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Crypto has a brutal way of reminding you to stay humble. 😅
Yesterday I was celebrating the rebound. Today, $BTC gave back $500+ of my unrealized profit.
$BTC: Entry 84,044 → Now 85,509
Profit: +869U | Defense: 77,799
$SOL is still holding strong: +108U, with isolated margin keeping the risk contained.
$NEAR is still slightly underwater at -17U. Yesterday I was close to breakeven, but I waited for “just a little more.” Lesson learned.
#DailyOrbit Someone is really rewriting the trend. In the few hours before last night's weekly candle closed, there was a volume contraction with funds forcibly pushing next week's AVL upwards. The monthly EMA5 has already crossed above EMA10. Although the direction is still downward, and the monthly KDJ value is close to 100, a historical peak, even more alarming than the 126,000 period last year, it feels like something is going to happen this week So the positive news was actually to dump tokens?
Tomorrow morning at 8 AM Beijing time, Hyperliquid @HyperliquidX will unlock about 3.75 million HYPE,
accounting for 1.69% of the circulating supply, valued at about $340 million at $90 each, mostly team shares.
But instead of the price dropping, it actually rose,
I get it, with more circulating tokens in the market,
we can happily buy, buy, buy again!
At this rate, $HYPE breaking $100 is just a matter of time. $CHZ Last night my hand trembled slightly when setting the stop loss, and this morning I realized it was an unnecessary act of filial piety.
When the market was just crashing in the early session, others were running away, but I was watching every surge of CHZ. Each time it was just a breath short, heavily suppressed from above, and the volume couldn't keep up. At that time, I signaled bearish; the rebound was an opportunity to short.
Risk control done in advance is called rationality; cutting losses after losing is called decisive action.
The subsequent trend was very favorable. From 0.01759 to 0.01693, a +76.17% gain in hand, really satisfying. The short position was opened and held; this wave was worth staying up for.
First close 70%, then move the stop loss for the remaining 30% to the break-even point. Take profits when you should, don’t let the profits on the table fly away.
For friends who haven’t entered yet, listen to me: chasing shorts now is very risky. Wait quietly for good news, and watch for a new structure to emerge.
$SNDK $BTC BEM connects BNB Chain and X Layer, adding another practical piece to TapeOut's multi-chain connection puzzleIf you want to focus on real catalysts, watch three verifiable numbers: ① Whether SatPay opens Beta with real card transaction records; ② Whether on-chain CORE buyback address net purchases remain positive; ③ Whether CORE chain native TVL can stably exceed $100 million. Until these three are realized, the old problem of "hot ecosystem, cold token" will persist. $BTC almost touched 87,000 today, now at 85,000
There is little turnover at this price level, everyone is watching the US stock market opening tonight
Since exchanges connected to the US stock market, US stocks rise while crypto falls
Liquidity keeps being drained on both sides, but recently this curse has been broken
Everyone now wants to know when $BTC will break through 90,000
Many are also waiting for BTC to fall below 80,000
80,000 is a resistance level; if it breaks down, no point in playing, the bull market is still far away
Not long since the last black swan event, will there be another this time?
#本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 Everyone says altcoins are weak, but I chose to buy the bottom of $LIT at this time.
The 3.6 horizontal support didn't break, so I entered at 3.6462. The logic is that the panic selling is over, and the chips have been cleaned out.
In the past two days, the SpaceX IPO triggered a surge in Lighter's trading volume, combined with TradFi bridge news, which directly pushed the price up to 3.9032.
I won't be greedy going forward; I'll sell half at 4.0 and watch the situation around 4.5. $BTC $ETH #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 fee model running but scale not independently disclosed
• AI proxy vault / privacy trading / more RWA: mostly early or conceptual stage
------
One-sentence conclusion
Core ecosystem "lending + staking" is truly operational but with very small revenue scale and reliant on CORE inflation subsidies; SatPay, institutional ETP, buyback & burn—the most hyped "revenue flywheels"—are still roadmap items, with SatPay delayed longest and most uncertain to launch. Currently, I personally think that Bitcoin $BTC and Ethereum $ETH should be shorted, with their peaks at 87,000 and 2,800 respectively! Why am I so firm and certain right now?! First, look at most important factor: US Treasury yields remain VERY HIGH! Even positive news is instantly suppressed! And oil prices still high! So we need to understand real risk now is not negative news of any single coin but US Treasury yields breaking upward again. Second risk: ETF funds have clearly cooled down. No $CORE is clearly diverging from the overall market trend.
As the overall crypto market sentiment gradually warms up, CORE not only fails to attract capital inflows but continues to weaken. The issue may no longer be just short-term technicals, but rather that market attention and holding confidence in CORE are simultaneously declining.
From the trading data, CORE's spot 24-hour trading volume is about $2.719 million, while contract trading volume is about $6.4349 million. Contract trading volume is significantly higher than spot, indicating that the current market's main battles are more concentrated in leveraged funds rather than spot buying.
What is more noteworthy is that the current CORE spot price is about $0.02171, and the contract price is about $0.02175, almost perfectly aligned. This means there is currently no obvious arbitrage space between futures and spot prices, which also indirectly reflects a lack of strong directional capital driving the market.
What really needs caution is: when the broader market risk appetite rises, CORE still fails to attract incremental funds.
This usually implies two issues:
First, short-term funds prefer to flow into BTC, ETH, and popular narrative assets, making it difficult for CORE to obtain "spillover liquidity" from the market.
Second, some long-term holders' patience may be wearing thin. Although it is not yet possible to conclude "large-scale long-term holdings are fleeing" based solely on trading volume, the price consistently underperforming the broader market itself is an important signal of declining holding confidence. independent verification, view cautiously
3. Roadmap products / unverified revenue (exclude from valuation)
• CORE revenue buyback loop: 2026 strategic core is "BTCFi revenue → CORE buyback," but buyback ledger not publicly verifiable on-chain; application layer 30-day revenue only tens of thousands USD, negligible compared to daily new token selling pressure
• Multi-asset staking (ETH / stablecoins): planned for Q3 end, not launched yet
• AMP asset management protocol: as SatPay’s pre-modul🔥 [$BTC ] The big coin is back near 【86,000】, will it break this level?
BTC is fluctuating around 【86,000】 today, once dipping below 86,000 during the session but then recovering. The short-term range remains a key battleground between 【85,000—87,000】.
🎯 My approach is still not to chase.
If it pulls back and stabilizes between 【84,000—85,000】, consider scaling in long positions; if volume picks up again and breaks through 【87,000】, then follow the trend.
📉 If it falls below 【84,000】 with a clear weakening of support, then hold off; focus next on 【82,000】.
💰 Institutional demand remains an important support now, but whether ETF funds can continue to flow back is the key for this rally to keep going up.
Act when the level is reached, wait if not. The biggest mistake in a bull market is not missing out, but forcing reasons to open positions. $BTC $ETH Here's a basic introduction to the crypto world for everyone:
1. If you want to make stable profits or minimize losses in crypto, focus on the top three coins by market cap, basically just cycling through btc, eth, and sol.
2. Once you've chosen your targets, the next step is to predict the cycle well. Hold onto these coins during a major cycle, which might be quite long, like 2-3 years. The returns? Probably not too great, around 3-5x.
3. If you can predict a 2-3 year major cycle and want higher returns, follow experienced influencers or learn some basic candlestick knowledge yourself. During this 2-3 year major cycle, you can trade medium-term waves to boost what might have been a 3-5x return to 5-10x.
4. Once you've identified the major crypto cycle, you can allocate a small position to promising sector leaders. These coins can aim for 10x+ gains.
5. Time the relative end of the major cycle well, lock in profits, and avoid giving them back.
6. Remember, never touch contracts; it's a path of no return. The end of contracts is liquidation. The ups and downs along the way are just part of the process.1️⃣ BTC逼近8.7万美元，关键阻力再现 比特币一度冲至约86,950美元，距离9月底高点87,400美元仅一步之遥，随后回落至86,000美元附近。弱于预期的美国就业数据缓解加息压力，风险资产同步走强。 👉 关注点：BTC能否有效突破87,000—87,400美元，将成为短线趋势的重要验证。 2️⃣ 美国比特币ETF，9月净流入26.5亿美元 美国现货BTC ETF在9月录得约26.5亿美元净流入，为2025年10月以来第二高月度流入；机构资金持续回归。 👉 这说明BTC的资金结构正在发生变化：ETF正在成为传统资金进入加密市场的重要通道。 3️⃣ 以太坊质押退出队列创2026年最长 ETH质押退出队列近期明显拉长，目前接近150万枚ETH排队退出，等待时间一度达到约25天。 👉 值得关注的是：这并不等于资金全面看空ETH，但短期流动性结构正在发生变化。 4️⃣ OKX × ICE申请推出24/7代币化美股交易 OKX与纽交所母公司ICE成立的合资企业OKXICE，已向美国SEC提交申请，计划推出基于区块链的美股代币化交易平台，初期涉及60多只美国股票，并支持全天候交易。 BTC surged fiercely this round, but I didn’t rush to call a bull return.
It had been consolidating around 81000 for a long time, then broke through and surged all the way above 87000, pulled back and then bounced back above 86000. Looking at the daily chart, the price has deviated from the Bollinger middle band, so it’s indeed strong in the short term, but it’s not a guaranteed profit to blindly chase.
The news also supports this: September’s non-farm payrolls increased by only 29,000, far below expectations, unemployment rose to 4.2%, and the market readjusted its expectations for the Federal Reserve, which pushed BTC up.
But I’m more concerned about what happens next, not just a few points gained today.
87500 is the immediate resistance; whether it can break above with volume is more important than a single big bullish candle. If it gets hammered after the rally, watch out for those chasing the price to catch the last leg. On the downside, first see if 85000 can hold, then look at 83000 for support.
A reminder to myself: a breakout can be bullish, but don’t lose sight of your entry price just because you’re bullish.
A strong market doesn’t mean every position is worth buying. The worst feeling isn’t missing out, but being right on the direction yet losing money because you chased too aggressively." no large-scale institutional fund inflow seen
Agora AUSD Institutional stablecoin Officially launched, zero-fee minting Lacks independent on-chain TVL/volume data, treated as partnership for now
ASX Capital / RWA Commercial real estate rent NFTs Phase one sold out, annualized 7.2–8.5% Small-scale pilot, no sustained scale yet
BTCS / London Stock Exchange ETP Institutional products Officially raised $100 million, 10% bought CORE; LSE launched BTC staking ETP Mostly official claims, lacks Macro Data Night｜BTC and ETH's Turning Point Decision, What Direction Will the Story Take? Click to Watch All the Storylines!
📊 Market Snapshot
BTC 85928 (+0.84%) ETH 2712 (+0.55%)
Tonight 21:45 (S&P Services PMI) and 22:00 (ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI) are the core of the current macro logic.
After the non-farm payroll surprise, service sector data is the last stubborn inflation indicator.
The strength or weakness of the data will directly determine expectations for the Fed's rate cut path, guiding the direction of the dollar and risk assets.
📈 Price Projection
Scenario 1｜Moderate Data (meeting or slightly below expectations)
Rate cut expectations heat up, the dollar weakens, risk appetite returns.
Target ➔ BTC pushes up to 88000 | ETH holds above 3000
Scenario 2｜Strong Data (above 55.4)
Economic resilience weakens the rate cut logic, the dollar strengthens, liquidity tightens.
Target ➔ BTC dips to 84000 | ETH retests 2650
If 84000 breaks, look down to 82000.
Scenario 3｜Weak Data (significantly below expectations)
Initial trading contraction, indiscriminate sell-off of risk assets. Then funds speculate on Fed easing.
Target ➔ BTC and ETH plunge. The plunge is a golden pit, with support references at 84000 and 2650.
#本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 2. Only partnership announcements / nominal integration (not widely operational)
Project Category Status Value
SatPay (with Mobilum) BTC debit card spending Originally planned for H1 2026 launch, delayed; no public commercial version or real user transactions yet Pure roadmap, stuck on overseas licensing and payment channel integration
BitGo / Copper / Cobo / Hex Trust Institutional custody nodes Integrated as validators, serving BTC wealth management Real integration but mainly "custody + node"$PONS has dropped even more than I expected! If it can't pull out two medium bullish candles in next couple days, might start main downtrend. We're only in second wave, but already been halved twice; after third wave, might drop to 0.1! 📉 Two main reasons for decline: 1) After honeymoon period, income has shown true form and being crushed by $PUMP 2) Problem with buyback mechanism, which founder already came out to explain. I believe should be resolved in next few days. But no matter what, incoThe meme sector rose 5% in 24 hours, with a total market cap reaching 125 billion. The small amount of burn can't support SHIB's short-term price at all, and no institutions have come out to call the shots. This wave is purely driven by sentiment. $ETH is currently priced at 2712, right at the short-term dynamic support, with MACD momentum clearly weakening. The short positions liquidity is densely stacked between 2770 and 2800 above, while long positions are more heavily accumulated around 2650 below. The long-short battle is intense, but the probability of an upward bull trap is higher. Just replaced a voice-controlled light in Building 3's corridor, now back to watching. The strategy is straightforward: short at the rebound to resistance. Enter positions in batches between 2765 and 2795, take profit first at 2685, then at 2655. Set stop loss at 2815. Once it breaks below the 2680 dynamic moving average, the long positions below will be stopped out in a chain, and a spike market could come at any time. Don't chase longs, wait for the rebound.
$ETH
#OKXICE向SEC申请推出代币化股票交易平台
@OKX星球 DOGE mining is undergoing an institutional transformation.
Nasdaq-listed company Thumzup Media has incorporated Dogehash under its umbrella and deployed about 3,500 Antminer L9 units, with a computing power scale exceeding 50T, distributed across multiple data centers in North America.
Previously, the combined mining power of DOGE and LTC was concentrated in a few mining pools and regions. Now, with listed companies' capital, governance, and public disclosure mechanisms entering the mining industry, it is expected to drive DOGE's computing power toward greater multi-regional distribution, scale, and capitalization.
What is even more noteworthy is that listed mining companies can finance the purchase of mining machines and use the cash flow generated from DOGE mining to supplement their balance sheets.
This means that the DOGE mining ecosystem is gradually transitioning from the traditional mining farm model to a new stage of **"listed company + data center + capital market,"** and the capital structure behind network security and computing power is also changing.Dual Staking Liquid staking Network-wide staking about 7,600+ BTC, 300+ million CORE, about 35% BTC stakers also lock CORE Technically running, but yields mainly from CORE inflation mining linearly released since 1981, not external revenue
⚠️ Key truth: Over 86% of Core ecosystem TVL concentrates in "lending + restaking," which are essentially leverage stacking, with cascading liquidation risks exposed in March 2026. 🚨 **BTC IS BACK AT $85K — NOW THE REAL TEST**
BTC is holding around **$85K**, but sellers are still defending the **$87K–$87.5K** zone. 👀
Here’s my map:
₿ **$87.5K reclaim + hold** → $90K becomes the next major target
⚠️ **$85K rejection** → $83K–$82K comes back into focus
ETF demand is still positive, but the pace has cooled.
So I’m not chasing the move.
**I’m waiting for confirmation.**
The key is not how much it rises, but whether it can break through and hold.
**BTC $90K or $82K first? 👀** Others see SOL as about to moon, but here I'm shorting $SOL perpetual contracts at 100x leverage, with an unrealized profit of 85.61% and currently holding the position, feeling like picking up money on the edge of a knife. Recently, SOL's fundamentals aren't bad—transaction throughput, RWA, and stablecoin data are impressive. If Alpenglow launches, it could reduce confirmation times to the millisecond level; however, spot ETF inflows have slowed, and platforms like Pump.fun are transferring SOL into exchanges, increasing selling pressure. BTC dominance is rising and draining altcoin funds.
I'm trading based on technicals: multiple failures at key resistance, a break of the ascending trendline, MACD/RSI trending neutral to weak, combined with a high concentration of long positions, betting on a shakeout of the bulls; opening shorts to capitalize on the dip.
But 100x leverage is no joke—if it theoretically moves 1% against you, it liquidates. In reality, considering maintenance margin, fees, and possible spikes, about 0.5% adverse move is dangerous; with such large profits, it's even more important to reduce position size or move stop losses to secure gains rather than guessing the top. $SOL $ZEC $ADA's movement in the past few days has been very rhythmic. In the previous days, it oscillated sideways around 0.25, repeatedly testing support, with multiple dips failing to break through effectively, and bottom chips continuously accumulating. As the overall market sentiment warms up, funds begin to enter, steadily pushing the price up, reaching above 0.27.
In the most recent day, the market started to show divergence; after a surge, selling pressure gradually appeared, with frequent back-and-forth oscillations during the session. Indicators show a short-term entry into the overbought zone, and bullish momentum has somewhat slowed. My 50x long position was laid out in the bottom oscillation range and has been held until now. Currently, I have raised the trailing stop to lock in most of the profits. $SAND
Going forward, the key level to watch is the 0.275 resistance. If it breaks and holds with volume, there is room for further upward movement; if it faces pressure and falls below the 0.262 support, this rebound rally will pause. High-leverage contracts are highly volatile; 50x leverage has a very low margin for error, so do not enter the market casually without proper risk control. $MON $BTC 160 big coins $ETH 4000 ethers $SNDK originally earned 500k dollars and wanted to strategize a bit Unexpectedly, with a little strategy, I have to struggle again 😮💨 Thought I was being smart. Thought I'd play some strategy. Market said: Welcome back to the trenches, Spartan. Bag still heavy: 160 BTC + 4000 ETH holding strong. SNDK - Made $500K, tried to over-optimize, now gotta re-grind. Lesson: Don't get fancy when you're already winning. Hold the line. Back to work. 117 out. #BTC #ETH $CORE Based on real on-chain data, I categorize Core ecosystem projects into three tiers: "genuine revenue / only partnership announcements / still roadmap" and mark key on-chain metrics to help you assess their value.
1. Genuine revenue / real TVL (on-chain verifiable)
Project Category On-chain data (as of October 2026) Assessment
Colend Lending TVL about $20 million; 30-day fees about $400,000, protocol revenue about $12,700 Top-tier, but severely hit by CORE crash and cascading liquidations+94.57%, $SOL perpetual short, 100x, opened at 121.6, mark price 120.45.
Recently, funds have rotated from high-performance public chains to blue chips and stablecoin pools, weakening short-term buying pressure on SOL and increasing active selling in futures.
The strategy is to short following the resistance structure, focusing on the 120 whole number level and support at 118.5.
If 120 holds with reduced volume, sideways movement is possible; breaking below 118.5 would open up deeper correction space. $BTC $ETH #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 $PONS and $STONK have recently been like two peas in a pod, both experiencing significant pullbacks.
PONS is down due to Robinhood's liquidity drying up. STONK is down because the meme attention on the Solana chain has shifted back to pumps, plus the top profit holders are cashing out.
If you want to buy the dip, which one offers better value?
I'm definitely betting on #PONS, because the Solana chain's liquidity has always been there, but it’s been drained by pumps. STONK’s drop is due to a very strong competitor. But looking at PONS, it’s the leader on the Robinhood chain; as long as Robinhood liquidity returns, revenue grows, and buyback ratios rise, the token price going up is a sure thing. #DYORPrecise strike on $DOGE! 50x long position, entered directly at 0.09273. The current mark price is 0.09597, with an unrealized profit of 174.70%. I've been waiting a long time for this trade; the bottom volume shrank to the extreme, and I knew a market shift was imminent.
Suddenly, volume surged and price rallied, so I went long immediately. Never fight an unprepared battle; once the bottom is confirmed, strike like thunder. That's how short-term trading works—quick in, quick out, no lingering.
Profit in hand is truly yours; securing gains is the hard truth. This strike felt so good, I'll keep watching the market for the next shot. $ETH $NEAR #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 $BTC is around 85.9K. The real direction is not decided by the “90K target,” but by whether it can reclaim 87.7K. Kraken quotes about 85.92K, with the price retreating from the intraday high. In the short term, first watch if resistance can turn into support.
In the window, Soul suggests a limit sell idea near 90.8K, on the condition that the price continues to rise and then faces pressure; this is not a current price signal and cannot be considered verified yet. My overall judgment is that before 87.7K is firmly held with volume, the rebound is still treated as a range.
I will wait for hourly or daily close confirmation: only consider following the trend if it stands above 87.7K and retests without breaking down; if the rebound fails and falls back below 85.4K, I will wait and see first. Without publicly verifiable catalysts, no specific opportunities are recorded this round. Will you treat 87.7K as a breakout line or wait for retest confirmation? For information sharing only, not investment advice.$XRP 100x long position, entered at 1.4854, marked at 1.5165, floating profit 209.37%. Looks great in the screenshot, right? With 100x leverage, a 1% fluctuation can liquidate the position.
One second you might be wiped out, the next second you see this green profit. Don’t just look at the thief eating meat, don’t ignore the thief getting beaten. I held this position because I set up defenses in advance, not because of luck.
High leverage is a double-edged sword, it amplifies both profits and risks. Don’t touch it without strict discipline, or you’ll eventually pay the market back. Be cautious, very cautious. $ETH $BTC #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 The super whale continues to short $ZEC
The position value is about 198.385 million USD, approximately 15,000 tokens
Currently, among the top 5 ZEC holders, 4 accounts hold short positions and only one holds a long position; all 4 short accounts are currently in floating profit
However, looking at the total profit and loss, the longs surprisingly have profits as high as about 70 million USD
Shorts are still losing about 6 million USD Short-term (15-minute level): The market is oscillating with a bearish bias. Although the price temporarily holds the 2703 support, the MACD is weakening, and the price is running below the VWAP, indicating strong resistance to rebounds.
✅ Optimistic scenario: Holding the 2703 support and climbing back above 2720 will provide a chance to retest the 2739 high. If 2703 is decisively broken, the market will further decline, targeting the 2690 low. If 2690 is breached, a deeper correction space will open up. $COAI perpetual 10x short position: opened at 0.3629, marked at 0.3331, +82.11%.
Repeatedly tested the 0.36 level but failed to hold, MACD death cross downward. After confirming support turned into resistance, opened short directly.
Operation: took half the profit, moved stop loss to 0.345. If it breaks 0.33, continue holding; if it rebounds and breaks 0.345, close all. $BTC $ETH #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 I’d rather miss an entry than catch a falling knife at the top.
Even if $BTC pushes toward $90K and the broader market keeps climbing, I’m still not chasing. I’d rather wait patiently for a pullback and look for a better entry.
There will always be opportunities. When $BTC dips, that’s when I want to be ready to capitalize.
Overtrading only burns money through fees — $SOL taught me that lesson. SOL broke below $120 and quickly dropped toward $110. No stress, just sticking to the plan. 【Top 10 Crypto Traders' Highlights Today｜BTC October 5】
Tonight, BTC is not about chasing the rally but watching whether 85900 can hold. Daan Crypto Trades (@DaanCrypto) original view: liquidity is often swept at the beginning of the month/quarter, with 84000 and 87000 as key breakout levels; he also said that longs and shorts have been shaken out back and forth in the past two weeks. Editor's analysis: spot around 85965, perpetual around 85916, 24-hour high at 86999; if 85900 is re-accepted, the main route is to test 87000–87500, rather than assuming a one-sided breakout. Altcoin Sherpa (@AltcoinSherpa) original view: the market is grinding upwards, but many do not trust this price action. Trader XO (@Trader_XO) original view: be more cautious in weeks 6–8. Editor's analysis: if it falls back to 85000–85200 after the US stock session, funds remain cautious; breaking below 83800–84000 invalidates the rebound route. If volume is insufficient after pushing to 87000, it is likely to become a pullback after liquidity sweep. Although funding rates are not high, chasing longs near the upper range is easily swept. Contracts have slippage, fees, and liquidation risks, so control positions strictly. Do you think it will break 87000 first or fall back to 84000 first? #BTC #ETH #OKBAs night deepens, sitting under the light reviewing the market, this $LIT 50x long position achieved a 229.44% profit. After the coin experienced a deep correction earlier, it stabilized at a key support level, oscillating repeatedly to shake out weak holders, many of whom exited due to volatility. The bottom of the order book showed increasing buying strength, with a MACD golden cross appearing at a low level, signaling bullish momentum building. I promptly shared a low-entry strategy, offering a 50x controlled position long plan, reminding everyone to keep calm and not get shaken out by short-term fluctuations. Subsequent capital inflows pushed the price to break resistance, steadily increasing profits. After a short-term continuous rise, profit-taking accumulated, increasing the risk of a pullback. Priority should be given to partial profit-taking to lock in most gains, leaving a small position open to speculate on future moves. Friends who haven't entered yet should avoid chasing at highs and wait for a pullback to support before seeking opportunities. Brothers, now BTC and ETH are clearly diverging.
BTC is more favored by capital, while ETH's ecosystem has issues, and funds are moving from ETH to BTC. In terms of support, BTC also has more and more effective backing than ETH.
So the next strategy is straightforward:
If there is a pullback, prioritize BTC's support and focus on buying BTC;
Don't rush with ETH for now, wait until the ecosystem and capital situation improve.
Don't go against the capital flow; the market has already made its choice.
$BTC $ETH The "vegetative state" who lost 30,000 dollars wakes up to find the market still at the starting point
Recently, my account suffered a brutal bloodbath, with a forced pullback of over 30,000 bucks! What does 30,000 dollars mean? It's like every morning when I open my eyes, a brand-new foldable phone drops freely from the 28th floor! A few days ago, I lost so much that I doubted my life, seeing ghosting shadows on the candlestick charts, almost setting up a fortune-telling stall under the overpass.
To save my life, I chose to take a break and stay put for two or three days.
Guess what? I avoided tens of thousands of dollars in losses, and when I came back to check ZEC's daily chart, the price was still hovering around 1316, not even touching the MA5 (1322)!
Controlling your hands is also a top-level trade
After resting for two or three days, looking back at ZEC's position, it was still lingering around 1300, without any decent one-sided move. Seeing the daily MA5, MA10, and MA20 in a bearish alignment pressing down hard, I was glad I chose to stay out and rest these days.
The crypto world is not a place where hard work always pays off; frequently staring at the screen and opening trades back and forth often ends up with being killed on both long and short sides, plus paying a bunch of fees. When the market is in a downtrend consolidation phase (MACD dead cross but green bars shrinking, KDJ's J value already hitting 1.73 extreme oversold), rather than suffering inside, it's better to step out, have a cup of tea, and soak your feet 😄 $ETH short! A 25x long position worth 64.3 million, with the liquidation price openly set at 2650, just about 70 dollars away from the current price. Isn't this a giant prey delivered on a silver platter?
Just saw an on-chain anomaly: a whale opened a 25x long position of 23,700 ETH, with a total value reaching 64.3 million USD, and the liquidation price is clearly visible at 2650 across the entire network. Ethereum Staking Exit Queue
Hits a New High in 2026
Main Reason:
The biggest driver is the preventive exit by MetaMask Staking:
On September 30, MetaMask disclosed a security incident in its staking infrastructure (about 0.36 ETH block rewards were briefly directed to the wrong address).
To mitigate risk, MetaMask proactively exited about 17,000 validators,
involving approximately 523,000 ETH (a large portion related to Lido).
Currently, the price is running above the middle band, remaining bullish in the short term.
The Bollinger Bands have narrowed from a wide opening, indicating weakening upward momentum and entering a consolidation phase.
If the price continues to stay close to or falls below the middle band, it may test the lower band (around 2,657).
If it breaks above the upper band (2,743) with increased volume, it could challenge the previous high of 2,807.
3. Early October high-level consolidation and pullback
After falling from the 2,807 high, it is currently consolidating sideways between 2,690–2,740. The Bollinger Bands are narrowing, volatility is decreasing, which is a typical "post-rally consolidation" pattern.
#BTC现货ETF重回流入，ETH资金持续流出
$ETH $LDO Just when I was feeling proud of the sudden rebound, the market gave me a solid lesson. Watching the profits in my account shrink significantly, I really felt a mix of emotions. The crypto world truly always has a way to humble the arrogant.
$BTC (Profit sharply retraced, testing my resolve)
Average holding price 84044, latest price 85509
Unrealized profit 869.55U, return rate 34.27%
BTC remains the backbone of my account, but compared to yesterday's 1400U, the profit has been forced back by over 500U. Honestly, it's hard to see the numbers shrink. But the defense line is still at 77799.
$SOL (Isolated margin to survive, calmly waiting)
Average holding price 117.41, latest price 120.44
Unrealized profit 108.28U, return rate 49.32%. Margin rate 13.75%
This position is still the most reassuring. The advantage of isolated margin is fully demonstrated in this pullback; no matter how the market shakes, the worst outcome is losing that 200U principal.
$NEAR (Dream of break-even shattered, mindset tested)
Average holding price 4.909, latest price 4.8905
Unrealized loss 17.34U, return rate -7.77%.
Yesterday it once climbed back to only a 9U loss, just one step away from break-even! But I hesitated, always thinking "If it rises a bit more, I'll break even and exit."
#本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要
#霍尔木兹仍未开放，OPEC+维持11月产量不变
#BTC现货ETF重回流入，ETH资金持续流出 $ZEC ZEC current price is 1,313, I have opened multiple short positions with an average price of 1,330. Latest news: Zcash just issued over $8 million in retroactive funding, the ecosystem continues to operate. But on-chain, a whale withdrew 2,000 ZEC from Binance, worth $2.82 million. It has fallen more than 20% from the high of 1698, funding rates have turned negative, shorts are paying to hold positions, the downtrend remains unchanged.
Last night it still looked like it was going to surge, but in the end it was a bull trap. I will stick to my original plan and continue shorting, target 999! The saying "Golden September and Silver October" has resurfaced in the crypto community.
Every October, someone always pulls out that chart: in the past thirteen Octobers, BTC closed higher ten times, with a median gain of 12.73%. When the numbers light up, the atmosphere heats up — the "up month" is about to show its power.
But October 2025 actually fell by 3.69%, the first October decline since 2018. No matter how high the historical probability, reality can still turn against you. Ten times up does not guarantee an eleventh.
What’s more worth pondering is this: a monthly close gain doesn’t mean buying at the start of the month guarantees an easy win. The price might first drop 20% before bouncing back. If you can’t endure that dip, the red closing at month-end won’t matter to you. Entry timing, position size, and mindset — any of these can rewrite the outcome.
Historical data is a map, not a GPS. It can tell you which roads were good in the past, but it can’t guarantee no roadworks or landslides today. Treating statistical patterns as a promise of returns is like driving while looking only in the rearview mirror.
Whether to buy in October or not, don’t ask if the "power will show"; ask yourself: if it falls, can you hold? If it rises, are you willing to sell? History can be studied, but don’t let it make decisions for your account. If you buy at a high price, even the best months require patience.Crypto Circle Today's Split Scene: OKB Zombie, BNB Squeezing Toothpaste, ADA on Drugs, PUMP Clubbing 😅
$OKB Zombie #US 2025 Annual Tax Filing Extension Deadline October 15, Involving Crypto Reporting
OKB literally jumped out of the ICU today. Currently at $127.6, up 4.76% in 24 hours, hitting a nearly half-year high. Over the past week, it was playing dead around $120.25, with a volatility range of only $2.60, as quiet as a trading halt.
The zombie move was triggered by the joint venture of OKX and ICE submitting a tokenized trading platform application to the SEC, igniting the market immediately. But the technicals are contradicting: RSI(14) about 56.9, MACD histogram at -0.63, MACD line has crossed below the signal line, indicating short-term momentum exhaustion. X Layer deposits have dropped nearly 10% from recent highs, and on-chain activity hasn't kept pace with price. Despite the zombie act, $127.6 is a half-year high but still far from the all-time high of $228.74. Without volume support, a pullback is likely.
$BNB Squeezing Toothpaste
BNB finally broke through the $800 barrier today. Currently around $800.54, up 2.04% in 24 hours, intraday reaching a half-year high of $809.99.
But look closely, this toothpaste squeeze is extremely tough. $808 is short-term resistance; price gets pushed back after breaking it, falling below the pivot at $796.82. All moving averages (7, 20, 50, 200 days) are neatly aligned below price, with the 200-day MA at $639.17, confirming a bullish mid-term trend. However, the MACD histogram is zeroing out, momentum has stopped; RSI at 64.53 is near overbought; Bollinger %B at 0.8346, price hugging the upper band at $806.67.
The most critical issue is the position structure: 68.5% of retail traders are long, top traders also 67% long, long-short ratio 2.17. Historically, such extreme bullish distribution usually triggers a pullback rather than a breakout. Open interest fell 0.94% in 24 hours while price remained steady, a classic silent deleveraging—longs quietly closing positions, not adding. $821.39 is the key dividing line; only a close above it counts as a true breakout, otherwise it's a distribution rally.
$ADA on Drugs #OKXNOW Live: Tomorrow, Book Now!
ADA is on drugs today. It surged 11% in 24 hours to $0.27, the strongest single-day gain since September 18, pushing market cap to $10.2 billion. The catalyst was T. Rowe Price adding ADA to its active crypto ETF (TKNZ) holdings, though only 0.44% allocation (~$72,000), the symbolic significance outweighs the amount—a $1.9 trillion asset manager officially opening an institutional channel for Cardano.
But the effects and side effects came together. Cardano DEX volume plunged 51% from $11.74 million on October 1 to $5.72 million on October 3, on-chain activity diverging sharply from price. Current price is still 91% below the all-time high of $3.10. $0.28 is recent resistance, $0.29 a stronger wall. The drug high feels good, but on-chain data says: this rally lacks ecological support, purely a sentiment pulse from news. Eat and run, don't be the last holder.
PUMP Clubbing #Solana Tokenized Stocks September Trading Volume Surpassed $4.4 Billion
PUMP is partying hardest in the club. Currently around $0.0063-$0.0065, up 14.67% in 24 hours, over 43% in 7 days, hitting the highest level since the "1011" crash. Spot volume exceeds $330 million, futures open interest about $638 million.
The reason for the party is Pump.fun's revenue surpassing Hyperliquid, the market re-pricing this meme launchpad's earning power. Technically, RSI 64.04 neutral, MACD golden cross intact, Bollinger upper band at $0.006652 is first resistance above. Support below at $0.006420 (Bollinger midline), short-term long-short watershed around here.
But the risk of partying is: $0.00645-$0.00650 is a dense zone of recent highs; a clean breakout is needed to strengthen continuation, otherwise it's a double top pullback scenario. Machi Big Brother has profited $1.34 million from 10 consecutive PUMP trades, smart money is entering. But after partying long, you have to come down for water; $0.00567 is key support for a pullback.
Summary
OKB zombie move fueled by SEC news but MACD dead, BNB toothpaste squeeze with crowded retail likely to pull back, ADA drug high relying on symbolic ETF allocation but on-chain collapsing, PUMP clubbing with strong revenue narrative but chasing highs is catching the bag.
These four share a common trait today: prices are rising, but internal indicators are warning. OKB's MACD death cross, BNB's open interest declining, ADA's DEX volume halving, PUMP's RSI at 64 not low. Control your hands. 😅Brothers, I wonder if any friends have been shaken out by the recent volatile market, unable to hold their mindset and hastily exiting positions, making it hard to capture the subsequent market gains.
ETH has fallen back to around 2690, oscillating within a narrow range of 2680‑2720, with the order book narrowing more and more. It looks more like a buildup before a rally rather than a true deep correction. Constantly watching short-term K-lines of just a few minutes can easily disrupt your mindset due to fragmented fluctuations.
Institutional moves are very obvious: the Ethereum spot ETF saw a single-day net inflow of $185 million, and after BlackRock's increase, holdings have surpassed 810,000 coins. Yesterday, the exchange saw a net outflow of nearly 60,000 ETH, with a large amount of tokens transferred to cold wallets. Market selling pressure is gradually decreasing, and while retail investors panic sell, institutions are quietly accumulating.
Looking at liquidation data, a drop below 2574 would trigger about $497 million long liquidations; but breaking through 2815 would bring nearly $500 million short liquidations, with the upper short liquidation level closer to the current price.
2665 is the key defense level for this round of bulls; the overall trend has not been broken yet. Don’t be easily shaken out by short-term bearish candles; holding your position firmly is the key to catching the big moves.
#本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 #霍尔木兹仍未开放，OPEC+维持11月产量不变 #OKXNOW直播：就在明天，速来预约！ $BTC $ETH $ZEC $CAP No vision, can't hold on, the profit this time is as thin as paper, but I love it to death.
When the screen is full of green, many people panic and shake, but I am watching the resistance above. The rebound is weak, each rally weaker than the last, and the selling pressure is obvious. Bearish, if you don't short at this position, when will you?
Don't let profits inflate, don't despair over pullbacks.
From 0.07086 steadily falling to 0.06514, +81.14% safely pocketed. The earlier part was really dragging, but the outcome is really sweet. Short positions entered at opening the short, the wait was not in vain.
First close 70%, move the stop loss for the remaining 30% to the cost price. If it continues to drop, let the profits run; if it rebounds, don't let the profits become uncomfortable.
Don't lose patience in the consolidation and then try to regain dignity in a one-sided move.
If you missed it, you missed it; chasing shorts is easy to catch at the lowest point. Wait for the next signal before acting, there are still opportunities, don't rush.
$ZEC $ADA A casual short position on $WLD with 50x leverage, entered at 0.6035, now at 0.5714, floating profit 265.94%.
Honestly, this trade has no technical complexity; the top shows volume contraction and obvious signs of main force unloading. After opening the position, I didn't even look back—just eat and drink as usual.
The simpler the trading, the more profitable. Delete all flashy indicators, just watch volume, price, and structure, and you'll actually profit more. $BTC $ETH #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要