exit or take profits, their unity makes you feel like over 200 whales act as one. After a wave of downward adjustment, the long-position whales only reduced their holdings by 3 million, while short positions increased by 5 million. After a period of sideways trading, there will be a sharp rally, and the bears become the fuel again. I admit defeat and cut losses to exit "Pill and Dog" $PUMP is riding the 💊, its name still riding the afterglow of the Trump coin. A pullback? Just a breather. Then it turns around to hit new highs again. The reason is only four words: company buyback. That's enough to repeatedly crush the shorts to the ground. The previous "useless coin" followed the same script: from 0.03 to 0.1, shorts thought it had peaked; then dragged to 0.35, still no crash. Those shorting weren't wrong about the direction, they just underestimated the brute force of sentiment. Logically, the meme frenzy should have spilled over to Dogecoin. But DOGE stubbornly doesn't rise. Many people hoard spot between 0.1–0.15, waiting for a catch-up rally, but what comes instead is other coins' K-lines bursting with fireworks every day. New tokens absorb liquidity, leaving the old meme only faith standing guard. The market's ups and downs never lack reasons, but lack mercy for retail investors. One piece of news can make bulls celebrate wildly and shorts get liquidated. You think you're trading value, but you're actually guessing the mood of the whales. In the pill market, the bitter ones are those left holding the bag. $CT short-term downward probe In the short term, the focus is on the possibility of a downward continuation, with the price already closing below the reference low point. The high and low points from the past few hours are at 0.5 / 0.49072 USDT, and the just closed 5-minute candlestick is at 0.48966 USDT. However, volume has not caught up yet; the recent 15-minute volume is lighter compared to the previous hours. So for now, this is only considered a probe, and no rush to define the trend. If the close continues to stay below this low point and volume becomes more active than in the previous hours, the downward continuation will be more credible. Conversely, if the close moves back above the previous low point, this idea should be set aside for the time being.$NG natural gas breaks through $3, rising 2.7% in a single day, rebounding 17% from the year's low of 2.52, but still down 60% from the year's high of 7.46. The current pricing logic follows two lines: short-term expectations for winter heating demand, and long-term impacts of Middle East conflicts on global LNG exports. Holding above 3.1 confirms the rebound; falling below 2.9 means a return.Don't mistake defense for offense The market currently feels like it's on pause: BTC slightly retraces near 84,000, ETH edges up, SOL is stuck at 120, and even the gold token XAUT remains flat at 0.00%. Volatility is so low it's stifling; both bulls and bears are out of ammo, waiting for macro signals to provide direction. ETF funds are diverging, not signaling an offensive. BTC's slight inflow feels more like passive risk aversion under the shadow of recession—after the nonfarm payroll surprise, institutions avoid high-volatility altcoins and retreat to BTC as the "least bad" refuge. ETH has bled funds for four consecutive days, totaling over $100 million, sending a cold signal: staking yields can't compete with U.S. Treasuries, upgrade narratives are fading, and with liquidity tightening, institutions are unwilling to tolerate high risk on ETH, preferring risk-free interest instead. Thus, the market enters a dull-knife mode: no crash, no rebound, slowly grinding down retail patience and funding rates. Chasing BTC inflows to bet on a rebound or buying ETH on dips risks fueling liquidity traps. The better choice is to wait. Wait for this stagnant pool to be broken by macro or capital flows, wait for clear directional signals before acting. For now, defense is defense—don't misread it as an offensive charge. $BTC $ETH $SOL #BTC现货ETF重回流入，ETH资金持续流出 #美联储与欧洲央行将公布9月会议纪要 This trade was won very decisively. Going long with 50x leverage on $STRK perpetual contracts yielded a floating profit of 345.37%, buying at 0.05342 and selling at 0.05711, profiting from the rotation certainty in the Layer2 sector. Recently, STRK has benefited from ecosystem recovery and capital inflow into the sector. I did not chase the price at the peak of sentiment but entered the long position after confirming support around the 0.05342 bottom area. The market shows that after the price reached 0.05711, some trapped positions were released. Currently, it is in a low-volume consolidation phase, with capital watching closely. Short-term resistance is near 0.06. As long as the major structure remains intact, consolidation to digest chips is a good thing. Control your impulses and wait for the next wave of incremental capital to choose a direction. $ZEC $SNDK #美联储与欧洲央行将公布9月会议纪要 #BTC现货ETF重回流入，ETH资金持续流出 $CL is capped from above by the G7 releasing 100 million barrels of reserves, and supported from below by the Houthis attacking Saudi Aramco and OPEC+ not cutting production in November. The current trading logic for crude oil boils down to one thing: when will the Strait of Hormuz open? If it opens, oil prices go to 80; if it doesn't, they go to 100. $XAU is hovering at 4144, with the Bollinger Bands narrowing to 4142–4145, and a 24-hour fluctuation of less than $12 — the smallest range in nearly 3 months. Above is the non-farm payroll resistance at 4227, below is central bank buying support at 4110, and in the middle is the suspense over whether the Fed will raise rates in October. BofA says Q4 might dip to 3750, Goldman Sachs expects 4650 by year-end, marking the largest divergence among institutions in history. Only a break above 4150 signals bullishness; falling below 4130 means conceding defeat.Nonfarm payrolls surprise, why don't gold and BTC respond? September nonfarm payrolls increased by only 29,000, with the unemployment rate rising to 4.2%, showing clearly weak data. Normally, rising expectations of rate cuts should benefit gold and BTC, but both reversed and fell. The issue lies in the market logic shift: from "rate cut trades" to "long-end risk." Strengthening crude oil, fiscal pressure, and rising long-term inflation expectations together push up long-term U.S. Treasury yields. Gold and BTC do not yield interest; when long-term rates rise and holding opportunity costs increase, short-term funds naturally choose to withdraw. In other words, weak employment does not necessarily lead to easing euphoria. If oil prices, long bond yields, and the dollar continue to rise in tandem, non-yielding assets will remain under pressure. The focus going forward is to watch whether these three continue to strengthen simultaneously. BTC key level at 85K, ETH at 2650: holding these levels allows room for recovery; breaking below them requires caution against further pullbacks. The future is here, major developments are unfolding $BTC $ETH $ZEC #BTC现货ETF重回流入，ETH资金持续流出 #交易之声：你的经验值得被听到 #美联储与欧洲央行将公布9月会议纪要 $BTC – Weekly Bitcoin Update Basically a flat week, with one attempt to break above $86,715, which was rejected. $82,791 is still the key level right now. As long as price stays above it, $89k is the next upside target. If we break below it, the probability of a bigger pullback rises sharply. I believe a pullback is likely. Pullback target: $73k–$69k. ⛔️ If price drops below the key zone around $66k–$64k, I would expect new lows. I know some people only want to hear the bullish scenarios, but do“Uptober” is trending again. Bitcoin has historically finished October higher more often than not, but history isn't a guarantee. $BTC doesn't need a narrative. It needs structure.Don't let “Uptober” become FOMOber. A strong month historically doesn't mean every breakout is a buy. Let $BTC confirm. Let volume expand. Let the setup come to you. Missing a move is cheaper than forcing one.$BTC We don’t have to go down directly from here btw. I wouldn’t mind something like this for Bitcoin. Lil last pump to $88/90k before the big correction lasting something like 1 or 2 months going into the end of the year. This is the window when imo swing longs should be partially closed to add back lower.BTC closed outside the narrow range for two consecutive candles, with 85,577 becoming the retracement point BTC has fulfilled the volatility expansion condition mentioned in the previous post, invalidating the narrow consolidation judgment. Previously, it was required that the 1H close surpass 85,367.1 with a trading volume exceeding 34.35 BTC; subsequently, two candles closed at 85,426.6 and 85,832.4 respectively, with volumes of 156.32 and 105.60 BTC, both meeting the conditions. From 04:00 to 05:00 Beijing time on October 5, the close also surpassed the previous hour's high of 85,577.1, pushing the price upward. However, the trading volume decreased by 32% compared to the previous hour. The expansion has occurred, but its sustainability still depends on the retracement. My observation criteria have changed to test the breakout level: if subsequent 1H closes remain above 85,577.1 and the lows do not fall below 85,392.3, this round of upward movement can be temporarily confirmed; if the close falls below 85,392.3, the continuation judgment is invalid. If the next candle closes back below 85,577.1, I will lower the continuation judgment, even if it remains above the original narrow range. Would you require a subsequent close back above this new breakout level to revise the judgment? Source: OKX official BTC/USDT 1H close, confirm=1, as of 05:00. For condition observation only, not investment advice.$BTC This is exactly how Sunday scam pumps develop. Since yesterday’s low around $83.8k, perps have started leaning long again, slowly pushing price higher over the weekend. However, Spot CVD isn’t rising alongside price, suggesting that this move is currently being driven mainly by aggressive perp buying rather than real spot demand. If this remains the case, BTC becomes increasingly vulnerable to a long squeeze, especially if leverage keeps building. I’ll keep watching this closely, but if th$BTC HTF BTC started pumping at the start of the new month and hunted short liquidations around 87K. Now I’m watching for a dump to liquidate overleveraged traders and test the monthly FVG before starting the next major leg up. Overall, my bias is still bearish until BTC tests 75K or at least 78K one last time. This will be the last chance to buy BTC below 80K. I’ll be looking to swing long from that zone for the next leg up.$BTC Let's look at what happened last week. The majority of last week saw price action higher, moving from around $82k to highs of $87k. However, spot volume wasn't consistent throughout the week. We had a massive spike on Wednesday, but only small amounts showing on the other days. This suggested that price wasn't sustainable at those highs of $87k, showing selling pressure was too large. I'm looking for a continuation lower, with an extension of Friday's price action. I'll be expecting a swee$MUBARAK I'll say something. I've been blaming myself for not holding on and going to eat at the kids' table. ps: First image shows the record of the Dragon Slayer liquidation Meme coins rely entirely on sentiment, with little real value. It's all emotional hype driving the price up, but in the end, no matter how much it rises, it will crash 99%. I held this short position first, liquidated a few times, from 0.01 rising up, waiting for a 0.01. This time I'll hold a bit longer. This coin has pumped so much, the drop will also take some time. I'll hold and see how it goes, going to sleep first, otherwise I keep wanting to close the position. Passion is burning $BTC has failed to reclaim the $87K level so far. Every move above that zone has been followed by sharp selling. This is often what happens during an upside liquidity sweep, and usually a correction follows after. Not calling for a 15%-20% dump, but I think Bitcoin looks due for an 8%-10% correction here.The order book buy walls are sparsely placed, clearly showing that the main players have no intention to support the price. They're just waiting to see who has more patience. At this oversold level, retail investors with unstable mindsets are most likely to jump in to bet on a rebound, which conveniently adds fuel to the liquidity-starved market. Don't just stare at the indicators; pay more attention to whether there are any unusual movements in contract positions. As long as there is no pulse-like increase in positions, the current volume contraction means dead water. The longer this consolidation lasts, the more violent the spike will be when the direction finally breaks out. I’m holding cash now, waiting for that wave of panic release after liquidity dries up. That’s when it will be time to enter. $DOGE $PEPE $WIF 8万5这条日线，我今晚不打算提前交卷。 你会在数据公布前先减仓，还是等收盘再决定？ 刚看到非农数据冲高又被砸下来那一刻，我手里的仓位没动，但心跳确实快了一拍。不是我头铁，是我想看清楚BTC日线能不能守住85,000、ETH能不能站稳2,700，再决定要不要一起平掉。 先把我盯的几个信号摊开： - BTC日线结构：85,000是关键防线，跌破意味着短期多头节奏被打断 - ETH日线结构：2,700是心理关口，失守容易带动山寨整体回撤 - 上方卖压区：87,000到88,000附近抛压明显，冲高容易被压回 - 下方强支撑：BTC 82,000、ETH 2,650，是我认为多头最后的安全垫 - ETF资金：目前仍是净流入状态，但流入速度比上周温和，说明买盘还在，只是不再无脑追高 这轮上涨结构没破，甚至可以说是去年以来比较强的一段。但强不代表可以随便加仓，因为市场已经在提前计价"降息预期+ETF持续买入"这两件事。如果非农这类数据再反复，短线风险偏好会先收缩，然后才轮到价格反应。 我的多空推演是这样的： 偏多路径：日线收在85,000和2,700上方，ETF继续净流入，那么这波回踩就是洗盘，山$BTC making higher lows, but momentum is cooling underneath, creating a bearish divergence. As long as the trendline holds, the structure remains bullish. The break is what I’m watching.$BTC Price will have swept 97K and be trading in the 90Ks within the next couple of months... As I keep repeating, this bull market will likely be a 30% quicker version of the previous one, since this is the first time the bear market has lasted only 266 days instead of 365 and ended roughly 20% shallower. This could lead to a new ATH around July 2027 and a macro top around mid-2028.$MUBARAK Here lies an old man from the Middle East. Born at 0.009, peaked at 0.088, passed away at—— Unknown yet. If you stop here, please place a stone at 0.052. That is his final dignity.
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