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$ETH is still showing weakness. The bounce lacks meaningful volume, making it look more like a temporary relief rally than a confirmed bottom.
A $99.8M long sits close to liquidation around $2,501. If $2,500 gives way, downside pressure could accelerate quickly.
No need to rush the entry. Let ETH prove the bottom first. 📉
#DailyOrbit Actually, looking back, the trend prediction was right, but unfortunately I didn't hold onto my short position. I guess I was just inexperienced This $ETH trade was still a short opened at 2558.55, 100x leverage, currently floating profit close to 500%, with the mark price around 2431, still holding.
But I don't intend to write in the tone of "got hit again" anymore. Because at this stage, the focus is no longer on how much profit is made, but on how to handle the aftermath after a big bearish candle.
That 1-hour big bearish candle in the evening touched 2413, volume piled up, and the price was pushed down from 2558 all the way to around 2430. The market feels very straightforward: no one is willing to actively buy at the upper levels like 2580 or 2558, short-term moving averages are all pressing down, and rebounds feel like passive gasps for air. I shorted at 2558 because I saw "it should hold sideways but it can't, it should rebound but there's no capital following." Now looking back, the logic has played out.What’s really tough in the market today isn’t BTC dropping below 84,000, but that ETH and SOL have fallen even more sharply: BTC can still hold around 83,000, while ETH has been pushed down to 2,560, and SOL has returned to 116. The overall market is starting to look for support, but high Beta assets are still releasing pressure, making it easy to misinterpret the first rebound as a bottom.
#BTC retesting 83000
#High Beta continues to be under pressure
$BTC is currently around 83,400; today’s low has already hit near 82,800. The 82,500–83,000 range is the first support level; if it holds and then reclaims 84,000, there’s a chance to target 85,000–85,500. If it breaks below 82,500, watch out for further liquidity search around 81,000–82,000.
$ETH is currently about 2,565; 2,550–2,560 is the most immediate defense line. If it holds, the next target is 2,600; only by truly reclaiming 2,630–2,650 can today’s large bearish candle be considered repaired. Until it retakes 2,600, treat it as weak.
$SOL is currently about 116.5; 115.5–116 is the first support, with 118–120 turning back into resistance. Only after firmly holding 120 can we look toward 122.
This lineup: BTC holds 82,500, ETH waits for 2,600, SOL waits for 120. Don’t guess a V-shaped recovery now; first wait for the market to stop making new lows continuously. $SEI may look quiet right now, but the liquidation levels suggest something different.
A heavy cluster of short liquidations sits between $0.225 and $0.23. If SEI breaks above this zone, forced short covering could fuel a quick push toward $0.24. ⚡
Below, long liquidations are stacked under $0.212, leaving room for a sweep in either direction before the market chooses its next trend.
Patience matters—let the liquidity clear and direction confirm. 👀
$SEI $BTC
#DailyOrbit 🚨 $NEAR OUTPERFORMS AS $BTC & $ETH REMAIN WEAK $NEAR is up 8.2%, with positions rising 8.0%, showing strong momentum as price and leverage move higher together. Meanwhile, $BTC and $ETH remain under pressure. $BTC is around $83,009, below the 1H EMA20 at $83,465. Positions are up 1.7%, suggesting leverage is increasing while price weakens. A break below $82,650 could open the door toward $82,000. $ETH is around $2,572, with positions up 3.8% and funding turning negative. Price remains below theSandisk still needs some grinding at this position. It's my mom's birthday this weekend, so I don't want to dawdle. Gold prices just dropped, so I'll sell a third to buy my mom a gold necklace. Thanks to the bulls for making me 10,000 dollars in the past three days. I'm going to start positioning in altcoins. The mainstream coins have all reached the levels I mentioned the day before yesterday: ETH below 2500, BTC at 80,000. Only storage coins are left. Time to pack up and run 🪣. Wishing everyone happiness every day $🥳$DOGE is choosing stability over hype. 🐕
Dogecoin Core 1.14.9 is centered on patching inherited vulnerabilities and improving network reliability—not flashy features, but stronger foundations.
After previous node outages, the takeaway is simple: steady, conservative development still counts as progress.
Node operators: upgrading to 1.14.9 is the move. 🔧
#DailyOrbit $ZEC Don't try to catch the bottom!
Recently, ZEC's technical indicators show clear bearish signals, and the capital side continues to exert pressure.
Grayscale ZCSH fund experienced a massive outflow in a single week.
The privacy narrative is mostly hype; institutions are cashing out profits in batches.
Don't try to catch the bottom even when shorting!"ETF inflows are still ongoing, so why is BTC falling?" This phrase has been trending these days, but reality is more complex than slogans.
Cumulative inflows are indeed still happening, with a total scale of over hundreds of billions of dollars, and BlackRock's IBIT alone accounts for a large share. However, the actual flow in recent days has changed: on October 7, there was a net outflow of nearly $500 million; although there were inflows in the previous days, the overall flow for October has turned negative.
The media often say "still inflowing," referring to historical cumulative data, not daily buying activity. Mistaking cumulative for daily inflows can easily cause misconceptions.
Why doesn't the price respond to the inflows?
First, the quality of the buying. Many ETF subscriptions correspond to hedging strategies, not pure bullish bets. Arbitrageurs buy ETFs and short futures, resulting in limited net long positions. The real spot buying pressure is diluted. Meanwhile, short-term holders concentrate selling near their cost lines, creating a "new money in, old money out" hedge.
Second, macroeconomic pressure. Rising US Treasury yields and a stronger dollar put pressure on risk assets generally. Geopolitical news has pushed oil prices higher, further strengthening risk aversion. BTC is sensitive to liquidity; when interest rate expectations change, leverage is cut first.
Third, technical and leverage factors. There is obvious resistance near $87,000; after a rally, profit-taking surged. Liquidations of leveraged long positions caused a chain of declines, with single-day liquidation amounts often reaching hundreds of millions, accelerating the pullback. The current price has returned to around $82,000, showing a significant retracement from previous highs. #ETF仍在流入，BTC为何下跌？ Many people are confused when they see “ETF still inflowing”: money is clearly coming in, so why is BTC still falling?
Let's clarify the data first. Since the launch of the US spot Bitcoin ETF, the cumulative net inflow has exceeded $57 billion, with assets under management around $107 billion, and the long-term trend remains unchanged.
However, short-term volatility is significant — on October 7 alone, there was a net outflow of about $487 million, marking the largest single-day exit in recent months, with IBIT, FBTC, and ARKB all experiencing notable redemptions. There were inflows in the first few days of October, but overall, since October began, the net flow has turned negative. The so-called “still inflowing” is more of a cumulative figure, not a daily capital inflow.
Why is the price decoupled from short-term flows?
ETF inflows do not equal immediate spot purchases. Some funds engage in basis arbitrage: buying ETFs on one side while shorting futures on the other to profit from the spread, resulting in a near-neutral net exposure. When such funds enter, the actual buying pressure pushing up the spot price is hedged away. Data from Glassnode and others also show that short-term holders are selling heavily in profit zones, with about 86% of STH sales occurring at a profit, creating real selling pressure.
Macro factors and risk sentiment are at play. Recently, US Treasury yields have risen, the dollar has strengthened, and geopolitical news (such as Iran-related reports pushing up oil prices) has added pressure on risk assets overall. BTC, as a highly volatile asset, is sensitive to interest rate expectations and liquidity. When the market is pricing in “higher for longer,” even sporadic ETF inflows struggle to offset the overall deleveraging. #ETF仍在流入，BTC为何下跌？ Big Brother Maji is about to liquidate again and again
Liquidation price 2416.85
The best way to judge bull or bear is to see whether Big Brother Maji liquidates $ETH $BTC $DOGE perpetual 50x short position, opened at 0.08701, currently at 0.08293, floating profit +234.45%.
The logic is simple: resistance near 0.08701 with a surge, heavy selling pressure above and volume-price divergence, effective top resistance. Short after confirming stagnation and pullback. 50x leverage, initial stop loss set at 0.088. The trend oscillates downward and accelerates at the end, floating profit exceeds 2.3 times, a huge gain.
$ETH $ZEC
Trailing stop strictly pushed to 0.085 to lock in profits. If the 0.081 area breaks down with volume, a light position setup is possible, but 230%+ floating profit under 50x leverage is extremely sensitive; the core strategy should be to take profits in batches and protect gains. #9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息 "Why is the market falling? In one sentence: money is flowing into government bonds."
The direct reason is just one: U.S. Treasury yields have surged. The 10-year yield rose to 5.36%, the highest since 2002; the 30-year yield is approaching 5.7%. Global funds are rushing into risk-free government bonds, naturally putting pressure on risk assets. This is macro sentiment suppression, not a major issue within the crypto space itself.
$BTC is oscillating between 82,500 and 86,700. The short-term key is whether 82,500 can hold. Market maker Wintermute believes the bull market is still in its early stage, with the next target between 90,000 and 95,000. If support holds, the structure remains intact; if it breaks down with volume, prepare for further downside.
$ETH is following the broader market, weaker than BTC, with key support around 2,550. $ZEC is more volatile with greater fluctuations; avoid chasing rallies or panic selling.
Overall, macro pressure is heavy, but there is no endogenous negative factor within the crypto space. In terms of operations, do not chase shorts or bottom-fish; wait for BTC’s choice at 82,500. If it holds steady, consider light long positions; if it breaks, stay on the sidelines.
#9月FOMC会议纪要公布在即，是否继续加息？ #ETH现货ETF连续三周净流入
This is only a personal market observation and does not constitute investment advice. #9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息 Let me share my trading journey. Lying on my dorm bed at night, at the age of 21, I felt incredibly confused. In mid-2025, I got involved in the crypto space. By chance, I discovered contracts, which felt like unlocking a new continent. I became strangely fascinated and started investing money to trade. I still remember the first time I encountered pippin, this altcoin. At first, I tasted success and earned a few hundred yuan, which made me feel like a genius, extremely confident. But as expected, I later got liquidated. I remember at that time in Nanning MixC, I had just sold my Apple Watch for about 300 yuan and pooled 1000 yuan. I couldn't wait to put it all in, using 50x leverage with a 3000 base currency position. I thought I could analyze the market and turn everything to gold, but the market didn't favor me again and liquidated me without hesitation. I was waiting for the subway, completely drained, collapsing to the ground. This was a deeply memorable experience. Just yesterday, the same thing happened again. I went all in with high leverage. Originally, I could have made a guaranteed profit by now, but the unease in my heart made me unable to let go. I kept arbitrarily changing my position and stop loss. Such a good hand played out like this, I felt extremely upset. Now I can only blame myself, but I still don't want to give up. I just hope I can accept these lessons, temper my mindset step by step, and when a better opportunity comes next time, I can face the market with a more stable mentality, like a block of ice that absorbs no emotions. In this environment, in my understanding, trading is the fairest choice for ordinary people to get involved in. It doesn't look at background, only at cognition. I must rely on myself to achieve financial freedom.$ETH Ethereum don't even think about bottom fishing, the current rebound is very weak, no big bullish candle pullback, those volume-less rallies are all bull traps. Tonight when the US stock market opens, it will still fall, breaking below 2500 is inevitable.
In the short term, watch 2300 first, other things can be discussed later. If 2300 doesn't hold, there is basically no support below. The 1800-2300 range was basically pulled up in one go, if it breaks 2300, it will directly drop towards 1800.
I was still down 800 dollars the day before yesterday, now the loss has reduced to 400, will break even soon. #9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息 #ETF仍在流入，BTC为何下跌？ #全球长期国债收益率升至多年高位 $ETH is still showing weakness. The bounce lacks meaningful volume, making it look more like a temporary relief rally than a confirmed bottom.
A $99.8M long sits close to liquidation around $2,501. If $2,500 gives way, downside pressure could accelerate quickly.
No need to rush the entry. Let ETH prove the bottom first. 📉
#DailyOrbit "The big dip really broke through, don't rush to catch the knife"
After the big bearish candle pierced through the trendline, I wanted to see if it could quickly recover. But the rebound couldn't even touch the trendline, and the highs kept getting pushed down. The current price is around 82,600, down 1.82% in 24 hours, with clear dominance of active sell orders, and no decent support visible for now.
84,400 has turned from support into resistance. Until it recovers, I won't try to guess the bottom just because it "has fallen a lot." Next, watch 82,000; if that breaks, 80,000 will be on the table.
This kind of movement is the worst: it won't crash all at once, usually falling for a while, then bouncing a bit, making people think it's stabilizing, then continuing to drop. So I'd rather miss the first rebound than reach out to catch the knife.
The trendline is broken, the rebound is weak, so respect the bears first. Wait for confirmation signals before considering entry. 🫡
#ETF仍在流入，BTC为何下跌？ On the eve of the big test, what exactly is Bitcoin's script?🤔
Tomorrow at 4 PM is the options settlement day, and the biggest pain point currently is stuck at 84000. Last night, BTC dipped to 80799 but was quickly pulled back, indicating fierce competition at this level.
Currently, IV (implied volatility) has been declining, and the buyers' strength is not strong. Most market views believe that before settlement, the market is unlikely to have a one-sided move and will probably oscillate around the pain point.
The key now is: if BTC can hold steady after settlement and test the liquidity-dense zone of 90000-95000, it will trigger a strong squeeze; if it falls below 80000, short-term sentiment may weaken further.
How are your positions now? Are you planning to wait until after settlement to act, or are you preparing to lay in advance? Share your thoughts in the comments!👇$BTC $ETH $ZEC #9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息 $ETH
Real-time Market
Ethereum 24-hour high at 2586, low at 2413, current price 2429. Intraday surge followed by a pullback, heavy selling pressure above. Early session saw a rapid dive from 2586, bottoming at 2413 with a slight rebound, currently consolidating at a low level for recovery.
Trend Analysis
Short-term shows a weak rebound after a decline, with the overall trend bearish. The resistance on the rally indicates insufficient bullish strength above, limited rebound momentum, forming a downward continuation pattern.
Key Levels
- Support: 2413 (intraday low), 2400, 2360
- Resistance: 2460, 2480, 2530
Technical Aspect
Price has fallen back with a large amount of trapped positions above. Volume is weak during rebounds, bears still dominate, and small rebounds are likely to face renewed downward pressure.
Current Position Status of Maji
He holds remaining ETH long positions with an original liquidation price of 2473.56. The current price of 2429 has broken below this level, triggering partial batch liquidations rather than a full liquidation at once.
If he continues to add margin, the liquidation line will move down; if margin top-up stops and price continues to drop, the remaining positions will be forcibly liquidated.
Positioning Advice
Whales can continue to add funds to hold positions, but ordinary traders should absolutely avoid following high-leverage contracts. The current rebound space is limited, and the margin for error in going long is very low.
Overall Strategy
Short-term focus is bearish; pay close attention to rebounds at resistance levels. Heavy bottom-fishing is not recommended, stay away from high-leverage contracts, and strictly manage risk. Shorting meme coins is always a highly cost-effective choice; this $DOGE short position directly yielded triple returns.
The logic is actually very simple: recently, the overall market risk appetite has been continuously declining, with funds retreating from high-risk assets. Meme coins themselves lack fundamental support and are entirely priced based on sentiment and hype. Once market sentiment wanes, selling pressure will be much greater than that on mainstream coins. Technically, multiple attempts to break the 0.09 resistance level on the four-hour chart have failed, with volume weakening each time. After confirming a bearish divergence, the price broke down, opening up significant downside space.
I entered the short position around 0.08859 and have achieved a 307.59% return so far. It must be clearly stated that high-leverage trading carries extremely high risk and can easily lead to liquidation due to volatility. This is just a personal trading record sharing and absolutely does not constitute any trading advice. $ETH $BTC #9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息 $PONS perpetual 20x short position, opened at 0.3846, currently at 0.3555, floating profit +151.32%.
The idea is very simple: the top consolidates with extremely low volume, volatility is crushed to the floor, indicating that the chips are ready to loosen. A single high-volume bearish candle smashed the price down from 0.3846, a typical breakdown signal, shorting is favored over longing. 20x leverage, stop loss at 0.4. The trend is continuously downward, giving no comfortable exit points.
At this position, I plan to take profit on half of the position first, and move the stop loss of the remaining half up to 0.37 to let profits run. If 0.3 breaks down with volume, I will continue holding; if it doesn't break, I will close all positions. $ZEC $SOL #9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息 $BTC 🔥 Touched 80800, a full-scale Waterloo: not a shakeout, but a triple strike of “debt yield + minutes + leveraged longs”
Why squat at 80800:
10Y hits 5.36% (highest since 2002), 30Y 5.73%, Brent crude 100+ → zero-coupon assets drained by debt yields
FOMC September minutes: 19 unanimous votes for rate hike, majority expect another hike by year-end → easing dreams shattered
24h total liquidations on the network $550–710 million / 120k+ people, longs account for 90%+ → leveraged long positions liquidated, not spot panic selling
Weekend US stock/ETF market closed, a single sell order in thin liquidity triggered a spike
Stop-loss gates (revised):
Just touched 80,800, 4H closed back at 82,300 = first bleeding stop
Daily close below 80,000 → 78,500, then look down to 200-day 80,625 which turns into resistance above
ETH fails to hold 2,480 → 2,400 / 2,350; only a rebound to 2,560 counts as a breather
True reversal triple set: 10Y falls below 5.25% + BTC daily close 82,900 + ETH stands at 2,560
At 85K, warnings of “precarious” were ignored; only at 80.8K do they believe in a “full-scale Waterloo.”
BTC kneels first, ETH drags the knife, altcoins bleed—
(Not investment advice · For reference only) $BTC Ancient addresses awaken, are whales repositioning or relocating? Long-dormant ancient addresses have started moving BTC. This is not panic selling, nor short-term speculation, but more like an adjustment of asset structure.
The logic behind it: Early holders have extremely low costs, so selling at any price yields huge profits. However, they are not directly dumping on the market but transferring to new addresses or custody platforms. This usually means preparing for compliance, inheritance planning, or repositioning into other assets.
Market impact: If transferred to exchanges, it represents potential selling pressure; if transferred to cold wallets or custody, it’s just address migration and does not affect circulation. The key is the subsequent actions, not the transfer itself.
$BTC: Short-term sentiment is disturbed, but the long-term holder structure remains unchanged.
$ETH: If whales reposition to ETH, it may create localized buying pressure.
$SOL: Unrelated, but overall market sentiment will be influenced.
Whale actions depend on what follows; not every ancient address is selling The EU has taken another step forward in regulating stablecoins.
ESMA clearly stated that crypto asset service providers authorized under MiCA should stop offering services related to "stablecoins not compliant with MiCA" to EU clients.
The scope is not limited to trading but also includes exchange, custody, transfers, order execution, investment advice, and portfolio management. (European Securities and Markets Authority)
What really matters here is not "whether a certain stablecoin will be delisted," but that the EU is starting to make stablecoin compliance a direct entry condition for trading access.
You can continue to hold a certain stablecoin, but if exchanges, custodians, and other service providers cannot continue to offer related services, its actual use cases will be gradually cut off.
So the real question to focus on in the future is not:
"Will USDT disappear?"
But rather:
"Can the exchange, wallet, and custodian I use still allow me to continue using it?"
The competition among stablecoins is shifting from "who has the larger scale" to "who can enter more regulatory frameworks."
What regulation truly changes is not necessarily the price, but the access.Today let's review $BTC. Current potential challenges:
ETF capital flow. The US spot BTC ETF saw a net outflow of $487 million on October 7, marking the largest single-day outflow since June 25. BlackRock IBIT led the withdrawal with $208 million.
Government wallet movements. US government-related wallets transferred BTC and other assets to Coinbase Prime, with a single transaction exceeding 1 billion (12,267 coins) on October 8, totaling 770 million (9,261 coins) over two days. The market clearly fears selling pressure.
Technical concerns. $ETH Foundation's Justin Drake warned that AI might break BTC's ECDSA encryption within months, potentially threatening the security of about 1 million BTC held by Satoshi Nakamoto.
Macroeconomic pressure. The hawkish FOMC minutes support another rate hike before year-end, with long-term bond yields continuing to rise, putting overall risk assets under pressure.
Don't get overly optimistic mid-term; manage your positions well!
$SNDK
#9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息
#ETF仍在流入，BTC为何下跌？ Day 2 of the recovery plan
Yesterday, I went long on SanDisk at 1723, thinking it would surge to 1800, but felt the upward momentum was insufficient after reaching 1730. Also, seeing Bitcoin continuously dropping, I set a relatively high stop loss at 1700. My position was small, so I had no plan to hold through losses. At 3 o'clock, the stop loss signal was triggered. During the day, I saw SanDisk return to 1700, and in the afternoon it dropped to 1670, which tempted me to go long again, but fortunately I stopped myself. As expected, it continued to fall at night, but I still have a positive outlook on SanDisk and will enter long positions at the right time. Currently, I hold a short position on BTC opened at 83300, successfully recovering the losses from SanDisk, but I do not plan to sell now. Holding BTC, I believe, also helps indicate the overall market trend.$MET perpetual 20x short position, opened at 0.4658, currently 0.4378, floating profit +120.22%.
The logic is very simple: repeated attempts to rally near 0.4658 are weak, every rebound is quickly crushed, the upper shadows get longer and longer, and buying pressure is clearly exhausted. Once volume breaks below 0.45, confirm on the right side, then enter short. 20x leverage, stop loss at 0.48. This drop is extremely smooth, giving no chance for a rebound.
Now move the stop loss to 0.45 to lock in profits. If volume breaks below 0.4, can hold a bit longer. $BTC $ETH #9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息 $DOGE is taking a different path: security first, hype later.
Dogecoin Core 1.14.9 focuses entirely on fixing inherited vulnerabilities and strengthening network stability—no flashy features, just cleaner infrastructure.
After past node outages, the message is clear: conservative development can be real progress.
For node operators: upgrade to 1.14.9.
#DailyOrbit Brushing the rankings and came across $TRX, so I casually showed it to the bros. The price at 0.33 is flat, barely moved in 24 hours, only dropped 0.9%, and hasn’t fallen much in 7 days, with volume slightly higher than usual.
The problem is, I really don’t have any solid story to tell about it. No new narrative, no hot topic, it just suddenly appeared on the volatility list with a turnover of over 30 million. Typical capital game, the big players shake things up, retail investors guess at the door.
If you talk about TRX’s foundation, it’s an old public chain, had its glory days before, now it’s just sitting there. The volatility is most likely someone riding the concept for a pump, whether to follow depends on your guts.
If you want to play, only try with small money. A word of warning upfront: coins like this with no news and no volume buildup can get halved in no time, and if luck runs out, they might just disappear on you. I’m not touching it, just watching. $TRX Many still ask if $ETH has bottomed. I don’t think so.
My $ETH short from $2,713 is up 107%. Weak longs, ETF outflows, and rate-hike fears are still weighing on the market.
ETH plunged from $2,700 to $2,560, with momentum clearly bearish.
$2,600 is the key level. Lose it → $2,500, then $2,400.
No knife-catching. Let the rebound come first. 📉
$BTC $ETH $ZEC
#DailyOrbit $SPCX perpetual 75x short position, opened at 168.25, currently at 163.84, floating profit +196.58%.
Didn't overthink it: the previous consolidation lasted long enough, the 168.25 level was repeatedly confirmed as valid, the top pattern is very clear. Entered as soon as a high-volume bearish candle appeared, following the trend, not emotions. 75x leverage, stop loss at 170. The drop was fast and steady, giving no chance for a second entry.
Locked in a safety cushion at 165 first. My personal judgment is that there will be support around 155; then I'll decide whether to exit or hold based on volume, without guessing the bottom in advance. $ETH $SOL #9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息 I estimate this ETH correction won't be too deep.
In previous times when it touched 2600 or 2800, it did pull back near 2100, but those times started lower and BTC wasn't as high as now, so we can't just copy that pattern. The consolidation is longer, and the lows are getting higher each time. At the extreme, I see it between 2250 and 2450, and it might not even go down that far.
The main force's tactic is simple: make those on the bus uncomfortable enough to get off, but not let those off the bus comfortably get on, grinding repeatedly at low levels. Altcoins that should have dropped have already done so, so don't panic too much. Those with strong liquidation lines on longs can reduce their positions a bit and then aim for a 5% swing later. Adjust contracts anytime, avoid extreme buying or selling. $ETH$BTC perpetual 100x short position, opened at 83303.9, now at 81312.6, floating profit +239.04%.
Didn't overthink it: the consolidation period was long enough, the 83303.9 level was repeatedly confirmed as valid on the platform, and the top pattern was very clear. Entered as soon as a high-volume bearish candle appeared, following the trend, not emotions. 100x leverage, stop loss at 84000. The drop was fast and steady, giving no chance for a second entry.
Locked in a safety cushion at 82000 first. My personal judgment is that there will be support around 78000; at that time, I'll decide whether to exit or hold based on volume, without guessing the bottom in advance. $ETH $ZEC #ETF仍在流入，BTC为何下跌？ 📉 Day 47 of shorting $ZEC — 43 days remaining. The exit window is getting closer.
$ZEC dropped 6.45% to $1,241, with sellers still firmly in control.
🔻 Support: $1,225 → $1,200
🔺 Resistance: $1,280 → $1,320
If $1,225 continues to break down, further downside could follow. I’m not rushing to buy the dip—waiting for price to stabilize and confirm a reversal.
$BTC $ETH $ZEC
#DailyOrbit Market Overview: The quality of the rebound matters more than the direction
Overnight hawkish minutes were released, causing BTC to quickly drop from 85,500 to 82,700, currently resting around 83,300; ETH weakened in sync, sliding from 2,700 to 2,540, with 2,570 only a weak recovery and the 2,778 high point now distant. The key is not this candlestick, but that 87,300 was not held, and bulls were crowded before the minutes, so when bearish news came, there was a concentrated sell-off.
There are no new major data releases today; the real test is whether the rebound has volume. US Treasury yields remain high, and if the Asian and European sessions fail to support, BTC retesting 82,700 or even 82,000 is not unexpected. The bias remains bearish on the rebound: BTC reference range 84,500–85,500, target 82,700–82,000; ETH reference range 2,620–2,680, target 2,520–2,450. If BTC closes above 86,000 with volume, the bearish logic is invalidated; do not stubbornly fight against the trend.
Question for you: After this rebound ends, will we see 82,000 first, or will it directly recover to 86,000? Brothers, $BTC took a waterfall drop today, and the debate has started again:
Is it still a bull market now, or has it already entered a bear market?
My conclusion first: the short term is already showing a bear market trend, but the long cycle hasn't been completely sentenced yet.
$BTC has been hammered down to around 82,000, ETH dropped to 2,500, and SOL even hit 111 directly. Altcoins have clearly fallen harder, indicating that funds are rapidly withdrawing from high-risk assets.
This drop was not without warning.
Oil prices surged to around $104, inflation expectations heated up, US Treasury yields continued to rise; meanwhile, BTC repeatedly failed to break through 87,000, then 83,000 and 82,000 were successively lost, triggering stop-loss orders, liquidation orders, and programmed sell orders all at once, turning a normal correction into a waterfall. $ETH #ETF仍在流入，BTC为何下跌？ The second top gainer $ASP, but the spot market only traded less than $30,000 in a day. Don't get carried away by this kind of bullish candle.
Looking at the top gainers list tonight, ASP stands out with +11%. I clicked into the spot page to see what new narrative it has, but I couldn't hold back: current price is $0.0113, up about 11% in 24 hours, but the spot 24-hour trading volume is only 29,800 USDT. The millions shown on the leaderboard include contracts aggregated together; the real spot market is pitifully thin.
The project is called Aspecta, focusing on AI-driven pricing for illiquid assets, providing price discovery for non-tokenized shares, locked tokens, and RWA. The concept is not bad, but the problem is that small coins with a market cap of a few million dollars and ranking around 1800 basically don't rely on fundamentals. A few slightly larger buy orders can push the price up, and it can just as easily be dumped. There's no solid new catalyst today; it looks more like funds are using AI+RWA tags to stir sentiment.
The chart is already showing weakness: RSI has reached 72 in the overbought zone. Today it fell from a high of 0.01195 to 0.0113, closing with a long upper shadow. Those chasing the high are already trapped, and on October 24th, there will be a token unlock of 3.5% of the total supply waiting. This kind of coin is just for watching the excitement. If you really want to participate, wait for a pullback with shrinking volume to stabilize. Don't be fooled by the leaderboard numbers into catching the falling knife.
Next, watch if it can hold above 0.011 with volume. If it can't hold, this bullish candle is most likely a wick. $ASP #RWA #AI Not investment advice, DYOR$BTC 82200 was also taken, the 126th hit ✅
I've been a bit busy these days, no updates for 6 days because I went to study human babies, entering a new stage of life 😆
Back to the market, my previous views have basically been validated, feels like every word I said is valuable. This time luck was also good, hope it can help you all.
I've mentioned the 82200 level many times before, "The main force is very motivated to take it, once broken it will be 80000," you can check my previous quotes. During BTC's push to 90,000, I should be one of the few bloggers repeatedly reminding about the risk of a pullback around ten thousand dollars. I judged that before the main upward wave starts, there will definitely be deep shakeouts and frustrating market moves, which was also validated. So in terms of operations, I closed contracts in the high range, fully/partially exited altcoins, and hedged by opening $BTC and $UNI hedge positions (real trading on OKX), so this wave was relatively comfortable.
Looking back at this period, altcoins have indeed been a bloodbath, the previously strongest $UNI and $ZEC have also pulled back nearly 35% this wave.
My plan remains unchanged: build positions gradually from September to November, unless a black swan event occurs, then go all in directly. $HYPE perpetual 50x short position, opened at 88.615, currently at 84.238, floating profit +246.96%.
The idea is very simple: the top consolidates with volume shrinking to the extreme, volatility compressed to the floor, indicating that the chips are ready to loosen. A single high-volume bearish candle smashed the price down from 88.615, a typical breakdown signal, shorting is favored over longing. 50x leverage, stop loss at 90. The trend is continuously downward, giving no comfortable exit points.
At this position, I plan to take profit on half the position first, and move the stop loss of the remaining half up to 86 to let profits run. If 80 breaks down with volume, continue holding; if it doesn't break, close all positions. $ZEC $SOL #9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息 $BNB perpetual 50x short position, opened at 773.6, now at 732.5, floating profit +265.64%.
The logic is very simple: repeated failed attempts to rally near 773.6, every rebound is quickly smashed back, the upper shadows are getting longer, and buying pressure is clearly exhausted. Once volume breaks below 750, confirm on the right side and enter short. 50x leverage, stop loss at 780. This drop is extremely smooth, giving no chance for a rebound.
Now move the stop loss to 750 to lock in profits. If volume breaks below 680, can hold for a bit longer. $BTC $ETH #9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息 Little Fish 5u challenges one million!
Day 2
Principal 5u, target one million
Currently: 0u
Yes, that's right, this challenge ended after just one day. Failure is not scary; what's scary is not knowing the reason. Otherwise, the next time will have the same outcome and ending.
I initially entered with 2560 at 30x leverage. Around noon, seeing the trend, I noticed a possible crash, so I took a small profit at 2565 and closed the position. Then I bought ZEC. Recently, ZEC's trend has been linked to the overall market, with bigger fluctuations than Ethereum, meaning higher profits and risks. I shorted one lot, making about 50% profit, reaching 7.5u. Then I reversed to a 20x long position. Because the leverage was lower, I didn't monitor the market closely and thought it might consolidate sideways, so I didn't set stop loss or take profit. When I finished work, I found ZEC had dropped continuously by 30 points. At that time, I didn't decisively stop loss, and eventually stopped loss just before liquidation, maximizing losses. After the stop loss, the funds were about 3u. I operated frequently and ended up liquidated to zero in a daze.
The above is the review of yesterday. Due to limited space, I will open another post to summarize.The community sentiment shifted from panic to probing, with the $SNDK sentiment pendulum reversing, long positions at 75x leverage earning 67%.
Long opened at 1630, currently at 1644.7, +67.63%.
Sentiment rebounded from extreme fear, 1630 is a psychological threshold.
Short-term resistance at 1650, pullback to 1630 is a position to add.
High leverage positions have been successfully closed, recommend taking 90% profit, set breakeven stop loss for the base position, avoid overtrading. $BTC $ETH #跟着OKX打卡2049 $SNDK perpetual 75x short position, opened at 1708.6, currently at 1646.9, floating profit +270.83%.
Just betting on a top reversal: 1708.6 tested three times without breaking, volume decreasing stepwise, very typical top characteristics. Enter the position the moment the bearish candle crashes down, never guess the top in advance. 75x leverage, stop loss at 1750. This wave moved very cleanly, almost no rebound.
For now, do nothing, let the bullet fly a while. Keep 1680 as the defense line to protect the principal first, wait for a clear signal around 1500 before deciding to add or not, no rush. $BTC $ETH #跟着OKX打卡2049 $NEAR I haven't posted here for two days. I used to be a firm believer in being bullish, but time and again I got stopped out and liquidated. One night, I secretly vowed that I would go short, short the whole world, and never go long again. Even if I get liquidated, I will still go short. I will never believe in any supposed bottom. I only know that when it reaches a trapped point, I will short it. Even if the profit is just a few hundred or a thousand, that's still my profit, at least I don't lose.$BCH perpetual 50x short position, opened at 300.5, currently at 282.9, floating profit +292.84%.
Just betting on a top reversal: 300.5 tested three times without breaking, volume decreasing stepwise, very typical top characteristics. Enter the market the moment the bearish candle crashes down, never guess the top prematurely. 50x leverage, stop loss at 310. This wave has been very clean, almost no rebound.
For now, do nothing, let the bullet fly a while. Keep 290 as the defense line to protect the principal first, wait for a clear signal around 260 before deciding to add or not, no rush. $BTC $ETH #ETF仍在流入，BTC为何下跌？ Brothers, $BTC has plunged like a waterfall today, and the debate has started again:
Is it still a bull market now, or has it already entered a bear market?
My conclusion first: the short-term trend is already bearish, but the long-term cycle has not been completely sentenced.
$BTC has dropped all the way to around 82,000, ETH fell to 2,500, and SOL even hit 111 directly. Altcoins have clearly fallen harder, indicating that funds are rapidly withdrawing from high-risk assets.
This drop was not without warning.
Oil prices surged to around $104, inflation expectations heated up, US Treasury yields continued to rise; meanwhile, BTC repeatedly failed to break through 87,000, then 83,000 and 82,000 were successively lost, triggering stop-loss orders, liquidations, and programmed sell orders all at once, turning a normal correction into a waterfall crash.
But I think it's still too early to shout "the big bear market is here."
The real line of life and death ahead is BTC at $80,000. $ETH #ETF仍在流入，BTC为何下跌？ #ETF inflows continue, so why is BTC falling?
Ethereum has been in a continuous downtrend these past two days, with support levels consistently breaking.
The sharp drop in $ETH over the last two days wasn’t caused by a single piece of news, but by a combination of macro pressure and ETF withdrawals. These two factors together pushed prices down; buying only partially offset the selling pressure and did not fully hedge against the negative news.
US Treasury yields remain above 5%, and oil prices are holding above $100. These two variables together are draining liquidity, preventing the valuation ceiling of risk assets from rising. Leveraged long positions are the most vulnerable in this environment and get liquidated with even a slight drop.
$ZEC $BTC #9月FOMC纪要公布，多数官员倾向再加息 #跟着OKX打卡2049 EUROPE’S STABLECOIN CLOCK IS TICKING.
ESMA has given national regulators three months to resolve legacy exposure to non-MiCA-compliant stablecoins.
New buying and trading access should stop. Limited withdrawals and conversions may continue.
$USDT is a prominent example, although ESMA named no specific tokens.
This isn’t a depeg warning. It’s a market-access deadline.
January 8, 2027.
#USDT #MiCA #Stablecoins #Crypto$SAND, as a veteran metaverse asset, has recently lacked new narratives, with 0.07305 forming a phase top.
I shorted at 50x leverage, currently at 0.06796, with an unrealized profit of +345.65%.
From a technical perspective, 0.06796 is approaching the 0.065 support; a break would target 0.06; a rebound above 0.07 faces heavy resistance from trapped positions.
Earning more than 3 times with 50x leverage, avoid greed, it is recommended to take significant profits to lock in gains, and keep a base position with breakeven stop loss. $SNDK $ETH #ETF仍在流入，BTC为何下跌？