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$CT perpetual 20x short position, opened at 0.4828, currently 0.3857, floating profit +402.23%.
Didn't overthink it: the previous rebound lasted long enough, the 0.48 level repeatedly confirmed resistance, the top pattern is very clear. Entered as soon as a high-volume bearish candle appeared, following the trend not the sentiment. 20x leverage, stop loss at 0.50. The drop was fast and steady, leaving no chance for a second entry.
Locked in a safety cushion at 0.40 first. My personal judgment is that there will be a short-term bottom-fishing rebound around 0.35; then I'll decide whether to exit or hold based on volume, without guessing the bottom in advance. $SNDK $HYPE #OKXNOW：开启全天候市场新时代 MUBARAKUSDT｜Current price 0.0693, daily drop -9.11%
Overall assessment: Small-cap Meme coin, capital outflow, sharp single-day plunge, poor liquidity, extremely high risk.
- Resistance: 0.074~0.077
- Support: 0.064, no effective strong support below, a break will lead to further decline
- Short term: Declining phase after heat fades, bottom fishing carries great risk, not recommended to participate.
6. CTUSDT｜Current price 0.3869, daily drop -4.82%
Overall assessment: New coin, capital realized and retreated after listing, selling pressure continues to release, unstable chips.
- Resistance: 0.41~0.43
- Support: 0.36, breaking below opens deeper correction space
- Short term: Intense chip competition for new coin, huge volatility, not suitable for heavy positions, mainly observe.
BTCUSDT｜Current price 85828, daily rise +0.71%
Overall assessment: Large-cap anchor coin, slight moderate upward trend, bullish structure intact, short-term oscillation is strong but resistance above is near, chasing highs has low cost-effectiveness.
- Resistance: 86300~86800 (first strong resistance), extreme resistance 87500
- Support: 85000~85300 (short-term lifeline), strong support 84200
- Short term: Oscillates upward relying on 85000 support, volume moderate; once below 85000, will enter short-term correction and consolidation.
2. ETHUSDT｜Current price 2713.65, daily rise +0.65%
Overall assessment: Follows BTC linkage, weaker trend than large-cap, oscillating and grinding, waiting for large-cap to choose direction.
- Resistance: 2760~2790, strong resistance 2830
- Support: 2660~2680, strong support 2620
- Short term: Range oscillation, no independent trend, if BTC stabilizes, box range maintained, large-cap correction will synchronize decline.
$BTC $ETH $SOL
#OKXNOW：开启全天候市场新时代
#本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要
#BTC巨鲸抛压减弱，ETF资金连续三周净流入 $PARTI is up 8.3% with roughly $591K displayed volume. I’m interested, but I don’t want to enter after the first push. I’m watching 0.0325–0.0329 for a pullback. If buyers defend that zone and reclaim 0.0334 with volume, I’d consider the continuation trade.
Entry: 0.0325–0.0329
Confirm: 0.0334 + volume
SL: 0.0316
TP1: 0.0345 | TP2: 0.0358 | TP3: 0.0375 | TP4: 0.0400
R:R: ~1:3 to TP3
Below 0.0316 invalidates my idea. I want the market to prove strength first.Phenomena and Information
Phenomena:
According to on-chain monitoring, whale funds are massively flowing into exchanges.
On-chain analyst Darkfost's monitoring shows that whale addresses transferring more than $1 million in stablecoins per transaction have increased their cumulative inflow over 30 days from $21.7 billion to $30.5 billion, a rise of over 40%.
CryptoQuant further points out that stablecoin inflows from millionaire-level whales have increased by $8.8 billion in the past month.
Information:
Citibank has significantly raised Bitcoin's 12-month target price from $82,000 to $113,000, and Ethereum's target price from $2,240 to $3,028. Meanwhile, the SEC plans to revise crypto asset custody rules, potentially allowing investment advisors and their regulated funds to directly custody clients' crypto assets. Coinbase states this will expand the entire asset management market's allocation scope for Bitcoin.
The above content is for reading reference only and does not constitute any investment advice. Protect your principal, invest steadily, and not losing money is earning.$SAND perpetual 50x short position, opened at 0.07388, currently 0.06563, floating profit +558.33%.
Just betting on a top reversal: 0.074 tested three times without breaking, volume decreasing stepwise, very typical top characteristics. Enter the position the moment the bearish candle crashes down, never guess the top in advance. 50x leverage, stop loss at 0.076. This wave moved very cleanly, almost no rebound.
For now, hold steady and let the bullets fly a bit. Set 0.068 as the defensive line to protect the principal, wait for a clear signal around 0.06 before deciding to add or not, no rush. $CT $DOGE #OKXNOW：开启全天候市场新时代 $NEAR Agree on 5.58 — that's the key. But RSI6 at 75 isn't just "overheated," it's a warning that a breakout without volume could be a fakeout.
ETF inflows are good, but institutions don't buy at highs. If 5.58 breaks on news but volume doesn't follow, expect a pullback to 5.1.
I'd wait for a retest of 5.58 after the break. Who's already in, and who's waiting for confirmation?Brothers, is this coin $FIL really that strong?
A big bullish candle went up, and after it peaked, I went short.
But I've been waiting for an hour now.
It’s not coming down.
It’s still continuing to rise.
I’ve stopped out twice.
Is it really that strong?
Such a long bullish candle
And rising so sharply.
Shouldn't it have dropped down a bit? 😓
#OKXNOW：开启全天候市场新时代
#本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要
#BTC巨鲸抛压减弱，ETF资金连续三周净流入 $API3's recent surge is incredibly strong! Going long with 10x leverage directly yielded a 145% return—who wouldn't be envious? Entry at 0.3355 to the mark price of 0.3842, the rocket icon is well deserved.
Logically, API3 has recently warmed up its narrative with "oracle + OEV network," rebounding with volume at the bottom. If you entered a long position at 0.3355, the 10x leverage amplified the volatility; the fundamental recovery combined with technical breakout allowed you to hold the main upward wave.
Currently, the increase is significant, with the area above 0.38 approaching a previous dense chip zone. The risk of holding high-leverage positions overnight has sharply increased; it is recommended to take profits in batches on rallies while keeping some base positions for speculation. The entry price of 0.3355 is strong support; if it breaks down, consider reducing positions. Protecting profits is key—be sure to control drawdowns. #OKXNOW：开启全天候市场新时代 #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 $ETH $ZEC $FIL perpetual 50x long position, opened at 1.0623, currently at 1.1943, floating profit +621.41%.
The idea is very simple: the bottom consolidates with extremely low volume, volatility is crushed to the floor, indicating that the chips have settled. A single high-volume bullish candle directly pulls the price up from 1.06, a typical start signal, go long not short. 50x leverage, stop loss at 1.05. The trend goes straight up, giving no comfortable entry points.
At this position, I plan to take profit on half of the position first, moving the stop loss of the remaining half up to 1.18 to let profits run. If it can break above 1.25 with volume, continue holding; if it can't, close all positions. $ZEC $SOL #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 $ETH has been fluctuating during this period, with 922 million short positions liquidated at the upper level of 2832, and 832 million long positions liquidated at the lower level of 2574. Will it drop first then rise? Personally, I think 3000 is the final push; if it holds above 2800, altcoins will fully explode. It can't break through now, so a pullback is an opportunity. You can gradually build positions between 2550-2580.
Why?
ETH rose over 70% in Q3, and funds have returned. ETF had a net inflow of 111 million yesterday, BlackRock ETHA holds 130 million, with a total net inflow of 13.4 billion (ETHA had a 1:3 reverse stock split today, tripling the stock price but keeping market cap unchanged). Glamsterdam will launch the Sepolia testnet tonight, activating at 21:53:36, improving L1 throughput and adjusting Gas, with the mainnet target in Q4. BTC remains strong, and funds are expected to rotate to ETH and mainstream altcoins.
$MORPHO, as a catch-up target in the ETH ecosystem, is worth watching together. MORPHO is currently priced around 2.32, up 8.1% in 24h, showing a strong trend, with a market cap of 1.23 billion.This load-bearing column has already developed micro-cracks, and the top slab could shear off at any moment. Who gave you the guts to go long standing on the cantilever beam?
Just got down from the scaffolding at Site No. 2, brushed the dust off my hard hat, and took a look at the $ZEC chart. The price is hanging at 1344.89, suspended mid-air, just a pickaxe's distance from the Bollinger Band upper track at 1364.96. RSI is stuck at 54.7, lukewarm, like freshly mixed C30 concrete that hasn't fully set yet—looks solid but the internal sand-to-aggregate ratio is far from up to standard.
After spending time on construction sites, you know you can't just judge a building by the shiny facade renderings; the key is how deep the foundation is and whether the reinforcement ratio is sufficient. The main force has built a fake platform here with a few hollow bricks, trying to lure retail investors into a dangerous working zone. The basis difference and volatility space have been compressed to the extreme; the gap between futures and spot is narrowing like an expansion joint.
The 1364 upper track is the cast-in-place reinforced concrete main beam top; without massive grouting, it simply can't be broken through. The supporting base slab at 1302 below is the real load-bearing pile foundation layer. The current hanging basket is swaying and stopped just above the mid-track at 1333—a typical suspended illegal operation. Since the load-bearing is tight, let's follow gravity for a high-level pullback.
- Target: $ZEC 🔴
- Entry: 1345.00 - 1360.00
- TP1: 1333.70
- TP2: 1305.00
- SL: 1375.00
Safety harness is fastened tight; if the top slab cracks, evacuate and dismantle immediately. 🏗️
#CoinMoveAlert$SPCX perpetual 75x long position, opened at 159.02, now at 172.54, floating profit +637.65%.
The logic is very simple: repeatedly bottoming around 159, each dip is quickly recovered, the wicks get shorter and shorter, and selling pressure is clearly exhausted. Once volume surged and it stood above 170, confirmed on the right side, entered more longs. 75x leverage, stop loss at 155. The rally is very smooth, no chance for a pullback.
Now moving the stop loss to 170 to lock in profits. If volume breaks through 180 above, can hold for more. $BTC $ETH #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 Order Book Strength Ranking
5-minute median slippage, estimated based on order book, excluding fees
$CAP buy slippage increases significantly with order size: slippage for buy orders equivalent to 10,000 and 100,000 USDT are 0.12% and 0.88%, respectively. Large orders incur about 0.75 percentage points more slippage.
$MINA sell slippage increases significantly with order size: slippage for sell orders equivalent to 10,000 and 100,000 USDT are 0.14% and 0.74%, respectively. Large orders incur about 0.60 percentage points more slippage.
$API3 buy slippage increases significantly with order size: slippage for buy orders equivalent to 10,000 and 100,000 USDT are 0.12% and 0.66%, respectively. Large orders incur about 0.54 percentage points more slippage. BTC is showing an aggressive rebound this hour with an attempt to absorb all the morning's decline. It's good to analyze the situation on the 5-minute timeframe. There, the price was impulsively pushed to the liquidity zone of $85,899-$85,979, which currently acts as resistance for the pump. At the same time, the asset has two strong signals of a potential high. A good situation for a local "watershed." If the price closes above $85,979 on the 5-minute candle, this rebound can be expected to continue. If not, then this was a short squeeze before$BTC and $ETH at high levels are precarious, so why am I still going long on $PONS?
【Series Introduction】Robinhood Chain Investment Research Trilogy: From Meme Hype to Cash Flow Revaluation
Since the end of September, the Robinhood Chain ecosystem has undergone a complete emotional cycle—from FOMO explosion to panic correction, the timeline shifting from "ALL IN" to "It's over."
But on-chain data doesn't lie: the path from 200 to thousands of stock tokens remains unchanged, the LONG 500 routing fees are still flowing into the treasury, and Pons cumulative burn is approaching 30% of total supply. The retreat exposes not a "narrative failure," but who is swimming naked.
The first wave has ended, the second wave is just beginning.
Stay tuned for my Robinhood Chain trilogy: issuance tax × routing rights × ecosystem stratification.
All content is personal research sharing and does not constitute investment advice. This wave is a bit like the 2023 breakout above the previous bull market's pullback support level.
Constantly drawing the gate, advancing 10 steps and retreating 9, the lows are quietly creeping higher.
The low has quietly risen from 82k to 855k.
Unnoticed by gods or ghosts,
It has set a direction before this Fed meeting.
$BTC
This move is ruthless, like boiling a frog in warm water.Beneath the Still Water: The Anchor of ETH
$ETH stands at $2706.2107, like a weight placed at the center of a balance scale. With a market cap of over 300 billion, the daily chart has only moved +0.20%, calm and steady. A 24-hour volume of 13.39B indicates that funds haven't exited, but are rotating, probing, and waiting. This week, the Federal Reserve will release the minutes of the September meeting; the macro needle might pierce the calm or just create a ripple on the surface.
Retail investors ask, "Did it go up today?" Big players ask, "Is the pool deep enough, is the structure loose?" ETH is the second largest but often acts as the market's anchor. It doesn't prove itself with a single bullish candle but through ecosystem depth, liquidity resilience, and the participants' hidden cards. Risk control isn't about guessing ups and downs but about seeing who truly holds strong cards at the table and who is bluffing.
Those who can survive cycles don't chase every fluctuation; they care more about whether their position allows them to sleep well and if their logic can withstand drawdowns. With a scale of 300 billion, moving even a fraction is hard, and precisely because of this, its "stability" is an attitude in itself.
Next, let's see if it can continue to be the anchor for the entire market: not stealing the spotlight but setting the tone; not soaring wildly but providing a place for funds to settle. Beneath the still water, direction often emerges earlier than noise.
$ETH $BTC
#本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要
#BTC现货ETF重回流入，ETH资金持续流出
#OKXNOW：开启全天候市场新时代 This wave of $MUBARAK's decline finally hit the big profit!
A few days ago, it surged with high volume, but the funds clearly couldn't keep up—a typical case of the main force distributing to lure buyers. I opened a 20x short around 0.0733 following the trend. The logic is simple: once the Meme coin tide recedes, the dump is a bottomless pit.
Currently, the mark price has dropped to 0.0699, with a floating profit of 93.37%. The trend has been steadily declining. The key to high short positions is patience—don't chase highs or fight battles. $BTC $ETH After FIL fell back today, it rose again near 1.20. I tend to believe the rebound in the next few days is not over yet. $FIL broke out of the weekend price range yesterday and did not give back that gain today. The originally planned six-year batch of early allocations is almost fully unlocked, meaning fewer new coins will enter circulation in the future, which is favorable for the continuation of the rebound. As of 16:05 Beijing time, FIL/USDT spot is about 1.2008 USDT, with a rolling 24-hour increase of about 12.4%. According to the UTC daily chart, the highest yesterday was 1.2042, it fell back to 1.1442 earlier today, then rose back. It is now back near yesterday's high, but the daily candle has not closed yet, so it is still uncertain whether it can hold above this level. The Filecoin mainnet launched in October 2020, with an initial allocation of 300 million coins to Protocol Labs and 100 million coins to the Filecoin Foundation, scheduled to vest gradually over six years. The network strategy announced in February also mentioned that the last batch of network vesting will end this year. This means the original plan is nearly complete, and it should not be described as the project just announcing the destruction of 400 million coins. After unlocking ends, fewer new coins will be available for circulation. If buying demand does not decrease accordingly, the price continuing upward will face less supply pressure. However, how much of the recent rise is due to speculation on this expectation cannot be determined by candlestick analysis alone. Coins that have already been unlocked can still be sold, and miner rewards have not stopped because of this. The current rebound may still be interrupted by profit-taking. If it falls back again to the weekend range of about 1.03 to 1.08, the advantage of this breakout will be lost, and I will shift to looking at its continuation.$NAVX is up 5.45% around 0.01448, but volume is only about $153K. I’m treating this as a developing momentum setup, not a chase. My area is 0.0141–0.0143. If buyers defend it and reclaim 0.0146 with better volume, I’d consider the long.
Entry: 0.0141–0.0143
Confirm: 0.0146 + volume
SL: 0.0137
TP1: 0.0150 | TP2: 0.0155 | TP3: 0.0161 | TP4: 0.0170
R:R: ~1:3 to TP3
A sustained break below 0.0137 invalidates the setup. Volume needs to improve before I commit.$BASED is up 5.18% around 0.06543 with roughly $402K displayed volume. The move is steady rather than explosive, which makes me more interested in a controlled continuation. I’m watching 0.0640–0.0648 for support. If price reclaims 0.0658 with volume, I’d consider the long.
Entry: 0.0640–0.0648
Confirm: 0.0658 + volume
SL: 0.0625
TP1: 0.0675 | TP2: 0.0700 | TP3: 0.0730 | TP4: 0.0770
R:R: ~1:3 to TP3
Below 0.0625 invalidates my plan. I’m waiting for buyers to confirm.The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) recently proposed rules to regulate the U.S. crypto market for the first time
Rule 1: Stop abusive behavior in the crypto market
Rule 2: Set clear standards for common practices in the crypto industry
Rule 3: Establish a dedicated registration framework specifically for the crypto market
Together, these three rules mean:
They plan to provide retail traders with platforms for leveraged trading, opening a path for a “federally regulated force”
If willing, platforms can register as a “crypto asset market” regulated by the CFTC
All governed under a unified national standard, requiring proof of reserves, anti-fraud, anti-manipulation measures, etc.
However, these rules do not mandate that all crypto trading must comply with the CFTC
Because pure spot trading is currently beyond their jurisdiction
These three rules offer an option for platforms that want to be more formal and credible
For ordinary users, in the future, when choosing a platform, there may be an additional reference point: whether it has CFTC endorsement
For the industry, this is an important step in shifting regulation from “punishing after the fact” to “setting rules beforehand”$MON 50x short position gained 913% (opened at 0.03493, now 0.02855).
The order book's sell side kept increasing layer by layer, and the buy orders above 0.03493 were crushed by large sell orders. The main short holders' control intention is extremely obvious, directly following the crash momentum.
Risk control: take profits when favorable, cut large positions first. The remaining base position has a strict stop loss at 0.03; if 0.028 is smoothly broken, keep one position. If large sell orders suddenly withdraw from the order book, exit immediately. Profits secured, today's trading fees made a killing. $ZEC $ETH #OKXNOW：开启全天候市场新时代 #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 Gold's decline lacks participation from bearish options, and silver's long and short funds have generally shifted upward
$XAU and $BTC represent typical risk assets. Although geopolitical conflicts continue worldwide, the high yields on U.S. Treasury bonds act as a direct hedge, keeping pressure on these assets, but the pressure remains limited.
#BTC巨鲸抛压减弱，ETF资金连续三周净流入 #美债长端收益率再创新高，30年期逼近5.7% #BTC高位回落，黄金联动受考验 85,148 This number caught my eye for several seconds. BTC is stuck here, just over two hundred dollars away from 85,402, like light seeping through a crack in the door; whether it can push through depends entirely on volume. 🪄 Guess what the market fears most right now? Not a drop, but a low-volume rebound. First, let's talk about the derivatives structure I see. BTC's daily moving average system is still bullish, with the 200-day moving average at 71,531, which is a rear fortress, but the real pace setter is not that; it's the position changes on the contract side. The price is running along the Bollinger middle band; if volume surges and it breaks above 85,402, the short-term space could open up about 4,000 dollars, targeting 89,144. But if volume continues to shrink, it means more grinding and draining, with bulls and bears trapped in a narrow range paying their tuition. Here's an easily overlooked point: the market is not really trading "whether October will rise," but "when volume will return." The part of expectations priced in early includes the rate cut narrative and ETF inflows; the unpriced risk is that contract leverage hasn't caught up and spot buying enthusiasm is weak. In other words, a rise is possible, but it's missing a push of fuel. ETH is quoted at 2,695, up slightly 0.52% in 24 hours, retesting above 2,700. Last week, Ethereum ETFs saw a net outflow of about 118 million USD, but the spot market didn't collapse, which is quite interesting divergence. Holding above 2,700, only above 2,800 is the real pressure test zone. My understanding is: ETH is currently playing the role of a follower, not a leaderFortitude secured priority allocation for Bitmain's next-generation Zcash miners, up to $100 million, with delivery scheduled for Q2 2027, currently just a non-binding intention.
The miner manufacturer is dedicating a production line specifically for privacy coins, a signal more valuable than the order itself. In my opinion, the shovel sellers are even more eager to get on board than the miners themselves 🤣
$BTC $ETH $ZEC$AXS 20x short position, opened at 1.3698, now at 1.2898, floating profit +116.80%.
Originally just casually placed a short position to make some tea, came back to find it had already doubled. Encountered resistance and pulled back at 1.3698, 20x leverage smoothly grabbed some profit. Profit 0.16U, consider it a red envelope from the exchange.
Plan: Satisfied with doubling, withdraw half the position. Lower the stop loss on the remaining base position to 1.32 to break even. If it breaks below 1.28, look for 1.25; if it rebounds back to 1.32, say goodbye directly. The doubling trade at 4 PM just covers tonight's delivery fee. $BTC $ZEC #OKXNOW：开启全天候市场新时代 #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 #BTC巨鲸抛压减弱，ETF资金连续三周净流入 Agree on $BTC — if 85k doesn't break in the next few days, we could see 82k. But if it holds above 86k, 89k is realistic.
On $ETH : 2700 is the key. As long as it holds, long makes sense. Break it — I'm looking at 2650.
Not trading gold, but 4130–4200 is a tight range, should move soon.
Are you in a position or just watching?The Fed is turning softer. Markets aren’t.
October hike odds collapsed to <20% after weak U.S. jobs data. Yet Treasury yields remain elevated, the dollar is firm, gold is struggling near $4.13K and BTC is stuck near $85.6K after ~$172M in crypto liquidations.
Translation: lower Fed risk ≠ easy liquidity yet.
Watch yields and DXY. They’re holding the keys.
#Fed #Gold #Bitcoin #Crypto #MarketsAfter Bitget was hacked: The laundering protocol earned $762,000 in fees, some flowed into OKX hot wallet
According to crypto.news at 15:39 Beijing time on October 6, researcher Sergeenkov tracked the funds stolen from Bitget on September 24 (about $387.5 million): as of October 2, the protocol moving the stolen funds collected about $762,000 in fees, with THORChain liquidity providers taking about $573,000. Another approximately $260,000 in referral fees went to 7 addresses associated with laundering wallets, the largest about $177,000; some were converted to USDT and sent to an address labeled "OKX Hot Wallet 5," but account ownership has not been confirmed.
Why it matters: OKX can check deposit records, and whether they cooperate with investigations is a test of industry self-discipline. THORChain says it cannot freeze individual transactions, while NEAR Intents blocked an attempted transfer of over $50 million.
Market: BGB is about $2.01, down about 2% from the evening of September 23 (Bitget); RUNE rose from 0.61 to 0.77 in the same period (Binance), both as of 16:05 Beijing time; BTC is about $85,765 (Coinbase, 16:19 Beijing time).
My view: BGB has basically absorbed the impact of the hack. The rise in RUNE overlaps with the laundering through THORChain, but this may not be causal; regulatory pressure could turn negative, so be cautious chasing highs.
This does not constitute investment advice. The big coin has repeatedly failed to break upward at a key position.
Most people will then assume this is a strong resistance level,
and set their short stop-loss orders just above this resistance.
Short liquidity will continue to accumulate here.
A parallel top has now formed on the chart,
with several high points spaced only about 100 points apart, very close.
The main force can easily take it down with a little effort.
The delay in action is obviously because they are waiting,
waiting for more people to enter short positions here,
waiting for enough stop-loss liquidity to accumulate above.
Most of these close parallel tops will be forcibly broken through by the main force.
Therefore, there will be no direct drop for now,
and the price will continue to oscillate and wear down within the current range,
waiting to directly break the parallel top at 87300,
sweeping all the accumulated short stop-loss orders.
Only after that will the real big drop officially start.$PHA is up 5.14% with around $578K displayed volume. I like the participation, but I'm still waiting for a cleaner risk point instead of buying the current candle. I'm watching 0.0735–0.0742 for a pullback. If buyers defend it and reclaim 0.0750 with volume I'd consider continuation.
Entry: 0.0735–0.0742
Confirm: 0.0750 + volume
SL: 0.0715
TP1: 0.0770 | TP2: 0.0795 | TP3: 0.0825 | TP4: 0.0870
R:R: ~1:3 to TP3
A break below 0.0715 invalidates the setup. I want structure and volume not just momentum.$BOT Perpetual 20x long position: opened at 29.29, now at 32.84, +242.40%.
Precisely held the bottom support at 29.29, MACD golden cross resonance, bullish volume suddenly exploded. Decisively went 20x to follow the trend, steadily capturing this double profit.
Action: profits more than doubled, took half position profit to secure gains. Moved stop loss of remaining position to 32, smoothly breaking through 33 aiming for 35; if it rebounds but doesn’t break 32, continue holding; if it falls below, clear the position immediately. This small gain covers the afternoon milk tea money. $BTC $ETH #BTC巨鲸抛压减弱，ETF资金连续三周净流入 #BTC巨鲸抛压减弱，ETF资金连续三周净流入 FIL surged over 13% in a single day, is the veteran storage coin really making a comeback?
According to the latest data from OKX, FIL is currently priced at about $1.21, with a 24-hour high of $1.2108, and spot trading volume around $22.84 million. Perpetual contract open interest is about $23.21 million, with a funding rate of approximately 0.007%, indicating warming bullish sentiment but not yet extreme. The rise is supported by the launch of new IPFS tools and the nearing end of long-term token releases, with the market trading on expectations of reduced supply pressure.
Holding above 1.18, the price may continue to challenge 1.21; if it falls back to 1.12, momentum chasing buyers might quickly exit. Do you think this is a trend reversal or just a catch-up rally for an old coin?
$FIL #Filecoin #cryptocurrency🚨 **BITCOIN LEVERAGE IS HEAVILY SKEWED**
A **10% move lower** from here could liquidate **$13B+ in long positions**.
Meanwhile, a **10% move higher** would liquidate less than **$4B in shorts**.
That’s a significant imbalance.
The takeaway isn’t to predict the next move — it’s to recognize where the **leverage is concentrated**.
杠杆越集中，波动越容易放大。
**Will BTC squeeze longs first — or shorts? 👀**
#BTC # OKX #CRYPTO NEWS $BTC The key change in this wave is not just the price standing back near $85,000, but the selling pressure is decreasing. Recently, the US spot BTC ETF has recorded net inflows for three consecutive weeks, indicating that institutional funds are still continuously absorbing.
From the chart, BTC is currently around $85,778, having just rebounded from near $85,400 on the 1-hour level, short-term standing again above MA5, MA10, and MA20, indicating that bulls are starting to try to regain momentum.
ETH is currently around $2,711, with a trend similar to BTC, also rebounding from a low position, but ETF funds have been noticeably weaker than BTC recently, and the short-term strength is slightly inferior.
In trading, I prefer: if BTC pulls back and stabilizes near $85,400–$85,500, consider light long positions, first targeting $86,200, then $86,800; if it falls below $85,000, temporarily give up on long positions.
$ETH Key focus is near $2,700; if held, can continue to target $2,720–$2,740; if it breaks below $2,680, short-term weakness ensues.
Now is not the time to chase gains, better to wait for pullback confirmation. As long as ETF inflows continue and whale selling pressure continues to weaken, the upward structure of BTC after this adjustment remains intact.
#BTC巨鲸抛压减弱，ETF资金连续三周净流入 $BTC long position floating loss is 8.3%, current price is still grinding below $86,000.
I opened this long at $86,460, currently BTC is about $85,750. Floating loss narrowed to 10.5%, but the price is still close to the 1-hour EMA20 at $85,635, RSI around 48, the recovery is clearly not complete.
Perpetual positions have been basically flat for about 23 hours, current funding rate is slightly positive. The price rebound has not seen obvious new positions taking over, $85,900-$86,100 remains the first barrier; if it can't break above, it will continue to oscillate back and forth.
OKX smart money: 21 long, 14 short, long amount accounts for 57.2%, but total positions decreased by about $1.27 million compared to 24 hours ago. Average long cost is at $85,975; if the price recovers here, the position advantage will reappear.
The spot side is not easy either: on October 5, US spot BTC ETF net outflow was about $89.9 million, long-term holders have reduced holdings for seven consecutive weeks, but existing demand is still absorbing this supply, so it has not yet turned into one-sided selling.
I will first watch if the 1-hour candle can close above $86,000 and hold, then break through $86,700; only then can the loss continue to be repaired. If it falls below $85,090, the short-term structure will weaken again, looking for support near $84,980.
With the FOMC minutes approaching, volatility may increase. I will not make new moves on this position for now, let the following candles provide the answer. $ARB
Not seeing confirmation of the Inverse Head & Shoulders yet. The right shoulder isn't formed — price just bounced off the trendline.
If it breaks the neckline at 0.0648 with volume, then yeah, the downtrend is broken. Until then, it's just a bounce inside a falling channel.
Who's already bought the formation, and who's waiting for confirmation?$MON privacy service launched today, but the price dropped 8.6%, another textbook case of "buy the rumor, sell the news"
While API3 jumped 25% in one day, the token MON of the newly high-performance EVM public chain Monad is sitting at the 24-hour low: current price $0.0287, down 8.65%, sliding down from the intraday high of 0.03285, with a 24-hour trading volume of $5.65 million, not a small market cap. RSI has dropped to 32, hugging the lower Bollinger Band, showing real weakness, not a fake dip.
Looking back a few days makes it clear: on October 1, Monad announced "launch of privacy service on October 6," and MON surged 17% that day; today is the day the positive news was supposed to be realized, but the price basically gave back the gains. The news hitting the market as a peak and the holders using the hype to sell is the most classic script in crypto.
What's more troublesome is the looming threat: according to public reports, about 16.8 billion MON (team plus investors) will become liquid on the cliff unlock marking the mainnet's one-year anniversary on November 24. This supply flood is the real mid-term pressure.
My understanding is that the short-term oversold condition near the lower band might trigger a technical rebound, but before the unlock expectation is fully digested, any bullish candle driven by a single product announcement should be questioned first. Watch if the 24-hour low of 0.0285 holds; if it breaks down with volume, the next support level will have to be found lower.
Not investment advice, DYOR
$MON #Monad #PublicChain$SAND 50x short position, opened at 0.07317, now at 0.06533, floating profit +535.73%!
A 50x leverage waterfall is literally a heart rate accelerator! After SAND hit resistance above 0.073, it plunged with volume, and I immediately shorted to ride this dump. The return rate multiplied fivefold! Although the absolute profit is 0.15U, playing with high leverage and small capital is all about the thrill!
Strategy: Never get greedy with fivefold profits, take half the position off the table first. Set stop loss for the remaining base position at 0.07 to break even; if it breaks below 0.064 smoothly, target 0.06. If it rebounds and climbs above 0.07, close all positions immediately and run. The 5x position at 4 PM is enough to buy me an iced Americano and a chicken leg. $BTC $ZEC #OKXNOW：开启全天候市场新时代 #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 #BTC巨鲸抛压减弱，ETF资金连续三周净流入 Updated: 2026-10-06 COP (Electricity Cost): $62,068 / BTC AISC (All-In Sustaining Cost): $80,688 / BTC BTC Price: $85,308 (Oct 06, 14:31 VNT) Price / COP: 1.37x Price / AISC: 1.06x => Hold, observe & wait zone 200W SMA: +28.2% (vs 200W SMA) Market Insights: Bitcoin continues to maintain its positive recovery momentum above the All-In Sustaining Cost (AISC). The W40 weekly candle closed at $86,530 — higher than the W39 close ($84.4k), though it has yet to break above the W39 swing high of $87,39$xSHEIN is up only 3.97%, with roughly $22.6K displayed volume. That low participation makes me much more selective. I’m watching 4.18–4.22 for a pullback. If buyers defend it and reclaim 4.25 with a clear volume increase, I’d consider the trade.
Entry: 4.18–4.22
Confirm: 4.25 + volume
SL: 4.10
TP1: 4.32 | TP2: 4.42 | TP3: 4.55 | TP4: 4.70
R:R: ~1:3 to TP3
If 4.10 breaks, I’m out. Without stronger volume, I wouldn’t trust the breakout.📰 【Bitcoin Has Passed 364 Days Since Last Peak, Is a New Cycle Here? Analysts Look Ahead to This Cycle's Top】
Rhythm News, October 6: Combining Bitcoin's past price records, several analysts summarized that the time spans between Bitcoin's price highs and lows over the past decade's four bull and bear cycles follow these periodic characteristics: 2015 historical low → 2017 historical high ≈ 1064 days; 2017 historical high → 2018 historical low ≈ 364 days; 2018 historical low → 2021 historical high ≈ 1064 days; 2021 historical high → 2022 historical low ≈ 364 days. Bitcoin's last bull market peaked on October 7, 2025; according to this pattern, Bitcoin officially exited the bear market bottom today and entered the next bull cycle...
Once again, the cycle is like carving a mark on a boat to find a sword—drawing the days too precisely seems like giving emotions a foothold. What really matters is on-chain activity, stablecoin flows, and whether new narratives can hold; relying solely on a timetable is easy to fool yourself. Airdrop interactions and meme popularity can be watched first, but don't get carried away. Do you think this cycle will follow the old script, or has the playbook changed? 👇👇👇
$BTC $ETH $XAU Technical Analysis: 87,354 is the core resistance, 82,500 is the key support
Key Levels
Category Key Level Description
Upper Resistance $86,700 - 87,354 Core resistance zone, four failed attempts since September 21, also near the year's opening price
$90,000 Market forecast shows a 59% probability of reaching this level, call options open interest concentrated at 95,000
$93,700 Technical target if $86,700 is effectively broken
Lower Support $84,887 Immediate support (pivot point)
$84,372 Strong support, a daily close below this will quickly test SMA20
$82,500 Key support, the lower boundary of the box identified by Rekt Capital
$78,700 50-week moving average, deep support if $82,500 fails $BTC $ETH $ZEC #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 #BTC whale sell pressure weakens, ETF funds have net inflows for three consecutive weeks
Whales have stopped dumping, ETFs are still buying: Is this BTC rally not a fake rebound?
Many haven't caught on yet, but the market logic has already changed.
What was the biggest fear before? Old whales transferring coins to exchanges to distribute at high levels, no matter how much ETFs buy, it gets absorbed. Now it's different — the volume of whale transfers to exchanges continues to decline, on-chain sell pressure is clearly weakening, early large holders seem more like "holding steady" rather than "selling on rallies."
On the other hand, the US spot BTC ETF has had net inflows for three consecutive weeks. Although last week's pace was much more restrained compared to the 20 billion surge in September, "continuous positive inflows" are more important than a "single-week spike": it shows institutional funds are not just passing through but continuously accumulating between 85,000 and 87,000.
Simply put, the market is shifting:
Old coins move less, new institutions are slowly building positions.
Sell pressure retreats, buying advances, so the price naturally dares not drop sharply.
But don't get carried away:
🔹 87,400 is the weekly breakout confirmation level
🔹 84,000–85,000 is the support zone
🔹 Breaking below 82,000 means the story resets
My personal view:
Whales not dumping + ETF continued inflows = medium-term bullish bias;
But until the daily chart breaks key resistance, chasing the rally is less advisable than waiting for a pullback.
Are you holding to wait for a breakout, or sitting out to watch?It has been exactly 364 days since the last Bitcoin peak.
This number holds some mystical significance in the crypto community. BlockBeats compiled the patterns from the past 10 years: from the 2015 low to the 2017 high was about 1064 days, from the 2017 high to the 2018 low about 364 days; from the 2018 low to the 2021 high again about 1064 days, and from the 2021 high to the 2022 low still about 364 days.
The last peak was on October 7, 2025. Following this rhythm, today would theoretically be the "bear market bottom day," and the next phase should be a new upward cycle.
Analysts have already started calling the top: alicharts expects BTC to reach $190,000 and ETH to $8,800; Peter Brandt says the market has likely seen the cycle low, raising his end-of-2029 target from $250,000–$300,000 to $300,000–$600,000; trader Killa predicts BTC will break its all-time high between April 26 and August 2, 2027.
A reminder: four cycle samples are too few, patterns do not guarantee outcomes, and the date might just mean continued sideways trading. At the time of writing, OKX shows BTC around 85,850, fluctuating between 84,980 and 86,720 in 24 hours.
Not investment advice.
$190,000, $300,000, or $600,000 — which level do you bet this Bitcoin cycle will top at?
$BTC Ethereum developers pushed a last-minute software fix ahead of today’s Glamsterdam Sepolia testnet upgrade. The fix addresses a configuration issue so the test can properly evaluate a major increase in Ethereum’s block capacity.
The Sepolia test is scheduled for 13:53:36 UTC today (Oct. 6), testing a 200M gas limit. This is not the Ethereum mainnet launch—the mainnet date is still undecided. FIL 1.19｜ICP 3.44｜NEAR 5.16｜AVAX 11.24｜HYPE 93.21
The five resilient strong coins today are moving together. FIL surged the most, sealing the day with an 11% gain to claim the top spot; ICP rose 4%, NEAR ended up 1.5%, AVAX nearly 2%, and HYPE held up with a 1% gain. In recent days, capital has clearly favored coins with real income, resembling rotation rather than a crash. FIL holding 1.05 aims for 1.4; ICP 3.2 is the lifeline; NEAR 4.9 is the watershed; AVAX 10.8, if not broken, can still push to 12; HYPE 88 is a dense chip area. Roles: FIL is storage; ICP is AI; NEAR is intent; AVAX is subnet; HYPE is perp. If BTC holds steady at 85K tonight, strong coins can all breathe a sigh of relief. $FIL L $ICP #SEC提出《加密资产监管》草案，CLARITY法案9月审议 #OKXNOW：开启全天候市场新时代 #本周美联储将公布9月会议纪要 Ethereum developers pushed a last-minute software fix ahead of today’s Glamsterdam Sepolia testnet upgrade. The fix addresses a configuration issue so the test can properly evaluate a major increase in Ethereum’s block capacity. Did nothing, just went to the restroom, and when I came back, the K-line had already done the work for me. During the intraday bottoming, I watched $SHAZ; several rebounds were weak and soft, with insufficient support, heavy false bullish signals, and clear pressure at the high level.
At that time, I advised not to rush to buy SHAZ, to open a short position since there was resistance above, volume didn't keep up, and no one was supporting the rise. While everyone was still watching, I placed the short order first and waited for it to deflate on its own, which is much more comfortable than chasing it.
Battle results: from 48.77 to 48.13, a return of +12.91%, nailed it. The wait was worth it; those in the car should have woken up laughing.
Don't lose patience in the consolidation and then try to regain dignity in a one-sided move.
Don't get greedy with profits, don't despair over pullbacks.
First close 80%, keep the remaining 20% at cost price for protection; if it continues to drop, let the profits run, but don't give back profits on the rebound. Move again when the next signal appears; the market is not short of opportunities, but it lacks patience.
$SNDK $XRP