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The upgrade is progressing, so why is the price still hesitant?
$ZEC's NU7 is worth watching, but first let's clarify the progress. The candidate version announced on October 2 was for the testnet, aiming to reduce block time from 75 seconds to 25 seconds, and the mainnet activation height had not yet been determined at that time.
The confirmation is faster, which helps with payment and deposit experience, but there are still several steps between smooth testing, mainnet launch, and increased usage.
This morning, the one-week performance still fell about 3%, indicating that at least the price has not yet given a clear signal of strengthening.
I will continue to monitor the upgrade progress, but I will not use technical positives as an excuse for short-term price drops. Whether the gains can be sustained when the news materializes is more worth watching.
$HYPE fell about 3% today but still retains about 4% gains over the week.
I think we need to separate the platform business from the token price here. Increased volatility may bring more trading, and fee income may increase, but that does not necessarily mean the buying side can absorb the selling pressure.
Therefore, the buyback logic can continue to be tracked, but it cannot be taken as a guarantee that the price will not fall.
$BICO I am more concerned about how it helps ordinary people understand what they are signing. The team proposed adding result constraints to batch transactions to align authorization with final asset changes.
This direction has practical value, especially when agents operate on behalf of people.
But after the tool is developed, it still depends on whether wallets and applications adopt it. I am willing to pay attention to this specific improvement and for now will not convert all technical potential into token price space.我們來看一下Solana的部分。 先前講的做空 120 附近，價格果然往下走了。 清單上 118.71、日跌約 1.61%，跌幅不算大，但方向是對的。 昨晚它還在 120.35 附近磨，今天下午才真正往下鬆開，跌幅跟比特幣差不多，沒有像以太幣、狗狗幣那麼急。 【操作建議】 空單（120 附近進場）：可以考慮止盈。 這段期間價格沒有上到 125，加碼那一筆沒有觸發，部位就是 120 附近那一份。 止盈可以分兩段：先收一部分，剩下的看藍色需求守不守得住再決定。 還想續抱的：停損照舊 140，不要移動。 想做多的：先等等，方向出來我會再宣布。 【技術面｜1H】 幣安 SOL 永續 1 小時圖，15:01 截圖。當下這根 K：開 118.72、高 118.74、低 118.71、收 118.73，波動很小，賣壓在這個位置明顯放慢。 上方紅色價位帶在 120.76～121.44；Weak High 位於它上面一點，這幾天的反彈都在這裡停下來。 現價正好坐在藍色需求的上緣，這塊需求大約落在 116～118，是九月底橫盤時留下的平台。 藍區下面就是 Strong Low，這個位置如果守住，價格容易在Brothers, ETH is now entering a sideways tug-of-war on the 15-minute chart.
Bollinger Bands continue to contract, the MACD golden cross is still present, but the red bars are getting shorter, indicating that the bullish rebound momentum is basically exhausted. The 5-day moving average is flattening and is about to merge with the 10-day moving average, meaning the short-term golden cross is about to become invalid.
The range remains unchanged: support below at 2613 Bollinger middle band, resistance above at 2621.66 Bollinger upper band.
Only if it holds above 2621 is there a chance to continue upward; once it breaks below 2613, the short-term rebound is declared over, and the market will retest the lower support.
Remember, this wave is just a consolidation repair after a big drop, with heavy pressure from the long-term moving averages above, and the overall trend has not reversed. Someone asked: BTC is now at 84197.1, can we buy the dip at the 84000 support?
My answer is: No. Why? Because the resistance at 85000 is very strong, the trend is bearish, the support has been tested three times, and the probability of breaking down is much higher than a rebound.
I lost 200,000 U, half of it from trying to buy the dip and failing. Now I've learned my lesson: a small position of 5000 U, short if it breaks 84000, stop loss at 84300, target 83500.
Remember one thing: in a downtrend, support is meant to be broken, not bought. Never hold a position without a stop loss, this is an iron rule. $BTC #BTC巨鲸抛压减弱，ETF资金连续三周净流入 This $BTC pullback is actually getting more and more interesting to me.
Currently, the price is around $84,200, and market sentiment is clearly not as strong as before, but the price hasn't directly broken below $84,000. This indicates there is still support here.
Next is simple: if it holds above $85,500, continue to watch for $86,700; if it breaks below $84,000, then see if $83,600 can hold.
The real short-term opportunity often isn't about guessing the direction, but waiting for the market to reveal the answer.【The trough is moving westward, but the cumulonimbus clouds have not yet landed】
On October 5, the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission solicited public comments on a national framework for retail crypto trading, which included a draft "crypto asset market registration category"; on October 1, the Securities and Exchange Commission separately released a proposal to revise custody rules, allowing investment advisers and regulated funds to self-custody crypto assets under certain conditions and including state trust companies in the list of custodians. Two air currents come from different directions but converge in the same upper-level trough area—this is not clear weather, but a typical "double low-pressure system co-rotation." However, note that neither has been finalized yet; it’s like radar echoes just starting, with no confirmed ground precipitation.
Having monitored cloud maps in the duty room for over a decade, the most worrisome are these "upper-level disturbances without lower-level response" false moves. Market sentiment is like surface temperature; the CFTC’s move releases warm, moist air into the retail trading zone, attempting to provide a legal uplift channel for off-exchange retail crypto business; the SEC’s move is more subtle—once custody rules loosen, it’s like pushing a cold front into institutional capital pools—self-custody and state trust company entry essentially open a passage in the high-pressure ridge area. But the problem is both air masses remain at the "proposal" stage, like a typhoon path forecast saying "expected to strengthen into a strong tropical storm within 48 hours." You can prepare in advance but must not declare landfall now.
$xCOIN, a U.S. stock token, is exactly caught in the convergence zone of these two air masses. It feeds on the temperature of U.S. stock sentiment while being pulled by crypto asset regulatory pressure. Once the CFTC’s retail framework is implemented, it’s like installing a new wind measurement tower in the crypto spot market; wind shear will decrease, and volatility may contract; if the SEC’s custody rules are approved, vertical wind shear from institutional funds will weaken, and upper-level jet streams will more easily transmit to the surface. But currently, both forecasts still carry a "yellow warning," not yet confirmed. Historical experience tells me that markets during regulatory proposal periods are like the sultry afternoon before a thunderstorm—feeling very hot, but the first cumulonimbus clouds often don’t bring the heavy rain.
Looking at candidate meteorological elements: the fear and greed index is the hygrometer, price anomalies are gust alerts, and strategy manuals are weather atlases. The most worth watching now is the "crypto profit pressure" dry zone on the edge of the subtropical high—once profit expectations are compressed, any warm, moist air may be cut off halfway. The "BTC and Nasdaq decoupling" signal is like a previously continuous front suddenly breaking, with pressure gradients no longer synchronized on both sides, making $xCOIN’s correlation extremely unstable.
My current judgment is: the shear line has formed but not yet closed. The CFTC and SEC proposals represent "mid-term circulation adjustments," not short-term strong convection. Ground observation stations show retail positions are warm, institutional custody channels are cold, and the temperature gradient between them is large—under this configuration, any delay or dilution of final rules will be like cold air suddenly strengthening southward, pushing the emerging warm zone back into overcast rain. Don’t rush to close your umbrella, nor rush to sun your grain.
The upper trough continues moving eastward; the next sounding data has not yet returned. #uscryptorulesmoveahead$SAND seems to be moving in the same direction, but the volume contraction shows no clear stance
$SAND is up 9.97% in 24 hours, currently priced at 0.07244. Both the 1-hour and 4-hour structures are relatively strong, but the current trading volume is only 0.36 times the average volume of the previous 20 bars. The direction is consistent, but participation hasn't kept up, which is exactly the most debatable point right now.
Putting emotions aside, the structural information is very specific. The 1-hour EMA20 is at 0.0692895, currently strong; the 4-hour EMA20 is at 0.06847801, also currently strong. The short-term cycle reveals changes, while the long-term cycle limits imagination. When both align, beware of overcrowding; when they conflict, beware of fluctuations. You can't just pick the side that benefits you.
The stronger side has a clear task: first, firmly hold above the 1-hour resistance at 0.07575, then observe whether the 4-hour resistance near 0.08081 can still maintain support. If it only briefly breaks through during the session and quickly returns to the range, the so-called breakout lacks the crucial latter half.The most important thing to watch for $BTC right now is not the price change, but the key levels.
The price is fluctuating around $84,200, with $84,000 still a short-term bullish level that needs to hold for now. On the upside, watch $85,500 first, and if it breaks through, then look at $86,700.
If $84,000 is effectively broken down, the short-term structure will weaken, and the next key level to watch is $83,600.
At this position, it's not suitable to chase based on feeling; waiting for a confirmed breakout or breakdown will make it easier to see the direction.The direction of $SAND looks smooth, but the trading volume is casting doubt on this trend.
I break it down into two scenarios: A, breaking through 0.07575, confirming the short-term structure; B, falling below 0.06505, invalidating the original judgment, with the next observation point shifting to 0.0649.
Current price is 0.07243, 24-hour change +9.96%; 1-hour and 4-hour trends are strong, with volume about 0.36 times the average of the last 20 bars.
No preset conclusion, just watching which condition happens first. Do you think scenario A or B is more likely to occur first?
The above is market observation and does not constitute investment advice. This is from Crypto Bull.The simultaneous pullback of long positions in two small altcoins is a true reflection of the recent altcoin market.
SNDK 4x full-position long is at an unrealized loss of 3435U, with a pullback close to 28%; HYPE has a larger position, with an unrealized loss of 27038U, a pullback of 17.11%.
Compared to BTC's major trend, altcoins exhibit more extreme volatility. Even with moderate leverage, in a full-position mode, if the market continues to weaken, the pressure will keep increasing. #US30YYieldTops5.7% What if 5%+ yields stop feeling temporary? 👀
The 30Y hit 5.706% and the 10Y reached 5.349%, both at highs not seen since 2002. Services are still expanding, while price pressures climbed again.
What caught my attention is the global angle. Capital isn't simply escaping Treasuries for German or Japanese bonds.
If high yields are becoming a global reset rather than a US problem, expensive money could become the new baseline for stocks, housing, AI capex and crypto.我們來看一下以太幣的部分。 今天五個幣裡，以太幣跌得最兇，清單上 2,615.86、日跌約 2.99%。 之前在 2,780 附近布局的空單，現在已經有一段不小的空間。 從 2,780 算到現在，大約走了 164 點、六個百分點左右，這就是先前講的劇本。 【操作建議】 空單（2,780 附近進場的）：可以考慮止盈，先把利潤落袋。 這筆空單當初就沒有設停損，所以現在更要自己管好部位，賺到的別讓它整段回吐。 多單：做多先等等。2,650、2,600 先前講的多單位置，現在不是叫大家照著進，方向出來我會再宣布。 先前已經有多單的：停損仍是跌破 2,400。 【技術面｜1H】 幣安 ETH 永續 1 小時圖，15:01 截圖。當下這根 K：開 2,617.00、高 2,617.05、低 2,615.85、收 2,615.92。 上方 2,769 那塊紅色供給，就是我們 2,780 空單所在的位置，價格在那裡被壓回之後，一路往下走。 中途的 2,695.01 價位線先失守，接著跌穿 2,640 一帶的小平台，圖上也標出 CHoCH。 現在價格貼著 Weak Low，大概在 2,600 附近。 再$PEPE short position, entered at 0.000004384, exited at 0.000004145, 50x leverage with a floating profit of 272.58%. Heavy selling pressure above directly intercepted a short at a high level, and the price plunged sharply after entry.
Taking out the principal first since the profit is enough, setting a trailing stop loss on the base position, not guessing the bottom. Protecting profit is the top priority.
For those who didn't get in, don't beat yourself up, if this wave is missed, it's missed. Wait for the price to rebound to the resistance level and then observe; I will update my strategy. Keep the rhythm, don't let emotions take over, new opportunities will appear dynamically! $BTC $ETH 1. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East drive oil prices up, U.S. Treasury yields and the dollar strengthen. As Treasury yields rise, capital prefers risk-free bonds, withdrawing from high-risk assets like Bitcoin. The Fed meeting minutes are also due tonight, prompting the market to seek safety in advance, fearing continued tight monetary policy and delayed rate cuts.
2. ETF institutional fund outflows
The U.S. Bitcoin spot ETF has shifted from inflows to net outflows, weakening institutional buying and lacking incremental funds to support the price.
3. Technical breakdown + leveraged cascading liquidations (amplifying the decline)
The price broke key support levels at 85,000 and 84,000, triggering massive forced liquidations of leveraged long positions; forced liquidations further depress the market, creating a negative feedback loop of "falling prices triggering more selling," amplifying the short-term decline and causing many long positions to be liquidated.
4. Market sentiment: profit-taking at high levels
The previous rebound near 87,000 failed to break through, leading many short-term and swing traders to take profits and exit. Without buyers to absorb the selling, the price is prone to rapid declines. OKX has pushed its trading scope further to before the IPO, and pre-IPO assets have also begun to enter the derivatives market.
On October 7, OKX announced the launch of a new pre-IPO stock USDX contract (X-Perp), covering the web version, app, and API, and supporting OURAUSDUM (X Contract) trading.
These Pre-IPO X contracts do not allow users to buy company shares in advance, but are settlement contracts settled in USD. Users are trading valuation changes for companies that have not yet completed their IPO and do not own any actual equity.
Its pricing logic is also quite straightforward:
Reference price per share × Total shares ≈ Company market capitalization.
After the company completes its IPO, this contract will gradually convert into a standard stock delivery contract.
What truly deserves attention is that the boundaries of the trading market continue to extend forward.
In the past, it was listed company stocks → then crypto assets; Now, even the valuations of companies before IPOs are being included in standardized trading products.
Conduction path:
Pre-IPO valuations enter the trading market→ price discovery becomes more market-driven, → global users participate in company valuation trading→ liquidity and trading demand improve→ asset price connections before and after IPOs become smoother.
My judgment is that the long-term significance of Pre-IPO contracts may be greater than the single product itself. It further breaks down the boundary between "not yet listed" and "not tradable."
Of course, the biggest risk of these products is also very obvious: Pre-IPETF net inflows for three consecutive weeks, $BTC still down 1.29%.
It's not conflicting data: one looks at weekly cumulative, the other at 24-hour price.
Public statistics show that the US spot BTC ETF had net inflows of about $241 million from September 28 to October 2; but on October 5, there was a net outflow of $89.8 million, and on October 6, a net inflow of $118.8 million. The so-called "continuous inflows" do not mean buying every day.
At the same time, $ETH on OKX market fell 3.04% in 24 hours. ETF net subscriptions are only part of the market and cannot alone determine short-term direction.BTC dropped to 83,500 in this wave— is it a real bottom or a bull trap? The rebound has reached this point, but the bears are not done yet. $BTC $ETH From around 85,500 at midnight, it crashed straight down to 83,500, breaking the previous low support on the 4H chart. This is currently a weak rebound, the bias is bearish but don’t rush to short. First, look at the naked candlestick structure. On 4H, from the high of 86,665, the price has been declining with lower highs continuously. Although 83,500 had a wick and bounced a bit, the resistance zone between 85,000-85,500 hasn’t been reclaimed yet, so it can’t be considered a reversal for now. On 1H, 83,500 is the lowest point of this drop, and 84,200-84,500 is the rebound repair zone. As long as it doesn’t climb back above 85,500, treat the rebound as an opportunity for bears to reduce positions and re-enter. Next, look at the hunting path. 83,500 is a newly formed clear low point, where short-term long stop losses and bottom-fishing orders accumulate. If the main force continues to push down, it will likely first pump to around 85,000 to lure bulls, then sweep liquidity below 83,500, targeting 82,800-83,000. But if 83,500 is pierced again and quickly recovered, and it climbs back above 84,500, bears should beware of a false breakdown and rebound. #September FOMC minutes are about to be released, will rate hikes continue? #BTC whale selling pressure weakens, ETF funds have net inflows for three consecutive weeks #OKXNOW: ushering in a new era of 24/7 markets This wave of liquidation was brutal, but the structure is more straightforward than the price.
$429 million liquidated in 4 hours, 96.6% long positions; $469 million liquidated in 12 hours, longs account for 95.3%. 24-hour liquidation surged from $139 million to $552 million, about 104,000 people were liquidated. The largest single liquidation came from Binance ETHUSDC, valued at $26.64 million. This morning I said the dip would be filled, now ETH is down 3.2%, ENA down 7.9%, not because the prediction was accurate, but because the leverage structure is too crowded.
But three things remain unchanged: BTC dominance is still around 58.7%, ETH ETF daily net value +7.8 million, holdings only reduced by 1.14%. Price is dropping, but capital is not systematically withdrawing. My judgment: this is a leverage cleanup, not a trend reversal.
BTC is at 84,211, down 1.60%, range 83,577–86,694. After the washout, the market is usually cleaner, but longs still account for 76% in the 1-hour window, indicating it’s not fully cleared yet. The variable is the Fed’s September meeting minutes at 02:00 AM tomorrow, CME gives a 79.5% probability of no change in October.
Do you think this wave is over or just beginning?
BTC ETH $ZEC #Bitcoin #Ethereum #Macro
The above is personal opinion and does not constitute investment advice. High leverage carries extreme risk; position sizing and stop-loss must be prioritized. #9月FOMC会议纪要公布在即，是否继续加息？ One year ago, this whale bought TRUMP tokens totaling $11.55 million, averaging about $10 each. Today, each token is worth only $1.9.
Onchain Lens monitored that this whale initially purchased 1.148 million TRUMP tokens in batches from Gate and OKX, and has just moved all these tokens to a new wallet without leaving any behind.
Let's do the math:
1. The cost was about $11.55 million, averaging about $10 per token.
2. At approximately $1.885 per token, this batch is now worth about $2.16 million, a floating loss of about $9.39 million over one year, a drop of 81.3%.
3. At the time of writing, TRUMP on OKX is about $1.90, down about 5.7% in 24 hours, with an intraday low of $1.76.
4. Compared to last week's monitoring by Residue: the TRUMP team transferred out about 81.87 million tokens over 8 months, cashing out about $249 million. The team is selling, the whales are holding, and after holding for a year, this is the result.
Moving tokens to a new wallet does not mean they have been sold; it could just be an address change or preparation for batch selling. Next, we need to see if these tokens will flow into exchanges.
With an 81% loss, if you were this whale, would you cut losses at $1.9 now or keep holding to wait for breakeven?
$TRUMP $BTC This afternoon while slacking off, I came across a monitor showing a certain whale sweeping 40,000 coins in 10 days, and there's still money flowing into the ETF. I just checked the liquidation chart; over 30 days, leveraged long positions are stacked more densely than shorts. The key point is—if it drops another 7%, about $10 billion worth of positions might line up to be liquidated, and the 79,000 to 82,000 range is exactly a dense buying zone. Simply put, they're testing liquidity by dumping a few points in, and the positions you're watching are shaking along. I haven't moved my own position; at this level, I won't chase or cut. Let's see if it can reclaim 84,000; if not, it will keep grinding. Following this kind of setup is basically making clothes for others to wear, just watch and learn. $BTC 我們來看一下比特幣的部分。 先講結論：短線的下跌，跟我們前面講的一樣出來了。 上一輪我們的方向是偏空看，停損放 87,300。這段時間價格從紅色供給區一路往下，15:01 的小時圖報 84,183，清單上 84,170.3，日跌約 1.56%。 這種時候最重要的不是「還能跌多少」，而是先把已經拿到的利潤顧好。 【操作建議】 有空單的：可以考慮止盈，分批收、先落袋一部分。 還留著空單的：停損一樣是 87,300，不用往下移，也不要放寬。 想做多的：再等等。現在不是找多單進場的時候，方向出來我會再跟大家宣布。 這一輪沒有新的進場價，也沒有目標位，就是處理手上的單。 止盈不一定要一次出清，可以先收一半，剩下的用 87,300 保護；這樣就算後面反彈，也不會把利潤整段吐回去。 【技術面｜1H】 幣安 BTC 永續 1 小時圖，15:01 截圖。當下這根 K：開 84,182.6、高 84,194、低 84,170.3、收 84,183，幾乎是小十字，跌勢先喘口氣。 上方那塊紅框是「Strong High」下方的供給區，圖上標價 86,796.9，價格這兩天在框下緣反覆碰，最後選擇往下。 跌下來On-chain movements are very direct. In the past 24 hours, BTC whales have reduced holdings by about 30,000 coins, corresponding to a scale of $2.52 billion, while ETH whales have actually increased holdings by 60,000 coins, and XRP remained unchanged. Capital votes with its feet; in the short term, ETH is more resistant to selling pressure.
ETH current price is 2616.9. On TradingView, MACD shows a death cross but RSI has already entered the oversold zone. Around 2597, there is a large peak of long liquidations, indicating that there is liquidation liquidity below that needs to be swept. The cumulative short liquidation intensity above is about 2.1 billion USDT. This kind of structure usually prefers to first dip down sharply before pulling back. The rider just turned the vehicle into the old neighborhood, the phone is still on the mount urging orders. At this position on the chart, shorting should not be chased.
Specific execution: buy in batches on the pullback from 2602 to 2590, set defense below 2582, and do not hold on to stop loss. The first take profit target is 2648, the second take profit target is 2675. If it breaks below 2582 with volume, the long position is invalidated; reverse and wait for a rebound near 2600 to short, target 2555.
$ETH
#BTC巨鲸抛压减弱，ETF资金连续三周净流入
@OKX星球 Newcomers focus on the present, veterans review the old accounts
Looking back at this year's accounts: In 52 weeks, SOL's lowest touched $60. Today it's 117.11, nearly double that floor. Looking at October, in past years it has risen and fallen three times each, with the worst month dropping 46% and the strongest month rising 80%. October has never been a calm month, and this year will be no exception.
Back when it was around 60, everyone was talking about going to zero, and the voices were loud. Loud voices don’t mean they’re right.
In April, I couldn’t hold at 83, sold half, then watched helplessly as it recovered, climbing all the way to 120. Every dip in between, someone shouted it was the last wave, and every time they were wrong. But next time, they’ll shout again. That tuition was worth paying; it taught me one thing: volatility is the ticket to this chain, if you want to ride, you have to pay. Those who don’t pay only realize it when the train leaves.
Today’s 6% pullback doesn’t even fill a line in that old account book.
I’ve paid my ticket, and I don’t plan to get off halfway.#OKX completes strategic financing with a $25 billion valuation
🔥 Just saw this news, OKX has completed strategic financing with a $25 billion valuation.
This number is really uplifting given the current environment. Many brothers' first reaction is, "The platform has money now, is it going to start pumping the market?"
Let's calmly break it down. In the capital winter, top venture capitalists are investing heavily because they value the platform's cash flow and ecosystem layout, not to prop it up. But this is definitely good news for us retail investors—the platform's reserves are thicker, its ability to withstand black swan events is stronger, and having money in there makes us feel more secure.
However, the platform raising funds and whether Bitcoin goes up are two different things.
The overall environment remains tough. The U.S. Treasury yield at 5.6% is firmly suppressing the market, the October tax season is approaching, on-exchange liquidity is dry, and Bitcoin is still hovering around 85,000. The crypto space right now is a zero-sum game swamp; expecting this financing news to directly trigger a big rally is unrealistic.
The next moves still need to be steady: hold your spot positions firmly, as this is your only confidence during bull-bear transitions; avoid betting on contract directions during this period, as the macro data is dense and sudden spikes up or down can easily liquidate positions; keep some USDT on hand, wait for the tax season selling pressure to clear out, and if the market really crashes to create a golden buying opportunity, that’s when we can enter to pick up discounted chips.
The platform is quietly building higher walls, and we retail investors just need to patiently wait for the cycle’s wind to blow. Do you think this round of financing will accelerate the explosion of the OKX ecosystem? Chat in the comments below 👇$OKB Is Nvidia's “closed loop” about to break down?
SpaceX plans to raise $40 billion to buy Nvidia chips, but its own stock price plunged as soon as the news came out. Er Gou figured it out: Nvidia is a major shareholder of SpaceX, and SpaceX has promised exclusive procurement, a typical circular financing where the left hand gives to the right.
Now Nvidia's market value is approaching $6 trillion, with a forward PE of only 17 times, cheaper than the S&P 500. The valuation looks attractive, but the problem is that this “I invest in you, you buy from me” closed loop, once downstream AI returns fall short of expectations, the debt risk will transmit backward along the financing chain.
My judgment: The market is pricing Nvidia's growth potential but has not yet fully priced in the fragility of circular financing.
Action advice: Don't chase NVDA in the short term; wait until this wave of debt concerns is digested before reconsidering. AI computing power is a real trend, but this play is too fragile, so be cautious.
$NVDA $SPCX
#SpaceX拟融资400亿美元采购英伟达芯片
#英伟达股价再创历史新高，市值逼近6万亿美元 $ETH's current order book has distinctive features, with sell orders concentrated above 2700 and buy orders clustered around 2680, indicating funds are defending both ends of the range. Short-term bulls are trying to push the price up, but selling pressure above persists.
The hourly chart shows repeated sweeping back and forth, with short-term funds moving in and out quickly; no large capital has entered to create a one-sided trend. The market now is a battle of existing funds, with volatility compressed.
In this kind of market, avoid heavy positions and wait for funds to choose a direction. A breakout above resistance favors the bulls, while if pressure causes a pullback, the support level below will be tested. $ETH #BTC巨鲸抛压减弱，ETF资金连续三周净流入 The major partnership officially announced today, October 7, at the Sui Basecamp event in Singapore marks the upgrade of collaboration between Sui and Alibaba Cloud from early-stage Web3 infrastructure services to a deeply integrated on-chain payment ecosystem for the AI Agent economy. Core cooperation mechanism: Users only need to set their spending budget in advance; all subsequent payment processes for cloud services and AI computing power calls will be automatically completed on-chain by AI Agents on the Sui network, without manual confirmation for each transaction. Both parties have implemented stablecoin micro-payment capabilities based on per-call usage. Every AI Agent's computing power request and cloud resource usage can be instantly settled on-chain through the Sui network, completely bypassing the frictions of traditional payment systems. Alibaba Cloud will gain a brand-new service distribution channel specifically designed for AI Agents, allowing the massive number of AI agents on-chain to autonomously access and purchase Alibaba Cloud's cloud computing and AI computing power resources. Details of the announcement event: The release segment was jointly presented by Adeniyi Abiodun, Co-founder and Chief Product Officer of Mysten Labs, and Leo Li, Head of Digital Native and AI Native Industries for Alibaba Cloud in Hong Kong, Macau, and Taiwan, making it one of the core product launches centered on the "Agentic Economy" theme at this Sui Basecamp. The announcement took place at Marina Bay Sands in Singapore, concurrently linked with the TOKEN2049 industry conference, marking Sui's completion of "from a regular public chain to" BTC's recent plunge, is 83500 the bottom or a bull trap? The rebound has reached here, but the bears are not done yet
Bitcoin suddenly dropped this wave, and now everyone is asking:
Is 83500 the bottom? Or is the main force "tricking you to get on board" and then continuing to fall?
Conclusion first:
It now looks more like "a breather after the drop," not a reversal, so don’t get excited just because you see a rebound.
1. What’s the situation now
At midnight, it suddenly dropped from around 85500 to 83500.
The previous low on the 4-hour chart was broken, the structure is:
Each high is lower than the last, bears still hold the home ground.
It has bounced a bit from 83500 but hasn’t broken through the "pressure wall" at 85000–85500.
So don’t rush to call it the bottom; treat it as "a bit of a rebound after overselling."
2. What tricks might the main force be playing
83500 just became a clear low point, many bottom-fishers and long stop-losses are stacked here.
A common play by the main force might be:
1. First rebound to around 85000 → you think: "Oh, it’s going up," and rush to go long
2. Then turn down again → sweep all stop-losses and bottom-fishing money below 83500
3. The real target might be 82800–83000
But don’t be stubborn:
If 83500 is poked below but quickly pulled back above 84500, be cautious—
This is a false breakdown, bears might get counterattacked.
3. Main idea: short on rebounds, don’t chase longs
If you want to short, don’t short now, wait for a rebound:
- First batch: short near 85000–85200 (aggressive can try 84700)
- Add positions: short more at 85700–85900
- Stop loss: above 86380
- Targets:
- First 84200
- Then 83550
- Then more aggressively near 82900
Remember:
Don’t trust bulls until 85500 is reclaimed.
4. Consider longs only on "deep dips"
Longs are not forbidden, but don’t chase.
- Try small longs at 83550–83700
- If it really drops to 82800–83000, add some longs
- Stop loss below 82150
- Targets at 84350, 84900
And these longs are "pending orders,"
not to chase in when it rebounds above 84200.
If it breaks below 83500 and can’t recover, delete the long plan, don’t fight.
5. Most practical trading advice
Don’t get emotional.
- Main short position stays inactive below 85000–85200
- First sweep below 83500, then quickly pull back before considering auxiliary longs
- Keep position size light, don’t skimp on stop losses
- In this market: surviving is more important than making a quick profit 💀📉
#9月FOMC会议纪要公布在即，是否继续加息？ #BTC巨鲸抛压减弱，ETF资金连续三周净流入 #OKXNOW：开启全天候市场新时代 $BTC In the early morning, $BTC dropped from 85500 to 83900, losing 1600 dollars just like that.
A friend outside the circle asked me this morning if something big had happened again.
Actually, no. It’s just that more people actively sold, plus leveraged longs were forcibly liquidated, and the two combined pushed the price down.
Just look at two numbers. Active sell pressure went from -4.9 back to -3.1, indicating the most panic has passed, but the bears are still there. The liquidation index dropped from -11 to -78, meaning the majority of forced liquidations were longs.
To put it simply, it’s not that someone dumped the market, it’s that some couldn’t hold on.
The 83900 level is quite critical now. If it can’t hold back above it, there might be a second wave.
I want to ask, among those liquidated this time, how many really understood what they were getting into?
#BTC giant whale sell pressure weakens, ETF funds have net inflows for three consecutive weeks
#Strategy repurchases BTC, multiple financial institutions increase holdings simultaneously #US CFTC advances crypto market rules, SEC plans to adjust custody framework $BTC The first thing I knew when I opened my eyes today was that it was going to be a tough day.
Before the alarm even rang, I reached for my phone. The screen lit up: $HYPE 91.89, green, down 2.82% in 24 hours.
I lay in bed staring at that number for two minutes. The day before yesterday it was hovering near the all-time high of 98, and today it’s dropped straight back to 91. It’s not false to say it hurts; while brushing my teeth, that bearish candle was all I could think about.
Halfway through brushing, I picked up my phone again and checked the weekly chart. Over seven days, it’s still up 6.56%.
This is the daily life of a retail investor: the daily chart slaps you, the weekly chart gives you a candy. I then checked the volume; today’s trading volume is shrinking, the drop isn’t followed by others, it doesn’t feel like panic, more like some people are taking profits after a big rise. Looking at the sentiment index, it’s 67, still in the greed zone.
I finished brushing, washed my face, and noticed the bags under my eyes in the mirror were a bit heavy.
I remembered a saying: when prices rise, you regret not buying more; when they fall, you regret buying too much. Either way, it’s tough. So why make it harder on myself? I won’t check today, time to go to work. Ethereum spot ETF saw a single-day net outflow of $202 million and has declined for 6 consecutive days, with ETH spot on OKX turning over at $2620.55 and the funding rate stuck at -0.0032%
ETH spot on OKX turned over at $2620.55 with a funding rate stuck at -0.0032%. The Ethereum spot ETF has been bleeding for 6 consecutive days. Those holding spot today stay with Simple Earn to collect interest. Post-market data shows that on October 6th Eastern Time, BlackRock's ETHA had a net outflow of $202 million, and the entire Ethereum ETF has been declining for nearly a week. Bitcoin saw a net inflow of $119 million, with BlackRock's IBIT accounting for $122 million. Off-exchange funds are all picking Bitcoin to buy.
I just checked the OKX contracts page. Ethereum spot dropped 2.77% in 24 hours, significantly deeper than Bitcoin's 1.21% drop. The total perpetual contract open interest on the platform is $8.243 billion, with ETH contracts accounting for $1.944 billion. The most direct indicator is that ETH's funding rate discount has reached -0.0032%, meaning shorts are paying interest to longs, while the fear and greed index is still at 71 greed.
Institutional funds have been continuously withdrawing outside, making the spot market indeed uncomfortable. But the short funding rate discount indicates that shorts pay interest daily, making short chasing unprofitable.$Lobster short sellers suffered a bloodbath, can Lobster still chase the longs?
Within 24 hours, liquidations exceeded $2 million. Among them, short liquidations reached as high as $1.31 million, accounting for over 70%. The large-scale clearing of shorts means the resistance above is temporarily cleared, and there may be short-term momentum for a further rise.
As a Meme coin, recent capital inflows remain active, and the continuous liquidation of shorts indicates a clear dominance of bullish sentiment. As long as the capital relay is uninterrupted, the trend still has momentum space.
But being bullish does not mean chasing longs; after shorts are cleared, mechanical buying will gradually disappear, and real spot demand will need to take over. Once capital inflows slow down, a pullback will also come quickly. #9月FOMC会议纪要公布在即，是否继续加息？ After the Federal Reserve's September rate hike was implemented, BTC attempted to challenge 87000 three times but failed to hold above it. The September non-farm payroll increase of 29,000 was significantly below expectations, leading the market to lower the October rate hike probability from 50% to 20%. However, this positive news did not push BTC to break through; the price consolidated with low volume around 86000.
Core logic: Funds are waiting for tonight's meeting minutes, remaining cautious without betting in advance. Weekend liquidation totaled only $62.7 million, with short liquidations accounting for 68%. The market overall remains cautious, awaiting guidance from the news.
ETH's performance is weaker, having fallen below the 2700 level, currently priced at $2697. The ETH/BTC ratio continues to decline, with funds favoring BTC, and ETH ETFs seeing continuous net outflows.
Market highlights (QCP): The minutes are the key short-term driver this round. Focus on internal hawkish disagreements:
✅ If officials reach a consensus to pause rate hikes, market pressure will ease, and BTC will attempt to break 87200;
⚠️ If inflation risks are emphasized and employment weakness is seen as only temporary, the 87200 resistance will be hard to break, and ETH will likely retest 2650. #9月FOMC会议纪要公布在即，是否继续加息？
⚠️ This is only an observation of market information and does not constitute any investment advice $LIT Originally planned to cut losses as a sacrifice, but the sacrifice didn't happen, and the meat cooked itself. This short position from entry to realization went as smoothly as a pre-written script.
Just after lunch while watching the market, the resistance above LIT was particularly obvious, and the volume didn't keep up at all. I judged the rebound to be weak and directly opened a short at 3.8592. When it dropped to 3.6836, +228.02% was already in the account. Nailed it.
Closed 80% first to secure profits. The remaining 20% is protected at cost price; if it continues to drop, let the profits run. If it pulls back, don't let the gains become uncomfortable.
Don't let profits inflate, don't despair over pullbacks.
Have a strategy before the market, discipline during, and reflection after.
For friends who haven't gotten in yet, listen to me: now is not the time to rush. There will be more opportunities later; wait for the next shot.
$XRP $BTC Maji really got his main artery cut in this round — *Total position 158 million → 142 million, cut 39 million, that's $BTC 456 → 225 coins cutting losses to protect $ETH*
*First, look at the position changes from this morning until now, your calculation of a 39 million reduction is confirmed:*
- Total perpetual position 158 million → 142 million, 16 million margin evaporated, but your said 39 million nominal position reduction means he added margin to top up and still cut positions, double loss
- $BTC 456 → 225 coins, directly cut in half, 231 $BTC coins sold at $84,500, which is your pain point, from 456 to 225 coins, a position reduction of $19.5 million
*Latest positions broken down into four parts, $BTC and $ETH are the cancer, $HYPE and $PUMP are the painkillers:*
🔴 *$BTC 18.96 million | 225 coins | 40x full position*
Opened at $84,546, now around $84,200, unrealized loss $53,800 looks small, but liquidation price $67,126, 20% below current price, $BTC only liquidates at $67K, safe but cutting from 456 to 225 means he dares not hold $BTC anymore, 40x full position can't hold
🔴 *$ETH 100 million | 38,200 coins | 25x full position — this is the killer*
Opened at $2,682, now $2,600, unrealized loss $2.45 million + funding fee -$1.31 million, actual loss $3.77 million, liquidation price $2,516, 3.2% below current priceThis morning $BTC $SKHYNIX both had two losing trades in a row. Manually setting market stop loss slipped by 200 points, which is a bit frustrating.
Now day trading is a bit difficult to operate because the funds following my trades have increased, causing the short-term trading fees to take up half of the profits.
To be responsible to the brothers who trust me to follow my trades, I will stop day trading from now on.
Starting today, I will focus on weekly swing trading, trying to open fewer trades and seek steady wins.
#BTC whale selling pressure weakens, ETF funds have net inflows for three consecutive weeks This morning's pullback is most interesting for $DOGE.
BTC and SOL have pulled back to the 20-day moving average, ETH and XRP to the 40-day moving average, while DOGE has directly pulled back to the overlapping area of the 40-day and 250-day moving averages. Moving averages represent the average holding cost; BTC's 20-day moving average is at 83845, which is the cost basis for those who entered in the last 20 days. DOGE's 250-day moving average is between 0.093-0.094, representing the average cost for those who entered in the past year.
The 20-day moving average is a short-term critical level; if it is effectively broken, short-term funds will exit. But DOGE is testing a yearly-level cost, not the 20-day or 40-day. Those who needed to cut losses have done so early; the rest have held for a year. So among these, DOGE has the thickest safety cushion. If the market continues upward, this is a good buying point.
For BTC, SOL, ETH, and XRP, small positions can be tried, but if the 20-day moving average is effectively broken, exit with limited stop loss and controlled risk.$BTC has reached a very interesting position again.
Currently, the price is fluctuating around $84,200, with neither bulls nor bears having a clear advantage in the short term. Watch $85,500 first on the upside, then $86,700; if these two levels break out with volume, the market will have a chance to reopen space.
On the downside, $84,000 is a key support level right now. If it fails, pay close attention to around $83,600.
At this kind of position, chasing the rise or panic selling is the biggest risk. I prefer to wait for confirmation at key points before deciding the direction. How $BTC moves next depends on which of these levels is taken first.At the same time, Bitmine also holds 214 BTC, approximately $643 million in cash and securities.
The impact is somewhat structural, not an immediate price surge.
Continuous buying locks up circulating chips, and reduced staking decreases sellable supply, which supports medium-term selling pressure; however, the weekly increase is only about 15,000 units, relatively limited compared to daily trading volume, so it does not affect intraday volatility.
As the target approaches, incremental growth may slow down. If the stock price or financing comes under pressure, the market will trade as if all has been bought, rather than still buying.
$ETH is currently priced around $2610, down about 3% intraday, falling within the $2590–$2610 support zone.
If it breaks below, look for $2530–$2540, then further down to $2320. Resistance is first seen at $2670–$2720.
Only after stabilizing can we look at the previous highs of $2740–$2780. The staked position is the bottom, not a short-term breakout signal. Don’t let it affect your operations; after all, what you see is only what they want you to see! That recent wave was a typical bull slaughter.
A rapid sharp drop killed longs, with long positions liquidated at 410 million, while shorts only liquidated 14 million, the short side overwhelmingly harvesting.
In the last hour, the pace has clearly slowed, some of the shorting funds were stopped out, and the short side's attacking momentum began to weaken.
Focus on volume: if volume doesn't keep up and short liquidations don't expand, then the rebound trend is weak. This is the current situation—volume hasn't picked up, buyers lack confidence, and the rebound looks more like a bull trap in a downtrend.
In this market, high leverage trading fears this kind of low-volume rebound the most; it looks like a reversal but is actually another wave of selling.
Next, watch two signals: first, whether volume can effectively expand; second, whether the scale of short liquidations starts to increase. If neither appears, don't rush to bottom-fish; wait for the market to give a clear direction.
BTC #ETH #ContractTrading #CryptoMarket
The above is a personal review and does not constitute investment advice. High leverage carries extreme risk; position sizing and stop losses must be prioritized.
#9月FOMC会议纪要公布在即，是否继续加息？
#BTC巨鲸抛压减弱，ETF资金连续三周净流入
#OKXNOW：开启全天候市场新时代 ⚠️ 兄弟们，中午重新看了一遍 ETH 合约数据，盘面给我的感觉有点“不太舒服”。 ETH 早盘从 $2,705 一路回落到 $2,620 附近，随后1小时级别快速下探至 $2,598，单小时成交额超过 $1.1亿，抛压明显放大。 但有意思的是，下跌过程中，多空比反而从 1.55 上升到约1.98，未平仓合约也从 $1.62B 增加到接近 $1.68B。 也就是说，价格越跌，抄底做多的人反而越多。 资金费率目前大约 0.0048%，单看这个数值并不算极端，多头情绪也没有到疯狂的程度。但问题在于，杠杆资金正在下跌过程中不断堆积，一旦支撑再次失守，很容易出现多头踩踏和连续清算。 目前我的思路依然比较简单： 🔴 $2,598：短线关键支撑，如果再次跌破，暂时不接飞刀。 🟡 $2,620–2,650：这里更适合观察量价变化，不急着抢反弹。 🟢 $2,665：只有重新站稳并出现成交量配合，我才会考虑顺势跟进。 另外，$BTC 目前大约在 $84,300 附近，整体还没有重新站稳关键位置，所以 ETH 想独立走强，难度依然不小。 现在最怕的不是下跌本身，而是价格下跌、OI上升、多头不断抄底The third culprit: $ETH ETF saw $138 million withdrawn in one week, while $BTC ETF attracted $241 million
Looking at the capital flow, this is the most direct change in the "buyer list."
In the week ending October 5, the US spot Bitcoin ETF recorded a net inflow of $241 million, marking the third consecutive week of net inflows. Meanwhile, the Ethereum ETF recorded a net outflow of $138 million, reversing from a $690 million inflow the previous week.
Do you understand this rotation?
The money hasn't left the crypto market. It's flowing from ETH to BTC.
BTC dominance is approaching 60%, and Ethereum's relative appeal in institutional allocations is declining. With rising macro uncertainty and US Treasury yields still around 5.26%, institutions prefer to allocate to the "safer" BTC rather than the "high Beta" ETH. $ETH $BTC $ZEC #9月FOMC会议纪要公布在即，是否继续加息？ #BTC巨鲸抛压减弱，ETF资金连续三周净流入 #OKXNOW：开启全天候市场新时代 $USELESS $ONE: Short-term bias is bullish.
According to whale data, the long-short ratio is 183.25%, with more long whales, but most are currently at unrealized losses. The average entry price is 0.002659, and the current price is below the cost line, indicating a need for long position recovery. On the daily chart, the price is oscillating at a low level, moving averages are gradually flattening, and selling pressure has somewhat eased. Attack level at 0.0022, defense level at 0.00195.
$AKE: Short-term bias is bearish.
Whale long-short ratio is 102.54%, with both sides suffering large-scale losses. The long entry cost is 0.0351, and the current price is far below cost, so any rebound will face a large amount of trapped positions escaping. The daily chart continues downward, with all MA moving averages above the price. Attack level at 0.027, defense level at 0.0309.
$USELESS: Short-term bias is bearish.
Whale long-short ratio is 189.03%, with large long positions and an average entry price of 0.2331, currently all trapped. The proportion of profitable short whales is close to 70%. Today’s price dropped sharply by 9.12%, with a large bearish candlestick breaking short-term support, and the downward momentum has not yet been fully released. Attack level at 0.20, defense level at 0.239. #September FOMC meeting minutes are about to be released, will rate hikes continue? $ETH from 2720 to 2590 isn't a "fast drop" — it's a normal pullback within the range. 2590 got bought up, so buyers are there.
$BTC at 84k is the key. If it holds, ETH goes back to 2700. If it breaks down, expect 80k on BTC and 2500 on ETH.
Iran and rates are background noise, not a signal. Money moves the market first — news just explains it later.
OKB is holding better — less speculators there. Who's already bought the dip, and who's waiting for 2500 on ETH?Another batch of yield farmers is in despair.
Before TGE, there was still a fantasy: what if this airdrop could break even?
Abstract directly shut down this fantasy too—no token issuance, chain shutdown.
After grinding tasks, accumulating points, paying Gas, and waiting so long, instead of receiving the airdrop, they first got the evacuation notice.
The Fat Penguin team's L2 attracted over 400,000 users and 144 applications, but in the end, the business didn't work out. The CEO said they have lost tens of millions of dollars and don't want to issue a token they themselves lack confidence in, leaving the community to take the hit.
Not issuing tokens to make the final cut is commendable.
But while the project team can stop losses, the time and fees spent by yield farmers can't be refunded with a click.
For those who still have assets on the chain: operations will cease on December 15, 2026. Migrate your assets early through official channels, and do not click on "migration links" sent via private messages.
Before, people feared zeroing out after TGE; now, they might not even get to TGE 😅
Face reality and find a job early!Last night’s prediction about $SNDK was perfectly realized. The bears won.
The current position has already broken below 1650 and is now near 1641.
Moreover, there is still a downward trend continuing. The next target is 1600.
If 1600 is broken, the short-term downtrend channel will open.
The previous view still stands: do not open long positions unless it approaches around 1500.
A drop to 1500 is a good opportunity for those to add spot positions and go long.
In the short term, 1500 is a strong support; the long-term outlook remains bullish 🤔
#美债长端收益率再创新高，30年期逼近5.7% Why does the price not necessarily stop falling when a project team is in a hurry to "debunk rumors"?
When I first entered the crypto space, whenever a project had negative news, I looked forward most to the official response.
As long as the team issued a statement saying the address wasn’t theirs, the transfer was just market making or repositioning, or the tokens weren’t unlocked early, I thought the misunderstanding was cleared up and the price should immediately rebound.
Later, after experiencing losses, I understood that statements only explain the narrative, but the on-chain token holdings determine the selling pressure.
I once held a project that crashed, and the official repeatedly posted reassurances while the community claimed it was malicious rumors.
After reading those, I not only didn’t sell but even bought more during the rebound. Later, I found out that although the disputed address didn’t belong to the official wallet, it had financial interactions with early institutions and market makers; the tokens weren’t dumped all at once but gradually sold from multiple addresses. The official didn’t lie outright but also didn’t disclose the full facts.
In such cases, don’t rush to take sides. Look at verifiable facts: where the tokens came from, whether they comply with unlocking rules, whether they eventually flowed into exchanges, if the spot selling pressure has eased, and whether the team is willing to disclose complete addresses and their purposes.
What the market truly cares about is not who won the debate in the chat group, but who is still continuously selling tokens.
Remember: debunking rumors can repair sentiment but cannot magically eliminate selling pressure; when written explanations conflict with fund flows, trust the on-chain token holdings first.Teacher A's Live Trading Record | Dollar-Cost Averaging $SOL Day 277, Profit Retracted but No Panic 📉
📅 Check-in Day: Day 277
💰 Current Holdings: 129.92318332 $SOL
📊 Total Assets: ¥103,389.70
📉 Current Profit: Retracted from previous high (1-year profit +¥40,067.30 / +61.73%)
🪙 Current Price: ~118.68 USDT (-1.51%)
The current market is "testing patience," surging then pulling back, so the numbers on paper don't look as good.
But looking back at the daily chart, this pullback is still within normal volatility range. 🏔️
My strategy is simple:
1️⃣ Buy according to plan regardless of price movement.
2️⃣ Buy more when it drops, buy less (or hold) when it rises.
3️⃣ Uninstall the app and live well.
In this market, surviving longer is more important than making quick profits. #BTC巨鲸抛压减弱，ETF资金连续三周净流入
Any friends also dollar-cost averaging SOL? Raise your hand in the comments! 🙋
OKX #SOL #DollarCostAveragingDiary #LiveTradingRecord #9月FOMC会议纪要公布在即，是否继续加息？ BTC 85,000 is the short-term lifeline; losing it means weakness is hard to reverse
Bitcoin has been tugging back and forth around $83,800, with the 85,000 mark becoming the dividing line between bulls and bears. Previously, the price once surged to 85,000 but failed to hold, then quickly fell back, indicating that selling pressure at this level remains heavy. The difference from 83,800 to 85,000 is only $1,200, about 1.4%, yet it determines the short-term strength or weakness — if it can't reclaim this level, the weak consolidation will continue.
Ethereum is performing weaker, with $2,600 facing a direct test. In contrast, ZEC still has support around $1,300, but its own volatility is intense; resilience does not equal reversal, so it should not be overinterpreted.
A lot of profit-taking positions have accumulated from the previous rise. Once key support is broken, take-profit orders and forced liquidations may combine to increase selling pressure, accelerating the decline. The only number to watch closely now is $83,000: holding it means weak oscillation continues; losing it opens up short-term correction space.
On the news front, whale selling pressure has weakened, ETF funds have seen net inflows for three consecutive weeks, institutions like Strategy are still increasing holdings, and Winklevoss's affiliated institution has also applied for a ZEC spot ETF. The medium- to long-term capital outlook is relatively positive, but short-term trends are still decided by the 83,000–85,000 range battle. Until BTC stabilizes above 85,000, the short-term bias remains weak.
$BTC $ETH $ZEC
#9月FOMC会议纪要公布在即，是否继续加息？
#BTC巨鲸抛压减弱，ETF资金连续三周净流入 Outflow data isn't a short signal — it's a caution signal. The futures market always acts like this before a big move.
Until BTC sees net inflow again on the daily, any long is a lottery. But shorting at the bottom of an outflow is just as dumb.
I'd wait for the 24h outflow to get cut in half. Then I'd look long. Until then, I'm sitting on my hands.
Who's already positioned, and who's waiting for the flow to turn?