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$ARB perpetual 50x long position, opened at 0.20067, currently at 0.20345, floating profit +69.26%.
The logic is simple: repeatedly bottoming around 0.20, each dip is quickly recovered, the wicks get shorter and shorter, and selling pressure clearly weakens. Wait for a volume breakout above 0.202, confirm on the right side, then add more longs. 50x leverage, stop loss at 0.198. The rally is very smooth, no chance for a pullback.
Now move the stop loss to 0.202 to lock in profits. If volume breaks above 0.21, you can hold for more. $ZEC $SOL #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 Today’s trading was honestly a disaster. The more I traded, the more emotional and obsessed I became. 😩
First, I took a loss on $ENA. Instead of stepping back, I got frustrated and immediately jumped into $UMA trying to win it back. That’s when it really hit me: mindset is probably the most important part of trading.
The market felt completely manipulated. It only moved a few points before reversing, and every pullback seemed to hit me harder. The frustration just kept building. 【On-Chain Trading Update｜xyz:XYZ100】
Monitored address 0xe310 opened a long position:
▪ Execution price: 30,981.16 USD
▪ Transaction amount this time: 716,399.08 USD
▪ Leverage: 30x
Note: This address has earned over 155,000 USD in the past 30 days, with a return rate of +22.55% Writing
🚀 $ADA is up around 11%, but the perpetual funding rate is still only 0.01% — an interesting sign that leveraged longs haven’t become overly crowded yet.
As of 20:51 Beijing time, OKX spot is around $0.2720, with a 24H high of $0.2755 and a low of $0.2441. Volatility is around 12.9%, while spot volume has reached roughly $22.05M — about 2.35× the median of the past 9 full trading days.
More importantly, the current price is only ~1.3% below the 24H high.
#DailyOrbit 过去 30 天，Pump.fun 协议收入达到约 5,550 万美元，略高于 Hyperliquid 的 5,434 万美元。 更值得关注的是短期增速： 📊 近 7 天收入： • Pump.fun：1,754 万美元 • Hyperliquid：1,119 万美元 与此同时，$PUMP 在 OKX 报价约 $0.00639，24 小时上涨 1.74%，过去 30 天累计涨幅约 64%。 这说明一个有意思的变化： 😂 Meme 赛道看起来依旧很疯狂， 💰 但它背后的真实现金流正在变得越来越不能忽视。 市场最终会奖励叙事，还是奖励持续产生收入的协议？ 👀 接下来值得继续关注 $PUMP、Pump.fun 的收入趋势，以及 Meme 流动性是否持续回流。 #PUMP #PumpFun #Hyperliquid #Memecoin #Crypto #OKXMy $BTC short has been open for 10 days and held for 8 days, currently sitting at around a 200% floating loss. Am I tired? Not really. Am I nervous? Honestly, yes. 😅 The $87K level is the biggest concern. If BTC breaks and holds above it, my short could come under serious pressure, especially with liquidation around $90.3K. Still, I remain bearish in the short term. From current levels, I believe upside may be limited while a pullback remains possible. And for those saying I’ve already lost . #$APT perpetual 50x long position, opened at 0.8024, currently at 0.8144, floating profit +74.77%.
The logic is very simple: repeatedly bottoming around 0.80, each dip is quickly recovered, the wicks get shorter and shorter, and selling pressure is clearly exhausted. Wait for a volume breakout above 0.805, confirm on the right side, then add more longs. 50x leverage, stop loss at 0.78. The rally is very smooth, no chance for a pullback.
Now move the stop loss to 0.81 to lock in profits. If there is a volume breakout above 0.85, you can hold on for more. $ZEC $SOL #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 过去两周，比特币已经 3次尝试突破 $87,000，但每次都遭遇明显抛压并回落。连续测试却无法站稳，说明这一位置的卖方力量依然很强，市场可能还需要时间消化筹码。 目前我不会为了突破预期盲目追涨，更倾向于 区间内高抛低吸、分批止盈，并等待更明确的方向确认。 📌 关键支撑：$83,000 只要 $83K 仍然守住，多头结构就还有继续修复的空间。 🔥 真正的突破，不是刺穿 $87K，而是站稳 $87K 之后还能继续放量。 耐心 > FOMO 确认 > 猜测 $BTC #Bitcoin #Crypto #BTC #DailyOrbit$PURR $HYPE Damn it! This HYPE chart is giving me high blood pressure. Outside it's quiet, but inside the market it's dog-eat-dog; it's purely capital forcefully pushing. The way the market makers are shaking out the market is really ruthless. I've been watching the 92.7 level for a long time; if it can't be pushed down, it's a clear sign of accumulation. This setup has a good risk/reward ratio. Set stop loss at 90.5; if it breaks, accept it and don't hold the position. Brothers who want to follow, check the token cards below and don't get overconfident with your position size. With this market, who do you think the market makers are trying to fool into selling? 👇👇👇比特币过去两周已经多次尝试突破 $87K，但每次触及附近都出现明显抛压，说明这一位置正在形成强烈的多空博弈区。 📌 $87K：短线突破确认位 如果放量站稳，市场有望进一步测试 $88K → $90K。 ⚠️ $83K：当前关键防守区域 一旦失守，短线结构可能重新转弱，价格或需要寻找更低的承接。 现在我更倾向于交易区间，而不是盲目追突破。 分批止盈、适当轮动，同时保留现金仓位等待更好的机会。 💡 耐心 > FOMO，确认 > 猜测。 #DailyOrbit #BTC #Bitcoin #Crypto #BTCUSD #CryptoMarket$DOGE perpetual 50x long position, opened at 0.09284, currently 0.09423, floating profit +74.85%.
Just betting on a bottom reversal: 0.092 tested three times without breaking, volume increasing stepwise, very standard bottom characteristics. Enter at the moment the bullish candle pulls up, never guess the bottom prematurely. 50x leverage, stop loss at 0.09. This wave moved very cleanly, almost no pullback.
For now, do nothing, let the bullet fly a while. Set 0.0935 as the defense line to protect the principal, wait for a clear signal around 0.098 before deciding to add or reduce, no rush. $BTC $ETH #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 $BTC has surged from around $85,300 to $86,800, while the 10x long position remains unchanged. Now the key question is whether buyers can hold these higher levels. The 1H EMA20 sits near $85,686, while RSI has climbed to 89, showing strong momentum but also an overheated short-term market. Key levels: • Hold $86,400 → $87,000–$87,400 • Lose $86,000 → possible pullback Open interest is up roughly 4.9% alongside price, suggesting fresh positions are entering. Rising funding rates also show that leMy long-term plan has started to be profitable, using an absolute approach to take short positions in batches between 85500-87000
Starting from 85500, the highest point is 86976.1, just hitting the high range near 87000. The average short position price is above 86000, with a target expectation only at 80000. Let's see if this plan meets the expectations
Note! Once again, for long-term positions, it is recommended to use a separate account. Like me, using separate accounts for short-term and long-term positions is safer$PUMP surged into CoinGecko hot search, 24h -5.289%
$PUMP is currently at 0.006321, 24h -5.289%, price hugging the 24h lower boundary at 0.006259.
It made the hot search list, but the market closed bearish — I am directly bearish at this position, multi-timeframe signals have turned bearish.
First, the daily RSI is 70.3 overbought, 7d up 28.29%, 30d up 64.59%, 30-day percentile at 0.858, indicating overextended gains;
Second, the long-short account ratio is 1.2614, longs outnumber shorts by 26% — the side with more people gets hit first;
Third, OI increased 2.54% compared to yesterday's record, 24h volume is 40,697,706 USDT, volume ratio 1.099 just enough for the average, daily ADX 36.5 shows a strong trend but relay is broken.
Resistance above: 0.006486
Support below: 0.006259
Fear and greed at 70 just happens to be a contrarian indicator. A rebound to 0.006486 is just confirmation, breaking below 0.006259 targets 0.006204, then further down to 0.005469.
Open short at current price 0.006321, stop loss at 0.006486, first target 0.006259.
Like and follow, I'll alert you immediately on a breakout.
$PUMP $BTC$OKB perpetual 20x long position, opened at 120.24, now at 125.65, floating profit +89.98%.
The idea is very simple: the bottom consolidates with volume shrinking to the extreme, volatility compressed to the floor, indicating that the chips have settled. A single volume-increasing bullish candle directly pulls the price up from 120, a typical start signal, favoring longs over shorts. 20x leverage, stop loss at 118. The trend moves steadily upward, offering no comfortable entry points.
At this position, I plan to take profit on half of the position first, moving the stop loss of the remaining half up to 123 to let profits run. If 130 can be broken with volume, I will continue holding; if not, I will exit completely. $SOL $ETH #OKXNOW直播：即将开启！ $OP perpetual 50x short position, opened at 0.13554, currently at 0.13289, floating profit +97.75%.
The idea is very simple: a top horizontal consolidation with volume but stagnant price, volatility compressed to the floor, indicating chips are starting to loosen. A single high-volume bearish candle smashed the price down from 0.135, a typical breakdown signal, shorting is favored over longing. 50x leverage, stop loss at 0.138. The trend is continuously downward, giving no comfortable exit points.
At this position, I plan to take profit on half the position first, and move the stop loss of the remaining half up to 0.134 to let profits run. If 0.128 breaks down with volume, I will hold on; if it doesn't break, I will close all positions. $ZEC $SOL #OKXNOW直播：即将开启！ 🚨 $BTC $ETH $SOL — WHALE ALERT
Old K’s perpetual positions have climbed to roughly $212M, with 18.4x leverage and only 0.6% margin remaining.
The main risk is the massive $149M $SOL short, currently carrying about $2.66M in unrealized losses, despite ~$405K earned from funding.
Other positions include:
• $XRP: $37.6M, ~$754K unrealized profit
• $DOGE: $14.2M long, slight loss
• $WIF: $6.8M short, ~$113K loss
• $TON: $3.95M long, ~$342K profit
#OKXNOW:LiveStartingSoon $ETH topic: $ETH is holding above its daily Bollinger midline. A close above $2.74K–$2.77K would improve the breakout setup, while a move below $2.64K would weaken momentum.2009年10月5日，New Liberty Standard 发布了已知最早的 BTC/USD 汇率： 💰 1 BTC ≈ $0.00076 也就是 $1 ≈ 1,309.03 BTC 有趣的是，当时这并不是市场交易价格，而是根据挖矿成本计算出来的。其核心逻辑是：估算高性能 CPU 一年的耗电量、电价以及当月的比特币产出，从而得到一个理论价值。 ⚡ 一周后，2009年10月12日，这个价格迎来了第一次真实的法币交易验证： Martti Malmi 通过 New Liberty Standard 出售 5,050 BTC，获得 $5.02。 换句话说，当时几美元就可以买到数千枚 BTC。 🍕 而更传奇的是——距离后来著名的 Bitcoin Pizza Day，还有整整229天。 从 $0.00076 到今天的数万美元，比特币走过的并不只是价格上涨，更是一段从实验性数字货币走向全球金融资产的历史。 如果当年你用 $1 买下 1,309 BTC，现在会是什么概念？👀 #Bitcoin #BTC #Crypto #BitcoinHistory #Satoshi #BTCUSD #Cry$ZAMA perpetual 20x short position, opened at 0.08816, currently at 0.08363, floating profit +102.76%.
The logic is simple: repeated failed attempts to rally near 0.088, every rebound was quickly crushed, the upper shadows grew longer, and buying pressure clearly exhausted. Once volume broke below 0.086, confirmed on the right side, entered short. 20x leverage, stop loss at 0.09. The decline was very smooth, no chance for a rebound.
Now moving the stop loss to 0.085 to lock in profits. If volume breaks below 0.08, can hold a bit longer. $ZEC $SOL #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 【On-Chain Trading Update｜xyz:XYZ100】
Monitored address 0x0742 opened a long position:
▪ Execution price: 30,964.98 USD
▪ Transaction amount this time: 247,719.85 USD
▪ Leverage: 30x$ZEC perpetual 50x short position, opened at 1312.95, now at 1285.55, floating profit +104.34%.
Didn't overthink it: the previous consolidation lasted long enough, the 1310 level was repeatedly confirmed as valid, the top pattern is very clear. Entered as soon as a high-volume bearish candle appeared, following the trend, not emotions. 50x leverage, stop loss at 1340. The drop was fast and steady, giving no chance for a second entry.
Locked in a safety cushion at 1295 first. My personal judgment is that there will be buying support around 1250; then I'll watch the volume to decide whether to exit or hold, without guessing the bottom in advance. $BTC $ETH #ZEC现货ETF连续3日流出，NU7升级临近 Daily transfer volume on x402 a payment standard built for AI agents jumped to $223,180 on October 2, the highest since April. Algorand accounted for roughly 72% of that activity. This landed just three days after the White House proclaimed the "era of Super Intelligence."
The angle: AI agents paying each other onchain isn't a narrative anymore. It's producing measurable volume. Worth watching if you want to cover the AI + payments intersection before it gets crowded.
#OKXNOW:LiveStartingSoon $OPN Just switched the software to the background, and it suddenly dropped sharply. Is it playing hide and seek with me? Before I could react, the profit had already come out on its own.
When the screen was full of green, no one was buying OPN or OPN going up at all; the sell pressure was tight and heavy. Entered short at 0.05820, held all the way to 0.05719, +34.36% gave the answer directly. The earlier hesitation was real, but the outcome is truly satisfying.
Put the big chunk into the pocket first, close 80% of the position. Protect the remaining 20% at cost price; if it continues to drop, let the profit run. Take profits when it's time.
Hold as long as the trend is intact, exit once it breaks the level, don’t get emotionally attached.
Being out of position is not a sin; opening random positions is the mistake.
Waiting for a more comfortable position in the next round, I will notify immediately. Chasing highs easily leaves you stuck at the peak.
$SOL $BNB 别急着看谁涨得最猛，那通常是行情后段才有的错觉。 真正该问的是：现在这段，是启动、延续，还是已经悄悄走到分歧了？ 我盯盘时有个习惯，先不看涨幅榜，而是看钱经过谁。BTC 在 84K 附近晃，它依然是全场的中枢，这点没变。ETH 摸到 2.7K 附近，说明风险偏好确实有往外扩的苗头，但还没到全面开花的程度。SOL 靠生态和升级撑着动能，XRP 吃的是 ETF 叙事，而 TRUMP 完全是另一类物种，它对消息极度敏感，波动经常脱离常规节奏。 如果把这段行情当成一个阶段来判断，我更倾向它处在延续和分歧之间。启动期的特征是 BTC 先稳住、ETH 跟涨、山寨随后补，现在 BTC 的中枢地位还在，ETH 在试探上方，SOL 和 XRP 各有各的故事，这像是延续。但分歧的信号也藏在这里：每个标的的上涨理由都不一样，说明资金还没形成统一的风险偏好，更像各买各的。 偏多的路径很清楚。只要 BTC 守住这个区间，ETH 带量突破阻力，SOL 和 XRP 跟上形成共振，那行情就有机会从少数标的扩散到更大范围，山寨的补涨窗口也会打开。这种时候，早期布局的人吃的是扩散红利。 但风险恰恰在于，很多人会把这种结构The city night deepens, and many short-term opportunities are hidden in the nighttime market fluctuations.
After $AT surged, the upward momentum weakened, repeatedly testing the upper resistance without breakthrough. I placed a short order at 0.1402 to play the pullback.
The market's bullish intent faded, profit-taking intensified, and the price retraced, confirming the previous judgment.
Currently, bears dominate, but a retaliatory rebound could occur at any time. Leveraged trading carries high risk, so position management must never be relaxed. $SNDK $SOL #OKXNOW直播：即将开启！ 🔥OKX partners with the parent company of the NYSE to pave the way for securities on the Blockchain
According to Bloomberg, OKX has allied with ICE (Intercontinental Exchange - the parent company of the New York Stock Exchange NYSE) to establish a joint venture named OKXICE
This joint venture has officially filed with the SEC to obtain a license to launch a US Stock trading platform in the form of Tokenized Stocks directly in the US market.
The initial plan is to launch tokenization for shares of 63 companies listed on the NYSE 📍 My current favorite trading strategies
Plan A: Breakout Long
BTC effectively breaks above $87K → Do not chase on the first candlestick, wait for a pullback to $87K to hold, then consider going long.
· Stop loss: placed below the breakout structure
· First target: $89K
· Second target: around $90K
· Position size: start light, add after confirmation
Plan B: Breakdown Short
If $84K is clearly broken down and the rebound cannot retake $84K, consider shorting.
· First target: $82K
· Second target: around $80K
· If price quickly recovers above $84K, exit short positions promptly.
🔵 ETH Contracts
Do not rush ETH ahead of BTC now.
Break and hold above $2,800 → bullish signal strengthens.
If BTC has already broken $87K but ETH still cannot hold above $2,800, do not go heavy long just because "ETH is cheap."
⚠️ The most important rule for contracts
Currently in a breakout critical zone, the most likely scenario is:
$87K false breakout → bulls chase in → quickly slammed back to $85K. $FIL perpetual 50x long position, opened at 1.0623, currently at 1.0885, floating profit +123.42%.
Just betting on a bottom reversal: 1.06 tested three times without breaking, volume increasing stepwise, very standard bottom characteristics. Enter at the moment the bullish candle pulls up, never guessing the bottom prematurely. 50x leverage, stop loss at 1.05. This wave moved very cleanly, almost no pullback.
For now, hold steady and let the bullets fly a bit. Keep 1.08 as the defense line to protect the principal, wait for a clear signal around 1.12 before deciding to add or reduce, no rush. $BTC $ETH #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 🚨 A $212M whale account is carrying serious risk, with 18.4x overall leverage and just 0.6% available margin. $SOL is the biggest position: a $149M short currently down around $2.66M, while funding gains of $405K offer limited relief. $XRP holds a $754K unrealized profit, $DOGE and $WIF are slightly down, while $TON leads with a $342K profit. The main risk remains the massive $SOL short. With such high leverage and a thin margin buffer, even a small adverse move could create major pressure.The July financial report still showed a loss of $8.22 billion, but this quarter Strategy turned around and earned back $21 billion.
Saylor just disclosed: Driven by Bitcoin's over 40% rise in Q3, Strategy's digital asset book gains for the third quarter were about $21 billion, returning to profitability. As of October 4, it held approximately 848,000 BTC, valued at about $72.6 billion at that time, along with about $5.7 billion in USD assets. (Reported by ChainCatcher)
Note that it previously announced it might opportunistically sell Bitcoin, raising up to $1.25 billion to replenish USD reserves, pay preferred stock dividends and interest, or repurchase shares. After that, the pace of buying coins clearly slowed, with only 334 purchased last week.
My view: The $21 billion is unrealized book profit, not realized gains. At the time of writing, OKX BTC was about 85,140, just dropped back near 85,000; for every $10,000 price fluctuation, its book value swings about $8.5 billion.
Not investment advice.
848,000 BTC, $21 billion unrealized profit in Q3, for Q4 do you bet on continued gains or a turnaround to losses?
$BTC $AKE Perpetual 20x short position, opened at 0.03418, currently at 0.03145, floating profit +159.74%.
The logic is simple: repeated failed attempts to rally near 0.034, each rebound quickly crushed, with increasingly long upper shadows, clearly showing buying exhaustion. Once volume broke below 0.0325, confirmed on the right side, entered short. 20x leverage, stop loss at 0.035. The decline was very smooth, no chance for a rebound.
Now moving the stop loss to 0.032 to lock in profits. If volume breaks below 0.029, can hold a bit longer. $BTC $ETH #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 $BTC 100x short, floating profit 140.04%, although the rocket in the chart is blasting off happily. I suggest not changing your avatar to a success coach just yet, because BTC hasn't closed and the sentiment isn't off work.
This wave is a rally followed by insufficient buying, obvious pressure, and short-term weakness. I shorted near 86280, profiting from the retracement after the chasing funds let go, not because of any grudge against BTC.
Handling is simple: protect cost, move stop loss, take profits in batches, and let the remaining position be. Don't get emotional with 100x leverage; a single opposite move can turn "teacher is bullish" into "teacher, don't go." Only those who know how to close positions deserve to show charts; those who don't, the charts are just evidence. $BTC $ETH This time ZEC finally softened!
$ZEC
Babala opened a short at 1340, and now the price has dropped to around 1286, temporarily securing a floating profit of 54 points.
Previously, ZEC always moved against the overall market, unable to fall, rising quickly, giving the shorts a hard time. But after this drop below 1300, the short-term structure has indeed started to change.
1300 was originally an important support level; now that it’s broken, it will turn into the first resistance. If the rebound can’t close back above 1300, it means selling pressure isn’t over yet. Next, watch if 1280 can hold.
If 1280 continues to fail, the next key level is around 1250; but if it quickly pulls back to 1300 and reclaims 1320, then beware that this might just be a stop-loss sweep downward, not a true trend reversal to bearish.
Babala’s short at 1340 is currently in a comfortable position, but everyone has seen ZEC’s volatility—dozens of points can be pulled back at any time.
This time, no rush to call victory; first watch 1280, if it breaks then look at 1250.
After being tormented for so long, finally the shorts get a breather.$HYPE perpetual 50x long position, opened at 89.463, now at 92.559, floating profit +173.03%.
The idea is very simple: the bottom consolidates with extremely low volume, volatility is crushed to the floor, indicating that the chips have settled. A single high-volume bullish candle directly pulls the price up from 89.5, a typical start signal, go long, not short. 50x leverage, stop loss at 88. The trend goes straight up, giving no comfortable entry points.
At this position, I plan to take half the position off the table first, move the stop loss of the remaining half up to 91.5 to let profits run. If 95 can break through with volume, continue holding; if it can't break through, close all positions. $SNDK $XRP #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 The night is deep, the city falls silent, and the night session often releases accumulated adjustment forces.
$SENT has seen continuous rallies in the past few days, with prices moving out of reasonable ranges and volume starting to lag behind the gains, choosing to establish a short position at 12.868.
Sell orders keep pouring in above the market, high-position chasing funds are trapped, and prices gradually decline to realize the expected correction.
Currently, bears hold the upper hand, but this type of asset has strong rebound momentum, so do not be careless and strictly adhere to your exit plan. $BTC $ETH #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 $BTC took a look around the live rooms, over seventy percent are bullish, and another twenty percent expect consolidation, very few are bearish. I mentioned in a previous post that when at the top, don't be fooled by big bullish candles; the structure is deceptive. This is why, even though it's clearly an ascending triangle, I still lean bearish. The market makers basically fooled two groups: those who don't understand technicals see the big bullish candle from yesterday and think it will keep rising; those who understand technicals know this is clearly an ascending triangle breakout structure. So it's clever; the market is like this—it won't let the majority make money. Also, that big bullish candle was probably deliberately pushed by the market makers just before the 8 o'clock close. Why didn't it drop before 8 but started to fall sharply at noon? Think about it carefully!!!Looking back at this passage from Teacher Long:
When the original intention of trading changes from making money to learning as an expense, you can then determine your maximum loss range (tuition fee), and within this limited loss budget, find ways to trade without losing money to plan your strategy. Very likely, as you play, you will end up earning the money back.
To make money, you first need to find the fun in the game, but this fun must not be too closely tied to your wins or losses. It's like interacting with a girl—if she smiles at you, you're happy; if she's indifferent, you're sad. You'd better rethink: is there anyone in this world who will always smile at you?
The market is the same; it prefers to make your account bleed every day with crying and tantrums...
At the beginning of the year, I rushed in recklessly based on feelings and superficial knowledge. As a buyer, I lost over fifty thousand; as a seller, not understanding the rules, I was liquidated for over twenty thousand, stepping into every pitfall. Later, I calmed down to deeply study the mechanisms, ignoring profits and losses, only calculating Greek letters and trading logic. When my mind was no longer led by volatility, my account quietly recovered within a month or two.
Previously, focusing on wins and losses caused my account to bleed daily; later, focusing on logic, only questioning the correctness of Greek letters and risk control. When the joy of trading changed from "betting on ups and downs" to "solving puzzles," my account unconsciously leveled up.
Trading has never been simply about going long or short. Focusing on doing the right thing, account growth is merely a byproduct of cognitive improvement.$PONS perpetual 20x short position, opened at 0.4094, now at 0.3726, floating profit +179.77%.
The logic is simple: repeated failed attempts to rally near 0.41, every rebound is quickly crushed, upper shadows getting longer, clearly showing buying exhaustion. Once volume breaks below 0.39, confirm on the right side, enter short. 20x leverage, stop loss at 0.42. The decline is very smooth, no chance for a rebound.
Now moving the stop loss to 0.385 to lock in profits. If volume breaks below 0.35, can hold a bit longer. $DOGE $SNDK #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 The second culprit: North Korean hackers' $3.9 million "blood-stained ZEC" pins the privacy narrative to the pillory
This is the most underestimated and also the most fatal piece of news in this ZEC plunge.
On September 24, Bitget exchange was hacked, with stolen assets reaching $387 million, marking the largest exchange security incident in 2026. Bitget's CEO publicly stated that the IP addresses and attack patterns highly matched those of North Korean hacker groups.
Then, on September 30, on-chain investigator ZachXBT discovered that addresses related to the Bitget hack transferred about 2,746 ZEC (worth approximately $3.9 million) into Zcash's Ironwood privacy pool—where sender, receiver, and amount are all hidden.
Do you understand the weight of this signal?
For a crypto asset just included by Grayscale into an ETF and eager to establish a good reputation on Wall Street, this is the most fatal PR disaster. ChainCatcher's analysis is extremely restrained but precise: "This hack incident is very likely not the trigger for today's drop, and the $3.9 million scale is relatively limited, but it certainly didn't help. $ZEC $BTC $ZEC #OKXNOW直播：即将开启！ #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 #霍尔木兹仍未开放，OPEC+维持11月产量不变 " "ETH: 2574—2815, Leverage Minefield"
Ethereum contract positions are being squeezed by two forces: near 2815 above, there is a dense cluster of short liquidations, with about $497 million in short positions waiting to be cleared; near 2574 below, the long defense line is equally fragile, with nearly $497 million in long positions possibly being swept. This range acts like a fuse; once the price breaks out, chained liquidations will amplify volatility, causing a sharp surge or plunge.
What’s more troublesome is the concentration of external variables. The Federal Reserve and European Central Bank meeting minutes, as well as U.S. Treasury yield data, could suddenly disrupt risk appetite, causing spikes that directly pierce the upper or lower boundaries. At such times, directional judgment has a low success rate because both longs and shorts can become liquidity targets.
Spot holders are relatively calm, but contract traders face the risk of leverage being repeatedly liquidated. Rather than betting on a breakout, it’s better to control position size and leverage first; in this minefield, surviving is more important than guessing the right direction. $ETH $BTC $SOL
#本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 #BTC现货ETF重回流入，ETH资金持续流出 #贝森特：美债收益率上升符合全球趋势 $HYPE looks stable at 90 today, but on October 7 there is a $320 million team unlock hanging overhead, and such a drop never gives a warning.
HYPE is currently priced at $90.4, up about 1.3% in 24h, with a market cap of around 20 billion and a circulating supply of about 2.2 billion tokens; on-chain perpetuals across 40 currencies have an open interest of $12.55 billion, with HYPE's own open interest at $1.84 billion.
Hyperliquid Labs will unlock and allocate about $320 million worth of HYPE to the team on October 7, which is a looming selling pressure rather than just a paper risk; on-chain perpetual trading volume in October breaking one trillion is real infrastructure.
Burning remains real money, but the $320 million unlock combined with high open interest means a pullback to 85 is normal; 92-95 is the psychological top, and failing to hold it means another wave of supply release.
Overbought conditions are not over yet, with a position cap at 30%. Hold 85 to push to 92, reduce positions if it breaks 81. HYPE is close to its historical high, with the $320 million Damocles sword hanging underneath on October 7.$ZEC has fully opened short positions, the ETF is now in a vicious cycle with unlimited outflows, completely lacking the momentum to support a rise, repeatedly crashing directly from 1360, this wave is targeting 1150.$CT perpetual 20x short position, opened at 0.4828, currently 0.4098, floating profit +302.40%.
Didn't overthink it: the previous consolidation lasted long enough, the 0.48 level was repeatedly confirmed as valid, the top pattern is very clear. Entered as soon as a high-volume bearish candle appeared, following the trend not the sentiment. 20x leverage, stop loss at 0.495. The drop was fast and steady, giving no chance for a second entry.
Locked in a safety cushion at 0.43 first. My personal judgment is that there will be buying support around 0.38; then I'll watch the volume to decide whether to exit or hold, without guessing the bottom in advance. $SOL $DOGE #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 My 10x long is underwater again after BTC failed to hold the $87,000 level. Entry remains $86,460, with $BTC around $86,130 after rejecting $86,994. The 1H EMA20 is near $85,892 with RSI around 57. BTC remains above the EMA, but selling pressure is building. Key levels: • Reclaim $86,480 → $86,800–$87,000 • Hold $85,900 → recovery remains possible • Lose $85,700 → $85,300 next Open interest is up ~2.5% while funding continues rising, so chasing the upside could become risky if price stays weak. In the next day or two, I tend to think $PEPE will continue to fluctuate. The weekend rebound hasn't fully fallen back yet, but after the surge on October 5th, it retreated again, failing to hold even the Sunday high point, so moving further up might not be that smooth. As of 00:05 Beijing time on October 6th, OKX's PEPE/USDT spot price is about 0.000004391, approximately 4% lower than the intraday high of 0.000004573 on October 5th. It previously rose above the Sunday high of 0.000004445 but has now fallen back. The failure to hold after the breakout is the main reason I think it still needs to consolidate. However, the upward trend of higher lows since the weekend has not been broken. If this pullback falls below around 0.00000435, the rebound is more likely to give back further gains; if it climbs back above 0.000004573 and holds, the possibility of continued rise will increase. These two levels correspond to the intraday low and high of this UTC daily candle, which has not yet closed. There is indeed new progress on the ETF application. Canary submitted the S-1/A amendment for the PEPE ETF on October 2nd, and as of this review, the SEC's latest disclosure for the fund is still this document. But the prospectus clearly states that shares cannot be sold before registration is effective, and the number and amount of seed coin purchases are still blank. Based on this amendment alone, it is impossible to confirm how much PEPE the fund has already bought. The market can speculate on ETF expectations in advance, but we also don't know how many people in this rally are coming for the ETF. What can be confirmed now is that the application has been updated, and the price surged$AMD Many people ask why AMD keeps rising and when it will fall. Here's my take.
The fundamentals show profits, AI computing power expectations remain, and the long-term monthly and weekly charts are all in bullish alignment. Trend funds are clustered together. Even if indicators remain overbought, the price can continue to rise sluggishly; overbought does not mean an immediate top.
Key signals: I won't blindly guess the top.
Resistance is at the previous high of 645, the short-term watershed is 620, and the most important bullish lifeline is 594, which is the weekly 5-day moving average.
My judgment: Currently in the late stage of the rise, most likely oscillating repeatedly between 620–645, with back-and-forth bull traps.
To confirm a major downtrend, two core conditions must be met simultaneously: a weekly KDJ death cross and a valid break below 594.
Before breaking below, any short positions are counter-trend bets and can easily be stopped out by rallies.
Without signals, be patient and wait. Only when the trend truly breaks is there a high risk-reward opportunity.
Do you think AMD can still reach new highs?
#AMD财报超预期，增长已被透支？ BTC and ETH surged then pulled back; next, watch if the support can hold
#BTC
In the short term, BTC should first observe support around 85,000–85,200. If it holds and recovers above 86,000, there is still a chance to test 86,800–87,000 again; if it breaks down and the rebound fails to recover, then attention should turn to around 84,700.
#ETH
ETH has returned to the 2680 level. Whether it can stabilize here is more valuable than a single spike: if it holds and recovers above 2,720, there is a chance to challenge 2,740–2,750 again; if it continues to lose 2,700, next watch 2,680–2,690, and below that is 2,650.
My judgment is that the short term is still viewed as a downward consolidation with fluctuations; the direction needs to wait for a breakout confirmation. Whether the rebound can continue depends on the pullback after breaking resistance; whether the correction deepens depends on the rebound after losing support. The above price levels are observation zones and do not necessarily represent definite bottoms or resistance points. The issue with TLT is hard to explain in just a sentence or two. If you must buy, I personally think buying a small amount in batches might be okay, but don't rush to go heavy. The 30-year yield is currently around 5.6%, and TLT is near its one-year low. The coupon itself has a buffer of over 5%, so from a long-term perspective, this yield level is attractive. However, the main reason for the long-end rise is the term premium (fiscal deficit, Federal Reserve policy uncertainty), which is hard to predict when it will peak. Technically, it still shows a continuing downtrend pattern. So if you buy, it's better to keep the initial position small, add more as the yield steps up, and plan in advance how long you can hold and how much drawdown you can tolerate. TLT's current volatility is almost close to stocks, so it can't be used as a hedge against stocks. These are just some personal thoughts and views, not investment advice.【On-Chain Trading Activity｜SUI】
Monitored address 0xf374 opened a long position:
▪ Execution price: $1.19
▪ Transaction amount this time: $150,484.23
▪ Leverage: 5x
Note: This address has earned over $21,000 in profit in the past 30 days, with a return rate of +21.04%